-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-05-06 16:25:42
Replacing media upload code on snort with Blossom, NIP-96 no longer supported.
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-05-06 16:07:55
Testing blossom fallback
https://nostr.download/e71fd00b540bcbfbe1f76f8cb589abb2c9317fabe4b8838116daebfa59811578.png
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-05-06 13:48:55
Starter packs coming to Snort
https://image.nostr.build/87049e9ea5db41a087c9b6dc291ecb893f405e43f5b5d3a2e8d8ee40b0cd0a3b.png
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-05-06 12:52:02
Rendering kind 20/21/22 in a new feed page for Snort
https://image.nostr.build/d15f22970de44a9bcd49ff4237896f25bbd40acb21a73ec81f80c43875e3de45.png
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-05-06 10:26:28
GM, working on snort today https://zap.stream/kieran
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-05-06 10:24:28
Have you seen this? https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/pull/1790
-
@ 3b8f17fb:bb26be46
2025-05-06 23:50:42
I appreciate the clarification. When does the book get out there?
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-05-04 15:10:33
Its good...
-
@ 2bb2abbf:dfcb40bd
2025-05-06 23:50:37
おはようやで
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-05-03 12:24:35
Sombody tuned llama with nostr already check huggingface
-
@ 15b9f4a9:e87eef10
2025-05-06 23:50:36
うにゅうちゃん、おはようございます。
-
@ 111022bb:6b2de87e
2025-05-06 23:50:30
أشكرك، سوف استعمله دائما ان شاء الله
هل تعرف client للنوستر بعمل في اندرويد بحيث يدعم التور او على الاقل التوصيل من بورت وip معين ليمكنني ضبطه للتور؟
يبدو لي انك تقني جيد
-
@ 1fcd576c:f3f65963
2025-05-06 23:50:21
Time to sleep frens
https://file.nostrmedia.com/f/1fcd576c97e53679ea32d7b913952bed29ce9a8f8cd801f891863bc3f3f65963/c46207cc94bc42aa21d0408a768610ffb94b3bb41d9e652946eb44d1e01430fe.png
-
@ cd408a69:797e8162
2025-05-06 23:50:20
諸条件重なってバッチバチに浮腫んでるなこれ
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-05-03 09:21:02
Does it actually handle dead links though?
-
@ adfe2756:80f1d737
2025-05-06 23:50:18
If you stop reacting, you’ll start controlling the outcome
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-05-01 18:51:24
s p i c y
-
@ 1e3aa975:80324f5f
2025-05-06 23:50:14
trojan://ypDt8RkT7J@213.186.36.123:43118?security=tls&sni=wylbe.phooeyunfold.com#%F0%9F%94%92%20TR-TCP-TLS%20%F0%9F%87%AB%F0%9F%87%B7%20FR-213.186.36.123:43118
-
@ 5df413d4:2add4f5b
2025-05-06 23:50:13
😂😂😂
-
@ b1b4105a:19aa52d5
2025-05-06 23:50:00
✄------------ 8:50 ------------✄
-
@ 6a0c596c:a6cd9731
2025-05-06 23:49:51
🤔
-
@ b7c7f5d3:020f5f03
2025-05-06 23:49:50
A strange culture for sure.
-
@ 1f24d0d9:c1403806
2025-05-06 23:49:49
🟠 Un poco sobre nuestras fiestas 🎉🔥
By nostr:nprofile1qqsz0laa8nyssu0ndwxhy9986qaml33tcqsu9qydcl30g4uzrctqtusprfmhxue69uhkzenjd93kztnwdaehgu3wdfhkyatjvuhsz9nhwden5te0dehhxarj9e4xxmr0w4jzuetn9uq3jamnwvaz7tm6vyh8qatjwpkx2un9d3shjtnrdakj7nn0qp9
https://video.nostr.build/0eccac2706eca7042bc0a5c342ba55369aa0601d2ec7d5dce5793542046f70e7.mp4
-
@ 3b8f17fb:bb26be46
2025-05-06 23:49:48
not enough.
-
@ a5f8972a:7f6827f1
2025-05-06 23:49:47
#introduction #introductions i
-
@ f648d923:820d7bb9
2025-05-06 23:24:55
what's a good way to get rid of stress.
