-
@ 8fb140b4:f948000c
2025-04-09 02:41:45
GM🫂☕️🔥🫡
-
@ 8fb140b4:f948000c
2025-04-09 02:41:31
I don’t either 😂
-
@ 6a02b7d5:3a13d02a
2025-04-09 02:41:17
Gm pup🐾🐾✌️💜⚡🫂🐶
-
@ 8fb140b4:f948000c
2025-04-09 02:41:00
GM🫂☕️
-
@ e07773a9:4a98108a
2025-04-09 02:40:50
GM!
-
@ 8fb140b4:f948000c
2025-04-09 02:40:48
GM🫡☕️🫂
-
@ a8171781:3562e1fc
2025-04-09 02:40:37
Peter Retarrdo
https://i.nostr.build/gTLrLvSOjy6DLZA4.gif
-
@ 23218315:9866f2ed
2025-04-09 02:40:29
Yo I think I will be using nostr:npub1ye5ptcxfyyxl5vjvdjar2ua3f0hynkjzpx552mu5snj3qmx5pzjscpknpr's NoStrudel publisher tool to make nostr streams from now on because I am finding it to actually work thus far:
https://nostrudel.ninja/#/tools/publisher
nostr:naddr1qvzqqqrkvupzqgepsv2c8kr3ka3kg68k0lmcq6rx3eht8jwdhv3s5m2836vxduhdqywhwumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytnzd96xxmmfdejhytnnda3kjctv9uq3zamnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3wwa5kuef0qqjxxenpxuunzwfe94jxxdfc956x2vf595uxxv35956nwcfnx33rwvehvc6xyp309a8
-
@ deab79da:88579e68
2025-04-09 02:40:22
These are 4K remasters from the original film, not the Hollywood remaster. Check the last link, it goes into detail on the process.
-
@ 22050dd3:480c11ea
2025-04-09 02:39:47
Amazing news!
nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqnagpg7nsmc6y99s9yslc7aj4vxptn2wn29sla8cc3mnly8xrvc3qyvhwumn8ghj7urjv4kkjatd9ec8y6tdv9kzumn9wshsqg85cgz9epcxfhmhjrd0lfmcmqqugsrce4q8ccgngpvhhtf9lnf8cctfdas5
-
@ 6a02b7d5:3a13d02a
2025-04-09 02:39:45
I started down your garys pod but I went on vacation and have fallen back about 80hpw of my listening. I think it might best be done on an Saturday at the farm when I have 6-8 hrs to focus
-
@ 8fb140b4:f948000c
2025-04-09 02:39:26
GM! In conclusion, to each their own! It’s a good question to contemplate every so often, puts things into perspective! 🫂☕️☕️☕️
nostr:note15yqe6q3sef0k3rhk3f9kkc2ucqhngv5ceh6qw9v8h5jzk7cch5csv9uxxh
-
@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-04-09 02:38:50
Done.
-
@ 6a02b7d5:3a13d02a
2025-04-09 02:37:12
What is real, what is the life purpose? I can only be certain that I think, everything else here could be an illusion. The want for some to give in at that point and say there is no purpose provides no value is nihilism, which I reject as the easy way out.
I tend to think from a utilitarian viewpoint. I acknowledge the shortcoming of my inability to measure or create a scale of all the universe's utility, so try to act in ways that I believe will bring the most.
-
@ 44dc1c2d:31c74f0b
2025-04-09 02:36:16
Sometimes.
nostr:nevent1qqs0xt4prndwltcvrvuryz0ssuahq6wrsu5lh272ur7cnfhdjstrdycpzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumt0wd68ytnsw43z7q3quwjejfyn8j0e7t0cx3ys2h4nsk83fq8a6rz7mw2a7z97mnfwvcjqxpqqqqqqz2wc906
-
@ 0e05cb33:2082a99e
2025-04-09 02:34:39
I like the Scandinavian works I see in magazines. Dabs of complementary colours heighten the brilliance I see.
