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@ 0463223a:3b14d673
2025-03-10 13:08:11
Whilst starting out documenting coming off prescription drugs and an attempt at self improvement. I now understand that I want to write a weekly blog to clarify my thoughts and provide a means for self introspection and self improvement. It’s pretty narcissistic to be honest but I’m fine with that. I’m trying to be honest in my approach and it is what it is.
Some folks will write about economics, others culture war hot topics or how they stick raw egg up their arse for profit type diet advice. It’s unlikely I’ll approach any of those topics, there’s a lot of noise already and I don’t want to add to the pile.
Each week I will write a page of A4 and hope over time the writing style will improve. It’s coming from an extremely low base so I’m most optimistic about the upside potential!
I’ve been pretty hard on myself in the last week, folks who interact with me here may have noticed, my wife certainly has and it’s true. I’ve been an emotional wreck. For over a decade my brain chemistry was altered by drugs and my brain is not a comfortable place. Staying on the drugs was easy but it’s not the answer.
I notice it’s quite common for folks to say you should never speak ill of yourself here, words have power. On one level I agree, no one should beat themselves unnecessarily but I think it’s just as important to be self aware, understand where you have biases, where you have strengths and weaknesses. If you’re never hard on yourself, how do you improve? Only by facing problems face on is what I’m thinking.
I broke down in tears on a live stream last week, pretty embarrassing. The day before I’d seen footage of a gig I’d done in 2013 (I think), a gig that helped pave the way for some of the cool projects I’ve been involved with over the last decade. It was nothing fancy, just a night in a local pub. What truly broke my heart was seeing my late friend on drums. He committed suicide not long after that gig.
I was on such a high at that time. We had begun working with world class musicians, acts people had actually heard of, not Pop but credible artists. Our own band had just got its first national radio play and we’d been offered a deal to make an album with a reasonable advance. We were doing tonnes of gigs, studio sessions and having fun (at least I thought). Nothing glamorous, long sessions in low budget studios, gigs getting paid fuck all but we were DOING THINGS. We were doing what we’d always wanted to do. Make music.
So with that fresh in my memory I thought I’d try playing a record we’d made together on the stream, absolute car crash. I could barely speak. Music completely kicked my arse that day. After all this time, I’m still not over it.
Him dying like that kicked the shit out of me in ways I can’t begin to describe. I fell into a very deep depression myself after that and I was so fucking angry. I’d say more but I don’t feel comfortable talking about it, knowing whatever pain I feel, it’s nothing compared to the pain his family feel. They are very private people. I respect that.
It was around that time I started being medicated. I came very close to committing suicide myself and was talked out of driving my car off a cliff by the samaritans. Fun right!?
Aside from the music stuff, we were both working for a charity helping kids from tough backgrounds develop life skills through music. The week before his death we’d both lost a lot of hours work due to government cut backs. Cut backs that were put in place as our country was compelled to bail out a bunch of bankers. I’m STILL angry about that, but less so now.
I want to keep anything I earn as far away from the banks as is possible. Seriously, fuck them. Fuck them. Fuck them. Fortunately there is an opt out.
It’s unlikely I’ll say much more on the subject. Sure I could game Nostr by endless posting pictures of Michael Sailor but frankly, no. I have nothing in common with the guy. He gave up music because there was no money in it. Fuck him, his beats would suck anyway, he has no soul haha but hey, he’s enjoying himself and that’s good for h.
I don’t have thousands upon thousands of bitcoin but I have no money in the bank and thousands of Sats. Win!
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@ a012dc82:6458a70d
2025-03-10 12:52:39
The cryptocurrency landscape is witnessing a significant shift as institutional investors, led by giants like BlackRock, are increasingly venturing into Bitcoin, marking a new era in the digital asset's journey. This article delves into the recent acquisition spree where institutional entities have amassed a substantial 3.3% of Bitcoin's total supply, exploring the implications and potential outcomes of this trend. The movement signifies a departure from traditional investment paradigms, as these financial behemoths traditionally steered clear of highly volatile assets like Bitcoin. However, the changing economic landscape, marked by inflation fears and the search for non-correlated assets, has led these institutions to reconsider their stance. The involvement of firms like BlackRock not only brings substantial capital to the Bitcoin market but also signals to other institutional and retail investors that Bitcoin is a viable asset class. This shift is not merely about investment in digital assets but represents a broader acceptance of cryptocurrency as an integral part of the modern financial landscape.
**Table of Contents**
- The Rise of Institutional Investment in Bitcoin
- The 3.3% Supply Phenomenon
- Implications of Institutional Holdings
- Challenges and Controversies
- The Road Ahead
- Conclusion
- FAQs
**The Rise of Institutional Investment in Bitcoin**
In recent years, Bitcoin has transitioned from a speculative investment for individual traders to a legitimate asset class attracting institutional investors. The introduction of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has been a pivotal moment, providing a regulated and accessible avenue for institutional players to enter the cryptocurrency market. Companies like BlackRock, the world's largest asset manager, have led the charge, signaling a significant endorsement of Bitcoin's long-term value. This trend is reinforced by the growing dissatisfaction with traditional financial systems and the low-yield environment, driving institutions to seek alternative investments. The rise of institutional investment has been facilitated by improved regulatory clarity and the development of more sophisticated cryptocurrency services, including custody and trading solutions tailored for institutional needs. This wave of institutional interest is not just a fad but a reflection of a deeper understanding and acceptance of blockchain technology and its potential to revolutionize financial systems. As more institutions enter the market, we can expect to see a ripple effect, with increased innovation, product offerings, and perhaps even regulatory reforms tailored to accommodate the burgeoning asset class.
**The 3.3% Supply Phenomenon**
A recent report has shed light on a remarkable development: the combined applicants of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs now hold approximately 3.3% of the total circulating Bitcoin supply. This group includes heavyweight financial institutions such as Grayscale, Fidelity, and Franklin Templeton, among others. This collective move by institutional investors to secure a sizable portion of Bitcoin's supply underscores their bullish outlook on the cryptocurrency's future. The strategic acquisition of such a significant portion of the supply is not just a vote of confidence in Bitcoin's value proposition; it also reflects a strategic positioning for future financial landscapes where digital assets play a central role. This accumulation can lead to a reduction in market liquidity, which, while potentially increasing volatility in the short term, may also lead to higher prices as demand continues to grow against a limited supply. The actions of these institutions highlight a strategic shift towards diversification and the recognition of Bitcoin as a digital gold, a hedge against inflation, and a new asset class with unique properties.
**Implications of Institutional Holdings**
The substantial acquisition of Bitcoin by institutional investors has several implications. Firstly, market stability is expected to improve as institutional investors are typically long-term holders, reducing the market's susceptibility to large, speculative price swings. Unlike retail investors, who may be prone to panic selling during market downturns, institutions are more likely to hold their positions through volatility, providing a stabilizing effect on the market. Secondly, the price impact, while not immediately evident, could manifest significantly in the long term. As institutions continue to accumulate Bitcoin, the reduced supply could lead to price increases, especially if retail and other institutional investors continue to enter the market. Thirdly, the legitimacy and adoption of Bitcoin are likely to increase as institutional involvement can be seen as an endorsement of its viability as an investment. However, this shift also brings challenges, such as potential centralization and the risk of large-scale market manipulation. The increased institutional presence in the Bitcoin market is a double-edged sword; while it brings legitimacy and stability, it also introduces new risks and challenges that the cryptocurrency community must navigate.
**Challenges and Controversies**
Despite the optimistic outlook, the move has not been without its challenges and controversies. The approval of Bitcoin ETFs by regulatory bodies like the SEC has been met with mixed reactions. SEC Chair Gary Gensler's comments highlighted the irony in approving spot Bitcoin ETFs, pointing out the potential for increased centralization and speculation in a market that values decentralization. This decision has sparked a debate within the cryptocurrency community about the future of Bitcoin and whether institutional involvement will dilute its foundational principles. Furthermore, the large-scale acquisition of Bitcoin by institutions could lead to a concentration of wealth and power within the ecosystem, which contradicts the decentralized ethos that Bitcoin was built upon. Additionally, there are concerns about the environmental impact of Bitcoin mining and whether institutional investors will push for more sustainable practices or exacerbate the issue. The entry of institutional investors into the Bitcoin space is a complex development that brings both opportunities and challenges, and its long-term impact remains to be seen.
**The Road Ahead**
As the market adjusts to the new reality of institutional involvement in Bitcoin, all eyes will be on the impact of these developments on the cryptocurrency's price, supply dynamics, and overall market structure. Additionally, the upcoming Bitcoin halving event in April is set to further influence the market, reducing the rate at which new Bitcoins are created and possibly leading to tighter supply conditions. This event could exacerbate the effects of institutional accumulation, potentially leading to significant price movements. The road ahead for Bitcoin is fraught with uncertainties and possibilities. The increasing institutional interest in Bitcoin is likely to continue shaping the cryptocurrency landscape, influencing everything from regulatory approaches to technological innovations within the space. As we move forward, the key will be balancing the benefits of institutional involvement with the need to preserve the decentralized, open nature of cryptocurrencies.
**Conclusion**
The acquisition of 3.3% of Bitcoin's supply by institutional investors marks a significant milestone in the cryptocurrency's evolution. As institutions like BlackRock and others bet big on Bitcoin, the landscape of digital assets is set to change dramatically. While challenges remain, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin appears more promising than ever, with institutional investment paving the way for broader acceptance and stability in the cryptocurrency market. However, as the market evolves, it will be crucial to monitor the impacts of this shift, ensuring that Bitcoin remains a tool for financial empowerment and innovation, rather than becoming an instrument of traditional financial systems. The journey of Bitcoin continues to unfold, and the involvement of institutional investors is just the latest chapter in its ongoing story.
**FAQs**
**Why are institutional investors like BlackRock interested in Bitcoin?**
Institutional investors are turning to Bitcoin as a new asset class to diversify their portfolios, hedge against inflation, and capitalize on the potential for high returns. The growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a legitimate investment, improved regulatory clarity, and the development of institutional-grade trading and custody services have also contributed to this interest.
**What does the 3.3% Bitcoin supply acquisition mean?**
The 3.3% supply acquisition refers to the combined total of Bitcoin currently held by the applicants of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs. This significant holding indicates a strong belief in the future value of Bitcoin and represents a substantial portion of the total circulating supply, highlighting the growing influence of institutional investors in the cryptocurrency market.
**How does institutional investment affect the Bitcoin market?**
Institutional investment is expected to bring more stability, reduce volatility, and increase market maturity. However, it could also lead to potential centralization and influence market dynamics, such as supply scarcity, which may drive up prices.
**What are the challenges and controversies surrounding institutional investment in Bitcoin?**
Challenges include potential market manipulation, centralization of Bitcoin holdings, and deviation from Bitcoin's original ethos of decentralization. Controversies also arise from environmental concerns related to Bitcoin mining and the potential for increased speculation and volatility.
**That's all for today**
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-03-10 12:34:35
**ภาพรวมสถานการณ์ :**
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/F8mO3cIx/
Bitcoin (BTC) ประสบกับการร่วงลงอย่างรุนแรง (sharp sell-off) ในวันที่ 10 มีนาคม 2568. การเคลื่อนไหวนี้, โดยเฉพาะอย่างยิ่งที่เห็นได้ชัดใน Timeframe 15 นาที, ได้ทำลายแนวรับสำคัญหลายระดับ และยืนยันถึงแนวโน้มขาลงในระยะสั้นอย่างชัดเจน. แม้ว่า Timeframe Day จะยังไม่ *เสีย* โครงสร้างขาขึ้นในระยะยาวไปทั้งหมด, แต่ก็แสดงสัญญาณเตือนที่สำคัญหลายประการ, รวมถึงแท่งเทียน Bearish Engulfing, Money Flow ที่เปลี่ยนเป็นลบ, และ Trend Strength ที่อ่อนแอลง. การวิเคราะห์นี้จะพิจารณาทุก Timeframe อย่างละเอียดเพื่อหากลยุทธ์ที่เหมาะสมกับความเสี่ยงที่สูงมากในปัจจุบัน.
**การวิเคราะห์ทางเทคนิค (Technical Analysis):**
* **Timeframe 15 นาที (15m) - *เน้น***:
* **SMC (Smart Money Concepts):** ราคา Breakout แนวรับสำคัญทั้งหมดลงมาอย่างรุนแรง. มีการสร้าง Lower Lows (LL) อย่างต่อเนื่อง. นี่แสดงถึงการควบคุมตลาดของแรงขายอย่างเบ็ดเสร็จ (complete dominance of selling pressure).
* **ICT Buyside & Sellside Liquidity:**
* *Buyside Liquidity (แนวต้าน):* $68,000 (แนวรับเดิมที่ตอนนี้กลายเป็นแนวต้านสำคัญ), $69,000, $70,000.
* *Sellside Liquidity (แนวรับ):* ไม่มีแนวรับที่แข็งแกร่งในระยะใกล้. อาจมีแนวรับทางจิตวิทยา (psychological support) ที่ $60,000, และต่ำกว่านั้นที่ $58,000, $56,000. การระบุแนวรับที่ชัดเจนในสภาวะนี้เป็นเรื่องยาก.
* **Money Flow:** เป็นลบอย่างรุนแรง (Strong Outflow). นี่คือการยืนยันที่สำคัญที่สุดอย่างหนึ่งของแรงขาย.
* **EMA (Exponential Moving Average):** EMA 50 (สีเหลือง) อยู่ต่ำกว่า EMA 200 (สีขาว) อย่างชัดเจน, และระยะห่างระหว่างเส้นทั้งสองกำลังขยายออก. นี่คือสัญญาณ Bearish ที่แข็งแกร่ง.
* **Trend Strength:** เมฆสีแดงหนาแน่น, และมีสัญญาณ Sell อย่างชัดเจน.
* **Chart Pattern:** ไม่มีรูปแบบ Chart Pattern ใดๆ ที่บ่งบอกถึงการกลับตัวเป็นขาขึ้น (Bullish).
* **สรุป 15m:** *แนวโน้มขาลงชัดเจนและแข็งแกร่งมาก.*
* **Timeframe 4 ชั่วโมง (4H):**
* **SMC:** ราคาอยู่ในช่วงการปรับฐาน (correction). ได้หลุดลงมาต่ำกว่า EMA 50 และกำลังทดสอบ EMA 200.
* **ICT Buyside & Sellside Liquidity:**
* *Buyside Liquidity (แนวต้าน):* $68,000 - $69,000.
* *Sellside Liquidity (แนวรับ):* EMA 200 (ประมาณ $60,000), $58,000 (บริเวณ Demand Zone ก่อนหน้า).
* **Money Flow:** เป็นลบ (Outflow).
* **EMA:** EMA 50 (สีเหลือง) ตัด EMA 200 (สีขาว) ลงมาแล้ว (Death Cross). นี่คือสัญญาณ Bearish ในระยะกลาง.
* **Trend Strength:** เมฆสีแดงบ่งบอกถึงแนวโน้มขาลงระยะกลาง.
* **Chart Pattern:** ไม่มีรูปแบบการกลับตัวที่เป็น Bullish ที่ชัดเจน.
* **สรุป 4H:** *ยืนยันการปรับฐานในระยะกลาง. แนวโน้มเป็นขาลง.*
* **Timeframe Day (Day):**
* **SMC:** *ยังไม่* เสียโครงสร้างขาขึ้นหลักในระยะยาว (คือ ยังไม่ได้ทำ Lower Low ที่ต่ำกว่า $59,000 - $60,000). *อย่างไรก็ตาม*, แท่งเทียนล่าสุดคือ Bearish Engulfing ซึ่งเป็นสัญญาณกลับตัวที่สำคัญ, และความรุนแรงของการร่วงลงบ่งบอกถึงความอ่อนแอที่เพิ่มขึ้น.
* **ICT Buyside & Sellside Liquidity:**
* *Buyside Liquidity (แนวต้าน):* $72,000, $75,000 (All-Time High).
* *Sellside Liquidity (แนวรับ):* $60,000 (แนวรับสำคัญทางจิตวิทยา, Low ก่อนหน้า), $58,000, และ $50,000 - $52,000 (EMA 200 และ Demand Zone).
* **Money Flow:** *เริ่มเปลี่ยนเป็นลบ (Outflow)*. นี่เป็นการเปลี่ยนแปลงที่สำคัญและเป็นสัญญาณเตือนที่ร้ายแรง.
* **EMA:** EMA 50 (สีเหลือง) ยังคงอยู่เหนือ EMA 200 (สีขาว), แต่ระยะห่างระหว่างเส้นทั้งสองแคบลง.
* **Trend Strength:** เมฆสีเขียวเริ่มบางลง, และมีสัญญาณ Neutral (ก่อนหน้านี้), *และตอนนี้มีสัญญาณ Sell*.
* **Chart Pattern:** *Bearish Engulfing* - สัญญาณกลับตัวเป็นขาลงที่แข็งแกร่ง.
* **สรุป Day:** *แนวโน้มระยะยาวยังคงเป็นขาขึ้นทางเทคนิค, แต่มีสัญญาณเตือนที่สำคัญหลายประการ, และมีความเสี่ยงสูงที่จะเปลี่ยนเป็นขาลง.*
**กลยุทธ์การเทรด (Trading Strategies):**
1. **Day Trade (15m):**
* **กลยุทธ์หลัก:** *Short Selling เท่านั้น*. ความเสี่ยงสูงมาก.
* **เงื่อนไข:** รอการ Rebound (การดีดตัวขึ้นชั่วคราว) ไปยังแนวต้าน (เช่น EMA ใน TF 15m, หรือบริเวณ $68,000). จากนั้น, *รอสัญญาณ Bearish* ที่ชัดเจน (เช่น Bearish Engulfing, Evening Star, หรือการ Breakout ของ Rebound นั้นลงมา).
* **Stop Loss:** เหนือ Swing High ล่าสุดของการ Rebound *อย่างเคร่งครัด*.
* **Take Profit:** แนวรับทางจิตวิทยา ($60,000), หรือต่ำกว่านั้น ($58,000, $56,000). *ไม่ควรถือยาว*.
* **คำเตือน:** ห้ามสวนเทรนด์ (ห้าม Buy) โดยเด็ดขาด. ตลาดมีความผันผวนสูงมาก.
2. **Swing Trade (4H):**
* **กลยุทธ์หลัก:** *Wait and See (รอดู)*. ยังไม่มีสัญญาณให้ Buy.
* **เงื่อนไข:** รอให้ราคาลงไปทดสอบแนวรับสำคัญ (EMA 200 ที่ประมาณ $60,000, หรือ $58,000). จากนั้น, *ต้องเห็นสัญญาณการกลับตัวที่เป็น Bullish ที่ชัดเจนและแข็งแกร่ง* (เช่น Bullish Engulfing, Hammer, Morning Star, พร้อม Volume สูง) จึงจะพิจารณาเข้า Buy.
* **Stop Loss:** ต่ำกว่าแนวรับที่เข้าซื้อ.
* **Take Profit:** แนวต้าน ($68,000 - $69,000), หรือสูงกว่านั้นหากแนวโน้มเปลี่ยน.
* **คำเตือน:** การเข้าซื้อที่แนวรับโดยไม่มีสัญญาณกลับตัวมีความเสี่ยงสูง.
3. **Position Trade (Day):**
* **กลยุทธ์หลัก:** *Wait and See (รอดู)*. ยังเร็วเกินไปที่จะ Buy.
* **เงื่อนไข:** รอให้ราคาลงไปทดสอบแนวรับที่แข็งแกร่งมาก ($50,000 - $52,000, ซึ่งเป็น EMA 200 และ Demand Zone). *จากนั้น, ต้องเห็นสัญญาณการกลับตัวที่เป็น Bullish ที่ชัดเจนมาก* จึงจะพิจารณาเข้าซื้อ. หรือ, รอให้โครงสร้างตลาดเปลี่ยนเป็นขาขึ้นอีกครั้ง (สร้าง Higher High).
* **Stop Loss:** ต่ำกว่าแนวรับที่เข้าซื้อ.
* **Take Profit:** ขึ้นอยู่กับสัญญาณการกลับตัวและเป้าหมายระยะยาว.
* **คำเตือน:** การเข้าซื้อตอนนี้มีความเสี่ยงสูงมากที่ราคาจะลงต่อ.
**สิ่งที่ต้องระวัง (Important Considerations):**
* **ความผันผวน (Volatility):** ความผันผวนของ BTC สูงมากในช่วงนี้. การเคลื่อนไหวของราคาอาจรุนแรงและรวดเร็ว.
* **ข่าว (News):** ติดตามข่าวสารและเหตุการณ์ที่อาจส่งผลกระทบต่อตลาดคริปโตเคอร์เรนซี.
