@ 52adc2ef:9f4bc0ba

สวัสดีครับ วันนี้อยากมาเล่าเรื่องเกี่ยวกับ Options เราได้ไปเรียนกับทาง อ.เอ็ม ติดเล่า เรื่องลงทุน อยากจะเเชร์สำหรับคนที่สนใจ Options เเต่เพื่อนๆที่ลงทุนมาบ้างน่าจะเคยได้ยิน เเต่ก่อนอื่นการเทรดลงทุนอยากให้เข้าใจ 3 คำนี้ก่อนนะครับ **Spot , Futures , options** **Spot** คือ การซื้อขาย สินทรัพย์ ณ เวลาปัจจุบัน ตามราคาปัจจุบัน เช่น BTC มีราคา 95,000$ ในเวปเทรด เรากดซื้อ จะได้ตามราคา Futures คือ สัญญาซื้อ ขาย สินทรัพย์ล่วงหน้า จะซื้อขายในราคาที่กำหนด เมื่อถึงเวลากำหนด จะต้องทำการซื้อขายตามนั้น คล้ายๆสัญญาซื้อที่ดิน ที่เราต้องใช้สิทธิ์กันทั้งผู้ซื้อและผู้ขาย เช่น สัญญาจะซื้อ BTC ราคา 90,000$ โดยมีอายุสัญญา 3 เดือน ถ้าวันครบสัญญา BTC ราคา 95,000$ จะต้องขายให้ในราคา 90,000$ หรือ สัญญาขาย BTC ราคา 100,000$ โดยมีอายุสัญญา 3 เดือน ถ้าวันครบสัญญา BTC ราคา 95,000$ จะต้องขายให้ในราคา 100,000$ **Options** คือ สัญญาที่ผู้จะซื้อขาย เเบบ futures แต่มีจ่ายค่า Premium เพื่อมีสิทธิ์ที่จะใช้สิทธิ์ซื้อหรือสิทธิ์ขายก็ได้ โดยใช้สิทธิ์ในระยะเวลาที่กำหนด เช่น สัญญา long call สัญญาใช้สิทธิ์ซื้อ เมื่อ BTC ราคา 98,000$ โดยต้องจ่ายค่า premium 100$ เพื่อLock สิทธิ์ ถ้าราคา BTC = 95,000$ เราไม่จำเป็นต้องใช้สิทธิ์ได้ เพราะซื้อในตลาดถูกกว่า เเต่เราจะต้องเสีย premium ที่เราวางไว้ เป็นต้น พอจะเห็นภาพใช่มั้ยครับ ซึ่งจะมาพูดในส่วนของ options กัน Options มีการใช้สิทธิ์อยู่ 2 แบบ Call Options โดยมี Long call คือ สิทธิ์ในการซื้อ Long put คือ สิทธิ์ในการขาย Put Optionsโดยมี Short call คือ ผู้ที่มีหน้าที่ต้องขายจะคู่กับ Long call Short put คือ ผู้ที่มีหน้าที่ต้องซื้อจะคู่กับ Long put โดยมีคำศัพท์ควรรู้อีกเล็กน้อย จะได้เข้าใจภาพรวมทั้งหมดกัน Strike price = ราคาที่จะซื้อจะขาย maturity=วันสิ้นสัญญา premium=เบี้ย time to maturity=ระยะเวลาสัญญา อาจจะยังงงๆ งั้นเริ่มอธิบายทีละข้อกันมาเริ่มที่ **Long Call Option**  สิทธิ์ในการซื้อ จากรูปจะเห็นว่าถ้าเราคิดว่าราคา สินทรัพย์ที่เราสนใจมีเเนวโน้มที่จะขึ้น ซึ่งขณะนี้ ราคาอยู่ที่ 90$ เราอาจจะซื้อ Long call ที่ราคาเริ่มใช้สิทธิ์ Strike Price=100$ โดยมีค่า Premium ที่ 5$ จะเห็นว่าถ้าราคาเป็น 80$ เราคงไม่ใช้สิทธิ์ เพราะซื้อปกติถูกกว่า ราคาใช้สิทธิ์เราจะต้องซื้อที่ 100$ เมื่อไม่ใช้สิทธิ์ เราต้องเสียค่า Premium ให้กับฝั่งที่มีหน้าที่ขาย คือ Short call ซึ่งเมื่อเทียบกับการ Long Futures ถ้าเกิดลงไปเหลือ 45$ เราจะเสีย 50% เเต่ถ้ามี option จะเสียสุดที่เเค่ค่า Premium  รูปกราฟของ Long Futures ซึ่ง Long call = Long future ครึ่งเดียวเพราะ Long Future ราคาจะขึ้นไปเรื่อยๆตามกราฟ Long Call Option เหมาะใช้เมื่อไหร่? ให้คิดว่าเหมือนซื้อหวย เพราะถ้าราคาไม่ไปตามที่คิดเราจะเสียเเค่ค่า Premium หวยเหมือนเราเสียค่า Premium ไปก่อน 80 บาท หรือวิเคราะห์มาเเล้วว่ามีโอกาสที่ราคาขึ้น **Short Call Option**  เป็นฝั่งตรงข้ามกับ Long call เราต้องมีหน้าที่ขายให้ฝั่ง long call ซึ่งฝั่งขายต้องมีสินทรัพย์นั้นๆเพื่อไว้ขาย เพราะมีหน้าที่ ต้องขาย ไม่เหมือนฝั่ง long call ที่มีสามารถเลือกใช้สิทธิ์ได้ เมื่อราคาไม่ถึง Strike Price หลังจากหมดอายุสัญญา ฝั่ง short call ได้ค่า Premium จากฝั่ง Long call จากรูป ถ้าสินทรัพย์ ราคา 90$ ราคาที่ต้องขายสินทรัพย์ 100$ ถ้าราคาไม่ถึง 100$ จะได้ค่า Premium เเต่ถ้าราคาเกิน 100$ เป็นต้นไป จะขาดทุนมากขึ้นเรื่อยๆ ถ้าราคาไปที่ 150$ ต้องมาขายที่ 100$ ตามสัญญา Short Call Option เหมาะใช้เมื่อไหร่? เหมาะสำหรับที่เรามีสินทรัพย์ที่อยากจะขายอยู่เเล้วตาม Target ที่เราตั้งไว้ เช่น มีหุ้นที่ถือไว้อยู่เเล้ว ราคา 50$ ตั้งใจจะทำกำไรเมื่อราคา 100$ แทนที่จะรอขายเฉยๆ มาทำการ Short call ถ้าราคาไม่ถึงก็ได้กินค่า Premium ไป เเต่ถ้าราคาถึง 100$ เราต้องการที่จะ Take Profit อยู่เเล้ว ก็ขายไป Long Put Option  หมายถึงเราสิทธ์ในการขายรือไม่ขายก็ได้ จะตรงข้ามกับ Long call จากรูปถ้าถือสินทรัพย์จากทุน 50$ เเต่ตอนนี้ราคา 80$ เเล้วไม่เเน่ใจว่าราคาจะลงมั้ย เเต่ขึ้นต่อก็ไม่เปนไร อยากจะ Lock ราคาขาย 70$ ใช้สัญญา Long Put จ่ายค่า Premium ถ้าราคาลงไปที่ 50$ เราใช้สิทธิ์ในการขายที่ ราคา 70$ ได้ ถ้าราคาขึ้นเราก็จะไม่ใช้สิทธิ์เพราะขายในตลาดได้ราคาดีกว่า  รูปกราฟของ Short Futures ซึ่ง Long put = Short future ครึ่งเดียวเพราะ Short Future ราคาจะลงไปเรื่อยๆตามกราฟ Long Put Option เหมาะใช้เมื่อไหร่? ให้คิดว่าเหมือนซื้อประกัน ที่เราจ่ายเบี้ยประกันไปเพื่อที่จะ Lock ความเสี่ยงที่จะเกิด ส่วน Long Put ก็ไม่รู้ว่าราคาที่ถือจะลงมั้ย ยอมที่จ่ายค่า Premium เพื่อที่จะได้ราคาตามมูลค่าเดิมของเรา **Short Put Option* * เป็นฝั่งตรงข้ามกับ Long put เราต้องมีหน้าที่รับซื้อให้ฝั่ง long put ซึ่งฝั่งซื้อต้องมีเงินเพื่อไว้ซื้อ เพราะมีหน้าที่ต้องซื้อ ไม่เหมือนฝั่ง long put ที่มีสามารถเลือกใช้สิทธิ์ได้ เมื่อราคาไม่ถึง Strike Price หลังจากหมดอายุสัญญา ฝั่ง short put ได้ค่า Premium จากฝั่ง Long put จากรูป ราคาสินทรัพย์อยู่ที่ 80$ ราคาที่เรารับซื้อ หรือ Strike Price 70$ ถ้าราคาลงไม่ถึง 70 $ ก็จะได้ค่า Premium ถ้าราคาลงไปต่ำกว่า 70$ ก็ต้องรับซื้อทุกกรณี ราคาลงไปที่ 50$ เราก็ต้องรับซื้อที่ 70$ ตามสัญญา Short Put Option เหมาะใช้เมื่อไหร่? ใช้เมื่อเราอยากจะซื้อสินทรัพย์ราคานั้นๆอยู่เเล้ว เช่น อยากจะซื้อที่ราคา 70 $ แทนที่จะรอเฉยๆ อาจจะเปิด Short Put เพื่อที่ราคายังไม่ถึง target ก็จะได้ค่า Premium ถ้าราคาถึงก็ได้ซื้อเหมือนที่ตั้งใจไว้ สรุป จากที่เล่าทั้งหมดเป็นการอธิบาย Options เบื้องต้นที่อยากให้เพื่อนๆ ที่สนใจการเทรดอยู่เเล้ว ถ้าเข้าใจเรื่อง Options ด้วยเราคิดว่าน่าจะปรับใช้ในส่วนช่วยใน Port ของเราไม่มากก็น้อย หวังว่าจะเป็นประโยชน์กับทุกๆคนนะครับขอบคุณครับ

@ 5d4b6c8d:8a1c1ee3

Well, my Wemby pick from last month just went up in flames. It's only getting more difficult to figure out who's getting that last spot, now. I want to take KAT, but that would give me the same exact picks as @gnilma with fewer possible points. I'll take his teammate, Jalen Brunson, and hope NY voters pick the wrong Knick. Remember, older correct predictions are worth more than recent ones, so don't wait too long to get off your bad predictions. Also, players must play in at least 65 games to be eligible for awards. Luka, AD, and Wemby are not going to be eligible, so you should swap them out if you still have them. Here's the current state of the competition with your max possible score next to your nym: | Contestant | MVP | Champ | All NBA | | | | | |--------------|------|---------|----------|-|-|-|-| | @Undisciplined 47| SGA| OKC | Jokic | Giannis |Tatum | SGA | Brunson | | @grayruby 55| Giannis| Cavs| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Mitchell| Brunson| | @gnilma 55| SGA| OKC| Jokic | KAT | Giannis | Tatum| SGA | | @BitcoinAbhi 70 | Luka| Denver| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| SGA| | @Bell_curve 63| SGA| Celtics| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| SGA| | @0xbitcoiner 70 | Jokic| Pacers| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| Brunson| | @Coinsreporter 49| Giannis| Pacers| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| Brunson| | @TheMorningStar 49| Luka| Celtics| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| SGA| | @onthedeklein 49| Luka| T-Wolves| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Wemby| SGA| | @Carresan 49| Luka| Mavs| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Wemby| SGA| | @BTC_Bellzer 34| SGA| Celtics| Jokic| Giannis | Tatum| SGA| Brunson | | @realBitcoinDog 49| Luka| Lakers| Jokic | Giannis | Luka | Ant| SGA| | @SimpleStacker 42| SGA| Celtics| Jokic| Tatum| Luka | Brunson| SGA| | @BlokchainB 42| SGA| Knicks| AD| Giannis | Ant| Brunson| SGA| **Prize** At least 6k (I'll keep adding zaps to the pot). If you want to join this contest, just leave your predictions for MVP, Champion, and All-NBA 1st team in the comments. See the [June post](https://stacker.news/items/585231/r/Undisciplined) for more details. originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/894412

@ 641d8c39:1224c8d3

A specter is haunting the modern world, the specter of crypto anarchy. Computer technology is on the verge of providing the ability for individuals and groups to communicate and interact with each other in a totally anonymous manner. Two persons may exchange messages, conduct business, and negotiate electronic contracts without ever knowing the True Name, or legal identity, of the other. Interactions over networks will be untraceable, via extensive re-routing of encrypted packets and tamper-proof boxes which implement cryptographic protocols with nearly perfect assurance against any tampering. Reputations will be of central importance, far more important in dealings than even the credit ratings of today. These developments will alter completely the nature of government regulation, the ability to tax and control economic interactions, the ability to keep information secret, and will even alter the nature of trust and reputation. The technology for this revolution--and it surely will be both a social and economic revolution--has existed in theory for the past decade. The methods are based upon public-key encryption, zero-knowledge interactive proof systems, and various software protocols for interaction, authentication, and verification. The focus has until now been on academic conferences in Europe and the U.S., conferences monitored closely by the National Security Agency. But only recently have computer networks and personal computers attained sufficient speed to make the ideas practically realizable. And the next ten years will bring enough additional speed to make the ideas economically feasible and essentially unstoppable. High-speed networks, ISDN, tamper-proof boxes, smart cards, satellites, Ku-band transmitters, multi-MIPS personal computers, and encryption chips now under development will be some of the enabling technologies. The State will of course try to slow or halt the spread of this technology, citing national security concerns, use of the technology by drug dealers and tax evaders, and fears of societal disintegration. Many of these concerns will be valid; crypto anarchy will allow national secrets to be trade freely and will allow illicit and stolen materials to be traded. An anonymous computerized market will even make possible abhorrent markets for assassinations and extortion. Various criminal and foreign elements will be active users of CryptoNet. But this will not halt the spread of crypto anarchy. Just as the technology of printing altered and reduced the power of medieval guilds and the social power structure, so too will cryptologic methods fundamentally alter the nature of corporations and of government interference in economic transactions. Combined with emerging information markets, crypto anarchy will create a liquid market for any and all material which can be put into words and pictures. And just as a seemingly minor invention like barbed wire made possible the fencing-off of vast ranches and farms, thus altering forever the concepts of land and property rights in the frontier West, so too will the seemingly minor discovery out of an arcane branch of mathematics come to be the wire clippers which dismantle the barbed wire around intellectual property. Arise, you have nothing to lose but your barbed wire fences!A specter is haunting the modern world, the specter of crypto anarchy. Computer technology is on the verge of providing the ability for individuals and groups to communicate and interact with each other in a totally anonymous manner. Two persons may exchange messages, conduct business, and negotiate electronic contracts without ever knowing the True Name, or legal identity, of the other. Interactions over networks will be untraceable, via extensive re-routing of encrypted packets and tamper-proof boxes which implement cryptographic protocols with nearly perfect assurance against any tampering. Reputations will be of central importance, far more important in dealings than even the credit ratings of today. These developments will alter completely the nature of government regulation, the ability to tax and control economic interactions, the ability to keep information secret, and will even alter the nature of trust and reputation. The technology for this revolution--and it surely will be both a social and economic revolution--has existed in theory for the past decade. The methods are based upon public-key encryption, zero-knowledge interactive proof systems, and various software protocols for interaction, authentication, and verification. The focus has until now been on academic conferences in Europe and the U.S., conferences monitored closely by the National Security Agency. But only recently have computer networks and personal computers attained sufficient speed to make the ideas practically realizable. And the next ten years will bring enough additional speed to make the ideas economically feasible and essentially unstoppable. High-speed networks, ISDN, tamper-proof boxes, smart cards, satellites, Ku-band transmitters, multi-MIPS personal computers, and encryption chips now under development will be some of the enabling technologies. The State will of course try to slow or halt the spread of this technology, citing national security concerns, use of the technology by drug dealers and tax evaders, and fears of societal disintegration. Many of these concerns will be valid; crypto anarchy will allow national secrets to be trade freely and will allow illicit and stolen materials to be traded. An anonymous computerized market will even make possible abhorrent markets for assassinations and extortion. Various criminal and foreign elements will be active users of CryptoNet. But this will not halt the spread of crypto anarchy. Just as the technology of printing altered and reduced the power of medieval guilds and the social power structure, so too will cryptologic methods fundamentally alter the nature of corporations and of government interference in economic transactions. Combined with emerging information markets, crypto anarchy will create a liquid market for any and all material which can be put into words and pictures. And just as a seemingly minor invention like barbed wire made possible the fencing-off of vast ranches and farms, thus altering forever the concepts of land and property rights in the frontier West, so too will the seemingly minor discovery out of an arcane branch of mathematics come to be the wire clippers which dismantle the barbed wire around intellectual property. Arise, you have nothing to lose but your barbed wire fences! https://groups.csail.mit.edu/mac/classes/6.805/articles/crypto/cypherpunks/may-crypto-manifesto.html

@ fc481c65:e280e7ba

**Math is the formalization of a human idea** Mathematics is a broad field of study that involves the investigation of patterns, quantities, structures, and changes in the abstract form as well as their real-world applications. It is foundational to a variety of disciplines including science, engineering, medicine, and the social sciences, providing a framework for reasoning, problem-solving, and understanding the universe. <iframe title="The Map of Mathematics" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/OmJ-4B-mS-Y?feature=oembed" height="113" width="200" allowfullscreen="" allow="fullscreen" style="aspect-ratio: 1.76991 / 1; width: 100%; height: 100%;"></iframe> Mathematics is composed of many subfields, including but not limited to: 1. **Arithmetic:** The study of numbers and the basic operations on them: addition, subtraction, multiplication, and division. 2. **Algebra:** The study of symbols and the rules for manipulating these symbols; it is a unifying thread of almost all of mathematics. 3. **Geometry:** The study of shapes, sizes, and properties of space. 4. **Calculus:** The study of change in mathematical functions and models, dealing with limits, derivatives, integrals, and infinite series. 5. **Statistics:** The study of data collection, analysis, interpretation, presentation, and organization. 6. **Number Theory:** The study of properties and relationships of numbers, especially the integers. 7. **Topology:** The study of properties that remain constant through continuous deformations, such as stretching and bending, but not tearing or gluing. 8. **Applied Mathematics:** Uses mathematical methods and reasoning to solve real-world problems in business, science, engineering, and other fields. Mathematics is both ancient and modern; it has a rich history stretching back thousands of years, yet it continues to develop and evolve today, with new theories, discoveries, and applications constantly emerging. It is both a rigorous discipline in its own right and an essential tool used throughout the sciences and beyond. ## Pure and Applied Mathematics Pure mathematics and applied mathematics represent two broad categories within the field of mathematics, each with its focus, methodologies, and applications. The distinction between them lies in their primary objectives and the way mathematical theories are utilized. [[Attachments/01233372a59d2dc17b937c38319d672f_MD5.jpeg|Open: Pasted image 20240405125055.png]] ![[Attachments/01233372a59d2dc17b937c38319d672f_MD5.jpeg]] #### Pure Mathematics Pure mathematics is concerned with the study of mathematical concepts independent of any application outside mathematics. It is motivated by a desire to understand abstract principles and the properties of mathematical structures. The pursuit in pure mathematics is knowledge for its own sake, not necessarily aiming to find immediate practical applications. Pure mathematicians often focus on proving theorems and exploring theoretical frameworks, driven by curiosity and the aesthetic appeal of mathematics itself. Key areas within pure mathematics include: - **Algebra:** The study of symbols and the rules for manipulating these symbols. - **Geometry:** The investigation of the properties of space and figures. - **Analysis:** The rigorous formulation of calculus, focusing on limits, continuity, and infinite series. - **Number Theory:** The study of the properties of numbers, particularly integers. - **Topology:** The study of properties preserved through deformations, twistings, and stretchings of objects. #### Applied Mathematics Applied mathematics, on the other hand, is focused on the development and practical use of mathematical methods to solve problems in other areas, such as science, engineering, technology, economics, business, and industry. Applied mathematics is deeply connected with empirical research and the application of mathematical models to real-world situations. It involves the formulation, study, and use of mathematical models and seeks to make predictions, optimize solutions, and develop new approaches based on mathematical theory. Key areas within applied mathematics include: - **Differential Equations:** Used to model rates of change in applied contexts. - **Statistics and Probability:** The study of data, uncertainty, and the quantification of the likelihood of events. - **Computational Mathematics:** The use of algorithmic techniques for solving mathematical problems more efficiently, especially those that are too large for human numerical capacity. - **Mathematical Physics:** The application of mathematics to solve problems in physics and the development of mathematical methods for such applications. ## Is Mathematics discovered or Invented The question of whether mathematics is discovered or invented is a philosophical one that has sparked debate among mathematicians, philosophers, and scientists for centuries. Both viewpoints offer compelling arguments, and the distinction often hinges on one's perspective on the nature of mathematical objects and the universality of mathematical truths. <iframe title="Is math discovered or invented? - Jeff Dekofsky" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/X_xR5Kes4Rs?feature=oembed" height="113" width="200" allowfullscreen="" allow="fullscreen" style="aspect-ratio: 1.76991 / 1; width: 100%; height: 100%;"></iframe> ### Mathematics as Discovered Those who argue that mathematics is discovered believe that mathematical truths exist independently of human thought and that mathematicians uncover these truths through investigation and reasoning. This viewpoint suggests that mathematical concepts like numbers, geometrical shapes, and even more abstract ideas have a reality that transcends human invention. The consistency of mathematical laws across cultures and times, and their applicability in accurately describing the natural world, supports the notion that mathematics is a universal truth waiting to be discovered. According to this perspective, mathematical structures exist in some abstract realm, and humans merely uncover aspects of this pre-existing world. #### Mathematics as Invented On the other hand, the viewpoint that mathematics is invented centers on the idea that mathematical concepts are human creations, designed to describe and understand the world. According to this perspective, mathematical theories and structures are the products of human thought, created to serve specific purposes in science, engineering, and other fields. This view emphasizes the role of creativity and invention in the development of mathematical ideas, suggesting that different cultures or species might develop entirely different mathematical systems depending on their needs and experiences. Proponents of this view point to the variety of mathematical systems (such as different geometries or number systems) that have been invented to solve particular types of problems, arguing that this diversity is evidence of mathematics being a human invention. #### A Middle Ground Some argue for a middle ground, suggesting that while the basic elements of mathematics are discovered, the development of complex mathematical theories and the choice of which aspects to study or develop further involve human invention and creativity. This perspective acknowledges the intrinsic properties of mathematical objects while also recognizing the role of human ingenuity in shaping the field of mathematics. #### Conclusion The debate between discovery and invention in mathematics may never be conclusively resolved, as it touches on deep philosophical questions about the nature of reality and the human mind's relationship to it. Whether one views mathematics as discovered or invented often reflects deeper beliefs about the world and our place within it. ## Axioms a particular mathematical system or theory. They serve as the foundational building blocks from which theorems and other mathematical truths are derived. Axioms are assumed to be self-evident, and their selection is based on their ability to produce a coherent and logically consistent framework for a body of mathematical knowledge. In the context of different branches of mathematics, axioms can vary significantly: - **In Euclidean geometry,** one of the most famous sets of axioms are Euclid's postulates, which include statements like "A straight line segment can be drawn joining any two points," and "All right angles are congruent." - **In algebra,** the field axioms define the properties of operations like addition and multiplication over sets of numbers. - **In set theory,** Zermelo-Fraenkel axioms (with the Axiom of Choice) are a set of axioms used to establish a foundation for much of modern mathematics. The role of axioms has evolved throughout the history of mathematics. Initially, they were considered self-evident truths, but as mathematics has developed, the emphasis has shifted to viewing axioms more as arbitrary starting points chosen for their usefulness in building a mathematical theory. This shift allows for the creation of different, sometimes non-intuitive, mathematical frameworks such as non-Euclidean geometries, which arise from altering Euclid's original postulates. **Everything in maths is constructed based on Axioms, not observation of the scientific method!** It's based only on the human logic reasoning. **And the universe doesn't five a fuck to fit inside human logic reasoning.** <iframe title="The paradox at the heart of mathematics: Gödel's Incompleteness Theorem - Marcus du Sautoy" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/I4pQbo5MQOs?feature=oembed" height="113" width="200" allowfullscreen="" allow="fullscreen" style="aspect-ratio: 1.76991 / 1; width: 100%; height: 100%;"></iframe> ## Mathematics is not a Science Mathematics and science are deeply interconnected, but they are distinguished by their fundamental approaches, methodologies, and objectives. The distinction between mathematics as a formal science and other natural or empirical sciences like physics, biology, and chemistry lies in the nature of their inquiry and validation methods. **Maths doesn't need to prove itself through the scientific method, it only needs axioms, logic, and previous definitions.** - **Mathematics:** Uses deduction as a primary tool. Starting from axioms and definitions, mathematicians use logical reasoning to derive theorems and propositions. The validity of mathematical statements is determined through proofs, which are arguments that demonstrate their truth within the context of axiomatic systems. - **Science:** Employs the scientific method, which involves hypothesis formation, experimentation, observation, and the modification of hypotheses based on empirical evidence. Scientific theories and laws are validated by their ability to predict and explain phenomena in the natural world, and they are always subject to revision in light of new evidence. ### Objectives - **Mathematics:** Aims to create a coherent set of rules and structures that can explain and predict outcomes within abstract systems. Its primary goal is not to describe the physical world but to explore the properties and possibilities of mathematical structures. - **Science:** Aims to understand and describe the universe. The goal is to produce a body of knowledge that explains natural phenomena and can predict outcomes based on empirical evidence. In summary, while mathematics is often used as a tool in science to model and solve problems, its focus on abstract reasoning and logical proof distinguishes it from the empirical methodologies of the natural sciences. This fundamental difference in approach and objective is why mathematics is considered a formal science or a branch of knowledge distinct from natural or physical sciences, which are based on empirical evidence and experimental validation.

@ fc481c65:e280e7ba

Starting with the basics, #statistics is a branch of #mathematics that deals with collecting, analysing, interpreting, presenting, and organising #data. It provides a way to make sense of data, see patterns, and make decisions based on data analysis. Here's a brief overview of some fundamental concepts in statistics: ### 1. Types of Statistics - **Descriptive Statistics**: Involves summarising and organising data so it can be easily understood. Common measures include mean (average), median (middle value), mode (most frequent value), variance (measure of how spread out numbers are), and standard deviation (average distance from the mean). - **Inferential Statistics**: Involves making predictions or inferences about a population based on a sample. This includes hypothesis testing, confidence intervals, and regression analysis. ### 2. Types of Data - **Qualitative Data** (Categorical): Data that describes qualities or characteristics that cannot be measured with numbers, such as colors, names, labels, and yes/no responses. - **Quantitative Data**: Data that can be measured and expressed numerically, including age, height, salary, and temperature. It can be further divided into discrete data (countable items, like the number of students in a class) and continuous data (measurable items, like height). ### 3. Measures of Central Tendency - **Mean**: The average of a data set, found by adding all numbers and dividing by the count of numbers. - **Median**: The middle value when a data set is ordered from least to greatest; if there’s an even number of observations, it is the average of the two middle numbers. - **Mode**: The most frequently occurring value in a data set. ### 4. Measures of Spread - **Range**: The difference between the highest and lowest values in a data set. - **Variance**: Measures how far each number in the set is from the mean and thus from every other number in the set. - **Standard Deviation**: The square root of the variance, providing a measure of the spread of a distribution of values. ### 5. Probability Probability measures the likelihood of an event occurring, ranging from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain). Understanding probability is essential for inferential statistics and making predictions based on data. ### 6. Sampling and Data Collection - **Population**: The entire group that you want to draw conclusions about. - **Sample**: A subset of the population, selected for the actual study. It’s crucial for the sample to be representative of the population to make accurate inferences. ### 7. Hypothesis Testing This is a method of making decisions or inferences about population parameters based on sample statistics. It involves: - Formulating a null hypothesis (no effect) and an alternative hypothesis (some effect). - Calculating a test statistic based on the sample data. - Using the test statistic to decide whether to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative.

@ df478568:2a951e67

 I shop the bitcoin circular economy as much as I can. Maybe "shop" isn't the best way to describe it. Shopping is a behavior typical of fiat maxis. they drive fancy leases and shop 'till they drop. This season's fashion must-have is next season's trash. Bitcoiners don't shop, we replenish supplies. Our goal is to get the best value for our sats. Our goal to hodl our sats as long as possible. Yesterday, I shoveled a [ton of compost](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzph68s45y080zdd9g8sdacnd6kcd4ejpwrgcju2eghjq45y4f28n8qqs24rrm3u2wvf24ad8xkj2xh8nuq2lz7urnd3lzrpqlstmsp4r29hsug39jw) for my garden. If taking showers mean's I', short bitcoin, so be it. I also happened to get my soap from Soapminer delivered to my P.O. Box the day before. What better way is there to test this soap than after shoveling some shit? It was perfect timing. ## Soapminer Sells Soap Made From Beef Tallow Soapminer is a nostr rounder I've seen online every timestamp in a while. As the name suggests, he makes soap and sells it for sats. He's not the only soap seller on nostr, but something stands out about this soap. He uses beef tallow, the stuff McDonald's used for french fries back in the day. I use it to cook. It's basically beef lard. So this pleb makes soap and markets it to people who talk about beef and bitcoin. That's better than Fight Club. Then [I heard Matt Odell say it was pretty good](https://fountain.fm/clip/6GHDdmcwMg47mz0xNpVb). I already thought about spending sats on this soap, but now I had a testimonial from a man I have listened to for about six years. **Can you say Web of Trust baby?** I no soap and suds expert. I have years of soapo sing experience, but I never thought about what commercial soap is made with. I assumed it was like Fight Club like how I assumed the dollar was backed by gold in high school. Both these statements are false. Fiat soap is made with fiat fuckery. I tried looking for the ingredients on a box of Dove Men's Care, but couldn't find them on the box. It's opaque like the amount of gold at Fort Knox, nobody knows. I know what Soapminer uses to make his soap because [it's open source](nostr:note1aypyepc6g7lztutegx0fw5yg5clc9ythvxkp6czfkau3dcgwz06q4mfqr3). ### Tallow Soap Quotes I asked Soapminer a few questions on nostr. You can find his answer here: nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqy9kvcxtqa2tlwyjv4r46ancxk00ghk9yaudzsnp697s60942p7lqy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uq3xamnwvaz7tmsw4e8qmr9wpskwtn9wvhszxrhwden5te0wa3nztnrw4e8yetwwshxu6twdfsj7qpqh7mqlhn392ekrg6nm33pjjquu0dww27tqv3qjduyag4u20er0tcqd2waxl **That's the link that shows it was signed by his own nostr key, the Internet's version of "I approve this message."**  **Soapminer:** `What inspired me was a cleaner, healthier lifestyle. During the plandemic, I had a lot of free time on my hands, and got to read, and investigate what actually causes a lot of the sickness in society. I learned a great deal. I never knew that your skin is your largest organ, and that it absorbs 60-70% of what you put on it. What do ppl put on their skin almost every day? Soap. So out of boredom, and seeking a healthier lifestyle, I started watching YT videos of ppl making soap, and tried it out a few times, and then a few more, until I became good at it. Once you learn how to make soap, the challenges only arise when you try something that you haven't done before. Depending on what method you are using will determine the challenges that you may face. It's multifaceted, so might be a little long to go into. I overcome them by keep trying until I get it right. No path is going to be easy, you just have to practice to make perfect. Last question is easy. My favorite soap is Tallow soap. As long as it is made from Tallow, and has all natural ingredients, it is a good soap in my opinion. Tallow mirrors the oils in our skin. It doesn't strip you skin the way commercial soap do, leaving you feel itchy, dry, and actually causing some of the skin ailments that have become common, like eczema, and psoriasis. Just nutures, cleans, and protects. It also, can prevent wrinkles., and acne.` **Sold!**  I tried the pine tar first. It makes me smell like a man, at least my wife thinks so. That's also why she prefers the unscented. He is adding more scents, but these ate the one's I have tried. The soap makes me feel rubber-ducky squeaky clean. After my shower, made some lunch and washed my hands with Dawn. **This made my hands ashier than bio-char**. I decided to cut some soap and place a little piece by the kitchen sink. The soap moisturized my hands in two shakes of a bull's tail. I also cut up some of my soap into smaller pieces because I'm as frugal as a Boy-scout and wanted to wash my hands with this stuff instead of Ivory. **Who wants a clean as real as Ivory? It's only 99.44% pure. Soap miner is 100% pure bitcoin signal.  #### Here's some more quotes about Soapminer's soap. - [He's asking his market if they want Peppermint soap.](nostr:note1tpeh65m7y6s6wt9ucjdcl2pge3m86f2ny4hqjdyvcrmf7kglqshqfeceam "nostr:note1tpeh65m7y6s6wt9ucjdcl2pge3m86f2ny4hqjdyvcrmf7kglqshqfeceam) - [Then he made the soap like a boss](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqy9kvcxtqa2tlwyjv4r46ancxk00ghk9yaudzsnp697s60942p7lqqs0yqyvffu9pn39grtxa8agpftpvfssx603w0ra67kpn5qn360masquhrtd7). - [The Benefits of Tallow](nostr:nevent1qqs9w6g8khrqzhrgu7y3trae9vtdl8847p42p80aqzvsvlu9kr84vkgpz4mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduhsyg8zenmu7gzq8ulj5jj4kv50ph3muwz43f747vmr9ld2alrjdswgavpsgqqqqqqsq5lkzq) - [He uses Zaprite](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqjln5vfhstwf2ahjrmanh57kzwrap4v3xpfzql5sxp48gxlk4a74qqsraadvah6890x4hgvr4rcxe9c2n79a0kx88te3hf7x88j72rh7cuskhempa) [He has giveaways](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqyqzpzvke2t7fxwh0rzea5zmx7qnddzgsqk35ujp9tgpw9jmjsmnserr3z8466) [He wants everyone to live on a bitcoin standard](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqy9kvcxtqa2tlwyjv4r46ancxk00ghk9yaudzsnp697s60942p7lqqs8gnddcnkj5p2047qam5drgw5jxlg60vy736e2rwxsmj593whnllsy8ej9j)  ### Testimonials  nostr:note1y9wsl07lkepfzzj8c8ucekss9f9darvg70j93cdmvttadfjx9nfsvtxwes **The LOTSProject8**  nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqy9kvcxtqa2tlwyjv4r46ancxk00ghk9yaudzsnp697s60942p7lqqsxt8kyd650ph3wvhre0lwlw5s0emuv5gcfzmsvfxf7czgg4c2wynq7vg8ga **GhostBTC**:  nostr:npub1cm3v486tkgy6qjtk09srry4qvc40y0jysyqha5e3v67whnc22jwsrreyud **Tuvok**  **Bit 🐳 Ish**  ["It's good stuff, you'll love it."](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzpr38l76unwuvm5qnrt0xa7jf64k5qx65ynvlm7dx8cr565nmqu2uqqs2r7rcp2rssfcqhk5838cuu569h43wlkvw34gy8ad2flgdpl0cezckxghkc) **cryptoshi2k21.bitcoin**  ["Great soap 🧼🫧"](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqj5nelekm4aruughza09y8yy26ansshnc23wq2kdha79dqz8rhemqqsxdq4xf69vgk27nnes4syrnekpg4mhkp6v4rer7nzdgfht8kya8ssucu8lz) **Me**  ["I spent the last two days shyoveling horse shit and compost for my garden. This soap made me feel rubber-ducky squeeky clean afterward."](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzph68s45y080zdd9g8sdacnd6kcd4ejpwrgcju2eghjq45y4f28n8qqsfvqylk56zdh5n3ykhleypr5zznevqt9dw04vptdeuh9jmskemndgq0hw25) ##### Conclusion I am a soap mining soap customer now. I'm done with fiat soap. I'm thinking about handing out his soap for Christmas gifts. Odell was right. It is good soap. It's expensive compared to the comercial crap, but competitive with fancy olive oil soaps I've seen. I paid with fiat I had in Strike, but Soapminer received bitcoin. I was going to buy soap anyway, but buying soap this way took $35 of fiat off Strike and put it into soap miners strategic bitcoin reserve. It's not cheap, but buying Dove requires me to first buy fiat. Buying soap from Soapminer takes sats off the exchange. Buying Dove does not, but that's not the only reason I bought this soap. It's great soap, but that's not really why I bought it. I am a big believer in what Adam Smith described as the invisible hand: [nostr:note1jsgzk6rxulyqthae8c53rrawaa70yjqh37nm3kxh08xw8g43vgcq3kux9d "nostr:note1jsgzk6rxulyqthae8c53rrawaa70yjqh37nm3kxh08xw8g43vgcq3kux9d"). We want to see people in our community to prosper. It is in our self-interest That is what Smith means by the invisible hand. The invisible hand is not A Central Bank manipulating interest rates and The IMF turning foreigners into debt-fiat slaves for cheap freshly-frozen shrimp. Bitcoiners are my community. They may not be close to me by proximity, but my moral sentiments guide me to do business with bitcoiners whenever possible. See, capitalism cannot work with socialist money. Those moral sentiments change when people work for soft money. Fiat soap miners get paid in NGD currency. Sell soap for $35 today and that will buy you half as much stuff in 5 years. The fiat soap miner has no savings to improve his community. Inflation makes him search for the cheapest soap just to keep up with grocery prices.  Soapminer can save his sats earned selling soap without anyone stealig from him. Therefore, he will be able to afford to buy stuff in his community. Those on a fiat standard cannot afford to save their money in the hopes of buying high quality products and services in their community. Fiat is socialist money, therefore only buys less and less as time goes on. Dear readers, we are not on late stage capitalism. The problem is that socialist money sucks. Those Papi Trump bucks might be fun for a month, but in the end, everyone pays the Piper. Tariffs are a sales tax, [paywalls in meatspace](nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzph68s45y080zdd9g8sdacnd6kcd4ejpwrgcju2eghjq45y4f28n8qyt8wumn8ghj7mn0wd68yetvd96x2uewdaexwtcpzemhxue69uhhyetvv9ujumt0wd68ytnsw43z7qg4waehxw309ajxjar5duh8qatz9aex2mrp0yqzqx3u59js9ewy9xwr7nuzv5eytj9ty979wrc7vrhv3tfykjxp5pd28s750n). Save your sats long enough, and these taxes will not matter. We circumvent the unjust tax of inflation, we will find solutions to unjust taxes levied on our community. I participate in the bitcoin circular economy because I want to bring capitalism back. I do not care where you live. If you are a bitcoiner, you are part of my community. There is an invisible hand which compels me to buy stuff from people in my community. That's why I bought soap from Soapminer, but you know what? **the soap is pretty damn good**. npub1marc26z8nh3xkj5rcx7ufkatvx6ueqhp5vfw9v5teq26z254renshtf3g0 [884,861](https://mempool.marc26z.com/block/00000000000000000001dd2088c2c20508d768455d6c29cd6b33d2a69912cafb) [Merch](https://marc26z.com/merch)

@ f3873798:24b3f2f3

 Nos últimos anos, temos observado um aumento significativo nos casos de ansiedade, estresse e outros transtornos mentais. O ambiente de trabalho, especialmente no mundo cooperativo e corporativo, desempenha um papel central nesse cenário. Mas qual é a relação entre a estrutura do mercado de trabalho moderno e o crescimento dessas questões de saúde mental? O Impacto da Cultura Cooperativa na Saúde Mental  O modelo cooperativo atual valoriza, acima de tudo, a produtividade e o cumprimento de metas rígidas. A exigência por resultados rápidos e desempenho excepcional impõe um ritmo de trabalho desumano, levando muitos profissionais à exaustão física e emocional. A pressão constante para atender expectativas impossíveis cria um ambiente hostil, contribuindo para o aumento de diagnósticos como ansiedade, depressão e burnout. Além disso, a falta de liberdade e flexibilidade no mercado de trabalho faz com que muitos talentos sejam desperdiçados. Profissionais que poderiam inovar e criar novas oportunidades acabam se tornando apenas mais um número em grandes empresas ou no funcionalismo público, muitas vezes por falta de opções. Esse aprisionamento profissional gera frustração, baixa autoestima e até transtornos psicológicos severos. A Evolução das Demandas e a Intensificação da Pressão  Antigamente, a busca por estabilidade em cargos públicos ou em grandes corporações era comum, mas a pressão e a exigência por resultados eram diferentes. Com o avanço da tecnologia e a digitalização dos processos, a demanda por eficiência aumentou exponencialmente. Hoje, a velocidade imposta pelo mercado ultrapassa os limites humanos, tornando o ambiente de trabalho ainda mais opressor. Essa realidade não apenas compromete a saúde mental dos profissionais, mas também reflete no comportamento social. O estresse crônico e a frustração acumulada podem levar a episódios de agressividade, intolerância e impaciência, impactando diretamente a convivência em sociedade. O crescimento de casos de violência no trânsito, agressões em ambientes de atendimento e até mesmo crimes por motivos fúteis pode estar ligado a esse fenômeno. O Caminho para um Mercado de Trabalho Mais Saudável  Para minimizar esses impactos, é fundamental promover maior liberdade econômica e oportunidades para pequenos empreendedores. Reduzir a dependência de grandes empresas e cooperativas pode permitir que mais pessoas encontrem satisfação profissional e desenvolvam suas vocações sem a pressão excessiva por metas irreais. Empreendimentos menores tendem a oferecer um ambiente de trabalho mais humanizado, onde as metas são ajustadas conforme a capacidade de produção de cada indivíduo. Dessa forma, os profissionais podem atuar de maneira mais saudável e equilibrada, reduzindo os índices de transtornos mentais e promovendo uma sociedade mais harmoniosa.

@ b8851a06:9b120ba1

The digital guillotine has fallen. The Bybit hack wasn’t just a theft—it was a surgical strike exposing the fatal flaw of “crypto” that isn’t Bitcoin. This wasn’t a bug. It was a feature of a system designed to fail. Here’s how North Korea’s Lazarus Group stole $1.5B in ETH, why “decentralized finance” is a joke, and how Bitcoin remains the only exit from this circus. ## I. The Heist: How Centralized “Crypto” Betrayed Its Users ### A. The Multisig Mousetrap (Or: Why You’re Still Using a Bank) Bybit’s Ethereum cold wallet used multisig, requiring multiple approvals for transactions. Sounds secure, right? Wrong. • The Con: Hackers didn’t pick the lock; they tricked the keyholders using a UI masking attack. The wallet interface showed “SEND TO BYBIT”, but the smart contract was whispering “SEND TO PYONGYANG.” • Bitcoin Parallel: Bitcoin’s multisig is enforced on hardware, not a website UI. No browser spoofing, no phishing emails—just raw cryptography. Ethereum’s multisig is a vault with a touchscreen PIN pad. Bitcoin’s is a mechanical safe with a key only you hold. Guess which one got robbed? ### B. Smart Contracts: Dumb as a Bag of Hammers The thieves didn’t “hack” Ethereum—they exploited its smart contract complexity. • Bybit’s security depended on a Safe.global contract. Lazarus simply tricked Bybit into approving a malicious upgrade. • Imagine a vending machine that’s programmed to take your money but never give you a soda. That’s Ethereum’s “trustless” tech. Why Bitcoin Wins: Bitcoin doesn’t do “smart contracts” in the Ethereum sense. Its scripting language is deliberately limited—less code, fewer attack vectors. Ethereum is a Lego tower; Bitcoin is a granite slab. One topples, one doesn’t. ## II. The Laundering: Crypto’s Dirty Little Secret ### A. Mixers, Bridges, and the Art of Spycraft Once the ETH was stolen, Lazarus laundered it at lightspeed: 1. Mixers (eXch) – Obfuscating transaction trails. 2. Bridges (Chainflip) – Swapping ETH for Bitcoin because that’s the only exit that matters. Bitcoin Reality Check: Bitcoin’s privacy tools (like CoinJoin) are self-custodial—no third-party mixers. You keep control, not some “decentralized” website waiting to be hacked. Ethereum’s “bridges” are burning rope ladders. Bitcoin’s privacy? An underground tunnel only you control. ### B. The $1.5B Lie: “Decentralized” Exchanges Are a Myth Bybit’s “cold wallet” was on Safe.global—a so-called “decentralized” custodian. Translation? A website with extra steps. • When Safe.global got breached, the private keys were stolen instantly. • “Decentralized” means nothing if your funds depend on one website, one server, one weak link. Bitcoin’s Answer: Self-custody. Hardware wallets. Cold storage. No trusted third parties. Using Safe.global is like hiding your life savings in a gym locker labeled “STEAL ME.” ## III. The Culprits: State-Sponsored Hackers & Crypto’s Original Sin ### A. Lazarus Group: Crypto’s Robin Hood (For Dictators) North Korea’s hackers didn’t break cryptography—they broke people. • Phishing emails disguised as job offers. • Bribes & social engineering targeting insiders. • DeFi governance manipulation (because Proof-of-Stake is just shareholder voting in disguise). Bitcoin’s Shield: No CEO to bribe. No “upgrade buttons” to exploit. No governance tokens to manipulate. Code is law—and Bitcoin’s law is written in stone. Ethereum’s security model is “trust us.” Bitcoin’s is “verify.” ### B. The $3B Elephant: Altcoins Fund Dictators Since 2017, Lazarus has stolen $3B+ in crypto, funding North Korea’s missile program. Why? Because Ethereum, Solana, and XRP are built on Proof-of-Stake (PoS)—which centralizes power in the hands of a few rich validators. • Bitcoin’s Proof-of-Work: Miners secure the network through energy-backed cryptography. • Altcoins’ Proof-of-Stake: Security is dictated by who owns the most tokens. Proof-of-Stake secures oligarchs. Proof-of-Work secures money. That’s why Lazarus can drain altcoin treasuries but hasn’t touched Bitcoin’s network. ## IV. Bybit’s Survival: A Centralized Circus ### A. The Bailout: Banks 2.0 Bybit took bridge loans from “undisclosed partners” (read: Wall Street vultures). • Just like a traditional bank, Bybit printed liquidity out of thin air to stay solvent. • If that sounds familiar, it’s because crypto exchanges are just banks in hoodies. Bitcoin Contrast: No loans. No bailouts. No “trust.” Just 21 million coins, mathematically secured. Bybit’s solvency is a confidence trick. Bitcoin’s solvency is math. ### B. The Great Withdrawal Panic Within hours, 350,000+ users scrambled to withdraw funds. A digital bank run—except this isn’t a bank. It’s an exchange that pretended to be decentralized. Bitcoin fixes this: your wallet isn’t an IOU. It’s actual money. Bybit = a TikTok influencer promising riches. Bitcoin = the gold in your basement. ## V. The Fallout: Regulators vs Reality ### A. ETH’s 8% Crash vs Bitcoin’s Unshakable Base Ethereum tanked because it’s a tech stock, not money. Bitcoin? Dropped 2% and stabilized. No CEO, no headquarters, no attack surface. ### B. The Regulatory Trap Now the bureaucrats come in demanding: 1. Wallet audits (they don’t understand public ledgers). 2. Mixer bans (criminalizing privacy). 3. KYC everything (turning crypto into a surveillance state). Bitcoin’s Rebellion: You can’t audit what’s already transparent. You can’t ban what’s unstoppable. ## VI. Conclusion: Burn the Altcoins, Stack the Sats The Bybit hack isn’t a crypto problem. It’s an altcoin problem. Ethereum’s smart contracts, DeFi bridges, and “decentralized” wallets are Swiss cheese for hackers. Bitcoin? A titanium vault. The Only Lessons That Matter: ✅ Multisig isn’t enough unless it’s Bitcoin’s hardware-enforced version. ✅ Complexity kills—every altcoin “innovation” is a security risk waiting to happen. Lazarus Group won this round because “crypto” ignored Bitcoin’s design. The solution isn’t better regulations—it’s better money. Burn the tokens. Unplug the servers. Bitcoin is the exit. Take your money off exchanges. Be sovereign.

@ 378562cd:a6fc6773

There was a time when I was a real person. I touched grass, read books made of actual paper, made eye contact with fellow humans, and didn’t panic when my pockets felt empty. Then came the screens. They infiltrated my life like a well-meaning but overly clingy houseguest who never leaves. It started innocently enough: a quick email check, a couple of YouTube videos, and a little light doomscrolling. And then, before I knew it, my posture resembled a shrimp’s, my eyes had the dull glaze of a microwaved marshmallow, and I had unknowingly memorized the entire algorithm’s playlist of “Obscure Facts You’ll Never Need.” I knew things had gone too far when I caught myself attempting to *swipe left* on a paperback book. Or when I instinctively tried to pinch-zoom on a restaurant menu, only to find it was printed. On paper. It's like some kind of ancient relic from the Dark Ages. The worst part? I didn’t even know what I was doing half the time. One moment, I’d be looking up a recipe for lasagna. The next thing I knew, I was 47 minutes deep into a documentary on the mating habits of Alaskan walruses. And did I stop? Of course not. I needed to *know* how it ended! (Spoiler: The walruses were fine. My dinner was not.) And don’t even get me started on notifications. Those little digital gremlins have mastered the art of ambush just as I’m about to put my phone down, *DING!* A breaking news alert! (Something mildly inconvenient happened in a country I can’t locate on a map.) *DING!* An email! (From a store I haven’t shopped at since 2014, reminding me they exist.) *DING!* A friend liked my post! (The one from three days ago. Thanks, Todd.) So, I made a vow. I would reclaim my life. I would be strong. I would resist! I would—oh wait, just one more video. Then, for sure, I’ll log off. Probably. Maybe. Okay, fine, I need help. Until then, I’ll be here, scrolling away, living my best shrimp-postured, screen-addicted life. If you need me, send a text just… not after 9 p.m. That’s when I’m deep in my nightly ritual of watching cooking videos I will never actually attempt. I hope you enjoyed this sort of funny (in my own head) attempt at wittiness humor. I hope to make some aware of the actual real-life dangers though of too much screen time. We honestly have no idea of all the harm we are causing to our children. To our society. What happens when we all who have actually grown up playing in creeks, skipping rocks, or sitting outside and falling asleep while reading a real book pass away? What happens when those left have only known this screen-diseased life? I pray we can go back, go way way back!

@ b4403b24:83542d4e

Chainflip says it has limited some frontend services but can’t fully block transactions as a decentralized protocol. Over $1.1M in ETH has already been converted.  **Well done to them - not for the heist but for the decision to convert weak money to sound money** 😜 originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/894141

@ cff1720e:15c7e2b2

Trumps Antrittsrede, seine Präsidentenerlasse, Personalentscheidungen und Amtshandlungen hatten schon in kurzer Zeit die Konturen der künftigen US-Außenpolitik erkennen lassen. Aber in München sprach der Vizepräsident auf einer bedeutenden Konferenz direkt zu den Europäern, den “Partnern” und “Verbündeten”. Und was er ihnen in aller Deutlichkeit mitteilte, war nichts anderes als eine 180-Grad Kehrtwende zur Politik der Vorgänger-Regierung. Die Botschaft war kein Vorschlag, sondern eine Ansage, die Inhalte sind inzwischen hinlänglich bekannt. Obwohl die Rede erwartungsgemäß mehr als reichlich kommentiert wurde, möchte ich noch einige Aspekte ergänzen, die ich bisher in den Kommentaren vermisst habe.  Im November 1988 wurde die Auslieferung der sowjetischen Zeitschrift “Sputnik” in der DDR gestoppt, was einem Verbot gleichkam. Der Anlaß waren kritische Betrachtungen über Stalin und Berichte über den Hitler-Stalin-Pakt, den es laut DDR-Geschichtsschreibung nicht gab. Es war eine Zensur von Informationen aus dem Land des “großen Bruders”, der Führungsmacht der sozialistischen Welt. Das Diktum “von der Sowjetunion lernen heißt siegen lernen” galt erkennbar nicht mehr. Das war zugleich der Höhepunkt einer ideologischen Entfremdung die 1986 begonnen hatte, als Gorbatschow “Glasnost” (Offenheit) und “Perestroika” (Reformen) einforderte, welche von der vergreisten DDR-Führung als unnötig und gefährlich abgelehnt wurden. Gorbatschow hatte richtig erkannt, dass die sozialistischen Staaten ökonomisch und gesellschaftlich gescheitert waren und ohne Reformen nicht überleben würden. Die Einsicht kam aber zu spät, die DDR kollabierte bereits ein Jahr später an ihrem Reformstau, die UdSSR Ende 1991 trotz der begonnenen Reformversuche.   Die Parallelen sind unverkennbar, eklatante politische Fehler (u.a. Euro seit 2009 und Migration seit 2015) haben die EU-Staaten zunächst zu Sanierungsfällen gemacht, durch die Corona-Politik zu Insolvenzkandidaten. Der Rubikon ist längst überschritten, die Schönwetter-Union ist nicht mehr zu retten. Den Amerikanern ist das klar, daher sind die Reform-Appelle von Vance wohl eher seiner Höflichkeit zuzurechnen. Für die US-Regierung ist die EU bereits jetzt nicht mehr existent, Verträge werden wieder direkt mit den Mitglieds-Staaten getroffen, und in den Ukraine-Verhandlungen ist kein Platz am Verhandlungstisch. Die Themenbereiche bei den Gesprächen in Riad haben aber auch gezeigt, dass Amerikaner und Russen in global-strategischen Dimensionen denken, die Ukraine ist zurecht nur ein Randthema. Die aktuelle Rhetorik europäischer Politiker hingegen ist niveaulos und kleinkariert, man spielt in der 2. Liga, die EU hat sich selbst vom Akteur zum Objekt degradiert.  Was bedeutet das für unsere Zukunft? Und was ist von der neuen US-Führung zu erwarten? Die unsäglichen Diskussionen darüber ob nun Trump und Musk gut oder böse sind, vernebelt nur eine klare Tatsache. Die EU hat keinen Rückhalt mehr vom “großen Bruder”, weder durch die NATO in Sachen Ukraine, noch durch Zensur von Systemkritikern (USAID, BigTech). Letzteres führt zu drei fundamentalen Veränderungen.\ \ 1\. Das Narrativ von den “westlichen Werten” ist tot. Auf diesem Axiom der USA basierte die gesamte Propaganda-Maschine, es wurde zur Religion. Nun versuchen gerade Provinzpolitiker wie Pistorius und Habeck mit beschränkten rhetorischen Mitteln zu definieren was “westliche Werte” ohne die USA sind, was mehr für Begeisterung bei Satirikern beiträgt als zur Überzeugung von Tagesschau-Anhängern.\ \ 2\. Die Deutungshoheit geht verloren weil immer mehr Publizisten ihr Fähnchen in den sich drehenden Wind hängen, sofern sie noch von Leser-Abos und Werbekunden abhängig sind. Die einsetzende Kakophonie verwirrt die Masse der schlichten Medien-Konsumenten, die über Jahrzehnte auf Nachrichten-Konformität dressiert worden sind. \ \ 3\. Weniger Zensur in den sozialen Medien verschafft den kritischen Stimmen mehr Reichweite, “bedrohliche” Meinungsvielfalt entsteht. Leider können die meisten Kritiker aber nur kritisieren, was uns zurück in die Zeiten des Sputnik-Verbots führt.  Die DDR-Opposition hat beim Abriss der DDR mitgewirkt, über diese Rolle ist sie aber nie hinaus gekommen. Als die Mauer gefallen war und es um die Neugestaltung ging, hat sie kläglich versagt. Dem Großteil der heutigen Opposition droht das selbe Schicksal, weil sie keinen Plan für die Stunde Null hat. Bei Tauwetter darf man nicht mehr über den Winter diskutieren, sondern über das Bestellen der Felder. Wer die Saat ausbringt, entscheidet über die Ernte. Den Kollaps betreffend ist nur noch der Zeitpunkt unklar, für den Zeitraum danach jedoch alles. Wenn wir uns eine Bürgergesellschaft wünschen, dann müssen wir jetzt als Bürger aktiv werden, also DU, Leser. Spende für Pareto, oder für kritische Autoren und Aktivisten. Mach Dir Gedanken über die Zukunft und publiziere sie, hier auf Pareto, wir fördern den Bürger-Journalismus. Schließe Dich einem Projekt an, leiste einen Beitrag und gestalte die Zukunft. Macht wird nicht verteilt, Macht muss man sich erkämpfen.\ \ **“Nur der verdient sich Freiheit wie das Leben, der täglich sie erobern muß.”** Goethe, Faust Teil 2 **Spenden für Pareto:** <https://geyser.fund/project/pareto> **Pareto Landing Page:** <https://pareto.space>&#x20; **Pareto Marktplatz:** <https://pareto.space/read>&#x20;

@ 129f5189:3a441803

**This is Lazarus.** They’ve just stolen $1.46 billion from Bybit. They didn’t breach the code—they breached the people. Here’s the untold story of how they did it (and why no one is truly safe). https://image.nostr.build/5120f62c63199bbc1402c1c33c11d337ab9c5623ce78d7351025fcbb9b14c27e.jpg Lazarus is a state-sponsored hacking group from North Korea. They've siphoned billions from banks, crypto exchanges, and DeFi protocols. And now, they’ve executed the largest crypto heist in history. But how? Well... https://image.nostr.build/5ecefbb02468cea4ca1b89fdd51835921d15161fc992095d44005003c5f5ddc7.jpg There was no code exploit. No leaked private keys. Bybit’s own multisig signers approved the transactions. They thought they were signing a routine transfer. Instead, they handed over access to their entire cold wallet... https://video.nostr.build/0e92d71c6dba6d99532b4b126c5e42001a8c446d1e312539fa9a3fad8c52d851.mp4 This raises a terrifying question. How did Lazarus know exactly who to target? A multisig wallet requires multiple signers. If even one refused to sign, the hack would have failed. But they all signed. This means Lazarus didn’t just hack Bybit... They knew who to manipulate. There are only a few ways to gather that kind of information: - **Inside job** – Someone leaked the signer list. - **Social engineering** – Lazarus studied their emails and behavior. - **Device compromise** – One or more signers were infected with malware. This puts other exchanges at risk too... https://image.nostr.build/a80694326818292e24e26def7ffddbea45bc2f41384b3563c3217c1a1d53a353.jpg Today, Lazarus stole 0.42% of all Ethereum. This means they own more than: - The Ethereum Foundation - Vitalik Buterin - Fidelity But laundering that much ETH without detection isn’t easy... https://image.nostr.build/331d83a66c362801b91d42b1aba1b658dc1b35d25a156255d312b483421d4449.jpg In previous attacks, Lazarus has used: - Bridging to other blockchains - On-chain mixing services - OTC trading through illicit brokers Will they employ the same tactics again? https://video.nostr.build/c25c686a1ce4d71ad7e0efebf02b1d6bcb05ac0f23438d11e4380ebe53aa6526.mp4 Investigators quickly flagged the 53 wallets holding the stolen ETH. Any attempt to cash out or swap funds would immediately raise red flags. But Lazarus is in no rush... https://image.nostr.build/2ebfb985c7d7abe4e2715f505ed64c227b908bbbc85b20630fc7437f391a0bb4.jpg In 2022, Chainalysis found Lazarus still held $55 million from hacks six years earlier. They don’t cash out quickly; they wait. And no one has ever gotten their money back. Not once. Lazarus doesn’t negotiate. They don’t return funds. So what happens to users? https://image.nostr.build/3d4738f4d0db5a14c6dd71f32c54d56b061c6e8896134de579cc36867f7175bd.jpg Bybit’s CEO, Ben Zhou, addressed the crisis publicly: - “Client funds are 1:1 backed.” - “We have enough liquidity to cover withdrawals.” - “All other wallets remain secure.” So far, there hasn’t been a bank run... https://video.nostr.build/25616f50b774296945681a3455939f62af623f68081a651209fd89392f778d91.mp4 But this isn’t the first time this has happened. And it won’t be the last. So how can you stay safe? Follow these simple steps: 1. **Cold wallets stay cold** - If it touches the internet, it's not cold. 2. **Never sign blindly** - Always verify what you're signing, even if the UI looks legit. 3. **Spread your risk** - Never keep all your funds in one place. 4. **Secure your keys** - Use a hardware wallet. No exceptions. 5. **Assume you're a target** - Lazarus doesn’t hack systems; they hack people. Stay paranoid.

@ a012dc82:6458a70d

Bitcoin, the pioneering cryptocurrency, has always been known for its volatility. This digital asset has seen dramatic fluctuations in price, attracting investors and speculators alike. Understanding these price movements is crucial for anyone involved in the crypto market. The journey of Bitcoin from a niche digital token to a mainstream financial asset has been marked by periods of rapid growth and sudden declines. This volatility is not just a source of risk, but also of potential opportunity for traders and investors. The factors driving these fluctuations range from regulatory news, technological advancements, to broader economic factors. Bitcoin's decentralized nature adds to its unpredictability, as it operates independently of a central bank or government. **Table of Contents** - The Recent Price Rally and Subsequent Halt - Insights from CryptoQuant's Analysis - The Role of Short-Term Holders - Understanding Bitcoin Binary Coin Days Destroyed ( … - The Dynamics of Profit-Taking - Actions by Miners and Whales - Current Market Scenario and Future Outlook - Conclusion - FAQs **The Recent Price Rally and Subsequent Halt** In a recent surge, Bitcoin's value soared past the $44,000 mark, only to encounter a significant resistance level near $45,000. This resistance led to a notable decline in its price. The question on everyone's mind is: what caused this sudden halt in Bitcoin's otherwise steady climb? This rally, like many in Bitcoin's past, was driven by a mix of investor optimism, favorable market conditions, and increasing institutional interest in cryptocurrency. However, the resistance at $45,000 proved to be a turning point, sparking a wave of sell-offs and profit-taking. This price behavior is a classic example of the market's psychological dynamics, where key resistance levels can lead to significant shifts in investor behavior. The rapid change from a bullish to a bearish market sentiment at this juncture underscores the fragile and speculative nature of the cryptocurrency market. **Insights from CryptoQuant's Analysis** CryptoQuant, a renowned market analytics platform, offers valuable insights into this phenomenon. An analyst from CryptoQuant, Yonsei, conducted a detailed analysis of on-chain data to unravel the mystery behind Bitcoin's recent price behavior. This analysis goes beyond surface-level market trends, delving into the intricate movements of Bitcoin across various wallets and exchanges. By examining metrics such as fund flows, wallet activities, and transaction patterns, CryptoQuant provides a more nuanced understanding of what drives Bitcoin's price changes. Yonsei's analysis, in particular, sheds light on the behavior of different investor cohorts, revealing how their actions collectively impact the market. This kind of deep-dive analysis is essential for anyone looking to understand the often opaque mechanisms of cryptocurrency markets. **The Role of Short-Term Holders** The analysis revealed that short-term holders, particularly those who had invested in Bitcoin for a period ranging from 6 to 18 months, started to realize their profits as soon as Bitcoin broke through the $40,000 resistance level. This profit-taking was a primary factor in the subsequent price retraction. These short-term holders, often more sensitive to market fluctuations, tend to react quickly to price changes, looking to capitalize on short-term gains. Their collective actions can create significant market movements, as seen in this instance. The behavior of these investors is often influenced by news events, market sentiment, and technical indicators. In this case, the rapid rise in Bitcoin's price likely triggered a psychological response to lock in profits, leading to a cascade of sell orders. Understanding the motivations and behaviors of these short-term holders is crucial for predicting short-term market movements in the volatile world of cryptocurrency. **Understanding Bitcoin Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD)** A critical metric in this analysis is the Bitcoin Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD). This metric assesses the movement of long-held Bitcoins, providing insights into the behavior of long-term investors. An increase in Binary CDD indicates that a significant amount of Bitcoin, held dormant for a long time, has been mobilized, suggesting a sell-off by long-term holders. This metric is particularly important as it highlights the actions of the most steadfast part of the market - those who have held Bitcoin through various cycles. When these long-term holders start moving their coins, it often signals a significant shift in market sentiment. The CDD metric thus serves as a barometer for the conviction of Bitcoin's long-term investor base. A high CDD can indicate a loss of confidence among these investors, or a belief that the market has reached a peak. Conversely, a low CDD suggests that long-term holders are not yet ready to sell, indicating continued confidence in the market's future. **The Dynamics of Profit-Taking** The CryptoQuant analysis further highlighted that a majority of Bitcoin holders were in profit, with the Spent Output Profit Ratio remaining above one. This indicated that about 90% of Bitcoin holders were profiting, which naturally led to a trend of profit-taking. This phenomenon is a key aspect of market cycles in cryptocurrencies. When a large portion of investors are in profit, especially after a significant price rally, the market often sees a wave of selling as investors look to cash in on their gains. This behavior is compounded by psychological factors, such as fear of missing out (FOMO) and fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD), which can lead to rapid shifts in market sentiment. Additionally, the profit-taking trend is influenced by external factors such as global economic conditions, regulatory news, and technological developments within the blockchain space. These factors can either reinforce the confidence of investors, leading to a hold strategy, or trigger a sell-off in anticipation of a market downturn. **Actions by Miners and Whales** Another interesting aspect of the analysis was the behavior of Bitcoin miners and whales (large-scale holders). These groups also contributed to the selling pressure. Miners, in particular, sold their assets at high-profit margins when Bitcoin reached its peak, adding to the downward pressure on its price. The actions of miners are crucial to understanding Bitcoin's market dynamics, as they are not only investors but also the producers of new Bitcoins. Their decision to sell or hold can significantly impact the supply of Bitcoin in the market. Whales, or large-scale holders, have a similar impact due to the sheer volume of their transactions. Their trades can lead to substantial market movements, creating waves that affect smaller investors. The behavior of these whales often reflects a more strategic approach to the market, influenced by long-term trends and broader market analysis. Their actions can serve as indicators for future market movements, making their behavior a key focus for analysts and investors alike. **Current Market Scenario and Future Outlook** Despite the recent price drop, the overall market sentiment remains positive. The bear market seems to be in the past, and liquidity conditions in the crypto market are improving. However, Bitcoin currently hovers around the $41,000 mark, a slight decrease from its recent high. This current state reflects the ever-changing nature of the cryptocurrency market, where investor sentiment can shift rapidly. The future outlook for Bitcoin remains a topic of much debate among experts. Some predict continued growth as institutional adoption increases and blockchain technology becomes more integrated into mainstream finance. Others caution about potential regulatory clampdowns and the volatile nature of the market. What remains clear is that Bitcoin continues to be a key player in the financial world, with its price movements being a barometer for the health and sentiment of the broader cryptocurrency market. **Conclusion** Bitcoin's market behavior, as analyzed by CryptoQuant, offers a complex picture of various factors at play. The interplay between short-term and long-term holders, the strategic moves of miners and whales, and the overall market sentiment all contribute to the price dynamics of this digital currency. Understanding these elements is key for investors and enthusiasts who wish to navigate the volatile waters of Bitcoin's market. As the crypto landscape continues to evolve, keeping a close eye on these trends and analyses will be crucial for making informed decisions in the world of cryptocurrency. The insights provided by platforms like CryptoQuant are invaluable in this regard, offering a deeper understanding of the market forces at work. **FAQs** **What caused the recent halt in Bitcoin's price rally?** The halt in Bitcoin's price rally, after reaching near $45,000, was primarily due to profit-taking by short-term holders and investors who had held Bitcoin for 6-18 months, as revealed by CryptoQuant's analysis. **What is Bitcoin Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD)?** Bitcoin Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) is a metric that measures the movement of long-held Bitcoins. It indicates the amount of Bitcoin, held dormant for a long time, that has been mobilized or sold. **How do miners and whales influence Bitcoin's price?** Miners and whales (large-scale holders) significantly influence Bitcoin's price through their actions. When they sell their holdings, especially during peak prices, they add to the market's selling pressure, potentially leading to price drops. **What does a high Bitcoin Binary CDD indicate?** A high Bitcoin Binary CDD suggests that a large amount of long-held Bitcoin is being sold, which can be a sign of long-term holders losing confidence or deciding to take profits. **Is the current market sentiment for Bitcoin positive or negative?** Despite recent price fluctuations, the overall market sentiment for Bitcoin remains cautiously positive, with improvements in market liquidity and interest from institutional investors. **That's all for today** **If you want more, be sure to follow us on:** **NOSTR: croxroad@getalby.com** **X: [@croxroadnews.co](https://x.com/croxroadnewsco)** **Instagram: [@croxroadnews.co](https://www.instagram.com/croxroadnews.co/)** **Youtube: [@croxroadnews](https://www.youtube.com/@croxroadnews)** **Store: https://croxroad.store** **Subscribe to CROX ROAD Bitcoin Only Daily Newsletter** **https://www.croxroad.co/subscribe** ***DISCLAIMER: None of this is financial advice. This newsletter is strictly educational and is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any assets or to make any financial decisions. Please be careful and do your own research.***

