@ Robby

The Death of Qualitative Thought This started off as a message to some friends. I was trying to convince them why it was important that we read Hannah Ardent’s “The Human Condition”. As the message continued to spiral I had to choose another medium to share it with them. _“I'd ask you about love, you'd probably quote me a sonnet. But you've never looked at a woman and been totally vulnerable. Known someone that could level you with her eyes, feeling like God put an angel on earth just for you. Who could rescue you from the depths of hell. And you wouldn't know what it's like to be her angel, to have that love for her, be there forever, through anything, through cancer. And you wouldn't know about sleeping sitting up in the hospital room for two months, holding her hand, because the doctors could see in your eyes, that the terms "visiting hours" don't apply to you. You don't know about real loss, 'cause it only occurs when you've loved something more than you love yourself. And I doubt you've ever dared to love anybody that much.” - Robin Williams in Good Will Hunting_ We are on the precipice of a torrent of political and economic change. The global economy is struggling; France can't balance its budget and ousted the prime minister in response, Germany has bungled their energy policy resulting in VW shutting down factories for the first time in its history, contributing to the Chancellor losing a non confidence vote. Both countries have far right parties poised to take leadership, and both these far right parties have advocated for stepping out of the EU. If such an event were to take place it could be the end of the Euro, the second most powerful currency in the world will have been created and destroyed in under 30 years. The UK is in the process of exacerbating their energy woes whilst dealing with a stagnant economy. Likewise, Canada's economy is struggling and the economic minister quit in dramatic fashion due, in part, to terrible budget management. This led to the Canadian prime minister resigning shortly after. China is in a similar economic position and is still trying to stimulate its economy while tensions with the US mount. The US itself is economically resilient and the coming administration’s aggressive approach to economic growth has further bolstered enthusiasm in their economy. This strategy coupled with tariffs will cause inflation to reappear internationally and batter struggling families further. Trump is known to follow an aggressive form of Reganomics that can be understood better as "number go up"; doing whatever it takes to push the economy higher, assuming this will solve society’s woes. Behind Trump stands J.D. Vance and the "Counter Elite", led by Peter Thiel and Elon Musk. Although Musk takes all the attention, it is really Thiel who has the foresight and political cunning to make changes happen. Thiel has been vocal about his opinion on the global economic situation and America’s place in it for quite a while. He has been sounding alarms about economic stagnation, through over regulation, for years. The motto of his venture fund echoes these concerns: "We were promised flying cars, instead we got 140 characters". His main concern being if we constrict growth - increased violence is inevitable. The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) will be the "counter elites" first step in reducing government involvement in all facets of society.  This new technocracy will display a plethora of metrics to justify their decisions, being STEM oriented individuals. It is important to keep in mind that although these numbers are intended to reflect something from reality, divergences between the metric and what it is intended to measure frequently occur (Campbell’s law). The use of market indices, for example, as a measure of quality of life, is something we frequently see that deviates from most people’s experience. It loses sight of the underlying human issues we are trying to solve. The tech elite frequently display this lack of qualitative understanding; the Cyber Truck or Meta's venture into VR worlds gives a stark display of this. The explanation for the lack of qualitative understanding could be as simple as the inherent societal bias we have between what San Francisco residents would call "Shape Rotators" vs "Wordcels". These terms reflect a general societal view that the humanities carry little to no value, and all decisions should only be made through explicit cause and effect relations. We have been looking at the world through this narrow lens since the 80s, earlier if you ask Hannah Arendt, and the "number go up" approach is only doubling down on this perspective. This world view might be what is the cause of our predicament in the first place. We may have reached a local maximum in terms of moving forward as a society with this strategy, a point of diminishing returns, yet we don't consider others. Our view of the world is only becoming more myopic and our tactics to approach it is becoming more aggressive. Since Ronald Regan and Milton Freidman pushed "trickle down economics", with their compatriot Margaret Thatcher in the UK, every leader has skewed more to the right. Bill Clinton was far more pro business than democratic presidents prior to him. This trend has only continued. Every President and CEO uses the market as arbiter of success, which employs Friedman's idea that the shareholders are the primary concern (campaign contributors are essentially shareholders) and everything else is secondary. Donald Trump is only refining and pushing these strategies further. He has