* **False Breakouts/Dead Cat Bounces:** ระวังการดีดตัวขึ้นชั่วคราว (Dead Cat Bounce) ก่อนที่จะร่วงลงต่อ.
* **Risk Management:** การบริหารความเสี่ยงเป็นสิ่งสำคัญที่สุด. ใช้ Stop Loss เสมอ. อย่า Overtrade (เทรดเกินตัว).
**สรุป (Conclusion):**
Bitcoin กำลังอยู่ในช่วงการปรับฐานที่รุนแรง. แนวโน้มระยะสั้น (15m) เป็นขาลงอย่างชัดเจน. แนวโน้มระยะกลาง (4H) ยืนยันการปรับฐาน. แนวโน้มระยะยาว (Day) เริ่มอ่อนแอลงและมีสัญญาณเตือนที่สำคัญ. *กลยุทธ์ที่ดีที่สุดในตอนนี้คือการ Wait and See สำหรับนักลงทุนระยะกลางและยาว, ส่วน Day Trader ที่รับความเสี่ยงได้สูงมาก อาจพิจารณา Short Sell ตามเงื่อนไขที่เข้มงวด.* การ Buy ในตอนนี้มีความเสี่ยงสูงมาก.
**Disclaimer:** การวิเคราะห์นี้เป็นเพียงความคิดเห็นส่วนตัว, ไม่ถือเป็นคำแนะนำในการลงทุน. ผู้ลงทุนควรศึกษาข้อมูลเพิ่มเติมและตัดสินใจด้วยความรอบคอบ.
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@ ddf03aca:5cb3bbbe
2025-03-10 12:33:46
# Testing comet.md
This is a test post published using comet.md
```
This is a code block
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-03-10 12:26:42
$OKX: $BTC $USDT.P
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/F8mO3cIx/
**Situation Overview:**
Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a sharp sell-off on March 10, 2025. This movement, especially evident in the 15-minute timeframe, broke several key support levels and confirms a clear short-term downtrend. While the Daily timeframe has not *completely* broken its long-term uptrend structure, it shows significant warning signs, including a Bearish Engulfing candlestick, negative Money Flow, and weakened Trend Strength. This analysis will consider all timeframes in detail to find strategies appropriate for the current very high risk.
**Technical Analysis:**
* **15-Minute Timeframe (15m) - *Focus***:
* **SMC (Smart Money Concepts):** Price broke down through all key support levels with strong momentum. Continuous Lower Lows (LL) are being formed. This indicates complete dominance of selling pressure.
* **ICT Buyside & Sellside Liquidity:**
* *Buyside Liquidity (Resistance):* $68,000 (former support, now key resistance), $69,000, $70,000.
* *Sellside Liquidity (Support):* No strong support in the near term. Possible psychological support at $60,000, and below that at $58,000, $56,000. Identifying clear support in this condition is difficult.
* **Money Flow:** Strongly negative (Strong Outflow). This is one of the most important confirmations of selling pressure.
* **EMA (Exponential Moving Average):** EMA 50 (yellow) is clearly below EMA 200 (white), and the distance between the two lines is widening. This is a strong Bearish signal.
* **Trend Strength:** Thick red cloud, and a clear Sell signal.
* **Chart Pattern:** No chart patterns indicating a Bullish reversal.
* **15m Summary:** *The downtrend is clear and very strong.*
* **4-Hour Timeframe (4H):**
* **SMC:** Price is in a correction phase. It has broken below the EMA 50 and is testing the EMA 200.
* **ICT Buyside & Sellside Liquidity:**
* *Buyside Liquidity (Resistance):* $68,000 - $69,000.
* *Sellside Liquidity (Support):* EMA 200 (approximately $60,000), $58,000 (previous Demand Zone).
* **Money Flow:** Negative (Outflow).
* **EMA:** EMA 50 (yellow) crossed below EMA 200 (white) (Death Cross). This is a Bearish signal in the medium term.
* **Trend Strength:** Red cloud indicating a medium-term downtrend.
* **Chart Pattern:** No clear Bullish reversal pattern.
* **4H Summary:** *Confirms the medium-term correction. The trend is down.*
* **Daily Timeframe (Day):**
* **SMC:** The long-term uptrend structure is *not yet* broken (it has not made a Lower Low below $59,000 - $60,000). *However*, the latest candlestick is a Bearish Engulfing, which is a significant reversal signal, and the speed and strength of the drop indicate increasing weakness.
* **ICT Buyside & Sellside Liquidity:**
* *Buyside Liquidity (Resistance):* $72,000, $75,000 (All-Time High).
* *Sellside Liquidity (Support):* $60,000 (key psychological support, previous Low), $58,000, and $50,000 - $52,000 (EMA 200 and Demand Zone).
* **Money Flow:** *Starting to turn negative (Outflow)*. This is a significant change and a serious warning sign.
* **EMA:** EMA 50 (yellow) is still above EMA 200 (white), but the distance between the lines is narrowing.
* **Trend Strength:** The green cloud is starting to thin, and there was a Neutral signal (previously), *and now there is a Sell signal*.
* **Chart Pattern:** *Bearish Engulfing* - a strong bearish reversal signal.
* **Day Summary:** *The long-term trend is technically still up, but there are several significant warning signs, and there is a high risk of a trend change.*
**Trading Strategies:**
1. **Day Trade (15m):**
* **Main Strategy:** *Short Selling only*. Very high risk.
* **Conditions:** Wait for a Rebound (temporary upward bounce) to resistance levels (such as the EMA on the 15m TF, or around $68,000). Then, *wait for a clear Bearish signal* (e.g., Bearish Engulfing, Evening Star, or a breakout of that Rebound to the downside).
* **Stop Loss:** Strictly above the most recent Swing High of the Rebound.
* **Take Profit:** Psychological support ($60,000), or lower ($58,000, $56,000). *Do not hold for long*.
* **Warning:** Do not counter-trend (do not Buy). The market is extremely volatile.
2. **Swing Trade (4H):**
* **Main Strategy:** *Wait and See*. There are no Buy signals.
* **Conditions:** Wait for the price to test key support levels (EMA 200 at around $60,000, or $58,000). Then, *a clear and strong Bullish reversal signal must be seen* (e.g., Bullish Engulfing, Hammer, Morning Star, with high volume) before considering a Buy.
* **Stop Loss:** Below the support level where you entered.
* **Take Profit:** Resistance levels ($68,000 - $69,000), or higher if the trend changes.
* **Warning:** Buying at support without a reversal signal is high risk.
3. **Position Trade (Day):**
* **Main Strategy:** *Wait and See*. It's too early to Buy.
* **Conditions:** Wait for the price to test very strong support levels ($50,000 - $52,000, which is the EMA 200 and a Demand Zone). *Then, a very clear Bullish reversal signal must be seen* before considering a Buy. Alternatively, wait for the market structure to turn bullish again (create a Higher High).
* **Stop Loss:** Below the support level where you entered.
* **Take Profit:** Depends on the reversal signal and long-term targets.
* **Warning:** Buying now has a very high risk of further downside.
**Important Considerations:**
* **Volatility:** BTC's volatility is extremely high during this period. Price movements can be severe and rapid.
* **News:** Monitor news and events that could affect the cryptocurrency market.
* **False Breakouts/Dead Cat Bounces:** Beware of temporary upward bounces (Dead Cat Bounces) before further declines.
* **Risk Management:** Risk management is paramount. Always use Stop Losses. Do not Overtrade (trade beyond your risk tolerance).
**In summary**, the Daily chart confirms that the recent sharp drop in BTC is not just a minor blip. It's a significant event that has weakened the uptrend and increased the likelihood of a deeper correction. Caution is paramount.
-

@ 4857600b:30b502f4
2025-03-10 12:09:35
At this point, we should be arresting, not firing, any FBI employee who delays, destroys, or withholds information on the Epstein case. There is ZERO explanation I will accept for redacting anything for “national security” reasons. A lot of Trump supporters are losing patience with Pam Bondi. I will give her the benefit of the doubt for now since the corruption within the whole security/intelligence apparatus of our country runs deep. However, let’s not forget that probably Trump’s biggest mistakes in his first term involved picking weak and easily corruptible (or blackmailable) officials. It seemed every month a formerly-loyal person did a complete 180 degree turn and did everything they could to screw him over, regardless of the betrayal’s effect on the country or whatever principles that person claimed to have. I think he’s fixed his screening process, but since we’re talking about the FBI, we know they have the power to dig up any dirt or blackmail material available, or just make it up. In the Epstein case, it’s probably better to go after Bondi than give up a treasure trove of blackmail material against the long list of members on his client list.
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@ 7d33ba57:1b82db35
2025-03-10 11:22:03
**Roque Nublo & Pico de las Nieves Gran Canaria’s Highest Points**

🏞 **Roque Nublo (1,813m)**
One of the island’s most famous landmarks, this volcanic rock formation offers incredible views after a short (1.5 km) hike. It was once a sacred site for the indigenous Guanche people. On clear days, you can see Mount Teide in Tenerife.

⛰ **Pico de las Nieves (1,949m) – The Highest Point**
A short drive from Roque Nublo, this is Gran Canaria’s highest peak. You’ll get 360° views of the island, including Roque Nublo and the deep ravines of the Caldera de Tejeda. Unlike Roque Nublo, you can drive almost to the top.

🌤 **Best Time to Visit:**
- Sunrise or sunset for stunning views.
- Bring layers—it can be chilly at higher altitudes.
🚗 **Getting There:**
- Roque Nublo requires a short hike.
- Pico de las Nieves is accessible by car.
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@ c11cf5f8:4928464d
2025-03-10 10:39:55

Here we are again with our monthly [Magnificent Seven](https://stacker.news/AGORA#the-magnificent-seven---of-all-times), the summary giving you a hit of what you missed in the ~AGORA territory.
- - -
### Top-Performing Ads
This month, the most engaging ones are:
* `01` [eSIM for Spain](https://stacker.news/items/908065/r/AG) by @south_korea_ln
* `02` [[OFFER] Small batch handcrafted ground meat jerky (unique flavors)](https://stacker.news/items/906891/r/AG) by @beejay
* `03` [[HIRE] Bitcoin & Nostr Development agency, IT outsoucing company](https://stacker.news/items/898547/r/AG) by @a68dd96af9
* `04` [[AUCTION] 🤘Kreator band signed poster, Start at: 21k sats (Prague/CZ) + postal](https://stacker.news/items/886008/r/AG) by @bogo
* `05` [[SELL] Your Tombstone, 1k sats](https://stacker.news/items/903776/r/AG) by @jasonb
* `06` [[SELL] First Public Printing of the 1787 United States Constitution $49.75/share](https://stacker.news/items/893666/r/AG) by @mo
* `07` [Official Patriots Coin - .9999 Fine REAL GOLD - 1 Gr. Bar 17.94K sats](https://stacker.news/items/889970/r/AG) by @watchmancbiz
- - -
### Professional Services accepting Bitcoin
- https://stacker.news/items/900208/r/AG @unschooled offering Language Tutoring
- https://stacker.news/items/813013/r/AG @gpvansat's [OFFER][Graphic Design]
From the paste editions (It's important to keep these offers available)
- https://stacker.news/items/775383/r/AG @TinstrMedia - Color Grading (Styling) Your Pictures as a Service
- https://stacker.news/items/773557/r/AG @MamaHodl, MATHS TUTOR 50K SATS/hour English global
- https://stacker.news/items/684163/r/AG @BTCLNAT's OFFER HEALTH COUNSELING [21 SAT/ consultation
- https://stacker.news/items/689268/r/AG @mathswithtess [SELL] MATHS TUTOR ONILINE, 90k sats per hour. Global but English only.
###### In case you missed
Here some interesting post, opening conversations and free speech about markets and business on the bitcoin circular economy:
- https://stacker.news/items/902115/r/AG Just curious - what are the top darknet sites accepting BTC Lightning nowadays? by @kristapsk
- https://stacker.news/items/881075/r/AG Can someone produce a cheap linux based 4g phone for me to use in New Zealand? by @Solomonsatoshi
- https://stacker.news/items/896651/r/AG 🌰Missing Nut String for todays Saloon Nut 🌰 by @BlokchainB
- https://stacker.news/items/899384/r/AG Sales Corner (Is AI the future of sales?) by @Akg10s3
###### BUYing or SELLing Cowboys Credits?
[BUY](https://stacker.news/~AGORA/post?type=discussion&title=[BUY]%20XXX%20Cowboys%20Credits%20for%20YYY%20sats) or [SELL](https://stacker.news/~AGORA/post?type=discussion&title=[SELL]%20XXX%20Cowboys%20Credits%20for%20YYY%20sats) Cowboy Credits for sats
on the SN ~AGORA marketplace
###### 🏷️ Spending Sunday
Share your most recent Bitcoin purchases of just check what other stackers are buying with their sats!
Read more https://stacker.news/items/908074/r/AG
- - -
### Create your Ads now!

Looking to start something new? Hit one of the links below to free your mind:
* [💬 TOPIC](https://stacker.news/~AGORA/post?type=discussion) for conversation,
* [\[⚖️ SELL\]](https://w3.do/b_v2wutP) anything! or,
* if you're looking for something, hit the [\[🛒 BUY\]](https://w3.do/zvixtuSh)!
* [\[🧑💻 HIRE\]](https://w3.do/_j0kpVsi) any bitcoiner skill or stuff from bitcoiners
* [\[🖇 OFFER\]](https://w3.do/EfWF8yDL) any product or service and stack more sats
* [\[🧑⚖️ AUCTION\]](https://w3.do/sbbCjZ0e) to let stackers decide a fair price for your item
* [\[🤝 SWAP\]](https://w3.do/V_iP4lY5) if you're looking to exchange anything with anything else
* [\[🆓 FREE\]](https://w3.do/DdVEE1ME) your space, make a gift!
* [\[⭐ REVIEW\]](https://w3.do/CAZ5JxCk) any bitcoin product or LN service you recently bought or subscribed to
- - -
Or contact @AGORA team on [nostr DM](https://iris.to/agora_sn), and we can help you publish a personalized post.
.
`#nostr` `#bitcoin` `#stuff4sats` `#sell` `#buy` `#plebchain` `#grownostr` `#asknostr` `#market` `#business`
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/908966
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@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1
2025-03-10 10:04:32
A presentation by @jsonbits Jason Hester for the [40th CSUN](https://web.cvent.com/event/2c5d8c51-6441-44c0-b361-131ff9544dd5/summary) Assistive Technology Conference - `March 10, 2025 – March 14, 2025`



























































- - -
[Download PDF](https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/903125939054059520/1347694223755051039/AC2A-FOSS-A11Y-JasonHester-V9.pdf?ex=67cf648d&is=67ce130d&hm=f61eb30b05783cfee2a37ffdcd5797af688a2fb3b7f01af48caa96c10136a129&)
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/908947
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@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1
2025-03-10 09:35:17

Here I am posting a document that presents the Business Model Canvas (BMC) created for “Nasi Goreng Semrawut”, a Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprise (MSME) in Kendal, Central Java, Indonesia. BMC is a strategic management and entrepreneurship tool. It allows us to visualize, assess, and modify business models. It is crucial to understand the core components of a business and how they interact. As a UX researcher, analyzing and understanding the business model is critical to aligning user needs with business goals. This BMC provides the basis for identifying opportunities to improve user experience and drive business growth.
I have broken it down into sections and grouped them carefully and I have clear reasons from a UX perspective why the groupings I have chosen are these points. I explain the UX side more fully on my portfolio website.
For my reflections on this project analyzing the Business Model Canvas of "Nasi Goreng Semrawut" through a UX lens reveals several opportunities for improvement. By focusing on user needs and behaviors, I can enhance the customer experience, streamline operations, and drive business growth. This analysis highlights the importance of integrating UX research into the strategic planning process. By understanding the business model, I can ensure that our UX efforts are aligned with business goals and deliver tangible results.
**My website Portfolio👇**
https://octoporto.framer.website/blog/business-model-canvas-nasi-goreng-semrawut
**Link Project :**
https://www.figma.com/proto/5LZkoc2uSJ1RTaur4cDVCM/Business-Model-Canvas-Sego-Goreng-Semrawut?page-id=0%3A1&node-id=38-117&viewport=-170%2C587%2C0.16&t=8gt9qNV5G267Xq8B-1&scaling=scale-down&content-scaling=fixed&starting-point-node-id=20%3A3
mirorred from [dribbble](https://dribbble.com/shots/25718733-Business-Model-Canvas-Nasi-Goreng-Semrawut)
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/908920
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@ 95cb4330:96db706c
2025-03-10 08:42:59
## **Introduction: Why Small Actions Lead to Huge Success**
Most people **underestimate** the power of **small, consistent improvements** over time. They chase **quick wins** and expect success overnight. But the truth is, **the most successful people and businesses in the world rely on the power of compounding effort**—making **small, incremental improvements daily** that scale into **massive long-term results**.
This principle, known as **The Law of Compounding Effort**, is embraced by **Jeff Bezos, Sam Altman, and Peter Thiel**. Instead of looking for instant success, they focus on **building systems, habits, and investments that grow exponentially over time**.
In this article, we’ll break down:
✔ **What the Law of Compounding Effort is and why it works**
✔ **Examples from top entrepreneurs who applied it to build billion-dollar empires**
✔ **How you can use it to improve your own work, habits, and investments**
---
## **What Is the Law of Compounding Effort?**
The **Law of Compounding Effort** is based on a simple but powerful idea:
> **Small, consistent improvements in thinking, decision-making, and execution create exponential results over time.**
Instead of trying to make **huge leaps** all at once, **improving just 1% per day leads to massive growth over months and years**.
Mathematically, it looks like this:
- If you improve **1% every day** for a year → **You’ll be 37x better** than where you started.
- If you get **1% worse every day** → **You’ll lose almost all your progress.**
This is **why daily habits and small decisions matter more than big, one-time actions**.
---
## **Examples of the Law of Compounding Effort in Action**
### **1. Jeff Bezos and Amazon: Reinvesting for Long-Term Growth**
Jeff Bezos didn’t build Amazon into a **trillion-dollar empire** overnight. He **compounded small improvements for decades** by:
- **Reinvesting Amazon’s profits** into better **infrastructure, logistics, and technology**.
- **Focusing on customer obsession**, constantly improving Amazon’s efficiency and convenience.
- **Scaling AWS (Amazon Web Services)** from a side project into the **backbone of the internet**, generating billions in profit.
Bezos was **never focused on short-term profits**—he **compounded effort and reinvested resources into long-term scalability**.
📌 **Lesson:** Instead of chasing **quick money**, **build systems that get better and stronger over time**.
---
### **2. Sam Altman and AI: Betting on the Future**
Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, has built his career by **compounding small breakthroughs in artificial intelligence**:
- He **funded AI research when others ignored it**, knowing that **small improvements would snowball**.
- He **scaled OpenAI’s models like GPT-4**, refining them step by step to become **industry-changing technologies**.
- He **invests in AI infrastructure**, believing that today’s progress will lead to **exponential advancements in the future**.
Altman’s entire strategy is **about playing the long game**—knowing that **AI’s compounding improvements will change everything**.
📌 **Lesson:** **The biggest future opportunities come from compounding small improvements today.**
---
### **3. Peter Thiel and Facebook: The Power of Network Effects**
Peter Thiel was **one of the first investors in Facebook**, putting in **$500,000 when few people saw its potential**.
Why? He understood **the compounding nature of network effects**:
- As more users joined Facebook, **its value increased exponentially**.
- More advertisers came, bringing **more revenue and funding more innovation**.
- Facebook **scaled from a small project to a multi-billion-dollar company**.
Thiel’s investment in Facebook was a classic **compounding success**—he **saw the long-term potential, not just the short-term returns**.
📌 **Lesson:** The best investments **grow stronger over time**—look for compounding effects in business, investing, and technology.
---
## **How to Apply the Law of Compounding Effort in Your Own Life**
You don’t need to be a billionaire to apply this principle—**compounding effort works in every area of life**.
### **1. Improve 1% Every Day**
If you **get slightly better every day**, the results **compound into massive progress**.
Ask yourself:
- **What’s one skill I can improve today?**
- **How can I refine my decision-making?**
- **What process can I optimize for long-term growth?**
📌 **Example:** **Investing** → Instead of trying to "get rich quick," **invest consistently, reinvest profits, and let your portfolio compound over years.**
---
### **2. Focus on Scalable Actions**
Not all work compounds. Focus on efforts that **scale and grow over time**, like:
✅ **Building a brand** → Content, reputation, and trust compound.
✅ **Investing in automation** → Systems that work for you 24/7.
