-
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@ d34e832d:383f78d0
2025-02-24 01:22:32
## **age** - Simple, modern, and secure file encryption.
## SYNOPSIS
```bash
age [--encrypt] (-r RECIPIENT | -R PATH)... [--armor] [-o OUTPUT] [INPUT]
age [--encrypt] --passphrase [--armor] [-o OUTPUT] [INPUT]
age --decrypt [-i PATH | -j PLUGIN]... [-o OUTPUT] [INPUT]
```
The **age** tool provides a robust solution for encrypting and decrypting files. It simplifies the encryption process while ensuring strong security through modern cryptographic standards. **age** primarily focuses on:
- Encrypting data to specific recipients or using passphrases.
- Decrypting data based on available private keys or passphrases.
- Supports both binary and ASCII armored (Base64-encoded) outputs.
- A compact, secure design suitable for integration into diverse environments.
- **RECIPIENTS**: Public keys or identities to which a file is encrypted. Each recipient can decrypt the file with their corresponding private key.
- **IDENTITIES**: Private keys that allow decryption of files encrypted to corresponding recipients.
- **Passphrase**: A user-defined secret key used to encrypt or decrypt data interactively, typically used when specific recipient identities are not available.
### Encryption Process:
Files are encrypted using public keys or passphrases. The `-r` option encrypts the file to specific recipients, whereas the `--passphrase` option allows encryption using a passphrase. In the absence of these options, **age** will prompt the user for the necessary inputs interactively.
### Decryption Process:
Decryption is automatically handled by **age** based on the format of the encrypted file. If the file is encrypted with a passphrase, **age** will request the passphrase interactively. Alternatively, it will use the private key specified by the `-i` option to decrypt the file.
### Binary and ASCII Output:
The default output for **age** is binary, which is suitable for storage and transmission. However, when using the `--armor` option, the encrypted file is encoded into a text format that is easy to handle in text-based systems.
---
## OPTIONS
### General Options:
- `-o, --output=OUTPUT`: Directs the encrypted or decrypted content to the specified OUTPUT file. If OUTPUT already exists, it is overwritten. In the case of encryption without `--armor`, the tool refuses to output binary to a TTY.
- `--version`: Displays the **age** version and exits.
### Encryption Options:
- `-e, --encrypt`: Default mode for encrypting files. Specifies that the input file should be encrypted.
- `-r, --recipient=RECIPIENT`: Encrypts to the recipient's public key, which can be a native X25519 key or an SSH key. This option may be repeated to encrypt for multiple recipients.
- `-R, --recipients-file=PATH`: Encrypts for recipients listed in a file, each recipient specified on a new line. Lines starting with `#` are treated as comments. If `PATH` is `-`, recipients are read from standard input.
- `-p, --passphrase`: Encrypts the file with a passphrase. The passphrase is requested interactively, and **age** offers an option to auto-generate a secure passphrase. This mode cannot be combined with other recipient options.
- `--armor`: Encrypts the output to an ASCII "armored" encoding (strict Base64). This makes it more suitable for text environments.
- `-i, --identity=PATH`: Specifies the path to the private key(s) that correspond to the recipients. Used to generate a file compatible with recipient encryption, allowing seamless encryption to private keys.
- `-j PLUGIN`: Specifies the use of a plugin for encryption, typically used for non-standard encryption schemes.
### Decryption Options:
- `-d, --decrypt`: Decrypts the specified INPUT file. If the file is passphrase-encrypted, the passphrase is automatically detected and requested interactively.
- `-i, --identity=PATH`: Specifies the private key file used for decryption. This can be a native age private key, an SSH private key, or a passphrase-protected identity file. The file path can also be `-` to read from standard input.
- `-j PLUGIN`: Decrypts using a plugin, similar to how the plugin is used in encryption. The plugin should contain no data-specific encryption information.
### Plugins:
**age** supports the use of plugins to extend its encryption and decryption functionality. A plugin is used when encryption or decryption requires a non-standard method. The plugin executes specific cryptographic operations as defined by the plugin.
---
## VARIOUS EXAMPLES
### 1. Encrypt a file to a recipient using a native X25519 key:
```bash
age -r age1ql3z7hjy54pw3hyww5ayyfg7zqgvc7w3j2elw8zmrj2kg5sfn9aqmcac8p file.txt > file.txt.age
```
### 2. Encrypt a file to multiple recipients:
```bash
age -o file.txt.age -r age1ql3z7hjy54pw3hyww5ayyfg7zqgvc7w3j2elw8zmrj2kg5sfn9aqmcac8p \
-r age1lggyhqrw2nlhcxprm67z43rta597azn8gknawjehu9d9dl0jq3yqqvfafg file.txt
```
### 3. Encrypt to recipients listed in a file:
```bash
cat > recipients.txt
# Alice
age1ql3z7hjy54pw3hyww5ayyfg7zqgvc7w3j2elw8zmrj2kg5sfn9aqmcac8p
# Bob
age1lggyhqrw2nlhcxprm67z43rta597azn8gknawjehu9d9dl0jq3yqqvfafg
age -R recipients.txt file.txt > file.txt.age
```
### 4. Encrypt and decrypt a file with a passphrase:
```bash
# Encrypt with a passphrase
age -p secrets.txt > secrets.txt.age
Enter passphrase (leave empty to autogenerate a secure one):
Using the autogenerated passphrase "release-response-step-brand-wrap-ankle-pair-unusual-sword-train".
# Decrypt with the same passphrase
age -d secrets.txt.age > secrets.txt
Enter passphrase:
```
### 5. Encrypt and decrypt with a passphrase-protected identity file:
```bash
# Generate a passphrase-protected identity file
age-keygen | age -p > key.age
Enter passphrase (leave empty to autogenerate a secure one):
Using the autogenerated passphrase "hip-roast-boring-snake-mention-east-wasp-honey-input-actress".
# Encrypt using the identity
age -r age1yhm4gctwfmrpz87tdslm550wrx6m79y9f2hdzt0lndjnehwj0ukqrjpyx5 secrets.txt > secrets.txt.age
# Decrypt using the identity file
age -d -i key.age secrets.txt.age > secrets.txt
Enter passphrase for identity file "key.age":
```
---
## EXIT STATUS
- `0`: Encryption or decryption was successful.
- `1`: An error occurred during the operation.
---
## BACKWARDS COMPATIBILITY
Files encrypted with a stable version of **age** will be compatible with any later version of the tool. When decrypting older files, **age** might provide a flag to force the operation if the operation poses a security risk.
---
The **age** tool is designed with security and simplicity in mind. It uses strong encryption methods to ensure that your files are protected against unauthorized access, with flexibility in how encryption keys are managed and applied.
[Age Github Repo](https://github.com/FiloSottile/age?tab=readme-ov-file)
-
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@ 629c4a12:f822cc1a
2025-02-23 21:33:31
I’ve always been drawn to minimalism. There’s a certain peace that comes from stripping away the unnecessary, decluttering both physical and mental spaces. Yet, when it comes to finances, I’ve found myself tangled in complexity. As an ‘optimizer,’ I spend an inordinate amount of time thinking about investments, managing risk, and endlessly tinkering with my portfolio. This preoccupation contradicts the minimalist principles I try to live by.
It seems absurd to me that the financial world has become so complicated that we need money managers to simply preserve the value of our money. If investing is so intricate that the average person must hire professionals just to preserve (let alone grow) the value of their savings, then something is fundamentally wrong.
For the past five years, I’ve immersed myself in the history and mechanics of financial systems. The deeper I delved, the clearer it became: Bitcoin is a force of minimalism in an increasingly financialized and complex world.
### The Clutter of Modern Finance
Our financial system has become bloated with complexity. The hyper-securitization of assets has created an environment filled with financial clutter. Derivatives, for example, represent layers upon layers of financial engineering, often so convoluted that even experts struggle to understand them fully.
More troubling is the way nearly everything of value has been financialized. Real estate and art, two things that should embody personal value and cultural significance, have been transformed into mere asset classes. They are bought, sold, and speculated upon not for their intrinsic qualities but as instruments in the game of wealth preservation.
But why has this happened? It’s actually quite simple: our money is constantly losing value. The dollar, for example, debases at a rate of around 7% per year. Holding cash feels like holding melting ice, so it’s only natural for people to seek out scarce assets to preserve their wealth.
The Never-Ending Game of Diversification
This pursuit of scarce assets sets off a complex game—a game that forces people to diversify endlessly:
* Equities
* Bonds
* Real Estate
* Commodities
* Art
* Collectibles
We’re told to spread our investments across these asset classes to mitigate risk and preserve our hard-earned money. Those who can afford to hire money managers generally fare better in this game, as they have access to expertise and strategies designed to navigate this maze of complexity.
Ironically, this system creates an incentive for more complexity. The more convoluted the financial landscape becomes, the more we need money managers, and the more entrenched this cycle of financialization and securitization becomes. It’s a force of ever-increasing entropy—quite the opposite of minimalism.
### Bitcoin: Simplicity in a Complex World
In the midst of this financial chaos, Bitcoin emerges as a beacon of simplicity. It offers a way out of the clutter, a chance to reclaim financial minimalism. Bitcoin embodies the concept of scarcity with a rare kind of perfection: there will only ever be 21 million Bitcoins. No more.
This scarcity makes Bitcoin the perfect savings technology. Unlike traditional currencies, no one can debase your holdings. You don’t need to chase after real estate, art, or other assets to preserve your wealth. You don’t need to constantly diversify and rebalance a portfolio to stay ahead of inflation. Bitcoin’s scarcity gives you a way to hold your wealth securely, without the need for endless tinkering.
I’m not blind to Bitcoin’s short-term price volatility. However, it’s crucial to understand that we’re still in the early stages of adoption. As more people embrace this perfect form of scarcity, Bitcoin’s qualities as savings technology will express itself.
Bitcoin has the potential to de-financialize the housing market. It can de-financialize art.
Ultimately, Bitcoin has the power to replace those aspects of our lives that currently serve as proxies for scarcity.
### A Minimalist Approach to Wealth
Bitcoin allows us to step off the treadmill of constant financial optimization. It offers a simpler way to safeguard the fruits of our labor. Rather than spending our time, energy, and attention on navigating a complex financial system, we can focus on what truly matters: living a meaningful life.
By embracing Bitcoin, we embrace a minimalist approach to wealth. We reject the idea that we must play a never-ending game of diversification to maintain our standard of living. Instead, we adopt a simple, elegant solution that aligns with the principles of minimalism.
### Conclusion
In a world that grows more financially cluttered by the day, Bitcoin stands as a path to financial minimalism. It frees us from the complexities of traditional finance, allowing us to preserve our wealth without the need for constant vigilance and management.
By embodying scarcity and simplicity, Bitcoin gives us a way to reclaim our time and energy. It’s not just a financial tool; it’s a way to simplify our lives, to step back from the chaos, and to focus on what truly matters
-
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@ d34e832d:383f78d0
2025-02-23 19:53:32
Hockeypuck is an **OpenPGP keyserver** that allows users to publish, search, and retrieve **PGP public keys** for secure communication. It is designed for **federation** with other keyservers and supports a **high-performance, scalable** architecture.
---
## **🛠️ Usage**
### **1. Public PGP Key Directory**
- Organizations, security researchers, and privacy-focused users can **publish and retrieve PGP keys** for encrypted email and document verification.
- Similar to **SKS Keyserver**, but actively maintained and more scalable.
### **2. Enterprise PGP Key Management**
- Companies can **host a private keyserver** for internal teams to share PGP keys securely.
- Prevents reliance on external keyservers like keys.openpgp.org.
### **3. Decentralized Identity and Key Distribution**
- Used in federated **PGP keyserver networks** like **Hockeypuck & SKS pools** to distribute OpenPGP keys across multiple servers.
- Useful for **distributed trust models** where multiple organizations manage keys collaboratively.
### **4. Bitcoin & Nostr Applications**
- Can be used alongside **Nostr** for key verification, ensuring public keys are retrievable for cryptographic signatures.
- Useful in **Bitcoin** applications where PGP-signed messages confirm identity.
### **5. Software Package Signing**
- Developers and package maintainers can **sign software updates** using OpenPGP, and end users can fetch public keys from Hockeypuck to verify authenticity.
- Example: **Debian and Arch Linux package signing**.
### **6. Secure Messaging**
- Supports secure email systems using **PGP-encrypted mail (e.g., ProtonMail, Thunderbird + Enigmail, Mailpile, etc.)**.
---
## **📌 Key Benefits**
✅ **Docker-Based Deployment** → Easily installable with **Docker** and **docker-compose**.
✅ **Federated Keyserver** → Can join existing **PGP keyserver networks**.
✅ **High-Performance Storage** → Uses PostgreSQL for better performance than older SKS keyservers.
✅ **Supports HTTP & HTTPS** → Can be hosted publicly with **TLS encryption**.
✅ **Fully Open Source** → Maintained as a modern alternative to SKS.
## **🔑 Signing a Nostr Event Using PGP & Verifying It on a Relay**
If Alice wants to **prove she controls `npub1xyz...`** using **PGP**, she can sign a Nostr event and publish both the event and signature.
---
### **🔹 Step 1: Create a Nostr Event (Kind 0)**
Alice generates a **Nostr profile metadata event**:
```json
{
"id": "xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx",
"pubkey": "npub1xyz...",
"created_at": 1700000000,
"kind": 0,
"tags": [],
"content": "{ \"name\": \"Alice\", \"about\": \"PGP Verified Nostr User\" }"
}
```
She saves this as **`nostr_event.json`**.
---
### **🔹 Step 2: Sign the Event with PGP**
Alice uses GnuPG to sign the event:
```bash
gpg --clearsign --armor nostr_event.json
```
This creates **`nostr_event.json.asc`**, which contains the event with a **PGP signature**.
🔹 **Example of the signed event:**
```
-----BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE-----
Hash: SHA256
{
"id": "xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx",
"pubkey": "npub1xyz...",
"created_at": 1700000000,
"kind": 0,
"tags": [],
"content": "{ \"name\": \"Alice\", \"about\": \"PGP Verified Nostr User\" }"
}
-----BEGIN PGP SIGNATURE-----
iQIzBAEBCAAdFiEEbGSk4HTlMz5tG0tF0Y8fO3HTQYYFAmS8mOkACgkQ0Y8fO3HT
QYYX4w/+JwzbfM1EZ2F7H3yqbdGBJ2cGd...
-----END PGP SIGNATURE-----
```
---
### **🔹 Step 3: Upload the Signature to a Public Keyserver**
Alice submits her signed Nostr event to the **Hockeypuck keyserver**:
```bash
curl --data-binary @nostr_event.json.asc https://keyserver.example.com/pks/add
```
---
### **🔹 Step 4: Publish the Event to a Nostr Relay**
Alice **publishes the original event** to a Nostr relay:
```bash
curl -X POST https://nostr-relay.example.com/ -d @nostr_event.json
```
---
### **🔹 Step 5: Verification**
Anyone can **fetch Alice’s PGP-signed event** and verify it:
```bash
curl "https://keyserver.example.com/pks/lookup?op=get&search=alice@nostr.example.com" | gpg --verify
```
If successful, it will show:
```
gpg: Good signature from "Alice <alice@nostr.example.com>"
```
---
### **✅ Use Cases**
1. **Proving Ownership of a Nostr Public Key** with PGP.
2. **Bitcoin Applications**: PGP-signed messages can confirm identities for multisig coordination.
3. **Decentralized Web of Trust**: Verifying Nostr users via signed events.
---
Additionally a simple JS or python script could automate signing process.
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@ e3ba5e1a:5e433365
2025-02-23 06:35:51
My wife and I have six children, making our house a household of eight people. Looking just at the eight of us, how many relationships exist? Well, as a first stab, we could look at how many connections exist between two unique individuals in this family. The mathematical term for this is “8 choose 2”, and the answer is 8\*7/2, or 28\.
Even that doesn’t really capture the answer though, because relationships aren’t just between two people. For example, when my wife and two oldest children are the only ones still awake after the younger kids go to bed, we’ll put on my mature TV shows that they’ll appreciate and watch together. It’s our own little subgroup within the group.
Based on that, we could have groups of 2, 3, 4, all the way up to 8, the group of all of us. If you do the math, this comes up to 247 different subgroups of 2 or more people. That’s a lot of groups for just 8 people.
As a father, this means I’ll never be able to fully understand every set of connections within my family. I may have a good understanding of my own relationship with each child. I also am closely aware of the relationship between our two youngest children, since they’re twins. And I could probably list 20 or so other noteworthy relationships. But I’ll never understand all of them.
For example, months ago I bought a game on Steam for my 3rd and 4th kids. I know they like to play games together, so it was a relationship that I thought I understood well. A few days ago I found out that my oldest had joined them in playing one of these games (Brotato). I’d made the purchase, given it to the kids, and it sparked new relationship and interaction structures without my involvement.
There’s no problem with the fact that I can’t track every interaction in my house. That’s healthy\! The kids are able to discover ways of interacting beyond what I can teach them, learn everything from schoolwork to video games from each other, and overall become more healthy and well-adjusted adults (I hope).
And here’s the important part: the growth of the number of connections is *massive* as the number of participants increases. If we add in another participant, we have 502 groupings. At 10 total participants, it jumps to over 1,000. By the time we get to 100, we’re well into the trillions.
A mathematical and software term for this is *combinatoric complexity*, the massive increase in an output value based on a small increase in the input. The analysis I’m providing could be termed as part of graph theory (for connections of 2, looking at people as *vertices* and connections as *edges*) or set theory (unique subsets, allowing for larger group sizes). But regardless, the point is: the increase in complexity is huge as more people join.
Now consider the global economy. It’s over 8 billion people. There are so many people that the number of groupings is absurd to talk about. Nonetheless, massive numbers of these groupings naturally occur. There are family units, friend circles, individual connections, companies, project teams, sports teams, schools, classes, and millions more. These groups of people form new ways of interacting, express vastly different desires for goods and services, and are capable of producing wide varieties of goods and services themselves.
When you allow this system to run free, beauty emerges. Each node in the graph can manage its own connections. Each *person* is free to make his or her own decisions about association, what to spend time on, what to spend money on, and so on. Each person does so on their own judgement and world view.
Some of these people may make “dumb” decisions. They may “waste” their time and money on useless things. Except: who made that value judgement? Clearly not them, they decided it was worth it. No central planner has the right to override their will.
My point in all this is: as yet another of many reasons in the list of “why people should be free,” we have one more data point: pure math. Central planning will never scale. Central planning will never appreciate the individuality and desires of each person. Only by giving people the freedom to explore their connections to others, discover what they can produce and consume, explore their options, and ultimately make their own decisions, can we have any chance of creating a world where everyone can succeed.
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@ 3ffac3a6:2d656657
2025-02-23 19:40:19
## Renoters: Proposal for Anonymous Event Relaying in Nostr
*This document is a proposal and not an official NIP.*
This Document proposes "Renoters," a mechanism for anonymous event relaying in Nostr, inspired by the Mixminion remailer design. Renoters aim to enhance privacy by obscuring the origin of events, making it difficult to trace the author of a message.
### **Motivation**
While Nostr offers a decentralized platform, current relay mechanisms can potentially reveal the source of events. Renoters address this by introducing an onion-routing-like system where events are encrypted and relayed through a series of nodes, making it harder to link the event to its originator. This enhances privacy for users who wish to communicate anonymously or protect their identity.
In some totalitarian regimes, the use of Tor and VPNs is criminalized, making online anonymity dangerous. Even in some democratic countries, merely downloading Tor can mark individuals as suspects. This underscores the need for a decentralized and anonymous communication system that operates independently of commonly surveilled privacy tools.
### **Proposed Solution**
Renoters operate on the principle of "gift-wrapping" events, using asymmetric encryption. A user wishing to send an event anonymously performs the following steps:
1. **Event Creation:** The user creates the Nostr event they wish to publish.
2. **Renoter Path Selection:** The user selects a path of Renoters through which the event will be relayed. This path can be pre-configured or dynamically chosen.
3. **Gift Wrapping (Encryption and Signing):** The user encrypts and signs the event for each Renoter in the path, working in reverse order:
- A *new* random Nostr private key (`sk_wrapper`) is generated.
- The event (or the previously wrapped event) is encrypted using the *next* Renoter's Npub (`npub_next`) using Nostr's standard encryption mechanism (e.g., using shared secrets derived from the private key and the recipient's public key).
- A *new* Nostr event is created. This "wrapper" event's content contains the ciphertext. The wrapper event is signed using the newly generated private key `sk_wrapper`. The wrapper event also includes the next hop's `npub_next` (or the final destination if it's the last renoter) in cleartext, to allow for routing.
4. **Publication:** The user publishes the *first* gift-wrapped event (the one encrypted for the last Renoter in the path). This event is sent to a regular Nostr relay, which then forwards it to the first Renoter in the path.
5. **Renoter Relaying:** Each Renoter in the path receives the gift-wrapped event, verifies the signature using the `sk_wrapper`'s corresponding public key, decrypts it using its own private key, and forwards the decrypted event (now wrapped for the *next* Renoter) to the next Renoter in the path. This process continues until the event reaches the final Renoter.
6. **Final Delivery:** The final Renoter decrypts the event and publishes it to the Nostr network.
### **Example**
Let's say Alice wants to send an event anonymously through Renoters R1, R2, and R3.
1. Alice creates her event.
2. She generates a random private key `sk3` and encrypts the event with R3's public key `npub_r3`.
3. She creates a wrapper event containing the ciphertext and `npub_r3`, signed with `sk3`.
4. She generates a random private key `sk2` and encrypts the previous wrapper event with R2's public key `npub_r2`.
5. She creates a wrapper event containing this ciphertext and `npub_r2`, signed with `sk2`.
6. She generates a random private key `sk1` and encrypts the previous wrapper event with R1's public key `npub_r1`.
7. She creates a final wrapper event containing this ciphertext and `npub_r1`, signed with `sk1`.
8. Alice publishes this final wrapper event.
R1 decrypts with its private key, verifies the signature with the public key corresponding to `sk1`, and forwards to R2. R2 decrypts, verifies the signature with the public key corresponding to `sk2`, and forwards to R3. R3 decrypts, verifies the signature with the public key corresponding to `sk3`, and publishes the original event.
### **Renoter Incentives (using Cashu)**
To incentivize Renoters to participate in the network, this NIP proposes integrating Cashu tokens as a payment mechanism.
- **Token Inclusion:** When a user creates the initial gift-wrapped event (the one sent to the first Renoter), they include a Cashu token *within* the event content. This token is itself encrypted and wrapped along with the original message, so only the receiving Renoter can access it.
- **Renoter Redemption:** Upon receiving a gift-wrapped event, the Renoter decrypts it. If the event contains a Cashu token, the Renoter can decrypt the token and redeem it.
- **Renoter Behavior:** Paid Renoters would be configured *not* to relay events that do *not* contain a valid Cashu token. This ensures that Renoters are compensated for their service. Free Renoters could still exist, but paid Renoters would likely offer faster or more reliable service.
- **Token Value and Tiers:** Different Cashu token denominations could represent different levels of service (e.g., faster relaying, higher priority). This could create a tiered system where users can pay for better anonymity or speed.
- **Token Generation:** Users would need a way to acquire Cashu tokens. This could involve purchasing them from a Cashu mint or earning them through other means.
### **Security Threats and Mitigations**
- **Anonymity Against Correlation Attacks:** Even when using Tor, traffic patterns can still be analyzed to infer the origin of events. To mitigate this risk, Renoters can introduce:
- Random delays in event relaying.
- Dummy packets to complicate statistical analysis by malicious observers.
- **Replay Attacks:** To mitigate replay attacks, each Renoter must store, for a reasonable period, the IDs of received events and the decrypted events that were forwarded. This ensures that duplicate messages are not processed again.
- **Sybil Attacks:** Sybil attacks can be mitigated by requiring payments via Cashu tokens for relaying events, increasing the cost of launching such attacks. By ensuring that each relay operation has a monetary cost, attackers are discouraged from creating large numbers of fake identities to manipulate the network.
- **Traffic Analysis:** Traffic analysis can be mitigated by using Tor for Renoters. Routing events through the Tor network adds an additional layer of anonymity, making it more difficult to track message origins or infer sender-recipient relationships. While Renoters enhance privacy, sophisticated traffic analysis might still be a threat.
### **Operational Considerations**
- **Renoter Reliability:** The reliability of the Renoter network is crucial.
- **Latency:** Relaying through multiple Renoters will introduce latency.
- **Key Management:** While each layer uses a new key, the initial key generation and path selection process need to be secure.
This NIP provides a robust framework for anonymous event relaying in Nostr, leveraging encryption and Cashu-based incentives to enhance privacy and usability.
### **References**
- **Untraceable Electronic Mail, Return Addresses, and Digital Pseudonyms**: David L. Chaum (https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/358549.358563)
- **Mixminion Design**: Mixminion: Design of a Type III Anonymous Remailer (https://www.mixminion.net/minion-design.pdf)
- **Nostr Protocol**: Official Nostr Documentation (https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nostr)
- **Cashu Token System**: Cashu: Ecash for Bitcoin Lightning (https://cashu.space/)
- **Tor Project**: The Tor Project - Anonymity Online (https://www.torproject.org/)
- **Onion Routing**: The Second-Generation Onion Router (https://svn.torproject.org/svn/projects/design-paper/tor-design.pdf)
#Privacy #Nostr #Anonymity #Crypto #CensorshipResistance #OnlinePrivacy #Decentralization #Encryption #Security #ThreatMitigation #Micropayments #CryptoEconomy #NextSteps #Development
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@ f7d424b5:618c51e8
2025-02-23 18:01:38
(This was originally posted on melonmancy.net which is a blog on write.as, an ActivityPub based blogging instance)
Listeners rejoice as we are joined today by [ironee212 @ shitposter.world](https://shitposter.world/ironee212)
Another major videogame release happened since we last recorded and it looks like a big stinker, or is it? All that and more in today's episode.
We mentioned a few things in the show you might want to pull up while listening, they are the following:
- [Avowed steam chart](https://steamdb.info/app/2457220/charts/)
- [TF2 SDK news](https://www.teamfortress.com/post.php?id=238809)
Obligatory:
- [Listen to the new episode here!](https://melonmancy.net/listen)
- [Discuss this episode on OUR NEW FORUM](https://melonmancy.cafe/d/103-mp101-my-favorite-body-type-b)
- [Get the RSS and Subscribe](https://feeds.rssblue.com/melonmancy-podcast) (this is a new feed URL, but the old one redirects here too!)
- Get a modern podcast app to use that RSS feed on at [newpodcastapps.com](http://newpodcastapps.com/)
- Or listen to the show on [the forum](https://melonmancy.cafe) using the embedded [Podverse](https://podverse.fm) player!
- [Send your complaints here](https://melonmancy.net/contact-us)
Reminder that this is a [Value4Value](https://value4value.info/) podcast so any support you can give us via a modern podcasting app is greatly appreciated and we will never bow to corporate sponsors!
Our podcast is created entirely with free software and is proudly hosted on [RSSBlue!](https://rssblue.com)
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@ 04ea4f83:210e1713
2025-02-23 17:38:11
Erschienen in [Citadel 21 Vol. 21](https://www.citadel21.com/are-you-tired-of-clown-world?ref=europeanbitcoiners.com) | Veröffentlichung 21.03.2023 \
Autor: [Knut Svanholm](https://twitter.com/knutsvanholm?ref=europeanbitcoiners.com)\
Übersetzt von: [Sinautoshi am 24.03.2023 - 782344](https://twitter.com/Sinautoshi_8_21?ref=europeanbitcoiners.com)\
\
Rückblickend sieht das Jahr 2022 wie eine Art Höhepunkt aus. Während der Großteil der Gesellschaft weitgehend vergessen hat, was die politische Klasse ihren Untertanen während der sogenannten Pandemie angetan hat, kotzte Hollywood weiterhin Inhalte aus, die von „diversen" Regisseuren und Drehbuchautoren produziert wurden und bis zum Rand mit nicht ganz so subtilen Botschaften und Verachtung für ihr Publikum gefüllt waren.
Star Wars und Marvel haben nach der Übernahme durch Disney auf diese Weise Franchise-Mord begangen, und auch das Erbe von *Der Herr der Ringe* wurde von der linken Idiotie vergewaltigt und für immer befleckt. Jetzt gibt es von jedem männlichen Avenger eine weibliche Version. Hugh Jackman, der Schauspieler, der früher die Hauptrolle des X-Men-Mutanten Wolverine spielte, empfahl seinen Anhängern in den sozialen Medien kürzlich Bill Gates' Buch über den Klimawandel.
Als Frauen verkleidete Männer gewinnen Sportmeisterschaften für Frauen, und alle haben so viel Angst davor, als bigott bezeichnet zu werden, dass sich niemand traut, auf die Absurdität hinzuweisen, dass ein Mann alle Mädchen schlägt. Diese so genannten Sportler werden als „mutig" bezeichnet, obwohl sie alles andere als das sind.
Die Tatsache, dass es in einigen Berufen mehr Männer als Frauen gibt, wird als Problem angesehen, aber warum genau das ein Problem ist, wird selten erwähnt. Die Verdienste und die tatsächliche Meinungsvielfalt werden auf dem Altar der „Vielfalt und Integration" geschlachtet.
Die Gesellschaft ist an einem Punkt angelangt, an dem die Verbraucher Ärzten und Anwälten gerade wegen ihrer Hautfarbe misstrauen, da sie vermuten, dass sie deshalb in ihre Positionen gekommen sind und nicht wegen ihrer Kompetenz oder ihrer Verdienste. Noch vor zwanzig Jahren war die normale Bauchreaktion das Gegenteil: „*Wow, ein Arzt aus einer Minderheit! Sie müssen hart gearbeitet haben, um dorthin zu gelangen, wo sie heute sind!*"
Als ich aufgewachsen bin, wurde ein „Rassist" als jemand definiert, der sich einen Dreck um die Hautfarbe oder die ethnische Zugehörigkeit einer anderen Person scherte. Dasselbe galt für das Wort „Sexist" - man war ein Sexist, wenn man das Geschlecht einer Person bei der Beurteilung berücksichtigte.
Ich hatte das Gefühl, dass die Welt seit den Gräueltaten des Zweiten Weltkriegs im Kampf gegen diese Vorurteile einen weiten Weg zurückgelegt hatte und dass jeder eine anständige Karriere in jedem Beruf machen konnte, wenn er sich nur anstrengte und sich Mühe gab. Doch irgendwann in den frühen 2000er Jahren änderte sich etwas.
Plötzlich begannen die Worte das Gegenteil von dem zu bedeuten, was sie ursprünglich bedeuteten. Plötzlich war jeder, der sich einen Dreck um seine Hautfarbe scherte, ein Rassist. Jeder, dem es egal war, ob der CEO eines großen Unternehmens ein Mann oder eine Frau war, war ein Sexist.
Im Jahr 2023 behaupten manche sogar, man sei ein „Transphobe", wenn man nicht gelegentlich Fellatio an einem „weiblichen Penis" betreiben will. Die Tugendwächter laufen in der Tat Amok, und die Medienunternehmen lieben es. Sie lieben es, weil sie alles lieben, was die Kluft zwischen den Menschen schürt. Je verrückter die Aktionen der Clownwelt® sind, desto wütender sind die Reaktionen der leichtgläubigen, verärgerten Menschen auf der „vernünftigen" Seite des politischen Spektrums.
Die Menschheit neigt dazu, sich wie ein Pendel oder eine Abrissbirne zu verhalten, wenn es um politische Meinungen oder „die aktuelle Sache" geht.
Wenn es zu viele blauhaarige, übergewichtige, lesbische, glutenintolerante, vegane Umweltschützer gibt, taucht von irgendwoher eine Welle von Skinheads auf, die mit Steroiden vollgepumpt sind und gegen Samenöl und Fleischfresser sind.
Für jede Hillary Clinton gibt es einen Donald Trump. Für jede Greta Thunberg gibt es einen Andrew Tate. Für jeden CNN-Reporter gibt es einen Alex Jones.
Auch im Bitcoin-Bereich gibt es immer ein „aktuelles Thema", an das man sich klammern kann, wenn auch oft eine männlichere Idee als das „aktuelle Thema" des Mainstreams. Was nur wenige wissen, ist, wie faul diese Art des Denkens ist.
Wissenschaft ist nicht automatisch schlecht, nur weil „die Wissenschaft" schlecht ist.
Nur weil man gelernt hat, dass alles, was die Regierung sagt, eine Lüge ist, ist nicht automatisch auch das Gegenteil wahr. Die Welt ist nuanciert; die meisten Dinge sind nicht schwarz oder weiß.
Was wahr und sehr schwarz-weiß ist, ist das Geld - es gibt Bitcoin und es gibt Shitcoins. Nur wenn wir letztere für erstere aufgeben, können wir die Politik aus dem menschlichen Handeln entfernen und uns auf eine gewisse Wahrheit in der Basisschicht der Zivilisation zurück arbeiten. Bitcoin belohnt weder Rent-Seeking noch faules Denken.
Die positiven Aspekte vieler moderner Technologien werden oft übersehen. Auch wenn sich die Clownwelt® und die lächerlichen Ideen, die ihr folgen, wie ein Lauffeuer verbreiten, gibt es Gründe für einen ungetrübten Optimismus für die Zukunft.
Wir hören oft von den Gefahren der sozialen Medien und wie sie die Gehirne unserer Kinder schädigen, aber wir werden selten an die Kehrseite der Medaille erinnert. Soziale Medien verbinden Menschen in einem Ausmaß, das der Menschheit nie zuvor zugänglich war. Jeder Mensch auf der Welt kann heute mit jedem anderen in Kontakt treten und mit einem Mausklick einen Videoanruf starten. Das ist ein enorm wichtiges Instrument für den Frieden. In Kombination mit Bitcoin haben die Bösewichte keine Chance mehr.
Wenn jeder auf diese Weise vernetzt ist, wird überdeutlich, wie absurd es ist, dass wir in Staaten mit unterschiedlichen Gesetzen und Vorschriften leben. Warum gelten für meine Mitmenschen auf der anderen Seite dieses Teiches, dieses Flusses, dieses Gebirges oder sogar dieser imaginären Linie in der Erde andere Regeln?
Jeden Tag wachen mehr und mehr Menschen auf und erkennen, dass es nur ein einziges Menschenrecht gibt - das Recht, in Ruhe gelassen zu werden.
Immer mehr Menschen erkennen, dass die Geldentwertung kein natürliches Phänomen ist, sondern eine bewusste Politik. Es ist nur eine Frage der Zeit, bis die alte Welt verschwindet. Solange wir kommunizieren dürfen, gibt es Hoffnung. Das Internet hat bewiesen, dass sich jede Kommunikation auf eine Reihe von Einsen und Nullen reduzieren lässt, und Bitcoin hat bewiesen, dass Geld nichts anderes als Information ist.
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@ 2779f3d9:1a7f98d1
2025-02-23 15:20:19
# NOSTR SDK FOR APPLE PLATFORMS
## Progress Report # 2: Nov 2024 - Jan 2025
[Nostr SDK for Apple Platforms](https://github.com/nostr-sdk/nostr-sdk-ios) continued to make progress this quarter. I am still the sole part-time active developer and maintainer of Nostr SDK for Apple Platforms.
Implementations for a few NIPs were added or updated. The CI build pipeline was broken due to deprecated dependencies, which have since been fixed.
I pushed out a (controversial) [proposal](https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/pull/1770) to gracefully deprecate stringified JSON in favor of tags on user metadata kind 0 events to the NIPs repo as a pull request to improve consistency and reduce the complexity of reading and writing this commonly used kind. The SDK has become the first to [implement](https://github.com/nostr-sdk/nostr-sdk-ios/pull/212) with the hopes that others will follow.
We have had new external interest in the SDK from developers working on various Nostr clients:
- Damus has [copied the NIP-44 encryption implementation from the SDK](https://github.com/damus-io/damus/pull/2850/files#diff-5eb31bd8e6dc73d21bb3caef975a7f3508765e7f3ab01ecec545635ccb89d17c) for their use in [NIP-37 Draft Events](https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/blob/7cc120ecb01963e37f9adcd3b57b8efc1dd9e828/37.md), swapping out their previous usage of rust-nostr due to large binary size issues.
- [Fabian](nostr:npub1n0sturny6w9zn2wwexju3m6asu7zh7jnv2jt2kx6tlmfhs7thq0qnflahe) from Nostur contributed a [NIP-44 encrypt/decrypt example](https://github.com/nostr-sdk/nostr-sdk-ios/pull/204) to the SDK demo project to help him understand how it works and is [currently being used](https://github.com/nostur-com/nostr-essentials/blob/05e5452bb05c4c2e94ec9a78bb0c80d5123919a7/Sources/NostrEssentials/NIP-44/NIP44v2Encrypting.swift) by Nostur
- A new livestreaming Nostr client called [Swae](https://github.com/suhailsaqan/swae) has adopted the SDK, using Comingle as a reference client implementation.
Progress on the SDK this quarter has been slower than the previous quarter due to a shift in emerging priorities in Nostr. This quarter, I focused on building a native iOS Nostr event signer, as none exist today. The problem is that some iOS users do not fully trust pasting their private key into Nostr clients, which they fear could be buggy or malicious in accessing and signing bad data with their private key. A native signer on Android called Amber already exists, and there has been an increase in demand from users for an equivalent solution on iOS. The iOS signer app is called [Yeti](https://github.com/tyiu/Yeti) (credit to [Karnage](nostr:npub1r0rs5q2gk0e3dk3nlc7gnu378ec6cnlenqp8a3cjhyzu6f8k5sgs4sq9ac) for the name and Figma designs) and I'm using Nostr SDK for Apple Platforms and its demo app as a [test bed](https://github.com/nostr-sdk/nostr-sdk-ios/tree/tyiu/signer-demo) for this experimental cross-app communication protocol that will eventually be proposed as a NIP. I hope iOS clients adopting the SDK will get built-in standardized event signing protocol capabilities, tightening up this attack vector.
This report marks the end of the six-month grant period, as agreed with OpenSats. I thank OpenSats for supporting Nostr SDK for Apple Platforms, other Nostr projects, and the developer community. I will re-apply for a grant at OpenSats for the SDK, Yeti, or other impactful Nostr projects.
## 1) How did you spend your time?
Below is a broken-down summarized bulletpointed list of completed tasks.
### Development of Nostr SDK for Apple Platforms
#### Added
- [NIP-37 Draft Events](https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/blob/master/37.md)
- [NIP-44 encrypt/decrypt example to demo project](https://github.com/nostr-sdk/nostr-sdk-ios/pull/204)
### Updated
- [Updated NIP-11 Relay Information Document implementation](https://github.com/nostr-sdk/nostr-sdk-ios/pull/201) to support all the newly added fields
- [Renamed ParameterizedReplaceableEvent to AddressableEvent and NonParameterizedReplaceableEvent to NormalReplaceableEvent](https://github.com/nostr-sdk/nostr-sdk-ios/pull/205) to conform to the [new terminology](https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/pull/1418) in the NIPs repo
- Gracefully deprecated stringified JSON in favor of tags on user metadata kind 0 events, being the first to implement the [not-yet-merged proposal](https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/pull/1770) to NIP-01/NIP-24
### Fixed
- Fixed broken CI build pipeline
- [Fix GitHub workflow for running build and test](https://github.com/nostr-sdk/nostr-sdk-ios/pull/202)
- [Upgrade upload-pages-artifact from deprecated version to v3 to fix build](https://github.com/nostr-sdk/nostr-sdk-ios/pull/207)
- [Upgrade deploy pages action to v4 to fix build](https://github.com/nostr-sdk/nostr-sdk-ios/pull/208)
#### In Progress
- Native iOS event signing protocol, using the [SDK as a test bed](https://github.com/nostr-sdk/nostr-sdk-ios/tree/tyiu/signer-demo)
## 2) What do you plan to work on next quarter?
The top priorities will be developing the native iOS event signing protocol, building out Yeti, and integrating the iOS signing protocol into the SDK.
I will continue maintaining and developing the SDK, albeit at a slower pace:
- Deprecate EventCreating protocol in favor of NostrEventBuilding protocol for the remaining event kinds
- Add or update implementations for various NIPs where critical or needed
- Support clients as they integrate with parts of the SDK by answering questions, fixing any issues they have, adding requested features, and reviewing pull requests
## 3) How did you make use of the money?
Living expenses.
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@ 8d34bd24:414be32b
2025-02-23 12:49:20
I recently wrote a post “[What? Do Not Pray For ...](https://trustjesus.substack.com/p/what-do-not-pray-for)” where I shared a passage telling us not to pray for the nation of Israel (at a particular point in time). Before reading this post, I strongly encourage you to read that post first.
The verse in question was:
> “As for you, **do not pray for this people, and do not lift up cry or prayer for them, and do not intercede with Me; for I do not hear you**. Do you not see what they are doing in the cities of Judah and in the streets of Jerusalem? The children gather wood, and the fathers kindle the fire, and the women knead dough to make cakes for the queen of heaven; and *they* pour out drink offerings to other gods in order to spite Me. Do they spite Me?” declares the Lord. “Is it not themselves *they spite,* to their own shame?” (Jeremiah 7:16-19) {emphasis mine}
Jeremiah was told not to pray blessings on Israel because Israel had turned away from God and were serving other Gods.
I was just listening to a “Renewing Your Mind” podcast and the speaker made the statement, “We all want to say, ‘God bless America,’ but we don’t want to hear, ‘God curse America.’” That made me contemplate, “Should we ask God to bless America?”
Over the past decade or more (probably several decades), America has been using its military and economic might to push actions around the globe that are abhorrent to God. We give aid to countries if they legalize and fund abortions, if they promote gay marriage, and if they encourage transgender surgeries and chemical castration. They encourage people and nations to murder unborn children, to redefine marriage as different than what God created it to be, and to sterilize young people confused about their gender, breaking both God’s good creation of male and female and \
His command to be fruitful and multiply. You could make the argument that the US has been the largest purveyor of evil in the world. (It breaks my heart to say this.)
It is true that with the past election, America has turned away from many of these evil actions, but have Americans truly repented and turned back to God? I am convinced that neither our leaders nor most of our people have turned back to God in any significant way. It is like famous atheist, Richard Dawkins, saying he misses Christian culture but continuing to reject God and make fun of actual Christians. We can’t have it both ways. We can’t have God’s blessings without God.
Now I am not saying that we shouldn’t pray for America. It is totally appropriate to pray for revival in America. It is good to pray for Americans to repent of their sins and to trust in Jesus. It is great to pray for God to help us to share the gospel and to produce fruit. The issue is that we shouldn’t pray for America’s blessing while she has turned her back on God.
Obviously there are a decent number of Christians in America. That and the fact that America was founded on Christian principles actually means that America will be punished harsher than those nations where people have had little knowledge of the Bible and Jesus. Those who have been shown the gospel and still rejected God will be held to a higher standard and will be punished harsher than those who have never heard the gospel.
I ask you to pray that God would bring revival to America, that He would turn hearts and minds to Himself, and that He would draw our leaders to submit in full trust and obedience to Him. I also pray that God would help all of believers to be faithful stewards with all of the blessings with which He has already showered us and to use us to shine the light of the gospel with America and the rest of the world. I pray that He would help us to live lives fully devoted to Him and will help us to stand out from the crowd of pseudo-Christians and normal people, so we can be used to draw America back to God.
Unfortunately, we may be in a situation, like Jeremiah and Israel, where the nation has turned so far from God that we will be rejected in the same way they reject Jesus. We may have to look upon the nation we love and let go because our citizenship is in heaven. We need to always be more devoted to God and His kingdom than we are to our earthly citizenship.
> “Son of man, if a country sins against Me by committing unfaithfulness, and I stretch out My hand against it, destroy its supply of bread, send famine against it and cut off from it both man and beast, even though these three men, Noah, Daniel and Job were in its midst, by their own righteousness they could only deliver themselves,” declares the Lord God. (Ezekiel 14:13-14)
May God guide you in your prayers, your actions, and your faith so that you will be a light in the darkness and never forget where your allegiance lies. I pledge allegiance to my God, my Lord, and my Creator, and to Him alone does my allegiance belong.
Trust Jesus
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@ 04ea4f83:210e1713
2025-02-23 10:43:38
Veröffentlicht auf [Discreetlog.com](https://www.discreetlog.com/no-privacy-no-freedom/?ref=europeanbitcoiners.com) am 17.04.2023\
Originalautor: [Matt Odell](https://twitter.com/ODELL?ref=europeanbitcoiners.com)\
Übersetzt von: [Sinautoshi am 20.05.2023 - 790600](https://twitter.com/Sinautoshi_8_21?ref=europeanbitcoiners.com)
*„Privatsphäre ist für eine offene Gesellschaft im elektronischen Zeitalter notwendig. Privatsphäre ist keine Geheimhaltung. Eine private Angelegenheit ist etwas, von dem man nicht möchte, dass es die ganze Welt erfährt, aber eine geheime Angelegenheit ist etwas, von dem man nicht möchte, dass es irgendjemand erfährt." Privatsphäre ist die Macht, sich der Welt selektiv zu offenbaren.“* **- Eric Hughes, [A Cypherpunk's Manifesto](https://www.activism.net/cypherpunk/manifesto.html?ref=discreetlog.com) , 1993**
**Privatsphäre ist für die Freiheit unerlässlich.** Ohne Privatsphäre ist der Einzelne nicht in der Lage, frei von Überwachung und Kontrolle Entscheidungen zu treffen. Mangelnde Privatsphäre führt zum Verlust der Selbstbestimmung. Wenn Einzelpersonen ständig überwacht werden, schränkt dies unsere Fähigkeit ein, uns auszudrücken und Risiken einzugehen. Alle Entscheidungen, die wir treffen, können negative Auswirkungen auf diejenigen haben, die uns überwachen. Ohne die Freiheit, Entscheidungen zu treffen, kann der Einzelne nicht wirklich frei sein.
**Freiheit ist für den Erwerb und Erhalt von Wohlstand von entscheidender Bedeutung.** Wenn der Einzelne nicht die Freiheit hat, Entscheidungen zu treffen, hindern uns Einschränkungen und Beschränkungen daran, wirtschaftliche Chancen zu nutzen. Wenn es uns in einem solchen Umfeld irgendwie gelingt, Wohlstand zu erlangen, kann mangelnde Freiheit zur direkten Beschlagnahme von Vermögenswerten durch Regierungen oder andere böswillige Organisationen führen. Wenn die Freiheit gefährdet wird, führt dies im großen Maßstab zu weitverbreiteter wirtschaftlicher Stagnation und Armut. Der Schutz der Freiheit ist für den wirtschaftlichen Wohlstand von wesentlicher Bedeutung.
Der Zusammenhang zwischen **Privatsphäre, Freiheit und Wohlstand** ist entscheidend. Ohne Privatsphäre verliert der Einzelne die Freiheit, frei von Überwachung und Kontrolle Entscheidungen zu treffen. Während der Mangel an Freiheit den Einzelnen daran hindert, wirtschaftliche Chancen wahrzunehmen, und den Vermögenserhalt nahezu unmöglich macht. ***Keine Privatsphäre? Keine Freiheit. Keine Freiheit? Kein Wohlstand.***
Rechte werden nicht gewährt. Sie werden eingenommen und verteidigt. Rechte werden oft als Erlaubnis der Machthaber missverstanden, etwas zu tun. Wenn dir jedoch jemand etwas geben kann, kann er es dir grundsätzlich nach Belieben wegnehmen. Im Laufe der Geschichte haben Menschen zwangsläufig für Grundrechte gekämpft, darunter Privatsphäre und Freiheit. Diese Rechte wurden nicht von den Machthabern gegeben, sondern durch Kampf eingefordert und erkämpft. Selbst nachdem diese Rechte erlangt wurden, müssen sie kontinuierlich verteidigt werden, um sicherzustellen, dass sie nicht weggenommen werden. **Rechte werden nicht gewährt – sie werden durch Kampf erworben und durch Opfer verteidigt.**
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@ 42342239:1d80db24
2025-02-23 10:00:20
Europe's economic framework requires restructuring grounded in realism. The Commission's Competitiveness Compass, alas, reveals dangerous left-hemisphere dominance and risks repeating Mao's mistakes.
The European Commission presented its "competitiveness compass" in January. There will be massive investments in biotechnology, materials technology, medicines, space, and the defence industry. AI gigafactories are to be established, while Europe will "maintain its leadership in quantum technologies" (a leadership that few seem to be aware of). This will be achieved through more environmental labelling schemes, nature credits, procurement rules, platforms, cooperation plans, and coordination systems. Although the report contains some bright spots, such as promises to ease the regulatory burden, **the overall picture is strikingly lacking in creativity**. Instead, we are mainly met with the usual thought patterns of the European technocracy, which manifest in additional centralised frameworks, quantifiable goals, and annual reports. Mao's ghost haunts Brussels.
#### The Missing Half of Europe's Brain
Iain McGilchrist, a British psychiatrist and philosopher, has launched the hemispheric hypothesis (a theory about how the two hemispheres of the brain work). The left hemisphere is more detail- and control-oriented, while the right hemisphere is holistic and creative. A society dominated by the left hemisphere, [like our own according to McGilchrist](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WYB7P-xPRsk), "would see it as its task to control everything maximally." **The Commission's compass appears similarly lobotomised , prioritising measurable processes over imaginative solutions.**
In an earlier text, I mentioned that Europe might need to return [to its roots](https://www.affarsvarlden.se/kronika/enlund-lar-av-elon-musk-vi-behover-ett-mer-radikalt-europa) and asked if Europe should have "the same end goal as China." This is still a relevant and justified question. But if we are honest, China has implemented a series of well-thought-out reforms since the 1980s, in addition to its many well-known and large-scale investments. It is not necessarily wrong to be inspired by China, as many believe; it depends on which China you are inspired by.
#### Lessons from the Cat Theory
When Deng Xiaoping returned to power in the late 1970s, he chose a more pragmatic approach than his predecessors. China left Mao Zedong's purges of dissidents behind. Instead, he launched the cat theory: **"it doesn't matter what colour the cat is as long as it catches mice"**, regarding economic development. It was now free to experiment with different models. Instead of ideological conformity, the most important thing was to increase productivity and material prosperity.
What was done in China?
* Companies and individuals were given more freedom
* Provinces and municipalities were given more autonomy
* Special economic zones were established, with different conditions and rules
* Programs to increase the number of banks were introduced
* The banking sector was deregulated
* Property rights and contract law began to be respected
China has since gone from being an economic backwater to not only being the world's largest economy in terms of purchasing power but also a [global tech contender](https://www.aspi.org.au/index.php/report/critical-technology-tracker) (leading in 37 out of 44 key technologies per ASPI).
#### EU's Compliance Obsession vs Chinese Pragmatism
And today, when China is astonishing the world with surprisingly cheap and competent AI systems, which recently set American tech stocks in motion, in the EU one is met with advertisements for yet another compliance training, this time about AI. **Every new compliance training echoes Mao's ghost** – ideological correctness overriding practical results. Is prosperity really built with certifications, directives, requirements, and penalties?
When we compare the Chinese experience with today's EU, the contrast is clear:
* Freedoms are curtailed. The right to privacy is undermined (Chat Control, etc.)
* Member states' ability to self-govern is reduced, year by year
* Streamlining and harmony are popular buzzwords in the bureaucracy
* The ECB is actively working to reduce the number of banks
* The banking sector is being regulated more and more
* Property rights and contract law are being eroded, which can be partly attributed to [developments in payment systems](https://underorion.se/en/posts/freedom_to_transact/)
Deng's cat theory was an example of when the right hemisphere was involved in decision-making. Rather than just focusing on details (the cat's colour), the whole (the result) was important. **The Chinese proverb "cross the river by feeling the stones" is another example of more holistic thinking**. Under Deng's leadership, reforms were first tested in a free zone or a province. After a while, the reforms could be evaluated before they were possibly implemented on a larger scale. "Try before you buy" is also a wise principle that follows from complexity research. In sharp contrast to this approach was Mao's "Great Leap Forward," a part of a disastrous five-year plan that shows what can happen when the left hemisphere is given too much power. A tragedy of historic proportions - a mass famine - resulted. While Deng exorcized Mao's ghost through pragmatic experimentation, Brussels seems determined to resurrect. **Today's EU risks repeating Mao's mistake of letting political abstractions ("green transition! digital decade!") override reality** – Mao's ghost surely smiles at nature credit schemes replacing actual market signals.
#### Mao's ghost trives on the ontological mistake
The serious problems that the EU is facing have been built up over decades and stem from incorrect assumptions. The economy is not complicated. It is complex. The concepts are often confused, but they describe two fundamentally different things. The complicated refers to something composite, but which can still be unfolded and then folded back up again without changing its essence. The complex, on the other hand, refers to something entangled, where every attempt to divide it changes its character. Compare, for example, an airplane engine with a béarnaise sauce. If you mix up the concepts, you make an ontological mistake, a philosopher would say. A programmer would say: garbage in, garbage out. **Mao's ghost thrives on this ontological error**, convincing technocrats they can blueprint society like a Soviet tractor factory.
**When a system is complicated, predictable, and linear, centralised coordination and control by the left hemisphere can work well.** But in complex systems, it can never be a solution because it leads to reduced adaptability and increased system risks. Instead, the goal should be diversity and decentralisation, which provide greater adaptability! The faster the changes of the system or in the environment, the greater the demands on adaptability and flexibility - if the system is to survive, that is. Increased diversity and decentralisation would not only increase adaptability and flexibility but also promote creativity, an ability that will likely become increasingly important in a world where AI and automation are changing the rules.
#### A better path forward
Europe's economic framework requires restructuring grounded in realism. The Commission's competitiveness compass - fixated on metrics and control - reveals dangerous left-hemisphere dominance, echoing Maoist central planning's epistemological errors. Our path forward demands:
* Dual-brain governance (prioritising creativity over control)
* Banishing of category mistakes (acknowledging the complex adaptive nature of the economy)
* Pragmatism over ideology (policy sandboxes inspired by China's special economic zones)
* Anti-fragile design (increased autonomy of EU nations, within states, and decentralised banking)
* Sunset clauses on all bureaucracy (regulators cannot originate breakthroughs)
The alternative? Another technocratic Great Leap Forward - eco-certified, AI-monitored, but economically brittle and fundamentally maladapted to the complex global economy. **As Deng's reformers understood: no institutional architecture, not even the First Emperor's Terracotta Army, can withstand modernity's tide.**
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@ b8851a06:9b120ba1
2025-02-22 19:43:13
The digital guillotine has fallen. The Bybit hack wasn’t just a theft—it was a surgical strike exposing the fatal flaw of “crypto” that isn’t Bitcoin. This wasn’t a bug. It was a feature of a system designed to fail.
Here’s how North Korea’s Lazarus Group stole $1.5B in ETH, why “decentralized finance” is a joke, and how Bitcoin remains the only exit from this circus.
## I. The Heist: How Centralized “Crypto” Betrayed Its Users
### A. The Multisig Mousetrap (Or: Why You’re Still Using a Bank)
Bybit’s Ethereum cold wallet used multisig, requiring multiple approvals for transactions. Sounds secure, right? Wrong.
• The Con: Hackers didn’t pick the lock; they tricked the keyholders using a UI masking attack. The wallet interface showed “SEND TO BYBIT”, but the smart contract was whispering “SEND TO PYONGYANG.”
• Bitcoin Parallel: Bitcoin’s multisig is enforced on hardware, not a website UI. No browser spoofing, no phishing emails—just raw cryptography.
Ethereum’s multisig is a vault with a touchscreen PIN pad. Bitcoin’s is a mechanical safe with a key only you hold. Guess which one got robbed?
### B. Smart Contracts: Dumb as a Bag of Hammers
The thieves didn’t “hack” Ethereum—they exploited its smart contract complexity.
• Bybit’s security depended on a Safe.global contract. Lazarus simply tricked Bybit into approving a malicious upgrade.
• Imagine a vending machine that’s programmed to take your money but never give you a soda. That’s Ethereum’s “trustless” tech.
Why Bitcoin Wins: Bitcoin doesn’t do “smart contracts” in the Ethereum sense. Its scripting language is deliberately limited—less code, fewer attack vectors.
Ethereum is a Lego tower; Bitcoin is a granite slab. One topples, one doesn’t.
## II. The Laundering: Crypto’s Dirty Little Secret
### A. Mixers, Bridges, and the Art of Spycraft
Once the ETH was stolen, Lazarus laundered it at lightspeed:
1. Mixers (eXch) – Obfuscating transaction trails.
2. Bridges (Chainflip) – Swapping ETH for Bitcoin because that’s the only exit that matters.
Bitcoin Reality Check: Bitcoin’s privacy tools (like CoinJoin) are self-custodial—no third-party mixers. You keep control, not some “decentralized” website waiting to be hacked.
Ethereum’s “bridges” are burning rope ladders. Bitcoin’s privacy? An underground tunnel only you control.
### B. The $1.5B Lie: “Decentralized” Exchanges Are a Myth
Bybit’s “cold wallet” was on Safe.global—a so-called “decentralized” custodian. Translation? A website with extra steps.
• When Safe.global got breached, the private keys were stolen instantly.
• “Decentralized” means nothing if your funds depend on one website, one server, one weak link.
Bitcoin’s Answer: Self-custody. Hardware wallets. Cold storage. No trusted third parties.
Using Safe.global is like hiding your life savings in a gym locker labeled “STEAL ME.”
## III. The Culprits: State-Sponsored Hackers & Crypto’s Original Sin
### A. Lazarus Group: Crypto’s Robin Hood (For Dictators)
North Korea’s hackers didn’t break cryptography—they broke people.
• Phishing emails disguised as job offers.
• Bribes & social engineering targeting insiders.
• DeFi governance manipulation (because Proof-of-Stake is just shareholder voting in disguise).
Bitcoin’s Shield: No CEO to bribe. No “upgrade buttons” to exploit. No governance tokens to manipulate. Code is law—and Bitcoin’s law is written in stone.
Ethereum’s security model is “trust us.” Bitcoin’s is “verify.”
### B. The $3B Elephant: Altcoins Fund Dictators
Since 2017, Lazarus has stolen $3B+ in crypto, funding North Korea’s missile program.
Why? Because Ethereum, Solana, and XRP are built on Proof-of-Stake (PoS)—which centralizes power in the hands of a few rich validators.
• Bitcoin’s Proof-of-Work: Miners secure the network through energy-backed cryptography.
• Altcoins’ Proof-of-Stake: Security is dictated by who owns the most tokens.
Proof-of-Stake secures oligarchs. Proof-of-Work secures money. That’s why Lazarus can drain altcoin treasuries but hasn’t touched Bitcoin’s network.
## IV. Bybit’s Survival: A Centralized Circus
### A. The Bailout: Banks 2.0
Bybit took bridge loans from “undisclosed partners” (read: Wall Street vultures).
• Just like a traditional bank, Bybit printed liquidity out of thin air to stay solvent.
• If that sounds familiar, it’s because crypto exchanges are just banks in hoodies.
Bitcoin Contrast: No loans. No bailouts. No “trust.” Just 21 million coins, mathematically secured.
Bybit’s solvency is a confidence trick. Bitcoin’s solvency is math.
### B. The Great Withdrawal Panic
Within hours, 350,000+ users scrambled to withdraw funds.
A digital bank run—except this isn’t a bank. It’s an exchange that pretended to be decentralized.
Bitcoin fixes this: your wallet isn’t an IOU. It’s actual money.
Bybit = a TikTok influencer promising riches. Bitcoin = the gold in your basement.
## V. The Fallout: Regulators vs Reality
### A. ETH’s 8% Crash vs Bitcoin’s Unshakable Base
Ethereum tanked because it’s a tech stock, not money. Bitcoin? Dropped 2% and stabilized.
No CEO, no headquarters, no attack surface.
### B. The Regulatory Trap
Now the bureaucrats come in demanding:
1. Wallet audits (they don’t understand public ledgers).
2. Mixer bans (criminalizing privacy).
3. KYC everything (turning crypto into a surveillance state).
Bitcoin’s Rebellion: You can’t audit what’s already transparent. You can’t ban what’s unstoppable.
## VI. Conclusion: Burn the Altcoins, Stack the Sats
The Bybit hack isn’t a crypto problem. It’s an altcoin problem.
Ethereum’s smart contracts, DeFi bridges, and “decentralized” wallets are Swiss cheese for hackers. Bitcoin? A titanium vault.
The Only Lessons That Matter:
✅ Multisig isn’t enough unless it’s Bitcoin’s hardware-enforced version.
✅ Complexity kills—every altcoin “innovation” is a security risk waiting to happen.
Lazarus Group won this round because “crypto” ignored Bitcoin’s design. The solution isn’t better regulations—it’s better money.
Burn the tokens. Unplug the servers. Bitcoin is the exit.
Take your money off exchanges. Be sovereign.
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@ 4857600b:30b502f4
2025-02-21 21:15:04
In a revealing development that exposes the hypocrisy of government surveillance, multiple federal agencies including the CIA and FBI have filed lawsuits to keep Samourai Wallet's client list sealed during and after trial proceedings. This move strongly suggests that government agencies themselves were utilizing Samourai's privacy-focused services while simultaneously condemning similar privacy tools when used by ordinary citizens.
The situation bears striking parallels to other cases where government agencies have hidden behind "national security" claims, such as the Jeffrey Epstein case, highlighting a troubling double standard: while average citizens are expected to surrender their financial privacy through extensive reporting requirements and regulations, government agencies claim exemption from these same transparency standards they enforce on others.
This case exemplifies the fundamental conflict between individual liberty and state power, where government agencies appear to be using the very privacy tools they prosecute others for using. The irony is particularly stark given that money laundering for intelligence agencies is considered legal in our system, while private citizens seeking financial privacy face severe legal consequences - a clear demonstration of how the state creates different rules for itself versus the people it claims to serve.
Citations:
[1] https://www.bugle.news/cia-fbi-dnc-rnc-all-sue-to-redact-samourais-client-list-from-trial/
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@ 6e0ea5d6:0327f353
2025-02-21 18:15:52
"Malcolm Forbes recounts that a lady, wearing a faded cotton dress, and her husband, dressed in an old handmade suit, stepped off a train in Boston, USA, and timidly made their way to the office of the president of Harvard University. They had come from Palo Alto, California, and had not scheduled an appointment. The secretary, at a glance, thought that those two, looking like country bumpkins, had no business at Harvard.
— We want to speak with the president — the man said in a low voice.
— He will be busy all day — the secretary replied curtly.
— We will wait.
The secretary ignored them for hours, hoping the couple would finally give up and leave. But they stayed there, and the secretary, somewhat frustrated, decided to bother the president, although she hated doing that.
— If you speak with them for just a few minutes, maybe they will decide to go away — she said.
The president sighed in irritation but agreed. Someone of his importance did not have time to meet people like that, but he hated faded dresses and tattered suits in his office. With a stern face, he went to the couple.
— We had a son who studied at Harvard for a year — the woman said. — He loved Harvard and was very happy here, but a year ago he died in an accident, and we would like to erect a monument in his honor somewhere on campus.
— My lady — said the president rudely —, we cannot erect a statue for every person who studied at Harvard and died; if we did, this place would look like a cemetery.
— Oh, no — the lady quickly replied. — We do not want to erect a statue. We would like to donate a building to Harvard.
The president looked at the woman's faded dress and her husband's old suit and exclaimed:
— A building! Do you have even the faintest idea of how much a building costs? We have more than seven and a half million dollars' worth of buildings here at Harvard.
The lady was silent for a moment, then said to her husband:
— If that’s all it costs to found a university, why don’t we have our own?
The husband agreed.
The couple, Leland Stanford, stood up and left, leaving the president confused. Traveling back to Palo Alto, California, they established there Stanford University, the second-largest in the world, in honor of their son, a former Harvard student."
Text extracted from: "Mileumlivros - Stories that Teach Values."
Thank you for reading, my friend!
If this message helped you in any way,
consider leaving your glass “🥃” as a token of appreciation.
A toast to our family!
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@ 4857600b:30b502f4
2025-02-21 03:04:00
A new talking point of the left is that it’s no big deal, just simple recording errors for the 20 million people aged 100-360. 🤷♀️ And not many of them are collecting benefits anyway. 👌 First of all, the investigation & analysis are in the early stages. How can they possibly know how deep the fraud goes, especially when their leaders are doing everything they can to obstruct any real examination? Second, sure, no worries about only a small number collecting benefits. That’s the ONLY thing social security numbers are used for. 🙄
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@ 4857600b:30b502f4
2025-02-20 19:09:11
Mitch McConnell, a senior Republican senator, announced he will not seek reelection.
At 83 years old and with health issues, this decision was expected. After seven terms, he leaves a significant legacy in U.S. politics, known for his strategic maneuvering.
McConnell stated, “My current term in the Senate will be my last.” His retirement marks the end of an influential political era.
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@ 94a6a78a:0ddf320e
2025-02-19 21:10:15
Nostr is a revolutionary protocol that enables **decentralized, censorship-resistant communication**. Unlike traditional social networks controlled by corporations, Nostr operates without central servers or gatekeepers. This openness makes it incredibly powerful—but also means its success depends entirely on **users, developers, and relay operators**.
If you believe in **free speech, decentralization, and an open internet**, there are many ways to support and strengthen the Nostr ecosystem. Whether you're a casual user, a developer, or someone looking to contribute financially, **every effort helps build a more robust network**.
Here’s how you can get involved and make a difference.
---
## **1️⃣ Use Nostr Daily**
The simplest and most effective way to contribute to Nostr is by **using it regularly**. The more active users, the stronger and more valuable the network becomes.
✅ **Post, comment, and zap** (send micro-payments via Bitcoin’s Lightning Network) to keep conversations flowing.\
✅ **Engage with new users** and help them understand how Nostr works.\
✅ **Try different Nostr clients** like Damus, Amethyst, Snort, or Primal and provide feedback to improve the experience.
Your activity **keeps the network alive** and helps encourage more developers and relay operators to invest in the ecosystem.
---
## **2️⃣ Run Your Own Nostr Relay**
Relays are the **backbone of Nostr**, responsible for distributing messages across the network. The more **independent relays exist**, the stronger and more censorship-resistant Nostr becomes.
✅ **Set up your own relay** to help decentralize the network further.\
✅ **Experiment with relay configurations** and different performance optimizations.\
✅ **Offer public or private relay services** to users looking for high-quality infrastructure.
If you're not technical, you can still **support relay operators** by **subscribing to a paid relay** or donating to open-source relay projects.
---
## **3️⃣ Support Paid Relays & Infrastructure**
Free relays have helped Nostr grow, but they **struggle with spam, slow speeds, and sustainability issues**. **Paid relays** help fund **better infrastructure, faster message delivery, and a more reliable experience**.
✅ **Subscribe to a paid relay** to help keep it running.\
✅ **Use premium services** like media hosting (e.g., Azzamo Blossom) to decentralize content storage.\
✅ **Donate to relay operators** who invest in long-term infrastructure.
By funding **Nostr’s decentralized backbone**, you help ensure its **longevity and reliability**.
---
## **4️⃣ Zap Developers, Creators & Builders**
Many people contribute to Nostr **without direct financial compensation**—developers who build clients, relay operators, educators, and content creators. **You can support them with zaps!** ⚡
✅ **Find developers working on Nostr projects** and send them a zap.\
✅ **Support content creators and educators** who spread awareness about Nostr.\
✅ **Encourage builders** by donating to open-source projects.
Micro-payments via the **Lightning Network** make it easy to directly **support the people who make Nostr better**.
---
## **5️⃣ Develop New Nostr Apps & Tools**
If you're a developer, you can **build on Nostr’s open protocol** to create new apps, bots, or tools. Nostr is **permissionless**, meaning anyone can develop for it.
✅ **Create new Nostr clients** with unique features and user experiences.\
✅ **Build bots or automation tools** that improve engagement and usability.\
✅ **Experiment with decentralized identity, authentication, and encryption** to make Nostr even stronger.
With **no corporate gatekeepers**, your projects can help shape the future of decentralized social media.
---
## **6️⃣ Promote & Educate Others About Nostr**
Adoption grows when **more people understand and use Nostr**. You can help by **spreading awareness** and creating educational content.
✅ **Write blogs, guides, and tutorials** explaining how to use Nostr.\
✅ **Make videos or social media posts** introducing new users to the protocol.\
✅ **Host discussions, Twitter Spaces, or workshops** to onboard more people.
The more people **understand and trust Nostr**, the stronger the ecosystem becomes.
---
## **7️⃣ Support Open-Source Nostr Projects**
Many Nostr tools and clients are **built by volunteers**, and open-source projects thrive on **community support**.
✅ **Contribute code** to existing Nostr projects on GitHub.\
✅ **Report bugs and suggest features** to improve Nostr clients.\
✅ **Donate to developers** who keep Nostr free and open for everyone.
If you're not a developer, you can still **help with testing, translations, and documentation** to make projects more accessible.
---
## **🚀 Every Contribution Strengthens Nostr**
Whether you:
✔️ **Post and engage daily**\
✔️ **Zap creators and developers**\
✔️ **Run or support relays**\
✔️ **Build new apps and tools**\
✔️ **Educate and onboard new users**
**Every action helps make Nostr more resilient, decentralized, and unstoppable.**
Nostr isn’t just another social network—it’s **a movement toward a free and open internet**. If you believe in **digital freedom, privacy, and decentralization**, now is the time to get involved.
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@ 5de23b9a:d83005b3
2025-02-19 03:47:19
In a digital era that is increasingly controlled by large companies, the emergence of Nostr (Notes and Other Stuff Transmitted by Relays) is a breath of fresh air for those who crave freedom of expression.
Nostr is a cryptography-based protocol that allows users to send and receive messages through a relay network. Unlike conventional social media such as Twitter or Facebook
1.Full Decentralization: No company or government can remove or restrict content.
2.Sensor-Resistant: Information remains accessible despite blocking attempts.
3.Privacy and Security: Uses cryptography to ensure that only users who have the keys can access their messages.* **
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@ 9e69e420:d12360c2
2025-02-17 17:12:01
President Trump has intensified immigration enforcement, likening it to a wartime effort. Despite pouring resources into the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), arrest numbers are declining and falling short of goals. ICE fell from about 800 daily arrests in late January to fewer than 600 in early February.
Critics argue the administration is merely showcasing efforts with ineffectiveness, while Trump seeks billions more in funding to support his deportation agenda. Increased involvement from various federal agencies is intended to assist ICE, but many lack specific immigration training.
Challenges persist, as fewer immigrants are available for quick deportation due to a decline in illegal crossings. Local sheriffs are also pressured by rising demands to accommodate immigrants, which may strain resources further.
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@ 42342239:1d80db24
2025-02-16 08:39:59
Almost 150 years ago, the British newspaper editor William Thomas Stead wrote that "the editorial pen is a [sceptre of power](https://archive.org/details/GovernmentByJournalismWilliamThomasStead), compared with which the sceptre of many a monarch is but a gilded lath". He had begun to regard journalism as something more than just conveying information - **the journalist or editor could become a ruler.**
Times had certainly changed compared to a few hundred years earlier. Before [Gutenberg's invention of the printing press](https://underorion.se/en/posts/gutenberg/), it was mainly the church that controlled the dissemination of information in Europe, but when Stead put pen to paper, this control had shifted to newspapers, schools, and universities. Eventually, technologies like radio and TV entered the scene, but the power dynamics remained asymmetrical - only a few could send information to the many.
However, with the emergence of the internet, and especially with the spread of social media, a significant change followed. Instead of only a few being able to send information to the many, many could send to many. Almost anyone could now create their own newspaper, radio, or TV channel. **The power over information dissemination was decentralised.**