already signalled tax cuts for the richest people in the country and that he will drop the corporate tax rate to 15%. The market’s exuberance is used to justify these decisions. He has no view of his own of where the country should go, only parroting Regan's campaign slogan, which in itself has no vision of the future. Trump has been recruited by the tech billionaires since their economic perspectives are aligned. The tech elite have applied the "number go up strategy" to their companies for decades, “hockey stick” growth curves are the only true indicator of success in the industry. Politically they were very liberal, accepting, and sometimes advocating for higher taxes to help state programs. This optimistic hands off approach obviously hasn't worked as San Francisco has become infested with social and political strife, far exceeding issues that comparably sized cities have. Unsurprisingly this has triggered a complete reversal of the tech elites previous views on governance. Now as the tech billionaires enter the political game, they are keen to apply their successful approach in tech to government. Their first application of this strategy will be with the "Department of Government Efficiency", meant to help reduce regulations that are hindering business development. Silicon Valley has been an ideal case of the benefits of deregulation. The digital world provided a permissionless environment for anyone to build and distribute products. With successes like Google, venture capital funds threw enormous resources behind youthful intelligent founders, and reaped enormous rewards. Building a startup became a common phrase, and achieving the “hockey stick” growth curve became a common dream.Other areas of the world began trying to imitate this model seeing the prosperity it brought to the region. More and more talented youths entered into Computer Science or Computer engineering hoping to join a large software company with generous compensation packages, or founding their own company. Other more regulated industries provided fewer and fewer opportunities as lucrative as tech. This reinforced the perception that tech was the only path to social mobility, and more so, that any field outside STEM is not a valuable investment. The humanities were seen as antithetical to tech, believed to provide zero economic value. This bias is prevalent throughout our society, it is particularly prevalent in San Francisco where the term “wordcel” is used to describe those who prefer to pursue knowledge in the humanities.  What we lost in this was the benefits of qualitative thinking which is more pronounced in the humanities. This is where people learn to analyze things that don’t have clear numerical solutions, to see problems from a multitude of perspectives, to understand that some issues have no clean resolutions, to contemplate what it means to exist and be conscious of your own existence. Humanities are where we learn what the human condition is and how we can improve it. Qualitative thinking allows us to actually consider what we are doing and where we are going. Sean Monahan in his essay “[The counter elite won the meme wa](https://www.8ball.report/p/the-counter-elite-won-the-meme-war)r” captures the lack of qualitative understanding at the core of the tech elite: “the homes of tech billionaires and hundred millionaires I’ve seen (online and otherwise) aren’t much better: generically white and minimal, rectilinear shapes in monochromatic fabrics. You get the sense you are in a third-world luxury hotel that didn’t know you were supposed to hire an interior designer”. Living by the “Number go up” strategy leaves one devoid of taste and depth. It comes painfully obvious, as Sean says of the tech elite: “On a basic level, both their fantasies and realities fail to inspire.” We can plainly see this in the everyday functioning of the companies found in San Francisco over time, as more companies provided high economic output but lower societal value. This single minded approach to politics and economics has left us bereft of any vigour. San Francisco is overrun with Will Huntings who chose the corporate path. Every aspect of our life has become a cold calculation, even dating has become a numbers game, setting filters and preserving likes. We are left longing for depth and a purpose to pursue that no amount of rigorous number manipulations will provide a substitute for. Leopold Aschenbrenner, part of the super alignment team at OpenAI, mentioned on podcast that he won't spend any money on consumption till he can buy literal galaxies. This comment made me think of Zaphod Beeblebrox, from Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy, when he awakes on a planet of gold and is overcome with awe, but only a short while earlier he travelled the galaxy on a machine that made the impossible probable and could only think to use it to gain more wealth. What value is a planet of gold when we can’t appreciate the wonders around us? Even Peter Thiel, the undercover Wordcel who constantly ridicules many fields because they aren't shape rotatory enough, states in his essay "Straussian moment" that the assumption of each individual being a rational economic actor was upended on September 11th. A foundational shift in our society is required to account for this change in our understanding, yet we continue to pursue economics and politics in the same manner, only more aggressively, as if this will produce different results. _What I propose, therefore, is very simple: it is nothing more than to think what we are doing. — Hannah Arendt, The Human Condition._ FIN