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@ 1afe0c74:6808e36d
2025-03-09 16:08:04
Currently having a very spicy poop 😂
nostr:nevent1qqswylxmznh2h9mh9jl7t7ztd7ghlzq2fq5dv9swk6jzvyerh3tz4uqpzfmhxue69uhk7enxvd5xz6tw9ec82csyjzr6w
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@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-03-09 16:07:14
Bitcoin only. #noScams
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@ 460c25e6:ef85065c
2025-03-09 16:06:44
But only BTC mints or any token over Cashu?
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@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-03-09 16:05:40
And then there's the affinity scam Zap, where platforms have co-opted the term Zap when it doesn't involve Nostr at all and only includes a Lightning payment.
Anyways, I'm for Nutzaps be called Zaps.
Users don't care about the technology being utilized in the background. The foreground is all that matters.
nostr:nevent1qqsdm70grgutf6s22j6z3zhhsekmsgnepv6yzpspcr5ssdje7nwe2sqpzdmhxue69uhhwmm59e6hg7r09ehkuef0qgsyvrp9u6p0mfur9dfdru3d853tx9mdjuhkphxuxgfwmryja7zsvhqrqsqqqqqp63qzsj
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-03-09 16:03:55
we stack forever and never stop
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@ 362ebffa:492e2719
2025-03-09 16:00:48
zap is the reward for good content
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@ d8451780:896e579b
2025-03-09 16:00:32
"My dad, he starts a new family in a new town about every six years.
This isn't so much like a family as it's like he sets up a franchise."
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@ 460c25e6:ef85065c
2025-03-09 15:58:57
Alright, Nostr fam, what's a "Zap"?
Are we just slapping the word on any digital tip jar, or are we sticking to a core value? Because frankly, if I wanted vague financial gestures, I'd use Venmo.
Words are important. And our users need definitions.
Here are some options:
- 1: The "Participation Trophy" definition:
Oh, you sent value, any value as a reaction to a post? That's a Zap! Doesn't matter if it's sats, seashells, or your grandma's IOU. You can "Zap" anything, through any means: on-chain, lightning, cashu, whatever. It only has to transfer value.
Pros: Everyone gets a gold star! (Even if they don't deserve it.)
Cons: Turns "Zap" into meaningless digital confetti. (Isn't confetti fun?)
- 2: The "Bitcoin Or Bust" definition:
It's gotta be Bitcoin! It can use any chain, any L2, lightning, cashu and even BTC bank accounts, either custodial or self-custody. The method is irrelevant as long as it is valued in BTC.
Pros: Bitcoin-centric
Cons: Custodial shenanigans.
- 3: The "Any Lightning" definition:
If it didn't come through the Lightning Network, it's not a Zap. Period. However, Taproot assets count as lightning. So, It can be any token.
Pros: No other L2 shenanigans
Cons: Cashu is out. Might hurt nostr:nprofile1qqs9pk20ctv9srrg9vr354p03v0rrgsqkpggh2u45va77zz4mu5p6ccpzemhxue69uhk2er9dchxummnw3ezumrpdejz7qgkwaehxw309a5xjum59ehx7um5wghxcctwvshszrnhwden5te0dehhxtnvdakz7qrxnfk's feelings
- 4: The "Lightning and BTC" definition:
"Bitcoin, Lightning, no exceptions. If you're not doing it this way, you're doing it wrong."
Pros: Clarity. Precision. Dictatorship.
Cons: Still hurting nostr:nprofile1qqs9pk20ctv9srrg9vr354p03v0rrgsqkpggh2u45va77zz4mu5p6ccpzemhxue69uhk2er9dchxummnw3ezumrpdejz7qgkwaehxw309a5xjum59ehx7um5wghxcctwvshszrnhwden5te0dehhxtnvdakz7qrxnfk
--
So, which is it? Are we watering down "Zap" until it's just another internet high-five, or are we maintaining some semblance of integrity?
How would you define the boundaries of what a zap is and isn't? Should a cashu zap count as a zap? Or should we name it something else?
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@ d8451780:896e579b
2025-03-09 15:56:37
Nothing is static.
Even the Mona Lisa is falling apart.
-

@ c48e29f0:26e14c11
2025-03-09 15:55:05
New episode of nostr:npub10qrssqjsydd38j8mv7h27dq0ynpns3djgu88mhr7cr2qcqrgyezspkxqj8 with nostr:npub1dtgg8yk3h23ldlm6jsy79tz723p4sun9mz62tqwxqe7c363szkzqm8up6m just dropped.
Links here: https://open.substack.com/pub/walkeramerica/p/aleks-svetski-beauty-virtue-extremism
We discuss:
- why Bitcoiners will become the aristocracy
- why Bitcoin does *not* fix YOU
- why communists hate beauty
- equality vs fairness
- The Bushido of Bitcoin
& more…
-

@ 0f5302ee:a63e8dad
2025-03-09 15:52:38
There is no right or wrong way. There is only the way we believe will be sucessful. We won't find out whether it is sucessful or not until later. We will never find out whether is is a right or wrong way.
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@ f527cf97:65e232ee
2025-03-09 15:50:20
You could ask the same questions to the companies. I’ve actually done that.
https://image.nostr.build/51ea4887660688c6930d926208be0de6821a19f9784a34357e3c9420a06b3646.jpg
Because as soon as you buy into this false game where companies hold all the power, you've already lost—you let yourself be scrutinized, evaluated, and flagged.
Master your craft, always hold the upper hand, and work independently. That way, you won’t have to put up with such nonsense from companies and recruiters.
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@ fa984bd7:58018f52
2025-03-09 15:49:08
yeah, I tend to agree, just zaps... how the money is moved is kinda irrelevant
nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqpxfzhdwlm3cx9l6wdzyft8w8y9gy607tqgtyfq7tekaxs7lhmxfqqspzz5zpzdee3athql75nypsg6xqpa8e4fkzxw2x64culrx3j26ztgtt96ha
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@ 1afe0c74:6808e36d
2025-03-09 15:47:59
Nah can’t say I do
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@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-03-09 15:47:56
Time to get building then. I'm seeing people think we're in a bear now and that 109 was the top 🫠
-