-
@ 7ed7d5c3:6927e200
2025-04-09 02:33:54
Long time no see 🤙
-
@ 7ed7d5c3:6927e200
2025-04-09 02:33:39
Oh hey it's Seto 👋
-
@ deab79da:88579e68
2025-04-09 02:33:11
The original, unaltered cut of Star Wars will get a screening in London in June. Sadly I can't attend 😂
https://collider.com/star-wars-a-new-hope-original-cut-release-bfi-film-fest/
Thankfully there are options if you would like to see the "Hard To Find" original theatrical cut 👀
1080p - No stream, as it's a 38GB MKV 😅
https://archive.org/details/05-star.-wars.-4-k-77.1080p.no-dnr.-35mm.x-264-v-1.0-et-hd
4K - 84GB
https://tpb.party/torrent/22614953/Star.Wars.4K.2160p.UHD.35mm.x265v1.0.DTOne
Restoration info
https://originaltrilogy.com/topic/Project-4K77/id/51666
#film #movies #kinostr
-
@ 7ed7d5c3:6927e200
2025-04-09 02:31:32
You send your 5 sons to the power centers of europe to amass gold in vaults and then send gold-backed nfts on the block chain between each other and build a bank transfer empire. This empire is so powerful that you end up having control over politics and war, and over the ages, you try and take over the world on several occasions. And you finally make your master stroke with a central bank digital currency called FedCoin so that people can send fool's-gold backed nfts to each other on the blockchain and call it money.
Sorry I forgot the question.
-
@ 146bda4e:ff9a07cd
2025-04-09 02:31:12
I don't know who this guy is in Phuket, but they reported that a business in #chiangmai that is no longer taking #Bitcoin but when I spoke to the owner they said they should be still taking it.
I guess staff/manager miscommunication. We are still early.
Edit in question.
https://www.openstreetmap.org/node/3117930572/history/42
-
@ 460c25e6:ef85065c
2025-04-09 02:30:32
How I look when I invite people to try nostr.
https://video.nostr.build/c59b596ce16ae005f0b7f9efa13d9800a054849d4afd47a5791469a2203e16f7.mp4
-
@ eeb11961:b8821b9e
2025-04-09 02:30:18
Jack being Jack.
https://m.primal.net/QJHH.mov
-
@ 3eab247c:1d80aeed
2025-04-09 02:26:16
What started as a simple 'can we update the twitter icon to X' by nostr:nprofile1qqsdhcrqt2w8x9et446j8ge8kgmd2h4ykc6wsrnc4yqnmdu3lr74ktqpzamhxue69uhkv6tvw3jhytnwdaehgu3wwa5kuegpz4mhxue69uhks6tnwshxummnw3ezumrpdejqzyrhwden5te0dehhxarj9emkjmn9rdg7mt ended up in a 10k line change, 92 file change, 37 commit mega PR by nostr:nprofile1qqsdtp2dtaeupj3du38lryhs66pqsgxs5sfqv9g6vx2xz5xlcgy4xespz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhszxthwden5te0wfjkccte9eekummjwsh8xmmrd9skctc0xdvh8!
Thanks so much for your input here nostr:nprofile1qqsdtp2dtaeupj3du38lryhs66pqsgxs5sfqv9g6vx2xz5xlcgy4xespz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhszxthwden5te0wfjkccte9eekummjwsh8xmmrd9skctc0xdvh8🙏
https://image.nostr.build/d308aa9e69e3ffb9d5b19b8a80dc9e103cc6750e89efc4f8b044a4a4928c3fa0.jpg
Reminiscent of this:
https://youtu.be/AbSehcT19u0
😂😂😂
https://github.com/teambtcmap/btcmap.org/pull/186
-
@ 22050dd3:480c11ea
2025-04-09 02:22:39
Oh, I'll email too!
-
@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-04-09 02:22:22
This is why some people cannot have nice things. If you're a Nostrich without a blue check, you have very nice things. Such as no KYC social communication.
nostr:nevent1qqs29vj46sl9fezy0v3hcrtzew3z8wc4t4xdz5d02gayr3uyqsf3lagppemhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mp0qgsyvrp9u6p0mfur9dfdru3d853tx9mdjuhkphxuxgfwmryja7zsvhqrqsqqqqqpc3wmf0
-
@ 4a27cef3:51681fe1
2025-04-09 02:21:58
Sort of counter intuitive, huh? You'd think with the insane hash power and difficulty you wouldn't see blocks go in a few seconds anymore or blocks take an hour but still happens with the same regularity. It is all relative. Yeah it's exponentially harder to find the block but also exponentially more hashpower. Shot pattern doesn't tighten.