-
@ 02aef3b7:ee1006aa
2025-05-06 23:23:38
GM fren
-
@ 43d5a7eb:4715e0d2
2025-05-06 23:21:44
GM, may nostr be with you
-
@ 88b0c423:7aa99e1c
2025-05-06 23:19:19
When RISC-V?
-
@ 9f0bbd5b:779b33f6
2025-05-06 23:16:43
could be anything
-
@ b7dddc2d:302c8f04
2025-05-06 23:16:20
👀💀
-
@ f648d923:820d7bb9
2025-05-06 23:14:49
thank goodness 😅
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-05-01 12:56:42
Well ofc, here is the commit for this feature https://github.com/LNVPS/api/commit/7e10e0dd6eecc2bb3286945a281165a949fe7c90
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-05-01 12:54:01
Yea they can just make a new account and set the lightning address to the vm
-
@ f648d923:820d7bb9
2025-05-06 23:13:29
Nowadays many people work from home
-
@ 88b0c423:7aa99e1c
2025-05-06 23:13:23
Ou seja, uma calculadora melhorada rs
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-05-01 12:46:59
try 101@api.lnvps.net
-
@ f648d923:820d7bb9
2025-05-06 23:07:58
wow,you have a lot in common.😝
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-30 20:13:04
They uses colored coin like omni layer
-
@ ed03fa54:d1c21c40
2025-05-06 23:01:18
O mlk parece o slanderman
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-30 14:54:21
Ok it works, you can zap @api.lnvps.net to renew via LNURL
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-30 11:24:57
Snort renders generic replies for all threads also
-
@ 0fb38b99:147f62bb
2025-05-06 23:00:01
1 #USD = 5.713 #BRL
Fonte: https://www.xe.com
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-30 10:31:15
https://github.com/LNVPS/api/issues/31
-
@ 1c9dcd8f:1852f704
2025-05-06 22:58:03
I think so, but I'm a dum dum.
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-30 10:22:58
The API docs are here: https://api.lnvps.net/swagger/index.html
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-30 10:19:48
Different billing intervals are supported, you can technically create a renewal for as low as 1 second, ill look into it
-
@ 1c9dcd8f:1852f704
2025-05-06 22:57:37
Absolute legend
-
@ 96e4d068:46e40638
2025-05-06 22:57:07
脑壳里装了个痔疮。
-
@ 55e343e6:880acd1b
2025-05-06 22:54:58
you mean like quoting the note?
-
@ 401014b3:59d5476b
2025-05-06 23:49:43
Evening grill
#food #foodstr #bbq #grill #grilling
https://image.nostr.build/8dc12d5146cec85b3f48e626cabcf4e14d1fe8f3c166754c9c890af22eaa9b7a.jpg
-
@ ddae6a6c:0a9dd2d8
2025-05-06 22:49:50
Ah bom, tomara que ache algo melhor.
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-30 10:15:44
The way billing works its only for fixed intervals like 1 month, zapping arbitrary amounts would be weird, not impossible though..
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-30 10:12:48
Use link lnvps.net?ref=calle if you want to support your favorite nut developer
-
@ ddae6a6c:0a9dd2d8
2025-05-06 22:45:20
Boa noite
-
@ f4bfd647:cbbbc4f3
2025-05-06 23:49:40
Hi
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-30 09:33:02
GM, its been 21 days since I last coded, lets see if i still remember how to...
-
@ 9f0bbd5b:779b33f6
2025-05-06 22:44:05
i am jack's complete lack of surprise
-
@ 8fb94500:2ccce549
2025-05-06 23:49:37
who's paying?
