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@ Felipe
2025-06-01 16:03:49🧠Quote(s) of the week:
Fred Krueger: 'Generally, people overanalyze too much. Bitcoin is amazing tech. It works. It has been the top-performing asset in 13 of the last 15 years. Stop with the analysis. Buy it. Don't trade it. Don't look for "entry points". And don't do a 1% allocation either. Grow a pair.'
🧡Bitcoin news🧡
Money. Time. Energy. You only get to pick two… Unless you’re a Bitcoiner. https://i.ibb.co/1Gw9BJdB/Gqspxqd-Xg-AAw03e.jpg
On the 19th of May.
➡️ El Salvador is $357 million in profit on Bitcoin holdings.
➡️Metaplanet ended Monday as Japan's 9th most traded stock, with ¥61.69B ( $425M) daily volume, surpassing Toyota, SoftBank, and Nintendo.
➡️Circle $USDC in "informal talks" to sell itself to Coinbase or Ripple, Fortune reports. WhalePanda: "Imagine running a $60 billion stablecoin in such an incompetent way you can't even turn a decent profit and desperately have to sell."
➡️Panama introduces a bill to allow citizens to buy, sell, and accept Bitcoin freely anywhere in the country.
On the 20th of May:
➡️https://i.ibb.co/v61tLVTc/Grk-OL6x-Ws-AAIGum.jpg
Tick Tock next block, but it seems like we are right on schedule. Bitcoin is doing exactly what it was designed to do.
➡️BTC just hit a new ATH in Argentina Weak currencies first. Then all of them.
➡️ThumzUp Media officially files to raise $500m to buy Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset.
➡️Indonesian fintech DigiAsia's stock surges over 90% after announcing plans to raise $100M for a Bitcoin treasury.
➡️River: America’s story began with sound money. Hard-working Americans saved their wealth in gold-backed money. Today, Bitcoin carries that torch forward.
https://i.ibb.co/zTFLqMjC/Grpd4lm-WAAAq-W7m.png
Insane stat! Bitcoin is now the people's money. Imagine the price when nation-states get on board.
The US government is outpacing global rivals like China by embracing Bitcoin. The federal government's Bitcoin holdings now represent twice its global market share of gold reserves.
Worth the read: https://blog.river.com/american-bitcoin-advantage/
'In this report, you'll learn about: - Why Bitcoin is an underestimated pillar of American dominance. - America’s lead in Bitcoin businesses, institutions, development, and policy. - Bitcoin's emergence as America’s reserve asset.'
Ergo: America is the dominant Bitcoin player in just about every dimension: investment, government reserves, development, institutional embrace, supportive policy, and mining.
➡️Texas Bitcoin Reserve bill SB 21 will be considered on the second reading in the House this morning. Note: the Texas Constitution requires that second and third readings be conducted on separate days. If it passes today, then the final vote could be tomorrow
➡️Bitcoin accumulation trends signal bullishness with smallholders (<1 BTC) accelerating accumulation (score ~0.55), and whales (100-10K BTC) aggressively buying. Source: Glassnode
➡️French company The Blockchain Group raises €8.6 million to buy more Bitcoin. Press release
➡️Chinese printer manufacturer Procolored unknowingly distributed Bitcoin-stealing malware through its official device drivers, resulting in 9.3 BTC ($950K) stolen from users.
https://x.com/MistTrack_io/status/1924411803540590728
➡️Bitmine launches its Bitcoin Treasury Advisory Practice with a $4M deal, including $3.2M for leasing 3K Bitcoin miners and an $800K consulting agreement
➡️Bitcoin's correlation to gold is at its lowest since February 2025, per Glassnode data.
➡️UK-listed Smarter Web Company adds 16.42 BTC to its treasury at an average price of $104,202. Total Holdings: 35.62 BTC The Smarter Web Company is stacking with conviction—building a treasury designed for the long term.
On the 21st of May:
➡️Vivek's Strive Asset Management looking to buy up to 75,000 Bitcoin from Mt. Gox claims at a discount to build a Bitcoin treasury.