✅ **Compounding relationships** → The right connections open exponential opportunities.
📌 **Example:** **Business Growth** → Instead of doing **one-time sales**, build a **repeatable system** that grows without constant effort.
---
### **3. Avoid Negative Compounding**
Just as small positive actions **build up over time**, **bad habits and decisions compound negatively**.
Ask yourself:
- **Am I wasting time on low-value tasks?**
- **Am I making impulsive decisions instead of strategic ones?**
- **Am I neglecting habits that will improve my long-term growth?**
📌 **Example:** **Health & Productivity** → Small unhealthy choices **compound into major problems later**. But **small positive habits compound into a strong body and sharp mind**.
---
## **Final Thoughts: Small Wins, Big Results**
The **Law of Compounding Effort** proves that **success isn’t about big, flashy moves—it’s about consistent, focused progress over time**.
🔹 **Jeff Bezos built Amazon by reinvesting and compounding small efficiencies.**
🔹 **Sam Altman bet on AI, knowing that small breakthroughs would add up.**
🔹 **Peter Thiel invested in Facebook, recognizing its compounding network effects.**
And **you can do the same**.
💡 **Action Step:** **Find one habit, process, or investment you can improve by 1% today. Stick with it, and let it compound over time.**
---
## **Resources to Learn More**
- 📖 [**The Power of Compounding** – Farnam Street](https://fs.blog/compounding/)
- 🎥 [**Jeff Bezos on Long-Term Thinking** – Harvard Business Review](https://hbr.org/)
- 📰 [**Sam Altman on Compounding Success** – Blog](https://blog.samaltman.com/)
🚀 **The best results don’t come from one big move. They come from small, consistent improvements over time.** Start compounding today!
-

@ 95cb4330:96db706c
2025-03-10 08:34:05
## **Introduction: The Power of the Few**
Most people assume that effort and results follow a **linear** relationship—that every action contributes equally to success. However, reality follows a very different pattern: **Power Laws**.
The **Power Law Principle**, championed by thinkers like **Peter Thiel** and **Jeff Bezos**, states that a **small number of key efforts drive the majority of outcomes**. Instead of distributing energy evenly across tasks, investments, or decisions, the **smartest individuals and companies focus on the few areas that truly matter**—the ones that yield **outsized** returns.
In this article, we’ll explore:
✔ **What the Power Law is and why it matters**
✔ **Examples of Power Laws in business and investing**
✔ **How to apply the Power Law Principle in your own work and life**
---
## **What Is the Power Law?**
The **Power Law** is a mathematical relationship where **a small input leads to a disproportionately large output**. It is the foundation of **Pareto’s Principle (the 80/20 rule)**, which states that:
- **80% of results come from 20% of efforts**
- **80% of revenue comes from 20% of customers**
- **80% of profits come from 20% of investments**
But **Power Laws go even further**. In reality, it’s not just 80/20—it’s often **90/10 or even 99/1**.
In **venture capital**, for example, a handful of companies (like Facebook, Google, and Tesla) account for nearly **all** of the industry’s profits. If you had invested in 100 startups, it wouldn’t be the case that 20 of them returned good money—it would be that just **one or two** produced nearly **all the profits**, while the rest failed or broke even.
Power Laws appear **everywhere** in business, investing, technology, and even personal development.
---
## **Examples of the Power Law in Action**
### **1. Venture Capital: Peter Thiel and Facebook**
Peter Thiel, co-founder of PayPal and early investor in Facebook, built his fortune using Power Law thinking.
- In 2004, he invested **$500,000 in Facebook**—a small startup most people ignored.
- That one investment turned into **billions of dollars**, while dozens of other startups he backed failed.
- **One bet made up for every loss**—and much more.
Thiel himself says:
> "We don’t live in a normal world. We live under a **Power Law**."
Venture capitalists **don’t succeed by investing in 100 decent companies**—they succeed by **finding the 1 company that dominates an industry**.
---
### **2. Jeff Bezos and AWS: One Decision That Built a Trillion-Dollar Empire**
Amazon started as an online bookstore, but **one decision made Amazon a tech giant**: **Amazon Web Services (AWS)**.
- In the early 2000s, Jeff Bezos realized that **cloud computing** could be the foundation of the internet.
- He shifted **massive resources** into AWS, even though it had **nothing to do with selling books**.
- AWS **became the backbone of the internet**, powering companies like Netflix, Airbnb, and even government agencies.
- Today, AWS generates **over 60% of Amazon’s total profits**, **funding Amazon’s entire e-commerce business**.
Without **one key decision**, Amazon might still just be an online retailer. But by following the **Power Law**, Bezos **doubled down on what truly mattered**—and that made all the difference.
---
### **3. Sam Altman and AI: Betting on the Future**
Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, has **focused his entire career** on **one high-upside opportunity**: **Artificial Intelligence (AI)**.
- Instead of investing in **many different technologies**, he **put all his energy into AI**.
- He **believes AI will reshape every industry**, making it **one of the highest-upside bets in history**.
- OpenAI’s **ChatGPT** is now one of the fastest-growing software products ever, with **100 million+ users** in a matter of months.
Altman’s approach? **Find the area with the biggest possible impact—and go all in.**
---
## **How to Apply the Power Law Principle in Your Life**
Most people **waste time** by treating all tasks equally. But if you want **real success**, you need to **identify and focus on the few things that actually matter**.
### **1. Identify the 20% That Drives 80% of Results**
Ask yourself:
- **What 20% of my efforts produce 80% of my success?**
- **Which investments or decisions have the biggest impact?**
- **What skills, relationships, or habits generate the highest returns?**
---
### **2. Cut the Noise—Eliminate Low-Impact Tasks**
Once you identify the **high-impact areas**, **cut distractions mercilessly**.
- **In investing:** Stop spreading your money across **20 mediocre bets**. Instead, find the **1-2 asymmetric opportunities** that could **change everything**.
- **In business:** Instead of launching **10 different products**, focus on the **one product that dominates your industry**.
- **In personal development:** Instead of learning **random skills**, master **one rare, valuable skill** that **sets you apart**.
---
### **3. Double Down on What Works**
Once you find what works, **go all in**.
- If a stock, business, or skill is **compounding massively**, **allocate more resources** to it.
- If an investment is performing **exponentially better than others**, **increase your stake**.
- If one product or strategy is **dominating the market**, **scale it up aggressively**.
Most people **diversify too much** because they’re afraid of **missing out**. But **true success comes from concentrating on what actually works**.
---
## **Final Thoughts: The Few That Matter**
The **Power Law** is one of the **most important concepts in business, investing, and life**. The majority of success **comes from a small number of actions**—so the key is to:
✅ **Find the few things that truly drive results**
✅ **Eliminate distractions and low-impact efforts**
✅ **Double down on what works and scale it massively**
The difference between **mediocrity and massive success** is simple:
**Most people work hard on everything. The smartest people work hard on the right things.**
Start **thinking in Power Laws**—and you’ll see exponential results. 🚀
---
## **Resources to Learn More**
- 📖 [**Understanding Power Laws** – Farnam Street](https://fs.blog/power-laws/)
- 🎥 [**Peter Thiel on Power Laws in Investing** – NFX](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1dWxSZIrKZ0)
- 📰 [**How to Apply Power Laws in Business** – Medium](https://medium.com/@gregoryivers/how-to-use-power-laws-to-your-advantage-3149bd979ef5)
**Action Step:** 🔥 **Look at your current projects, tasks, or investments. What is the 20% that drives 80% of your success? Cut the rest, and focus more on what truly matters.**
Let me know what you think—drop a comment below! 🚀
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@ b8af284d:f82c91dd
2025-03-10 08:28:07
Liebe Abonnenten,
[800 Milliarden Euro will die EU ausgeben](https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/sv/statement_25_673), um die Ukraine und den Kontinent in ein “stählernes Stachelschwein” zu verwandeln. Deutschland selbst will künftig Verteidigungsausgaben aus der Schuldenbremse ausnehmen, was nichts anderes als eine unbegrenzte Kreditlinie für das Militär bedeutet. [Hinzu kommt ein “Sondervermögen” in Höhe von 500 Milliarden Euro für Infrastruktur](https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/innenpolitik/sondierungen-finanzen-faq-100.html). Das klingt nach einem Spartopf, den man für schwere Zeiten angelegt hat. Es soll die Tatsache verschleiern, dass es sich dabei um Schulden handelt. Der vermutlich baldige Kanzler Friedrich Merz bricht damit sein Wahlversprechen, die Schuldenbremse einzuhalten. Beschließen soll das Paket noch ein abgewählter Bundestag, da im neuen wohl die Mehrheit fehlt.
Womit also ist zu rechnen, wenn demnächst fast eine Billion frisch gedruckte Euro in Drohnen, Panzer und Raketen investiert werden?

Das beste Beispiel der jüngeren Geschichte ist China: 2009 legte die chinesische Regierung das bisher größte Infrastrukturprojekt der Welt in Höhe von 440 Milliarden Euro auf. Finanziert wurde es durch günstige Kredite, die vor allem an Staatsunternehmen vergeben wurden. Nachdem die Welt nach der in den USA ausgelösten Immobilienkrise 2008 in die Rezession gerutscht war, „rettete“ dieses Paket die globale Konjunktur. China hatte zu diesem Zeitpunkt großen Bedarf an Flughäfen, Straßen und vor allem Zügen. Das Paket war riskant: Schier unbegrenztes Geld, das begrenzten Waren hinterherjagt, führt zu Inflation. Billige Kredite führen meist dazu, dass Unternehmen nicht mehr effizient wirtschaften, und Schuldenberge vor sich her wälzen.
Allerdings wurde das Geld in Produktivität investiert. Denn wenn Menschen und Waren einfacher reisen können, nimmt die Geschäftstätigkeit zu: Arbeitnehmer werden mobiler, Unternehmen konkurrenzfähiger, die Preise sinken. Die Investitionen lohnen sich also, weil sie zu mehr Wirtschaftswachstum führen. Vereinfacht gesagt: Die Schulden können zurückgezahlt werden, und am Ende bleibt noch mehr übrig. In diesem Fall führen Schulden nicht zu Inflation: Durch die gesteigerte Produktivität stehen jetzt sogar mehr Waren der Geldmenge gegenüber.
15 Jahre später kämpft die zweitgrößte Volkswirtschaft zwar noch immer mit den Problemen, die aus diesem Paket resultieren - die Immobilienkrise ist eine indirekte Folge davon. Trotzdem war das Programm ein Erfolg: die Städte, Flughäfen und vor allem Zugstrecken führten zu einer höheren wirtschaftlichen Aktivität oder Produktivität. China ist heute ein wesentlich moderneres Land als vor dem Paket, und verfügt über modernste und größte Netz aus Hochgeschwindigkeitszügen der Welt. Neue Schulden können positiv sein - wenn das Geld produktiv investiert wird.

Auch in Europa lassen sich mit dem Geld-Paket zunächst mehrere Probleme auf einmal lösen: Deutschland ist noch immer ein Industriestandort mit hohen Produktionskapazitäten. Werke der Auto- und Zulieferindustrie können theoretisch zur Waffenproduktion umfunktioniert werden. Immer noch besser als sie stillzulegen oder an die Chinesen zu verkaufen, werden viele Kommentatoren schreiben.
Allein in der deutschen Automobil-Zulieferindustrie sind im vergangenen Jahr über 19000 Arbeitsplätze verloren gegangen. Viele von den Entlassenen können nun Arbeit in der Rüstungsindustrie finden. Oder wie Hans Christoph Atzpodien, [Hauptgeschäftsführer des Bundesverbandes der Deutschen Sicherheits- und Verteidigungsindustrie in der WirtschaftsWoche sagt](https://www.wiwo.de/politik/deutschland/schuldenplaene-ruestungsfirmen-scharf-auf-beschaeftigte-der-autoindustrie/30240510.html):
> *„Das Motto muss lauten: Autos zu Rüstung! Anstatt einen volkswirtschaftlichen Schaden durch den Niedergang der Auto-Konjunktur zu beklagen, sollten wir versuchen, Produktionseinrichtungen und vor allem Fachkräfte aus dem Automobilsektor möglichst verträglich in den Defence-Bereich zu überführen“*
Immerhin: ein großer Teil des Geldes soll auch in Infrastrukturprojekte fließen: Brücken, Bahn, Internetausbau. Deutschland, und damit Europa, wird in den kommenden Monaten also eine große Party feiern, die über die Tatsache hinwegtäuschen wird, dass man einen dummen Krieg verloren hat. In den kommenden Monaten werden sich Verbände und Organisationen um das Geld reißen. Das Geld wird ein auch kollektiv-psychologisches Ventil sein, um das eigene Versagen bei Corona, Klima und Ukraine vergessen zu machen.
Es gibt allerdings einen wesentlichen Unterschied zum chinesischen Stimulus-Paket 2009: Rüstungsgüter sind im Gegensatz zu Zugstrecken totes Kapital. Eine neue Drohne oder Panzer führt nicht zu mehr Produktivität, im Gegenteil: Kommen sie zum Einsatz, zerstören sie Brücken, Häuser, Straßen und töten Menschen. Die Produktivität sinkt also. Im besten Fall kann Militärgerät herumstehen und vor sich hin rosten. Auch dann aber ist es „totes Kapital“, das nichts zur Produktivität beiträgt. Kommt es zum Einsatz, stehen der nun verringerten Warenmenge eine noch größere Geldmenge gegenüber. Die Inflation steigt.
**Schleichende Militarisierung**
Auch gesellschaftlich wird das Paket mit seinem Blanko-Scheck für die Verteidigungsindustrie viel verändern: Es kommt zu einer „Eichung“ der Gesellschaft, eine kollektive Abscheu des gemeinsamen Feindes. Scharfmacher, eigentlich mittelmäßiger Akademiker und Bürokraten, wie Carlo Masala und Claudia Major werden eine noch größere Rolle im öffentlichen Diskurs spielen und die Talkshows dominieren, die von einer immer älter werdenden deutschen Bevölkerung geglotzt werden. Abweichende Meinungen auf Online-Plattformen zensiert, unter dem Vorwand, die Demokratie sei in Gefahr:

Da die Rüstungsindustrie dann eine wichtigere Rolle für die Gesamtwirtschaft spielt, wird ihr Einfluss auf die Politik in Form von Lobbyisten und Verbänden zunehmen. [Politiker merken schnell, dass sie von der medialen Aufmerksamkeitsökonomie ](https://x.com/RKiesewetter/status/1897588039418851682)nach oben gespült werden, wenn sie immer radikalere Forderungen stellen. So empfahl der ehemalige [Außenminister Joschka Fischer die Woche die Wiedereinführung der Wehrpflicht für Männer und Frauen](https://x.com/PhilippMattheis/status/1896862517688979535). “Star-Ökonomin” Isabella Weber will die Kriegswirtschaft mitplanen:

\
Der Kontinent wird sich langsam wandeln von einem „Friedensprojekt“ zu einem „metallenen Stachelschwein“, ergo Kriegsprojekt, denn ohne dämonisierten Feind funktioniert das Programm nicht. Der Ton wird rauer, autoritärer, und die Meinungsfreiheit weiter eingeschränkt werden. Die seit 2020 eingeführten Werkzeuge zur soften Propaganda („[kognitive Kriegsführung](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FCIsI9auGoQ)”) werden verfeinert und ausgebaut werden, sodass weiterhin 80 Prozent der Bevölkerung alle noch so antihumanen Maßnahmen gutheißen werden.
Und dann?
Wie Julian Assange einmal sagte: “[Das Ziel ist kein erfolgreicher Krieg. Das Ziel ist ein endloser Krieg.](https://x.com/wikileaks/status/1551583003490623488)” Der Konflikt muss weitergehen, ewig schwelen oder ein neuer gefunden werden, da sonst ein Teil der Wirtschaftsleistung kollabiert.
Nach ein, zwei oder auch erst drei Jahren, werden erste Probleme sichtbar. Die Party endet, der Kater setzt langsam ein. Die Finanzierung an den Kapitalmärkten wird für Deutschland immer kostspieliger. Der Schuldendienst wird einen größeren Teil des Haushalts einnehmen. Die Bürger müssen dies mitfinanzieren. Der voraussichtlich neue Bundeskanzler Friedrich Merz sprach bereits von der „[Mobilisierung der deutschen Sparguthaben](https://www.mdr.de/nachrichten/deutschland/wirtschaft/merz-enteignung-private-konten-infrastruktur-fakecheck-100.html)“.
\
Was im Ersten Weltkrieg „Kriegsanleihen“ hieß, wird einen schickeren Namen bekommen wie „olivgrüne Bonds“. You name it. Alternativ lässt sich ein Verteidigungs-Soli einführen, oder das [Kindergeld streichen, wie kürzlich Ifo-Chef Clemens Fuest forderte](https://www.wiwo.de/politik/konjunktur/nice-to-have-ifo-chef-fuest-fordert-abschaffung-des-elterngelds/30236948.html).
*Was kann man tun?* *[Auf BlingBling geht es um konkrete Tipps](https://blingbling.substack.com/p/panzer-statt-autos), welche Anlagen von dieser Entwicklung profitieren werden. Außerdem geht es um die “Strategische Bitcoin Reserve”, die am Donnerstag beschlossen wurde.* 
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@ da0b9bc3:4e30a4a9
2025-03-10 07:34:20
Hello Stackers!
Welcome on into the ~Music Corner of the Saloon!
A place where we Talk Music. Share Tracks. Zap Sats.
So stay a while and listen.
🚨Don't forget to check out the pinned items in the territory homepage! You can always find the latest weeklies there!🚨
🚨Subscribe to the territory to ensure you never miss a post! 🚨
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/908874
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@ fb8a5c6f:58ec79bd
2025-03-10 00:39:53
I work in the film industry, and I absolutely love making movies—it’s where my heart is. I’m also passionate about bitcoin. For me, it’s not just about the thrill of "number go up," but a deeper realization over the past 12 years: *inflation is a theft of our time and energy.* Whether I’m writing or revising a script or thinking about the world we live in, I believe our lives shouldn’t get progressively more expensive just by existing.\
\
A few months ago, I saw a viral video that drove this home. A young guy shared how a month’s worth of groceries cost him ***$126*** *back in 2022*. When he hit the "re-order" button for the same items in the summer of 2024—just two years later—it was **$414**. That’s staggering. People are working harder than ever, pouring their souls into their craft yet they can’t figure out why they’re not getting ahead. Inflation is a big part of the answer.\
\
It’s frustrating because it didn’t always used to be this way. Today, the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury keep printing money out of thin air, devaluing what we earn and making life more expensive year after year. I understood the problem for a while, but it wasn’t until I discovered bitcoin that I found a solution. A fixed and finite currency. \
\
There will only ever be **21 million.**\
\
Naturally, when you grasp what bitcoin is, you want to share it with the people you care about. I’ve been fortunate—my friends get it, and they’re doing great. My family, though? Not so much. Yesterday, my aunt suggested I talk to them as a group instead of one-on-one, like I’d been trying, so they could ask questions and discuss it together. I thought it was interesting idea, but money is such a personal topic. We all have to find our own path to understanding it, and bringing it up with family can get tricky—almost like pitching a script they’re not ready to hear.\
\
So, what did I do instead? I'm sharing these thoughts online and started a [Youtube channel](https://www.youtube.com/@kameeklucastaitt). Go figure. Don't judge too harshly though as it's a work in progress! 🫡\
\
It’s not so different from storytelling through film—just another way to share what matters.\
\
I don’t know how often I’ll write long form posts or make videos about bitcoin, but if I can help even one person pinpoint the problem and discover bitcoin along the way, I believe the world gets a little better. Bit by bit, person by person. Just like how a good movie can inspire, maybe this can too.
**Fix the money, fix the world.**\
∞ / 21 million
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@ f3873798:24b3f2f3
2025-03-10 00:32:44
Recentemente, assisti a um vídeo que me fez refletir profundamente sobre o impacto da linguagem na hora de vender. No vídeo, uma jovem relatava sua experiência ao presenciar um vendedor de amendoim em uma agência dos Correios. O local estava cheio, as pessoas aguardavam impacientes na fila e, em meio a esse cenário, um homem humilde tentava vender seu produto. Mas sua abordagem não era estratégica; ao invés de destacar os benefícios do amendoim, ele suplicava para que alguém o ajudasse comprando. O resultado? Ninguém se interessou.

A jovem observou que o problema não era o produto, mas a forma como ele estava sendo oferecido. Afinal, muitas das pessoas ali estavam há horas esperando e perto do horário do almoço – o amendoim poderia ser um ótimo tira-gosto. No entanto, como a comunicação do vendedor vinha carregada de desespero, ele afastava os clientes ao invés de atraí-los. Esse vídeo me tocou profundamente.