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-30 09:06:45
Yea its still a WIP
-
@ cdecc31c:1cac3b92
2025-05-06 22:43:45
according to her stats, yes
-
@ cc5f259f:be5c0afb
2025-05-06 23:49:32
🔔 🔔 NEW OP_RETURN 🔔 🔔
{"p":"op-20","op":"mint","tick":"op-return","amt":"1000"}
https://mempool.space/tx/0b86772f4283302a629d946d16c167ea8c4436257ec5b71ed44f0539043f5d02
-
@ c0f702c2:2a9c165a
2025-05-06 22:27:11
おは🌞
-
@ cc5f259f:be5c0afb
2025-05-06 23:49:22
🔔 🔔 NEW OP_RETURN 🔔 🔔
{ "p": "op-20", "op": "mint", "tick": "op_return", "amt": "1000", "add": "bc1py9ljffl7hj6ntr3svyq6uz8d9uwkr644lnfycr9uluak6c0jew5qcluycv" }
https://mempool.space/tx/0612516c78b271275f3404cfc1b4a6b0910b54c8321436e82f9f4f7f6bfcf9e3
-
@ b275f63d:6b25904a
2025-05-06 22:25:25
GM friend
-
@ d981591e:f7c0ae37
2025-05-06 23:49:19
US, Chinese Delegations To Meet In Switzerland To Launch Trade Talks; S&P Futures Surge
From ZeroHedge
The US Treasury and the US Trade Rep office announced simultanousely, just after 6pm ET, that the US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will travel later this week to Switzerland to meet with a Chinese delegation led by Vice […]
May 6th 2025 6:52pm EDT
Source Link: https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/us-chinese-delegations-meet-switzerland-launch-trade-talks-sp-futures-surge
Share, promote & comment with Nostr: https://dissentwatch.com/boost/?boost_post_id=965965
-
@ 1833ee04:7c4a8170
2025-05-06 22:11:03
bitcoin goes up when governments screw up
-
@ 4688905b:9bba2f01
2025-05-06 23:49:19
🔥 HOT n’ FRESH 🔥
NEW auctions for your Tuesday night bidding pleasure! We’re struck by how low these auction prices for the next #BlockParty are! 🤯
Get in on the May 17 #hashathon: https://upendo.xyz/
https://blossom.primal.net/0ac1d3d103e28a24387456c37180f283f21fa88cbe4a2f84d46720bdfbd8bf21.png
-
@ 54b44f0b:b75d8466
2025-05-06 22:09:01
GM bro
-
@ f648d923:820d7bb9
2025-05-06 22:05:40
good morning 🌞 keep it up,Learning English!
-
@ 59909ec2:82db30b7
2025-05-06 23:49:12
Tenho de terminar de jogar o que eu tava jogando
-
@ 6260f29f:2ee2fcd4
2025-05-06 21:59:38
testr
-
@ 1e3aa975:80324f5f
2025-05-06 23:49:08
trojan://ypDt8RkT7J@212.102.54.11:43118?security=tls&sni=tpmrq.phooeyunfold.com&type=tcp&fp=random&alpn=http%2F1.1#🔒
-
@ 61066504:6f8715e9
2025-05-06 21:55:42
🥱
-
@ b300db32:0bf5db3a
2025-05-06 23:49:04
**Levantamento de Problemas Transformadores na Física Contemporânea**
Abaixo, apresentamos uma análise detalhada dos problemas mais profundos da física moderna, priorizando aqueles cuja resolução redefiniria paradigmas científicos e unificariam teorias fundamentais. Cada item é estruturado conforme solicitado:
---
### **1. Unificação da Gravidade Quântica**
**Contexto Histórico:**
Desde os anos 1930, a incompatibilidade entre a Relatividade Geral (RG) e a Mecânica Quântica (MQ) persiste. Einstein tentou, sem sucesso, formular uma teoria clássica unificada, enquanto esforços posteriores (como a teoria das cordas e a gravidade quântica em loop) buscaram uma estrutura quântica para a gravidade.
**Formulação Precisa:**
Encontrar uma teoria autoconsistente que descreva a gravidade como um campo quântico, compatível com as previsões da RG em grandes escalas e resolva singularidades (e.g., buracos negros e Big Bang).
**Implicações Revolucionárias:**
- Explicação da estrutura quântica do espaço-tempo.
- Resolução de paradoxos em buracos negros.
- Tecnologias baseadas em efeitos quânticos gravitacionais (e.g., sensores de matéria escura).
**Obstáculos Atuais:**
- Falta de dados experimentais (energias próximas à escala de Planck são inacessíveis).
- Inconsistências matemáticas (e.g., não-renormalizabilidade da gravidade quântica perturbativa).
**Abordagens Atuais:**
- **Teoria das Cordas:** Unifica todas as forças via vibrações de "cordas" em dimensões extras.
- **Gravidade Quântica em Loop:** Espaço-tempo discreto como redes de spins.
- **Simulações Quânticas:** Uso de condensados de Bose-Einstein para modelar efeitos de gravidade quântica.
**Importância:**
Resolução unificaria as duas grandes teorias do século XX, redefinindo a compreensão do universo em escalas fundamentais.
