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@ colin crypto
2025-05-04 21:26:44
Global M2 Money Supply vs BTC
We are about 26 days in to the big M2 blast-off, with about 2 1/2 months remaining (so far).
[ ▰▰▰▰▰▰▰▱▱▱▱▱▱▱▱▱▱▱▱▱ ] 35% progress
But remember, M2 could keep heading up. This would cause the blast-off period to extend. As such, it is a potentially moving target.
—— IMAGE #2 ——
Offset comparison: 80-day, 86-day, 108-day.
I put a green check mark next to the most correlated time period for each offset.
You can see the 86-day offset has the best correlation most recently. The 108-day offset has the best mid-term correlation and the 80-day offset has the best correlation for longer time periods. I am sharing this just as a note of curiosity and interest— not something to get overly caught up with.
The theoretical plus-point of being at 86-day is that we have more "blast off" in front of us, although a slight dip immediately ahead. Whether this is fully accurate is anyone's guess. The smaller the tie frame moves we try to predict, the more likely we are to be wrong. Regardless, the big picture remains the same.
Please watch the video below for a visual demonstration I made of how the offset changes over time.
Most importantly, remember that the offset itself is not the most important factor-- the big M2 move is.
Good luck.
https://blossom.primal.net/5775f799797e659c491b81298bd1232b081606dd5a62af2b2610a606f1b5e1c7.jpg
https://blossom.primal.net/99c08a79135c7c9621f93bf19429d64c5ba3cbbce0cb5020541c5c5c7cecf883.png
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