-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 08:55:34
Block 884960
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 08:50:35
Block 884958
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 08:50:35
Block 884958
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 08:45:34
Block 884958
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ 3731e169:85be0885
2025-02-23 08:45:10
Looks all fine to me, no need to worry:
Blocktime: 884 958
v/byte price: 4 sat/vByte
Hash Rate: 1008.20 EH/s nostr:note1y23lnae8hc2t5pduzs85u2r47v2mvt0kns7h0w0jwltydgw7zu5qwh4r0n
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 08:40:34
Block 884957
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 08:40:34
Block 884957
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ 637a2f1d:a169dd8f
2025-02-23 08:40:17
“The market has sent a signal regarding the lack of liquid physical gold available to settle delivery demand in the London market.
One solution is to approach one of the world’s gold refineries to acquire gold while quietly selling the London cash contracts over time - simply leaving the paper to circulate. The 7 major Western refineries have refining capacity of 160M oz. per year, however the majority of their forward gold production is spoken-for well beforehand.
If this draw of London gold into the US and then other countries continues over time, the market will be making clear that it is shutting-down the leveraged London cash gold (and silver) markets.
A further confirmatory market signal over time would be a steady erosion of the value of a London spot/cash gold contract in comparison to other markets such as the NY price.”
https://jensendavid.substack.com/p/shutting-down-the-london-gold-market
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 08:35:34
Block 884957
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 08:30:34
Block 884955
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
5 - no priority
3 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 08:30:34
Block 884955
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
5 - no priority
3 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ cbab7074:f9f0bd61
2025-02-23 08:30:34
Block 884955
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
5 - no priority
3 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ d49a9023:990fa8df
2025-02-23 08:29:45
lol yeah you think? https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/02/22/britain-is-fast-becoming-an-orwellian-surveillance-state/
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@ bfccad6f:7478a76f
2025-02-23 08:28:37
Marc Friedrich findet die richtigen Worte zu den Grünen 🎯
#MarcFriedrich https://video.nostr.build/916d33be340d94ddf6e58330dfaec8c2fb702c2763d51086bfb23e56e252b921.mp4 https://image.nostr.build/e91105c040888a73df56cfac13cbeaf0a972e082a0f60c54a2f433a9ea1eb2a7.jpg
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@ 4f983dcb:d6acbeb0
2025-02-23 08:27:40
GM frens..
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 08:25:34
Block 884955
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
5 - no priority
3 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ 637a2f1d:a169dd8f
2025-02-23 08:21:39
https://cdn.nostrcheck.me/637a2f1da5d2fc1976c14ec00f8eae4015afe99bb2554f1d537d0086a169dd8f/0c482851d6300ea57ba48604962ad0c379e22bca7a790816dda6d8caad99c521.webp
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@ bfccad6f:7478a76f
2025-02-23 08:20:41
Es geht um den Inhalt 💯🎯
https://youtu.be/o2GUgOtMqsI
#bundestagswahl https://video.nostr.build/a52080a4816a6fc91be52bf4d134156285ab5478ba88e6e3442a744e3a116683.mp4
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 08:20:34
Block 884955
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 08:20:34
Block 884955
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 08:15:35
Block 884955
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 08:10:34
Block 884954
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 08:10:34
Block 884954
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 08:05:34
Block 884953
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ 1ae011cb:1257a556
2025-02-23 08:00:34
Block 884952
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 08:00:34
Block 884952
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ cbab7074:f9f0bd61
2025-02-23 08:00:34
Block 884952
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 08:00:34
Block 884952
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 07:55:34
Block 884952
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 07:50:34
Block 884951
6 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 07:50:34
Block 884951
6 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 07:45:34
Block 884951
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 07:40:34
Block 884951
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 07:40:34
Block 884951
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 07:35:34
Block 884950
6 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
5 - no priority
3 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 07:30:34
Block 884950
6 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
5 - no priority
3 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ cbab7074:f9f0bd61
2025-02-23 07:30:34
Block 884950
6 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
5 - no priority
3 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 07:30:34
Block 884950
6 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
5 - no priority
3 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 07:25:34
Block 884950
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 07:20:34
Block 884950
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 07:20:34
Block 884950
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 07:15:34
Block 884950
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 07:10:34
Block 884950
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 07:10:34
Block 884950
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 07:05:34
Block 884949
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ cbab7074:f9f0bd61
2025-02-23 07:00:34
Block 884949
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 07:00:34
Block 884949
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 07:00:34
Block 884949
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ 1ae011cb:1257a556
2025-02-23 07:00:34
Block 884949
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ cc6076f9:b0af6ef7
2025-02-23 07:00:01
with one exception, otherwise these seem to hold so far:
9 - down
10 - down
38 - up
46 down
56 - up (once down)
124 - up
135 - down
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 06:55:34
Block 884949
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ b55a08ad:934883ad
2025-02-23 06:53:54
global avg moved slightly further first time
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@ 8ec1a585:d3686ced
2025-02-23 06:52:11
https://blossom.primal.net/d243dd2b43505f6b9d51fdb3015b160b92c367f7912eff6300306f09cabd288a.png
12M*
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@ e9adac94:ca594b79
2025-02-23 06:51:45
1M
56 - down (break!)
