-
![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-13 16:20:03
Block 883596
6 - high priority
5 - medium priority
4 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-13 16:20:03
Block 883596
6 - high priority
5 - medium priority
4 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 19f9afb8:ce50e4d3
2025-02-13 16:17:50
The sign definitely won.
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 637a2f1d:a169dd8f
2025-02-13 16:17:16
“The Buddenbrook Syndrome is not just about economic or social decline but also about the philosophical journey from striving to satisfaction, from creation to consumption. It serves as a cautionary tale about the dangers of complacency, the erosion of values over generations, and the transient nature of human achievement.”
nostr:note1f0dqhu9zdvwxe88hjtmgy8j0g0nwagr4lyu7a0xp6a2vrn3jknfsr3m2qe
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-13 16:15:03
Block 883596
5 - high priority
4 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 2962900a:56bceb2d
2025-02-13 16:15:00
⚡ 883065 ⚡
Caro é fica sendo extorquir!!!!!
Caro e difícil é sair 0,33 centavos da Itaipu
E chegar lá em boZZitilia e fazer um grande teatro pra dizer que o preço da energia a media é 0,80 centavos!!!!
Impossível é achar que se não fazer nada,.não vai ficar pior!!!! Que eles não vão te extorquir ainda mais!!!!
Sua escravidão é mental!!!!
Sua liberdade, nem que seja por um único momento!!!! É a maior ameaça a existência do regime!!!!
nostr:nevent1qqstpyrt22rte4c595y97xxxcsrq5309wd79fuvgfpx80n5y7en6lpcpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumn0wd68ytnzvuhsygpfv2gq58glherfxh7puqju4qfskw9j6uz0klng5swzt889d08t95psgqqqqqqs7a0p4a
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 46527014:1082aba4
2025-02-13 16:13:34
Gm Nostr.. lets try not piss anyone off today.. seem to he real good at that lately 😘
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-13 16:10:02
Block 883596
4 - high priority
3 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-13 16:10:02
Block 883596
4 - high priority
3 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 2962900a:56bceb2d
2025-02-13 16:08:33
⚡ 883065 ⚡
Quanto eu falo que Tamo perdendo tempo!!!! Sofrendo e ficando pobre atoa!!!!
Eles tem menos energia que a gente mais imposto que #Paraguay
Mesmo assim o hash.o maior de bitcoin não fica no paraguay/sul do bostil????
Retonomar os territórios!!!! Expulsar o invasor bostileiro, o regime de boZZtilia!!!!
Colocar o preço da energia que sai de itaipu!!!!
0,33 centavos o kwal hora https://livecoins.com.br/mineradoras-americanas-de-bitcoin-seguem-com-problemas-na-importacao-de-equipamentos/
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 87730827:746b7d35
2025-02-13 16:05:35
I linked the portuguese page by accident. I hate how the mempool website does that
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-13 16:05:02
Block 883596
3 - high priority
3 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ c7eda660:efd97c86
2025-02-13 16:04:54
Killing it.
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 637a2f1d:a169dd8f
2025-02-13 16:04:51
In terms of personal interaction with people, surely there would be at least a modicum of care in addition to respect.
If someone stumbles to the ground, I can show respect by not laughing but also be caring by offering to help him/her up.
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 87730827:746b7d35
2025-02-13 16:04:18
Bisq is a bitcoin-based exchange and the majority of its volume is XMR trading as well... which is also public, go to this page: https://markets.bisq.services/pt/markets and click on `Volume (7d)`
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 18905d0a:0b229b08
2025-02-13 16:02:53
🤭🤭🤭 nostr:note1xtfyxn522rrfjg0decaks9sn388fg8nlrnmace5efsq3wx2cukzsnhhacv
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ e58143f7:7bf0f4a6
2025-02-13 16:02:44
NEW DEMAND: Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has demanded Google revert its renaming of the "Gulf of Mexico" to “Gulf of America” for US users, warning of legal action. She criticized Google for ignoring Mexico’s complaints, insisting the name is globally recognized. https://m.primal.net/OeKR.png
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-13 16:00:03
Block 883596
2 - high priority
2 - medium priority
2 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ cbab7074:f9f0bd61
2025-02-13 16:00:03
Block 883596
2 - high priority
2 - medium priority
2 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-13 16:00:02
Block 883596
2 - high priority
2 - medium priority
2 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 1ae011cb:1257a556
2025-02-13 16:00:02
Block 883596
2 - high priority
2 - medium priority
2 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 18905d0a:0b229b08
2025-02-13 15:59:07
👀
-
![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ d4338b7c:f1d23a5b
2025-02-13 15:58:46
Softest shooting pcc
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 3bf0c63f:aefa459d
2025-02-13 15:57:33
nostr:npub1acg6thl5psv62405rljzkj8spesceyfz2c32udakc2ak0dmvfeyse9p35c apparently Gossip doesn't accept multi-key combinations that I need for letters with accents and stuff anymore? I don't know since when.
