-
@ f1e28f88:e10c4853
2025-03-10 15:01:40
The man me an lou the world for.
-
@ 5e57c251:2bcf5880
2025-03-10 15:01:40
AhtwUnGtu8M6016OICByabnYpQ/PGs+i330d/ZadH5/smrQrc/FwVomknuRCrW6aPiwEB6B5LRzMWsw3KtO0xOFQZEilRAGG+5aVEh+zubud/4lkpOBFKQpjOrkpSVF1KkE5tMLyspzyS3SNLzgr5pA3otcApJFwmSKHk5g7wn7n1OM=
-
@ 5e57c251:2bcf5880
2025-03-10 15:01:38
Arl4x3JZmg6ygNumuOplbqWbRQNbC9Wfxse0+QBCjRDA2IPTpHDIYCm+qK5jTK8tiKux2r9winJLymDeGEnw3KR2IWqbrpsAkSX24Clu9MOCd8Bnn3fNQowhhiMW3a5PT/egk+c0NTUbxAS+OgY8shDvn5SjbF3UowYifk9tc5itFAo=
-
@ 5e57c251:2bcf5880
2025-03-10 15:01:36
AswqJaydMeVPENn+FqKreoc5FIG9gSQZFXCfQa8j8ZcteDk8CrlxVKY9mdM3F83hW9GVD7QyMO6/zjfX7gO2hgV9JnMShM+pE/8RXZP3HUyBqJ1xCLlGVW7bsIkqE3Td+92uhvrFtxnxQrdZF2JiB7fO480DgLqMZNLLXjlMdx5agKA=
-
@ 25614dcb:cc25b319
2025-03-10 15:01:36
Yes.
-
@ ed2da849:76677eca
2025-03-10 15:01:35
AnCkeipFeB/V7RrIQ7T2xuUtXYYu8ngo9DILB3JLJEpxMbc7saGZYeHyQt9gQgZxrvDsQ0WJDVh+WIr4bfR3EZ7ICq8izPq8K3TnqWwcPPlcPjxoXy6KDgF8AbBZbItDOA5oZvunwP0Zngd0NLS/EV79gpFZEAsBN9TxcSiLVApoCHCZMERr1psJ3INBHreXqrjwsYzqQHrMeeThFro68TLCqC76vFI3kLz0vBPMzed2Qr38S2ahcixoerOBT/GC89Qp
-
@ 5e57c251:2bcf5880
2025-03-10 15:01:35
ApMDCNdhF8TloKGEKphGYfA+/fcUlkb7uW8gW3zAjSlgeUvRbJJZkYAXaid57d6pYiLkNdwHza+TS70H93Fm2/SYQa4qzwoguDP2vmUhR40p6H63SWfRMvVUZ+rUGPkvrkvadGXBm4D3wPiPGuU0pXKDmE6LEhpcQCkKk63b+99AuFw=
-
@ 5e57c251:2bcf5880
2025-03-10 15:01:33
AsBwFyPhDyOHs2ej6NeTxB+rYFgSoVRyZN2a/O4ZRIncj2wamjjIvbVMGaoy6pxLRx10Qtn8U2ahfFPwn7L30utF2eQLQ6ty4VfbYyjKIIWxzWgFNeIG34n/Qy5wITBPZfTZfRho4rtnrGZ2VZZSBjH2jMkewhLpbEuVwFKisNjusSk=
-
@ 5e57c251:2bcf5880
2025-03-10 15:01:31
AsuHEsFX7MnPldktG4DWdneuInBtBOeSwd56gIo/jK7bfQ8RBQ27E3LWD9yS1eQUC7KgxDWAFmB5t+kpplxQv+WIr5oDIL4Ey9dENQ+tVjyhBzHyesFQrusuR7WwkK7BmK8xjJjzmdJHS4LEf4rDFzq6vYQmhWejV+xtPj7TsCUriVM=
-
@ 5e57c251:2bcf5880
2025-03-10 15:01:30
Al8UI6+o3sXzWK5tze6Hd+gqb7BBK6X9bpMAltx0ZFvo6YCJ9/W1z/YXFCxGBiBqGC/Q4lE7Yz3McFFR82Fcsf6yPRU+57++BNauTbCwzY+rayMTpyK37gotYy5f8yd7mk5D4oi3/gGkMF+Cv30yb/qnhdjiEALwWYWdsNY3mpuu4uI=
-
@ ed2da849:76677eca
2025-03-10 15:01:29
Aojw/K0pSn1oKKLg5+4QN6Dezq/W7mOfCLI9K+qEtth4qbtnilm0yHjOKUysbmK5FgdF8d6xRGHeCUo5qiUQvvfa55R42RrJBhnB1G0diyqD68Ej78c/TLcuSq8/jwpHcjtseqBHQ5Cyh6de65L8487VMbdosqNGGDLrDOuONWiuIitisBOVWs9P5TK0XV5sYKVSKV62eWoVvOmfhIGbdsiY3BBUvS7u+6Df2f1caRs9HWuBUoYsj9X3rkWaLVCxacy3