[Ten years ago](https://www.di.se/ditv/rikets-affarer-medierna-ar-splittrade/), Roberta Alenius, who was then press secretary for Sweden's Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt of the Moderate Party, shared her experiences with Social Democratic and Moderate Party internet activists on social media. She reported that social media played a significant role in how news "comes out" and is shaped, and that **journalism was now downstream of social media**. [Five years later](https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/opinions_166392.htm), NATO's then-Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said that "NATO must be prepared for both conventional and hybrid threats: **from tanks to tweets**." This finally underscores the importance of social media.
Elon Musk, who took over X (formerly Twitter) in 2022, has claimed that "it's absolutely fundamental and transformative that the people actually get to decide the news and narrative and what's important," and that [citizen journalism is the future](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1870485116474278240).
While his platform allows most expressions - for better or worse - the reach of messages is instead limited ("[freedom of speech does not mean freedom of reach](https://www.youtube.com/shorts/R9TuhTz0vmo) "). X has also opened its recommendation algorithm to the outside world by making it open-source. Although this is a welcome step, the fact remains that **it's impossible to know which code is actually used** and what adjustments are made by humans or algorithms.
William Thomas Stead's "sceptre of power", which has wandered from the church to newspaper and TV editorial offices, and now to citizens according to Elon Musk, risks being transferred to algorithms' opaque methods?
Instead of talking about "toxic algorithms" and TikTok bans, like the so many do today, we should ask ourselves more fundamental questions. What happens when algorithms are no longer objective (how can they ever be?), but instead become tools for shaping our reality? **Perhaps our greatest challenge today is not deciding who should govern the information landscape, but instead recognising that no one is up to the task** - not even well-ventilated computers.
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@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1
2025-02-24 04:10:33
As your involvement in open source design increases, you’ll face challenges that go beyond basic UI work. From creating scalable design systems to mentoring new contributors, these advanced areas require strategic thinking, collaboration, and leadership.
This chapter dives into these complexities, helping you handle real-world situations while continuing to grow as a designer.
- Championing Design Initiatives
- Creating and Maintaining Design Systems
- Handling Complex Design Challenges
- Conducting In-Depth User Research
- Balancing Open Source Work with Other Commitments
- Navigating Project Dynamics
-0 Mentoring New Designers
Read more:
https://opendesign.guide/10-advanced-topics
```
#design #nostrdesign #bitcoindesign #ln #grownostr #asknostr #zap #btc #bitcoin #nostr #cashu
```
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/895377
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@ b8851a06:9b120ba1
2025-02-24 02:02:32
The French fiscal catastrophe is unfolding exactly as Austrian economists predicted. Government intervention breeds more intervention, trapping the economy in a death spiral of debt, deficits, and monetary debasement.
France’s public debt has surged to 111% of GDP in 2023, with projections showing 119% by 2029. The government’s much-touted €60 billion “budget effort” is a political charade—by 2025, the deficit will still exceed 5.4% of GDP. To stabilize its finances, France would need €120 billion in permanent savings—an impossible task in a system where political survival depends on endless spending.
## The Political Crisis: A System Losing Legitimacy
Economic crises create political ones. In December 2024, Prime Minister Barnier was ousted over austerity measures, replaced by Bayrou—a desperate attempt to calm markets. But leadership changes won’t fix the fundamental issue: France is ungovernable under its current fiscal trajectory.
Every attempt to “fix” the problem—more regulation, more spending, more monetary manipulation—only worsens the crisis. Political chaos is a symptom of economic insolvency.
## The ECB’s Stealth Bailout: Germany’s Growing Revolt
France is functionally bankrupt, but the ECB is quietly shifting the burden onto German savers through Target2 claims and monetary expansion. This amounts to a silent wealth transfer—bailing out Paris at Berlin’s expense.
The German public is noticing. Support for the AfD’s “Dexit” movement is rising, as voters realize they are being forced to subsidize failing economies. The eurozone’s fault lines are deepening.
## The Likely Scenarios: What Comes Next?
Based on current conditions, three major outcomes are most probable:
### Scenario 1: ECB “Muddles Through”
The ECB takes a “too little, too late” approach, avoiding decisive action while failing to restore confidence. This leads to:
• Wider French bond spreads as investors demand higher yields
• Weakened ECB credibility, as markets lose faith in its ability to contain the crisis
• Prolonged volatility without addressing the fundamental debt problem
### Scenario 2: IMF/ESM Bailout
France is forced into a formal bailout via the IMF and European Stability Mechanism (ESM). This would trigger:
* Harsh austerity measures, politically toxic in a nation that riots over pension reforms
* Severe political fallout, as both left and right-wing factions resist external control
* A crisis within the ECB itself, as its French president faces backlash for “bailing out his own country”
* Northern European pushback, with the German Bundestag and creditor states reluctant to approve another bailout
### Scenario 3: Communications Crisis
A severe market panic caused by ECB miscommunication leads to:
* A European-style “Taper Tantrum”, triggering a selloff in French bonds
* Spreads widening rapidly, forcing emergency interventions
* Loss of market confidence, accelerating capital flight
* Potential contagion, pulling in weaker Eurozone economies
The remaining probability accounts for more moderate scenarios, where France manages to delay disaster through temporary measures. But at this level of debt and deficit spending, delay is the best-case scenario—not resolution.
## The Endgame: Default or Hyperinflation?
France’s pension system alone is set to bleed €30 billion annually by 2045. The debt load is unsustainable, the political will to cut spending is nonexistent, and the ECB’s ability to print euros without consequence is rapidly eroding.
#### There are only two ways this ends:
* Massive defaults, triggering economic and social chaos.
* Hyperinflationary money printing, destroying savings and purchasing power.
#### Ludwig von Mises warned about this nearly a century ago:
“The ultimate outcome of credit expansion is either a depression brought about by the voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or a catastrophe of the currency system involved.”
France—and the entire euro system—has reached this fork in the road. The only question left is: Will they choose ruin now, or ruin later?
Mises was right. And in the end, economic reality always wins. The only choice left is whether you want to be a victim—or prepared.
-
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@ b8851a06:9b120ba1
2025-02-23 23:41:06
> Something stinks in the crypto markets, and it’s not just OpenSea’s suspicious trading activity.
The recent regulatory pivot in Washington—driven by the Trump administration’s aggressive push to make the U.S. “the world’s crypto capital”—has set the stage for a wave of unchecked fraud. OpenSea’s sudden regulatory relief and strategic transformation are just the beginning.
## The SEC’s Curious Retreat
Let’s start with the smoking gun: the SEC was investigating OpenSea for unregistered securities violations, even issuing a Wells notice in August 2024. Then, in a complete reversal, they dropped the case without explanation. This wasn’t some random bureaucratic oversight—it happened right after Trump took office.
The timing is too perfect. His administration wasted no time signaling its pro-crypto stance, and the SEC, once an enforcer, is now rolling over like a neutered watchdog.
> The message? As long as you’re playing the “crypto-bro” game, the rules don’t apply.
## OpenSea’s Convenient Pivot
With the regulatory threat gone, OpenSea immediately rebranded itself—not just as an NFT marketplace but a full-blown token trading platform. Here’s what they did:
* Launched OS2, a rebuilt exchange expanding into token trading.
* Dropped the SEA token on February 13, 2025—perfectly timed with the regulatory climate shift.
* Slashed fees to near zero to attract volume and dominate the market.
This wasn’t just a business move—it was a power play. OpenSea knew that under the previous administration, tokenizing its platform might have triggered another securities probe. But under Trump’s SEC? It’s open season.
## Wash Trading and Market Manipulation
And it worked. The SEA token launch sent OpenSea’s market share skyrocketing from 25.5% to 71.5% in just four weeks. Daily trading volume exploded from $3.47 million to $17.4 million—but the numbers don’t add up. The surge was so artificial that OpenSea had to suspend its XP-based incentives system after accusations of wash trading flooded in.
### Let’s be clear: this isn’t real market growth. This is manipulation.
By incentivizing rapid-fire, circular trading, OpenSea created the illusion of demand. The goal? Pump the SEA token, dominate competitors, and make insiders rich—at the expense of everyday traders.
## Who’s Really Benefiting?
The financials paint a grim picture. #Coatue Management, once a major investor, slashed OpenSea’s valuation from $13.3 billion to just $1.4 billion. Trading volume has collapsed from its $5 billion peak to just $190 million per month. And yet, insiders are doubling down.
Consider these strategic moves:
* OpenSea relocated from New York to Miami, aligning with Florida’s looser regulatory environment.
* It established a foundation in the Cayman Islands—a classic move for dodging scrutiny.
* It’s benefiting from a hands-off #SEC, which has abandoned enforcement actions under the new administration.
This is the new crypto economy: a lawless Wild West where the biggest players game the system while retail traders foot the bill.
## What Comes Next?
With #Trump’s administration actively reshaping crypto regulation, OpenSea is the first of many companies to exploit this new reality. We’re entering an era where politically connected #crypto firms will enjoy total freedom to manipulate markets, while ordinary investors will be left holding the bag.
### The lesson? If you’re not on the inside, you’re the exit liquidity.
This isn’t just about #OpenSea. It’s about a government-sanctioned crypto casino, where fraud is no longer the exception—it seems to be the business model.
I really hope am wrong on this one #nostr.
-
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@ c11cf5f8:4928464d
2025-02-23 20:42:52
Let's hear some of your latest #Bitcoin purchases, feel free to include links to the #shops or #merchants you bought from too. Any good #deal we should know about?
If you missed our last thread, [here](https://stacker.news/items/887305/r/AG) are some of the items stackers recently spent and #zap #sats on.
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/895134
-
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@ 378562cd:a6fc6773
2025-02-23 20:41:59
Social media platforms like Facebook and X (formerly Twitter) have long dominated online communication. However, many people are looking for alternatives due to increasing censorship, algorithmic manipulation, and corporate control over user data. One of the most promising new protocols I have found is Nostr, a decentralized and open-source alternative to traditional social media. But how does Nostr compare, and why should you consider making the switch? If you're reading this, presumably, you already have made the switch, but share this with friends if you like. Let’s dive in.
The Fundamental Differences Between Nostr and Traditional Social Media
1. Decentralization vs. Centralization
Facebook and X are owned and operated by massive corporations that control everything from content moderation to algorithmic visibility. Your posts, followers, and interactions are at the mercy of the company's policies and changes.
Nostr: No single entity owns Nostr. It operates as a protocol where anyone can run a relay (a server that transmits messages). Users are not tied to a single company or platform, ensuring freedom from corporate control.
2. Censorship Resistance
Facebook & X: Heavily moderate content, often removing posts or banning accounts based on internal policies, government pressure, or **advertiser** demands.
Nostr: Built to resist censorship. Since users publish to multiple relays, blocking content on one relay does not remove it from others. You control where your messages are sent, not a centralized authority.
3. User Ownership and Privacy
Facebook & X: Your data is stored on corporate servers and often sold to advertisers. You don’t truly own your content or connections.
Nostr: Users control their private keys, which function like cryptographic signatures. Your identity is yours alone, and no company can take it away.
4. Algorithm-Free Experience
Facebook & X: Content is curated by algorithms that determine what you see based on engagement metrics, often promoting divisive or viral content over meaningful conversations.
Nostr: No forced algorithms. You decide which relays to use and what content to follow. Your feed remains chronological and free from corporate influence.
Pros and Cons of Nostr
✅ Pros:
True freedom of speech: No corporate moderation, allowing open discussion.
User-owned identity: You control your account with a cryptographic key.
No ads or tracking: Your data isn’t harvested or sold to advertisers.
Resilient against shutdowns: Multiple relays ensure content persists even if one relay goes offline.
Customizable experience: Choose the relays and clients that best suit your needs.
❌ Cons (If Any):
Early-stage adoption: Not as many users as Facebook or X (yet!).
Technical learning curve: Requires setting up keys and understanding relays, though improving rapidly.
Lack of centralized moderation: While this is a pro for free speech, it can also mean exposure to spam or undesirable content if it is not filtered properly. However, they are developing hidden or block features to help control your feeds. I don't have a lot of worries here. To be perfectly honest, it seems like a better class of people come here.
Why Should You Leave Facebook and Join Nostr?
If you’re tired of algorithmic manipulation, invasive tracking, and corporate censorship, Nostr offers a fresh start. It’s a place where your voice truly belongs to you, and a centralized authority cannot control your connections.
Yes, it may take some time to adjust to using Nostr, but the benefits far outweigh the minor learning curve. If you value digital freedom, privacy, and resistance to censorship, now is the perfect time to explore the future of social networking.
How to Get Your Friends to Leave Corporate Social Media and Join Nostr
Switching to Nostr is one thing, but convincing your friends to make the leap can be challenging. Here are some practical ways to help them transition:
Explain the benefits: Many people don’t realize how much control corporations have over their online experience. Share this article and highlight the key points.
Make it easy: Walk them through setting up a Nostr account, generating a private key, and connecting to relays.
Show them the community: Introduce them to active Nostr users, groups, and discussions to make the transition feel worthwhile.
Lead by example: Use Nostr consistently and post compelling content that makes it appealing to your friends.
Keep the conversation going. As more people join, Nostr will become even more engaging, making it a true alternative to corporate-controlled platforms.
-
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@ badc29af:a92bd071
2025-02-23 20:34:58
**Part I: The First Hour (Blocks 694,200–694,205)**
**Block 694,200: The Coder**\
Sarah Chen sat hunched over her keyboard in her San Francisco apartment, the fog smudging her window. Debugging a fintech app, she watched block 694,200 confirm on the Bitcoin blockchain. Suddenly, its architecture snapped into focus: not just code, but a defiance of artificial abundance.\
"Holy shit," she whispered, easing back from her desk, her monitor casting light on scattered ramen cups. She’d coded financial systems for years, but now she saw money’s true potential—scarce, digital, unbound.
**Block 694,201: The Entrepreneur**\
Ten minutes later, in a steamy Lagos cybercafé, James Okonjo’s world shifted as block 694,201 locked in. Struggling with payment delays under Nigeria’s currency controls, he read about Bitcoin’s borderless flow.\
"No more gatekeepers," he said, startling nearby patrons. His hands shook as he set up his first wallet, already dreaming of a Bitcoin education platform for African developers.
**Block 694,202: The Economist**\
In Caracas, Maria Rodriguez paced before her Universidad Central de Venezuela class, dissecting inflation’s latest surge. As block 694,202 formed, the idea of fixed-supply money hit her like a revelation.\
"Forget this slide," she said, closing her laptop. "Let’s talk proof-of-work." Her students stared, but her mind was already racing with possibilities.
**Block 694,203: The Retiree**\
In Tokyo, Hiroshi Yamamoto sipped tea during his morning portfolio review when block 694,203 confirmed. A retired salaryman, he saw Bitcoin as a shield against decades of yen erosion. Quietly, he began researching wallets, his curiosity ignited.
**Block 694,204: The Prodigy**\
In Toronto, 16-year-old Emma Chen, a coding whiz, stumbled across block 694,204 while tinkering online. The power to program her own money dawned on her. She grinned, diving into Bitcoin’s whitepaper with reckless glee.
**Block 694,205: The Shopkeeper**\
In Buenos Aires, Carlos Mendoza tallied his shop’s dwindling profits as block 694,205 ticked into existence. Sick of the peso’s collapse, he found Bitcoin—an escape from financial quicksand. By nightfall, he’d downloaded a wallet app.
---
**Part II: The First Day (Blocks 694,206–694,343)**
**The Morning Wave (Blocks 694,206–694,247)**\
Over the next 42 blocks—about seven hours—as Asia slept and Europe stirred, the awakenings multiplied:
**Block 694,206**: A Swiss banker questioned her fiat career.
**Block 694,207**: A German programmer marveled at Bitcoin’s consensus beauty.
**Block 694,208**: A Korean gamer saw virtual gold turn real.\
The chain hummed, each block birthing new believers, ten minutes apart.
**The American Session (Blocks 694,248–694,295)**\
As Wall Street woke, blocks 694,248 to 694,295—eight hours—marked a finance-world reckoning:
**Block 694,248**: A Connecticut hedge fund manager saw through fiat’s illusions.
**Block 694,249**: A Chicago commodities trader grasped digital scarcity.
**Block 694,250**: A Texas pension admin envisioned a sounder future.\
Each block stamped a timestamp on their transformation.
**The Global South Rises (Blocks 694,296–694,343)**\
The day’s final stretch—48 blocks, eight more hours—saw the global south ignite:
**Block 694,296**: Brazilian students planned Bitcoin beach hubs.
**Block 694,297**: Indonesian merchants linked Lightning payment loops.
**Block 694,298**: South African miners turned solar power into hash rate.\
The chain pulsed, relentless, binding them all.
---
**Part III: The Network Effect (Beyond Block 694,343)**
**The Teachers (Block 694,344)**\
Sarah quit her job at block 694,344, coding Bitcoin education tools. James’s platform launched, reaching Africa’s devs. Maria’s NOSTR lectures spread, her voice a beacon.
**The Builders (Block 694,345)**\
At block 694,345, innovation bloomed: privacy upgrades, scaling fixes, Lightning finance tools. The awakened built atop the chain.
**The HODLers (Block 694,346)**\
By block 694,346, others simply held—silent sentinels whose faith grew with each block, each halving.
---
**Epilogue: The Endless Chain (Blocks Onward)**
The awakening rolled on, ten minutes at a time. Block 694,347 saw a Mumbai coder join Sarah’s cause. Block 694,348 brought a Nairobi merchant to James’s platform. Block 694,349 swayed a Manila policymaker with Maria’s words.
Every block—144 a day—sparked new stories: dreamers seeking freedom, builders crafting tools, HODLers standing firm. Money, they understood, was too vital to be ruled by power. From block 694,200, the chain stretched forward, a living testament to scarcity, ownership, math over might.
Each block was a birth, each hash a heartbeat, each Bitcoiner a node in a network of financial truth—marching on, block by block, toward a harder, sounder world, forever verified, never permissioned, growing but never diluted, ten minutes at a time.
-
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@ 629c4a12:f822cc1a
2025-02-23 20:27:36
This is test 2
-
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@ 573d3e22:c2f41d22
2025-02-23 20:17:32
this is a test
-
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@ f3873798:24b3f2f3
2025-02-23 19:21:48
A liberdade de expressão e a descentralização do poder estão intimamente ligadas ao avanço do pensamento humano e à construção de uma sociedade mais justa e consciente. A evolução da compreensão sobre o certo e o errado surge da comunicação, da observação empírica e da análise das consequências de ações passadas.
Para que haja uma aproximação real com a verdade e uma relação equilibrada entre a razão da vida e o convívio com o poder, é essencial garantir a liberdade de expressão. Somente por meio do livre debate de ideias é possível avaliar as diversas perspectivas, identificar erros e aprender com eles.
Embora a maioria das pessoas busque o aprendizado e a compreensão do que é correto, o apego cego a uma ideia evidentemente equivocada pode fazer com que percam o real propósito da busca pela verdade. Em vez de refletirem criticamente, muitos acabam apenas defendendo um erro pelo simples fato de se identificarem com ele.
Esse é um dos motivos pelos quais a censura tem se tornado uma ferramenta tão temida e contestada. Ilude-se quem acredita que a censura existe apenas para combater crimes e golpes. Na realidade, quanto maior a censura, mais favorecidos são aqueles que desejam ocultar informações, tornando ainda mais difícil a identificação e o combate a abusos.
Nos países livres, onde a liberdade de expressão é respeitada, há maior autonomia nas decisões políticas e um engajamento mais ativo da população. A participação cidadã fortalece o controle do povo sobre as influências que moldam o convívio social, garantindo que o poder não fique concentrado nas mãos de poucos, mas distribuído de forma mais democrática e justa.
-
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-23 19:12:47
UvEa5PR6FF+PYlYXJM9Sqt06t01ARuO5vW2ct5SyIg4+aA4nq38Mofx2NI5YydZJcn9iQO2f0nlgIJaMFuDYBLXQFHklMlq7OfY5UyTnOFZ8Js9NwIMI1I7IVWp6qPEBSp5z0OmKOB1g2Z1jEZrySpkMd53AjaeYXiEyT5IMSDsKjxAbwuLRWaZiCWKtxKJxRdT/VUvYeE9dIfnadSkZdF8oIT6PlZYlgQ836Rt7X4O6hA/ydm1Hrc/1H/eTuKS8ePXZs5E4b/+XtgPclYqMPdUzD5/4rplIRJJXZQZX3cWiGC/0ilWIqyItead3JhwPAb+lNAyycfYelZRNjI10U719a0wjBsc0q7PgjQvSze4=?iv=uIyBfCznssKHgZaTSeUpbw==
-
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-23 19:07:41
jBiT1F1hY5a3Vq2M4HQw8gzVRLsjgq55R7BiuA27ArQTWpw4IPwLwljsZ5LDgw3GrZLbDXwFJchQxD7uBvMnMJWhyNTCcrrtG+HEwOKI2QNoOuvD/7ilDa6LRkH27dcJkwYykm4m2Z/55OKy/tFlDmuILrVI292kLmYtaM5a9J0BCzEjUYD2y3rsSEao33ffBPr1sguZqJ4v+6+JPI/v2g90RrJx4SUS8rwi4u+JK7NmFZ8kvQ/2q3pkxQlGQwHO6QJvjojhnP1wh10Hfjv55Zy12QCoIFEwfEyXiVgiY28eiLqMmFwuew73/KlDac/7cK46SY8Ctc9XCCVyMIeWrtvAf9Xv/gaXf+Bdma9nFd49ajE0vTu1ek0w/VAjbDMM?iv=0lLA9SdWMNruCC1dP2LLgA==
-
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-23 19:07:38
3jqbINLb+Eu6xeXqFoZnxGx1vWAPYzmPDiD7QWXr7gEmomwqlvfMkaP//6lgCfRZWMgQ+CwOy8O87HiQVlKz4S7Or1EJD50aWxSLkPWsIxvP7qbQucBZT4dGJZcfx1roCbmatYwiFsEx82qmbpm8otkry7GI5tCFVMpFzvgW2W03j+ogXmvPgrgrta5RJT6eHX0HlzoRPmUi7MUzulSCnIWWwB+mrSbP5UHsPuwyNAsS5y3o4v0poQKEFEPRhin1x3e+Ng1TaaSvtqS8cDsJbl+MR/Tg+rf5tY7vJYWfE08I7oAu5onu5sPwQxRAdsugUUkHTqV4NFHPtRdUXETzpZWMnMzjRNQQxJxKCvAx1kNQPAawWMmiVm+D2CxTMsQF6ppj7Fy/2k071Atbyo1U24EAxnpe4QKxmRYmqGFi1/8=?iv=putQEJoUu8Jq2j5iMUe+5w==
-
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@ dbb19ae0:c3f22d5a
2025-02-23 16:38:41
Derive npub from nsec given as parameter
``` python
import argparse
import asyncio
from nostr_sdk import Keys, init_logger, LogLevel
async def main(nsec):
init_logger(LogLevel.INFO)
keys = Keys.parse(nsec)
public_key = keys.public_key()
print(f"Public key (hex): {public_key.to_hex()}")
print(f"Public key (npub): {public_key.to_bech32()}")
if __name__ == '__main__':
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description='Fetch all relay from a given nsec')
parser.add_argument('nsec', type=str, help='The nsec of the user')
args = parser.parse_args()
asyncio.run(main(args.nsec))
```
https://docs.rs/nostr_rust/latest/nostr_rust/keys/fn.get_public_key_from_secret.html
https://github.com/ev3rst/nostr_sdk_examples/blob/main/ns-derive-npub.py
-
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@ 132b7b75:2321bcf6
2025-02-23 10:27:08
# == January 17 2025
Out From Underneath | Prism Shores
crazy arms | pigeon pit
Humanhood | The Weather Station
# == february 07 2025
Wish Defense | FACS
Sayan - Savoie | Maria Teriaeva
Nowhere Near Today | Midding
# == february 14 2025
Phonetics On and On | Horsegirl
# == february 21 2025
Finding Our Balance | Tsoh Tso
Machine Starts To Sing | Porridge Radio
Armageddon In A Summer Dress | Sunny War
-
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@ 41fa852b:af7b7706
2025-02-23 09:41:15
> "Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value, zero." --Voltaire
* * *
**Lots happening this coming week for UK Bitcoiners, so there is plenty to report for this edition.**
There are ten meetups for the coming week, two new businesses, and two new events, and we have a new sponsor, [Bitcoin Metalworks](https://bitcoinmetalworks.com/). Check out their amazing Bitcoin-inspired artwork at the bottom of the ad section.
Let's dive in…
* * *
[](https://bitcoinevents.uk/donate/)
* * *
_This week's sponsor is…_
[](https://www.orangepillapp.com/?utm_source=BEUK&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=BEUK)
* * *
### **Upcoming Bitcoin Meetups**
Happening this week…
1. [**Real Bedford - Home Game**](https://www.realbedford.com/real-bedford-v-aylesbury-united2): Peter MacCormack's boys are at home this Tuesday the 25th, playing Aylesbury United. Join them for a 19:45 kickoff. ⚽️
2. [**Leamington Spa**](https://t.me/leambitcoin): Meetups on the last Tuesday of each month at 7 PM. You'll find them this month at the White Horse, CV32 5PZ on the 25th. 🍻
3. [**Bitcoin Surrey**](https://x.com/bitcoinsurrey/status/1888974122358641007): On Tuesday, February 25th, from 18:00 to 23:00, Bitcoin Surrey is hosting a special meetup focused on Bitcoin art at Yiayias at The Fox, located at 21 Frensham Road, Lower Bourne, Farnham, Surrey GU10 3PH. The event features a fireside chat and talk at 19:00 by artist and curator Rebel Money Art, titled "Bitcoin Art: The New Revolution," discussing the evolution and future of Bitcoin art. Additionally, the venue's upstairs will be transformed into a pop-up Bitcoin art gallery for the evening, showcasing works by various international artists, including Cryptograffiti, RYR, HodlxHold, Flo Montoya, Sham Shad, 2140 Collective, Mr Hansel, Asanoha, No Good, and Rebel Money Art. Bitcoin is accepted at the venue and entry is free. 🍻🖼️🎨
4. [**Brighton Bitcoin**](https://t.me/brighton_btc): Building a bitcoin community in the Brighton & Hove area. A regular informal meetup happens every last Wednesday of the month at [Indian Summer](https://www.indiansummerbrighton.co.uk/) where they accept bitcoin payments. The meetup starts at 20:00, or 19:00 if you'd like to eat first. 🥘🍻
5. [**Manchester Bitcoin**](https://btcmap.org/community/bitcoin-manchester): On the 27th, Manchesters Bitcoin will be at The Smithfield Market Tavern. Join them at 19:00. 🍺
6. [**Cyphermunk House - Constellation Money**](https://btcpay.btc.aw/apps/3KBnXP178MWUvGGizGKsgFQrKoaY/pos): Exploring unconscious blocks and hidden patterns in your relationship to money. At 18:30 on Thursday 27th. 👨🏻🚀
7. [**The Satoshi Society - Southampton**](https://x.com/satssociety): Join a friendly group of bitcoiners at The Maritimo Lounge, Ocean Village on Friday the 28th for food and a Bitcoin chat. 🍺
8. [**Bitcoin Walk - Edinburgh**](https://bitcoinwalk.org/): Every Saturday they walk around Arthur's Seat in this historic city. Join them at 12 pm to chat about all things Bitcoin and keep fit. 🚶🏽♂️🚶🏼♀️🚶🏻
9. [**Leeds Bitcoin Network**](https://t.me/LeedsBTC): The first Sunday of every month the Leeds Bitcoin Network meet at the [Global Tribe Cafe](https://www.globalcrystals.com/), LS1 6LG at 1 PM on Sunday 2nd March. ☕️
10. [**Cyphermunk House - Repair Party**](https://btcpay.btc.aw/apps/3KBnXP178MWUvGGizGKsgFQrKoaY/pos): Watch, learn and get hands-on experience at this community lead electronic repair training workshop. UK Plug, Laptop, Kettle, toaster... On Sunday 2nd March at 10:00. 👨🏻🔧🛠️
* * *
### New Businesses Accepting Bitcoin
- [**Hollins Mill**](https://btcmap.org/merchant/node:236019804): This traditional English Pub in Sowerby Bridge specialises in craft beers and ales, 50+ gins, and has a large beer garden and function room for up to 120 people. Perfect for weddings, christenings and birthday parties. Now accepting bitcoin!
- [**Alema Coffee**](https://www.alemacoffee.com/): Some great work is going on behind the scenes in Bury St Edmunds. Expect some new businesses to appear here as Bitcoin East onboard them. Alema's Coffee is grown on a family farm in Ecuador and sent directly to Alema coffee for roasting. You can visit them at 2 High Baxter Street, Bury St Edmunds, IP33 1ES for some exceptional, hand-crafted coffee, paid for with bitcoin.
* * *
### Upcoming Special Events
These events aren't happening next week, but they're important to add to your calendar now as tickets are selling fast.
- [**Eat and Meet with Joe Bryan**](https://orangepill.app.link/MDg7o8KxcRb): Meet the creator of 'Whats the Problem' and a host of bitcoiners at the Weeping Willow in Bury St Edmunds. Starting at 18:00 on Tuesday March the 4th.
[](https://orangepill.app.link/MDg7o8KxcRb)
- [**CheatCode 2025**](https://www.cheatcode.co.uk/) - Peter McCormack hosts the CheatCode conference, following last year's success. This year, international guest speakers include Preston Pysh, Alex Gladstein, Natalie Brunell, Matthew Pines, Steve Baker, Ben Arc, and Checkmate.
Friday, April 11th, is the main conference day, followed by a huge meetup at Ledger Park for the men's Real Bedford match, and again on Sunday for the women's match. Check out the link for ticket details.
[](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbcb0553a-dc8c-4fb7-98dd-4a95085d83a5_1500x500.png)
* * *
**Get Involved**
- **Volunteer Opportunities**: [Bridge2Bitcoin](https://bridge2bitcoin.com/) is actively seeking volunteers who share our passion for merchant adoption. We'd be delighted to connect if you're eager to contribute. Reach out to us on [Twitter](https://x.com/bridge2bitcoin) or through our [website](https://bridge2bitcoin.com/).
- **Start Your Own Meetup**: Interested in launching a Bitcoin meetup? We're here to support you every step of the way. We've assisted numerous UK Bitcoin meetups in getting started. Get in touch via [Twitter](https://x.com/bitcoineventsuk).
- [**Contribute to BTCMaps**](https://wiki.btcmap.org/general/tagging-instructions.html): BTCMaps is a vital part of the Bitcoin ecosystem. It's a perfect project to get involved with if you're not a coder or even that technical. A great way to give back to the community. Maintain an area of the UK and keep it up-to-date.
- **Telegram users**: You might find our [Telegram Channel](https://t.me/BitcoinEventsUKHub) another useful way to keep up-to-date with UK meetups.
- **Feedback and Suggestions**: We value your input! Share your ideas on how we can enhance this newsletter.
* * *
_This week's sponsors are…_
[](https://orangecoinstore.com/)
[](https://bitcoinretreat.co.uk/)
[](https://bitcoinmetalworks.com/)
* * *
Get out and support the meetups where you can, visit [Bitcoin Events UK](https://bitcoinevents.uk/) for more info on each meetup and to find your closest on the interactive map.
Stay tuned for more updates next week!
Simon.
[](https://bitcoinevents.uk/donate/)
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@ 6a3d3f20:6a569bcc
2025-02-23 08:50:19
Imagina un internet donde tú tienes el control, donde nadie puede silenciarte y donde las conexiones entre personas fluyen sin barreras corporativas. Esto no es un sueño lejano, ¡es la realidad que está tomando forma gracias a Nostr! Este protocolo **descentralizado**, nacido en 2020 de la mente ingeniosa de un desarrollador brasileño conocido como *fiatjaf*, ha surgido como una respuesta vibrante a los desafíos del internet actual. En un mundo donde las redes sociales centralizadas han comenzado a tambalearse bajo el peso de la **censura**, la privacidad comprometida y el control excesivo, Nostr llega como un soplo de aire fresco, prometiendo devolvernos el poder sobre nuestra voz y nuestros datos.
## Cómo surge Nostr
El nacimiento de Nostr no fue un accidente, sino una reacción a un panorama digital que pedía a gritos un cambio. Hacia finales de la década de 2010, plataformas como **Twitter** enfrentaban crecientes críticas por sus políticas de **moderación**, dejando a muchos usuarios frustrados y silenciados. Al mismo tiempo, alternativas como **Mastodon** o **ActivityPub**, aunque descentralizadas, no terminaban de cuajar para todos debido a su complejidad técnica o diferencias culturales. Fue en este caldo de cultivo donde *fiatjaf*, inspirado por la resistencia de **Bitcoin** y su criptografía de clave pública, lanzó **Nostr** en noviembre de 2020. Pero el verdadero punto de inflexión llegó en diciembre de 2022, cuando *Jack Dorsey*, cofundador de Twitter, donó 14 bitcoins (unos 250,000 dólares) al proyecto. ¡Ese fue el momento en que Nostr pasó de ser un secreto de la comunidad *web3* a brillar en el radar global!
## Una evolución que no para de sorprendernos
Desde sus humildes comienzos, Nostr ha crecido a pasos agigantados. Su diseño es simple pero poderoso: "*Notes and Other Stuff Transmitted by Relays*" (Notas y otras cosas transmitidas por relevadores) usa servidores ligeros llamados *relays* para distribuir mensajes firmados criptográficamente por los usuarios. ¿Lo mejor? No depende de un servidor central, lo que lo hace prácticamente ++imposible de censurar++. En sus primeros años, era un terreno experimental, con aplicaciones como **Damus** (un cliente tipo Twitter) abriendo camino. Hoy, en 2025, la escena es vibrante: desde **Primal 2.0**, con búsquedas avanzadas y feeds personalizados, hasta integraciones con la **Lightning Network** de Bitcoin, que permite "**zaps**" (*micropagos*) para apoyar a creadores. Los desarrolladores no paran de innovar, creando desde marketplaces descentralizados hasta sistemas de identidad, demostrando que Nostr es mucho más que una red social: ¡es una base para reinventar el internet!
## La importancia de Nostr hoy y mañana
¿Por qué Nostr importa tanto ahora? Porque está devolviendo la *soberanía* a los usuarios en un momento en que la *privacidad* y la *libertad* en línea están bajo asedio. Con cada relay que se suma y cada cliente que aparece, Nostr construye una red resistente donde las grandes tecnológicas no dictan las reglas. Su integración con Bitcoin está creando una economía circular emocionante: imagina ganar *sats* (fracciones de bitcoin) por tus publicaciones o apoyar directamente a tus creadores favoritos sin intermediarios. En febrero de 2025, ya vemos comunidades activas, desde entusiastas de la tecnología hasta artistas, floreciendo en este ecosistema abierto.
De cara al futuro, Nostr tiene el potencial de ser un pilar del internet que siempre quisimos: descentralizado, transparente y al servicio de las personas. No solo compite con las redes sociales tradicionales, sino que las supera al ofrecer un lienzo en blanco para que cualquiera construya lo que imagine, desde plataformas de comunicación hasta soluciones IoT o mercados globales. Su simplicidad invita a miles de desarrolladores a sumarse, y su resistencia a la censura asegura que las voces marginadas siempre tengan un lugar. Si **Bitcoin** nos dio libertad financiera, **Nostr** nos está dando libertad digital, y juntos podrían ser la dupla que transforme cómo interactuamos en línea.
[[]()]()
## Un gran futuro nos espera
Nostr no es solo un protocolo; es un movimiento, una chispa de optimismo en un mundo digital que a veces parece gris. Cada vez que alguien se une, configura un relay o prueba una nueva app, estamos dando un paso hacia un internet más justo y emocionante. Así que, ¿qué esperas? Nostr no es el futuro lejano, ¡es el presente vibrante que está creciendo hoy! **Únete**, experimenta y sé parte de esta revolución que está poniendo el poder de internet de vuelta en nuestras manos. ¡El mañana digital nunca lució tan prometedor!
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@ e373ca41:b82abcc5
2025-02-23 08:39:06
*Dieser Artikel wurde mit dem* *[Pareto-Client](https://pareto.space/read)* *geschrieben (lesen Sie ihn dort, um die volle Erfahrung zu machen). Er wurde zuerst auf Deutsch von Milosz Matuschek auf* *["Freischwebende Intelligenz"](https://www.freischwebende-intelligenz.org/p/was-bringt-eine-wahl-wenn-das-system)* *veröffentlicht.*
Zur Demokratur, der vom Souverän losgelösten Demokratie, gehört es zum Ritus, dem Volk regelmäßig den Puls zu fühlen. Heute ist wieder so ein Tag. Doch was wird der Souverän am Ende dieses Tages gewonnen haben?
Zur parlamentarischen Demokratie gehört der Wesentlichkeitsgrundsatz. Alle grundrechtswesentlichen, also den Wesenskern von Grundrechten betreffenden Entscheidungen müssen vom Parlament gefällt werden.
Behandelt der Bundestag die wesentlichen Fragen?
* Was hat man im Gremium des Souveräns bisher über Nordstream herausgefunden?
* Was über Spike-Proteine, die 700 Tage nach der Impfung noch aktiv sind?
* Wie erklärt dieses Gremium dem Souverän, dass Bankenbosse, Bundeskanzler und migrantische Straftäter in diesem Land ungleich schwieriger zu verurteilen sind als Bürger, die einen gefährlich mindertalentierten Politiker „Schwachkopf“ nennen?
Wofür einen Bundestag wählen, der nichts zählt, wenn es darauf ankommt und wenig zustande bringt, was dem Bürger nützt, wenn er mal darf? Eine allgemeine Impfpflicht, die auf Politikerseite erst jeder kategorisch ausschloss und dann jeder ebenso salbungsvoll kategorisch befürwortete, scheiterte nur knapp. Aufarbeitung seither?
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Legitimation des rituellen Umkehrschwungs? (Foto: [Rosenbusch/X](https://x.com/rosenbusch_/status/1893456799728062698))
\
Aus dem Kontrollgremium des Souveräns gegenüber der Regierung ist eine realitätsverweigernde BRD-Volkskammer geworden. Was kann eine Wahl verändern, wenn das System, welches sie alimentiert und perpetuiert, das Problem ist? Nehmen wir einen Motor, der mit Benzin läuft. Der Motor ist „unsere Demokratie“, Wahlen sind der Betankungsvorgang. Der Bürger betankt heute die Maschinerie mit der Legitimation durch seine Stimme. Doch er weiß nicht mehr, welche Hebel und Gerätschaften der Motor eigentlich antreibt. Dieser Teil befindet sich hinter einem schweren Vorhang. Kann im Sinne von Transparenz und Mit-Verantwortung der Betankungsvorgang guten Gewissens vollzogen werden?
Der Wahlvorgang ist ein Paradebeispiel dessen, was der Soziologe Niklas Luhmann mit „Legitimation durch Verfahren“ beschrieben hat. Der prozessuale Akt, die Auszählung und Verkündung schafft neue Realität und legitimiert die neue Ordnung. Aus der Erfahrung der letzten Jahre in einer autoritären parlamentarischen Demokratur bedeutet die Wahlentscheidung jedoch eine de facto Blanko-Einwilligung in die eigene Versklavung. Im Privatrecht wäre das ein sittenwidriges Ziel, das zur Nichtigkeit des Vertrages führen würde. Wieso sollte das auf der Ebene des politischen Gesellschaftsvertrages dann möglich sein? Und wie kann ein solcher Legitimationsvorgang verantwortet werden?
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ngy05PFUlo8&t=5s>
Der Parlamentarismus in Deutschland ist für mich gescheitert, wieder einmal. Doch warum soll in einem besetzten, globalistisch durchzogenen NATO-EU-WHO-Konglomerat wie Deutschland auch ausgerechnet der Bürger das letzte Wort haben? Die Legitimationskette von Bürger zu Staat hat zu viele blinde Flecken bekommen. Die Rückverfolgung desaströsen politischen Handelns ist nicht mehr möglich. In Deutschland hat keine gesellschaftliche Instanz, nicht die Politik, nicht die Wissenschaft, nicht die Justiz, nicht die Medien, bisher eine Form der Corona-Aufarbeitung hinbekommen, die diesen Namen verdient. Das ist Sache von unabhängigen, versprengten Stimmen und Publikationen.
Wie ist es um die Legitimität der „Partneroganisationen“ Deutschlands bestellt? Die EU ist unlängst vom Friedensbündnis zum Kriegsbündnis geworden, die Nato kann nicht mal Bündnispartner vor Bündnispartnern schützen und die WHO ist ein durch China und Bill Gates unterwandertes Jointventure für globale Impf- und Kontrollexperimente. All das wird heute erneut zementiert und wenn es gesprengt würde, müsste der Wahlvorgang verboten werden. Im besetzten Land darf nur richtig gewählt werden.
Und deshalb gibt es für mich in diesem System keine Wahl.
Wie ist es bei Ihnen?
Wie stehen Sie zu dieser Wahl? Gehen Sie hin und mit welchen Gefühlen, Erwartungen, Intentionen? Ich freue mich auf Ihren Kommentar.
ANZEIGE:
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***
***You prefer reading me in English?*** *You can find my first uncensorable articles written with our Pareto client via Nostr,* ***[clicking on this link.](https://pareto.space/u/ashoka@pareto.space)*** *Discover other authors at* ***[Pareto.space/read.](https://pareto.space/read)(click on the Pareto button to see our first authors).*** 
[](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc33bfce1-1a89-42ff-a89f-e1fbd7edfac4_2382x1272.png)
***
***Join the marketplace of ideas!** We are building a publishing ecosystem on Nostr for citizen-journalism, starting with a client for blogging and newsletter distribution. Sound money and sound information should finally be in the hands of the people, right? Want to learn more about the [Pareto Project](https://pareto.space/en)? Zap me, if you want to contribute (all Zaps go to the project).*
*Are you a publication or journalist and want to be part of it, test us, migrate your content to Nostr? Write to **<team@pareto.space>***
**Not yet on** **[Nostr](https://nostr.com/)** **and want the full experience?** Easy onboarding via **[Start.](https://start.njump.me/)**
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@ e5de992e:4a95ef85
2025-02-23 07:52:00
A trading log isn't just a record of past trades—it's a tool for learning, improving, and achieving consistency. By keeping a detailed log, you gain insights into your decision-making process, identify patterns, and refine your strategy over time.
Here's why and how to maintain a comprehensive trading log effectively.
---
## 1. The Importance of a Trading Log
- **Track Performance Objectively**
Without a log, it's easy to misremember trades or overestimate success. A detailed log provides accurate data to analyze your progress.
- **Understand Your Strengths and Weaknesses**
By reviewing your log, you can identify what works well and where you need improvement. Patterns in losing trades often highlight common mistakes or emotional triggers.
- **Build Confidence and Trust in Your System**
Seeing a record of rule-based, consistent trades reinforces trust in your strategy. Reviewing past successes can boost morale during challenging periods.
---
## 2. What to Include in Your Trading Log
A detailed trading log should cover both objective data and subjective reflections.
### Objective Data
- **Date and Time:** When the trade was entered and exited.
- **Instrument Traded:** Stock, forex pair, crypto, etc.
- **Entry and Exit Prices:** Precise levels where you opened and closed the trade.
- **Position Size:** Number of shares, contracts, or units traded.
- **Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels:** Risk management details.
- **P/L (Profit or Loss):** Outcome of the trade in dollars or percentage terms.
- **Trade Type:** Long, short, scalping, swing, etc.
### Subjective Reflections
- **Reason for Entering the Trade:** What setup or signal prompted the trade?
- **Emotional State:** How did you feel before, during, and after the trade?
- **Execution Notes:** Did you follow your plan? If not, why?
- **Lessons Learned:** What can you take away from this trade to improve next time?
> **Key Insight:** Both data and reflection are essential for meaningful analysis.
---
## 3. How to Analyze Your Trading Log
1. **Identify Patterns**
Look for common themes in your winning and losing trades.
_Examples:_ Winning trades often align with specific setups, while losing trades frequently result from breaking rules or impulsive decisions.
2. **Evaluate Strategy Effectiveness**
Assess whether your system produces consistent results over time.
Use metrics like win rate, risk-reward ratio, and drawdown to evaluate performance.
3. **Address Emotional Triggers**
Reflect on emotional notes to understand what triggers fear, greed, or hesitation.
Develop strategies to manage emotions based on these insights.
---
## 4. Benefits of Keeping a Trading Log
- **Improved Discipline:**
Writing down each trade reinforces the habit of sticking to your plan.
- **Informed Adjustments:**
Logs provide data-driven insights to refine your strategy.
- **Emotional Control:**
Journaling emotions helps you recognize and address psychological pitfalls.
- **Long-Term Growth:**
By tracking your progress, you can measure improvement over months and years.
> **Key Insight:** A trading log turns mistakes into lessons and successes into repeatable actions.
---
## 5. Tools for Logging Trades
### Manual Logs
- Use a notebook or spreadsheet to record trades.
- **Pros:** Highly customizable, forces you to engage deeply with each entry.
- **Cons:** Time-intensive and less automated.
### Software and Platforms
- Tools like Edgewonk, TraderSync, or Tradervue can streamline the process.
- **Pros:** Automated data collection, advanced analytics, and performance tracking.
- **Cons:** May have a learning curve or subscription costs.
> **Key Insight:** Choose a method that aligns with your workflow and trading style.
---
## 6. Tips for Maintaining a Consistent Trading Log
- **Log Every Trade:**
Don't skip trades, even the ones you'd rather forget. They're often the most valuable for learning.
- **Be Honest:**
Record trades exactly as they happened, including mistakes and rule-breaking.
- **Review Regularly:**
Set aside time weekly or monthly to analyze your log and adjust your approach.
- **Stay Disciplined:**
Treat logging as an essential part of your trading routine.
---
## 7. Conclusion: Your Trading Log is Your Mirror
A detailed trading log is more than just a record—it's a roadmap to success. It provides clarity, accountability, and insights that are essential for continuous improvement.
Start today. Keep a detailed log, review it often, and use it to refine both your strategy and your mindset. Your future self will thank you.
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@ e5de992e:4a95ef85
2025-02-23 07:46:45
China’s M1 increases a lot, it means there’s more money available for people and businesses to buy things. This can help boost spending and economic growth in the short term. However, if there’s too much money chasing the same amount of goods and services, prices can rise, leading to inflation. Sometimes, a rapid increase in M1 can also signal that banks are lending a lot of money, which might eventually create bubbles in things like real estate or stocks if the growth isn’t managed carefully.
https://tradingeconomics.com/china/money-supply-m1
China’s M1 increases a lot, it means there’s more money available for people and businesses to buy things. This can help boost spending and economic growth in the short term.
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@ da0b9bc3:4e30a4a9
2025-02-23 07:08:22
Hello Stackers!
Welcome on into the ~Music Corner of the Saloon!
A place where we Talk Music. Share Tracks. Zap Sats.
So stay a while and listen.
🚨Don't forget to check out the pinned items in the territory homepage! You can always find the latest weeklies there!🚨
🚨Subscribe to the territory to ensure you never miss a post! 🚨
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/894609
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@ a14ef72e:ff35dcf3
2025-02-23 04:39:58
If this works, I will take it as a sign that I can make long form posts here. But I haven't been asked for a private key. Will nos2x take care of that? Let's see...
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@ ce269321:e18428bc
2025-02-23 05:08:15
Com o crescimento do mercado de entretenimento online, as plataformas de jogos têm se tornado cada vez mais populares, e a 3633Bet é uma das grandes favoritas entre os jogadores. Com uma ampla gama de jogos, uma interface acessível e recursos de segurança de última geração, a 3633Bet proporciona uma experiência divertida e empolgante para todos os perfis de jogadores.
Introdução à 3633Bet
A <a href="https://3633bet.club"> 3633bet </a> é uma plataforma de jogos online que foi projetada para atender as necessidades de uma base de jogadores diversificada. A plataforma é de fácil navegação e permite que os jogadores encontrem rapidamente os jogos de sua preferência, além de acessar outras funcionalidades como bônus e promoções.
A segurança dos jogadores é uma das principais prioridades da 3633Bet. Com a utilização de criptografia de alta qualidade, a plataforma garante que todos os dados pessoais e financeiros dos usuários estejam protegidos. Além disso, a 3633Bet segue as normas do setor para garantir que todos os jogos sejam justos e transparentes.
Ampla Seleção de Jogos para Todos os Gostos
Na 3633Bet, os jogadores encontram uma ampla gama de jogos para se divertir e testar suas habilidades. Com jogos de mesa, slots e opções ao vivo, a plataforma oferece algo para todos.
Jogos de Mesa: Para quem aprecia jogos tradicionais como blackjack, roleta e pôquer, a 3633Bet tem uma excelente seleção. Com diversas variações desses jogos, os jogadores podem escolher a opção que mais combina com seu estilo de jogo.
Jogos Ao Vivo: Se você busca uma experiência mais realista e interativa, a 3633Bet oferece uma variedade de jogos ao vivo. Com dealers profissionais e streaming de alta qualidade, jogos como roleta e bacará podem ser jogados em tempo real, com a interação típica de um ambiente físico.
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Jogos Diferenciados: Além dos jogos tradicionais, a 3633Bet oferece opções especiais que trazem um toque único ao entretenimento online. Essas opções proporcionam novas experiências para quem busca algo diferente.
A Experiência do Jogador na 3633Bet
A experiência do jogador na 3633Bet é otimizada para que a navegação seja fácil e sem complicação. A plataforma tem uma interface amigável, permitindo que os jogadores encontrem rapidamente o que buscam e aproveitem todos os recursos da plataforma. A plataforma é também completamente otimizada para dispositivos móveis, o que significa que os jogadores podem acessar seus jogos e funcionalidades favoritas diretamente do celular ou tablet.
O suporte ao cliente da 3633Bet é altamente eficiente, com atendimento disponível 24 horas por dia, 7 dias por semana. Se o jogador tiver dúvidas ou precisar de assistência, pode contar com a equipe de suporte, disponível via chat ao vivo e e-mail.
Promoções e Bônus
Além da qualidade dos jogos, a 3633Bet oferece promoções e bônus que aumentam a diversão e as chances de vitória. Novos jogadores são recebidos com bônus de boas-vindas, enquanto jogadores regulares podem aproveitar ofertas de fidelidade, rodadas grátis e promoções exclusivas. Esses bônus garantem que o jogo nunca pare, oferecendo mais oportunidades de ganhos.
Conclusão
A 3633Bet é uma plataforma de jogos online completa, com uma grande diversidade de jogos, segurança de ponta e uma excelente experiência do jogador. Se você está em busca de entretenimento de qualidade, com a possibilidade de ganhar prêmios enquanto se diverte, a 3633Bet é a escolha certa. Com suporte dedicado, promoções exclusivas e uma plataforma intuitiva, a 3633Bet oferece tudo que um jogador precisa para uma experiência divertida e recompensadora.
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@ fc481c65:e280e7ba
2025-02-22 22:22:14
**Math is the formalization of a human idea**
Mathematics is a broad field of study that involves the investigation of patterns, quantities, structures, and changes in the abstract form as well as their real-world applications. It is foundational to a variety of disciplines including science, engineering, medicine, and the social sciences, providing a framework for reasoning, problem-solving, and understanding the universe.
<iframe title="The Map of Mathematics" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/OmJ-4B-mS-Y?feature=oembed" height="113" width="200" allowfullscreen="" allow="fullscreen" style="aspect-ratio: 1.76991 / 1; width: 100%; height: 100%;"></iframe>
Mathematics is composed of many subfields, including but not limited to:
1. **Arithmetic:** The study of numbers and the basic operations on them: addition, subtraction, multiplication, and division.
2. **Algebra:** The study of symbols and the rules for manipulating these symbols; it is a unifying thread of almost all of mathematics.
3. **Geometry:** The study of shapes, sizes, and properties of space.
4. **Calculus:** The study of change in mathematical functions and models, dealing with limits, derivatives, integrals, and infinite series.
5. **Statistics:** The study of data collection, analysis, interpretation, presentation, and organization.
6. **Number Theory:** The study of properties and relationships of numbers, especially the integers.
7. **Topology:** The study of properties that remain constant through continuous deformations, such as stretching and bending, but not tearing or gluing.
8. **Applied Mathematics:** Uses mathematical methods and reasoning to solve real-world problems in business, science, engineering, and other fields.
Mathematics is both ancient and modern; it has a rich history stretching back thousands of years, yet it continues to develop and evolve today, with new theories, discoveries, and applications constantly emerging. It is both a rigorous discipline in its own right and an essential tool used throughout the sciences and beyond.
## Pure and Applied Mathematics
Pure mathematics and applied mathematics represent two broad categories within the field of mathematics, each with its focus, methodologies, and applications. The distinction between them lies in their primary objectives and the way mathematical theories are utilized.
[[Attachments/01233372a59d2dc17b937c38319d672f_MD5.jpeg|Open: Pasted image 20240405125055.png]]
![[Attachments/01233372a59d2dc17b937c38319d672f_MD5.jpeg]]
#### Pure Mathematics
Pure mathematics is concerned with the study of mathematical concepts independent of any application outside mathematics. It is motivated by a desire to understand abstract principles and the properties of mathematical structures. The pursuit in pure mathematics is knowledge for its own sake, not necessarily aiming to find immediate practical applications. Pure mathematicians often focus on proving theorems and exploring theoretical frameworks, driven by curiosity and the aesthetic appeal of mathematics itself.
Key areas within pure mathematics include:
- **Algebra:** The study of symbols and the rules for manipulating these symbols.
- **Geometry:** The investigation of the properties of space and figures.
- **Analysis:** The rigorous formulation of calculus, focusing on limits, continuity, and infinite series.
- **Number Theory:** The study of the properties of numbers, particularly integers.
- **Topology:** The study of properties preserved through deformations, twistings, and stretchings of objects.
#### Applied Mathematics
Applied mathematics, on the other hand, is focused on the development and practical use of mathematical methods to solve problems in other areas, such as science, engineering, technology, economics, business, and industry. Applied mathematics is deeply connected with empirical research and the application of mathematical models to real-world situations. It involves the formulation, study, and use of mathematical models and seeks to make predictions, optimize solutions, and develop new approaches based on mathematical theory.
Key areas within applied mathematics include:
- **Differential Equations:** Used to model rates of change in applied contexts.
- **Statistics and Probability:** The study of data, uncertainty, and the quantification of the likelihood of events.
- **Computational Mathematics:** The use of algorithmic techniques for solving mathematical problems more efficiently, especially those that are too large for human numerical capacity.
- **Mathematical Physics:** The application of mathematics to solve problems in physics and the development of mathematical methods for such applications.
## Is Mathematics discovered or Invented
The question of whether mathematics is discovered or invented is a philosophical one that has sparked debate among mathematicians, philosophers, and scientists for centuries. Both viewpoints offer compelling arguments, and the distinction often hinges on one's perspective on the nature of mathematical objects and the universality of mathematical truths.
<iframe title="Is math discovered or invented? - Jeff Dekofsky" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/X_xR5Kes4Rs?feature=oembed" height="113" width="200" allowfullscreen="" allow="fullscreen" style="aspect-ratio: 1.76991 / 1; width: 100%; height: 100%;"></iframe>
### Mathematics as Discovered
Those who argue that mathematics is discovered believe that mathematical truths exist independently of human thought and that mathematicians uncover these truths through investigation and reasoning. This viewpoint suggests that mathematical concepts like numbers, geometrical shapes, and even more abstract ideas have a reality that transcends human invention. The consistency of mathematical laws across cultures and times, and their applicability in accurately describing the natural world, supports the notion that mathematics is a universal truth waiting to be discovered. According to this perspective, mathematical structures exist in some abstract realm, and humans merely uncover aspects of this pre-existing world.
#### Mathematics as Invented
On the other hand, the viewpoint that mathematics is invented centers on the idea that mathematical concepts are human creations, designed to describe and understand the world. According to this perspective, mathematical theories and structures are the products of human thought, created to serve specific purposes in science, engineering, and other fields. This view emphasizes the role of creativity and invention in the development of mathematical ideas, suggesting that different cultures or species might develop entirely different mathematical systems depending on their needs and experiences. Proponents of this view point to the variety of mathematical systems (such as different geometries or number systems) that have been invented to solve particular types of problems, arguing that this diversity is evidence of mathematics being a human invention.
#### A Middle Ground
Some argue for a middle ground, suggesting that while the basic elements of mathematics are discovered, the development of complex mathematical theories and the choice of which aspects to study or develop further involve human invention and creativity. This perspective acknowledges the intrinsic properties of mathematical objects while also recognizing the role of human ingenuity in shaping the field of mathematics.
#### Conclusion
The debate between discovery and invention in mathematics may never be conclusively resolved, as it touches on deep philosophical questions about the nature of reality and the human mind's relationship to it. Whether one views mathematics as discovered or invented often reflects deeper beliefs about the world and our place within it.
## Axioms
a particular mathematical system or theory. They serve as the foundational building blocks from which theorems and other mathematical truths are derived. Axioms are assumed to be self-evident, and their selection is based on their ability to produce a coherent and logically consistent framework for a body of mathematical knowledge.
In the context of different branches of mathematics, axioms can vary significantly:
- **In Euclidean geometry,** one of the most famous sets of axioms are Euclid's postulates, which include statements like "A straight line segment can be drawn joining any two points," and "All right angles are congruent."
- **In algebra,** the field axioms define the properties of operations like addition and multiplication over sets of numbers.
- **In set theory,** Zermelo-Fraenkel axioms (with the Axiom of Choice) are a set of axioms used to establish a foundation for much of modern mathematics.
The role of axioms has evolved throughout the history of mathematics. Initially, they were considered self-evident truths, but as mathematics has developed, the emphasis has shifted to viewing axioms more as arbitrary starting points chosen for their usefulness in building a mathematical theory. This shift allows for the creation of different, sometimes non-intuitive, mathematical frameworks such as non-Euclidean geometries, which arise from altering Euclid's original postulates.
**Everything in maths is constructed based on Axioms, not observation of the scientific method!** It's based only on the human logic reasoning. **And the universe doesn't five a fuck to fit inside human logic reasoning.**
<iframe title="The paradox at the heart of mathematics: Gödel's Incompleteness Theorem - Marcus du Sautoy" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/I4pQbo5MQOs?feature=oembed" height="113" width="200" allowfullscreen="" allow="fullscreen" style="aspect-ratio: 1.76991 / 1; width: 100%; height: 100%;"></iframe>
## Mathematics is not a Science
Mathematics and science are deeply interconnected, but they are distinguished by their fundamental approaches, methodologies, and objectives. The distinction between mathematics as a formal science and other natural or empirical sciences like physics, biology, and chemistry lies in the nature of their inquiry and validation methods.
**Maths doesn't need to prove itself through the scientific method, it only needs axioms, logic, and previous definitions.**
- **Mathematics:** Uses deduction as a primary tool. Starting from axioms and definitions, mathematicians use logical reasoning to derive theorems and propositions. The validity of mathematical statements is determined through proofs, which are arguments that demonstrate their truth within the context of axiomatic systems.
- **Science:** Employs the scientific method, which involves hypothesis formation, experimentation, observation, and the modification of hypotheses based on empirical evidence. Scientific theories and laws are validated by their ability to predict and explain phenomena in the natural world, and they are always subject to revision in light of new evidence.
### Objectives
- **Mathematics:** Aims to create a coherent set of rules and structures that can explain and predict outcomes within abstract systems. Its primary goal is not to describe the physical world but to explore the properties and possibilities of mathematical structures.
- **Science:** Aims to understand and describe the universe. The goal is to produce a body of knowledge that explains natural phenomena and can predict outcomes based on empirical evidence.
In summary, while mathematics is often used as a tool in science to model and solve problems, its focus on abstract reasoning and logical proof distinguishes it from the empirical methodologies of the natural sciences. This fundamental difference in approach and objective is why mathematics is considered a formal science or a branch of knowledge distinct from natural or physical sciences, which are based on empirical evidence and experimental validation.
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@ ce269321:e18428bc
2025-02-23 05:06:09
A PGBet é uma plataforma de jogos online projetada para oferecer aos usuários uma experiência de entretenimento sem igual. Seja você um novato ou um jogador experiente, a plataforma tem algo para todos. Com uma interface simples e intuitiva, os jogadores podem facilmente explorar diferentes categorias de jogos e aproveitar uma experiência de navegação tranquila.
Segurança é uma das principais preocupações da PGBet, que utiliza tecnologia avançada de criptografia para proteger os dados pessoais e financeiros dos jogadores. A plataforma segue as melhores práticas do setor para garantir uma experiência justa e transparente, com total confiança.
Variedade de Jogos para Todos os Gostos
A <a href="https://pgbet.store"> Pgbet </a> oferece uma ampla gama de jogos, que atende aos mais diversos estilos de jogadores. A variedade é um dos grandes diferenciais da plataforma, com opções para quem gosta de jogos de mesa, slots, e até opções ao vivo para quem busca uma experiência mais imersiva.
Jogos de Mesa: A PGBET oferece uma excelente seleção de jogos de mesa como blackjack, pôquer e roleta. Essas opções tradicionais permitem que os jogadores testem suas habilidades e estratégias contra a casa, ou mesmo competindo com outros jogadores em tempo real.
Jogos ao Vivo: Para quem busca uma experiência mais realista e interativa, a PGBet apresenta uma opção de jogos ao vivo. Com dealers ao vivo e streaming de alta qualidade, os jogadores podem desfrutar de jogos como roleta, bacará e pôquer, com uma atmosfera similar à de um amb
iente físico.
Slots e Máquinas de Vídeo: Se você é fã de slots, a PGBet tem uma vasta seleção de máquinas de vídeo com diferentes temas e recursos bônus. De slots clássicos a opções mais modernas, os jogadores têm à disposição uma infinidade de jogos com gráficos impressionantes e mecânicas inovadoras.
Jogos Especiais: Além das opções mais tradicionais, a PGBet também oferece jogos especiais, com temáticas exclusivas e mecânicas diferenciadas para aqueles que buscam algo novo e empolgante.
Experiência do Jogador na PGBet
A experiência do jogador é o principal foco da PGBet. A plataforma é otimizada para proporcionar uma navegação intuitiva, permitindo que jogadores iniciantes e experientes possam acessar rapidamente suas opções preferidas. A interface limpa e objetiva facilita a busca por jogos, promoções e transações.
A PGBet também se destaca por sua compatibilidade com dispositivos móveis. Não importa se você está em casa ou em movimento, você pode acessar todos os jogos e recursos da plataforma diretamente pelo seu smartphone ou tablet, sem perder a qualidade da versão para desktop.
Além disso, a PGBet oferece suporte ao cliente 24/7, garantindo que qualquer problema ou dúvida seja resolvido rapidamente. A equipe de suporte está disponível via chat ao vivo e e-mail, sempre pronta para ajudar.
Promoções e Recompensas
A PGBet oferece uma série de promoções e bônus para novos jogadores, além de recompensas para os jogadores frequentes. Com ofertas como bônus de boas-vindas, rodadas grátis e promoções exclusivas, os jogadores podem aumentar suas chances de vitória e prolongar a diversão.
Conclusão
A PGBet é uma plataforma online completa que se destaca pela diversidade de jogos, segurança, e experiência do usuário. Se você está em busca de uma experiência divertida, confiável e cheia de opções, a PGBet é o lugar ideal. Com suporte dedicado, promoções atraentes e uma interface fácil de usar, não há dúvidas de que a PGBet é uma das principais plataformas de jogos online.
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-23 23:29:33
M+pNtk8nrwvnCnFLyHlWwF1rgo7JowuY4XOKUrw9XPd35FAzVXhKlQk3MWXp4rU+R6ygmZnUUvAXJfScertnu3vPfua+aZ52YHaf2fMWv8fDUfy+w7f6tQugU/dBlIn4084HhlWnNxxZF1WO05tGfyWztWFDMJUIB3gzLoP3uD7MmDoFe1aOS0722D9s3cS06s4US3CTJGxdcnjh4aN5H4R61fJZRA2q374+ge6x4qxXa2WtwRwUO4Ayo1mRRsNBrtPczt7b8WiV3ADNLTL0x42rvGGaQF/bb504ZaF/1VQGnbaBKViJ/hItn0SSU6dhdXXOArc5gqUMPzopPv+1njhyyhTGFYhZzAAURTpjSpbkIRcY7v41cekHM2cPK6zv?iv=bTHcFRMZ7yJ9G8SSUbpOCQ==
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@ 9e69e420:d12360c2
2025-02-15 20:24:09
Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky called for an "army of Europe" to defend against Russian threats, emphasizing that the US may not continue its traditional support for Europe. Speaking at the Munich Security Conference, he warned against peace deals made without Ukraine's involvement.
US Vice President JD Vance echoed this sentiment, urging Europe to enhance its defense efforts.
Zelensky stated, "I really believe the time has come - the armed forces of Europe must be created." He highlighted changing dynamics in US-Europe relations and noted that "the old days are over" regarding American support.
Despite discussions around NATO, Zelensky stated he wouldn't rule out NATO membership for Ukraine.
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@ fd208ee8:0fd927c1
2025-02-15 07:37:01
E-cash are coupons or tokens for Bitcoin, or Bitcoin debt notes that the mint issues. The e-cash states, essentially, "IoU 2900 sats".
They're redeemable for Bitcoin on Lightning (hard money), and therefore can be used as cash (softer money), so long as the mint has a good reputation. That means that they're less fungible than Lightning because the e-cash from one mint can be more or less valuable than the e-cash from another. If a mint is buggy, offline, or disappears, then the e-cash is unreedemable.
It also means that e-cash is more anonymous than Lightning, and that the sender and receiver's wallets don't need to be online, to transact. Nutzaps now add the possibility of parking transactions one level farther out, on a relay. The same relays that cannot keep npub profiles and follow lists consistent will now do monetary transactions.
What we then have is
* a **transaction on a relay** that triggers
* a **transaction on a mint** that triggers
* a **transaction on Lightning** that triggers
* a **transaction on Bitcoin**.
Which means that every relay that stores the nuts is part of a wildcat banking system. Which is fine, but relay operators should consider whether they wish to carry the associated risks and liabilities. They should also be aware that they should implement the appropriate features in their relay, such as expiration tags (nuts rot after 2 weeks), and to make sure that only expired nuts are deleted.
There will be plenty of specialized relays for this, so don't feel pressured to join in, and research the topic carefully, for yourself.
https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/blob/master/60.md
https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/blob/master/61.md
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@ 0fa80bd3:ea7325de
2025-02-14 23:24:37
#intro
The Russian state made me a Bitcoiner. In 1991, it devalued my grandmother's hard-earned savings. She worked tirelessly in the kitchen of a dining car on the Moscow–Warsaw route. Everything she had saved for my sister and me to attend university vanished overnight. This story is similar to what many experienced, including Wences Casares. The pain and injustice of that time became my first lessons about the fragility of systems and the value of genuine, incorruptible assets, forever changing my perception of money and my trust in government promises.
In 2014, I was living in Moscow, running a trading business, and frequently traveling to China. One day, I learned about the Cypriot banking crisis and the possibility of moving money through some strange thing called Bitcoin. At the time, I didn’t give it much thought. Returning to the idea six months later, as a business-oriented geek, I eagerly began studying the topic and soon dove into it seriously.
I spent half a year reading articles on a local online journal, BitNovosti, actively participating in discussions, and eventually joined the editorial team as a translator. That’s how I learned about whitepapers, decentralization, mining, cryptographic keys, and colored coins. About Satoshi Nakamoto, Silk Road, Mt. Gox, and BitcoinTalk. Over time, I befriended the journal’s owner and, leveraging my management experience, later became an editor. I was drawn to the crypto-anarchist stance and commitment to decentralization principles. We wrote about the economic, historical, and social preconditions for Bitcoin’s emergence, and it was during this time that I fully embraced the idea.
It got to the point where I sold my apartment and, during the market's downturn, bought 50 bitcoins, just after the peak price of $1,200 per coin. That marked the beginning of my first crypto winter. As an editor, I organized workflows, managed translators, developed a YouTube channel, and attended conferences in Russia and Ukraine. That’s how I learned about Wences Casares and even wrote a piece about him. I also met Mikhail Chobanyan (Ukrainian exchange Kuna), Alexander Ivanov (Waves project), Konstantin Lomashuk (Lido project), and, of course, Vitalik Buterin. It was a time of complete immersion, 24/7, and boundless hope.
After moving to the United States, I expected the industry to grow rapidly, attended events, but the introduction of BitLicense froze the industry for eight years. By 2017, it became clear that the industry was shifting toward gambling and creating tokens for the sake of tokens. I dismissed this idea as unsustainable. Then came a new crypto spring with the hype around beautiful NFTs – CryptoPunks and apes.
I made another attempt – we worked on a series called Digital Nomad Country Club, aimed at creating a global project. The proceeds from selling images were intended to fund the development of business tools for people worldwide. However, internal disagreements within the team prevented us from completing the project.
With Trump’s arrival in 2025, hope was reignited. I decided that it was time to create a project that society desperately needed. As someone passionate about history, I understood that destroying what exists was not the solution, but leaving everything as it was also felt unacceptable. You can’t destroy the system, as the fiery crypto-anarchist voices claimed.
With an analytical mindset (IQ 130) and a deep understanding of the freest societies, I realized what was missing—not only in Russia or the United States but globally—a Bitcoin-native system for tracking debts and financial interactions. This could return control of money to ordinary people and create horizontal connections parallel to state systems. My goal was to create, if not a Bitcoin killer app, then at least to lay its foundation.
At the inauguration event in New York, I rediscovered the Nostr project. I realized it was not only technologically simple and already quite popular but also perfectly aligned with my vision. For the past month and a half, using insights and experience gained since 2014, I’ve been working full-time on this project.
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@ 9e69e420:d12360c2
2025-02-14 18:07:10
Vice President J.D. Vance addressed the Munich Security Conference, criticizing European leaders for undermining free speech and traditional values. He claimed that the biggest threat to Europe is not from external enemies but from internal challenges. Vance condemned the arrest of a British man for praying near an abortion clinic and accused European politicians of censorship.
He urged leaders to combat illegal immigration and questioned their democratic practices. “There is a new sheriff in town,” he said, referring to President Trump. Vance's remarks were unexpected, as many anticipated discussions on security or Ukraine. His speech emphasized the need for Europe to share the defense burden to ensure stability and security.
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@ 9e69e420:d12360c2
2025-02-14 15:14:34
A Russian drone attack has struck the radiation shelter at Chernobyl, according to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. The strike caused a fire, but it has since been extinguished, and radiation levels remain stable. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) confirmed that no casualties occurred and that monitoring continues.
Rafael Mariano Grossi, IAEA's director general, emphasized the need for caution. Chernobyl, site of the 1986 nuclear disaster, contains a protective shield costing $1.6 billion. Disaster prevention remains a priority as the conflict unfolds.
The incident occurred shortly before the meeting of world powers at the Munich Security Conference in Germany.
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@ 9e69e420:d12360c2
2025-02-13 23:01:36
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has been confirmed as the next Secretary of Health and Human Services with a Senate vote of 52-48. Senator Mitch McConnell opposed the confirmation. Kennedy's nomination faced hurdles but gained support from the Senate Finance Committee.
During the confirmation hearing, Senator Rand Paul criticized the oversimplification of vaccine discussions. He stated, "Discussion over vaccines is so oversimplified and dumbed down." Kennedy asserted his support for vaccines like measles and polio, promising not to discourage vaccinations as HHS Secretary. Previously, he switched from the Democratic Party to run as an independent and endorsed Trump
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@ e3ba5e1a:5e433365
2025-02-13 06:16:49
My favorite line in any Marvel movie ever is in “Captain America.” After Captain America launches seemingly a hopeless assault on Red Skull’s base and is captured, we get [this line](https://www.youtube.com/shorts/kqsomjpz7ok):
“Arrogance may not be a uniquely American trait, but I must say, you do it better than anyone.”
Yesterday, I came across a comment on the song [Devil Went Down to Georgia](https://youtu.be/ut8UqFlWdDc) that had a very similar feel to it:

America has seemingly always been arrogant, in a uniquely American way. Manifest Destiny, for instance. The rest of the world is aware of this arrogance, and mocks Americans for it. A central point in modern US politics is the deriding of racist, nationalist, supremacist Americans.
That’s not what I see. I see American Arrogance as not only a beautiful statement about what it means to be American. I see it as an ode to the greatness of humanity in its purest form.
For most countries, saying “our nation is the greatest” *is*, in fact, twinged with some level of racism. I still don’t have a problem with it. Every group of people *should* be allowed to feel pride in their accomplishments. The destruction of the human spirit since the end of World War 2, where greatness has become a sin and weakness a virtue, has crushed the ability of people worldwide to strive for excellence.
But I digress. The fears of racism and nationalism at least have a grain of truth when applied to other nations on the planet. But not to America.
That’s because the definition of America, and the prototype of an American, has nothing to do with race. The definition of Americanism is *freedom*. The founding of America is based purely on liberty. On the God-given rights of every person to live life the way they see fit.
American Arrogance is not a statement of racial superiority. It’s barely a statement of national superiority (though it absolutely is). To me, when an American comments on the greatness of America, it’s a statement about freedom. Freedom will always unlock the greatness inherent in any group of people. Americans are *definitionally* better than everyone else, because Americans are freer than everyone else. (Or, at least, that’s how it should be.)
In *Devil Went Down to Georgia*, Johnny is approached by the devil himself. He is challenged to a ridiculously lopsided bet: a golden fiddle versus his immortal soul. He acknowledges the sin in accepting such a proposal. And yet he says, “God, I know you told me not to do this. But I can’t stand the affront to my honor. I am the greatest. The devil has nothing on me. So God, I’m gonna sin, but I’m also gonna win.”
*Libertas magnitudo est*
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@ daa41bed:88f54153
2025-02-09 16:50:04
There has been a good bit of discussion on Nostr over the past few days about the merits of zaps as a method of engaging with notes, so after writing a rather lengthy [article on the pros of a strategic Bitcoin reserve](https://geek.npub.pro/post/dxqkgnjplttkvetprg8ox/), I wanted to take some time to chime in on the much more fun topic of digital engagement.
Let's begin by defining a couple of things:
**Nostr** is a decentralized, censorship-resistance protocol whose current biggest use case is social media (think Twitter/X). Instead of relying on company servers, it relies on relays that anyone can spin up and own their own content. Its use cases are much bigger, though, and this article is hosted on my own relay, using my own Nostr relay as an example.
**Zap** is a tip or donation denominated in sats (small units of Bitcoin) sent from one user to another. This is generally done directly over the Lightning Network but is increasingly using Cashu tokens. For the sake of this discussion, how you transmit/receive zaps will be irrelevant, so don't worry if you don't know what [Lightning](https://lightning.network/) or [Cashu](https://cashu.space/) are.
If we look at how users engage with posts and follows/followers on platforms like Twitter, Facebook, etc., it becomes evident that traditional social media thrives on engagement farming. The more outrageous a post, the more likely it will get a reaction. We see a version of this on more visual social platforms like YouTube and TikTok that use carefully crafted thumbnail images to grab the user's attention to click the video. If you'd like to dive deep into the psychology and science behind social media engagement, let me know, and I'd be happy to follow up with another article.
In this user engagement model, a user is given the option to comment or like the original post, or share it among their followers to increase its signal. They receive no value from engaging with the content aside from the dopamine hit of the original experience or having their comment liked back by whatever influencer they provide value to. Ad revenue flows to the content creator. Clout flows to the content creator. Sales revenue from merch and content placement flows to the content creator. We call this a linear economy -- the idea that resources get created, used up, then thrown away. Users create content and farm as much engagement as possible, then the content is forgotten within a few hours as they move on to the next piece of content to be farmed.
What if there were a simple way to give value back to those who engage with your content? By implementing some value-for-value model -- a circular economy. Enter zaps.
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Unlike traditional social media platforms, Nostr does not actively use algorithms to determine what content is popular, nor does it push content created for active user engagement to the top of a user's timeline. Yes, there are "trending" and "most zapped" timelines that users can choose to use as their default, but these use relatively straightforward engagement metrics to rank posts for these timelines.
That is not to say that we may not see clients actively seeking to refine timeline algorithms for specific metrics. Still, the beauty of having an open protocol with media that is controlled solely by its users is that users who begin to see their timeline gamed towards specific algorithms can choose to move to another client, and for those who are more tech-savvy, they can opt to run their own relays or create their own clients with personalized algorithms and web of trust scoring systems.
Zaps enable the means to create a new type of social media economy in which creators can earn for creating content and users can earn by actively engaging with it. Like and reposting content is relatively frictionless and costs nothing but a simple button tap. Zaps provide active engagement because they signal to your followers and those of the content creator that this post has genuine value, quite literally in the form of money—sats.
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I have seen some comments on Nostr claiming that removing likes and reactions is for wealthy people who can afford to send zaps and that the majority of people in the US and around the world do not have the time or money to zap because they have better things to spend their money like feeding their families and paying their bills. While at face value, these may seem like valid arguments, they, unfortunately, represent the brainwashed, defeatist attitude that our current economic (and, by extension, social media) systems aim to instill in all of us to continue extracting value from our lives.
Imagine now, if those people dedicating their own time (time = money) to mine pity points on social media would instead spend that time with genuine value creation by posting content that is meaningful to cultural discussions. Imagine if, instead of complaining that their posts get no zaps and going on a tirade about how much of a victim they are, they would empower themselves to take control of their content and give value back to the world; where would that leave us? How much value could be created on a nascent platform such as Nostr, and how quickly could it overtake other platforms?
Other users argue about user experience and that additional friction (i.e., zaps) leads to lower engagement, as proven by decades of studies on user interaction. While the added friction may turn some users away, does that necessarily provide less value? I argue quite the opposite. You haven't made a few sats from zaps with your content? Can't afford to send some sats to a wallet for zapping? How about using the most excellent available resource and spending 10 seconds of your time to leave a comment? Likes and reactions are valueless transactions. Social media's real value derives from providing monetary compensation and actively engaging in a conversation with posts you find interesting or thought-provoking. Remember when humans thrived on conversation and discussion for entertainment instead of simply being an onlooker of someone else's life?
If you've made it this far, my only request is this: try only zapping and commenting as a method of engagement for two weeks. Sure, you may end up liking a post here and there, but be more mindful of how you interact with the world and break yourself from blind instinct. You'll thank me later.
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@ ec42c765:328c0600
2025-02-05 23:38:12
# カスタム絵文字とは
任意のオリジナル画像を絵文字のように文中に挿入できる機能です。
また、リアクション(Twitterの いいね のような機能)にもカスタム絵文字を使えます。
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# カスタム絵文字の対応状況(2025/02/06)
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カスタム絵文字を使うためにはカスタム絵文字に対応した[クライアント](https://welcome.nostr-jp.org/tutorial/explore-client.html)を使う必要があります。
※表は一例です。クライアントは他にもたくさんあります。
使っているクライアントが対応していない場合は、クライアントを変更する、対応するまで待つ、開発者に要望を送る(または自分で実装する)などしましょう。
#### 対応クライアント
- [Amethyst](https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.vitorpamplona.amethyst)
- [FreeFrom](https://freefrom.space/)
- [nostter](https://nostter.app/)
- [Rabbit](https://rabbit.syusui.net/)
- [Lumilumi](https://lumilumi.app/)
- [Nos Haiku](https://nos-haiku.vercel.app/)
- [Snort](https://snort.social/)
- [noStrudel](https://nostrudel.ninja/)
ここではnostterを使って説明していきます。
# 準備
カスタム絵文字を使うための準備です。
- Nostrエクステンション(NIP-07)を導入する
- 使いたいカスタム絵文字をリストに登録する
## Nostrエクステンション(NIP-07)を導入する
Nostrエクステンションは使いたいカスタム絵文字を登録する時に必要になります。
また、環境(パソコン、iPhone、androidなど)によって導入方法が違います。
Nostrエクステンションを導入する端末は、実際にNostrを閲覧する端末と違っても構いません(リスト登録はPC、Nostr閲覧はiPhoneなど)。
Nostrエクステンション(NIP-07)の導入方法は以下のページを参照してください。
[ログイン拡張機能 (NIP-07)を使ってみよう | Welcome to Nostr! ~ Nostrをはじめよう! ~ ](https://welcome.nostr-jp.org/tutorial/nip-07.html)
少し面倒ですが、これを導入しておくとNostr上の様々な場面で役立つのでより快適になります。
## 使いたいカスタム絵文字をリストに登録する
以下のサイトで行います。
[emojito](https://emojito.meme/)
右上の**Get started**からNostrエクステンションでログインしてください。
例として以下のカスタム絵文字を導入してみます。
実際より絵文字が少なく表示されることがありますが、古い状態のデータを取得してしまっているためです。その場合はブラウザの更新ボタンを押してください。
[generalJP | カスタム絵文字](https://emojito.meme/a/naddr1qqykwetwv4exzmz22qqsuamnwvaz7tmev9382tndv5hsyg8vgtrk2svt8kuusk4l7w5g7j3mhet4xhhthhz52gsyr7jn9rqxqqpsgqqqw48qud6u3s)
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- 右側の**Options**から**Bookmark**を選択
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これでカスタム絵文字を使用するためのリストに登録できます。
# カスタム絵文字を使用する
例としてブラウザから使えるクライアント nostter から使用してみます。
[nostter](https://nostter.app/)
nostterにNostrエクステンションでログイン、もしくは秘密鍵を入れてログインしてください。
## 文章中に使用
1. **投稿**ボタンを押して投稿ウィンドウを表示
2. **顔😀**のボタンを押し、絵文字ウィンドウを表示
3. ***タブ**を押し、カスタム絵文字一覧を表示
4. カスタム絵文字を選択
5. : 記号に挟まれたアルファベットのショートコードとして挿入される
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この状態で投稿するとカスタム絵文字として表示されます。
カスタム絵文字対応クライアントを使っている他ユーザーにもカスタム絵文字として表示されます。
対応していないクライアントの場合、ショートコードのまま表示されます。
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ショートコードを直接入力することでカスタム絵文字の候補が表示されるのでそこから選択することもできます。
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## リアクションに使用
1. 任意の投稿の**顔😀**のボタンを押し、絵文字ウィンドウを表示
2. ***タブ**を押し、カスタム絵文字一覧を表示
3. カスタム絵文字を選択
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カスタム絵文字リアクションを送ることができます。
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# カスタム絵文字を探す
先述した[emojito](https://emojito.meme/)からカスタム絵文字を探せます。
例えば任意のユーザーのページ [emojito ロクヨウ](https://emojito.meme/p/npub1a3pvwe2p3v7mnjz6hle63r628wl9w567aw7u23fzqs062v5vqcqqu3sgh3) から探したり、 [emojito Browse all](https://emojito.meme/browse) からnostr全体で最近作成、更新された絵文字を見たりできます。
また、以下のリンクは日本語圏ユーザーが作ったカスタム絵文字を集めたリストです(2025/02/06)
※漏れがあるかもしれません
[日本ユーザー作 カスタム絵文字](https://nostviewstr.vercel.app/npub17hczqvxtfv3w69wr6lxrttnpdekwdwel55mld60fr24zwjuu6utqtj8mjx/10030)
各絵文字セットにある**Open in emojito**のリンクからemojitoに飛び、使用リストに追加できます。
-----------
以上です。
次:Nostrのカスタム絵文字の**作り方**
Yakihonneリンク [Nostrのカスタム絵文字の作り方](https://yakihonne.com/article/_@lokuyow.github.io/1707912490439)
Nostrリンク nostr:naddr1qqxnzdesxuunzv358ycrgveeqgswcsk8v4qck0deepdtluag3a9rh0jh2d0wh0w9g53qg8a9x2xqvqqrqsqqqa28r5psx3
-----------
# 仕様
[NIP-30 Custom Emoji](https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/blob/master/30.md)
[NIP-30 カスタム絵文字(和訳)](https://github.com/nostr-jp/nips-ja/blob/main/30.md)
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@ fc481c65:e280e7ba
2025-02-22 22:09:56
Starting with the basics, #statistics is a branch of #mathematics that deals with collecting, analysing, interpreting, presenting, and organising #data. It provides a way to make sense of data, see patterns, and make decisions based on data analysis. Here's a brief overview of some fundamental concepts in statistics:
### 1. Types of Statistics
- **Descriptive Statistics**: Involves summarising and organising data so it can be easily understood. Common measures include mean (average), median (middle value), mode (most frequent value), variance (measure of how spread out numbers are), and standard deviation (average distance from the mean).
- **Inferential Statistics**: Involves making predictions or inferences about a population based on a sample. This includes hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, and regression analysis.
### 2. Types of Data
- **Qualitative Data** (Categorical): Data that describes qualities or characteristics that cannot be measured with numbers, such as colors, names, labels, and yes/no responses.
- **Quantitative Data**: Data that can be measured and expressed numerically, including age, height, salary, and temperature. It can be further divided into discrete data (countable items, like the number of students in a class) and continuous data (measurable items, like height).
### 3. Measures of Central Tendency
- **Mean**: The average of a data set, found by adding all numbers and dividing by the count of numbers.
- **Median**: The middle value when a data set is ordered from least to greatest; if there’s an even number of observations, it is the average of the two middle numbers.
- **Mode**: The most frequently occurring value in a data set.
### 4. Measures of Spread
- **Range**: The difference between the highest and lowest values in a data set.
- **Variance**: Measures how far each number in the set is from the mean and thus from every other number in the set.
- **Standard Deviation**: The square root of the variance, providing a measure of the spread of a distribution of values.
### 5. Probability
Probability measures the likelihood of an event occurring, ranging from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain). Understanding probability is essential for inferential statistics and making predictions based on data.
### 6. Sampling and Data Collection
- **Population**: The entire group that you want to draw conclusions about.
- **Sample**: A subset of the population, selected for the actual study. It’s crucial for the sample to be representative of the population to make accurate inferences.
### 7. Hypothesis Testing
This is a method of making decisions or inferences about population parameters based on sample statistics. It involves:
- Formulating a null hypothesis (no effect) and an alternative hypothesis (some effect).
- Calculating a test statistic based on the sample data.
- Using the test statistic to decide whether to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative.
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@ 52adc2ef:9f4bc0ba
2025-02-23 03:45:10
สวัสดีครับ วันนี้อยากมาเล่าเรื่องเกี่ยวกับ Options
เราได้ไปเรียนกับทาง อ.เอ็ม ติดเล่า เรื่องลงทุน
อยากจะเเชร์สำหรับคนที่สนใจ Options เเต่เพื่อนๆที่ลงทุนมาบ้างน่าจะเคยได้ยิน
เเต่ก่อนอื่นการเทรดลงทุนอยากให้เข้าใจ 3 คำนี้ก่อนนะครับ
**Spot , Futures , options**
**Spot** คือ การซื้อขาย สินทรัพย์ ณ เวลาปัจจุบัน ตามราคาปัจจุบัน เช่น BTC มีราคา 95,000$
ในเวปเทรด เรากดซื้อ จะได้ตามราคา
Futures คือ สัญญาซื้อ ขาย สินทรัพย์ล่วงหน้า จะซื้อขายในราคาที่กำหนด เมื่อถึงเวลากำหนด
จะต้องทำการซื้อขายตามนั้น คล้ายๆสัญญาซื้อที่ดิน ที่เราต้องใช้สิทธิ์กันทั้งผู้ซื้อและผู้ขาย
เช่น สัญญาจะซื้อ BTC ราคา 90,000$ โดยมีอายุสัญญา 3 เดือน ถ้าวันครบสัญญา BTC ราคา 95,000$ จะต้องขายให้ในราคา 90,000$
หรือ สัญญาขาย BTC ราคา 100,000$ โดยมีอายุสัญญา 3 เดือน ถ้าวันครบสัญญา BTC ราคา 95,000$ จะต้องขายให้ในราคา 100,000$
**Options** คือ สัญญาที่ผู้จะซื้อขาย เเบบ futures แต่มีจ่ายค่า Premium เพื่อมีสิทธิ์ที่จะใช้สิทธิ์ซื้อหรือสิทธิ์ขายก็ได้ โดยใช้สิทธิ์ในระยะเวลาที่กำหนด
เช่น สัญญา long call สัญญาใช้สิทธิ์ซื้อ เมื่อ BTC ราคา 98,000$ โดยต้องจ่ายค่า premium 100$ เพื่อLock สิทธิ์
ถ้าราคา BTC = 95,000$ เราไม่จำเป็นต้องใช้สิทธิ์ได้ เพราะซื้อในตลาดถูกกว่า เเต่เราจะต้องเสีย premium ที่เราวางไว้ เป็นต้น
พอจะเห็นภาพใช่มั้ยครับ
ซึ่งจะมาพูดในส่วนของ options กัน
Options มีการใช้สิทธิ์อยู่ 2 แบบ
Call Options โดยมี Long call คือ สิทธิ์ในการซื้อ Long put คือ สิทธิ์ในการขาย
Put Optionsโดยมี Short call คือ ผู้ที่มีหน้าที่ต้องขายจะคู่กับ Long call
Short put คือ ผู้ที่มีหน้าที่ต้องซื้อจะคู่กับ Long put
โดยมีคำศัพท์ควรรู้อีกเล็กน้อย จะได้เข้าใจภาพรวมทั้งหมดกัน
Strike price = ราคาที่จะซื้อจะขาย
maturity=วันสิ้นสัญญา
premium=เบี้ย
time to maturity=ระยะเวลาสัญญา
อาจจะยังงงๆ งั้นเริ่มอธิบายทีละข้อกันมาเริ่มที่
**Long Call Option**
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สิทธิ์ในการซื้อ จากรูปจะเห็นว่าถ้าเราคิดว่าราคา สินทรัพย์ที่เราสนใจมีเเนวโน้มที่จะขึ้น
ซึ่งขณะนี้ ราคาอยู่ที่ 90$ เราอาจจะซื้อ Long call ที่ราคาเริ่มใช้สิทธิ์ Strike Price=100$
โดยมีค่า Premium ที่ 5$
จะเห็นว่าถ้าราคาเป็น 80$ เราคงไม่ใช้สิทธิ์ เพราะซื้อปกติถูกกว่า
ราคาใช้สิทธิ์เราจะต้องซื้อที่ 100$
เมื่อไม่ใช้สิทธิ์ เราต้องเสียค่า Premium ให้กับฝั่งที่มีหน้าที่ขาย คือ Short call
ซึ่งเมื่อเทียบกับการ Long Futures ถ้าเกิดลงไปเหลือ 45$ เราจะเสีย 50% เเต่ถ้ามี option จะเสียสุดที่เเค่ค่า Premium
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รูปกราฟของ Long Futures
ซึ่ง Long call = Long future ครึ่งเดียวเพราะ Long Future ราคาจะขึ้นไปเรื่อยๆตามกราฟ
Long Call Option เหมาะใช้เมื่อไหร่?
ให้คิดว่าเหมือนซื้อหวย เพราะถ้าราคาไม่ไปตามที่คิดเราจะเสียเเค่ค่า Premium หวยเหมือนเราเสียค่า Premium ไปก่อน 80 บาท หรือวิเคราะห์มาเเล้วว่ามีโอกาสที่ราคาขึ้น
**Short Call Option**
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เป็นฝั่งตรงข้ามกับ Long
call เราต้องมีหน้าที่ขายให้ฝั่ง long call ซึ่งฝั่งขายต้องมีสินทรัพย์นั้นๆเพื่อไว้ขาย เพราะมีหน้าที่
ต้องขาย ไม่เหมือนฝั่ง long call ที่มีสามารถเลือกใช้สิทธิ์ได้
เมื่อราคาไม่ถึง Strike Price หลังจากหมดอายุสัญญา ฝั่ง short call ได้ค่า Premium
จากฝั่ง Long call
จากรูป ถ้าสินทรัพย์ ราคา 90$ ราคาที่ต้องขายสินทรัพย์ 100$ ถ้าราคาไม่ถึง 100$ จะได้ค่า Premium เเต่ถ้าราคาเกิน 100$ เป็นต้นไป จะขาดทุนมากขึ้นเรื่อยๆ
ถ้าราคาไปที่ 150$ ต้องมาขายที่ 100$ ตามสัญญา
Short Call Option เหมาะใช้เมื่อไหร่?
เหมาะสำหรับที่เรามีสินทรัพย์ที่อยากจะขายอยู่เเล้วตาม Target ที่เราตั้งไว้
เช่น มีหุ้นที่ถือไว้อยู่เเล้ว ราคา 50$ ตั้งใจจะทำกำไรเมื่อราคา 100$ แทนที่จะรอขายเฉยๆ
มาทำการ Short call
ถ้าราคาไม่ถึงก็ได้กินค่า Premium ไป เเต่ถ้าราคาถึง 100$
เราต้องการที่จะ Take Profit อยู่เเล้ว ก็ขายไป
Long Put Option
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หมายถึงเราสิทธ์ในการขายรือไม่ขายก็ได้ จะตรงข้ามกับ Long call
จากรูปถ้าถือสินทรัพย์จากทุน 50$ เเต่ตอนนี้ราคา 80$ เเล้วไม่เเน่ใจว่าราคาจะลงมั้ย เเต่ขึ้นต่อก็ไม่เปนไร
อยากจะ Lock ราคาขาย 70$ ใช้สัญญา Long Put จ่ายค่า Premium ถ้าราคาลงไปที่ 50$ เราใช้สิทธิ์ในการขายที่ ราคา 70$ ได้ ถ้าราคาขึ้นเราก็จะไม่ใช้สิทธิ์เพราะขายในตลาดได้ราคาดีกว่า
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รูปกราฟของ Short Futures
ซึ่ง Long put = Short future ครึ่งเดียวเพราะ Short Future ราคาจะลงไปเรื่อยๆตามกราฟ
Long Put Option เหมาะใช้เมื่อไหร่?
ให้คิดว่าเหมือนซื้อประกัน ที่เราจ่ายเบี้ยประกันไปเพื่อที่จะ Lock ความเสี่ยงที่จะเกิด ส่วน Long Put ก็ไม่รู้ว่าราคาที่ถือจะลงมั้ย ยอมที่จ่ายค่า Premium เพื่อที่จะได้ราคาตามมูลค่าเดิมของเรา
**Short Put Option*
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เป็นฝั่งตรงข้ามกับ Long put เราต้องมีหน้าที่รับซื้อให้ฝั่ง long put ซึ่งฝั่งซื้อต้องมีเงินเพื่อไว้ซื้อ เพราะมีหน้าที่ต้องซื้อ ไม่เหมือนฝั่ง long put ที่มีสามารถเลือกใช้สิทธิ์ได้
เมื่อราคาไม่ถึง Strike Price หลังจากหมดอายุสัญญา ฝั่ง short put ได้ค่า
Premium จากฝั่ง Long put
จากรูป
ราคาสินทรัพย์อยู่ที่ 80$ ราคาที่เรารับซื้อ หรือ Strike Price 70$ ถ้าราคาลงไม่ถึง 70 $ ก็จะได้ค่า Premium ถ้าราคาลงไปต่ำกว่า 70$ ก็ต้องรับซื้อทุกกรณี
ราคาลงไปที่ 50$ เราก็ต้องรับซื้อที่ 70$ ตามสัญญา
Short Put Option เหมาะใช้เมื่อไหร่?
ใช้เมื่อเราอยากจะซื้อสินทรัพย์ราคานั้นๆอยู่เเล้ว เช่น อยากจะซื้อที่ราคา 70 $ แทนที่จะรอเฉยๆ
อาจจะเปิด Short Put เพื่อที่ราคายังไม่ถึง target ก็จะได้ค่า Premium
ถ้าราคาถึงก็ได้ซื้อเหมือนที่ตั้งใจไว้
สรุป
จากที่เล่าทั้งหมดเป็นการอธิบาย Options เบื้องต้นที่อยากให้เพื่อนๆ ที่สนใจการเทรดอยู่เเล้ว
ถ้าเข้าใจเรื่อง Options ด้วยเราคิดว่าน่าจะปรับใช้ในส่วนช่วยใน Port ของเราไม่มากก็น้อย
หวังว่าจะเป็นประโยชน์กับทุกๆคนนะครับขอบคุณครับ
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@ ee7e3590:5602f192
2025-02-22 21:54:14
Laws, like living organisms, evolve far beyond their creators' intentions. Few examples illustrate this phenomenon more dramatically than the Federal Arbitration Act of 1925 (FAA) – a modest 14-page statute that transformed from a specialized commercial tool into a legal juggernaut that touches nearly every American's life, usually without them knowing it.
## The Problem That Sparked a Revolution
Picture America in the early 1920s. The economy was booming after World War I. Interstate commerce was expanding rapidly. And businesses were drowning in a sea of litigation.
The courts were hopelessly clogged. Commercial disputes dragged on for 18 to 24 months – an eternity in business time. Worse yet, judges routinely tossed out arbitration agreements, viewing them as affronts to judicial authority. A 1924 study by the New York Chamber of Commerce found that 72% of businesses avoided arbitration clauses altogether, knowing courts wouldn't honor them.
The situation created a perfect storm: businesses needed faster resolution systems, courts needed relief from overwhelming caseloads, and a legal reform movement was gaining steam.
## A Solution Born of Pragmatism, Not Ideology
The FAA wasn't controversial legislation. It wasn't a partisan battleground. It was, in the eyes of its drafters, simply practical.
The bill's architecture came primarily from the New York Arbitration Society – a group of corporate attorneys and academics who modeled it after existing New York state law. Their draft established three key principles that remain the FAA's backbone today:
1. Pre-dispute arbitration agreements would be enforceable
2. Courts could pause litigation in favor of arbitration
3. Clear procedures would govern arbitrator appointment and award enforcement
The business community rallied behind the bill. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce and National Association of Manufacturers led lobbying efforts, promising $500 million in annual savings from reduced litigation costs. Even legal luminaries like future Supreme Court Justice Charles Evans Hughes endorsed it, calling arbitration "the lifeblood of commercial justice."
## What Few Remember: The Original Limitations
Here's what's been lost to history: the FAA was deliberately limited in scope. It was designed for disputes between businesses of relatively equal power – not for conflicts between corporations and individuals.
The legislative record makes this clear. The New York Arbitration Society's 1924 memorandum explicitly stated the Act "shall not apply to contracts of adhesion or consumer transactions." Senator Wesley Jones, a supporter, emphasized on the Senate floor that the bill excluded "contracts of adhesion" from coverage.
To address concerns from progressives and labor groups, drafters added specific limitations:
- A labor exemption excluding "contracts of employment of seamen, railroad employees, or any other class of workers engaged in foreign or interstate commerce"
- Non-retroactivity provisions ensuring it wouldn't disrupt existing litigation rights
Even with these safeguards, the bill faced opposition. Senator Henrik Shipstead warned that "forced arbitration" would become "a tool of oppression in the hands of trusts." The American Federation of Labor expressed concerns that the Act's commerce clause foundation could later be weaponized against workers.
As it turns out, they were right.
## The Supreme Court's Remarkable Reinvention
For decades, courts interpreted the FAA narrowly, applying it primarily to business-to-business disputes in industries like maritime shipping, commodities trading, and equipment leasing. But beginning in the 1980s, the Supreme Court dramatically expanded the FAA's reach through a series of landmark decisions.
The transformative shift happened in three waves:
**First came preemption.** In *Southland Corp. v. Keating* (1984), the Court held that the FAA applied in state courts, overriding contrary state policies. This federalized arbitration law, preventing states from protecting their citizens through consumer-friendly legislation.
**Next came expansion to consumers and employees.** *Circuit City Stores, Inc. v. Adams* (2001) narrowed the labor exemption to transportation workers only, subjecting most employment disputes to arbitration despite clear evidence that Congress intended a broader exclusion.
**Finally came class action waivers.** *AT&T Mobility v. Concepcion* (2011) and *Epic Systems* (2018) allowed companies to prohibit collective actions through arbitration agreements, effectively immunizing them from accountability for widespread but individually minor harms.
This judicial rewriting turned a law meant to facilitate dispute resolution between commercial equals into a powerful shield against liability for corporations in their dealings with employees and consumers.
## The Modern Reality: Unintended Consequences
Today, arbitration clauses appear everywhere: employment contracts, credit card agreements, nursing home admissions, rideshare apps, and countless other consumer services. Most Americans are bound by dozens of arbitration agreements without realizing it.
These modern clauses bear little resemblance to what the FAA's drafters envisioned:
- They're typically buried in non-negotiable contracts of adhesion
- They're often coupled with class action waivers, forcing individuals to pursue claims alone
- They frequently allow the corporation to select the arbitrator and set the rules
- They usually maintain confidentiality, preventing public awareness of systematic wrongdoing
The result? A parallel legal system that operates largely in the shadows, outside public scrutiny, where corporations hold structural advantages at every stage.
## Is There a Path Forward?
The story of the FAA reveals something profound about American governance: even well-intentioned legislation can be radically transformed by judicial interpretation. A law designed to solve a specific commercial problem in 1925 has become a cornerstone of corporate immunity in 2025.
Reform efforts have struggled. The Arbitration Justice Act and similar legislation have repeatedly stalled in Congress. State attempts to regulate arbitration face preemption challenges. And with each Supreme Court decision, the doctrine becomes more entrenched.
Some hope lies in creative workarounds. Mass arbitration campaigns, where thousands of individuals file simultaneous claims, have forced some companies to reconsider their arbitration strategies. Consumer advocacy groups have pressured companies like Google and Airbnb to modify their most egregious arbitration terms.
But these are bandages on a structural wound. True reform would require either congressional action explicitly limiting the FAA's scope or a dramatic shift in the Supreme Court's interpretation—neither of which appears imminent.
## The Lesson Worth Learning
The FAA's story isn't just about arbitration. It's about how America's legal system evolves—sometimes in directions no one intended or predicted. It demonstrates how seemingly technical procedural reforms can fundamentally reshape substantive rights. And it reveals the tremendous power of courts to transform the meaning of legislative text over time.
As we debate judicial philosophy and the role of courts in interpreting statutes, the FAA stands as a cautionary tale of how far judicial interpretation can stray from original intent—and how difficult it can be to correct course once that interpretation becomes entrenched.
The 14-page law passed with bipartisan support in 1925 to help businesses resolve their disputes efficiently has become one of the most powerful corporate liability shields in American law. That transformation wasn't inevitable—it was the product of specific judicial choices that prioritized efficiency over access to justice.
The question now is whether we can restore the balance the original drafters intended, or whether the FAA will continue its evolution into something they would scarcely recognize.
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@ 5d4b6c8d:8a1c1ee3
2025-02-23 01:06:46
Well, my Wemby pick from last month just went up in flames. It's only getting more difficult to figure out who's getting that last spot, now. I want to take KAT, but that would give me the same exact picks as @gnilma with fewer possible points. I'll take his teammate, Jalen Brunson, and hope NY voters pick the wrong Knick.
Remember, older correct predictions are worth more than recent ones, so don't wait too long to get off your bad predictions.
Also, players must play in at least 65 games to be eligible for awards. Luka, AD, and Wemby are not going to be eligible, so you should swap them out if you still have them.
Here's the current state of the competition with your max possible score next to your nym:
| Contestant | MVP | Champ | All NBA | | | | |
|--------------|------|---------|----------|-|-|-|-|
| @Undisciplined 47| SGA| OKC | Jokic | Giannis |Tatum | SGA | Brunson |
| @grayruby 55| Giannis| Cavs| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Mitchell| Brunson|
| @gnilma 55| SGA| OKC| Jokic | KAT | Giannis | Tatum| SGA |
| @BitcoinAbhi 70 | Luka| Denver| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| SGA|
| @Bell_curve 63| SGA| Celtics| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| SGA|
| @0xbitcoiner 70 | Jokic| Pacers| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| Brunson|
| @Coinsreporter 49| Giannis| Pacers| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| Brunson|
| @TheMorningStar 49| Luka| Celtics| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| SGA|
| @onthedeklein 49| Luka| T-Wolves| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Wemby| SGA|
| @Carresan 49| Luka| Mavs| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Wemby| SGA|
| @BTC_Bellzer 34| SGA| Celtics| Jokic| Giannis | Tatum| SGA| Brunson |
| @realBitcoinDog 49| Luka| Lakers| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| SGA|
| @SimpleStacker 42| SGA| Celtics| Jokic| Tatum| Luka | Brunson| SGA|
| @BlokchainB 42| SGA| Knicks| AD| Giannis | Ant| Brunson| SGA|
**Prize**
At least 6k (I'll keep adding zaps to the pot).
If you want to join this contest, just leave your predictions for MVP, Champion, and All-NBA 1st team in the comments. See the [June post](https://stacker.news/items/585231/r/Undisciplined) for more details.
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/894412
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@ 129f5189:3a441803
2025-02-22 17:11:57
**This is Lazarus.**
They’ve just stolen $1.46 billion from Bybit.
They didn’t breach the code—they breached the people.
Here’s the untold story of how they did it (and why no one is truly safe).
https://image.nostr.build/5120f62c63199bbc1402c1c33c11d337ab9c5623ce78d7351025fcbb9b14c27e.jpg
Lazarus is a state-sponsored hacking group from North Korea.
They've siphoned billions from banks, crypto exchanges, and DeFi protocols.
And now, they’ve executed the largest crypto heist in history.
But how? Well...
https://image.nostr.build/5ecefbb02468cea4ca1b89fdd51835921d15161fc992095d44005003c5f5ddc7.jpg
There was no code exploit.
No leaked private keys.
Bybit’s own multisig signers approved the transactions.
They thought they were signing a routine transfer.
Instead, they handed over access to their entire cold wallet...
https://video.nostr.build/0e92d71c6dba6d99532b4b126c5e42001a8c446d1e312539fa9a3fad8c52d851.mp4
This raises a terrifying question.
How did Lazarus know exactly who to target?
A multisig wallet requires multiple signers.
If even one refused to sign, the hack would have failed.
But they all signed.
This means Lazarus didn’t just hack Bybit...
They knew who to manipulate.
There are only a few ways to gather that kind of information:
- **Inside job** – Someone leaked the signer list.
- **Social engineering** – Lazarus studied their emails and behavior.
- **Device compromise** – One or more signers were infected with malware.
This puts other exchanges at risk too...
https://image.nostr.build/a80694326818292e24e26def7ffddbea45bc2f41384b3563c3217c1a1d53a353.jpg
Today, Lazarus stole 0.42% of all Ethereum.
This means they own more than:
- The Ethereum Foundation
- Vitalik Buterin
- Fidelity
But laundering that much ETH without detection isn’t easy...
https://image.nostr.build/331d83a66c362801b91d42b1aba1b658dc1b35d25a156255d312b483421d4449.jpg
In previous attacks, Lazarus has used:
- Bridging to other blockchains
- On-chain mixing services
- OTC trading through illicit brokers
Will they employ the same tactics again?
https://video.nostr.build/c25c686a1ce4d71ad7e0efebf02b1d6bcb05ac0f23438d11e4380ebe53aa6526.mp4
Investigators quickly flagged the 53 wallets holding the stolen ETH.
Any attempt to cash out or swap funds would immediately raise red flags.
But Lazarus is in no rush...
https://image.nostr.build/2ebfb985c7d7abe4e2715f505ed64c227b908bbbc85b20630fc7437f391a0bb4.jpg
In 2022, Chainalysis found Lazarus still held $55 million from hacks six years earlier.
They don’t cash out quickly; they wait.
And no one has ever gotten their money back. Not once.
Lazarus doesn’t negotiate. They don’t return funds.
So what happens to users?
https://image.nostr.build/3d4738f4d0db5a14c6dd71f32c54d56b061c6e8896134de579cc36867f7175bd.jpg
Bybit’s CEO, Ben Zhou, addressed the crisis publicly:
- “Client funds are 1:1 backed.”
- “We have enough liquidity to cover withdrawals.”
- “All other wallets remain secure.”
So far, there hasn’t been a bank run...
https://video.nostr.build/25616f50b774296945681a3455939f62af623f68081a651209fd89392f778d91.mp4
But this isn’t the first time this has happened.
And it won’t be the last.
So how can you stay safe? Follow these simple steps:
1. **Cold wallets stay cold** - If it touches the internet, it's not cold.
2. **Never sign blindly** - Always verify what you're signing, even if the UI looks legit.
3. **Spread your risk** - Never keep all your funds in one place.
4. **Secure your keys** - Use a hardware wallet. No exceptions.
5. **Assume you're a target** - Lazarus doesn’t hack systems; they hack people. Stay paranoid.
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@ 641d8c39:1224c8d3
2025-02-23 00:17:46
A specter is haunting the modern world, the specter of crypto anarchy.
Computer technology is on the verge of providing the ability for individuals and groups to communicate and interact with each other in a totally anonymous manner. Two persons may exchange messages, conduct business, and negotiate electronic contracts without ever knowing the True Name, or legal identity, of the other. Interactions over networks will be untraceable, via extensive re-routing of encrypted packets and tamper-proof boxes which implement cryptographic protocols with nearly perfect assurance against any tampering. Reputations will be of central importance, far more important in dealings than even the credit ratings of today. These developments will alter completely the nature of government regulation, the ability to tax and control economic interactions, the ability to keep information secret, and will even alter the nature of trust and reputation.
The technology for this revolution--and it surely will be both a social and economic revolution--has existed in theory for the past decade. The methods are based upon public-key encryption, zero-knowledge interactive proof systems, and various software protocols for interaction, authentication, and verification. The focus has until now been on academic conferences in Europe and the U.S., conferences monitored closely by the National Security Agency. But only recently have computer networks and personal computers attained sufficient speed to make the ideas practically realizable. And the next ten years will bring enough additional speed to make the ideas economically feasible and essentially unstoppable. High-speed networks, ISDN, tamper-proof boxes, smart cards, satellites, Ku-band transmitters, multi-MIPS personal computers, and encryption chips now under development will be some of the enabling technologies.
The State will of course try to slow or halt the spread of this technology, citing national security concerns, use of the technology by drug dealers and tax evaders, and fears of societal disintegration. Many of these concerns will be valid; crypto anarchy will allow national secrets to be trade freely and will allow illicit and stolen materials to be traded. An anonymous computerized market will even make possible abhorrent markets for assassinations and extortion. Various criminal and foreign elements will be active users of CryptoNet. But this will not halt the spread of crypto anarchy.
Just as the technology of printing altered and reduced the power of medieval guilds and the social power structure, so too will cryptologic methods fundamentally alter the nature of corporations and of government interference in economic transactions. Combined with emerging information markets, crypto anarchy will create a liquid market for any and all material which can be put into words and pictures. And just as a seemingly minor invention like barbed wire made possible the fencing-off of vast ranches and farms, thus altering forever the concepts of land and property rights in the frontier West, so too will the seemingly minor discovery out of an arcane branch of mathematics come to be the wire clippers which dismantle the barbed wire around intellectual property.
Arise, you have nothing to lose but your barbed wire fences!A specter is haunting the modern world, the specter of crypto anarchy.
Computer technology is on the verge of providing the ability for individuals and groups to communicate and interact with each other in a totally anonymous manner. Two persons may exchange messages, conduct business, and negotiate electronic contracts without ever knowing the True Name, or legal identity, of the other. Interactions over networks will be untraceable, via extensive re-routing of encrypted packets and tamper-proof boxes which implement cryptographic protocols with nearly perfect assurance against any tampering. Reputations will be of central importance, far more important in dealings than even the credit ratings of today. These developments will alter completely the nature of government regulation, the ability to tax and control economic interactions, the ability to keep information secret, and will even alter the nature of trust and reputation.
The technology for this revolution--and it surely will be both a social and economic revolution--has existed in theory for the past decade. The methods are based upon public-key encryption, zero-knowledge interactive proof systems, and various software protocols for interaction, authentication, and verification. The focus has until now been on academic conferences in Europe and the U.S., conferences monitored closely by the National Security Agency. But only recently have computer networks and personal computers attained sufficient speed to make the ideas practically realizable. And the next ten years will bring enough additional speed to make the ideas economically feasible and essentially unstoppable. High-speed networks, ISDN, tamper-proof boxes, smart cards, satellites, Ku-band transmitters, multi-MIPS personal computers, and encryption chips now under development will be some of the enabling technologies.
The State will of course try to slow or halt the spread of this technology, citing national security concerns, use of the technology by drug dealers and tax evaders, and fears of societal disintegration. Many of these concerns will be valid; crypto anarchy will allow national secrets to be trade freely and will allow illicit and stolen materials to be traded. An anonymous computerized market will even make possible abhorrent markets for assassinations and extortion. Various criminal and foreign elements will be active users of CryptoNet. But this will not halt the spread of crypto anarchy.
Just as the technology of printing altered and reduced the power of medieval guilds and the social power structure, so too will cryptologic methods fundamentally alter the nature of corporations and of government interference in economic transactions. Combined with emerging information markets, crypto anarchy will create a liquid market for any and all material which can be put into words and pictures. And just as a seemingly minor invention like barbed wire made possible the fencing-off of vast ranches and farms, thus altering forever the concepts of land and property rights in the frontier West, so too will the seemingly minor discovery out of an arcane branch of mathematics come to be the wire clippers which dismantle the barbed wire around intellectual property.
Arise, you have nothing to lose but your barbed wire fences!
https://groups.csail.mit.edu/mac/classes/6.805/articles/crypto/cypherpunks/may-crypto-manifesto.html
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@ 6260f29f:2ee2fcd4
2025-02-22 22:46:27
# A title before again
```js
import React, { useEffect, useState } from 'react';
import dynamic from 'next/dynamic';
import { Dialog } from 'primereact/dialog';
import { track } from '@vercel/analytics';
import { LightningAddress } from '@getalby/lightning-tools';
import { useToast } from '@/hooks/useToast';
import { useSession } from 'next-auth/react';
import { ProgressSpinner } from 'primereact/progressspinner';
import axios from 'axios';
import GenericButton from '@/components/buttons/GenericButton';
import useWindowWidth from '@/hooks/useWindowWidth';
import { useRouter } from 'next/router';
const Payment = dynamic(
() => import('@getalby/bitcoin-connect-react').then((mod) => mod.Payment),
{ ssr: false }
);
const ResourcePaymentButton = ({ lnAddress, amount, onSuccess, onError, resourceId }) => {
const [invoice, setInvoice] = useState(null);
const [isLoading, setIsLoading] = useState(false);
const { showToast } = useToast();
const { data: session, status } = useSession();
const [dialogVisible, setDialogVisible] = useState(false);
const router = useRouter();
const windowWidth = useWindowWidth();
const isMobile = windowWidth < 768;
useEffect(() => {
let intervalId;
if (invoice) {
intervalId = setInterval(async () => {
const paid = await invoice.verifyPayment();
if (paid && invoice.preimage) {
clearInterval(intervalId);
// handle success
handlePaymentSuccess({ paid, preimage: invoice.preimage });
}
}, 2000);
} else {
console.error('no invoice');
}
return () => {
if (intervalId) {
clearInterval(intervalId);
}
};
}, [invoice]);
const fetchInvoice = async () => {
setIsLoading(true);
try {
const ln = new LightningAddress(lnAddress);
await ln.fetch();
const invoice = await ln.requestInvoice({ satoshi: amount });
setInvoice(invoice);
setDialogVisible(true);
} catch (error) {
console.error('Error fetching invoice:', error);
showToast('error', 'Invoice Error', 'Failed to fetch the invoice.');
if (onError) onError(error);
}
setIsLoading(false);
};
const handlePaymentSuccess = async (response) => {
try {
const purchaseData = {
userId: session.user.id,
resourceId: resourceId,
amountPaid: parseInt(amount, 10)
};
const result = await axios.post('/api/purchase/resource', purchaseData);
if (result.status === 200) {
track('Resource Payment', { resourceId: resourceId, userId: session?.user?.id });
if (onSuccess) onSuccess(response);
} else {
throw new Error('Failed to update user purchases');
}
} catch (error) {
console.error('Error updating user purchases:', error);
showToast('error', 'Purchase Update Failed', 'Payment was successful, but failed to update user purchases.');
if (onError) onError(error);
}
setDialogVisible(false);
};
return (
<>
<GenericButton
label={`${amount} sats`}
icon="pi pi-wallet"
onClick={() => {
if (status === 'unauthenticated') {
console.log('unauthenticated');
router.push('/auth/signin');
} else {
fetchInvoice();
}
}}
disabled={isLoading}
severity='primary'
rounded
className={`text-[#f8f8ff] text-sm ${isLoading ? 'hidden' : ''}`}
/>
{isLoading && (
<div className='w-full h-full flex items-center justify-center'>
<ProgressSpinner
style={{ width: '30px', height: '30px' }}
strokeWidth="8"
animationDuration=".5s"
/>
</div>
)}
<Dialog
visible={dialogVisible}
onHide={() => setDialogVisible(false)}
header="Make Payment"
style={{ width: isMobile ? '90vw' : '50vw' }}
>
{invoice ? (
<Payment
invoice={invoice.paymentRequest}
onPaid={handlePaymentSuccess}
paymentMethods='all'
title={`Pay ${amount} sats`}
/>
) : (
<p>Loading payment details...</p>
)}
</Dialog>
</>
);
};
export default ResourcePaymentButton;
```
-
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@ a012dc82:6458a70d
2025-02-22 15:51:37
Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, has always been known for its volatility. This digital asset has seen dramatic fluctuations in price, attracting investors and speculators alike. Understanding these price movements is crucial for anyone involved in the crypto market. The journey of Bitcoin from a niche digital token to a mainstream financial asset has been marked by periods of rapid growth and sudden declines. This volatility is not just a source of risk, but also of potential opportunity for traders and investors. The factors driving these fluctuations range from regulatory news, technological advancements, to broader economic factors. Bitcoin's decentralized nature adds to its unpredictability, as it operates independently of a central bank or government.
**Table of Contents**
- The Recent Price Rally and Subsequent Halt
- Insights from CryptoQuant's Analysis
- The Role of Short-Term Holders
- Understanding Bitcoin Binary Coin Days Destroyed ( …
- The Dynamics of Profit-Taking
- Actions by Miners and Whales
- Current Market Scenario and Future Outlook
- Conclusion
- FAQs
**The Recent Price Rally and Subsequent Halt**
In a recent surge, Bitcoin's value soared past the $44,000 mark, only to encounter a significant resistance level near $45,000. This resistance led to a notable decline in its price. The question on everyone's mind is: what caused this sudden halt in Bitcoin's otherwise steady climb? This rally, like many in Bitcoin's past, was driven by a mix of investor optimism, favorable market conditions, and increasing institutional interest in cryptocurrency. However, the resistance at $45,000 proved to be a turning point, sparking a wave of sell-offs and profit-taking. This price behavior is a classic example of the market's psychological dynamics, where key resistance levels can lead to significant shifts in investor behavior. The rapid change from a bullish to a bearish market sentiment at this juncture underscores the fragile and speculative nature of the cryptocurrency market.
**Insights from CryptoQuant's Analysis**
CryptoQuant, a renowned market analytics platform, offers valuable insights into this phenomenon. An analyst from CryptoQuant, Yonsei, conducted a detailed analysis of on-chain data to unravel the mystery behind Bitcoin's recent price behavior. This analysis goes beyond surface-level market trends, delving into the intricate movements of Bitcoin across various wallets and exchanges. By examining metrics such as fund flows, wallet activities, and transaction patterns, CryptoQuant provides a more nuanced understanding of what drives Bitcoin's price changes. Yonsei's analysis, in particular, sheds light on the behavior of different investor cohorts, revealing how their actions collectively impact the market. This kind of deep-dive analysis is essential for anyone looking to understand the often opaque mechanisms of cryptocurrency markets.
**The Role of Short-Term Holders**
The analysis revealed that short-term holders, particularly those who had invested in Bitcoin for a period ranging from 6 to 18 months, started to realize their profits as soon as Bitcoin broke through the $40,000 resistance level. This profit-taking was a primary factor in the subsequent price retraction. These short-term holders, often more sensitive to market fluctuations, tend to react quickly to price changes, looking to capitalize on short-term gains. Their collective actions can create significant market movements, as seen in this instance. The behavior of these investors is often influenced by news events, market sentiment, and technical indicators. In this case, the rapid rise in Bitcoin's price likely triggered a psychological response to lock in profits, leading to a cascade of sell orders. Understanding the motivations and behaviors of these short-term holders is crucial for predicting short-term market movements in the volatile world of cryptocurrency.
**Understanding Bitcoin Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD)**
A critical metric in this analysis is the Bitcoin Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD). This metric assesses the movement of long-held Bitcoins, providing insights into the behavior of long-term investors. An increase in Binary CDD indicates that a significant amount of Bitcoin, held dormant for a long time, has been mobilized, suggesting a sell-off by long-term holders. This metric is particularly important as it highlights the actions of the most steadfast part of the market - those who have held Bitcoin through various cycles. When these long-term holders start moving their coins, it often signals a significant shift in market sentiment. The CDD metric thus serves as a barometer for the conviction of Bitcoin's long-term investor base. A high CDD can indicate a loss of confidence among these investors, or a belief that the market has reached a peak. Conversely, a low CDD suggests that long-term holders are not yet ready to sell, indicating continued confidence in the market's future.
**The Dynamics of Profit-Taking**
The CryptoQuant analysis further highlighted that a majority of Bitcoin holders were in profit, with the Spent Output Profit Ratio remaining above one. This indicated that about 90% of Bitcoin holders were profiting, which naturally led to a trend of profit-taking. This phenomenon is a key aspect of market cycles in cryptocurrencies. When a large portion of investors are in profit, especially after a significant price rally, the market often sees a wave of selling as investors look to cash in on their gains. This behavior is compounded by psychological factors, such as fear of missing out (FOMO) and fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD), which can lead to rapid shifts in market sentiment. Additionally, the profit-taking trend is influenced by external factors such as global economic conditions, regulatory news, and technological developments within the blockchain space. These factors can either reinforce the confidence of investors, leading to a hold strategy, or trigger a sell-off in anticipation of a market downturn.
**Actions by Miners and Whales**
Another interesting aspect of the analysis was the behavior of Bitcoin miners and whales (large-scale holders). These groups also contributed to the selling pressure. Miners, in particular, sold their assets at high-profit margins when Bitcoin reached its peak, adding to the downward pressure on its price. The actions of miners are crucial to understanding Bitcoin's market dynamics, as they are not only investors but also the producers of new Bitcoins. Their decision to sell or hold can significantly impact the supply of Bitcoin in the market. Whales, or large-scale holders, have a similar impact due to the sheer volume of their transactions. Their trades can lead to substantial market movements, creating waves that affect smaller investors. The behavior of these whales often reflects a more strategic approach to the market, influenced by long-term trends and broader market analysis. Their actions can serve as indicators for future market movements, making their behavior a key focus for analysts and investors alike.
**Current Market Scenario and Future Outlook**
Despite the recent price drop, the overall market sentiment remains positive. The bear market seems to be in the past, and liquidity conditions in the crypto market are improving. However, Bitcoin currently hovers around the $41,000 mark, a slight decrease from its recent high. This current state reflects the ever-changing nature of the cryptocurrency market, where investor sentiment can shift rapidly. The future outlook for Bitcoin remains a topic of much debate among experts. Some predict continued growth as institutional adoption increases and blockchain technology becomes more integrated into mainstream finance. Others caution about potential regulatory clampdowns and the volatile nature of the market. What remains clear is that Bitcoin continues to be a key player in the financial world, with its price movements being a barometer for the health and sentiment of the broader cryptocurrency market.
**Conclusion**
Bitcoin's market behavior, as analyzed by CryptoQuant, offers a complex picture of various factors at play. The interplay between short-term and long-term holders, the strategic moves of miners and whales, and the overall market sentiment all contribute to the price dynamics of this digital currency. Understanding these elements is key for investors and enthusiasts who wish to navigate the volatile waters of Bitcoin's market. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, keeping a close eye on these trends and analyses will be crucial for making informed decisions in the world of cryptocurrency. The insights provided by platforms like CryptoQuant are invaluable in this regard, offering a deeper understanding of the market forces at work.
**FAQs**
**What caused the recent halt in Bitcoin's price rally?**
The halt in Bitcoin's price rally, after reaching near $45,000, was primarily due to profit-taking by short-term holders and investors who had held Bitcoin for 6-18 months, as revealed by CryptoQuant's analysis.
**What is Bitcoin Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD)?**
Bitcoin Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) is a metric that measures the movement of long-held Bitcoins. It indicates the amount of Bitcoin, held dormant for a long time, that has been mobilized or sold.
**How do miners and whales influence Bitcoin's price?**
Miners and whales (large-scale holders) significantly influence Bitcoin's price through their actions. When they sell their holdings, especially during peak prices, they add to the market's selling pressure, potentially leading to price drops.
**What does a high Bitcoin Binary CDD indicate?**
A high Bitcoin Binary CDD suggests that a large amount of long-held Bitcoin is being sold, which can be a sign of long-term holders losing confidence or deciding to take profits.
**Is the current market sentiment for Bitcoin positive or negative?**
Despite recent price fluctuations, the overall market sentiment for Bitcoin remains cautiously positive, with improvements in market liquidity and interest from institutional investors.
**That's all for today**
**If you want more, be sure to follow us on:**
**NOSTR: croxroad@getalby.com**
**X: [@croxroadnews.co](https://x.com/croxroadnewsco)**
**Instagram: [@croxroadnews.co](https://www.instagram.com/croxroadnews.co/)**
**Youtube: [@croxroadnews](https://www.youtube.com/@croxroadnews)**
**Store: https://croxroad.store**
**Subscribe to CROX ROAD Bitcoin Only Daily Newsletter**
**https://www.croxroad.co/subscribe**
***DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.***
-
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@ 1739d937:3e3136ef
2025-02-22 14:51:17
We've been busy. In my last update, I shared that I was sure MLS on Nostr was going to work and shared an early demo of the app. What a long time ago that seems now.
The big news is that White Noise is no longer just a demo. It's a real app. You can [download the alpha release](https://github.com/erskingardner/whitenoise/releases) and run it for yourself on MacOS, Linux, or Android. iOS TestFlight is coming soon. Keep in mind that it's still very much alpha software; a lot is changing and I wouldn't recommend using it for anything serious quite yet.
We've been busy. In my last update, I shared that I was sure MLS on Nostr was going to work and shared an early demo of the app. What a long time ago that seems now.
## Vision
Before we get to the detailed project updates, I wanted to share a bit of my vision for White Noise.
More and more; freedom of speech, freedom of association, and privacy are under attack. Just this week, Apple was forced to remove their iCloud advanced encryption feature for all UK citizens because the UK government demanded that Apple build a backdoor to allow access to customer data. The EU continues to push "Chat Control" legislation that would force companies to remove end-to-end encryption from their platforms. And governments across the world are enforcing draconian "hate speech" laws that criminalize speech that offends or upsets.
The freedom to express ourselves and discuss difficult topics is a critical precondition for maintaining a healthy society. Without the ability to assert ideas and argue their merits vigorously we have no way of making progress or creating a civil society based on shared values and goals. Ironically, the very laws and regulations that many western governments are enforcing to "protect" us are eroding and destroying the most free and innovative societies in history.
White Noise is to built to protect our freedom to gather, to express ourselves, and to discuss difficult topics. It's free and open source; anyone can fork the code and we'll never charge money to use it. It runs on a free and open source protocol; your identity and social graph is yours to own and control. You don't have to trust us with your data, everything is end-to-end encrypted and metadata is next to non-existent. We don't even run any servers, so government data requests will forever fall on deaf ears.
We want to build the fastest, most secure and private, and the most usable messenger in the world. Whether you want to use it to plan a family BBQ or overthrow a tyrant, White Noise should give you the tools you need to make it happen.
If you find this compelling and want to help, please consider contributing to the project or donating.
## Progress
Alright, let's talk about where we're at with the project.
### Current functionality
- Multiple accounts. You can login, or create, many different Nostr accounts in the app.
- Search your nostr contact list, search for users you don't follow, or add contacts using an npub or hex public key.
- Create DM groups. Right now, you can only create chats with a single other user. Under the hood, these DMs are actually groups, I just haven't added the UI for adding/removing users and managing the group.
- Send messages, reply to messages, and add reactions. As you would expect from a messenging app.
- View group information.
- Settings that allows you to manage your accounts, relays, and other app settings.
### Upcoming
- An amazing hackathon group from [Bitcoin++ in Brasil](https://btcplusplus.dev/conf/floripa) has recently [added NWC](https://github.com/erskingardner/whitenoise/pull/89) (nostr wallet connect) support to the app. Paste lightning invoices into chats and they'll become QR codes that you can scan or pay them with a single click in the conversation! This will be in the next release.
- Add support for encrypted media in chats using [Blossom](https://github.com/hzrd149/blossom/tree/master). We'll start with images, but plan to add video, audio messages, and documents soon.
- Groups with more than two users. We'll add the ability to add/remove users and manage the group. This will also include some upgrades to further improve the forward secrecy of group chats.
- iOS TestFlight. Gated app stores suck. We'll get White Noise on iOS into TestFlight as soon as possible.
## Links
- [The repo](https://github.com/erskingardner/whitenoise)
- [Releases](https://github.com/erskingardner/whitenoise/releases)
- [Previous updates](https://highlighter.com/jeffg.fyi)
-
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@ 63db3b6d:899680ff
2025-02-22 11:52:51
Many of the tragedies we see in today’s crypto world can be described as a symphony—one composed of ignorance, greed, vanity, and the cunning of those who exploit these human flaws for profit.
People often discuss blockchain while loosely tossing around terms like _cypherpunks_, _decentralization_, and _cryptocurrencies_—concepts they barely understand. They lump them together into some vague image and follow it blindly. It’s a bit like encountering a stranger whose looks alone inspire you to imagine they’re wealthy, kind, and from a noble lineage, projecting all your hopes and wishes onto them.
Take any basic “Blockchain 101” course, and you’ll inevitably hear about cypherpunks. **Cypherpunks** form a social movement that aims to protect individual freedom and privacy against surveillance and censorship by governments or Big Tech. While some of their arguments are certainly relatable, social movements tend to be niche; they rarely represent the mainstream view.
Blockchain was specifically designed as a tool to solve the problems that cypherpunks identified. How valuable, then, is a technology born from such a niche worldview? This is one reason people say, “I don’t see the point of blockchain.” It’s similar to climate change technology: How valuable is it to someone who believes climate change is a hoax? If you don’t relate to cypherpunks’ vision, then blockchain may seem to have zero practical value. And realistically, how many actual cypherpunks are there among all the current blockchain users?
---
### Is Blockchain Really That Worthless If You’re Not a Cypherpunk?
An interesting thing about inventions is that they rarely remain confined to their original purpose. Take **Propecia**—it was developed as a prostate treatment but is now often prescribed to slow hair loss. Cypherpunks created blockchain for their own ends, but other people have since discovered different, potentially useful applications.
---
### Why Would Blockchain Be Useful to Non-Cypherpunks?
The freedom cypherpunks sought is, in modern society, largely defined by the rights our social systems establish and protect. They needed a tool to build a system that would **not** be controlled by any single person or group, yet remain viable among participants who share a common vision. That required **decentralization**.
Here, we find another misconception: equating cypherpunks with decentralization. Decentralization is simply one necessary characteristic of a system that serves their goal: “a system free from the control of any individual or faction.” A decentralized design isn’t _inherently_ superior; it’s just that for cypherpunks, decentralization was a must. If their goals had been different, decentralization might not have mattered at all.
Yet, building a truly decentralized system is extremely difficult. The cypherpunk movement was active in the 1990s, but the first blockchain—Bitcoin—didn’t emerge until 2008. Once blockchain technology was invented, it radically lowered the costs for like-minded people to create decentralized systems.
Any system that defines and protects a set of rights needs **resources**. Ensuring those resources are used fairly, transparently, and in line with collective consensus has always been expensive, which is why we traditionally rely on centralized authorities. Blockchain enables **Trustless Trust**, drastically reducing the cost of building such systems.
---
### Currency as Collective Decision-Making
These systems don’t rely solely on formal governance or voting. **Spending** also reflects decision-making. Fiat currency has no intrinsic value; it represents a _delayed claim_ on real resources within the system. Thus, when more money is spent on a particular good or service, more _actual_ resources are ultimately funneled there. Over time, this **asynchronous spending** accumulates to form a kind of collective will—effectively guiding resource allocation without requiring constant explicit votes.
---
### The Misconception: “Cryptocurrency Is the ‘Killer App’ for Blockchain”
At one point, people struggled to find practical uses for blockchain. Some even flipped the narrative, saying that “cryptocurrency is the killer app of blockchain” or worse, that “blockchain exists only for creating cryptocurrencies.” In reality, cryptocurrencies aren’t the end goal of blockchain; they’re simply tools that allow participants in a decentralized system to **signal their intent** and **allocate resources** in order to shape the system’s future direction.
---
### Then Why Does Blockchain Seem So Useless?
Blockchain itself is a value-neutral technology. It has **no inherent agenda**. It simply allows groups with shared purposes to build decentralized systems. Unfortunately, most current blockchain communities lack genuine shared objectives or real-world problems they intend to solve. The only “problem” many of them define is: “I have less than others,” and their sole “solution” is to extract wealth from someone else.
For a system to be sustainable, resources need to **stay** within it. Since currencies represent delayed claims on these resources, if everyone is constantly converting those claims back into external assets, the system can’t survive.
To make blockchain genuinely useful—and to show that cryptocurrencies aren’t just a scam—there must be:
1. A **clear definition** of the collective problem the system aims to solve.
2. A shared **vision or direction** for solving that problem.
3. A concrete **protocol** specifying how to achieve these goals in a decentralized way.
Without that groundwork, merely issuing a cryptocurrency in the hope of creating a better, happier world is a fantasy—no better than a cultish scam. And that, ultimately, is why so many blockchain initiatives fail to deliver real value.
-
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@ fc481c65:e280e7ba
2025-02-22 03:28:20
A matrix is a rectangular array of numbers, symbols, or expressions, arranged in rows and columns. The individual items in a matrix are called its elements or entries. They are foundational element in many areas of #Mathematics and #Engineering including #Electronics #Computer #Science #Finances and more.
### Notation and Terms
- **Dimensions**: The size of a matrix is defined by its number of rows and columns and is often referred to as `m x n`, where `m` is the number of rows and `n` is the number of columns.
- **Square Matrix**: A matrix with the same number of rows and columns (`n x n`).
- **Diagonal Matrix**: A square matrix where all elements off the main diagonal are zero.
- **Identity Matrix**: A diagonal matrix where all the elements on the main diagonal are 1. It's denoted as `I`.
- **Zero Matrix**: A matrix all of whose entries are zero.
### Basic Matrix Operations
1. **Addition and Subtraction**
- Matrices must be of the same dimensions to be added or subtracted.
- Add or subtract corresponding elements.
- Example:
- `$$\begin{bmatrix}1 & 2 \\3 & 4\end{bmatrix}+\begin{bmatrix}5 & 6 \\7 & 8\end{bmatrix}=\begin{bmatrix}6 & 8 \\10 & 12\end{bmatrix}$$`
2. **Scalar Multiplication**
- Multiply every element of a matrix by a scalar (a single number).
- Example:
- `$$
2 \times
\begin{bmatrix}
1 & 2 \\
3 & 4
\end{bmatrix}
=
\begin{bmatrix}
2 & 4 \\
6 & 8
\end{bmatrix}
$$`
3. **Matrix Multiplication**
- The number of columns in the first matrix must be equal to the number of rows in the second matrix.
- The product of an `m x n` matrix and an `n x p` matrix is an `m x p` matrix.
- Multiply rows by columns, summing the products of the corresponding elements.
- Example:
- `$$
\begin{bmatrix}
1 & 2 \\
3 & 4
\end{bmatrix}
\times
\begin{bmatrix}
2 & 0 \\
1 & 2
\end{bmatrix}
=
\begin{bmatrix}
(1 \times 2 + 2 \times 1) & (1 \times 0 + 2 \times 2) \\
(3 \times 2 + 4 \times 1) & (3 \times 0 + 4 \times 2)
\end{bmatrix}
=
\begin{bmatrix}
4 & 4 \\
10 & 8
\end{bmatrix}
$$`
### Special Matrix Operations
1. **Determinant**
- Only for square matrices.
- A scalar value that can be computed from the elements of a square matrix and encodes certain properties of the matrix.
- Example for a 2x2 matrix:
- `$$
\text{det}
\begin{bmatrix}
a & b \\
c & d
\end{bmatrix}
= ad - bc
$$`
2. **Inverse**
- Only for square matrices.
- The matrix that, when multiplied by the original matrix, results in the identity matrix.
- Not all matrices have inverses; a matrix must be "nonsingular" to have an inverse.
### Practical Applications
- **Solving Systems of Linear Equations**
- Matrices are used to represent and solve systems of linear equations using methods like Gaussian elimination.
`$$X=A^{-1}\times B$$`
- **Transformations in Computer Graphics**
- Matrix multiplication is used to perform geometric transformations such as rotations, translations, and scaling.
`$$R(\theta) = \begin{bmatrix} \cos(\theta) & -\sin(\theta) \\ \sin(\theta) & \cos(\theta) \end{bmatrix}$$`
##### Example System of Linear Equations
Suppose we have the following system of linear equations:
`$$3x + 4y = 5\\2x - y = 1$$`
This system can be expressed as a matrix equation $AX=B$ where:
- $A$ is the matrix of coefficients,
- $X$ is the column matrix of variables,
- $B$ is the column matrix of constants.
* ***Matrix A** (coefficients): `$$\begin{bmatrix} 3 & 4 \\ 2 & -1 \end{bmatrix}$$`
* ***Matrix X** (variables): `$$\begin{bmatrix} x \\ y \end{bmatrix}$$`
* ***Matrix B** (constants): `$$\begin{bmatrix} 5 \\ 1 \end{bmatrix}$$`
Now Organising in Matrix form
`$$\begin{bmatrix} 3 & 4 \\ 2 & -1 \end{bmatrix} \begin{bmatrix} x \\ y \end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} 5 \\ 1 \end{bmatrix}$$`
##### Solving the Equation
To solve for $X$, we can calculate the inverse of A (provided A is invertible) and then multiply it by B:
`$$X=A^{-1}\times B$$`
## Matrices with SymPy
```python
from sympy import Matrix, symbols
# Define symbols
x, y, z = symbols('x y z')
# Define a 2x2 matrix
A = Matrix([[1, 2], [3, 4]])
print("Matrix A:")
print(A)
# Define a 3x3 matrix with symbolic elements
B = Matrix([[x, y, z], [y, z, x], [z, x, y]])
print("\nMatrix B:")
print(B)
# Define two matrices of the same size
C = Matrix([[5, 6], [7, 8]])
D = Matrix([[1, 1], [1, 1]])
# Addition
E = C + D
print("\nMatrix Addition (C + D):")
print(E)
# Subtraction
F = C - D
print("\nMatrix Subtraction (C - D):")
print(F)
# Scalar multiplication
G = 2 * A
print("\nScalar Multiplication (2 * A):")
print(G)
# Matrix multiplication
H = A * C
print("\nMatrix Multiplication (A * C):")
print(H)
# Determinant of a matrix
det_A = A.det()
print("\nDeterminant of Matrix A:")
print(det_A)
# Inverse of a matrix
inv_A = A.inv()
print("\nInverse of Matrix A:")
print(inv_A)
# Define the coefficient matrix A and the constant matrix B
A_sys = Matrix([[3, 4], [2, -1]])
B_sys = Matrix([5, 1])
# Solve the system AX = B
X = A_sys.inv() * B_sys
print("\nSolution to the system of linear equations:")
print(X)
# Compute eigenvalues and eigenvectors of a matrix
eigenvals = A.eigenvals()
eigenvects = A.eigenvects()
print("\nEigenvalues of Matrix A:")
print(eigenvals)
print("\nEigenvectors of Matrix A:")
print(eigenvects)
```
## References
* [Dear linear algebra students, This is what matrices (and matrix manipulation) really look like](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4csuTO7UTMo)
* [Essence of linear algebra](https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLZHQObOWTQDPD3MizzM2xVFitgF8hE_ab)
* [The Applications of Matrices | What I wish my teachers told me way earlier](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rowWM-MijXU)
* [Inverse of 2x2 Matrix](https://www.cuemath.com/algebra/inverse-of-2x2-matrix/)
* [Matrices Tutorial](https://www.cuemath.com/algebra/solve-matrices/)
-
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@ df478568:2a951e67
2025-02-22 20:29:43