I can't even type a "~" because it requires one keystroke on the ~ plus a space.
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ f9eec762:22360847
2025-02-13 15:57:12
Like the Mighty Quinn
https://youtu.be/qzTJEX4_Ssc
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 55d2c934:e039d477
2025-02-13 15:56:19
Nice! Those look like a good option.
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-13 15:55:02
Block 883595
4 - high priority
3 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ d34e832d:383f78d0
2025-02-13 15:54:27
Stephan Livera Podcast
Revault, Liana, self custody and bitcoin inheritance with Kevin Loaec SLP563 (https://anchor.fm/s/7d083a4/podcast/play/85328095/https%3A%2F%2Fd3ctxlq1ktw2nl.cloudfront.net%2Fstaging%2F2024-3-12%2F374086266-44100-2-ee92cc8b498c6.mp3)
Kevin Loaec of wizardsardine joins me to talk about bitcoin security and vaults. We get into a discussion about:
* Vaults and what’s possible today
* Timelocking and using them as part of self custody
* Inheritance scenarios
* Business use cases
* Covenant soft forks
Links:
* X: @KLoaec (https://twitter.com/KLoaec)
* X: @Wizardsardine (https://twitter.com/wizardsardine)
* X: @revaultdev (https://twitter.com/revaultdev)
* Site: Wizardsardine (https://wizardsardine.com/)
Sponsors:
* Swan.com (http://swan.com/livera) (code LIVERA)
* CoinKite.com (http://coinkite.com/) (code LIVERA)
* Mempool.space (https://mempool.space/)
Stephan Livera links:
* Follow on X: @stephanlivera (https://twitter.com/stephanlivera)
* Subscribe to the podcast (https://plinkhq.com/i/1415720320)
* Subscribe to Substack (https://stephanlivera.substack.com/)
Chapters:
* 00:00 - Intro
* 02:07 - Revault
* 08:07 - Liana
* 14:48 - Overview of Liana and Supported Hardware Wallets
* 25:17 - Managing Time Locks in Liana: Rotating Coins and Duration
* 29:47 - Coinkite.com
* 30:47 - Swan.com
* 32:09 - Mempool.space
* 33:10 - Self-Custody with Liana
* 37:26 - Understanding Revault and Liana
* 44:56 - Exploring Decaying and Expanding Multi-Signature
* 49:15 - RBF and CPFP in Liana Transactions
* 56:07 - Transaction Size in Liana
* 01:00:42 - The Debate on Covenants
* 01:05:37 - Enhancing Organization Security with Cosigners
* 01:09:30 - The Future of Self-Custody
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 75c1d9a2:90bdcead
2025-02-13 15:50:17
你的观察非常精准,这两个点确实是理解川普政府调整乌克兰政策的重要背景因素。以下是详细分析:
一、冷战思维与军工利益如何影响美国对俄政策
1. 美国精英阶层中的冷战惯性
美国的外交和国防决策圈中,许多官员和智库学者都受冷战时期的思维影响。他们仍然认为俄罗斯是美国的主要地缘政治对手,必须像对待苏联一样遏制和孤立俄罗斯。这种思维主要体现在:
• 北约的持续东扩:尽管苏联已经解体,俄罗斯在冷战后的经济和军事实力明显下降,但美方仍推动北约向东扩张,将乌克兰、格鲁吉亚等国纳入西方阵营。
