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@ Real Man Sports
2024-11-13 17:22:11
I went 4-1 again last week, so apparently this process of writing out my random thoughts on these games and assigning numbers is working. It’s better than the grid version from last year because that was too restrictive. More free-flowing is how you get in sync with the league.
I’m 8-2 over the last 10 and 21-9 over the last 30. Still drawing dead in the overall, but very much alive for Q3, even if I still need to go 9-1 probably.
I’m putting the paywall here not because I’ve now got the gift of prophecy (which could easily go away) but because I want to give the paying subs something the free ones don’t have.
**Indigenous Peoples at Eagles** — American friend of ours in Lisbon doesn’t celebrate Thanksgiving I just found out, instead calls it Indigenous Peoples Day. That’s fine, but my beef is with her ignoring the indigenous peoples those indigenous peoples surely killed before the European settlers killed them. I mean surely it wasn’t all kumbayah among the tribes. You probably have to go back 10 or 20 tribes of indigenous peoples to find the ones who were just there originally and got killed by other tribes. And even they were probably no angels. Anyway, I digress. I’ll make it Killer Redskins™ +2.5 and stay away on Thursday night.
**Packers at Bears** — The Bears killed us in Survivor this week (literally), and I wouldn’t have taken them if I had any idea how bad Caleb Williams was. It was likely Danny Dimes out there. Get rid of the fucking ball! In any event, I’ll say Packers -3.5 and lean Bears, but probably stay away.
**Jaguars at Lions** — There have been no huge lines this year and few even of double-digits, but I imagine we get one here. I’ll say Jaguars +16.5. I’d probably take the Lions anyway, but likely stay away.
**Vikings at Titans** — The Titans defense is okay, but the offense is pretty bad. Sam Darnold is looking more like his old self every week, and that is obviously not a good thing. I’ll say Vikings -3.5 and stay away.
**Raiders at Dolphins** — The Raiders are a trainwreck, and the Dolphins are playing better defensively. I’ll say Raiders +8.5 and probably stay away.
**Rams at Patriots** — I watched the Patriots last week and they didn’t just beat the Bears, they killed them. I’ll say Rams -2.5 and probably stay away. If anything I’d buy the Rams low.
**Browns at Saints** — The Saints have Alvin Kamara and a bunch of scrubs on offense, but the Browns have Jameis Winston throwing picks. I like selling the Saints off last week’s win though. I’ll say Browns plus 1.5 and consider taking them.
**Colts at Jets** — I guess they’re sticking with Joe Flacco. The Jets are a destroyed team too. I’ll say Colts +3 and maybe take the Jets. Have to think about it more.
**Ravens at Steelers** — The Ravens are in a different class than the Steelers, though often these rivalry games are tight. I’ll make it Ravens -2.5 and lay the wood.
**Falcons at Broncos** — The Falcons blew it last week, but Denver REALLY blew it. Denver has the better defense. I’ll say Falcons +2.5 and maybe take the Broncos.
**Seahawks at 49ers** — I’ve lost faith in Geno Smith, especially behind that abysmal line. It’s a divisional game which could be close, but I'll make it Seahawks +6 and lay the wood.
**Chiefs at Bills** — The Bills are better, the Chiefs are tougher. I’ll say Chiefs +3, probably lay the wood, but have to think about it more.
**Bengals at Chargers** — I’ll make this Bengals +2.5 as these are roughly equal teams. Probably a stay away for me, but if anything I’d take Cincy.
**Texans at Cowboys** — Micah Parsons will get to CJ Stroud, but the Cowboys offense is abominable without Dak Prescott. I’ll say Texans -6 and probably stay away.