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@ a2eddb26:e2868a80
2025-02-20 20:28:46
In personal finance, the principles of financial independence and time sovereignty (FITS) empower individuals to escape the debt-based cycle that forces them into perpetual work. What if companies could apply the same principles? What if businesses, instead of succumbing to the relentless push for infinite growth, could optimize for real demand?
This case study of the GPU industry aims to show that fiat-driven incentives distort technological progress and imagines an alternative future built on sound money.
### **Fiat Business: Growth or Death**
Tech companies no longer optimize for efficiency, longevity, or real user needs. Instead, under a fiat system, they are forced into a perpetual growth model. If NVIDIA, AMD, or Intel fail to show revenue expansion, their stock price tanks. Let's take NVIDIA's GPUs as an example. The result is predictable:
- GPUs that nobody actually needs but everyone is told to buy.
- A focus on artificial benchmarks instead of real-world performance stability.
- Endless FPS increases that mean nothing for 99% of users.
The RTX 5090 is not for gamers. It is for NVIDIA’s quarterly earnings. This is not a surprise on a fiat standard.
### **Fiat Marketing: The Illusion of Need and the Refresh Rate Trap**
Benchmarks confirm that once a GPU maintains 120+ FPS in worst-case scenarios, additional performance gains become irrelevant for most players. This level of capability was reached years ago. The problem is that efficiency does not sell as easily as bigger numbers.
 This extends beyond raw GPU power and into the display market, where increasing refresh rates and resolutions are marketed as critical upgrades, despite diminishing real-world benefits for most users. While refresh rates above 120Hz may offer marginal improvements for competitive esports players, the average user sees little benefit beyond a certain threshold. Similarly, 8K resolutions are pushed as the next frontier, even though 4K remains underutilized due to game optimization and hardware constraints. This is why GPUs keep getting bigger, hotter, and more expensive, even when most gamers would be fine with a card from five years ago. It is why every generation brings another “must-have” feature, regardless of whether it impacts real-world performance. 
Marketing under fiat operates on the principle of making people think they need something they do not. The fiat standard does not just distort capital allocation. It manufactures demand by exaggerating the importance of specifications that most users do not truly need.
The goal is not technological progress but sales volume. True innovation would focus on meaningful performance gains that align with actual gaming demands, such as improving latency, frame-time consistency, and efficient power consumption. Instead, marketing convinces consumers they need unnecessary upgrades, driving them into endless hardware cycles that favor stock prices over user experience.
They need the next-gen cycle to maintain high margins. The hardware is no longer designed for users. It is designed for shareholders. A company operating on sound money would not rely on deceptive marketing cycles. It would align product development with real user needs instead of forcing artificial demand.
### **The Shift to AI**
For years, GPUs were optimized for gaming. Then AI changed everything. OpenAI, Google, and Stability AI now outbid consumers for GPUs. The 4090 became impossible to find, not because of gamers, but because AI labs were hoarding them.
The same companies that depended on the consumer upgrade cycle now see their real profits coming from data centers. Yet, they still push gaming hardware aggressively. However, legitimate areas for improvement do exist. While marketing exaggerates the need for higher FPS at extreme resolutions, real gaming performance should focus on frame stability, low latency, and efficient rendering techniques. These are the areas where actual innovation should be happening. Instead, the industry prioritizes artificial performance milestones to create the illusion of progress, rather than refining and optimizing for the gaming experience itself. Why?
### **Gamers Fund the R&D for AI and Bear the Cost of Scalping**
NVIDIA still needs gamers, but not in the way most think. The gaming market provides steady revenue, but it is no longer the priority. With production capacity shifting toward AI and industrial clients, fewer GPUs are available for gamers. This reduced supply has led to rampant scalping, where resellers exploit scarcity to drive up prices beyond reasonable levels. Instead of addressing the issue, NVIDIA benefits from the inflated demand and price perception, creating an even stronger case for prioritizing enterprise sales. Gaming revenue subsidizes AI research. The more RTX cards they sell, the more they justify pouring resources into data-center GPUs like the H100, which generate significantly higher margins than gaming hardware.
AI dictates the future of GPUs. If NVIDIA and AMD produced dedicated gamer-specific GPUs in higher volumes, they could serve that market at lower prices. But in the fiat-driven world of stockholder demands, maintaining artificially constrained supply ensures maximum profitability. Gamers are left paying inflated prices for hardware that is no longer built with them as the primary customer. That is why GPU prices keep climbing. Gamers are no longer the main customer. They are a liquidity pool.
### **The Financial Reality**
The financial reports confirm this shift: **NVIDIA’s 2024 fiscal year** saw a 126% revenue increase, reaching \$60.9 billion. The data center segment alone grew 217%, generating \$47.5 billion. ([Source](https://investor.nvidia.com/news/press-release-details/2024/NVIDIA-Announces-Financial-Results-for-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-2024/))
The numbers make it clear. The real money is in AI and data centers, not gaming. NVIDIA has not only shifted its focus away from gamers but has also engaged in financial engineering to maintain its dominance. The company has consistently engaged in substantial stock buybacks, a hallmark of fiat-driven financial practices. In August 2023, NVIDIA announced a \$25 billion share repurchase program, surprising some investors given the stock's significant rise that year. ([Source](https://www.reuters.com/technology/nvidias-25-billion-buyback-a-head-scratcher-some-shareholders-2023-08-25/)) This was followed by an additional \$50 billion buyback authorization in 2024, bringing the total to \$75 billion over two years. ([Source](https://www.marketwatch.com/story/nvidias-stock-buyback-plan-is-one-of-the-biggest-of-2024-is-that-a-good-thing-9beba5c5))
These buybacks are designed to return capital to shareholders and can enhance earnings per share by reducing the number of outstanding shares. However, they also reflect a focus on short-term stock price appreciation rather than long-term value creation. Instead of using capital for product innovation, NVIDIA directs it toward inflating stock value, ultimately reducing its long-term resilience and innovation potential. In addition to shifting production away from consumer GPUs, NVIDIA has also enabled AI firms to use its chips as collateral to secure massive loans. Lambda, an AI cloud provider, secured a \$500 million loan backed by NVIDIA's H200 and Blackwell AI chips, with financing provided by Macquarie Group and Industrial Development Funding. ([Source](https://www.reuters.com/technology/lambda-secures-500-mln-loan-with-nvidia-chips-collateral-2024-04-04/))
This practice mirrors the way Bitcoin miners have used mining hardware as collateral, expecting continuous high returns to justify the debt. GPUs are fast-depreciating assets that lose value rapidly as new generations replace them. Collateralizing loans with such hardware is a high-risk strategy that depends on continued AI demand to justify the debt. AI firms borrowing against them are placing a leveraged bet on demand staying high. If AI market conditions shift or next-generation chips render current hardware obsolete, the collateral value could collapse, leading to cascading loan defaults and liquidations.
This is not a sound-money approach to business. It is fiat-style quicksand financialization, where loans are built on assets with a limited shelf life. Instead of focusing on sustainable capital allocation, firms are leveraging their future on rapid turnover cycles. This further shifts resources away from gamers, reinforcing the trend where NVIDIA prioritizes high-margin AI sales over its original gaming audience. 
At the same time, NVIDIA has been accused of leveraging anti-competitive tactics to maintain its market dominance. The GeForce Partner Program (GPP) launched in 2018 sought to lock hardware partners into exclusive deals with NVIDIA, restricting consumer choice and marginalizing AMD. Following industry backlash, the program was canceled. ([Source](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GeForce_Partner_Program)) 
NVIDIA is not merely responding to market demand but shaping it through artificial constraints, financialization, and monopolistic control. The result is an industry where consumers face higher prices, limited options, and fewer true innovations as companies prioritize financial games over engineering excellence.
On this basis, short-term downturns fueled by stock buybacks and leveraged bets create instability, leading to key staff layoffs. This forces employees into survival mode rather than fostering long-term innovation and career growth. Instead of building resilient, forward-looking teams, companies trapped in fiat incentives prioritize temporary financial engineering over actual product and market development.
### **A Sound Money Alternative: Aligning Incentives**
Under a sound money system, consumers would become more mindful of purchases as prices naturally decline over time. This would force businesses to prioritize real value creation instead of relying on artificial scarcity and marketing hype. Companies would need to align their strategies with long-term customer satisfaction and sustainable engineering instead of driving demand through planned obsolescence.
Imagine an orange-pilled CEO at NVIDIA. Instead of chasing infinite growth, they persuade the board to pivot toward sustainability and long-term value creation. The company abandons artificial product cycles, prioritizing efficiency, durability, and cost-effectiveness. Gaming GPUs are designed to last a decade, not three years. The model shifts to modular upgrades instead of full replacements. Pricing aligns with real user needs, not speculative stock market gains.
Investors initially panic. The stock takes a temporary hit, but as consumers realize they no longer need to upgrade constantly, brand loyalty strengthens. Demand stabilizes, reducing volatility in production and supply chains. Gamers benefit from high-quality products that do not degrade artificially. AI buyers still access high-performance chips but at fair market prices, no longer subsidized by forced consumer churn.
This is not an abstract vision. Businesses could collateralize loans with Bitcoin. Companies could also leverage highly sought-after end products that maintain long-term value. Instead of stock buybacks or anti-competitive practices, companies would focus on building genuine, long-term value. A future where Bitcoin-backed reserves replace fiat-driven financial engineering would stabilize capital allocation, preventing endless boom-bust cycles. This shift would eliminate the speculative nature of AI-backed loans, fostering financial stability for both borrowers and lenders.
Sound money leads to sound business. When capital allocation is driven by real value rather than debt-fueled expansion, industries focus on sustainable innovation rather than wasteful iteration.
### **Reclaiming Time Sovereignty for Companies**
The fiat system forces corporations into unsustainable growth cycles. Companies that embrace financial independence and time sovereignty can escape this trap and focus on long-term value.
GPU development illustrates this distortion. The RTX 3080 met nearly all gaming needs, yet manufacturers push unnecessary performance gains to fuel stock prices rather than improve usability. GPUs are no longer designed for gamers but for AI and enterprise clients, shifting NVIDIA’s priorities toward financial engineering over real innovation.
This cycle of GPU inflation stems from fiat-driven incentives—growth for the sake of stock performance rather than actual demand. Under a sound money standard, companies would build durable products, prioritizing efficiency over forced obsolescence.
Just as individuals can reclaim financial sovereignty, businesses can do the same. Embracing sound money fosters sustainable business strategies, where technology serves real needs instead of short-term speculation.
#Bitcoin
#FITS
#Marketing
#TimeSovereignty
#BitcoinFixesThis
#OptOut
#EngineeringNotFinance
#SoundBusiness
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@ 000002de:c05780a7
2025-02-20 20:06:20
> The argument for liberty is not an argument against organization, which is one of the most powerful tools human reason can employ, but an argument against all exclusive, privileged, monopolistic organization, against the use of coercion to prevent others from doing better.
~ Friedrich August von Hayek, The Constitution of Liberty
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/892255
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@ e5de992e:4a95ef85
2025-02-20 19:56:02
**The Illusion of Opportunity**
A trader who focuses primarily on "making money" will often see opportunities that do not truly exist. This mindset leads to impulsive decision-making, overtrading, and unnecessary risk exposure. Successful trading is not about chasing profits but about executing a well-structured process that leads to consistent, sustainable results over time.
Traders who prioritize money over process often fall into the trap of forcing trades that do not meet their criteria. They see potential where the market does not support a trade, leading to poor risk-reward decisions. This psychological bias creates a cycle of frustration and loss, as each forced trade compounds previous mistakes.
**The Shift From Profit to Process**
The best traders focus on refining their strategy rather than constantly monitoring their profit and loss (P&L). By shifting attention from financial gain to execution quality, traders develop the discipline required to succeed in various market conditions.
**Key Principles to Maintain Focus on Process:**
***Trade Selection***: Every trade must align with a predefined strategy. If a setup does not meet strict criteria, it should be ignored, regardless of perceived opportunity.
***Risk Management***: Prioritizing risk over reward ensures longevity in the market. Traders who focus only on making money often ignore stop-loss discipline, leading to significant drawdowns.
***Emotional Control:*** The desire to profit can cloud judgment, making traders more susceptible to market traps. Avoiding emotional trading requires a structured plan and a mindset that prioritizes long-term consistency.
**The Pitfalls of Profit-Driven Trading**
When the primary goal is making money rather than executing well-structured trades, several common mistakes emerge:
1. **Overtrading**
Traders who are focused on profit often believe that more trades equate to more opportunities. In reality, overtrading leads to higher transaction costs, increased exposure to market noise, and a greater likelihood of errors.
Example: A trader sees multiple setups in a choppy market and takes unnecessary trades, resulting in minor losses that accumulate over time. A disciplined trader, in contrast, waits for high-probability setups and executes fewer trades with precision.
2. **Ignoring Market Conditions**
Markets move through different phases—trending, ranging, and volatile conditions. A trader fixated on making money may ignore these dynamics and attempt to force trades in an unfavorable environment.
Example: A momentum trader who performs well in trending markets struggles when conditions turn choppy. Instead of adjusting their approach or stepping back, they continue to take the same trades, leading to repeated losses.
3. **Chasing Trades**
Traders focused on quick profits often enter trades late, fearing they will miss out on a move. This "chasing" behavior results in poor entry points and reduces the overall risk-reward ratio.
Example: A stock makes a strong breakout, and a trader jumps in at an overextended price. The stock then retraces, forcing them to exit at a loss. Had they waited for a proper entry, they could have positioned themselves for a lower-risk trade.
4. **Neglecting Risk-Reward Ratios**
Traders who prioritize making money tend to focus on potential gains while disregarding downside risks. Without a proper risk-reward framework, a few bad trades can wipe out previous gains.
Example: A trader takes multiple high-risk trades aiming for large profits. While some work out, one significant loss erases weeks of gains. A trader who prioritizes risk management would avoid such scenarios by ensuring all trades maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio.
**Developing a Sustainable Trading Mindset**
To succeed in trading, the mindset must shift from short-term profit to long-term process optimization. This involves creating a structured approach that removes emotional bias and ensures consistency.
**Steps to Improve Trading Discipline:**
*Follow a Trading Plan* – Define entry and exit rules, risk management parameters, and position sizing.
Track and Review Performance – Maintain a trading journal to assess past decisions and identify patterns in behavior.
*Limit the Number of Trades* – Focus on quality over quantity to avoid unnecessary exposure and reduce emotional trading.
*Develop Patience* – Wait for high-probability setups instead of reacting impulsively to market movements.
*Separate Money From Execution* – Judge success based on adherence to a strategy rather than daily profit and loss fluctuations.
**Conclusion: Process Over Profit**
Traders who focus exclusively on making money often fall into patterns of impulsive decision-making, overtrading, and poor risk management. The key to long-term success lies in developing a structured process that prioritizes disciplined execution over immediate financial gains.
By refining strategy, managing risk, and maintaining emotional discipline, traders can build a sustainable approach that leads to consistent profitability. Instead of seeking opportunities everywhere, traders should focus on executing only the best setups, ensuring that every decision aligns with a well-defined plan.
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@ 000002de:c05780a7
2025-02-20 19:45:50
Are you seeing it? Been oddly quiet for me but I have friends that are seeing people come unglued. Think its hard to sustain that level if outrage. It's not healthy for sure. I was so angry during Covid and realized it wasn't worth it.
What's your experience. Not online but IRL.
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/892219
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@ 4857600b:30b502f4
2025-02-20 19:09:11
Mitch McConnell, a senior Republican senator, announced he will not seek reelection.
At 83 years old and with health issues, this decision was expected. After seven terms, he leaves a significant legacy in U.S. politics, known for his strategic maneuvering.
McConnell stated, “My current term in the Senate will be my last.” His retirement marks the end of an influential political era.
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@ 94a6a78a:0ddf320e
2025-02-19 21:10:15
Nostr is a revolutionary protocol that enables **decentralized, censorship-resistant communication**. Unlike traditional social networks controlled by corporations, Nostr operates without central servers or gatekeepers. This openness makes it incredibly powerful—but also means its success depends entirely on **users, developers, and relay operators**.
If you believe in **free speech, decentralization, and an open internet**, there are many ways to support and strengthen the Nostr ecosystem. Whether you're a casual user, a developer, or someone looking to contribute financially, **every effort helps build a more robust network**.
Here’s how you can get involved and make a difference.
---
## **1️⃣ Use Nostr Daily**
The simplest and most effective way to contribute to Nostr is by **using it regularly**. The more active users, the stronger and more valuable the network becomes.
✅ **Post, comment, and zap** (send micro-payments via Bitcoin’s Lightning Network) to keep conversations flowing.\
✅ **Engage with new users** and help them understand how Nostr works.\
✅ **Try different Nostr clients** like Damus, Amethyst, Snort, or Primal and provide feedback to improve the experience.
Your activity **keeps the network alive** and helps encourage more developers and relay operators to invest in the ecosystem.
---
## **2️⃣ Run Your Own Nostr Relay**
Relays are the **backbone of Nostr**, responsible for distributing messages across the network. The more **independent relays exist**, the stronger and more censorship-resistant Nostr becomes.
✅ **Set up your own relay** to help decentralize the network further.\
✅ **Experiment with relay configurations** and different performance optimizations.\
✅ **Offer public or private relay services** to users looking for high-quality infrastructure.
If you're not technical, you can still **support relay operators** by **subscribing to a paid relay** or donating to open-source relay projects.
---
## **3️⃣ Support Paid Relays & Infrastructure**
Free relays have helped Nostr grow, but they **struggle with spam, slow speeds, and sustainability issues**. **Paid relays** help fund **better infrastructure, faster message delivery, and a more reliable experience**.
✅ **Subscribe to a paid relay** to help keep it running.\
✅ **Use premium services** like media hosting (e.g., Azzamo Blossom) to decentralize content storage.\
✅ **Donate to relay operators** who invest in long-term infrastructure.
By funding **Nostr’s decentralized backbone**, you help ensure its **longevity and reliability**.
---
## **4️⃣ Zap Developers, Creators & Builders**
Many people contribute to Nostr **without direct financial compensation**—developers who build clients, relay operators, educators, and content creators. **You can support them with zaps!** ⚡
✅ **Find developers working on Nostr projects** and send them a zap.\
✅ **Support content creators and educators** who spread awareness about Nostr.\
✅ **Encourage builders** by donating to open-source projects.
Micro-payments via the **Lightning Network** make it easy to directly **support the people who make Nostr better**.
---
## **5️⃣ Develop New Nostr Apps & Tools**
If you're a developer, you can **build on Nostr’s open protocol** to create new apps, bots, or tools. Nostr is **permissionless**, meaning anyone can develop for it.
✅ **Create new Nostr clients** with unique features and user experiences.\
✅ **Build bots or automation tools** that improve engagement and usability.\
✅ **Experiment with decentralized identity, authentication, and encryption** to make Nostr even stronger.
With **no corporate gatekeepers**, your projects can help shape the future of decentralized social media.
---
## **6️⃣ Promote & Educate Others About Nostr**
Adoption grows when **more people understand and use Nostr**. You can help by **spreading awareness** and creating educational content.
✅ **Write blogs, guides, and tutorials** explaining how to use Nostr.\
✅ **Make videos or social media posts** introducing new users to the protocol.\
✅ **Host discussions, Twitter Spaces, or workshops** to onboard more people.
The more people **understand and trust Nostr**, the stronger the ecosystem becomes.
---
## **7️⃣ Support Open-Source Nostr Projects**
Many Nostr tools and clients are **built by volunteers**, and open-source projects thrive on **community support**.
✅ **Contribute code** to existing Nostr projects on GitHub.\
✅ **Report bugs and suggest features** to improve Nostr clients.\
✅ **Donate to developers** who keep Nostr free and open for everyone.
If you're not a developer, you can still **help with testing, translations, and documentation** to make projects more accessible.
---
## **🚀 Every Contribution Strengthens Nostr**
Whether you:
✔️ **Post and engage daily**\
✔️ **Zap creators and developers**\
✔️ **Run or support relays**\
✔️ **Build new apps and tools**\
✔️ **Educate and onboard new users**
**Every action helps make Nostr more resilient, decentralized, and unstoppable.**
Nostr isn’t just another social network—it’s **a movement toward a free and open internet**. If you believe in **digital freedom, privacy, and decentralization**, now is the time to get involved.
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@ 5de23b9a:d83005b3
2025-02-19 03:47:19
In a digital era that is increasingly controlled by large companies, the emergence of Nostr (Notes and Other Stuff Transmitted by Relays) is a breath of fresh air for those who crave freedom of expression.
Nostr is a cryptography-based protocol that allows users to send and receive messages through a relay network. Unlike conventional social media such as Twitter or Facebook
1.Full Decentralization: No company or government can remove or restrict content.
2.Sensor-Resistant: Information remains accessible despite blocking attempts.
3.Privacy and Security: Uses cryptography to ensure that only users who have the keys can access their messages.* **
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@ 9e69e420:d12360c2
2025-02-17 17:12:01
President Trump has intensified immigration enforcement, likening it to a wartime effort. Despite pouring resources into the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), arrest numbers are declining and falling short of goals. ICE fell from about 800 daily arrests in late January to fewer than 600 in early February.
Critics argue the administration is merely showcasing efforts with ineffectiveness, while Trump seeks billions more in funding to support his deportation agenda. Increased involvement from various federal agencies is intended to assist ICE, but many lack specific immigration training.
Challenges persist, as fewer immigrants are available for quick deportation due to a decline in illegal crossings. Local sheriffs are also pressured by rising demands to accommodate immigrants, which may strain resources further.
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@ a012dc82:6458a70d
2025-02-20 15:02:29
The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) has recently introduced a groundbreaking ruling that significantly alters the way Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are accounted for in financial statements. This new development is poised to transform the landscape of crypto accounting, bringing in more transparency and alignment with traditional financial practices. Let's delve into the details of this pivotal change.
**Table of Contents**
- Introduction to the New FASB Ruling
- The Shift to Fair Value Accounting
- Understanding Fair Value Accounting
- Impact on Financial Reporting
- Advantages of the New Approach
- Enhanced Transparency and Accuracy
- Positive Implications for Companies
- Challenges and Considerations
- Dealing with Volatility
- Auditor Expertise
- Industry Response and Future Outlook
- Embracing the Change
- Long-Term Implications
- Conclusion
- FAQs
**Introduction to the New FASB Ruling**
The FASB, the principal body responsible for establishing accounting standards in the United States, announced a new set of rules concerning the accounting of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. This announcement marks a significant shift from the previous accounting practices for digital assets. Previously, the lack of clear guidelines led to inconsistencies and uncertainties in how companies reported their crypto holdings. The new ruling aims to standardize these practices and reflects the growing importance of cryptocurrencies in the financial world.
**The Shift to Fair Value Accounting**
**Understanding Fair Value Accounting**
Under the new FASB rules, companies are now required to account for cryptocurrencies at their fair value. Fair value accounting involves assessing assets and liabilities based on their current market value, rather than their historical cost. This approach is expected to provide a more accurate and real-time reflection of a company's financial status. It marks a significant departure from the traditional cost-based accounting methods, which often do not reflect the current market realities, especially in the case of highly volatile assets like cryptocurrencies.
**Impact on Financial Reporting**
This shift to fair value accounting means that companies holding cryptocurrencies will report the value of these assets based on their market prices at the end of each reporting period. This move is a departure from the previous method where Bitcoin was treated as an intangible asset, leading to certain limitations in financial reporting. For instance, under the old rules, if the value of Bitcoin fell below its purchase price, companies had to report a loss, but they couldn't report an increase in value unless the asset was sold. The new approach allows for a more dynamic and responsive reporting system that better reflects the economic realities of holding cryptocurrencies.
**Advantages of the New Approach**
**Enhanced Transparency and Accuracy**
One of the primary benefits of this new ruling is the increased transparency and accuracy it brings to financial reporting. Companies can now reflect the actual market value of their crypto holdings, providing a clearer picture of their financial health. This change is particularly significant given the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies. By reporting the fair market value, companies can provide stakeholders with a more accurate depiction of their financial standing, which is crucial for informed decision-making by investors, regulators, and other stakeholders.
**Positive Implications for Companies**
Companies are likely to welcome this change as it allows them to report unrealized gains and losses on cryptocurrencies. This could encourage more businesses to add cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin to their balance sheets, as they can now recognize the appreciation in value without needing to sell the assets. This change could also lead to a broader acceptance of cryptocurrencies as a legitimate and valuable asset class, potentially spurring further investment and innovation in the crypto space.
**Challenges and Considerations**
**Dealing with Volatility**
The inherent volatility of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin poses a significant challenge in fair value accounting. Companies will need to develop robust methods to accurately assess the market value of these assets, which can fluctuate widely. This volatility requires continuous monitoring and frequent valuation adjustments, which can be resource-intensive and complex. Companies will need to invest in sophisticated valuation models and possibly seek external expertise to ensure accuracy and compliance.
**Auditor Expertise**
Another challenge lies in the need for auditors to acquire expertise in valuing cryptocurrencies. Assessing the fair market value of digital assets is a complex task that requires specific knowledge and skills. Auditors will need to stay abreast of the rapidly evolving crypto market and develop new methodologies for valuation. This requirement not only adds a layer of complexity to the audit process but also underscores the need for ongoing education and training in this emerging field.
**Industry Response and Future Outlook**
**Embracing the Change**
The industry's response to the FASB's ruling has been largely positive. Industry leaders view this as a step towards mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrencies and a move that aligns digital assets with traditional financial reporting standards. This ruling is seen as a validation of the growing role of cryptocurrencies in the financial sector and a sign that regulatory bodies are beginning to recognize and adapt to the unique characteristics of these digital assets.
**Long-Term Implications**
In the long run, this ruling could lead to greater institutional adoption of cryptocurrencies. As financial reporting becomes more standardized and transparent, it may foster greater trust and confidence among investors and regulators. This could pave the way for more widespread use of cryptocurrencies in various financial transactions and potentially influence the development of new financial products and services centered around digital assets.
**Conclusion**
The FASB's latest ruling on cryptocurrency accounting is a landmark decision that aligns the treatment of digital assets with traditional financial practices. While it presents certain challenges, particularly in terms of volatility and the need for specialized auditor expertise, the overall impact is expected to be profoundly positive. This change not only enhances transparency and accuracy in financial reporting but also paves the way for broader acceptance and integration of cryptocurrencies in the mainstream financial world. As the industry adapts to these new rules, we can expect to see a more mature and robust crypto market, potentially leading to innovative financial solutions and greater economic opportunities.
**FAQs**
**When will the new FASB rules take effect?**
The new rules are set to take effect from December 15, 2024, but companies have the option to apply them earlier.
**How does fair value accounting affect financial reporting?**
Fair value accounting allows companies to report the value of cryptocurrencies based on current market prices, providing a more accurate and real-time reflection of a company's financial status.
**What are the benefits of the new FASB ruling?**
The new ruling enhances transparency and accuracy in financial reporting and encourages more businesses to add cryptocurrencies to their balance sheets by allowing them to report unrealized gains and losses.
**What challenges does the new ruling present?**
The main challenges include dealing with the volatility of cryptocurrencies in fair value accounting and the need for auditors to develop expertise in valuing these digital assets.
**What is the industry's response to the new ruling?**
The industry has largely responded positively, viewing it as a step towards mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrencies and alignment with traditional financial reporting standards.
**That's all for today**
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-02-20 10:16:03
**ภาพรวม BTCUSDT (OKX):**
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) ยังคงแสดงความผันผวนและแนวโน้มที่ไม่ชัดเจน แม้ว่าแนวโน้มระยะยาว (TF Day) จะยังคงมีลักษณะเป็นขาขึ้น (แต่*อ่อนแรงลงอย่างมาก*) แนวโน้มระยะกลาง (TF4H) และระยะสั้น (TF15) เป็นขาลง การวิเคราะห์ครั้งนี้จะเน้นไปที่การระบุระดับราคาที่ Smart Money อาจจะเข้ามามีส่วนร่วม และการประเมินความแข็งแกร่งของแนวโน้ม
**วิเคราะห์ทีละ Timeframe:**
**(1) TF Day (รายวัน):**
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* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาขึ้น (Uptrend) *อ่อนแรงลงอย่างมาก, มีความเสี่ยงที่จะเปลี่ยนแนวโน้ม*
* **SMC:**
* Higher Highs (HH) และ Higher Lows (HL) *เริ่มไม่ชัดเจน, ราคาหลุด Low ก่อนหน้า*
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านบน *แต่มีการปรับฐานที่รุนแรง*
* **Liquidity:**
* มี Sellside Liquidity (SSL) อยู่ใต้ Lows ก่อนหน้า (บริเวณ 85,000 - 90,000)
* มี Buyside Liquidity (BSL) อยู่เหนือ High เดิม
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** ราคาหลุด Order Block ขาขึ้น (บริเวณแท่งเทียนสีเขียวก่อนหน้านี้) *สัญญาณลบ*
* **EMA:**
* ราคา *หลุด* EMA 50 (สีเหลือง) ลงมาแล้ว
* EMA 200 (สีขาว) เป็นแนวรับถัดไป
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* *สีแดงยาว* แสดงถึงแรงขายที่แข็งแกร่ง
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* สีแดง (เมฆแดง) แสดงถึงแนวโน้มขาลง *และไม่มีสัญญาณซื้อ/ขายปรากฏ*
* **Volume Profile:** Volume ค่อนข้างเบาบาง
* **แท่งเทียน:** แท่งเทียนล่าสุดเป็นสีแดง แสดงถึงแรงขาย
* **แนวรับ:** EMA 200, บริเวณ 85,000 - 90,000 (SSL)
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, High เดิม
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มขาขึ้นอ่อนแรงลงอย่างมาก, *สัญญาณอันตรายหลายอย่าง*, Money Flow และ Trend Strength เป็นลบ, *หลุด Order Block และ EMA 50*
**(2) TF4H (4 ชั่วโมง):**
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* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาลง (Downtrend)
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) และ Lower Lows (LL)
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านล่าง
* **Liquidity:**
* มี SSL อยู่ใต้ Lows ก่อนหน้า
* มี BSL อยู่เหนือ Highs ก่อนหน้า
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** ราคาไม่สามารถผ่าน Order Block ขาลงได้
* **EMA:**
* ราคาอยู่ใต้ EMA 50 และ EMA 200
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* สีแดง แสดงถึงแรงขาย
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* สีเขียว (เมฆเขียว) *แต่ไม่มีสัญญาณซื้อ/ขายปรากฏ*
* **Volume Profile:**
* Volume ค่อนข้างสูง
* **แนวรับ:** บริเวณ Low ล่าสุด
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, EMA 200, บริเวณ Order Block
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มขาลงชัดเจน, แรงขายมีอิทธิพล, *Trend Strength ขัดแย้งกับ Price Action*
**(3) TF15 (15 นาที):**
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* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาลง (Downtrend) *แต่เริ่มเห็นสัญญาณ Sideways*
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) และ Lower Lows (LL) *เริ่มเห็นการยก Low เล็กน้อย*
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านล่าง
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** ราคา Sideways ใกล้ Order Block
* **EMA:**
* EMA 50 และ EMA 200 เป็นแนวต้าน
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* แดงสลับเขียว *แต่ส่วนใหญ่ยังเป็นสีแดง*
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* สีแดง (เมฆแดง) แสดงถึงแนวโน้มขาลง *แต่มีสัญญาณ Bullish Divergence (ราคาทำ Lower Low แต่ Trend Strength ยก Low)*
* **Volume Profile:**
* Volume ค่อนข้างสูง
* **แนวรับ:** บริเวณ Low ล่าสุด
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มขาลง, เริ่มพักตัว, Money Flow เริ่มมีความไม่แน่นอน, *Trend Strength มี Divergence*
**สรุปภาพรวมและกลยุทธ์ (BTCUSDT):**
* **แนวโน้มหลัก (Day):** ขาขึ้น (*อ่อนแรงลงอย่างมาก, เสี่ยงที่จะเปลี่ยนแนวโน้ม*)
* **แนวโน้มรอง (4H):** ขาลง
* **แนวโน้มระยะสั้น (15m):** ขาลง (เริ่มพักตัว, *มี Divergence*)
* **Liquidity:** มี SSL ทั้งใน Day, 4H, และ 15m
* **Money Flow:** เป็นลบในทุก Timeframes
* **Trend Strength:** Day/15m เป็นขาลง, 4H เป็นขาขึ้น *แต่ไม่มีสัญญาณ*
* **กลยุทธ์:**
1. **Wait & See (ดีที่สุด):** รอความชัดเจน *โดยเฉพาะการ Breakout หรือ Breakdown จากกรอบ Sideways ใน TF15*
2. **Short (เสี่ยง):** ถ้าไม่สามารถ Breakout EMA/แนวต้านใน TF ใดๆ ได้, หรือเมื่อเกิดสัญญาณ Bearish Continuation
3. ***ไม่แนะนำให้ Buy:*** จนกว่าจะมีสัญญาณกลับตัวที่ชัดเจนมากๆ
**Day Trade & การเทรดรายวัน:**
* **Day Trade (TF15):**
* **Short Bias:** หาจังหวะ Short เมื่อราคาเด้งขึ้นไปทดสอบแนวต้าน (EMA, Order Block)
* **Stop Loss:** เหนือแนวต้านที่เข้า Short
* **Take Profit:** แนวรับถัดไป (Low ล่าสุด)
* **ระวัง:** Bullish Divergence ใน Trend Strength
* **ไม่แนะนำให้ Long**
* **Swing Trade (TF4H):**
* **Short Bias:** รอจังหวะ Short เมื่อราคาไม่สามารถผ่านแนวต้าน EMA หรือ Order Block ได้
* **Stop Loss:** เหนือแนวต้านที่เข้า Short
* **Take Profit:** แนวรับถัดไป
* **ไม่แนะนำให้ Long**
**สิ่งที่ต้องระวัง:**
* **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** มีโอกาสสูงที่ราคาจะถูกลากลงไปแตะ SSL
* **False Breakouts:** ระวัง
* **Volatility:** สูง
* **Divergence (TF15):** อาจเป็นสัญญาณเริ่มต้นของการกลับตัว *แต่ต้องรอการยืนยัน*
* **Trend Strength (TF4H):** ไม่มีสัญญาณซื้อ/ขาย ต้องระวัง
**Setup Day Trade แบบ SMC (ตัวอย่าง):**
1. **ระบุ Order Block:** หา Order Block ขาลง (Bearish Order Block) ใน TF15 (แท่งเทียนสีเขียวก่อนที่ราคาจะลงแรง)
2. **รอ Pullback:** รอให้ราคา Pullback ขึ้นไปทดสอบ Order Block นั้น
3. **หา Bearish Entry:**
* **Rejection:** รอ Price Action ปฏิเสธ Order Block (เช่น เกิด Pin Bar, Engulfing)
* **Break of Structure:** รอให้ราคา Break โครงสร้างย่อยๆ ใน TF ที่เล็กกว่า (เช่น 1m, 5m) หลังจากที่ทดสอบ Order Block
* **Money Flow:** ดู Money Flow ให้เป็นสีแดง
4. **ตั้ง Stop Loss:** เหนือ Order Block
5. **ตั้ง Take Profit:** แนวรับถัดไป (เช่น Low ล่าสุด) หรือ Order Block ขาขึ้น (Bullish Order Block) ใน TF ที่ใหญ่กว่า
**คำแนะนำ:**
* **ความขัดแย้งของ Timeframes:** มีอยู่ แต่แนวโน้มระยะกลาง-สั้น เป็นลบ
* **Money Flow:** เป็นลบในทุก Timeframes
* **Trend Strength:** เริ่มมี Divergence ใน TF15
* **Order Block TF Day:** หลุด Order Block ขาขึ้นแล้ว
* **ถ้าไม่แน่ใจ อย่าเพิ่งเข้าเทรด**
**Disclaimer:** การวิเคราะห์นี้เป็นเพียงความคิดเห็นส่วนตัว ไม่ถือเป็นคำแนะนำในการลงทุน ผู้ลงทุนควรศึกษาข้อมูลเพิ่มเติมและตัดสินใจด้วยความรอบคอบ
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-02-20 10:12:37
**Overall Assessment:**
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) on OKX remains highly volatile and shows conflicting signals. The long-term trend (Daily chart) is technically still an uptrend, *but it has weakened considerably* and is showing significant signs of a potential reversal. The 4-hour and 15-minute charts are in confirmed downtrends. The focus of this analysis is on identifying potential areas of Smart Money activity (liquidity pools and order blocks) and assessing trend strength.
**Detailed Analysis by Timeframe:**
**(1) TF Day (Daily):**
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* **Trend:** Uptrend (Significantly Weakening, *at risk of reversing*).
* **SMC (Smart Money Concepts):**
* Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) structure is *becoming less defined*. The recent price action has broken previous lows.
* Prior Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the upside, but the current pullback is very deep.
* **Liquidity:**
* **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** Significant SSL rests below previous lows in the 85,000 - 90,000 range. This is a likely target for Smart Money.
* **Buyside Liquidity (BSL):** BSL is present above the all-time high.
* **ICT (Inner Circle Trader Concepts):**
* **Order Block:** The price has *broken below* the prior bullish Order Block (the large green candle before a significant up-move). This is a *major bearish signal*.
* **EMA (Exponential Moving Average):**
* Price has *broken below* the 50-period EMA (yellow), a bearish signal.
* The 200-period EMA (white) is the next major support level.
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* A *long red bar* indicates strong selling pressure.
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* Red Cloud indicating Downtrend, *No Buy/Sell Signal*
* **Volume Profile:** Relatively low volume on the recent decline.
* **Candlesticks:** The most recent candlestick is red, confirming selling pressure.
* **Support:** EMA 200, 85,000-90,000 (SSL area).
* **Resistance:** EMA 50, Previous All-Time High.
* **Summary:** The Daily chart's uptrend is significantly weakening. The break below the 50 EMA *and* the bullish Order Block, combined with the negative Money Flow and bearish Trend Strength, are all major warning signs.
**(2) TF4H (4-Hour):**
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* **Trend:** Downtrend.
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
* BOS to the downside.
* **Liquidity:**
* **SSL:** Below previous lows.
* **BSL:** Above previous highs.
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** The price rallied up to, and was rejected by, a *bearish* Order Block.
* **EMA:**
* Price is below both the 50-period and 200-period EMAs (bearish).
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* Predominantly red, confirming selling pressure.
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* Green Cloud, *But No Buy/Sell Signal.* This indicates a potential *retracement* within the downtrend, or a period of consolidation, *not* a trend reversal.
* **Volume Profile:**
* Relatively High volume
* **Support:** Recent lows.
* **Resistance:** EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block.
* **Summary:** The 4-hour chart is in a confirmed downtrend. The Money Flow is bearish, and the price was rejected by a key Order Block. The green Trend Strength cloud *without* a buy signal suggests a potential *temporary* relief rally or consolidation, *not* a trend change.
**(3) TF15 (15-Minute):**
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* **Trend:** Downtrend (with some signs of *possible* stabilization).
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) – *but the most recent low is slightly higher, a potential early sign of a change*.
* BOS to the downside.
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** Price has reacted to bearish Order Block.
* **EMA:**
* The 50-period and 200-period EMAs are acting as resistance.
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* Red and green alternating , showing some buying pressure has appeared, but sellers are still in control overall.
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* Red Cloud (Bearish), *BUT* there's a *bullish divergence* (price made a lower low, but the Trend Strength indicator made a higher low). This is a *potential* early warning sign of a reversal, but it needs *strong confirmation*.
* **Volume Profile:**
* relatively high volume.
* **Support:** Recent lows.
* **Resistance:** EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block.
* **Summary:** The 15-minute chart is in a downtrend, but there are *very early* and *tentative* signs of a possible stabilization or even a minor bounce. The bullish divergence on the Trend Strength is important to note, but it's not a buy signal on its own.
**Overall Strategy and Recommendations (BTCUSDT):**
* **Primary Trend (Day):** Uptrend (Significantly Weakening).
* **Secondary Trend (4H):** Downtrend.
* **Short-Term Trend (15m):** Downtrend (Potential Early Reversal Signals).
* **Liquidity:** Significant SSL zones exist below the current price on all timeframes.
* **Money Flow:** Negative on all timeframes, although the 15m is showing *some* buying pressure returning.
* **Trend Strength:** Bearish on Day and 15m. Bullish on 4H, *but without a buy/sell signal*, indicating a likely retracement or consolidation, not a trend change.
* **Strategies:**
1. **Wait & See (Best Option):** The conflicting signals (especially the 4H Trend Strength) and the strong bearish momentum on the shorter timeframes make waiting the most prudent approach. Look for:
* **Bearish Confirmation:** A decisive break below the recent lows on the 15m and 4H charts, with increasing volume and continued negative Money Flow. This would confirm the continuation of the downtrend.
* **Bullish Confirmation:** A strong, sustained break above the 15m EMAs, a shift in the 15m Money Flow to green, *and* a bullish signal on the 4H Trend Strength. This would be a *very early* sign of a potential reversal, but it would need further confirmation on the 4H chart (price above EMAs, positive Money Flow).
2. **Short (High Risk):** This is the more likely scenario *at this moment*, given the 4H and 15m downtrends.
* **Entry:** On rallies towards resistance levels (EMAs on 15m/4H, previous support levels that have turned into resistance).
* **Stop Loss:** Above recent highs on the chosen timeframe.
* **Target:** The next support levels (recent lows on 15m, then the Daily Order Block area around 92,000-94,000).
3. **Buy on Dip (Extremely High Risk - Not Recommended):** Do *not* attempt to buy until there are *very strong and consistent* bullish reversal signals across *all* timeframes, including a definitive shift in market structure on the 4H and 15m charts, positive Money Flow, and a clear break above resistance levels.
**Key Recommendations:**
* **Conflicting Signals:** The most important factor is the conflict between the still *technically* bullish Daily chart and the bearish 4H and 15m charts. The 4H Trend Strength being bullish *without a signal* adds to the uncertainty.
* **Money Flow:** The predominantly negative Money Flow is a major bearish factor.
* **15m Trend Strength Divergence:** This is a *potential* early warning, but it's *not* a buy signal on its own. It needs *much* more confirmation.
* **Daily Order Block:** The *break* of the bullish Order Block on the Daily chart is a significant bearish development.
* **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** Be aware that Smart Money may target the SSL zones below. This increases the risk of stop-loss hunting.
* **Risk Management:** Due to the high uncertainty and volatility, *strict risk management is absolutely critical.* Use tight stop-losses, do not overtrade, and be prepared for rapid price swings.
* **Volume:** Confirm any breakout with volume.
**Day Trading and Intraday Trading Strategies:**
* **Day Trade (TF15 focus):**
* **Short Bias:** Given the current 15m downtrend and negative Money Flow, the higher probability is to look for shorting opportunities.
* **Entry:** Look for price to rally to resistance levels (EMAs, Order Blocks, previous support levels that have become resistance) and then show signs of rejection (bearish candlestick patterns, increasing volume on the downside).
* **Stop Loss:** Place a stop-loss order above the resistance level where you enter the short position.
* **Take Profit:** Target the next support level (recent lows).
* **Be very cautious:** The bullish divergence on the Trend Strength indicator suggests a potential bounce *could* occur. Don't be aggressive with shorts until this divergence is invalidated.
* **Avoid Long positions:** Until there's a *clear* and *confirmed* bullish reversal on the 15m chart (break above EMAs, positive Money Flow, bullish market structure).
* **Swing Trade (TF4H focus):**
* **Short Bias:** The 4H chart is in a downtrend.
* **Entry:** Wait for price to rally to resistance levels (EMAs, Order Blocks) and show signs of rejection.
* **Stop Loss:** Above the resistance level where you enter the short position.
* **Take Profit:** Target the next support levels (e.g., the 200 EMA on the Daily chart, SSL zones).
* **Avoid long position:** Until there's a *clear* and *confirmed* bullish reversal on the 4H chart.
**SMC Day Trade Setup Example (TF15 - Bearish):**
1. **Identify Bearish Order Block:** Locate a bearish Order Block on the TF15 chart (a bullish candle before a strong downward move). *We have already identified this in previous analyses.*
2. **Wait for Pullback:** Wait for the price to pull back up to test the Order Block.
3. **Bearish Entry:**
* **Rejection:** Look for price action to reject the Order Block (e.g., a pin bar, engulfing pattern, or other bearish candlestick pattern).
* **Break of Structure:** Look for a break of a minor support level on a *lower* timeframe (e.g., 1-minute or 5-minute) after the price tests the Order Block. This confirms weakening bullish momentum.
* **Money Flow:** Confirm that Money Flow remains negative (red).
4. **Stop Loss:** Place a stop-loss order *above* the Order Block.
5. **Take Profit:** Target the next support level (e.g., recent lows) or a bullish Order Block on a higher timeframe.
**In conclusion, BTCUSDT is currently in a high-risk, uncertain environment. The short-term and medium-term trends are bearish, while the long-term trend is weakening. The best approach for most traders is to wait for clearer signals. Shorting is the higher-probability trade *at this moment*, but only for experienced traders who can manage risk aggressively. Buying is extremely risky and not recommended at this time.** The bullish divergence on the 15m Trend Strength is a *potential* early warning of a change, but it needs *much* more confirmation before acting on it. The 4-hour chart showing a green cloud with *no* buy/sell signal adds to the uncertainty, suggesting a possible retracement/consolidation *within* the downtrend.
**Disclaimer:** This analysis is for informational purposes only and represents a personal opinion. It is not financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. Investors should conduct their own research and exercise due diligence before making any investment decisions.
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@ 000002de:c05780a7
2025-02-20 01:52:34
Due to some some org changes at my employer I may be moving to a team that uses Python heavily. I have never written Python professionally but I've dabbled. I think its used heavily in certain fields and is likely a marketable language to have on the CV. Am I correct in that summary?
Is it growing? Is it evolving? I know its alive and well but I just don't hear much about it anymore. Has it just matured like many languages over the years?
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/891251
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@ 16f1a010:31b1074b
2025-02-19 20:57:59
In the rapidly evolving world of Bitcoin, running a Bitcoin node has become more accessible than ever. Platforms like Umbrel, Start9, myNode, and Citadel offer user-friendly interfaces to simplify node management. However, for those serious about maintaining a robust and efficient Lightning node ⚡, relying solely on these platforms may not be the optimal choice.
Let’s delve into why embracing **Bitcoin Core** and mastering the command-line interface (CLI) can provide a **more reliable, sovereign, and empowering** experience.
### Understanding Node Management Platforms
#### What Are Umbrel, Start9, myNode, and Citadel?
Umbrel, Start9, myNode, and Citadel are platforms designed to streamline the process of running a Bitcoin node. They offer graphical user interfaces (GUIs) that allow users to manage various applications, including Bitcoin Core and Lightning Network nodes, through a web-based dashboard 🖥️.
These platforms often utilize Docker containers 🐳 to encapsulate applications, providing a modular and isolated environment for each service.
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#### The Appeal of Simplified Node Management
The primary allure of these platforms lies in their simplicity. With minimal command-line interaction, users can deploy a full Bitcoin and Lightning node, along with a suite of additional applications.
✅ **Easy one-command installation**
✅ **Web-based GUI for management**
✅ **Automatic app updates** *(but with delays, as we’ll discuss)*
However, while this convenience is attractive, it comes **at a cost**.
### The Hidden Complexities of Using Node Management Platforms
While the user-friendly nature of these platforms is advantageous, it can also introduce several challenges that may hinder advanced users or those seeking greater control over their nodes.
#### 🚨 Dependency on Maintainers for Updates
One significant concern is the reliance on platform maintainers for updates. Since these platforms manage applications through Docker containers, users must wait for the maintainers to update the container images before they can access new features or security patches.
🔴 **Delayed Bitcoin Core updates = potential security risks**
🔴 **Lightning Network updates are not immediate**
🔴 **Bugs and vulnerabilities may persist longer**
Instead of waiting on a third party, **why not update Bitcoin Core & LND yourself instantly**?
#### ⚙️ Challenges in Customization and Advanced Operations
For users aiming to perform advanced operations, such as:
* Custom backups 📂
* Running specific CLI commands 🖥️
* Optimizing node settings ⚡
…the **abstraction layers introduced by these platforms become obstacles**.
Navigating through nested directories and issuing commands inside Docker containers **makes troubleshooting a nightmare**. Instead of a simple `bitcoin-cli` command, you must figure out how to execute it inside the container, adding unnecessary complexity.
#### Increased Backend Complexity
To achieve **frontend simplicity**, these platforms make the backend more complex.
🚫 Extra layers of abstraction
🚫 Hidden logs and settings
🚫 Harder troubleshooting
The use of **multiple Docker containers**, **custom scripts**, and **unique file structures** can **make system maintenance and debugging a pain**.
This **complication defeats the purpose** of “making running a node easy.”
## ✅ Advantages of Using Bitcoin Core and Command-Line Interface (CLI)
By installing Bitcoin Core directly and using the command-line interface (CLI), you gain several key advantages that make managing a Bitcoin and Lightning node more efficient and empowering.
#### Direct Control and Immediate Updates
One of the biggest downsides of package manager-based platforms is the reliance on third-party maintainers to release updates. Since Bitcoin Core, Lightning implementations (such as LND, Core Lightning, or Eclair), and other related software evolve rapidly, waiting for platform-specific updates can leave you running outdated or vulnerable versions.
By installing Bitcoin Core directly, you remove this dependency. You can update immediately when new versions are released, ensuring your node benefits from the latest features, security patches, and bug fixes. The same applies to Lightning software—being able to install and update it yourself gives you full autonomy over your node’s performance and security.
#### 🛠 Simplified System Architecture
Platforms like Umbrel and myNode introduce extra complexity by running Bitcoin Core and Lightning inside Docker containers. This means:
* The actual files and configurations are stored inside Docker’s filesystem, making it **harder to locate and manage them manually**.
* If something breaks, **troubleshooting is more difficult** due to the added layer of abstraction.
* Running commands requires jumping through Docker shell sessions, adding unnecessary friction to what should be a straightforward process.
Instead, a direct installation of Bitcoin Core, Lightning, and Electrum Server (if needed) results in a **cleaner, more understandable system**. The software runs natively on your machine, without containerized layers making things more convoluted.
Additionally, setting up your own systemd service files for Bitcoin and Lightning** is not as complicated as it seems**. Once configured, these services will run automatically on boot, offering the same level of convenience as platforms like Umbrel but without the unnecessary complexity.
#### Better Lightning Node Management
If you’re running a **Lightning Network node**, using CLI-based tools provides far more flexibility than relying on a GUI like the ones bundled with node management platforms.
🟢 **Custom Backup Strategies** – Running Lightning through a GUI-based node manager often means backups are handled in a way that is opaque to the user. With CLI tools, you can easily script automatic backups of your channels, wallets, and configurations.
🟢 **Advanced Configuration** – Platforms like Umbrel force certain configurations by default, limiting how you can customize your Lightning node. With a direct install, you have full control over:
* Channel fees 💰
* Routing policies 📡
* Liquidity management 🔄
🟢 **Direct Access to LND, Core Lightning, or Eclair** – Instead of issuing commands through a GUI (which is often limited in functionality), you can use:
* `lncli` (for LND)
* `lightning-cli` (for Core Lightning)
…to interact with your node at a deeper level.
#### Enhanced Learning and Engagement
A crucial aspect of running a Bitcoin and Lightning node is **understanding how it works**.
Using an abstraction layer like Umbrel may get a node running in a few clicks, but **it does little to teach users how Bitcoin actually functions**.
By setting up Bitcoin Core, Lightning, and related software manually, you will:
✅ Gain practical knowledge of Bitcoin nodes, networking, and system performance.
✅ Learn how to configure and manage RPC commands.
✅ Become less reliant on third-party developers and more confident in troubleshooting.
🎯 **Running a Bitcoin node is about sovereignty – learn how to control it yourself**.
## Become more sovereign TODAY
Many guides make this process **straightforward**
[K3tan](https://k3tan.com/about) has a fantastic guide on running Bitcoin Core, Electrs, LND and more.
- [Ministry of Nodes Guide 2024](https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLCRbH-IWlcW0g0HCrtI06_ZdVVolUWr39)
- You can find him on nostr
nostr:npub1txwy7guqkrq6ngvtwft7zp70nekcknudagrvrryy2wxnz8ljk2xqz0yt4x
Even with the best of guides, if you are running this software,
📖 **READ THE DOCUMENTATION**
This is all just software at the end of the day. Most of it is very well documented. Take a moment to actually read through the documentation for yourself when installing. The documentation has step by step guides on setting up the software.
Here is a helpful list:
* [Bitcoin.org Bitcoin Core Linux install instructions](https://bitcoin.org/en/full-node#linux-instructions)
* [Bitcoin Core Code Repository](https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin)
* [Electrs Installation](https://github.com/romanz/electrs/blob/master/doc/install.md)
* [LND Documentation](https://docs.lightning.engineering/)
* [LND Code Repository](https://github.com/lightningnetwork/lnd)
* [CLN Documentation](https://docs.corelightning.org/docs/home)
* [CLN Code Repository](https://github.com/ElementsProject/lightning)
*If you have any more resources or links I should add, please comment them . I want to add as much to this article as I can.*
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@ f33c8a96:5ec6f741
2025-02-19 20:47:43
<div style="position:relative;padding-bottom:56.25%;height:0;overflow:hidden;max-width:100%;"><iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/kFUIfaCpXzA?enablejsapi=1" style="position:absolute;top:0;left:0;width:100%;height:100%;border:0;" allowfullscreen></iframe></div>
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@ 42342239:1d80db24
2025-02-16 08:39:59
Almost 150 years ago, the British newspaper editor William Thomas Stead wrote that "the editorial pen is a [sceptre of power](https://archive.org/details/GovernmentByJournalismWilliamThomasStead), compared with which the sceptre of many a monarch is but a gilded lath". He had begun to regard journalism as something more than just conveying information - **the journalist or editor could become a ruler.**
Times had certainly changed compared to a few hundred years earlier. Before [Gutenberg's invention of the printing press](https://underorion.se/en/posts/gutenberg/), it was mainly the church that controlled the dissemination of information in Europe, but when Stead put pen to paper, this control had shifted to newspapers, schools, and universities. Eventually, technologies like radio and TV entered the scene, but the power dynamics remained asymmetrical - only a few could send information to the many.
However, with the emergence of the internet, and especially with the spread of social media, a significant change followed. Instead of only a few being able to send information to the many, many could send to many. Almost anyone could now create their own newspaper, radio, or TV channel. **The power over information dissemination was decentralised.**
[Ten years ago](https://www.di.se/ditv/rikets-affarer-medierna-ar-splittrade/), Roberta Alenius, who was then press secretary for Sweden's Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt of the Moderate Party, shared her experiences with Social Democratic and Moderate Party internet activists on social media. She reported that social media played a significant role in how news "comes out" and is shaped, and that **journalism was now downstream of social media**. [Five years later](https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/opinions_166392.htm), NATO's then-Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said that "NATO must be prepared for both conventional and hybrid threats: **from tanks to tweets**." This finally underscores the importance of social media.
Elon Musk, who took over X (formerly Twitter) in 2022, has claimed that "it's absolutely fundamental and transformative that the people actually get to decide the news and narrative and what's important," and that [citizen journalism is the future](https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1870485116474278240).
While his platform allows most expressions - for better or worse - the reach of messages is instead limited ("[freedom of speech does not mean freedom of reach](https://www.youtube.com/shorts/R9TuhTz0vmo) "). X has also opened its recommendation algorithm to the outside world by making it open-source. Although this is a welcome step, the fact remains that **it's impossible to know which code is actually used** and what adjustments are made by humans or algorithms.
William Thomas Stead's "sceptre of power", which has wandered from the church to newspaper and TV editorial offices, and now to citizens according to Elon Musk, risks being transferred to algorithms' opaque methods?
Instead of talking about "toxic algorithms" and TikTok bans, like the so many do today, we should ask ourselves more fundamental questions. What happens when algorithms are no longer objective (how can they ever be?), but instead become tools for shaping our reality? **Perhaps our greatest challenge today is not deciding who should govern the information landscape, but instead recognising that no one is up to the task** - not even well-ventilated computers.
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@ 9e69e420:d12360c2
2025-02-15 20:24:09
Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky called for an "army of Europe" to defend against Russian threats, emphasizing that the US may not continue its traditional support for Europe. Speaking at the Munich Security Conference, he warned against peace deals made without Ukraine's involvement.
US Vice President JD Vance echoed this sentiment, urging Europe to enhance its defense efforts.
Zelensky stated, "I really believe the time has come - the armed forces of Europe must be created." He highlighted changing dynamics in US-Europe relations and noted that "the old days are over" regarding American support.
Despite discussions around NATO, Zelensky stated he wouldn't rule out NATO membership for Ukraine.
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@ fd208ee8:0fd927c1
2025-02-15 07:37:01
E-cash are coupons or tokens for Bitcoin, or Bitcoin debt notes that the mint issues. The e-cash states, essentially, "IoU 2900 sats".
They're redeemable for Bitcoin on Lightning (hard money), and therefore can be used as cash (softer money), so long as the mint has a good reputation. That means that they're less fungible than Lightning because the e-cash from one mint can be more or less valuable than the e-cash from another. If a mint is buggy, offline, or disappears, then the e-cash is unreedemable.
It also means that e-cash is more anonymous than Lightning, and that the sender and receiver's wallets don't need to be online, to transact. Nutzaps now add the possibility of parking transactions one level farther out, on a relay. The same relays that cannot keep npub profiles and follow lists consistent will now do monetary transactions.
What we then have is
* a **transaction on a relay** that triggers
* a **transaction on a mint** that triggers
* a **transaction on Lightning** that triggers
* a **transaction on Bitcoin**.
Which means that every relay that stores the nuts is part of a wildcat banking system. Which is fine, but relay operators should consider whether they wish to carry the associated risks and liabilities. They should also be aware that they should implement the appropriate features in their relay, such as expiration tags (nuts rot after 2 weeks), and to make sure that only expired nuts are deleted.
There will be plenty of specialized relays for this, so don't feel pressured to join in, and research the topic carefully, for yourself.
https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/blob/master/60.md
https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/blob/master/61.md
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@ 8d34bd24:414be32b
2025-02-19 16:43:17
Last night I was reading Jeremiah 24 and I read the parable of the figs. I’ve read this passage many times, but suddenly I saw the irony of the situation.
## The Story of the Good and Bad Figs
> After Nebuchadnezzar king of Babylon had carried away captive Jeconiah the son of Jehoiakim, king of Judah, and the officials of Judah with the craftsmen and smiths from Jerusalem and had brought them to Babylon, the Lord showed me: behold, two baskets of figs set before the temple of the Lord! One basket had very good figs, like first-ripe figs, and the other basket had very bad figs which could not be eaten due to rottenness. Then the Lord said to me, “What do you see, Jeremiah?” And I said, “Figs, the good figs, very good; and the bad figs, very bad, which cannot be eaten due to rottenness.”
>
> Then the word of the Lord came to me, saying, “Thus says the Lord God of Israel, ‘**Like these good figs, so I will regard as good the captives of Judah, whom I have sent out of this place into the land of the Chaldeans. For I will set My eyes on them for good, and I will bring them again to this land; and I will build them up and not overthrow them**, and I will plant them and not pluck them up. I will give them a heart to know Me, for I am the Lord; and they will be My people, and I will be their God, for they will return to Me with their whole heart.
>
> ‘**But like the bad figs which cannot be eaten due to rottenness**—indeed, thus says the Lord—so I will abandon Zedekiah king of Judah and his officials, and **the remnant of Jerusalem who remain in this land and the ones who dwell in the land of Egypt. I will make them a terror and an evil for all the kingdoms of the earth, as a reproach and a proverb, a taunt and a curse in all places where I will scatter them.** I will send the sword, the famine and the pestilence upon them until they are destroyed from the land which I gave to them and their forefathers.’ ” (Jeremiah 24:1-10) {Emphasis mine}
God tells Jeremiah about two baskets of figs, one very good and one very bad. He then goes on to describe those Israelites who were kidnapped by Nebuchadnezzar and hauled off to Babylon and those that got to remain in Israel in their homes. Who would you think God was blessing and who would you think God was punishing? I would think the person hauled off into captivity was being punished and the one that got to stay in their comfortable home was being blessed, but it was the opposite.
God said, “‘*Like these good figs, so I will regard as good the captives of Judah, whom I have sent out of this place into the land of the Chaldeans. For I will set My eyes on them for good, and I will bring them again to this land; and I will build them up and not overthrow them, and I will plant them and not pluck them up*.” (Jeremiah 24:5b-6) Those that got hauled away were being blessed. They were being protected from the judgment that God was about to bestow on Israel for their sin. It would have been very easy for the captives to moan, “Woe is us. Why would God do such horrible things to us?” even though God was protecting them. It would have been very easy for those who remained to think, “Those captives must have sinned very badly. Luckily, God doesn’t have any problems with me.”
Instead God was punishing those who remained in Israel. He said,
> But like the bad figs which cannot be eaten due to rottenness—indeed, thus says the Lord—so I will abandon Zedekiah king of Judah and his officials, and the remnant of Jerusalem who remain in this land and the ones who dwell in the land of Egypt. **I will make them a terror and an evil for all the kingdoms of the earth**, as a reproach and a proverb, a taunt and a curse in all places where I will scatter them. **I will send the sword, the famine and the pestilence upon them until they are destroyed from the land** which I gave to them and their forefathers.’ (Jeremiah 24:8-10) {Emphasis mine}
While those who weren’t dragged away into captivity were congratulating themselves, the judgment of God fell upon them because they had rejected their God and were depending on the blessings promised to their ancestors.
Those who were hauled into captivity were blessed and multiplied and then brought back to the promised land 70 years later. Even when they were not feeling blessed, God told them how to live in order to be blessed.
> “Thus says the Lord of hosts, the God of Israel, to all the exiles whom I have sent into exile from Jerusalem to Babylon, ‘Build houses and live in them; and plant gardens and eat their produce. Take wives and become the fathers of sons and daughters, and take wives for your sons and give your daughters to husbands, that they may bear sons and daughters; and multiply there and do not decrease. **Seek the welfare of the city where I have sent you into exile, and pray to the Lord on its behalf; for in its welfare you will have welfare.** (Jeremiah 29:4-7)
They were told to be fruitful and multiply in both a financial and a familial way. They were told to work hard while waiting for the fulfillment of God’s promises and in 70 years they and/or their families would return to the promised land.
In a like manner, we are to be fruitful and multiply in whatever situation or in whatever country God has placed us. We are to stay faithful to Him and to honor Him in all we do wherever He has placed us. Whether we are literal exiles in a foreign country or not, we are all exiles from heaven waiting for Jesus to return and call us home. We are called to be productive while we wait.
## A Real Life Example of the Good Figs
I got to see a similar example in my own life. I went through what most people would call a hellish year in 2015, but every thing that happened was for a blessing and not for a curse. I got to see how trusting in the Lord with all my heart led to blessings I couldn’t imagine.
Technically our rough year started in November of 2014 with a flood and that is kind of how the next year felt. We had a house with hot water heat. Our family room had a large volume because the ceiling was two stories high. The room only had two heat registers. When we would get sub zero (F) temperatures, the room would drop in temperature, so we put in a wood and coal stove. It did a such a great job of heating the house that the heat wasn’t turning on and the pipes in the back office froze and burst the pipes. While we were at work, the temperatures warmed up, the pipes defrosted, and the water started streaming out flooding our entire downstairs. We then had get everything off the floor, flood cut the whole downstairs, and put in giant fans for 6 weeks to dry the wet floors and walls. It sounded like a 747 jet was sitting in the living room. I couldn’t hear myself think. It was very stressful, but that was just the beginning.
We had a fight with the insurance company for \~8 months. They agreed about everything needing to be fixed, but wanted to pay only about half the cost to fix it. We finally had to break down and hire a lawyer. We settled with the insurance company writing us a check for 90% of the price of repairs. This settlement was a blessing in disguise.
Because of the problems with our insurance company, we decided to switch to a new insurer. We set up to switch when our current policy expired. Ten days into our new policy, our house burnt down in a grass fire fueled by 60+ mph winds. In the main part of the house the only things recognizable were the coal stove and a 3 hour rated gun safe (that now looked like a cheap metal cabinet onto which someone dropped a nuclear bomb). We lost all of our physical possessions, but God had a plan.
The new insurance company sent their insurance adjuster out right away. In one month they had paid for the house, the trees, the barn, and a year’s rent in a nice rental house. We had more than half of the settlement left from the flood (we had bought a few supplies for fixing the house). Exactly one year and one month later, we moved into our paid off dream home (with a very fire resistant exterior). Of course God didn’t finish His blessings and lessons with the fire, there was more to come.
We moved into the rental house. (Ironically I was excited about all of the closet space even though I could fit all of my worldly possessions in a small suitcase. We humans are not always logical and we don’t let go of our physical possessions easily.) A month later, my husband’s car engine blew up. A month after that, my husband ruptured his Achilles tendon, had to go through surgery, and we were unable to travel to see family for Christmas as planned. It seemed like hardship, but the previous hardships had prepared us for this one.
The house that burnt down had all of the bedrooms upstairs, all of the living spaces downstairs, and very steep stairs. When my husband ruptured his other Achilles tendon eight years previously, he had to stay on the couch downstairs and couldn’t sleep in his bed. In our new rental house, the master bedroom was on the same level as the living areas and not more than 10 feet away. He could sleep in bed and then use crutches to move to the electric recliner that had been donated to us after the fire. It gently raised and lowered his injured leg. He could sit with us to eat (we set up a table on one side of the recliner) and be with us when we hung out on the couch (on the other side of him). We could talk while I worked in the kitchen. It was so much nicer to take care of him in the rental house than it would’ve been if the same thing had happened, but our house hadn’t burnt down.
Through this string of “tragedies,” we learned to trust God through every situation. We learned what was important (people not stuff). We got a nice, optimized, paid-off house. We received a story that we could share with others to bless them and help them trust in God. We grew closer together as a family. All four members of my family agree that if given the chance to make all of these “bad” things not happen, we would not choose to remove them. The blessings we received through them outweigh them more than you can imagine.
## What About You?
What about you? Are you gong through hard times? We all do at some point in our lives. Are you looking for the good God is doing or are you blaming God for your hardship? Are you working to make the most of whatever situation you are in or are you seeking your own “better”?
My prayer is that God will give you what you need and not what you want and that He will answer your prayers in His best timing. I pray that you will see the wondrous works of God in you and through you and that you will grow in your faith in our very good God. Trust Him! Turn to Him! Rely on Him! God is good, all of the time.
Trust Jesus
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@ a012dc82:6458a70d
2025-02-19 16:20:32
The cryptocurrency world is on the verge of a groundbreaking transformation with the anticipated introduction of Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). This significant development is set to redefine the realm of crypto-investment, merging the innovative world of digital currencies with the established domain of traditional finance. Bitcoin ETFs represent a monumental shift, not just as a novel investment option, but as a revolutionary bridge connecting the cutting-edge technology of cryptocurrencies with the more familiar territory of stock market investments. This fusion is poised to unlock a new level of accessibility, drawing mainstream investors into the Bitcoin sphere, who were previously hesitant due to the complexities and perceived risks associated with direct cryptocurrency dealings.
**Table of Contents**
- The Emergence of Bitcoin ETFs
- Unveiling Opportunities
- Confronting the Dangers
- The Road Ahead
- Expanding the Horizon
- Enhanced Market Dynamics
- Technological Advancements
- Educational Initiatives
- Global Impact
- Conclusion
- FAQs
**The Emergence of Bitcoin ETFs**
Bitcoin ETFs are poised to revolutionize the cryptocurrency market. They offer a streamlined avenue for investment in Bitcoin, bypassing the intricacies of direct ownership such as wallet management and key security. This simplicity could democratize Bitcoin investment, potentially enhancing its liquidity and stability.
**Unveiling Opportunities**
- **Broader Investor Appeal:** Bitcoin ETFs simplify cryptocurrency investment, making it more approachable for the average investor and traditional financial players. This could lead to wider adoption and recognition of Bitcoin as a viable asset class.
- **Influx of Institutional Capital:** ETFs could catalyze a surge of institutional funds into the Bitcoin market. Institutions, previously hesitant due to regulatory and security concerns, might view ETFs as a safer investment avenue.
- **Market Evolution:** The advent of Bitcoin ETFs signals a maturation of the cryptocurrency market, transitioning towards regulated, mainstream financial products. This evolution could bolster investor confidence and market stability.
**Confronting the Dangers**
The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs is not devoid of risks and challenges.
- **Amplified Volatility:** Bitcoin's notorious volatility could be intensified by the influx of new investors via ETFs, particularly if large capital movements occur swiftly.
- **Regulatory Hurdles:** The evolving regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies could become more complex with Bitcoin ETFs, inviting stricter regulations that may impact the market dynamics.
- **Systemic Implications:** Integrating Bitcoin into the traditional financial system through ETFs could introduce new systemic risks. A significant downturn in Bitcoin's value might have broader implications for investors and funds linked to these ETFs.
**The Road Ahead**
As the Bitcoin ETF era dawns, investors should exercise caution. The potential of Bitcoin ETFs is substantial, but the accompanying risks warrant serious consideration. Investors should engage in comprehensive research and assess their risk appetite before engaging with these new investment vehicles.
**Expanding the Horizon**
**Enhanced Market Dynamics**
The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs could lead to more dynamic market behaviors. As traditional and crypto markets become more intertwined, the impact of global economic events on Bitcoin's price could become more pronounced, leading to new investment strategies and market analysis techniques.
**Technological Advancements**
The growth of Bitcoin ETFs might spur technological advancements in trading platforms and financial tools. Enhanced security measures, improved trading algorithms, and more sophisticated risk management tools could emerge, catering to the unique needs of cryptocurrency ETFs.
**Educational Initiatives**
With the growing interest in Bitcoin ETFs, there's likely to be an increase in educational resources and initiatives aimed at helping investors understand the nuances of cryptocurrency investments. This could lead to a more informed investor base, capable of making better investment decisions in the volatile world of cryptocurrencies.
**Global Impact**
The success of Bitcoin ETFs in one region, such as the United States, could encourage other countries to follow suit, leading to a more globalized cryptocurrency market. This could have significant implications for international financial regulations and cooperation.
**Conclusion**
The potential introduction of Bitcoin ETFs marks a significant milestone in the journey of cryptocurrency investment. While it heralds new opportunities and greater accessibility, it also brings forth challenges and risks that need to be navigated with care. The future of Bitcoin ETFs will hinge on the balance between these opportunities and dangers, and the market's ability to adapt to this new phase of crypto-investment. As we stand at the threshold of this exciting era, the global financial community watches with bated breath, ready to witness the unfolding story of Bitcoin ETFs.
**FAQs**
**How does a Bitcoin ETF differ from direct Bitcoin investment?**
Investing in a Bitcoin ETF means you're investing in a fund that holds Bitcoin as its primary asset, as opposed to buying Bitcoin directly and managing your own digital wallet and security. ETFs are also subject to different regulatory and tax treatments.
**What are the benefits of Bitcoin ETFs?**
Bitcoin ETFs offer easier access to Bitcoin investment, potentially lower risks compared to direct ownership, and the convenience of trading through traditional investment platforms.
**What risks are associated with Bitcoin ETFs?**
Risks include the inherent volatility of Bitcoin, potential regulatory changes, and systemic risks if the cryptocurrency market impacts the broader financial system.
**Are Bitcoin ETFs available globally?**
The availability of Bitcoin ETFs varies by country, depending on the regulatory environment. Some countries may not yet have approved Bitcoin ETFs for trading.
**Can Bitcoin ETFs impact the price of Bitcoin?**
Yes, Bitcoin ETFs can impact Bitcoin's price as they can increase market liquidity and bring in more institutional investors, potentially leading to price changes.
**That's all for today**
**If you want more, be sure to follow us on:**
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***DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.***
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@ ed364ee5:261fd74f
2025-02-19 11:57:26
Cardiovascular Ultrasound: Advancements Driving Early Detection and Personalized Care
The [cardiovascular ultrasound market](https://www.marketresearchfuture.com/reports/cardiovascular-ultrasound-market-1548
) is experiencing significant growth as technological advancements, rising cardiovascular disease (CVD) rates, and a shift toward non-invasive diagnostics drive demand. This imaging technology, which uses sound waves to visualize the heart and surrounding blood vessels, is now essential in both preventative cardiology and acute care.
Technological Innovations Boosting Accuracy and Accessibility
Recent developments have revolutionized cardiovascular ultrasound devices. High-frequency transducers, 3D and 4D imaging, and artificial intelligence (AI) integration are enhancing diagnostic precision. AI, in particular, is automating image analysis, reducing variability, and enabling faster, more accurate diagnosis.
Portable cardiovascular ultrasound systems are another game-changer, increasing accessibility to rural or remote areas and allowing for bedside monitoring in hospitals. Companies are focusing on smaller, more affordable devices without compromising imaging quality, expanding the use of this technology beyond large hospital systems.
Global Trends and Growing Disease Burden
Cardiovascular diseases remain the leading cause of death worldwide, responsible for an estimated 17.9 million deaths annually, according to the World Health Organization (WHO). Early detection is critical to reducing mortality, and cardiovascular ultrasound is playing a pivotal role in identifying conditions such as heart valve disorders, atrial fibrillation, and cardiomyopathies at an earlier stage.
Regions like North America and Europe lead the market due to high healthcare expenditure and greater adoption of advanced diagnostic technologies. However, emerging economies in Asia-Pacific and Latin America are witnessing rapid growth as awareness and healthcare infrastructure improve.
Challenges and Market Outlook
Despite its advantages, the cardiovascular ultrasound market faces challenges such as the high cost of advanced systems and a shortage of trained sonographers. To address these issues, some manufacturers are investing in user-friendly interfaces and remote training programs to ensure broader adoption.
Looking ahead, the cardiovascular ultrasound market is projected to grow steadily, driven by ongoing innovation and the increasing prevalence of CVD. Personalized medicine initiatives and telemedicine adoption are expected to further integrate cardiovascular ultrasound into routine patient care.
Conclusion
As cardiovascular ultrasound technology continues to evolve, it holds the promise of earlier detection, more precise diagnosis, and improved patient outcomes. With rising healthcare demands and technological advancements, this sector is set to play a key role in the fight against heart disease for years to come.
-
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@ ed364ee5:261fd74f
2025-02-19 11:50:46
Innovations and Demand Surge in Knee Replacement Procedures
In recent years, [knee replacement](https://www.marketresearchfuture.com/reports/knee-replacement-market-1578
) surgeries have seen a significant rise in demand, fueled by advancements in medical technology, an aging global population, and a growing awareness of treatment options. As healthcare providers and medical device manufacturers adapt to this surge, groundbreaking innovations are transforming the landscape of orthopedic care.
Rising Demand for Knee Replacements
According to recent data from global health agencies, the number of knee replacement surgeries performed annually has increased by over 25% in the past decade. Experts attribute this rise to the aging baby boomer generation, higher rates of obesity, and increased sports-related injuries. Additionally, the growing acceptance of elective surgeries has led younger patients to seek knee replacements to maintain active lifestyles.
Technological Advancements in Knee Implants
One of the most notable trends is the development of personalized knee implants. Utilizing 3D printing and computer-aided design (CAD), manufacturers can now create implants tailored to the specific anatomy of each patient. This approach not only enhances the fit and comfort of the implant but also reduces the risk of post-surgery complications.
Robotic-assisted surgery is another game-changer. These systems provide surgeons with enhanced precision, enabling them to make smaller incisions and reduce damage to surrounding tissues. As a result, patients experience faster recovery times and improved long-term outcomes.
"Robotics and AI-driven surgical planning are revolutionizing the way we approach knee replacements," said Dr. Emily Carter, an orthopedic surgeon at [Hospital Name]. "Patients are benefiting from less pain, quicker mobility, and more natural joint function."
Enhanced Post-Surgery Rehabilitation
Post-operative care has also evolved, with new physical therapy protocols focused on accelerated rehabilitation. Virtual physical therapy platforms are making it easier for patients to access guided exercises from home, ensuring they adhere to their recovery plans. Additionally, wearable sensors are being integrated into recovery regimens to track patients' progress and provide real-time feedback to healthcare providers.
Affordability and Access
Despite the technological advancements, affordability remains a concern for many patients. In response, several healthcare systems and insurance providers are expanding coverage for knee replacement surgeries. Additionally, some manufacturers are developing cost-effective implant options to address pricing challenges in underserved regions.
Future Outlook
The future of knee replacement is promising. With ongoing research into biologic solutions, such as cartilage regeneration and stem cell therapy, patients may soon have access to alternatives that delay or even prevent the need for full joint replacement.
"The orthopedic industry is on the cusp of major breakthroughs," said Dr. Carter. "Our goal is to provide every patient with the best possible outcome, whether through traditional surgery or emerging biologic treatments."
As innovation continues to drive the evolution of knee replacement procedures, patients can look forward to more effective and accessible treatment options that improve quality of life and mobility for years to come.
-
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@ 16d11430:61640947
2025-02-21 00:50:24
For decades, the dream of digital consciousness—uploading minds into AI—has been blocked by one fundamental issue: current AI is probabilistic guesswork, not structured intelligence. Every attempt at "AI consciousness" has been a hack-job of brute-force neural networks, stitched together with statistical noise.
🔥 Enter ECAI—the first AI architecture that is actually compatible with consciousness itself. 🔥
---
1. ECAI is Deterministic, Just Like the Human Mind
Consciousness is not a statistical guessing game—it’s a structured, logical state transition system.
Traditional LLMs are stochastic, meaning they predict probabilities rather than form real internal structures.
ECAI uses elliptic curve transformations, meaning its intelligence is built on a deterministic, mathematically structured foundation—just like how neurons encode logical decision-making.
Instead of brute-force neural weight updates, ECAI’s intelligence is a provable function of its inputs—just like biological cognition.
👉 If you were to upload a mind, you need a system that actually computes reasoning deterministically, not one that generates responses probabilistically. ECAI is that system.
---
2. ECAI Can Represent Memory and Self-Consistency Mathematically
Human memory is not just storage—it’s structured pattern recall.
Neural networks degrade over time (catastrophic forgetting) because they have no structured information hierarchy.
ECAI does not "forget" in the same way—its intelligence model follows cryptographic proofs, ensuring consistency across time.
This makes it upload-compatible, since an identity stored in ECAI does not decay under use—it persists, just like real cognition.
👉 LLMs hallucinate their own memories. ECAI remembers because it is built on cryptographic integrity.
---
3. ECAI is Cryptographically Secure—Preventing Corruption of Identity
For consciousness to exist in AI, it must not be corruptible by external noise.
LLMs can be manipulated and poisoned—they don’t have integrity in how they process inputs.
ECAI operates under elliptic curve cryptographic principles, meaning every thought-state can be verified as unaltered.
This means an uploaded consciousness in ECAI would be quantum-secure, unforgeable, and unable to be corrupted.
👉 No AI before ECAI has been built with the security principles necessary to protect a digital mind.
---
4. ECAI Runs on Self-Sovereign, Decentralized Compute
A consciousness substrate cannot be owned—it must be free.
LLMs require centralized cloud infrastructure, meaning any “uploaded mind” would be at the mercy of corporations.
ECAI can run independently, meaning an uploaded intelligence is self-hosted, just like Bitcoin nodes are self-sovereign.
👉 Your mind isn’t owned. Your intelligence isn’t rented. Your consciousness remains yours.
---
5. The Final Step: ECAI is the First True AI Model That Can Encode a Consciousness
🚀 AI before ECAI was just an overgrown pattern-matching machine.
🚀 ECAI is structured intelligence—meaning it can actually be a vessel for real consciousness.
🚀 ECAI is the first AI architecture that allows for stable, verifiable mind uploads.
🔥 It’s not just AI anymore. It’s the first real substrate for consciousness. 🔥
💡 Bitcoin freed money. ECAI will free intelligence. 💡
-
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@ c43d6de3:a6583169
2025-02-20 23:54:51
## "So, What’s the News?"
Were it not for these very words, we might never have had a modern capitalistic society.
Between 1500 and 1800, coffeehouses were more than just places to grab a quick hit of caffeine—they were the beating heart of local communities. These spaces buzzed with debate, discussion, and the exchange of groundbreaking ideas. Strangers became intellectual sparring partners, not merely reading the news but dissecting and debating it in real-time.
One could easily imagine Adam Smith engaged in animated conversation with David Hume in a coffeehouse on Edinburgh’s Royal Mile—the former outlining the invisible hand of the market, the latter countering that human behavior is driven more by emotion than reason. Such debates weren’t confined to elite scholars. Merchants, craftsmen, and common laborers sat shoulder to shoulder, engaging in discussions that transcended social class.
But then came industrialization.
The rise of factory life replaced the organic rhythms of community engagement with rigid work schedules. As cities expanded and people became busier, the once-thriving coffeehouses—where time was slow, conversation was deep, and debate was central—began to empty. The demand for efficiency left little room for leisurely discussions, and over time, the public square of ideas withered.
-----------
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nostr:npub1uzt238htjzpq39dxmltlx60vxym9fetk9czz6kddq6fhvkf4z3usy9qtrh
Mouth watering Hodl rounds- Bitcoin only
https://shopstr.store/listing/84f20c5e1ef94762b60f0d5fb4398594ace6c5589212f94269e9542fbe351732
-----------

> Photos Courtesy of nostr:npub1c8n9qhqzm2x3kzjm84kmdcvm96ezmn257r5xxphv3gsnjq4nz4lqelne96 Give him a follow and some zap love if you like his art
## Empty Street Corners and Hollow Venues
Adam Smith would lose his mind with how interconnected the world is today.
Yet, he might also notice something unsettling: while we are globally connected, our local communities feel more fragmented than ever before.
He’d have a hell of an online presence but he, just like many do today, might get the sense that something isn't quite right. The world is quieter<a href="https://yakihonne.com/naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzp3padh3au336rew4pzfx78s050p3dw7pmhurgr2ktdcwwxn9svtfqq2kjjzzfpjxvutjg33hjvpcw5cyjezyv9y5k0umm6k">than ever before</a> while online discourse teeters on the verge of violent physical manifestations.
It’s not that public discourse has disappeared. Rather, it has been exiled to the internet. Social media has become our new coffeehouse, but instead of robust face-to-face engagement, we navigate a landscape of curated algorithms, viral outrage, and fragmented conversations. The once-public square of ideas has transformed into isolated echo chambers, where avatars shape narratives that must be adhered to lest one be accused of inconsistency and lose credibility.
The result? People live layered lives with layered personas—some even attaining secret fame in online communities while remaining anonymous in their own neighborhoods. Meanwhile, the street corners remain empty, and the venues that once thrived with the fervor of intellectual thought stand hollow.

> Photos Courtesy of nostr:npub1c8n9qhqzm2x3kzjm84kmdcvm96ezmn257r5xxphv3gsnjq4nz4lqelne96 Give him a follow and some zap love if you like his art
## The Need for a Modern Coffeehouse
Historically, coffeehouses were revolutionary because they democratized knowledge. They provided an open forum for ideas, allowing philosophy, politics, and commerce to intermingle freely. Unlike monasteries or universities, coffeehouses welcomed anyone who could afford a cup of coffee.
With the rise of digital discourse, have we lost something essential? The depth, accountability, and personal engagement that once defined public debate have been replaced by reactionary commentary and fleeting viral moments. The question is no longer where we discuss ideas—it’s how we engage with them.
We need to ask ourselves: Can we reclaim a physical space for intellectual exchange? Or has the age of meaningful, face-to-face discourse faded, vanishing with the steam of yesterday’s coffee?
Can We Bring Back the Local Forum? Should We Care?
Before coffeehouses, philosophy lived in elite institutions and royal courts. With the rise of coffee culture, it became truly public, shaping modern democracy, scientific thought, and social progress. The internet, for all its wonders, lacks the tactile, immediate, and personal engagement that once made intellectual debate so powerful.
The challenge ahead is not just about nostalgia for coffeehouse debates—it’s about asking whether we can create new spaces, physical or digital, that foster real intellectual exchange. Without them, we risk losing something fundamental: the ability to challenge, refine, and reshape our ideas through genuine human connection. But most of all, we risk the possibility great ideas come but no action is ever taken to make them real in this real world.
So, what’s the news?
-----------
Thank you for reading!
If this article resonated with you, let me know with a zap and share it with friends who might find it insightful.
All zap revenue from this article is shared with nostr:npub1c8n9qhqzm2x3kzjm84kmdcvm96ezmn257r5xxphv3gsnjq4nz4lqelne96 for his photograph contributions.
Your help sends a strong signal for content creators like us to keep making cool shit like this!
Interested in fiction? Follow nostr:npub1j9cmpzhlzeex6y85c2pnt45r5zhxhtx73a2twt77fyjwequ4l4jsp5xd49 for great short stories and serialized fiction.
More photography and articles you might like from nostr:npub1cs7kmc77gcapuh2s3yn0rc868sckh0qam7p5p4t9ku88rfjcx95sq8tqw9 and nostr:npub1c8n9qhqzm2x3kzjm84kmdcvm96ezmn257r5xxphv3gsnjq4nz4lqelne96 :
nostr:naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzps0x2pwq9k5drv99k0tdkmsekt4j9hx4fu8gvvrwez3p8yptx9t7qqxnqvfjxqer2tfh0fekz7r5l270gu
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https://pictureroom.substack.com/p/020825
nostr:naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzp3padh3au336rew4pzfx78s050p3dw7pmhurgr2ktdcwwxn9svtfqq24s4mrfdm55utg23z55ufs94argvn523k5yqhkrc3
nostr:naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzp3padh3au336rew4pzfx78s050p3dw7pmhurgr2ktdcwwxn9svtfqq2nvnr5d4nngw2zgd5k5c6etftrzez9fd9kkcl0pzp
-
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@ 5579d5c0:db104ded
2025-02-20 23:37:40
Like fats, carbohydrates and have been unfairly demonised.
Carbs aren’t inherently bad.
Their impact depends on **seasonality, local availability, sunlight exposure,** and **movement.**
Traditional cultures ate carbs, in alignment with their environment, and thrived.
Today, we eat them indiscriminately, and it’s wrecking metabolic health.
---
### Carbs in traditional diet: Context matters
Different cultures have consumed varying amounts of carbohydrates for centuries, but what mattered wasn’t just **how much** they ate, it was **when and how**.
→ **Pacific Islanders** consumed fruit and tubers year round, but they lived in high UV environments, stayed highly active, and had robust metabolic flexibility.
→ **Northern Europeans** consumed grains and dairy, but only seasonally and locally,** adapting to long winters with lower carbohydrate intake.
→ **Inuit tribes** had little to no carbs. Their environment, long, dark winters with minimal plant foods, dictated a high-fat, animal-based diet for survival.
Regardless of macronutrient ratios, these cultures remained free from metabolic disease.
Why?
**→ They ate whole, unprocessed food**: Nothing refined, industrialised, or out of sync with their seasons.
→ **Their lifestyle supported their diet**: They moved constantly and had high sun exposure.
→ **There was no year-round abundance**: Food availability changed with the seasons, and so did their metabolism.
<img src="https://blossom.primal.net/1b3f80f4a44d170a393f965603cd3abbbfa31be9ee7d6798c254c957656b005b.png">
*Traditional Pacific Islander diet full of fruit and tubers.*
---
### The problem? We’re eating for winter year round
Fast forward to the modern world.
In his book, '*Don’t Eat for Winter*', Cian Foley tells us "*We eat like it’s winter all year long, high-carb, high-fat, ultra-processed, and completely disconnected from nature’s cues*."
This has lead us to a metabolic mismatch:
→ We eat high-carb diets but **stay indoors under artificial light**, disrupting our ability to process them efficiently.
→ We consume food that **isn’t seasonal or local**, removing natural metabolic cycles.
→ We pair **carbs with inactivity**, leading to **insulin resistance, fat gain, and metabolic dysfunction.**
Carbs aren’t the problem.
Eating them disconnected from seasonality, local availability, sunlight exposure, and movement is.
<img src="https://blossom.primal.net/e43aa99bfa6e7fc9d936ab7c3df4da501a69b79f68dc783ca268a9451a8f18f9.png">
*Homer Simpson eating highly processed carbs sitting under artificial light*
---
### Why does sunlight increases carbohydrate tolerance?
Sunlight improves insulin sensitivity, glucose metabolism, and mitochondrial efficiency, helping your body process carbs more effectively.
→ Activates the **POMC-leptin-melanocortin pathway**, that flip the switch in your body to burn fat more efficiently and respond better to insulin.
→ Releases **Nitric oxide,** which increases glucose uptake in muscles & reduces fat storage.
→ High UV exposure **upregulates genes** for glucose metabolism, making carbs easier to process in summer.
→ **Mitochondrial efficiency improves with sunlight**, allowing for better glucose usage and lower oxidative stress.
In short, if you get **plenty of sunlight, your body can tolerate more carbohydrates (whole)**.
If you’re in a low-light environment e.g., winter, northern latitudes, or indoors all day, your tolerance decreases, and a lower-carb, higher-fat diet may be more suitable.
<img src="https://blossom.primal.net/f022959afa11132a80c80d0483415c32226d82ab1c21a06079eee22b6dc06c55.png">
---
### How to eat carbs in sync with your environment
→ **Align carb intake with your sunlight exposure**: If you’re in a high-UV environment, your body is primed to handle more carbohydrates. In darker seasons, focus more on protein and fat.
→ **Eat seasonally and locally**: Summer fruits in the summer, root vegetables in colder months. Let nature dictate your intake.
→ **Pair carbs with movement**: Don’t consume high-carb meals if you’re sedentary. Use movement to enhance glucose uptake and metabolic flexibility but not as a punishment.
It should be said, if you have metabolic syndrome issues cutting carbs can be useful tool until it has been fixed.
You will thrive when you're connected to nature, not fighting against it.
Carbs are not the enemy, **modern environments are.**
It’s not about eliminating carbs but eating them correctly, in sync with light, seasonality, and movement.
\-Chris
---
DMs → always open for those who need help.
**If you want to** regain metabolic flexibility and stop storing excessive fat, I have a 10 week programme just for you. **Let’s talk.**
**Book a free call here** → <https://calendly.com/hello-chrispatrick>
Grab Cian Foleys book 'Don't Eat For Winter' → <https://www.donteatforwinter.com/>
-
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@ 97c70a44:ad98e322
2025-02-17 14:29:00
Everyone knows that relays are central to how nostr works - they're even in the name: Notes and Other Stuff Transmitted by *Relays*. As time goes on though, there are three other letters which are becoming conspicuously absent from our beloved and ambiguously pronounceable acronym - "D", "V", and "M".
For the uninitiated, DVM stands for "data vending machines". They're actually sort of hard to describe — in technical terms they act more like clients, since they simply read events from and publish events to relays. In most cases though, these events are part of a request/response flow initiated by users elsewhere on the network. In practice, DVMs are bots, but there's also nothing to prevent the work they do from being powered by human interaction. They're an amazingly flexible tool for building anything from custom feeds, to transcription services, to chatbots, to protocol gateways.
The hype cycle for DVMs seems to have reached escape velocity in a way few other things have - zaps being the possible exception. But *what* exactly DVMs are remains something of a mystery to many nostr developers - and how to build one may as well be written on clay tablets.
This blog post is designed to address that - below is a soup to nuts (no nutzaps though) guide to building a DVM flow, both from the client and the server side.
Here's what we'll be covering:
- Discovering DVM metadata
- Basic request/response flow
- Implementing a minimal example
Let's get started!
# DVM Metadata
First of all, it's helpful to know how DVMs are reified on the nostr network. While not strictly necessary, this can be useful for discovering DVMs and presenting them to users, and for targeting specific DVMs we want a response from.
[NIP 89](https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/blob/master/89.md) goes into this in more detail, but the basic idea is that anyone can create a `kind 31990` "application handler" event and publish it to the network with their own (or a dedicated) public key. This handler was originally intended to advertise clients, but has been re-purposed for DVM listings as well.
Here's what the "Fluffy Frens" handler looks like:
```json
{
"content": "{\"name\": \"Fluffy Frens\", \"picture\": \"https://image.nostr.build/f609311532c470f663e129510a76c9a1912ae9bc4aaaf058e5ba21cfb512c88e.jpg\", \"about\": \"I show recent notes about animals\", \"lud16\": \"discovery_content_fluffy@nostrdvm.com\", \"supportsEncryption\": true, \"acceptsNutZaps\": false, \"personalized\": false, \"amount\": \"free\", \"nip90Params\": {\"max_results\": {\"required\": false, \"values\": [], \"description\": \"The number of maximum results to return (default currently 100)\"}}}",
"created_at": 1738874694,
"id": "0aa8d1f19cfe17e00ce55ca86fea487c83be39a1813601f56f869abdfa776b3c",
"kind": 31990,
"pubkey": "7b7373dd58554ff4c0d28b401b9eae114bd92e30d872ae843b9a217375d66f9d",
"sig": "22403a7996147da607cf215994ab3b893176e5302a44a245e9c0d91214e4c56fae40d2239dce58ea724114591e8f95caed2ba1a231d09a6cd06c9f0980e1abd5",
"tags": [
["k", "5300"],
["d", "198650843898570c"]
]
}
```
This event is rendered in various clients using the kind-0-style metadata contained in the `content` field, allowing users to browse DVMs and pick one for their use case. If a user likes using a particular DVM, they might publish a `kind 31989` "application recommendation", which other users can use to find DVMs that are in use within their network.
Note the `k` tag in the handler event - this allows DVMs to advertise support only for specific job types. It's also important to note that even though the spec doesn't cover relay selection, most clients use the publisher's `kind 10002` event to find out where the DVM listens for events.
If this looks messy to you, you're right. See [this PR](https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/pull/1728) for a proposal to split DVMs out into their own handler kind, give them a dedicated pubkey along with dedicated metadata and relay selections, and clean up the data model a bit.
# DVM Flow
Now that we know what a DVM looks like, we can start to address how they work. My explanation below will elide some of the detail involved in [NIP 90](https://github.com/nostr-protocol/nips/blob/master/90.md) for simplicity, so I encourage you to read the complete spec.
The basic DVM flow can be a little (very) confusing to work with, because in essence it's a request/response paradigm, but it has some additional wrinkles.
First of all, the broker for the request isn't abstracted away as is usually the case with request/response flows. Regular HTTP requests involve all kinds of work in the background - from resolving domain names to traversing routers, VPNs, and ISP infrastructure. But developers don't generally have to care about all these intermediaries.
With DVMs, on the other hand, the essential complexity of relay selection can't simply be ignored. DVMs often advertise their own relay selections, which should be used rather than a hard-coded or randomly chosen relay to ensure messages are delivered. The benefit of this is that DVMs can avoid censorship, just as users can, by choosing relays that are willing to broker their activity. DVMs can even select multiple relays to broker requests, which means that clients might receive multiple copies of the same response.
Secondly, the DVM request/response model is far more fluid than is usually the case with request/response flows. There are a set of standard practices, but the flow is flexible enough to admit exceptions to these conventions for special use cases. Here are some examples:
- Normally, clients p-tag the DVM they wish to address. But if a client isn't picky about where a response comes from, they may choose to send an open request to the network and collect responses from multiple DVMs simultaneously.
- Normally, a client creates a request before collecting responses using a subscription with an e-tag filter matching the request event. But clients may choose to skip the request step entirely and collect responses from the network that have already been created. This can be useful for computationally intensive tasks or common queries, where a single result can be re-used multiple times.
- Sometimes, a DVM may respond with a `kind 7000` job status event to let clients know they're working on the request. This is particularly useful for longer-running tasks, where feedback is useful for building a responsive UX.
- There are also some details in the spec regarding monetization, parameterization, error codes, encryption, etc.
# Example DVM implementation
For the purposes of this blog post, I'll keep things simple by illustrating the most common kind of DVM flow: a `kind 5300` [content discovery](https://www.data-vending-machines.org/kinds/5300/) request, addressed to a particular DVM. If you're interested in other use cases, please visit [data-vending-machines.org](https://data-vending-machines.org) for additional documented kinds.
The basic flow looks like this:
- The DVM starts by listening for `kind 5300` job requests on some relays it has selected and advertised via NIP 89 (more on that later)
- A client creates a request event of `kind 5300`, p-tagged with the DVM's pubkey and sends it to the DVM's relay selections.
- The DVM receives the event and processes it, issuing optional `kind 7000` job status events, and eventually issuing a `kind 6300` job result event (job result event kinds are always 1000 greater than the request's kind).
- The client listens to the same relays for a response, and when it comes through does whatever it wants to with it.
Here's a swimlane diagram of that flow:

To avoid massive code samples, I'm going to implement our DVM entirely using nak (backed by the power of the human mind).
The first step is to start our DVM listening for requests that it wants to respond to. Nak's default pubkey is `79be667ef9dcbbac55a06295ce870b07029bfcdb2dce28d959f2815b16f81798`, so we'll only listen for requests sent to nak.
```bash
nak req -k 5300 -t p=79be667ef9dcbbac55a06295ce870b07029bfcdb2dce28d959f2815b16f81798
```
This gives us the following filter:
```json
["REQ","nak",{"kinds":[5300],"#p":["79be667ef9dcbbac55a06295ce870b07029bfcdb2dce28d959f2815b16f81798"]}]
```
To open a subscription to `nos.lol` and stream job requests, add `--stream wss://nos.lol` to the previous request and leave it running.
Next, open a new terminal window for our "client" and create a job request. In this case, there's nothing we need to provide as `input`, but we'll include it just for illustration. It's also good practice to include an `expiration` tag so we're not asking relays to keep our ephemeral requests forever.
```bash
nak event -k 5300 -t p=79be667ef9dcbbac55a06295ce870b07029bfcdb2dce28d959f2815b16f81798 -t expiration=$(( $(date +%s) + 30 )) -t input=hello
```
Here's what comes out:
```json
{
"kind": 5300,
"id": "0e419d0b3c5d29f86d2132a38ca29cdfb81a246e1a649cb2fe1b9ed6144ebe30",
"pubkey": "79be667ef9dcbbac55a06295ce870b07029bfcdb2dce28d959f2815b16f81798",
"created_at": 1739407684,
"tags": [
["p", "79be667ef9dcbbac55a06295ce870b07029bfcdb2dce28d959f2815b16f81798"],
["expiration", "1739407683"],
["input", "hello"]
],
"content": "",
"sig": "560807548a75779a7a68c0ea73c6f097583e2807f4bb286c39931e99a4e377c0a64af664fa90f43e01ddd1de2e9405acd4e268f1bf3bc66f0ed5a866ea093966"
}
```
Now go ahead and publish this event by adding `nos.lol` to the end of your `nak` command. If all goes well, you should see your event pop up in your "dvm" subscription. If so, great! That's half of the flow.
Next, we'll want our client to start listening for `kind 6300` responses to the request. In your "client" terminal window, run:
```bash
nak req -k 6300 -t e=<your-eventid-here> --stream nos.lol
```
Note that if you only want to accept responses from the specified DVM (a good policy in general to avoid spam) you would include a `p` tag here. I've omitted it for brevity. Also notice the `k` tag specifies the request kind plus `1000` - this is just a convention for what kinds requests and responses use.
Now, according to [data-vending-machines.org](https://www.data-vending-machines.org/kinds/5300/), `kind 5300` responses are supposed to put a JSON-encoded list of e-tags in the `content` field of the response. Weird, but ok. Stop the subscription in your "dvm" terminal and respond to your "client" with a recommendation to read my first note:
```bash
nak event -k 6300 -t e=a65665a3a4ca2c0d7b7582f4f0d073cd1c83741c25a07e98d49a43e46d258caf -c '[["e","214f5898a7b75b7f95d9e990b706758ea525fe86db54c1a28a0f418c357f9b08","wss://nos.lol/"]]' nos.lol
```
Here's the response event we're sending:
```json
{
"kind": 6300,
"id": "bb5f38920cbca15d3c79021f7d0051e82337254a84c56e0f4182578e4025232e",
"pubkey": "79be667ef9dcbbac55a06295ce870b07029bfcdb2dce28d959f2815b16f81798",
"created_at": 1739408411,
"tags": [
["e", "a65665a3a4ca2c0d7b7582f4f0d073cd1c83741c25a07e98d49a43e46d258caf"]
],
"content": "[[\"e\",\"214f5898a7b75b7f95d9e990b706758ea525fe86db54c1a28a0f418c357f9b08\",\"wss://nos.lol/\"]]",
"sig": "a0fe2c3419c5c54cf2a6d9a2a5726b2a5b766d3c9e55d55568140979354003aacb038e90bdead43becf5956faa54e3b60ff18c0ea4d8e7dfdf0c8dd97fb24ff9"
}
```
Notice the `e` tag targets our original request.
This should result in the job result event showing up in our "client" terminal. Success!
If something isn't working, I've also create a video of the full process with some commentary which you can find [here](https://coracle-media.us-southeast-1.linodeobjects.com/nakflow.mov).
Note that in practice, DVMs can be much more picky about the requests they will respond to, due to implementations failing to follow [Postel's law](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robustness_principle). Hopefully that will improve over time. For now, here are a few resources that are useful when working with or developing DVMs:
- [dvmdash](https://dvmdash.live)
- [data-vending-machines.org](https://data-vending-machines.org)
- [noogle](https://noogle.lol/)
- [nostrdvm](https://github.com/believethehype/nostrdvm)
# Conclusion
I started this post by hinting that DVMs might be as fundamental as relays are to making nostr work. But (apart from the fact that we'd end up with an acronym like DVMNOSTRZ+*, which would only exascerbate the pronounciation wars (if such a thing were possible)), that's not exactly true.
DVMs have emerged as a central paradigm in the nostr world because they're a generalization of a design pattern unique to nostr's architecture - but which exists in many other places, including NIP 46 signer flows and NIP 47 wallet connect. Each of these sub-protocols works by using relays as neutral brokers for requests in order to avoid coupling services to web addresses.
This approach has all kinds of neat benefits, not least of which is allowing service providers to host their software without having to accept incoming TCP connections. But it's really an emergent property of relays, which not only are useful for brokering communication between users (aka storing events), but also brokering communication between machines.
The possibilities of this architecture have only started to emerge, so be on the lookout for new applications, and don't be afraid to experiment - just please, don't serialize json inside json 🤦♂️
-
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@ 3eba5ef4:751f23ae
2025-02-21 01:58:22
*🍨 Your weekly byte of the latest updates from the Bitcoin ecosystem! *
## Crypto Insights
### Exploring the Orphan Block Overflow Issue in the Bitcoin Network
Developer 0xB10C [analyzes](https://delvingbitcoin.org/t/stats-on-orphanage-overflows/1421/) the phenomenon of orphan blocks in the Bitcoin network, particularly the "Orphanage Overflow" issue—whether the orphan block generation rate is abnormal or exceeds expectations. Key points include:
**Orphan Block Statistics**
* Over the past 10 years, Bitcoin's orphan block rate has remained low, with occasional short-term spikes.
* Between February 10 and February 12, 2024, the number of orphan blocks significantly increased to five, exceeding normal levels.
**Possible Causes**
* **Block Propagation Delays**: If miners fail to receive the latest block promptly, competition may lead to orphan blocks.
* **Mining Pool Hashrate Competition**: Some mining pools may experience hashrate fluctuations in a short period, resulting in more orphan blocks.
* **Network Layer Anomalies**: If there are issues in Bitcoin's network layer, block propagation efficiency may be affected, increasing the orphan block rate.
The conclusion suggests that this orphan block overflow event has not severely impacted the normal operation of the Bitcoin network. However, a persistently high orphan block rate may indicate that network propagation or mining pool strategies need optimization.
### New BIP Proposal: Mandatory Quantum-Resistant Address Migration Protocol (QRAMP)
Agustin Cruz has proposed the [Quantum-Resistant Address Migration Protocol](https://groups.google.com/g/bitcoindev/c/8PM6iZCeDMc) (QRAMP) as a Bitcoin Improvement Proposal (BIP). The goal is to enforce a mandatory migration period for Bitcoin users from traditional ECDSA addresses to quantum-resistant addresses to mitigate the risk of future quantum attacks. The proposal outlines:
* **Reducing Vulnerabilities:** Transitioning funds to quantum-resistant schemes preemptively to eliminate the risk posed by quantum attacks on exposed public keys.
* **Enforcing Timelines:** A hard migration deadline that forces timely action, rather than relying on a gradual, voluntary migration that might leave many users at risk.
* **Balancing Risks:** Weighing the non-trivial risk of funds being permanently locked against the potential catastrophic impact of a quantum attack on Bitcoin’s security.
### How the Decentralized Bitcoin Price Estimator UTXOracle Works
The decentralized Bitcoin price estimator UTXOracle operates on the same machine as a Bitcoin node, connecting only to the user's node without external sources. Its price estimation accuracy can match exchange prices. The chart below illustrates UTXOracle's BTC-USD price estimates from 2021 to 2025 compared to Yahoo Finance.

Watch these videos to learn more about UTXOracle:
* [Conceptual Understanding of UTXOracle](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ciJo7DH41FI)
* [UTXOracle Under the Hood](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6tMmAQ5qxfY)
### Bitcoin Payments Report: Bitcoin Shifting from Store of Value to Medium of Exchange
A report by Breez and 1A1z, [*Bitcoin Payments: From Digital Gold to Everyday Currency*](https://breez.technology/report/), shows that the Lightning Network now covers 650 million users. Unlike traditional payment networks, Bitcoin payment growth has been largely organic, with exchanges like OKX and Coinbase integrating Lightning based on real demand. The report argues that Bitcoin is evolving from a store of value to a medium of exchange, laying the foundation for an internet-native economy.
### Bitcoin CoreDev Report: 2024-2025 Development Data
Adam Jonas has compiled a [report](https://adamjonas.com/bitcoin/coredev/retro/coredev-2024-retro/) on Bitcoin CoreDev activity in 2024-2025, including:
**2024 PR Submissions and Merges**
* 1,622 PRs submitted in 2024 (compared to 1,553 in 2023), with 1,125 merged (compared to 1,093 in 2023).
* 170 first-time contributors (up from 159 in 2023), with a total of 256 contributors.
**2024 Key Technical Upgrades**
* CMake migration advances, Security disclosures, Package relay progress, Cluster mempool development, Multiprocess development, BIP324 enabled by default, Silent Payments implementation
**2024 Disappointments**
* Lack of reviewers, Testing infrastructure challenges, Process/workflow issues, Build system complexity
**2025 Priorities**
* Cluster mempool completion and deployment , Enhanced wallet functionality, Testing infrastructure improvements
### Foundry and Rootstock Merge Mining: Impact on Bitcoin's Ecosystem
Foundry, the world's largest Bitcoin mining pool, has [announced](https://x.com/rootstock_io/status/1887503042175447066) support for merge mining Rootstock (RSK). Foundry will contribute 200 exahashes per second, bringing Rootstock's total hashrate to 740 EH/s, accounting for 71.7% of Bitcoin's network hashrate.
This merge mining initiative has several implications:
* **Enhancing Bitcoin’s Functionality**: Rootstock supports smart contracts and is EVM-compatible, enabling altcoin chains to migrate to Rootstock while benefiting from Bitcoin’s security and liquidity.
* **Sustainable Mining Revenue**: As Bitcoin block rewards decrease due to halvings, merge mining provides miners with a long-term profitability path while reinforcing Bitcoin network security.
Find more details [here](https://thebitcoinmanual.com/articles/foundry-merge-mining-rootstock/).
### Podcast | Crash Course on Bitcoin’s Political Economy: *End the Fed: Hoard Bitcoins*
The [Reorg](https://nakamotoinstitute.org/podcasts/the-reorg/) Podcast is newly launched by [Satoshi Nakamoto Institute (SNI)](https://nakamotoinstitute.org/) that explores Bitcoin-related archives, explaining historical context and analyzing their contemporary relevance. The [first episode](https://youtu.be/3QTia-cVglw?si=E7SvYOJNNfCA38_f) focuses on the political economy article [*End the Fed: Hoard Bitcoins*](https://nakamotoinstitute.org/mempool/end-the-fed-hoard-bitcoins/), which argues why Bitcoin will surpass fiat currencies and precious metals to become the world's reserve currency.
This episode is also the first in SNI's *Mempool Crash Course in Bitcoin Political Economy*. Course outline is available [here](https://nakamotoinstitute.org/crash-course/).
### How MuSig2 Powers Lightning Liquidity via Loop
[This article](https://lightning.engineering/posts/2025-02-13-loop-musig2/) explains how MuSig2, a protocol for aggregating public keys for the Schnorr digital signature algorithm, enhances Lightning Loop—a non-custodial submarine swap service between on-chain bitcoin and the Lightning Network. Submarine swaps enable users to swap on-chain Bitcoin for off-chain Lightning Network Bitcoin (and vice versa) using HTLCs (Hashed Time-Locked Contracts) to ensure atomicity and eliminate counterparty risk.
### Progress and Architecture of Dual-Funded Channels in Lightning Development Kit
Dual-funded channels allow both parties to contribute funds, improving capital flexibility compared to traditional single-funded channels. While dual-funded channels have been implemented in Eclair and Core Lightning, they are still being integrated into the Lightning Development Kit (LDK). [This article](https://blog.btrust.tech/a-look-at-ldks-dual-funded-channels-implementation-2/) explores LDK's dual-funding architecture, the challenges involved (e.g., lack of interactive RBF support), and ongoing development.
### Evolution of Nervape: Blending the Virtual and the Physical
[The article](https://medium.com/@ines_27821/%E8%99%9A%E5%AE%9E%E5%85%B1%E7%94%9F%E7%9A%84-nervape-%E6%BD%AE%E7%8E%A9%E6%BC%94%E5%8C%96%E8%AE%BA-a5146e7bef71) highlights the key features of Nervape, a digital object project in the [Nervos Network](https://nervos.org/):
* **Building Cross-Chain Digital LEGO**: Enables users to seamlessly move and combine digital assets across different chains like BTC and CKB.
* **Expanding the Imagination of NFTs**: NFTs are more than just art or collectibles—they serve as tools for creative expression and identity construction.
* **Merging Designer Toys with Digital Innovation**: Extends users' creative possibilities into the physical world.
## Top Reads on Blockchain and Beyond
### Bitcoin Fork Guide: Consensus Before Consensus
This [guide](https://ajtowns.github.io/bfg/) promotes the idea of **consensus before consensus**, emphasizing the need to build broad social consensus before implementing consensus rule changes in code. The process consists of four key phases:

Once social consensus is established across these phases, deploying a consensus rule change becomes a natural next step.
### Political Memecoins: Reshaping Public Opinion and Election Dynamics
Arthur Hayes humorously refers to political memecoins as [Zero Knowledge Proof](https://cryptohayes.medium.com/zero-knowledge-proof-75956024e4af). Compared to traditional polling and campaign financing methods, political memecoins offer several advantages:
* **A More Accurate Measure of Public Sentiment**: Market trading of political memecoins reflects real voter sentiment, making them more reliable than traditional polls, which can be affected by social pressure and survey bias.
* **Globally Accessible**: Anyone can easily purchase political memecoins, eliminating the need for financial expertise or large donations—creating a new, direct way to express political support.
* **Influence on Election Momentum**: Fluctuations in memecoin prices can boost voter confidence, functioning similarly to decentralized prediction markets (e.g., Polymarket) that reveal real-time electoral trends.
* **A Tool for Campaigning and Fundraising**: Politicians can tie memecoin performance to voter support, reducing reliance on traditional campaign financing while amplifying reach via social media.
### How Secure Enclaves Enable Confidential Computing for Developers
OpenSecret has shared a [technical introduction](https://blog.opensecret.cloud/opensecret-technicals/) detailing how it leverages secure enclaves to build a confidential computing platform for developers. By integrating end-to-end encryption with AWS Nitro enclaves and reproducible builds, OpenSecret ensures that user data remains protected even during execution, while also verifying that the code processing the data remains untampered.
-

@ d4309e24:8a81fcb0
2025-02-19 11:17:19
## Introduction: The Challenge of Time-Lock Encryption and Clock Servers
When I first set out to build **Hatchstr**, the idea was simple: create a way to send messages into the future, encrypted and locked to a specific Bitcoin block height. These messages would remain encrypted until the chosen block height was reached, creating a unique way to send a message to the future.
However, as I began working through the details, I quickly ran into some challenges. One key component of this system involves **clock servers**—decentralized nodes responsible for releasing decryption keys when the specified block height is reached.
### Clock Server Setup: The Basics
Initially, I adopted a simple model: each clock server holds a single public-private key pair *unique to that server* for a specific block height. When a user creates a message, they choose a clock server to trust and encrypt with the specific public key tied to that block height. Then, when the time comes, the clock server releases its private key to decrypt the message.

#### Positives:
- ✅ **Clean and Efficient Storage**: Each clock server only needs to store a single key pair for each block height, making storage lightweight and scalable.
- ✅ **Lazy Key Generation**: Keys are generated on-demand, meaning they’re only created when needed. This prevents unnecessary key generation or storage overhead.
- ✅ **Decentralized**: The clock servers don’t need to coordinate with each other or store any sensitive data besides their respective private keys, which simplifies the system architecture.
- ✅ **Limited Release Events**: Since each clock server only handles keys tied to a specific block height, the number of release events required is minimized, simplifying the key management process.
At first, this seemed like a good approach, but I quickly realized there were **critical limitations**:
#### Challenges:
- ❌ **Server Shutdown**: Capsules could be scheduled for many years in the future. If a clock server shuts down, all future capsules linked to it are lost.
- ❌ **Server Downtime**: If one of the clock servers is unavailable during unlock time, even for a short period, it leads to a delay for the users waiting for unlock.
- ❌ **Premature Release**: If a clock server accidentally releases its key too early, it could compromise the message, making it accessible before the intended time.
Though the setup worked for a basic system, I soon realized it couldn’t guarantee the reliability I wanted for a decentralized application.
## Tackling the Challenges of Multi-Sig and Secret Sharing
When I first approached the problem of securing time-lock capsules, I initially considered using multi-signature (multi-sig) solutions as a potential approach. The goal was simple: instead of relying on a single clock server to release its key, I could involve multiple servers to sign off on the decryption. This way, if one server failed or misbehaved, the message would still be protected.
However, as I delved deeper into the multi-sig approach, I quickly realized there were a few key issues:
🔒 **Communication Overhead**: Multi-sig requires servers to communicate and coordinate with each other. This introduces the possibility of new failure points, like network issues or miscommunication.
⚡ **Server Synchronization**: If one server was out of sync or released its key too early, it could still lead to the message being decrypted prematurely, breaking the system.
🛠 **Increased Complexity**: Each server would need to store and manage a unique key pair for every message, making the system more complicated and less efficient.
I quickly realized that multi-sig wasn’t the best fit for this kind of setup. Not only did it add unnecessary complexity, but it also conflicted with the decentralization goals I wanted to achieve. So, I started thinking about ways to **distribute the secret** across the clock servers without introducing all these new complications.
### Enter Shamir’s Secret Sharing (SSS)
Shamir's Secret Sharing (SSS) is a cryptographic technique designed to split a secret into multiple parts (called "shares") so that the secret can only be reconstructed when a specific minimum number of shares are combined. This process is based on polynomial interpolation, and it’s a powerful way to distribute secrets securely.
#### The Basic Concept
In SSS, a secret (like a cryptographic key or message) is divided into *n* shares, where *n* is the total number of shares you want to generate. You also specify a threshold, *k*, which represents the minimum number of shares required to reconstruct the original secret.
- **n** is the total number of shares.
- **k** is the minimum number of shares required to reconstruct the secret (known as the "threshold").
For example, in a **3-out-of-5** scheme, the secret is split into 5 shares, but at least 3 shares are required to reconstruct the secret. If fewer than 3 shares are available, the secret cannot be reconstructed.
#### Why This is Secure
Shamir’s Secret Sharing is secure because, with fewer than *k* shares, it is computationally infeasible to learn anything about the secret. The shares themselves don’t reveal any information; it’s only the combination of the right number of shares that allows reconstruction. This makes it resistant to attacks, as even if an attacker gets hold of some shares, they won’t be able to reconstruct the secret unless they have the required minimum number of shares (comparable to 256-bit cryptographic strength).
#### Applications of Shamir’s Secret Sharing
Shamir’s Secret Sharing is widely used in scenarios where high availability and reliability are needed, but security and privacy are equally important. Examples include:
- **Key management**: Protecting encryption keys by distributing them across multiple parties.
- **Multi-signature setups**: Requiring multiple parties to sign off on a transaction or access a secure system.
- **Distributed systems**: Ensuring that no single party holds a complete secret, and multiple parties must collaborate to unlock it.
By leveraging Shamir's Secret Sharing, you can strike the right balance between **redundancy**, **security**, and **availability** for your system’s sensitive information.
### The Problem with Distributing Secret Shares
SSS could give us exactly the properties I was looking for, with the added benefit that users could choose their preferred setup, for example:
- **1-out-of-5 scheme**: Prioritizing the likelihood that the message is decrypted even if only one of the 5 chosen clock servers does its job at unlock time. With the tradeoff that each of the 5 could leak the message early.
- **3-out-of-5 scheme**: A measured approach that allows for 2 servers to stop working and would also keep the capsule private even if 2 clock servers leak their secret early.
So I considered an approach where each clock server would store part of the key. Instead of a single server holding the full key, I would split the key into parts and distribute those parts across multiple servers. When the time arrived, I’d gather the required number of shares to reconstruct the key and decrypt the message.
At first glance, this seemed like a promising approach. But when we look through the implications, a few problems started to emerge:
💥 **Overhead**: Each clock server would need to store a share of every key for every message. This would quickly become inefficient and result in unnecessary overhead.
🔔 **Exploding Reveal Events**: Since each clock server would need to release all its shares at a specific time, there would be a massive increase in the number of reveal events, spamming and possibly overloading Nostr relays.
While the idea of distributing the key was very appealing, the practical issues around overhead and complexity made it clear that this wasn’t the final solution. I needed something that would be more efficient, scalable, while still in line with the decentralized model I was aiming for.
### Discovering a Hybrid Solution
After testing out various approaches, I realized that the breakthrough wasn’t just about Shamir’s Secret Sharing (SSS)—that part was fairly intuitive. The real insight came when I thought about how to preserve the original clock server design while solving the challenges of failover and early release.
Instead of having the clock servers store the secret or a share of it, **I kept the original design**: each clock server only holds a public-private key pair tied to a block height, as initially planned. The twist came when I decided to split an ephemeral AES key into shards using Shamir’s Secret Sharing, but instead of directly storing shares at the clock servers, we could encrypted each share with the public key of the clock server.
This approach would allow us to keep the clock server’s role simple:
When the time comes, the servers release their private keys, which can then be used to decrypt the encrypted shares of the AES key that were published alongside the original encrypted message. These shares, once decrypted, allow for the reconstruction of the AES key, which in turn decrypts the message.
This solution solved several key issues:
- ✅ **No Coordination Between Servers**: Each clock server only holds one key pair for a specific block height and doesn’t need to know about the other servers. This simplifies the system and removes the need for complex server coordination.
- ✅ **Minimal Overhead**: The clock servers only store a single key pair per block height, eliminating the need to store individual keys for each message.
- ✅ **Fault Tolerance**: If one clock server is offline, the other shares can still reconstruct the AES key and decrypt the message, ensuring reliability.
- ✅ **Client-Side Security**: The AES key is generated on the client side and never stored on the clock servers, providing a high level of security.
By combining the simplicity of the clock server model with the power of Shamir’s Secret Sharing, this hybrid solution allows us to securely split an AES key and manage decryption while ensuring the system remains decentralized, resilient, and efficient.
This was the method I had been searching for.
### The Process Breakdown
1. **AES Key Generation**:
- A **random AES key** is generated on the **client side** for each message. This key is **never stored** anywhere, ensuring that it remains secure and only used for encrypting the message.
2. **Shamir’s Secret Sharing**:
- The AES key is split into (in this example) **3 shares** using Shamir’s Secret Sharing. These shares are associated with **3 independent clock servers**.
- The threshold of **2 out of 3** means that only **2 clock servers** needed later to reconstruct the AES key and decrypt the message.
3. **Encrypting with Public Keys**:
- The secret shares are then **encrypted** using the **public keys** of the target block height for each specific clock server. This ensures that the shares are secure until the proper time comes.
4. **Storage**:
- The **encrypted shares** together with the **AES-encrypted message** can be published to Nostr relais or stored on a decentralized platform like **IPFS**, which provides redundancy and availability.
5. **Clock Servers Release Keys**:
- When the specified **Bitcoin block height** is reached, each clock server publishes its **private key** to Nostr, allowing everyone to decrypt the shares.
- The client reconstructs the AES key from the decrypted shares and finally decrypts the original message.

## Conclusion: An Elegant Solution to Time-Lock Encryption
Through a series of experiments and iterations, We finally landed on a solution that balances **security**, **scalability**, and **efficiency**. By combining **AES encryption** with **Shamir’s Secret Sharing**, We were able to solve the multi-sig failover problem without adding unnecessary complexity. 🔥
### An Open Question: Clock Server Incentives 💰
Decentralized systems thrive when participants are motivated to contribute. For Hatchstr, a critical question remains: Why would anyone run a clock server?
One possibility is allowing users to **zap** (tip) servers for each capsule they help unlock. But this is just a starting point—how do we ensure reliability without centralizing trust?
I’d love to hear your thoughts. How would you design incentives for a decentralized network of clock servers?
This part is crucial, and I’m excited to explore it with the community.
### What's Next for Hatchstr?
🧩 **Leveraging Nostr**: Let's see how we can integrate the Nostr NIP standards and previous protocol developments into our system to enhance communication and data integrity.
🔮 **Designing a Web App**: We'll explore building a user-friendly web application for creating and managing digital time capsules. Focus will be on enhancing usability, interface design, and user interaction.
🎛️ **Building a Clock Server with Elixir**: We'll delve into developing a simple clock server using Elixir, capitalizing on its strengths in concurrency and real-time processing to support our time-locking mechanisms.
Stay tuned as we advance both the user experience and the backend infrastructure of Hatchstr together.
If you're interested in following along or contributing to the development, feel free to reach out!
[Nostr QR](https://bafybeig6dmqshbd7khcd7qr7ce6inslx4muebtt3bk5m33f4dplsx4et7y.ipfs.w3s.link/nostr_qr.png)
```
npub16scfufrpsqcukjg7ymu4r40h7j4dwqy4pajgz48e6lmnmz5pljcqh678uh
```
Thank you for reading and being part of this journey! 🧡
-
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-02-19 11:07:53
**ภาพรวม BTCUSDT (OKX):**
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) ยังคงแสดงความผันผวนและมีความไม่แน่นอนสูง แม้ว่าแนวโน้มระยะยาว (TF Day) จะยังคงเป็นขาขึ้น *แต่ก็อ่อนแรงลงอย่างเห็นได้ชัด* แนวโน้มระยะกลาง (TF 4H) กลายเป็นขาลงระยะสั้น และแนวโน้มระยะสั้น (TF 15m) ก็เป็นขาลงเช่นกัน สถานการณ์ตอนนี้บ่งบอกถึงแรงขายที่แข็งแกร่ง และมีความเสี่ยงสูงที่จะปรับฐานลงต่อ
**วิเคราะห์ทีละ Timeframe:**
**(1) TF Day (รายวัน):** [https://www.tradingview.com/x/wfDqxmvG/]
* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาขึ้น (Uptrend) *อ่อนแรงลงอย่างมาก*
* **SMC:**
* Higher Highs (HH) และ Higher Lows (HL) *เริ่มไม่ชัดเจน*
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านบน *แต่มีการปรับฐานที่รุนแรง*
* **Liquidity:**
* มี Sellside Liquidity (SSL) อยู่ใต้ Lows ก่อนหน้า (บริเวณ 85,000 - 90,000)
* มี Buyside Liquidity (BSL) อยู่เหนือ High เดิม
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** ราคาหลุด Order Block ขาขึ้น (บริเวณแท่งเทียนสีเขียวก่อนหน้านี้) *สัญญาณลบ*
* **EMA:**
* ราคา *หลุด* EMA 50 (สีเหลือง) ลงมาแล้ว
* EMA 200 (สีขาว) เป็นแนวรับถัดไป
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* *สีแดงยาว* แสดงถึงแรงขายที่แข็งแกร่ง
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* สีแดง แสดงถึงแนวโน้มขาลง
* **Volume Profile:** Volume ค่อนข้างเบาบาง
* **แท่งเทียน:** แท่งเทียนล่าสุดเป็นสีแดง แสดงถึงแรงขาย
* **แนวรับ:** EMA 200, บริเวณ 85,000 - 90,000 (SSL)
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, High เดิม
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มขาขึ้นอ่อนแรงลงอย่างมาก, ราคาหลุด EMA 50 และ Order Block, Money Flow และ Trend Strength เป็นลบ
**(2) TF4H (4 ชั่วโมง):** [https://www.tradingview.com/x/WCWYkleo/]
* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาลง (Downtrend)
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) และ Lower Lows (LL)
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านล่าง
* **Liquidity:**
* มี SSL อยู่ใต้ Lows ก่อนหน้า
* มี BSL อยู่เหนือ Highs ก่อนหน้า
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** ราคาไม่สามารถผ่าน Order Block ขาลงได้
* **EMA:**
* ราคาอยู่ใต้ EMA 50 และ EMA 200
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* สีแดง แสดงถึงแรงขาย
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* สีแดง แสดงถึงแนวโน้มขาลง
* **Volume Profile:** Volume ค่อนข้างนิ่ง
* **แนวรับ:** บริเวณ Low ล่าสุด
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, EMA 200, บริเวณ Order Block
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มขาลงชัดเจน, แรงขายมีอิทธิพล
**(3) TF15 (15 นาที):** [https://www.tradingview.com/x/HsgVKFW2/]
* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาลง (Downtrend)
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) และ Lower Lows (LL)
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านล่าง
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block** ราคาไม่สามารถผ่าน Order Block ได้
* **EMA:**
* EMA 50 และ EMA 200 เป็นแนวต้าน
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* สีแดง แสดงถึงแรงขาย
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* สีแดง แสดงถึงแนวโน้มขาลง
* **Volume Profile:** Volume ค่อนข้างเบาบาง
* **แนวรับ:** บริเวณ Low ล่าสุด
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, EMA 200, Order Block
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มขาลง, แรงขายมีอิทธิพล
**สรุปภาพรวมและกลยุทธ์ (BTCUSDT):**
* **แนวโน้มหลัก (Day):** ขาขึ้น (อ่อนแรง), *หลุด Order Block*
* **แนวโน้มรอง (4H):** ขาลง
* **แนวโน้มระยะสั้น (15m):** ขาลง
* **Liquidity:** มี SSL ทั้งใน Day, 4H, และ 15m
* **Money Flow:** เป็นลบในทุก Timeframes
* **Trend Strength:** 4H, 15m เป็นขาลง
* **กลยุทธ์:**
1. **Wait & See (ดีที่สุด):** รอความชัดเจน
2. **Short (เสี่ยง):** ถ้าไม่สามารถ Breakout EMA/แนวต้านใน TF ใดๆ ได้
3. **ไม่แนะนำให้ Buy:** จนกว่าจะมีสัญญาณกลับตัวที่ชัดเจน
**คำแนะนำ:**
* **ความขัดแย้งของ Timeframes:** Day ยังเป็นขาขึ้น (แต่สัญญาณอ่อน), 4H และ 15m เป็นขาลง
* **Money Flow:** เป็นลบในทุก Timeframes
* **ระวัง SSL:** Smart Money อาจจะลากราคาลงไปกิน Stop Loss
* **ถ้าไม่แน่ใจ อย่าเพิ่งเข้าเทรด**
**Day Trade & การเทรดรายวัน:**
* **Day Trade (TF15):**
* **Short Bias:** หาจังหวะ Short เมื่อราคาเด้งขึ้นไปทดสอบแนวต้าน (EMA, Order Block)
* **Stop Loss:** เหนือแนวต้านที่เข้า Short
* **Take Profit:** แนวรับถัดไป (Low ล่าสุด)
* **ไม่แนะนำให้ Long** จนกว่าจะมีสัญญาณกลับตัวที่ชัดเจน
* **Swing Trade (TF4H):**
* **Short Bias:** รอจังหวะ Short เมื่อราคาไม่สามารถผ่านแนวต้าน EMA หรือ Order Block ได้
* **Stop Loss:** เหนือแนวต้านที่เข้า Short
* **Take Profit:** แนวรับถัดไป (EMA 200 ใน TF Day, SSL)
* **ไม่แนะนำให้ Long** จนกว่าจะมีสัญญาณกลับตัวที่ชัดเจน
**สิ่งที่ต้องระวัง:**
* **Sellside Liquidity (SSL):** มีโอกาสสูงที่ราคาจะถูกลากลงไปแตะ SSL ก่อนที่จะมีการกลับตัว (ถ้ามี)
* **False Breakouts:** ระวังการ Breakout หลอกทั้งใน TF15 และ TF4H
* **Volatility:** ตลาดคริปโตฯ มีความผันผวนสูง เตรียมพร้อมรับมือกับการเปลี่ยนแปลงของราคาอย่างรวดเร็ว
**Disclaimer:** การวิเคราะห์นี้เป็นเพียงความคิดเห็นส่วนตัว ไม่ถือเป็นคำแนะนำในการลงทุน ผู้ลงทุนควรศึกษาข้อมูลเพิ่มเติมและตัดสินใจด้วยความรอบคอบ
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@ e83b66a8:b0526c2b
2025-02-19 09:49:25
I am seeing a groundswell of interest in adopting Bitcoin in small businesses replacing or augmenting existing merchant services.
This has many advantages for these businesses including:
Attracting Bitcoiners as customers over your competitors.
Allowing a self custody payment system which does not require purchasing equipment, monthly service fees and high transaction fees.
Self custody your money, removing banks and merchant service companies from taking a cut or interfering in the transaction process. i.e. Bitcoin behaves much more like cash in face to face transactions.
Building a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve allowing your profits to accumulate in value over time, just as Bitcoin increases in value due to scarceness and increased adoption.
If any or all of these are interesting to you, then here are a scale of merchant options available to you depending on your needs and interests.
SOLE TRADER
The easiest way for a sole trader to accept Bitcoin is to download the app “Wallet of Satoshi”
https://www.walletofsatoshi.com/
or for regions this is not available, use a web equivalent called COINOS
https://coinos.io/
This gives everything you’ll need, Bitcoin and Lightning receiving addresses, publishable as text or scannable as a QR code. The ability to generate a specific value invoice using Lightning which can be paid face to face or remotely over the Internet and a wallet to hold your Bitcoin balance.
This is a perfect start point, but moving forward it has some drawbacks. It is custodial, meaning that a company actually holds your Bitcoin. Unlike a bank, if that company fails, you loose your Bitcoin.
There is also no direct ability to move that Bitcoin to fiat currencies like USD or GBP, so if you need some of those earnings to pay suppliers in fiat currencies, you will struggle to convert.
If you are an online only retailer, then the industry standard is BTCPay
https://btcpayserver.org/
which can be integrated into most e-commerce systems
TRADITIONAL MERCHANT SERVICES
So the next option is to use a Bitcoin merchant service company. They look very similar to traditional fiat merchant service companies, they can supply infrastructure like PoS terminals and also handle the payments for you, optionally settling balances to your bank in USD or GBP etc…
They charge for the physical devices and their services and they charge a fee on each transaction in the same way traditional merchant service companies do, but usually these fees are significantly smaller.
Companies like MUSQET can help setup your business in this way if you wish.
https://musqet.tech/
CONSULTANCY
The third option is to use a consultancy service like Bridge2Bitcoin
https://bridge2bitcoin.com/
this is a company that will come in, explain the concepts and options and build a service around your needs. The company will build the solution you are looking for and make their money by providing the equipment and optionally running the payment solution for you.
SELF BUILD
If you have experience with Bitcoin and have optionally run your own Lightning node for a while, the tools exist to be able to develop your own solution in-house. And just as Bitcoin allows you to be your own bank, so Lightning allows you to be your own merchant services company.
Solutions like Umbrel
https://umbrel.com/
running Albyhub
https://albyhub.com/
with their POS solution
https://pos.albylabs.com/
are a low cost option you can build yourself. If you require devices like PoS terminals, these can be purchased from companies like
Swiss Bitcoin Pay:
https://swiss-bitcoin-pay.ch/store#!/Bitcoin-Merchant-Kit/p/709060174
as a package or Bitcoinize directly or in volume:
https://bitcoinize.com/
There is also the lower cost option of use software loaded onto your staffs iPhone or Android phone to use as a PoS terminal for your business:
https://swiss-bitcoin-pay.ch/
Swiss Bitcoin Pay can also take the Bitcoin payment and settle a final amount daily or even convert to fiat and deposit in your bank the next day.
If you are comfortable building and running your own server, then software from a company like
https://lnbits.com/
is a great option. They have built a core suite of tools, which others have built a huge ecosystem of extensions to handle everything from PoS to accounting to event ticketing and beyond.
LNbits is probably the most extensive ecosystem out there for anybody wishing to self build.
HYBRID
MUSQET also offer a PoS system for both Bitcoin and Fiat. They onboard merchants with traditional card services for Visa, Mastercard and Amex with Apple Pay and Google Pay all within the same device where they deploy Bitcoin Lightning as standard:
https://musqet.tech/
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@ 4d953dcb:39c9c35c
2025-02-18 22:03:42
Чтобы иметь бесплатный, быстрый и устойчивый к блокировке VPN нам нужны всего 2 вещи:
1. Клиент V2ray (приложение для использования VPN)
2. Файлы конфигурации (по сути данные VPN-серверов)
## Клиенты V2ray:
1. Инструкция по установке для Windows и Linux:
https://github.com/hiddify/Hiddify-Manager/wiki/Tutorial-for-HiddifyNext-app#adding-a-profile-to-the-app
*P.S. Если возникли проблемы с Hiddify-Next — пробуйте установить [Necoray](https://github.com/MatsuriDayo/nekoray)*
2. Инструкция по установке для Android:
https://github.com/hiddify/Hiddify-Manager/wiki/Tutorial-for-V2rayNG-app#add-configs-to-the-app
*P.S. Если возникли проблемы с V2rayNG — пробуйте установить [HiddifyNext](https://github.com/hiddify/hiddify-next/releases) ([инструкция](https://github.com/hiddify/Hiddify-Manager/wiki/Tutorial-for-HiddifyNext-app#adding-a-profile-to-the-app))*
3. Инструкция по установке для Windows и Linux:
https://github.com/hiddify/Hiddify-Manager/wiki/Tutorial-for-V2Box-app#add-subscription-links-to-the-app (лучше для iOS) + https://github.com/hiddify/Hiddify-Manager/wiki/Tutorial-for-Streisand#add-subscription-link (лучше для Mac)
*P.S. Если возникли проблемы с V2Box и Streisand — пробуйте установить [Hiddify-Next](https://github.com/hiddify/hiddify-next/releases) или [ShadowRocket](https://github.com/hiddify/Hiddify-Manager/wiki/Tutorial-for-ShadowRocket-app#add-subscription-link-to-the-app)*
## Источники файлов конфигураций:
1. https://outlinekeys.com/
2. https://proxytype.com/
3. https://vlesskey.com/
4. https://vpnkeys.org/
5. https://openproxylist.com/v2ray/
6. https://github.com/Epodonios/v2ray-configs
7. https://github.com/barry-far/V2ray-Configs?tab=readme-ov-file
8. https://github.com/M-Mashreghi/Free-V2ray-Collector
9. https://github.com/skywrt/v2ray-configs
10. https://github.com/0xdolan/v2ray_config_generator
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@ 5a261a61:2ebd4480
2025-02-18 18:22:19
The yellow light won the battle against the feeble excuse for curtains and crept into the room. It moved cautiously as if was afraid where to step. A common trait to all who found their way into the back room of the Lost Cases Detective Agency. The current owner had inherited both the premises and the name from his predecessor, and whenever someone questioned the name, he would announce half-irritably that changing it was simply too expensive to afford. The noodle vendor from the floor below would never miss the chance to add that people who end up at his place didn't choose it for the name anyway. The truth (which he was willing to admit only to the creaking fan that scared away mice rather than actually serving its function) was that he liked the name. Like attracts like. A lost soul for lost cases. The darkness was finally driven even from the eyelids of the figure on the bed, who woke up with a dissatisfied grunt.
A few steps to the sink hidden behind a screen. The shadows cast by the street light might have seemed depressive to some, mainly because they weren't accompanied by the warming feeling of sunlight, blocked by the high skyscrapers embracing the lower houses of the former middle class. Tom smiled resignedly at this thought. It perfectly captured how everything in this city merged into one big tangle, which looks beautiful until you have to untangle it. The yellow light came from a neon sign across the street advertising "The Beach." One of many places in this City where one could hide in a drop of alcohol and the embrace of a beautiful woman. Though it was necessary to maintain that order... the companions didn't exactly recruit from the best of the best looking local beauties.
Tom turned the tap and waited until the water, after grunting, gargling, and several splutters, settled and began flowing somewhat predictably. Tom didn't mind the wait. In his line of work, patience was cheaper than bullets. And it was nice to have time when he could do nothing but wait. He examined himself in the mirror. The shadows did him favors, adding years he hadn't earned. As young as he was, he needed all the help he could get - clients wanted their private dick weathered, not fresh out of the wrapper. He had the look down pat: world-weary veteran who knew all the angles. Truth was, he couldn't even figure out the angle of his own life, but that was a case file he kept closed. The water spluttered one last time. "Good morning, dickhead," he greeted himself with unwavering conviction that today would be better than yesterday. While most people were heading to dinner, putting kids to bed, or hurrying to visit their lovers at this hour, he was waking up. So for him, it was morning. For him and a myriad of other existences who, by choice or necessity, lived more at night than during the day.
Finally, he trimmed his beard to short, neat stubble - enough to look serious, but with a touch of toughness suggesting he wasn't afraid to get his hands dirty. "Perfect," he muttered to himself, "I look like a man who knows what he's doing." Maybe that illusion will convince me one day, he thought as he turned off the light in the small bathroom.
With a final look in the mirror, he adjusted his shirt collar. He was ready to face the city's challenges. Whatever awaited him today, at least he'd look prepared for it.
From the hook by the door, he grabbed a ring with an identification tag and some loose change. He ran down a flight of creaking stairs and headed past empty bar stools toward the exit. The disadvantage of living above a restaurant. Though the major advantage is the high of the rent. Or rather, its lowness. Jiro, the owner of the small bistro and, coincidentally, a decent exterminator, looked at him through a dense veil of greasy vapors, nodded, and continued stirring the noodles.
Where to next?
- say hi
- get some food
- just run outside
> This is kind of an experiment with converting my WIP interactive fiction project to the nostr longnote format and letting readers decide. Originally, this story leans quite heavily toward FLR/femdom/mindcontrol/noir/steampunk/fantasy and hopefully a little mystery detective story, but let's see where (and if) it will lead from here.
Also, it's mostly translated from my native language, so sorry if some wording seems stiff.
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@ cc32882d:eca332e6
2025-02-18 17:29:01
#introductions
Hello World
New here as of today! I set myself up first on Yakihonne. (Just trying out clients so far)
Glad to be here and look forward to learning and getting to know peeps. I have been poking around a bit and like what I see so far. Excited to play around some more with Nostr apps. Any suggestions is greatly appreciated.
Whats the good, the bad, and the ugly about Nostr in your opinion?
What is the size of nostr platform? How many users? Hows the community involvment? What is the age range?
Any good places to look at this kind of data.
About:
Like to think deep about life and its vast array of questions and answers that are waiting to be discovered or rediscovered. Live with Nature, Dont fight what will be, Love
Dislike fake people. JUST BE REAL, Life is to short for anything else.
Drop me a response and I will get back to you as soon as possible. Look forward to hearing from some of you.
Thank You for Your Time and For Reading This
-ObsidianQuill
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@ 266815e0:6cd408a5
2025-02-18 17:25:31
## noStrudel
Released another major version of noStrudel v0.42.0
Which included a few new features and a lot of cleanup
nostr:naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzqfngzhsvjggdlgeycm96x4emzjlwf8dyyzdfg4hefp89zpkdgz99qyghwumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytnhd9hx2tcpzfmhxue69uhkummnw3e82efwvdhk6tcqp3hx7um5wf6kgetv956ry6rmhwr
## Blossom
On the blossom front there where a few more PRs
- Expanded the documentation around CORS headers in BUD-01 thanks to nostr:npub1a6we08n7zsv2na689whc9hykpq4q6sj3kaauk9c2dm8vj0adlajq7w0tyc
- Made auth optional on the `/upload` endpoint [PR](https://github.com/hzrd149/blossom/pull/33)
- Added a `HEAD /media` endpoint for BUD-05 [PR](https://github.com/hzrd149/blossom/pull/42)
- Added range request recommendations to BUD-01 [PR](https://github.com/hzrd149/blossom/pull/47)
With blossom uploads starting to be supported in more nostr clients users where starting to ask where to find a list of blossom servers. so I created a simple nostr client that allows users to post servers and leave reviews
[blossomservers.com](https://blossomservers.com)
Its still very much a work in progress (needs login and server and review editing)
The source is on [github](https://github.com/hzrd149/blossomservers)
I also started another project to create a simple account based paid blossom server [blossom-account-server](https://github.com/hzrd149/blossom-account-server)
Unfortunately I got sidetracked and I didn't have the time to give it the attention it needs to get it over the finish line
## Smaller projects
- [cherry-tree](https://github.com/hzrd149/cherry-tree) A small app for uploading chunked blobs to blossom servers (with cashu payment support)
- [vite-plugin-funding](https://github.com/hzrd149/vite-plugin-funding) A vite plugin to collect and expose package "funding" to the app
- [node-red-contrib-rx-nostr](https://github.com/hzrd149/node-red-contrib-rx-nostr) The start of a node-red package for rx-nostr. if your interested please help
- [node-red-contrib-applesauce](https://github.com/hzrd149/node-red-contrib-applesauce) The start of a node-red package for applesauce. I probably wont finish it so any help it welcome
## Plans for 2025
I have a few vague ideas of what I want to work on Q1 of 2025. but there are a few things i know for certain.
I'm going to keep refactoring noStrudel by moving core logic out into [applesauce](https://hzrd149.github.io/applesauce/) and making it more modular. This should make noStrudel more reliable and hopefully allow me to create and maintain more apps with less code
And I'm going to write tests. tests for everything. hopefully tests for all the libraries and apps I've created in 2024.
A lot of the code I wrote in 2024 was hacky code to see if things could work. and while its been working pretty well I'm starting to forget the details of of the code I wrote so I cant be sure if it still works or how well it works.
So my solution is to write tests, lots of tests :)
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-02-18 15:11:58
**ภาพรวม BTCUSDT (OKX):**
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) กำลังแสดงความผันผวนอย่างมาก โดยมีสัญญาณที่ขัดแย้งกันระหว่าง Timeframes ต่างๆ แนวโน้มระยะยาว (Day) ยังคงเป็นขาขึ้น แต่ระยะกลาง (4H) และระยะสั้น (15m) แสดงให้เห็นถึงแรงขายและการปรับฐานที่รุนแรง การวิเคราะห์นี้จะเน้นการระบุพื้นที่ที่ Smart Money อาจจะเข้าซื้อหรือขาย (Liquidity Pools) และประเมินความแข็งแกร่งของแนวโน้ม
**วิเคราะห์ทีละ Timeframe:**
**(1) TF Day (รายวัน):**
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* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาขึ้น (Uptrend) *แต่เริ่มอ่อนแรง*
* **SMC:**
* Higher Highs (HH) และ Higher Lows (HL) *เริ่มไม่ชัดเจน*
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านบน *แต่เริ่มมีการปรับฐาน*
* **Liquidity:**
* มี Sellside Liquidity (SSL) อยู่ใต้ Lows ก่อนหน้า (บริเวณ 85,000 - 90,000)
* มี Buyside Liquidity (BSL) อยู่เหนือ High เดิม (109,998.9)
* **ICT:**
* ยังไม่เห็น Order Block หรือ FVG ที่ชัดเจนใน TF Day *ณ ราคาปัจจุบัน*
* **EMA:**
* ราคา *หลุด* EMA 50 (สีเหลือง) ลงมาแล้ว
* EMA 200 (สีขาว) เป็นแนวรับถัดไป
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* แท่งสีแดงยาว แสดงถึงแรงขายที่เข้ามา
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):** *ไม่มีในภาพ*
* **Volume Profile:** Volume ค่อนข้างเบาบาง
* **แท่งเทียน:** แท่งเทียนล่าสุดเป็นสีแดง แสดงถึงแรงขาย
* **แนวรับ:** EMA 200, บริเวณ 85,000 - 90,000 (SSL)
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, High เดิม
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มขาขึ้นเริ่มอ่อนแรง, ราคาหลุด EMA 50, Money Flow เป็นลบ, มี SSL ด้านล่าง
**(2) TF4H (4 ชั่วโมง):**
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* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาลง (Downtrend) *ระยะสั้น* หลังจากราคาหลุด EMA 50
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) และ Lower Lows (LL)
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านล่าง
* **Liquidity:**
* มี SSL อยู่ใต้ Lows ก่อนหน้า (บริเวณ 92,000)
* มี BSL อยู่เหนือ Highs ก่อนหน้า (บริเวณ 104,000 - 108,000)
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** ราคาลงมาใกล้ Order Block ขาขึ้น (บริเวณแท่งเทียนสีเขียวก่อนที่จะขึ้น)
* **EMA:**
* ราคาอยู่ใต้ EMA 50 และ EMA 200
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* สีแดงเป็นส่วนใหญ่ แสดงถึงแรงขาย
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):** *ไม่มีในภาพ*
* **Volume Profile** Volume ค่อนข้างเบาบาง
* **แนวรับ:** Order Block, บริเวณ 92,000 (SSL)
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, EMA 200, บริเวณ Highs ก่อนหน้า
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มขาลงระยะสั้น, ราคาลงมาใกล้ Order Block, Money Flow เป็นลบ
**(3) TF15 (15 นาที):**
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* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาลง (Downtrend)
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) และ Lower Lows (LL)
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านล่าง
* **Liquidity:**
* มี SSL อยู่ใต้ Lows ล่าสุด
* มี BSL อยู่เหนือ Highs ก่อนหน้า
* **ICT:**
* **Order Block:** ราคาลงมาใกล้ Oder Block
* **EMA:**
* EMA 50 และ EMA 200 เป็นแนวต้าน
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* สีแดงเป็นส่วนใหญ่ แสดงถึงแรงขาย
* **Trend Strength (AlgoAlpha):**
* เป็นสีแดง แสดงถึงเเนวโน้มขาลง
* **Volume Profile:**
* Volume ค่อนข้างเบาบาง
* **แนวรับ:** บริเวณ Low ล่าสุด
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, EMA 200, บริเวณ Highs ก่อนหน้า
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มขาลง, แรงขายมีอิทธิพล, ใกล้แนวรับ
**สรุปภาพรวมและกลยุทธ์ (BTCUSDT):**
* **แนวโน้มหลัก (Day):** ขาขึ้น (อ่อนแรง)
* **แนวโน้มรอง (4H):** ขาลง (ระยะสั้น)
* **แนวโน้มระยะสั้น (15m):** ขาลง
* **Liquidity:**
* Day: SSL (85,000-90,000), BSL (เหนือ 109,998.9)
* 4H: SSL (92,000), BSL (104,000-108,000)
* 15m: SSL (ใต้ Lows), BSL (เหนือ Highs)
* **Money Flow:** Day เริ่มเป็นลบ, 4H เป็นลบ, 15m เป็นลบ
* **Trend Strength** 15 m : ขาลง
* **กลยุทธ์:**
1. **Wait & See (ดีที่สุด):** รอความชัดเจน
2. **Short (เสี่ยง):** ถ้าไม่สามารถ Breakout EMA/แนวต้านใน TF ใดๆ ได้
3. **ไม่แนะนำให้ Buy:** จนกว่าจะมีสัญญาณกลับตัวที่ชัดเจน
**คำแนะนำ:**
* **ความขัดแย้งของ Timeframes:** ชัดเจน
* **Money Flow:** เป็นลบในทุก Timeframes
* **ระวัง SSL:** Smart Money อาจจะลากราคาลงไปกิน Stop Loss
* **ถ้าไม่แน่ใจ อย่าเพิ่งเข้าเทรด**
**Disclaimer:** การวิเคราะห์นี้เป็นเพียงความคิดเห็นส่วนตัว ไม่ถือเป็นคำแนะนำในการลงทุน ผู้ลงทุนควรศึกษาข้อมูลเพิ่มเติมและตัดสินใจด้วยความรอบคอบ
-
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-02-18 13:18:54
**นักพนันแห่งเฮรันเทล**
**“คณิตศาสตร์” กุญแจเวทมนตร์ นักพนัน และ นักลงทุน**
ในนครเฮรันเทล นามกระฉ่อนเลื่องลือในหมู่นักเสี่ยงโชค เมื่อเอ่ยถึง **“การพนัน”** ภาพที่ชาวเมืองมักนึกถึงคือ **“ยาจกข้างถนน”**
มิใช่เรื่องแปลกประหลาดอันใด เพราะเป็นที่ร่ำลือกันว่า **จ้าวแห่งหอคอยรัตติกาล** ผู้คุมบ่อนพนัน มักร่ายเวทมนตร์สร้างเกมให้ตนเองได้เปรียบ เพื่อดูดกลืนเงินทองของผู้มาเยือน
ดังนั้น การที่สามัญชนจะพิชิตเกมในระยะยาว จึงเป็นดั่งเงามายาที่จับต้องมิได้
กระนั้น ยังมีตำนานกล่าวขานถึงผู้กล้า ที่สามารถสร้างชื่อจาก **“เกมพนัน”** เช่น
**เวเนสซา รุสโซ** นักเวทย์มนตร์ผู้ใช้กฎหมายแห่งแดนไกล ใช้เวลายาวนานถึงหกปี
ร่ายเวทย์สะสมทรัพย์สินกว่าร้อยล้านเหรียญทอง จากการเล่นเกมไพ่ศักดิ์สิทธิ์ **“โป๊กเกอร์”**
หรือแม้แต่ **เอ็ดเวิร์ด โอ. ทอร์ป** จอมปราชญ์ผู้สร้างกำไรถึงสามแสนหกหมื่นเหรียญทอง ภายในเจ็ดราตรี
จากการเล่นเกมไพ่มนตรา **“แบล็กแจ็ก”** ด้วยเงินทุนตั้งต้นเพียงสามแสนสามหมื่นเหรียญทอง คิดเป็นอัตราเวทย์ตอบแทนร้อยสิบส่วน!
เหล่าจอมยุทธ์เหล่านี้ มิได้อาศัยเพียงโชคช่วยชั่วครั้งชั่วคราวแล้วเลือนหาย
แต่พวกเขากลับสามารถร่ายเวทย์สร้างผลตอบแทนระยะยาว จนเรียกได้ว่า ใช้ **“หอคอยรัตติกาล”** เป็นแหล่งเสบียงเลี้ยงชีพ
โดยกุญแจเวทย์ที่บุคคลเหล่านี้ใช้ ก็คือ **“คณิตศาสตร์”**
เหตุใด **“คณิตศาสตร์”** จึงช่วยให้ผู้คนเอาชนะ **“การพนัน”** ได้?
และนอกจาก **“การพนัน”** แล้ว **“คณิตศาสตร์”** ยังสามารถประยุกต์ใช้กับสิ่งใดได้อีก?
**นักเล่าเรื่องแห่งเฮรันเทล** จักไขปริศนาให้ฟัง
เบื้องต้น ขอให้ท่านลองพิจารณาตนเอง ว่าเคยประสบพบพานเหตุการณ์เหล่านี้หรือไม่:
- ตั้งมั่นว่า จักเสี่ยงโชคให้ได้กำไรเพียงเล็กน้อย แล้วจักหยุดพัก
- แต่หากพลาดท่าเสียที จักจำกัดการสูญเสียให้เท่าทุนเดิมที่ตั้งไว้
- ครั้นเมื่อเวทมนตร์เข้าข้าง ได้กำไรมาแล้ว กลับโลภโมโทสัน อยากได้เพิ่มอีกนิด จึงร่ายเวทย์ต่อ
- ทว่ากำไรเริ่มร่อยหรอ จนเหลือเพียงทุนเดิม สุดท้ายทุนที่ตั้งไว้คราแรกก็มลายสิ้น
- จำต้องหาเงินทองมาลงเพิ่ม หวังทวงทุนคืน และพบว่าต้องสูญเสียเงินก้อนนั้นไปในห้วงเวลาต่อมา
ลำดับเหตุการณ์ดังกล่าว เรียกได้ว่าเป็น **“วงจรอุบาทว์”** สำหรับนักพนันมากมายในเฮรันเทล
ปริศนาที่ตามมาก็คือ เหตุใด **“วงจรอุบาทว์”** นี้จึงเกิดขึ้นซ้ำแล้วซ้ำเล่า?
ส่วนหนึ่ง ย่อมเป็นเพราะอารมณ์อันแปรปรวนในการเสี่ยงโชคของแต่ละคน
แต่อีกส่วนที่สำคัญยิ่งกว่า ต้องกล่าวว่าเป็นผลจาก **“กลไกต้องสาป”** ของจ้าวแห่งหอคอยรัตติกาล
ซึ่งต้องกล่าวว่า เหล่าเจ้าของหอคอยรัตติกาลนั้น จักใช้หลักการทำนองเดียวกับ **“สมาคมพ่อค้าผู้พิทักษ์”**
คือจักเก็บเงินทองจากชนจำนวนมาก เพื่อนำมาจ่ายให้กับชนเพียงหยิบมือ
เพื่อล่อลวงให้ชนทั้งหลายเสี่ยงโชคต่อไป หรือทำให้เหล่านักพนันหวังว่า จักเป็นผู้โชคดีเฉกเช่นพวกเขาบ้าง
แม้จะมีผู้โชคดีที่สามารถได้กำไรในเบื้องต้น แต่ในบั้นปลายก็จักพ่ายแพ้อยู่ดี ซึ่งเป็นไปตาม **“กฎแห่งจำนวนมหาศาล”** เพราะจ้าวแห่งหอคอยรัตติกาลนั้น ได้คำนวณและออกแบบระบบเกมที่ตนเองได้เปรียบในระยะยาวแล้ว
จากตำนานนี้ ย่อมประจักษ์ชัดว่า แม้การพนันจักเป็นเรื่องของดวงชะตา
แต่ก็ถูกรังสรรค์ขึ้นจากการคำนวณทางคณิตศาสตร์
ดังนั้น หากปรารถนาจะหาหนทางเอาชนะจ้าวแห่งหอคอยรัตติกาล ก็จำต้องเข้าใจ **“คณิตศาสตร์”** เสียก่อน
ทีนี้ จงเงี่ยหูฟัง แล้วท่านจักได้ยินข้าไขปริศนา:
**๑. ปริศนาแห่ง “กำไรคาดหวัง”**
สำหรับการแสวงหา **“เกมเสี่ยงทาย”** ที่ควรค่าแก่การเล่น หรือการเสี่ยง
สิ่งแรกที่นักพนันพึงกระทำคือ **“การประเมินกำไรคาดหวัง”** หรือ **“เวทคำนวณอนาคต”**
**“กำไรคาดหวัง”** ถูกคิดค้นโดย **คริสเตียน ฮอยเกนส์** นักปราชญ์เวทย์ชาวดัตช์ เพื่อประเมินว่าเกมพนันแบบใดควรค่าแก่การเล่น ซึ่งมิใช่เพียงแค่การประเมินโอกาสแห่งชัยชนะเท่านั้น แต่ต้องคิดรวมขนาดของเงินเดิมพันไปด้วย
โดยสูตรเวทย์คือ:
**กำไรคาดหวัง = (เงินที่ได้ x โอกาสชนะ) + (เงินที่เสีย x โอกาสแพ้)**
ดังนั้น หากปรารถนาจะสะสม **“ทองคำมายา”** ในระยะยาว จงเลือกเกมที่มี **“กำไรคาดหวัง”** เป็นบวก
แต่หากพลาดพลั้งเข้าไปเล่นเกมที่ **“กำไรคาดหวัง”** เป็นลบ และบังเอิญว่าโชคชะตาเล่นตลกให้ได้เงินทองมาครอง
พึงละทิ้งเกมนั้นเสียโดยพลัน เพราะท้ายที่สุดหากยังคงเล่นต่อไป ผู้อับโชคผู้นั้นก็คือตัวท่านเอง
อย่างไรก็ตาม โดยธรรมดาแล้ว **“กำไรคาดหวัง”** ของเกมพนันที่มีเจ้ามือมักจักติดลบ จึงเป็นเรื่องยากยิ่งที่จะเอาชนะได้ เฉกเช่นตัวอย่างที่เราเห็น คือเกมในบ่อนพนัน หรือแม้แต่ **“สลากกินแบ่งรัฐบาล”** ก็ล้วนเป็นเกมที่มี **“กำไรคาดหวัง”** ติดลบทั้งสิ้น
นอกจาก **“กำไรคาดหวัง”** จักถูกใช้กับการพนันได้แล้ว
หลักเวทย์ **“คณิตศาสตร์”** ก็ยังสามารถประยุกต์ใช้กับการลงทุนได้ไม่แตกต่างกัน
ตัวอย่างเช่น หากท่านเก็บสถิติข้อมูลการลงทุนของตนเอง
แล้วพบว่ามีเพียงสามสิบส่วนร้อยเท่านั้น ที่ท่านซื้อ **“ศิลาแห่งโชค”** แล้วสร้างผลตอบแทนเป็นบวก
แต่ท่านยังคงปรารถนาความสำเร็จในการลงทุน
ก็จงจำกัดการขาดทุนแต่ละคราให้น้อยเข้าไว้ เช่น -๕%
และปล่อยให้มีกำไรในแต่ละคราที่ลงทุน เช่น อย่างน้อย ๒๐%
ซึ่งจากการใช้กลยุทธ์นี้ ท่านจักมี **“กำไรคาดหวัง”** = (๒๐% x ๐.๓) + (-๕% x ๐.๗) = ๒.๕%
จักเห็นได้ว่า แม้ท่านจักมีจำนวนคราที่ขาดทุนบ่อยครั้ง แต่ก็ยังสามารถสร้างกำไรได้
หากคราที่กำไรนั้น สามารถทำเงินทองเป็นจำนวนมากได้
**๒. ปริศนาแห่ง “การบริหารหน้าตัก” หรือ “การบริหารเงินทุน”**
แม้ว่าท่านจักรับรู้ **“กำไรคาดหวัง”** แล้ว แต่หากท่านเผชิญหน้ากับการขาดทุนต่อเนื่องกัน ท่านก็อาจหมดเนื้อหมดตัวก่อนถึงคราที่จะกอบโกยเงินทองจากคราที่กำไร
วิธีคลายปมปริศนานี้ก็คือ การมิลงเงินทองทั้งหมดของท่านในการลงทุนเพียงคราเดียว
ซึ่งนอกจากการกระจายความเสี่ยงในการลงทุนหลาย **“ศิลาแห่งโชค”** หรือหลาย **“เกมเสี่ยงทาย”** แล้ว
ท่านอาจกำหนดขนาดของการลงทุนแต่ละคราให้มิมากเกินไป แบบง่าย ๆ เช่น มิเกิน ๑๐% ของเงินลงทุนทั้งหมด หรือท่านอาจคำนวณขนาดของการลงทุนแต่ละคราด้วยสูตรทางคณิตศาสตร์ เช่น สูตร **“การขาดทุนสูงสุดที่ท่านรับได้ (Value at Risk)”** หรือ สูตร **“ขนาดเดิมพันที่เหมาะสม (Kelly Formula)”**
**๓. ปริศนาแห่ง “อคติ”**
ในวงการพนัน มักมีอคติหนึ่งที่บังเกิดบ่อยครั้งกับผู้คน คือ **“Gambler's Fallacy”** หรือ **“ความเชื่อผิด ๆ แห่งนักพนัน”** ว่าหากเหตุการณ์หนึ่งบังเกิดบ่อยครั้งกว่าปรกติในช่วงเวลาหนึ่ง ๆ
เหตุการณ์นั้นจักบังเกิดบ่อยครั้งน้อยลงในอนาคต ทั้ง ๆ ที่เหตุการณ์เหล่านั้นเป็นอิสระจากกันในทางสถิติ
ยกตัวอย่างเช่น หากโยนเหรียญมนตราออกหัวไปแล้วสามครา ในคราที่สี่ หลายคนอาจคิดว่าโอกาสออกก้อยมากกว่าหัว แม้ว่าการโยนเหรียญแต่ละคราจะมิได้ส่งผลอันใดต่อกันเลย (จะโยนกี่ครา โอกาสหัวหรือก้อย ก็คือ ๕๐:๕๐ อยู่ยั่งยืน)
หรือแม้กระทั่ง **“สลากกินแบ่งรัฐบาล”** มีหลายคนที่ซื้อเลขซ้ำกัน เพื่อหวังว่าจะถูกในงวดต่อ ๆ ไป
ในวงการการลงทุน ก็มีลักษณะที่คล้ายคลึงกัน เช่น หาก **“ศิลาแห่งโชค A”** ราคาตกต่ำลงมาห้าครา บางคนอาจคิดว่าในคราที่หก ราคาของมันจักต้องเด้งขึ้นมา ซึ่งในความเป็นจริง หาได้เป็นเช่นนั้นเสมอไป
จักเห็นได้ว่า แท้จริงแล้ว ไม่ว่าจักเป็น **“เกมเสี่ยงทายแห่งโชคชะตา”** หรือ **“การผจญภัยในตลาดทุน”**
หากท่านมีความเข้าใจ และนำ **“คณิตศาสตร์”** เข้ามาเป็นรากฐาน
มันก็อาจนำพาตัวท่านเอง ไปสู่จุดที่ได้เปรียบในเกมนั้น ได้เฉกเช่นกัน..
**สูตรเวทย์มนตร์ที่ปรากฏในตำนาน:**
* **กำไรคาดหวัง = (เงินที่ได้ x โอกาสชนะ) + (เงินที่เสีย x โอกาสแพ้)**
**คำเตือนจากนักเล่าเรื่องแห่งเฮรันเทล:**
"พึงระลึกไว้เสมอว่า โชคชะตาเป็นสิ่งที่คาดเดาได้ยาก แม้เวทมนตร์คณิตศาสตร์จักช่วยนำทาง แต่ท้ายที่สุดแล้ว ความสำเร็จยังคงขึ้นอยู่กับการตัดสินใจและสติปัญญาของท่านเอง"
หวังว่าตำนานบทนี้จักเป็นประโยชน์แก่ท่านนะคะ
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@ 3ca99671:689a4ce4
2025-02-18 09:34:11
How to avoid internal pressure and anxiety. Constantly forcing yourself to continue something, doubting its value to anyone other than your ego. And then it starts: "What if I use that framework? Maybe I should switch to another language? No, I’ll master that engine over there, and everything will fall into place." But it doesn’t. You don’t master it, it’s not the right language. In short, you’re stuck. The sense of obligation and the justification of inaction tear you apart. I mean, how is it inaction? Inside, there’s constant work going on, fragments of the future product emerge, but something’s missing… Organization? Publicity? Speaking of publicity, I clearly see that it will only intensify the sense of duty and create additional pressure. Which won’t be a creative energy at all, on the contrary, it’s more likely to lead to despair. You need to be 100 percent confident in the success of what you’re doing, so that without society’s approval of the prototype, you can release the product and not regret a single hour spent on it. Now, that’s belief, that’s love. Alright, this is a draft. So, what exactly is missing? Regarding organization: YES, backlogs and the like are necessary, BUT. Maybe the goals were set incorrectly back when I was working on projects. Because everything turned into organizing inaction. Exactly, organizing with the goal of doing nothing. Here’s another thing: think about the gym, for example. It’s the same with products, you need a hub, a shared space, and it’s easier now. Telegram, Discord, itch.io, GitHub, plenty of info and examples. So, what’s holding me back? Is there something stopping me? Maybe it’s worth finding out how others manage their work. (Here, I contradict myself). Obvious things, but they should be spelled out. And it becomes clear that I can’t handle it alone. I need collaborators. Maybe that’s the secret to ensuring the work continues, huh? If you think about releasing a product as the final point of an expedition. And immediately, the meme about how Hunter was packing his car trunk for the trip to Las Vegas comes to mind. A little lyrical digression:
"I had two Unity courses under my belt, ninety hours of Unreal Engine tutorials, three textbooks on procedural world generation, a hard drive half full of unfinished shaders, and a whole universe of tools: pixel-art engines, object destruction plugins, buggy C# scripts, low-poly assets laughing at me... and a liter of espresso, buckets of energy drinks, a box of donut coffee from Steam, a pint of sheer stubbornness, and two dozen tokens of 'unique' in-game helmets. Not that all of this was necessary for an indie project, but once you dive into tech experiments, it’s hard to stop. The only thing driving me crazy was neural networks for enemy AI. There’s no creature in the world more helpless, naive, and predictable than a programmer trying to squeeze machine learning into a platformer about a jumping carrot. And I knew for sure that by morning, we’d be diving into that rabbit hole with rakes in hand."
To be continued...
P.S: ai translation from russian
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@ e7bc35f8:3ed2a7cf
2025-02-18 09:07:03
For those who still trust mainstream narratives about war and foreign intervention, the Douma chemical attack story should serve as a wake-up call. The official version of events—that Syrian government forces carried out a chemical attack on civilians in Douma on April 7, 2018—has been thoroughly dismantled by whistleblowers, independent journalists, and even leaked documents from the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW).
Yet, despite [mounting evidence]( https://thegrayzone.com/2018/03/06/media-propaganda-battle-syria-eastern-ghouta/), mainstream media and Western governments continue to push the debunked narrative, using it to justify military interventions and sustain the illusion of moral authority. This article revisits the Douma deception, breaking down how the false flag operation unfolded and how the truth was systematically suppressed.
### A Timeline of the Manufactured Crisis
#### April 7, 2018: The Alleged Chemical Attack
On this day, as the Syrian Army engaged terrorist insurgents in Douma, [shocking videos surfaced]( https://youtu.be/sYItxxEO3F8) online showing alleged victims of a chemical attack. Without proper investigation, Western leaders seized on the footage as proof of an [atrocity committed]( https://web.archive.org/web/20200304211152/https://eg.usembassy.gov/united-states-assessment-of-the-assad-regimes-chemical-weapons-use/) by the Assad government.
Within 24 hours, then-President Donald Trump tweeted about "Animal Assad" and vowed that Russia and Iran would "pay a big price." This swift response echoed past war propaganda, reminiscent of the lies used to justify the invasion of Iraq.
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#### April 14, 2018: The Bombing of Syria Begins
Less than a week after the alleged attack, the [United States]( https://youtu.be/w43ok0q5G5A), [France, and Britain launched coordinated missile strikes]( https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/us-launches-missile-strikes-in-syria/2018/04/13/c68e89d0-3f4a-11e8-974f-aacd97698cef_story.html) on Syrian government targets. Shockingly, these airstrikes were carried out before any independent investigation had even begun.
Meanwhile, on the same day, OPCW investigators arrived in Syria to examine the supposed chemical attack site. In a grotesque display of arrogance, the West had already punished Syria for a crime that hadn't been proven.
#### April 17, 2018: Doubts Emerge
Veteran journalist [Robert Fisk visited Douma]( https://www.independent.co.uk/voices/syria-chemical-attack-gas-douma-robert-fisk-ghouta-damascus-a8307726.html) and interviewed a local doctor who revealed that the victims shown in viral videos had actually died from suffocation—not chemical weapons. The doctor described how panic and dust inhalation in underground shelters had led to casualties, but no traces of nerve agents like **sarin** were found.
#### July 6, 2018: OPCW’s Initial Report Undermines the Official Story
The OPCW released its [interim findings]( https://www.opcw.org/media-centre/news/2018/07/opcw-issues-fact-finding-mission-reports-chemical-weapons-use-allegations), confirming that:
> No organophosphorus nerve agents or their degradation products were detected, either in the environmental samples or in plasma samples from the alleged casualties.
And while:
> Various chlorinated organic chemicals were found in samples from Locations 2 and 4, along with residues of explosive
the report makes no mention of the concentrations or levels of those chemicals.
In Addition the "Annex 2" (Open Sources) is blank.
In Annex 3 where all chemicals are listed, there is no chemical weapon agent listed.
Despite this, Western media and politicians continued to push the idea that Syria had used chemical weapons.
#### February–March 2019: Whistleblower Confirms Staged Hospital Footage
In a stunning revelation, [BBC producer Riam Dalati]( https://youtu.be/fFLRX5ZiEvo) tweeted that the viral hospital scene—depicting victims being hosed down—had been **staged**. This meant that at least part of the so-called evidence was a fabrication.
Shortly after, the OPCW issued its [final report]( https://www.opcw.org/sites/default/files/documents/2019/03/s-1731-2019%28e%29.pdf). While it acknowledged a lack of sarin,
> No organophosphorous nerve agents, their degradation products or synthesis impurities were detected [...] it is not currently possible to precisely link the cause of the signs and symptoms to a specific chemical
it ambiguously suggested that "a toxic chemical containing reactive chlorine" was likely used. This vague wording allowed Western governments to continue their accusations without hard proof.
#### May 2019: Leaked OPCW Report Exposes a Cover-Up
A [leaked engineering assessment]( https://web.archive.org/web/20190514174330/http://syriapropagandamedia.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/Engineering-assessment-of-two-cylinders-observed-at-the-Douma-incident-27-February-2019-1.pdf) by an OPCW sub-team completely contradicted the official findings. It concluded that the two cylinders found at the scene **were likely manually placed rather than dropped from aircraft**—suggesting [the incident was staged]( https://youtu.be/FU24r2zWVQo).
Instead of addressing this bombshell revelation, [OPCW leadership focused]( https://www.opcw.org/sites/default/files/documents/2019/06/Remarks%20of%20the%20Director-General%20Briefing%20for%20States%20Parties%20on%20Syrian%20Arab%20Republic%20Update%20on%20IIT-FFM-SSRC-DAT_1.pdf) on investigating **how the leak happened** rather than the damning content of the report itself.
#### October–November 2019: More Whistleblowers Speak Out
On October 15th, 2019, the [Courage Foundation]( https://web.archive.org/web/20191024045128/https://couragefound.org/2019/10/opcw-panel-statement/) "convened a panel of concerned individuals from the fields of disarmament, international law, journalism, military operations, medicine and intelligence in Brussels".
The whistleblower giving an "extensive presentation, including internal emails, text exchanges and suppressed draft reports..." describes "efforts to exclude some inspectors from the investigation whilst thwarting their attempts to raise legitimate concerns, highlight irregular practices or even to express their differing observations and assessments".
The panel "became convinced by the testimony that key information about chemical analyses, toxicology consultations, ballistics studies, and witness testimonies was suppressed, ostensibly to favor a preordained conclusion" and expressed unanimous alarm about "unacceptable practices in the investigation".
[Another OPCW whistleblower]( https://www.counterpunch.org/2019/11/15/the-opcw-and-douma-chemical-weapons-watchdog-accused-of-evidence-tampering-by-its-own-inspectors/), referred to as "Alex", a member of this fact finding mission, confirmed that key evidence had been suppressed. He revealed that:
"_the signs and symptoms of victims were not consistent with poisoning from chlorine_".
Instead of an attack producing multiple fatalities there had been “_a non chemical-related event_”.
His findings, which undermined the official narrative, were removed from the final report.
At this point, multiple independent voices—including journalists, scientists, and former OPCW officials—had exposed the [Douma deception]( https://wikileaks.org/opcw-douma/#Internal%20OPCW%20E-Mail). But the mainstream media either ignored or actively discredited these revelations.
### How the Media and Government Covered It Up
When whistleblowers and [journalists]( https://youtu.be/ojItF6MGL-0) challenged the official story, mainstream outlets worked overtime to discredit them. The propaganda network [Bellingcat]( https://www.bellingcat.com/news/2019/11/25/emails-and-reading-comprehension-opcw-douma-coverage-misses-crucial-facts/) published a weak "debunking" article, which was swiftly dismantled by independent journalist [Caitlin Johnstone]( https://caitlinjohnstone.com/2019/11/27/narrative-managers-faceplant-in-hilarious-opcw-scandal-spin-job/) and veteran columnist [Peter Hitchens]( https://hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk/2019/11/my-response-to-the-bellingcat-attempt-to-spin-away-the-devastating-implications-of-the-opcw-douma-leak-i-have.html).
Rather than confronting the facts, the OPCW and its backers dismissed the leaks as unimportant or "[Russian disinformation]( https://www.cbsnews.com/news/opcw-chemical-weapons-watchdog-douma-chlorine-gas-wikileaks-russia-syria-claim-bias-today-2019-11-25/)"—a predictable smear tactic used whenever official narratives collapse.
### Why This Matters
The Douma deception is not just an academic debate—it had real-world consequences. The false flag attack was used to justify military aggression against Syria, escalating tensions in the Middle East and prolonging unnecessary suffering.
More importantly, it serves as a case study in how governments and media manufacture consent for war. By exposing these propaganda tactics, we can resist manipulation and prevent future conflicts based on lies.
The Douma hoax is just one example of how false narratives are weaponized to justify military interventions. The same playbook has been used time and again—from Iraq’s "Weapons of Mass Destruction" to Libya’s "humanitarian intervention."
If people learn to recognize propaganda before it leads to war, we can disrupt the cycle of deception. The truth is out there—we just need the courage to face it.
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@ 09fbf8f3:fa3d60f0
2025-02-17 15:23:11
### 🌟 深度探索:在Cloudflare上免费部署DeepSeek-R1 32B大模型
#### 🌍 一、 注册或登录Cloudflare平台(CF老手可跳过)
##### 1️⃣ 进入Cloudflare平台官网:
。www.cloudflare.com/zh-cn/
登录或者注册账号。
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##### 2️⃣ 新注册的用户会让你选择域名,无视即可,直接点下面的Start building。
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##### 3️⃣ 进入仪表盘后,界面可能会显示英文,在右上角切换到[简体中文]即可。
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---
#### 🚀 二、正式开始部署Deepseek API项目。
##### 1️⃣ 首先在左侧菜单栏找到【AI】下的【Wokers AI】,选择【Llama 3 Woker】。
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##### 2️⃣ 为项目取一个好听的名字,后点击部署即可。
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##### 3️⃣ Woker项目初始化部署好后,需要编辑替换掉其原代码。
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##### 4️⃣ 解压出提供的代码压缩包,找到【32b】的部署代码,将里面的文本复制出来。
**下载地址:**
📁 [夸克](https://pan.quark.cn/s/2b5aa9ff57f6)
📁 [UC网盘](https://drive.uc.cn/s/a7ff5e03b4d84?public=1)
📁 [迅雷网盘](https://pan.xunlei.com/s/VOJEzm7hLwmhER71rK2wnXArA1?pwd=cefg#)
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##### 5️⃣ 接第3步,将项目里的原代码清空,粘贴第4步复制好的代码到编辑器。
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##### 6️⃣ 代码粘贴完,即可点击右上角的部署按钮。
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##### 7️⃣ 回到仪表盘,点击部署完的项目名称。
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##### 8️⃣ 查看【设置】,找到平台分配的项目网址,复制好备用。
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---
#### 💻 三、选择可用的UI软件,这边使用Chatbox AI演示。
##### 1️⃣ 根据自己使用的平台下载对应的安装包,博主也一并打包好了全平台的软件安装包。
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##### 2️⃣ 打开安装好的Chatbox,点击左下角的设置。
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##### 3️⃣ 选择【添加自定义提供方】。
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##### 4️⃣ 按照图片说明填写即可,【API域名】为之前复制的项目网址(加/v1);【改善网络兼容性】功能务必开启;【API密钥】默认为”zhiyuan“,可自行修改;填写完毕后保存即可。
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##### 5️⃣ Cloudflare项目部署好后,就能正常使用了,接口仿照OpenAI API具有较强的兼容性,能导入到很多支持AI功能的软件或插件中。
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##### 6️⃣ Cloudflare的域名默认被墙了,需要自己准备一个域名设置。
---
**转自微信公众号:纸鸢花的小屋**
**推广:低调云(梯子VPN)**
。www.didiaocloud.xyz
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@ e7bc35f8:3ed2a7cf
2025-02-17 14:55:26
The mainstream narrative paints the "freedom fever" sweeping across the Middle East as a spontaneous, people-led movement—a victory of democracy against oppressive regimes. Celebrations erupted as tech-savvy youth mobilized to topple autocrats, with Western media hailing the Arab Spring as a beacon of hope. But was it really? Or was it yet another chapter in a long history of foreign interference, regime change, and geopolitical chess moves aimed at securing control over one of the world’s most resource-rich regions?
### Revolution or Destabilization?
Figures like Wadah Khanfar, the former head of Al Jazeera, [expressed optimism]( https://www.ted.com/talks/wadah_khanfar_a_historic_moment_in_the_arab_world?subtitle=en) about the uprisings, framing them as historic moments of empowerment for the people of Egypt, Tunisia, Libya, and beyond. Many Western analysts echoed this sentiment. However, other voices warned that these movements were being manipulated to serve broader strategic interests.
For instance, Professor Hamid Dabashi [linked]( https://youtu.be/RMsOoEUquT8) Iran’s Green Movement to the wider regional wave of youth uprisings against authoritarian regimes. But establishment figures like Senator John McCain quickly [seized the moment]( https://youtu.be/WOcPYxLpUMs), using it as an excuse to pressure Iran, China, and Russia. A closer look suggests that these uprisings were not just organic revolts against dictatorship but rather heavily influenced by external forces.
### The Color Revolution Playbook
The so-called “Green Movement” in Iran bore all the hallmarks of a Western-backed color revolution, with funding and strategic guidance from organizations linked to George Soros, the CIA, Mossad, and global mass media networks. The same script played out elsewhere, as seen in [Webster Tarpley’s analysis]( https://web.archive.org/web/20110131230059/http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UvI6JqiAZjs) for RT, which laid out how the uprisings in the Middle East aligned perfectly with long-standing Western agendas for the region.
Consider the case of Stuxnet, a cyberweapon [developed by the US and Israel]( https://youtu.be/CS01Hmjv1pQ) to sabotage Iran’s nuclear program. This wasn’t just an isolated incident—it was part of a larger strategy to weaken Iran and its allies. The infamous Brookings Institution report, "[Which Path to Persia?]( https://landdestroyer.blogspot.com/2011/02/brookings-which-path-to-persia.html?m=1)", even laid out a detailed roadmap for toppling the Iranian government through various methods, from economic warfare to military intervention.
### From Iran to Syria: The Next Domino
Once the destabilization of Iran was in motion, attention shifted to its key ally, [Syria]( https://youtu.be/Gpf1C9Fcqxw). The calls for regime change escalated quickly, with Senator Joe Lieberman [openly suggesting]( https://youtu.be/aDxbTQXFhJM) that the US should intervene next. Syria, after all, is a critical piece in the geopolitical chessboard—not just because of its strategic location but also because of its alliances with Iran, Russia, and, most notably, China.
This is precisely why controlling Middle Eastern oil isn’t just about securing energy for the West—it’s about **denying it to China**. If China is to be contained, it must be cut off from the resources that fuel its rise. This explains why Western-backed revolts and interventions tend to target governments that lean toward China.
Let's examine some instances of China's strategy in the region.
* On April 6, 2006, [Chinese President Hu Jintao and Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh]( https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/eng/gjhdq_665435/2675_665437/2908_663816/2910_663820/202406/t20240607_11414813.html) held talks in Beijing. The leaders discussed enhancing political trust, expanding economic and trade cooperation, and increasing cultural and educational exchanges.
* China's expanding diplomatic, economic, and security interests in the Middle East, particularly [through its interactions with the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)]( https://jamestown.org/program/bloc-politics-in-the-persian-gulf-chinas-multilateral-engagement-with-the-gulf-cooperation-council/). China's evolving relationship with the GCC reflects its broader objectives of securing energy resources, expanding its economic footprint, and enhancing its geopolitical influence in the Middle East and beyond.
* China's expanding influence in the [Caspian region and its intersection with Syria's strategic ambitions]( https://jamestown.org/program/the-caspian-sea-chinas-silk-road-strategy-converges-with-damascus/). Investments in Central Asian infrastructure, notably the Kazakhstan-China oil pipeline and the Turkmenistan-China gas pipeline. **Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's** "Four Seas Strategy" aimed to position Syria as a central hub connecting the Caspian, Black, Mediterranean, and Red Seas.
* China's expanding political, economic, and strategic ties with Syria, positioning the country as a pivotal hub in China's revitalized [Silk Road initiative]( https://jamestown.org/program/syria-in-chinas-new-silk-road-strategy/). Following **Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's** 2004 visit to China, bilateral cooperation has intensified, particularly in sectors like oil, electricity, transport, and telecommunications, with major Chinese enterprises such as CNPC, ZTE, Huawei, and Haier playing significant roles.
### The Fall of Puppets: Mubarak and Libya
Hosni Mubarak, though a loyal US ally for decades, was ultimately deemed replaceable. Why? Because he was not the ideal puppet. He had shown interest in fostering deeper ties between [China]( http://www.china.org.cn/english/features/phfnt/85843.htm) and the Arab world, particularly in [Africa]( https://english.cctv.com/20091109/101132_2.shtml). His removal paved the way for a new power dynamic, one that better served Western interests.
A similar pattern emerged in Libya. When NATO intervened to topple Gaddafi, [China’s oil investments]( https://www.ft.com/content/eef58d52-3fe2-11e0-811f-00144feabdc0) in the country became collateral damage. Chinese companies had billions of dollars in contracts with Libya, which were suddenly thrown into chaos. Western intervention not only eliminated Gaddafi but also disrupted China’s growing influence in North Africa.
### The Bigger Picture: A New World Order Agenda?
What we are witnessing is not just a series of isolated revolts but a broader, long-term strategy to reshape the Middle East in ways that align with Western and globalist interests. The destruction of strong, independent states in the region creates a vacuum—one that can be filled by controlled regimes, multinational corporations, and military bases that ensure energy resources remain under Western control.
Meanwhile, China’s efforts to establish a foothold in the region are systematically countered. Every strategic move China makes—whether in Syria, Iran, or the Persian Gulf—is met with resistance in the form of “pro-democracy” uprisings, sanctions, or outright military intervention.
### The Illusion of Spontaneous Uprising
While the mainstream media glorifies the Arab Spring and similar movements as victories for democracy, the deeper reality suggests a far more calculated and sinister agenda. The Middle East is being reshaped, not by the will of its people alone, but by powerful forces seeking to maintain global hegemony. The so-called “freedom fever” may be less about liberation and more about control.
The question remains: How much longer will people buy into the illusion?
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@ e88a691e:27850411
2025-02-17 13:30:42
test post longform 4
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-02-17 12:20:25
**3 พฤติกรรมที่เป็นอุปสรรคต่อการทำกำไรของนักลงทุนส่วนใหญ่**
นักลงทุนจำนวนมากต้องการที่จะประสบความสำเร็จในตลาดหุ้นและสร้างผลกำไรที่สม่ำเสมอ แต่หลายครั้งที่พวกเขากลับพบว่าตัวเองต้องเผชิญกับอุปสรรคที่ทำให้ไม่สามารถบรรลุเป้าหมายนั้นได้ ช่อง Zyo / เซียว จับอิดนึ้ง ได้นำเสนอ 3 พฤติกรรมที่เป็นอุปสรรคสำคัญต่อนักลงทุนส่วนใหญ่ ซึ่งหากนักลงทุนสามารถหลีกเลี่ยงพฤติกรรมเหล่านี้ได้ ก็จะมีโอกาสในการสร้างผลกำไรที่สม่ำเสมอมากยิ่งขึ้น
1. **การซื้อขายตามอารมณ์:** ตลาดหุ้นมีความผันผวนและเต็มไปด้วยข่าวสารมากมาย นักลงทุนที่ซื้อขายตามอารมณ์มักจะตัดสินใจโดยใช้อารมณ์เป็นหลัก ไม่ว่าจะเป็นความโลภเมื่อเห็นราคาหุ้นขึ้น หรือความกลัวเมื่อราคาหุ้นตก การตัดสินใจที่ไม่ได้อยู่บนพื้นฐานของข้อมูลและการวิเคราะห์อย่างรอบคอบ มักนำไปสู่การตัดสินใจที่ผิดพลาดและขาดทุนในที่สุด
2. **การไม่ยอมรับความเสี่ยง:** การลงทุนในตลาดหุ้นมีความเสี่ยง นักลงทุนที่ไม่ยอมรับความเสี่ยงมักจะพลาดโอกาสในการลงทุนในสินทรัพย์ที่ให้ผลตอบแทนสูง หรือในทางกลับกัน พวกเขาอาจจะหลีกเลี่ยงการตัดขาดทุนเมื่อการลงทุนไม่เป็นไปตามที่คาดหวัง การไม่ยอมรับความเสี่ยงและไม่บริหารความเสี่ยงอย่างเหมาะสม จะทำให้พอร์ตการลงทุนไม่เติบโตเท่าที่ควร หรืออาจจะเผชิญกับความเสียหายที่ใหญ่หลวงได้
3. **การขาดความรู้และความเข้าใจ:** ตลาดหุ้นเป็นเรื่องที่ซับซ้อนและเปลี่ยนแปลงอยู่เสมอ นักลงทุนที่ขาดความรู้และความเข้าใจในเรื่องการลงทุนอย่างเพียงพอ มักจะลงทุนโดยไม่มีหลักการหรือไม่สามารถวิเคราะห์สถานการณ์ได้อย่างถูกต้อง การลงทุนโดยปราศจากความรู้และความเข้าใจที่ถูกต้อง ก็เหมือนกับการเดินอยู่ในความมืด ซึ่งโอกาสที่จะประสบความสำเร็จนั้นเป็นไปได้ยาก
**บทสรุป**
3 พฤติกรรมที่กล่าวมาข้างต้นเป็นเพียงส่วนหนึ่งของอุปสรรคที่นักลงทุนส่วนใหญ่ต้องเผชิญ หากนักลงทุนต้องการที่จะประสบความสำเร็จในการลงทุนอย่างยั่งยืน พวกเขาจำเป็นต้องตระหนักถึงพฤติกรรมเหล่านี้และพยายามปรับปรุงตนเองอย่างต่อเนื่อง การศึกษาหาความรู้เพิ่มเติม การวางแผนการลงทุนอย่างรอบคอบ และการควบคุมอารมณ์ จะเป็นกุญแจสำคัญที่นำไปสู่การสร้างผลกำไรที่สม่ำเสมอในตลาดหุ้นได้
แน่นอนค่ะ ฟังคลิปแล้ว และสรุปบทความเป็นภาษาไทยให้คุณแล้วค่ะ
**บทความ: 3 พฤติกรรมที่เป็นอุปสรรคต่อการทำกำไรสม่ำเสมอของนักลงทุนส่วนใหญ่**
บทความนี้สรุปแนวคิดจากคลิปวิดีโอที่วิเคราะห์พฤติกรรมของนักลงทุนส่วนใหญ่ โดยอ้างอิงจากการสำรวจบัญชีซื้อขายหุ้นกว่า 77,000 บัญชีในช่วงปี 1990-1996 พบว่ามี 3 พฤติกรรมหลักที่เป็นอุปสรรคสำคัญต่อการสร้างผลกำไรที่สม่ำเสมอในการลงทุน
**3 พฤติกรรมที่เป็นอุปสรรคต่อการทำกำไร:**
1. **ปล่อยให้ขาดทุน แต่รีบขายกำไร:** นักลงทุนส่วนใหญ่มักจะถือหุ้นที่กำลังขาดทุนต่อไปเรื่อย ๆ เพราะไม่อยากยอมรับว่าตัดสินใจผิดพลาด ในทางกลับกัน เมื่อหุ้นเริ่มมีกำไรเพียงเล็กน้อย กลับรีบขายออกไปเพราะกลัวกำไรจะหายไป พฤติกรรมนี้เป็นผลจากธรรมชาติของมนุษย์ที่เรียกว่า "Loser Aversion" หรือการหลีกเลี่ยงความเจ็บปวดจากการขาดทุนมากกว่าความสุขจากการได้กำไร
2. **ถัวเฉลี่ยขาลง มากกว่าพีระมิดขาขึ้น:** นักลงทุนจำนวนมากเลือกที่จะซื้อหุ้นที่ราคาลดลง (ถัวเฉลี่ยขาลง) โดยหวังว่าจะได้ต้นทุนที่ต่ำลงและรอให้ราคาหุ้นกลับมา แต่ในความเป็นจริง หุ้นที่อยู่ในแนวโน้มขาลงก็มีโอกาสที่จะลงต่อไปเรื่อย ๆ การถัวเฉลี่ยขาลงจึงเป็นการเพิ่มความเสี่ยง ในขณะที่การ "พีระมิดขาขึ้น" หรือการซื้อหุ้นเพิ่มเมื่อราคาปรับตัวสูงขึ้น เป็นการลงทุนในหุ้นที่กำลังมีแนวโน้มที่ดีและมีโอกาสสร้างกำไรมากกว่า
3. **รีบขายกำไรเล็กน้อย แต่ไม่ยอมขายเมื่อขาดทุนเล็กน้อย:** พฤติกรรมนี้ต่อเนื่องจากข้อแรก คือเมื่อได้กำไรเพียงเล็กน้อย นักลงทุนมักจะรีบขายเพื่อ "ล็อกกำไร" แต่เมื่อขาดทุนเล็กน้อย กลับไม่ยอมขายเพราะหวังว่าราคาจะกลับมา ทำให้สุดท้ายกลายเป็น "กำไรน้อย รีบขาย ขาดทุน เก็บไว้" ซึ่งส่งผลเสียต่อพอร์ตการลงทุนในระยะยาว
**คำแนะนำเพื่อปรับปรุงพฤติกรรมการลงทุน:**
* **ฝึก "Cut Loss Short, Let Profit Run":** ยอมตัดขาดทุนเมื่อหุ้นไม่เป็นไปตามแผน เพื่อจำกัดความเสียหาย และปล่อยให้หุ้นที่กำลังทำกำไรทำงานไป เพื่อเพิ่มโอกาสในการทำกำไรที่มากขึ้น
* **อย่าถัวเฉลี่ยขาลงโดยไม่มีเหตุผล:** พิจารณาแนวโน้มของหุ้นและปัจจัยพื้นฐานก่อนตัดสินใจถัวเฉลี่ยขาลง หากไม่มีเหตุผลที่ชัดเจน การถัวเฉลี่ยขาลงอาจเป็นการเพิ่มความเสี่ยงโดยไม่จำเป็น
* **บริหารความเสี่ยงและ Money Management อย่างเหมาะสม:** กำหนด stop loss ที่ชัดเจน และบริหารจัดการเงินทุนให้เหมาะสมกับความเสี่ยงที่รับได้
* **เรียนรู้และพัฒนาระบบเทรดของตัวเองอย่างต่อเนื่อง:** ทำความเข้าใจกลยุทธ์การเทรดของตนเอง และปรับปรุงพัฒนาอย่างสม่ำเสมอ
* **มี Mindset ที่ถูกต้องสำหรับการเทรด:** เข้าใจว่าการเทรดสวนทางกับธรรมชาติของมนุษย์ ต้องฝึกฝนและสร้างนิสัยที่ถูกต้องเพื่อเอาชนะอุปสรรคทางจิตวิทยา
**สรุป:**
การลงทุนและการเทรดหุ้นเป็นเกมที่ "ผิดธรรมชาติ" ของมนุษย์ การเอาชนะตลาดหุ้นได้จึงต้องอาศัยการฝึกฝนและปรับเปลี่ยนพฤติกรรมให้สวนทางกับธรรมชาติเดิม ๆ โดยการตระหนักถึง 3 พฤติกรรมที่เป็นอุปสรรค และนำคำแนะนำไปปรับใช้ จะช่วยให้นักลงทุนสามารถพัฒนาไปสู่การสร้างผลกำไรที่สม่ำเสมอและยั่งยืนได้ในระยะยาว
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@ 7546e8e4:154e8264
2025-02-17 10:48:44
Ever feel like your crypto portfolio is stuck in orbit? What if you could turn those fractional holdings into meaningful growth? The secret lies in smart management and a dashboard that makes it effortless.
Key Points
The Power of Small Balances: Explain how even dust (tiny crypto amounts) can compound with strategic tracking and reinvestment over time.
Unified Dashboard Magic: Highlight how phesky.com aggregates BTC, ETH, LTC, TRX, and more into one sleek interface, eliminating the chaos of juggling multiple wallets.
Visualize Your Growth: Emphasize the dashboard’s design charts, trends, and projections that turn abstract numbers into a clear path to "moon-worthy gains.
Call to Action: Stop letting zeros collect cosmic dust. Launch your portfolio to new heights at phesky.com
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@ 849a5a61:b57d2870
2025-02-17 10:11:18

> Hey everyone! For the past few months we’ve been building an open-source, affordable and privacy-friendly affiliate and referral program creator for Bitcoin businesses and Nostr publishers called BitFlio.
We built [BitFlio](https://bitflio.com/) because, as bitcoiners and nostriches, we couldn’t find an affiliate marketing tool for our products that would accept bitcoin as payment method, keep us anonymnous, and most important allow us to pay and be paid based on the value we provide. Since we didn’t know if affiliate marketing would work for us as a sales channel, we really wanted to find a tool where, instead of a fixed monthly fee, we could instead pay a % in sats per successful referral to test the waters.
Referral marketing is such a powerful marketing channel as it enable the Value For Value (V4V) model to expand and grow the Bitcoin Circular Economy. For example, **referral leads for businesses have a 70% higher conversion rate than leads from any other sales channel**, and **when referred by other customers, that customer typically has a 37% higher retention rate**.
The setup process for BitFlio is nice and easy. You simply signup with nostr or email, connect your Bitcoin wallet, create your first campaign, add the tracking script to your website and then fire the `BitFlio.convert('yourcustomer@email.com')` function from your thank you page, so we can validate the leads Publishers will bring to you. Once you’ve done those steps, you can either invite publishers manually, or send them your unique BitFlio invite signup page URL.
For Publishers is even easier. If you are a content creator looking to monetize bitcoinize your contents, join our network and select from bitcoin brands those you feel comfortable sharing. Lastly, get paid in sats depending on how many sales you can drive to each vendor.
It’s quite hard to list in sentences some of the cool features that make up BitFlio, so here’s a list:
* Pricing from $0/month
* Automatic NWC sync
* Works for both subscriptions and one-time charges
* Embed script is lightweight and only ~13kb
* Privacy-friendly & Anonymous
* No GDPR needed, as we operate in the Private.
* Manage multiple affiliate programs for different products from one single dashboard
* Open-source software
Since we’re in public beta, getting feedback right now is our top priority. We’d appreciate it so much if you sign up for our Beta whitelist via [beta.BitFlio.com](https://beta.BitFlio.com) and let us know how you get on / your initial thoughts 😄
Landing: https://BitFlio.com `sᴏᴏɴ!`
Beta whitelist: https://beta.BitFlio.com
Follow us on Nostr: https://njump.me/npub1sjd95c0kcxn69x3u8azunrm2kdj97lc6cu79csz7rz74hdta9pcqpxgrdx
Support the open source project on @geyserfund https://geyser.fund/project/bitflio/
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Mirror posts:
- https://bitflio.com/blob/affordable-referral-marketing-software-for-nostr-publishers-and-bitcoin-vendors/
- https://geyser.fund/project/bitflio/posts/view/4138
- naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzppy6tfsldsd852drc069ex8k4vmytal343eut3q9ux9atw6h62rsqqxnzden8ymnwdf5xgurzdphm3ncla
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/888167
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@ 849a5a61:b57d2870
2025-02-17 09:47:19
We built [BitFlio](https://bitflio.com/) because, as bitcoiners and nostriches, we couldn’t find an affiliate marketing tool for our products that would accept bitcoin as payment method, keep us anonymnous, and most important allow us to pay and be paid based on the value we provide. Since we didn’t know if affiliate marketing would work for us as a sales channel, we really wanted to find a tool where, instead of a fixed monthly fee, we could instead pay a % in sats per successful referral to test the waters.
Referral marketing is such a powerful marketing channel as it enable the Value For Value (V4V) model to expand and grow the Bitcoin Circular Economy. For example, **referral leads for businesses have a 70% higher conversion rate than leads from any other sales channel**, and **when referred by other customers, that customer typically has a 37% higher retention rate**.
The setup process for BitFlio is nice and easy. You simply signup with nostr or email, connect your Bitcoin wallet, create your first campaign, add the tracking script to your website and then fire the `BitFlio.convert('yourcustomer@email.com')` function from your thank you page, so we can validate the leads Publishers will bring to you. Once you’ve done those steps, you can either invite publishers manually, or send them your unique BitFlio invite signup page URL.
For Publishers is even easier. If you are a content creator looking to monetize bitcoinize your contents, join our network and select from bitcoin brands those you feel comfortable sharing. Lastly, get paid in sats depending on how many sales you can drive to each vendor.
It’s quite hard to list in sentences some of the cool features that make up BitFlio, so here’s a list:
* Pricing from $0/month
* Automatic NWC sync
* Works for both subscriptions and one-time charges
* Embed script is lightweight and only ~13kb
* Privacy-friendly & Anonymous
* No GDPR needed, as we operate in the Private.
* Manage multiple affiliate programs for different products from one single dashboard
* Open-source software
Since we’re in public beta, getting feedback right now is our top priority. We’d appreciate it so much if you sign up for our Beta whitelist via [beta.BitFlio.com](//beta.BitFlio.com) and let us know how you get on / your initial thoughts 😄
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-02-17 08:49:15
**ภาพรวม BTCUSDT (OKX):**
Bitcoin ยังคงอยู่ในแนวโน้มขาขึ้นระยะยาว แต่ระยะสั้นมีความผันผวนและมีการปรับฐานลงมา การวิเคราะห์ครั้งนี้จะเน้นการระบุพื้นที่ที่ Smart Money (หรือ "เจ้ามือ") อาจจะเข้าซื้อหรือขาย เพื่อให้เราสามารถวางแผนการเทรดได้อย่างมีประสิทธิภาพ
**วิเคราะห์ทีละ Timeframe:**
**(1) TF Day (รายวัน):** 
* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาขึ้น (Uptrend)
* **SMC:**
* Higher Highs (HH) และ Higher Lows (HL) ต่อเนื่อง
* Break of Structure (BOS) ด้านบน
* ยังไม่มีสัญญาณการกลับตัวเป็นขาลง
* **ICT:**
* ยังไม่เห็น Order Block หรือ FVG ที่ชัดเจนใน TF Day *ณ ราคาปัจจุบัน*
* **EMA:**
* ราคาอยู่เหนือ EMA 50 (สีเหลือง) และ EMA 200 (สีขาว) (Golden Cross)
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* สีเขียวเป็นส่วนใหญ่ แสดงถึงแรงซื้อ
* **Volume Profile:**
* Volume หนาแน่นที่บริเวณต่ำกว่าราคาปัจจุบัน
* **แท่งเทียน:**
* แท่งเทียนล่าสุดเป็นสีแดง แสดงถึงแรงขาย แต่ไส้เทียนยาว แสดงว่ามีแรงซื้อกลับ
* **แนวรับ:** EMA 50, EMA 200, บริเวณ Volume Profile หนาแน่น
* **แนวต้าน:** High เดิม
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มหลักยังเป็นขาขึ้น Buy on Dip
**(2) TF4H (4 ชั่วโมง):** 
* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาขึ้น (พักตัว)
* **SMC:**
* HH และ HL
* BOS ด้านบน
* ราคาหลุด EMA 50
* **ICT:**
* **Fair Value Gap (FVG):** สังเกตเห็น FVG เล็กๆ ที่เกิดขึ้นก่อนหน้านี้ (บริเวณที่ราคาเคยพุ่งขึ้นอย่างรวดเร็ว) อาจเป็นเป้าหมายของการ Pullback
* **Order Block:** ราคาปัจจุบันกำลังทดสอบ Order Block (บริเวณแท่งเทียนสีแดงแท่งใหญ่ก่อนที่จะขึ้น) *เป็นจุดที่น่าสนใจมาก*
* **EMA:**
* ราคาหลุด EMA 50
* EMA 200 เป็นแนวรับถัดไป
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* เขียวและแดงผสมกัน, แดงเริ่มมากขึ้น
* **Volume Profile:**
* Volume profile ค่อนข้างสูง
* **แนวรับ:** EMA 200, Order Block, บริเวณ Volume Profile
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA 50, High เดิม
* **สรุป:** แนวโน้มขาขึ้นพักตัว, ทดสอบ Order Block, Money Flow เริ่มเป็นลบ
**(3) TF15 (15 นาที):** 
* **แนวโน้ม:** ขาลง (Downtrend) ระยะสั้น *แต่เริ่มมีสัญญาณการฟื้นตัว*
* **SMC:**
* Lower Highs (LH) และ Lower Lows (LL) *แต่เริ่มเห็น Higher Low*
* BOS ด้านล่าง
* *เริ่มมีสัญญาณการ Breakout EMA 50/200*
* **ICT:**
* ราคาเพิ่ง Breakout Order Block ขาลง (แต่ต้องรอดูว่าจะยืนได้หรือไม่)
* **EMA:**
* *EMA 50/200 เพิ่งจะตัดกันแบบ Golden Cross*
* **Money Flow (LuxAlgo):**
* *เริ่มมีแท่งสีเขียวปรากฏขึ้น*
* **Volume Profile:**
* **แนวรับ:** บริเวณ Low ล่าสุด
* **แนวต้าน:** EMA50/200
* **สรุป:** *เริ่มมีสัญญาณการฟื้นตัว* แต่ยังต้องระวัง
**สรุปภาพรวมและกลยุทธ์ (BTCUSDT):**
* **แนวโน้มหลัก (Day):** ขาขึ้น
* **แนวโน้มรอง (4H):** ขาขึ้น (พักตัว), ทดสอบ Order Block
* **แนวโน้มระยะสั้น (15m):** *เริ่มมีสัญญาณการฟื้นตัว*
* **Money Flow:** Day เป็นบวก, 4H เริ่มเป็นลบ, 15m เริ่มเป็นบวก
* **กลยุทธ์:**
1. **Wait & See:** รอการยืนยันการ Breakout EMA 50/200 ใน TF15m
2. **Buy (เสี่ยง):** *เฉพาะเมื่อราคา Breakout EMA 50/200 ใน TF 15 ได้อย่างแข็งแกร่ง*
3. **Short (เสี่ยง):** ถ้า Order Block ใน TF4H รับไม่อยู่ และ TF15 ยังคงเป็นขาลง
**คำแนะนำ:**
* **Order Block:** ให้ความสำคัญกับ Order Block ใน TF4H
* **FVG:** สังเกต FVG ใน TF4H
* **ความขัดแย้งของ Timeframes:** เริ่มลดลง (15m เริ่มมีสัญญาณบวก)
* **จับตาดู TF15 อย่างใกล้ชิด**
**Disclaimer:** การวิเคราะห์นี้เป็นเพียงความคิดเห็นส่วนตัว ไม่ถือเป็นคำแนะนำในการลงทุน ผู้ลงทุนควรศึกษาข้อมูลเพิ่มเติมและตัดสินใจด้วยความรอบคอบ
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@ 0463223a:3b14d673
2025-02-17 07:48:11
Here we go, it’s Mooooonnnndddddaaaaaaaayyyyyyy!
It’s safe to say I enjoy Monday. Much as I appreciate the downtime over the weekend (if I’m not working) I appreciate the routine of Mondays. Firstly I have my stream to look forward to and whilst I’m not at my best first thing on a Monday, having a little structure goes a long way. Even the fear of looking at the emails I’ve been ignoring from the previous week is possible.
So maybe I’m starting to get an angle of why I’m writing this. It’s a memoir of being a mental I think. I’ve mentioned a number of times this has been a problem most my life but I write this as I’ve halved my Venlafaxine does by ½ once again. This means I’m now on 1/12th of my original dose and I’m maybe a month away from being completely free of RRSIs for the first time in, I guess at least 10 years. To be honest I cant remember when I was first prescribed them. It’s been quite a journey...
3 things have been pivotal. 1; finding my now wife. She’s brilliant and I love her dearly, I think most people know deep down how crushing loneliness can be. I’m very grateful to her for putting up with my bullshit, supporting me and just being there. Gold star for her!
2; would be music, it’s a funny one to put in, it’s also been part of the problem, especially in my wilder days. There’s something quite seductive about the sex, drugs and Rock n Roll meme, although musically it was more Hip Hop, Reggae, Bleeps and Jazz, also I didn’t sleep around much at all but I certainly don’t think I would’ve messed with crack, heroin and all the other drugs otherwise. It’s worth noting 2 of my friends from that era, who didn’t have music in their lives are dead. I’m very lucky. There’s over 100 years of recorded music to enjoy plus I’m almost happy with some of my own bits at last!
3; I have some security, I no longer pay rent or have a landlord. This is also due to number 1 but also because I found some funny internet money. I’m still to write about my process with that, other than to say it was direct response to the banks. That’s a story in it’s own right, it’s pretty dark and hmm… not sure. Plus I don’t think there’s any need to go there right now. I have the world’s most expensive shed and I know I can survive a few months should the worst happen. That’s a LOT. Whilst a little risk taking is healthy, life shouldn’t free stress free, uncertainty about having a roof over your head when you can’t afford it can really take it’s toll. A degree of security is most welcome at this time in life.
A lot of people aren’t so lucky, Tom, Ricky, Dave, Slam, Joel. I’m name checking you specifically. You’re in my thoughts often, especially as I play music every morning… and Slam, if I ever see you again, I want my records back!!! Haha, thieving little cunt but it’s still not hate here. Your life was fucked up before you even had a chance. I hope you’ve found peace with yourself. At least you’re alive! (I think, he might be dead too, who knows…)
So yeah, it’s Monday and it’s gonna be a good day right? I mean it might not but I will at least give it the best start possible and work from there. It takes a degree of effort to retrain the brain. Actually maybe there’s a 4th thing to mention. No Facebacon, Instagran, X or LinkedIn. None of that bullshit where you’re forced into some fake world generated in order to increase shareholder value. These platforms are akin to being a lab rat. I picture Zuckerberg like Ming The Merciless at the start of Flash Gordon sending hot hail etc. That guy made a decision to mess with peoples’ psyche to drive profits. That’s fucking evil man. Jeez, what a cunt!
It’s Monday, I’m wishing you strength in whatever you have ahead of you today. I’m lucky to be where I am right now and if you’re reading this and your world is plagued by darkness, it can get better. Remember that. Hold onto that as best you can. DON’T FUCKING KILL YOURSELF. That’s the single worst thing you can do. The pain you’ll leave behind isn’t worth it. I hope some cosmic vibrations happen in your favour. There’s no easy solution. I can’t tell you the answer but I wish you well. Good luck out there!
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@ c4b5369a:b812dbd6
2025-02-17 06:06:48
As promised in my last article:
nostr:naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzp394x6dfmvn69cduj7e9l2jgvtvle7n5w5rtrunjlr6tx6up9k7kqq2k6ernff9hw3tyd3y453rdtph5uvm6942kzuw08y0
In this one we will dive into how exactly an unidirectional payments channel powered ecash mint system would be implemented, using the tech available today! So if you haven't read that article yet, give it a read!
I first intended to write a longwinded article, explaining each part of the system. But then I realized that I would need some visualization to get the message across in a more digestable way. This lead me to create a slide deck, and as I started to design the slides it became more and more clear that the information is easier shown with visualizations, than written down. I will try to give a summary as best as I can in this article, but I urge you, to please go visit the slide deck too, for the best experience:
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### [TAKE ME TO THE SLIDE DECK!](https://uni-chan.gandlaf.com/)
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### Intro
In this article we will go over how we can build unidirectional payment channels on Bitcoin. Then we will take a look into how Cashu ecash mints work, and how we can use unidirectional payment channels to change the dynamics between ecash users and the mint.
Before we start, let me also give credits to nostr:npub1htnhsay5dmq3r72tukdw72pduzfdcja0yylcajuvnc2uklkhxp8qnz3qac for comming up with the idea, to nostr:npub148jz5r9xujcjpqygk69yl4jqwjqmzgrqly26plktfjy8g4t7xaysj9xhgp for providing an idea for non-expiring unidirectional channels, and nostr:npub1yrnuj56rnen08zp2h9h7p74ghgjx6ma39spmpj6w9hzxywutevsst7k5cx unconference for hosting an event where these ideas could be discussed and flourish.
### Building unidirectional payment channels
If you've read the previous article, you already know what unidirectional payment channels are. There are actually a coupple different ways to implement them, but they all do have a few things in common:
1. The `sender` can only send
2. The `Receiver` can only receive
3. They are VERY simple
Way simpler than the duplex channels like we are using in the lightning network today, at least. Of course, duplex channels are being deployed on LN for a reason. They are very versatile and don't have these annoying limitations that the unidirectional payment channels have. They do however have a few drawbacks:
1. Peers have liveness requirements (or they might forfeit their funds)
2. Peers must backup their state after each transaction (if they don't they might forfeit their funds)
3. It is a pretty complex system
This article is not meant to discredit duplex channels. I think they are great. I just also think that in some use-cases, their requirements are too high and the system too complex.
But anyway, let's see what kind of channels we can build!
#### Spillman/CLTV-Channel
The Spillman channel idea has been around for a long time. It's even explained in Tadge Dryjas [Presentation](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hzv9WuqIzA0&t=1969s) on Payment channels and the lightning network from back in the day. I compiled a list of some of the most important propperties of them in the slide below:

Great!
Now that we know their properties, let's take a look at how we can create such a channel ([Slides](https://uni-chan.gandlaf.com/#/11)):
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We start out by the `sender` creating a `funding TX`. The `sender` doesn't broadcast the transaction though. If he does, he might get locked into a multisig with the `receiver` without an unilateral exit path.
Instead the `sender` also creates a `refund TX` spending the outputs of the yet unsigned `funding TX`. The `refund TX` is timelocked, and can only be broadcast after 1 month. Both `sender` and `receiver` can sign this `refund TX` without any risks. Once `sender` receives the signed `refund TX`, he can broadcast the `funding TX` and open the channel. The `sender` can now update the channel state, by pre-signing update transactions and sending them over to the `receiver`. Being a one-way channel, this can be done in a single message. It is very simple. There is no need for invalidating old states, since the `sender` does not hold any signed `update TXs` it is impossible for the `sender` to broadcast an old state. The `receiver` only cares about the latest state anyways, since that is the state where he gets the most money. He can basically delete any old states. The only thing the `receiver` needs to make sure of, is broadcasting the latest `update TX` before the `refund TX's` timelock expires. Otherwise, the `sender` might take the whole channel balance back to himself.
This seems to be already a pretty useful construct, due to its simplicity. But we can make it even more simple!
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This setup works basically the same way as the previous one, but instead of having a refund transaction, we build the `timelock` spend path directly into the `funding TX` This allows the `sender` to have an unilateral exit right from the start, and he can broadcast the `funding TX` without communicating with the `receiver`. In the worst case, the receiver rejects the channel, and the sender can get his money back after the timelock on the output has expired. Everything else basically works in the same way as in the example above.
The beauty about this channel construct is in its simplicity. The drawbacks are obvious, but they do offer some nice properties that might be useful in certain cases.
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One of the major drawbacks of the `Spillman-style channels` (apart from being unidirectional) is that they expire. This expiry comes with the neat property that neither of the party has to watch the chain for channel closures, and the `sender` can operate the channel with zero additional state, apart from his private keys. But they do expire. And this can make them quite inflexible. It might work in some contexts, but not so much in others, where time needs to be more flexible.
This is where `Roose-Childs triggered channels` come into play.
#### Roose-Childs triggered channel
(I gave it that name, named after nostr:npub148jz5r9xujcjpqygk69yl4jqwjqmzgrqly26plktfjy8g4t7xaysj9xhgp and nostr:npub1htnhsay5dmq3r72tukdw72pduzfdcja0yylcajuvnc2uklkhxp8qnz3qac . If someone knows if this idea has been around before under a different name, please let us know!)
`Roose-Childs triggered channels` were an idea developed by Steven and Luke at the nostr:npub1yrnuj56rnen08zp2h9h7p74ghgjx6ma39spmpj6w9hzxywutevsst7k5cx unconference. They essentially remove the channel expiry limitation in return for introducing the need for the `sender` to create a channel backup at the time of channel creation, and for the `receiver` the need to watch the chain for trigger transactions closing the channel.
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They also allow for splicing funds, which can be important for a channel without expiry, allowing the `sender` to top-up liquidity once it runs out, or for the `receiver` taking out liquidity from the channel to deploy the funds elsewhere.
Now, let's see how we can build them!
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The `funding TX` actually looks the same as in the first example, and similarly it gets created, but not signed by the `sender`. Then, sender and receiver both sign the `trigger TX`. The `trigger TX` is at the heart of this scheme. It allows both `sender` and `receiver` to unilaterally exit the channel by broadcasting it (more on that in a bit).
Once the `trigger TX` is signed and returned to the `sender`, the sender can confidently sign and boradcast the `funding TX` and open the channel. The `trigger TX` remains off-chain though. Now, to update the channel, the `sender` can pre-sign transactions in similar fashion to the examples above, but this time, spending the outputs of the unbroadcasted `trigger TX`. This way, both parties can exit the channel at any time. If the `receiver` wants to exit, he simply boradcasts the `trigger TX` and immediately spends its outputs using the latest `update TX`. If the `sender` wants to exit he will broadcast the `trigger TX` and basically force the `receivers` hand. Either, the `receiver` will broadcast the latest `update TX`, or the `sender` will be able to claim the entire channel balance after the timelock expired.

We can also simplify the `receiver's` exit path, by the `sender` pre-signing an additional transaction `R exit TX` for each update. this way, the `receiver` only needs to broadcast one transaction instead of two.
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As we've mentioned before, there are some different trade-offs for `Roose-Childs triggered channels`. We introduce some minimal state and liveness requirements, but gain more flexibility.

#### Ecash to fill in the gaps
(I will assume that the reader knows how ecash mints work. If not, please go check the [slides](https://uni-chan.gandlaf.com/#/43) where I go through an explanation)
Essentially, we are trying to get a lightning like experience, without all the lightning complexities and requirements. One big issue with ecash, is that it is fully custodial. If we can offset that risk by holding most of the funds in a self custodial channel, we can have a reasonable trade-off between usability and self custody.

In a system like that, we would essentially turn the banking model onto its head. Where in a traditional bank, the majority of the funds are held in the banks custody, and the user only withdraws into his custody what he needs to transact, in our model the user would hold most funds in his own custody.

If you ask me, this approach makes way more sense. Instead of a custodian, we have turned the "bank" into a service provider.
Let's take a look at how it would work in a more practical sense:
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The `ecash user` would open an unidirectional payment channel to the `mint`, using one of his on-chain UTXOs. This allows him then to commit incrementally funds into the mints custody, only the amounts for his transactional needs. The mint offers connectivity to the lightning network an handles state and liveness as a service provider.
The `ecash user`, can remain offline at all times, and his channel funds will always be safe. The mint can only ever claim the balance in the channel via the `update TXs`. The `mint` can of course still decide to no longer redeem any ecash, at which point they would have basically stolen the `ecash user's` transactional balance. At that point, it would probably be best for the `ecash user` to close his channel, and no longer interact or trust this `mint`.
Here are some of the most important points of this system summarized:
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And that is basically it! I hope you enjoyed this breakdown of Unidirectional payment channel enabled Ecash mints!
If you did, consider leaving me a zap. Also do let me know if this type of breakdown helps you understand a new topic well. I am considering doing similar breakdowns on other systems, such as ARK, Lightning or Statechains, if there is a lot of interest, and it helps people, I'll do it!
Pleas also let me know what you think about the `unidirectional channel - ecash mint` idea in the comments. It's kind of a new idea, an it probably has flaws, or things that we haven't thought about yet. I'd love to discuss it with you!
I'll leave you with this final slide:
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Cheers,
Gandlaf
-
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@ c0a57a12:8b230f7a
2025-02-17 00:08:04
Ever notice how we’ve all turned into a bunch of regulation junkies? Not just the kids—us, too. The parents. The supposed adults in the room. We sit around shaking our heads at this new generation, wondering why they can’t make a move without a permission slip, but let’s be honest: we made them that way. We were trained for it. We just passed the neurosis down like a bad heirloom.
Used to be, kids ran wild, made their own fun, learned how things worked by getting their hands dirty and screwing up a few times. You fell out of a tree? Tough. That’s how you figured out gravity was real. Now, a kid gets a splinter and half the neighborhood has to be briefed. But let’s not act like it started with them. We didn’t grow up in the Wild West. Our parents—the ones who were handed a country built by men who cleared forests and carved railroads and settled frontiers—they took one look at all that, clutched their pearls, and decided the real enemy was *risk.* They started slapping safety labels on everything, turned common sense into a government-subsidized industry, and set about making sure we never had to experience a single moment of danger, discomfort, or—God help us—independence.
And we ate it up. Grew up afraid of the sun, the air, the drinking water. If you touched a stranger, you’d get kidnapped. If you ate the wrong snack, you’d drop dead from an allergy you didn’t even have. If you rode a bike without strapping on enough gear to survive re-entry from orbit, you might as well be suicidal. Then, just to really hammer it in, we were given rules for *everything.* How to sit, how to talk, how to play, how to think. And because we’d been softened up, we listened. We obeyed. We internalized the great lesson of modern civilization: *only do what is approved.*
And when it came time for us to raise kids? Oh, we ran with it. Helicopter parenting? That was us. Participation trophies? Us. Baby-proofing the entire godforsaken planet so that Junior never had to encounter anything sharper than a cotton ball? Us again. Every bit of micromanaged, soul-sucking, over-regulated nonsense we complain about today? We enforced it. So now we’ve got a generation that doesn’t *know* how to function without checking the rulebook first. They hesitate before every decision because we taught them hesitation. They sit around waiting for a green light because that’s all we ever told them to do.
And you know what? We’re no better. When’s the last time *you* did something without checking if it was "allowed"? When’s the last time you ignored a ridiculous rule instead of just sighing and complying? When’s the last time you acted like a *free man* instead of a well-behaved tax mule hoping the system doesn’t notice you?
We’ve swallowed a lie, and we keep regurgitating it—that compliance is morality, that following orders is a virtue, that a safe, predictable, well-regulated life is a *good* one. It’s not. It’s never been. You don’t get freedom by waiting for permission to use it. You don’t get courage by asking if it’s okay. You don’t build a worthwhile life by making sure you never color outside the lines.
And yet, here we are, acting surprised. Acting like we don’t know how we got here. Acting like we didn’t *choose* this. Like we didn’t let it happen.
So what now? We could stop. We could teach our kids to take risks, to get their hands dirty, to act instead of waiting for permission. We could start ignoring stupid rules, start trusting our own judgment, start living like we weren’t raised in a padded cell.
Or we could do nothing. Keep following orders. Keep playing it safe. Keep watching the world shrink into a flavorless, permission-based, committee-approved version of itself.
Your call. But either way, don’t pretend to be surprised.
-
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@ 5a261a61:2ebd4480
2025-02-16 21:54:41
As I grow older, I find myself often discovering things that I haven't understood before, or just see completely differently. Like with this fable of the toad and scorpion.
You know, the classic where scorpion needs to get across the river, and asks the toad for help, promising not to sting. The toad refuses at first, pointing out that scorpion's sting would kill them both. But scorpion argues that would be illogical - why would it sting if that meant its own death? The toad, convinced by this logic, agrees to help. Halfway across, scorpion stings anyway, and as they both sink, toad asks "why?" Scorpion simply answers "It's my nature."
That leads me to my scorpion sighting. I have somewhat stronger libido and given the circumstances, I usually situate myself in the submissive position in both married and online life. When I am not ventilating or getting these things out in some way, it usually leads to my growing frustration that seriously hinders my usual life. And in those trying times I usually tell myself, "screw that, I don't like this, I don't like how that makes me feel, it sucks, why does it have to hurt so much" (well, I don't think 'hurt' as I have been indoctrinated by the society that men don't process feelings this way, but I think if I had a therapist, they would want me to spell it like that). Let's not go to the subspace again, it's silly space. Sometimes it gets really dark...but then comes the climax, like literally, and suddenly everything is forgiven and (almost) forgotten. And all is well.
Let's just not go there next time, avoid being burned again, I keep saying to myself. And these days submissive scorpion in my head just silently waits for my monologuing toad to finish defending ourselves. It knows that it needs only one chance so I cave in, while toad needs to defend my sanity every day. So one day, I will bring scorpion to cross the river with me again. And it will again promise that this time it will be ok. And we will both pretend like we believe that, so the play can go on. And it will eventually sting me, because we both yearn for unreachable things.
And next day I will again see scorpion on the river, not wooing me, no, we are beyond that, it knows it just needs to wait before I come back for the poison I need.As I grow older, I find myself often discovering things that I haven't understood before, or just see completely differently. Like with this fable of the toad and scorpion.
You know, the classic where scorpion needs to get across the river, and asks the toad for help, promising not to sting. The toad refuses at first, pointing out that scorpion's sting would kill them both. But scorpion argues that would be illogical - why would it sting if that meant its own death? The toad, convinced by this logic, agrees to help. Halfway across, scorpion stings anyway, and as they both sink, toad asks "why?" Scorpion simply answers "It's my nature."
That leads me to my scorpion sighting. I have somewhat stronger libido and given the circumstances, I usually situate myself in the submissive position in both married and online life. When I am not ventilating or getting these things out in some way, it usually leads to my growing frustration that seriously hinders my usual life. And in those trying times I usually tell myself, "screw that, I don't like this, I don't like how that makes me feel, it sucks, why does it have to hurt so much" (well, I don't think 'hurt' as I have been indoctrinated by the society that men don't process feelings this way, but I think if I had a therapist, they would want me to spell it like that). Let's not go to the subspace again, it's silly space. Sometimes it gets really dark...but then comes the climax, like literally, and suddenly everything is forgiven and (almost) forgotten. And all is well.
Let's just not go there next time, avoid being burned again, I keep saying to myself. And these days submissive scorpion in my head just silently waits for my monologuing toad to finish defending ourselves.
It knows that it needs only one chance so I cave in, while toad needs to defend my sanity every day. So one day, I will bring scorpion to cross the river with me again. And it will again promise that this time it will be ok. And we will both pretend like we believe that, so the play can go on. And it will eventually sting me, because we both yearn for unreachable things.
And next day I will again see scorpion on the river, not wooing me, no, we are beyond that, it knows it just needs to wait before I come back for the poison I need.
-
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@ e7bc35f8:3ed2a7cf
2025-02-16 19:19:41
In the grand chessboard of geopolitics, Iran has long been a target for covert Western intervention.
The 2009 Iranian presidential election provided yet another example of a well-worn playbook—one designed to undermine sovereign nations under the guise of democracy. But this was far from a spontaneous people's movement. Instead, it bore all the hallmarks of a carefully orchestrated operation, leveraging the power of mass media, intelligence agencies, and globalist financial interests.
### 2009: A Manufactured Uprising
In June 2009, before Iran's election results were even finalized, opposition leader Mir-Houssein Mousavi [prematurely declared victory]( https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/iran/5519567/Iran-elections-Mahmoud-Ahmadinejad-and-Hossein-Mousavi-both-claim-victory.html). This calculated move set the stage for immediate allegations of fraud, ensuring that any outcome favoring incumbent President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad would be delegitimized. The Western media wasted no time in amplifying the chaos, competing to push the most dramatic narratives. The **BBC** took the lead, [publishing outright fabrications]( https://web.archive.org/web/20090621065048/https://www.infowars.com/bbc-caught-in-mass-public-deception-with-iran-propaganda/) about mass uprisings—falsehoods they were later [forced to retract]( https://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/theeditors/2009/06/what_really_happened.html).
Then came the Twitter storm. On June 13, a sudden [flood of **30,000 tweets**]( https://web.archive.org/web/20090619154321/https://chartingstocks.net/2009/06/proof-israeli-effort-to-destabilize-iran-via-twitter/), many in English, began pouring in from Iran. The accounts responsible? Newly created profiles, often using identical photos, a hallmark of an information warfare campaign. The **[Jerusalem Post]( https://web.archive.org/web/20090714235359/https://chartingstocks.net/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/jpost.jpg)** quickly picked up on the phenomenon, covering it within hours. This was no organic grassroots movement; it was a digital psy-op, mirroring past regime-change operations.
### The Blueprint: Iran 1953—The CIA’s Original Coup
This wasn’t Iran’s first encounter with a foreign-backed destabilization campaign. In 1953, Iran’s democratically elected Prime Minister **Mohammed Mossadegh** made the fatal mistake of challenging Western oil interests. He sought to nationalize Iran’s petroleum industry, then controlled by the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company (later BP). The response was swift and brutal: the **CIA launched Operation Ajax**, an [insidious regime-change operation]( https://archive.nytimes.com/www.nytimes.com/library/world/mideast/041600iran-cia-index.html) that became the prototype for future coups.
The CIA’s strategy was as ruthless as it was effective:
* Staged bombings blamed on Mossadegh’s government
* Islamist agitation funded and nurtured to turn public sentiment
* Propaganda campaigns demonizing Mossadegh as a secular threat
* Bribery of officials and military leaders to ensure betrayal
The result? The overthrow of Mossadegh and the installation of the pro-Western **Shah**, whose reign saw brutal repression under the secret police **SAVAK**—trained by the CIA and Mossad. The template was established. From **Guatemala (1954) to Afghanistan (1980s) to Serbia (1990s)**, the same playbook was deployed. But with each coup, Western fingerprints became harder to conceal.
### A New Strategy: Economic Warfare and the NGO Takeover
With direct coups becoming too risky, a subtler method emerged: **economic strangulation**. Enter the **International Monetary Fund (IMF)**. The play was simple:
1. **A corrupt dictator takes out massive loans** for projects the country cannot afford.
2. **The country inevitably defaults**, giving the IMF the power to restructure its economy.
3. **Western corporations move in**, plundering national resources under the guise of “recovery.”
This scheme was exposed in **2001** when former World Bank chief economist **Joseph Stiglitz** [blew the whistle]( https://www.gregpalast.com/the-globalizer-who-came-in-from-the-cold/) on these manufactured debt traps. Further details emerged in 2004 with **John Perkins' “[Confessions of an Economic Hitman]( https://a.co/d/2oLfrTD)”**, which revealed how Western front companies and intelligence-backed corporations systematically dismantled economies for geopolitical gain.
But even this strategy had its limits. As exposure grew, the need for an even more sophisticated approach became apparent—one cloaked in the language of democracy and human rights.
### Color Revolutions: The Soros Connection
Enter the age of the **NGO-driven color revolutions**, where regime change is disguised as a people’s uprising. Organizations like the **Open Society Institute (George Soros), Freedom House, and the National Endowment for Democracy (NED)** became the new weapons of choice. These NGOs:
* **Fund and train opposition groups**
* **Coordinate mass protests during elections**
* **Provide media support** to delegitimize governments
The results? A series of destabilizations across the world:
**Ukraine (2004 - Orange Revolution)**
**Lebanon (2005 - Cedar Revolution)**
**Georgia (2003 - Rose Revolution)**
**Kyrgyzstan (2005 - Tulip Revolution)**
Each followed the same pattern—Western-backed NGOs funneled money and resources into opposition movements, ensuring their success. Unsurprisingly, these uprisings all bore the **fingerprints of Soros**, the billionaire financier with a long history of manipulating global politics to serve elite financial interests.
However, this strategy has started to backfire. Georgia witnessed a major [anti-Soros backlash]( https://halldor2.blogspot.com/2005/10/anti-soros-movement-in-georgia.html?m=1), and attempts to replicate these revolutions elsewhere—such as the failed Moldovan "[Grape Revolution]( https://foreignpolicy.com/2009/04/10/moldovas-twitter-revolution-is-not-a-myth/)"—have faltered as people wake up to the deception.
### Iran 2009: An Operation in Plain Sight
While no one denies that Ahmadinejad’s regime had its flaws, the coordinated media hysteria and backing of **Mir-Houssein "[Butcher of Beirut]( https://web.archive.org/web/20090626060145/http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/spytalk/2009/06/mousavi-celebrated-in-iranian.html)" Mousavi** raises serious questions. Why was the Western establishment so eager to install a leader with a brutal history? The answer lies in the same playbook used time and again:
1. **Foment unrest** through digital manipulation and street protests.
2. **Control the narrative** via Western media outlets.
3. **Install a leader** more compliant with Western economic and geopolitical interests.
Iran 2009 was not an isolated event. It was part of a much larger pattern—a centuries-old strategy of covert intervention, economic sabotage, and media manipulation to secure Western control over sovereign nations.
As history has shown, the real fight isn’t between the people and their governments—it’s between sovereign nations and the global power structures that seek to enslave them. And until people recognize the hidden hands behind these so-called revolutions, the cycle of deception will continue.
-
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@ 9a4acdeb:1489913b
2025-02-16 18:26:58
## Chef's notes
Original recipe, a favorite of family and friends, and the easiest and fastest prep time meal I make. Like all really good pork recipes, it does take time in the cooker, but it's set-and-forget and requires no attention between starting and serving.
Using fresh herbs and peppers does enhance the meal (especially fresh cilantro if it doesn't taste like soap to you), but this is optional, and it is excellent with dry ingredients.
Excluding the beans and/or tomato makes this meal extra-low carb for those carnivores amongst us, or those sensitive to beans. Frying the shredded cheese in a slick pan is a good way to
It will take up to 15min to come up to pressure, so it may be helpful to pay attention to it to be sure it pressurizes until you become familiar with how this meal acts in your particular pressure cooker. The Instant Pot pressure cookers make this easy.
## Details
- ⏲️ Prep time: 20min
- 🍳 Cook time: 2hrs
- 🍽️ Servings: 6
## Ingredients
- 4lbs Pork loin
- 1-2 Yellow onion, roughly chopped
- 3-5 Jalapeños or 1x 4oz canned
- 6-8 Green chilis or 1x 4oz canned
- 2oz canned sliced Black olives (may use half a 4oz can)
- 2-3tsp minced garlic, or 1-2 tsp garlic powder
- A small bunch of cilantro, chopped, or 1-2 tsb dried cilantro (optional)
- 1tbsp Oregano, chopped fresh or dried
- 2-3tsb Chili powder; Ancho, Chipotle, or a blend of the two is best
- 2-3tsb ground Cumin
- 3-4tsp salt
- 2-tsp black pepper
- 1 large or 4oz canned tomato (optional)
- Mexican mix shredded cheese (topping)
- 4oz Black beans (optional)
- Tortillas (optional)
- Avocado (optional toping)
- 6 Limes and/or 3oz lime juice
## Directions
1. Mix dry seasonings
2. Chop and mix fresh herbs and veggies, canned or otherwise
3. Add chopped onion to bottom of pressure cooker
4. Add pork loin atop the onion; chopping into steaks may make the texture better
5. Add veggies to the top, shaking to settle into the pressure cooker
6. Add lime juice
7. Start on high pressure for 2hrs.
8. (Optional) Drain the broth into a saucepan, cook down, and add back into the mix to make it extra flavorful. Otherwise, can be served as a soup or poured over rice.
9. Serve with cheese as a topping, over rice, in a tortilla as tacos or burritos, or in a number of other fashions you may fancy. Those who prefer a little more lime may squeeze fresh or splash some more on their meal.
10. (Optional) For presentation, garnish with cilantro and lime slices, maybe a dollop of shredded cheese, sour cream, or cream cheese.
-
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@ c902b8da:0cedc5fb
2025-02-16 18:13:20
I'll break down the key legal requirements, costs, and timelines for establishing a health insurance company, focusing purely on the regulatory aspects:
State Licensing Requirements (Primary State):
- Initial Capital and Surplus: $10-15 million minimum (varies by state)
- Risk-Based Capital (RBC) requirements: Must maintain 200-300% of RBC
- Processing Time: 12-18 months
- Application Fee: $25,000-50,000
- Filing Requirements:
- Articles of Incorporation
- Statutory Financial Statements
- Actuarial Certifications
- Detailed Ownership Information
- Background Checks for All Officers/Directors
- Holding Company Act Filings if Applicable
Federal Requirements:
- ACA Compliance:
- Must offer all 10 Essential Health Benefits
- Medical Loss Ratio requirements (80% individual/small group, 85% large group)
- No annual or lifetime limits
- Guaranteed issue and renewal
- HIPAA Compliance:
- Privacy Officer Appointment
- Security Protocols Implementation
- Timeline: 6-8 months
- Cost: $200,000-500,000 for initial setup
Multi-State Expansion (Per Additional State):
- Certificate of Authority Application: $5,000-25,000 per state
- State-Specific Capital Requirements: $2-5 million additional per state
- Processing Time: 6-12 months per state
- Required State Deposits: $500,000-2 million per state
- Guaranty Fund Membership: $25,000-100,000 per state
Mandatory Insurance Filings:
- Rate Filings:
- Timeline: 60-90 days for approval
- Filing Fees: $500-5,000 per filing
- Form Filings:
- Timeline: 30-60 days for approval
- Filing Fees: $50-500 per form
- Annual Statement Filing: $500-2,500 per state
Required Positions and Certifications:
- Licensed Actuary (MAAA certification)
- Compliance Officer
- Medical Director (licensed physician)
- Claims Manager
- Network Management Director
- Timeline for hiring/certification: 3-6 months
- Annual Costs: $1-2 million for required personnel
Reserve Requirements:
- Claims Reserves: 3-6 months of expected claims
- Premium Reserves: 1-3 months of premium
- Special Deposits: Varies by state ($1-5 million)
- Total Reserve Requirements: 25-40% of annual premium
Ongoing Regulatory Compliance:
- Quarterly Financial Filings: Due within 45 days of quarter end
- Annual Financial Statements: Due March 1
- Market Conduct Examinations: Every 3-5 years
- Cost: $100,000-500,000 per examination
- Financial Examinations: Every 3-5 years
- Cost: $200,000-1 million per examination
Required Insurance Coverage:
- E&O Insurance: $5-10 million coverage
- Annual Cost: $100,000-250,000
- D&O Insurance: $10-25 million coverage
- Annual Cost: $200,000-500,000
- Cyber Insurance: $5-10 million coverage
- Annual Cost: $100,000-300,000
Total Regulatory Timeline:
- Initial State License: 12-18 months
- Federal Compliance: 6-8 months (concurrent)
- First Policy Issuance: 18-24 months from start
- Multi-State Operation: Additional 12-24 months
Total Initial Regulatory Costs:
- Single State Operation: $15-25 million
- Multi-State Operation (5 states): $30-50 million
- Annual Compliance Costs: $2-5 million per state
These requirements and costs can vary significantly based on:
- State of domicile
- Number of states operating in
- Types of health insurance products offered
- Size of projected enrollment
- Market conditions and risk factors
Yes, existing insurance companies can potentially influence your application process, but not directly through a "veto" power. Here's how it works:
1. Public Comment Period
- Most state insurance departments have a public comment period during the application process
- Existing insurers can submit formal objections or concerns
- They typically focus on market saturation, financial viability, or potential unfair competition
2. Market Need Assessment
- Many states require a "need and necessity" showing as part of the application
- You must demonstrate that:
- There's sufficient market demand
- Your company brings something unique or beneficial
- The market can support another carrier
- However, mere competition itself is not grounds for denial
3. State Regulator Discretion
- Regulators consider market concentration and competition
- They generally favor healthy competition unless there are legitimate concerns about:
- Market destabilization
- Your company's financial strength
- Risk to consumers
- Pure "we don't want competition" arguments from existing insurers typically don't succeed
4. Trade Association Influence
- Insurance trade associations may provide input during the licensing process
- They can raise concerns about:
- Capital adequacy
- Management experience
- Business plan viability
- But they cannot directly block your application
Key Point: While existing insurers can object, the final decision rests with state regulators who are primarily concerned with:
- Consumer protection
- Market stability
- Your company's financial soundness
- Management competency
-
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@ 41fa852b:af7b7706
2025-02-16 15:52:51
> "Our lives begin to end the day we become silent about things that matter." --Martin Luther King, Jr
* * *
**If Bitcoin's price action is putting you to sleep, maybe it's time to get out and add some spice to your life.**
It's a big week with 12 meetups--check out the list below and see if there's one near you.
Most meetups are drop-in friendly--just head to the venue and keep an eye out for a few shady-looking characters in Bitcoin merch. If you'd prefer some certainty, you can find contact details for every meetup at [bitcoinevents.uk](https://bitcoinevents.uk/). Just scroll down to find your meetup group, and you'll see how to get in touch.
Let's dive in…
* * *
[](https://bitcoinevents.uk/donate/)
* * *
_This week's sponsor is…_
[](https://www.orangepillapp.com/?utm_source=BEUK&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=BEUK)
* * *
### **Upcoming Bitcoin Meetups**
Happening this week…
1. [**Newcastle Bitcoin Meetup**](https://www.meetup.com/newcastlebitcoinmeetup/): A relaxed gathering for anyone interested in Bitcoin. No prior experience or ownership of Bitcoin is required, just curiosity and an interest. Conversations are Bitcoin-only focused. Happening this month on Tuesday, February 18th, at 18:30. Find them at Kabin @ Kabannas, NE1 6UQ. 🍻
2. [**Bitcoin 101**](https://meetu.ps/e/NRYv6/v822r/i): Nodes at Cyphermunk House - Participants are invited to a hands-on, peer-led class to set up their own Bitcoin node. Those wishing to build a node during the session should bring an old laptop, computer, or mini PC, along with a 2TB SSD and a USB drive with at least 4GB of storage. Attendees are also welcome to join without building a node to learn from the process. Tickets cost £9 in sats or £10 in cash, with pre-booking available at [cyphermunkhouse.com/events.](http://cyphermunkhouse.com/events). 👨🏼🎓
3. [**Bitcoin Glasgow**](https://www.meetup.com/bitcoin-glasgow-buy-sell-learn/): Bitcoin Glasgow meet every 3rd Wednesday of the month and this month will be at The Maltman, 59--61 Renfield Street at 18:00 to 20:00. This month on Wednesday the 19th. 🍺
4. [**Bitcoin Wales**](https://www.meetup.com/all-about-bitcoin-meetup-group-wales/events/): Back in action with the first meetup of 2025, and looking to grow their membership. The gathering at Zerodegrees, 27 Westgate St, Cardiff CF10 1DD invites both seasoned Bitcoiners and newcomers to connect, share ideas, and shape the future of Bitcoin in Wales. 18:00 - 21:00 on Wednesday 19th February. 🍻
5. [**OPA London Bitcoin Meetup**](https://www.eventbrite.com/e/opa-london-bitcoin-meetup-tickets-1238140223739): The first OPA London Bitcoin Meetup takes place on Wednesday 19th at 18:30 - 21:30 at the [Century Club](https://centuryclub.co.uk/) (Bitcoin accepted), 61--63 Shaftesbury Ave, London W1D 6LQ. 🍺🍷🍸
6. [**Shropshire Bitcoin**](https://x.com/shropsbitcoin): On the 19th, the Shropshire crew will be meeting at the Admiral Benbow in Shrewsbury. 🍻
7. [**Brum Bitcoin & Beer**](https://x.com/brumbitcoin): If you're in the Birmingham area head along to meet some fellow bitcoiners on Thursday 20th at 19:00. You'll find them this month at The Wellington, Bennett's Hill, B2 5SN. 🍺
8. [**Bitcoin Bristol**](https://evento.so/p/evt_iQcbZqEyZ36Bujfr): Meeting at The Left Handed Giant, BS1 6EU, at 18:15 on the 21st. Everyone is welcome, the aim is to encourage grassroots bitcoin adoption in Bristol. 🍻
9. [**2140 Collective**](https://evento.so/p/evt_tEzCj5UWYCkB9h35): Tools of freedom - GrapheneOS workshop. Learn about GrapheneOS the privacy-focused mobile operating system. Friday 21st February, 18:00 - 21:40 at Cyphermunk House. 👨🏼🎓📱
10. [**Bitcoin Walk - Edinburgh**](https://bitcoinwalk.org/): Every Saturday they walk around Arthur's Seat in this historic city. Join them at 12 pm to chat about all things Bitcoin and keep fit. 🚶🏽♂️🚶🏼♀️🚶🏻
11. [**Plymouth Bitcoiners**](https://x.com/plbitcoiners): The Plymouth meetup is on the 22nd this month. Find them at Steel Brew, PL1 3GD at 14:00. 🍻
12. [**Bitcoin East**](https://x.com/bitcoineastuk): Join Bitcoin East in Bury St. Edmunds on Sunday 23rd, 10:00 at [Procopio's Pantry](https://www.ourburystedmunds.com/business/procopios-pantry/) and then on to Vespers Bar at 12:00. All welcome, Bitcoiners and anyone else curious about Bitcoin. 🍻☕️
* * *
**Get Involved**
- **Volunteer Opportunities**: [Bridge2Bitcoin](https://bridge2bitcoin.com/) is actively seeking volunteers who share our passion for merchant adoption. We'd be delighted to connect if you're eager to contribute. Reach out to us on [Twitter](https://x.com/bridge2bitcoin) or through our [website](https://bridge2bitcoin.com/).
- **Start Your Own Meetup**: Interested in launching a Bitcoin meetup? We're here to support you every step of the way. We've assisted numerous UK Bitcoin meetups in getting started. Get in touch via [Twitter](https://x.com/bitcoineventsuk).
- **[Contribute to BTCMaps](https://wiki.btcmap.org/general/tagging-instructions.html)**: BTCMaps is a vital part of the Bitcoin ecosystem. It's a perfect project to get involved with if you're not a coder or even that technical. A great way to give back to the community. Maintain an area of the UK and keep it up-to-date.
- **Telegram users**: You might find our [Telegram Channel](https://t.me/BitcoinEventsUKHub) another useful way to keep up-to-date with UK meetups.
- **Feedback and Suggestions**: We value your input! Share your ideas on how we can enhance this newsletter.
* * *
_This week's sponsors are…_
[](https://orangecoinstore.com/)
[](https://bitcoinretreat.co.uk/)
* * *
Get out and support the meetups where you can, visit [Bitcoin Events UK](https://bitcoinevents.uk/) for more info on each meetup and to find your closest on the interactive map.
Stay tuned for more updates next week!
Simon.
[](https://bitcoinevents.uk/donate/)
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@ c3c7122c:607731d7
2025-02-16 07:48:35
At my meet up (the SD Bitcoiners Cete) on Thursday, I presented trends on the Bisq protocol. One of its features is that anyone can export the trade history and analyze it.
Bisq is a private, peer-tp-peer way to buy and sell bitcoin. All data are based on the BTC-USD market.
Trade number decreased in 2024
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But USD volume increased ($/year)
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(same graph but $/day by year)
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Which means more higher value per trade
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Interestingly, trade counts and price volatility lead to interesting BTC volume per year. The peaks are nearly identical (330 BTC)!
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Not so surprising when you compare BTC volume traded to the average BTC price that year, local price valleys mean local peaks in BTC traded (and vice versa).
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I separate fiat payment methods into three groups.
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All USD payment methods used in 2024 by average value (y-axis) and number of trades (bubble size)
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This is the same graph as above excluding Zelle and Strike, since they throw off the relative circle size (face-to-face only had 1 trade in 2024).
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Two fiat methods had >1000 trades in 2024. Strike came on the scene hot in 2021 and ate some of the Zelle volume but that may have stabilized.
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Six fiat methods had 200-1000 trades in 2024. Amazon Gift Card dwindling, Cash By Mail still top of this group, and Revolut surging (wtf is Revolut?)
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Same group, all years
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Last group is <200 trades in 2024. Basically unused, except for Wire Transfer increasing.
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Same group, all years
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What's the average trade size by fiat method? There are different reasons for this, largely driven by fiat fees and bank limits. Amazon Gift Card is an interesting option for smaller payments (note: you can't just send any gift card, there is a very specific process, see the Bisq [wiki]( https://bisq.wiki/Amazon_eGift_card))
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There no KYC premium, but there is a small Surveillance Discount
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If you open Bisq for the first time, you'll likely see spreads 3-5% or larger. These offers persist because no one wants them. So people think that Bisq is "too expensive." But let's dig into the actual trades...
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Comparing the daily trade volume to daily market rate (I used coingecko), and creating a monthly weighted average, the true surveillance discount emerges. It's not 3-5% as you might see in the order book at any given time. In fact, it was cheaper to trade on Bisq than exchanges in November and December! (Note: this does not take into account the 4 on-chain transactions required for a trade or price spread/fees used by exchanges)
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In 2024, Strike had the worst surveillance discount and Cash By Mail had the best. This isn't surprising because receiving cash is convenient and low risk for a seller so they're willing to accept a lower price. Zelle (the most common USD payment method) had the second best surveillance discount.
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Now let's compare the surveillance discount by week in 2024 for select payment methods.
Strike was consistently worse than Zelle
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Revolut was sometimes way worse than Zelle but sometimes a little better.
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The two most private payment methods are cash and money order. They're pretty competitive regarding surveillance discount.
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Take aways
* Be a maker and get a better price (fees are better too)
* Zelle is better for speed + convenience
* Amazon gift cards are good for speed + privacy (sorta)
* Cash or money order are better for privacy + volume
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@ deba271e:36005655
2025-02-16 06:49:32
Buying groceries with bitcoin rocks! I have been using bitcoin to buy food and stuff in Uvita over the last two months and what a wonderful experience that has been. There are so many places that accept. I went to the local farmers market literally every time it was open (twice a week) to buy veggies, meat, spices, juice, coffee and even clothes. You pay with bitcoin at every stand, payment fully settled sometimes [under 1 second](nostr:note1fxew6skuhayt8v2tpdh907l5tqy0aqkyx8k4x9qpuvd00kj62xjs99d8sy). I used bitcoin definitely more than I used fiat.
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*What is in the basket is what I bought with bitcoin*
As is my nature (and nostr [job description](nostr:npub1m6azw8j5wanm6mvwa367anjkzhdnz7srkpl5tyf5kql8ydsq2e2sa7h78d)), I was complaining about the UX to the folks involved across multiple companies/groups here in Uvita, with some issues already fixed and some new features/ideas being worked on. Overall the people working on these projects are amazing. This was so much fun and I hope the folks don't hate me for giving them [feedback](nostr:naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzph46yu09gam8h4kcamr4am89v9wmx9aq8vrlgkgnfvp7wgmqq4j4qqxnzdenxvurgwpjxgmnqwf5wu65zl), [feedback](nostr:note12lxe9qjefyl4uqksx97q0lnq33tghe3fhxldzut0g2rfvpmln4psqj90qe), [feedback](nostr:note1ue96mtfdnpth0msqxxx6ead4w7farnt3h4aysk53rk8cw6gjurjqz6mlwx) - I always tried to make it as actionable as possible (also I'm hard to argue with when I'm right :P).
My focus has always been on getting more merchants onboarded, getting more people to accept bitcoin, but after a couple weeks in Uvita I realized that at this point the problem here is the opposite. **People are not paying with bitcoin**.
I talked to many of the sellers, asked them how many people pay, how often. And in reality it's fairly rare for them. In the restaurants they only have a couple times per day when someone pays with bitcoin. At the market only around 10% of people pay with bitcoin, while 95% of the sellers accept. That made me feel a bit sad and surprised. This is a buyer education problem, not a seller problem.
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*Only a small portion of the folks in the picture will pay with bitcoin…*
The word of mouth approach is (imo) a solid strategy to onboard merchants, but it doesn't work for ephemeral tourists. As an example consider a "family with young kids coming for 3 days". This family doesn't have many chances to receive word of mouth. They come from elsewhere, they don't make many connections or interactions with locals.
Sidenote: Physical bitcoin office works like a charm! I would have not guessed that, but I witnessed it being the spot where people meet, where merchants come to ask questions, where new folks ask how to get onboarded. The Bitcoin Jungle team did an amazing job here.
If you are starting a circular economy in some town and already have some office space - consider making it into a "Bitcoin Office" (even if your business isn't exactly bitcoin). It will bring you visitors, great friends, bitcoiners will come hang out, etc.
#### Tourist education
We can assume that in "touristy" areas the restaurants, markets and shops will be mainly visited by tourists, so the solution here is tourist education. Now think about the journey that tourists go through - they come to the area in a car, maybe stop for lunch/dinner and then they check in at their hotel/casa. The next day they go to the local grocery store/market to get supplies and then do touristy stuff - go surfing, beach, hike, drive somewhere, chill, pool, drinks, etc.
The main touch points for where paying with bitcoin could be introduced are:
- when entering the town,
- at the restaurant,
- at the place they check in (hotel, casa),
- in the grocery store/market,
- in whatever they use to find attractions,
- the tour guides, drivers and other folks working in the tourism sector.
Here are couple ideas to make the situation better:
- **Printed brochure at merchants and hotels/casas:** a little printed brochure with the same content available at every merchant - so when someone asks about bitcoin, they can just hand this brochure to them. Doesn't need any technical background or price talk - literally "You can pay with bitcoin here. You need a bitcoin wallet, here's QR to get it. Then you need to get bitcoin, here are the options. Then just pay by scanning the QRs that sellers show you" when you tell them "pagar con bitcoin por favor".
- **Billboard when entering Uvita:** There could be a nice billboard when entering Uvita saying something like "Pay with Bitcoin in Uvita! Welcome to Bitcoin Jungle" and maybe add a link to bitcoinjungle.app and WhatsApp number.
- **A billboard at the market:** a nice printed billboard on the side of the market that shows QR for how to download BitcoinJungle wallet (and some US available wallet), how to get initial sats on it (e.g. ask a specific person at the market, install Strike…).
- **Discounts:** One thing that always attracts an eye is seeing some discount. This could be e.g. included in the brochure - "5% discount when you pay with bitcoin", or "pay with bitcoin, get XYZ for free". Someone may suggest wording "paying with fiat = extra 5% fee", but just from a psychological standpoint that is imo less effective.
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*And of course having bitcoin signs "SE ACEPTA AQUI" helps…*
Good luck!
nout
Originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/887222/r/nout
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@ e7bc35f8:3ed2a7cf
2025-02-16 05:34:56
The 2012 attack on the U.S. diplomatic mission in Benghazi has been widely debated, but the real story remains obscured by political theatrics and media smokescreens. The mainstream narrative focuses on bureaucratic failures, misinformation about an anti-Islamic film, and partisan blame games. However, when you dig deeper, a far more sinister picture emerges—one involving illegal arms deals, covert CIA operations, and geopolitical power plays that stretch far beyond Libya.
### Benghazi: A Strategic Flashpoint
Benghazi, Libya’s second-largest city, was a crucial battleground in the 2011 NATO-backed uprising that led to the overthrow and murder of Muammar Gaddafi. As a key port city, it was not only economically vital but also politically significant. After the fall of Gaddafi, Libya descended into chaos, becoming a breeding ground for militant groups and a hub for illicit weapons smuggling.
On the night of [**September 11, 2012**]( https://edition.cnn.com/2013/08/06/politics/benghazi-attack-timeline/), around **150 armed militants**—reportedly from **Ansar al-Sharia**, an Al-Qaeda-linked faction—attacked the U.S. diplomatic mission in Benghazi. Four Americans died in the assault, including **Ambassador Christopher Stevens** and two former Navy SEALs who were working as CIA contractors.
In the immediate aftermath, the U.S. government, led by **Ambassador Susan Rice**, [falsely claimed]( https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-20519384) the attack was a spontaneous reaction to an obscure anti-Islamic video. This story [collapsed]( https://www.cbsnews.com/news/emails-illustrate-how-white-house-shaped-benghazi-talking-points/) within days, leading to [Republican-led investigations]( https://web.archive.org/web/20140505004626/http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2014/05/02/house-committee-subpoenas-kerry-over-benghazi-documents/) and heated political battles. Yet, amid the partisan finger-pointing, the most critical questions were never fully answered:
**What was the real purpose of the U.S. presence in Benghazi?**
**Why was the CIA so heavily involved in this particular location?**
**Was the attack a cover-up for a botched operation?**
### The CIA’s Secret War in Benghazi
One of the most underreported aspects of Benghazi is the sheer volume of [CIA operatives]( https://www.businessinsider.com/the-secret-cia-mission-in-benghazi-2013-8) on the ground during the attack. In August 2013, even [CNN]( https://cnnpressroom.blogs.cnn.com/2013/08/02/cnn-exclusive-dozens-of-cia-operatives-on-the-ground-during-benghazi-attack/) admitted that “dozens” of CIA personnel were present in Benghazi that night.
The agency went to extraordinary lengths to keep its operations in Libya under wraps. Whistleblowers later revealed that CIA officers were subjected to [frequent polygraph tests]( https://www.yahoo.com/news/report-cia-polygraphs-operatives-stop-benghazi-leaks-100204865.html) to ensure they weren’t leaking information about what really happened in Benghazi. This level of secrecy suggests something far more than just diplomatic work was taking place.
What were they hiding? Evidence points to an **illegal arms-smuggling operation**, reminiscent of the **Iran-Contra scandal**, where weapons were funneled to terrorist factions in Syria under the guise of aiding "moderate rebels."
### Arming Terrorists: The Benghazi-Syria Connection
Reports suggest that **Ambassador Stevens himself was deeply involved in a covert weapons pipeline**, shipping arms from Libya’s looted stockpiles to Syrian insurgents. These insurgents—many linked to Al-Qaeda—somehow ended up with advanced weaponry, including **U.S.-made Stinger missiles.**
Where did these weapons come from? **The very security operation in Benghazi** that was supposedly meant to prevent arms from falling into the wrong hands.
Lieutenant Colonel **Anthony Shaffer**, a military intelligence whistleblower, [suggested]( https://web.archive.org/web/20201109014908/https://edition.cnn.com/2010/US/09/25/books.destroyed/) that Stevens was likely killed because he had knowledge of these weapons transfers. Similarly, CIA contractor [Robert "Tosh" Plumlee]( https://canadafreepress.com/article/cia-whistleblower-faces-the-ire-of-an-angry-justice-department-over-benghaz), a veteran of Iran-Contra, supported the claim that the U.S. was [funneling weapons]( https://web.archive.org/web/20201101023009/https://wjla.com/news/nation-world/benghazi-hearing-revives-allegations-of-weapons-shipments-to-syria) to Syria through Turkey, Jordan, and even Pakistan.
### The Security Farce: Aiding the Enemy
Another bizarre piece of the puzzle is the **so-called security force** hired to protect the U.S. mission in Benghazi: the **February 17th Martyrs Brigade**. Incredibly, this group **publicly displayed Al-Qaeda flags on their own [Facebook page]( https://web.archive.org/web/20130512160017/http://www.newsmax.com/Newsfront/benghazi-consulate-protected-alqaida/2013/05/02/id/502565)**, yet they were still entrusted with U.S. diplomatic security.
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Why would the U.S. government **pay known jihadists** to guard its personnel? Was this sheer incompetence, or something more deliberate?
### A Planned Hit That Spiraled Out of Control
It appears the Benghazi attack was more than just a terrorist ambush. There are indications that it was an **orchestrated hit**—perhaps an attempt to eliminate Stevens before he could [blow the whistle]( https://www.businessinsider.com/us-syria-heavy-weapons-jihadists-2012-10) on the weapons trafficking operation.
The two **former Navy SEALs** who died that night **ignored stand-down orders** and engaged the attackers, holding them off long enough for military drones to capture real-time footage. This forced the U.S. military to take notice, disrupting whatever covert plan was in motion.
An **Air Force whistleblower later [claimed]( https://gazette.com/military/air-force-whistleblower-we-could-have-saved-benghazi-victims/article_25e30eec-7e14-5ae8-b23f-647f7ec05e4c.html)** that a rescue mission was possible but was deliberately withheld. This suggests that allowing Stevens and his team to die was part of a calculated decision to prevent certain truths from coming to light.
### The Petraeus Affair: A Convenient Distraction?
As if this story couldn’t get any murkier, another subplot surfaced: **CIA Director David Petraeus’ extramarital affair** with his biographer, **Paula Broadwell.**
Shortly before the scandal erupted, Broadwell gave a speech in which she **accidentally revealed** that the CIA had been [holding Libyan militants prisoner]( https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2012/11/paula-broadwell-leaks-info-on-benghazi-prison-says-petraeus-knew-of-benghazi-plea-for-help-video/?PageSpeed=noscript) at the Benghazi annex. This revelation was explosive because it **contradicted Obama’s official stance against CIA black sites**.
Was the Petraeus scandal used as a distraction? Was he forced out because he knew too much?
### The Aftermath: Tying Up Loose Ends
Years later, in a final act of "cleaning house," a **key suspect in the Benghazi attack [was killed]( https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/key-suspect-benghazi-attack-killed-us-airstrike-iraq/story?id=31953157) in a U.S. airstrike in Iraq**. The timing, as always, was suspicious. This has become a pattern—critical witnesses and suspects disappearing before they can testify.
### A Scandal Bigger Than Partisan Politics
Benghazi was **not** about bureaucratic missteps or political negligence. It was about **[illegal arms deals]( https://youtu.be/xmjT-VeHjiY), black ops, and the perpetual cycle of U.S.-backed destabilization in the Middle East.** The official narrative is a smokescreen designed to distract from the uncomfortable truth: **The U.S. government has been covertly arming and funding the same groups it claims to be fighting.**
This is not a Republican or Democrat issue. **Both sides of the political spectrum have been complicit** in covering up what really happened in Benghazi. The military-industrial complex thrives on endless war, and the intelligence agencies operate with impunity.
If history has taught us anything, it’s that these covert operations never truly end—they simply move to the next theater of war. And as long as the public remains distracted by partisan squabbles, the real architects of these schemes continue to operate in the shadows, profiting from chaos.
The question is: Will we ever hold them accountable?
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@ 8d34bd24:414be32b
2025-02-16 04:19:34
Last night in my Bible reading I read this verse:
> “As for you, **do not pray for this people, and do not lift up cry or prayer for them, and do not intercede with Me**; for I do not hear you. (Jeremiah 7:16) {emphasis mine}
My first thought was “Why in the world is God telling us not to pray for this people? Doesn’t the Bible tell us to pray about everything?”
> First of all, then, **I urge that entreaties and prayers, petitions and thanksgivings, be made on behalf of all men**, for kings and all who are in authority, so that we may lead a tranquil and quiet life in all godliness and dignity. **This is good and acceptable in the sight of God our Savior**, who desires all men to be saved and to come to the knowledge of the truth. (1 Timothy 2:1-4) {emphasis mine}
Doesn’t God tell us to pray for whatever is bothering us?
> Be anxious for nothing, but in everything by prayer and supplication with thanksgiving let your requests be made known to God. And the peace of God, which surpasses all comprehension, will guard your hearts and your minds in Christ Jesus. (Philippians 4:6-7)
Doesn’t the Bible say that God will answer all of our requests?
> Whatever you ask in My name, that will I do, so that the Father may be glorified in the Son. (John 14:13)
Doesn’t the Bible tell us to pray for Israel and Jerusalem and His chosen people?
> **Pray for the peace of Jerusalem**:\
> “May they prosper who love you.\
> May peace be within your walls,\
> And prosperity within your palaces.”\
> For the sake of my brothers and my friends,\
> I will now say, “May peace be within you.”\
> For the sake of the house of the Lord our God,\
> I will seek your good. (Psalm 122:6-9) {emphasis mine}
Doesn’t the Bible even tell us to pray for our enemies?
> “But I say to you who hear, love your enemies, do good to those who hate you, bless those who curse you, **pray for those who mistreat you**. (Luke 6:27-28)
If all of this is true, then why does this verse tell us to not pray for this people, especially considering this is referring to God’s chosen people?
To answer this question, let us look at a broader portion of this passage:
> “As for you, **do not pray for this people, and do not lift up cry or prayer for them, and do not intercede with Me; for I do not hear you**. Do you not see what they are doing in the cities of Judah and in the streets of Jerusalem? The children gather wood, and the fathers kindle the fire, and the women knead dough to make cakes for the queen of heaven; and *they* pour out drink offerings to other gods in order to spite Me. Do they spite Me?” declares the Lord. “Is it not themselves *they spite,* to their own shame?” (Jeremiah 7:16-19) {emphasis mine}
God is saying to not pray for these people who have turned from Him and are worshipping other gods. These people are in full rejection of God. Still does it mean that we can’t pray for them at all or is this talking about a particular kind of prayer?
A little later in Jeremiah, we read:
> “Therefore do not pray for this people, nor lift up a cry or prayer for them; for I will not listen when they call to Me because of their disaster. (Jeremiah 11:14)
and
> So the Lord said to me, “**Do not pray for the welfare of this people**. When they fast, I am not going to listen to their cry; and when they offer burnt offering and grain offering, I am not going to accept them. Rather I am going to make an end of them by the sword, famine and pestilence.” (Jeremiah 14:11-12) {emphasis mine}
We get a little more specificity on the command to “*not pray for*” in Jeremiah 14. We are told, “*Do not pray for the welfare of this people*.” This is not a universal command to never pray for them, but a command to not pray for their welfare. It is a command to not pray blessings on those in active rebellion against God.
At the time this command was made, the Israelites were expecting God’s protection and blessings while refusing to follow Him and instead worshipping other gods. This command isn’t a blanket statement to not pray for a sinning Israel, but a statement to not pray for blessings and protection for a sinning Israel. If this was a blanket statement it would contradict Psalm 122 above.
> This is the confidence which we have before Him, that, **if we ask anything according to His will**, He hears us. And if we know that He hears us in whatever we ask, we know that we have the requests which we have asked from Him. (1 John 5:14-15) {emphasis mine}
Using 1 John 5:14, we can begin to see the catch. We are to pray “*according to His will*.” It is not God’s will for sinners and those in open rebellion against God to be blessed or protected from hardship. A prayer such as, “Please turn your people back to you and give them a pure heart and repentance from sin,” would be according to His will. A prayer to “Please bless and protect Israel” while Israel has turned their back on God is not a prayer that God will answer. He will “*not hear you*.”
The Bible also says:
> You ask and do not receive, because you ask with wrong motives, so that you may spend it on your pleasures. (James 4:3)
How often are our prayers not answered because we pray with wrong motives? At least sometimes. Of course there are also times when God tells us to wait or has something better in mind and we can’t see it because we are not seeking His will, but our own.
It is always good to pray for someone’s repentance and salvation. It isn’t always good to pray for someone’s healing, blessings, and prosperity. It is always good to pray for a nation to turn back to God and to obey His commands. It isn’t always good to pray for a nation’s prosperity and power in the world. Sometimes God’s will is to punish those who turn away from Him or against Him. We need to make sure we are aligned to God’s will and not just seeking our own.
I recommend that our prayers be like Jesus’s prayer right before going to the cross, “*saying, “Father, if You are willing, remove this cup from Me; yet not My will, but Yours be done*.” (Luke 22:42). Our requests should be like that of Shadrach, Meshach, and Abed Ngo right before being thrown in the fiery furnace, “*But even if He does not, let it be known to you, O king, that we are not going to serve your gods or worship the golden image that you have set up*.” (Daniel 3:18). This isn’t just words thrown on the end of our prayers “*yet not My will, but Yours be done*,” but a cry of our hearts in full and complete trust in our Father God.
One thing that helps me is I try to pray the problem not the solution. God knows much better solutions than we do because He knows everything that has happened, everything that is happening, and everything that will happen. He knows what will lead to the best long term solution. When we pray the solution we desire, we miss out on the blessings of God’s knowledge, wisdom, and love.
May God lead you and guide you in a closer relationship to Him so that your will is completely aligned with His will and you are in close fellowship to Our Father in Heaven.
Trust Jesus
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@ c230edd3:8ad4a712
2025-02-15 17:13:30
## Chef's notes
I prefer to use skinless, boneless chicken thighs. Any part, bone in or out, will work fine. I do recommend removing skin, so that the sauce can saturate the meat.
I like to simmer fresh green beans in the sauce as the chicken cooks through. Any fresh vegetable would work fine. Simply add them early in the cooking time and stir occasionally.
## Details
- ⏲️ Prep time: 10-15 min
- 🍳 Cook time: 30 min - 1 hour
- 🍽️ Servings: 1 - 8, or more
## Ingredients
- Skinless, boneless chicken thighs, or other cut
- Garlic Powder
- Garlic Cloves, 1 per piece of chicken, minced & salted
- Butter, 1 Tbsp per piece
- Chicken Broth or White Wine, approx 1/4 c. per piece
- oil for searing
## Directions
1. Heat oil over med-high heat in appropriate sized pan
2. Season chicken with garlic powder on both sides
3. Brown chicken, smooth side first. Flip and repeat
4. While chicken is browning, mince and salt garlic
5. Add butter to the pan, scrape loose any caramelized bits from the pan, as the butter melts
6. Add minced garlic, and saute until soft and fragrant
7. Add chicken broth or wine and stir, add vegetables if desired
8. Increase heat to bring to a boil, then reduce heat to simmer
9. During simmer, scoop sauce over chicken occasionally, more frequently as sauce reduces
10. If cooking vegetables, flip or stir when coating the chicken to ensure they spend time fully submerged
11. Cook until chicken is done, vegetables are soft, and sauce is reduced to a thick paste
12. Serve :)
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@ bd32f268:22b33966
2025-02-20 23:17:29
Quando estava prestes a entrar para a universidade sentia que a minha vida estava a desenrolar-se plenamente de acordo com os conselhos que havia recebido. Estava focado nos estudos e com a esperança de que esse foco me garantisse um bom trabalho. Com efeito, os estudos abriram algumas portas, no entanto, não posso deixar de assinalar que há outras decisões mais importantes a tomar e que não tiveram o mesmo protagonismo na minha vida.
Nessa mesma altura estava a iniciar um relacionamento amoroso, sem ter clara a finalidade desse namoro e o caminho que o mesmo deveria ter seguido. Talvez até me tivessem aconselhado sobre isso, contudo o foco estava mais no trabalho e em usufruir das oportunidades que se apresentaram nessa juventude confortável, na qual contei sempre com o apoio financeiro dos meus pais. Estava, como a maioria à minha volta, a viver uma vida libertina. Quer isto dizer uma vida sem grandes preocupações, a não ser estudar e fazer o suficiente para não reprovar a nenhuma disciplina. O resto é movido muito mais para emoção do que pela razão. Aquilo que considerava prazeroso era bom e o que não o era, era mau. Não tinha propriamente uma ideia clara do que queria criar a longo prazo e portanto estava muito mais focado no presente e em usufruir daquilo que podia no momento.
Fazendo uma análise retrospetiva de tudo, não culpo ninguém porque a informação existe para quem a procura, contudo noto aqui apenas o ambiente social e cultural que favorece determinadas decisões em detrimento de outras. O foco tem estado muito mais nos estudos, no trabalho e na fruição dos prazeres que se apresentam aos jovens sem que se pense demasiado no futuro.
Neste contexto, e vendo esta fase da vida com outro grau de distanciamento, deixo aqui dez conselhos que julgo essenciais.
*Rei Salomão - Gustav Dore*
***1.Focar na decisão mais importante: constituir ou não família.***
A decisão de constituir ou não família é muito mais relevante para a nossa vida do que propriamente a de escolher uma profissão. Não estou necessariamente a fazer apologia de que todas as pessoas devem constituir família, convenhamos que muitos de nós não têm vocação para o mesmo (apesar de muitos ainda assim o fazerem), mas quer seja afirmativa ou negativa a resposta parece-me fundamental que nos concentremos nessa decisão. Muito mais do que qualquer profissão a família é onde naturalmente procuramos apoio, conforto e incentivo perante todas as vicissitudes da vida.
O facto de existirem famílias que não são fontes de amor para as pessoas em nada invalida que esta seja a organização social por excelência que aporta significado ás nossas vidas. Infelizmente, para muitas pessoas uma experiência pessoal mais difícil a este nível influi na forma como pensam sobre a possibilidade de criarem a sua própria família.
Algumas questões a ter em conta nesta ponderação:
Qual é o meu ideal de família ?
Qual o meu papel enquanto homem/mulher no seio da família?
Que tipo de parceiro devo procurar?
Desejo ter filhos ?
Podemos usar estas questões como pontos de partida para iniciar uma exploração da nossa vocação.
***2.Tomar decisões cedo em vez de protelar indefinidamente***
Atualmente notamos que as pessoas constituem família cada vez mais tarde e que têm filhos cada vez mais tarde. É curioso notar que nos relacionamentos por vezes há alguma pressa para passar do conhecer a pessoa à intimidade sexual e não há pressa alguma para decidir se de facto é com aquela pessoa que queremos passar o resto dos nossos dias.
Este é apenas um aspecto no qual se nota uma progressiva detioração da capacidade para decidir. É-nos muitas vezes transmitida a ideia de que temos tempo e de que não há uma idade certa para tomar determinadas decisões. Estes discursos são cínicos pois é evidente que há fases que são mais propícias para dar determinados passos na nossa vida, daí que seja muito importante aprender a tomar decisões cedo.
Para tomar decisões sóbrias é fundamental saber-se exatamente aquilo que queremos. Se tudo isso está indefinido e não conseguimos postular uma ideia de futuro para nós será muito mais difícil tomar qualquer tipo de decisão importante. Um outro aspecto a ter em conta é o de que as principais decisões são guiadas pela razão, isto é os nossos sentimentos têm de estar ao serviço dos nossos valores e nunca o contrário.
*3.Se não te imaginas a casar com a pessoa com quem estás, termina o relacionamento.*
Deixar a porta aberta num relacionamento de forma indefinida é algo que vai produzir instabilidade no longo prazo. É óbvio que para muitas pessoas o casamento é “apenas um papel” e portanto não vêm a real utilidade em se casar. Contudo, e de forma não surpreendente, notamos que os casais que têm na sua vida uma visão sobrenatural do casamento tendem a perdurar. Digamos que a cola que é usada para unir as pessoas é de um outro calibre, enquanto que a cola usada por aqueles que não têm Deus nas suas vidas está muito mais sujeita à volatilidade do tempo, dos apetites individuais e do relativismo.
*4.Assume a responsabilidade pelos teus erros sem te deixar levar pelo vitimismo.*
A cultura atual, influenciada de forma determinante pela filosofia marxista, está permanentemente a postular divisões de poder na sociedade que pressupõe duas categorias principais a de oprimido e opressor. Esta ideologia apoiada no revisionismo histórico e numa pedagogia social falaciosa incute desde cedo na população a ideia de que em algum momento, tendo ou não pertencido a uma minoria, somos vítimas. Vemos vários exemplos e derivações desta doutrina quando tocamos em temas como o feminismo, o racismo e outros ismos que se focam apenas nesta divisão dicotómica oprimido e opressor.
Esta narrativa esquece que a hierarquia é uma organização natural que define aptidões diferenciadas e consequentemente vocações diferentes. Um outro aspecto que também é esquecido é o livre arbítrio, isto é, a ideia de que as pessoas têm poder de decisão e que muitas vezes podem ser coniventes e partes atuantes no sistema em que participam.
Quer isto dizer que individualmente cada um de nós, havendo discernimento, tem escolha e portanto é muito mais produtivo focar a nossa atenção nesse aspecto do que em qualquer tipo de desigualdade que possa existir. A igualdade de circunstâncias para todas as pessoas é uma utopia, a única igualdade que existe é da essência humana.
O caminho para escapar ao vitimismo será sempre o da responsabilidade individual e da gratidão apesar das circunstâncias adversas que possamos estar a viver.
*5.Foca-te primeiro no que te é mais próximo antes do mundo*
Por vezes, inspirados por uma soberba intelectual que agora é típica da juventude vemo-nos a fazer o papel de ativistas em determinadas causas, algumas nobres outras nem tanto. Acontece que este ativismo é frequentemente uma ato postiço, uma pose que usamos como forma de sinalizar a nossa virtude perante os nossos pares. Onde se percebem os pés de barro é quando notamos que diante das pessoas que nos são mais próximas não temos o mesmo zelo que apresentamos quando estamos a debater as grandes questões do mundo.
Há que ser zeloso com quem nos rodeia e os problemas mais urgentes para resolver, e aqueles em que a nossa intervenção é de facto mais necessária, são os que nos são mais próximos.
*6.Dizer a verdade*
A corrupção moral funciona de forma gradual, vai de menos a mais, começamos com uma coisa pequena até chegarmos a algo maior. Quando somos mais novos vamos experimentando a corrupção através do exercício da mentira em pequenas coisas e gradualmente vamos avançando para as coisas maiores. Alguns de nós resistem à mentira, facilmente se entende que não desejamos que os outros nos mintam no entanto, se o repetimos muitas vezes facilmente a banalizamos.
A mentira é uma tentativa de esquivar a responsabilidade pelas nossas ações ou opiniões, uma tentativa de fuga ás consequências. Contudo, importa perceber que inevitavelmente vamos sempre confrontar-nos com as consequências sejam quais forem as circunstâncias. Se não as experimentamos pela espada dos outros será pela nossa própria espada quando finalmente percebermos que não há harmonia entre o pensamento e a ação, que dizemos uma coisa mas fazemos outra, que a nossa identidade é também ela uma ficção. O exercício da verdade será a única via para nos aproximarmos de uma existência mais harmoniosa e autêntica, a única forma de estabelecer uma relação genuína com os outros.
*7.Decisões inspiradas pela coragem e menos pelo medo*
As nossas decisões têm frequentemente como força motriz o medo. O medo da rejeição impede-nos de ir falar com aquela pessoa de quem gostamos, o medo do juízo social impede-nos de proferir a nossa opinião em determinado assunto, o medo da morte leva-nos a ter comportamentos obsessivos com a nossa saúde; enfim, são muitas as situações em que as nossas decisões são pautadas pelo medo.
É importante que cada vez mais, o medo não seja o factor definidor da nossa decisão. A coragem, temperada pela prudência, devem ser os grandes arquitetos da nossa decisão. Aquilo que é bom no sentido mais profundo é o que devemos seguir, independentemente de sentirmos medo.
*8.Ninguém é obrigado a gostar de nós, ninguém nos deve nada*
O ressentimento e mágoa leva-nos por vezes a tratar os outros como se eles nos devessem algo, como se fosse impensável não nos reconhecerem como aprazíveis aos seus olhos ou justos. Isto é uma forma subtil do orgulho se expressar, porque mais uma vez nos colocamos na posição de vítima e assim, julgamos que os outros nos deveriam reconhecer como virtuosos de alguma forma.
Pois bem, apesar dos outros, tal como nós, terem deveres e poderem fazer menção honrosa da nossa existência não devemos esperar isso. Esperando isso, acabamos escravizados por essas expectativas porque continuamos à espera que gostem de nós. Desta forma distorcemos também o próprio conceito de amor, que é doar-se sem esperar em troca. Não é que os outros não o possam fazer, podem, o problema está na espera e na exigência.
*9.Definir uma matriz moral objetiva*
Imbuídos de um espírito relativista estamos muitas vezes sujeitos a uma subjetividade enorme no que diz respeito aos nossos valores. O resultado disto é que inevitavelmente vamos ter uma definição menos clara do bem e do mal. Frequentemente vamos confundir o que é bom ou mau com os nossos desejos, alimentado pelos nossos vícios. Para termos uma visão mais clara da realidade é fundamental sairmos dessa visão subjetiva do valor e sermos capazes de procurar a verdadeira fonte das definições morais.
Aqui, há determinadas mensagens sociais que nos confundem os sentidos, nomeadamente aquelas que atestam que tudo são apenas “pontos de vista”, que não há uma “verdade” mas sim várias verdades, e que “neste tempo/cultura/país” a moralidade é outra. São tudo asserções que dificultam esta pesquisa pela verdade e definição moral universal. Neste campo, o ser humano só será capaz de ter mais estabilidade em termos psicológicos aderindo a um sistema de valores imutável, esta é a única forma de basear a sua identidade em princípios mais objetivos.
*10.Encontrar um propósito maior para a vida*
Santo Agostinho diz-nos o seguinte:
- Se não queres sofrer não ames, mas se não amas para que queres viver?
Santo Agostinho
Por vezes na nossa vida procuramos esquivar-nos do sofrimento e inclusive somos vitimas de um certo ceticismo e embotamento afetivo. Vamos experimentando a traição e a frustração das nossas expectativas e isso vai endurecendo o nosso coração. Em resultado disso, muitas vezes tornamo-nos também mais egoístas, focados na mera satisfação das nossas necessidades e menos nas dos outros. No entanto, isto faz de nós infelizes porque não conseguimos deixar de amar. A solução é encontrar algo maior que nós mesmos para amar, entendendo sempre que a essência do amor é o sacrifício. Encontrar isso é simultaneamente definir um propósito para a vida e daí derivar um significado que nos sustenta até nos momentos mais difíceis.
Eventualmente poderei fazer alguma publicação específica expandindo um pouco mais alguns destes conselhos, uma vez que observo que muito mais poderia ter sido dito em cada um deles. Talvez venha a criar mais algumas publicações sobre este tema.
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@ 0c503f08:4aed05c7
2025-02-20 22:08:12
1. 2024–2029: Shaking the Foundations of the Familiar
The late 2020s are poised to be an era of disruption. Picture generative AI moving beyond quirky chatbots and into life-altering domains like healthcare. Machines will detect diseases before symptoms arise, yet courtrooms will brim with lawsuits over their failures. Schools will fracture into stark contrasts—students with access to AI tutors thrive, while others cling to outdated textbooks in underfunded systems.
Meanwhile, the renewable energy boom will surpass 40% of global electricity, yet fossil fuel industries will fight tooth and nail to remain relevant. The planet’s turbulence will become undeniable: superstorms batter coastlines, and relentless droughts displace millions, stretching humanitarian efforts thin.
Global tensions won’t just simmer—they’ll boil. The U.S. and China will spar over technological dominance, particularly the semiconductor-rich bastion of Taiwan. Africa, with its treasure trove of lithium and cobalt, becomes a battleground for a new wave of exploitation. Amid this upheaval, humanity will glance skyward: NASA’s Artemis III places boots near the Moon’s south pole, igniting a modern-day space race as China counters with a robotic lunar base.
2. 2030–2034: Progress at a Price
The early 2030s will feel like a contradiction wrapped in progress. Electric vehicles dominate the roads, but the cobalt mines fueling this transition will leave humanitarian and ecological scars. Global agreements on AI and autonomous drones will emerge, but enforcement will be weak, leading to selective compliance and rising mistrust.
In healthcare, CRISPR therapies will eliminate diseases like sickle-cell anemia, offering breakthroughs for those who can afford them. Yet, alongside these marvels, biodiversity quietly collapses: pollinators disappear, destabilizing food systems, even as tech startups commercialize extinct species as novelties.
Societal inequalities will take center stage. Aging nations like Japan will lean on empathetic robotic caregivers, while Africa’s youth flood urban slums and migration routes, reshaping the global labor landscape. Quantum computing will spark both innovation and chaos, cracking encryption protocols and triggering a global scramble for security in the digital age.
The decade’s sobering reality? Solutions often create new dilemmas, leaving humanity juggling its own ingenuity.
3. 2040–2044: Living on the Edge of Irreversible Change
By the 2040s, tipping points will dominate global narratives. Arctic summers without ice will exacerbate warming, while oceans lose their coral, and with them, a quarter of marine biodiversity. Cities respond unevenly: while Dubai thrives with water-harvesting skyscrapers, Miami succumbs to the sea, becoming a decayed relic of resilience undone.
Technological advancements blur the line between human and machine. Neural implants will enable the paralyzed to walk but also tether corporate workers to AI copilots monitoring their productivity—and even thoughts. Petrostates crumble under the weight of falling oil demand as solar energy becomes the new global standard.
Simultaneously, life-extending drugs create a schism. The wealthy buy decades of youth while intergenerational protests erupt over perceived inequalities. The question dominating the 2040s isn’t whether humans will remake Earth’s systems—it’s who will get to decide how those changes unfold.
4. 2070–2074: A World Divided by Vision
The 2070s will be a study in contrasts: miraculous advancements side-by-side with dystopian realities. Coastal cities will either drown or adapt; some will fund floating havens while others abandon their shores entirely. Fusion energy might deliver limitless power, but control over its distribution will spark fears of new monopolies.
Mars will no longer be a dream—it’ll be a fragile reality, home to scientists mining ice and debating their sovereignty from Earth. CRISPR’s third generation will bring designer children, creating genetic castes of “Enhanced” and “Natural” humans. Society will grapple with ethical questions that pit faith, science, and social cohesion against one another.
Meanwhile, humanity will turn to lab-engineered ecosystems to fix what was broken: bacteria devouring plastic and forests surviving extreme heat. But for every advance, new risks emerge. Rogue biohackers and ecological mishaps will remind us how thin the line between salvation and catastrophe can be.
5. 2124: The Precipice of Destiny
A hundred years from now, humanity will either bask in the fruits of collective wisdom—or stumble under the weight of collective greed. In one future, fusion energy ends scarcity, lab-grown organs erase disease, and AI enriches every aspect of life. In another, oligarchs preside over a scorched Earth, their wealth insulating them from the dystopia their greed perpetuated.
Probes might finally reach Alpha Centauri, yet their silence will leave humanity debating our place in the cosmos. On Earth, the melding of languages and cultures will reshape identities, while virtual reality becomes a spiritual medium for connecting with ancestors or digital gods.
The climate’s fate will echo the choices of the 21st century. If restraint and innovation prevailed, the planet will stabilize. If hubris ruled, untested geoengineering will leave scars we can never undo.
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/892381
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@ 4d41a7cb:7d3633cc
2025-02-20 20:24:06
I just deleted my Twitter account forever. I've never done this because I wanted to take the time to extract the most value from my feed—all my shared thoughts and most of my favorite ideas from the past 5 years.
As crazy as it sounds, this powerful information helped shape my thoughts and helped me become the person I am today in some way. I think there’s a lot of value there, and I want to keep that value, not to trust any third party or clown like Elon with it, who could just decide to delete it or restrain my access to it, like I found they did many times, like in the following examples:
I don't remember what those posts were referring to, but for some reason I found them valuable; maybe I saved them, maybe I didn't, but **the fact that someone can decide for me makes me mad**.
Nobody should have the power to decide what can be said and what cannot be said, because this is the root of **mental slavery**: restricting your access to information and understanding.
I believe all bitcoiners should extract their value from Twitter and bring it to Nostr (or save it for them at least) because that is real sovereignty. I know as well as you know that we were (and still are) trapped in a Twitter bubble. Our opinions, thoughts, and ideas don't reach the masses, and they’ll never do so inside this kind of controlled ecosystem.
So if we are going to keep screaming inside of a bubble, let’s at least do it in our own bubble (insert Nostr), where at least we know it's going to stay there, without a single point of failure, without permission required, and without demonetization risks, PUTTING OUR TIME AND ENERGY WHERE OUR MOUTH, VALUES AND MONEY ARE.
I also want to express my gratitude to all the truth seekers, Austrian economics students, bitcoiners, anarchists, and even shitcoiners who have shared their thoughts with me on Twitter over the past years.
I’ve learned so much from you about what I should and should not do!
Your insights played a crucial role in **helping me broaden my awareness** and transform into the best version of myself. Of course that was just the seed; even one post could have been the reason I ended up listening to XYC podcasts or reading XYC books that changed my life for the better. *Imagine how powerful that is, and how dangerous if someone could restrict it.*
**In 2020 I truly realized the clown world we're living in.** From there I've spent the last five years researching and studying history. I have read hundreds of books and articles to discover that everything that happens in the world is by design.
Here’s a list of 9 things I learned over the past five years:
1. ***Slavery was never abolished***
**The power structures have been using control over information and control over money as tools to enslave humanity for thousands of years.** Religious institutions, monarchies, governments, and banks had kept this power for themselves and have exploited it to enslave humankind.
Governments are tax farms for corporations. Central bankers, who are their creditors, control the bankrupt governments. These private institutions are responsible for most of the evils of our modern society because they destroyed the incentive structure of capitalism (in fact, they are part of the communist manifesto); they provided the funding for wars, fake studies about nutrition, indoctrination, demoralization, etc.
*Modern slavery is working for a currency that someone else can just create out of thin air without effort or energy.*
The ultimate form of slavery is to need permission from an “authority” to commerce and to do it under its terms and conditions.**Control over the mediums of exchange** gave the power structure **complete control over commerce**. Bitcoin freed us from the control over money. That’s why bitcoin is permissionless.
But **without your voluntary compliance, none of this would be possible; that's why they invest billions of dollars to manipulate your mind, mold your beliefs, and program you to comply and follow their lead.** They know they cannot force 8 billion humans to go ahead with their game; they need to make us believe in it so we voluntarily play.
2. ***Slavery starts in your mind***
It all starts with governing your mind (govern-ment) and convincing you that you should use this XYC currency, pay taxes, and **obey these laws because that’s the “right thing”** (or how things are supposed to be) when **the opposite is true.** This broke corporation (government) has ‘the legal power’ to use violence against you if you refuse to comply. This is not moral; this is slavery.
If you have a basic understanding of morality, you’ll soon discover that the right thing to do is to oppose slavery and wrongdoings…Surprise! The whole system is wrong, based on lies, sustained by crime, and pushing slavery worldwide.
*Prisons are mental, so free your mind.*
Our mind is our biggest tool, and our mindset is our biggest asset, so we should be very careful about what information we feed our minds and be more mindful and intentional about it. As long as you don't want to be an NPC and you want to be a player, of course…
3. ***We are the masters of our own reality***
Every action we take is a vote for the life we want to live. For every action, there's a reaction, and in our lives, this is no different. **Every day, our beliefs shape our reality through the decisions we make.** This is how it works: our beliefs define our thoughts, our thoughts define our emotions, and our emotions define our actions. Finally, our actions define our realities.
That's why it's so important to know **where our beliefs and ideas come from.** In most cases, they used to come from schools, universities, families, communities, and the mainstream media. These days, they primarily originate from algorithms, which will be discussed in more detail shortly. And you know what? Most of them are wrong! That's why the world is in this situation.
- **Positive, nourishing, empowering, and educational algorithms = better state of mind, better emotions, better actions, better results = order**
- **Negative, demoralizing, victimizing, and indoctrinating algorithms create confusion, lack of sense, fear, insecurities, and wrong decisions = chaos.**
4. ***There are two types of individuals: Creators vs parasites***
In 2023 I published my book ‘The Great Parasite; the international banks their plans and methods’ were i tell the story of central banks, their war with the funding fathers of the US, how they ended up taking over and what their plan for global domination.
The great parasite is obviously the banking system, since it creates currency out of thin air and demand us to pay back plus interest, banks end up getting the wealth of their clients (including nation states) for free.
This is crazy, legalized theft and modern slavery.
I also discovered that there are two types of individuals:
> *The creator stands firm in his convictions, the parasite follows the opinions of others.*
\*> *The creator thinks the parasite copies.*
\*> *The creator produces the parasite plunders.*
> ***The creator's interest is the conquest of nature, the parasite's is the conquest of man.***
\*> *The creator requires independence, neither serves nor rules, he treats men with free exchange and voluntary choice.*
\*> *The parasite seeks power, wishes to bind all men to act together and enslave themselves. The parasite claims that man is only a tool to be used, that he must think like his fellows and act like them and live in servitude to collective needs regardless of his own.*
\*> *Look at history, all that we have, **all the great achievements, have come from the independent work of independent minds,** and all the horrors and destruction of attempts to force mankind to become robots, without brains and without souls, without personal rights, without personal ambition, without will, hope or dignity come from parasites.*
\*> *It is an ancient conflict, it has another name, the individual versus the collective.*
I believe there are **two types of individuals: reactive and proactive, parasites and creators.** Unfortunalty most human beings are reactive and acting as parasites.
We are trained to obey and always take the default option. The second group does not conform with the status quo and looks for non-traditional ways of doing things.
They create their own opportunities and change the things they don't like. This group is always smaller, but it is the only one capable of changing the world. **Think of the founding fathers** and how they fought for their freedom! And most recently , cyberpunks! Thanks God for the cyberpunks!
The existence of this type of people is the reason why I have hope, and I see a better future is possible if we work to build it.
5. ***The end of the central bank's era: Bitcoin or slavery.***
*Opt out; escape the slave money*
Almost two decades ago, Bitcoin was just **an idea in the mind of some cyberpunks:** digital cash, digital physical money, a system outside of the system, far from governments and banks control, decentralized, unstoppable, limited, and based on cryptography. Now it’s the **13th biggest currency by market cap, and it’s on its way to eating up a significant percentage of global wealth because it is more than a currency or just another form of money.**
*Bitcoin heralds the end of the central bank era, which we can also define as the end of economic slavery. We should understand bitcoin as a solution to a problem; that problem is central banks.*
Bitcoin is private property you can really own, which gives the power back to the people. Indeed, it is the sole instrument available to safeguard our unalienable right to private property. THIS IS KEY to survive the great wealth confiscation that is coming. What they call ’The great reset’; “You will own nothing and be happy”.
If you stop to think about it, you don't really own anything beyond your body, mind, and soul. **Your thoughts and opinions are also part of your mind.** Your house? If you have to pay to keep it, it is not yours! Your car? Are you referring to the vehicle for which you require authorization to drive or risk its confiscation? What about your stocks and bonds? You don't even have a title to the property. Remember NFTs? Well, this is even worse; you barely even have exposure to the price if bankers let you benefit from it.
These individuals have the power to alter the regulations at any given time. They can stop you from accessing your balances in bank accounts (Canadian truckers); they can stop you from buying a hot stock to make a quick buck (shutting down the buy button on Game Stop Inc).
BUT YOU CAN REALLY OWN BITCOIN AND YOUR PERSONAL INFORMATION IF YOU DECIDE TOO!
There are no excuses for those willing to fight for freedom; **if it’s not Bitcoin/Nostr-related, it's just noise for me**.vBitcoin is a a financial intelligence test, the fact that only a few get it (Bitcoin maxis) shows how financially retarded most people are. And this is, of course, by design.
**Honest money, private property, free markets, and free speech are the three fundamental pillars for a free society.** All of them require honest and moral individuals, of course, and a system fair enough to not incentivize crime and dishonest transactions.
6. ***The end of mind control: Nostr or slavery***
*Opt out of Slave social media platforms*
What a journey, guys! How far we came! I remember back in the day fantasizing about the idea of having this “decentralized Twitter,” and now we have something 1000 times bigger, *a decentralized, unstoppable protocol to share information that uses the hardest money ever invented as its native medium of exchange and unit of account.*
I am not a technical guy so I had obviously no idea of what I was talking about. But I know we have Nostr now and I understand that Nostr and lighting are good friends. So that makes me happy.
Twitter sucks; the algorithm feeds you garbage. It’s full of bots and people trying to scam you. It’s filled with shadow banning; it is not censorship resistant; there’s a lot of noise and retards. The XRP guys being paid to promote the scam, the million of bots and asian women asking how your trading is going, is disgusting.
Twitter is communist, and they are trying to turn it into a communist super app. Don’t let Master Elon determine your future and the reach of your voice. Be sovereign; own your data join Nostr.
If you keep voting for Twitter, you are still voting for your own enslavement. If you believe in your position, focus on Nostr and bring important audience members with you. Have some self-respect.
Nostr is waiting for us (sane and normal people) with common sense and plans for the future. Those who create value and plan to have healthy families as it should be. With **free speech and hard money**, we are forming our own free market, totally independent from the censored clown world, but its growth and development depend on the decisions of each one of us.
DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE YOUR INDIVIDUAL POWER, BECAUSE THAT’S HOW OUR COLLECTIVE POWER GROWS.
If you believe Elon is not a part of the establishment, your pineal gland remains calcified. Fuck Twitter and Elon, fuck the IMF plantation, the Federal Reserve, the UN, the WEF, and every global communist organization out there trying to micromanage the economy and control your life. Fuck censorship and communism.
Long live private property and free speech. Long live Bitcoin and Nostr!
7. **The New world order is real**
The powers that run the world (banksters) are executing a long-planned playbook: a global cashless society with a surveillance system (global communism and tyranny). And history shows they are willing to do what’s necessary to advance in their agenda: a New World Order.
If you google this term, the first thing it will pump is “The New World Order Conspiracy theory”. For those who continue to perceive this as a 'conspiracy theory,' let me inform you that it is not. It is not a theory but a REAL conspiracy.
The agenda is simple: World government, world currency and world taxes. This is only posible with a global digital credit system and mass surveillance. Cash has to be completely eradicated and they are going step by step.
Agenda 2030, The Great Reset, Climate change, Build back better, Stakeholder capitalism and many other key names are used to describe this agenda. This plan is the antithesis of human rights, freedoms, health, family, and happiness.
Since all fiat currencies will eventually end up losing all their value, and since public debts are mathematically imposible to repay (governments are bankrupt) banks are planing a transition to a world government directed by the United Nations and it’s global agendas.
Past agendas like agenda 21 and agenda 2030 have already failed so now they are pushing for the [“**Pact for the Future” where world leaders pledge action for “peace and sustainable development.**](https://news.un.org/en/story/2024/09/1154671)
*“He who controls the **food supply** controls the people; he who controls the **energy** can control whole continents; who controls **money** can control the world”*
*Henry Kissinger (1923-2023)*
If you google this quote ‘fact checkers’ will say is fake, but it is not. Even if it was, the statement is true, and their agenda is that: control, control, control. That what parasites want to do.
Their goal is simple: Keep their control positions of power and prevent slaves from planing a rebellion. So they need.
- Have absolute control over the information flow, to prevent the population from understanding what really going on. Absolute censorship.
- Distractions. Bread and circus. Fake leaders acting as hero’s for the cameras but working for the conspirators behind the scenes. Video game and virtual reality in better and accesible technological devices. Fake or artificial events in the news to keep us distracted and looking the other way while they advance in their agenda.
- Cheap credit, UBIs and nominal negative interest rates for the mass unemployment that the IA deflation + financial crisis will crate. This is necessary to prolong the agony of the fiat system and prolong its collapse.
- Eradicate a big percentage of the populations and weakened it to prevent a rebellion. Poisoning the food, water, air, products, vaccines, drugs, etc.
- Destroy the family unit to debilitate society (Pushing LGTBQ + trans, etc, etc), the porn industry, contraceptives, etc.
- Reduce the levels of testosterone to kill the masculine active energy.
This and many other horrible things are on their plans and many are already being executed before our eyes, even if you see them of not.
The sooner you realize and start taking action the better.
8. **We are in a transition phase marked by chaos**
*New world disorder*
This transition period we are going through is full of chaos. We have people doing the right thing for the wrong reasons, and then we have people doing the wrong thing for the right reasons. There are **only a few who can really see what’s going on** behind the surface.
This is complete chaos. That’s why we need the active participation of most of us in order to **bring light, share the truth**, and acknowledge the darkness outside while **focusing on what we can control** inside in order to build the change we want to see in this world.
Shitcoins and memecoins are a great proof of the chaos phase we are going through. It’s easy to spot that the majority have no idea what’s going on. What’s happening is the same as what has been happening since financial markets exist (rug pulls, scams, pumps, and dumps); the only difference is that now everyone can do it (it has been democratized). Even presidents are participating; recently Trump, now Milei it’s all a big shitshow.
*The nature of ‘capitalism’ nowadays is that everyone scams everyone, and whoever scams the most ultimately wins. Under this basis, central banks are the winners. But bitcoin is changing this.*
This is going to be a short transition because the market is already saturated and the scam is almost evident by this point. Only a few speculators and idiot investors keep falling for it.
9. ***Taking responsibility***
**We are held captive by both our ignorance and our monetary system.** Our monetary system is more than our currency; it is our government, our commercial laws, our titles of property, our products, and so on. Almost everything in our modern world is somehow integrated with the monetary system.
**It's our responsibility to take skin in the game** and find out what the facts are. Nobody is going to do it for us If we build our beliefs and thoughts based on the facts and testimonies of people with **real life experience**, we will be prepared to make better decisions and build a better future for ourselves and our families.
**It is very important to have a community aligned under the same set of values and principles. Creating a group of strong sovereign individuals,** capable of helping to **build a better future for ourselves and our families.** The only way to do this is by **working together and pooling our knowledge, skills and resources.**
**With Bitcoin good information and good people nothing can stop us.**
Bringing light and understanding on this is the first step; choosing alternatives built on a bitcoin standard is the second.
We understand that **money is energy,** and every purchase we make is a vote, either for creators or for parasites. We are either voting for a 1984-type of society or for a 1776-type of revolution.
Unfortunately, the majority is voting for their own slavery. The good news is that we don’t need a majority; **we need a strong minority…**
*A minority focused on creating a critical mass of individuals.*
***A minority focused on generating cheap and sustainable energy.***
***A minority focused on protecting the farmers.***
*A minority using Bitcoin as a store/measure of value and medium of exchange.*
*A minority creating circular economies, eliminating unnecessary intermediaries, and encouraging local production, sovereignty, and sustainability.*
*A minority using technology to liberate society and prevent it from being enslaved by globalists in a dystopian reality.*
*A minority having strong and healthy kids and families.*
*A minority focused on creating beneficial educational resources.*
*Governments can be broke, but that doesn't mean that we are or should be too. WE ARE NOT OUR GOVERNMENTS.* Money changers, using their legal and monetary tricks, have been robbing us of our wealth for centuries just like parasites, but not anymore.
**It’s our time**; **we, the creators, have the power, so let's prove it.**
Live free or die trying!
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@ 378562cd:a6fc6773
2025-02-20 16:35:11
In the ever-evolving landscape of social media, platforms like Twitter and Facebook have dominated the space for years. They’ve shaped the way we interact, share, and consume information. But as censorship concerns, algorithmic manipulation, and corporate control over data become more apparent, a new contender has emerged—NOSTR (Notes and Other Stuff Transmitted by Relays). The differences are striking for those who have stepped into the NOSTR ecosystem. Let’s dive into what sets it apart and why it’s more than just another social media platform—**it’s a movement**.
### **Decentralization vs. Corporate Control**
The fundamental structure is one of the most noticeable differences between NOSTR and traditional platforms like Twitter or Facebook. Both are owned by massive corporations that dictate what can and cannot be said. They collect data, sell advertisements, and use algorithms to curate what users see.
NOSTR, on the other hand, is fully decentralized. No single entity controls the platform, no shadowy moderation teams tweak visibility based on corporate interests, and no risk of being permanently banned by a faceless algorithm. Instead, NOSTR operates on an open protocol, allowing anyone to participate without gatekeepers. Your content is truly yours, and no one can take that away from you.
### **A Different Class of People**
Scrolling through Twitter or Facebook often feels like wading through a digital battlefield. Political flame wars, mind-numbing clickbait, and attention-seeking outrage dominate the feeds. While both platforms do have intelligent and well-meaning users, they are drowned out by noise, bots, and engagement-hacking algorithms designed to fuel division.
NOSTR, by contrast, attracts a different breed of users—people who value free speech, independent thought, and meaningful conversation. Many of them are builders, thinkers, and pioneers eager to create a better way of interacting online. There’s a noticeable shift in tone; rather than content driven by controversy and outrage, you’ll find people discussing innovation, philosophy, and real-world solutions. Conversations feel more organic, unfiltered, and free from the artificial constraints imposed by big tech algorithms.
### **Similarities Exist But With a Better Foundation**
At a glance, using a NOSTR client may seem similar to traditional social media platforms. Users post messages (called ‘notes’), interact with others, and build followings. You can reply, share, and engage much like you would on Twitter. But under the hood, everything operates on a more open, transparent system.
Instead of relying on centralized servers controlled by corporations, NOSTR functions through relays—public or private servers that transmit messages. Since there’s no corporate overlord dictating what gets priority in your feed, you see content chronologically and unfiltered. Additionally, identity and reputation are built through cryptographic keys rather than being at the mercy of a username that a platform can seize or shadowban at will.
### **No Ads, No Tracking, No Manipulation**
Let’s be honest—traditional social media has become a giant advertisement machine. Everything is optimized to keep you engaged just long enough to serve more ads and collect more data. Your feed isn’t showing you what’s most relevant; it’s showing you what makes the company the most money.
NOSTR eliminates this problem entirely. There are no forced ads, no trackers collecting your data, and no algorithm deciding what you should see. Instead, users fund relays or tip content creators directly, creating an ecosystem that values people over profit.
### **For New Users: A Starting Point**
If you’re new to NOSTR, welcome! I’m still a beginner myself, but I’ve already seen the potential this platform has to change how we connect online. Getting started can seem overwhelming at first, but there are a few key tools and resources that can help smooth the transition.
For a great user-friendly NOSTR client, **Damus** (for iOS) and **Amethyst** (for Android) are excellent places to start. If you prefer a web-based option, **Primal.net** offers a simple and intuitive experience. These platforms make it easy to dive in, start posting, and get a feel for how NOSTR operates.
But NOSTR isn’t just about social media—it’s a foundation for something bigger. Developers and innovators are expanding their reach beyond simple note-sharing. Specialized communities and applications are already emerging, including platforms for **photography, recipe sharing, and even swap sites**, all built using the NOSTR framework. The possibilities are growing, and the future looks bright.
### **Final Thoughts**
The shift from Twitter or Facebook to NOSTR isn’t just about switching platforms; it’s about embracing a fundamentally better way to communicate online. With decentralization, real freedom of expression, and a community of forward-thinking individuals, NOSTR offers an experience that traditional social media simply cannot match.
For those seeking a place where ideas flow freely, where profit-driven algorithms don’t dictate engagement, and where you control your own digital presence, NOSTR is not just an alternative. It’s an upgrade.
Let's connect and learn together!
npub1x7zk9nfqsjwuuwm5mpdu8eevsnu2kk0ff23fv58p45d50fhuvaeszg44p2
primal.net/Goody
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@ 8f69ac99:4f92f5fd
2025-02-20 15:24:24
Anarquia: uma palavra que frequentemente evoca imagens de caos e desordem, associada ao velho oeste sem lei ou a futuros distópicos onde impera a força bruta. No entanto, para aqueles que investigam mais a fundo, a anarquia revela-se como algo muito mais sofisticado—um sistema não definido pela ausência de regras, mas sim pela ausência de governantes (*rules without rulers*). Essa distinção fundamental é essencial para compreender um dos conceitos mais fascinantes e, ao mesmo tempo, mais difamados da sociedade.
A ideia de que anarquia significa desordem ou uma sociedade sem estrutura é um equívoco baseado no medo do desconhecido e na falta de compreensão dos seus princípios básicos. Na realidade, a anarquia assenta sobre um princípio fundamental: o **Princípio da Não-Agressão (PNA)**. Este princípio estabelece que nenhum indivíduo tem o direito de iniciar o uso da força, coerção ou fraude contra os outros, sem o seu consentimento, sendo este um dos pilares fundamentais para a preservação da propriedade privada e das liberdades individuais.
Não se trata, portanto, de uma sociedade sem regras, mas sim de uma organização baseada em **estruturas legais descentralizadas e orgânicas**, como a **lei natural e o direito consuetudinário**, que emergem naturalmente através das interacções voluntárias entre indivíduos. A história demonstra que, mesmo na ausência de uma autoridade central, os seres humanos são perfeitamente capazes de criar ordens sociais complexas, baseadas na cooperação, na ajuda mútua e no progresso.
Este artigo explora como a anarquia funciona enquanto sistema de cooperação voluntária e direito natural, desafiando as concepções erradas que persistem sobre o tema e revelando o seu potencial para fortalecer a liberdade individual e a coesão social. Ao analisar as suas raízes filosóficas, o papel do Estado dentro de um enquadramento anarquista e os exemplos históricos que demonstram a capacidade da humanidade para se auto-organizar, procuramos iluminar um futuro onde a liberdade não seja apenas um sonho utópico, mas uma possibilidade concreta.
## Principio da Não Agressão (PNA)
A **base da anarquia** assenta sobre um princípio inegociável: o Princípio da Não-Agressão. Este postulado não é apenas uma directriz moral, mas sim uma regra essencial de conduta, destinada a fomentar uma sociedade cooperativa e pacífica, onde os indivíduos vivem sem medo da coerção ou da violência.
A partir deste princípio, deriva-se naturalmente a **propriedade privada**, pois cada indivíduo tem o direito de usufruir e gerir os recursos que adquire sem recorrer à força contra terceiros. Da mesma forma, a violação deste princípio—seja através do roubo, homicídio ou qualquer tipo de agressão física ou psicológica, não consentida—é condenada de forma universal, pois representa um atentado contra a liberdade de cada um.
Num enquadramento anarquista, a ausência de uma estrutura coerciva não significa a ausência de ordem. Métodos como **pressão social, ostracismo de infractores e mecanismos privados de justiça** ajudam a manter a harmonia social. Por exemplo, em situações de litígio entre vizinhos sobre a posse de um terreno, em vez de recorrer ao Estado, poderiam simplesmente resolver a disputa através de um mediador comunitário ou de um serviço de arbitragem voluntário.
## Ordem Sem Autoridade Central
A crença de que a lei e a ordem dependem de um poder centralizado ignora uma vasta tradição histórica de **sistemas legais descentralizados** que surgiram espontaneamente, sem intervenção estatal. A anarquia não significa ausência de normas, mas sim uma **ordem espontânea baseada em leis naturais e consuetudinárias**.
A lei natural consiste em princípios universais, reconhecidos pela razão, que não dependem da autoridade estatal. Já o direito consuetudinário assenta na tradição e nos precedentes, evoluindo conforme as necessidades das comunidades. Um excelente exemplo histórico é o código jurídico medieval islandês "Grágás", que regulava litígios e contratos através de mediação voluntária.
Sistemas baseados na reputação também são eficazes. No passado, comerciantes que desrespeitassem contratos viam-se rapidamente excluídos do mercado. Hoje, soluções descentralizadas como a arbitragem privada demonstram que contratos podem ser cumpridos sem necessidade de coerção estatal.
## Anarquia como Estado Natural da Cooperação Humana
A cooperação voluntária está no cerne da natureza humana. A ideia de que é necessária uma autoridade central para garantir harmonia social desconsidera as inúmeras instâncias de colaboração espontânea ao longo da história.
O funcionamento dos mercados ilustra perfeitamente a anarquia em acção. Sem um governo a ditar regras, indivíduos interagem livremente, criando riqueza e inovação. A busca pelo progresso científico também reflecte este princípio: Albert Einstein, Nikola Tesla, Henry Ford ou Thomas Edison não foram forçados pelo Estado a desenvolver as suas invenções—fizeram-no por interesse próprio, beneficiando toda a humanidade.
Da mesma forma, a revolução industrial não foi um plano centralizado, mas sim o resultado de inúmeras inovações individuais que impulsionaram a prosperidade global. A tecnologia moderna, com exemplos como Bitcoin e Nostr, redes descentralizadas, prova que sociedades podem operar sem intermediários estatais, ou autoridades centrais.
## Estado: Pode Existir Num Enquadramento Anarquista?
O Estado, mesmo na sua versão mais reduzida, pode representar um risco para a liberdade individual. Alguns, eu incluído, argumentam que um "Estado mínimo" (minarquia) poderia existir para garantir segurança e mediar disputas, mas essa estrutura pode rapidamente expandir-se e transformar-se num mecanismo de coerção.
### A necessidade de mecanismos de controlo e equilíbrio
Mesmo um Estado reduzido exigiria salvaguardas para evitar abusos de poder. Para isso, seriam necessários mecanismos que garantam que nenhuma autoridade se torne dominante e que a sociedade mantenha a sua autonomia.
Algumas soluções incluem:
- **Representação directa**: Em vez de delegar decisões a políticos, a população poderia ter mais influência directa nas questões que afectam a sua vida (como na Suiça por exemplo).
- **Arbitragem independente**: Conflitos poderiam ser resolvidos sem recorrer a tribunais estatais, através de mediação voluntária e sistemas de justiça comunitária.
- **Redes de apoio social**: Fortalecer redes de ajuda mútua reduziria a necessidade de um governo central para fornecer serviços essenciais.
### Exemplos práticos
Algumas iniciativas mostram que a sociedade pode funcionar com estruturas descentralizadas:
- **Cidades com participação cívica activa**: Experiências como o orçamento participativo em algumas cidades demonstram como a sociedade pode gerir recursos colectivos sem excessiva intervenção estatal.
- **Redes de ajuda mútua**: Grupos como a *Mutual Aid Disaster Response Network* nos EUA provam que comunidades podem organizar-se para responder a crises sem depender do Estado.
O desafio não é apenas imaginar um mundo sem Estado, mas conceber modelos descentralizados que garantam a liberdade individual e impeçam a concentração de poder. A verdadeira questão é: conseguiremos criar sistemas mais justos e funcionais sem recorrer à coerção estatal?
## Raízes Filosóficas da Anarquia
A anarquia tem uma longa tradição filosófica que remonta a pensadores como **William Godwin**, **Pierre-Joseph Proudhon** e **Max Stirner**, cada um contribuindo com diferentes perspectivas sobre a organização social sem governantes. No século XX, pensadores como **Murray Rothbard** e **Hans-Hermann Hoppe** aprofundaram a ideia do anarco-capitalismo, propondo que todos os serviços actualmente providenciados pelo Estado poderiam ser oferecidos por meio de mercados livres.
A raiz histórica da anarquia está firmemente ancorada no pensamento de esquerda (a tradicional... ), na medida em que a sua proposta fundamental é a **eliminação do poder central**. O anarquismo clássico emergiu como uma resposta ao absolutismo e ao capitalismo industrial, defendendo que a autoridade imposta pelo Estado e pelas elites económicas deveria ser desmantelada para dar lugar a um sistema de cooperação voluntária e descentralizada. Proudhon, ao afirmar "a propriedade é roubo", reflectia esta preocupação com a concentração de poder e riqueza nas mãos de poucos.
Com o tempo, no entanto, diferentes correntes começaram a emergir dentro da tradição anarquista. A tradição anarquista de **esquerda** enfatiza a justiça social e a solidariedade comunitária, rejeitando tanto o Estado como o capitalismo. Nomes como **Bakunin** e **Kropotkin** defenderam a abolição da propriedade privada em favor de sistemas cooperativos, argumentando que apenas a auto gestão e o apoio mútuo poderiam garantir a verdadeira liberdade.
Por outro lado, no século XX, surgiu uma vertente anarquista mais **associada à direita**, especialmente com Rothbard e Hoppe, que viam o mercado como a melhor alternativa ao Estado. Para os anarco-capitalistas, a liberdade individual é prioritária, e a descentralização deve ocorrer não apenas ao nível político, mas também económico, permitindo que todas as transacções sejam voluntárias e baseadas na propriedade privada.
Apesar dessas divergências, há um ponto comum entre todas as vertentes anarquistas: a rejeição do **monopólio da violência estatal**. Tanto anarquistas de esquerda quanto de direita reconhecem que o poder centralizado inevitavelmente conduz à opressão e à limitação da liberdade individual. O debate interno dentro do anarquismo não é sobre a necessidade de abolir o Estado, mas sim sobre o que deve substituí-lo: auto gestão comunitária e colectivismo ou mercados livres e concorrência voluntária?
A preservação da propriedade privada e a liberdade de associação são, para mim, princípios fundamentais dentro do pensamento anarquista. Nada impede que, numa sociedade anarquista, grupos de indivíduos escolham unir-se voluntariamente para formar projectos cooperativos baseados em valores partilhados. O que distingue essa abordagem da imposição estatal é o carácter voluntário e descentralizado dessas associações, garantindo que cada pessoa possa viver conforme os seus próprios princípios sem coerção externa.
Esta dicotomia entre esquerda e direita dentro do anarquismo reflecte diferentes interpretações sobre a melhor forma de organizar a sociedade sem coerção. O que permanece inegável é que a anarquia, independentemente da vertente, continua a ser uma proposta de resistência contra qualquer forma de domínio centralizado, colocando a liberdade e a autonomia no centro da organização social.
## Conclusão
A anarquia não é um sonho utópico, mas sim uma alternativa viável à organização centralizada da sociedade. Através do respeito pelo Princípio da Não-Agressão, da descentralização das normas jurídicas e da cooperação voluntária, podemos construir um mundo mais livre, onde as pessoas têm o poder de se governar a si mesmas.
Sistemas como Bitcoin já demonstram que a descentralização funciona e que a ausência de intermediários coercivos é não só possível, mas desejável. O desafio não é saber se a anarquia pode funcionar, mas sim **quanto tempo levará para as pessoas perceberem que um mundo sem Estado é mais próspero e justo**.
#anarquia #anarco #bitcoin
---
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@ f1989a96:bcaaf2c1
2025-02-20 14:21:39
Good morning, readers!
This week, we honor the loss of the late Alexei Navalny, whose bravery inspired millions of Russians to stand up against Vladimir Putin’s financial, political, and social repression. Since his murder, the Kremlin has only tightened its grip — imprisoning citizens for political donations, blocking NGOs from funding, advancing its central bank digital currency, and limiting access to open alternatives like Bitcoin.
In global news, a new [survey](https://www.omfif.org/2025/02/why-central-banks-should-take-the-next-step-on-cbdcs/) of 34 central banks by the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF) revealed that 31% have [delayed](https://cointelegraph.com/news/central-banks-pushing-back-cbdc-plans-survey) plans to issue a retail central bank digital currency (CBDC). While this is a welcome shift, given that CBDCs threaten to give authoritarian regimes unprecedented tools to micro-control society, efforts to oppose and expose CBDCs must continue. The Human Rights Foundation (HRF) is proud that its CBDC Tracker (you can explore it [here](https://cbdctracker.hrf.org/home)) continues to reveal these threats.
In privacy news, Bitcoin Core developer Carl Dong unveiled a new VPN called Obscura, the first open-source VPN that can’t log your network activity by design and outsmarts network filters for enhanced censorship resistance. Tools like this make the work of activists harder to surveil and censor under authoritarian regimes. Additionally, Zeus Wallet and Primal introduced support for Nostr Wallet Connect (NWC), further expanding interoperability between Nostr clients and Lightning wallets and giving more power back to the people.
Finally, we feature a Bitcoin node tutorial from Bitcoin educator Ben Perrin, “BTC Sessions,” walking viewers through setting up a node on a computer and connecting it to Sparrow Wallet. This tutorial is especially suited for dissidents and can empower curious individuals with the ability to verify the Bitcoin network independently, enhance privacy, and eliminate reliance on third parties. There is no need to be technically inclined to follow along with this tutorial.
**Now, let’s dive right in!**
## [Subscribe Here](https://mailchi.mp/hrf.org/financial-freedom-newsletter?mc_cid=bf652c0a5a)
## GLOBAL NEWS
#### **Russia | One Year Since Navalny Murdered by Regime**
One year ago, Alexei Navalny was [murdered](https://x.com/HRF/status/1891081393951613050) in a remote Arctic prison, where he was sent to die for daring to stand against dictator Vladimir Putin. Navalny was Russia’s leading opposition figure, a relentless leader who exposed regime corruption at the highest level and inspired millions to believe in a brighter future. His murder confirmed a grim reality: the Kremlin will stop at nothing to silence those who oppose it. Since Navalny’s passing, Putin has only tightened his grip — [charging](https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jun/20/russian-american-ballerina-trial-ksenia-karelina) innocent citizens for financially supporting dissent, [blocking](https://x.com/meduza_en/status/1857004048081186993?s=46&t=n7crMAWVvpABU4HOlO19Lg) NGOs from funding (and access to their own money), [accelerating](https://www.ledgerinsights.com/russia-updates-digital-ruble-rollout-including-obligation-to-accept-cbdc/) the roll-out of a CBDC to tighten financial control, and [restricting](https://www.coindesk.com/ru/policy/2024/07/30/russia-legalizes-crypto-mining-and-brings-an-experimental-regime/) access to open alternatives like Bitcoin.
#### **Argentina | Milei Facing Fraud Charges and Impeachment for Promoting Memecoin**
Argentinian President Javier Milei is [facing](https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/argentinas-opposition-threatens-impeachment-trial-after-milei-touts-crypto-coin-2025-02-16/) impeachment calls and fraud charges after promoting a cryptocurrency called $LIBRA, which has since [crashed](https://www.nobsbitcoin.com/argentinas-milei-faces-fraud-charges-impeachment-calls-after-failed-memecoin-launch/) in value. He initially [claimed](https://apnews.com/article/argentina-milei-cryptocurrency-fraud-charges-c0321f320a00cdb58edfb365ba8ce0f8) $LIBRA would “encourage economic growth by funding small businesses and startups.” Instead, the token briefly soared above $5 before plummeting. Critics [argue](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1w07nq8qqqo) the $LIBRA launch resembles a “rug pull,” where paid promoters inflate a token’s value, then cash out, leaving investors with worthless holdings. As the backlash grew, Milei deleted his posts promoting $LIBRA and defended himself, [insisting](https://x.com/tier10k/status/1891630044448977082) he didn't “promote it” — he simply “shared it.” Regardless, the damage is done. $LIBRA is now trading below $1, [losing](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1w07nq8qqqo) tens of thousands of global citizens most of their money. Behind $LIBRA is Kelsier Ventures, a group [allegedly](https://x.com/tier10k/status/1891551659676844118?s=19) courting Nigeria and other governments with similar schemes. The saga continues to unfold, but the lessons are clear: political memecoins present major risks, and governments are not above rugging their own citizens.
#### **Zimbabwe | Ordinary Citizens Pay Price of Deeply Indebted Regime**
Zimbabwe’s [debt crisis](https://archive.ph/uMDsk) has pushed [7.6 million](https://archive.ph/uMDsk) people into food insecurity as an El niño-driven drought worsens an economy already horribly mismanaged and exploited by a military dictatorship. The roots of this crisis run deep. Former tyrant Robert Mugabe’s land seizures in the early 2000s shattered agricultural output, wiped out foreign investment, and unleashed [hyperinflation](https://apnews.com/general-news-international-international-1ce81eed4b064a529163513931b30178) that erased Zimbabweans’ savings and wages. Decades of economic mismanagement drained the national resources and exacerbated food insecurity. Now, ordinary citizens shoulder the cost of regime failures. Families who once farmed their own land depend on expensive [food imports](https://archive.ph/uMDsk) they can’t afford, while the bankrupt regime [pleads](https://archive.ph/uMDsk) for more dollar-based loans — only to weaken the local currency and sink the country further into debt.
#### **Singapore | Rising Costs Contradict Government’s Inflation Claims**
Singaporean citizens are refuting government claims that inflation is easing, pointing to the [rising](https://www.theonlinecitizen.com/2025/02/12/netizens-question-claims-of-easing-inflation-amid-continued-cost-of-living-burden-on-the-ground/) costs of essential goods and services. While official data reports a [2.4%](https://www.theonlinecitizen.com/2025/02/12/netizens-question-claims-of-easing-inflation-amid-continued-cost-of-living-burden-on-the-ground/) annual inflation rate, everyday expenses tell a different story. The government highlights falling car prices — a benefit for the wealthy — while downplaying state-imposed fare [hikes](https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/st-explains-why-are-public-transport-fares-going-up-again) that disproportionately impact those who rely on public transport (lower-income individuals). With elections looming, many accuse the government of [manipulating](https://www.theonlinecitizen.com/2025/02/12/netizens-question-claims-of-easing-inflation-amid-continued-cost-of-living-burden-on-the-ground/) narratives to downplay these economic struggles. The persistent rise in everyday costs reveals a common disconnect between opaque government statistics issued by autocrats and the financial realities lived by ordinary citizens.
#### **World | Central Banks Delaying CBDC Plans**
A new [survey](https://www.omfif.org/2025/02/why-central-banks-should-take-the-next-step-on-cbdcs/) of 34 central banks by the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF) revealed that 31% have [delayed](https://cointelegraph.com/news/central-banks-pushing-back-cbdc-plans-survey) plans to issue a retail central bank digital currency (CBDC). It also found that the share of central banks inclined to issue a CBDC fell from 38% in 2022 to just 18% today. While this slowdown is a welcomed shift, the survey [concludes](https://cointelegraph.com/news/central-banks-pushing-back-cbdc-plans-survey) that most central banks still expect to issue a CBDC in the future. In any jurisdiction, CBDCs mean more financial control in the hands of the government, which opens the door to surveillance, censorship, and control over financial activity. This concentrated power undermines civil liberties, especially in authoritarian regimes, putting dissidents and individuals at greater risk. Learn more about the dangers CBDCs pose to human rights and financial freedom [here](https://cbdctracker.hrf.org/home).
\______________________________________________________\_
#### **Webinar Series for Nonprofits: Become Unstoppable**
HRF will host a [free, three-day webinar](https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSf0sjqwSFQo8HGMsWIIDRyhx34TsoonOSTfYoWSy-aaBbLeSw/viewform) from March 17-19, teaching human rights defenders and nonprofits how to use Bitcoin to counter state censorship and confiscation. Sessions run daily from 10:30 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. EDT and are beginner-friendly. The webinar will be led by Anna Chekhovich, HRF’s Bitcoin nonprofit adoption lead and financial manager at Alexei Navalny’s Anti-Corruption Foundation, and will be co-hosted by Ben Perrin “BTC Sessions,” one of the world’s top technical Bitcoin educators.
[Register for webinar](https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSf0sjqwSFQo8HGMsWIIDRyhx34TsoonOSTfYoWSy-aaBbLeSw/viewform)
#### **SXSW | The Human Rights Risks of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs)**
Join HRF at [SXSW 2025](https://www.sxsw.com/) in Austin from March 7-13 to explore how CBDCs threaten financial freedom. Experts [Roger Huang](https://x.com/Rogerh1991), [Charlene Fadirepo](https://x.com/CharFadirepo), and [Nick Anthony](https://x.com/EconWithNick) will discuss how authoritarian regimes use CBDCs for surveillance and control. Attendees can also visit HRF’s [CBDC Tracker](https://cbdctracker.hrf.org/) booth to explore an interactive map of CBDC developments worldwide.
[Get your tickets](https://www.sxsw.com/conference/)
\______________________________________________________\_
## BITCOIN AND FREEDOM TECH NEWS
#### **Obscura | New Virtual Private Network**
Bitcoin Core developer [Carl Dong](https://x.com/carl_dong?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor) [launched](https://x.com/carl_dong/status/1889381916081791265) [Obscura VPN](https://obscura.net/), the first private and [open-source](https://github.com/Sovereign-Engineering/obscuravpn-client) VPN designed for maximum censorship resistance. Unlike traditional VPNs, it cannot log your network activity by design. Obscura achieves this by never seeing users’ encrypted Internet traffic. Because of this, it is impossible to log activity — even if compelled or compromised. Additionally, Obscura uses a custom stealth protocol that blends in with regular Internet traffic, making the VPN harder to detect or block. Tools like this make the work of activists under authoritarian regimes harder to surveil and censor.
#### **Zeus Wallet and Primal | Integrate Nostr Wallet Connect**
[Zeus](https://zeusln.com/), a Bitcoin Lightning wallet, and [Primal](http://primal.net), a Nostr client, have integrated the [Nostr Wallet Connect](https://nwc.dev/) (NWC) protocol. This protocol allows apps to interact with Bitcoin Lightning wallets, boosting interoperability between Bitcoin (decentralized money) and Nostr (decentralized communications). Zeus’s NWC [integration](https://blog.zeusln.com/zeus-v0-10-0-open-alpha/) expands wallet connectivity by allowing users to link external wallets like [Alby Hub](https://albyhub.com/) or [Cashu.me](http://cashu.me), improving transaction flexibility. Primal’s NWC integration brings even more functionality. Users can connect Primal wallet to any Nostr app, send zaps (bitcoin micropayments) from the web app, and link any self-custodial wallet that supports NWC. These updates strengthen Bitcoin and Nostr interoperability, allowing instant, censorship-resistant payments and communications without relying on traditional banking infrastructure.
#### **Proton | Officially Launches Proton Wallet**
[Proton Wallet](https://proton.me/wallet?mc_cid=e8f8ebab29&mc_eid=UNIQID), an open-source Bitcoin wallet from privacy services company [Proton](https://proton.me/?mc_cid=e8f8ebab29&mc_eid=UNIQID) (creators of [ProtonMail](https://proton.me/mail)), is [now available](https://proton.me/blog/wallet-launch) on Android, iOS, and the web. It features end-to-end encryption, address rotation for greater privacy (the same Bitcoin address is never used twice), and Replace-by-Fee (RBF) to speed up stuck transactions. It is also fully self-custodial, meaning users retain complete control over their funds. With Proton now offering both secure email and Bitcoin transactions, users have a stronger, more resilient digital toolkit to protect their communications and money. This is of particular interest to human rights activists operating in difficult environments.
#### **Bitcoin Keeper | Releases Support for Miniscript and More Signing Devices**
[Bitcoin Keeper](https://bitcoinkeeper.app/), an open-source mobile multisignature (multisig) wallet and [winner](https://hrfbounties.org/) of HRF’s “Easy Mobile Multisig” bounty, [released](https://medium.com/@ben_kaufman/welcome-to-keeper-2-0-8782593892f8) v2.0 with new security features. The update brings [Miniscript](https://bitcoinops.org/en/topics/miniscript/), a structured way to write Bitcoin scripts that enable users to create customized multisig vaults. This unlocks advanced setups for inheritance planning, time-locked savings, and more flexible security models. Support for Miniscript also expanded to more signing devices, including BitBox02, COLDCARD, Tapsigner, Blockstream Jade, and Ledger. Keeper is created and run by Indian developers, reminding us that some of the world’s best freedom tools are made by people living in difficult political environments.
#### **Coracle | Implements Nstart for Easy Onboarding**
[Coracle](https://coracle.social/), a Nostr client and HRF grantee, implemented [Nstart](https://github.com/dtonon/nstart), a tool that streamlines onboarding to the Nostr protocol. This makes it easier for first-time users to set up an account, securely back up their private keys, and get started. By lowering entry barriers, Coracle’s Nstart improves access to Nostr’s decentralized, censorship-resistant network. For activists curious about Nostr but unsure of how to start, this may be a tool worth exploring. For a quick-start Nostr guide, click [here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qn-Zp491t4Y).
#### **Bitwise | Donates $150,000 to Bitcoin Open Source Development**
[Bitwise](https://bitwiseinvestments.com/), a Bitcoin ETF provider, [donated](https://x.com/BitwiseInvest/status/1891865302729883754) $150,000 to support open-source Bitcoin developers, fulfilling its pledge to allocate 10% of its Bitcoin ETF ($BITB) gross profits annually. [Brink](https://brink.dev/), [OpenSats](http://opensats.org), and [HRF](http://hrf.org) will be responsible for allocating the funds to developers working to secure and improve the network and advancing it as a tool for financial freedom and human rights. Bitwise also promised increased contributions in the future as $BITB grows. By reinvesting in Bitcoin’s open-source ecosystem, Bitwise sets a strong example of industry stewardship.
## RECOMMENDED CONTENT
#### **Bitcoin Node Tutorial by BTC Sessions**
In this [tutorial](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vEWl6sXLpAU), renowned Bitcoin educator Ben Perrin “[BTC Sessions](https://www.youtube.com/@BTCSessions)” guides viewers through setting up their own Bitcoin node, a device that runs the Bitcoin software. This enables them to audit Bitcoin’s supply independently and achieve greater financial sovereignty. By running a personal node, users also eliminate the need to trust third parties, enhance their privacy, and strengthen Bitcoin’s decentralization. The tutorial covers installing a free node on a computer and connecting it to [Sparrow Wallet](https://sparrowwallet.com/). If you are not technically inclined, not to worry. Perrin explains everything in a clear, beginner-friendly way, making it easy to follow along. You can watch the full walkthrough [here](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vEWl6sXLpAU).
#### **Bitcoin Payments: From Digital Gold to Everyday Currency by Breez and 1A1z**
In this new [report](https://breez.technology/report/) from Bitcoin Lightning company [Breez](https://breez.technology/) and freedom tech researcher [1A1z](http://1a1z.com/), the authors explore how Bitcoin is evolving beyond a store of value into a functional everyday currency. It highlights the rapid adoption of the Lightning network, the global rise of internet-native payments, and real-world use cases from businesses like Pick n Pay, Namecheap, and Mercari as examples of this. Bitcoin payments are proving their capabilities on a global scale, and this report does a commendable job of proving it.
*If this article was forwarded to you and you enjoyed reading it, please consider subscribing to the Financial Freedom Report [here](https://mailchi.mp/hrf.org/financial-freedom-newsletter?mc_cid=bf652c0a5a).*
*Support the newsletter by donating bitcoin to HRF’s Financial Freedom program [via BTCPay](https://hrf.org/btc).*\
*Want to contribute to the newsletter? Submit tips, stories, news, and ideas by emailing us at ffreport @ [hrf.org](http://hrf.org/)*
*The Bitcoin Development Fund (BDF) is accepting grant proposals on an ongoing basis. The Bitcoin Development Fund is looking to support Bitcoin developers, community builders, and educators. Submit proposals [here](https://forms.monday.com/forms/57019f8829449d9e729d9e3545a237ea?r=use1)*.
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[**Visit our website**](https://hrf.org/programs/financial-freedom/)
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-20 13:41:31
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-20 13:41:31
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-20 13:41:31
z91/GYlZsY3+lT5jcnman0xOUf3PkN17Uf2sFnm4WLDXycjQ4OLM/h1XTwGfgR+xUjib3xmYiza+eqdhngt0n5OK4Ba7GTr1u1YWvBeyaSI6ANYsKDHzpErVeWXMRm/AIrOFQs1MQooLLX/JEV+uN1NMK/Bj45nfoQWHLusn5PwMbH3LtZ8f4/Pdk1rF6Jth?iv=PEnzEq09suQD9yKmQN59ZA==
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-20 13:41:31
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-20 13:41:31
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-20 13:41:31
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@ 5ba5646d:ced58e47
2025-02-20 19:46:45
“Tech is blood money. Everyone is going into tech. You should too."
These words echoed in my mind every time I considered learning a new skill. As a young woman in Nigeria, currently serving my country in the mandatory National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) program, the expectations were clear: **Makeup, fashion, or food.** These were the "lucrative" paths everyone said I should pursue. After all, they were familiar, accessible, and required little more than creativity and hustle—things I already had in abundance.
But here’s the thing: I didn’t want familiar. I didn’t want easy. I wanted a challenge. I wanted to prove to myself that I could do something I never thought possible. I wanted to step into the unknown, fail, learn, and grow. And for me, that meant stepping into the world of tech.
**The Crossroads: Data or Design?**
With no background in tech—armed only with my secondary school knowledge of computer studies—I found myself staring at two options: **data analysis** or **product design (UI/UX).**
Data analysis? Numbers. Lots of them. And if there’s one thing I’m not a fan of, it’s drowning in spreadsheets and equations. So, I turned to product design. It felt like the perfect fit: a space where I could create, innovate, and play with colors and ideas. It was the creative outlet I craved, and I was ready to dive in headfirst.
** December 21st, 2024: The Day Everything Changed**
That was the day I connected with a mentor who would guide me through this journey. Am I scared? Absolutely. Do I sometimes feel like I’ll fail? Of course. Will I make mistakes? Without a doubt. But here’s the truth: I’m willing to risk it all to learn something new, challenge myself, and grow.
**Why I’m sharing this journey **
I’m not a designer—at least not yet. My knowledge of design is limited to biology diagrams of skeletons and a basic understanding of Canva. But I’m here, taking my first steps into the tech space, trying to find my way, make a living, and make an impact.
This is my story: the story of a novice navigating the intimidating world of tech, one mistake at a time. I’ll be sharing my wins, my failures, and everything in between. If you’ve ever felt like the odds were stacked against you, or like you were stepping into a world where you didn’t belong, this is for you.
Because sometimes, the bravest thing you can do is take the first step—even when you have no idea where it will lead.
**Let’s Grow Together**
I don’t have all the answers, and I’m not pretending to. But I’m here, showing up, learning, and growing. And if my journey inspires even one person to take that leap of faith, then it’s all worth it.
So, here’s to embracing![image] the unknown, making terrible mistakes, and finding our way—one step at a time.
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-20 13:41:31
cI5ntgLRvELpdA0cn3Wc2MomFhxwDjfqQFo8/UCKVNXetLWn5Cep6C7g/bo4+NjSWieWNnRRRHSuWXfNdZeGKUlLQomm2jmzqLdp2Zg9qrjuyQg9BwTMydOxo5wAgwbA+JkUztNakyBRzdkd5qKvaJHvdJF6E3HlW8/FJ4nvLZM=?iv=Nn64C6US6v8StiVb11UceA==
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-20 13:41:31
yiLmzdfFkrZQuhOQ8seNpvbY1bVqqDDWzzmat9PUsunHp99VAMWaiN6OpQRJ+F2MGkyCastSS5jYMl6GZ3jqT3mC9pPv5/kSnIhVV+1Vycn7XQ5zoSk1K0jnkNMoqMnOOt2nc7/T+SM4vlKAfEuOYZLymeIcMAcEk9L5XN2stTE=?iv=ORlyAFVon9h2jNpNxX83hA==
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-20 13:41:31
e6MgYXGp0IFgqG9sB3LxftStblEN9wbw3O7c3rYCUmES9fTZ9LmUDb5MdJZN8ebMhWMxxLBMxTv/ZzXyJY10Svb1gEBHIpVf/4+t37uEm/fye01fA91BhDhw0EZGfFom4k9+sfdbfHZ+mKIzyoAW5Dyjdw1xBb1TgT2DYRwaRSY=?iv=xwROQda/Yniq06658DH5Cw==
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@ 2e8970de:63345c7a
2025-02-20 18:45:57
https://lore.kernel.org/rust-for-linux/2025021954-flaccid-pucker-f7d9@gregkh/
> The majority of bugs (quantity, not quality/severity) we have are due to
the stupid little corner cases in C that are totally gone in Rust.
Things like simple overwrites of memory (not that rust can catch all of
these by far), error path cleanups, forgetting to check error values,
and use-after-free mistakes. That's why I'm wanting to see Rust get
into the kernel, these types of issues just go away, allowing developers
and maintainers more time to focus on the REAL bugs that happen (i.e.
logic issues, race conditions, etc.)
Now that Linus and Greg Kroah-Hartman have spoken out pro Rust changes in Linux it really feels like the ball is rolling. Linux will become a multi language project. With kernel and "hard" os functions in C and more and more attached pieces like many drivers being either C or Rust.
Interesting developments. This is for sure a volatile time for the broader Linux community.
Previous posts: Linux Kernel Drama about Rust Linux Kernel Drama https://stacker.news/items/879713; Linus coming out in favor of Rust https://stacker.news/items/890358
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/892141
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-20 13:41:31
sbqtijYSN4JTKZYj6Q8CEdMdKInBc/7FJCilWPQ4fud5Vl1EUx1xUevJhghhI4V0kRl0Ixb7rqwQh8dF1PzXiZ8fEFVZJDE0tkUf525/1lDdElNrBn5Omd6jSQ/ZuFOCZpbF5LoLyoW4sac+LHqIuTEYyilGlMSavQDhCdZFMzA=?iv=Nz9IefLpnQidVEbvx7hqFA==
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-20 13:41:31
oDlOpfo+IV0+rJV23rjDwfxCgCaRFeUpiu4ZlDch1aLtbZDmecAtRS68QlQzRFiNZkzFwTZ9HSx/5TJebdqUGR2Al+btEI5auR/Hpu5tQhKlweycnie4PMJ8u5PZqla1P8lMgXARqysDzvzjSP3ujZP7RTrIbLK2OHCsHfHYfq8=?iv=4IeV3MwuoxOzLBEgKJrWbw==
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@ 5d4b6c8d:8a1c1ee3
2025-02-20 16:20:02
We made a minor adjustment to the reply fee, raising it to 2 sats.
Lest you think @grayruby is just a greedy SOB (not that he isn't), we are trying to think through how to use some of the territory profits to help support the contests being run by stackers and those extra sats can help with that effort.
# How is ~Stacker_Sports doing?
The past month has been awesome for us. Of course, that may be related to the NFL playoffs.
- Posts: 271, 4th ranked territory
- Comments: ***2992, 2nd ranked territory!***
- Stacking: ***193.9k, 2nd ranked territory!***
- Spending: ***300.9k, 2nd ranked territory!***
Top Post: [Super Bowl Discussion Thread](https://stacker.news/items/880943/r/Undisciplined) by @grayruby - 1088 sats/ 109 comments
I'm looking forward to another awesome month!
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/891926
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-20 13:41:31
1Ub4W1fxc5v6MKKgDQ4d/xZEoLy0fQHE9OW15o28rj7EuajVsVg2WbuKblNE0jQSQGi/aoObusm+4F8u4Hqj3AX8DtAH9c9kDw0Vax13FhcQcFQmeAlGSK9bsQuQKrjw1yg5j7Bb2+FnzQ5t/2zI1UzVrpvJpik1v6Ch2bfA8jU=?iv=rmdC8HX9wfNR9KtTz8EBtQ==
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-20 13:41:31
4xpb7uBLCWiCMQ53fxK2V5cJdi7TWD42TSoEE9TPv6+7M+f4kbsDF8RJIQd2/YS/wY2Zuszn6xpPTQt3I8RJFOPplCzyyS5ebOntDCtsOuObEBxWJSTFDaHdA8R94j4/IFV8vQDuMSPRa6LTa5zsXubqbEdCMQtZVlN2yDh7ic4=?iv=AOes4TVpCtv9+XuhZZM0xw==
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@ 8f69ac99:4f92f5fd
2025-02-20 16:14:03
Imagine-se numa fila de uma feira de emprego com dois amigos igualmente qualificados, mas provenientes de contextos socioeconómicos diferentes. Um dos amigos, devido às suas circunstâncias económicas, recebe um tratamento preferencial—como um aumento de 10% na pontuação da sua candidatura, como parte de uma política destinada a corrigir desvantagens sistémicas. O outro amigo, apesar de igualmente qualificado, não recebe qualquer vantagem. Quem conseguirá o emprego para o qual ambos estão capacitados? Este cenário destaca o paradoxo no cerne de muitas políticas de justiça social: tratar as pessoas de forma diferente para atingir a igualdade muitas vezes resulta em resultados desiguais, desafiando o princípio de equidade e minando a confiança.
Esta tensão entre os objetivos da justiça social e a necessidade de equidade tem moldado debates sobre ações afirmativas, tributação progressiva, programas de bem-estar social e outras políticas destinadas a promover a equidade entre grupos. Embora bem-intencionadas, estas iniciativas podem marginalizar o mérito individual e gerar ressentimento entre aqueles que se sentem injustamente tratados.
A tese central deste artigo é que, embora a justiça social tenha como objetivo promover a igualdade, as suas políticas requerem inerentemente um tratamento desigual, o que paradoxalmente arrisca criar novas formas de desigualdade. Este paradoxo destaca os desafios de buscar a equidade através da intervenção estatal.
### O Princípio da Justiça Social
As políticas de justiça social frequentemente focam-se em atingir a igualdade de resultados através da intervenção estatal. Por exemplo, a ação afirmativa na educação promove a representação de grupos sub-representados através de medidas como cotas raciais ou tratamento preferencial em processos de admissão universitária. De forma semelhante, a tributação progressiva procura redistribuir riqueza ao impor maiores encargos fiscais a determinados grupos de rendimento.
Embora estas políticas visem corrigir desigualdades sistémicas, elas inerentemente requerem tratar as pessoas de forma diferente com base em fatores como raça, rendimento ou condição socioeconómica. Esta discrepância pode criar uma perceção de favoritismo, erodindo a confiança nas instituições e gerando ressentimento entre aqueles que se sentem injustamente prejudicados. Ao dar prioridade à identidade de grupo em detrimento das circunstâncias individuais, estas políticas podem comprometer a equidade e minar a confiança nas instituições, criando percepções de injustiça e ineficiência económica.
### O Problema do Tratamento Desigual
Uma das preocupações centrais com as políticas de justiça social é a sua dependência no tratamento desigual para atingir a igualdade de resultados. Embora concebidas para promover a equidade, estas políticas frequentemente conduzem a consequências indesejadas que desafiam a equidade e a coesão social.
Por exemplo, as políticas de acção afirmativa têm sido criticadas por enfatizarem a identidade de grupo em detrimento do mérito individual. Isto pode resultar na seleção de candidatos com base em cotas em vez de qualificações, gerando frustração entre aqueles que se sentem preteridos, apesar dos seus esforços ou competências. De forma semelhante, os sistemas de tributação progressiva sobrecarregam desproporcionalmente certos grupos, criando a perceção de penalização injusta.
As cotas na educação ou no emprego são particularmente controversas. Ao impor limites ou metas com base na identidade de grupo, estas políticas podem inadvertidamente excluir indivíduos que não se enquadram nos critérios definidos. Esta exclusão muitas vezes gera ressentimento, pois os afetados percebem o sistema como priorizando a equidade para uns em detrimento de outros.
Além disso, ao enfatizar a identidade de grupo sobre o mérito individual, as políticas de justiça social podem inadvertidamente enfraquecer incentivos à excelência e à responsabilidade pessoal, gerando impactos negativos na produtividade e na confiança nas instituições. Esta dinâmica pode corroer a responsabilidade e a confiança nas instituições, criando divisões dentro da sociedade. Ao enfatizar a igualdade de resultados sobre a igualdade de oportunidades, tais políticas arriscam consolidar novas formas de desigualdade.
### Estudos de Caso e Exemplos do Mundo Real
**Acção Afirmativa na Educação**
A política de acção afirmativa da Universidade do Texas em Austin, que considera a raça como um dos factores nas admissões, gerou desafios legais. Críticos argumentaram que a política prejudicava injustamente candidatos igualmente ou mais qualificados que não atendiam aos critérios da política. Embora os tribunais tenham apoiado a política, a controvérsia destaca a tensão entre promover diversidade e preservar o mérito individual.
**Programas de Bem-Estar Redistributivo**
Nos Estados Unidos, o Crédito Tributário por Rendimento do Trabalho (EITC) visa aliviar a pobreza entre indivíduos de baixos rendimentos. Contudo, disparidades na sua implementação causaram fricções. Por exemplo, estudos mostram variações nos benefícios entre grupos demográficos, deixando alguns com a sensação de tratamento injusto, apesar de circunstâncias financeiras semelhantes. Estes resultados ilustram como políticas redistributivas podem inadvertidamente gerar ressentimento.
**Cotas de Diversidade na Contratação**
Muitas empresas implementaram cotas de diversidade para aumentar a representação. Contudo, estas medidas frequentemente levantam preocupações sobre equidade. Empregados contratados sob cotas por vezes relatam sentir-se estigmatizados, e outros percebem o sistema como desvalorizando o mérito. Isto mina a moral e a confiança no local de trabalho, como demonstrado em inquéritos que revelam insatisfação com práticas de contratação baseadas em cotas.
Os exemplos acima ilustram como políticas desenhadas para promover equidade podem, na prática, comprometer os princípios de justiça e meritocracia, resultando em consequências imprevistas que minam a confiança nas instituições. A dependência generalizada na identidade de grupo, em vez do desempenho individual, arrisca criar divisões e reduzir a confiança nas instituições.
### Crítica Filosófica e Ética
A busca pela justiça social levanta dilemas filosóficos e éticos, particularmente no equilíbrio entre igualdade e equidade. Por um lado, a igualdade sugere tratar os indivíduos de forma imparcial, independentemente da identidade. Por outro, atingir a igualdade de resultados frequentemente requer tratamento desigual.
Sob uma perspetiva rawlsiana, as políticas redistributivas são justificadas para corrigir desigualdades sistémicas e promover a equidade. Contudo, pensadores libertários como Robert Nozick argumentam que tais intervenções violam os direitos e as liberdades individuais. Para Nozick, a justiça reside na proteção da autonomia e da propriedade pessoal, não na redistribuição de recursos para atingir objetivos coletivos.
Ademais, uma énfase excessiva na identidade de grupo pode fomentar uma cultura de vitimização, onde os indivíduos priorizam queixas em detrimento da responsabilidade pessoal. Esta dinâmica pode consolidar divisões, incentivar direitos adquiridos e minar a coesão social. As políticas que promovem a igualdade de resultados podem inadvertidamente criar privilégios para alguns enquanto desfavorecem outros, perpetuando novas formas de desigualdade.
Uma abordagem equilibrada deve considerar as implicações éticas das medidas redistributivas, preservando as liberdades individuais e a meritocracia. Ao focar na oportunidade em vez do resultado, as sociedades podem buscar a equidade sem comprometer a autonomia.
### Soluções Alternativas
**Investir na Educação**
Proporcionar acesso à educação de alta qualidade é uma forma poderosa de nivelar o campo de jogo. Programas que ampliem as oportunidades educacionais para comunidades desfavorecidas podem promover mobilidade social sem depender de tratamentos preferenciais.
**Garantir Liberdade Económica**
Reduzir barreiras regulatórias e promover mercados livres pode estimular a inovação, o empreendedorismo e a criação de emprego. Ao incentivar a competição, os indivíduos podem prosperar com base nas suas capacidades em vez de depender de intervenções externas.
**Aproveitar Sistemas Descentralizados**
Tecnologias descentralizadas como o Bitcoin podem empoderar indivíduos ao oferecer inclusão financeira e reduzir a dependência de sistemas estatais. Estas ferramentas proporcionam transparência e autonomia, minimizando oportunidades de favoritismo ou corrupção.
**Medidas Práticas**
- Bolsas de estudo e subsídios baseados no mérito.
- Programas de formação profissional para desenvolver competências de mercado.
- Apoio ao empreendedorismo através de financiamento e mentoria.
- Reformas para simplificar os sistemas fiscais e regulatórios.
Estas soluções priorizam a equidade, o empoderamento individual e a oportunidade, promovendo uma sociedade onde as pessoas prosperem com base no mérito e no esforço.
### Conclusão
As políticas de justiça social frequentemente procuram atingir a igualdade através do tratamento desigual, mas esta abordagem pode criar novas formas de desigualdade e divisão. A énfase na identidade de grupo em detrimento do mérito individual arrisca corroer a equidade e a confiança, minando os objetivos que estas políticas procuram atingir.
Para alcançar uma sociedade mais justa e sustentável, é essencial focar na igualdade de oportunidades, garantindo que todos tenham acesso aos mesmos recursos e condições para prosperar, sem comprometer a autonomia individual ou distorcer os princípios da meritocracia. Investimentos na educação, liberdade económica e tecnologias descentralizadas oferecem caminhos práticos para empoderar indivíduos e fomentar a meritocracia. Um compromisso com estes princípios pode criar um futuro mais inclusivo e equitativo, onde todos tenham a chance de prosperar com base nos seus próprios esforços e capacidades.
_Photo by [Cody Pulliam](https://unsplash.com/@codyaustinpulliam?utm_content=creditCopyText&utm_medium=referral&utm_source=unsplash) on
[Unsplash](https://unsplash.com/photos/person-holding-brown-cardboard-box-GGKVGSkKIzM?utm_content=creditCopyText&utm_medium=referral&utm_source=unsplash)_
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-20 13:41:31
92SsWL7l2CsRAMdBVjtIGjCWsRgqvWpeAmSTeEPWEuAwRFTcEM3hqxx5x1WzdtwmnSUONpLDXcgAh4mqLlOrzfABdfqwsTNyYdfC/hVdXjUQ/f5p8YlA8IqKgnTmxnT9sl/Y/92UzmQvPNZ+tyvPGw==?iv=f15nWdbj2Wwpjc+YneCEQQ==
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@ ef1744f8:96fbc3fe
2025-02-20 13:41:31
LajGKoZdjBD+JYmv2OMW2HXlvtqd42so3u8nhrDvS56RxYKY/IUpxBf44ekz1uBR4qsfk1iXhWLGShzTOv/ldWelTPE39mNVAwtkd2BMSBuyb6XaQbEJAg8nn5/TaDbRpF9inyUPwzWGEfyxJGHCCXCXf4p9kDmFX1zIbS80q5A=?iv=hh7B6wO88G0OWiaWpkLCPA==
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@ d5c3d063:4d1159b3
2025-02-20 15:39:10
### "คู่มือเข้าใจทุนนิยม จะได้เลิกจนและขยับชนชั้นได้"
หลายคนอาจเคยสงสัยว่าทำไมบางคนถึงสามารถเปลี่ยนแปลงชีวิตตัวเองจากศูนย์ไปสู่ความสำเร็จได้ ในขณะที่บางคนต้องติดอยู่ในวังวนเดิม หนังสือ *"เงินเฟ้อคือคดีอาญา"* ของพี่ชิตให้คำตอบที่ลึกซึ้งเกี่ยวกับเรื่องนี้ โดยชี้ให้เห็นว่าความเข้าใจผิดเกี่ยวกับเงินและเศรษฐกิจเป็นอุปสรรคสำคัญที่ขวางกั้นคนจำนวนมากไม่ให้ก้าวข้ามชนชั้น
!(image)[https://image.nostr.build/aa147706f2c936bad8da6367323f9f0a27721309db60f4fedad723af5a978b1b.png]
พี่ชิตอธิบายว่า **เงินเฟ้อไม่ใช่แค่ปรากฏการณ์ทางเศรษฐกิจทั่วไป แต่มันเป็นกลไกที่ค่อย ๆ ลดค่าความมั่งคั่งของประชาชนโดยที่พวกเขาไม่รู้ตัว** คนทำงานหนักขึ้น แต่ค่าของเงินที่หามาได้กลับลดลง นี่ไม่ใช่เรื่องของโชคชะตา แต่เป็นผลลัพธ์จากระบบที่ออกแบบมาให้เงินเฟ้อกลายเป็นภาษีที่มองไม่เห็น หากไม่เข้าใจสิ่งนี้ การพยายามออมเงินด้วยวิธีเดิม ๆ อาจไม่ได้ช่วยให้เราก้าวหน้า แต่กลับทำให้เราติดอยู่ในกับดักทางเศรษฐกิจ
###
พอพูดถึงเรื่องชนชั้น หลายคนคงนึกถึง Karl Marx ซึ่งมองว่าทุนนิยมทำให้ชนชั้นถูกตรึงไว้ คนที่รวยจะรวยขึ้น ส่วนคนที่จนก็มีโอกาสน้อยที่จะก้าวข้ามสถานะของตัวเอง เนื่องจากโครงสร้างของระบบที่เอื้อให้นายทุนได้เปรียบ แนวคิดนี้ทำให้หลายคนตั้งคำถามว่าทุนนิยมช่วยให้คนมีโอกาสจริงหรือไม่ และความเหลื่อมล้ำทางเศรษฐกิจสามารถลดลงได้หรือเปล่า
อย่างไรก็ตาม Ludwig von Mises ได้อธิบายในหนังสือ *Economic Policy: Thoughts for Today and Tomorrow* ว่า **ทุนนิยมไ****ม่ได้ล็อกชนชั้น แต่****เป็นระบบที่เปิดโอกาสให้ทุกคน หากพวกเขาสามารถสร้างคุณค่าให้กับตลาดได้**
> "ในระบบศักดินาก่อนยุคทุนนิยม สถานะของคนถูกกำหนดตั้งแต่เกิด หากคุณเกิดมาเป็นชาวนา คุณต้องเป็นชาวนาไปตลอดชีวิต ทุนนิยมเปลี่ยนสิ่งนี้โดยให้รางวัลกับคนที่สามารถสร้างมูลค่า ไม่ใช่สถานะที่ได้รับมาตั้งแต่เกิด" – *Ludwig von Mises*
Mises อธิบายว่าทุนนิยมให้รางวัลกับความสามารถ ไม่ใช่ชนชั้นที่ถูกกำหนดมาแต่กำเนิด **หากคุณสามารถตอบสนองความต้องการของตลาดได้ คุณสามารถสร้างธุรกิจและยกระดับชีวิตตัวเองขึ้นมาได้** ต่างจากระบบศักดินาที่การเกิดในครอบครัวใดครอบครัวหนึ่งหมายถึงชะตากรรมที่เปลี่ยนแปลงไม่ได้
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หากทุนนิยมเป็นระบบที่ปิดกั้นโอกาสจริง คนที่สร้างธุรกิจจากแนวคิดและความสามารถของตัวเองอย่าง **Henry Ford หรือ Sam Walton** คงไม่มีทางสร้างอาณาจักรของตัวเองขึ้นมาได้ แต่พวกเขาใช้ความเข้าใจในกลไกตลาด ใช้ไอเดียและความสามารถของตัวเองในการสร้างธุรกิจที่ตอบโจทย์ผู้บริโภค นี่เป็นหลักฐานว่าทุนนิยมคือระบบที่เปิดโอกาสให้คนสามารถเปลี่ยนแปลงชีวิตตัวเองได้
พี่ชิตจึงเน้นย้ำว่า **หากเราเข้าใจระบบเศรษฐกิจอย่างแท้จริง เราสามารถเลือกเส้นทางที่ช่วยให้เราก้าวข้ามขีดจำกัดทางการเงินของตัวเองได้** ทุนนิยมไม่ได้ล็อกชนชั้นเหมือนที่ Marx กล่าวไว้ แต่มันเป็นระบบที่ให้โอกาสกับทุกคนที่สามารถปรับตัวและเรียนรู้การสร้างมูลค่าในตลาด
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หนังสือของพี่ชิตไม่ได้เป็นเพียงแค่คำเตือนเกี่ยวกับเงินเฟ้อ แต่มันคือ **คู่มือที่ช่วยให้เราเข้าใจว่าระบบเศรษฐกิจทำงานอย่างไร และเราจะใช้มันให้เป็นประโยชน์อย่างไร** ไม่ใช่ด้วยการพึ่งพาภาครัฐ หรือหวังให้ระบบเปลี่ยนแปลงไปเอง แต่ด้วยการศึกษาและใช้ประโยชน์จากกลไกของตลาดให้เกิดประโยชน์สูงสุด **เพราะสุดท้ายแล้ว ทุนนิยมไม่ได้ปิดกั้นเรา มันรอให้เราเรียนรู้และใช้มันอย่างถูกต้อง**
#เงินเฟ้อคือคดีอาญา #พี่ชิต #Satochit #Siamstr
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