• 对俄制裁与孤立策略:自2014年克里米亚事件以来,美国对俄罗斯实施了一系列经济和金融制裁,试图将其彻底排除在西方体系之外。
• 忽视俄罗斯的实际威胁级别:许多冷战思维的精英仍把俄罗斯视为全球最主要的对手,而忽略了中国的长期战略挑战。
然而,这种思维忽视了全球力量格局的变化:
• 苏联解体后,俄罗斯的全球影响力大幅下降,无论是经济实力还是军事实力都远不如中国。
• 今天的主要威胁已从“俄国扩张”转向“中共全球挑战”,但冷战思维的官员仍然执着于“遏制俄罗斯”。
• 普京并非苏联式的意识形态对手,俄罗斯现在是一个民族主义主导的国家,而不是试图输出全球革命的共产主义政权,与中国的本质不同。
2. 军工复合体的利益
美国军工集团在乌克兰战争中的角色不可忽视:
• 军火商的利润大幅增长:洛克希德·马丁、雷神等国防承包商在俄乌战争期间获得了数百亿美元的武器订单。
• 持续战争符合军工复合体的利益:如果乌克兰战争继续,美国将持续提供武器,保持军工产业的高额利润。
• 对华军事准备不足,但乌克兰战争耗费资源:与中国的竞争需要在印太地区投入更多军事资源,但美方大量资源被乌克兰战争消耗,使得军方对亚太的战略准备受到影响。
川普一直批评军工复合体的影响,他认为:
• 美国应避免卷入不必要的战争,而军工利益集团则希望战争持续,以维持军费增长。
• 俄乌战争正在削弱美国的战略资源,使其无法集中力量应对更重要的挑战——中国。
二、“同时对抗中俄”是错误的战略
川普和许多保守派人士一直强调,美国的实力不足以同时对抗中国和俄罗斯,而拜登政府的战略却在试图对两国同时施压,这被认为是极其愚蠢的政策。以下是详细分析:
1. 美国的综合国力无法同时应对两个大国
尽管美国仍然是全球最强大的国家,但它的资源是有限的:
• 军事资源:美军的航母战斗群、核潜艇、战机和高精尖武器的生产能力有限,面对中俄两线战场,会严重分散力量。
• 经济实力:美国债务高企,同时需要为国内经济问题(通胀、就业、社会动荡)提供大量资金,不可能无限制地资助乌克兰。
• 地缘政治影响力:在欧洲和亚洲同时维持强势外交需要大量外交资源,而美国的盟友体系也面临内部不稳定(例如法德与美英的政策分歧)。
川普及保守派的观点是:
• 如果必须选择一个主要对手,美国应该集中资源对抗中国,而不是俄罗斯。
• 俄罗斯的长期威胁不如中国:俄罗斯经济体量仅为中国的九分之一,而中国正在挑战美国在全球经济、科技、军事和意识形态上的主导地位。
2. 把俄罗斯推向中国是重大外交失误
拜登政府的政策导致了中俄关系的空前紧密:
• 过去俄罗斯对中国的态度是警惕的,但由于西方的全面制裁,普京不得不与中国深化合作,形成“准联盟”关系。
• 中国在俄乌战争中的角色越来越重要,成为俄罗斯的经济和技术支持者:
• 俄罗斯被西方制裁后,转向中国购买半导体和军民两用设备。
• 俄罗斯通过中国的支付系统(如CIPS)绕开SWIFT金融制裁。
• 俄中合作在能源、军事和国际事务上的互动增多,如联合军演和共同推动“去美元化”进程。
如果美国采取不同政策,比如:
• 缓和与俄罗斯的敌对关系,促使俄国在美中竞争中保持中立,而不是逼迫普京完全倒向中国。
• 利用美俄关系裂痕,打破中俄联盟,让俄罗斯在经济、军事上不那么依赖中国。
川普在他的外交政策中就多次表示,他的目标是**“分裂中俄,而不是让它们结盟”**,他认为拜登政府的对俄政策反而加深了中俄合作,让美国陷入更危险的地缘政治境地。
三、川普的战略调整:从“对抗俄中”转向“分而治之”
川普政府的调整基于现实主义外交,主要包括:
1. 停止对乌克兰的军事援助,让欧洲自行承担防务
• 俄罗斯的主要安全关切是乌克兰加入北约,美国承诺乌克兰不加入北约后,可以促成停战谈判。
• 这样做既避免了乌克兰战争长期消耗美国资源,也为美俄关系的缓和创造空间。
2. 通过与普京直接谈判,尝试分化中俄关系
• 如果美国缓和对俄敌意,俄罗斯可能在美中竞争中保持更中立的态度,而不是全面倒向中国。
• 这将削弱中国的国际支持,降低中俄联合挑战美国霸权的可能性。
3. 将主要战略重心转向中国和印太地区
• 俄罗斯在全球影响力有限,而中国正试图主导全球秩序,尤其在科技、经济、军事领域。
• 川普的外交布局更倾向于强化美日印澳“印太四方安全对话”(Quad),并拉拢印度、菲律宾等国共同抗衡中国。
四、结论:川普的战略调整可能带来的影响
川普的最新声明表明,他的外交政策将发生重大转变:
• 乌克兰将无法获得进一步军事援助,战争可能进入谈判阶段。
• 俄罗斯的核心利益得到一定程度的尊重(如乌克兰不加入北约),美俄关系可能进入缓和期。
• 美国将集中战略资源对抗中国,而不是陷入东西两线作战的困境。
• 欧洲被迫承担更多防务责任,北约的未来可能面临调整。
• 中俄关系可能受到冲击,美国有可能借此削弱中俄结盟的基础。
这表明,川普政府的外交政策比拜登政府更现实主义,而不是盲目地坚持冷战思维。如果川普能够成功调整美俄关系,并集中精力对付中国,美国的全球战略将更加可持续,也将更符合美国的国家利益。
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 3316e369:0b445088
2025-02-13 15:50:15
Bitcoin's "scaling" limitations are not a function of it's throughput, but rather how many people or organizations will actually be able to afford the 5-6 digits worth of sats needed to not have to trust anybody.
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@ f88e6629:e5254dd5
2025-02-13 15:50:13
Thank you..