38 - up
124 - up
9 - down
10 - down
1 break,
4/5 holds
pattern holds mostly
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 06:50:35
Block 884948
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 06:50:34
Block 884948
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ 182a6602:ef1d8832
2025-02-23 06:47:26
with 5 tracking values we get statistical probability of these remaining on same side as 0.03125
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@ 45084f6a:511f0a4c
2025-02-23 06:46:31
in previous 5 pictures we can see that:
9 - down
10 - down
lets add these to tracking also.
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 06:45:34
Block 884945
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 06:40:34
Block 884945
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 06:40:34
Block 884945
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ 554fb473:af75498b
2025-02-23 06:39:57
56 - still up
38 - still up
124 - still up
pattern holds
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@ 839a08c8:3019dca8
2025-02-23 06:38:34
https://blossom.primal.net/ddfe8ab954ff1f4357717fb34d7f43cf218fc3fc4fe7b853aed965a0253d65d9.png
6M
still narrowing
global avg is even closer to optimal
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 06:35:34
Block 884945
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ 3760e07b:5b9e6cf8
2025-02-23 06:31:36
comparing last 4 pictures
56 is always on upper side. not much movement.
38 always on upper side, not much movement
124 always on upper side, not much movement
possible pattern detected.
global average seems to be very close to optimal 0.5
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@ cbab7074:f9f0bd61
2025-02-23 06:30:34
Block 884945
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 06:30:34
Block 884945
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 06:30:34
Block 884945
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 06:25:34
Block 884945
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ 936dabd6:3405eb61
2025-02-23 06:23:54
https://blossom.f7z.io/0a282c101afe06cb6e367db36e66f52dcc41995d819657c25c09f3f0c2633419.png
3M
total avg flipped above 0.5
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 06:20:34
Block 884945
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 06:20:34
Block 884945
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ 1511ba61:95570a80
2025-02-23 06:19:21
https://blossom.primal.net/183d7747067e7be5b5be123a28b6d3d5988384d82dea60ba30219d54772b5095.png
1M
-
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@ 0f1ce47d:eab9838a
2025-02-23 06:18:51
i would expect positions of these dots to stabilize at some point. that is when we see the trace left by the algorithm.