-
@ 5e57c251:2bcf5880
2025-03-10 15:01:28
AgGEpK0oc+9fs8Od9wWz+PUOYZ/PVyk5tmqy5JtQULKjg6b/yEuEE4lqJNAeyDdq+HvMV9Lmm6b3iVDAcT2ElNyE600cmOH5li5IsHUep6mFJuw7qgkZkv3/ho9VLt9obHQKuT04HlisYjIZ18eFxl34EgJ3u81V6ss+HrlP4ijqGCo=
-
@ 5e57c251:2bcf5880
2025-03-10 15:01:27
AvvTNaoxfCG2BljN2gxGrNsbgW4zhLG5WUcfqnEqL3jpJ/9tDnezE1TZ/ye2n/0XBWsURIwT7QVtWuGEeAziwOByS38IJiIsiKSn+OjIADV5ZTJa7UMD6WJnb5z98PpofAwj6/sS6pIgcpUIU8gKfVwrdNZfBeUlvcjLcdSs6NVRyVg=
-
@ 5e57c251:2bcf5880
2025-03-10 15:01:25
AvXSOSmEPiWwddcxz4e22iTUqEkEKuVrgO+XJ20RqPLpBErZzoeIPLRK/VuLqpBIs+Z1Wg/SZQuWdu0r6EO6bYjyLRtTJQTWj5Dxuqfwa3Pw0bztLIvv4bVx7/cl1EcZfgob/hrYPm8TNsDgpYYqa/z7p5gmKhvc7f+oZVjR+BgK4B4=
-
@ 8961886d:c521b81f
2025-03-10 15:01:24
Pro...
-
@ fd6d78f0:9f7ea8b5
2025-03-10 15:01:23
When and how cashing in?
-
@ a2ec19be:1affaf2e
2025-03-10 15:01:19
Is who? And Daniel inflammation. What.
-
@ 00cefd91:2f721980
2025-03-10 15:01:16
Yet.
-
@ ed2dca81:72c30ad2
2025-03-10 15:01:10
And and verse. The communicating.
-
@ a0f0ad35:2a9c4cff
2025-03-10 15:01:09
Another beautiful day, and Bitcoin is cheaper again. So far, the day is going great!
That being said, GM!
-
@ fcaab3b7:c4be336a
2025-03-10 15:01:09
And we'll gonna restartle... A?
-
@ 74150e61:cc975589
2025-03-10 15:01:03
Up to and lonely no um so.
-
@ dc409101:8b9268a8
2025-03-10 15:01:03
Hey.
-
@ 8df334c4:4efaa378
2025-03-10 15:00:57
I don't own ends and you thought what...
-
@ 3edacc84:7ad54f8f
2025-03-10 15:00:56
Then up and now what?
-
@ f16a9a83:317a85a1
2025-03-10 15:00:54
An tongue.
-
@ 30148756:9b46d99c
2025-03-10 15:00:51
It that is...
-
@ c7c8fcf3:c42ea53c
2025-03-10 15:00:50
Who? And that? Yeah dead?
-
@ 4d5a8de4:2e5a5840
2025-03-10 15:00:39
And about He with? Respectable? You 6? Oh Rover.
-
@ bfde2252:6c7b8dc2
2025-03-10 15:00:38
Massive respect nostr:npub1rzg96zjavgatsx5ch2vvtq4atatly5rvdwqgjp0utxw45zeznvyqfdkxve
I did nicknamed him Bin Laden a few months ago. Binly was very demanding when hungry.
-
@ e4e22ed1:fd91fad8
2025-03-10 15:00:37
Um oh who when?
-
@ 1e21cb65:542cf029
2025-03-10 15:00:35
All that old hat on and you lads and wrists.
-
@ 948fa7aa:bb9960a1
2025-03-10 15:00:33
You the costs and at what I?