-
@ 8aedc871:924a7f05
2025-04-09 02:21:52
LOL. This guy!
nostr:nevent1qqsv38kcvd5a7y6nxcfxufjvu7qjzrgufnrsadxpm638ald0dd909aspzemhxw309ucnjv3wxymrst338qhrww3hxumnwkzwjh2
-
@ 22050dd3:480c11ea
2025-04-09 02:21:50
Do you mean malicious intent or the ability to interfere if a malicious actor got involved?
-
@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-04-09 02:20:31
Still? LOL.
-
@ 05972259:2932bae6
2025-04-09 02:20:16
I'm pretty sure that the people who made them that way wouldn't consider the any of what they were going to do was wrong.
And we are fools.
-
@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-04-09 02:20:12
They do. They didn't want to use it when it launched. They didn't like giving an app essentially full access to your wallet. Maybe they'll like the updates to the spec and allow users to create segregated or separate balances as others do now.
-
@ 6ece8bf3:25e93512
2025-04-09 02:19:27
About tree fiddy.
-
@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-04-09 02:18:51
Good idea. I'll email them too.
-
@ ee6ea13a:959b6e74
2025-04-09 02:18:31
They haven’t been here in a year, they probably have no clue what NWC even is.
-
@ 460c25e6:ef85065c
2025-04-09 02:17:00
With or without NWC???
-
@ 07804b78:c375c543
2025-04-09 02:16:22
首取りの翁
-
@ a723805c:0342dc9c
2025-04-09 02:14:25
4x 👀
nostr:note1yz7ey65xt0a0fxet5lmwnjv5j7sprpu27pygv0lh9gdf8zxf8suqj6pls0
-
@ a723805c:0342dc9c
2025-04-09 02:13:25
Nostr is a special place. Reflecting on the past couple years, the community is small, tight knit and constantly evolving. The people shift but the spirit remains. 💜
-
@ c8adf82a:7265ee75
2025-04-09 02:13:22
Precisely. Bitcoin is the worldly mirror, Bible is the spiritual mirror
-
@ 918183d5:6d699ae5
2025-04-09 02:13:19
"Welcome back" 🤣👍
-
@ 23218315:9866f2ed
2025-04-09 02:12:53
i'm an equal opportunity nut sack tapper gotta keep the fellas in check
-
@ ee11a5df:b76c4e49
2025-04-09 02:12:41
Depends. How much are you asking?
🤣
-
@ 12cfc2ec:6967f1d9
2025-04-09 02:11:56
Straight up gaslighting propaganda in the newest paper mario game then goes on to talk about how we need renewables and wind and solar are the best options.
https://image.nostr.build/43951cd3de8b32be2ebbe7d369130d07cfb8370acc1d68f7fce618747243ef0e.jpg
-
@ 460c25e6:ef85065c
2025-04-09 02:11:54
Wait, are people really paying for blue checks?
-
@ ee6ea13a:959b6e74
2025-04-09 02:11:03
So, I may have written an email to nostr:nprofile1qyt8wumn8ghj7etyv4hzumn0wd68ytnvv9hxgtcpz9mhxue69uhk6mnv9emrqmpwd9hj7qpqhcwcj72tlyk7thtyc8nq763vwrq5p2avnyeyrrlwxrzuvdl7j3use4zreu support about coming back to the United States, and I may have gotten a reply back just now:
“Thank you for reaching out! Were so glad you enjoyed using our app in the past. Our team is currently looking into this and any changes will be announced to the public.”
-
@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-04-09 02:10:38
With a nice pretty GUI for non technical people.
-
@ 4f2118e1:4e987729
2025-04-09 02:09:35
神仙打架，屁民遭殃。
都加到104%关税的话，那就相当于中美硬脱钩了，代价由底层屁民承担，高层依然活得很好。😢
-
@ 356875ff:bf96a2e8
2025-04-09 02:08:53
How do you send boomer bricks over the internet without recreating the Federal Reserve?
-
@ a723805c:0342dc9c
2025-04-09 02:08:35
Classic 🫶🏻
-
@ ee11a5df:b76c4e49
2025-04-09 02:08:25
Now that my `Signer` trait is async over sign(), encrypt() and decrypt() without triggering rust compiler bugs I'll be able to do this.