➡️Bitcoin is $1k from an all-time high and the Google Trends chart looks like this. https://i.ibb.co/qYLb7j6C/Gra6-BSd-Xo-AATN2-A.jpg
On the 22nd of May:
Happy Pizza Day! 15 years ago today Laszlo Hanyecz bought 2 pizzas for 10,000 Bitcoin. That Bitcoin is now worth $1.2 BILLION.
Will Baxter: "But how did he get that much bitcoin? Well, there’s a lot more to Laszlo's story than those pizzas. Here are four facts about him most people don’t know (the last one blew my mind): 1. Laszlo, a Mac developer, discovered bitcoin in 2010. After realizing that Bitcoin only ran on Windows, he took it upon himself to port it to Mac OS. He built and released the first bitcoin client for Mac making it accessible to more users. 2. In its earliest days, bitcoin could be mined with just a CPU, something that every computer has. But Laszlo had other plans. In mid-2010, he released a solution that would allow users to mine with their GPUs. Laszlo is single-handedly responsible for ushering in the era of GPU mining which massively increased Bitcoin’s total hashrate. 3. By being one of the early adopters of GPU mining, Laszlo enjoyed a massive jump in mining efficiency and hashrate, which meant that he was able to mine a lot of blocks. In total, Laszlo’s Bitcoin wallets received more than 80,000 BTC over the first few months of the GPU mining era. It’s estimated that Laszlo mined well over 100,000 BTC in Bitcoin’s early days. 4. Laszlo has single-handedly mined more Bitcoin than any publicly listed Bitcoin mining company. As an example, MARA, the largest publicly traded Bitcoin miner by market capitalization, has mined an estimated 48,000 BTC since 2018. Laszlo and his GPUs managed to mine more than twice that amount! Incredible.
➡️Pizza slice inscribed on the Bitcoin blockchain forever! Block #897813
➡️Strategy: 'Bitcoin Pizza Day at Strategy. Paid for with USD.'
Kinda disgusting. The largest Bitcoin Treasury Company is not even able to pay for pizza in Bitcoin on Bitcoin Pizza Day? Why did they even bother to buy pizza today? They show zero understanding of the meaning of Pizza Day and Bitcoin history.
Plebs all around the world are celebrating Pizza Day by "spend and replace" Bitcoin for some lovely pizzas. What is Saylor doing? He decides to use his giant megaphone to stomp all over it. "Pay with Dollars. Eat the Pizza. Keep the Bitcoin." That post rubbed me the wrong way. That’s because they are not bullish on the payment use case of Bitcoin. I have been saying all the time: that he has an agenda against the medium of exchange. This is plausible as Saylor never minced words as far as I know. His model is HODL. Spending would contradict.
Not sure if I am overreacting because of store of value for several more years will eventually lead to a Medium of Exchange Bitcoin world.
As you might already know I am not particularly a fan of the whole Bitcoin treasury - public companies.
Read the following thread why, an excellent thread on the risks of Bitcoin treasury companies by a bitcoiner.
https://x.com/lowstrife/status/1925717037915005357
➡️For the first time in history, Bitcoin is now trading above $111,000 and just surpassed $2.2 TRILLION in market cap for the first time in history. $3 Billion worth of Bitcoin shorts to be liquidated at $120,000 Small, tiny reminder. In 2021 dollars, Bitcoin hasn’t broken $100K yet. We need to hit $118K to meet that milestone. Celebrating $1 million (eventually) might not be as much fun as you think.
➡️H100 Group buys 4.39 BTC and becomes Sweden's first publicly listed #Bitcoin treasury company. After announcing its first Bitcoin purchase shares surged 37%. A small stack, big signal.
➡️Bitcoin has now surpassed both Amazon and Google to become the 5th largest asset in the world, and Bitcoin just surpassed the Taiwan Dollar and is now the 8 largest currency in the world. Nothing stops this train. https://i.ibb.co/Jj11QjkL/Grk-Ume-KXs-AAm-Xp6.jpg
➡️Michael Saylor's 'Strategy' now has a $23.8 billion unrealized profit on its Bitcoin portfolio. Meanwhile, Strategy is to sell up to $2.1 billion of 10% preferred stock.