I shop the bitcoin circular economy as much as I can. Maybe "shop" isn't the best way to describe it. Shopping is a behavior typical of fiat maxis. they drive fancy leases and shop 'till they drop. This season's fashion must-have is next season's trash. Bitcoiners don't shop, we replenish supplies. Our goal is to get the best value for our sats. Our goal to hodl our sats as long as possible.
Yesterday, I shoveled a [ton of compost](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzph68s45y080zdd9g8sdacnd6kcd4ejpwrgcju2eghjq45y4f28n8qqs24rrm3u2wvf24ad8xkj2xh8nuq2lz7urnd3lzrpqlstmsp4r29hsug39jw) for my garden. If taking showers mean's I', short bitcoin, so be it. I also happened to get my soap from Soapminer delivered to my P.O. Box the day before. What better way is there to test this soap than after shoveling some shit? It was perfect timing.
## Soapminer Sells Soap Made From Beef Tallow
Soapminer is a nostr rounder I've seen online every timestamp in a while. As the name suggests, he makes soap and sells it for sats. He's not the only soap seller on nostr, but something stands out about this soap. He uses beef tallow, the stuff McDonald's used for french fries back in the day. I use it to cook. It's basically beef lard.
So this pleb makes soap and markets it to people who talk about beef and bitcoin. That's better than Fight Club. Then [I heard Matt Odell say it was pretty good](https://fountain.fm/clip/6GHDdmcwMg47mz0xNpVb). I already thought about spending sats on this soap, but now I had a testimonial from a man I have listened to for about six years. **Can you say Web of Trust baby?**
I no soap and suds expert. I have years of soapo sing experience, but I never thought about what commercial soap is made with. I assumed it was like Fight Club like how I assumed the dollar was backed by gold in high school. Both these statements are false. Fiat soap is made with fiat fuckery. I tried looking for the ingredients on a box of Dove Men's Care, but couldn't find them on the box. It's opaque like the amount of gold at Fort Knox, nobody knows. I know what Soapminer uses to make his soap because [it's open source](nostr:note1aypyepc6g7lztutegx0fw5yg5clc9ythvxkp6czfkau3dcgwz06q4mfqr3).
### Tallow Soap Quotes
I asked Soapminer a few questions on nostr. You can find his answer here:
nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqy9kvcxtqa2tlwyjv4r46ancxk00ghk9yaudzsnp697s60942p7lqy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uq3xamnwvaz7tmsw4e8qmr9wpskwtn9wvhszxrhwden5te0wa3nztnrw4e8yetwwshxu6twdfsj7qpqh7mqlhn392ekrg6nm33pjjquu0dww27tqv3qjduyag4u20er0tcqd2waxl
**That's the link that shows it was signed by his own nostr key, the Internet's version of "I approve this message."**