No dia seguinte, ao sair para comemorar meu aniversário, vi um menino vendendo balas na rua, sob o sol forte. Assim como no caso do amendoim, percebi que as pessoas ao redor não se interessavam por seu produto. Ao se aproximar do carro, resolvi comprar dois pacotes. Mais do que ajudar, queria que aquele pequeno gesto servisse como incentivo para que ele continuasse acreditando no seu negócio.
Essa experiência me fez refletir ainda mais sobre o poder da comunicação em vendas. Muitas vezes, não é o produto que está errado, mas sim a forma como o vendedor o apresenta. Quando transmitimos confiança e mostramos o valor do que vendemos, despertamos o interesse genuíno dos clientes.
## Como a Linguagem Impacta as Vendas?

##### 1. O Poder da Abordagem Positiva
Em vez de pedir por ajuda, é importante destacar os benefícios do produto. No caso do amendoim, o vendedor poderia ter dito algo como:
"Que tal um petisco delicioso enquanto espera? Um amendoim fresquinho para matar a fome até o almoço!"
##### 2. A Emoção na Medida Certa
Expressar emoção é essencial, mas sem parecer desesperado. Os clientes devem sentir que estão adquirindo algo de valor, não apenas ajudando o vendedor.
##### 3. Conheça Seu Público
Entender o contexto é fundamental. Se as pessoas estavam com fome e impacientes, uma abordagem mais objetiva e focada no benefício do produto poderia gerar mais vendas.
##### 4. Autoconfiança e Postura
Falar com firmeza e segurança transmite credibilidade. O vendedor precisa acreditar no próprio produto antes de convencer o cliente a comprá-lo.
### Conclusão
Vender é mais do que apenas oferecer um produto – é uma arte que envolve comunicação, percepção e estratégia. Pequenos ajustes na abordagem podem transformar completamente os resultados. Se o vendedor de amendoim tivesse apresentado seu produto de outra maneira, talvez tivesse vendido tudo rapidamente. Da mesma forma, se cada um de nós aprender a se comunicar melhor em nossas próprias áreas, poderemos alcançar muito mais sucesso.
E você? Já passou por uma experiência parecida?
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@ 8d34bd24:414be32b
2025-03-10 00:16:01
The Bible tells believers repeatedly that we are to share the gospel, make disciples, speak the truth, etc. We are to be His witnesses. The reason we don’t go straight to heaven when we are saved is that God has a purpose for our lives and that is to be a light drawing people to Him.
> “…but you will receive power when the Holy Spirit has come upon you; and you shall be My witnesses both in Jerusalem, and in all Judea and Samaria, and even to the remotest part of the earth.” (Acts 1:8)
In order to be His witness, we have to know Him and know His word. When we don’t know His word, we can be misled and/or mislead others. We will fail in our mission to be witnesses if we don’t regularly study the Bible and spend time in prayer with our God.
> As a result, we are no longer to be children, tossed here and there by waves and **carried about by every wind of doctrine**, by the trickery of men, by craftiness in deceitful scheming; but **speaking the truth in love**, we are to grow up in all aspects into Him who is the head, even Christ, from whom the whole body, being fitted and held together by what every joint supplies, according to the proper working of each individual part, causes the growth of the body for the building up of itself in love. (Ephesians 4:4-16) {emphasis mine}
In addition to knowing Him and His word, we need to be bold and unashamed.
> Therefore **do not be ashamed of the testimony of our Lord** or of me His prisoner, but join with me in suffering for the gospel according to the power of God, who has saved us and **called us with a holy calling, not according to our works, but according to His own purpose** and grace which was granted us in Christ Jesus from all eternity, but now has been revealed by the appearing of our Savior Christ Jesus, who abolished death and brought life and immortality to light through the gospel, (2 Timothy 1:8-10) {emphasis mine}
We were called according to His purpose. His purpose was known before the creation of the world. We are not saved by works, but if we are saved, works should naturally proceed from the power of the Holy Spirit within us, as well as the thankfulness we should have because of what Jesus did for us.
The key point of our witness is obedience. We are a tool of God. We are to faithfully share the Gospel and the truth in God’s word, but we are not held accountable for the result of this witness. The results are due to God’s mercy and power and not due to anything we do.
> But **you shall speak My words to them whether they listen or not**, for they are rebellious.
>
> “**Now you**, son of man, **listen to what I am speaking to you; do not be rebellious like that rebellious house.** Open your mouth and eat what I am giving you.” (Ezekiel 2:7-8) {emphasis mine}
When we witness, some will listen and some will not. Some will accept Jesus with joy and some will reject Him in anger. That is not our concern. God calls whom He will and without His calling, nobody comes to Him.
> And they took offense at Him. But Jesus said to them, “A prophet is not without honor except in his hometown and in his own household.” (Matthew 13:57)
One thing I’ve noticed is that the hardest people to witness to are family (not counting kids, but especially parents and siblings) and other people who have known us for a long time. They see what we were and not what we now are. There is baggage that can make for awkward dynamics. As someone once said to me, “It is hard to teach anyone or convince anyone who changed your diaper.”
I started with the Acts 1:8, “*… be My witnesses both in Jerusalem, and in all Judea and Samaria, and even to the remotest part of the earth*.” This is like saying “be My witnesses in my hometown, my state, my country, and even to the remotest part of the earth.” Our witness starts at home, then our community, and works it way out. Everyone can witness at home. We can all witness in our community as we go about our daily actions. It is important to have Christians that go to the “*remotest part of the earth*,” especially to unreached people groups, but that isn’t where most of us are sent. Most of us are called to witness to those around us daily.
> **For you are not being sent to a people of unintelligible speech or difficult language**, but to the house of Israel, nor to many peoples of unintelligible speech or difficult language, whose words you cannot understand. But **I have sent you to them who should listen to you**; (Ezekiel 3:5-6) {emphasis mine}
God empowers some to be international missionaries, but He calls every Christian to be a life missionary. Sometimes this may just be living a life for Jesus that stands out in the culture. Sometimes this may be giving an in-depth treatise on the Gospel and the Bible. It will look differently in different seasons of life and on different days, but it should be a regular part of our life.
As we build relationships with people and show that we care about them, this usually gives us the opportunity to share with them why our lives look different. It demonstrates why we treat others well, why we are loving, and why we have joy, even when our circumstances don’t seem like they should lead to joy. Then when they ask why we are different, we can have the opportunity to tell why we have this joy and love and morality.
> but sanctify Christ as Lord in your hearts, always being ready to make a defense to everyone who asks you to give an account for the hope that is in you, yet with gentleness and reverence; (1 Peter 3:5)
Although following a person and forcing them to listen to the Gospel is not the way to draw someone to Jesus, we need to not be silent about the truth. Not being pushy doesn’t mean being silent when someone is forcing their ungodly views on us or on others. Speaking up prevents evil voices from taking control. You also might be surprised to find that others didn’t like what was being said, but were too afraid to speak up because they thought everyone agreed with the speaker. When you speak up for the truth, it can give others courage to stand on their convictions and to draw closer to Jesus, whether this means they come to salvation or just draw closer to God.
> Moreover, He said to me, “Son of man, **take into your heart all My words** which I will speak to you and **listen closely**. **Go** to the exiles, **to the sons of your people**, and **speak to them and tell them, whether they listen or not**, ‘Thus says the Lord God.’ ” (Ezekiel 3:10-11) {emphasis mine}
We are to speak the truth in love whether they listen or not. Some will listen, hear, and come to Jesus. Some will listen and reject what is said. We are only called to obey the call. God brings the increase. To God be the glory!
May God guide us and lead us in wisdom, love, and courage so that our light shines so brightly that many unsaved come to trust in Jesus Christ our Lord and that those who know Jesus, but have not matured, may grow in their faith, knowledge, and obedience to Jesus.
Trust Jesus
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@ 4925ea33:025410d8
2025-03-09 22:56:19
### O que é melasma?

Segundo a Sociedade Brasileira de Dermatologia, o melasma é uma condição caracterizada pelo surgimento de manchas escuras na pele, mais comumente no rosto. No entanto, também pode ocorrer em outras áreas do corpo, como braços, pescoço e colo.
Essas manchas possuem tonalidade acastanhada, formato irregular e bem definido, sendo geralmente simétricas (iguais nos dois lados do rosto).
A causa exata do melasma ainda não é totalmente conhecida. De acordo com o Hospital Albert Einstein, essa condição está relacionada à superprodução de melanina (pigmento que dá cor à pele) ou à dilatação excessiva dos vasos sanguíneos, o que desencadeia inflamação em regiões específicas do rosto.
Os melasmas podem ser classificados em três tipos:
**Epidérmico** – Atinge a camada mais superficial da pele.
**Dérmico** – Ocorre nas camadas mais profundas.
**Misto** – Atinge tanto as camadas superficiais quanto as profundas.
A classificação do melasma é fundamental para a escolha do tratamento adequado.
### Tratamento do melasma

O tratamento convencional envolve o uso de agentes clareadores, peelings químicos e cuidados preventivos, como a aplicação diária de protetor solar. Embora esses métodos sejam eficazes, podem ser agressivos para peles sensíveis. É aí que a aromaterapia surge como uma opção complementar, oferecendo uma abordagem mais natural e holística.
### Como a Aromaterapia pode ajudar no tratamento do melasma?

A aromaterapia considera o corpo como um todo, tratando não apenas as manchas, mas também possíveis causas subjacentes, como desequilíbrios hormonais e inflamações. Além disso, os óleos essenciais possuem propriedades despigmentantes, cicatrizantes e regeneradoras da pele.
### Óleos essenciais recomendados para melasma
**Óleo essencial de Gerânio** – Regula os hormônios femininos e auxilia no clareamento de manchas relacionadas ao envelhecimento.
**Óleo essencial de Vetiver** – Favorece a regeneração celular, ajudando a reduzir manchas e prevenir o ressecamento.
**Óleo essencial de Copaíba** – Possui ação anti-inflamatória e auxilia no controle da oleosidade.
**Óleo essencial de Tea Tree (Melaleuca)** – Ajuda a prevenir espinhas e melhora manchas causadas pela acne.
**Óleo essencial de Lavanda**– Com propriedades cicatrizantes e anti-inflamatórias, acelera a regeneração da pele.
**Óleo essencial de Olíbano** – Rico em antioxidantes, combate os sinais de envelhecimento e melhora a textura da pele.
### Cuidados ao usar a aromaterapia no melasma
A aplicação direta de óleos essenciais na pele exige cuidado. Como o melasma pode estar associado a processos inflamatórios, o uso inadequado dos óleos pode piorar a condição ou até causar danos irreversíveis.
##### Dicas de segurança:
Sempre dilua os óleos essenciais em um óleo vegetal (como rosa mosqueta ou jojoba) antes da aplicação tópica.
Evite óleos essenciais cítricos (como limão e laranja) durante o dia, pois são fotossensíveis e podem manchar ainda mais a pele.
Consulte um aromaterapeuta ou dermatologista para um tratamento personalizado.
Se você gostou deste artigo, compartilhe com quem precisa saber mais sobre o poder da aromaterapia! E se tiver dúvidas, deixe seu comentário.
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@ 732c6a62:42003da2
2025-03-09 22:36:26
Não são recentes as táticas da esquerda de tentar reprimir intelectualmente seus opositores na base do deboche, da ironia, do desprezo e do boicote à credibilidade. Até Marx usava ironia para chamar os críticos de "burgueses iludidos". A diferença é que, no século XXI, trocaram o manifesto comunista por threads no Twitter e a dialética por memes de mau gosto.
### **A Falácia da Superioridade Moral**
O debate sobre o "pobre de direita" no Brasil é contaminado por uma premissa tácita da esquerda: **a ideia de que classes baixas só podem ter consciência política se aderirem a pautas progressistas**. Quem ousa divergir é tratado como "traidor de classe", "manipulado", "ignorante", ou até vítimas de deboches como alguma pessoa com um qi em temperatura ambiente repetir diversas vezes "não é possível que ainda exista pobre de direita", "nunca vou entender pobre de direita", ou "pobre de direita é muito burro, rico eu até entendo", como se o autor dessas frases fosse o paladino dos mais oprimidos e pobres. Esse discurso, porém, não resiste a uma análise empírica, histórica ou sociológica.
---
### **Contexto Histórico: A Esquerda e o Mito do "Voto Consciente"**
A noção de que o pobre deve votar na esquerda por "interesse de classe" é herança do **marxismo ortodoxo**, que via a política como mero reflexo da posição econômica. No entanto, a realidade é mais complexa:
- **Dados do Latinobarómetro (2022):** 41% dos brasileiros de baixa renda (até 2 salários mínimos) apoiam redução de impostos e maior liberdade econômica — pautas tradicionalmente associadas à direita.
- **Pesquisa IPEC (2023):** 58% dos pobres brasileiros priorizam "segurança pública" como principal demanda, acima de "distribuição de renda".
Esses números não são acidentais. Refletem uma **mudança estrutural**: o pobre moderno não é mais o "operário industrial" do século XX, mas um empreendedor informal, motorista de app, ou microempresário — figuras que valorizam autonomia e rejeitam paternalismo estatal. Eles dizem não entender o pobre de direita e que nunca vai entendê-los, mas o fato é que não entendem porque **nunca conversaram com um sem fazer cara de psicólogo de posto de saúde**. Sua "preocupação" é só uma máscara para esconder o desprezo por quem ousa pensar diferente do seu manual de "oprimido ideal".
## **Se ainda não entenderam:**
**Direita ≠ rico:** Tem gente que trabalha 12h/dia e vota em liberal porque quer **ser dono do próprio negócio**, não pra pagar mais taxação pra você postar meme no Twitter.
**Acham que são o Sherlock Holmes da pobreza:** o palpite de que "o pobre é manipulado" é tão raso quanto sua compreensão de economia básica.
---
### **A Psicologia por Trás do Voto Conservador nas Periferias**
A esquerda atribui o voto pobre em direita a "falta de educação" ou "manipulação midiática". Essa tese é não apenas elitista, mas **cientificamente falsa**:
**Análise Psicológica Básica (para você que se acha o Paulo Freire):**
- **Síndrome do Branco Salvador:** Acha que o pobre é uma criatura tão frágil que precisa de você pra pensar. Spoiler: ele não precisa.
- **Viés da Superioridade Moral:** "Se você é pobre e não concorda comigo, você é burro". Parabéns, recriou a escravidão intelectual.
- **Efeito Dunning-Kruger:** Não sabe o que é CLT, mas dá palpite sobre reforma trabalhista.
- **Estudo da Universidade de São Paulo (USP, 2021):** Entre moradores de favelas, 63% associam políticas de segurança dura (como "bandido bom é bandido morto") à proteção de seus negócios e famílias. Para eles, a esquerda é "branda demais" com o crime.
- **Pesquisa FGV (2020):** 71% dos trabalhadores informais rejeitam aumentos de impostos, mesmo que para financiar programas sociais. Motivo: já sofrem com a burocracia estatal para legalizar seus negócios.
Esses dados revelam uma **racionalidade prática**: o pobre avalia políticas pelo impacto imediato em sua vida, não por abstrações ideológicas. Enquanto a esquerda fala em "reforma estrutural" e tenta importar discursos estrangeiros para debate, por exemplo, o tema irrelevante do pronome neutro, ele quer resolver problemas como:
- **Violência** (que afeta seu comércio);
- **Impostos** (que consomem até 40% do lucro de um camelô);
- **Burocracia** (que impede a legalização de sua barraca de pastel).
---
### **Religião, Valores e a Hipocrisia do "Ateísmo de Redes Sociais"**
A esquerda subestima o papel da religião na formação política das classes baixas. No Brasil, **76% dos evangélicos são pobres** (Datafolha, 2023), e suas igrejas promovem valores como:
- **Família tradicional** (contra pautas progressistas como ideologia de gênero em escolas);
- **Auto-responsabilidade** (ênfase em "trabalho duro" em vez de assistencialismo).
**Exemplo Concreto:**
Nas favelas de São Paulo, pastores evangélicos são frequentemente eleitos a cargos locais com plataformas anticrime e pró-mercado. Para seus eleitores, a esquerda urbana (que defende descriminalização de drogas e críticas à polícia) representa uma **ameaça ao seu estilo de vida**.
---
### **A Esquerda e seu Desprezo pela Autonomia do Pobre**
O cerne do debate é a **incapacidade da esquerda de aceitar que o pobre possa ser autônomo**. Algumas evidências:
#### **O Caso dos Empreendedores Informais**
- **Segundo o IBGE (2023), 40% dos trabalhadores brasileiros estão na informalidade.** Muitos veem o Estado como obstáculo, não aliado. Políticas de direita (como simplificação tributária) são mais atraentes para eles que o Bolsa Família.
#### **A Ascensão do Conservadorismo Periférico**
- Pessoas assim tem um pensamento simples. Sua mensagem: *"Queremos empreender, não depender de político."*
#### **A Rejeição ao "Vitimismo"**
- **Pesquisa Atlas Intel (2022):** 68% dos pobres brasileiros rejeitam o termo "vítima da sociedade". Preferem ser vistos como "lutadores".
---
### **A projeção freudiana "o pobre é burro porque eu sou inteligente"**
O deboche esquerdista esconde um complexo de inferioridade disfarçado de superioridade moral. É a **Síndrome do Salvador** em sua forma mais patética:
- **Passo 1:** Assume-se que o pobre é um ser desprovido de agência.
- **Passo 2:** Qualquer desvio da narrativa é atribuído a "manipulação da elite".
- **Passo 3:** Quem critica o processo é chamado de "fascista".
**Exemplo Prático:**
Quando uma empregada doméstica diz que prefere o livre mercado a programas sociais, a esquerda não pergunta *"por quê?"* — ela grita *"lavagem cerebral!"*. A ironia? Essa mesma esquerda defende a **autonomia feminina**, exceto quando a mulher é pobre e pensa diferente.
### **Dados Globais: O Fenômeno Não é Brasileiro**
A ideia de que "pobre de direita" é uma anomalia é desmentida por evidências internacionais:
- **Estados Unidos:** 38% dos eleitores com renda abaixo de US$ 30k/ano votaram em Trump em 2020 (Pew Research).
Motivos principais: conservadorismo social e rejeição a impostos. A esquerda: "vítimas da falsa consciência".
Mais um detalhe: na última eleição de 2024, grande parte da classe "artística" milionária dos Estados Unidos, figuras conhecidas, promoveram em peso a Kamala Harris, do Partido Democrata. Percebe como a esquerda atual é a personificaçãoda burguesia e de só pensar na própria barriga?
- **Argentina:** Javier Milei, libertário radical, quando candidato, tinha forte apoio nas *villas miseria* (favelas). Seu lema — *"O estado é um parasita"* — ressoa entre quem sofria com inflação de 211% ao ano.
- **Índia:** O partido BJP (direita nacionalista) domina entre os pobres rurais, que associam a esquerda a elites urbanas desconectadas de suas necessidades.
### **A história que a esquerda tenta apagar: pobres de direita existem desde sempre**
A esquerda age como se o "pobre de direita" fosse uma invenção recente do MBL, mas a realidade é que **classes baixas conservadoras são regra, não exceção**, na história mundial:
- **Revolução Francesa (1789):** Camponeses apoiaram a monarquia contra os jacobinos urbanos que queriam "libertá-los".
- **Brasil Imperial:** Escravos libertos que viraram pequenos proprietários rurais rejeitavam o abolicionismo radical — queriam integração, não utopia.
**Tradução:**
Quando o pobre não segue o script, a esquerda inventa teorias conspiratórias.
---
### **A Hipocrisia da Esquerda Urbana e Universitária**
Enquanto acusa o pobre de direita de "alienado", a esquerda brasileira é dominada por uma **elite desconectada da realidade periférica**:
- **Perfil Socioeconômico:** 82% dos filiados ao PSOL têm ensino superior completo (TSE, 2023). Apenas 6% moram em bairros periféricos.
- **Prioridades Descoladas:** Enquanto o pobre debate segurança e custo de vida, a esquerda pauta discussões como "linguagem não-binária em editais públicos" — tema irrelevante para quem luta contra o desemprego. Os grandes teóricos comunistas se reviram no túmulo quando veem o que a esquerda se tornou: não debatem os reais problemas do Brasil, e sim sobre suas próprias emoções.
*"A esquerda brasileira trocou o operário pelo influencer progressista. O pobre virou um personagem de campanha, não um interlocutor real."*
### **A diversidade de pensamento que a esquerda não suporta**
A esquerda prega diversidade — desde que você seja diverso dentro de um **checklist pré-aprovado**. Pobre LGBTQ+? Herói. Pobre evangélico? Fascista. Pobre que abre MEI? "Peão do capitalismo". A realidade é que favelas e periferias são **microcosmos de pluralidade ideológica**, algo que assusta quem quer reduzir seres humanos a estereótipos.