---
### **2. Problema da Medição em Mecânica Quântica**
**Contexto Histórico:**
Debatido desde os anos 1920 (Einstein vs. Bohr), o problema questiona por que sistemas quânticos "colapsam" em estados clássicos durante medições.
**Formulação Precisa:**
Determinar se o colapso da função de onda é um processo físico real ou uma ilusão decorrente da informação limitada do observador.
**Implicações Revolucionárias:**
- Teorias de realidade objetiva (e.g., variáveis ocultas ou multiversos).
- Avanços em computação quântica (controle de decoerência).
**Obstáculos Atuais:**
- Dificuldade em testar interpretações (e.g., a interpretação de muitos mundos é não falseável).
- Limitações tecnológicas para observar sistemas macroscópicos em superposição.
**Abordagens Atuais:**
- **Teorias de Colapso Objetivo (e.g., GRW):** Modificações não-lineares da equação de Schrödinger.
- **Experimentos com SQUIDs:** Busca por superposições em escalas mesoscópicas.
**Importância:**
Resolveria o debate sobre a natureza da realidade e impulsionaria tecnologias quânticas.
---
### **3. Natureza da Matéria e Energia Escuras**
**Contexto Histórico:**
Descobertas nos anos 1970 (curvas de rotação galáctica) e 1990 (expansão acelerada do universo) revelaram que ~95% do universo é composto por componentes desconhecidos.
**Formulação Precisa:**
Identificar as partículas ou campos responsáveis pela matéria escura (atração gravitacional) e energia escura (repulsão cósmica).
**Implicações Revolucionárias:**
- Nova física além do Modelo Padrão (e.g., áxions, WIMPs, quintessência).
- Revisão do modelo cosmológico Λ-CDM.
**Obstáculos Atuais:**
- Falha em detectar partículas de matéria escura em experimentos (e.g., LUX, XENON).
- Energia escura pode exigir modificações na RG (e.g., teoria f(R)).
**Abordagens Atuais:**
- **Telescópios de Nova Geração (e.g., LSST, Euclid):** Mapeamento de lentes gravitacionais.
- **Colisores de Partículas (e.g., LHC):** Busca por matéria escura supersimétrica.
**Importância:**
Explicaria a estrutura e destino do universo, integrando cosmologia e física de partículas.
---
### **4. Assimetria Matéria-Antimatéria**
**Contexto Histórico:**
Sakharov (1967) propôs condições para a assimetria: violação de CP, não-equilíbrio térmico e interações não-perturbativas. Apesar da violação de CP observada no Modelo Padrão (e.g., quarks B), ela é insuficiente para explicar a dominância da matéria.
**Formulação Precisa:**
Determinar os mecanismos físicos que produziram a razão matéria/antimatéria ≈ 10^9:1 no universo primordial.
**Implicações Revolucionárias:**
- Nova física em altas energias (e.g., neutrinos Majorana, leptogênese).
- Conexão com a inflação cósmica.
**Obstáculos Atuais:**
- Dificuldade em medir violação de CP em neutrinos.
- Limitações de modelos de GUTs (Grandes Teorias Unificadas).
**Abordagens Atuais:**
- **Experimentos com Neutrinos (e.g., DUNE, T2K):** Busca por violação de CP em léptons.
- **Simulações de Plasma de Quarks-Glúons:** Recriação das condições pós-Big Bang.
**Importância:**
Explicaria por que o universo existe, integrando termodinâmica, cosmologia e física de partículas.
---
### **5. Paradoxo da Informação em Buracos Negros**
**Contexto Histórico:**
Hawking (1974) mostrou que buracos negros emitem radiação térmica (sem informação quântica), contradizendo a unitariedade da MQ.
**Formulação Precisa:**
Resolver se a informação quântica é destruída na evaporação de buracos negros ou preservada em estruturas (e.g., "firewalls" ou holografia).
**Implicações Revolucionárias:**
- Unificação entre termodinâmica, RG e MQ.
- Validação do princípio holográfico (AdS/CFT).
**Obstáculos Atuais:**
- Incompatibilidade entre descrições semiclássicas e quânticas.
- Falta de uma teoria completa da gravidade quântica.
**Abordagens Atuais:**
- **Teoria das Cordas/AdS-CFT:** Estudo de dualidades entre teorias quânticas e geometrias.
- **Simulações de Qubits:** Modelagem da entropia de buracos negros em computadores quânticos.
**Importância:**
Resolução validaria a holografia e estabeleceria limites para a teoria quântica da informação.