➡️'Traditional finance consensus: "What's the use case for BTC?" Allowing Millennials to afford a home despite Boomer policymakers actively pursuing policies to prevent them from doing so Median US home price, price in BTC, 2020-today IMO, this chart is going <1 in coming yrs.' - Luke Gromen https://i.ibb.co/tpCk7HD2/Grka1-Ld-Wc-AAo-IQn.jpg
Just to give you one more perspective on this topic:
➡️Joe Consorti: US real estate has been in a 15-year bull market. But guess what? Priced in bitcoin, the average US home price has dropped from ~3 million BTC to just 4.38 BTC in 15 years. All assets are deflationary in Bitcoin terms. https://i.ibb.co/m5Nk2Yq2/Grk9d92-XUAAAwz-H.jpg
➡️Taiwanese Legislator has proposed a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve at 0.1% of GDP = $780m
➡️Chinese automaker Jiuzi Holdings to buy 1,000 Bitcoin for treasury.
➡️ 'Singapore's Genius Group buys another 24.5 Bitcoin. Now holds 85.5 Bitcoin, 1,000 BTC target confirmed.' - Bitcoin Archive
➡️Standard Chartered expects Bitcoin to hit: - Q2: $120,000 by the end of Q2 - Q4: $200,000 by late 2025 - 2028: $500,000
➡️On-Chain college: 'New ATH for Bitcoin yet realized profit is significantly lower than the last two local tops and prior cycle tops. HIGHER' https://i.ibb.co/ch0HWwWx/Grjx-GHVWo-AAd7-Wt.jpg
Not sure about that. Could be a double top.
On the 23rd of May:
➡️The Blockchain Group confirms the acquisition of 227 BTC for ~€21.2 million, the holding of a total of 847 BTC, and a ‘BTC Yield’ of 861.0% YTD Press release.
➡️The 8th largest economy in the world will start to buy Bitcoin. No one is bullish enough! Governor Abbot to sign Bitcoin Reserve bill into law! Texas to become the 3rd US state to enact an SBR!
➡️Publicly traded The Smarter Web Company bought 23.09 Bitcoin for £1.85 million for its treasury.
➡️For the love of god. Delate Coinbase or any other shitcoin casino/exchange (for example here in the Netherlands Bitvavo) and cold-Storage your Bitcoin and don’t touch them.
https://i.ibb.co/y3BmmNt/Grp-TDv-BWk-AAs7-Gh.jpg
Not your keys, not your coins.
➡️'The Russian Bitcoin mining sector now ranks first in growth rates and second in mining volume globally. The country's largest Bitcoin miners, BitRiver and Intelion, controlling over 50% of the market, generated $200M in revenue for FY2024, per RBC.' -Bitcoin News
➡️Alex Gladstein: 'Absolutely crazy Hundreds of millions of people saw their wage and savings technology lose 15%, 30%, 50%, 75%, even 90% (!) of its value last year Fiat is broken, time for a Plan ₿' https://i.ibb.co/hRZwFsPJ/Gro-s-KJXUAAh97-M.jpg
➡️Bitwise predicts nation-states and institutions will hold 4,269,000 BTC—worth $426.9B. https://i.ibb.co/RkVDmGLg/Gro6wb-VX0-AAHCT0.jpg
➡️'Metaplanet is now the #4 most traded stock in Japan, moving nearly $1B in a day—just a year after adopting #Bitcoin. From obscurity to 300x returns, this is what happens when a company runs on hard money.' -Bitcoin for Corporation
➡️TFTC: "Scammers are mailing fake "Ledger Security" letters demanding wallet validation via QR code. They spoof official branding and ask users to visit fraudulent sites."
https://i.ibb.co/nNg0JgX6/Grpd0o-BWc-AI3-Yj-Y.jpg
On the 24th of May:
➡️Bitcoin has the same number of users as the Internet had in 1999. https://i.ibb.co/1frYh4Z7/Gru2-J3-UW8-AA-05y.jpg
Now talking about that Bitcoin Adoption S-curve...