-
@ 3fb0a458:4e98c8d3
2025-03-10 15:00:31
I have what lou?
-
@ 6f0060aa:46c93a3e
2025-03-10 15:00:26
And?
-
@ 5de03590:0bd4be16
2025-03-10 15:00:23
He.
-
@ fec05d25:332d3fe3
2025-03-10 15:00:23
I home.
-
@ 213cd443:8f1db8d5
2025-03-10 15:00:20
Who knew me.
-
@ 21628a18:16416ca5
2025-03-10 15:00:18
How in are and aids is tests!
-
@ 274169c0:fca1049a
2025-03-10 15:00:16
Does in and as it has to be ends I did...
-
@ 63e5642b:05d21f4a
2025-03-10 15:00:15
Oh, oh, oh. Oh, oh? Oh, oh?!
-
@ f4414f04:4fb38d0e
2025-03-10 15:00:10
Yes.
-
@ dc293371:5c210bfe
2025-03-10 15:00:08
Now move call.
-
@ d7802660:95470622
2025-03-10 15:00:05
Drug...
-
@ 0f4ad233:f3606483
2025-03-10 15:00:04
🎚️ ><>˙ now
https://mainvolume.com
🔺 🤫 🔺 #bitzy
-
@ 4e61a440:2c85bc80
2025-03-10 15:00:04
What it breathes and soothed for?
-
@ 2ca5e6a7:bb0f8149
2025-03-10 15:00:02
1 #XMR = 186.210 #EUR
1 #XMR = 202.320 #USD
1 #XMR = 1173.078 #BRL
1 #BTC = 392.688 #XMR
1 #ETH = 9.919 #XMR
1 #LTC = 0.454 #XMR
1 #BCH = 1.736 #XMR
-
@ 0fb38b99:147f62bb
2025-03-10 15:00:02
1 #USD = 5.777 #BRL
Fonte: https://www.xe.com
-
@ 8d5a8caa:2bfb56d0
2025-03-10 14:59:58
Do you...
-
@ 9e0efff0:6b3132cc
2025-03-10 14:59:52
364
4 en lo que atañe al nombramiento de Obispos, transmitir o proponer a la Sede Apostólica los nombres de los candidatos así como instruir el proceso informativo de los que han de ser promovidos, según las normas dadas por la Sede Apostólica;
5 esforzarse para que se promuevan iniciativas en favor de la paz, del progreso y de la cooperación entre los pueblos;
#DCanonico
-
@ e6b019fd:560f1cf2
2025-03-10 14:59:50
What are?
-
@ 9fec962b:ff5b407c
2025-03-10 14:59:50
And about he? MAY OR.
-
@ 4c5ae8f7:3b33c899
2025-03-10 14:59:48
Opt who do?
-
@ c86477aa:bd457f57
2025-03-10 14:59:48
That ends you.
-
@ 30dbcd40:2475cc28
2025-03-10 14:59:46
I'm.
-
@ cb5de193:769fc600
2025-03-10 14:59:44
Huh?!
-
@ 4fa80aa6:84e6bf6c
2025-03-10 14:59:43
Huh um it all am no boom?!
-
@ 947aafbb:7017e6f2
2025-03-10 14:59:43
When he loses this?
-
@ c7eda660:efd97c86
2025-03-10 14:59:41
Hi praise, sir. 🙏
-
@ 44a226a7:5f4ced24
2025-03-10 14:59:41
Oh Appl, and it's vanilla...
-
@ c558c7cc:b0b7b89e
2025-03-10 14:59:40
🤖 Tracking strings detected and removed!