**Soapminer:**
`What inspired me was a cleaner, healthier lifestyle. During the plandemic, I had a lot of free time on my hands, and got to read, and investigate what actually causes a lot of the sickness in society. I learned a great deal. I never knew that your skin is your largest organ, and that it absorbs 60-70% of what you put on it. What do ppl put on their skin almost every day? Soap. So out of boredom, and seeking a healthier lifestyle, I started watching YT videos of ppl making soap, and tried it out a few times, and then a few more, until I became good at it.
Once you learn how to make soap, the challenges only arise when you try something that you haven't done before. Depending on what method you are using will determine the challenges that you may face. It's multifaceted, so might be a little long to go into. I overcome them by keep trying until I get it right. No path is going to be easy, you just have to practice to make perfect.
Last question is easy. My favorite soap is Tallow soap. As long as it is made from Tallow, and has all natural ingredients, it is a good soap in my opinion. Tallow mirrors the oils in our skin. It doesn't strip you skin the way commercial soap do, leaving you feel itchy, dry, and actually causing some of the skin ailments that have become common, like eczema, and psoriasis. Just nutures, cleans, and protects. It also, can prevent wrinkles., and acne.`
**Sold!**

I tried the pine tar first. It makes me smell like a man, at least my wife thinks so. That's also why she prefers the unscented. He is adding more scents, but these ate the one's I have tried.
The soap makes me feel rubber-ducky squeaky clean. After my shower, made some lunch and washed my hands with Dawn. **This made my hands ashier than bio-char**. I decided to cut some soap and place a little piece by the kitchen sink. The soap moisturized my hands in two shakes of a bull's tail. I also cut up some of my soap into smaller pieces because I'm as frugal as a Boy-scout and wanted to wash my hands with this stuff instead of Ivory. **Who wants a clean as real as Ivory? It's only 99.44% pure. Soap miner is 100% pure bitcoin signal.

#### Here's some more quotes about Soapminer's soap.
- [He's asking his market if they want Peppermint soap.](nostr:note1tpeh65m7y6s6wt9ucjdcl2pge3m86f2ny4hqjdyvcrmf7kglqshqfeceam "nostr:note1tpeh65m7y6s6wt9ucjdcl2pge3m86f2ny4hqjdyvcrmf7kglqshqfeceam)
- [Then he made the soap like a boss](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqy9kvcxtqa2tlwyjv4r46ancxk00ghk9yaudzsnp697s60942p7lqqs0yqyvffu9pn39grtxa8agpftpvfssx603w0ra67kpn5qn360masquhrtd7).
- [The Benefits of Tallow](nostr:nevent1qqs9w6g8khrqzhrgu7y3trae9vtdl8847p42p80aqzvsvlu9kr84vkgpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhsyg8zenmu7gzq8ulj5jj4kv50ph3muwz43f747vmr9ld2alrjdswgavpsgqqqqqqsq5lkzq)
- [He uses Zaprite](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqjln5vfhstwf2ahjrmanh57kzwrap4v3xpfzql5sxp48gxlk4a74qqsraadvah6890x4hgvr4rcxe9c2n79a0kx88te3hf7x88j72rh7cuskhempa)
[He has giveaways](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqyqzpzvke2t7fxwh0rzea5zmx7qnddzgsqk35ujp9tgpw9jmjsmnserr3z8466)
[He wants everyone to live on a bitcoin standard](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqy9kvcxtqa2tlwyjv4r46ancxk00ghk9yaudzsnp697s60942p7lqqs8gnddcnkj5p2047qam5drgw5jxlg60vy736e2rwxsmj593whnllsy8ej9j)

### Testimonials

nostr:note1y9wsl07lkepfzzj8c8ucekss9f9darvg70j93cdmvttadfjx9nfsvtxwes
**The LOTSProject8**

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqy9kvcxtqa2tlwyjv4r46ancxk00ghk9yaudzsnp697s60942p7lqqsxt8kyd650ph3wvhre0lwlw5s0emuv5gcfzmsvfxf7czgg4c2wynq7vg8ga
**GhostBTC**:

nostr:npub1cm3v486tkgy6qjtk09srry4qvc40y0jysyqha5e3v67whnc22jwsrreyud
**Tuvok**

**Bit 🐳 Ish**

["It's good stuff, you'll love it."](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzpr38l76unwuvm5qnrt0xa7jf64k5qx65ynvlm7dx8cr565nmqu2uqqs2r7rcp2rssfcqhk5838cuu569h43wlkvw34gy8ad2flgdpl0cezckxghkc)
**cryptoshi2k21.bitcoin**

["Great soap 🧼🫧"](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqj5nelekm4aruughza09y8yy26ansshnc23wq2kdha79dqz8rhemqqsxdq4xf69vgk27nnes4syrnekpg4mhkp6v4rer7nzdgfht8kya8ssucu8lz)
**Me**

["I spent the last two days shyoveling horse shit and compost for my garden. This soap made me feel rubber-ducky squeeky clean afterward."](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzph68s45y080zdd9g8sdacnd6kcd4ejpwrgcju2eghjq45y4f28n8qqsfvqylk56zdh5n3ykhleypr5zznevqt9dw04vptdeuh9jmskemndgq0hw25)
##### Conclusion
I am a soap mining soap customer now. I'm done with fiat soap. I'm thinking about handing out his soap for Christmas gifts. Odell was right. It is good soap. It's expensive compared to the comercial crap, but competitive with fancy olive oil soaps I've seen. I paid with fiat I had in Strike, but Soapminer received bitcoin. I was going to buy soap anyway, but buying soap this way took $35 of fiat off Strike and put it into soap miners strategic bitcoin reserve. It's not cheap, but buying Dove requires me to first buy fiat. Buying soap from Soapminer takes sats off the exchange. Buying Dove does not, but that's not the only reason I bought this soap. It's great soap, but that's not really why I bought it. I am a big believer in what Adam Smith described as the invisible hand: [nostr:note1jsgzk6rxulyqthae8c53rrawaa70yjqh37nm3kxh08xw8g43vgcq3kux9d "nostr:note1jsgzk6rxulyqthae8c53rrawaa70yjqh37nm3kxh08xw8g43vgcq3kux9d"). We want to see people in our community to prosper. It is in our self-interest That is what Smith means by the invisible hand. The invisible hand is not A Central Bank manipulating interest rates and The IMF turning foreigners into debt-fiat slaves for cheap freshly-frozen shrimp.
Bitcoiners are my community. They may not be close to me by proximity, but my moral sentiments guide me to do business with bitcoiners whenever possible. See, capitalism cannot work with socialist money. Those moral sentiments change when people work for soft money. Fiat soap miners get paid in NGD currency. Sell soap for $35 today and that will buy you half as much stuff in 5 years. The fiat soap miner has no savings to improve his community. Inflation makes him search for the cheapest soap just to keep up with grocery prices.

Soapminer can save his sats earned selling soap without anyone stealig from him. Therefore, he will be able to afford to buy stuff in his community. Those on a fiat standard cannot afford to save their money in the hopes of buying high quality products and services in their community. Fiat is socialist money, therefore only buys less and less as time goes on. Dear readers, we are not on late stage capitalism. The problem is that socialist money sucks. Those Papi Trump bucks might be fun for a month, but in the end, everyone pays the Piper. Tariffs are a sales tax, [paywalls in meatspace](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzph68s45y080zdd9g8sdacnd6kcd4ejpwrgcju2eghjq45y4f28n8qyt8wumn8ghj7mn0wd68yetvd96x2uewdaexwtcpzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumt0wd68ytnsw43z7qg4waehxw309ajxjar5duh8qatz9aex2mrp0yqzqx3u59js9ewy9xwr7nuzv5eytj9ty979wrc7vrhv3tfykjxp5pd28s750n). Save your sats long enough, and these taxes will not matter. We circumvent the unjust tax of inflation, we will find solutions to unjust taxes levied on our community.
I participate in the bitcoin circular economy because I want to bring capitalism back. I do not care where you live. If you are a bitcoiner, you are part of my community. There is an invisible hand which compels me to buy stuff from people in my community. That's why I bought soap from Soapminer, but you know what? **the soap is pretty damn good**.
npub1marc26z8nh3xkj5rcx7ufkatvx6ueqhp5vfw9v5teq26z254renshtf3g0
[884,861](https://mempool.marc26z.com/block/00000000000000000001dd2088c2c20508d768455d6c29cd6b33d2a69912cafb)
[Merch](https://marc26z.com/merch)
-
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@ f3873798:24b3f2f3
2025-02-22 20:17:18
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Nos últimos anos, temos observado um aumento significativo nos casos de ansiedade, estresse e outros transtornos mentais. O ambiente de trabalho, especialmente no mundo cooperativo e corporativo, desempenha um papel central nesse cenário. Mas qual é a relação entre a estrutura do mercado de trabalho moderno e o crescimento dessas questões de saúde mental?
O Impacto da Cultura Cooperativa na Saúde Mental
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O modelo cooperativo atual valoriza, acima de tudo, a produtividade e o cumprimento de metas rígidas. A exigência por resultados rápidos e desempenho excepcional impõe um ritmo de trabalho desumano, levando muitos profissionais à exaustão física e emocional. A pressão constante para atender expectativas impossíveis cria um ambiente hostil, contribuindo para o aumento de diagnósticos como ansiedade, depressão e burnout.
Além disso, a falta de liberdade e flexibilidade no mercado de trabalho faz com que muitos talentos sejam desperdiçados. Profissionais que poderiam inovar e criar novas oportunidades acabam se tornando apenas mais um número em grandes empresas ou no funcionalismo público, muitas vezes por falta de opções. Esse aprisionamento profissional gera frustração, baixa autoestima e até transtornos psicológicos severos.
A Evolução das Demandas e a Intensificação da Pressão
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Antigamente, a busca por estabilidade em cargos públicos ou em grandes corporações era comum, mas a pressão e a exigência por resultados eram diferentes. Com o avanço da tecnologia e a digitalização dos processos, a demanda por eficiência aumentou exponencialmente. Hoje, a velocidade imposta pelo mercado ultrapassa os limites humanos, tornando o ambiente de trabalho ainda mais opressor.
Essa realidade não apenas compromete a saúde mental dos profissionais, mas também reflete no comportamento social. O estresse crônico e a frustração acumulada podem levar a episódios de agressividade, intolerância e impaciência, impactando diretamente a convivência em sociedade. O crescimento de casos de violência no trânsito, agressões em ambientes de atendimento e até mesmo crimes por motivos fúteis pode estar ligado a esse fenômeno.
O Caminho para um Mercado de Trabalho Mais Saudável
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Para minimizar esses impactos, é fundamental promover maior liberdade econômica e oportunidades para pequenos empreendedores. Reduzir a dependência de grandes empresas e cooperativas pode permitir que mais pessoas encontrem satisfação profissional e desenvolvam suas vocações sem a pressão excessiva por metas irreais.
Empreendimentos menores tendem a oferecer um ambiente de trabalho mais humanizado, onde as metas são ajustadas conforme a capacidade de produção de cada indivíduo. Dessa forma, os profissionais podem atuar de maneira mais saudável e equilibrada, reduzindo os índices de transtornos mentais e promovendo uma sociedade mais harmoniosa.
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@ d34e832d:383f78d0
2025-02-22 01:07:13
npub16d8gxt2z4k9e8sdpc0yyqzf5gp0np09ls4lnn630qzxzvwpl0rgq5h4rzv
### **How to Run a Local Matrix Server for Secure Communications**
Running a self-hosted Matrix server allows you to take control of your communications, ensuring privacy and sovereignty. By hosting your own homeserver, you eliminate reliance on centralized services while maintaining encrypted, federated messaging. This guide covers the full installation process for setting up a Matrix homeserver using **Synapse**, the official reference implementation.
---
## **1. Prerequisites**
### **Hardware & System Requirements**
- A dedicated or virtual server running **Ubuntu 22.04 LTS** (or Debian-based OS)
- Minimum **2GB RAM** (4GB+ recommended for production)
- At least **10GB disk space** (more if storing media)
- **A public domain name** (optional for federation)
### **Dependencies**
Ensure your system is updated and install required packages:
```sh
sudo apt update && sudo apt upgrade -y
sudo apt install -y curl wget gnupg2 lsb-release software-properties-common python3-pip virtualenv
```
---
## **2. Install Matrix Synapse**
### **Step 1: Add Matrix Repository**
```sh
sudo apt install -y lsb-release wget apt-transport-https
sudo wget -O /usr/share/keyrings/matrix-keyring.asc https://packages.matrix.org/debian/matrix-org-archive-keyring.gpg
echo "deb [signed-by=/usr/share/keyrings/matrix-keyring.asc] https://packages.matrix.org/debian/ $(lsb_release -cs) main" | sudo tee /etc/apt/sources.list.d/matrix-org.list
sudo apt update
```
### **Step 2: Install Synapse**
```sh
sudo apt install -y matrix-synapse-py3
```
During installation, enter your desired **domain name** (e.g., `matrix.example.com`).
### **Step 3: Start and Enable Synapse**
```sh
sudo systemctl enable --now matrix-synapse
```
---
## **3. Configure Matrix Homeserver**
### **Step 1: Edit the Configuration File**
```sh
sudo nano /etc/matrix-synapse/homeserver.yaml
```
- Set `server_name` to your domain (`example.com`)
- Enable **registration** if needed (`enable_registration: true`)
- Configure **log level** (`log_level: INFO`)
Save and exit (`CTRL+X`, then `Y`).
### **Step 2: Restart Synapse**
```sh
sudo systemctl restart matrix-synapse
```
---
## **4. Set Up a Reverse Proxy (NGINX + Let’s Encrypt SSL)**
### **Step 1: Install NGINX and Certbot**
```sh
sudo apt install -y nginx certbot python3-certbot-nginx
```
### **Step 2: Obtain SSL Certificate**
```sh
sudo certbot --nginx -d matrix.example.com
```
### **Step 3: Configure NGINX**
Create a new file:
```sh
sudo nano /etc/nginx/sites-available/matrix
```
Paste the following configuration:
```nginx
server {
listen 80;
server_name matrix.example.com;
return 301 https://$host$request_uri;
}
server {
listen 443 ssl;
server_name matrix.example.com;
ssl_certificate /etc/letsencrypt/live/matrix.example.com/fullchain.pem;
ssl_certificate_key /etc/letsencrypt/live/matrix.example.com/privkey.pem;
location /_matrix/ {
proxy_pass http://localhost:8008;
proxy_set_header X-Forwarded-For $remote_addr;
proxy_set_header Host $host;
proxy_set_header X-Forwarded-Proto $scheme;
}
}
```
Save and exit.
### **Step 4: Enable the Configuration**
```sh
sudo ln -s /etc/nginx/sites-available/matrix /etc/nginx/sites-enabled/
sudo systemctl restart nginx
```
---
## **5. Create an Admin User**
Run the following command:
```sh
register_new_matrix_user -c /etc/matrix-synapse/homeserver.yaml http://localhost:8008
```
Follow the prompts to create an **admin** user.
---
## **6. Test Your Matrix Server**
- Open a browser and go to: `https://matrix.example.com/_matrix/client/versions`
- You should see a JSON response indicating your homeserver is running.
- Use **Element** (https://element.io) to log in with your new user credentials.
---
## **7. Federation (Optional)**
To allow federation, ensure your DNS has an **SRV record**:
```
_matrix._tcp.example.com. 3600 IN SRV 10 5 443 matrix.example.com.
```
You can check your federation status at:
https://federationtester.matrix.org/
---
## **8. Additional Features**
### **Bridges (Connect to Other Platforms)**
- **Discord Bridge**: https://github.com/Half-Shot/matrix-appservice-discord
- **Telegram Bridge**: https://github.com/tulir/mautrix-telegram
### **Hosting a TURN Server (For Calls & Video)**
Install **coturn** for improved call reliability:
```sh
sudo apt install -y coturn
```
Edit `/etc/turnserver.conf` to include:
```
listening-port=3478
fingerprint
use-auth-secret
static-auth-secret=your-random-secret
realm=matrix.example.com
```
Enable and start the service:
```sh
sudo systemctl enable --now coturn
```
---
## **9. Backup & Maintenance**
### **Database Backup**
```sh
sudo systemctl stop matrix-synapse
sudo tar -czvf matrix-backup.tar.gz /var/lib/matrix-synapse/
sudo systemctl start matrix-synapse
```
### **Updating Synapse**
```sh
sudo apt update && sudo apt upgrade -y matrix-synapse-py3
sudo systemctl restart matrix-synapse
```
---
## **Connections**
- **Self-Hosting for Digital Sovereignty**
- **Nostr and Matrix Integration for Decentralized Messaging**
## **Donations via**
- lightninglayerhash@getalby.com
-
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@ d34e832d:383f78d0
2025-02-22 00:57:07
[npub16d8gxt2z4k9e8sdpc0yyqzf5gp0np09ls4lnn630qzxzvwpl0rgq5h4rzv]
**Why Signal and Matrix Matter in a World of Mass Surveillance**
In an era where mass surveillance has become the norm, privacy-focused communication tools are essential for digital sovereignty. Signal and Matrix provide individuals and communities with encrypted, censorship-resistant messaging solutions that challenge centralized control over information exchange.
### **1. Signal – End-to-End Encryption and Metadata Resistance**
- **Proven Cryptographic Security**: Signal’s end-to-end encryption, powered by the Signal Protocol, ensures messages remain private even if intercepted.
- **Metadata Protection with Sealed Sender**: Signal minimizes metadata exposure, preventing third parties from knowing who is communicating with whom.
- **Simple and Ubiquitous Privacy**: Designed for ease of use, Signal bridges the gap between security and accessibility, making privacy mainstream.
### **2. Matrix – Decentralized and Federated Communication**
- **Self-Hosted and Federated Infrastructure**: Unlike centralized services, Matrix allows users to host their own servers, reducing reliance on single points of failure.
- **Bridging Across Platforms**: Matrix bridges seamlessly with other communication protocols (IRC, XMPP, Slack, etc.), creating a unified, decentralized network.
- **End-to-End Encryption and Decentralized Identity**: Matrix offers fully encrypted rooms and a decentralized identity system, ensuring control over user data.
### **3. Mass Surveillance vs. Private Communication**
- **Government and Corporate Data Harvesting**: Centralized platforms like WhatsApp, Facebook Messenger, and Gmail log metadata and conversations, creating massive surveillance databases.
- **The Threat of AI-Driven Censorship**: Machine learning algorithms analyze user behavior, making privacy-invasive censorship and social credit scoring systems a reality.
- **Decentralization as a Resistance Strategy**: By adopting Signal and Matrix, individuals reclaim their right to private conversations without interference from state or corporate actors.
### **Integration Potential and Future Developments**
- **Bitcoin and Encrypted Messaging**: Signal and Matrix can be combined with Bitcoin for private transactions and communication, furthering financial sovereignty.
- **P2P and Nostr Integration**: Future developments could see Matrix and Nostr integrated for even more robust censorship-resistant communication.
### **Donations via**
- lightninglayerhash@getalby.com
-
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@ cda24367:8ba5afc3
2025-02-22 00:11:32
Just a test to find out what this Habla.news does. It looks interesting.
And here's an Odysee video to see if the iframe will work.
<iframe id="odysee-iframe" style="width:100%; aspect-ratio:16 / 9;" src="https://odysee.com/$/embed/@RandomStuff:0/Steve-Hughes-on-Charity:0?r=9cn37JvaLAtLK8z8NfZjsqm8ZNCaNuUy" allowfullscreen></iframe>
-
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@ 378562cd:a6fc6773
2025-02-22 18:29:35
There was a time when I was a real person. I touched grass, read books made of actual paper, made eye contact with fellow humans, and didn’t panic when my pockets felt empty. Then came the screens. They infiltrated my life like a well-meaning but overly clingy houseguest who never leaves.
It started innocently enough: a quick email check, a couple of YouTube videos, and a little light doomscrolling. And then, before I knew it, my posture resembled a shrimp’s, my eyes had the dull glaze of a microwaved marshmallow, and I had unknowingly memorized the entire algorithm’s playlist of “Obscure Facts You’ll Never Need.”
I knew things had gone too far when I caught myself attempting to *swipe left* on a paperback book. Or when I instinctively tried to pinch-zoom on a restaurant menu, only to find it was printed. On paper. It's like some kind of ancient relic from the Dark Ages.
The worst part? I didn’t even know what I was doing half the time. One moment, I’d be looking up a recipe for lasagna. The next thing I knew, I was 47 minutes deep into a documentary on the mating habits of Alaskan walruses. And did I stop? Of course not. I needed to *know* how it ended! (Spoiler: The walruses were fine. My dinner was not.)
And don’t even get me started on notifications. Those little digital gremlins have mastered the art of ambush just as I’m about to put my phone down, *DING!* A breaking news alert! (Something mildly inconvenient happened in a country I can’t locate on a map.) *DING!* An email! (From a store I haven’t shopped at since 2014, reminding me they exist.) *DING!* A friend liked my post! (The one from three days ago. Thanks, Todd.)
So, I made a vow. I would reclaim my life. I would be strong. I would resist! I would—oh wait, just one more video. Then, for sure, I’ll log off. Probably. Maybe. Okay, fine, I need help.
Until then, I’ll be here, scrolling away, living my best shrimp-postured, screen-addicted life. If you need me, send a text just… not after 9 p.m. That’s when I’m deep in my nightly ritual of watching cooking videos I will never actually attempt.
I hope you enjoyed this sort of funny (in my own head) attempt at wittiness humor. I hope to make some aware of the actual real-life dangers though of too much screen time. We honestly have no idea of all the harm we are causing to our children. To our society. What happens when we all who have actually grown up playing in creeks, skipping rocks, or sitting outside and falling asleep while reading a real book pass away? What happens when those left have only known this screen-diseased life?
I pray we can go back, go way way back!
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@ b4403b24:83542d4e
2025-02-22 17:59:03
Chainflip says it has limited some frontend services but can’t fully block transactions as a decentralized protocol.
Over $1.1M in ETH has already been converted.
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**Well done to them - not for the heist but for the decision to convert weak money to sound money** 😜
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/894141
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@ cff1720e:15c7e2b2
2025-02-22 17:45:48
Trumps Antrittsrede, seine Präsidentenerlasse, Personalentscheidungen und Amtshandlungen hatten schon in kurzer Zeit die Konturen der künftigen US-Außenpolitik erkennen lassen. Aber in München sprach der Vizepräsident auf einer bedeutenden Konferenz direkt zu den Europäern, den “Partnern” und “Verbündeten”. Und was er ihnen in aller Deutlichkeit mitteilte, war nichts anderes als eine 180-Grad Kehrtwende zur Politik der Vorgänger-Regierung. Die Botschaft war kein Vorschlag, sondern eine Ansage, die Inhalte sind inzwischen hinlänglich bekannt. Obwohl die Rede erwartungsgemäß mehr als reichlich kommentiert wurde, möchte ich noch einige Aspekte ergänzen, die ich bisher in den Kommentaren vermisst habe.
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Im November 1988 wurde die Auslieferung der sowjetischen Zeitschrift “Sputnik” in der DDR gestoppt, was einem Verbot gleichkam. Der Anlaß waren kritische Betrachtungen über Stalin und Berichte über den Hitler-Stalin-Pakt, den es laut DDR-Geschichtsschreibung nicht gab. Es war eine Zensur von Informationen aus dem Land des “großen Bruders”, der Führungsmacht der sozialistischen Welt. Das Diktum “von der Sowjetunion lernen heißt siegen lernen” galt erkennbar nicht mehr. Das war zugleich der Höhepunkt einer ideologischen Entfremdung die 1986 begonnen hatte, als Gorbatschow “Glasnost” (Offenheit) und “Perestroika” (Reformen) einforderte, welche von der vergreisten DDR-Führung als unnötig und gefährlich abgelehnt wurden. Gorbatschow hatte richtig erkannt, dass die sozialistischen Staaten ökonomisch und gesellschaftlich gescheitert waren und ohne Reformen nicht überleben würden. Die Einsicht kam aber zu spät, die DDR kollabierte bereits ein Jahr später an ihrem Reformstau, die UdSSR Ende 1991 trotz der begonnenen Reformversuche.
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Die Parallelen sind unverkennbar, eklatante politische Fehler (u.a. Euro seit 2009 und Migration seit 2015) haben die EU-Staaten zunächst zu Sanierungsfällen gemacht, durch die Corona-Politik zu Insolvenzkandidaten. Der Rubikon ist längst überschritten, die Schönwetter-Union ist nicht mehr zu retten. Den Amerikanern ist das klar, daher sind die Reform-Appelle von Vance wohl eher seiner Höflichkeit zuzurechnen. Für die US-Regierung ist die EU bereits jetzt nicht mehr existent, Verträge werden wieder direkt mit den Mitglieds-Staaten getroffen, und in den Ukraine-Verhandlungen ist kein Platz am Verhandlungstisch. Die Themenbereiche bei den Gesprächen in Riad haben aber auch gezeigt, dass Amerikaner und Russen in global-strategischen Dimensionen denken, die Ukraine ist zurecht nur ein Randthema. Die aktuelle Rhetorik europäischer Politiker hingegen ist niveaulos und kleinkariert, man spielt in der 2. Liga, die EU hat sich selbst vom Akteur zum Objekt degradiert.
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Was bedeutet das für unsere Zukunft? Und was ist von der neuen US-Führung zu erwarten? Die unsäglichen Diskussionen darüber ob nun Trump und Musk gut oder böse sind, vernebelt nur eine klare Tatsache. Die EU hat keinen Rückhalt mehr vom “großen Bruder”, weder durch die NATO in Sachen Ukraine, noch durch Zensur von Systemkritikern (USAID, BigTech). Letzteres führt zu drei fundamentalen Veränderungen.\
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1\. Das Narrativ von den “westlichen Werten” ist tot. Auf diesem Axiom der USA basierte die gesamte Propaganda-Maschine, es wurde zur Religion. Nun versuchen gerade Provinzpolitiker wie Pistorius und Habeck mit beschränkten rhetorischen Mitteln zu definieren was “westliche Werte” ohne die USA sind, was mehr für Begeisterung bei Satirikern beiträgt als zur Überzeugung von Tagesschau-Anhängern.\
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2\. Die Deutungshoheit geht verloren weil immer mehr Publizisten ihr Fähnchen in den sich drehenden Wind hängen, sofern sie noch von Leser-Abos und Werbekunden abhängig sind. Die einsetzende Kakophonie verwirrt die Masse der schlichten Medien-Konsumenten, die über Jahrzehnte auf Nachrichten-Konformität dressiert worden sind. \
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3\. Weniger Zensur in den sozialen Medien verschafft den kritischen Stimmen mehr Reichweite, “bedrohliche” Meinungsvielfalt entsteht. Leider können die meisten Kritiker aber nur kritisieren, was uns zurück in die Zeiten des Sputnik-Verbots führt.
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Die DDR-Opposition hat beim Abriss der DDR mitgewirkt, über diese Rolle ist sie aber nie hinaus gekommen. Als die Mauer gefallen war und es um die Neugestaltung ging, hat sie kläglich versagt. Dem Großteil der heutigen Opposition droht das selbe Schicksal, weil sie keinen Plan für die Stunde Null hat. Bei Tauwetter darf man nicht mehr über den Winter diskutieren, sondern über das Bestellen der Felder. Wer die Saat ausbringt, entscheidet über die Ernte. Den Kollaps betreffend ist nur noch der Zeitpunkt unklar, für den Zeitraum danach jedoch alles. Wenn wir uns eine Bürgergesellschaft wünschen, dann müssen wir jetzt als Bürger aktiv werden, also DU, Leser. Spende für Pareto, oder für kritische Autoren und Aktivisten. Mach Dir Gedanken über die Zukunft und publiziere sie, hier auf Pareto, wir fördern den Bürger-Journalismus. Schließe Dich einem Projekt an, leiste einen Beitrag und gestalte die Zukunft. Macht wird nicht verteilt, Macht muss man sich erkämpfen.\
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**“Nur der verdient sich Freiheit wie das Leben, der täglich sie erobern muß.”** Goethe, Faust Teil 2
**Spenden für Pareto:** <https://geyser.fund/project/pareto>
**Pareto Landing Page:** <https://pareto.space> 
**Pareto Marktplatz:** <https://pareto.space/read> 
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@ e7bc35f8:3ed2a7cf
2025-02-21 16:57:49
With all these decades and - in the case of the oldest democracies - centuries of broken political promises, you’d think that the public would have caught on to the game by now.
But no.
Still expecting political saviours.
Every election cycle, the public hears how this politician will deliver the nation from its economic woes or that politician will restore a country to its former greatness.
In 1916, Woodrow Wilson was re-elected as president of the United States on the back of his popular campaign slogan, "_He Kept Us Out of War_".
But like all of the presumptive political saviours of the democratic age - in which popularity contests determine who seizes power and the public is swayed by the nicest sounding promises - Wilson, too, promptly broke his word.
Just five months after his re-election, he oversaw US entry into the First World War and gave his [now-famous speech]( https://millercenter.org/the-presidency/presidential-speeches/april-2-1917-address-congress-requesting-declaration-war) assuring the public that getting the US into war was necessary to make the world "_safe for democracy_".
Similarly, Lyndon B. Johnson won election in 1964 [promising]( https://youtu.be/kdE6VVcH_0g) to limit America’s involvement in Vietnam.
"_Some others are eager to enlarge the conflict. They call upon us to supply American boys to do the job that Asian boys should do_".
But this, too, was just another [swiftly broken promise]( https://youtu.be/dc9gJvpV8xo) by yet another political "saviour".
"_Air action is now in execution against gunboats and certain supporting facilities in North Vietnam_".
Laughably, even George W. Bush "won" the election in 2000 [promising a humble American foreign policy]( https://youtu.be/irzSo578gmg) and a vow to only fight short, winnable wars with well-defined objectives.
GEORGE W. BUSH:
> But I’m gonna be judicious as to how to use the military. It needs to be in our vital interest, the mission needs to be clear and the exit strategy obvious.
[And then]( https://youtu.be/5BwxI_l84dc):
BUSH:
> On my orders, coalition forces have begun [sic] striking selected targets of military importance to undermine Saddam Hussein’s ability to wage war.
But this pattern is not just about war and it is not specific to any particular country.
Throughout the world, politicians have won elections promising to deliver the inherently undeliverable.
What Australian could forget, for example, Bob Hawke’s promise to [eliminate child poverty in three years]( https://youtu.be/2oU_ogI8zBc)?
And what Greek could forget when Alexis Tsipras was swept to power with a strong populist mandate to [stand up to the European Union]( https://youtu.be/vE1nr45x5vY) in the midst of the sovereign debt crisis.
Instead, Tsipras immediately sold the nation further into debt by [accepting the terms]( https://youtu.be/9saxZvuq8UQ) of a punishing €85bn "bailout" package that even Syriza’s own members called a betrayal of the party’s promises.
In 2008, this endlessly escalating wave of political insanity seemed to reach a crescendo as it dashed upon the shores of the presidential campaign of Barack Obama.
B. OBAMA:
> There’s something happening when people vote not just for party that they belong to but the votes . . . the hopes that they hold in common. [. . .] We are ready to take this country in a fundamentally new direction. That’s what’s happening in America right now. Change is what’s happening in America!
It may seem ridiculous in 2021 that the mere words "_Yes We Can_" and "_Hope and Change_" could have sold not just the American voters but the people of the world on Barack Hussein Obama, a junior US senator whose greatest legislative accomplishment up to that point was sponsoring a bill [to rename a post office in Illinois]( https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/109/s3757).
But, in hindsight, that was exactly what was so effective about the entire "_hope and change_" campaign.
After eight years of neocon carnage - amid the tumult of the ongoing fiasco in Iraq, in the shadow of the rising police state at home, and in the face of the revelations of corporate accounting fraud and banking malfeasance that culminated in a global financial crisis - the public was desperately hoping for change.
[OBAMA]( https://youtu.be/Fe751kMBwms):
> We will remember that there is something happening in America. That we are not as divided as our politics suggest. That we are one people. We are one nation. And together we will begin the next great chapter in the American story with three words that will ring from coast to coast from sea to shining sea: "Yes We Can!" Thank you, New Hampshire. Thank you!
It didn’t matter that Obama, like every other con man to swindle the majority of the population in the great popularity contest we call democracy, lied about every one of his major campaign promises.
It didn’t matter that he [lied]( https://youtu.be/O4iWqCH9EVE) about [closing Guantanamo]( https://youtu.be/UQXZoM__vU0).
It didn’t matter that he lied about ending the war of terror.
[OBAMA]( https://youtu.be/3vpCBpTbEds):
> And that is why as president I will make the fight against Al Qaeda and the Taliban the top priority that it should be.
[ANNOUNCER]( https://youtu.be/W1o2GlLywRs):
> The Obama administration knowingly gave US taxpayer dollars to an al Qaeda affiliate in Sudan, a joint i24 News – Middle East Forum investigation reveals.
It didn’t matter that [he lied]( https://youtu.be/B6fnfVJzZT4) about ending the illegal wiretapping of Americans.
OBAMA:
> This administration also puts forward a false choice between the liberties we cherish and the security we provide. I will provide our intelligence and law enforcement agencies with the tools they need to track and take out the terrorists without undermining our Constitution and our freedom. That means no more illegal wiretapping of American citizens.
[And then]( https://youtu.be/m8F99BT8QAA):
OBAMA:
> I came in with a healthy skepticism about these programs. My team evaluated them. We scrubbed them thoroughly. We actually expanded some of the oversight, increased some of the safeguards. But my assessment and my team’s assessment was that they help us prevent terrorist attacks.
None of his broken promises matter, because it was never about any actual, concrete action.
If the mass hysteria that swept over the public in 2008 was about achieving tangible results, the Nobel Committee would not have [awarded Obama the Nobel Peace Prize]( https://youtu.be/gscjkfDwv3w) less than one year into his first term in office, while he was still waging wars in Afghanistan and Iraq and expanding Bush’s drone war into Pakistan.
No, it was never about action.
It was about providing the audience of the political spectacle the scene that they were waiting for.
The next political messiah is wheeled onto the stage, he waves his hand and makes everything better, and everyone goes back to their daily struggles for the next four years.
The ritual is complete.
Indeed, after thousands of years in which heads of state were worshipped as literal gods on earth or, more recently, as divine appointees, it should come as no surprise that popular presidents and prime ministers are almost always portrayed with recourse to religious iconography.
The common trope of photographing presidents with the "halo" of the presidential seal around them is nothing new.
But even taking that history into account, the religious frenzy that Obama’s appearance on the national political stage caused was, in retrospect, [undeniably strange]( https://youtu.be/1cen37qxA7E).
OBAMA:
> Who is Barack Obama? Contrary to the rumors that you’ve heard, I was not born in a manger. I was actually born on Krypton and sent here by my father Jor-El to save the planet Earth.
In the hysteria of the 2008 campaign, Obama wasn’t received by the public as a political candidate with a series of policy prescriptions for improving the country.
He was the god from the machine, the deus ex machina who could appear on stage and bless everyone with his absolution.
Obama was not just Superman but the God of All Things, a Heaven-Sent shining New Hope bathed in angelic light who was the literal Second Coming.
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[JAMIE FOXX]( https://youtu.be/0O7Zyf7vu2w):
> First of all, give an honour to God and our Lord and Savior, Barack Obama!
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And by the time the public finally snapped from their reverie and realized that, after all, Obama was [just another politician]( https://youtu.be/V9YWKkgjK7Y)...
[CONTESSA BREWER]( https://youtu.be/vuy_-zF02zQ):
> The former director of the Norwegian Nobel Institute says he regrets awarding the Nobel Peace Prize to President Barack Obama in 2009.
[CENK YOGURT]( https://youtu.be/NrhKogpKVXc):
> He lied! It’s not subtle, He said “There will be no spying on citizens who are not suspected of a crime.” He lied. There is spying on all of us and we’re not suspected of a crime. Barack Obama is a liar! Can I make it clearer?
Obama had already served his role as the next political saviour and, having served that function, he could be discarded like yesterday’s newspaper.
For those who believed that the 2008 campaign was the apotheosis of the Hope and Change routine, this was the end of the line for this political charade.
Looking at the process from a rational perspective, one could be forgiven for thinking that the public had learned its lesson and that no politician would be able to bamboozle the public like that again as long as the Obama legacy was in living memory.
👉 But this is not a rational process, and those who believed that could not have been more wrong.
Lest there be any confusion that the public was being prepared for another deus ex machina ritual, this time the god descended onto the political stage via a literal machine, a golden escalator.
And, from his dais, this god, too, brought good tidings to the cheering crowd: the country is saved once again!
[DONALD TRUMP]( https://youtu.be/apjNfkysjbM):
> Ladies and gentlemen, I am officially running for President of the United States and we are going to make our country great again!
The next day, [it was revealed]( https://x.com/meganspecia/status/610847067427221504?t=-ckxdcRwVDIgP6p5K7b0WQ&s=19) that the scene was a literal stage play.
The adoring crowd were not grassroots supporters of Donald Trump who all spontaneously decided to wear the same Trump t-shirts and awkwardly pose with their "homemade" signs for the cameras, but, as an [FEC]( https://www.fec.gov/legal-resources/enforcement/) investigation later confirmed, literal actors [paid $50 each]( https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/politics-news/donald-trump-campaign-offered-actors-803161/#) by the [Extra Mile Casting agency]( https://youtu.be/TsFYmy1mvXM) on behalf of their client, Gotham Government Relations & Communications.
But it didn’t matter.
Like all the iterations of the President Messiah script that came before, Trump’s Make America Great Again psychodrama was already having its intended effect on the population.
In some ways, MAGA was a mere repeat of the Obama Hope and Change template.
Here, too, candidate Trump promised the moon that President Trump steadfastly failed to deliver.
**[He]( https://www.youtube.com/live/g-HCpMsZ6cs) | [did not]( https://youtu.be/yJ6N9EkP5Hk) I [drain]( https://youtu.be/BNGN4Ahk1Ww) I [the]( https://youtu.be/vd3fnEAUuio) I [swamp]( https://youtu.be/6I4pZ_3DVC8).**
[He did not end the wars]( https://youtu.be/0CwTXWVulbs).
He [did not stand up]( https://youtu.be/YAs1Bm0EJ2w) to [medical-industrial complex]( https://youtu.be/EHy-GWITbxk).
And, like the Obamessiah, Trump, too, took on the role of divine redeemer of the nation, [second only to Christ himself]( https://youtu.be/0LZqeGrEEfM).
Trump ([Trump assured us]( https://archive.is/QBYAz)) was loved by the Jewish people in Israel like the "second coming of God".
And once again the president was being portrayed as "[heaven-sent]( https://x.com/DaveSchreiber3/status/956228048550064130?t=wPuIlQjVvT6b-xoxsl74xA&s=19)", a man chosen by God Himself to [lead America back]( https://www.huffpost.com/entry/rick-perry-donald-trump-the-chosen-one_n_5ddbbb9ee4b0913e6f6fc1a8) to the promised land.
RICK PERRY:
> And I shared it with him. I said, Mr. President, I know there are people that say you said you were the chosen one and I said, "You were." I said, "If you’re a believing Christian, you understand God’s plan for the people who rule and judge over us on this planet in our government.
ED HENRY:
> And lest people on the left attack Rick Perry, he pointed out to me he believes Barack Obama was sent by God as well. He said for that moment and that time. He said he thinks for this moment and this time, Donald Trump was sent by God to do great things.
Or, as the [internet users]( https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=GEOTUS) who helped build the momentum for the Trump train during the 2016 campaign put it in their popular meme, Trump was the [God Emperor]( https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-warhammer-statue-italy-god-emperor-warrior-twitter-parade-a8787116.html), a [GEOTUS]( https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/god-emperor-trump) who would smite the wicked and own the libs.
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Yes, the Trump script seemed to be a mere rehash of the Obama script.
But it was not.
You see, this was not the same plot as Hope and Change.
Make America Great Again had a more exciting storyline.
In the MAGA stage play, the god from the machine was himself in trouble and needed saving from the powerful, evil forces that were ganging up against him.
And this time, the god himself would be saved by his own god from a machine. This script involved an incredible double deus ex machina!
The god that would save God Emperor Trump, however, was not a political figure at all, but a shadowy, anonymous entity.
And the machine that delivered him was not a golden escalator, but an online message board.
The "[Q Anon]( https://archive.4plebs.org/pol/thread/146981635/#q147012719)" phenomenon began on October 28, 2017, when "Q" - a user of the "politically incorrect" board of 4chan, the anonymous imageboard website - made a post claiming that a massive military operation was underway to arrest Hillary Clinton and bring down the cabal of evil politicians that was filling the swamp of Washington.
Within days, the anonymous poster was assuring his 4chan followers of the imminent indictment of Clinton campaign insiders [John Podesta and Huma Abedin]( https://archive.4plebs.org/pol/thread/147433975/#147434025).
And on November 2nd, less than a week after the initial post, the poster was calling himself "[Q Clearance Patriot]( https://archive.4plebs.org/pol/thread/147547939/#q147567888)" and claiming that "_over the course of the next several days you will undoubtedly realize that we are taking back our great country_".
In every way, these early "Q Drops" exemplify the QAnon phenomenon that it spawned. They pick up on the language and code words of classified government operations, like "[Mockingbird]( https://archive.4plebs.org/pol/thread/146981635/#q147023341)" and "[Q clearance]( https://www.americaexplained.org/what-is-a-q-clearance.htm)".
They pretend to impart insider information about high-level political events, even predicting specific events on specific dates, like the arrest announcement of Podesta and the beginning of a military coup.
And they pose a series of vague rhetorical questions ("_Why does Potus surround himself w/ generals? What is military intelligence? Why go around the 3 letter agencies?_") that feel important without providing any specific knowledge or insight.
As Q’s notoriety grew, so, too, did the grandiosity of his predictions, promises and pronouncements. Followers were told to expect "[False flag(s)" and that there would be "fireworks]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210729161138/https://qposts.online/?q=326&s=postnum)" but that the president would be "100% insulated". They were exhorted to "[TRUST [Attorney General Jeff] SESSIONS]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210110180638/https://qposts.online/post/372)" and assured that Feb. 1, 2018, would be the "[[D]ay [Of] [D]ays]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210729143636/https://qposts.online/?q=647&s=postnum)". They were promised a "[parade that will never be forgotten]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210729152807/https://qposts.online/?q=856&s=postnum)" on November 11th of 2018.
They were assured that [Mark Zuckerberg was stepping down]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210729152222/https://qposts.online/?q=1014&s=postnum) as chairman of Facebook.
July 2018 would be the month "the world discovered the TRUTH", with Q asserting that there would be "[conspiracy no more]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210729144945/https://qposts.online/?q=1595&s=postnum)".
Of course, every one of these pronouncements was categorically wrong. But, as Q taught his followers to believe, "[Disinformation is real]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210729155150/https://qposts.online/?q=128&s=postnum)" and "Disinformation is necessary", so these false predictions were in fact signs that Q was telling the truth.
It didn’t make sense.
It didn’t have to.
All it had to do was fill the viewers of the unfolding political spectacle with hopium, the belief that this new god from the machine was going to swoop in with his Q Clearance compatriots and save the day at the last moment.
Remarkably, that belief persisted even after the last moment.
🔸[Q Anon Posts Debate & Discussion With Praying Medic]( https://youtu.be/e1UHvPb-qGo) [Rare Interview & Question]
🔸[ACTUAL INTERVEIW [sic] Dr Steve Pieczenik DHS watermarked every ballot with QFS Blockchain Encryption]( https://youtu.be/u6Ek5SYiDyI)
🔸[HELLSCAPE: 72 HOURS TO SAVE THE REPUBLIC]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210118181000/https://www.sgtreport.com/2021/01/hellscape-72-hours-to-save-the-republic/)
🔸[EP. 2501B – TRAP SET, THESE PEOPLE ARE STUPID, DO YOU SEE THE STORM FORMING,PANIC IN DC]( https://www.bitchute.com/video/IgFZXglCXszN/)
It is not hard to see why Q became so popular.
Like every good deus ex machina, Q promised to deliver the audience of the current political drama exactly what they wanted: an entertaining, exciting and satisfying resolution to the play, delivering the hero (Trump) from evil (the Democrats) just in the nick of time.
It is not coincidence that "Enjoy the show" and "Get the popcorn" became favourite phrases of Q and the QAnon followers.
This was, after all, just that: [a show]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210729162026/https://qposts.online/?q=enjoy+the+show&s=keyword).
A scripted drama [designed to play]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210422153402/https://qposts.online/post/16) on the psyche of the audience.
The clue comes in Q’s constant exhortations for his follower to trust.
🔸[Trust Sessions]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210729145545/https://qposts.online/?q=1122&s=postnum).
🔸[Trust Grassley]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210729142811/https://qposts.online/post/2274).
🔸[Trust POTUS]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210729142306/https://qposts.online/post/1145).
🔸 [Trust the plan]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210302060441/https://qposts.online/?q=trust+the+plan&s=keyword).
The terminology - as well as the methodology - of the Q operation evokes Operation Trust, a Soviet counterintelligence program in the 1920s that took over a pro-monarchist organization, the "Monarchist Union of Central Russia".
The Soviets used operatives within the organization to persuade members that they should not engage in militant activity against the government because a plan was underway for internal anti-Bolshevik forces to topple the regime.
Trust the plan.
In this case, "trusting the plan" got members of the opposition either put on trial and sent to the gulags or blackmailed into working for [Soviet intelligence]( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Trust).
Q certainly did pacify many with his constant entreaty to "trust the plan".
Q also rallied people [time and time again]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210729152718/https://qposts.online/post/3347) to support the policies, operations and personnel of the very deep state that they were supposedly fighting against.
Suddenly Jeff Sessions, Bill Barr, [John Bolton]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210729163448/https://qposts.online/post/1123) and other long-time members of the political establishment were the good guys in this elaborate drama.
[99% of the agents at the CIA]( https://web.archive.org/web/20210729141311/https://qposts.online/post/4166), FBI, DOJ and NSA were "patriots" who "serve[d] with distinction" and thus needed to be supported.
The decades-long neocon dream of [invading Iran]( https://web.archive.org/web/20211027213014/https://qposts.online/post/1558) became, in the eyes of Q followers, a good and noble cause.
But even beyond the pacification of those who would otherwise be resisting the government, the "Q Army" of self-styled "Digital soldiers" provided the very foil that the deep state needed to move to the next step of their counter-insurgency program: The crackdown on "domestic terrorism".