➡️Thomas Fahrer: 'Holding Bitcoin means getting rich while feeling frustrated 90% of the time. Deflationary money - designed to increase in value - forever. It's difficult for the human mind to comprehend. Most still don't get it.' https://i.ibb.co/9HwPkxK3/Grwpw-W0-W0-AEc-PSb.jpg
On the 25th of May:
➡️Pakistan allocates 2,000mw of electricity to Bitcoin mining and Ai - Bloomberg Daniel Batten: Pakistan announced 2000 MW for Bitcoin mining & AI. That's potentially ~17,000 BTC per year for an SBR. Plus, India will now have to follow. Game theory playing out. *Assuming that 50% of this is for Bitcoin mining, using latest-gen machines, 95% uptime, network hashrate is on average 1200 EH/s by the time they are complete
➡️Normally, I would write this in the segment below 🌎Macro/Geopolitics... "First signpost: DOGE failed to reduce the deficit.
Second signpost: Pushing for SLR changes to boost demand for Treasuries from domestic banks.
Third signpost: Pushing for legislation to boost demand for Treasuries from stablecoin issuers.
Fourth signpost: New spending bill estimated to increase deficit by 33% by 2027.
Fifth signpost: Bessent: "We'll grow GDP faster than the debt to stabilize debt-to-GDP."
Read below (segment 🌎Macro/Geopolitics) his full statement and my view on it.
TL;DR: Keep spending. Pass new laws and tweak regs to suppress long-end yields. Boost nominal GDP (mostly via inflation). Debase the currency. Bondholders and cash savers lose in real terms. Got Bitcoin?" -Sam Callahan
➡️Sminston With: 'There is a myth that 100% of the returns in Bitcoin only happen if you buy at the bottoms and then sell at the tops during one of the cycles. Power law quantile analysis shows otherwise; in fact, there are nearly identical growth rates (CAGR) whether you buy/sell at the bottoms (support) or around the middle (median) 52% vs 53% as of this year! Whichever trendline is followed, even if you only trade at the bottoms, the compounded annual returns of Bitcoin will be >7x of what you'd ever expect from the S&P. Ignore or try to time Bitcoin at your own risk!' https://i.ibb.co/5QHQHqF/Grzig5-BWIAAy9-Jb.jpg
On the 26th of May:
➡️Bitcoin made another weekly record close at $109,004.
➡️When BlackRock holds 1M Bitcoin and the price hits $1M... They’ll be earning $2.5B a year in fees. Every year. Forever.
➡️Florida proposes eliminating Capital Gains Tax on Bitcoin. If passed, it would make Florida the first U.S. state to offer this kind of tax relief.
➡️Strategy acquires 4,020 BTC for $427.1 million at $106,237 per Bitcoin. They now HODL 580,250 BTC acquired for $40.61 billion at $69,979 per Bitcoin.
💸Traditional Finance / Macro:
Jeroen Blokland: U.S. vs. Eurozone in the digital money age!
https://i.ibb.co/dJ3085qm/Grko80y-WMAATw-V1.jpg
On the 20th of May:
👉🏽TKL: 'Retail investors are piling into stocks: Individual investors bought a net $4.1 BILLION in US stocks on Monday between 9:30 AM and 12:30 PM ET, the biggest buy on record. This surpassed the previous high by over $1 BILLION, according to JPMorgan data. Retail investors also broke the $4 billion buying threshold by noon ET for the first time in history. Additionally, retail accounted for a record 36% of the trading volume yesterday, exceeding the previous record set in late April. This supported the S&P 500's rapid recovery from a -1.1% decline at the beginning of Monday’s session into positive territory by the close. Retail investors are driving the market.'
https://i.ibb.co/HTM721rw/Gr-Zot-Th-XMAAl-EB.jpg
To provide you with another example of why retail is driving this market. Institutional investors remain bearish of US stocks:
A net 38% of institutional investors were underweight US equities in early May, the lowest since May 2023, according to BofA. Outside of 2023, this marks the lowest allocation since the lead-up to 2008. Over the last 5 months, this percentage has fallen by ~70 points, the biggest drop on record. The difference between the proportion of investors being overweight in the Eurozone versus US equities hit a net ~75%, the highest since October 2017. By comparison, 4 months ago, the net percentage was -62 points, the lowest since 2012.