@ 78070802:00682645
2025-03-09 15:42:13
THE Bitcoin Podcast partners:
⚡️Sign up for the FOLD BITCOIN REWARDS credit card waitlist: https://foldapp.com/credit-card?r=UZoiP
⚡️Go to http://bitbox.swiss/walker & use promo code WALKER for 5% OFF nostr:npub1tg779rlap8t4qm8lpgn89k7mr7pkxpaulupp0nq5faywr8h28llsj3cxmt HWW
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@ 81913081:42ee8db5
2025-03-09 15:42:13
股票app里只找到了DMI趋向指标,发现涵盖ADX的,这下省得去找公式手动编制了,况且只适合于windows版本。
>好的,我现在需要回答关于DMI指标的问题,并且根据我搜索到的资料来支持我的回答。 首先,我需要理解DMI指标的基本定义和组成部分。 根据证据,DMI指标全称是动向指标或趋向指标,由美国技术分析大师威尔斯·威尔德(Wells Wilder)发明,用于分析市场趋势的强度和方向。 它包含四个主要组成部分:+DI(上升方向线)、-DI(下降方向线)、ADX(平均趋向指数)和ADXR(平均趋向指数评估线)。
>
>接下来,我需要解释每个组成部分的作用。 +DI和-DI分别反映市场上升和下降的动力,它们的交叉可以判断多空市场的变化。 例如,当+DI上穿-DI时,可能预示上升趋势的开始,反之则可能预示下跌趋势。 ADX用于衡量趋势的强度,数值越高表示趋势越强,通常认为ADX超过25时趋势明显。 ADXR则是对ADX的平滑处理,增加指标的稳定性。
>
>然后,我需要讨论DMI指标的应用方法。 根据证据,DMI的主要用途包括判断趋势方向、识别趋势强度以及寻找买卖信号。 例如,当四条线(+DI、-DI、ADX、ADXR)在20附近窄幅盘整后,PDI(即+DI)上穿其他线并伴随股价突破均线时,可能为买入信号。 此外,ADX的变化可以帮助确认趋势是否持续,当ADX下降可能预示趋势减弱。
>
>同时,需要注意DMI的局限性。 例如,在震荡市中可能出现虚假信号,因此建议结合其他指标如成交量、均线等进行验证。 证据还提到,DMI更适合中长期趋势分析,短期交易可能需要其他工具的辅助。
>
>最后,总结DMI指标的使用要点,强调其作为趋势跟踪工具的优势,以及在应用时需注意结合其他分析方法和市场情况。 确保回答涵盖各个证据中的关键点,并正确引用对应的证据编号。
>
DMI指标(动向指标或趋向指标)是由美国技术分析大师威尔斯·威尔德(Wells Wilder)于1978年提出的技术分析工具,主要用于判断市场趋势的强度、方向及持续性,适用于股票、期货、外汇等多种金融市场。 以下是其核心要点:
### **1. 指标组成**
DMI包含四条线:
- **+DI(PDI)** :上升方向线,反映市场多头力量。
- **-DI(MDI)** :下降方向线,反映市场空头力量。
- **ADX(平均趋向指数)** :衡量趋势强度,数值越高(如>25)表示趋势越强。
- **ADXR**:对ADX的平滑处理,增强指标稳定性。
### **2. 核心应用方法**
#### (1)**趋势方向判断**
- **多头信号**:+DI上穿-DI,且ADX同步上升时,预示上升趋势形成。
- **空头信号**:-DI上穿+DI,且ADX上升时,预示下跌趋势开启。
- **盘整阶段**:+DI与-DI纠缠、ADX低于20时,市场可能处于震荡状态。
#### (2)**趋势强度确认**
- **ADX值解读**:
- ADX > 25:趋势强劲,适合顺势交易。
- ADX < 20:趋势较弱或市场盘整,需谨慎操作。
- ADX从高位回落:可能预示趋势衰竭或反转。
#### (3)**买卖信号**
- **买入条件**:
- +DI先后突破-DI、ADX和ADXR,同时股价放量突破中长期均线。
- ADX从低位(如20以下)开始上升,确认趋势启动。
- **卖出条件**:
- +DI向下跌破ADX和ADXR,且股价跌破均线。
- ADX高位拐头向下,可能预示趋势结束。
#### (4)**背离与反转**
- **顶背离**:价格创新高,但ADX或+DI未同步新高,暗示上涨动力不足。
- **底背离**:价格创新低,但ADX或-DI未同步新低,暗示下跌动能减弱。
### **3. 使用注意事项**
- **结合其他工具**:需与成交量、均线、MACD等指标配合,避免震荡市中的虚假信号。
- **参数调整**:默认周期为14日,可根据市场特性调整(如缩短周期捕捉短期趋势)。
- **风险管理**:ADX仅反映趋势强度,不指示方向,需结合+DI/-DI交叉综合判断。
### **4. 局限性**
- **滞后性**:DMI基于历史数据计算,对突发事件的反应较慢。
- **震荡市失效**:在无趋势行情中,交叉信号可能频繁出现假突破。
### **总结**
DMI指标通过分析多空力量变化,为趋势交易者提供清晰的趋势方向和强度信号。 其核心在于结合+DI/-DI的交叉与ADX的强度判断,适用于中长线投资,但需注意结合其他工具过滤噪音,并严格管理风险。
nostr:nevent1qqsws5xt7sjnedhq2ng24thdga9tsyvc7csxms88wljvqen882ynxnqpramhxue69uhkummnw3ez6vpn9ejx7unpveskxar0wfujummjvuhsygypjycgzfrdrykf54v4zuzzwp6kkg3qj3rskvt3uk9mtc7y9m5dk5psgqqqqqqsa294eq
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@ e2ccf7cf:26c1c8eb
2025-03-09 15:41:08
Gm,
Government reserves and shitcoining politicians are a useless way to increase Bitcoin adoption
I'm gonna stay focused on making Bitcoin useful money for people and businesses
SOON
https://relay.utxo.one/eae20aebd11f5ec545f541142b21333e41cd44af323da17fda6af85a239f5fbb.jpg
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@ 50d94fc2:df281d63
2025-03-09 15:40:37
The best thing about the bear market was all the building.
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@ 50d94fc2:df281d63
2025-03-09 15:38:06
that's kinda how it works no?
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@ 1bc70a01:24f6a411
2025-03-09 15:36:00
This is the most likely answer under normal circumstances.
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-03-09 15:34:59