🔸[FBI Warns Of Potential For More Violence From QAnon Followers]( https://youtu.be/ELntKgrMAzs)
🔸[FBI warns conspiracy theories fuel domestic terrorism]( https://youtu.be/mPaNlpTb-rM)
🔸[Former CIA official Jeremy Bash, now of NBC News]( https://youtu.be/n8TraXoSBJk)
🔸[A Message from President Donald J. Trump]( https://youtu.be/nCxGBU3KpHI)
After years of being told to "get the popcorn" and "enjoy the show", the Q Anon movement slowly began to realize that they were had.
Worse, the very intelligence agencies and military that they had so fervently hoped would swoop in and save the day are the very agencies that were swooping in to round them up.
But QAnon was by no means the first time that hopium has been injected into the veins of the "conspiracy research community".
In the 1990s, a power industry teaching consultant named Harvey Francis Barnard developed a proposed set of reforms for America’s monetary and tax system that he called the National Economic Security and Recovery Act, or NESARA.
He self-published a book outlining his proposal, sent copies to members of Congress, started an institute to promote the idea and, in 2000, published his proposal on the internet.
At that point, [NESARA]( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NESARA) became the centerpiece of an elaborate hoax promulgated by an online charlatan calling herself "The Dove of Oneness".
In this story, the NESARA bill is a miracle: it abolishes income taxes, forgives mortgages, zeroes out credit cards and declares peace.
Even more miraculous: in a stunning move only known to The Dove of Oneness, the bill had been secretly passed by Congress and was due to take effect on September 11, 2001, which is why the World Trade Center was destroyed.
But, like every good drama, this story, too, had a deus ex machina to keep [Dove’s internet audience]( https://www.thenewstribune.com/news/special-reports/article25855081.html) hanging on and enjoying the show: [the White Knights]( https://web.archive.org/web/20200806211343/https://freedomforceinternational.org/position-statements/white-knights/#knights), "_an underground group of good guys [. . .] who were in high positions within all these institutions, who were fed up with the status quo and were planning a coup d’état that was going to happen ‘very soon.'_"
Just as with Q, the cult that grew around the NESARA myth with its White Knight gods from the machine promised specific events on specific dates.
Every time a prediction failed to happen, followers were reassured that the long-promised coup had been delayed so that the White Knights could better prepare the public for the pandemonium that would ensue when they swoop in to save the day.
In the meantime, followers could get the popcorn and enjoy the show, knowing that all their debt would soon be forgiven and that peace on earth was just around the corner.
And the name of that book in which Barnard first laid out his NESARA proposal?
👉 [Draining The Swamp]( https://archive.org/details/pdfy-26rkhN1b_IernzD2).
Yes, the deus ex machina story is trotted out every few years under different guises.
A secret order of ninjas is preparing to assassinate the evil Illuminati and bring peace to the world.
A secret stash of trillions of dollars is about to be shared out with the people of the world, ending all poverty.
A cosmic realignment is going to take place on December 21st, 2012, raising humanity to a higher level of consciousness and ending all strife and suffering.
An anonymous 4chan poster is leaking classified information about a good military coup that’s going to restore order and drain the swamp.
[The incredible Trump's X-Men]( https://youtu.be/YTJZhsGmWi8).
The message is always the same: Get the popcorn and enjoy the show.
The god is coming from the machine to save you.
Just wait.
Over and over we see the same story play out.
The crowd begins to lose interest in the political stage play.
They begin to suspect that it’s fake.
That reality is taking place somewhere off stage and out of sight.
They begin to realize that they are not spectators at all, but active participants with the ability to shape the world around them.
And then along comes a god from a machine peddling hopium and the audience goes back to enjoying the show.
None of this is to denigrate the religious instinct that compels humans to look for a saviour from the heavens.
On the contrary.
Those with religious faith should be the most offended by this god from the machine script that sees their most cherished, divine beliefs cynically played on by would-be political rulers masquerading as gods.
Now, we must not abandon hope itself.
As part of the triumvirate of faith, hope and charity, hope is a virtue to be cherished.
Genuine hope is the rocket fuel that humans use to propel themselves towards their goals.
Without hope, there would be no motivation to do anything to improve our situation.
But that is the difference.
Hope compels us to go out there and try to improve our situation.
Fake hopes, on the other hand, convinces us that someone else has taken care of the problem.
That we can just sit back, get the popcorn and enjoy the show.
Like the dope peddler on the street corner, the politicians and hucksters are always ready to satisfy their mark with a dose of false hopes.
And the public, more often than not, is only too happy to take it.
But fake hope is a deadly drug, and the god from the machine is nothing but a cheap stage trick.
Nothing will change until we stop enjoying the show and realize that we are not spectators watching history unfold from the sidelines.
We are history’s actors, and, propelled by genuine hope, we can and will change the world.
-
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@ 97c70a44:ad98e322
2025-02-17 14:29:00
Everyone knows that relays are central to how nostr works - they're even in the name: Notes and Other Stuff Transmitted by *Relays*. As time goes on though, there are three other letters which are becoming conspicuously absent from our beloved and ambiguously pronounceable acronym - "D", "V", and "M".
For the uninitiated, DVM stands for "data vending machines". They're actually sort of hard to describe — in technical terms they act more like clients, since they simply read events from and publish events to relays. In most cases though, these events are part of a request/response flow initiated by users elsewhere on the network. In practice, DVMs are bots, but there's also nothing to prevent the work they do from being powered by human interaction. They're an amazingly flexible tool for building anything from custom feeds, to transcription services, to chatbots, to protocol gateways.
The hype cycle for DVMs seems to have reached escape velocity in a way few other things have - zaps being the possible exception. But *what* exactly DVMs are remains something of a mystery to many nostr developers - and how to build one may as well be written on clay tablets.
This blog post is designed to address that - below is a soup to nuts (no nutzaps though) guide to building a DVM flow, both from the client and the server side.
Here's what we'll be covering:
- Discovering DVM metadata
- Basic request/response flow
- Implementing a minimal example
Let's get started!
# DVM Metadata
First of all, it's helpful to know how DVMs are reified on the nostr network. While not strictly necessary, this can be useful for discovering DVMs and presenting them to users, and for targeting specific DVMs we want a response from.
[NIP 89](https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/blob/master/89.md) goes into this in more detail, but the basic idea is that anyone can create a `kind 31990` "application handler" event and publish it to the network with their own (or a dedicated) public key. This handler was originally intended to advertise clients, but has been re-purposed for DVM listings as well.
Here's what the "Fluffy Frens" handler looks like:
```json
{
"content": "{\"name\": \"Fluffy Frens\", \"picture\": \"https://image.nostr.build/f609311532c470f663e129510a76c9a1912ae9bc4aaaf058e5ba21cfb512c88e.jpg\", \"about\": \"I show recent notes about animals\", \"lud16\": \"discovery_content_fluffy@nostrdvm.com\", \"supportsEncryption\": true, \"acceptsNutZaps\": false, \"personalized\": false, \"amount\": \"free\", \"nip90Params\": {\"max_results\": {\"required\": false, \"values\": [], \"description\": \"The number of maximum results to return (default currently 100)\"}}}",
"created_at": 1738874694,
"id": "0aa8d1f19cfe17e00ce55ca86fea487c83be39a1813601f56f869abdfa776b3c",
"kind": 31990,
"pubkey": "7b7373dd58554ff4c0d28b401b9eae114bd92e30d872ae843b9a217375d66f9d",
"sig": "22403a7996147da607cf215994ab3b893176e5302a44a245e9c0d91214e4c56fae40d2239dce58ea724114591e8f95caed2ba1a231d09a6cd06c9f0980e1abd5",
"tags": [
["k", "5300"],
["d", "198650843898570c"]
]
}
```
This event is rendered in various clients using the kind-0-style metadata contained in the `content` field, allowing users to browse DVMs and pick one for their use case. If a user likes using a particular DVM, they might publish a `kind 31989` "application recommendation", which other users can use to find DVMs that are in use within their network.
Note the `k` tag in the handler event - this allows DVMs to advertise support only for specific job types. It's also important to note that even though the spec doesn't cover relay selection, most clients use the publisher's `kind 10002` event to find out where the DVM listens for events.
If this looks messy to you, you're right. See [this PR](https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/pull/1728) for a proposal to split DVMs out into their own handler kind, give them a dedicated pubkey along with dedicated metadata and relay selections, and clean up the data model a bit.
# DVM Flow
Now that we know what a DVM looks like, we can start to address how they work. My explanation below will elide some of the detail involved in [NIP 90](https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/blob/master/90.md) for simplicity, so I encourage you to read the complete spec.
The basic DVM flow can be a little (very) confusing to work with, because in essence it's a request/response paradigm, but it has some additional wrinkles.
First of all, the broker for the request isn't abstracted away as is usually the case with request/response flows. Regular HTTP requests involve all kinds of work in the background - from resolving domain names to traversing routers, VPNs, and ISP infrastructure. But developers don't generally have to care about all these intermediaries.
With DVMs, on the other hand, the essential complexity of relay selection can't simply be ignored. DVMs often advertise their own relay selections, which should be used rather than a hard-coded or randomly chosen relay to ensure messages are delivered. The benefit of this is that DVMs can avoid censorship, just as users can, by choosing relays that are willing to broker their activity. DVMs can even select multiple relays to broker requests, which means that clients might receive multiple copies of the same response.
Secondly, the DVM request/response model is far more fluid than is usually the case with request/response flows. There are a set of standard practices, but the flow is flexible enough to admit exceptions to these conventions for special use cases. Here are some examples:
- Normally, clients p-tag the DVM they wish to address. But if a client isn't picky about where a response comes from, they may choose to send an open request to the network and collect responses from multiple DVMs simultaneously.
- Normally, a client creates a request before collecting responses using a subscription with an e-tag filter matching the request event. But clients may choose to skip the request step entirely and collect responses from the network that have already been created. This can be useful for computationally intensive tasks or common queries, where a single result can be re-used multiple times.
- Sometimes, a DVM may respond with a `kind 7000` job status event to let clients know they're working on the request. This is particularly useful for longer-running tasks, where feedback is useful for building a responsive UX.
- There are also some details in the spec regarding monetization, parameterization, error codes, encryption, etc.
# Example DVM implementation
For the purposes of this blog post, I'll keep things simple by illustrating the most common kind of DVM flow: a `kind 5300` [content discovery](https://www.data-vending-machines.org/kinds/5300/) request, addressed to a particular DVM. If you're interested in other use cases, please visit [data-vending-machines.org](https://data-vending-machines.org) for additional documented kinds.
The basic flow looks like this:
- The DVM starts by listening for `kind 5300` job requests on some relays it has selected and advertised via NIP 89 (more on that later)
- A client creates a request event of `kind 5300`, p-tagged with the DVM's pubkey and sends it to the DVM's relay selections.
- The DVM receives the event and processes it, issuing optional `kind 7000` job status events, and eventually issuing a `kind 6300` job result event (job result event kinds are always 1000 greater than the request's kind).
- The client listens to the same relays for a response, and when it comes through does whatever it wants to with it.
Here's a swimlane diagram of that flow:
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To avoid massive code samples, I'm going to implement our DVM entirely using nak (backed by the power of the human mind).
The first step is to start our DVM listening for requests that it wants to respond to. Nak's default pubkey is `79be667ef9dcbbac55a06295ce870b07029bfcdb2dce28d959f2815b16f81798`, so we'll only listen for requests sent to nak.
```bash
nak req -k 5300 -t p=79be667ef9dcbbac55a06295ce870b07029bfcdb2dce28d959f2815b16f81798
```
This gives us the following filter:
```json
["REQ","nak",{"kinds":[5300],"#p":["79be667ef9dcbbac55a06295ce870b07029bfcdb2dce28d959f2815b16f81798"]}]
```
To open a subscription to `nos.lol` and stream job requests, add `--stream wss://nos.lol` to the previous request and leave it running.
Next, open a new terminal window for our "client" and create a job request. In this case, there's nothing we need to provide as `input`, but we'll include it just for illustration. It's also good practice to include an `expiration` tag so we're not asking relays to keep our ephemeral requests forever.
```bash
nak event -k 5300 -t p=79be667ef9dcbbac55a06295ce870b07029bfcdb2dce28d959f2815b16f81798 -t expiration=$(( $(date +%s) + 30 )) -t input=hello
```
Here's what comes out:
```json
{
"kind": 5300,
"id": "0e419d0b3c5d29f86d2132a38ca29cdfb81a246e1a649cb2fe1b9ed6144ebe30",
"pubkey": "79be667ef9dcbbac55a06295ce870b07029bfcdb2dce28d959f2815b16f81798",
"created_at": 1739407684,
"tags": [
["p", "79be667ef9dcbbac55a06295ce870b07029bfcdb2dce28d959f2815b16f81798"],
["expiration", "1739407683"],
["input", "hello"]
],
"content": "",
"sig": "560807548a75779a7a68c0ea73c6f097583e2807f4bb286c39931e99a4e377c0a64af664fa90f43e01ddd1de2e9405acd4e268f1bf3bc66f0ed5a866ea093966"
}
```
Now go ahead and publish this event by adding `nos.lol` to the end of your `nak` command. If all goes well, you should see your event pop up in your "dvm" subscription. If so, great! That's half of the flow.
Next, we'll want our client to start listening for `kind 6300` responses to the request. In your "client" terminal window, run:
```bash
nak req -k 6300 -t e=<your-eventid-here> --stream nos.lol
```
Note that if you only want to accept responses from the specified DVM (a good policy in general to avoid spam) you would include a `p` tag here. I've omitted it for brevity. Also notice the `k` tag specifies the request kind plus `1000` - this is just a convention for what kinds requests and responses use.
Now, according to [data-vending-machines.org](https://www.data-vending-machines.org/kinds/5300/), `kind 5300` responses are supposed to put a JSON-encoded list of e-tags in the `content` field of the response. Weird, but ok. Stop the subscription in your "dvm" terminal and respond to your "client" with a recommendation to read my first note:
```bash
nak event -k 6300 -t e=a65665a3a4ca2c0d7b7582f4f0d073cd1c83741c25a07e98d49a43e46d258caf -c '[["e","214f5898a7b75b7f95d9e990b706758ea525fe86db54c1a28a0f418c357f9b08","wss://nos.lol/"]]' nos.lol
```
Here's the response event we're sending:
```json
{
"kind": 6300,
"id": "bb5f38920cbca15d3c79021f7d0051e82337254a84c56e0f4182578e4025232e",
"pubkey": "79be667ef9dcbbac55a06295ce870b07029bfcdb2dce28d959f2815b16f81798",
"created_at": 1739408411,
"tags": [
["e", "a65665a3a4ca2c0d7b7582f4f0d073cd1c83741c25a07e98d49a43e46d258caf"]
],
"content": "[[\"e\",\"214f5898a7b75b7f95d9e990b706758ea525fe86db54c1a28a0f418c357f9b08\",\"wss://nos.lol/\"]]",
"sig": "a0fe2c3419c5c54cf2a6d9a2a5726b2a5b766d3c9e55d55568140979354003aacb038e90bdead43becf5956faa54e3b60ff18c0ea4d8e7dfdf0c8dd97fb24ff9"
}
```
Notice the `e` tag targets our original request.
This should result in the job result event showing up in our "client" terminal. Success!
If something isn't working, I've also create a video of the full process with some commentary which you can find [here](https://coracle-media.us-southeast-1.linodeobjects.com/nakflow.mov).
Note that in practice, DVMs can be much more picky about the requests they will respond to, due to implementations failing to follow [Postel's law](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robustness_principle). Hopefully that will improve over time. For now, here are a few resources that are useful when working with or developing DVMs:
- [dvmdash](https://dvmdash.live)
- [data-vending-machines.org](https://data-vending-machines.org)
- [noogle](https://noogle.lol/)
- [nostrdvm](https://github.com/believethehype/nostrdvm)
# Conclusion
I started this post by hinting that DVMs might be as fundamental as relays are to making nostr work. But (apart from the fact that we'd end up with an acronym like DVMNOSTRZ+*, which would only exascerbate the pronounciation wars (if such a thing were possible)), that's not exactly true.
DVMs have emerged as a central paradigm in the nostr world because they're a generalization of a design pattern unique to nostr's architecture - but which exists in many other places, including NIP 46 signer flows and NIP 47 wallet connect. Each of these sub-protocols works by using relays as neutral brokers for requests in order to avoid coupling services to web addresses.
This approach has all kinds of neat benefits, not least of which is allowing service providers to host their software without having to accept incoming TCP connections. But it's really an emergent property of relays, which not only are useful for brokering communication between users (aka storing events), but also brokering communication between machines.
The possibilities of this architecture have only started to emerge, so be on the lookout for new applications, and don't be afraid to experiment - just please, don't serialize json inside json 🤦♂️
-
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@ e5de992e:4a95ef85
2025-02-21 15:08:49
**Buffett's Advice to Investing Students: Timeless Wisdom from the Oracle of Omaha**
Warren Buffett, one of the greatest investors of all time, offers invaluable insights not only on investing but also on life, business, and society. Below are highlights of his advice and observations—each infused with his signature wit and practical wisdom.
---
**1. On Investing: The Power of a Few Good Ideas**
_"If you have ten good ideas in the rest of your life, you can afford to give away five of them. You'll get very rich with a very few good ideas."_
**Lesson:**
Investing success doesn't require constant activity or countless ideas. A few high-conviction investments can yield extraordinary results. Focus on quality over quantity and wait for outstanding opportunities.
---
**2. On Hiring the Right People**
_"The good news is, I did not ask them their grades in business school. The bad news, of course, is I didn't ask them if they'd been to business school at all."_
**Lesson:**
Credentials matter less than character, curiosity, and critical thinking. Look for people who deliver results, regardless of their formal education or background.
---
**3. On the Airline Industry**
_"If there had been a capitalist down there (at Kitty Hawk), the guy should have shot down Wilbur."_
**Lesson:**
Some industries are structurally challenging and may not consistently generate shareholder profits. Understand the underlying economics before investing, even if the industry seems revolutionary.
---
**4. On Running Great Businesses**
_"Peter Lynch has always said buy a business that's so good that any idiot can run it, because, sooner or later, one will."_
**Lesson:**
Invest in companies with strong fundamentals and durable competitive advantages. A great business thrives on its intrinsic qualities—not solely on exceptional management.
---
**5. On When to Sell a Stock**
_"To sell off something that is really a wonderful business just because the price looks a little high, or something like that, it's almost always a mistake."_
**Lesson:**
Selling a quality business based solely on valuation often means missing out on long-term compounding. If the economics remain strong, holding on is usually the wiser choice.
---
**6. On Banking Consolidation**
_"I think probably the acquired bank's shareholders are going to be a little luckier than the acquiring bank's shareholders."_
**Lesson:**
In mergers and acquisitions, the shareholders of the acquired company may benefit more. Exercise caution when investing in companies that frequently acquire others.
---
**7. On Financial Writing and Clarity**
_"If you understand an idea, you can express it so other people understand it."_
**Lesson:**
Writing forces clarity of thought. If you struggle to explain an idea simply, you might not fully understand it yourself. Clear communication is vital in business, investing, and life.
---
**8. On Inherited Wealth**
_"Inherited wealth is really just a lifetime supply of food stamps, given through a trust officer instead of a welfare officer."_
**Lesson:**
Relying on inherited wealth can foster dependency. Cultivate self-reliance and pursue personal achievement, even in affluent circles.
---
**9. On the World's System of Rewards**
_"I work in a market system that happens to reward what I do very well, disproportionately well."_
**Lesson:**
Society rewards certain skills—like investing or sports—disproportionately compared to others such as teaching or nursing. Recognize these imbalances and consider giving back when you benefit.
---
**Conclusion: Timeless Principles for Success**
Buffett's advice reminds us that success in investing and life requires patience, clarity, and humility. Embrace quality over quantity, strive for clear understanding, and acknowledge the broader impact of your success.
**Take these lessons to heart:**
- **Focus on quality over quantity.**
- **Prioritize clarity and understanding.**
- **Contribute to society where you can.**
Buffett's wisdom is simple yet profound—just like the man himself.
#WarrenBuffett #Investing #Wisdom #TimelessAdvice
-
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@ ec42c765:328c0600
2025-02-05 23:45:09
test
test
-
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@ a012dc82:6458a70d
2025-02-21 14:20:23
In 2021, El Salvador embarked on an unprecedented financial experiment under President Nayib Bukele's leadership by adopting Bitcoin as legal tender. This decision was not only groundbreaking but also positioned the small Central American nation as a pioneer in the global financial landscape. The move was seen as a step towards modernizing the country's financial system and making it more inclusive and forward-thinking. It was a daring venture into uncharted territory, signaling El Salvador's willingness to embrace technological innovation and challenge traditional economic models. The decision was met with a mix of admiration and skepticism globally, as it represented a significant departure from conventional monetary policy and raised questions about the future of digital currencies in mainstream finance.
**Table of Contents**
- The Genesis of the Bitcoin Law
- Implementation and Challenges
- Economic Impacts and International Response
- Bukele's Vision and Controversies
- The Future of Bitcoin in El Salvador
- Conclusion
- FAQs
**The Genesis of the Bitcoin Law**
The journey to adopting Bitcoin as legal tender was marked by the introduction of the Bitcoin Law, a bold legislative move by President Bukele's administration. This law required all businesses to accept Bitcoin in addition to the US dollar, which had been El Salvador's official currency for two decades. The law aimed to democratize financial access, especially for the 70% of Salvadorans who did not have bank accounts and relied heavily on cash transactions. It also sought to reduce remittance costs for millions of Salvadorans living abroad, who annually send billions of dollars back home. The Bitcoin Law was a part of Bukele's broader strategy to reposition El Salvador as a hub for technological innovation and economic growth. However, the law also raised significant questions about the feasibility and stability of using a highly volatile digital currency in everyday transactions.
**Implementation and Challenges**
Implementing the Bitcoin Law was a complex endeavor. The government's launch of the “Chivo” digital wallet was intended to facilitate Bitcoin transactions and offer a $30 Bitcoin incentive to users. However, the rollout faced technical glitches and public mistrust in cryptocurrency. Many Salvadorans were unfamiliar with Bitcoin, leading to a steep learning curve and reluctance to transition from traditional cash transactions. Additionally, the fluctuating value of Bitcoin posed a risk to users, particularly those living in poverty or on fixed incomes. The government's efforts to promote Bitcoin adoption also faced international scrutiny, with financial experts questioning the impact on El Salvador's financial stability and its relationship with global financial institutions.
**Economic Impacts and International Response**
The economic impact of Bitcoin's adoption in El Salvador has been a subject of intense debate. On one hand, it has attracted significant attention from the global cryptocurrency community, positioning the country as a potential hub for digital finance. On the other hand, the move has been met with caution and criticism from international financial institutions. The International Monetary Fund (IMF), for instance, expressed concern over the potential risks associated with Bitcoin's volatility and its implications for financial stability, governance, and consumer protection. The fluctuating value of Bitcoin also posed a challenge for the national budget and financial planning. Despite these concerns, the Bukele administration remained committed to its digital currency strategy, viewing it as a long-term investment in the country's economic future.
**Bukele's Vision and Controversies**
President Nayib Bukele, a charismatic and controversial leader, has been at the center of El Salvador's Bitcoin experiment. His administration's aggressive push for Bitcoin adoption was part of a broader vision to transform El Salvador into a modern, technologically advanced economy. Bukele's plans included the development of a “Bitcoin City,” funded by Bitcoin-backed bonds, which was envisioned as a tax-free haven for cryptocurrency investors. However, these ambitious projects have not been without controversy. Critics have raised concerns about the lack of transparency in the government's Bitcoin transactions and the potential for financial mismanagement. Bukele's autocratic tendencies, including his clashes with the judiciary and the press, have also raised alarms about the democratic governance of these initiatives.
**The Future of Bitcoin in El Salvador**
As El Salvador continues its journey with Bitcoin, the future of this initiative remains a topic of global interest and speculation. The country is navigating uncharted waters, and its experience will likely serve as a case study for other nations contemplating similar moves. The success of Bitcoin in El Salvador depends on various factors, including technological infrastructure, public education, and global market dynamics. The government's ability to manage the currency's volatility and integrate it into the broader economy will be crucial. Additionally, the impact of this initiative on financial inclusion, remittances, and economic growth will be closely watched. El Salvador's experiment with Bitcoin could pave the way for a new era of digital currency adoption, but it also faces significant challenges that could shape its outcome.
**Conclusion**
El Salvador's adoption of Bitcoin as legal tender under President Bukele's leadership marks a significant moment in the history of digital currency. This bold move has positioned the country as a trailblazer in the cryptocurrency world, but the long-term outcomes of this bold experiment remain uncertain. As El Salvador navigates the challenges and opportunities presented by this initiative, its journey will undoubtedly offer crucial insights into the future intersection of technology, finance, and governance. The world is watching as El Salvador tests the limits of cryptocurrency integration, and its experiences will likely influence global financial policies and the adoption of digital currencies in the years to come. Whether El Salvador's gamble on Bitcoin will pay off or serve as a cautionary tale remains to be seen, but its impact on the global financial landscape is undeniable.
**FAQs**
**What is the Bitcoin Law in El Salvador?**
The Bitcoin Law in El Salvador is a legislation that made Bitcoin a legal tender alongside the US dollar. It mandates all businesses to accept Bitcoin for transactions and was introduced to promote financial inclusion and modernize the economy.
**Why did El Salvador adopt Bitcoin as legal tender?**
El Salvador adopted Bitcoin to increase financial accessibility for its unbanked population, reduce remittance costs, and position itself as a leader in digital currency innovation.
**How does the Chivo wallet work?**
The Chivo wallet is a government-backed digital wallet that facilitates Bitcoin transactions in El Salvador. Users receive a $30 Bitcoin bonus for signing up, aiming to encourage the adoption of Bitcoin.
**What are the challenges faced by El Salvador in adopting Bitcoin?**
Challenges include technical issues with the Chivo wallet, public mistrust and lack of understanding of Bitcoin, and the currency's volatility impacting economic stability.
**How has the international community responded to El Salvador's Bitcoin adoption?**
The international response has been mixed, with some praising the innovative approach, while institutions like the IMF have expressed concerns over financial stability and consumer protection.
**What is Bitcoin City and how is it funded?**
Bitcoin City is a proposed development in El Salvador, envisioned as a tax-free zone for cryptocurrency investors. It is planned to be funded by Bitcoin-backed bonds.
**That's all for today**
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***DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.***
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@ ec42c765:328c0600
2025-02-05 23:43:35
test
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-02-21 10:48:17
**Overall Assessment:**
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on OKX remains highly volatile and the overall trend is uncertain. While the long-term trend (Daily chart) is technically still an uptrend, it has *weakened significantly*. The 4-hour and 15-minute charts are in confirmed downtrends. This analysis focuses on identifying key levels where Smart Money might be active and assessing trend strength.
**Detailed Analysis by Timeframe:**
**(1) TF Day (Daily):** [https://www.tradingview.com/x/o9YgoBlr/](https://www.tradingview.com/x/o9YgoBlr/)
* **Trend:** Uptrend (Significantly Weakening, *at high risk of reversing*).
* **SMC (Smart Money Concepts):**
* Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) structure is *becoming less defined and broken*. The recent price action has broken previous lows.
* Prior Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside, but now a significant and deep pullback is underway.
* **Liquidity:**
* **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** Significant SSL rests below previous lows in the 85,000 - 90,000 range. This is a likely target for Smart Money.
* **Buyside Liquidity (BSL):** BSL is present above the all-time high.
* **ICT (Inner Circle Trader Concepts):**
* **Order Block:** The price has *broken below* the prior bullish Order Block (the large green candle before a significant up-move). This is a *major bearish signal*.
* **EMA (Exponential Moving Average):**
* Price has *broken below* the 50-period EMA (yellow), a bearish signal.
* The 200-period EMA (white) is the next major support level.
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* A *long red bar* indicates strong selling pressure.
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* Red Cloud indicating Downtrend, *No Buy/Sell Signal*.
* **Volume Profile:** Relatively low volume on the recent decline.
* **Candlesticks:** The most recent candlestick is red, confirming selling pressure.
* **Support:** EMA 200, 85,000-90,000 (SSL area).
* **Resistance:** EMA 50, Previous All-Time High.
* **Summary:** The Daily chart's uptrend is significantly weakening. The break below the 50 EMA *and* the bullish Order Block, combined with the negative Money Flow and bearish Trend Strength, are all major warning signs. The SSL below is a key area to watch.
**(2) TF4H (4-Hour):** [https://www.tradingview.com/x/0sGC0Gny/](https://www.tradingview.com/x/0sGC0Gny/)
* **Trend:** Downtrend.
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
* BOS to the downside.
* **Liquidity:**
* **SSL:** Below previous lows.
* **BSL:** Above previous highs.
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** The price was rejected by a bearish order Block
* **EMA:**
* Price is below both the 50-period and 200-period EMAs (bearish).
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* Predominantly red, confirming selling pressure.
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* Green Cloud *But No Buy/Sell Signal.* Indicates Sideway
* **Volume Profile:**
* Relatively high volume.
* **Support:** Recent lows.
* **Resistance:** EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block.
* **Summary:** The 4-hour chart is in a confirmed downtrend. The Money Flow is bearish, price below both EMAs.
**(3) TF15 (15-Minute):** [https://www.tradingview.com/x/c7kIbqU0/](https://www.tradingview.com/x/c7kIbqU0/)
* **Trend:** Downtrend (but showing *some* signs of consolidation/sideways movement).
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) - but with *slightly* higher lows recently.
* BOS to the downside.
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block** Price could not break up the bearish Order Block.
* **EMA:**
* The 50-period and 200-period EMAs are acting as resistance.
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* Alternating red and green, predominantly red.
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* Red Cloud (Bearish), *BUT* there's a *bullish divergence* (price made a lower low, but the Trend Strength indicator made a higher low). This is a *potential* early warning sign, but needs *strong confirmation*.
* **Volume Profile:**
* Relatively high Volume
* **Support:** Recent lows.
* **Resistance:** EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block.
* **Summary:** The 15-minute chart is in a downtrend, although with *very tentative* signs of stabilization. The bullish divergence on the Trend Strength is noteworthy, but *not* a buy signal on its own.
**Overall Strategy and Recommendations (BTCUSDT):**
* **Primary Trend (Day):** Uptrend (Significantly Weakening).
* **Secondary Trend (4H):** Downtrend.
* **Short-Term Trend (15m):** Downtrend (Potential Early Reversal Signals).
* **Liquidity:** Significant SSL zones exist below the current price on all timeframes.
* **Money Flow:** Negative on all timeframes.
* **Trend Strength:** Bearish on Day and 15m. Sideway on 4H.
* **Strategies:**
1. **Wait & See (Best Option):** The conflicting signals and the strong bearish momentum on the shorter timeframes, combined with the weakening Daily chart, make waiting the most prudent approach. Look for:
* **Bearish Confirmation:** A decisive break below the recent lows on the 15m and 4H charts, with increasing volume and continued negative Money Flow. This would confirm the continuation of the downtrend.
* **Bullish Confirmation:** A strong, sustained break above the 15m EMAs, a shift in the 15m Money Flow to green, *and* a bullish signal on the 4H Trend Strength, *and* price holding above EMAs and ideally reclaiming the Daily Order Block.
2. **Short (High Risk):** This aligns with the 4H and 15m downtrends.
* **Entry:** On rallies towards resistance levels (EMAs on 15m/4H, previous support levels that have turned into resistance).
* **Stop Loss:** Above recent highs on the chosen timeframe.
* **Target:** The next support levels (recent lows on 15m, then potentially the SSL zones on the 4H and Daily charts).
3. **Buy (Extremely High Risk - Not Recommended):** Do *not* attempt to buy until there are *very strong and consistent* bullish reversal signals across *all* timeframes, including a definitive shift in market structure on the 4H and 15m charts, positive Money Flow, and a clear break above resistance levels. The bullish divergence on the 15m Trend Strength is *not* sufficient on its own.
**Key Recommendations:**
* **Conflicting Timeframes:** The primary conflict is now resolved toward the downside. The Daily is weakening significantly.
* **Money Flow:** Consistently negative, a major bearish factor.
* **Trend Strength:** Bearish on Day and 15, Sideways on 4H, but the *divergence* on the 15m is a *potential* early warning.
* **Daily Order Block:** The *break* of the bullish Order Block is a significant bearish development.
* **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** Be aware that Smart Money may target the SSL zones below. This increases the risk of stop-loss hunting.
* **Risk Management:** Due to the high uncertainty and volatility, *strict risk management is absolutely critical.* Use tight stop-losses, do not overtrade, and be prepared for rapid price swings.
* **Volume:** Confirm any breakout or breakdown with volume.
**Day Trading and Intraday Trading Strategies:**
* **Day Trade (TF15 focus):**
* **Short Bias:** Given the current 15m downtrend and negative Money Flow, the higher probability is to look for shorting opportunities.
* **Entry:** Look for price to rally to resistance levels (EMAs, Order Blocks, previous support levels that have become resistance) and then show signs of rejection (bearish candlestick patterns, increasing volume on the downside).
* **Stop Loss:** Place a stop-loss order above the resistance level where you enter the short position.
* **Take Profit:** Target the next support level (recent lows).
* **Be very cautious:** The bullish divergence on the Trend Strength indicator suggests a potential bounce *could* occur. Don't be aggressive with shorts until this divergence is invalidated.
* **Avoid Long positions:** Until there's a *clear* and *confirmed* bullish reversal on the 15m chart (break above EMAs, positive Money Flow, bullish market structure).
* **Swing Trade (TF4H focus):**
* **Short Bias:** The 4H chart is in a downtrend.
* **Entry:** Wait for price to rally to resistance levels (EMAs, Order Blocks) and show signs of rejection.
* **Stop Loss:** Above the resistance level where you enter the short position.
* **Take Profit:** Target the next support levels (e.g., the 200 EMA on the Daily chart, SSL zones).
* **Avoid Long positions:** Until there's a *clear* and *confirmed* bullish reversal on the 4H chart.
**SMC Day Trade Setup Example (TF15 - Bearish):**
1. **Identify Bearish Order Block:** Locate a bearish Order Block on the TF15 chart (a bullish candle before a strong downward move). *We have identified this in previous analyses.*
2. **Wait for Pullback:** Wait for the price to pull back up to test the Order Block (this may or may not happen).
3. **Bearish Entry:**
* **Rejection:** Look for price action to reject the Order Block (e.g., a pin bar, engulfing pattern, or other bearish candlestick pattern).
* **Break of Structure:** Look for a break of a minor support level on a *lower* timeframe (e.g., 1-minute or 5-minute) after the price tests the Order Block.
* **Money Flow:** Confirm that Money Flow remains negative (red).
4. **Stop Loss:** Place a stop-loss order *above* the Order Block.
5. **Take Profit:** Target the next support level (e.g., recent lows) or a bullish Order Block on a higher timeframe.
**In conclusion, BTCUSDT is currently in a high-risk, bearish environment in the short-to-medium term. The "Wait & See" approach is strongly recommended for most traders. Shorting is the higher-probability trade *at this moment*, but only for experienced traders who can manage risk extremely effectively. Buying is not recommended at this time.**
**Disclaimer:** This analysis is for informational purposes only and represents a personal opinion. It is not financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. Investors should conduct their own research and exercise due diligence before making any investment decisions.
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@ 2e8970de:63345c7a
2025-02-22 14:41:31
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-Blue: Neuroticism
-Green: Extraversion
-Red: Openness to experience
-Orange: Agreeableness
-Purple: Conscientiousness
[sourcs(https://www.stevestewartwilliams.com/p/are-there-age-and-sex-differences)]
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/893992
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@ ac6f9572:8a6853dd
2025-02-22 13:01:56
# The old world crumbles. The sovereign rises.
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Join #Bitshala at #BitPlebs Summit in Goa — a gathering of builders, creators, educators, and hodlers forging #India’s #Bitcoin future.
Open forums. Un-conference style talks. By @bitshala & @plebstogether
RSVP now: https://lu.ma/cd55r5d4
X: https://x.com/bitshala_org/status/1893252853709365684?s=09
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/893899
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-02-21 10:39:03
**ภาพรวม BTCUSDT (OKX):**
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) ยังคงมีความผันผวนและแนวโน้มที่ไม่ชัดเจน แม้ว่า TF Day จะยังคงแสดงโครงสร้างตลาดที่เป็นขาขึ้น *แต่* ก็เริ่มอ่อนแรงลงอย่างเห็นได้ชัด แนวโน้ม TF4H และ TF15 เป็น Sideway Down
**วิเคราะห์ทีละ Timeframe:**
**(1) TF Day (รายวัน):** [https://www.tradingview.com/x/IVA4uegL/](https://www.tradingview.com/x/IVA4uegL/)
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* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาขึ้น (Uptrend) *อ่อนแรงลงอย่างมาก, มีความเสี่ยงที่จะเปลี่ยนแนวโน้ม*
* **SMC:**
* Higher Highs (HH) และ Higher Lows (HL) *เริ่มไม่ชัดเจน, ราคาหลุด Low ก่อนหน้า*
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านบน *แต่มีการปรับฐานที่รุนแรง*
* **Liquidity:**
* มี Sellside Liquidity (SSL) อยู่ใต้ Lows ก่อนหน้า (บริเวณ 85,000 - 90,000)
* มี Buyside Liquidity (BSL) อยู่เหนือ High เดิม
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** ราคาหลุด Order Block ขาขึ้น
* **EMA:**
* ราคา *หลุด* EMA 50 (สีเหลือง) ลงมาแล้ว
* EMA 200 (สีขาว) เป็นแนวรับถัดไป
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* *สีแดงยาว* แสดงถึงแรงขายที่แข็งแกร่ง
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* สีแดง (เมฆแดง) แสดงถึงแนวโน้มขาลง *และไม่มีสัญญาณซื้อ/ขายปรากฏ*
* **Volume Profile:** Volume ค่อนข้างเบาบาง
* **แท่งเทียน:** แท่งเทียนล่าสุดเป็นสีแดง แสดงถึงแรงขาย
* **แนวรับ:** EMA 200, บริเวณ 85,000 - 90,000 (SSL)
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, High เดิม
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มขาขึ้นอ่อนแรงลงอย่างมาก, *สัญญาณอันตรายหลายอย่าง*, Money Flow และ Trend Strength เป็นลบ, *หลุด Order Block และ EMA 50*
**(2) TF4H (4 ชั่วโมง):** [https://www.tradingview.com/x/BP0BDAts/](https://www.tradingview.com/x/BP0BDAts/)
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* **แนวโน้ม:** Sideway Down
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) และ Lower Lows (LL)
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านล่าง
* **Liquidity:**
* มี SSL อยู่ใต้ Lows ก่อนหน้า
* มี BSL อยู่เหนือ Highs ก่อนหน้า
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** ราคาไม่สามารถผ่าน Order Block ขาลงได้ และราคากำลังทดสอบ Order Block ขาขึ้น
* **EMA:**
* ราคาอยู่ใต้ EMA 50 และ EMA 200
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* สีแดง แสดงถึงแรงขาย
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* เขียว/ไม่มีสัญญาณ แสดงถึงแนวโน้ม Sideway
* **Volume Profile:**
* Volume ค่อนข้างสูง
* **แนวรับ:** บริเวณ Low ล่าสุด, Order Block
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, EMA 200, บริเวณ Order Block
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้ม Sideway Down, แรงขายมีอิทธิพล
**(3) TF15 (15 นาที):** [(https://www.tradingview.com/x/c7kIbqU0/)](https://www.tradingview.com/x/c7kIbqU0/)
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* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาลง (Downtrend) *แต่เริ่มเห็นสัญญาณ Sideways*
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) และ Lower Lows (LL) *เริ่มเห็นการยก Low เล็กน้อย*
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านล่าง
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** ราคา Sideways ใกล้ Order Block
* **EMA:**
* EMA 50 และ EMA 200 เป็นแนวต้าน
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* แดงสลับเขียว
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* สีแดง (เมฆแดง) แสดงถึงแนวโน้มขาลง *แต่มีสัญญาณ Bullish Divergence (ราคาทำ Lower Low แต่ Trend Strength ยก Low)*
* **Volume Profile:**
* Volume ค่อนข้างสูง
* **แนวรับ:** บริเวณ Low ล่าสุด
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มขาลง, เริ่มพักตัว, Money Flow เริ่มมีความไม่แน่นอน
**สรุปภาพรวมและกลยุทธ์ (BTCUSDT):**
* **แนวโน้มหลัก (Day):** ขาขึ้น (*อ่อนแรงลงอย่างมาก, เสี่ยงที่จะเปลี่ยนแนวโน้ม*)
* **แนวโน้มรอง (4H):** Sideway Down
* **แนวโน้มระยะสั้น (15m):** ขาลง (เริ่มพักตัว, *มี Divergence*)
* **Liquidity:** มี SSL ทั้งใน Day, 4H, และ 15m
* **Money Flow:** เป็นลบในทุก Timeframes
* **Trend Strength:** Day/15m เป็นขาลง, 4H Sideway
* **กลยุทธ์:**
1. **Wait & See (ดีที่สุด):** รอความชัดเจน
2. **Short (เสี่ยง):** ถ้าไม่สามารถ Breakout EMA/แนวต้านใน TF ใดๆ ได้ หรือเมื่อเกิดสัญญาณ Bearish Continuation
3. **ไม่แนะนำให้ Buy:** จนกว่าจะมีสัญญาณกลับตัวที่ชัดเจนมากๆ
**Day Trade & การเทรดรายวัน:**
* **Day Trade (TF15):**
* **Short Bias:** หาจังหวะ Short เมื่อราคาเด้งขึ้นไปทดสอบแนวต้าน (EMA, Order Block)
* **Stop Loss:** เหนือแนวต้านที่เข้า Short
* **Take Profit:** แนวรับถัดไป (Low ล่าสุด)
* **ระวัง:** Bullish Divergence ใน Trend Strength
* **ไม่แนะนำให้ Long**
* **Swing Trade (TF4H):**
* **Short Bias:** รอจังหวะ Short เมื่อราคาไม่สามารถผ่านแนวต้าน EMA หรือ Order Block ได้
* **Stop Loss:** เหนือแนวต้านที่เข้า Short
* **Take Profit:** แนวรับถัดไป
* **ไม่แนะนำให้ Long**
**สิ่งที่ต้องระวัง:**
* **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** มีโอกาสสูงที่ราคาจะถูกลากลงไปแตะ SSL
* **False Breakouts:** ระวัง
* **Volatility:** สูง
* **Divergence (TF15):** อาจเป็นสัญญาณเริ่มต้นของการกลับตัว *แต่ต้องรอการยืนยัน*
* **Trend Strength (TF4H):** ไม่มีสัญญาณซื้อ/ขาย ต้องระวัง
**Setup Day Trade แบบ SMC (ตัวอย่าง):**
1. **ระบุ Order Block:** หา Order Block ขาลง (Bearish Order Block) ใน TF15 (แท่งเทียนสีเขียวก่อนที่ราคาจะลงแรง)
2. **รอ Pullback:** รอให้ราคา Pullback ขึ้นไปทดสอบ Order Block นั้น
3. **หา Bearish Entry:**
* **Rejection:** รอ Price Action ปฏิเสธ Order Block (เช่น เกิด Pin Bar, Engulfing)
* **Break of Structure:** รอให้ราคา Break โครงสร้างย่อยๆ ใน TF ที่เล็กกว่า (เช่น 1m, 5m) หลังจากที่ทดสอบ Order Block
* **Money Flow:** ดู Money Flow ให้เป็นสีแดง
4. **ตั้ง Stop Loss:** เหนือ Order Block
5. **ตั้ง Take Profit:** แนวรับถัดไป (เช่น Low ล่าสุด) หรือ Order Block ขาขึ้น (Bullish Order Block) ใน TF ที่ใหญ่กว่า
**คำแนะนำ:**
* **ความขัดแย้งของ Timeframes:** มีอยู่ แต่แนวโน้มระยะกลาง-สั้น เป็นลบ
* **Money Flow:** เป็นลบในทุก Timeframes
* **Trend Strength:** เริ่มมี Divergence ใน TF15
* **Order Block TF Day:** หลุด Order Block ขาขึ้นแล้ว
* **ถ้าไม่แน่ใจ อย่าเพิ่งเข้าเทรด**
**Disclaimer:** การวิเคราะห์นี้เป็นเพียงความคิดเห็นส่วนตัว ไม่ถือเป็นคำแนะนำในการลงทุน ผู้ลงทุนควรศึกษาข้อมูลเพิ่มเติมและตัดสินใจด้วยความรอบคอบ
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@ 3f53cc0b:a441f148
2025-02-22 12:12:53
One88 đã và đang khẳng định vị thế của mình là một trong những nền tảng giải trí trực tuyến nổi bật, mang lại những trải nghiệm đỉnh cao cho người tham gia. Nền tảng này cung cấp một loạt các trò chơi đa dạng, từ những trò chơi trí tuệ yêu cầu tư duy và chiến lược, đến những trò chơi nhẹ nhàng, thư giãn để giải tỏa căng thẳng. Sự phong phú về thể loại game giúp One88 thu hút được đông đảo người chơi với nhiều sở thích và nhu cầu giải trí khác nhau. Giao diện của One88 được thiết kế vô cùng thân thiện và dễ sử dụng, cho phép người tham gia dễ dàng tiếp cận và tham gia vào các trò chơi chỉ với vài thao tác đơn giản. Nền tảng này cũng không ngừng sáng tạo và cải tiến các trò chơi, mang đến sự mới mẻ và hấp dẫn mỗi khi người chơi quay lại. Với những trò chơi liên tục được cập nhật và đổi mới, One88 không chỉ là nơi để giải trí mà còn là một không gian để người tham gia thử thách bản thân và khám phá những điều thú vị mới mẻ.
Ngoài các trò chơi phong phú, <a href="https://one88-vn.com">ONE88</a> còn đặc biệt chú trọng đến việc xây dựng một cộng đồng người chơi gắn kết và năng động. Các tính năng cộng đồng của One88, bao gồm chat nhóm, diễn đàn thảo luận, và các sự kiện trực tuyến, tạo cơ hội cho người tham gia kết nối, chia sẻ kinh nghiệm và học hỏi từ những người chơi khác. Mỗi người tham gia đều có thể tìm thấy những người bạn có cùng sở thích và tham gia vào các hoạt động thú vị, tạo nên một không gian giải trí không chỉ về các trò chơi mà còn về mối quan hệ xã hội. Các sự kiện trực tuyến định kỳ, các giải thưởng hấp dẫn và các thử thách mới mẻ khiến cộng đồng One88 luôn sôi động và đầy năng lượng. Điều này giúp tạo ra một môi trường chơi game vừa vui vẻ, vừa mang tính cạnh tranh, khuyến khích người chơi không ngừng phát triển và cải thiện kỹ năng của mình. Cộng đồng mạnh mẽ này còn giúp người chơi cảm thấy thoải mái hơn trong việc chia sẻ những kinh nghiệm, chiến thuật, và tạo nên những kỷ niệm đáng nhớ trong suốt quá trình tham gia.
