@ 0861144c:e68a1caf

The last Empire: the Final Days of the Soviet Union

Serhii Plokhy clearly writes from a Ukrainian perspective, but at no point does he allow his bias to interfere with an extensive and compelling documentation, filled with transcripts and official documents from both the Soviet and American sides—documents involving actors who transitioned from the final days of the Soviet Union to the formation of the new Russian Federation.

I discovered this book through a Lex Fridman podcast, where the author gives a review of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, explaining in rich detail the events experienced between both nations. I won’t say that what’s happening in this region is easy to understand, and yet, after reading this book, I have no doubt that all of this was foreseeable.

Here are some things I’ve learned from the book—without giving away spoilers or going too deep:

The United States opposed the disintegration of the Soviet Union until the very last hours

Contrary to popular belief and Reagan’s lofty slogans about the Evil Empire, the advisers of President George H. W. Bush—except for Dick Cheney and his inner circle—were against the dissolution and extinction of the Soviet Union. There were two simple reasons: nuclear power and nationalism.

Over the years, the USSR produced tons of nuclear arsenal, and if the country were to dissolve, advisers on both sides predicted a “nuclear Yugoslavia,” referring to the imminent conflicts in that region. The other reason was strategic: it’s easier to deal with one large country than with many separate republics sharing similar ethnic backgrounds. After reading this book, the Balkan Wars seem even more closely tied to the consequences of the Soviet breakup. You’ll draw your own conclusions when you read it.

The Cold War is in pause mode

In some movie I once heard the phrase, The war doesn’t end until both sides declare it over; while it’s true that Gorbachev resigned on December 25 and made way for the Russian Federation, he never officially ended the geopolitical maneuvers. Meanwhile, George Bush gave a speech declaring that they had “won the Cold War.”

Anyway. Have you read anything similar to this?

https://stacker.news/items/997003

@ 8d34bd24:414be32b

It is hard going through difficult situations. Health problems, family problems, financial problems, feeling alone, feeling stuck in the wrong place, and persecution are all situations that Christians regularly find themselves. The question is “How will we respond to pain?”

Advice for the Suffering

Some Christians pull away from God when it feels like everything is going wrong. They think God doesn’t care or can’t fix things. They resent every minute of pain and accuse God of wrongdoing. Even Job, who fell on his face in worship after losing everything had a moment of weakness.

“Oh that my grief were actually weighed\ And laid in the balances together with my calamity!\ For then it would be heavier than the sand of the seas;\ Therefore my words have been rash.” (Job 6:2-3) {emphasis mine}

After a moment of doubt, he did, however, repent of his rash words, as should we all.

Job should be an example to us all in dealing with pain and difficult situations. This is the verse that inspired this post.

But it is still my consolation,\ And I rejoice in unsparing pain,\ That I have not denied the words of the Holy One. \ (Job 6:10) {emphasis mine}

What an example! “I rejoice in unsparing pain.” When we trust God so much that we can rejoice in unsparing pain, we are trusting God as we should. We are accepting that God is working good in our life and we can trust Him even when nothing makes sense to us.

I also love how he says that his consolation is that “I have not denied the words of the Holy One.” Job is hurting terribly. His heart is broken. He is destitute. He lost 8 children in one day. His friends, that came to console him, have instead accused him of wrongdoing. He doesn’t understand what God is doing and why, but he has “NOT denied the words of the Holy One.” He is still putting his faith in God and his word. He is still submitting to God when he feels mistreated. He is still trusting \ God, even when he doesn’t understand what God is doing and why so many bad things are raining down on him in a torrent. Despite it all, he refuses to deny God. I hope if I am ever put through similar situations, that I can trust God and not deny His goodness.

Advice for friends

The book of Job, in addition to advice to those who are suffering, also gives advice to friends of those who are suffering. (or maybe more accurately, what not to do)

Job’s friends came with the intention to encourage and console Job. Every time Job would confess his thoughts, concerns, and questions, the response by his friends would get harsher and harsher. In the beginning they were gentle corrections, but they quickly escalated to accusing Job of great sins, that they had to know were not true, and blaming Job for every hard thing that had happened to him.

I’ve talked to other Christians who have confessed to being dragged down by other Christians who would tell them that every difficult thing that happened to them was due to their sin or lack of faith. In the case of Job, his difficulties were due to his faithfulness, in order to prove to Satan and all of history that a faithful man would stay faithful to God in good times and in bad.

Can Christians suffer as a consequence of sins and poor decisions? Of course, but there are many times that the faithful suffer. In Scripture, the people who suffered most were frequently the most faithful.

Job’s correction of his friends was accurate.

“For the despairing man there should be kindness from his friend;\ So that he does not forsake the fear of the Almighty.\ My brothers have acted deceitfully like a wadi,\ Like the torrents of wadis which vanish, (Job 6:14-15)

For those who don’t know, a wadi is a streambed that has water running in the wet season, but is bone dry during the dry season. Job accused his friends of being encouraging and helpful when he was prospering, then showing up and providing no encouragement or help when he needed it most. He thought refreshment was coming to visit, and instead what hope he had left was drained from him by his “friends.”

We need to make sure we aren’t one of those who decreases hope and decreases faith in one who is hurting. We need to have mercy when a hurting person works through their confusion and doubts and help lead them back to God instead of driving a wedge between them and God.

May the God of heaven protect us and lead us through the trials of life and may our trials lead us into the arms of our Savior. May God help us to merciful and to help guide the hurting into the Savior’s care.

Trust Jesus

@ eb0157af:77ab6c55

A new investment vehicle combines exposure to Bitcoin with downside protection based on the price of gold.

