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@ Undisciplined
2025-02-16 17:19:37
Here are today's picks (there are a ton of them today) using my proprietary betting strategy at [Freebitcoin](https://freebitco.in/?r=51325722). For details about what Risk Balanced Odds Arbitrage is and why it works see https://stacker.news/items/342765/r/Undisciplined.
For a hypothetical 1k-ish wager on each match, distribute your sats as follows:
| Outcome 1 | Outcome 2 | Outcome 3 | Bet 1 | Bet 2 | Bet 3 |
|--------------|-------------|--------------|-------|-------|-------|
| Torino| AC Milan| Draw | 269| 476| 278|
| Inter Milan| Genoa| Draw | 765| 71| 156|
| Como| Napoli| Draw | 256| 464| 294|
| Cagliari| Juventus| Draw | 213| 556| 267|
| Balogna| AC Milan| Draw | 348| 407| 303|
| Valencia| Atletico Madrid| Draw | 208| 550| 270|
| Sevilla| Real Mallorca| Draw | 464| 253| 313|
| Real Sociedad| Leganes| Draw | 636| 133| 267|
| Real Madrid| Girona| Draw | 760| 105| 167|
| Las Palmas| Barcelona| Draw | 105| 750| 164|
| RB Leipzig| Heidenheim| Draw | 688| 143| 196|
| FC Bayern| Eintracht Frankfurt| Draw | 786| 91| 133|
| Dortmund| Union Berlin| Draw | 621| 182| 231|
| Arsenal| West Ham| Draw | 763| 77| 167|
| Aston Villa| Chelsea| Draw | 364| 392| 266|
| Chelsea| Southampton| Draw | 818| 67| 143|
| Everton| Man United| Draw | 333| 381| 303|
| Ipswich| Tottenham| Draw | 286| 476| 256|
| Liverpool| Newcastle| Draw | 652| 161| 217|
| Man City| Liverpool| Draw | 348| 421| 256|
| Man United| Ipswich| Draw | 636| 167| 227|
| Newcastle| Nottingham Forest| Draw | 541| 235| 250|
| Tottenham| Man City| Draw | 222| 594| 222|
| Nottingham Forest| Arsenal| Draw | 200| 579| 244|
I'll be curious to see how @Coinsreporter does with his modified RBOA.
On the most recently completed set of RBOA, I made 6k sats on 43k wagered, so it was a nice bounce back.
I still haven't precisely identified where the threshold is, but it might be worth skipping any of these with a "time weight multiplier" lower than 90.
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A note of caution about Freebitcoin: they recorded the wrong outcome for last week's Bills vs Ravens game and as of yet have not corrected it. I recall one other instance of something similar happening, so proceed with caution.
This RBOA strategy is largely immune from that problem, but be aware of it when just betting on one outcome.
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/887548