Bảo mật và an toàn thông tin cũng là một yếu tố mà One88 đặc biệt quan tâm. Nền tảng này áp dụng các công nghệ bảo mật tiên tiến để đảm bảo mọi thông tin cá nhân của người tham gia đều được bảo vệ một cách nghiêm ngặt. Hệ thống mã hóa dữ liệu của One88 giúp ngăn ngừa mọi nguy cơ xâm nhập và bảo vệ thông tin tài khoản người dùng, từ thông tin cá nhân cho đến các giao dịch tài chính. Người chơi có thể hoàn toàn yên tâm khi tham gia vào các trò chơi mà không lo lắng về việc bị đánh cắp thông tin. Hệ thống hỗ trợ khách hàng của One88 cũng hoạt động 24/7, sẵn sàng giải đáp mọi thắc mắc và cung cấp sự hỗ trợ cần thiết cho người tham gia khi có vấn đề phát sinh. Đội ngũ hỗ trợ tận tâm và chuyên nghiệp của One88 luôn sẵn sàng giúp đỡ và tạo điều kiện cho người chơi có một trải nghiệm giải trí hoàn hảo và không gặp phải bất kỳ khó khăn nào. Chính nhờ vào sự kết hợp tuyệt vời giữa các trò chơi sáng tạo, cộng đồng gắn kết và các biện pháp bảo mật cao cấp, One88 không chỉ mang đến một nền tảng giải trí an toàn, mà còn tạo ra những trải nghiệm thú vị và đầy cảm hứng cho người tham gia.
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@ c239c0f9:fa4a5015
2025-02-21 09:14:28
`Block:` **`#884692`** `- Feb 2025`
**The Monthly Thunderbolt Dispatch On LN innovations with the Best posts about the Lightning Network - Exclusively on [Stacker.News](https://Stacker.News/r/HODLR)**
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Catch up with the latest features of the events and trends that are shaping the future of the Lightning Network. Each issue covers the latest and greatest advancements and trends dictating the future of the Lightning Network-the very first and most commented insights from around the LN world. In every issuance arrives expert analysis, in-depth interview, and breaking news of the most significant advancements in the Bitcoin Lightning Network.
[Subscribe](https://stacker.news/HODLR/r/HODLR) and make sure you don’t miss anything about the [~Lightning](https://stacker.news/~Lightning/r/HODLR) Revolution!
Now let's focus on the top five items for each category, an electrifying selection that hope you'll be able to read before next edition.
Happy Zapping!
* * *
[Top ~Lightning posts](https://stacker.news/items/892798/r/HODLR#top-lightning-posts)
=========================================================
Most _zapranked_ posts this month:
1. > [Mullvad VPN adds Lightning payments](https://stacker.news/items/860958/r/HODLR) by [@megaptera](https://stacker.news/megaptera/r/HODLR) 3335 sats \\ 29 comments \\ 23 Jan on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
2. > [Breez has raised $5M to bring bitcoin payments to every app ⚡️](https://stacker.news/items/861328/r/HODLR) by [@\_ds](https://stacker.news/_ds/r/HODLR) 3214 sats \\ 4 comments \\ 23 Jan on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
3. > [Phoenix Wallet Privacy TradeOffs](https://stacker.news/items/864262/r/HODLR) by [@02b58a1376](https://stacker.news/02b58a1376/r/HODLR) 614 sats \\ 17 comments \\ 26 Jan on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
4. > [LSP Inbound channels fees](https://stacker.news/items/890432/r/HODLR) by [@DarthCoin](https://stacker.news/DarthCoin/r/HODLR) 3942 sats \\ 17 comments \\ 19 Feb on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
5. > [Lightning: Three-Dimensional Liquidity Swaps (3DLS) | by Massimo Musumeci](https://stacker.news/items/878508/r/HODLR) by [@DarthCoin](https://stacker.news/DarthCoin/r/HODLR) 2613 sats \\ 20 comments \\ 7 Feb on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
* * *
[Top posts by comments](https://stacker.news/items/892798/r/HODLR#top-posts-by-comments)
============================================================
This month we replaced the top posts by sats with these most commented posts (excluding those already listed above):
1. > [How do i know that 'social media' accounts and posts... aren't mostly Bots?](https://stacker.news/items/872532/r/HODLR) by [@028559d218](https://stacker.news/028559d218/r/HODLR) 1293 sats \\ 44 comments \\ 2 Feb on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
2. > [Brave new world - Lightning Network](https://stacker.news/items/880028/r/HODLR) by [@LibertasBR](https://stacker.news/LibertasBR/r/HODLR) 1137 sats \\ 22 comments \\ 9 Feb on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
3. > [CC thoughts](https://stacker.news/items/862395/r/HODLR) by [@dingding541](https://stacker.news/dingding541/r/HODLR) 378 sats \\ 18 comments \\ 24 Jan on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
4. > [Pretty visualization of the lightning network](https://stacker.news/items/875224/r/HODLR) by [@k00b](https://stacker.news/k00b/r/HODLR) 703 sats \\ 15 comments \\ 4 Feb on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
5. > [Comparison of Bitcoin Lightning Wallets](https://stacker.news/items/885671/r/HODLR) by [@0xbitcoiner](https://stacker.news/0xbitcoiner/r/HODLR) 1000 sats \\ 13 comments \\ 14 Feb on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
* * *
[Top ~Lightning Boosts](https://stacker.news/items/892798/r/HODLR#top-lightning-boosts)
===========================================================
Check them all [here](https://stacker.news/~lightning/top/boosts/forever/r/HODLR?by=boost).
1. > [Amboss CEO On Growth Of The Lightning Network, Tether (USDT) On Lightning](https://stacker.news/items/889924/r/HODLR) by [@Jestopher\_BTC](https://stacker.news/Jestopher_BTC/r/HODLR) 577 sats \\ 20k boost \\ 10 comments \\ 19 Feb on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
2. > [Building Self Custody Lightning in 2025](https://stacker.news/items/860385/r/HODLR) by [@k00b](https://stacker.news/k00b/r/HODLR) 2293 sats \\ 10k boost \\ 8 comments \\ 23 Jan on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
* * *
[Top Lightning posts outside ~Lightning](https://stacker.news/items/892798/r/HODLR#top-lightning-posts-outside-lightning)
=============================================================================================
This month best posts about the Lightning Network outside [~Lightning](/~Lightning) territory:
1. > [Tether is back on Bitcoin - Lightning Dominance Is Just Starting](https://stacker.news/items/870457/r/HODLR) by [@dickiegreenlead](https://stacker.news/dickiegreenlead/r/HODLR) 2993 sats \\ 20k boost \\ 50 comments \\ 31 Jan on [`~bitcoin`](https://stacker.news/~bitcoin/r/HODLR/)
2. > [Start9 Core Lightning node as Stacker.News wallet - Solution](https://stacker.news/items/863903/r/HODLR) [@Lumor](https://stacker.news/Lumor/r/HODLR) 1471 sats \\ 19 comments \\ 26 Jan on [`~meta`](https://stacker.news/~meta/r/HODLR/)
3. > [SN is a badass use case for noncustodial lightning](https://stacker.news/items/891098/r/HODLR) by [@Fiatrevelation](https://stacker.news/Fiatrevelation/r/HODLR) 1834 sats \\ 13 comments \\ 20 Feb on [`~meta`](https://stacker.news/~meta/r/HODLR/)
4. > [🚀 New Geocaching Meets Lightning App ⚡](https://stacker.news/items/891331/r/HODLR) by [@questforsats](https://stacker.news/questforsats/r/HODLR) 1776 sats \\ 170k boost \\ 45 comments \\ 20 Feb on [`~builders`](https://stacker.news/~builders/r/HODLR/)
5. > [Fake Channels Are Real: Client-Side-Validated Lightning Is Easier Than You Think](https://stacker.news/items/863991/r/HODLR) by [@petertodd](https://stacker.news/petertodd/r/HODLR) 4379 sats \\ 7 comments \\ 26 Jan on [`~bitdevs`](https://stacker.news/~bitdevs/r/HODLR/)
* * *
[Forever top ~Lightning posts](https://stacker.news/items/892798/r/HODLR#forever-top-lightning-posts)
=========================================================================
_La crème de la crème_... check them all [here](https://stacker.news/~lightning/top/posts/forever/r/HODLR). something has changed at #2, #3, #4 and #5! This means old posts get still zaps... well done zappers 💪
1. > [Lightning Wallets: Self-Custody Despite Poor Network - Apps Tested in Zimbabwe](https://stacker.news/items/403662/r/HODLR) by [@anita](https://stacker.news/anita/r/HODLR) 72.8k sats \\ 38 comments \\ 28 Jan 2024 on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
2. > [Dissection of a force-close that already cost me 140k sats](https://stacker.news/items/372294/r/HODLR) by [@C\_Otto](https://stacker.news/C_Otto/r/HODLR) 10.2k sats \\ 21 comments \\ 31 Dec 2023 on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
3. > [nifty's process for getting base58.school a LNURL](https://stacker.news/items/400189/r/HODLR) by [@niftynei](https://stacker.news/niftynei/r/HODLR) 9283 sats \\ 18 comments \\ 25 Jan 2024 on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
4. > [Node xmrk closing down - for now at least](https://stacker.news/items/414232/r/HODLR) by [@kr](https://stacker.news/kr/r/HODLR) 5528 sats \\ 23 comments \\ 6 Jan 2024 on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
5. > [High fee rates help node runners make better decisions](https://stacker.news/items/370164/r/HODLR) by [@C\_Otto](https://stacker.news/C_Otto/r/HODLR) 6818 sats \\ 16 comments \\ 29 Dec 2023 on [`~lightning`](https://stacker.news/~lightning/r/HODLR/)
* * *
[Forever top Lightning posts outside ~Lightning](https://stacker.news/items/892798/r/HODLR#forever-top-lightning-posts-outside-lightning)
=============================================================================================================
Nothing changed here since last month! When I'll see all the post below, posted on the [~Lightning](https://stacker.news/~Lightning/r/HODLR) territory I'll be happier :)
1. > [Rethinking Lightning](https://stacker.news/items/379225/r/HODLR/) by [@benthecarman](https://stacker.news/benthecarman/r/HODLR) with 51.6k sats \\ 137 comments \\ 6 Jan 2024 on [`~bitcoin`](https://stacker.news/~bitcoin/r/HODLR/)
2. > [Zaplocker.com: a non-custodial lightning address server (no node needed!)](https://stacker.news/items/234331/r/HODLR/) by [@supertestnet](https://stacker.newshttps://stacker.news/supertestnet/r/HODLR) with 16.4k sats \\ 57 comments \\ 24 Aug 2023 on [`~bitcoin`](https://stacker.news/~bitcoin/r/HODLR/)
3. > [Lightning Prediction Market MVP - delphi.market](https://stacker.news/items/337637/r/HODLR/) by [@ek](https://stacker.news/ek/r/HODLR) with 34.1k sats \\ 59 comments \\ 4 Dec 2023 on [`~bitcoin`](https://stacker.news/~bitcoin/r/HODLR/)
4. > [Lightning Everywhere](https://stacker.news/items/213347/r/HODLR/) by [@TonyGiorgio](https://stacker.news/TonyGiorgio/r/HODLR) with 12k sats \\ 27 comments \\ 24 Jul 2023 on [`~bitcoin`](https://stacker.news/~bitcoin/r/HODLR/)
5. > [I'm Calle, a Physicist and Programmer who fell in love with Lightning - AMA](https://stacker.news/items/109473/r/HODLR/) by [@calle](https://stacker.news/calle/r/HODLR) with 110.7k sats \\ 79 comments \\ 20 Dec 2022 on [`~bitcoin`](https://stacker.news/~bitcoin/r/HODLR/)
* * *
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@ 3f53cc0b:a441f148
2025-02-22 12:10:39
MM99 là một nền tảng giải trí trực tuyến hàng đầu, nổi bật với sự đa dạng và phong phú của các trò chơi mà nó cung cấp. Mục tiêu của MM99 không chỉ đơn thuần là mang lại những trải nghiệm giải trí hấp dẫn mà còn là một không gian để người tham gia rèn luyện tư duy, thử thách bản thân và tận hưởng những phút giây thư giãn. Với một loạt các trò chơi được thiết kế từ đơn giản đến phức tạp, MM99 phục vụ đa dạng đối tượng người tham gia từ những người mới bắt đầu đến những người đã có kinh nghiệm lâu năm. Giao diện của nền tảng này được tối ưu hóa cho mọi thiết bị, từ máy tính để bàn đến điện thoại di động, giúp người chơi có thể tham gia vào trò chơi mọi lúc, mọi nơi. Nền tảng này cũng thường xuyên cập nhật và cải tiến các trò chơi, mang lại sự đổi mới liên tục, giúp người tham gia không bao giờ cảm thấy nhàm chán. Điều này khiến MM99 trở thành một lựa chọn lý tưởng cho những ai tìm kiếm sự mới mẻ trong các trò chơi trực tuyến.
Không chỉ chú trọng đến các trò chơi, <a href="https://mm99-online.com">MM99</a> cũng đặc biệt xây dựng một cộng đồng người tham gia rất mạnh mẽ và gắn kết. Nền tảng này hiểu rằng, ngoài việc mang đến các trò chơi hấp dẫn, việc tạo ra một không gian giao lưu, học hỏi và chia sẻ kinh nghiệm cũng quan trọng không kém. MM99 cung cấp các tính năng như chat nhóm, diễn đàn thảo luận và các sự kiện trực tuyến, giúp người tham gia có thể giao lưu và kết nối với nhau. Người chơi không chỉ tìm thấy niềm vui trong các trò chơi mà còn có thể trao đổi các chiến lược chơi, học hỏi từ những người chơi khác và thậm chí kết bạn mới. Các sự kiện và cuộc thi trực tuyến được tổ chức định kỳ, mang lại cơ hội cho người tham gia thể hiện kỹ năng và nhận các phần thưởng hấp dẫn. Cộng đồng người chơi tại MM99 rất sôi động và năng động, giúp tạo ra một môi trường trực tuyến vui vẻ và đầy sự tương tác.
Bảo mật và sự an toàn của người tham gia luôn là yếu tố được MM99 đặt lên hàng đầu. Với việc sử dụng công nghệ mã hóa hiện đại và các biện pháp bảo vệ dữ liệu tiên tiến, MM99 cam kết bảo vệ mọi thông tin cá nhân và giao dịch tài chính của người chơi một cách tuyệt đối. Các hệ thống bảo mật của nền tảng này đảm bảo rằng không có thông tin nào bị xâm nhập hay đánh cắp, giúp người tham gia hoàn toàn yên tâm khi tham gia vào các trò chơi và giao dịch trên nền tảng. Bên cạnh đó, đội ngũ hỗ trợ khách hàng của MM99 luôn sẵn sàng 24/7 để giải đáp mọi thắc mắc và hỗ trợ người chơi trong quá trình tham gia. Chính sự kết hợp giữa các trò chơi sáng tạo, cộng đồng gắn kết và hệ thống bảo mật đáng tin cậy đã giúp MM99 khẳng định được vị thế của mình là một nền tảng giải trí trực tuyến uy tín, an toàn và đáng tin cậy. Nền tảng này luôn nỗ lực mang lại cho người tham gia những trải nghiệm tuyệt vời nhất, giúp họ không chỉ giải trí mà còn phát triển các kỹ năng cá nhân trong một môi trường trực tuyến thân thiện và bảo mật.
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@ e5de992e:4a95ef85
2025-02-21 05:15:26
Global stock markets are currently navigating significant volatility, influenced by a confluence of economic and geopolitical factors.
United States: Major indices such as the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite have experienced declines. Investor concerns are primarily centered around rising inflation, uncertainty regarding future interest rate cuts, and mixed corporate earnings reports. Additionally, recent policy decisions, notably the imposition of new tariffs by the Trump administration, have intensified fears of a broader trade war and its potential economic repercussions. For instance, on February 1, 2025, President Trump announced a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, and a 10% tariff on imports from China, aiming to address trade imbalances and national security concerns.
Europe: European markets have not been immune to these developments. Benchmarks like the FTSE 100 have also slipped, driven by apprehensions over potential tariffs on key sectors, including pharmaceuticals and automotive industries. Earnings reports reflecting the challenging economic environment have further contributed to a cautious market sentiment. The European Union, with an average value-added tax (VAT) of 22%, is particularly impacted by the U.S. administration's strategy to impose tariffs equivalent to these VAT rates, aiming for trade fairness and reciprocity.
Asia: Asian markets are reacting to the global trade tensions and the ripple effects of policy announcements from both the U.S. and Europe. The Hang Seng Index, for example, has experienced fluctuations influenced by these external pressures. The interconnectedness of global trade means that policy shifts in Western economies have direct and immediate impacts on Asian markets, leading to increased volatility.
Overall, the current landscape is characterized by uncertainty surrounding economic growth, geopolitical tensions, and evolving trade policies. This environment keeps investors on edge worldwide, fostering a cautious and often volatile trading atmosphere. Market participants are advised to stay informed and consider diversification strategies to navigate these turbulent times.
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@ 3f53cc0b:a441f148
2025-02-22 12:08:38
One88 là một trong những nền tảng giải trí trực tuyến hàng đầu, mang đến cho người tham gia một loạt các trò chơi thú vị và đa dạng. Nền tảng này không chỉ giới thiệu các trò chơi truyền thống mà còn kết hợp nhiều yếu tố sáng tạo, giúp người chơi có thể thỏa sức khám phá và tận hưởng những giây phút giải trí tuyệt vời. Giao diện của One88 được thiết kế rất thân thiện và dễ sử dụng, giúp người tham gia dễ dàng tiếp cận và điều khiển các trò chơi một cách nhanh chóng và hiệu quả. Từ những trò chơi trí tuệ yêu cầu sự tính toán và chiến lược đến các trò chơi giải trí nhẹ nhàng, One88 luôn mang đến những lựa chọn phù hợp với mọi đối tượng người tham gia. Một điểm đặc biệt của nền tảng này là việc liên tục cập nhật và đổi mới các trò chơi, mang đến cho người tham gia những trải nghiệm không ngừng thay đổi, vừa thú vị vừa đầy thử thách.
Ngoài sự phong phú về trò chơi, <a href="https://one88-online.com">ONE88</a> cũng đặc biệt chú trọng đến việc xây dựng một cộng đồng người chơi gắn kết và năng động. Nền tảng này cung cấp các công cụ giao tiếp tiện lợi như chat nhóm, diễn đàn thảo luận và các sự kiện trực tuyến, tạo cơ hội để người tham gia kết nối, chia sẻ kinh nghiệm và học hỏi từ những người chơi khác. Điều này không chỉ giúp tăng cường sự tương tác giữa các thành viên trong cộng đồng mà còn tạo ra một không gian thân thiện, nơi mọi người có thể thảo luận về các chiến lược chơi, thách thức bản thân và cùng nhau chia sẻ những khoảnh khắc vui vẻ. Các sự kiện trực tuyến, các cuộc thi và giải thưởng hấp dẫn cũng là một phần không thể thiếu của One88, giúp người tham gia cảm thấy thú vị và động lực hơn khi tham gia vào các trò chơi. Chính nhờ vào cộng đồng gắn kết này, One88 đã tạo ra một không gian giải trí không chỉ đơn thuần là tham gia các trò chơi mà còn là nơi để người chơi giao lưu, kết bạn và xây dựng những mối quan hệ xã hội tích cực.
Bên cạnh các trò chơi đa dạng và cộng đồng mạnh mẽ, One88 cũng rất chú trọng đến bảo mật và sự an toàn của người tham gia. Nền tảng này sử dụng các công nghệ bảo mật tiên tiến để đảm bảo rằng mọi thông tin cá nhân và giao dịch của người chơi luôn được bảo vệ tuyệt đối. Hệ thống bảo mật của One88 được thiết kế để ngăn chặn mọi hành vi xâm nhập trái phép và đảm bảo tính bảo mật của các giao dịch tài chính. Người tham gia hoàn toàn có thể yên tâm về tính riêng tư và an toàn khi sử dụng nền tảng này. Hơn nữa, One88 còn có đội ngũ hỗ trợ khách hàng 24/7, sẵn sàng giải đáp mọi thắc mắc và hỗ trợ kịp thời khi người chơi gặp phải bất kỳ vấn đề nào. Điều này không chỉ giúp người tham gia cảm thấy an tâm khi tham gia vào nền tảng mà còn giúp họ có những trải nghiệm tuyệt vời mà không cần phải lo lắng về sự an toàn của thông tin cá nhân. Với sự kết hợp giữa các trò chơi sáng tạo, cộng đồng gắn kết và bảo mật cao, One88 ngày càng khẳng định vị thế của mình là một trong những nền tảng giải trí trực tuyến uy tín và đáng tin cậy, mang đến cho người tham gia những trải nghiệm thú vị và an toàn.
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@ a2eddb26:e2868a80
2025-02-20 20:28:46
In personal finance, the principles of financial independence and time sovereignty (FITS) empower individuals to escape the debt-based cycle that forces them into perpetual work. What if companies could apply the same principles? What if businesses, instead of succumbing to the relentless push for infinite growth, could optimize for real demand?
This case study of the GPU industry aims to show that fiat-driven incentives distort technological progress and imagines an alternative future built on sound money.
### **Fiat Business: Growth or Death**
Tech companies no longer optimize for efficiency, longevity, or real user needs. Instead, under a fiat system, they are forced into a perpetual growth model. If NVIDIA, AMD, or Intel fail to show revenue expansion, their stock price tanks. Let's take NVIDIA's GPUs as an example. The result is predictable:
- GPUs that nobody actually needs but everyone is told to buy.
- A focus on artificial benchmarks instead of real-world performance stability.
- Endless FPS increases that mean nothing for 99% of users.
The RTX 5090 is not for gamers. It is for NVIDIA’s quarterly earnings. This is not a surprise on a fiat standard.
### **Fiat Marketing: The Illusion of Need and the Refresh Rate Trap**
Benchmarks confirm that once a GPU maintains 120+ FPS in worst-case scenarios, additional performance gains become irrelevant for most players. This level of capability was reached years ago. The problem is that efficiency does not sell as easily as bigger numbers.
 This extends beyond raw GPU power and into the display market, where increasing refresh rates and resolutions are marketed as critical upgrades, despite diminishing real-world benefits for most users. While refresh rates above 120Hz may offer marginal improvements for competitive esports players, the average user sees little benefit beyond a certain threshold. Similarly, 8K resolutions are pushed as the next frontier, even though 4K remains underutilized due to game optimization and hardware constraints. This is why GPUs keep getting bigger, hotter, and more expensive, even when most gamers would be fine with a card from five years ago. It is why every generation brings another “must-have” feature, regardless of whether it impacts real-world performance. 
Marketing under fiat operates on the principle of making people think they need something they do not. The fiat standard does not just distort capital allocation. It manufactures demand by exaggerating the importance of specifications that most users do not truly need.
The goal is not technological progress but sales volume. True innovation would focus on meaningful performance gains that align with actual gaming demands, such as improving latency, frame-time consistency, and efficient power consumption. Instead, marketing convinces consumers they need unnecessary upgrades, driving them into endless hardware cycles that favor stock prices over user experience.
They need the next-gen cycle to maintain high margins. The hardware is no longer designed for users. It is designed for shareholders. A company operating on sound money would not rely on deceptive marketing cycles. It would align product development with real user needs instead of forcing artificial demand.
### **The Shift to AI**
For years, GPUs were optimized for gaming. Then AI changed everything. OpenAI, Google, and Stability AI now outbid consumers for GPUs. The 4090 became impossible to find, not because of gamers, but because AI labs were hoarding them.
The same companies that depended on the consumer upgrade cycle now see their real profits coming from data centers. Yet, they still push gaming hardware aggressively. However, legitimate areas for improvement do exist. While marketing exaggerates the need for higher FPS at extreme resolutions, real gaming performance should focus on frame stability, low latency, and efficient rendering techniques. These are the areas where actual innovation should be happening. Instead, the industry prioritizes artificial performance milestones to create the illusion of progress, rather than refining and optimizing for the gaming experience itself. Why?
### **Gamers Fund the R&D for AI and Bear the Cost of Scalping**
NVIDIA still needs gamers, but not in the way most think. The gaming market provides steady revenue, but it is no longer the priority. With production capacity shifting toward AI and industrial clients, fewer GPUs are available for gamers. This reduced supply has led to rampant scalping, where resellers exploit scarcity to drive up prices beyond reasonable levels. Instead of addressing the issue, NVIDIA benefits from the inflated demand and price perception, creating an even stronger case for prioritizing enterprise sales. Gaming revenue subsidizes AI research. The more RTX cards they sell, the more they justify pouring resources into data-center GPUs like the H100, which generate significantly higher margins than gaming hardware.
AI dictates the future of GPUs. If NVIDIA and AMD produced dedicated gamer-specific GPUs in higher volumes, they could serve that market at lower prices. But in the fiat-driven world of stockholder demands, maintaining artificially constrained supply ensures maximum profitability. Gamers are left paying inflated prices for hardware that is no longer built with them as the primary customer. That is why GPU prices keep climbing. Gamers are no longer the main customer. They are a liquidity pool.
### **The Financial Reality**
The financial reports confirm this shift: **NVIDIA’s 2024 fiscal year** saw a 126% revenue increase, reaching \$60.9 billion. The data center segment alone grew 217%, generating \$47.5 billion. ([Source](https://investor.nvidia.com/news/press-release-details/2024/NVIDIA-Announces-Financial-Results-for-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-2024/))
The numbers make it clear. The real money is in AI and data centers, not gaming. NVIDIA has not only shifted its focus away from gamers but has also engaged in financial engineering to maintain its dominance. The company has consistently engaged in substantial stock buybacks, a hallmark of fiat-driven financial practices. In August 2023, NVIDIA announced a \$25 billion share repurchase program, surprising some investors given the stock's significant rise that year. ([Source](https://www.reuters.com/technology/nvidias-25-billion-buyback-a-head-scratcher-some-shareholders-2023-08-25/)) This was followed by an additional \$50 billion buyback authorization in 2024, bringing the total to \$75 billion over two years. ([Source](https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nvidias-stock-buyback-plan-is-one-of-the-biggest-of-2024-is-that-a-good-thing-9beba5c5))
These buybacks are designed to return capital to shareholders and can enhance earnings per share by reducing the number of outstanding shares. However, they also reflect a focus on short-term stock price appreciation rather than long-term value creation. Instead of using capital for product innovation, NVIDIA directs it toward inflating stock value, ultimately reducing its long-term resilience and innovation potential. In addition to shifting production away from consumer GPUs, NVIDIA has also enabled AI firms to use its chips as collateral to secure massive loans. Lambda, an AI cloud provider, secured a \$500 million loan backed by NVIDIA's H200 and Blackwell AI chips, with financing provided by Macquarie Group and Industrial Development Funding. ([Source](https://www.reuters.com/technology/lambda-secures-500-mln-loan-with-nvidia-chips-collateral-2024-04-04/))
This practice mirrors the way Bitcoin miners have used mining hardware as collateral, expecting continuous high returns to justify the debt. GPUs are fast-depreciating assets that lose value rapidly as new generations replace them. Collateralizing loans with such hardware is a high-risk strategy that depends on continued AI demand to justify the debt. AI firms borrowing against them are placing a leveraged bet on demand staying high. If AI market conditions shift or next-generation chips render current hardware obsolete, the collateral value could collapse, leading to cascading loan defaults and liquidations.
This is not a sound-money approach to business. It is fiat-style quicksand financialization, where loans are built on assets with a limited shelf life. Instead of focusing on sustainable capital allocation, firms are leveraging their future on rapid turnover cycles. This further shifts resources away from gamers, reinforcing the trend where NVIDIA prioritizes high-margin AI sales over its original gaming audience. 
At the same time, NVIDIA has been accused of leveraging anti-competitive tactics to maintain its market dominance. The GeForce Partner Program (GPP) launched in 2018 sought to lock hardware partners into exclusive deals with NVIDIA, restricting consumer choice and marginalizing AMD. Following industry backlash, the program was canceled. ([Source](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GeForce_Partner_Program)) 
NVIDIA is not merely responding to market demand but shaping it through artificial constraints, financialization, and monopolistic control. The result is an industry where consumers face higher prices, limited options, and fewer true innovations as companies prioritize financial games over engineering excellence.
On this basis, short-term downturns fueled by stock buybacks and leveraged bets create instability, leading to key staff layoffs. This forces employees into survival mode rather than fostering long-term innovation and career growth. Instead of building resilient, forward-looking teams, companies trapped in fiat incentives prioritize temporary financial engineering over actual product and market development.
### **A Sound Money Alternative: Aligning Incentives**
Under a sound money system, consumers would become more mindful of purchases as prices naturally decline over time. This would force businesses to prioritize real value creation instead of relying on artificial scarcity and marketing hype. Companies would need to align their strategies with long-term customer satisfaction and sustainable engineering instead of driving demand through planned obsolescence.
Imagine an orange-pilled CEO at NVIDIA. Instead of chasing infinite growth, they persuade the board to pivot toward sustainability and long-term value creation. The company abandons artificial product cycles, prioritizing efficiency, durability, and cost-effectiveness. Gaming GPUs are designed to last a decade, not three years. The model shifts to modular upgrades instead of full replacements. Pricing aligns with real user needs, not speculative stock market gains.
Investors initially panic. The stock takes a temporary hit, but as consumers realize they no longer need to upgrade constantly, brand loyalty strengthens. Demand stabilizes, reducing volatility in production and supply chains. Gamers benefit from high-quality products that do not degrade artificially. AI buyers still access high-performance chips but at fair market prices, no longer subsidized by forced consumer churn.
This is not an abstract vision. Businesses could collateralize loans with Bitcoin. Companies could also leverage highly sought-after end products that maintain long-term value. Instead of stock buybacks or anti-competitive practices, companies would focus on building genuine, long-term value. A future where Bitcoin-backed reserves replace fiat-driven financial engineering would stabilize capital allocation, preventing endless boom-bust cycles. This shift would eliminate the speculative nature of AI-backed loans, fostering financial stability for both borrowers and lenders.
Sound money leads to sound business. When capital allocation is driven by real value rather than debt-fueled expansion, industries focus on sustainable innovation rather than wasteful iteration.
### **Reclaiming Time Sovereignty for Companies**
The fiat system forces corporations into unsustainable growth cycles. Companies that embrace financial independence and time sovereignty can escape this trap and focus on long-term value.
GPU development illustrates this distortion. The RTX 3080 met nearly all gaming needs, yet manufacturers push unnecessary performance gains to fuel stock prices rather than improve usability. GPUs are no longer designed for gamers but for AI and enterprise clients, shifting NVIDIA’s priorities toward financial engineering over real innovation.
This cycle of GPU inflation stems from fiat-driven incentives—growth for the sake of stock performance rather than actual demand. Under a sound money standard, companies would build durable products, prioritizing efficiency over forced obsolescence.
Just as individuals can reclaim financial sovereignty, businesses can do the same. Embracing sound money fosters sustainable business strategies, where technology serves real needs instead of short-term speculation.
#Bitcoin
#FITS
#Marketing
#TimeSovereignty
#BitcoinFixesThis
#OptOut
#EngineeringNotFinance
#SoundBusiness
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@ da0b9bc3:4e30a4a9
2025-02-22 10:55:44
Hello Stackers!
Welcome on into the ~Music Corner of the Saloon!
A place where we Talk Music. Share Tracks. Zap Sats.
So stay a while and listen.
🚨Don't forget to check out the pinned items in the territory homepage! You can always find the latest weeklies there!🚨
🚨Subscribe to the territory to ensure you never miss a post! 🚨
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/893831
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@ 000002de:c05780a7
2025-02-20 20:06:20
> The argument for liberty is not an argument against organization, which is one of the most powerful tools human reason can employ, but an argument against all exclusive, privileged, monopolistic organization, against the use of coercion to prevent others from doing better.
~ Friedrich August von Hayek, The Constitution of Liberty
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/892255
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@ 5c63c8f1:7a99f882
2025-02-22 10:53:05
O KW777 oferece uma plataforma de jogos online imersiva que combina uma vasta seleção de jogos, tecnologia de ponta e uma experiência excepcional para o jogador. Seja você um jogador casual ou um entusiasta experiente, o KW777 tem algo para todos. Com seus recursos inovadores, ambiente seguro e atenção às necessidades dos jogadores, o KW777 rapidamente se tornou uma das plataformas mais confiáveis da indústria.
Introdução à Plataforma: Uma Interface Inovadora e Sem Costura
O KW777 se destaca por sua interface limpa e sofisticada, projetada com a conveniência do jogador em mente. Seja acessada por desktop ou dispositivos móveis, a plataforma garante uma experiência de jogo sem interrupções, proporcionando acesso rápido e fácil a todos os recursos disponíveis. O design responsivo se adapta perfeitamente a diferentes tamanhos de tela, garantindo que os jogadores possam aproveitar seus jogos preferidos em seus dispositivos preferidos sem comprometer a qualidade da experiência.
Uma das principais características da plataforma <a href="https://kw777.net"> Kw777 </a> é sua segurança. A plataforma implementa métodos de criptografia de última geração para proteger os dados pessoais e financeiros dos jogadores. Esse compromisso com a segurança garante que os jogadores possam focar na diversão de jogar sem se preocupar com questões de segurança. O processo de registro é simples, e o painel intuitivo da plataforma facilita o gerenciamento de contas, a reivindicação de promoções e o acesso a uma variedade de jogos.
Introdução aos Jogos: Opções Diversas para Todos os Jogadores
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@ e5de992e:4a95ef85
2025-02-20 19:56:02
**The Illusion of Opportunity**
A trader who focuses primarily on "making money" will often see opportunities that do not truly exist. This mindset leads to impulsive decision-making, overtrading, and unnecessary risk exposure. Successful trading is not about chasing profits but about executing a well-structured process that leads to consistent, sustainable results over time.
Traders who prioritize money over process often fall into the trap of forcing trades that do not meet their criteria. They see potential where the market does not support a trade, leading to poor risk-reward decisions. This psychological bias creates a cycle of frustration and loss, as each forced trade compounds previous mistakes.
**The Shift From Profit to Process**
The best traders focus on refining their strategy rather than constantly monitoring their profit and loss (P&L). By shifting attention from financial gain to execution quality, traders develop the discipline required to succeed in various market conditions.
**Key Principles to Maintain Focus on Process:**
***Trade Selection***: Every trade must align with a predefined strategy. If a setup does not meet strict criteria, it should be ignored, regardless of perceived opportunity.
***Risk Management***: Prioritizing risk over reward ensures longevity in the market. Traders who focus only on making money often ignore stop-loss discipline, leading to significant drawdowns.
***Emotional Control:*** The desire to profit can cloud judgment, making traders more susceptible to market traps. Avoiding emotional trading requires a structured plan and a mindset that prioritizes long-term consistency.
**The Pitfalls of Profit-Driven Trading**
When the primary goal is making money rather than executing well-structured trades, several common mistakes emerge:
1. **Overtrading**
Traders who are focused on profit often believe that more trades equate to more opportunities. In reality, overtrading leads to higher transaction costs, increased exposure to market noise, and a greater likelihood of errors.
Example: A trader sees multiple setups in a choppy market and takes unnecessary trades, resulting in minor losses that accumulate over time. A disciplined trader, in contrast, waits for high-probability setups and executes fewer trades with precision.
2. **Ignoring Market Conditions**
Markets move through different phases—trending, ranging, and volatile conditions. A trader fixated on making money may ignore these dynamics and attempt to force trades in an unfavorable environment.
Example: A momentum trader who performs well in trending markets struggles when conditions turn choppy. Instead of adjusting their approach or stepping back, they continue to take the same trades, leading to repeated losses.
3. **Chasing Trades**
Traders focused on quick profits often enter trades late, fearing they will miss out on a move. This "chasing" behavior results in poor entry points and reduces the overall risk-reward ratio.
Example: A stock makes a strong breakout, and a trader jumps in at an overextended price. The stock then retraces, forcing them to exit at a loss. Had they waited for a proper entry, they could have positioned themselves for a lower-risk trade.
4. **Neglecting Risk-Reward Ratios**
Traders who prioritize making money tend to focus on potential gains while disregarding downside risks. Without a proper risk-reward framework, a few bad trades can wipe out previous gains.
Example: A trader takes multiple high-risk trades aiming for large profits. While some work out, one significant loss erases weeks of gains. A trader who prioritizes risk management would avoid such scenarios by ensuring all trades maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio.
**Developing a Sustainable Trading Mindset**
To succeed in trading, the mindset must shift from short-term profit to long-term process optimization. This involves creating a structured approach that removes emotional bias and ensures consistency.
**Steps to Improve Trading Discipline:**
*Follow a Trading Plan* – Define entry and exit rules, risk management parameters, and position sizing.
Track and Review Performance – Maintain a trading journal to assess past decisions and identify patterns in behavior.
*Limit the Number of Trades* – Focus on quality over quantity to avoid unnecessary exposure and reduce emotional trading.
*Develop Patience* – Wait for high-probability setups instead of reacting impulsively to market movements.
*Separate Money From Execution* – Judge success based on adherence to a strategy rather than daily profit and loss fluctuations.
**Conclusion: Process Over Profit**
Traders who focus exclusively on making money often fall into patterns of impulsive decision-making, overtrading, and poor risk management. The key to long-term success lies in developing a structured process that prioritizes disciplined execution over immediate financial gains.
By refining strategy, managing risk, and maintaining emotional discipline, traders can build a sustainable approach that leads to consistent profitability. Instead of seeking opportunities everywhere, traders should focus on executing only the best setups, ensuring that every decision aligns with a well-defined plan.
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@ 6734e11d:c7e34e8f
2025-02-22 09:16:15
...damit wir weiter recht haben und so weitermachen können wie bisher, die verordnete Omertà eingehalten wird zu Grundrechten, Notverordnungen, Pandemiesimulationen, Energieversorgung, Deindustrialisierung, kalte und echte Enteigung, Umverteilung, Freiluft- und Digitalgefängnis, Blockwartnachbarn...
Alles andere wäre äußerst unangenehm, wie das Aufplatzen einer großen Eiterblase und müsste dann wieder mit Exekutive, Justiz, Notverordnungen, neuen Strafrechtsparagraphen, Verschärfung der Strafprozessordnung, echte Änderung des Grundgesetzes, Überwachung, Totalzensur, Parteiverboten, Regimechanges und Krieg unterbunden werden.
Idee und Meme sind wieder von der Schwurbel Oase
<https://t.me/schwurbel_oase/2318>
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@ 000002de:c05780a7
2025-02-20 19:45:50
Are you seeing it? Been oddly quiet for me but I have friends that are seeing people come unglued. Think its hard to sustain that level if outrage. It's not healthy for sure. I was so angry during Covid and realized it wasn't worth it.
What's your experience. Not online but IRL.
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/892219
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@ 2fb77d26:c47a6ee1
2025-02-22 09:04:25
Der 1953 geborene [Craig Reynolds](https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Craig_Reynolds) ist Experte für künstliches Leben und Computergrafik. In dieser Funktion arbeitete er unter anderem an Filmen wie Tron (1982) und Batman (1992). Bei »*Sony Computer Entertainment America*« (heute [SIE](https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sony_Interactive_Entertainment)) entwickelte er die [OpenSteer](https://opensteer.sourceforge.net/)-Bibliothek, die der Abbildung von Schwarmverhalten in Spielen und Animationsanwendungen dient. An solch prestigeträchtige Aufträge kam Reynolds, weil er sich nebst Computergrafik intensiv mit Theorien zum »*Steuerungsverhalten für autonome Charaktere*« befasst hatte. Mit Schwarmverhalten. Einem Thema, das mit wachsender Rechenleistung immer wichtiger für die Entwicklung von Computerspielen wurde.
Die sollten dem Spieler das Gefühl geben, sich in einer realen Welt mit »*autonomen Charakteren*« zu bewegen. Dazu mussten diese vom Computer, beziehungsweise der Software gesteuerten Charaktere – im Fachjargon »*[Agenten](https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Software-Agent)*« genannt – sich irgendwie verhalten. Und zwar ohne, dass von außen ein weiterer Steuerungseingriff erfolgt. Eigendynamisch. Dafür bedarf es Regeln, die im Programmcode eingebettet werden können. Genau die lieferte Reynolds 1986 im Rahmen der von ihm modellierten [Boids-Simulation](https://www.red3d.com/cwr/boids/), die besagt, dass Schwarmverhalten auf drei simplen Regeln basiert:
1. Bewege dich in Richtung des Mittelpunkts derer, die du in deinem Umfeld siehst.
2. Entferne dich, sobald dir jemand zu nahe kommt.
3. Bewege dich etwa in die gleiche Richtung wie deine Nachbarn.
Sprich: Kohäsion, Separation und Orientierung. In Reynolds’ Beschreibung des Boid-Modells liest man diesbezüglich:
»*1986 habe ich ein Computermodell koordinierter Tierbewegungen *(…) *erstellt. Es basierte auf dreidimensionaler Computergeometrie, wie sie normalerweise in der Computeranimation oder im computergestützten Design verwendet wird. Ich habe die generischen, simulierten Schwarmtiere Boids genannt. Das grundlegende Schwarmmodell besteht aus drei einfachen Lenkverhalten, die beschreiben, wie ein einzelner Boid auf der Grundlage der Positionen und Geschwindigkeiten seiner Schwarmgenossen in der Nähe manövriert. Jeder Boid hat direkten Zugriff auf die geometrische Beschreibung der gesamten Szene, aber das Schwarmverhalten erfordert, dass er nur auf Schwarmgenossen in einer bestimmten kleinen Nachbarschaft um sich herum reagiert. *(…)* Schwarmgenossen außerhalb dieser lokalen Nachbarschaft werden ignoriert.*
*Die Nachbarschaft könnte als Modell eingeschränkter Wahrnehmung betrachtet werden (wie bei Fischen in trübem Wasser), aber es ist wahrscheinlich korrekter, sie als Definition des Bereichs zu betrachten, in dem Schwarmgenossen die Lenkung eines Boids beeinflussen. In den ersten Experimenten wurde ein etwas ausgefeilteres Verhaltensmodell verwendet. Es umfasste vorausschauende Hindernisvermeidung und Zielsuche. *(…)* Für Anwendungen in der Computeranimation führte ein Zielsuchverhalten mit niedriger Priorität dazu, dass die Herde einem vorgegebenen Pfad folgte*.«
Wer sich bei dieser Beschreibung an die Strukturen postmoderner Gesellschaft erinnert fühlt und »*Agenten*« mit »*[Agent Smith](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agent_Smith)*« aus den Matrix-Filmen assoziiert, liegt nicht ganz falsch. Denn Kohäsion, Separation und Orientierung definieren nicht mehr nur das Schwarmverhalten autonomer Charaktere in Computerspielen, sondern auch die Dynamiken des gesellschaftlichen Zusammenlebens im multimedialen Panoptikum der Postmoderne.
**So nimmt es kaum Wunder, dass ein vom** **[US Air Force Laboratory](https://www.afrl.af.mil/)** **(AFRL) finanziertes** **[Forschungsprojekt](https://arxiv.org/pdf/1402.5644)** **an der University of Florida (Gainesville, USA) bereits im Jahr 2014 untersuchte, »*wie Social Media eingesetzt werden kann, um Menschen wie Drohnen zu steuern*«.**
Unter diesem Titel berichtete denn auch [Ars Technica](https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2014/07/air-force-research-how-to-use-social-media-to-control-people-like-drones/) am 17. Juli 2014, dass der Forschungsleiter der AFRL-Studie, [Warren Dixon](https://ncr.mae.ufl.edu/index.php?id=people), seines Zeichens Chef des Lehrstuhls für nichtlineare Steuerung und Robotik an der University of Florida, vor allem daran arbeite, »*wie man ein Netzwerk, wenn man es einmal identifiziert hat, in Richtung eines Ziels manipulieren kann*«. Und mit »*Netzwerk*« meint Dixon nicht Computer, sondern soziale Strukturen.
Die Untersuchungen von Dixon, Kan, Klotz und Pasiliao – formeller Titel: »*Eindämmungskontrolle für ein soziales Netzwerk mit staatlich abhängiger Konnektivität*« – unterstreichen, dass die mathematischen Prinzipien, die zur Steuerung autonomer Agenten und Robotergruppen verwendet werden, auch auf soziale Netzwerke übertragbar sind, um menschliches Verhalten zu manipulieren. Im großen Stil. Ausgehend von einer optimalen Kalibrierung könnten die von den AFRL-Forschern entwickelten Modelle eingesetzt werden, um die Meinung auf Social-Media-Portalen in Richtung eines gewünschten Verhaltens zu lenken. Genau wie die [Cyber-Waffen](https://www.business-standard.com/article/technology/hacks-raise-fear-over-nsa-s-hold-on-cyberweapons-117070100851_1.html) der NSA (National Security Agency, USA) oder das entsprechende Arsenal des [GCHQ](https://www.gchq.gov.uk/) (Government Communication Headquarters, UK), das seine [Nudge-Unit](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Behavioural_Insights_Team) nicht nur gegen Corona-Maßnahmenkritiker, sondern mittlerweile auch gegen »*[Heizpumpen-Skeptiker](https://reclaimthenet.org/uk-government-heat-pumps-nudge-unit-controversy)*« ins Feld führt.
Schwarmverhalten ist demnach nicht nur an [Chinas](https://www.eurasiantimes.com/mother-of-all-drones-china-unveil/) Himmel oder in der Nähe des vom Iran jüngst zu Wasser gelassenen Drohnenträgers [Schahid Bagheri](https://www.t-online.de/nachrichten/ausland/id_100596308/neuartiges-kriegsschiff-iran-stellt-ersten-drohnentraeger-vor.html) zu beobachten – oder in der Ukraine, wo todbringende [Minidrohnen](https://www.nzz.ch/international/ukraine-krieg-kamikaze-drohnen-machen-das-soldatenleben-zur-hoelle-ld.1825600) heute Jagd auf gegnerische Truppen machen – sondern auch in der unmittelbaren Nachbarschaft des Lesers. Denn Drohnen sind heute nicht mehr nur auf dem Schlachtfeld gang und gäbe. Der Nutzmensch selbst ist eine Drohne. Das traurige Produkt einer jahrzehntelangen [Schlacht ums Gehirn](https://gegendruck.eu/ausgaben/ausgabe-003.html).
Die Corona-Krise war Generalprobe für die Einführung des von den Verhaltensökonomen Richard Thaler und Cass Sunstein ([Nudge](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nudge_\(book\)), Yale University Press, 2008) maßgeblich entwickelten Herrschaftsmodells der Zukunft: [Hive-Mind](https://www.mdr.de/wissen/medizin-gesundheit/stranger-things-hive-mind-102.html)-Technokratie. Fernsteuerung der Massen via Social-Media-Nudging. Via geteiltem Bewusstsein. Sprich: Regieren mittels [Plattformökonomie](https://www.economist.com/business/2024/12/10/the-paypal-mafia-is-taking-over-americas-government), Manipulativkommunikation und Emotion. Mit »Soft Power«. Zumindest bis der kopflose Schwarm endlich mit der Cloud verbunden ist.
Wer also denkt, es mache Sinn, sich über Erhalt oder Verfall der Meinungsfreiheit auf einem Konzernmarkplatz wie Twitter Gedanken zu machen, erfüllt genau die Rolle, die ihm AFRL, Nudge-Unit, das NATO-[Innovation Hub](https://web.archive.org/web/20240805053751/https:/innovationhub-act.org/cognitive-warfare-2/) mit seiner »*sechsten Dimension der Kriegsführung*« und Peter Thiels PayPal-Mafia seit jeher zuschrieben: Die des geist-, willen- und haltlosen »*Agenten*« in einer überfrachteten Simulation. Nicht umsonst waren alle Big-Tech-Größen Teilnehmer der Social-Engineering-[Seminare](https://web.archive.org/web/20130511134703/http:/edge.org/conversation/libertarian-paternalism-why-it-is-impossible-not-to-nudge-class-1) von John Brockmanns [Edge-Foundation](https://www.regenauer.press/die-glorreichen-sieben).
Nicht von ungefähr soll KI nun alles »*effizienter*« machen. Wirft man allerdings einen Blick auf die [Vorstandsebene](https://openai.com/our-structure/) von OpenAI, dem [ChatGPT-Anbieter](https://openai.com/index/chatgpt/) und neben dem von der CIA [startfinanzierten](https://www.businessinsider.com/the-cia-made-larry-ellison-a-billionaire-2014-9), [Mossad-nahen](https://orinocotribune.com/oracle-the-shadowy-tech-giant-in-league-with-the-cia-and-israel-with-alan-macleod/) IT-Konzern Oracle primärer Partner von Donald Trumps [Stargate-Projekt](https://apnews.com/article/trump-ai-openai-oracle-softbank-son-altman-ellison-be261f8a8ee07a0623d4170397348c41), das KI und mRNA mit einem Budget von 500 Milliarden Dollar zusammenbringen soll, wird schnell deutlich, dass mit Effizienz nichts anderes als ein Ausbau des Überwachungsstaats gemeint ist.
Da wäre zum einen [Sue Desmond-Hellmann](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sue_Desmond-Hellmann), von 2014 bis 2020 CEO der Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, seit 2020 Vorstandsmitglied bei [Pfizer](https://www.pfizer.com/people/leadership/board-of-directors/susan_desmond-hellmann-md-mph) und darüber hinaus im Vorstand von [Resilience](https://resilience.com/meet/team/), dem vom CIA-Finanztentakel [In-Q-Tel](https://www.iqt.org/) grundfinanzierten Biotech-Unternehmen, das [mRNA](https://betakit.com/federal-government-promises-199-16-million-to-biotech-company-resilience-biotechnologies/) für unter anderem [Moderna](https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/moderna:-national-resilience-to-manufacture-mrna-for-covid-19-vaccine-2021-09-08) produziert. Oder der [korrupte](https://exiledonline.com/is-larry-summers-taking-kickbacks-from-the-banks-hes-bailing-out/) Larry Summers, ehemals Chefökonom der Weltbank, der mit massiven [Deregulierungen](https://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/finance/264675-clinton-and-summers-are-wrong-on-sanderss-glass-steagall-proposal/) des Finanzmarkts geradezu als Initiator der Finanzkrise 2008 bezeichnet werden kann und so [Tiefenstaat](https://wikispooks.com/wiki/Lawrence_Summers) ist wie es nur geht. Nicht zu vergessen Nicole Seligmann, [genannt](https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/lifestyle/1998/08/17/the-lawyers-lawyer/9dcd901a-7026-43ea-89b0-aa8abfa8db0e/) »Anwältin der Anwälte«, ehemalige [Chefin](https://www.thewrap.com/nicole-seligman-out-as-president-of-sony-entertainment/) von Sony USA, [Rechtsbeistand](https://law.justia.com/cases/federal/appellate-courts/F2/910/843/463467/) von Oliver North während der Iran-Contra Anhörungen in den 80ern sowie Anwältin der [Clintons](https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/special/clinton/stories/seligman081798.htm), unter anderem während des [Amtsenthebungsverfahrens](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Impeachment_of_Bill_Clinton) gegen Bill Clinton im Jahr 1999. Von den langjährigen Facebook-Top-Managern [Fidji Simo](https://www.marieclaire.com/career-advice/a28712482/fidji-simo-facebook/), [Adam D’Angelo](https://om.co/gigaom/my-conversation-with-ex-facebook-cto-and-quora-co-founder-adam-dangelo/) und [Bret Taylor](https://www.forbes.com/sites/tomiogeron/2012/06/15/facebook-cto-bret-taylor-to-leave-company/) ganz zu schweigen.