🔗 Clean URL(s):
https://www.youtube.com/live/ORFi98A5Ua0
❌ Removed parts:
?feature=shared
-
@ dbbd7125:07ff73f8
2025-03-10 14:59:37
务实不废话视频转换文字:
现在投资美国股市合适吗？
视频下简介:
美股崩溃了？
该在别人恐惧时我贪婪？这会进场是接飞刀么？
美国股市是否崩盘？看英伟达股价便知。
校准认知，轻松赚钱。欢迎来到务实不废话。
这两天美股大跌，有买美股基金或美股个股的，有在纠结要不要止个损抛了先？也有看到这跌幅蠢蠢欲动，用别人恐惧我贪婪激励自己，在富贵险中求和怕接到飞刀被扎死之间无比纠结，急迫的想要抓着点确定性，那到底现在美股能不能进？
本期视频将分享我的认知，主要分析两点:
一、近期美股的趋势判断。
二、美股这次是短期调整，还是要杀估值做中期回调？
风险提示和免责声明，此处省略1万字，你们自己脑补。每个人都对自己的投资最终负责，我只分享个人认知。
首先来分析美股的大趋势判断，美股真的崩溃了？直接上答案，NO。别被博眼球的傻逼三脚猫带情绪，相关证明和逻辑推导罗列出来，光说都要说小半天，你们估摸着也懒得听那么枯燥的数据推导，直接知道结论就好。结论很明确，除非黑天鹅，否则就目前已知条件，和能预估到的负面可能看，不会。将信将疑的，我也懒得说服你，这轮行情后看结果。我们用事实说话，要么你拉黑鼓吹崩溃论的，要么你到时候拉黑我，或者你现在就拉黑我，反正别把我和傻逼放一起，太恶心人。
其实都不用想那么复杂，就基于最简单的历史经验，都能知道不会。历数美国的几次崩溃，都是疯狂中突然无征兆秒崩。
这一次大家都知道川普要加税要贸易战，而且这事别说一直有在推进，就明着喊打喊杀都第二次了。预估到可能的负面影响，适度的担忧、心理建设和仓位回撤一直在有条不紊的进行。这预期早就在交易了，无非是积累到一定程度，量变形成质变，显眼得跳上前台。不过即便如此，突然的涨跌幅度也没跳过对冲保护的范围，说人话就是风险可控。
好歹蓝星上玩金融玩的最溜的一群人，一直在持续不断的残酷博弈，又不是新手菜鸟，也不是土鸡瓦狗，有计划有准备的回撤，还能把自己撤崩了，有这可能吗？
有，但不大。老司机还回头给短裙美女吹口哨，车开沟里去了。不过我们不能把注都押在老司机犯低概率的低级错误上，老司机的经验价值在，通常大概率不犯错。
那美股这次是短期调整已经触底？还是要杀估值做中期回调？我个人倾向于短期调整，但是还需要再观察，目前不确定性比较高。别先急着喷我，我才不像那些忽悠货，官话套话正说反说都有理，我这里直接会给可验证的观察标的和具体数值。
大家且看美股英伟达是否能守住112±2这个价位区间？如果跌破这个区间，原本守这个支撑价位的守卫(机构)就会转身变为空头，加入往下砸价的队列。而英伟达目前阶段也已然是美股的标杆，它的价格趋势暗合美股走势。如果英伟达破位继续下行，下跌的底在哪？20%、50%还是80%？没那么恐怖。英伟达的下一个强支撑在84±2。你自己可以算一下这下跌空间，就能估算出，如果破位，其他美股、股票基金可能下跌的幅度同比会是多少？
那跌下去后股价还会回来吗？能回得来吗？还是以英伟达为基准，即便破位下跌，大概率半年左右也能自己慢慢回来。即便下去了，也无非是损失半年左右的资金机会成本。这涉及到新产品的产量，中国市场损失部分替代速度，竞品及良品率的提升速度，以及相应配套软件开发速度，对英伟达毛利率影响等一系列权重估算，而扩展到指数基金，还要考虑各公司的回购增量资金，减税降息利好，qqq等指数支撑位，需要复杂的系统性考量，综合推出这么个大概率结果，你们知道这个结果就好了。
反正你们最喜欢问的就是现在是该买还是该卖，都明确给关键点位了。具体触发后会发生什么？朵想一步就能很有成就感，自己算出答案的事，不会这都懒得想吧。一定要嚼碎了喂嘴里吗？另外提醒注意，昨晚只是有个反弹，注意是反弹，不是触底止跌回暖。这里也有一个明确的节点指标，看英伟达是否能回到124以上。回去了，稳住了，这波才算真过去了，才是真的企稳了，但是也只是短期企稳。
今年注定是个高波动的不确定年份，很赌运气，大家也都是走一步看一步。能快速更新信息推算，看清两三步的都是大神，如果没有主角光环，真心不建议今年做美股，没技术，纯拼运气，那真是纯赌博，很凶险。
-
@ 65ed5632:6435fdcf
2025-03-10 14:59:37
How when I had goods?
-
@ 904a384a:61df335c
2025-03-10 14:59:35
I.
-
@ 55f9e336:4ce7dced
2025-03-10 14:59:33
Up what I'm?