---
### **Respostas aos Argumentos Esquerdistas (e Por que Falham)**
#### **"O pobre de direita é manipulado pela mídia!"**
- **Contradição:** Se a mídia tradicional é dominada por elites (como alegam), por que grandes veículos são abertamente progressistas? A Record (evangélica) é exceção, não regra.
**Contradição Central:**
Como explicar que, segundo o **Banco Mundial (2023)**, países com maior liberdade econômica (ex.: Chile, Polônia) reduziram a pobreza extrema em 60% nas últimas décadas, enquanto modelos estatizantes (ex.: Venezuela, Argentina com o governo peronista) afundaram na miséria? Simples: a esquerda prefere culpar o "neoliberalismo" a admitir que **o pobre com o mínimo de consciência quer emprego, não esmola**.
**Dado que Machuca:**
- 71% das mulheres da periferia rejeitam o feminismo radical, associando-o a "prioridades distantes da realidade" (**Instituto Locomotiva, 2023**).
#### **"Ele vota contra os próprios interesses!"**
- **Falácia:** Pressupõe que a esquerda define o que é o "interesse do pobre". Para um pai de família na Cidade de Deus, ter a boca de fogo fechada pode ser mais urgente que um aumento de 10% no Bolsa Família.
O pobre de direita não é uma anomalia. É o **produto natural de um mundo complexo** onde seres humanos têm aspirações, medos e valores diversos. Enquanto a esquerda insiste em tratá-lo como um projeto fracassado, ele está ocupado:
- **Trabalhando** para não depender do governo.
- **Escolhendo** religiões que dão sentido à sua vida.
- **Rejeitando** pautas identitárias que não resolvem o custo do gás de cozinha.
#### **"É falta de educação política!"**
- **Ironia:** Nos países nórdicos (modelo da esquerda), as classes baixas são as mais conservadoras. Educação não correlaciona com progressismo.
---
### **Por que o Debuste Precisa Acabar**
A insistência em descredibilizar o pobre de direita revela um **projeto de poder fracassado**. A esquerda, ao substituir diálogo por deboche, perdeu a capacidade de representar quem mais precisaria dela. Enquanto isso, a direita — nem sempre por virtude, mas por pragmatismo — capturou o descontentamento de milhões com o status quo.
O pobre de direita existe porque ele **não precisa da permissão do rico de esquerda para pensar**. A incapacidade de entender isso só prova que **a esquerda é a nova aristocracia**.
**Último Dado:** Nas eleições de 2022, Tarcísio de Freitas (direita) venceu em 72% das favelas de São Paulo. O motivo? Seu discurso anti-burocracia e pró-microempreendedor.
A mensagem é clara: o pobre não é um projeto ideológico. É um agente político autônomo — e quem não entender isso continuará perdendo eleições.
A esquerda elitista não odeia o pobre de direita por ele ser "irracional". Odeia porque ele **desafia o monopólio moral** que ela construiu sobre a miséria alheia. Enquanto isso, o pobre segue sua vida, ignorando os berros de quem acha que sabem mais da sua vida que ele mesmo.
**Pergunta Retórica (Para Incomodar):**
Se a esquerda é tão sábia, por que não usa essa sabedoria para entender que **pobre também cansa de ser tratado como cachorro que late no ritmo errado**?
---
# **Fontes Citadas:**
1. Latinobarómetro (2022)
2. IPEC (2023)
3. USP (2021): *"Segurança Pública e Percepções nas Favelas Cariocas"*
4. FGV (2020): *"Informalidade e Tributação no Brasil"*
5. Datafolha (2023): *"Perfil Religioso do Eleitorado Brasileiro"*
6. Atlas Intel (2022): *"Autopercepção das Classes Baixas"*
7. Pew Research (2020): *"Voting Patterns by Income in the U.S."*
8. TSE (2023): *"Perfil Socioeconômico dos Filiados Partidários"*
**Leitura Recomendada para Esquerdistas:**
- *"Fome de Poder: Por que o Pobre Brasileiro Abandonou a Esquerda"* (Fernando Schüller, 2023)
- *"A Revolução dos Conservadores: Religião e Política nas Periferias"* (Juliano Spyer, 2021)
- *"Direita e Esquerda: Razões e Paixões"* (Demétrio Magnoli, 2019)
-

@ 878dff7c:037d18bc
2025-03-09 20:49:43
## Undocumented Commands Found in ESP32 Bluetooth Chip Used by Over a Billion Devices
### Summary:
Researchers from Tarlogic Security have discovered 29 undocumented vendor-specific commands in the ESP32 microcontroller, manufactured by Espressif and widely used in over a billion IoT devices as of 2023. These hidden commands enable low-level control over Bluetooth functions, including memory manipulation (reading/writing RAM and Flash), MAC address spoofing (device impersonation), and LMP/LLCP packet injection. Such capabilities could allow attackers to spoof trusted devices, access unauthorized data, pivot to other networked devices, and establish long-term persistence. The issue, now tracked as CVE-2025-27840, was presented at RootedCON in Madrid. Espressif has not publicly documented these commands, raising concerns about potential exploitation.​:contentReference[oaicite:0]{index=0}
Sources: [BleepingComputer - 8 March 2025](https://www.bleepingcomputer.com/news/security/undocumented-backdoor-found-in-bluetooth-chip-used-by-a-billion-devices/), [Tarlogic - 6 March 2025](https://www.tarlogic.com/news/backdoor-esp32-chip-infect-ot-devices/), [NVD - 8 March 2025](https://nvd.nist.gov/vuln/detail/CVE-2025-27840)
## Fresh Flood Crisis Hits Gold Coast and Brisbane
### Summary:
Brisbane's south, Ipswich, Logan, and the Gold Coast have been severely affected by Cyclone Alfred, resulting in significant flooding. An emergency alert advised residents in flood-prone areas to stay inside and seek higher ground. The cyclone, initially thought to have weakened, surprised many with destructive 100km/h winds. Brisbane experienced severe flash flooding, impacting homes, streets, and public transport. Heavy rainfall is anticipated to continue, with predictions of up to 500mm in the next 48 hours. While some schools and public services are resuming, many areas remain critically affected by power outages and infrastructure damage. Premier David Crisafulli emphasized the importance of safety and recovery efforts, urging continued caution.
Sources: [The Courier-Mail - 10 March 2025](https://www.couriermail.com.au/news/queensland/weather/extropical-cyclone-alfred-makes-landfall-brisbane-and-redcliffe-smashed-by-category-1-winds/news-story/1ae4734d55def2afa4fb5d99fca65499), [News.com.au - 10 March 2025](https://www.news.com.au/technology/environment/extropical-cyclone-alfred-threats-remain-as-wind-flooding-concerns-linger/news-story/8d68f034ba130023752876138536d316)
## Thousands Without Power as Storm Alfred Lashes Queensland
### Summary:
Tens of thousands of Australians in Queensland were left without power as the downgraded Tropical Cyclone Alfred brought heavy rains, damaging winds, and flooding. The Gold Coast was the hardest hit, with over 112,000 outages, while a total of approximately 316,540 people in southeast Queensland were affected. Despite preparations, the storm's severe conditions also impacted New South Wales, prompting significant efforts and responses from local and federal authorities. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese emphasized the serious flood risks in affected areas. The Bureau of Meteorology forecasted ongoing heavy rains and winds. Brisbane Airport reopened but warned of potential disruptions, and decisions regarding the reopening of about 1,000 schools affected by the weather were pending. The community spirit remained strong despite the adverse conditions. On Saturday, an individual died in northern New South Wales floodwaters, and a collision involving military vehicles resulted in injuries to several officers.
Sources: [Reuters - 10 March 2025](https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/thousands-australians-without-power-ex-tropical-cyclone-lashes-queensland-2025-03-08), [AP News - 9 March 2025](https://apnews.com/article/ec60b6f7b8658e9cdce954c7a47979f1)
## Concerns Over Potential Advertising Bans by Minority Governments
### Summary:
Australia's political landscape is shifting as disillusioned voters increasingly support independents and minor parties. This trend could lead to a minority Labor or Coalition government after the next federal election, creating potential uncertainties for businesses. Independent parties are advocating for broad advertising bans on industries such as gambling, alcohol, and unhealthy food, which could significantly impact the economy. These bans, especially on food and beverages, could devastate manufacturers and farmers, exacerbating the ongoing cost-of-living crisis. Current consumer research indicates that Australians prefer health education and subsidies for nutritious foods over further advertising prohibitions. Evidence from global instances suggests that such advertising bans have not effectively reduced obesity rates. In this volatile political and economic situation, pragmatic leadership is essential to balance public health and economic sustainability.
Sources: [The Australian - 10 March 2025](https://www.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/beware-the-advertising-fallout-of-minority-rule-in-australia/news-story/53ae0391e1c327ac4007211acab3142a)
## Proposed Freeze on Tobacco Tax to Recover Government Funds
### Summary:
A report from Tulipwood Economics for the Australian Association of Convenience Stores (AACS) suggests that freezing tobacco excise, allowing regulated vapes, and targeting illicit sellers could secure up to $18.6 billion in revenue for the Australian Federal Government. This revenue could fund essential public services such as schools, social housing, and hospitals. The report criticizes the current approach of frequent tax hikes on tobacco, noting that higher taxes have driven smokers towards the black market, increasing criminal activity and reducing government revenue. The opposition Coalition's plan to reintroduce regulated vapes and consider freezing tobacco taxes is praised for addressing the crisis. Master Grocers Australia also supports a tax freeze, emphasizing that the government's current policy inadvertently supports criminal enterprises. The call is for a significant policy rethink to ensure smokers use legal, taxed products, thereby benefiting Australia's economy and public health.
Sources: [Herald Sun - 10 March 2025](https://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/victoria/50-new-schools-75000-social-housing-units-what-a-freeze-on-tobacco-tax-could-provide/news-story/ddef201bb4cdd9159ed3f505de9886b4)
## U.S. Pentagon Nominee Questions Submarine Sales to Australia Amid Taiwan Tensions
### Summary:
Elbridge Colby, nominated by President Trump for undersecretary of defense for policy, has raised concerns about the AUKUS agreement, which involves selling U.S. Virginia-class nuclear-powered submarines to Australia. Colby emphasizes the strategic importance of these submarines for defending Taiwan and highlights potential risks to U.S. forces if they are sold to Australia, citing production and deployment challenges. He suggests that Australia invest in other military capabilities instead.
Sources: [The Guardian - 9 March 2025](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/09/trump-pick-for-pentagon-says-selling-submarines-to-australia-would-be-crazy-if-taiwan-tensions-flare)
## Australia Faces Imminent U.S. Tariffs on Steel and Aluminium
### Summary:
The United States is set to impose tariffs on Australian steel and aluminium starting Wednesday. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is currently prioritizing the aftermath of Cyclone Alfred, while Trade Minister Don Farrell has not advanced plans to visit the U.S. to discuss the tariffs. Influential advisers to President Trump are urging against tariff exemptions for Australia, and there are concerns that negative comments from Australian officials may influence the U.S. stance on exemptions.
Sources: [The Australian - 10 March 2025](https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/albanese-focus-on-alfred-aftermath-before-us-tariffs-threat/news-story/a247c23a6cb08b28a68d77e0e8ab34b5)
## Rising Refinery Emissions Raise Health Concerns in Geelong
### Summary:
Residents in North Geelong, particularly David Dillon, have raised concerns over increasing sulfur dioxide emissions from the local Viva Energy refinery. Emissions have risen from 1,685,843 kg in 2017 to 2,528,475 kg in 2024. Health statistics indicate higher rates of lung conditions and heart disease in nearby communities. While Viva and the EPA assert that emissions are within legal limits, residents call for increased monitoring and scrutiny.
Sources: [Herald Sun - 6th March 2025](https://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/geelong/david-dillion-concerned-increasing-viva-energy-refinery-emissions-could-increase-locals-health-issues/news-story/c0e896b9fed364f7d6a602c78581e455)
## Urgent Recall of Google Pixel 4a Smartphones Due to Fire Risk
### Summary:
The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) has issued an urgent recall for Google Pixel 4a smartphones due to a potential fire hazard associated with battery overheating. Users are advised to ensure their devices have received the latest firmware update and may be eligible for refunds.
Sources: [news.com.au - March 9, 2025](https://www.news.com.au/national/breaking-news/google-pixel-4a-smartphone-recalled-over-fire-risk/news-story/0ce155877fef2db1d622526244530ba9)
## Peter Dutton Vows to Declare National Anti-Semitism Emergency
### Summary:
Opposition Leader Peter Dutton has pledged that, if elected, a Coalition government under his leadership will declare a national emergency on anti-Semitism in Australia. He plans to incorporate education against Jewish hatred into the national curriculum, aligning with a comprehensive strategy proposed by the Executive Council of Australian Jewry (ECAJ). The ECAJ's 15-point plan includes the creation of a counter-terrorism taskforce to address anti-Semitic threats and public awareness campaigns. While the Coalition has endorsed federal responsibilities within the plan, a response from Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is pending. The ECAJ expects both parties to clarify their positions before the upcoming election to ensure leadership on this critical issue.
Sources: [The Daily Telegraph - 10 March 2025](https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/nsw/peter-dutton-plans-totackleantijew-hatred-in-schools/news-story/924ec72ee78b06871f11fc2430fb120f)
## Newspoll Indicates Potential Hung Parliament in Upcoming Election
### Summary:
A recent Newspoll suggests that while support for Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has risen, it may not be sufficient for Labor to secure a majority, pointing towards a likely hung parliament in the forthcoming federal election. The Coalition currently leads Labor by seven points in primary votes; however, a majority of voters perceive the Coalition as not yet ready to govern after a single term in opposition. Both major parties may need to seek support from independents and minor parties to form a minority government. Albanese holds a slight advantage as the preferred Prime Minister, leading Peter Dutton by nine points, while Dutton's approval ratings have declined. The survey highlights public skepticism regarding the Coalition's preparedness to govern, particularly among younger and middle-aged voters, as well as women.
Sources: [The Australian - 10 March 2025](https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/newspoll-majority-of-voters-believe-coalition-not-yet-ready-to-govern-again/news-story/c429e633ae4d0c5d578eed3abe53e91e)
## Treasurer Plans to Maintain Spending Levels in Upcoming Budget
### Summary:
Treasurer Jim Chalmers intends to avoid significant spending cuts or new revenue measures in the forthcoming March budget. This approach aims to fund costly election commitments and provide cost-of-living relief packages, especially in light of the financial impact of Cyclone Alfred. The government plans to maintain increased spending on health, education, and emergency management services, with no major tax reforms anticipated. This strategy is expected to be a focal point in the lead-up to the anticipated election in May.
Sources: [The Australian - March 10, 2025](https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/jim-chalmers-to-avoid-big-spending-cuts-in-electiondefining-2025-budget/news-story/4273f97771caa551c0099d88844a2e43)
## Social Security Payments Set to Increase from March 20
### Summary:
The latest indexation of social security payments will take effect on March 20, providing financial boosts to millions of Australians. Single aged pensioners will receive an additional $4.60 per fortnight, while couples will get an extra $7, bringing their payments to $1,149 and $866.10 respectively. JobSeeker recipients will also see increases, with singles receiving an extra $3.10 and couples $2.80 per fortnight. These adjustments aim to ease cost-of-living pressures and reflect the government's commitment to strengthening the social security system.
Sources: [news.com.au - March 10, 2025](https://www.news.com.au/national/politics/social-security-bump-as-latest-indexing-kicks-in/news-story/e1f9004caef5ebc47e31f1c4958ea77b)
-

@ 401014b3:59d5476b
2025-03-09 20:16:31
Alright, football heathens, it’s March 3, 2025, and we’re wading into the NFC South like it’s a gator-infested bayou with a keg on the bank. Free agency’s a sweaty mess, the draft’s a blind grab, and this division’s always a rollercoaster of hope and hilarity. The Bucs held it down in 2024, the Falcons flirted with glory, the Saints stayed scrappy, and the Panthers… well, they tried. Let’s slap some records on this mess and see who’s got the chops to take the South. Here we go, fam—grab a sweet tea and let’s roll.
### **Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 10-7 – Baker’s Still Cooking**
The Bucs owned the NFC South in 2024, and 2025’s looking like another hot dish. Baker Mayfield’s slinging it to Mike Evans and Chris Godwin (if he's back), while Rachaad White keeps the ground game spicy (also contingent on him coming back). That defense—Vita Vea, Calijah Kancey—is a wall when healthy. Antoine Winfield Jr. might chase a payday, and the O-line’s got holes. Still, 10-7’s the call, division champs again. Tampa’s got that pirate swagger—good luck prying the crown off ‘em.
### **Atlanta Falcons: 9-8 – Penix’s Big Swing**
The Falcons turned heads in 2024 with Kirk Cousins, but 2025’s likely a Michael Penix Jr.’s show. The rookie’s got Bijan Robinson, Drake London, and Kyle Pitts to play with—talk about a loaded sandbox. The defense—Grady Jarrett, A.J. Terrell—holds its own, but free agency could sting. Jessie Bates III might test the market, and the secondary’s thin. 9-8’s where they land, maybe a wildcard if Penix pops off. Atlanta’s close, but not quite king yet.
### **New Orleans Saints: 7-10 – Carr’s Last Hurrah?**
The Saints hung around in 2024, and 2025’s a gritty grind. Derek Carr’s got Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed to sling it to, but the run game’s a question mark without Alvin Kamara’s prime juice. The defense—with stars like Cam Jordan—still fight, but age is creeping, and free agency looms. Tyrann Mathieu might dip, and the cap’s a nightmare. 7-10’s the vibe—not awful, not great. New Orleans is treading water ‘til the rebuild hits.
### **Carolina Panthers: 5-12 – Bryce’s Baby Steps**
The Panthers were a dumpster fire in 2024, but 2025’s got a flicker. Bryce Young’s got Xavier Legette to throw to, and Chuba Hubbard’s a sneaky RB gem. The defense—Jaycee Horn, Jadeveon Clowney—shows teeth, but the O-line’s shaky, and free agency might swipe Ejiro Evero’s scheme elsewhere. 5-12’s the harsh reality—progress, not playoffs. Carolina’s climbing, but it’s a slow crawl outta the basement.
### **The Final Jambalaya**
The NFC South in 2025 is a Tampa takeover with a Falcon tease. The Bucs (10-7) snag the title because Baker’s got that dawg in him, the Falcons (9-8) flirt with a wildcard, the Saints (7-10) scrap by, and the Panthers (5-12) lag behind. Free agency’s the curveball—lose a stud, you’re sunk; keep ‘em, you’re sizzling. Hit me on X when I botch this, but this is my NFC South sermon. Let’s ride, degenerates.
-

@ c1e9ab3a:9cb56b43
2025-03-09 20:13:44
## Introduction
Since the mid-1990s, American media has fractured into two distinct and increasingly isolated ecosystems, each with its own Overton window of acceptable discourse. Once upon a time, Americans of different political leanings shared a common set of facts, even if they interpreted them differently. Today, they don’t even agree on what the facts are—or who has the authority to define them.
This divide stems from a deeper philosophical rift in how each side determines truth and legitimacy. The institutional left derives its authority from the **expert class**—academics, think tanks, scientific consensus, and mainstream media. The populist right, on the other hand, finds its authority in **traditional belief systems**—religion, historical precedent, and what many call "common sense." As these two moral and epistemological frameworks drift further apart, the result is not just political division but the emergence of **two separate cultural nations sharing the same geographic space**.
## The Battle of Epistemologies: Experts vs. Tradition
The left-leaning camp sees **scientific consensus, peer-reviewed research, and institutional expertise** as the gold standard of truth. Universities, media organizations, and policy think tanks function as arbiters of knowledge, shaping the moral and political beliefs of those who trust them. From this perspective, governance should be guided by data-driven decisions, often favoring progressive change and bureaucratic administration over democratic populism.
The right-leaning camp is skeptical of these institutions, viewing them as ideologically captured and detached from real-world concerns. Instead, they look to **religion, historical wisdom, and traditional social structures** as more reliable sources of truth. To them, the "expert class" is not an impartial source of knowledge but a self-reinforcing elite that justifies its own power while dismissing dissenters as uneducated or morally deficient.
This fundamental disagreement over the **source of moral and factual authority** means that political debates today are rarely about policy alone. They are battles over legitimacy itself. One side sees resistance to climate policies as "anti-science," while the other sees aggressive climate mandates as an elite power grab. One side views traditional gender roles as oppressive, while the other sees rapid changes in gender norms as unnatural and destabilizing. Each group believes the other is **not just wrong, but dangerous**.