The sentiment shift among professional investors has been historic. Institutions dump U.S. stocks and flock to the Eurozone. Institutions bailing on US stocks while retail piles in - smells like a correction brewing.
🏦Banks:
On the 21st of May:
👉🏽The Federal Reserve has experienced its first back-to-back annual losses since 1915, totaling $192 billion in 2023 and 2024. The most expensive “expertise” in history.
https://i.ibb.co/zzPHp40/Gr-Xx-Hsy-WUAARd-IV.jpg
On the 23rd of May:
👉🏽'U.S. Banks U.S. Banks are currently facing $482 Billion in unrealized losses, an increase of 33% from the prior quarter. With rates now skyrocketing, these losses are going to increase. Banks, particularly small banks, are ( potentially) in trouble!!' - Barchart https://i.ibb.co/1FHmTBc/Grm-GA3-OWMAAro5k.jpg
🌎Macro/Geopolitics:
1 bar of gold
= 1 house (1975) 1 bar of gold
= 1 house (2025) Do you get it yet?
https://i.ibb.co/tTM7Kw0n/Gr-W8b-K0b-AAQvu-He.jpg
Got Bitcoin?
On the 19th of May:
👉🏽 TKL: "Risky debt issuance has stalled in the US: Low-rated US corporations have issued less than $1 billion in bonds in April, the lowest in at least 4 years. At the same time, leveraged loan issuances have reached $13 billion. High-yield corporate bonds and leveraged loan issuances are ~10 TIMES lower than during the same period last year. Leveraged loans are typically used to finance M&A, refinance debt, or general business activity, all of which are slowing down." Seems like uncertainty is really affecting everything.
👉🏽'US Treasuries are selling off: The 30-year Treasury yield surpassed 5%, for the first time since November 2023. It is now trading at the 2nd-highest level in 18 YEARS. Investors are signaling that the US public debt CRISIS is heading to a turning point.' -Global Markets Investor
👉🏽The stupidity of EU leaders knows no limits.
https://i.ibb.co/gCpMxsH/Gr-Txm-P1-Ww-AAALx-L.jpg
'Russia pumps gas 3.000 km from frozen Siberia to China through a Gazprom-owned pipeline. Meanwhile, massive Chinese LNG tankers, too enormous for the Suez Canal, sail the long route around the Cape of Good Hope just to supply Europe,filling the gap left by Russia’s fading influence. And now? Russian gas costs three times more.'
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/jan/09/european-imports-of-liquefied-natural-gas-from-russia-at-record-levels
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/feb/24/eu-spends-more-russian-oil-gas-than-financial-aid-ukraine-report
👉🏽Klarna losses widen as more users miss payments; 100 million now on platform — FT “The fintech, which offers interest-free consumer loans to allow customers to make retail purchases, on Monday reported a net loss of $99mn for the three months to March, up from $47mn a year earlier.” https://www.ft.com/content/6c4bf393-c80b-42b7-993a-35270143f688 https://i.ibb.co/prsJNdB2/Gr-Y6-WTQXs-AAPu-Tr.png
Funny how they never learn that unsecured debt to subprime holders is a bad idea. Buy now pay later was a model destined to fail because those least capable of repaying the loans are the very people borrowing it. "100M people using Klarna and they're losing money because broke people keep defaulting on burritos"
On the 20th of May:
👉🏽As mentioned in my previous Bitcoin & Macro recap. Japan’s Prime Minister Ishiba called the current bond market situation in Japan “worse than Greece.” Shocking (not!), falling demand for long bonds in a country with a debt-to-GDP ratio of 216%.
Admitting that you’re situation is worse than Greece should horrify people. "Japan's bond market is imploding: Japan's 30Y Government Bond Yield has officially surged to its highest level in history, at 3.15%. For decades, Japan was known for low long-term interest rates. Now, they are dealing with high inflation, a shifting policy outlook, and a whopping 260% debt-to-GDP ratio. On top of this, Japan holds $1.1 TRILLION worth of US debt, making it the largest foreign holder of US debt." -TKL
This is not just about Japan. It’s a signal that the global debt machine is approaching its structural limits and that the next liquidity cycle may not be voluntary, but forced by sovereign fragility.