-
@ deab79da:88579e68
2025-04-09 02:08:18
My main use for my Switch these days is streaming my PC to my living room. Thankfully there is a great Moonlight client available for modded Switches. Combined with Sunshine on my PC it's a perfect solution.
https://moonlight-stream.org/
https://github.com/LizardByte/Sunshine
#gamestr
-
@ 790e5623:676251c9
2025-04-09 02:08:14
アルゴリズム行進🧎🚶🏃🚶🧎
-
@ 4f2118e1:4e987729
2025-04-09 02:06:45
🤔
https://image.nostr.build/c8320de25bcf4c4704886ac4f67ede8eaeb024e831f4fe1209a3a8a13a6f7c38.jpg
-
@ 8b925ace:e4116702
2025-04-09 02:06:36
🪷 Ready to learn how you can improve your healthspan? 🤗
🌞 Try it 100% FREE: https://www.myfreehealthreport.com/Byrdman 🍀
https://image.nostr.build/833b80bee785968167d705c0e7102344b1d9e0cbff219a43caf58277841c1b62.jpg
-
@ 5f1d4341:afd00fed
2025-04-09 02:06:29
Very interesting. I will also have a look at this great recommendation. Thanks.
-
@ 356875ff:bf96a2e8
2025-04-09 02:06:27
AI is going to rapidly displace women in the workplace. Probably by 2030.
Families are going to come back in style.
-
@ 7ed7d5c3:6927e200
2025-04-09 02:05:36
Good night ✌️🧡
-
@ 918183d5:6d699ae5
2025-04-09 02:04:03
I think 12 or 24 word are fine.
-
@ 8230c622:26642641
2025-04-09 02:03:47
Ohhh soo im stressing for nothing. I haven't filed in like 3-4 years tgats why. I think i should do something about that hahaha
-
@ 460c25e6:ef85065c
2025-04-09 02:02:49
Desktop devs, make a signer: https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/pull/1862
-
@ 1bc70a01:24f6a411
2025-04-09 02:02:33
That would be awesome 🤩
-
@ eeb11961:b8821b9e
2025-04-09 02:02:01
Loudest Jack White show I’ve been to. You can feel the bass.
#PalaceTheatre
https://m.primal.net/QJGD.mov
-
@ f52edbe4:48109e1a
2025-04-09 02:01:37
Tonight I seal this door,
not with anger,
but with truth.
You are free to go.
And I am free to dream alone.
Whatever is unsaid,
may it be said in silence.
Whatever was unfinished,
may it rest in peace.
Nagual, erase the thread in the dreambody.
Let them drift to where they belong.
https://image.nostr.build/ba917e5a285ade1d6665bd4f7f7319d5d8b809e3e0cd2d4f184a2e0d92e4eb37.jpg
-
@ deab79da:88579e68
2025-04-09 02:01:31
Hello 🫡🤝
-
@ 460c25e6:ef85065c
2025-04-09 02:01:28
We really need a signer for desktops.
-
@ c8adf82a:7265ee75
2025-04-09 02:01:23
33
-
@ c8adf82a:7265ee75
2025-04-09 01:59:25
Bitcoin is a test of faith and humility
-
@ 22050dd3:480c11ea
2025-04-09 01:58:41
What could go wrong?
-
@ c230edd3:8ad4a712
2025-04-09 01:58:40
I've never tried that but it probably would go well with it, maybe with a little bit of peanut sauce or something similar.
-
@ 9267545d:d4e3688a
2025-04-09 01:58:31
Please stop noticing things
-
@ 23218315:9866f2ed
2025-04-09 01:58:24
oh you're the only one is that right 👀👀👀👀👀👀👀👀
-
@ d2841371:02c90a2b
2025-04-09 01:57:48
Best 4 words I've read today 🔥
-
@ deab79da:88579e68
2025-04-09 01:57:42
MX is great for older hardware. It keeps my 11 year old MacBook useful 🤙
-
@ 6389be64:ef439d32
2025-04-09 01:57:30
I hated capers for a long time.
I finally reneged.
-
@ 6a02b7d5:3a13d02a
2025-04-09 01:57:16
I appreciate this one. I think the comments on nilism at the end are interestingly framed.
The idea that we only have knowledge of this life and that one day regardless of our truths we will cease to exist is a powerful idea that I took a long time to come to peace with. I don't have a god or an omnipresent individual in my mind. I believe that the Cartesian principle casts too much doubt on the greater question of what is here.
I choose to aim myself to better this place that I am experiencing because when I do it provides me greater emotions of pride, satisfaction, and love. It is my choice or it is a full illusion that I decide on how I proceed, but forward is always the direction. I act as if it is real because there are drastic consequences if I don't. Just like when you lucid dream you don't stop what you are experiencing and give in to the idea that it is false you lean in and try to make it the best you can. If we all die tomorrow I know that being on nostr and maintaining the security of the blockchain is a net positive in this life.