## The Consequences of Non-Overlapping Overton Windows
As these worldviews diverge, so do their respective **Overton windows**—the range of ideas considered acceptable for public discourse. There is little overlap left. What is considered self-evident truth in one camp is often seen as **heresy or misinformation** in the other. The result is:
- **Epistemic Closure** – Each side has its own trusted media sources, and cross-exposure is minimal. The left dismisses right-wing media as conspiracy-driven, while the right views mainstream media as corrupt propaganda. Both believe the other is being systematically misled.
- **Moralization of Politics** – Since truth itself is contested, policy debates become existential battles. Disagreements over issues like immigration, education, or healthcare are no longer just about governance but about **moral purity versus moral corruption**.
- **Cultural and Political Balkanization** – Without a shared understanding of reality, compromise becomes impossible. Americans increasingly consume separate news, live in ideologically homogeneous communities, and even **speak different political languages**.
## Conclusion: Two Nations on One Land
A country can survive disagreements, but can it survive when its people no longer share **a common source of truth**? Historically, such deep societal fractures have led to **secession, authoritarianism, or violent conflict**. The United States has managed to avoid these extremes so far, but the trendline is clear: as long as each camp continues reinforcing its own epistemology while rejecting the other's as illegitimate, the divide will only grow.
The question is no longer whether America is divided—it is whether these two cultures can continue to coexist under a single political system. Can anything bridge the gap between institutional authority and traditional wisdom? Or are we witnessing the slow but inevitable unraveling of a once-unified nation into **two separate moral and epistemic realities**?
-

@ 06639a38:655f8f71
2025-03-09 19:54:07
## FOSDEM
I do know about the presence of this conference for many years, but I never attended it (and it's just around the corner for me coming from the south of The Netherlands). Attending FOSDEM with Nostr was quite a no-brainer to me. FOSDEM has the perfect tech-savy audience who will understand the protocol pretty quick. Our main goal would be to explain Nostr as a protocol and what new kind of applications can be build with it (and why we need it). During Bitcoin Amsterdam 2024 I proposed the idea for applying with a Nostr stand at FOSDEM '25 to @npub1l77twp5l02jadkcjn6eeulv2j7y5vmf9tf3hhtq7h7rp0vzhgpzqz0swft and @npub1hz5alqscpp8yjrvgsdp2n4ygkl8slvstrgvmjca7e45w6644ew7sewtysa.
Jurjen and I created the application on October 29 2024. Without any expectations as no one knew what kind of policy they have. As a result we were really excited when we heard that our submission was approved (16 November 2024). Two weeks later we also proposed a main talk about Nostr (1 december 2024) and again we very surpised it was accepted (10 January 2025)!
Now it was time for us to work out all of the plans we had:
* Design and print promotional items
* Flyers
* Stickers
* NIP-01 folder
* Banners
* Gather all the equipment we need to demo Nostr stuff at the stand
* Book accomodations
* Prepare a keynote
* Start a Geyser fundraiser to cover all the expenses as much as possible
On the 21th of January we launched our [Geyser project](https://geyser.fund/project/nostrfosdem2025?hero=geyser) and with one very generous donation we already achieved our funding goal within just ONE hour! Wow!!!

### Friday
In the evening Jurjen organized a Nostr fringe at the place of Commons Hub Brussels. Around 25 people joined, so that was a pleasant surpise so many showed up and shared their interest into Nostr.

### Saterday
We're arrived a bit too late as the venue was already packed with a lot of people! For the first hours we had no power, so we our computer screen with the slides was not. What we saw immediately was the huge interest in stickers. Not only our Nostr stickers, but in general you can grab stickers everywhere on each stand. People at FOSDEM like stickers a lot!


We were there with five and during the whole day all of use had conversations explaining Nostr or having related discussions around social media and centralisation.
Video: [https://nostrver.se/sites/default/files/2025-02/IMG_2322.mp4](https://nostrver.se/sites/default/files/2025-02/IMG_2322.mp4)
### Sunday
This day was less crowded than the day before so we had a bit more room to breath, relax and explore other areas of the conference.

In the afternoon it was up to Constant to give his Nostr keynote at one of the two mainstages of FOSDEM.

The recording is available [here on fosdem.org](https://fosdem.org/2025/schedule/event/fosdem-2025-6452-nostr-notes-and-other-stuff-transmitted-by-relays/) and on [YouTube](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tbt3jL1Ms0w).
All the keynotes slides can be found [here](https://nostrver.se/sites/default/files/2025-02/Nostr_FOS_jW08Poa.odp).
### Learnings / insights
* We need to be there again next year !!!
* We had zero inconvenient moments or unreasonable debates.
* Some attendees are pretty hardcore as one of them visited the stand the second time after when he installed the Gossip client on his PostmarketOS powered phone asking how to proceed using Nostr. People at FOSDEM are not normal ;-)
* Many people do ask why Nostr is here as another social media protocol.
* Questions about the differences with other protocols are very common, mentioning ActivityPub and ATproto.
* Almost everyone knows what Mastodon and the fediverse is.
* Had some questions how private Nostr is, so this confirms that we really need the private stuff for Nostr.
* At many moments it was hard to understand each other due all the noise from other people. Especially when you're speaking not your native language.
* When talking about using a private key you get really good questions how convient it could be (or not as some really don't believe it can work for normies) used in the context of social media. As in how often you will need this key for the actions you take using a Nostr client. A topic also very well explained by Constant in the Nostr main talk.
* We had 500+ stickers, but we needed more as we ran out of them during the Sunday morning.
* We handed-out around 400-500 NIP-01 folders.
* We handed-out almost 1000 A5 flyers.
* We did almost no onboardings but that's fine. FOSDEM attendees are tech-savy and will find their own way using the Nostr with some client. We were not there telling people what they should do.
* We need more merchandise next year. There were some stands with outstanding merchandise and I'm sure Nostr can offer the same (even better!) with the many talented creatives we already have in the community.
* Having just one table with a size of 180x80 (just like any other stand) you really have to choice what to display and not. Being there with 5-6 people was just enough as we all were quite surprised with the amount of interest.
* The FOSDEM organisation asked us multiple times how things were going. Especially with the announced protests against Jack Dorsey they were curious we didn't have any inconvenient moments. We really appreciate that!
* Overall we had the feeling that we were very welcome and we had a great opportunity to introduce Nostr to a new audience.
### The team 💜

* @npub1equrmqway3qxw3dkssymusxkwgwrqypfgeqx0lx9pgjam7gnj4ysaqhkj6
* @npub1l77twp5l02jadkcjn6eeulv2j7y5vmf9tf3hhtq7h7rp0vzhgpzqz0swft
* @npub1r30l8j4vmppvq8w23umcyvd3vct4zmfpfkn4c7h2h057rmlfcrmq9xt9ma
* @npub1t6jxfqz9hv0lygn9thwndekuahwyxkgvycyscjrtauuw73gd5k7sqvksrw
* @npub1rfw075gc6pc693w5v568xw4mnu7umlzpkfxmqye0cgxm7qw8tauqfck3t8
* And me ;-)
If you're curious what we have spent, please have a look at this [document](https://nostrver.se/sites/default/files/2025-02/Nostr%20Fosdem%202025%20bookkeeping.ods).
## Debugging Nostr AUTH with PHP
The week after FOSDEM I spent some hours on debugging these issues:
* [Unclear nip-42 auth spec and/or behavior](https://github.com/nostrability/nostrability/issues/163#issuecomment-2639839500) and [this MR](https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/82)
* [Uncaught error when writing to nostr.wine](https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/issues/77)
As a result and with some help of @npub1acg6thl5psv62405rljzkj8spesceyfz2c32udakc2ak0dmvfeyse9p35c I submitted [this merge request](https://github.com/sirn-se/websocket-php/pull/100) for the \`sirn-se/websocket-php\` package used in the Nostr-PHP library to fix connection errors on relays (WebSocket servers) which don't response with a reason when the HTTP connection is upgraded to the WebSocket protocol.
## Nostr-PHP development
Next month (March) I will pick up my development on Nostr-PHP again.
* Finish up the NIP-19 integration
* Pick up the [work](https://nostr-php.dev/guides/asynchronous-and-concurrent-requests) on async and concurrent requests with websockets
* Create more [examples](https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/tree/main/src/Examples)
* Create examples using the Symfony and Laravel framework
* Take care of incoming merge requests with new features (thanks Djuri)
As of that moment I also will be publishing my weekly reports here sharing the stuff I did around Nostr.
-

@ 29216785:2a636a70
2025-03-09 19:36:24
Just a test long-form content
-

@ e5de992e:4a95ef85
2025-03-09 18:03:21
If you’ve been in the markets long enough, you’ve probably noticed a pattern: when major indices like the S&P 500 or Nasdaq rise, most stocks go up with them. When indices decline, the majority of stocks follow suit.
It’s not a coincidence—this phenomenon is backed by market structure, investor behavior, and systemic flows of capital. Studies suggest that roughly 75% of stocks move in the same direction as the major indices on any given day. But why does this happen? Let’s break it down.
---
1. Market Structure: Stocks Are Part of an Index
One of the simplest reasons most stocks follow the indices is that most stocks are part of an index.
The S&P 500 contains 500 of the largest U.S. companies.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has 30 blue-chip stocks.
The Nasdaq 100 is tech-heavy and contains many of the biggest growth stocks.
Since indices are composed of multiple stocks, when large components rise or fall, the entire index moves. This movement influences investor sentiment, creating a feedback loop where individual stocks follow the broader trend.
Example: Apple and Microsoft in the S&P 500
Apple and Microsoft alone make up over 13% of the S&P 500. If these two stocks have a strong day, the index is likely to rise—even if many smaller stocks are down. This index movement then impacts market psychology, and funds tracking the index push money into other stocks, causing a broader move.
---
2. Passive Investing and ETF Flows
Over the last 20 years, passive investing has exploded. ETFs (Exchange-Traded Funds) and index funds now control trillions of dollars in assets, and they move markets in a big way.
When investors buy an S&P 500 ETF like SPY, the fund must buy all 500 stocks in proportion to their weight in the index.
When they sell, the fund sells all those stocks.
This creates a powerful systemic force, where the buying and selling of indices directly impacts individual stocks.
Example: The 2020 COVID Crash & Recovery
When the S&P 500 crashed in March 2020, nearly all stocks followed. ETFs and funds sold entire portfolios, causing broad market declines. When the Fed stepped in and liquidity returned, passive flows reversed—pushing nearly all stocks higher together.
---
3. Institutional Portfolio Management
Large institutions—hedge funds, pension funds, mutual funds—manage portfolios by balancing exposure between broad market risk and specific stock risk.
Many funds target exposure to the S&P 500 as part of their risk model.
When they adjust exposure, they buy or sell stocks broadly, moving them with the index.
Example: Risk-On vs. Risk-Off Environments
When fund managers increase equity exposure (risk-on), they buy large portions of the market, moving indices and individual stocks higher. When they reduce exposure (risk-off), broad selling pressure causes most stocks to decline together.
---
4. Market Sentiment and Herd Behavior
Stock prices are not driven solely by fundamentals—they are heavily influenced by investor psychology.
When the S&P 500 is rising, investors feel confident and buy stocks broadly.
When the market is falling, fear sets in, and investors sell everything, even solid companies.
Example: The 2022 Bear Market
Even fundamentally strong companies like Apple and Google fell over 30% during the 2022 bear market—not because their businesses were collapsing, but because broad market sentiment turned bearish, prompting funds to sell across the board.
---
5. Economic and Macro Factors Affect All Stocks
Markets don’t move in a vacuum. Macro forces—such as interest rates, inflation, and Federal Reserve policy—affect all companies to some degree.
If interest rates rise, borrowing costs increase, hurting all businesses.
If the Fed adds liquidity, more money flows into all assets, lifting stocks broadly.
Because these macroeconomic factors apply to the entire economy, they drive coordinated movements across stocks and indices.
---
Does This Mean All Stocks Follow the Market?
Not necessarily. Some stocks have low correlation with the major indices, such as:
Defensive sectors (utilities, consumer staples)
Small-cap stocks that aren’t in major indices
Idiosyncratic movers (e.g., biotech stocks with FDA news)
However, for the vast majority of stocks—especially large and mid-cap stocks—index movements dictate short-term price action.
---
How Traders Can Use This to Their Advantage
1. Pay Attention to the Overall Market:
If you’re trading individual stocks, always check what the major indices are doing. A rising tide lifts most boats, and a sinking tide takes most down with it.
2. Use Index ETFs to Express Market Views:
If you believe most stocks will rise, sometimes it’s better to trade an ETF (like SPY or QQQ) rather than picking individual stocks.
3. Avoid Fighting the Trend:
If the market is in a strong uptrend, shorting individual stocks is riskier since they are likely to follow the broader move.
4. Look for Outliers:
Some stocks decouple from the indices—finding these can provide unique trading opportunities.
---
Final Thoughts
Roughly 75% of stocks follow the indices because of:
✔ Market structure (stocks are in indices)
✔ ETF and passive investing flows
✔ Institutional portfolio management
✔ Herd behavior and market sentiment
✔ Macroeconomic forces
Understanding this dynamic can help traders and investors make better decisions, avoid fighting the trend, and capitalize on market-wide movements more effectively.
Next time you analyze a stock, ask yourself: Is the index moving in the same direction? The answer can tell you a lot. 🚀
---
-

@ 866e0139:6a9334e5
2025-03-09 17:22:12
> Vom Schrei nach dem Frieden ist hier die Luft ganz schwer,
>
> Der Friede, der Friede, wo kommt denn der Friede her?
>
> Der kommt nicht vom bloßen Fordern,
>
> Der kommt nur, wenn wir ihn tun,
>
> Und wenn in unseren Seelen die Mörderwaffen ruhn.
>
> Wenn wir Gewalt verweigern, in Sprache, Not und Streit,
>
> Wenn wir als Haltung lieben, Zeit unsrer Lebenszeit.
>
> André Heller (\*1947)
Die Lage ist ernst. Es ist so unübersehbar wie skandalös:
* Das "Friedensprojekt" Europäische Union rüstet zum Krieg. Orwell ist längst Realität.
* Im "Nie-Wieder-Krieg"-Land Deutschland prügeln die Kriegstreiber hunderte Milliarden durch einen abgewählten Bundestag, Wahlbetrug inklusive. Wieder mal an vorderster Front mit dabei: Kein Weltkrieg ohne uns!
* Ein Joschka Fischer, der nie gedient hat, außer an den Futtertrögen des Steuerzahlers oder von Transatlantistan, bringt die Wehrpflicht für Männer und Frauen ins Spiel. Gleichberechtigt in den Tod für die Waffenlobby!
* Der Ausnahmezustand hat nie aufgehört, bekommt nur ein neues Gesicht: die Fratze von Krieg, Tod und Leid. Corona ist abmoderiert. Das neue Virus heißt Russland, der Impfstoff „slava ukraini“, und auch bei der Finanzierung bleibt alles gleich: die Zeche zahlen (wieder mal) Sie. Diesmal doppelt. Sie dürfen zahlen und sterben, das Sonderopfer für jede Politikverwirrung zahlt in “Unserer Demokratie” immer der angebliche Souverän, der vom Nutztier jederzeit zum Schlachttier gemacht werden kann.
* Was jetzt kommt, kennen Sie schon von der Corona-Generalprobe: Spaltung, Diffamierung, Propaganda, Zensur, irre Milliardenausgaben, Ausnahmezustand, Kriegswirtschaft, Kriegszustand. Volksvertreter und Lobbyisten können sich jetzt straffrei eine goldene Nase verdienen, wenn sie ihre Wähler in die Bajonette laufen lassen. Die Strack-Zimmermanns und Kiesewetters sind die Lauterbachs und Dahmens im Tarnfleck, und sie werden bis zum letzten Wähler mutig „für das Gute“ kämpfen. Wie sich die Bilder doch gleichen:
### Nicht mit uns: Erheben wir jetzt die Stimme für den Frieden!
Machen wir den Kriegstreibern einen Strich durch die Rechnung! Bringen wir die Stimmen für den Frieden an einen Tisch! Wir lassen die Friedenstaube fliegen, die erste unzensierbare Friedenspublikation der Welt auf Nostr und Pareto.
Die Vielfalt an Themen ist groß. Wir wollen aufklären und informieren:
Über Diplomatie und Strategien für den Frieden; über Lügen, Propaganda und Manipulation; über Verschwendung, Völkerrechtsbrüche und Kriegsverbrechen. Wir nehmen kein Blatt vor den Mund, egal ob hybride Kriegsführung, kognitive Kriegsführung oder sonstige neuartige Methoden der Kriegsführung. Wir wollen die Friedenswilligen vereinen und der Friedensbewegung eine starke Stimme verleihen, quer durch alle Lager. Wer auch immer jetzt das Lied vom Tod anstimmt, wird es unter den kritischen Augen der Öffentlichkeit machen müssen.
**Warum wir?**
* Wir haben die unzensierbare Technologie, um eine nachhaltige Publikation als Autorenblog und Newsletter aufzubauen. Diese brauchen wir auch, wir haben aus der Corona-Zensur unsere Lektion gelernt ([https://pareto.space/read)](https://pareto.space/read).

* Wir können alle Formate bedienen, von Text, Bild und Podcast bis Video und Stream.
- Wir werden online und in Print stattfinden (wenn Sie das wollen).
- Wir sind eine Gruppe von Autoren mit Reichweite, Erfahrung und Impact. Wir werden eine Kernredaktion haben und auf viele freie Autoren setzen, auch aus dem Ausland. Erste Kontakte sind hergestellt, das Feedback ist überwältigend.
- Wir setzen zudem von Anfang an auch auf Bürgerjournalismus und wollen jeder Stimme für den Frieden Raum und Platz bieten. Auch Sie können auf unserer freien Tribüne ("Weltbühne") publizieren und gelesen werden. Jede Stimme für den Frieden zählt!
Ich will Sie nicht mit Name dropping blenden, freue mich jedoch über bekannte erstklassige Stimmen aus der kritischen Szene, die bereits ihre Mitwirkung zugesagt haben. Diese Liste wird ständig aktualisiert (und auch ich werde Texte beitragen):
* Dr. Ulrike Guérot
* Mathias Bröckers
* Dr. Daniele Ganser
* Tom-Oliver Regenauer
* Prof. Dr. Michael Meyen
* Jonas Tögel
* Jürgen Müller
* uvm.
**Sie sind Autor und wollen mit dabei sein? Schreiben Sie uns an:** **<milosz@pareto.space>** 
## 
**Jetzt abonnieren!** Holen Sie sich die neusten Artikel der Friedenstaube in Ihr Postfach indem Sie **[HIER](https://pareto.space/p/npub1sehqzwgg2k03t300l8gjj4znpqhsrg0mtaq2yk70qam2x65nxnjs9ul7fr#subscribe)** klicken.
***
### Gründen wir eine Genossenschaft! Wir sind bereit – und Sie?
Sie entscheiden, ob und wie hoch die Friedenstaube fliegt. Wir werden eine Publikationsgenossenschaft gründen. Die Friedenstaube soll allen und niemandem gehören. Denn auch der Friede gehört allen, die ihn wollen. Krieg dagegen will immer nur eine Minderheit, am liebsten diejenigen, die nicht an die Front gehen.
Die Kriegsmaschine wird mit hunderten Milliarden geschmiert – und das ist nur der Anfang. Wir glauben, dass das Wort mächtiger ist als das Schwert. Für die Genossenschaft sammeln wir mindestens 100 000 CHF, die den Redaktionsbetrieb für ein Jahr sichern sollen. Mit einem Genossenschaftsanteil zu 1000 CHF sind Sie automatisch Verleger und bestimmen mit. Pro Person können maximal 20 Anteile gezeichnet werden, jeder Genossenschafter hat immer nur eine Stimme.
* Für 50 CHF bekommen Sie ein Jahresabo der Friedenstaube.
* Für 120 CHF bekommen Sie ein Jahresabo und ein T-Shirt/Hoodie mit der Friedenstaube.
* Für 500 CHF werden Sie Förderer und bekommen ein lebenslanges Abo sowie ein T-Shirt/Hoodie mit der Friedenstaube.
* Ab 1000 CHF werden Sie Genossenschafter der Friedenstaube mit Stimmrecht (und bekommen lebenslanges Abo, T-Shirt/Hoodie).
**Für Einzahlungen in CHF (Betreff: Friedenstaube):**
**Für Einzahlungen in Euro:**
Milosz Matuschek
IBAN DE 53710520500000814137
BYLADEM1TST
Sparkasse Traunstein-Trostberg
**Betreff: Friedenstaube**
Wenn Sie auf anderem Wege beitragen wollen, schreiben Sie mich an: <milosz@pareto.space> oder <kontakt@idw-europe.org>.
Das gilt auch für Unterstützungen jenseits finanzieller Zuwendungen. Wir sind für jede Unterstützung dankbar, die hilft, das Projekt zu realisieren. Wir planen auch Printprodukte, Übersetzungen in andere Sprachen, Ausschreibungen und Wettbewerbe zum Thema Frieden uvm. Seien Sie von Anfang an mit dabei: Als Autor, Mitwirkender, Genossenschafter oder in welcher Rolle sie auch immer hilfreich zu sein glauben.
Ich kann Ihnen keine Wunder versprechen aber Sie dürfen mich an meinen bisherigen Projekten messen. Wenn ich etwas angehe, mache ich es mit voller Kraft:
Mit Ihrer Unterstützung war schon vieles möglich:
* Sie haben den “Appell für freie Debattenräume” zum sichtbarsten Zeichen gegen Cancel Culture in Europa gemacht.
* Sie haben gehofen, die Freischwebende Intelligenz zu einem der führenden Substack-Newsletter in Europa zu machen
* Sie haben “Pandamned” unterstützt, eine Corona-Doku, die mehr als 1 Mio. Menschen gesehen haben.
* Sie haben die Realisierung von Pareto unterstützt und uns geholfen, ein unzensierbares Werkzeug für Blogging/Newsletter zu bauen, weltweit einmalig.
**Lassen Sie uns jetzt gemeinsam die Friedenstaube zur führenden Friedenspublikation der freien Welt aufbauen.**
Lassen wir die Friedenstaube fliegen!
**Jetzt.**
")***Herzlichen Dank, dass Sie meine Arbeit unterstützen!***
*Ich kann Ihnen auch manuell einen Zugang zur Publikation einrichten, wenn Sie lieber per* *[Paypal](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/cancelculture?locale.x=de_DE), Überweisung oder Bitcoin (einmal Jahresbeitrag, ewiger Zugang) bezahlen. Sie erreichen mich unter* ***<kontakt@idw-europe.org>***
[Refer a friend](https://www.freischwebende-intelligenz.org/leaderboard?referrer_token=2s17a)
-

@ 42342239:1d80db24
2025-03-09 15:22:43
Last fall, Italian economist Mario Draghi, former head of the European Central Bank (ECB), published his 400-page report on Europe's (actually the EU's) competitiveness. Draghi's verdict was harsh: Europe is facing an "existential challenge." It's hard to disagree. While the EU is launching new regulations on plastic corks and [hiding text messages from the public](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pfizergate), Elon Musk is changing the world with groundbreaking innovations in the automotive, robotics, and space industries.
**At the same time that the EU is not only preventing people from trying new things but also preventing them from even thinking about trying, Musk's space company SpaceX is capturing massive star rockets with "chopstick grips".** While the EU is stuck in an ocean of meaningless bureaucratic details, Musk is engaged in a process of constant testing and improvement, reminiscent of the natural course of decentralized systems.
The EU's meager economic growth can be compared to a ticking time bomb that threatens to explode in all of our faces. Disposable incomes have increased nearly twice as much in the US compared to the EU since 2000, and this is a difference that is noticeable not only in our standard of living but also in our opportunities for leisure time. As the late economist Robert Lucas said, "Once you start thinking about growth, it's hard to think about anything else." **Perhaps the best thing that can be said about the report is that its abundance of words, numbers, and images underscores how bad things are.** And perhaps it has therefore become impossible for the EU's leaders to continue ignoring the union's problems.
#### Like giving a shark responsibility for beach safety
However, asking a former EU president to investigate and propose changes is like giving a shark responsibility for beach safety. Among other things, he proposes larger allocations for research and development, even though the EU already spends more than the US as a percentage of GDP - it's thus impossible for this to be the problem. **It comes as no surprise that the proposals are about more centralization, harmonization, and streamlining - i.e., continuing in the same old tracks**. While Musk seems to have an intuitive understanding of how knowledge arises through [real-world experiments](https://www.affarsvarlden.se/kronika/enlund-globalismen-ar-den-riktiga-pandemin-ge-oss-mer-av-naringslivets-superkraft) , what is proposed here is more of the administrative bureaucracy's preconceived five-year plans. The bureaucracy is to be given free rein, and the nations are to be pushed back - a repeat of a theme we know all too well. **Centralization undermines real knowledge growth, which may explain why the EU is falling behind.**
#### A venomous snake that is ignored
**Rent-seeking is like a venomous snake that slithers through the EU's corridors, but the concept is conspicuous by its absence in Draghi's report**. It is a well-known phenomenon where companies spend resources on influencing decision-makers to gain advantages instead of creating value. The EU bureaucracy has produced a total of 13,000 legislative acts since 2019 - more than four times as many as the US. How many of these have received an invisible stamp of approval from lobbyists? Economist Jeffrey Sachs has [warned](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ls1j16bN8S0) that American lobbying in Brussels is so dominant that it affects all decision-making in the digital economy, which may be one of the EU's biggest problems. GDPR regulations, for example, are estimated to have reduced small tech companies' profits by [15%](https://x.com/sytaylor/status/1833460011491537138) (!).
#### Size is not everything
**Small businesses are the invisible heroes that contribute most to productivity and employment growth. These are being suffocated by the ECB's actions** and the constantly increasing and inefficient [regulatory mess](https://www.affarsvarlden.se/kronika/martin-enlund-regel-cirkusen-kostar-mycket-mer-an-den-smakar). The ECB's war on small banks hampers growth for small businesses because large banks prioritize large transactions. Big computers' algorithms cannot replace small banks' local knowledge. Harmful regulations and grandiose dreams lead to a loss of both knowledge and growth.
#### What should the end goal be?
Sweden's daily Dagens Industri's editorial page recently wrote that "Defeat is not an option" on the theme of green transition. It asked whether "free democracies or a Chinese dictatorship should lead the way." Large-scale industrial projects and plans can undoubtedly provide benefits. **But it's worth questioning whether Europe should really have the same end goal as China.**
During both the Renaissance and the Industrial Revolution, decentralized power structures played a crucial role. During the Renaissance, states and cities were relatively independent. Power was decentralized to princes, nobles, and merchants. The Church had an important role, but it was not as centralized as it would become. Florence, Venice, and Amsterdam could develop different scientific and artistic traditions. **When one region encountered problems, other regions could continue to develop and grow, and so on.** At that time - even if the concept did not exist - it seemed to be understood that the economy is a complex system of the second order. Or a computationally irreducible one, as Stephen Wolfram would have expressed it.
In the book "The Art of War," Chinese General Sun Tzu wrote that "He who chooses the battlefield first will win. He who lets his opponent choose the battlefield will lose." Instead of striving to play on China's (alleged) centralized battlefield, perhaps we Europeans should consider returning to our roots. Do away with the bureaucracy's heavy foot and give power back to the individual! Scrap the monster banks and create conditions for small local banks instead. Stop subsidizing American IT giants' data centers and give every European an AI in their own hand. **Forget the five-year plans and invest in decentralized economic experiments instead.** Does that sound radical?
The word "radical" comes from the Latin word for root, *radix* . The word used to have a positive connotation because it implied a willingness to go to the root of the problem or to return to one's roots.
More of us should dare to question the modern structures that brought us to today's sad situation. Roots are a plant's strength - without them, it cannot grow and flourish. So it is with Europe. **Our continent, which was once a thriving garden where ideas and innovations bloomed, needs to return to its roots to regain its former strength.** This may be exactly what is required.
Put simply: a more radical Europe.
-

@ c69b71dc:426ba763
2025-03-09 14:24:35
# Time Change: A Mini Jet Lag
The time change is more than just setting the clock forward or backward — it can disrupt our internal balance and lead to a range of health issues. Find out why the time change causes a mini jet lag and how you can deal with it.
### Why the Time Change Throws Us Off Balance
The expected energy savings due to reduced artificial lighting demand have not been confirmed. Worse yet, the time change leads to an increase in workplace and traffic accidents, a higher risk of heart attacks, and even an increase in suicide rates. Many people struggle with the one-hour shift that happens twice a year. There is constant debate about whether to abolish it and which time should remain permanent...
## Permanent Summer Time or Permanent Winter Time?
The time change triggers a mini jet lag that can last from a single day up to three weeks as the body adjusts its internal clock to the new rhythm.
#### Winter Time Aligns Best with Our Internal Clock
Our bodies follow the **circadian rhythm**, an internal clock designed for activity during daylight and rest when the sun sets.
Permanent summer time would mean longer darkness in the morning and extended daylight in the evening—this unnatural shift would completely disrupt our biological processes.

## The Impact of Time Change on Our Health
Our internal clock regulates essential functions such as body temperature, hormone production, the cardiovascular system, and the sleep-wake cycle. This is why the time change often leads to headaches, fatigue, drowsiness, metabolic disorders, and even severe heart rhythm disturbances. Studies show that these disruptions can increase susceptibility to illnesses and psychological disorders.
Since the light-dark cycle dictates this internal clock, prolonged exposure to artificial light after sunset can shift it. When the time suddenly changes, it causes a disruption, throwing off our natural sleep rhythm.
## Sleep Resets the Body!
During the night, the body regenerates:
- The brain is flushed with cerebrospinal fluid to clear out toxins.
- The body undergoes repair, detoxification, and waste removal.
- If the alarm clock rings an hour earlier, the body is still in **"night mode"** and unable to complete its recovery processes!
Most people already suffer from sleep disorders, whether trouble falling asleep or staying asleep. Added to this is the stress of daily life, which often depletes serotonin levels, reducing the body’s ability to produce melatonin —the sleep hormone. Blue light depletes magnesium in our body, disrupts the circadian rhythm, and interferes with melatonin production! We also know that the pineal gland’s melatonin production is impaired by fluoride found in toothpaste, water, and food!
## What Can You Do About Sleep Disorders?
To regulate your sleep rhythm, you need **healthy sleep hygiene**:
- Minimize activity before bedtime.
- Avoid artificial light from TVs, smartphones, and e-readers.
- Ensure fresh air and a cool bedroom (around 18°C/64°F).
- Stick to consistent sleep and wake times — even on weekends!
- Reserve the bed and bedroom for sleep only — no heated discussions.
- No heavy meals before bed.
- Use blue light or orange filter glasses to reduce artificial light exposure.
- Air out the bedroom for 20 minutes before going to bed.
- Use candlelight in the bathroom while brushing your teeth instead of turning on the harsh neon light.
If these adjustments don’t help, natural remedies, supplements, and herbal teas can provide support.
### Natural Sleep Aids
Some well-known natural remedies include:
- **Melatonin, Tryptophan, GABA, Magnesium**
- **Herbs such as Hops, Lavender, Chamomile, Passionflower, Valerian and organge peal and flower.**
By aligning with nature’s rhythm and optimizing sleep habits, we can counteract the negative effects of the time change and restore balance to our bodies and minds.
***I hope this helps you transition smoothly through this outrageous act of forcing us into "summer time"*** ⏰🌞

-

@ 7d33ba57:1b82db35
2025-03-09 13:55:59
Old Town Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, also known as **Vegueta**, is a charming historic district full of colonial architecture, cobbled streets, and cultural attractions. Here are some travel tips to make the most of your visit:

### **Top Things to Do**
1. **Catedral de Santa Ana & Plaza de Santa Ana**
- Climb to the rooftop for panoramic views.
- Visit the stunning Gothic-Renaissance interiors.
2. **Casa de Colón (Columbus House)**
- A must-see museum about Christopher Columbus and his travels.
3. **Calle de los Balcones**
- Beautiful historic street with traditional Canarian wooden balconies.
4. **Museo Canario**
- Learn about the indigenous Guanche people and their history.
5. **Mercado de Vegueta**
- Try fresh tropical fruits, Canarian cheeses, and local delicacies.
6. **Tapas & Wine at Calle Mendizábal**
- Thursday nights are best for tapas hopping!

### **Local Food to Try**
- **Papas arrugadas con mojo** (wrinkled potatoes with mojo sauce)
- **Gofio** (a traditional Canarian flour used in dishes)
- **Ropa Vieja** (shredded beef and chickpea stew)

### **Travel Tips**
- **Best Time to Visit**: Early morning or late afternoon to avoid crowds.
- **Walking**: Wear comfortable shoes—streets are cobbled!
- **Public Transport**: Take the **Guaguas** (local buses) or rent a bike.
- **Safety**: It's a safe area, but watch for pickpockets in crowded spots.
- **Nearby Attractions**: Combine with a visit to **Triana**, the shopping district next door.
-

@ 2e8970de:63345c7a
2025-03-09 13:11:48

Over the last weeks DOGE claimed to already have saved billions of Dollars. Numbers changing everyday but the main claims were between $105 and $175b even after retracting their statements about the 3 biggest savings. But no matter how you turn it, it is absolutely not true.
Best interpretation: they mean what the total **will amount to in the future**. Worst interpretation: this is a complete lie.
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/908184
-

@ 41fa852b:af7b7706
2025-03-09 13:04:02
> "You can't stop things like Bitcoin. It will be everywhere, and the world will have to readjust." -- John McAfee
* * *
**The US creates its Bitcoin Strategic Reserve, and the UK… well, the UK remains pretty clueless.**
As always, the best advice is just to stay humble and stack sats.
We have two tickets to give away for the [Bitcoin Ireland conference](https://www.bitcoinireland.eu/). To enter the competition, [click here](https://bitcoinevents.uk/bitcoinireland2025/) to submit your entry.
Let's look at what's happening this coming week…
* * *
[](https://bitcoinevents.uk/donate/)
* * *
_This week's sponsor is…_
[](https://www.orangepillapp.com/?utm_source=BEUK&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=BEUK)
* * *
### **Upcoming Bitcoin Meetups**
Happening this week…
1. [**Dundee Bitcoin**](https://x.com/dundeebitcoin): Join them on the 2nd Monday of every month from 17:30 to 20:30 PM at The Wine Press, 16 Shore Terrace, Dundee DD1 3DN. This month's meetup is on Monday, 10th March. 🍻
2. [**Bitcoin Nottingham**](https://www.bitcoinnottingham.org/): The March Bitcoin Nottingham Meetup date for your diary is Monday the 10th at 18:00, at Carlton Town Football Club. 🍻
3. [**Lincolnshire Bitcoin**](https://bitcoinevents.uk/lincolnshire-bitcoin/): Another one on Monday. Lincolnshire Bitcoin meets on the second Monday of each month at 19:30 in the Treaty of Commerce, Lincoln. Open to all, from OG's to newcomers.🍺
4. [**Glasgow Bitcoin**](https://x.com/glasgowbitcoin): A place for people in and around Glasgow to discuss Bitcoin. Meetups every second Wednesday of the month. This month on the 12th. They are at The Piper Bar, 57 Cochran St, G1 1HL. 🍺
5. [**Bitcoin Liverpool**](https://x.com/bitcoinlpool/status/1897744360755568663): Bitcoin Liverpool's next meetup is on Thursday, 13th March, at 18:30 at The Railway Pub, Tithebarn Street, L2 2DT. 🍺
6. [**Bitcoin Beach Bournemouth**](nostr:npub1va3773umzrydk4vd0q2xsnjg8qrsym7up9j9agnzcxd8u398wulq6kpxey: Every second Thursday of the month at Chaplins Cellar Bar. 529 Christchurch Road, Boscombe, United. You'll find them in the Cogg Room at 19:30. This month it's the 13th. 🍻
7. [**Bitcoin Walk - Edinburgh**](https://bitcoinwalk.org/): Every Saturday they walk around Arthur's Seat in this historic city. Join them at 12 pm to chat about all things Bitcoin and keep fit. 🚶🏽♂️🚶🏼♀️🚶🏻
8. [**Real Bedford - Home Game**](https://www.realbedford.com/real-bedford-v-northwood): Peter MacCormack's boys are at home this Saturday playing Northwood. Join them for a 15:00 kickoff. ⚽️
* * *
### New Businesses Accepting Bitcoin
This week we have…
- [**Hone and Strop**](https://btcmap.org/merchant/way:334437785): Hone & Strop Barbers in Holmfirth offers top-quality cuts in a friendly setting--now with the option to pay in Bitcoin! Located at 37 Huddersfield Road, they provide expert barbering with great service (and often a complimentary beer). Book an appointment at 01484 917469 and pay with magic internet money! 💈
* * *
### Upcoming Special Events
These events aren't happening next week, but they're important to add to your calendar now as tickets are selling fast.
- [**CheatCode 2025**](https://www.cheatcode.co.uk/) - Peter McCormack hosts the CheatCode conference, following last year's success. This year, international guest speakers include Preston Pysh, Alex Gladstein, Natalie Brunell, Matthew Pines, Steve Baker, Ben Arc, and Checkmate.
Friday, April 11th, is the main conference day, followed by a huge meetup at Ledger Park for the men's Real Bedford match, and again on Sunday for the women's match. Check out the link for ticket details.
[](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbcb0553a-dc8c-4fb7-98dd-4a95085d83a5_1500x500.png)
- [**Bitcoin Ireland Conference 2025**](https://www.bitcoinireland.eu/): Bitcoin Ireland is hosting its annual Bitcoin Conference, building on the momentum of previous years. This year Bitcoin Events UK are proudly serving as a media partner to help spread the word! [Enter our competition](https://bitcoinevents.uk/bitcoinireland2025/) to win two free tickets (€198 value). This year's lineup of international guest speakers includes Daniel Prince, alongside notable figures like Knut Svanholm, Dinny Collins, Lawrence-Stanley and other respected voices in the Bitcoin community, offering thoughtful perspectives on the evolving Bitcoin revolution.
The main conference takes place on Saturday, May 24th, at The Green Isle Hotel in Dublin. Following the event, attendees can join a relaxed networking meetup with Ireland's Bitcoin community to continue the discussion. For ticket details, visit: [www.bitcoinireland.eu](https://www.bitcoinireland.eu/).
[](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F09673e8d-798e-45cd-9393-610ff52df530_2400x1260.png)
* * *
**Get Involved**
- **Volunteer Opportunities**: [Bridge2Bitcoin](https://bridge2bitcoin.com/) is actively seeking volunteers who share our passion for merchant adoption. We'd be delighted to connect if you're eager to contribute. Reach out to us on [Twitter](https://x.com/bridge2bitcoin) or through our [website](https://bridge2bitcoin.com/).
- **Start Your Own Meetup**: Interested in launching a Bitcoin meetup? We're here to support you every step of the way. We've assisted numerous UK Bitcoin meetups in getting started. Get in touch via [Twitter](https://x.com/bitcoineventsuk).
- [**Contribute to BTCMaps**](https://wiki.btcmap.org/general/tagging-instructions.html): BTCMaps is a vital part of the Bitcoin ecosystem. It's a perfect project to get involved with if you're not a coder or even that technical. A great way to give back to the community. Maintain an area of the UK and keep it up-to-date.
- **Telegram users**: You might find our [Telegram Channel](https://t.me/BitcoinEventsUKHub) another useful way to keep up-to-date with UK meetups.
- **Feedback and Suggestions**: We value your input! Share your ideas on how we can enhance this newsletter.
* * *
_This week's sponsors are…_
[](https://orangecoinstore.com/)
[](https://bitcoinretreat.co.uk/)
[](https://bitcoinmetalworks.com/)
* * *
Get out and support the meetups where you can, visit [Bitcoin Events UK](https://bitcoinevents.uk/) for more info on each meetup and to find your closest on the interactive map.
Stay tuned for more updates next week!
Simon.