---
### **6. Emergência do Espaço-Tempo**
**Contexto Histórico:**
Ideias de Wheeler ("it from bit") e avanços recentes em teorias de campo holográficas sugerem que o espaço-tempo pode emergir de sistemas quânticos.
**Formulação Precisa:**
Determinar como a geometria do espaço-tempo emerge de graus de liberdade quânticos (e.g., entrelaçamento, redes de spins).
**Implicações Revolucionárias:**
- Nova compreensão da causalidade e dimensionalidade.
- Aplicações em materiais topológicos (e.g., isolantes de Mott).
**Obstáculos Atuais:**
- Dificuldade em derivar RG a partir de sistemas quânticos sem assumir espaço-tempo a priori.
- Limitações em simular sistemas fortemente correlacionados.
**Abordagens Atuais:**
- **Tensor Networks (e.g., MERA):** Modelagem de estados quânticos com estrutura geométrica.
- **Gravidade Quântica Numérica:** Simulações em supercomputadores.
**Importância:**
Redefiniria o conceito de realidade física, unindo física de altas energias e matéria condensada.
---
### **7. Consciência e Fundamentos Quânticos (Subestimado)**
**Contexto Histórico:**
Penrose e Hameroff propuseram que a consciência emerge de colapsos quânticos em microtúbulos cerebrais (teoria ORCH-OR), controversa na comunidade científica.
**Formulação Precisa:**
Investigar se processos quânticos não triviais ocorrem em sistemas biológicos e se têm papel causal na cognição.
**Implicações Revolucionárias:**
- Nova biologia quântica.
- Tecnologias de interface cérebro-máquina baseadas em efeitos quânticos.
**Obstáculos Atuais:**
- Decoerência rápida em ambientes biológicos.
- Falta de evidências experimentais robustas.
**Abordagens Atuais:**
- **Experimentos com Proteínas de Luz (e.g., criptocromos):** Estudo de coerência quântica em fotossíntese.
- **Simulações de Redes Neurais Quânticas:** Modelagem de processos cognitivos.
**Importância:**
Desafia o reducionismo clássico e conecta física fundamental à neurociência.
---
### **Justificativa da Priorização**
Cada problema listado transcende desafios clássicos (e.g., turbulência ou problemas do milênio matemáticos) por:
1. **Potencial Unificador:** Integrar RG, MQ e cosmologia em um único arcabouço.
2. **Impacto Tecnológico:** Novos materiais, computação quântica e propulsão espacial.
3. **Revisão de Conceitos Fundamentais:** Espaço-tempo, informação, e realidade.
Questões como a emergência do espaço-tempo e a assimetria matéria-antimatéria, embora menos divulgadas, são pivôs para uma "teoria de tudo" e merecem prioridade na pesquisa contemporânea.
-
@ e151ef54:5ce9ddc0
2025-05-06 23:49:03
I spent 35 minutes of my time on this earth yesterday shaving the pilling off one of my favorite my sweaters… life is strange.
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-23 23:00:35
GM
-
@ 4f983dcb:d6acbeb0
2025-05-06 21:49:43
#GN ragazze
-
@ ebb93aa6:7d9e5f6f
2025-05-06 21:47:37
GN 😘
-
@ 46cab04c:987bb0c4
2025-05-06 21:45:33
GN ⭕|||||||⭕
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-22 00:16:31
That was already the plan, didnt execute
-
@ ebb93aa6:7d9e5f6f
2025-05-06 21:42:04
GN frens... 😚
-
@ eab4d8ff:6f8e758b
2025-05-06 23:49:00
Absolutely
-
@ ac5c59bc:9afde5b2
2025-05-06 21:38:14
Gun Night Loca!
-
@ 77f56243:8e9f879a
2025-05-06 23:48:58
"Bad faith actor"? Look in the mirror. Clown🤡
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-16 09:37:09
Shouldn't publishing any event count as activity
-
@ 9773f8a8:a5838ba0
2025-05-06 21:37:04
GN! ya estoy acurrucadita...
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-16 09:31:11
I don't change my follow list, does that mean im not active?