I hope you find the peace I sought, and intimately knew it was only within ourselves as we are thinking things, and currently, we seem to have these physical things that greatly allow for us to build and interact, hopefully with other thinking things.
Great job nostr:npub12eml5kmtrjmdt0h8shgg32gye5yqsf2jha6a70jrqt82q9d960sspky99g nostr:npub1z9hy7a0n8zxnhgrcew2nnkr4sx6sum07exve99pqq30leujye3usgd858n
I feel for the pyramid scam too
https://fountain.fm/episode/EdwFGeEVOdugxYa2bXki
-
@ 22050dd3:480c11ea
2025-04-09 01:56:33
It'll have been worth it 💪🏻
-
@ 44dc1c2d:31c74f0b
2025-04-09 01:55:23
🤌🤌
-
@ 6389be64:ef439d32
2025-04-09 01:55:14
Lemon caper cream sauce
-
@ 356875ff:bf96a2e8
2025-04-09 01:53:08
Japanese punk rock.
https://youtu.be/RYC71PAuIKE
nostr:nevent1qqsz4lx4nwwzrc790uparw4vq3k7wlfvm7p0jhfhne5s2sv2n2lx7wqzyr4tpe6k6v4cp0x5vneas39cqspsxp66z04tcdve5a3vntr6hy057qcyqqqqqqgcs90zm
-
@ a723805c:0342dc9c
2025-04-09 01:52:49
Nostr is the free market
-
@ d2841371:02c90a2b
2025-04-09 01:52:39
Capers 😍
-
@ 6d088b65:b6a8d5e9
2025-04-09 01:51:48
Gemini deepresearch对这篇文章的分析：
https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/hnmzYRpW8Ju1GI67AsaIjg
## 特朗普2025年4月7日关税声明的经济与历史分析
2025年4月7日，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普通过其社交媒体平台Truth Social发布声明，威胁将对中国进口商品征收额外的50%关税，并要求中国撤回其此前宣布的针对美国商品的34%报复性关税，截止日期为次日。此举引发了中国舆论的高度关注，一篇网络文章迅速将此事件解读为“特朗普相当于对我们宣战”。为了评估这一观点的准确性，本报告将从历史背景、经济影响、政治意图以及地缘战略等多个维度进行深入分析，并结合相关研究资料进行论证。
### 2025年4月7日关税声明的核实
根据多家新闻机构的报道，包括美联社、哥伦比亚广播公司（CBS）和半岛电视台在内，特朗普总统确实在2025年4月7日发出了对中国商品加征额外50%关税的威胁 。特朗普在Truth Social上的帖子明确指出，如果中国不在次日（4月8日）撤回其34%的报复性关税，美国将从4月9日起对中国商品征收额外的50%关税 。该声明还暗示将终止与中国就此问题进行进一步的会谈 。
值得注意的是，这一威胁是在特朗普总统于2025年4月2日宣布更广泛的关税政策之后发布的，该政策包括对几乎所有国家的进口商品征收10%的基本关税，并对包括中国在内的特定国家征收更高的“对等”关税，其中对中国的关税为34% 。因此，4月7日威胁加征的50%关税是在这些已经存在和计划实施的关税基础上额外的措施。针对特朗普的威胁，中国商务部于4月8日星期二回应称，中国将“战斗到底”，并采取反制措施以维护自身利益 。
文章中关于特朗普在4月7日宣布加征50%关税并要求立即撤回的说法基本属实，但具体时间节点略有出入。特朗普给中国设定的撤回关税的截止日期是次日，而50%的额外关税生效日期则定在4月9日 。此举并非孤立事件，而是中美两国贸易关系持续紧张、相互采取报复性关税措施背景下的又一次升级 。此外，通过社交媒体发布如此重要的政策声明，正如文章所指出的那样，暗示了决策过程可能缺乏充分的审议，并可能带有一定的临时性和个人情绪色彩 。
### 贸易战的历史背景
贸易战是国家之间因保护主义措施而引发的经济冲突，其主要表现形式为相互提高关税或其他贸易壁垒以报复对方的类似行为 。历史上，贸易战往往由保护国内产业和应对他国不正当贸易行为的意愿所驱动 。例如，19世纪的鸦片战争在一定程度上源于英国与中国之间的贸易冲突 。而1930年美国实施的《斯姆特-霍利关税法案》大幅提高了关税，引发了全球性的贸易报复，加剧了世界经济大萧条 。
虽然贸易战本质上是经济对抗，但历史表明，它们可能引发国际关系的紧张，甚至在某些情况下导致军事冲突 。例如，英荷战争就与贸易争端密切相关 。然而，需要明确的是，大多数定义将贸易战视为经济冲突，而非传统意义上的军事宣战 。文章中将特朗普的举动视为“宣战”，更可能是使用了一种比喻性的语言，旨在强调其经济侵略的严重性。