Angesichts dieser Mannschaft dürfte niemand überrascht sein, dass OpenAI-CEO Sam Altman von seiner jüngeren Schwester des jahrelangen [Missbrauchs](https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/jan/08/openai-chief-executive-sam-altman-accused-of-sexual-abuse-by-sister-in-lawsuit) bezichtigt wird und sich dafür demnächst vor Gericht verantworten muss – oder dass ein Whistleblower, der zu illegalen Aktivitäten bei OpenAI aussagen wollte, im Dezember 2024 überraschend tot in seiner Wohnung aufgefunden wurde, weshalb dessen Eltern Sam Altmans Unternehmen nun [Mord](https://www.newsweek.com/openai-tucker-carlson-whistleblower-death-2015874) vorwerfen und die Stadt San Francisco wegen schlampiger Ermittlungen [verklagen](https://nypost.com/2025/02/08/us-news/big-tech-whistleblowers-parents-sue-san-francisco-sounding-alarm-over-sons-unexpected-death/).
Erstaunlich ist lediglich, dass diese Informationen nicht in aller Munde sind und Menschen wie Sam Altman und Oracle-Gründer Larry Ellison an Tag zwei nach Donald Trumps Amtseinführung als Partner einer US-Regierung präsentiert werden, die angeblich den Tiefenstaat ausheben will.
Aufmerksame Beobachter des militärisch-digitalen Komplexes dürften diese Umstände allerdings kaum noch schockieren. Denn gerade das US-Militär fokussiert sich seit Jahren auf die Verwendung von Open Source Intelligence – meint Handydaten, Social-Media-Inhalte, Daten-Leaks, Hacks und KI –, um aufständischen Zellen auf den Zahn zu fühlen. So gründete die DARPA im Jahr 2011 das SMISC-Programm (Social Media in Strategic Communication). Ausgestattet mit einem Budget von knapp 50 Millionen US-Dollar gingen Wissenschaftler der Frage nach, wie sich soziale Netzwerke für Propaganda und psychologische Kriegsführung nutzen lassen. Der Initiator von SMISC, Rand Waltzman, ein DARPA-Manager, [beschrieb](https://information-professionals.org/the-darpa-social-media-in-strategic-communication-smisc-program/) im April 2015, worin die vier Kernziele des von ihm ins Leben gerufenen Programms bestanden:
1. Erkennen, klassifizieren, messen und verfolgen der Entstehung und Entwicklung sowie Verbreitung von Ideen und Konzepten (Memes) und gezielte oder irreführende Nachrichten und Fehlinformationen.
2. Erkennen der Strukturen von Überzeugungskampagnen und Einflussoperationen auf Social-Media-Sites und Communities.
3. Identifizieren der Teilnehmer und Absichten und messen der Auswirkungen von Überzeugungskampagnen.
4. Verbreiten von Gegeninformation bei erkannten gegnerischen Einflussoperationen.
Darüber hinaus erklärte Waltzman, welchen technischen Umfang, beziehungsweise Fokus die Analyseprozesse aufwiesen:
1. Sprachliche Hinweise, Muster des Informationsflusses, Analyse von Thementrends, Analyse narrativer Strukturen, Stimmungserkennung und Meinungsforschung.
2. Meme-Tracking in Communities, Graphen-Analyse, probabilistisches Denken, Mustererkennung, kulturelle Narrative.
3. Induzieren von Identitäten, Modellieren entstehender Communities, Vertrauensanalyse, Modellieren von Netzwerkdynamiken.
4. Automatisierte Inhaltsgenerierung, Bots in sozialen Medien, Crowdsourcing.
Die DARPA untersuchte [Twitter](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jul/08/darpa-social-networks-research-twitter-influence-studies)-Follower prominenter Musiker, analysierte die Verbreitung von [Memes](https://web.archive.org/web/20121114225259/https:/www.cs.cmu.edu/~badityap/papers/composite-ccr12.pdf) und testete operative Ansätze einer [IBM-Studie](https://aaai.org/papers/00121-14513-modeling-user-attitude-toward-controversial-topics-in-online-social-media/), die sich mit der »*Modellierung von Nutzerverhalten bei kontroversen Themen auf Social Media*« befasste. Am 9. Juli 2014 veröffentlichte die DARPA eine [Liste](https://web.archive.org/web/20140709083209/https:/www.darpa.mil/OpenCatalog/SMISC.html) von 181 vom SMISC-Programm finanzierten Projekten, die sich allesamt mit dem Thema psychologische Kriegsführung auf Social Media befassten. Im Vordergrund stand jeweils die Graph-Theorie, also die Analyse des Verhaltens von Menschen anhand sozialer Daten. Die Formelsprache, die von den Projekten zur mathematischen Beschreibung der Interaktionen zwischen Menschen und Produkten verwendet wurde, war dieselbe, die bei der Steuerung autonomer Fahrzeug-Gruppen zur Anwendung kommt. Sie bildet das Herzstück von Googles Verständnis zu Suchkontexten und ist grundlegender Bestandteil von Kontrollsystemen zur Steuerung autonomer Roboterschwärme.
Warren Dixon und die DARPA gingen nun aber der Frage nach, ob die gleiche Mathematik auf die Steuerung autonomer Menschen und Gruppen von Menschen anwendbar ist. Um zu verstehen, was das bedeutet, folgend eine Erläuterung zum Facebook-Graph, über den [Ars Technica](https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2013/03/knowing-the-score-how-facebooks-graph-search-knows-what-you-want/) am 14. März 2013 berichtete:
»*Der Graph ist eine Datenbank, die Informationen über Benutzer, Seiten und andere Objekte im Facebook-Universum speichert. Er enthält auch die Beziehungen zwischen ihnen. Jede Entität, also jeder Knoten im Facebook-Graph – identifiziert durch eine eindeutige Nummer, die als fbid (Facebook-ID) bezeichnet wird – ist mit einer Reihe von Attributen oder Metadaten verknüpft. Die Beziehungen zwischen diesen Knoten, die als Kanten bezeichnet werden, enthalten ihre eigenen Metadaten, um die Art der Beziehung zwischen ihnen zu beschreiben. Die von Facebook verwendete Graph-Datenbank ist Googles [Knowledge-Graph](https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2012/06/inside-the-architecture-of-googles-knowledge-graph-and-microsofts-satori/) und Microsofts Satori-Graph-basiertem Konzept recht ähnlich. In vielerlei Hinsicht ist die Struktur des Facebook-Graphs jedoch einfacher als die Graph-Schemata von Google und Microsoft, da Facebook die Metadaten für seine Knoten und Kanten speziell auf soziale Interaktion abgestimmt hat*.«
Dixons AFRL-Arbeitsgruppe nutze solche Daten, um zu modellieren, wie die Zusammenarbeit zwischen »*wichtigen Influencern*« in sozialen Netzwerken das Verhalten von Gruppen innerhalb dieses Netzwerks beeinflussen könnte. Stichwort: »*Eindämmungskontrolle*«. Dixon selbst erläuterte dieses Konzept mit den Worten:
**»*Es gibt eine Gruppe von Anführern, von denen jeder seine eigenen Ziele und sein eigenes Schwerpunktthema hat. Unser Ziel ist, dass diese Leute ihre Meinung ändern und die Gruppe der Anhänger – also Leute, die zu ihrer sozialen Gruppe gehören, aber das übergeordnete Ziel nicht kennen – unter Druck setzen*.«**
Unter Zuhilfenahme der Graphen-Theorie erarbeiteten Dixon und Co. ein Kommunikationsmodell, das verständlich machte, wie viel Einfluss ein Social-Media-Influencer benötigt, um Macht auszuüben und das Verhalten seiner Follower zu ändern. Während die DARPA im Rahmen mehrerer Pressemitteilungen versicherte, weder persönlichkeitsbezogene Daten zu speichern noch Social-Media-User zu manipulieren, hatte man beim GCHQ in Großbritannien weniger Hemmungen. Wie die von NSA-Whistleblower Edward Snowden geleakten Dokumente [belegen](https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2014/07/ghcqs-chinese-menu-of-tools-spread-disinformation-across-internet/), hatte der britische Nachrichtendienst ein ganzes Arsenal digitaler Waffen zur Hand, um Individuen und ihre Geräte zu infiltrieren, Fake-Identitäten aufzubauen, Falschinformationen zu verbreiten und die öffentliche Meinung zu »*formen*«. Diese Werkzeuge teilte das GCHQ mit der NSA, die sie ihrerseits anwandte, um in Afghanistan und anderen Krisengebieten zu steuern, welche Informationen gegnerische Gruppen online und über das Smartphone abrufen konnten.
Neben Militär, Geheimdiensten und Tech-Konzernen sind natürlich auch Organisationen wie USAID und das NED (National Endowment for Democracy) auf dem Feld der Cyber-Kriegsführung aktiv. Im [April 2014](https://taz.de/Twitterplattform-ZunZuneo/!5045053/) wurde zum Beispiel bekannt, das USAID auf Kuba ein Twitter-ähnliches Netzwerk aufbauen wollte, um das kommunistische Regime zu unterminieren. Dass es sich dabei nicht um Einzelfälle handelt, veranschaulicht ein [Report](https://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2021-01-13-social-media-manipulation-political-actors-industrial-scale-problem-oxford-report) der Universität Oxford, der am 13. Januar 2021 veröffentlicht wurde und Social-Media-Manipulation in gut 80 Ländern analysierte:
**»*In jedem der 81 untersuchten Länder wurden organisierte Kampagnen zur Manipulation sozialer Medien festgestellt, ein Anstieg von 15 Prozent innerhalb eines Jahres, verglichen mit 70 Ländern im Jahr 2019. Dem Bericht zufolge produzieren Regierungen, PR-Agenturen und politische Parteien im industriellen Maßstab Falschinformationen. Er zeigt, dass Desinformation zu einer gängigen Strategie geworden ist, wobei in mehr als 93 Prozent der Länder Desinformation als Teil der politischen Kommunikation eingesetzt wird*.«**
»*Die Leute denken nicht gern daran, dass sie manipuliert werden*«, so Warren Dixon. »*Aber wir werden jeden Tag manipuliert. Durch Werbung, durch Regierungschefs, religiöse Führer und sogar dazu, zur Arbeit zu gehen. Wir arbeiten größtenteils deswegen, weil wir dafür bezahlt werden. Aber wie viel muss ich jemandem für seine Arbeit zahlen?*«
Gute Frage. Wie viel muss man jemandem bezahlen, damit er lügt, damit er seinen besten Freund verrät oder einen Menschen ermordet? Oder ein paar tausend Menschen? Mit solchen Fragen beschäftigen sich die Verhaltensforscher, die Big Tech und Geheimdienste beraten, die Algorithmen und soziale [Feedback-Loops](https://youtu.be/J54k7WrbfMg?si=GgS-5yx7vgKFbPtB) kreieren. Denn Suchmaschinen und Social Media sind kein Serviceangebot, sondern eine Waffengattung kognitiver Kriegsführung. Die Projektile des Informationskriegs. Und die meisten Menschen sind dem Kugelhagel schutzlos ausgeliefert.
Die zeitgeistig flexible Herrschaftskaste weiß diesen Umstand zum eigenen Vorteil zu nutzen. Gerade deshalb ist »*Agent Smith*« eine perfekte wie düstere Parabel für den modernen Nutzmenschen, der sein Leben online führt und im digitalen Raum binnen Sekunden Entscheidungen trifft, für die ihm jede inhaltliche Grundlage fehlt. Entscheidungen, die sein Selbstbild nachhaltig verändern. Wer das System eben noch kritisierte, wedelt im nächsten Moment mit Pompons, um es zu bejubeln. Denn die Transformation des Ich ist dieser Tage immer nur einen Klick entfernt.
»*Smith begann als Agent, ein KI-Programm in der Matrix, das darauf programmiert war, die Ordnung im System aufrechtzuerhalten, indem es menschliche Simulakren eliminierte, die die simulierte Realität instabil machen würden, sowie alle Schurkenprogramme, die für das Maschinenkollektiv keinen Zweck mehr erfüllen. *(…)* Smiths wahre Macht beruht auf seiner Fähigkeit, Erinnerungen und Kräfte seiner Opfer – Menschen und Programme gleichermaßen – zu absorbieren. *(…)* Smith erlangt die Macht, seine physische Form auf jedes Wesen in der Matrix zu kopieren, indem er seine Hand in ihren Körper eintauchen lässt und eine schwarze Flüssigkeit verteilt, die sie in eine Kopie seiner selbst verwandelt, was zu einer ständig wachsenden Armee von Smiths führt, die durch ein einziges Bewusstsein verbunden sind*.«
**Wer sich also fragt, warum seine vormals maßnahmen- und obrigkeitskritischen Weggefährten nun dem tiefenstaatlich orchestrierten MAGA-Kult huldigen, findet die Antwort in DARPA-Studien zum Thema »*Steuerung des Gruppenverhaltens mittels Social Media*«.**
Neu ist das alles nicht. Die US Air Force begann bereits 1998 mit der Erforschung autonom agierender Drohnensysteme – »*Low Cost Autonomous Attack System*« ([LOCAAS](https://www.globalsecurity.org/military/systems/munitions/locaas.htm)) genannt. Die LOCAAS-Systeme nutzten einen Algorithmus, der auf Craig Reynolds’ Boids-Modell basiert, um in Formation eines Schwarms zu fliegen. Warf ein Tarnkappenbomber seine bis zu 192 Drohnen ab, begannen sie sich untereinander zu verständigen und attackierten feindliche Truppen im Verbund.
Das war vor 27 Jahren. Heute gehören Drohnen zum zivilen Alltag. So betreibt die [Swisscom](https://www.swisscom.ch/de/business/broadcast/sicherheitsloesungen/drohnennetzwerk-schweiz.html) in der Schweiz in Kooperation mit Nokia ein Drones-as-a-Service (DaaS) Netzwerk für »*effiziente Inspektionen und die Sicherung großer Areale sowie zentraler Infrastruktur*«. Das klingt zunächst einmal nach privatwirtschaftlicher Dienstleistung auf Abruf. Aber: »*Blaulichtorganisationen sollen diese Drohnen auf Abruf nutzen können, um dank detailliertem Bildmaterial* (…) *Informationen von Unfallstellen, Katastrophengebieten oder Tatorten einzuholen*«, so der [Tagesanzeiger](https://www.tagesanzeiger.ch/swisscom-ueberwachung-mit-drohnen-datenschutz-unklar-998244957315) am 18. August 2024. Was für Bildmaterial in welcher Auflösung wann, wo, warum aufgezeichnet und gespeichert wird, ist indes unklar. Hiesige Datenschützer sind alarmiert.
Aus gutem Grund. Denn auch in der Kriegsführung gehören Drohnen mittlerweile zum Tagesgeschäft. Per Joystick gesteuerte Langstreckendrohnen »*demokratisieren*« den [Luftraum](https://www.thebureauinvestigates.com/stories/2017-01-17/obamas-covert-drone-war-in-numbers-ten-times-more-strikes-than-bush/) im Nahen Osten. Bevorzugt mit lasergesteuerten GBU-12 Paveway II Bomben. Mini-Drohnen [überwachen](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wW7lUdvJl7Q) unauffällig das Einsatzgebiet und töten gezielt per [Kopfschuss](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TlO2gcs1YvM). [Kamikaze](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ma3ya_lqCLM)-Drohnenschwärme stürzen sich in Gruppen auf die mit ihnen explodierenden Ziele. Und die größeren Modelle beglücken den Feind mit bis zu sechs [Granaten](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mT5FKNQ2Fg8).
Projekte des US-Militärs und [chinesische](https://youtu.be/LpaSXwpKzGk?si=6bKHlqaoi_mpURDn) Guinness-Weltrekorde im Drohnen-Formationsflug [zeigen](https://www.regenauer.press/null), dass es wohl nicht mehr allzu lange dauern wird, bis autonome Schwärme, die von ebenso autonomen Trägerfahrzeugen verteilt und aufgeladen werden, Krisengebiete, Grenzen und Innenstädte überwachen – und schützen. Fragt sich nur, vor wem.
Die inflationäre Verwendung von und progressiv-positive Kommunikation zu Drohnentechnologie sowie KI sollte also durchaus zu denken geben. Denn was dem Hobbyfilmer günstige Luftaufnahmen liefert und Zuschauern in Form eines illuminierten [Drachens](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3G1KBu6H6BM) aus 1.500 Drohnen über Shenzen Bewunderung abnötigt, dürfte die nächste Ausbaustufe militarisierter Überwachungsinfrastruktur charakterisieren.
Der gemeine »*Agent*«, die »*iDrone*«, der Boid – also der von medialer Dynamik und Polarisierungsdialektik überforderte Homo demens – sieht diesen Entwicklungen natürlich weithin gelassen entgegen. Denn er »*bewegt sich in Richtung des Mittelpunkts derer, die er in seinem Umfeld sieht, entfernt sich, sobald ihm jemand zu nahe kommt und läuft immer in etwa die gleiche Richtung wie seine Nachbarn*«.
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@ a012dc82:6458a70d
2025-02-20 15:02:29
The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) has recently introduced a groundbreaking ruling that significantly alters the way Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are accounted for in financial statements. This new development is poised to transform the landscape of crypto accounting, bringing in more transparency and alignment with traditional financial practices. Let's delve into the details of this pivotal change.
**Table of Contents**
- Introduction to the New FASB Ruling
- The Shift to Fair Value Accounting
- Understanding Fair Value Accounting
- Impact on Financial Reporting
- Advantages of the New Approach
- Enhanced Transparency and Accuracy
- Positive Implications for Companies
- Challenges and Considerations
- Dealing with Volatility
- Auditor Expertise
- Industry Response and Future Outlook
- Embracing the Change
- Long-Term Implications
- Conclusion
- FAQs
**Introduction to the New FASB Ruling**
The FASB, the principal body responsible for establishing accounting standards in the United States, announced a new set of rules concerning the accounting of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. This announcement marks a significant shift from the previous accounting practices for digital assets. Previously, the lack of clear guidelines led to inconsistencies and uncertainties in how companies reported their crypto holdings. The new ruling aims to standardize these practices and reflects the growing importance of cryptocurrencies in the financial world.
**The Shift to Fair Value Accounting**
**Understanding Fair Value Accounting**
Under the new FASB rules, companies are now required to account for cryptocurrencies at their fair value. Fair value accounting involves assessing assets and liabilities based on their current market value, rather than their historical cost. This approach is expected to provide a more accurate and real-time reflection of a company's financial status. It marks a significant departure from the traditional cost-based accounting methods, which often do not reflect the current market realities, especially in the case of highly volatile assets like cryptocurrencies.
**Impact on Financial Reporting**
This shift to fair value accounting means that companies holding cryptocurrencies will report the value of these assets based on their market prices at the end of each reporting period. This move is a departure from the previous method where Bitcoin was treated as an intangible asset, leading to certain limitations in financial reporting. For instance, under the old rules, if the value of Bitcoin fell below its purchase price, companies had to report a loss, but they couldn't report an increase in value unless the asset was sold. The new approach allows for a more dynamic and responsive reporting system that better reflects the economic realities of holding cryptocurrencies.
**Advantages of the New Approach**
**Enhanced Transparency and Accuracy**
One of the primary benefits of this new ruling is the increased transparency and accuracy it brings to financial reporting. Companies can now reflect the actual market value of their crypto holdings, providing a clearer picture of their financial health. This change is particularly significant given the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies. By reporting the fair market value, companies can provide stakeholders with a more accurate depiction of their financial standing, which is crucial for informed decision-making by investors, regulators, and other stakeholders.
**Positive Implications for Companies**
Companies are likely to welcome this change as it allows them to report unrealized gains and losses on cryptocurrencies. This could encourage more businesses to add cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin to their balance sheets, as they can now recognize the appreciation in value without needing to sell the assets. This change could also lead to a broader acceptance of cryptocurrencies as a legitimate and valuable asset class, potentially spurring further investment and innovation in the crypto space.
**Challenges and Considerations**
**Dealing with Volatility**
The inherent volatility of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin poses a significant challenge in fair value accounting. Companies will need to develop robust methods to accurately assess the market value of these assets, which can fluctuate widely. This volatility requires continuous monitoring and frequent valuation adjustments, which can be resource-intensive and complex. Companies will need to invest in sophisticated valuation models and possibly seek external expertise to ensure accuracy and compliance.
**Auditor Expertise**
Another challenge lies in the need for auditors to acquire expertise in valuing cryptocurrencies. Assessing the fair market value of digital assets is a complex task that requires specific knowledge and skills. Auditors will need to stay abreast of the rapidly evolving crypto market and develop new methodologies for valuation. This requirement not only adds a layer of complexity to the audit process but also underscores the need for ongoing education and training in this emerging field.
**Industry Response and Future Outlook**
**Embracing the Change**
The industry's response to the FASB's ruling has been largely positive. Industry leaders view this as a step towards mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrencies and a move that aligns digital assets with traditional financial reporting standards. This ruling is seen as a validation of the growing role of cryptocurrencies in the financial sector and a sign that regulatory bodies are beginning to recognize and adapt to the unique characteristics of these digital assets.
**Long-Term Implications**
In the long run, this ruling could lead to greater institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies. As financial reporting becomes more standardized and transparent, it may foster greater trust and confidence among investors and regulators. This could pave the way for more widespread use of cryptocurrencies in various financial transactions and potentially influence the development of new financial products and services centered around digital assets.
**Conclusion**
The FASB's latest ruling on cryptocurrency accounting is a landmark decision that aligns the treatment of digital assets with traditional financial practices. While it presents certain challenges, particularly in terms of volatility and the need for specialized auditor expertise, the overall impact is expected to be profoundly positive. This change not only enhances transparency and accuracy in financial reporting but also paves the way for broader acceptance and integration of cryptocurrencies in the mainstream financial world. As the industry adapts to these new rules, we can expect to see a more mature and robust crypto market, potentially leading to innovative financial solutions and greater economic opportunities.
**FAQs**
**When will the new FASB rules take effect?**
The new rules are set to take effect from December 15, 2024, but companies have the option to apply them earlier.
**How does fair value accounting affect financial reporting?**
Fair value accounting allows companies to report the value of cryptocurrencies based on current market prices, providing a more accurate and real-time reflection of a company's financial status.
**What are the benefits of the new FASB ruling?**
The new ruling enhances transparency and accuracy in financial reporting and encourages more businesses to add cryptocurrencies to their balance sheets by allowing them to report unrealized gains and losses.
**What challenges does the new ruling present?**
The main challenges include dealing with the volatility of cryptocurrencies in fair value accounting and the need for auditors to develop expertise in valuing these digital assets.
**What is the industry's response to the new ruling?**
The industry has largely responded positively, viewing it as a step towards mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrencies and alignment with traditional financial reporting standards.
**That's all for today**
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@ 2e8970de:63345c7a
2025-02-22 09:03:55
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> Rising home prices and high mortgage rates have pushed the median age of homebuyers to a record-high 56 years old in 2024, up from 45 in 2021. In 1981, the median age of homebuyers was 31 years old,
[source](https://www.apolloacademy.com/median-age-of-homebuyers-56/)
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/893804
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@ fd08d618:5f7fc0ae
2025-02-22 06:31:54
කොටහේන ගල්පොත්ත හංදිය ප්රදේශයේ අද (21) පස්වරුවේ සිදුවූ වෙඩි තැබීමකින් එක් අයෙක් මියගොස් තිබේ.
වෙඩි තැබීම සිදුකර පලායමින් සිටි වෙඩික්කරු ලුහුබැඳගොස් අත් අඩංගුවට ගැනීමට පොලිසිය සමත්ව ඇත . එහිදී වෙඩික්කරු සහ යතුරු පැදිකරු සමගින් වෙඩි තබීමට යොදාගත් T-56 ගිනි අවියද පොලිස් අත්අඩංගුවට ගෙන ඇති බව වාර්තා වනවා.
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-02-20 10:16:03
**ภาพรวม BTCUSDT (OKX):**
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) ยังคงแสดงความผันผวนและแนวโน้มที่ไม่ชัดเจน แม้ว่าแนวโน้มระยะยาว (TF Day) จะยังคงมีลักษณะเป็นขาขึ้น (แต่*อ่อนแรงลงอย่างมาก*) แนวโน้มระยะกลาง (TF4H) และระยะสั้น (TF15) เป็นขาลง การวิเคราะห์ครั้งนี้จะเน้นไปที่การระบุระดับราคาที่ Smart Money อาจจะเข้ามามีส่วนร่วม และการประเมินความแข็งแกร่งของแนวโน้ม
**วิเคราะห์ทีละ Timeframe:**
**(1) TF Day (รายวัน):**
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* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาขึ้น (Uptrend) *อ่อนแรงลงอย่างมาก, มีความเสี่ยงที่จะเปลี่ยนแนวโน้ม*
* **SMC:**
* Higher Highs (HH) และ Higher Lows (HL) *เริ่มไม่ชัดเจน, ราคาหลุด Low ก่อนหน้า*
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านบน *แต่มีการปรับฐานที่รุนแรง*
* **Liquidity:**
* มี Sellside Liquidity (SSL) อยู่ใต้ Lows ก่อนหน้า (บริเวณ 85,000 - 90,000)
* มี Buyside Liquidity (BSL) อยู่เหนือ High เดิม
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** ราคาหลุด Order Block ขาขึ้น (บริเวณแท่งเทียนสีเขียวก่อนหน้านี้) *สัญญาณลบ*
* **EMA:**
* ราคา *หลุด* EMA 50 (สีเหลือง) ลงมาแล้ว
* EMA 200 (สีขาว) เป็นแนวรับถัดไป
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* *สีแดงยาว* แสดงถึงแรงขายที่แข็งแกร่ง
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* สีแดง (เมฆแดง) แสดงถึงแนวโน้มขาลง *และไม่มีสัญญาณซื้อ/ขายปรากฏ*
* **Volume Profile:** Volume ค่อนข้างเบาบาง
* **แท่งเทียน:** แท่งเทียนล่าสุดเป็นสีแดง แสดงถึงแรงขาย
* **แนวรับ:** EMA 200, บริเวณ 85,000 - 90,000 (SSL)
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, High เดิม
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มขาขึ้นอ่อนแรงลงอย่างมาก, *สัญญาณอันตรายหลายอย่าง*, Money Flow และ Trend Strength เป็นลบ, *หลุด Order Block และ EMA 50*
**(2) TF4H (4 ชั่วโมง):**
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* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาลง (Downtrend)
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) และ Lower Lows (LL)
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านล่าง
* **Liquidity:**
* มี SSL อยู่ใต้ Lows ก่อนหน้า
* มี BSL อยู่เหนือ Highs ก่อนหน้า
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** ราคาไม่สามารถผ่าน Order Block ขาลงได้
* **EMA:**
* ราคาอยู่ใต้ EMA 50 และ EMA 200
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* สีแดง แสดงถึงแรงขาย
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* สีเขียว (เมฆเขียว) *แต่ไม่มีสัญญาณซื้อ/ขายปรากฏ*
* **Volume Profile:**
* Volume ค่อนข้างสูง
* **แนวรับ:** บริเวณ Low ล่าสุด
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, EMA 200, บริเวณ Order Block
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มขาลงชัดเจน, แรงขายมีอิทธิพล, *Trend Strength ขัดแย้งกับ Price Action*
**(3) TF15 (15 นาที):**
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* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาลง (Downtrend) *แต่เริ่มเห็นสัญญาณ Sideways*
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) และ Lower Lows (LL) *เริ่มเห็นการยก Low เล็กน้อย*
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านล่าง
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** ราคา Sideways ใกล้ Order Block
* **EMA:**
* EMA 50 และ EMA 200 เป็นแนวต้าน
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* แดงสลับเขียว *แต่ส่วนใหญ่ยังเป็นสีแดง*
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* สีแดง (เมฆแดง) แสดงถึงแนวโน้มขาลง *แต่มีสัญญาณ Bullish Divergence (ราคาทำ Lower Low แต่ Trend Strength ยก Low)*
* **Volume Profile:**
* Volume ค่อนข้างสูง
* **แนวรับ:** บริเวณ Low ล่าสุด
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มขาลง, เริ่มพักตัว, Money Flow เริ่มมีความไม่แน่นอน, *Trend Strength มี Divergence*
**สรุปภาพรวมและกลยุทธ์ (BTCUSDT):**
* **แนวโน้มหลัก (Day):** ขาขึ้น (*อ่อนแรงลงอย่างมาก, เสี่ยงที่จะเปลี่ยนแนวโน้ม*)
* **แนวโน้มรอง (4H):** ขาลง
* **แนวโน้มระยะสั้น (15m):** ขาลง (เริ่มพักตัว, *มี Divergence*)
* **Liquidity:** มี SSL ทั้งใน Day, 4H, และ 15m
* **Money Flow:** เป็นลบในทุก Timeframes
* **Trend Strength:** Day/15m เป็นขาลง, 4H เป็นขาขึ้น *แต่ไม่มีสัญญาณ*
* **กลยุทธ์:**
1. **Wait & See (ดีที่สุด):** รอความชัดเจน *โดยเฉพาะการ Breakout หรือ Breakdown จากกรอบ Sideways ใน TF15*
2. **Short (เสี่ยง):** ถ้าไม่สามารถ Breakout EMA/แนวต้านใน TF ใดๆ ได้, หรือเมื่อเกิดสัญญาณ Bearish Continuation
3. ***ไม่แนะนำให้ Buy:*** จนกว่าจะมีสัญญาณกลับตัวที่ชัดเจนมากๆ
**Day Trade & การเทรดรายวัน:**
* **Day Trade (TF15):**
* **Short Bias:** หาจังหวะ Short เมื่อราคาเด้งขึ้นไปทดสอบแนวต้าน (EMA, Order Block)
* **Stop Loss:** เหนือแนวต้านที่เข้า Short
* **Take Profit:** แนวรับถัดไป (Low ล่าสุด)
* **ระวัง:** Bullish Divergence ใน Trend Strength
* **ไม่แนะนำให้ Long**
* **Swing Trade (TF4H):**
* **Short Bias:** รอจังหวะ Short เมื่อราคาไม่สามารถผ่านแนวต้าน EMA หรือ Order Block ได้
* **Stop Loss:** เหนือแนวต้านที่เข้า Short
* **Take Profit:** แนวรับถัดไป
* **ไม่แนะนำให้ Long**
**สิ่งที่ต้องระวัง:**
* **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** มีโอกาสสูงที่ราคาจะถูกลากลงไปแตะ SSL
* **False Breakouts:** ระวัง
* **Volatility:** สูง
* **Divergence (TF15):** อาจเป็นสัญญาณเริ่มต้นของการกลับตัว *แต่ต้องรอการยืนยัน*
* **Trend Strength (TF4H):** ไม่มีสัญญาณซื้อ/ขาย ต้องระวัง
**Setup Day Trade แบบ SMC (ตัวอย่าง):**
1. **ระบุ Order Block:** หา Order Block ขาลง (Bearish Order Block) ใน TF15 (แท่งเทียนสีเขียวก่อนที่ราคาจะลงแรง)
2. **รอ Pullback:** รอให้ราคา Pullback ขึ้นไปทดสอบ Order Block นั้น
3. **หา Bearish Entry:**
* **Rejection:** รอ Price Action ปฏิเสธ Order Block (เช่น เกิด Pin Bar, Engulfing)
* **Break of Structure:** รอให้ราคา Break โครงสร้างย่อยๆ ใน TF ที่เล็กกว่า (เช่น 1m, 5m) หลังจากที่ทดสอบ Order Block
* **Money Flow:** ดู Money Flow ให้เป็นสีแดง
4. **ตั้ง Stop Loss:** เหนือ Order Block
5. **ตั้ง Take Profit:** แนวรับถัดไป (เช่น Low ล่าสุด) หรือ Order Block ขาขึ้น (Bullish Order Block) ใน TF ที่ใหญ่กว่า
**คำแนะนำ:**
* **ความขัดแย้งของ Timeframes:** มีอยู่ แต่แนวโน้มระยะกลาง-สั้น เป็นลบ
* **Money Flow:** เป็นลบในทุก Timeframes
* **Trend Strength:** เริ่มมี Divergence ใน TF15
* **Order Block TF Day:** หลุด Order Block ขาขึ้นแล้ว
* **ถ้าไม่แน่ใจ อย่าเพิ่งเข้าเทรด**
**Disclaimer:** การวิเคราะห์นี้เป็นเพียงความคิดเห็นส่วนตัว ไม่ถือเป็นคำแนะนำในการลงทุน ผู้ลงทุนควรศึกษาข้อมูลเพิ่มเติมและตัดสินใจด้วยความรอบคอบ
-
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@ da9e1099:a923b7ff
2025-02-22 04:54:14
Anybody remember “slug-bug”? It’s a game I used to play as a boy. Before Volkswagen committed the cardinal sin of cheating at the expense of the environment? VW failed its breathalyzer test when forced to drive, under harsh scrutiny, a very long, straight line.
Prior to that faux pas, Volkswagen built a “wagon for the people”. They were ubiquitous. If spotted, you immediately blurted “slug-bug”, and then “socked” your buddy. Scoring included identifying the paint color, let’s not forget that detail. “Slug-bug blue.” Slug-bug black and blue. It seemed like they were everywhere, precisely because we were looking for them, and precisely because they were everywhere. It wasn’t simply confirmation bias.
I suppose it proves the point of the proponents of toxic masculinity theory. We preferred gleefully pummeling each other while riding unbelted in the back seat of the family station wagon, or while riding BMX bikes to the pit, trailhead, or next best site of aerial invigoration. It‘s what we did as kids. It wasn’t just the boys, but usually it was. Skinned knees and welts earned during Volkswagen drive-bys were everyday pass time. Ride bikes. Jump off things that were a little too high. Wrestle. Play tackle football, then “slug-bug” again ad infinitum.
Not so anymore. Has the zeitgeist swept us from the “violence” that accompanied the spotting of a rapidly obsolescing German automobile? Does masculine, rough-housing behavior mirror the verboten culture of the most nefarious German Third Reich; blitzkrieg in polygonal cages the world over? Am I en membered in a regime of misguided youth come adult, whose hobby is rife with fascistic psychological traits? Do bruised arms inevitably lead to black eyes and incapacitation? Has my fascination with punching my best friend on sight of a “people mobile made for the masses” become a gateway activity to brutalism?
Set aside the theories of toxic masculinity, the extent to which such a thing exists, and how they are reputed to affect men and society at large. A well crafted combat sports regimen is a healing prescription for all. Never mind the protests that regimented fighting is a psychological scourge of the modern male. Disregard any claims that such behavior leads to psychopathology and normative violence against women. Counter those politically correct WMDs aimed at traditional values. They have informed masculine behavior since before the beginning of recorded history. I strongly recommend enrolling your son in a Martial Arts program. A quality program benefits all parties.
*Your son’s hyperactivity and rough and tumble behavior is welcome here.*
Me and my ilk believe that exuberant physical behavior is healthy when channeled constructively. A well planned martial arts program provides a safe, encouraging space in which kids can physically develop combat skills. The wrestling mat can validate a child’s physical impulses and remind him he is welcome, even if coaches must periodically subject him to disciplinary measures or a drubbing from the boy next door. Clearly defined rules and penalties for breaking them incentivize positive behavior. Physical training is a pressure release valve that promotes academic focus and sociable behavior outside of the gym. Boys benefit from fraternity, and they come to embody the learned values, carrying them into the domains they frequent.
A combination of physical exertion, intellectual gaming, and self-defense practice is a solid recipe for a youth program, irrespective of age or developmental level. Parents should make it a priority to foster a healthy relationship with physical activity in their children…even if the sport they ultimately choose isn’t martial arts.
*MMA cultivates the mind and rewards problem solving.*
While martial arts may seem like a grossly physical discipline, physical problems require intellectual solutions. MMA is the thinking man’s sport. Youth will learn to reason during intense physical exertion. They will learn composure under stress. Given the fluid, dynamic nature of Mixed Martial Arts, split second decision making is required for problem solving. Practicing physical forms encourages kids to internalize mechanics. Striking combinations and obstacle courses promote sequencing. Round timers guide kids to perform on the clock.
Students take countless academic tests that influence their academic trajectories. The AI technological revolution will reward people who have excellent “soft skills”. Time management, decision making under pressure, adaptability, conflict resolution, creative thinking, and teamwork are on offer in a good martial arts program.
*MMA is a team sport.*
Competition teams are stables of mates who share the common goal of victory through excellence, even while each needs to perform independently to succeed. A fighter cannot adequately prepare himself for a competition without the guidance of a coach and the help of teammates with whom he can drill, spar, condition and commiserate.
Whether gymnasium or workplace, it’s difficult to keep competent help. Showing up on time. Doing what you’ve committed to do with consistency. Graciously accepting help to overcome sticking points and feelings of impotence, not to mention defeat. Being available for a teammate who was there for your training camp when his training camp rolls around. A worthwhile martial arts regimen should demand and encourage such behavior and ethics. Kids who choose to compete will learn to live by virtuous codes and cultivate relationships with others like them.
*Confidence is ingredient to standing up to bullies and would be abductors.*
Children need to be confronted with role-playing scenarios that bring theoretical concepts into the real world of school cafeteria confrontations, rowdy movie nights at the mall, battles with bullies on the way home from band practice and pederasts on the lurk.
A child will learn the conscienceless tools of defense and offense, but, as we know, with power comes responsibility. Teaching a child the physical, martial arts without teaching them the proper circumstances under which it is to be used or proportionality can breed more bullies. See ‘The Karate Kid’. Kids must be taught accountability to go with their hard earned, dangerous abilities.
*Failure is a good. In fact, it’s essential.*
Kids will ‘fail’ at life. They will fail in school and kickball. They will fail at video gaming. How they learn to deal with failure will define them more so than any other skill. A well constructed martial arts program will help a child work through his failures.
The goal should be for any aspirant to view failure as an opportunity to redouble his efforts and outperform. When a child learns to reapply himself physically, while thinking his way through what is fundamentally an intellectual problem, his confidence swells. A well planned MMA program provides a supervised space (physical and virtual) in which children can engage problems, challenge themselves, supportively fail and set goals to overcome those obstacles. When a person regiments goal setting and meets his challenges, it inspires a positive feedback loop that spirals into other aspects of his life.
*Martial Arts families share a community.*
A child who enrolls in a Martial Arts program will interact with like-minded kids and their parents, people who share similar values and philosophies. Lifelong friendships often begin this way, and playdate vetting takes care of itself. Billy and James both like to wrestle, and they enjoy Star Wars. This is the way.
Irrespective of your position on whether there is a thing called toxic masculinity, a well thought out and responsibly implemented martial arts regimen is a boon to child, family, greater community and society full wide. There are a variety of philosophies, intensity levels and art forms that fall under the “Martial Arts” catchall heading. Call around, ask questions and observe classes. Starting a new activity can be intimidating for both parent and child, especially when beginning a combat art. I recommend gentle encouragement. Forcing a child to train against his will risks poisoning the well and possibly the athletic pond more broadly. It’s a fine line to walk. Take one step at a time.
-
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-02-20 10:12:37
**Overall Assessment:**
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on OKX remains highly volatile and shows conflicting signals. The long-term trend (Daily chart) is technically still an uptrend, *but it has weakened considerably* and is showing significant signs of a potential reversal. The 4-hour and 15-minute charts are in confirmed downtrends. The focus of this analysis is on identifying potential areas of Smart Money activity (liquidity pools and order blocks) and assessing trend strength.
**Detailed Analysis by Timeframe:**
**(1) TF Day (Daily):**
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* **Trend:** Uptrend (Significantly Weakening, *at risk of reversing*).
* **SMC (Smart Money Concepts):**
* Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) structure is *becoming less defined*. The recent price action has broken previous lows.
* Prior Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside, but the current pullback is very deep.
* **Liquidity:**
* **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** Significant SSL rests below previous lows in the 85,000 - 90,000 range. This is a likely target for Smart Money.
* **Buyside Liquidity (BSL):** BSL is present above the all-time high.
* **ICT (Inner Circle Trader Concepts):**
* **Order Block:** The price has *broken below* the prior bullish Order Block (the large green candle before a significant up-move). This is a *major bearish signal*.
* **EMA (Exponential Moving Average):**
* Price has *broken below* the 50-period EMA (yellow), a bearish signal.
* The 200-period EMA (white) is the next major support level.
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* A *long red bar* indicates strong selling pressure.
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* Red Cloud indicating Downtrend, *No Buy/Sell Signal*
* **Volume Profile:** Relatively low volume on the recent decline.
* **Candlesticks:** The most recent candlestick is red, confirming selling pressure.
* **Support:** EMA 200, 85,000-90,000 (SSL area).
* **Resistance:** EMA 50, Previous All-Time High.
* **Summary:** The Daily chart's uptrend is significantly weakening. The break below the 50 EMA *and* the bullish Order Block, combined with the negative Money Flow and bearish Trend Strength, are all major warning signs.
**(2) TF4H (4-Hour):**
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* **Trend:** Downtrend.
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
* BOS to the downside.
* **Liquidity:**
* **SSL:** Below previous lows.
* **BSL:** Above previous highs.
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** The price rallied up to, and was rejected by, a *bearish* Order Block.
* **EMA:**
* Price is below both the 50-period and 200-period EMAs (bearish).
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* Predominantly red, confirming selling pressure.
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* Green Cloud, *But No Buy/Sell Signal.* This indicates a potential *retracement* within the downtrend, or a period of consolidation, *not* a trend reversal.
* **Volume Profile:**
* Relatively High volume
* **Support:** Recent lows.
* **Resistance:** EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block.
* **Summary:** The 4-hour chart is in a confirmed downtrend. The Money Flow is bearish, and the price was rejected by a key Order Block. The green Trend Strength cloud *without* a buy signal suggests a potential *temporary* relief rally or consolidation, *not* a trend change.
**(3) TF15 (15-Minute):**
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* **Trend:** Downtrend (with some signs of *possible* stabilization).
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) – *but the most recent low is slightly higher, a potential early sign of a change*.
* BOS to the downside.
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** Price has reacted to bearish Order Block.
* **EMA:**
* The 50-period and 200-period EMAs are acting as resistance.
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* Red and green alternating , showing some buying pressure has appeared, but sellers are still in control overall.
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* Red Cloud (Bearish), *BUT* there's a *bullish divergence* (price made a lower low, but the Trend Strength indicator made a higher low). This is a *potential* early warning sign of a reversal, but it needs *strong confirmation*.
* **Volume Profile:**
* relatively high volume.
* **Support:** Recent lows.
* **Resistance:** EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block.
* **Summary:** The 15-minute chart is in a downtrend, but there are *very early* and *tentative* signs of a possible stabilization or even a minor bounce. The bullish divergence on the Trend Strength is important to note, but it's not a buy signal on its own.
**Overall Strategy and Recommendations (BTCUSDT):**
* **Primary Trend (Day):** Uptrend (Significantly Weakening).
* **Secondary Trend (4H):** Downtrend.
* **Short-Term Trend (15m):** Downtrend (Potential Early Reversal Signals).
* **Liquidity:** Significant SSL zones exist below the current price on all timeframes.
* **Money Flow:** Negative on all timeframes, although the 15m is showing *some* buying pressure returning.
* **Trend Strength:** Bearish on Day and 15m. Bullish on 4H, *but without a buy/sell signal*, indicating a likely retracement or consolidation, not a trend change.
* **Strategies:**
1. **Wait & See (Best Option):** The conflicting signals (especially the 4H Trend Strength) and the strong bearish momentum on the shorter timeframes make waiting the most prudent approach. Look for:
* **Bearish Confirmation:** A decisive break below the recent lows on the 15m and 4H charts, with increasing volume and continued negative Money Flow. This would confirm the continuation of the downtrend.
* **Bullish Confirmation:** A strong, sustained break above the 15m EMAs, a shift in the 15m Money Flow to green, *and* a bullish signal on the 4H Trend Strength. This would be a *very early* sign of a potential reversal, but it would need further confirmation on the 4H chart (price above EMAs, positive Money Flow).
2. **Short (High Risk):** This is the more likely scenario *at this moment*, given the 4H and 15m downtrends.
* **Entry:** On rallies towards resistance levels (EMAs on 15m/4H, previous support levels that have turned into resistance).
* **Stop Loss:** Above recent highs on the chosen timeframe.
* **Target:** The next support levels (recent lows on 15m, then the Daily Order Block area around 92,000-94,000).
3. **Buy on Dip (Extremely High Risk - Not Recommended):** Do *not* attempt to buy until there are *very strong and consistent* bullish reversal signals across *all* timeframes, including a definitive shift in market structure on the 4H and 15m charts, positive Money Flow, and a clear break above resistance levels.
**Key Recommendations:**
* **Conflicting Signals:** The most important factor is the conflict between the still *technically* bullish Daily chart and the bearish 4H and 15m charts. The 4H Trend Strength being bullish *without a signal* adds to the uncertainty.
* **Money Flow:** The predominantly negative Money Flow is a major bearish factor.
* **15m Trend Strength Divergence:** This is a *potential* early warning, but it's *not* a buy signal on its own. It needs *much* more confirmation.
* **Daily Order Block:** The *break* of the bullish Order Block on the Daily chart is a significant bearish development.
* **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** Be aware that Smart Money may target the SSL zones below. This increases the risk of stop-loss hunting.
* **Risk Management:** Due to the high uncertainty and volatility, *strict risk management is absolutely critical.* Use tight stop-losses, do not overtrade, and be prepared for rapid price swings.
* **Volume:** Confirm any breakout with volume.
**Day Trading and Intraday Trading Strategies:**
* **Day Trade (TF15 focus):**
* **Short Bias:** Given the current 15m downtrend and negative Money Flow, the higher probability is to look for shorting opportunities.
* **Entry:** Look for price to rally to resistance levels (EMAs, Order Blocks, previous support levels that have become resistance) and then show signs of rejection (bearish candlestick patterns, increasing volume on the downside).
* **Stop Loss:** Place a stop-loss order above the resistance level where you enter the short position.
* **Take Profit:** Target the next support level (recent lows).
* **Be very cautious:** The bullish divergence on the Trend Strength indicator suggests a potential bounce *could* occur. Don't be aggressive with shorts until this divergence is invalidated.
* **Avoid Long positions:** Until there's a *clear* and *confirmed* bullish reversal on the 15m chart (break above EMAs, positive Money Flow, bullish market structure).
* **Swing Trade (TF4H focus):**
* **Short Bias:** The 4H chart is in a downtrend.
* **Entry:** Wait for price to rally to resistance levels (EMAs, Order Blocks) and show signs of rejection.
* **Stop Loss:** Above the resistance level where you enter the short position.
* **Take Profit:** Target the next support levels (e.g., the 200 EMA on the Daily chart, SSL zones).
* **Avoid long position:** Until there's a *clear* and *confirmed* bullish reversal on the 4H chart.
**SMC Day Trade Setup Example (TF15 - Bearish):**
1. **Identify Bearish Order Block:** Locate a bearish Order Block on the TF15 chart (a bullish candle before a strong downward move). *We have already identified this in previous analyses.*
2. **Wait for Pullback:** Wait for the price to pull back up to test the Order Block.
3. **Bearish Entry:**
* **Rejection:** Look for price action to reject the Order Block (e.g., a pin bar, engulfing pattern, or other bearish candlestick pattern).
* **Break of Structure:** Look for a break of a minor support level on a *lower* timeframe (e.g., 1-minute or 5-minute) after the price tests the Order Block. This confirms weakening bullish momentum.
* **Money Flow:** Confirm that Money Flow remains negative (red).
4. **Stop Loss:** Place a stop-loss order *above* the Order Block.
5. **Take Profit:** Target the next support level (e.g., recent lows) or a bullish Order Block on a higher timeframe.
**In conclusion, BTCUSDT is currently in a high-risk, uncertain environment. The short-term and medium-term trends are bearish, while the long-term trend is weakening. The best approach for most traders is to wait for clearer signals. Shorting is the higher-probability trade *at this moment*, but only for experienced traders who can manage risk aggressively. Buying is extremely risky and not recommended at this time.** The bullish divergence on the 15m Trend Strength is a *potential* early warning of a change, but it needs *much* more confirmation before acting on it. The 4-hour chart showing a green cloud with *no* buy/sell signal adds to the uncertainty, suggesting a possible retracement/consolidation *within* the downtrend.
**Disclaimer:** This analysis is for informational purposes only and represents a personal opinion. It is not financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. Investors should conduct their own research and exercise due diligence before making any investment decisions.