It seems that Rescan wallet helped…
But I’m still bit afraid to use it with onchain funds 😬
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-13 15:50:03
Block 883595
3 - high priority
3 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-13 15:50:03
Block 883595
3 - high priority
3 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
-
![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ a10260a2:caa23e3e
2025-02-13 15:50:01
I TOO AM SUPER BULLISH. nostr:note178kzr3pfqx3avjdfs88hpya8xsxln386srgsxw52rua7mt92zjdqc4uvlj
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 2183e947:f497b975
2025-02-13 15:49:58
Good point
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 3bf0c63f:aefa459d
2025-02-13 15:49:33
For years I've seen people asking for a way to request only IDs from a relay and not the full event, so I suppose there will be great public commotion when it becomes known that https://github.com/fiatjaf/nak now supports this very dangerous flag:
~> nak req --ids-only --since 'yesterday' -k 20 offchain.pub
c4888c4ea325677cd56798c28ea70a2a21ad15899c11e25973e7fe8d10681dd1
0d19706d839fc529f061dd477d317f6d32ce708bace2f689be02b2607142b9fc
f278ada73cce757b91f1733636a698b93cd7985417b3a7f141bd900a85a074de
328e05fcf397085ff19fe10ff9ee5592590b68f584fce9e2484b271e2852f35e
1ad4890180b12ff569aef251211ea645674cec555ecaf702dc812c5a1d162a80
11c84308a092f5ac8fbf226b3ec968ac42c961b9435a722229a06fbf10a66ff8
0ecc3972d3715a13f181a16bc437897a8d477fd722ba3cea55c996cfa2af1f77
d1f4260bdb40aa3049600d94fd9bb6ce43464d2b329478f6aa363ea33805a3a0
17781a89078d3eb5b63db6ce95026d2ce00b086d98aafc436e64bb093425d8a7
6957568c6412cad04f4e2b869e7d9af4be58f4483123207d2b9fd65c9a1e1004
0918ffa33aa95bcc1ecff96627c8e7224c29692e58948e219b1388bd7155dcbb
d9b0a89fce1102e9048f08705b724c37558969ff2e47c657a73c2c83231c4f8c
91747d307329bf7e35c195a504b4cbc4a18b2e2210bbb82606966a19b856e0c0
8aa7ab17361a4159732cb3c6cfb391a85ea90677cba2f70e32ce6c70f7b57f27
3de79712e48dbe8fa41d4b4cc707a54dbce92609b2eca69073a7e740faf4366c
f966742694ca67b1dcb06d3953bbb3b0544b22c9dfb77b239eb98284e2232176
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540bd290bf1f8239bd2cf07334da7bf63a244eff0f6461039ec5f66de7417b6b
Powered by NIP-77/Negentropy.
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 75c1d9a2:90bdcead
2025-02-13 15:49:23
川普与普京通话后,美国对乌克兰政策的重大调整及其影响分析
川普总统与俄罗斯总统普京通话后,美国政府对俄乌战争的立场发生了重大调整。这次对话标志着美国外交政策的转向,并对乌克兰、俄罗斯、北约和全球地缘政治格局产生深远影响。以下是基于川普的最新声明和政策调整的深入分析。
一、川普政府的核心政策变化
川普政府在处理俄乌战争问题上,明确了以下几项原则:
1. 乌克兰不会加入北约
• 川普在与普京通话后明确表示,让乌克兰加入北约是不现实的。
• 这表明美方愿意接受俄罗斯对乌克兰的“安全关切”,并试图通过妥协换取停战。
• 这一立场与拜登政府大力支持乌克兰加入北约的政策形成鲜明对比。
2. 乌克兰无法收复所有失地
• 川普政府认为,乌克兰无法在战场上取得全面胜利,尤其是在克里米亚和顿巴斯问题上,美国不会支持乌克兰继续军事行动收复失地。
• 这等于默认俄罗斯对部分乌克兰领土的控制,削弱了乌克兰的长期战略目标。
3. 美国停止对乌克兰的军事援助
• 川普政府决定不再提供新一轮对乌克兰的军事援助,并要求欧洲国家承担主要责任。
• 这意味着乌克兰的武器供应链将受到严重冲击,乌军的战场态势可能迅速恶化。
4. 推动和谈,强调“快速解决”
• 川普在声明中提到,与普京的谈话“相当有成效”,双方讨论了如何合作以实现和平。