文章将当前的贸易冲突视为“生死战”和“除热战之外烈度最强的战争形式” ，这种观点反映了对极端经济措施可能造成的深远影响的担忧，其后果可能与军事冲突在某些方面具有可比性，尤其是在经济领域。历史经验表明，高额关税可能引发连锁反应，导致贸易伙伴采取报复措施，对全球经济造成损害 。文章中提及的“层层加码，囚徒困境”恰恰描述了这种风险，双方不断升级关税壁垒，最终可能导致双输的局面。此外，贸易政策的突然性和不可预测性，正如文章所言“永远不会让你有准备好的时候” ，也给企业和经济体带来了巨大的挑战 。
### 拟议关税的经济影响分析
拟议的对中国商品额外征收50%的关税，如果叠加在现有和计划实施的关税之上，将导致某些商品的累计关税税率超过100% 。如此高的关税水平对于大多数商品而言都将是惩罚性的，实际上会阻止中美之间大部分的贸易往来。包括耶鲁预算实验室和税务基金会在内的多个机构的经济分析预测，特朗普总统在2025年实施的更广泛的关税政策将导致美国国内消费品价格大幅上涨 。文章中对“经济群的读者”以及更广泛人群可能受到的影响的担忧是合理的。
这些关税预计还将显著降低美国的GDP增长，甚至可能引发经济衰退 。文章中对中国经济可能面临的后果的担忧与对美国经济的担忧相呼应。中国已经声明将对任何进一步的美国关税采取报复措施 ，这将进一步加剧两国经济的损害 。文章中提到的“层层加码，囚徒困境”准确地描述了这种动态。
如此高的关税的实施很可能导致全球供应链的严重中断，因为企业将寻求替代的商品和零部件来源 。正如文章所指出的，中国可能会向其他国家倾销更便宜的商品 ，以寻求重新导向出口。
文章将此举定义为“金融战” ，考虑到如此高的关税可能导致大规模的贸易中断、通货膨胀加剧以及金融市场的不稳定 ，这种说法具有一定的合理性。虽然这并非直接针对金融机构的攻击，但其经济后果可能对金融体系造成严重影响。文章中认为关税的主要目标是中国 (“贸易战的清单似乎针对全世界，实则主要瞄着的一直是中国”) 的观点也得到了一定的支持，因为即使在对其他国家普遍提高关税的背景下，威胁对中国加征额外的50%关税也显示出对中美双边贸易关系的特别关注 。文章中“我们是大象，躲不了的” 的比喻也恰恰说明了中美贸易体量巨大，中国很难避免受到美国贸易政策重大变化的影响。
### 2025年4月美国经济形势分析
文章认为，美国决定实施高额关税反映了“美国内部问题已经走向极端化，已经不可解决” 。虽然研究资料显示，2025年初美国经济增速放缓，通货膨胀持续，预算赤字问题依然存在 ，但用“极端化，已经不可解决”来形容可能过于夸张。然而，由于新宣布的贸易政策，美国经济前景确实面临着显著的挑战和不确定性。
文章提到“美元体系和贸易体系已经无法服务当下美国发展”，以及美联储加息周期“完全没有实现美元环流，导致了美元失控” 。研究资料对此的描述更为细致。虽然美元此前一直保持强势 ，但一些分析师预测，由于新的关税政策和投资者信心下降，美元可能会走弱 。美联储加息旨在控制通货膨胀，虽然对经济增长产生了一定的影响，但研究资料中并没有明确指出美元“失控”。
文章中提及“深层国家几十年下来创造的旧体系，开始被打烂” 。这更多是一种意识形态的表达，研究资料并未直接支持或反驳。然而，特朗普总统及其政府显然认为现有的全球贸易秩序对美国不公平，并积极寻求通过其“美国优先”的贸易政策来瓦解和重塑这一秩序 。
### 伊隆·马斯克对美国经济的看法
文章引用伊隆·马斯克的话称“美国离破产只有一步之遥” 。虽然提供的研究资料中没有完全相同的措辞，但证实了马斯克在2025年2月曾公开表达对美国国债和联邦赤字的担忧，并警告如果政府开支不加以控制，“美国将破产” 。马斯克特别指出，巨大的年度贸易逆差和浪费性的政府开支是关键问题 。他是在特朗普总统首次内阁会议和接受采访时发表这些言论的，强调需要进行财政改革 。因此，文章引用马斯克的观点基本准确地反映了他当时对美国经济状况的担忧。
### 美国贸易政策目标与特朗普的谈判策略
文章认为，特朗普的最终目的并非真正发动战争，而是“逼迫对手低头、让步、屈服，以获得最高的价码” 。这与“美国优先”的贸易政策目标相符，该政策旨在利用关税作为杠杆，为美国争取更有利的贸易协议，减少贸易逆差，并促使制造业回流 。
文章质疑这些策略的有效性，指出“并没有让特朗普家族获得多少收益，才几十亿美元的规模而已” 。研究资料没有提供关于特朗普家族从贸易政策中获得的具体财务收益或损失的数据。然而，资料确实强调了关税对股市的负面影响 ，这可能影响了他的个人财富。
文章提到特朗普希望利用贸易战迫使其他国家走上谈判桌，并可能通过美元贬值来刺激出口、平衡债务 。研究资料证实了特朗普进行谈判的意愿 以及他对贸易失衡和达成更公平协议的需求的关注 。通过贸易政策故意使美元贬值的想法在研究资料中没有明确说明，但可以从其刺激出口的关注点中推断出来。
文章认为特朗普的策略是“欺软怕硬”，并且让步只会导致无休止的要求 。这反映了对特朗普谈判风格的批评性看法。研究资料确实显示特朗普采取了强硬立场，并在他的要求没有得到满足的情况下威胁采取进一步行动 。
### 中欧贸易关系的作用
文章强调了欧盟态度的重要性，认为“中欧之间如果能有一定的默契，对于挫伤特朗普计划会发挥非常重要的作用” 。研究资料证实，欧盟对特朗普的关税持批评态度，并考虑采取报复措施 。虽然欧盟表示愿意与美国进行谈判 ，但也有人认识到，美国当时可能不愿意进行真正的谈判 。中欧贸易关系复杂，贸易额巨大，但欧洲对贸易不平衡和不公平做法的担忧也在增加 。一些分析认为，美国的贸易政策可能会无意中促使欧盟和中国走得更近，因为它们都面临来自华盛顿的压力 。