@ 1739d937:3e3136ef

We've been busy. In my last update, I shared that I was sure MLS on Nostr was going to work and shared an early demo of the app. What a long time ago that seems now. The big news is that White Noise is no longer just a demo. It's a real app. You can [download the alpha release](https://github.com/erskingardner/whitenoise/releases) and run it for yourself on MacOS, Linux, or Android. iOS TestFlight is coming soon. Keep in mind that it's still very much alpha software; a lot is changing and I wouldn't recommend using it for anything serious quite yet. We've been busy. In my last update, I shared that I was sure MLS on Nostr was going to work and shared an early demo of the app. What a long time ago that seems now. ## Vision Before we get to the detailed project updates, I wanted to share a bit of my vision for White Noise. More and more; freedom of speech, freedom of association, and privacy are under attack. Just this week, Apple was forced to remove their iCloud advanced encryption feature for all UK citizens because the UK government demanded that Apple build a backdoor to allow access to customer data. The EU continues to push "Chat Control" legislation that would force companies to remove end-to-end encryption from their platforms. And governments across the world are enforcing draconian "hate speech" laws that criminalize speech that offends or upsets. The freedom to express ourselves and discuss difficult topics is a critical precondition for maintaining a healthy society. Without the ability to assert ideas and argue their merits vigorously we have no way of making progress or creating a civil society based on shared values and goals. Ironically, the very laws and regulations that many western governments are enforcing to "protect" us are eroding and destroying the most free and innovative societies in history. White Noise is to built to protect our freedom to gather, to express ourselves, and to discuss difficult topics. It's free and open source; anyone can fork the code and we'll never charge money to use it. It runs on a free and open source protocol; your identity and social graph is yours to own and control. You don't have to trust us with your data, everything is end-to-end encrypted and metadata is next to non-existent. We don't even run any servers, so government data requests will forever fall on deaf ears. We want to build the fastest, most secure and private, and the most usable messenger in the world. Whether you want to use it to plan a family BBQ or overthrow a tyrant, White Noise should give you the tools you need to make it happen. If you find this compelling and want to help, please consider contributing to the project or donating. ## Progress Alright, let's talk about where we're at with the project. ### Current functionality - Multiple accounts. You can login, or create, many different Nostr accounts in the app. - Search your nostr contact list, search for users you don't follow, or add contacts using an npub or hex public key. - Create DM groups. Right now, you can only create chats with a single other user. Under the hood, these DMs are actually groups, I just haven't added the UI for adding/removing users and managing the group. - Send messages, reply to messages, and add reactions. As you would expect from a messenging app. - View group information. - Settings that allows you to manage your accounts, relays, and other app settings. ### Upcoming - An amazing hackathon group from [Bitcoin++ in Brasil](https://btcplusplus.dev/conf/floripa) has recently [added NWC](https://github.com/erskingardner/whitenoise/pull/89) (nostr wallet connect) support to the app. Paste lightning invoices into chats and they'll become QR codes that you can scan or pay them with a single click in the conversation! This will be in the next release. - Add support for encrypted media in chats using [Blossom](https://github.com/hzrd149/blossom/tree/master). We'll start with images, but plan to add video, audio messages, and documents soon. - Groups with more than two users. We'll add the ability to add/remove users and manage the group. This will also include some upgrades to further improve the forward secrecy of group chats. - iOS TestFlight. Gated app stores suck. We'll get White Noise on iOS into TestFlight as soon as possible. ## Links - [The repo](https://github.com/erskingardner/whitenoise) - [Releases](https://github.com/erskingardner/whitenoise/releases) - [Previous updates](https://highlighter.com/jeffg.fyi)

@ 2e8970de:63345c7a

 -Blue: Neuroticism -Green: Extraversion -Red: Openness to experience -Orange: Agreeableness -Purple: Conscientiousness [sourcs(https://www.stevestewartwilliams.com/p/are-there-age-and-sex-differences)] originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/893992

@ ac6f9572:8a6853dd

# The old world crumbles. The sovereign rises.  Join #Bitshala at #BitPlebs Summit in Goa — a gathering of builders, creators, educators, and hodlers forging #India’s #Bitcoin future. Open forums. Un-conference style talks. By @bitshala & @plebstogether RSVP now: https://lu.ma/cd55r5d4 X: https://x.com/bitshala_org/status/1893252853709365684?s=09 originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/893899

@ c384de42:493922aa

I've had a weird thought. Relating to bitcoin and maths and gambling. I understand none of the above, but found some weird convoluted logic in the fact that 52 cards in a deck and two six faced dice equate to 12 faces, idk.. I lost track of the logical steps in my mind, it may have been a delusion.. But the conclusion, of whatever it was is, kill myself at some point with end result living forever in samsara, or choose the natural progression of life into death, if there is such a thing... Weird.. It had something to do with gambling and drugs and addiction, like the plug-in drugs in the Ringworld novels by Larry Niven, or the simulation machines in the Paul Verhoeven film, Total Recall, with Arnold Schwarzenegger. Strange thoughts...

@ e5de992e:4a95ef85

A trading log isn't just a record of past trades—it's a tool for learning, improving, and achieving consistency. By keeping a detailed log, you gain insights into your decision-making process, identify patterns, and refine your strategy over time. Here's why and how to maintain a comprehensive trading log effectively. --- ## 1. The Importance of a Trading Log - **Track Performance Objectively** Without a log, it's easy to misremember trades or overestimate success. A detailed log provides accurate data to analyze your progress. - **Understand Your Strengths and Weaknesses** By reviewing your log, you can identify what works well and where you need improvement. Patterns in losing trades often highlight common mistakes or emotional triggers. - **Build Confidence and Trust in Your System** Seeing a record of rule-based, consistent trades reinforces trust in your strategy. Reviewing past successes can boost morale during challenging periods. --- ## 2. What to Include in Your Trading Log A detailed trading log should cover both objective data and subjective reflections. ### Objective Data - **Date and Time:** When the trade was entered and exited. - **Instrument Traded:** Stock, forex pair, crypto, etc. - **Entry and Exit Prices:** Precise levels where you opened and closed the trade. - **Position Size:** Number of shares, contracts, or units traded. - **Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels:** Risk management details. - **P/L (Profit or Loss):** Outcome of the trade in dollars or percentage terms. - **Trade Type:** Long, short, scalping, swing, etc. ### Subjective Reflections - **Reason for Entering the Trade:** What setup or signal prompted the trade? - **Emotional State:** How did you feel before, during, and after the trade? - **Execution Notes:** Did you follow your plan? If not, why? - **Lessons Learned:** What can you take away from this trade to improve next time? > **Key Insight:** Both data and reflection are essential for meaningful analysis. --- ## 3. How to Analyze Your Trading Log 1. **Identify Patterns** Look for common themes in your winning and losing trades. _Examples:_ Winning trades often align with specific setups, while losing trades frequently result from breaking rules or impulsive decisions. 2. **Evaluate Strategy Effectiveness** Assess whether your system produces consistent results over time. Use metrics like win rate, risk-reward ratio, and drawdown to evaluate performance. 3. **Address Emotional Triggers** Reflect on emotional notes to understand what triggers fear, greed, or hesitation. Develop strategies to manage emotions based on these insights. --- ## 4. Benefits of Keeping a Trading Log - **Improved Discipline:** Writing down each trade reinforces the habit of sticking to your plan. - **Informed Adjustments:** Logs provide data-driven insights to refine your strategy. - **Emotional Control:** Journaling emotions helps you recognize and address psychological pitfalls. - **Long-Term Growth:** By tracking your progress, you can measure improvement over months and years. > **Key Insight:** A trading log turns mistakes into lessons and successes into repeatable actions. --- ## 5. Tools for Logging Trades ### Manual Logs - Use a notebook or spreadsheet to record trades. - **Pros:** Highly customizable, forces you to engage deeply with each entry. - **Cons:** Time-intensive and less automated. ### Software and Platforms - Tools like Edgewonk, TraderSync, or Tradervue can streamline the process. - **Pros:** Automated data collection, advanced analytics, and performance tracking. - **Cons:** May have a learning curve or subscription costs. > **Key Insight:** Choose a method that aligns with your workflow and trading style. --- ## 6. Tips for Maintaining a Consistent Trading Log - **Log Every Trade:** Don't skip trades, even the ones you'd rather forget. They're often the most valuable for learning. - **Be Honest:** Record trades exactly as they happened, including mistakes and rule-breaking. - **Review Regularly:** Set aside time weekly or monthly to analyze your log and adjust your approach. - **Stay Disciplined:** Treat logging as an essential part of your trading routine. --- ## 7. Conclusion: Your Trading Log is Your Mirror A detailed trading log is more than just a record—it's a roadmap to success. It provides clarity, accountability, and insights that are essential for continuous improvement. Start today. Keep a detailed log, review it often, and use it to refine both your strategy and your mindset. Your future self will thank you.