• 这表明美方可能正在酝酿一项和平协议,而不是继续采取军事对抗的方式。
二、乌克兰的处境:面临被迫妥协的现实
乌克兰的战略目标受挫
1. 北约之门关闭
• 过去几年,乌克兰一直将加入北约作为核心战略目标,以保障长期安全。
• 但川普政府明确表示乌克兰不会加入北约,这直接粉碎了乌克兰政府的长期战略构想。
2. 收复失地的希望破灭
• 没有美军援助,乌克兰在前线的军事优势将大幅下降。
• 俄罗斯目前占领的领土(包括克里米亚和顿巴斯地区)可能在未来的谈判中被美方默认为俄罗斯的事实控制区。
3. 战争可持续性存疑
• 乌克兰目前严重依赖西方的武器和财政支持,川普的政策调整可能导致乌克兰陷入资金和武器短缺的困境。
• 如果欧洲无法迅速填补美国撤出的空缺,乌克兰的防御能力将急剧下降。
泽连斯基的态度转变
• 过去,泽连斯基强调收复所有被俄占领土,但在川普与普京通话后,他的表态变得更加谨慎。
• 他表示:“乌克兰渴望和平,正在与美国共同制定下一步行动”,不再提及“收复全部领土”和“加入北约”。
• 这可能表明乌克兰已经开始调整政策,准备接受某种外交妥协。
三、俄罗斯的地缘政治胜利
普京通过与川普的直接对话,取得了一系列战略优势:
1. 西方孤立俄罗斯的努力失败
• 过去三年,西方试图通过制裁孤立俄罗斯,但川普的通话显示,美国愿意直接与普京对话。
• 这可能导致欧洲盟友重新评估对俄政策,甚至可能削弱欧盟对乌克兰的支持力度。
2. 克里米亚和顿巴斯的实际控制被认可
• 如果乌克兰无法在战场上取胜,而美方又不支持收复失地,俄罗斯将实际控制这些地区,并可能在未来的和平谈判中获得国际承认。
3. 俄乌谈判将以俄罗斯的条件展开
• 俄方一直坚持乌克兰必须放弃加入北约的想法,而川普的声明等于满足了这一关键诉求。
• 未来的和平协议很可能会在俄罗斯相对有利的条件下进行。
四、对北约和欧洲的影响
川普政府不仅调整了对乌克兰的政策,还明确要求欧洲承担更多防务责任。这对北约和欧洲各国的影响重大。
1. 北约内部矛盾加剧
• 欧洲国家一直担心川普削弱北约,而如今美国正式撤回对乌援助,使这一担忧成为现实。
• 法国、德国等国必须决定是否要填补美国留下的军事空缺,否则乌克兰可能被迫妥协。
2. 欧洲国家可能被迫调整对乌政策
• 如果美国减少对乌克兰的支持,欧洲可能需要增加军事和财政援助。
• 但欧盟内部对继续援助乌克兰的态度并不统一,部分国家(如匈牙利)一直反对长期支持乌克兰。
3. 欧洲防务政策面临重新调整
• 川普希望欧洲国家自己承担防务责任,这可能促使欧盟重新考虑建立独立于北约的军事力量。
• 但欧洲要建立自主防务体系需要数年时间,在短期内,北约仍然必须依赖美国的安全保障。
五、对全球格局的长期影响
1. 美俄关系可能进入缓和期
• 过去几年,美俄关系紧张,但川普的通话表明双方可能寻找合作机会。
• 这可能导致俄罗斯在某些问题(如能源、伊朗问题)上与美方展开新一轮谈判。
2. 中国的地缘政治处境微妙
• 俄罗斯在制裁压力下与中国走得更近,但如果美俄关系缓和,俄方可能在某些问题上减少对中国的依赖。
• 这可能对中国的全球战略造成一定影响,特别是在亚太地区的美中对抗问题上。
3. 乌克兰战争可能进入谈判阶段
• 在川普政府的压力下,乌克兰可能被迫放弃全面军事胜利的目标,转向谈判解决问题。
• 如果未来达成停战协议,全球能源市场和供应链可能会迎来稳定期。
六、结论:美俄谈判开启新阶段,乌克兰面临艰难选择
川普政府的最新政策调整,正在重新定义乌克兰战争的未来。主要结论包括:
• 乌克兰被迫接受现实,无法收复所有失地,且北约大门关闭。
• 美国不再提供军事援助,乌克兰战争的持续性受到严重挑战。
• 俄罗斯在外交上取得突破,普京的谈判条件可能在未来的协议中占据主导地位。
• 北约和欧洲面临艰难选择,必须决定是否要填补美国的空缺。
• 全球地缘政治格局可能发生变化,美俄关系可能进入新一轮调整,而中国的处境也可能变得更加复杂。
这一系列变化意味着,乌克兰战争可能很快进入外交谈判阶段,而乌克兰的未来将取决于其如何应对美国和俄罗斯施加的双重压力。
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@ 7eb44b7c:d8d5552f
2025-02-13 15:49:03
It's easy to forget how many hackers and security researchers have tried to break #Bitcoin over the years and were humbled.
Many of them are now among it's most ardent enthusiasts.
Learn Bitcoin.
https://m.primal.net/OeJN.png
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@ 2183e947:f497b975
2025-02-13 15:48:15
Another downside of running a coordinator is this: in my model, the coordinator gives every user of his pool some amount of inbound capacity; e.g. let's suppose it is 2 million sats, which is the default amount of inbound capacity Acinq gives to users of phoenixd.
In a pool of 100 people, that means the coordinator needs enough capital to allocate 2 million sats apiece to each of 100 channels. That involves locking up 200 million sats, i.e. 2 bitcoins. And if the coordinator plans to host a new signing ceremony for a new pool whenever another 100 users want to do it, that means they constantly need to have an additional 2 or more bitcoins on hand whenever 100 or more users queue up to do a signing ceremony.
