-
@ Henrik Ekenberg
2025-06-06 10:37:19
🔥 Engulfing Candles and Market Psychology: A Warning You Shouldn’t Ignore
When the market—or an individual stock—drops so sharply that a single candle engulfs the previous 3 to 4 weeks of gains, it's not just another red bar on the chart.
It’s a statement.
A candle that wipes out multiple weeks of progress in a single move is the market rejecting recent optimism, news, or even the company itself.
📉 What Is an Engulfing Candle?
In simple terms:
A bearish engulfing candle is a large red (down) candle that completely covers the range of the previous candle—or several of them.
When it engulfs multiple weekly candles, it's an even more powerful sign of reversal or breakdown.
This usually means:
Institutions are selling.
Support levels are failing.
Recent bullish sentiment is being completely overrun.
🚨 Why This Is a Major Warning Signal
When a stock or index prints a down weekly candle that erases the last 3-4 weeks of gains, here’s what it tells you:
Rejection of Narrative: The market is no longer buying the bullish story—whether it’s earnings, guidance, macro news, or momentum.
Transition to Distribution: It’s a sign that smart money might be exiting quietly while retail investors are still hopeful.
Psychological Shift: Buyers who were in profit are now flat or red. Fear replaces confidence. FOMO turns into panic.
Potential Trend Change: It often marks the start of a deeper correction or downtrend—especially if it happens on high volume.
📊 Real-World Examples
In 2022, many tech stocks had multi-week rallies off bear market lows. Then came one brutal red week that engulfed all progress—and those were often the top before new lows.
During earnings seasons, you’ll sometimes see a stock gap up for 2–3 weeks, then drop 10%+ in one day, wiping it all out. That’s a rejection by the market of the bullish interpretation.
🧠 What You Should Do When You See This
✅ Step back: Don't rush to buy the dip. Wait for confirmation and stability.
✅ Check volume: Was the drop on unusually high volume? That’s institutional activity.
✅ Analyze sentiment: Were traders too bullish too fast? Often, this kind of reversal follows euphoria.
✅ Set alerts: Watch if price undercuts key support or if follow-through buying fails.
🎯 Final Thought
When a candle swallows 3–4 weeks of bullish action, it's the market saying:
"We changed our mind."
This is not a time to argue with price.
Listen. Watch. Protect capital.
If you're patient, a clearer entry or trend will come.
https://nostrrelay.cloud/91672dd68bca40f111444a774649e0d8080e65cb59da6e92984eef24084c8483.png