文章中关于欧洲可能在关键时刻“等等看”的观点 反映了欧盟成员国利益的复杂性以及在制定统一应对美国政策方面可能存在的内部分歧。文章最后认为中国最终需要依靠自身 (“就只有靠自己”) ，这突显了一种潜在的认识，即虽然与欧盟的合作可能是有益的，但中国的主要重点需要放在其自身的国内战略上，以应对贸易风暴，例如刺激内需和加速向世界市场转型。
### 结论：评估“宣战”的说法
综合以上分析，特朗普总统在2025年4月7日威胁对中国商品加征额外50%关税，并要求中国撤回其报复性关税的举动，无疑是中美贸易关系中一次严重的升级。从历史角度来看，虽然贸易战本身并不等同于传统意义上的军事宣战，但其可能造成的经济破坏和国际关系紧张程度，在某些方面可以与战争相提并论。文章将此举视为“宣战”，更多的是一种强烈的比喻，旨在强调其经济侵略的严重性以及可能对中国经济和全球贸易秩序造成的冲击。
拟议关税的经济影响将是巨大的，不仅会显著增加美国消费者的成本，还会严重损害中美两国的经济增长，并扰乱全球供应链。文章中对美国经济内部问题的分析，以及引用伊隆·马斯克对美国经济前景的担忧，都为理解特朗普政府采取如此激进贸易政策的背景提供了一定的视角。特朗普政府的“极限施压”策略旨在迫使中国做出让步，但其有效性以及对包括特朗普家族在内的各方利益的影响，仍然存在争议。
中欧贸易关系在此背景下显得尤为重要。如果中欧之间能够形成一定的共识，共同应对美国的贸易保护主义，将可能对特朗普政府的计划构成重要的制约。然而，欧盟内部的复杂性和潜在的分歧，以及中国自身所面临的挑战，都意味着最终的结果仍存在很大的不确定性。
总而言之，虽然将特朗普的关税威胁直接等同于军事宣战可能有所夸大，但其所代表的经济敌意和潜在的破坏性后果是不可忽视的。这一事件无疑是中美贸易关系中的一个重要节点，其未来的发展将对全球经济和地缘政治格局产生深远的影响。文章呼吁中国“相信国家，保持定力，丢掉幻想，准备斗争”，反映了在如此严峻的形势下，中国需要采取坚定的立场和全面的应对策略。
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@ f4d89779:2b522db9
2025-04-09 01:51:30
Day 8/31 I really miss lifting but back home now and I should be able to use the gym tomorrow. Today we got our top soil so I spent an hour filling up the beds and then 30 mins of indoor soccer with the kiddos #31days
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@ 1d80e558:91844d59
2025-04-09 01:50:26
#catstr
https://image.nostr.build/834f976b413ed7ea8633efdb948b0e4fe4d8d2474cd9a651b8139a47b809b0dd.jpg
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@ b83a28b7:35919450
2025-04-09 01:50:23
Very good. I was waiting for the metal part, but maybe that was the point
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@ 7ed7d5c3:6927e200
2025-04-09 01:50:21
Some kind of weird depressing messaging about:
- manufacturing is depressing
- fat people are depressing
- the two together are depressing squared, and that's what you're gonna get by "maKiNg AmErIca GreAT AgAin"
- Do you really want fat Americans to suffer the way we make Chinese slaves suffer today to make your clothes and iphones?
- in conclusion: tariff bad, WALL-E is the future Trump wants for you.
I agree. It's very bizarre and vague.
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@ 6389be64:ef439d32
2025-04-09 01:49:38
#foodstr
https://image.nostr.build/18371513905b7a364d84f3a028c9d17f3d313eb7f6d369618540b7c5fa7a6817.jpg
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@ d4bad8c2:b57136de
