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2025-04-29 02:25:26
Canadian Election: CBC Calls Election For Carney As Liberals Remain In Power
Canadian Election: CBC Calls Election For Carney As Liberals Remain In Power
Update (2225ET): To the surprise of nobody (aside from a few excited folks about three hours ago), Canada's liberal party has won Monday's national elections - with voters electing Mark Carney to a full term as the next Prime Minister according to national broadcaster https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/livestory/canada-election-liberals-will-form-next-government-cbc-news-projects-9.6738893
.
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/GppLHj_XcAAKSBr.jpg?itok=E_VC3o1s
That said, as of this writing it's too soon to say whether the Liberals will hold a minority or a majority.
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/can2.JPG?itok=LeRSkTed
The full results will be available later this evening or early Tuesday.
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With Canada's Atlantic polls now having closed in what will be a deeply consequential election, odds for conservative candidate Pierre Poilievre have begun spiking after conservative turnout was reportedly "larger than expected," according to betting market https://x.com/Kalshi/status/1917004042376536207
.
Update (2127ET): After some momentary excitement based on a reported 'larger than expected' turnout at Canadian polls, betting market odds for conservative candidate Pierre Poilievre have fallen back to the low 20% range.
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/res_0.JPG?itok=lGiQphmw
🇨🇦 New election results (15% Reported
🔴 Liberal 51%
🔵 Conservative 40%
🟠 NDP 4%
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1917032333300973992?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
Stay tuned for more...
Earlier, https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minster-of-canada/will-mark-carney-be-the-next-canadian-prime-minister
odds were as high as 48% for Poilievre - dropping to a 30% chance as of this writing - but nevertheless in sharp contrast to the 20% odds he's been hovering around all week.
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/483.JPG?itok=7qn87nxV
Only to reverse lower (as seen on this 6h chart)...
https://cms.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/5.JPG?itok=YyVPs0XK
You can track the odds in realtime below:
We're guessing Carney takes it, but there was still money to be made for those who partake...
Poilievre may be worth a punt at 20% https://t.co/9DD6mPQWvF
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) https://twitter.com/zerohedge/status/1915887086919418236?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw
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Mon, 04/28/2025 - 22:25
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/canadian-election-poilievre-odds-explode-higher-conservative-turnout-larger-expected