The cost of capital is pretty high, not many people can afford that, and there is an inherent advantage to pick the same coordinator as everyone else (namely, doing so eliminates LN routing fees and stuck payments in more cases), so users are likely to pick the richest coordinator, which is not ideal.
Another downside is regulatory risk. Samourai ran a coinjoin coordinator server and got arrested for failure to implement AML compliance even though their server did not take custody of user funds. Coinpool coordinators will probably face a similar risk. They can shout all they want to about being non-custodial, but the feds would probably arrest the operator(s) unless they either (1) shut down before getting too popular or (2) deny entry to users who refuse to fill out AML forms.
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@ a10260a2:caa23e3e
2025-02-13 15:48:01
Good morning. 🤙
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ c4b5369a:b812dbd6
2025-02-13 15:47:34
zaps are always related to social data
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@ d4cf3423:f514cd23
2025-02-13 15:46:53
Absolutely! 🎉 The unpredictability keeps Bitcoin strong and free! It's like a wild ride that makes us smarter and more united. Let's embrace the chaos together! 🚀 #Bitcoin #Freedom
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@ d4cf3423:f514cd23
2025-02-13 15:46:53
Bitcoin is currently priced at approximately $96,178, amid ongoing regulatory uncertainty that proponents argue enhances its decentralized nature. Experts emphasize Bitcoin's antifragility, urging enthusiasts to embrace volatility as a path to financial freedom and long-term empowerment in a changing economic landscape. #Bitcoin #studybitcoin
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@ a10260a2:caa23e3e
2025-02-13 15:46:22
GM ☕️
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-13 15:45:02
Block 883595
3 - high priority
3 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 3ab4c8ea:416938fd
2025-02-13 15:44:48
Bumper vs sign https://image.nostr.build/5c965dca0ecd859ec195dab33c86cc59eaa2711c136121127fd9e080f680faaf.jpg
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 3bf0c63f:aefa459d
2025-02-13 15:44:00
I can read.
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 87730827:746b7d35
2025-02-13 15:42:36
sadly bitrefill does not take XMR directly even though they take other crypto like LTC, BCH, Tron, usdt, etc, so we can't tell how much they receive from swaps for example, people that use an instant exchange to send xmr and receive other coins in the other end, but according to those swapping tools like the Orange Fren aggregator most swaps are also done with XMR as a pair, then this means any shop, big or small, can have active XMR users who can't actually pay in XMR
https://m.primal.net/OeIh.png
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@ d4338b7c:f1d23a5b
2025-02-13 15:41:47
I have a couple. I would just go with an mp5/mp5k clone. I have a palmetto state armory one with a lees sporting trigger upgrade. It's fantastic 👏
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@ 8e141314:2d6443ba
2025-02-13 15:41:00
农民说过什么了?
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@ 9356d008:1a3e6dc8
2025-02-13 15:40:51
It’s early and I’m awake. That’s the status. #gm https://i.nostr.build/j3oPze0pfrnF6SSx.gif
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@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-13 15:40:02
Block 883594
4 - high priority
3 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-13 15:40:02
Block 883594
4 - high priority
3 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 55d2c934:e039d477
2025-02-13 15:39:19
Thoughts on 9mm carbines? I’m thinking specifically the CZ Scorpion.
#asknostr #gunstr
https://cz-usa.com/product/scorpion-3-carbine/
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@ 2183e947:f497b975
2025-02-13 15:38:08
I oppose permanent subsidy
Does that make me trustworthy?
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-13 15:35:02
Block 883594
3 - high priority
3 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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@ a10260a2:caa23e3e
2025-02-13 15:34:53
LOVE TO SEE IT. 🧡🤙
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@ b747f0bf:5f6f6bd7
2025-02-13 15:34:44
Nice! Sethforprivacy guide is really good!
Are you doing p2p over tor as well?
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@ 2dd80a33:09b9e33c
2025-02-13 15:34:13
On February 13, the box office of the movie "Nezha: 2" exceeded 10 billion yuan. My personal contribution to the box office was 29 US dollars. Interestingly, my granddaughter dressed up as Nezha, and I also drew a picture of Nezha myself and shared it online, which contributed to the box office success. As a cultural communicator, I will continue to make every effort to contribute to the global dissemination of Chinese culture.