zaps the standard
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-03-09 15:34:32
not sure why people are so bearish but imma stay humble and stack sats about it
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@ 50d94fc2:df281d63
2025-03-09 15:34:22
zerp
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-03-09 15:33:25
very true, please use nostr more sir
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@ 1bc70a01:24f6a411
2025-03-09 15:31:00
i can’t believe lower case odell is here to stay
what does this mean?!
gn
https://media.tenor.com/LOA2PkItndEAAAAC/oops-mid-blown.gif
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@ 5143c373:4b501df9
2025-03-09 15:30:18
How the fuck can you portray israel as the victim here when they have murdered more than 50k of innocent people inlc. children, women and elderly?
What is this dumb take?
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-03-09 15:29:40
pretty sure we are going to call all bitcoin transactions zaps
on chain
lightning
nuts
“zapped you rent”
“zap me for dinner”
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@ b7ed68b0:55ed32fc
2025-03-09 15:28:36
We're not descendants of fearful men.
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@ 1bc70a01:24f6a411
2025-03-09 15:26:42
Meh. Sounds so 1990.
Nutzaps better if you’re 6 years old.
For non-childish people … I don’t know.
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-03-09 15:24:05
drop the e, zaps are cleaner
i use my nostr wallet to zap
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-03-09 15:23:05
why not just call them zaps lol
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@ 5143c373:4b501df9
2025-03-09 15:22:09
What is an ezap and what is a nutzap?
When embedded bolt12 in nostr? The market wants non-custodial solutions.
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@ 4d784205:6f5b96b3
2025-03-09 15:21:54
⚡️🇺🇸 NEW: "Is America treating both countries similarly?" (Israel/Ukraine)
https://m.primal.net/PZlT.mov
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@ 81913081:42ee8db5
2025-03-09 15:21:31
蛤🤣
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@ 29904dc1:f1332910
2025-03-09 15:20:40
https://image.nostr.build/f5fa9dd526f43efc839d3a3821e8ae0dfef3a54d2da2184aca29dc926575bd29.jpg
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@ 81913081:42ee8db5
2025-03-09 15:20:02
大学体制更需要生源(的学费),还是学生和家长更需要大学(的学历)?
谁能说说,如今的大学文凭和教会的赎罪券有啥本质区别?😇
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@ fa984bd7:58018f52
2025-03-09 15:19:59
What does the free-market think about "ezaps"?
nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzq5xeflpdskqvdq4swxj59793uvdzqzc9pzatjk3nhmcg2h0js8trqqsynxujkhs89vyq3x9pha3aaek6n2t8uqzvy5244vrr9ns4c9axlvgk4s7ff
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@ 29904dc1:f1332910
2025-03-09 15:18:46
GM PV
LIVE FREE, Have a blessed sunday
https://image.nostr.build/b00f1a1a4bf14784803b05a0e6edbd88211434fef521096f96abdcfd72a26eb9.jpg
https://video.nostr.build/d8c1c8888d90f899e8094264ae0ec2a28b0575441822ac7fc27bf3a32df9ba32.mp4
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@ 29904dc1:f1332910
2025-03-09 15:18:27
GM PV
LIVE FREE, Have a blessed sunday
https://image.nostr.build/b00f1a1a4bf14784803b05a0e6edbd88211434fef521096f96abdcfd72a26eb9.jpg
https://video.nostr.build/d8c1c8888d90f899e8094264ae0ec2a28b0575441822ac7fc27bf3a32df9ba32.mp4
-

