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@ StackSats.IO
2025-04-12 13:32:00
They have the upper hand with their allies, this appears to be them telling all countries to pick a side which is hugely risky because they’ve got 18 months til midterms in which they need to get this all sorted else it could all be scuppered, and forcing countries into a binary black or white choice which isnt optimal for them is likely to have unintended consequences.
Too much too early. I understand the American PoV that they had to play the hand now but this isn’t going to end up how they wanted and I’m not sure the tradeoff zone it lands in is going to be worth it for everyone to maintain it which likely means waves of instability beyond the next 18 months.
I wouldn’t want to be in a traditional western allied country during this.