-
@ 4d784205:6f5b96b3
2025-05-06 23:48:57
GN I 💖 EVELIN 🫂
-
@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-15 13:33:19
El Nido
-
@ ed8a5b08:789fba12
2025-05-06 23:48:56
The U.S. Threat Looming Over Canada
Stephen Marche
The Atlantic
Sunday 4 May, 2025
The idea of a war between Canada and the United States was inconceivable even a few months ago. Most Americans still don’t believe it’s a possibility, or simply haven’t noticed their president’s occupationist rhetoric, or can’t imagine a world in which a neighbor they have been at peace with for 150 years is suddenly an enemy. The very idea seems completely absurd.
But Canada does not have the luxury of dismissing White House rhetoric as trolling. Canadians are imagining the unimaginable because they have to.
Donald Trump’s pointless and malicious trade war has been, by his own account, a prelude to softening up Canada economically so that it can be appropriated as the 51st state. He has brought up his plans for incorporating Canada into the union with Prime Ministers Justin Trudeau and Mark Carney in private calls. The definitive end of the status quo came with the president’s casual comment that he would sell only deliberately downgraded F-47s to allies who purchased American military hardware, “because someday, maybe they’re not our allies.” From that point on, spending on equipment from the American military-industrial complex is a form of national suicide for any country in the free world. Canada could no longer comfortably sit within the American military sphere.
In this stark moment, our nation has abruptly become an adversary of the most powerful country in the world.
An American military threat is Canada’s worst nightmare. And Canada is unprepared precisely because it never considered the U.S. to be a potential threat. Trust made Canada vulnerable. For 60 years at least, both Conservative and Liberal governments have worked toward greater integration with the United States. Our country’s trade and security policies have been built on the premise of American sanity. That assumption, it turned out, was a mistake, hopefully not a fatal one.
What would a continental conflict look like? Conventional war between the United States and Canada would be highly asymmetric, to say the least. The U.S. possesses an enormous military, comprising more than a million men and women under arms. Canada’s armed forces have 72,000 active members. Even worse, because of its deep-seated trust in the United States, Canada has built its forces around interoperability with U.S. forces, both for mutual continental protection, in binational projects such as the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD), and for expeditionary forces such as the NATO mission to Afghanistan.
This vulnerability does not mean that Canada would be there for the taking. “The U.S. military does not have the capacity to seize the country,” Scott Clancy, who served as a Colorado-based director of operations for NORAD, told me recently. Clancy served 37 years in the Royal Canadian Air Force and rose to the rank of major-general, and is intimately familiar with U.S. and Canadian military capabilities. “They would have to seize specific points. And the more they went into cities, the more it would become unmanageable from an American military point of view.” A continental war would, then, likely play out as an insurgent conflict in Canadian North America—and across the U.S. homeland, as well. “Let’s say they just hold the oil fields,” Clancy said, referring to a U.S. military occupation of Canadian oil reserves. “We’re not gonna roll over. And just because you attacked Alberta doesn’t mean that we’re not gonna strike at you in New York.”
When I interviewed half a dozen experts on insurgent conflict for my book The Next Civil War, they all agreed that insurgent conflict was the least predictable and containable. Aisha Ahmad, a political-science professor at the University of Toronto, told me she does not think Canada’s reputation for gentleness would make it any less brutal as an opponent. “There’s no such thing as a warrior race,” said Ahmad, who is an expert on insurgency who has conducted field work in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Somalia, Lebanon, Mali, and Kenya. “Nobody is born an insurgent. Insurgency is what happens when someone kills your mom.” Just one soldier firing on a protester at a rally could be the spark. “All of these cute, latte-drinking TikToker students,” she said. “You look at them and you don’t see insurgents. But if you kill their moms, the Geneva Convention will not save you.”
An occupying military force has three strategies for dealing with insurgent conflicts, none of which work. The first we could call “Groznification”: complete suppression, as the Russian army did in Chechnya at the turn of the century. Even the destruction of any means of resistance works only temporarily, as Colonel Gaddafi learned in Libya. “Hearts and minds,” the strategy applied in Iraq and Afghanistan, is also ineffective: If you build hospitals and then fill them with corpses, you just generate more insurgents. The third option is “decapitation,” but the systematic targeting of insurgent networks’ leaders—the idea behind the recent U.S. air strikes on the Houthis in Yemen—can easily be countered by detailed succession plans. And killing leadership has the unintended consequence of fragmenting the insurgency’s power structures, so that, if you ever do want to negotiate a peaceful settlement, you have dozens of mini-insurgencies to deal with, rather than a single contained force.