2025-04-09 01:49:09
make a wallet for ⚡
welcome
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@ 22050dd3:480c11ea
2025-04-09 01:46:51
Thanks for the idea!
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@ 1afe0c74:6808e36d
2025-04-09 01:46:34
Just say… yes.
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@ a723805c:0342dc9c
2025-04-09 01:45:53
17
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@ c230edd3:8ad4a712
2025-04-09 01:45:31
nostr:nprofile1qqsymsh9wrz5lmurz0arqn6jjaqyfmtvz2z3qpfxqz5msnvr0wqjd7gpzamhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuurjd9kkzmpwdejhgtcpzpmhxue69uhkummnw3ezumt0d5hszrnhwden5te0dehhxtnvdakz75a6mv8 ?? 👀
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@ e07773a9:4a98108a
2025-04-09 01:45:01
Lunch time walk. A little bit of rain today.
https://i.nostr.build/yTH4SS83lzmM1pmO.jpg
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@ 22050dd3:480c11ea
2025-04-09 01:44:54
Well, I'm a very well-seasoned traveler and try to use Bitcoin whenever possible and also try to spread adoption literally everytime I purchase something. However, I don't get to use Bitcoin that much, so it's not like I live exclusively off of it directly. But travel and Bitcoin are two massive passions of mone and I'd like to marry the two. I feel like there's definitely a marriage to be made, I'm just not sure exactly what it is...
And no, no podcasting experience, but I have YouTube experience.
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@ 460c25e6:ef85065c
2025-04-09 01:43:49
https://comet.md 👀👀
nostr:nevent1qqsttf4mmdkcm6qxhmzr9eqvm6qp8ef5sf4ts3hwuutyj3awy9w5d8spzemhxue69uhkummnw3ex2mrfw3jhxtn0wfnj7q3qygzj9skr9val9yqxkf67yf9jshtyhvvl0x76jp5er09nsc0p3j6qxpqqqqqqza247k9
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@ a723805c:0342dc9c
2025-04-09 01:43:15
Wisconsin is like the cheese center of the universe. They have it all
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@ b83a28b7:35919450
2025-04-09 01:43:13
That’s grounds for cancellation, good ser
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@ 56d5de36:3988a572
2025-04-09 01:42:41
My home town. Circa 1956. https://i.nostr.build/phqqXSfT6tl4jWSh.jpg
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@ 460c25e6:ef85065c
2025-04-09 01:42:31
Did you try changing the settings to the complete UI mode?