-

@ f839fb67:5c930939
2025-03-09 12:11:05
# Relays
| Name | Address | Price (Sats/Year)|
| - | - | - |
| stephen's aegis relay | wss://paid.relay.vanderwarker.family | 42069
| stephen's Outbox | wss://relay.vanderwarker.family | 0 |
| stephen's Inbox | wss://haven.vanderwarker.family/inbox | 0 |
| stephen's DMs | wss://haven.vanderwarker.family/chat | 0 |
| VFam Data Relay | wss://data.relay.vanderwarker.family | 0 |
| [TOR] My Phone Relay | ws://naswsosuewqxyf7ov7gr7igc4tq2rbtqoxxirwyhkbuns4lwc3iowwid.onion | 0 |
---
# My Pubkeys
| Name | hex | nprofile |
| - | - | - |
| Main | f839fb6714598a7233d09dbd42af82cc9781d0faa57474f1841af90b5c930939 | nprofile1qqs0sw0mvu29nznjx0gfm02z47pve9up6ra22ar57xzp47gttjfsjwgpramhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuanpdejx2unhv9exketj9enxzmtfd3us9mapfx |
| Vanity (Backup) | 82f21be67353c0d68438003fe6e56a35e2a57c49e0899b368b5ca7aa8dde7c23 | nprofile1qqsg9usmuee48sxkssuqq0lxu44rtc4903y7pzvmx694efa23h08cgcpramhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuanpdejx2unhv9exketj9enxzmtfd3ussel49x |
| VFStore | 6416f1e658ba00d42107b05ad9bf485c7e46698217e0c19f0dc2e125de3af0d0 | nprofile1qqsxg9h3uevt5qx5yyrmqkkehay9cljxdxpp0cxpnuxu9cf9mca0p5qpramhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuanpdejx2unhv9exketj9enxzmtfd3usaa8plu |
| NostrSMS | 9be1b8315248eeb20f9d9ab2717d1750e4f27489eab1fa531d679dadd34c2f8d | nprofile1qqsfhcdcx9fy3m4jp7we4vn305t4pe8jwjy74v062vwk08dd6dxzlrgpramhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuanpdejx2unhv9exketj9enxzmtfd3us595d45 |
---
# "Personal Nostr Things"
> [D] = Saves darkmode preferences over nostr
> [A] = Auth over nostr
> [B] = Beta (software)
> [z] = zap enabled
- [[DABz] Main Site](https://vanderwarker.family)
- [[DAB] Contact Site](https://stephen.vanderwarker.family)
- [[DAB] PGP Site](https://pgp.vanderwarker.family)
- [[DAB] VFCA Site](https://ca.vanderwarker.family)
---
# Other Services (Hosted code)
* [Blossom](https://blossom.vanderwarker.family)
* [NostrCheck](https://nostr.vanderwarker.family)
---
# Emojis Packs
* Minecraft
- <code>nostr:naddr1qqy566twv43hyctxwsq37amnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwweskuer9wfmkzuntv4ezuenpd45kc7gzyrurn7m8z3vc5u3n6zwm6s40stxf0qwsl2jhga83ssd0jz6ujvynjqcyqqq82nsd0k5wp</code>
* AIM
- <code>nostr:naddr1qqxxz6tdv4kk7arfvdhkuucpramhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuanpdejx2unhv9exketj9enxzmtfd3usyg8c88akw9ze3fer85yah4p2lqkvj7qap749w360rpq6ly94eycf8ypsgqqqw48qe0j2yk</code>
* Blobs
- <code>nostr:naddr1qqz5ymr0vfesz8mhwden5te0wfjkccte9emxzmnyv4e8wctjddjhytnxv9kkjmreqgs0sw0mvu29nznjx0gfm02z47pve9up6ra22ar57xzp47gttjfsjwgrqsqqqa2wek4ukj</code>
* FavEmojis
- <code>nostr:naddr1qqy5vctkg4kk76nfwvq37amnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwweskuer9wfmkzuntv4ezuenpd45kc7gzyrurn7m8z3vc5u3n6zwm6s40stxf0qwsl2jhga83ssd0jz6ujvynjqcyqqq82nsf7sdwt</code>
* Modern Family
- <code>nostr:naddr1qqx56mmyv4exugzxv9kkjmreqy0hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnkv9hxgetjwashy6m9wghxvctdd9k8jq3qlqulkec5tx98yv7snk759tuzejtcr5865468fuvyrtuskhynpyusxpqqqp65ujlj36n</code>
* nostriches (Amethyst collection)
- <code>nostr:naddr1qq9xummnw3exjcmgv4esz8mhwden5te0wfjkccte9emxzmnyv4e8wctjddjhytnxv9kkjmreqgs0sw0mvu29nznjx0gfm02z47pve9up6ra22ar57xzp47gttjfsjwgrqsqqqa2w2sqg6w</code>
* Pepe
- <code>nostr:naddr1qqz9qetsv5q37amnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwweskuer9wfmkzuntv4ezuenpd45kc7gzyrurn7m8z3vc5u3n6zwm6s40stxf0qwsl2jhga83ssd0jz6ujvynjqcyqqq82ns85f6x7</code>
* Minecraft Font
- <code>nostr:naddr1qq8y66twv43hyctxwssyvmmwwsq37amnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwweskuer9wfmkzuntv4ezuenpd45kc7gzyrurn7m8z3vc5u3n6zwm6s40stxf0qwsl2jhga83ssd0jz6ujvynjqcyqqq82nsmzftgr</code>
* Archer Font
- <code>nostr:naddr1qq95zunrdpjhygzxdah8gqglwaehxw309aex2mrp0yh8vctwv3jhyampwf4k2u3wvesk66tv0ypzp7peldn3gkv2wgeap8dag2hc9nyhs8g04ft5wnccgxhepdwfxzfeqvzqqqr4fclkyxsh</code>
* SMB Font
- <code>nostr:naddr1qqv4xatsv4ezqntpwf5k7gzzwfhhg6r9wfejq3n0de6qz8mhwden5te0wfjkccte9emxzmnyv4e8wctjddjhytnxv9kkjmreqgs0sw0mvu29nznjx0gfm02z47pve9up6ra22ar57xzp47gttjfsjwgrqsqqqa2w0wqpuk</code>
---
# Git Over Nostr
* NostrSMS
- <code>nostr:naddr1qqyxummnw3e8xmtnqy0hwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnkv9hxgetjwashy6m9wghxvctdd9k8jqfrwaehxw309amk7apwwfjkccte9emxzmnyv4e8wctjddjhytnxv9kkjmreqyj8wumn8ghj7urpd9jzuun9d3shjtnkv9hxgetjwashy6m9wghxvctdd9k8jqg5waehxw309aex2mrp0yhxgctdw4eju6t0qyxhwumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmvqgs0sw0mvu29nznjx0gfm02z47pve9up6ra22ar57xzp47gttjfsjwgrqsqqqaueqp0epk</code>
* nip51backup
- <code>nostr:naddr1qq9ku6tsx5ckyctrdd6hqqglwaehxw309aex2mrp0yh8vctwv3jhyampwf4k2u3wvesk66tv0yqjxamnwvaz7tmhda6zuun9d3shjtnkv9hxgetjwashy6m9wghxvctdd9k8jqfywaehxw309acxz6ty9eex2mrp0yh8vctwv3jhyampwf4k2u3wvesk66tv0yq3gamnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwv3sk6atn9e5k7qgdwaehxw309ahx7uewd3hkcq3qlqulkec5tx98yv7snk759tuzejtcr5865468fuvyrtuskhynpyusxpqqqpmej4gtqs6</code>
* bukkitstr
- <code>nostr:naddr1qqykyattdd5hgum5wgq37amnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwweskuer9wfmkzuntv4ezuenpd45kc7gpydmhxue69uhhwmm59eex2mrp0yh8vctwv3jhyampwf4k2u3wvesk66tv0yqjgamnwvaz7tmsv95kgtnjv4kxz7fwweskuer9wfmkzuntv4ezuenpd45kc7gpz3mhxue69uhhyetvv9ujuerpd46hxtnfduqs6amnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0dspzp7peldn3gkv2wgeap8dag2hc9nyhs8g04ft5wnccgxhepdwfxzfeqvzqqqrhnyf6g0n2</code>
---
# Market Places
Please use [Nostr Market](https://market.nostr.com) or somthing simular, to view.
* VFStore
- <code>nostr:naddr1qqjx2v34xe3kxvpn95cnqven956rwvpc95unscn9943kxet98q6nxde58p3ryqglwaehxw309aex2mrp0yh8vctwv3jhyampwf4k2u3wvesk66tv0yqjvamnwvaz7tmgv9mx2m3wweskuer9wfmkzuntv4ezuenpd45kc7f0da6hgcn00qqjgamnwvaz7tmsv95kgtnjv4kxz7fwweskuer9wfmkzuntv4ezuenpd45kc7gpydmhxue69uhhwmm59eex2mrp0yh8vctwv3jhyampwf4k2u3wvesk66tv0ypzqeqk78n93wsq6sss0vz6mxl5shr7ge5cy9lqcx0smshpyh0r4uxsqvzqqqr4gvlfm7gu</code>
---
# Badges
## Created
* paidrelayvf
- <code>nostr:naddr1qq9hqctfv3ex2mrp09mxvqglwaehxw309aex2mrp0yh8vctwv3jhyampwf4k2u3wvesk66tv0ypzp7peldn3gkv2wgeap8dag2hc9nyhs8g04ft5wnccgxhepdwfxzfeqvzqqqr48y85v3u3</code>
* iPow
- <code>nostr:naddr1qqzxj5r02uq37amnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwweskuer9wfmkzuntv4ezuenpd45kc7gzyrurn7m8z3vc5u3n6zwm6s40stxf0qwsl2jhga83ssd0jz6ujvynjqcyqqq82wgg02u0r</code>
* codmaster
- <code>nostr:naddr1qqykxmmyd4shxar9wgq37amnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwweskuer9wfmkzuntv4ezuenpd45kc7gzyrurn7m8z3vc5u3n6zwm6s40stxf0qwsl2jhga83ssd0jz6ujvynjqcyqqq82wgk3gm4g</code>
* iMine
- <code>nostr:naddr1qqzkjntfdejsz8mhwden5te0wfjkccte9emxzmnyv4e8wctjddjhytnxv9kkjmreqgs0sw0mvu29nznjx0gfm02z47pve9up6ra22ar57xzp47gttjfsjwgrqsqqqafed5s4x5</code>
---
# Clients I Use
* Amethyst
- <code>nostr:naddr1qqxnzd3cx5urqv3nxymngdphqgsyvrp9u6p0mfur9dfdru3d853tx9mdjuhkphxuxgfwmryja7zsvhqrqsqqql8kavfpw3</code>
* noStrudel
- <code>nostr:naddr1qqxnzd3cxccrvd34xser2dpkqy28wumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnyv9kh2uewd9hsygpxdq27pjfppharynrvhg6h8v2taeya5ssf49zkl9yyu5gxe4qg55psgqqq0nmq5mza9n</code>
* nostrsms
- <code>nostr:naddr1qq9rzdejxcunxde4xymqz8mhwden5te0wfjkccte9emxzmnyv4e8wctjddjhytnxv9kkjmreqgsfhcdcx9fy3m4jp7we4vn305t4pe8jwjy74v062vwk08dd6dxzlrgrqsqqql8kjn33qm</code>
-

@ 2181959b:80f0d27d
2025-03-09 11:55:06
#### 1. مصطلحات عامة في العملات الرقمية
- **البلوكشين (Blockchain)**: تقنية دفتر الأستاذ الموزع التي تسجل جميع المعاملات بطريقة غير قابلة للتغيير.
- **العقد الذكي (Smart Contract)**: بروتوكولات رقمية تنفذ العقود تلقائيًا عند تحقق شروط معينة.
- **العملة الرقمية (Cryptocurrency)**: أصول رقمية تستخدم التشفير لتأمين المعاملات، مثل **البيتكوين (BTC)** و**الإيثيريوم (ETH)**.
- **التعدين (Mining)**: عملية التحقق من المعاملات وإضافتها إلى البلوكشين، وهي تتطلب قوة حوسبية كبيرة.
- **إثبات العمل (Proof of Work - PoW)**: آلية تحقق تعتمد على التعدين وتتطلب طاقة حوسبية كبيرة.
- **إثبات الحصة (Proof of Stake - PoS)**: طريقة تحقق تعتمد على امتلاك العملات بدلاً من التعدين لاستهلاك طاقة أقل.
- **المحفظة الرقمية (Wallet)**: أداة لتخزين العملات الرقمية وإدارتها، مثل **MetaMask** و**Trust Wallet**.
- **المفتاح الخاص (Private Key)**: رمز سري يمنحك الوصول إلى أموالك الرقمية، ويجب الحفاظ عليه بسرية تامة.
#### 2. مصطلحات في التمويل اللامركزي (DeFi)
- **السيولة (Liquidity)**: توفر الأصول في السوق، مما يسمح بإجراء الصفقات دون تقلبات كبيرة في السعر.
- **المزارع (Yield Farming)**: استثمار الأصول الرقمية في منصات DeFi لكسب العوائد والفوائد.
- **التخزين (Staking)**: قفل العملات الرقمية لفترة معينة لدعم الشبكة وكسب مكافآت.
- **الرموز المميزة (Tokens)**: أصول رقمية تُستخدم داخل شبكات معينة، مثل **ERC-20** و**BEP-20**.
- **البروتوكولات اللامركزية (DeFi Protocols)**: تطبيقات قائمة على البلوكشين تقدم خدمات مالية بدون وسيط، مثل **Uniswap** و**Aave**.
- **التبادل اللامركزي (DEX - Decentralized Exchange)**: منصات لتداول العملات الرقمية بدون وسطاء، مثل **Uniswap** و**PancakeSwap**.
- **الإقراض والاقتراض (Lending & Borrowing)**: منصات تتيح لك إقراض عملاتك لكسب الفائدة أو اقتراض عملات بضمان أصول رقمية.
#### 3. مصطلحات متعلقة بالتداول والاستثمار
- **السعر السوقي (Market Price)**: السعر الحالي للعملة الرقمية في السوق.
- **القيمة السوقية (Market Cap)**: إجمالي قيمة جميع العملات المتداولة لمشروع معين (عدد العملات × سعر العملة).
- **السيولة (Liquidity)**: مدى سهولة بيع أو شراء الأصل بدون التأثير على سعره بشكل كبير.
- **أمر السوق (Market Order)**: شراء أو بيع الأصل بالسعر الحالي في السوق.
- **أمر الحد (Limit Order)**: تحديد سعر معين للشراء أو البيع بدلاً من تنفيذ الصفقة بالسعر الحالي.
- **الرافعة المالية (Leverage)**: اقتراض أموال لزيادة حجم استثمارك، لكنها تزيد من المخاطر أيضًا.
- **الهامش (Margin Trading)**: التداول بأموال مقترضة، مما يمكن أن يحقق أرباحًا كبيرة أو خسائر كبيرة.
- **FOMO (Fear of Missing Out)**: الخوف من تفويت الفرصة، وهو سبب رئيسي لدخول الكثيرين للسوق في أوقات غير مناسبة.
- **HODL**: مصطلح يشير إلى الاحتفاظ بالعملات الرقمية على المدى الطويل بغض النظر عن التقلبات السوقية.
#### 4. مصطلحات أخرى هامة
- **NFT (الرموز غير القابلة للاستبدال)**: أصول رقمية فريدة مثل الصور والفيديوهات، يمكن بيعها وشراؤها على منصات مثل **OpenSea**.
- **DAO (المنظمات المستقلة اللامركزية)**: كيانات لا مركزية تديرها العقود الذكية وأعضاء المجتمع بدلاً من الجهات المركزية.
- **Gas Fees (رسوم الغاز)**: رسوم تُدفع لمعالجة المعاملات على شبكات البلوكشين مثل Ethereum.
- **Stablecoin (العملات المستقرة)**: عملات رقمية مرتبطة بقيمة ثابتة مثل **USDT** و**USDC**.
-

@ 2e8970de:63345c7a
2025-03-09 10:10:10


https://github.com/Svensson-Lab/pro-hormone-predictor/blob/cdb283afa4255d99a401c831dfe9ddc070e15b15/FastaParser.py#L32
> Stanford just found a natural alternative to Ozempic using some clever regex on the human proteome.
> Instead of manually searching through proteins, their one-liner “peptide predictor” regex narrowed down promising candidates.
> The calculation likely took just a few seconds.
What I find amusing here is how you'd normally think "regex" is the clickbait euphemism. But it isn't. They're literally just using regex to go through human proteins lol
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/908130
-

@ da0b9bc3:4e30a4a9
2025-03-09 07:38:43
Hello Stackers!
Welcome on into the ~Music Corner of the Saloon!
A place where we Talk Music. Share Tracks. Zap Sats.
So stay a while and listen.
🚨Don't forget to check out the pinned items in the territory homepage! You can always find the latest weeklies there!🚨
🚨Subscribe to the territory to ensure you never miss a post! 🚨
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/908081
-

@ c913b8e3:8704332c
2025-03-09 07:13:10
The markets are returning to normal? Everything was priced for perfection. The S&P 500 gaining over 30% for two consecutive years is not normal. Maybe we go back to a normal return of 4-8% per year? But really, what even is "normal" nowadays?
Passive investing is a huge problem, but that's a rant for another day. It's certainly not normal.
The past 5-6 years have nothing to do with real investing. It has become gambling and peak idiocy. Do I seriously think I'm smarter and can pick the right stocks? Does contrarian investing always work? Why has it worked lately?
People have become slaves to algorithms, completely losing the ability to think objectively. Just a massive idiotic blob bulldozing through logic.
Even very successful people have pitched meme stocks to me - stocks already up 300-500%, without real businesses behind them. What's the upside? Seriously, what's the point? If insiders are selling, the stock has soared hundreds of percent, isn't profitable, and your info comes from Reddit or X - stop and ask yourself, are you an idiot?
The market has been about predicting where this mindless blob moves next. Sorry, I missed the train that "Rearming Europe" would become the hot narrative, making European defense stocks the next "big thing." Or German cement business. This is exorbitant. I've said it for years: the market is turning into a cryptocasino. To succeed, you have to obsessively live and breathe the next trending narrative - it requires zero skill, just madness.
Politics mirror the market’s idiocy. Mention Trump here in Finland, and people lose their minds, incapable of rational discussion or seeing the bigger picture. I've lost friendships just by suggesting peace negotiations. Finnish media pushes a singular narrative through the same old fear-mongering analysts, conveniently now riding the EU gravy train to Brussels. How ironic.
### Europe
Now the narrative is shifting to Europe. Europe is great! Or is it? Finnish politicians who once opposed collective EU debt now love it because "Russia." They're even ready to seize Russian assets.
Increasing defense spending might make sense, but funding it with debt? Even Germany, the last bastion of economic sense, is piling on debt, with Poland and the rest close behind. Hard work and tough decisions are too much effort - take on more debt!
Euro stocks might rise, but why own them? Europe lacks essential resources like raw materials, energy, oil - and frankly, competent leadership. Money won't fix structural problems.
**In Finland, purchasing power has regressed 15-20 years. Are you ready for another hit?**
Europe is slowly becoming more like Russia: bureaucratic, corrupt, and convinced that more central planning will magically solve everything. Good luck with that.
**Maybe it's time we think less about ourselves and more about building something better for our kids. Otherwise, what are we even doing**?The markets are returning to normal? Everything was priced for perfection. The S&P 500 gaining over 30% for two consecutive years is not normal. Maybe we go back to a normal return of 4-8% per year? But really, what even is "normal" nowadays?
Passive investing is a huge problem, but that's a rant for another day. It's certainly not normal.
The past 5-6 years have nothing to do with real investing. It has become gambling and peak idiocy. Do I seriously think I'm smarter and can pick the right stocks? Does contrarian investing always work? Why has it worked lately?
People have become slaves to algorithms, completely losing the ability to think objectively. Just a massive idiotic blob bulldozing through logic.
Even very successful people have pitched meme stocks to me - stocks already up 300-500%, without real businesses behind them. What's the upside? Seriously, what's the point? If insiders are selling, the stock has soared hundreds of percent, isn't profitable, and your info comes from Reddit or X - stop and ask yourself, are you an idiot?
The market has been about predicting where this mindless blob moves next. Sorry, I missed the train that "Rearming Europe" would become the hot narrative, making European defense stocks the next "big thing." Or German cement business. This is exorbitant. I've said it for years: the market is turning into a cryptocasino. To succeed, you have to obsessively live and breathe the next trending narrative - it requires zero skill, just madness.
Politics mirror the market’s idiocy. Mention Trump here in Finland, and people lose their minds, incapable of rational discussion or seeing the bigger picture. I've lost friendships just by suggesting peace negotiations. Finnish media pushes a singular narrative through the same old fear-mongering analysts, conveniently now riding the EU gravy train to Brussels. How ironic.
Europe Now the narrative is shifting to Europe. Europe is great! Or is it? Finnish politicians who once opposed collective EU debt now love it because "Russia." They're even ready to seize Russian assets.
Increasing defense spending might make sense, but funding it with debt? Even Germany, the last bastion of economic sense, is piling on debt, with Poland and the rest close behind. Hard work and tough decisions are too much effort - take on more debt!
Euro stocks might rise, but why own them? Europe lacks essential resources like raw materials, energy, oil - and frankly, competent leadership. Money won't fix structural problems.
In Finland, purchasing power has regressed 15-20 years. Are you ready for another hit?
Europe is slowly becoming more like Russia: bureaucratic, corrupt, and convinced that more central planning will magically solve everything. Good luck with that.
Maybe it's time we think less about ourselves and more about building something better for our kids. Otherwise, what are we even doing?
<img src="https://blossom.primal.net/c6655d921895751724e092c531b263e2e565fe6331c9b49bb635d4ad81539d77.png">