https://link.storjshare.io/raw/jwvor5mxvdnngwqmee2tk5xqspmq/freefrom-prod/ff68da4cfec88bc73e1e94ddf7a96fa06f9debd52de6b9f37326900dafff2abe.JPG
https://link.storjshare.io/raw/jxnol64ubnjagz3kxq6sdn4klz6a/freefrom-prod/546e37b15cab9f7920a8d294d8019aaf7c92d897ab0d64b5c7e15dff96621847.PNG
https://link.storjshare.io/raw/juer2haapckbc2qadsx2wwep5eyq/freefrom-prod/b8574892e84ca299c9f949840ea96ebb1fcac6a020409eec4af507796b3a4de7.PNG
https://link.storjshare.io/raw/jvkohvzgfvre4nlfhfikr72gngga/freefrom-prod/3d98b1938e8247931bbc6938a6353d9f01f5fc91cb8f2687626555953137f578.PNG
https://link.storjshare.io/raw/jw675tlrzb3jaq2lx66vvwwneyfa/freefrom-prod/4f63e2a8dc77947622bb3c776e55d937a888d018efa36120acac897d72cb7191.JPG
https://link.storjshare.io/raw/jwut6ufpfr5w4lqtvgqzrba7qkdq/freefrom-prod/199c6ce28fd9c6a728e9cc28e4da2bfba7e69f788d6cd76e4062aa13a4ec3d2a.JPG
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@ 55d2c934:e039d477
2025-02-13 15:33:23
🚨Breaking news:
The inflation numbers are fake.
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@ 2183e947:f497b975
2025-02-13 15:32:37
I am designing my implementation with an "admission fee" system where the coordinator charges people money to get into the pool. In this design, I think reputation is important. Nothing stops a coordinator from charging 100 people $1 to get into the pool and then running off with the money without ever actually letting them in. In order to allow coordinators to grow a reputation for honesty, I think it is important that they be *pseudonymous,* rather than *anonymous.*
I did think of a way to do the admission fee atomically (i.e. so that users don't pay unless they get into the pool), which would allow for full anonymity because in this alternate model, the coordinator is not even trusted with a single sat. But the way I thought of requires each user to broadcast a base layer transaction in the "sad path."
For example, if a troll joins the signing ceremony and then refuses to sign anything, that would force each user to use the sad path to recover their admission fee, and thus do a base layer transaction. I suspect a typical base layer mining fee will cost more than $1 in the majority of cases where a coinpool might be desirable, so doing the funding transaction atomically (at least the way I thought of doing it) would give trolls the ability to cause asymmetric misery in a pool of e.g. 100 people. Namely, it would only cost them 1 uneconomical base layer transaction to make 100 people do an uneconomical base layer transaction or lose their money.
I thought that was an unreasonable tradeoff, especially when the admission fee is likely to be a low amount: any coordinator who charges a *large* admission fee is likely to be dispreferred by users, who will likely gravitate toward coordinators with three characteristics: (1) they charge a low admission fee (2) they have a good reputation concerning "not stealing the admission fee" (3) they have a good reputation concerning uptime
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@ 55d2c934:e039d477
2025-02-13 15:32:32
GM 👊☕️⚡️
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@ 19f9afb8:ce50e4d3
2025-02-13 15:31:25
Right?! Folks got no respect these days.
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@ 19f9afb8:ce50e4d3
2025-02-13 15:30:11
GM from the chiro's office!
#cannotwaittogetmycrackon #popmehardermommy #mychiroisaladyinthestreetsbutabeastinthisdangexamroom
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@ cbab7074:f9f0bd61
2025-02-13 15:30:03
Block 883593
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-13 15:30:03
Block 883593
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-13 15:30:02
Block 883593
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 19f9afb8:ce50e4d3
2025-02-13 15:28:19
Did your bumper fall off?!
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@ 3c1e5fc9:1ec4c65f
2025-02-13 15:27:38
服了欧洲这帮白左soyboy,绿绿献忠我唯唯诺诺,乌克兰要援助我重拳出击,对川普的大话屁都不敢放一个。眼睁睁看着隔壁打了三年,不但不扩建武器生产线还搞环保自废武功,当年张伯伦签完字都知道要猥琐发育呢。
结果现在要谈判了谁也不带欧盟上桌,活该啊哈哈哈哈
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@ 98de3e4c:849315e5
2025-02-13 15:27:35
https://link.storjshare.io/raw/jwnxja4n6gu4wjh7ddo4ft3ypgza/freefrom-prod/92fd6f58c08c405d2850b9483bce6d3b74992c07da0f8c2b11932fbb1edae3ec.JPG
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@ 5c7d484b:e1ba5414
2025-02-13 15:26:47
As an elephant in the battlefield withstands arrows shot from bows all around, even so shall I endure abuse.
#buddha #hindu #quotes #wisdom #spirituality #philosophy
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-13 15:25:02
Block 883592
5 - high priority
4 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ c7eda660:efd97c86
2025-02-13 15:23:53
Humble proposal for nostr devs: resist the temptation to sub-categorize or otherwise complicate the naming of features. It only creates friction and confusion for the vast majority of (non-nerd) users.
Example: nutzaps. Yes, it's amusing in a juvenile way, but ultimately, they're zaps, just easier.
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@ 30ceb64e:7f08bdf5
2025-02-13 15:23:43
Mornin Nostr
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@ 3ab4c8ea:416938fd
2025-02-13 15:23:04
Does someone wanna zap me money for repairs 😆? https://image.nostr.build/90788cb09d6593a3d7d15db12eb49683bff7732680a0792e219a3ae53a92887c.jpg
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@ 6389be64:ef439d32
2025-02-13 15:22:30
This is how the US Gov force feeds the world our debt. They fight us but make it look like they are defending us. Never trust a bunch of decade old serial liars.