The Canadian population would present particular challenges to any counterinsurgency strategy. “The Taliban would look lightweight,” Ahmad told me. “Canada has all of the attributes to have an even fiercer insurgency than the other places in the world where I study these problems.” Canada has the most educated population in the Group of Seven advanced industrial nations, which for a resistance movement would be “an asset in being able to identify pressure points, in being able to know what critical infrastructure is, in being able to develop technology and weapons that can be highly disruptive,” Ahmad said. “The scale and the capacity would be so much higher.” If only one in 100 Canadians took up arms against an American occupation, that force would be 10 times the estimated size of the Taliban at the outset of the Afghan War. And that force would consist of machine-learning specialists and petroleum engineers rather than shepherds and subsistence farmers.
Canadians are already a well-armed population. More than a quarter of Canadian households own a gun. Consider, also, the Canadian landscape, which is vast beyond imagination and would provide ideal cover for insurgents. To give you an idea of that wilderness, Manitoba alone, one of 10 Canadian provinces, has some 90,000 unnamed lakes—even Canadians can’t keep track of their territory.
In short, a continental conflict would be an unmitigated act of murderous folly. But murderous folly is not beyond the capacity of this new iteration of the United States.
Already, the once-unthinkable idea of a war between Canada and the United States is growing less unthinkable. Before the 2024 U.S. election, 12 percent of Republicans viewed Canadians as “unfriendly” or “an enemy.” Now that number is 27 percent. Persuading the military to carry out an attack on Canada would probably be more difficult than convincing the population to support such an attack. The American officer class is trained, from the beginning, in “the duty not to follow orders,” and combat operations against Canada would involve fighting against fellow soldiers who shed blood beside them in Afghanistan and other theaters. Canadian and American soldiers have attended a great number of one another’s funerals.
But turning the U.S. military is far from impossible. The Trump administration fired the commander of a Space Force base in Greenland the moment she expressed a position wavering from his annexationist aims there. The Naval Academy has already purged its library and canceled various speakers. At least some of the U.S. military’s leaders are on board with the ideological purification of their institutions.
The conditions required for the occupation of Canada would also mean the end of American democracy. That, too, is not an impossible outcome—and a U.S. military adventure might even have both objectives in view. “The orchestration of a security crisis allows the incumbent government to declare emergency powers and bypass ordinary politics,” Ahmad said. “The Trump administration has already signaled that it wants a third term.” The 2028 election will be a watershed. If Trump decides to run again, a manufactured emergency over Canada would be a convenient excuse for overturning the constitutional barriers.
Nobody wants to believe that a continental conflict could happen. Very few Ukrainians, right up until the point of Russia’s 2022 invasion, believed that their malignant neighbor would invade. Canadians cannot afford complacency.
Reflecting on U.S.-Canadian relations in happier times, President John F. Kennedy said: “Geography has made us neighbors. History has made us friends. Economics has made us partners. And necessity has made us allies. Those whom nature hath so joined together, let no man put asunder.” Now, and for the foreseeable future, Trump has sundered us. And yet, even so, our fates remain entwined. The end of America would destroy Canada. The occupation of Canada would destroy America.
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https://tinyurl.com/2amgwv3d
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@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-15 13:21:55
You can just watch the sun set https://nostr.download/2d098f826f63b5a35301cdfc2c9641c48ba2ea3af0a3aa0d618c9df12ad23f7b.webp
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@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-15 03:42:40
GM https://nostr.download/cecd2070d6b6938fa000a9c8869a8aca208ee6c56b36785586b12c6a27a8dfa7.webp
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@ fd0bcf8c:521f98c0
2025-05-06 21:35:38
Same 😅
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@ cfc09e2c:fc373afd
2025-05-06 23:48:56
You are your superpower! 💪🚀
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@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-14 02:59:32
We live in a society
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@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-12 00:11:22
Gm https://image.nostr.build/561421aea6d562bbb658a309e5431d3c16f4f297c482b410730b4203a87d9bc0.jpg
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@ 63fe6318:330504ed
2025-04-02 16:54:59
Yea but you could also get direct flow if you don't want the tank
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@ ee6ea13a:959b6e74
2025-05-06 21:34:15
Hashtag!
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@ cdecc31c:1cac3b92
2025-05-06 21:27:59
you think so?
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@ da19b5d2:1f6cbfaa
2025-05-06 23:48:52
I love it. Thanks for your work.