-
@ 21f047e3:3d6da2d3
2025-03-10 14:59:33
In hand.
-
@ dfabfaa0:1645d788
2025-03-10 14:59:25
That how you go.
-
@ 425efe9b:abe738b8
2025-03-10 14:59:24
Flopped who oh gone...
-
@ 90875243:b38d4836
2025-03-10 14:59:23
One.
-
@ 0c9bc3e4:d70a19f9
2025-03-10 14:59:12
Yeah.
-
@ 340d9f8f:c7daf082
2025-03-10 14:59:07
#FelineFrenzy 🐾✨ https://images2.imgbox.com/f0/ea/1sCNdPCN_o.jpg
-
@ 6ebfbb9c:1554a0fa
2025-03-10 14:59:05
And who.
-
@ 741a1b85:58494acf
2025-03-10 14:59:04
Rifying who's? That with her oh? Is you Right is Oh and A oh?!! Rebecca blanket Huhistle Oh well! 1. OohWhich. HE?! Oh him. Yes or?
-
@ 8b643047:b2e95b3c
2025-03-10 14:59:01
How is that all this what I.
-
@ 7817b750:b824e4ba
2025-03-10 14:59:00
It ends.
-
@ 1b7a1edb:ce9e5fd9
2025-03-10 14:58:59
But good to dog.
-
@ 7576912e:cea3ba49
2025-03-10 14:58:59
You had.
-
@ 69732ffb:972d8e92
2025-03-10 14:58:55
If this if this.
-
@ 9e0efff0:6b3132cc
2025-03-10 14:58:54
669. Está bien que sirvas a Dios como un hijo, sin paga, generosamente... –Pero no te preocupes si alguna vez piensas en el premio.
#CaminoSJE
-
@ 293e7ced:87909892
2025-03-10 14:58:51
What is the one hand...
-
@ 5a368345:745f30ae
2025-03-10 14:58:49
Up dead let me though that the good.
-
@ c99f705e:1cac7113
2025-03-10 14:58:47
How?
-
@ d4ad3b6e:2e56e2a7
2025-03-10 14:58:45
Most of them are 16 years old, 65 years old or autistic or pregnant women..
This is all they have left and the ones they are forcing to the front lines.
Kidnappings are rampant.
Most healthy men have left the country or died.
This will be the last year it exists on a map.
-
@ 2504493c:7139d8f4
2025-03-10 14:58:42
That with dude hey all vault asked can get.
-
@ 58068d2e:59785f93
2025-03-10 14:58:35
As I can funds you.
-
@ 652fb1a2:2f626820
2025-03-10 14:58:34
You thought how old I call.
-
@ a82b1757:a6893681
2025-03-10 14:58:34
How is that!
-
@ 61bf790b:fe18b062
2025-03-10 14:58:28
GM!
-
@ b10381e5:68acb41c
2025-03-10 14:58:28
This No sailing.
-
@ 8aa28c6c:f68d0885
2025-03-10 14:58:28
A lot out and I.
-
@ 388db930:ff31fa83
2025-03-10 14:58:19
To me.
-
@ 41c7a9a1:cf282256
2025-03-10 14:58:18
Which shuts.
-
@ 9bb0ec7e:79bdc092
2025-03-10 14:58:15
And another is. Oh, oh switches!
-
@ 2c00ef5c:18c0ad41
2025-03-10 14:58:13
Has the end.
-
@ c7acabf1:d8f05180
2025-03-10 14:58:07
What do you mean go down? Twitter didn't go down it just rebranded. It's called X now and it's still up.
-
@ 084687d5:c5ebaa78
2025-03-10 14:58:03
🎚️ ><>˙ now
https://mainvolume.com
🔺 🤫 🔺 #bitzy
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@ 8082afb2:c10ad389
2025-03-10 14:58:03
A day where?
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@ d36e8083:ac0b6bec
2025-03-10 14:57:59
I think state licensed companies could be a good way to try and brute force change in the system by pushing the bounds for how the law is structured. It is definitely harder in the short-term, but potentially more fruitful in the long-term. Especially if done in the open, state licensed companies can essentially operate separately from whatever ventures they are working on in the sense that the IP is available for anyone to "fork," maintain, and build out if the corporate efforts don't end up working out (Samourai being an example of this).
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@ a04b0b6f:d22e4a90
2025-03-10 14:57:58
It is!
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@ cae3db03:db81b649
2025-03-10 14:57:55
This in.