@ 29904dc1:f1332910
2025-03-09 15:18:16
GM PV
LIVE FREE, Have a blessed sunday
https://image.nostr.build/b00f1a1a4bf14784803b05a0e6edbd88211434fef521096f96abdcfd72a26eb9.jpg
https://video.nostr.build/d8c1c8888d90f899e8094264ae0ec2a28b0575441822ac7fc27bf3a32df9ba32.mp4
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@ fa984bd7:58018f52
2025-03-09 15:18:10
is the "e" of ezap coming from ecash's "e"? Electronic Zap makes me think that LN zaps weren't electronic 😅
I do agree that nutzap is probably too inside-baseball 😅
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@ 460c25e6:ef85065c
2025-03-09 15:17:44
Yeah, zap store forces the FOSS version, which doesn't include any translations: there are no local translation models that are truly open source.
-

@ 460c25e6:ef85065c
2025-03-09 15:17:04
It might not be an Amethyst bug. I think the problem was an Android update. I have not seeing this issue on my pixel phone in over 2 months now...
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@ 29904dc1:f1332910
2025-03-09 15:16:35
I vote 50/50
Where is the option to vote 50/50
Can i vote twice
-

@ fa984bd7:58018f52
2025-03-09 15:16:08
I think that's the task of a dedicated nutsack wallet tbh and mostly should just be automated, i.e. the amount of token events in which a mint's balance is spread is pretty much irrelevant to the user, so it's just a matter of convenience for the app and size limits of the relays.
(there is no fee implications like utxo management in bitcoin)
For example, my code tends to merge tokens when it makes sense, so if I spend proofs of a bunch of tokens I'll end merging the unspent proofs into one token.
If, for example, I redeem a nutzap or I deposit cashu into a wallet I just create a new token event.
My first implementation of this I was very eagerly creating new tokens and avoiding merging too many which fragmented the state quite a bit, now that I'm doing the "merge whenever multiple tokens are spent together" it feels like it's on autopilot.
-

@ 1bc70a01:24f6a411
2025-03-09 15:15:06
It doesn’t say anything about previous marriages 🤣 which could complicate the math
-

@ 43baaf0c:d193e34c
2025-03-09 15:14:45
Sunday sketching ✍️ #art #artstr #nostr Keep Nostr Weird
https://i.nostr.build/f8PXtxhFxP6wIx3j.jpg
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@ 29904dc1:f1332910
2025-03-09 15:13:59
GM PV
LIVE FREE, Have a blessed sunday
https://image.nostr.build/b00f1a1a4bf14784803b05a0e6edbd88211434fef521096f96abdcfd72a26eb9.jpg
https://video.nostr.build/d8c1c8888d90f899e8094264ae0ec2a28b0575441822ac7fc27bf3a32df9ba32.mp4
-

@ 29904dc1:f1332910
2025-03-09 15:13:35
GM PV
LIVE FREE, Have a blessed sunday
https://image.nostr.build/b00f1a1a4bf14784803b05a0e6edbd88211434fef521096f96abdcfd72a26eb9.jpg
https://video.nostr.build/d8c1c8888d90f899e8094264ae0ec2a28b0575441822ac7fc27bf3a32df9ba32.mp4
-

@ 1bc70a01:24f6a411
2025-03-09 15:12:11
Aren’t you double counting then? If you counted 49 kids for each dude then why could them for each wife? They are already included
-

@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-03-09 15:11:59
Good morning Connie 🌄
-

@ 29904dc1:f1332910
2025-03-09 15:11:47
GM PV
LIVE FREE, Have a blessed sunday
https://image.nostr.build/b00f1a1a4bf14784803b05a0e6edbd88211434fef521096f96abdcfd72a26eb9.jpg
https://video.nostr.build/d8c1c8888d90f899e8094264ae0ec2a28b0575441822ac7fc27bf3a32df9ba32.mp4
-

@ f7f4e308:b44d67f4
2025-03-09 15:11:47
王志安前妻直播哭诉,王志安在直播中大骂“你给我滚”!🍉
-

@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-03-09 15:11:46
Good morning. Congratulations. https://i.nostr.build/iXs4B3lr6zw7ZW8w.jpg
-

@ 29904dc1:f1332910
2025-03-09 15:11:20
GM PV
LIVE FREE, Have a blessed sunday
https://image.nostr.build/b00f1a1a4bf14784803b05a0e6edbd88211434fef521096f96abdcfd72a26eb9.jpg
https://video.nostr.build/d8c1c8888d90f899e8094264ae0ec2a28b0575441822ac7fc27bf3a32df9ba32.mp4
-

@ 29904dc1:f1332910
2025-03-09 15:09:50
GM PV
LIVE FREE, Have a blessed sunday
https://image.nostr.build/b00f1a1a4bf14784803b05a0e6edbd88211434fef521096f96abdcfd72a26eb9.jpg
https://video.nostr.build/d8c1c8888d90f899e8094264ae0ec2a28b0575441822ac7fc27bf3a32df9ba32.mp4
-

@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-03-09 15:09:47
Success!
-

@ 29904dc1:f1332910
2025-03-09 15:09:40
GM PV
LIVE FREE, Have a blessed sunday
https://image.nostr.build/b00f1a1a4bf14784803b05a0e6edbd88211434fef521096f96abdcfd72a26eb9.jpg
https://video.nostr.build/d8c1c8888d90f899e8094264ae0ec2a28b0575441822ac7fc27bf3a32df9ba32.mp4
-

@ 1bc70a01:24f6a411
2025-03-09 15:09:01
Ya all depends if they are mormons or in a sex cult or normal folk
-

@ e83b66a8:b0526c2b
2025-03-09 15:08:29
SRR
Has a certain ring to it, don’t you think? 😂
-