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@ cf30e165:049c8015
2025-02-23 06:15:24
https://blossom.f7z.io/4caf693a94366c3fb6edabaacd18e427834a249f61a2a5091802639bf81435ab.png
import hashlib
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
def sha256_binary(input_bytes):
sha256_hash = hashlib.sha256()
sha256_hash.update(input_bytes)
return sha256_hash.digest()
def main():
probability_sums = [0] * 256
avg = [0] * 256
totalsum = 0
iterations = 500000
for j in range(1, iterations + 1):
input_bytes = j.to_bytes((j.bit_length() + 7) // 8, byteorder='big')
hash_result = sha256_binary(input_bytes)
hash_int = int.from_bytes(hash_result, byteorder='big')
int_list = zip(list(hash_result))
for i in range(256):
bitval = (hash_int >> i) & 1
probability_sums[i] += bitval
for idx, v in enumerate(probability_sums):
avg[idx] = probability_sums[idx] / j
totalsum += avg[idx]
totalavg = totalsum / 256
for idx, value in enumerate(avg):
plt.plot(idx, value, linestyle="", marker='.', markersize=5)
plt.text(idx, value, str(idx), fontsize=2)
plt.title(f'Bit Averages (iterations {j}, total avg: {str(totalavg)[:9]})')
plt.xlabel('bit index')
plt.ylabel('Probability')
plt.savefig('plot-avg.png', dpi=600)
main()
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 06:15:21
Block 884944
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
3 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ c9f48a56:234112d2
2025-02-23 06:13:15
By 2030, I think 1 Bitcoin will buy AT LEAST 1 median house in the US (a nice house, not in the slums)
Today, the same house costs ~5 Bitcoin
If you're holding houses as a savings vehicle, you're going to lose AT LEAST 80% OF THE WEALTH YOU HAVE ACCUMULATED
Meaning that if you sell the house today for 5 Bitcoin, you'll be able to buy 5 houses with the proceeds by 2030
If you have 5 houses, you can sell them for ~25 Bitcoin.and buy 2030 you'll be able to buy 25 houses
Some people are probably thinking "I don't care about Bitcoin"
And that's perfectly fine
Your wealth is being transferred to someone else who actually spent the time studying and buying Bitcoin
The scariest thing will be that the value will NEVER be recovered
Home prices will drop FOREVER in terms of Bitcoin
Even 1 Bitcoin for a house will seem EXPENSIVE when we get there
Home prices will fall to 0.1 Bitcoin
Then 0.01 Bitcoin
And so on
_____________________________________________________________________________
#Bitcoin #dca #hodl #sats #stacksats #soundmoney #stayhumble #btc #zaps #zap #powerlaw #nostr
https://m.primal.net/PHki.png
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@ fc5e14db:a0b946e9
2025-02-23 06:12:57
https://blossom.f7z.io/6827e817ca28d0cc8764e848e8fb057a6703db986fe0be657eb42b2fa75697bc.png
300k
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@ b591c0b7:8cf60c27
2025-02-23 06:10:51
https://blossom.primal.net/bf287921883fa741f1fedec4e982f04d672a95d4397591b59aed471946c4fa9a.png
total avg of all bits included
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 06:10:22
Block 884942
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 06:10:22
Block 884942
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 06:05:21
Block 884941
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ 68517680:7fcd7644
2025-02-23 06:03:17
https://blossom.primal.net/4cd016b1af098fdf151e7a28baab0b21bc3f35fc1968b743f085df961d140076.png
average values after 200k iterations
-
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@ c879bbe2:ccb9cf80
2025-02-23 06:02:56
https://blossom.f7z.io/4e4682b97ae593317f2ce403aafe12c8bdeb875f91fb975b85258efd475bc4a4.png
average values after 100 iterations
-
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@ 620cb47a:e46193a8
2025-02-23 06:02:10
https://blossom.primal.net/7050addaaf973eff3ef4bf7cc6f6b0d0857d06d95170b321b010512d51372ba0.png
average values for each bit after 10000 iterations
-
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@ 1ae011cb:1257a556
2025-02-23 06:00:22
Block 884941
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 06:00:22
Block 884941
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 06:00:22
Block 884941
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ cbab7074:f9f0bd61
2025-02-23 06:00:22
Block 884941
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 05:55:22
Block 884940
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ 153ad509:28f222f6
2025-02-23 05:52:18
GN https://image.nostr.build/ca2096c50f2afa2d62e1f2a8a8e98abbe2b9243f8d98aa8fec6072e5cdecd6aa.jpg
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 05:50:23
Block 884940
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
3 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 05:50:23
Block 884940
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
3 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 05:45:24
Block 884939
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 05:40:23
Block 884938
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 05:40:23
Block 884938
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ 32e18276:5c68e245
2025-02-23 05:38:06
i fucked up nostr:note1qfhyfwzu3c74s6w5ad8n027t4vh8wwngs8upzy8y8uusfhrq2x2sxpfcsr
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 05:35:22
Block 884938
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-23 05:30:26
Block 884938
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
3 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-23 05:30:26
Block 884938
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
4 - low priority
4 - no priority
3 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool