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@ e3ba5e1a:5e433365
2025-02-23 06:35:51
My wife and I have six children, making our house a household of eight people. Looking just at the eight of us, how many relationships exist? Well, as a first stab, we could look at how many connections exist between two unique individuals in this family. The mathematical term for this is “8 choose 2”, and the answer is 8\*7/2, or 28\.
Even that doesn’t really capture the answer though, because relationships aren’t just between two people. For example, when my wife and two oldest children are the only ones still awake after the younger kids go to bed, we’ll put on my mature TV shows that they’ll appreciate and watch together. It’s our own little subgroup within the group.
Based on that, we could have groups of 2, 3, 4, all the way up to 8, the group of all of us. If you do the math, this comes up to 247 different subgroups of 2 or more people. That’s a lot of groups for just 8 people.
As a father, this means I’ll never be able to fully understand every set of connections within my family. I may have a good understanding of my own relationship with each child. I also am closely aware of the relationship between our two youngest children, since they’re twins. And I could probably list 20 or so other noteworthy relationships. But I’ll never understand all of them.
For example, months ago I bought a game on Steam for my 3rd and 4th kids. I know they like to play games together, so it was a relationship that I thought I understood well. A few days ago I found out that my oldest had joined them in playing one of these games (Brotato). I’d made the purchase, given it to the kids, and it sparked new relationship and interaction structures without my involvement.
There’s no problem with the fact that I can’t track every interaction in my house. That’s healthy\! The kids are able to discover ways of interacting beyond what I can teach them, learn everything from schoolwork to video games from each other, and overall become more healthy and well-adjusted adults (I hope).
And here’s the important part: the growth of the number of connections is *massive* as the number of participants increases. If we add in another participant, we have 502 groupings. At 10 total participants, it jumps to over 1,000. By the time we get to 100, we’re well into the trillions.
A mathematical and software term for this is *combinatoric complexity*, the massive increase in an output value based on a small increase in the input. The analysis I’m providing could be termed as part of graph theory (for connections of 2, looking at people as *vertices* and connections as *edges*) or set theory (unique subsets, allowing for larger group sizes). But regardless, the point is: the increase in complexity is huge as more people join.
Now consider the global economy. It’s over 8 billion people. There are so many people that the number of groupings is absurd to talk about. Nonetheless, massive numbers of these groupings naturally occur. There are family units, friend circles, individual connections, companies, project teams, sports teams, schools, classes, and millions more. These groups of people form new ways of interacting, express vastly different desires for goods and services, and are capable of producing wide varieties of goods and services themselves.
When you allow this system to run free, beauty emerges. Each node in the graph can manage its own connections. Each *person* is free to make his or her own decisions about association, what to spend time on, what to spend money on, and so on. Each person does so on their own judgement and world view.
Some of these people may make “dumb” decisions. They may “waste” their time and money on useless things. Except: who made that value judgement? Clearly not them, they decided it was worth it. No central planner has the right to override their will.
My point in all this is: as yet another of many reasons in the list of “why people should be free,” we have one more data point: pure math. Central planning will never scale. Central planning will never appreciate the individuality and desires of each person. Only by giving people the freedom to explore their connections to others, discover what they can produce and consume, explore their options, and ultimately make their own decisions, can we have any chance of creating a world where everyone can succeed.
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@ 78c90fc4:4bff983c
2025-02-23 06:25:25
 
Vor dem Prozess kursierten Gerüchte, Maxwell verstecke sich in einem U-Boot oder auf nahe gelegenen Inseln. Sie besitzt ein U-Boot und hat eine Lizenz dafür
Water Island ist eine 500 Hektar große Landzunge auf den U.S. Virgin Islands. Aufnahmen aus dem Jahr 2012 (auch Video) zeigen einen Teil des Untergrunds und seiner Umgebung.
2005: James und Sara Biden kaufen ein Grundstück auf Water Island, in der Mitte der Insel, für 150.000 Euro. Dieser Teil des Grundstücks wurde in drei Teile aufgeteilt und verkauft. Einer von ihnen ist Scott Green.
Scott Green, ein Lobbyist mit engen Beziehungen zu Joe Biden, kaufte das Grundstück auf den Jungferninseln von James Biden und gewährte ihm dann eine private Hypothek.
Nach dem Kauf machte Joe Biden mindestens dreimal Urlaub auf der winzigen Insel, die einst einen nahe gelegenen U-Boot-Stützpunkt und eine unterirdische Anlage schützte, bevor sie zu einem tropischen Rückzugsort wurde.
Die Bedingungen des Darlehens wurden in den Immobilienunterlagen nicht offengelegt.
Green hat auf mehrere Bitten um Stellungnahme nicht reagiert.
Der Anwalt von James Biden, George Mesires, bestätigte den Erhalt von Fragen, beantwortete sie aber nicht.
Green hat Biden 2.300 Dollar gespendet, aber als er um einen Kommentar gebeten wurde, hat er nicht geantwortet.
Und raten Sie mal, was Green in Washington, D.C., als Auftragnehmer für öffentliche Sicherheits- und Strafverfolgungsbehörden als Teil einer Firma arbeitet, die er 1994 mitbegründet hat.
Es wird noch interessanter!! Scotts Lafayette Group erhält 5,8 Millionen Dollar von der FEMA. 3 TAGE SPÄTER gaben sie James und Sara Biden eine Hypothek von 133.000 für Water Island Land. Und es gibt noch so viel mehr, aber das ist ein anderes Kaninchenloch (ein weiterer Zuschuss für 40 Millionen Dollar).
Unten können Sie eine von Bidens zahlreichen Lügen sehen:
„Ich habe nie mit meinem Sohn oder meinem Bruder oder sonst jemandem etwas besprochen, was mit ihren Geschäften zu tun hat.“
Hunter Biden arbeitete als Energieberater ohne jegliche Erfahrung in diesem Bereich.
James Biden trat der Firma HillStone bei. Und wie durch ein Wunder erhielt das Unternehmen zahlreiche Aufträge von der Bundesregierung (USA, Irak, Puerto Rico, Mosambik usw.)
Kredit: Natly Denise, CaptainBirchShow, Politico
\#EpsteinClientList #EpsteinIsland
<https://x.com/SaladMeToday/status/1892971887006810214>
<https://x.com/RealWsiegrist/status/1893543364676522222>
Perplexity:
Der U-Boot-Stützpunkt in der Nähe von Water Island auf St. Thomas auf den US-Jungferninseln war während des Zweiten Weltkriegs aufgrund seiner Rolle bei der Verteidigung der Karibik und der US-Marineoperationen von großer strategischer Bedeutung.\
\
\### \*\*Strategische Bedeutung der U-Boot-Basis\*\*\
\- Die U-Boot-Basis auf St. Thomas wurde 1941 als Teil einer umfassenderen US-Militärstrategie zur Sicherung der Karibik während des Zweiten Weltkriegs eingerichtet. Diese Region war entscheidend für den Schutz der Schifffahrtswege und die Bekämpfung der deutschen U-Boot-Aktivitäten im Atlantik\[1]\[2].\
\- Der Stützpunkt verfügte über eine umfangreiche Infrastruktur mit drei Piers, Unterkünften für fast 1.000 Mitarbeiter, Lagereinrichtungen, einer Torpedoüberholungswerkstatt und einem bombensicheren Maschinenhaus\[1]. Diese Einrichtungen unterstützten den Betrieb und die Wartung von U-Booten in einem strategisch wichtigen Gebiet.\
\
\###\
\- Water Island, südlich von St. Thomas gelegen, wurde 1944 von der US-Regierung erworben, um die Küstenverteidigung zu stärken\[5]. Fort Segarra, eine unterirdische Festung auf Water Island, wurde zum Schutz der nahe gelegenen U-Boot-Basis auf St. Thomas\[2]\[4] errichtet.\
\- Das Fort umfasste Geschützstellungen, Tunnel, unterirdische Kammern, Kasernen und andere militärische Infrastrukturen. Es wurde jedoch nie fertiggestellt oder voll einsatzfähig, da der Zweite Weltkrieg vor Abschluss der Bauarbeiten beendet wurde\[3]\[6].\
\
\*\*Nachkriegsnutzung\*\*\
\- Nach dem Krieg wurden Fort Segarra und Water Island für verschiedene militärische Tests genutzt, darunter Experimente zur chemischen Kriegsführung, die zwischen 1948 und 1950 durchgeführt wurden\[4]\[6]. Später, im Jahr 1952, wurde die Insel unter zivile Kontrolle gestellt.\
\
\###\
\- Heute sind die Überreste von Fort Segarra und seine unterirdischen Strukturen auf Water Island für Besucher zugänglich. Sie erinnern an die Rolle des Forts beim Schutz des U-Boot-Stützpunkts und an seine strategische Bedeutung während des Zweiten Weltkriegs\[3]\[6].\
\
Zusammenfassend lässt sich sagen, dass der U-Boot-Stützpunkt auf St. Thomas und die damit verbundenen Verteidigungsanlagen auf Water Island entscheidende Komponenten der US-Bemühungen zur Sicherung der Karibik während des Zweiten Weltkriegs waren. Obwohl ihre militärische Nutzung vor Jahrzehnten endete, bleiben sie aufgrund ihres historischen und strategischen Erbes von Bedeutung.\
\
Quellen\
\[1] Militärgeschichte von Water Island https\://history.wica.vi/military-history/\
\[2] Fort Segarra - Flamingo Point USVI Water Island http\://flamingopointusvi.com/water-island\
\[3] Fort Segarra - Virgin Islands - VInow\.com https\://www\.vinow\.com/wi/wi-a/fort-segarra/\
\[4] Fort Segarra - Wikipedia https\://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fort\_Segarra\
\[5] Fort Segarra - Jacksonville District - Army.mil https\://www\.saj.usace.army.mil/FortSegarra/\
\[6] Water Island, U.S. Virgin Islands - Wikipedia https\://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Water\_Island,\_U.S.\_Virgin\_Islands\
\[7] Water Island | Seas the Day Charters USVI https\://seasthedayusvi.com/2022/02/11/exploring-water-island-u-s-virgin-islands-best-kept-secret/\
\[8] Water Island: Aktivitäten und Sehenswürdigkeiten - Jungferninseln - VInow\.com https\://www\.vinow\.com/waterisland/attractions\_wi/
Dazu auch die Sammlung
Epstein
<https://waltisiegrist.locals.com/post/1353380/epstein-oder-wie-leicht-sich-die-wissenschaft-kaufen-laesst>
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@ ce269321:e18428bc
2025-02-23 05:08:15
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@ ce269321:e18428bc
2025-02-23 05:06:09
A PGBet é uma plataforma de jogos online projetada para oferecer aos usuários uma experiência de entretenimento sem igual. Seja você um novato ou um jogador experiente, a plataforma tem algo para todos. Com uma interface simples e intuitiva, os jogadores podem facilmente explorar diferentes categorias de jogos e aproveitar uma experiência de navegação tranquila.
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Variedade de Jogos para Todos os Gostos
A <a href="https://pgbet.store"> Pgbet </a> oferece uma ampla gama de jogos, que atende aos mais diversos estilos de jogadores. A variedade é um dos grandes diferenciais da plataforma, com opções para quem gosta de jogos de mesa, slots, e até opções ao vivo para quem busca uma experiência mais imersiva.
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@ a14ef72e:ff35dcf3
2025-02-23 04:39:58
If this works, I will take it as a sign that I can make long form posts here. But I haven't been asked for a private key. Will nos2x take care of that? Let's see...
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@ 52adc2ef:9f4bc0ba
2025-02-23 03:45:10
สวัสดีครับ วันนี้อยากมาเล่าเรื่องเกี่ยวกับ Options
เราได้ไปเรียนกับทาง อ.เอ็ม ติดเล่า เรื่องลงทุน
อยากจะเเชร์สำหรับคนที่สนใจ Options เเต่เพื่อนๆที่ลงทุนมาบ้างน่าจะเคยได้ยิน
เเต่ก่อนอื่นการเทรดลงทุนอยากให้เข้าใจ 3 คำนี้ก่อนนะครับ
**Spot , Futures , options**
**Spot** คือ การซื้อขาย สินทรัพย์ ณ เวลาปัจจุบัน ตามราคาปัจจุบัน เช่น BTC มีราคา 95,000$
ในเวปเทรด เรากดซื้อ จะได้ตามราคา
Futures คือ สัญญาซื้อ ขาย สินทรัพย์ล่วงหน้า จะซื้อขายในราคาที่กำหนด เมื่อถึงเวลากำหนด
จะต้องทำการซื้อขายตามนั้น คล้ายๆสัญญาซื้อที่ดิน ที่เราต้องใช้สิทธิ์กันทั้งผู้ซื้อและผู้ขาย
เช่น สัญญาจะซื้อ BTC ราคา 90,000$ โดยมีอายุสัญญา 3 เดือน ถ้าวันครบสัญญา BTC ราคา 95,000$ จะต้องขายให้ในราคา 90,000$
หรือ สัญญาขาย BTC ราคา 100,000$ โดยมีอายุสัญญา 3 เดือน ถ้าวันครบสัญญา BTC ราคา 95,000$ จะต้องขายให้ในราคา 100,000$
**Options** คือ สัญญาที่ผู้จะซื้อขาย เเบบ futures แต่มีจ่ายค่า Premium เพื่อมีสิทธิ์ที่จะใช้สิทธิ์ซื้อหรือสิทธิ์ขายก็ได้ โดยใช้สิทธิ์ในระยะเวลาที่กำหนด
เช่น สัญญา long call สัญญาใช้สิทธิ์ซื้อ เมื่อ BTC ราคา 98,000$ โดยต้องจ่ายค่า premium 100$ เพื่อLock สิทธิ์
ถ้าราคา BTC = 95,000$ เราไม่จำเป็นต้องใช้สิทธิ์ได้ เพราะซื้อในตลาดถูกกว่า เเต่เราจะต้องเสีย premium ที่เราวางไว้ เป็นต้น
พอจะเห็นภาพใช่มั้ยครับ
ซึ่งจะมาพูดในส่วนของ options กัน
Options มีการใช้สิทธิ์อยู่ 2 แบบ
Call Options โดยมี Long call คือ สิทธิ์ในการซื้อ Long put คือ สิทธิ์ในการขาย
Put Optionsโดยมี Short call คือ ผู้ที่มีหน้าที่ต้องขายจะคู่กับ Long call
Short put คือ ผู้ที่มีหน้าที่ต้องซื้อจะคู่กับ Long put
โดยมีคำศัพท์ควรรู้อีกเล็กน้อย จะได้เข้าใจภาพรวมทั้งหมดกัน
Strike price = ราคาที่จะซื้อจะขาย
maturity=วันสิ้นสัญญา
premium=เบี้ย
time to maturity=ระยะเวลาสัญญา
อาจจะยังงงๆ งั้นเริ่มอธิบายทีละข้อกันมาเริ่มที่
**Long Call Option**
สิทธิ์ในการซื้อ จากรูปจะเห็นว่าถ้าเราคิดว่าราคา สินทรัพย์ที่เราสนใจมีเเนวโน้มที่จะขึ้น
ซึ่งขณะนี้ ราคาอยู่ที่ 90$ เราอาจจะซื้อ Long call ที่ราคาเริ่มใช้สิทธิ์ Strike Price=100$
โดยมีค่า Premium ที่ 5$
จะเห็นว่าถ้าราคาเป็น 80$ เราคงไม่ใช้สิทธิ์ เพราะซื้อปกติถูกกว่า
ราคาใช้สิทธิ์เราจะต้องซื้อที่ 100$
เมื่อไม่ใช้สิทธิ์ เราต้องเสียค่า Premium ให้กับฝั่งที่มีหน้าที่ขาย คือ Short call
ซึ่งเมื่อเทียบกับการ Long Futures ถ้าเกิดลงไปเหลือ 45$ เราจะเสีย 50% เเต่ถ้ามี option จะเสียสุดที่เเค่ค่า Premium
รูปกราฟของ Long Futures
ซึ่ง Long call = Long future ครึ่งเดียวเพราะ Long Future ราคาจะขึ้นไปเรื่อยๆตามกราฟ
Long Call Option เหมาะใช้เมื่อไหร่?
ให้คิดว่าเหมือนซื้อหวย เพราะถ้าราคาไม่ไปตามที่คิดเราจะเสียเเค่ค่า Premium หวยเหมือนเราเสียค่า Premium ไปก่อน 80 บาท หรือวิเคราะห์มาเเล้วว่ามีโอกาสที่ราคาขึ้น
**Short Call Option**
เป็นฝั่งตรงข้ามกับ Long
call เราต้องมีหน้าที่ขายให้ฝั่ง long call ซึ่งฝั่งขายต้องมีสินทรัพย์นั้นๆเพื่อไว้ขาย เพราะมีหน้าที่
ต้องขาย ไม่เหมือนฝั่ง long call ที่มีสามารถเลือกใช้สิทธิ์ได้
เมื่อราคาไม่ถึง Strike Price หลังจากหมดอายุสัญญา ฝั่ง short call ได้ค่า Premium
จากฝั่ง Long call
จากรูป ถ้าสินทรัพย์ ราคา 90$ ราคาที่ต้องขายสินทรัพย์ 100$ ถ้าราคาไม่ถึง 100$ จะได้ค่า Premium เเต่ถ้าราคาเกิน 100$ เป็นต้นไป จะขาดทุนมากขึ้นเรื่อยๆ
ถ้าราคาไปที่ 150$ ต้องมาขายที่ 100$ ตามสัญญา
Short Call Option เหมาะใช้เมื่อไหร่?
เหมาะสำหรับที่เรามีสินทรัพย์ที่อยากจะขายอยู่เเล้วตาม Target ที่เราตั้งไว้
เช่น มีหุ้นที่ถือไว้อยู่เเล้ว ราคา 50$ ตั้งใจจะทำกำไรเมื่อราคา 100$ แทนที่จะรอขายเฉยๆ
มาทำการ Short call
ถ้าราคาไม่ถึงก็ได้กินค่า Premium ไป เเต่ถ้าราคาถึง 100$
เราต้องการที่จะ Take Profit อยู่เเล้ว ก็ขายไป
Long Put Option
หมายถึงเราสิทธ์ในการขายรือไม่ขายก็ได้ จะตรงข้ามกับ Long call
จากรูปถ้าถือสินทรัพย์จากทุน 50$ เเต่ตอนนี้ราคา 80$ เเล้วไม่เเน่ใจว่าราคาจะลงมั้ย เเต่ขึ้นต่อก็ไม่เปนไร
อยากจะ Lock ราคาขาย 70$ ใช้สัญญา Long Put จ่ายค่า Premium ถ้าราคาลงไปที่ 50$ เราใช้สิทธิ์ในการขายที่ ราคา 70$ ได้ ถ้าราคาขึ้นเราก็จะไม่ใช้สิทธิ์เพราะขายในตลาดได้ราคาดีกว่า
รูปกราฟของ Short Futures
ซึ่ง Long put = Short future ครึ่งเดียวเพราะ Short Future ราคาจะลงไปเรื่อยๆตามกราฟ
Long Put Option เหมาะใช้เมื่อไหร่?
ให้คิดว่าเหมือนซื้อประกัน ที่เราจ่ายเบี้ยประกันไปเพื่อที่จะ Lock ความเสี่ยงที่จะเกิด ส่วน Long Put ก็ไม่รู้ว่าราคาที่ถือจะลงมั้ย ยอมที่จ่ายค่า Premium เพื่อที่จะได้ราคาตามมูลค่าเดิมของเรา
**Short Put Option*
*
เป็นฝั่งตรงข้ามกับ Long put เราต้องมีหน้าที่รับซื้อให้ฝั่ง long put ซึ่งฝั่งซื้อต้องมีเงินเพื่อไว้ซื้อ เพราะมีหน้าที่ต้องซื้อ ไม่เหมือนฝั่ง long put ที่มีสามารถเลือกใช้สิทธิ์ได้
เมื่อราคาไม่ถึง Strike Price หลังจากหมดอายุสัญญา ฝั่ง short put ได้ค่า
Premium จากฝั่ง Long put
จากรูป
ราคาสินทรัพย์อยู่ที่ 80$ ราคาที่เรารับซื้อ หรือ Strike Price 70$ ถ้าราคาลงไม่ถึง 70 $ ก็จะได้ค่า Premium ถ้าราคาลงไปต่ำกว่า 70$ ก็ต้องรับซื้อทุกกรณี
ราคาลงไปที่ 50$ เราก็ต้องรับซื้อที่ 70$ ตามสัญญา
Short Put Option เหมาะใช้เมื่อไหร่?
ใช้เมื่อเราอยากจะซื้อสินทรัพย์ราคานั้นๆอยู่เเล้ว เช่น อยากจะซื้อที่ราคา 70 $ แทนที่จะรอเฉยๆ
อาจจะเปิด Short Put เพื่อที่ราคายังไม่ถึง target ก็จะได้ค่า Premium
ถ้าราคาถึงก็ได้ซื้อเหมือนที่ตั้งใจไว้
สรุป
จากที่เล่าทั้งหมดเป็นการอธิบาย Options เบื้องต้นที่อยากให้เพื่อนๆ ที่สนใจการเทรดอยู่เเล้ว
ถ้าเข้าใจเรื่อง Options ด้วยเราคิดว่าน่าจะปรับใช้ในส่วนช่วยใน Port ของเราไม่มากก็น้อย
หวังว่าจะเป็นประโยชน์กับทุกๆคนนะครับขอบคุณครับ
-
@ 5d4b6c8d:8a1c1ee3
2025-02-23 01:06:46
Well, my Wemby pick from last month just went up in flames. It's only getting more difficult to figure out who's getting that last spot, now. I want to take KAT, but that would give me the same exact picks as @gnilma with fewer possible points. I'll take his teammate, Jalen Brunson, and hope NY voters pick the wrong Knick.
Remember, older correct predictions are worth more than recent ones, so don't wait too long to get off your bad predictions.
Also, players must play in at least 65 games to be eligible for awards. Luka, AD, and Wemby are not going to be eligible, so you should swap them out if you still have them.
Here's the current state of the competition with your max possible score next to your nym:
| Contestant | MVP | Champ | All NBA | | | | |
|--------------|------|---------|----------|-|-|-|-|
| @Undisciplined 47| SGA| OKC | Jokic | Giannis |Tatum | SGA | Brunson |
| @grayruby 55| Giannis| Cavs| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Mitchell| Brunson|
| @gnilma 55| SGA| OKC| Jokic | KAT | Giannis | Tatum| SGA |
| @BitcoinAbhi 70 | Luka| Denver| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| SGA|
| @Bell_curve 63| SGA| Celtics| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| SGA|
| @0xbitcoiner 70 | Jokic| Pacers| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| Brunson|
| @Coinsreporter 49| Giannis| Pacers| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| Brunson|
| @TheMorningStar 49| Luka| Celtics| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| SGA|
| @onthedeklein 49| Luka| T-Wolves| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Wemby| SGA|
| @Carresan 49| Luka| Mavs| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Wemby| SGA|
| @BTC_Bellzer 34| SGA| Celtics| Jokic| Giannis | Tatum| SGA| Brunson |
| @realBitcoinDog 49| Luka| Lakers| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| SGA|
| @SimpleStacker 42| SGA| Celtics| Jokic| Tatum| Luka | Brunson| SGA|
| @BlokchainB 42| SGA| Knicks| AD| Giannis | Ant| Brunson| SGA|
**Prize**
At least 6k (I'll keep adding zaps to the pot).
If you want to join this contest, just leave your predictions for MVP, Champion, and All-NBA 1st team in the comments. See the [June post](https://stacker.news/items/585231/r/Undisciplined) for more details.
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/894412
-
@ 641d8c39:1224c8d3
2025-02-23 00:17:46
A specter is haunting the modern world, the specter of crypto anarchy.
Computer technology is on the verge of providing the ability for individuals and groups to communicate and interact with each other in a totally anonymous manner. Two persons may exchange messages, conduct business, and negotiate electronic contracts without ever knowing the True Name, or legal identity, of the other. Interactions over networks will be untraceable, via extensive re-routing of encrypted packets and tamper-proof boxes which implement cryptographic protocols with nearly perfect assurance against any tampering. Reputations will be of central importance, far more important in dealings than even the credit ratings of today. These developments will alter completely the nature of government regulation, the ability to tax and control economic interactions, the ability to keep information secret, and will even alter the nature of trust and reputation.