@ 6e468422:15deee93
2025-03-09 15:08:24
"It's not me, it's you."
nostr:nevent1qqsyej07k0n7cxzx37jwjmhc7hplek5j3j9y262a64t57f0rhaktx5qpzdmhxue69uhhwmm59e6hg7r09ehkuef0qgs9afryspzmk8ljyfj4mhfkumwwmhzrtyxzvzgvfp477w80g5x6t0grqsqqqqqpel79rh
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@ 29904dc1:f1332910
2025-03-09 15:07:42
8 billion
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@ 1bc70a01:24f6a411
2025-03-09 15:07:41
https://media.tenor.com/5vo_w_jDfwgAAAAC/calculation-math.gif
-

@ e83b66a8:b0526c2b
2025-03-09 15:07:21
I just sold an author signed copy of my book on NOSTR for Sats.
Thanks to todays dip, I’m now making a loss 😂
-

@ 6e468422:15deee93
2025-03-09 15:07:15
Paywalls don't work. Patreon-style subscriptions yes, but paywalls no.
-

@ 29904dc1:f1332910
2025-03-09 15:06:32
GM PV
LIVE FREE, Have a blessed sunday
https://image.nostr.build/b00f1a1a4bf14784803b05a0e6edbd88211434fef521096f96abdcfd72a26eb9.jpg
https://video.nostr.build/d8c1c8888d90f899e8094264ae0ec2a28b0575441822ac7fc27bf3a32df9ba32.mp4
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@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-03-09 15:06:25
Good morning and pura vida, Nostr! It's time to create notes and send zaps! 💜🤙🏻🫂
GMs and PVs flow freely upon Nostr. One might been say that they're the embodiment of the protocol.
-

@ 1bc70a01:24f6a411
2025-03-09 15:06:20
Yeah don’t look like no dog tail. Mountain lion or something
-

@ d8451780:896e579b
2025-03-09 15:05:54
https://image.nostr.build/e4a1ef60e245afffc686013af701f5cb7de18a643440aa0c3e15594177118523.jpg
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@ 29904dc1:f1332910
2025-03-09 15:05:48
Sell it all
Its going to zero
-