Read the following thread:
https://x.com/onechancefreedm/status/1924831549683298535
Remember:
1990: Japan has a goal of bringing prices down.
2012: Japan has a goal of getting prices up.
"History tells us that deflation [and inflation] has a habit of getting out of control."
👉🏽Gold prices extend gains to +5% since their May 15th low and near $3,300/oz as markets price-in uncertainty. Gold and Bitcoin are becoming the ONLY global safe-havens.
Talking about gold. China’s gold ETF inflows have more than doubled in the last 12 months, fueling a 38% surge in gold prices. From retail to the central bank—China has never bought more gold.
https://i.ibb.co/kVHh27vz/Gr-YB3-Wj-XUAAiai-W.jpg
On the 21st of May:
👉🏽For the Dutch followers/readers: The renovation of the Binnenhof is more than twice as expensive as the reconstruction of the Notre-Dame… and it costs more than the tallest building in the world, the Burj Khalifa…A typical case of being royally screwed over with other people's money (our tax money!)
👉🏽And yet another manufacturer driven out of the country by ridiculous climate and energy policies. Paint producer AkzoNobel is closing factories in the Netherlands and Belgium; 276 jobs cut.
They now will produce their products, partly, in France (Pamiers). That’s where they’ll continue production — with cheap and reliable nuclear energy.
Source: https://archive.ph/4nVyg
On the 22nd of March:
👉🏽TKL: "The decline in value of fiat currencies against gold has been truly remarkable: Since 1971, the US Dollar has lost 98.94% of its value against gold, the second-largest fall among major currencies. During the same period, the British Pound has declined 99.42%. The Euro would have lost 98.76% if it existed since 1971. Furthermore, the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc have dropped 97.47% and 94.85%, respectively. Meanwhile, gold prices in US Dollar terms are up ~1,000% during this period. Gold remains a hedge against currency debasement." Wrong, Bitcoin is the hedge against currency debasement. Just look at the Bitcoin/Gold chart. I prefer 'digital' gold. Voltaire famously said, 'Fiat currency always eventually returns to its intrinsic value--zero.
On the 23rd of May:
👉🏽Trump recommends a 50% tariff on products imported from the European Union, starting on June 1, 2025. TKL: 'The trade war is back just as the 10Y Note Yield crosses above 4.60%. This morning, President Trump threatened 25% tariffs on Apple, $AAPL, and 50% tariffs on the EU beginning June 1st. Now, yields are pulling back sharply as recession worries resurface. The drop in yields on this announcement will only give MORE of a reason for President Trump to prolong the trade war. As we have said MULTIPLE times, a trade war accomplishes all of Trump's economic goals at once. Trump wants lower rates, the Fed won't cut, so he will get them the hard way.'
👉🏽US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent: "We can both grow the economy and control the debt. What is important is that the economy grows faster than the debt. If we change the growth trajectory of the country, of the economy, then we will stabilize our finances and grow our way out of this." “We can grow our way out of this” RIP Fiscal Austerity, 2025-2025 lmao!
Notice how it’s shifted from “we’re going to cut spending” to “we’re going to grow our way out” regarding our debt burden. Bessent knows it’s cooked, hence why he stopped talking about yields. It is kinda delusional to think we are going to grow the economy fast enough to accomplish this when the budget deficit is over 6% of GDP.
Translation: they are unable to meaningfully reduce the debt. US government debt will continue to grow. They will be forced to print eventually. Your purchasing power will continue to fall. Got Bitcoin?