The technology for this revolution--and it surely will be both a social and economic revolution--has existed in theory for the past decade. The methods are based upon public-key encryption, zero-knowledge interactive proof systems, and various software protocols for interaction, authentication, and verification. The focus has until now been on academic conferences in Europe and the U.S., conferences monitored closely by the National Security Agency. But only recently have computer networks and personal computers attained sufficient speed to make the ideas practically realizable. And the next ten years will bring enough additional speed to make the ideas economically feasible and essentially unstoppable. High-speed networks, ISDN, tamper-proof boxes, smart cards, satellites, Ku-band transmitters, multi-MIPS personal computers, and encryption chips now under development will be some of the enabling technologies.
The State will of course try to slow or halt the spread of this technology, citing national security concerns, use of the technology by drug dealers and tax evaders, and fears of societal disintegration. Many of these concerns will be valid; crypto anarchy will allow national secrets to be trade freely and will allow illicit and stolen materials to be traded. An anonymous computerized market will even make possible abhorrent markets for assassinations and extortion. Various criminal and foreign elements will be active users of CryptoNet. But this will not halt the spread of crypto anarchy.
Just as the technology of printing altered and reduced the power of medieval guilds and the social power structure, so too will cryptologic methods fundamentally alter the nature of corporations and of government interference in economic transactions. Combined with emerging information markets, crypto anarchy will create a liquid market for any and all material which can be put into words and pictures. And just as a seemingly minor invention like barbed wire made possible the fencing-off of vast ranches and farms, thus altering forever the concepts of land and property rights in the frontier West, so too will the seemingly minor discovery out of an arcane branch of mathematics come to be the wire clippers which dismantle the barbed wire around intellectual property.
Arise, you have nothing to lose but your barbed wire fences!A specter is haunting the modern world, the specter of crypto anarchy.
Computer technology is on the verge of providing the ability for individuals and groups to communicate and interact with each other in a totally anonymous manner. Two persons may exchange messages, conduct business, and negotiate electronic contracts without ever knowing the True Name, or legal identity, of the other. Interactions over networks will be untraceable, via extensive re-routing of encrypted packets and tamper-proof boxes which implement cryptographic protocols with nearly perfect assurance against any tampering. Reputations will be of central importance, far more important in dealings than even the credit ratings of today. These developments will alter completely the nature of government regulation, the ability to tax and control economic interactions, the ability to keep information secret, and will even alter the nature of trust and reputation.
The technology for this revolution--and it surely will be both a social and economic revolution--has existed in theory for the past decade. The methods are based upon public-key encryption, zero-knowledge interactive proof systems, and various software protocols for interaction, authentication, and verification. The focus has until now been on academic conferences in Europe and the U.S., conferences monitored closely by the National Security Agency. But only recently have computer networks and personal computers attained sufficient speed to make the ideas practically realizable. And the next ten years will bring enough additional speed to make the ideas economically feasible and essentially unstoppable. High-speed networks, ISDN, tamper-proof boxes, smart cards, satellites, Ku-band transmitters, multi-MIPS personal computers, and encryption chips now under development will be some of the enabling technologies.
The State will of course try to slow or halt the spread of this technology, citing national security concerns, use of the technology by drug dealers and tax evaders, and fears of societal disintegration. Many of these concerns will be valid; crypto anarchy will allow national secrets to be trade freely and will allow illicit and stolen materials to be traded. An anonymous computerized market will even make possible abhorrent markets for assassinations and extortion. Various criminal and foreign elements will be active users of CryptoNet. But this will not halt the spread of crypto anarchy.
Just as the technology of printing altered and reduced the power of medieval guilds and the social power structure, so too will cryptologic methods fundamentally alter the nature of corporations and of government interference in economic transactions. Combined with emerging information markets, crypto anarchy will create a liquid market for any and all material which can be put into words and pictures. And just as a seemingly minor invention like barbed wire made possible the fencing-off of vast ranches and farms, thus altering forever the concepts of land and property rights in the frontier West, so too will the seemingly minor discovery out of an arcane branch of mathematics come to be the wire clippers which dismantle the barbed wire around intellectual property.
Arise, you have nothing to lose but your barbed wire fences!
https://groups.csail.mit.edu/mac/classes/6.805/articles/crypto/cypherpunks/may-crypto-manifesto.html
-
@ 6260f29f:2ee2fcd4
2025-02-22 22:46:27
# A title before again
```js
import React, { useEffect, useState } from 'react';
import dynamic from 'next/dynamic';
import { Dialog } from 'primereact/dialog';
import { track } from '@vercel/analytics';
import { LightningAddress } from '@getalby/lightning-tools';
import { useToast } from '@/hooks/useToast';
import { useSession } from 'next-auth/react';
import { ProgressSpinner } from 'primereact/progressspinner';
import axios from 'axios';
import GenericButton from '@/components/buttons/GenericButton';
import useWindowWidth from '@/hooks/useWindowWidth';
import { useRouter } from 'next/router';
const Payment = dynamic(
() => import('@getalby/bitcoin-connect-react').then((mod) => mod.Payment),
{ ssr: false }
);
const ResourcePaymentButton = ({ lnAddress, amount, onSuccess, onError, resourceId }) => {
const [invoice, setInvoice] = useState(null);
const [isLoading, setIsLoading] = useState(false);
const { showToast } = useToast();
const { data: session, status } = useSession();
const [dialogVisible, setDialogVisible] = useState(false);
const router = useRouter();
const windowWidth = useWindowWidth();
const isMobile = windowWidth < 768;
useEffect(() => {
let intervalId;
if (invoice) {
intervalId = setInterval(async () => {
const paid = await invoice.verifyPayment();
if (paid && invoice.preimage) {
clearInterval(intervalId);
// handle success
handlePaymentSuccess({ paid, preimage: invoice.preimage });
}
}, 2000);
} else {
console.error('no invoice');
}
return () => {
if (intervalId) {
clearInterval(intervalId);
}
};
}, [invoice]);
const fetchInvoice = async () => {
setIsLoading(true);
try {
const ln = new LightningAddress(lnAddress);
await ln.fetch();
const invoice = await ln.requestInvoice({ satoshi: amount });
setInvoice(invoice);
setDialogVisible(true);
} catch (error) {
console.error('Error fetching invoice:', error);
showToast('error', 'Invoice Error', 'Failed to fetch the invoice.');
if (onError) onError(error);
}
setIsLoading(false);
};
const handlePaymentSuccess = async (response) => {
try {
const purchaseData = {
userId: session.user.id,
resourceId: resourceId,
amountPaid: parseInt(amount, 10)
};
const result = await axios.post('/api/purchase/resource', purchaseData);
if (result.status === 200) {
track('Resource Payment', { resourceId: resourceId, userId: session?.user?.id });
if (onSuccess) onSuccess(response);
} else {
throw new Error('Failed to update user purchases');
}
} catch (error) {
console.error('Error updating user purchases:', error);
showToast('error', 'Purchase Update Failed', 'Payment was successful, but failed to update user purchases.');
if (onError) onError(error);
}
setDialogVisible(false);
};
return (
<>
<GenericButton
label={`${amount} sats`}
icon="pi pi-wallet"
onClick={() => {
if (status === 'unauthenticated') {
console.log('unauthenticated');
router.push('/auth/signin');
} else {
fetchInvoice();
}
}}
disabled={isLoading}
severity='primary'
rounded
className={`text-[#f8f8ff] text-sm ${isLoading ? 'hidden' : ''}`}
/>
{isLoading && (
<div className='w-full h-full flex items-center justify-center'>
<ProgressSpinner
style={{ width: '30px', height: '30px' }}
strokeWidth="8"
animationDuration=".5s"
/>
</div>
)}
<Dialog
visible={dialogVisible}
onHide={() => setDialogVisible(false)}
header="Make Payment"
style={{ width: isMobile ? '90vw' : '50vw' }}
>
{invoice ? (
<Payment
invoice={invoice.paymentRequest}
onPaid={handlePaymentSuccess}
paymentMethods='all'
title={`Pay ${amount} sats`}
/>
) : (
<p>Loading payment details...</p>
)}
</Dialog>
</>
);
};
export default ResourcePaymentButton;
```