@ 81913081:42ee8db5
2025-03-09 15:04:27
#### 关税无法让美国再次伟大
本文选自 https://mises.org/
作者:蔻娜·奥基夫(Connor O'Keeffe)
发布时间:2025年1月29日
周日,在哥伦比亚政府拒绝接收两架满载被遣返移民的美国军用飞机后,特朗普宣布将对所有从哥伦比亚进口的商品征收25%的紧急关税。
在哥伦比亚总统宣布他已和美国“克服僵局”,并且哥伦比亚同意接收从美国遣返的哥伦比亚非法移民后,该关税很快就被取消了。但据报道,特朗普计划最快于本周末对所有来自加拿大和墨西哥的商品征收25%的关税。
特朗普的举动并不令人意外,因为他在整个竞选期间都明确表示,他打算大量使用关税来使美国的工人和企业受益,全面防止美国人民被剥削。
如果特朗普当局能够真正将美国工人、小企业和普通民众的福祉放在首位,而不是向关系网深厚的巨型公司、外国政府和少数财大气粗的捐助者提供不公平的优势,那么与美国人被迫忍受了几十年的政府相比,这将是一个巨大的进步。
特朗普今天之所以能入主白宫,是因为他成功地说服了足够多的美国人,让他们相信他将领导这样的政府当局。但如果特朗普及其团队真的想要实现他们所声称的目标,他们就需要重新考虑他们对关税的态度。
因为关税——或者更准确地说,进口税——可以说是帮助美国国内工人、小企业以及中部地区普通民众的最糟糕的工具,这些人在美国目前的政治制度下一直遭受剥削。
简单来说,关税就是对美国人从其他国家的生产者那里购买的一切商品征税。在讨论关税时,人们通常会想到消费者直接购买的外国商品,例如哥伦比亚咖啡或加拿大枫糖浆。但大多数关税实际上运用于美国企业用来生产商品的资本财货,如钢铁、石油和木材。
数百年来,关税的经济效应早已为人熟知。与任何其他税种一样,关税会给生产者带来新的成本。由于价格并非由生产成本决定,因此新的成本不会直接改变市场价格。但新的成本确实意味着,那些原本在不收关税的情况下就勉强维持运营的制造商,如果继续在征收关税的国家开展业务,将会蒙受经济损失。因此,这些外国生产商不再向国内消费者销售商品,导致国内的商品供应量下降,从而推高国内的价格。
所以,关税导致国内买家可买的商品供应量减少,从而提高价格。国内生产商也无法扭转这种影响,因为这会从他们之前生产的商品中抽走国内资源。造成的资源短缺充其量只能转移,而不能消除。
关税的负面影响是经常被过度分化的经济学领域中最广为人知的一个概念。数百年的现实案例只是证实了经济理论的说法,这也是为什么我们如今很少听到关税倡导者使用纯粹的经济论据。他们大多依赖于政治论据。
一个比较流行的观点是保护主义。保护主义认为,联邦政府应该对外国生产商征税,给美国工人、美国企业以及国内产业撑腰。过去一个世纪以来,美国中部许多城镇的空心化以及美国制造业的衰落,经常被当作是贸易过于自由化所导致的后果。
因此,这种观点认为,政府需要保护这些美国小镇免受贪婪的跨国公司的损害,认为这些跨国公司为了节省成本,解雇美国工人,从贫穷国家雇佣廉价劳动力。有人表示,即使价格有所上涨,但拥有一支强大、健康的劳动力队伍和繁荣的国内产业也是值得的。
作为政治话题,这听起来不错,但完全忽视了上述的经济影响,以及有严重缺陷的经济史。美国中部城镇的空心化并非是美国人可以自由购买外国商品和资源而造成的。之所以出现这种情况,是因为上个世纪以来,联邦政府通过税收、通货膨胀和操纵法律法规,建立起庞大的机构,将尽可能多的钱塞进了政府官员和一些大型跨国公司中他们朋友的口袋里。
这种错误的诊断促使保护主义者提倡提高进口税。但这样做只会伤害他们声称想要帮助的人。因为,虽然增加使用外国生产的财货和资源的成本确实可以使一小部分工人保住工作,如果没有这些关税,他们本来是找不到工作的,但这些工人以及所有不受关税“保护”的工人却要承受高昂的价格。
请记住,并不是贪婪的公司“将关税成本转嫁给消费者”。受影响的财货和资源的供应以及它们原本可以生产的所有消费品都会减少。一些工人可以保住工作——尽管薪水不再那么丰厚——但更多的美国工人却因公司需要裁员才能继续运营而受到影响。这个问题无法回避。
保护主义是一种糟糕的、伪装成现实主义政治立场的经济论点。它对美国经济中的每个人都造成极大的伤害,尤其是对税负过重、经济拮据的中产阶级而言。
一些关税倡导者承认这一点,但认为联邦政府可以以某种方式增加收入,并且与现行税制相比,关税更合理,对经济的干扰也更小。在特朗普的行动中,这通常表现为呼吁用关税制度取代所得税。支持者经常援引19世纪的美国为例,当时没有所得税,经济以历史性的速度增长,联邦政府几乎所有的收入都来自关税。
由于所得税的破坏性难以估量,因此仅征收关税的税制带来的破坏性可能比目前的税制更小。但正如政府支出一样,美国政府取消一项税收比增加一项税收要难得多。如果不能把大量精力放在获得公众、国会、官僚机构和法律的支持来取消所得税,特朗普对关税的兴趣更有可能带来的结果就是保留所得税,并在其基础上增加关税。
尽管如此,一些倡导者认为,即使情况真如此,关税带来的非货币利益也足以弥补经济损失。他们认为,美国经济依赖其他国家政府生产的商品非常危险,特别是那些美国可能在不久的将来就与之交战的国家。
当这种说法被用来推动征收更多的进口税时,就会产生一些问题。首先,国防所需的资源实际上已经在美国国内生产。例如,美国军方每年使用的钢铁占国内钢铁产量的0.2%。一些行业组织认为这个数字还要高一些,但即使削减部分进口,美国也不会因此失去防御能力。事实上,用提高进口税的方法来解决这么个小问题可能会产生与支持者声称的截然相反的效果。
即使抛开这些不谈,有一点是很重要的,即美国目前面临的所有地缘政治危险的根源在于华盛顿政府执意于在全球每个角落保持其首要大国地位。美国人民被迫为这项代价高昂、毫无必要且不可能完成的任务提供资金支持,而这只会增加战争的可能性——美国右翼的许多人终于开始意识到这一点。此外,强迫美国和中国经济相互撤资脱钩,降低了领导人发动新战争时面临的直接经济成本,而这只会使问题更加严重。
另外,荒谬的是,有时你会听到关税倡导者兴高采烈地预测,美国的进口税将迫使外国公司将其业务转移到美国,以避免支付关税。抛开经济理论和历史对该观点的质疑不谈,这与这群人经常提到的所有所谓的国家安全问题完全背道而驰;那些受关税影响的公司很快开始在美国投资全新的海外分支机构,可是这些公司原本在不征税时就只是勉强维持。不妨看看美国国会的许多右翼人士对中国公司在美国经营农场或最近中国政府与TikTok的关系有多么担忧。
一些特朗普支持者支持征收关税的最终政治论点是,上述所有论点都是假的,这听起来很奇怪。特朗普实际上知道关税对美国人民不利,但他只打算利用关税作为撬动其他国家政府的杠杆,他试图建立一个没有关税的世界。即使这是真的,历史也一再证明,关税通常会遭到报复性关税,而不是关税削减。从其他国家为应对特朗普的贸易政策而采取的措施来看,这一次也不例外。
而且,即使特朗普利用美国的杠杆作用迫使外国政府在其他各种问题上屈服,例如上周末与哥伦比亚的遣返移民争端,也没有理由一定要通过关税来解决问题。美国政府提供了大量对外援助,并为全球许多国家提供了有效的国防。威胁要收回或完全取消这些福利,就是特朗普在不危及美国人民福祉的情况下谈判新协议的好方法。
重要的是,我们必须认识到,许多最热衷于关税的人所提出的问题确实存在。这个国家许多曾经繁荣的社区被人为掏空,因为联邦政策旨在让少数关系网深厚的大公司受益,而牺牲其他所有人的利益。美国工人阶级被迫为跨国公司提供补贴,后来又不得不为其提供救助,与此同时还要为一支昂贵的全球警察部队提供资金,地球上几乎所有其他国家都几乎免费从中受益。美国人民真的被剥削了。
但是,关税倡导者需要明白,这些问题是由专制政府过度干预造成的,而不是因为自由太多。摆脱国内混乱局面的出路在于消除繁冗的联邦官僚机构,取消华盛顿政府的称霸全球计划,废除扭曲经济、让政治关系户获益的法律和法规,将货币系统的控制权交还给美国人民。出路并非是提高税收。
https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/EL5sXXfWjHvQs5lV-QKr7w
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@ 0371db7f:34fc0d08
2025-03-09 15:03:31
Zaps are a game-changer. ⚡️
Public payments with built-in social signaling—something we've never had before. Could this be the catalyst that onboards the world to #Bitcoin?
nostr:nprofile1qqsdv8emcke7k3qqaldwv956tstu40ejg663gdsaayuuujs6pknw7jspzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumn0wd68ytnzv9hxgqgdwaehxw309ahx7uewd3hkct9wug2 explains why every app is about to be Bitcoin-enabled in BR083.
https://m.primal.net/PZkE.mov
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@ 81913081:42ee8db5
2025-03-09 15:02:56
这个ADX移动趋向指数挺有意思,下周着重研究一下,看看能否结合我使用的趋势指标。
