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@ Johannes
2025-02-14 22:32:15
MO REPORTS: 🇷🇺❗️ 👴🤺👨 "Putin did not achieve the goals of the war, but it is important for him to get out of it." What does the "complimentary" start of negotiations between Trump and Putin mean, and who will benefit from the conclusion of peace
The demonstratively soft style of Trump's first conversation with Putin does not mean that the US and its allies will not demand serious concessions from Moscow and a renunciation of the initial "goals of the SVO", said experts interviewed by MO - political scientists Dmitry Oreshkin, Ivan Preobrazhensky and Americanist Alexandra Filippenko
❓ What do curtsies to Putin mean?
💬Preobrazhensky: Trump is busy with foreplay to convince Putin to personally sit down at the negotiating table . If he starts to put pressure on Putin, it will only be during the negotiations. Judging by Peskov's comment, Putin has not yet decided that he is ready for negotiations.
💬Filippenko: Trump is demonstrating a verbal ballet. What is important to Putin is the fireworks , the recognition of him as an equal partner. This is what Trump is ready to give, as a businessman he is ready for external concessions that a politician would not make for ideological reasons.
❓Does Putin need peace?
💬Oreshkin: It is important for Putin to get out of the war, for the continuation of which he clearly lacks the resources (human, technical and financial). Right now, when Putin's offensive has reached its climax and is clearly starting to run out of steam, Putin has the best moment to leave with a victorious expression on his face.
❓Whose victory will the truce be?
💬Oreshkin: It is obvious that Putin did not achieve the goals of the entire war. Ukraine has lost a lot, but has retained the main thing: statehood, sovereignty and the basic trend towards Europe . The point with NATO was initially hopeless for Ukraine, but no one will give Putin a guarantee of an eternal refusal to join. There is nothing to talk about the complete capture of four regions - rather, the question is that Putin will have to give in in exchange for the Kursk bridgehead . In general, Putin will have to move away from the stated demands - and quite noticeably.
💬Filippenko: Putin did not clearly say what victory means. Propagandists in Moscow will call what they are told a victory. Perhaps just meeting with Trump will already be perceived as a victory.
Via Fishhead on Gettr.