Just to give you one more example:
👉🏽'The national debt has grown under every U.S. president, regardless of political party, for decades. And that is set to continue during President Donald Trump’s second term. Elon Musk and the Department of Government Efficiency (“DOGE”) initially promised to cut $2 trillion in wasteful spending, but have since admitted this figure is likely to total a couple hundred billion bucks at best. Meanwhile, the president is pushing Congress to pass his “big, beautiful bill,” which is expected to add trillions in new deficit spending over the next several years. Make no mistake… the spending will never stop.' - Porter Stansberry
https://i.ibb.co/8k4LNg2/Grlug-NNX0-AAQnw-T.jpg
U.S. National Debt:
1970: $371B
1980: $908B
1990: $3.2T
2000: $5.7T
2010: $13.6T
2020: $26.9T
You can't fix this with votes. Maybe Bitcoin can stop this train? It can also incentivize governments to spend responsibly and manage budgets with discipline. One thing I do know is that you’re not voting your way out of this chart.
On the 24th of May:
👉🏽'The Bank of Japan owns 52.0% of all domestic government bonds. By comparison, life insurers, banks, and pension funds hold 13.4%, 9.8%, and 8.9%, respectively. According to Bloomberg, the Japanese government now holds $7.8 trillion of debt. This makes the Japanese government the third most indebted government in the world, behind the US and China. Furthermore, the Bank of Japan holds a whopping $4.1 trillion of government bonds on its balance sheet. Japan needs a major restructuring.' -TKL
Just to make it even worse...
👉🏽'Prices in Japan are soaring: The cost of rice jumped +98.4% year-over-year in April, posting the biggest monthly jump since 1971. This is an acceleration from the +92.1% surge recorded in March. Energy prices rose +9.3% after the March phaseout of Japanese government subsidies for gas and electricity. As a result, Japan's inflation CPI excluding fresh food rose by +3.5% from the previous year, up from a +3.2% gain in March. This marks the 5th consecutive monthly reading at 3%+. Meanwhile, Japan's economy shrank by -0.7% in Q1 2025, the first decline since Q1 2024. Japan has entered stagflation.' -TKL
👉🏽Birth rates are plummeting in a lot of countries. Population collapse is the greatest threat to civilization.
https://i.ibb.co/3Yfqq0N1/Gruztgo-XIAISc7-A.jpg
Question: How sustainable are the government debts with the population decline, like in Japan and Europe?
Grok: Population decline in Japan and Europe strains government debt sustainability. Japan's debt, at 245% of GDP, faces pressure from an aging population, with social spending projected to hit 24% of GDP by 2040. Europe's debt varies, with Greece at 163.6% and Italy at 137%, while aging reduces tax bases. Immigration and productivity boosts could help, but their impact is uncertain. Japan's domestic debt ownership offers some stability, while EU fiscal rules aid Europe. Outcomes depend on policy execution and economic conditions.
On the 26th of May:
👉🏽Cheap energy = abundance One population is so brainwashed they choose poverty. Michael A. Arouet: Can someone please explain the logic behind Germany closing its perfectly fine nuclear power plants, and deindustrialising?
https://i.ibb.co/tTwkmhcB/Gr3-IWgk-Ww-AAVz-Y3.jpg
👉🏽'The US budget deficit has averaged 9% of GDP over the last 5 years. Over the last 12 months alone, the budget gap has hit 7% of GDP. This is even higher than during the 2001 or the 1980s recessions. This comes as the US government spent a whopping $7.1 trillion over the last year, an equivalent of 24% of GDP. The government is now running larger deficits than during an average economic downturn. What happens if the US economy enters a recession?' -TKL
https://i.ibb.co/tT5nF67J/Gr5kcw-QWc-AAQ7q-R.jpg
🎁If you have made it this far, I would like to give you a little gift, well, in this case, two gifts:
May 2025 Newsletter: A Trade Breakdown
This newsletter issue breaks down the recent trade breakdown (sorry for the pun) and explores some of the nuances of why realigning the global balance of trade is both popular and extremely difficult to do.
https://www.lynalden.com/may-2025-newsletter/
Credit: I have used multiple sources!
My savings account: Bitcoin The tool I recommend for setting up a Bitcoin savings plan: PocketBitcoin especially suited for beginners or people who want to invest in Bitcoin with an automated investment plan once a week or monthly.
Use the code SE3997
Get your Bitcoin out of exchanges. Save them on a hardware wallet, run your own node...be your own bank. Not your keys, not your coins. It's that simple. ⠀ ⠀
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⭐ Many thanks⭐
Felipe - Bitcoin Friday!
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