nostr:nevent1qqsws5xt7sjnedhq2ng24thdga9tsyvc7csxms88wljvqen882ynxnqpramhxue69uhkummnw3ez6vpn9ejx7unpveskxar0wfujummjvuhsygypjycgzfrdrykf54v4zuzzwp6kkg3qj3rskvt3uk9mtc7y9m5dk5psgqqqqqqsa294eq
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@ cbab7074:f9f0bd61
2025-03-09 15:01:03
Block 887034
2 - high priority
2 - medium priority
2 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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@ 29904dc1:f1332910
2025-03-09 14:58:22
Thank you for the nice words
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@ 1bc70a01:24f6a411
2025-03-09 14:58:17
It doesn’t say each. If it did the answer is 399 but it doesn’t say that each man has 7 wives it could just mean there are 7 couples. It could also just mean 7 couples have 7 kids each. I’d say this is just a stupid question because it’s up to how you interpret it and has no correct answer.
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@ f7f4e308:b44d67f4
2025-03-09 14:58:17
客户端也是一大因素之一,好用的屈指可数,可是又没有什么知名度……
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@ 78070802:00682645
2025-03-09 14:56:06
BEAUTY, VIRTUE, EXTREMISM & THE BUSHIDO OF BITCOIN
nostr:nprofile1qqsx45yrjtgm4glklaafgz0z4309gs6cwfja3d99s8rqvlvgagcptpqprpmhxue69uhhqun9d45h2mfwwpexjmtpdshxuet54gjttu with nostr:nprofile1qqsvfr3f7p95stxqrjslnmuvsmhcxxxqt8swjdfjx5tz7zq0yms5cygpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumn0wd68ytnzvuq37amnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwdehkgetjw4hxuetjwvhxuet5wahhy6cldds9g
⚡️Fountain: https://www.fountain.fm/episode/5nxtQMOOLlOi3ENGC01w
⚡️YouTube: https://youtu.be/43VP_BduqD4
⚡️Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/7BUyXNsaXoSEUd4umGqf1O
⚡️Rumble: https://rumble.com/v6qd69u-beauty-virtue-extremism-and-the-bushido-of-bitcoin-aleks-svetski.html
⚡️Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/beauty-virtue-extremism-the-bushido-of-bitcoin/id1694392423?i=1000698439767
⚡️GET EMAILED: https://open.substack.com/pub/walkeramerica/p/aleks-svetski-beauty-virtue-extremism
⚡️EVERYWHERE ELSE: https://bitcoinpodcast.net/podcast
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@ 0691202d:98be4b1c
2025-03-09 14:48:24
and just like in the US their will be no money left to invest in each of the EU member countries, which will lead to more violence, drug addicts, poverty in the cities, one can already see the shootings taking place in the capital Brussels between drug gangs, similar like Paris and Amsterdam just like in many US cities. On the Contrary, Asia has developed enormous just look were they came from and were they stand today in the field of technology, AI…..EU is a sinking ship
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@ 5143c373:4b501df9
2025-03-09 14:48:06
#bitcoin
Buy the dip, reload. Hold, if ammo is low.
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@ 1bc70a01:24f6a411
2025-03-09 14:47:22
Probably because everything does cause cancer 🤣
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@ 81913081:42ee8db5
2025-03-09 14:42:13
中😂
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@ 0691202d:98be4b1c
2025-03-09 14:41:45
Bankers will try by all means to keep their power and control over the pleps
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@ 81913081:42ee8db5
2025-03-09 14:41:19
>好的,我现在需要回答用户关于ADX移动趋向指数的问题。 首先,我需要仔细阅读我搜索到的资料,看看哪些部分提到了ADX,或者与之相关的内容。
>
>看,里面提到ADX (14)的值是28.40,属于中性信号。 这应该是指ADX指数在技术分析中的应用,用来判断趋势强度。 这里可能说明当ADX值在28左右时,市场趋势不够强,所以给出中性评级。 这个例子是在分析TSLZ的股票时使用的。
>
>接下来中,FARO股票的ADX值20.43,同样是中性信号。 这说明ADX值较低时,趋势较弱,可能处于盘整阶段。 这里ADX作为趋势强度指标被应用在股票分析中。
>
>其他虽然提到了ADX,但似乎是指DataEye的ADX行业版数据工具,用于分析市场投放素材量等,比如提到使用ADX行业版数据追踪AI应用的买量情况和也提到ADX数据用于游戏和生活服务行业的素材投放分析。 但这些可能与用户询问的ADX移动趋向指数无关,属于不同领域的数据工具。
>
>因此,用户的问题中的ADX移动趋向指数应该是指技术分析中的Average Directional Movement Index(平均趋向指数),用于衡量趋势强度。 根据和中的例子,ADX值在20以下表示趋势弱或无趋势,20-25之间趋势开始形成,25以上趋势较强。 比如中的ADX 28.40属于中性,可能处于趋势强度中等的情况,而中的20.43则可能接近趋势形成的临界点。
>
>需要注意,证据中的ADX行业版数据工具和ADX指标是不同的概念,用户可能需要的是技术指标的解释,因此需要明确区分。 结合技术分析中的ADX指标,回答时应参考和中的具体数值和应用场景,说明ADX的作用和如何解读其数值。
>
ADX(Average Directional Movement Index,平均趋向指数)是一种用于衡量市场趋势强度的技术分析指标,其数值范围通常在0到100之间。 ADX的应用场景和解读如下:
### 1. **技术分析中的ADX指标**
在股票技术分析中(如所示),ADX值越大表示趋势越强:
- **ADX < 20**:市场处于无趋势或趋势极弱状态,可能处于盘整阶段。
- **ADX在20-25之间**:趋势开始形成,但强度尚不明显。
- **ADX > 25**:趋势较强,数值越高则趋势越明确。
- **ADX > 50**:极端趋势,但较为罕见。
例如:
- 在中,T-Rex 2X Inverse Tesla ETF(TSLZ)的ADX值为28.40,显示“中性”信号,表明当前趋势强度中等,可能处于趋势延续或反转的过渡阶段。
- 在中,Faro Technologies(FARO)的ADX值为20.43,同样显示“中性”,接近趋势形成的临界点。
### 2. **ADX的局限性**
ADX仅反映趋势强度,不指示方向,需结合其他指标(如+DI、-DI)判断趋势方向。 例如:
- 若ADX > 25且+DI > -DI,可能为上升趋势;
- 若ADX > 25且-DI > +DI,则可能为下降趋势。
### 3. **其他资料中的“ADX”概念**
需注意,部分证据提到的“ADX行业版”(如)是DataEye研究院的数据分析工具,用于追踪行业投放素材量、买量策略等,与ADX技术指标无关。 例如:
- 提到大陆市场AI产品通过ADX行业版监测投放素材量,豆包、Kimi等应用的买量策略变化;
- 提到生活服务行业通过ADX行业版分析素材投放量波动。
### 总结
若用户关注的是技术分析中的ADX移动趋向指数,其核心功能是量化趋势强度,辅助判断市场处于趋势还是盘整状态。 实际应用中需结合其他指标综合判断。 若涉及市场投放分析,则需区分“ADX行业版”作为数据工具的角色。
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@ 1b9fe657:fc99ca26
2025-03-09 14:40:08
刘汉有东西,赵宋有南北,满清有前后
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-03-09 14:38:54
it is interesting that elon has no opinion on the white house bull posting about bitcoin
he seems to have an opinion on everything else
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@ b7ed68b0:55ed32fc
2025-03-09 14:36:05
Peak hatred of bureaucracy twice a year.
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@ b7ed68b0:55ed32fc
2025-03-09 14:35:23
Give nostr:nprofile1qqs2d0qm73kmvjynznwdknv9uxvcd6fe9f4ctu5ye88egdmtxpvr8dcpzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuurjd9kkzmpwdejhgqgjwaehxw309ac82unsd3jhqct89ejhxqg5waehxw309aex2mrp0yhxgctdw4eju6t0h6h2ec a follow, he just arrived to the nostr!
#introductions
nostr:nevent1qqszztthe3cues8mf2ft73yshz2e5lx9njk93s5nmppjzvplwyxdysspz3mhxue69uhhwmm59ehx7um5wghxuet59upzpf4ur06xmdjgjv2dek6dshsenphf8y4xhp0jsnyul9phdvc9svahqvzqqqqqqyuqw46k
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@ 42fa266f:c3934b81
2025-03-09 14:33:50
This is how it usually ends up.
nostr:nevent1qqsq8vty4vgge0dk06t2ej9qde8h5w99mlg3ezg68sfhcwy8qwd37qsppemhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mp0qgsrmszrxnm430494qhcjmmkwptegpa5nvdf7v5560k7a3k3a8p9vucrqsqqqqqpzvj4nl
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@ 04c915da:3dfbecc9
2025-03-09 14:32:57
i dont care either way as long as there is no time change
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@ cbab7074:f9f0bd61
2025-03-09 14:31:01
Block 887028
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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@ ac3f6afe:aa9014aa
2025-03-09 14:26:33
100% bro. thank you
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@ 3dc04334:e9c25673
2025-03-09 14:24:24
Ironic how primarily the "progressives" created this " monster " for themselves by socialising subsidies for EVs.😂
Without that, #Tesla would not even exist!
"Play stupid games, win stupid prizes!"😂
#socialism
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@ 1afe0c74:6808e36d
2025-03-09 14:16:50
I never took any money as American hodl.
Not because I’m above it, but because it would have undercut the message.
If I’m telling you all you have to do is hodl, why am I making money off this or that? Doesn’t make sense.
I do well when bitcoin goes up.
I don’t need to sell you shit.
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@ f8e6c643:03328ca9
2025-03-09 14:14:58
Gm
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@ f8e6c643:03328ca9
2025-03-09 14:11:43
Blazing a trail for the rest of us
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@ 800e0fe3:d8468b0b
2025-03-09 14:10:42
Anything that increases the power of the (US) government is a net loss for humanity. But it might have a silver lining like bringing about more awareness.
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@ 6a359852:f2f290d9
2025-03-09 14:07:50
🇪🇺 CBDC in the EU to be launched in Oct. 2025. Wholesale & retail.
🇮🇱 Israel is following EU’s footsteps - preparing for CBDC with a new 110 page design document.
https://m.primal.net/PZhH.mov
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@ b7ed68b0:55ed32fc
2025-03-09 14:07:33
I didn't even follow you here, thanks for the ping!