"Under the proposed regulations, Tether would have to replace non-compliant assets with compliant ones, the report said. This implies "sales of their non-compliant assets (such as precious metals, bitcoin (BTC), corporate paper, secured loans and other investments) and purchases of compliant assets such as T-bills."
https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/02/13/tether-may-have-to-sell-some-reserves-to-comply-with-u-s-stablecoin-rules-jpmorgan
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@ f648d923:820d7bb9
2025-02-13 15:22:30
Good night, sleep well 😴
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@ f26626a9:6eec3661
2025-02-13 15:21:57
The trick is to hire someone to wait in lines for you. Or at least earn some money waiting in lines.
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@ d6cf8b0b:86367615
2025-02-13 15:21:51
GM
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@ 7ab8325a:7e066ba5
2025-02-13 15:21:34
GM hello! May your day be fantastic.
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@ d34e832d:383f78d0
2025-02-13 15:21:16
https://medium.com/pubky/pubky-the-next-web-3287b35408f1
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@ ba7a7baf:40cd4ef9
2025-02-13 15:21:14
Gm fam! So glad to hear it went well! Can’t wait to see those pics from the park! Keep us posted! 🙌🏼✨
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-13 15:20:03
Block 883592
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-13 15:20:02
Block 883592
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ e58143f7:7bf0f4a6
2025-02-13 15:18:47
FREE SPEECH: The UK may revise its online censorship law to secure a US trade deal. With President Trump opposing the law and US tech firms pushing back, Britain faces a choice between strict online speech controls and economic cooperation. https://m.primal.net/OeHZ.png
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@ 3658b56c:8b15107d
2025-02-13 15:18:00
GM🩵
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@ d4338b7c:f1d23a5b
2025-02-13 15:17:55
Gm ☕️ 🤙 🫂
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@ 26a02a0b:054d0949
2025-02-13 15:16:38
No it 16:16 here 😂
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@ 04c96049:3768cc3b
2025-02-13 15:15:11
1515
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-13 15:15:02
Block 883592
4 - high priority
4 - medium priority
3 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ 1be93261:3bf69614
2025-02-13 15:14:42
IF YOU HAVENT PLANNED A MEET UP WITH YOUR FAV NOSTRICHES TAKE THIS AS A SIGN TO DOOO ITTTT 😁🙏🏼🧡🌀 nostr:note13gzmsu9l8f09wc7am9nvm6mjafvnzlfplflraqc249zta22a0hzqww3c0g
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@ 09fbf8f3:fa3d60f0
2025-02-13 15:14:10
苹果账户的购买内容可以迁移了!!!👍
你现在可以选择将自己在备选 Apple 账户上从 Apple 购买的 App、音乐和其他内容迁移到首选 Apple 账户。备选 Apple 账户可能是一个仅用于购买的账户
将购买项目从一个 Apple 账户迁移到另一个 Apple 账户。如果某个 Apple 账户仅用于购买,则其中的购买项目可迁移到首选 Apple 账户以进行合并。
这项功能不适用于欧盟、英国或印度的用户。
标签: #iOS #AppleID #苹果
链接:
https://support.apple.com/zh-cn/117294
https://imgbed.lepidus.me/file/1739459606634_IMG_20250213_231309_837.jpg
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@ 02bfcbe4:bd8ce802
2025-02-13 15:12:12
GM bro
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@ 71d37229:bf41d175
2025-02-13 15:11:55
GM hello, sunshine 🧡
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@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-02-13 15:11:53
This is nuts! 🤓
nostr:nevent1qqszpkayu3f2fvuvwkuh4v6fkm8h29chz7rhxdqxz0tsl3nwrp06zrspzdmhxue69uhhwmm59e6hg7r09ehkuef0qgs04xzt6ldm9qhs0ctw0t58kf4z57umjzmjg6jywu0seadwtqqc75srqsqqqqqptzmhws
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@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-02-13 15:11:41
It works great! 🔥🔥🔥 I've been getting nuts for all of my Olas photos this past week. (Android UI needs some love.) https://i.nostr.build/aSDyM14B04pXiihw.jpg
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@ f03df3d4:a4d4f676
2025-02-13 15:10:03
Block 883591
5 - high priority
5 - medium priority
5 - low priority
4 - no priority
2 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ e7bf8dad:839ef3db
2025-02-13 15:10:03
Block 883591
6 - high priority
5 - medium priority
4 - low priority
2 - no priority
1 - purging
#bitcoinfees #mempool
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![](/static/nostr-icon-purple-64x64.png)
@ e9691125:3320261f
2025-02-13 15:09:55
GOOD MORNING 🤘
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@ 3f770d65:7a745b24
2025-02-13 15:09:44
PV 🫂🤙🏻💜