On May 29, Cantor Fitzgerald Asset Management announced the launch of an investment product that merges direct exposure to Bitcoin with a bearish hedge linked to gold.

According to the financial institution, the new fund offers a solution for investors seeking to benefit from the growth potential of the leading cryptocurrency while maintaining a safety net tied to the precious metal.

Fund features

The fund is structured with a five-year term and no cap on potential upside, allowing investors to fully capture Bitcoin’s growth. The “1-to-1” protection mechanism means that any losses on Bitcoin would be offset by corresponding gains from gold.

Brandon Lutnick, Chairman of Cantor and son of former CEO Howard Lutnick (now Commerce Secretary in the Trump administration), called the product “a truly revolutionary investment vehicle” that helps investors access Bitcoin’s potential while providing downside protection. “There are still people on the Earth that are still scared of Bitcoin, and we want to bring them into this ecosystem,” Lutnick added.

The fund marks Cantor Fitzgerald’s first BTC-focused investment product. The firm, with 79 years of history and $14.8 billion in assets under management, is making its first significant move into the Bitcoin market.

The announcement follows the closing of its first round of financing agreements with Maple Finance and FalconX. Through its “Bitcoin Financing Business” division, Cantor plans to initially make up to $2 billion in financing available to institutional clients.

The post Cantor Fitzgerald launches Bitcoin fund with gold hedge appeared first on Atlas21.

@ 6316050a:a5e43cbe

Contexto

En el Grupo de Teoría y Simulación en Materia Blanda estudiamos sistemas poliméricos, interfaces y sistemas coloidales a escala nanoscópica. Estos pueden estar en equilibrio o presentar flujo de partículas o calor y son de interés en ciencia básica y aplicada en campos como micro y nano-fluídica, aplicaciones a transferencia de calor y máquinas moleculares. Una característica central es que la temperatura juega un rol importante y existe una competencia entre entropía y energía. Esto suele dar lugar a transiciones de fases u otros cambios cualitativos del comportamiento del sistema.

Herramientas

Usamos simulación computacional y herramientas teóricas, con énfasis en conceptos de mecánica estadística, que permiten estudiar variados sistemas en diferentes situaciones físicas. Estudiamos a estos sistemas en condiciones de equilibrio termodinámico o también cómo es su comportamiento cuando se inducen flujos o se los somete a campos externos. (fuera de equilibrio)

Proponemos el siguiente tema de Tesis de Licenciatura en física

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Simulación de transferencia de calor en nanocanales con paredes modificadas por polímeros

Izquierda: Nano- con una interfaz líquido vapor canal y un flujo estacionario de calor, provocado por la diferencia de temperatura de las paredes. Derecha: Puente de líquido inducido por la presencia de polímeros semi-flexibles. Ambas imágenes obtenidas de simulaciones de dinámica molecular.

Los fenómenos de transferencia de calor tienen una gran importancia en un amplísimo rango de aplicaciones como los procesos de generación y conversión de energía y son cruciales para el enfriamiento de motores y dispositivos electrónicos. Estas aplicaciones requerirán en el futuro un funcionamiento a mayor densidad de energía, y por lo tanto, mayor generación de calor, que deberá ser removido más eficientemente. En particular, los fenómenos de cambio de fases, como la ebullición nucleada, tienen aplicaciones en plantas de potencia eléctrica, desalinización térmica, enfriamiento de chips electrónicos y recuperación de calor desechado, entre muchas otras. Uno de los desafíos más importantes para continuar la reducción de tamaño de los dispositivos electrónicos es aumentar su densidad de potencia de operación y para ello se debe lograr una extracción eficiente del calor generado. La transferencia de calor es relevante también en aplicaciones a escalas espaciales mayores, como en la generación de energía eléctrica en centrales térmicas y nucleares. En las centrales nucleares de generación IV es necesario aumentar el calor transportado por unidad de tiempo y mejorar la eficiencia de los intercambiadores de calor. Estos procesos de transporte térmico distan de comprenderse a nivel básico, porque tienen una gran complejidad en tanto que son fenómenos fuera de equilibrio con cambios de fases.

Se propone estudiar la transferencia de calor en un nanocanal que presenta una interfaz líquido-vapor.
Estudiaremos los detalles de cómo cambian con el tiempo las características de la evaporación de una interfaz y las propiedades térmicas cuando se modifica la pared con polímeros u otras moléculas en el seno del líquido. Analizaremos también la rectificación del flujo de calor, pensando al nano-canal como un diodo térmico. Realizaremos simulaciones de dinámica molecular en clusters de supercómputo para estudiar estos sistemas en distintas condiciones físicas. Si tienen interés en tener más detalles, no duden en contactarnos.

Contacto: Claudio Pastorino (claudiopastorino .... cnea.gob.ar ; IG, X: @clopasto; Nostr: @clopasto

¿Qué se aprenderá en esta Tesis principalmente?

Estas línea de trabajo es teórico-numérica , con una parte importante de simulación computacional. Involucra principalmente conceptos de: * Mecánica estadística (Física Teórica 3 en DF-UBA), * Materia condensada en general y materia blanda. * Fundamentos y uso de simulación computacional: Dinámica Molecular, Dissipative Particle Dynamics y/o Monte Carlo, * No se requieren conocimientos previos de computación, pero sí interés en el uso y creación de programas, para plantear y calcular propiedades de los sistemas físicos. * Se trabajará con * Linux, Python, Bash, Awk. * Clusters de super-cómputo, High Performance Computing. * Herramientas de posprocesamiento.

Referencias

1. Heat flow through a liquid–vapor interface in a nano-channel: the effect of end-grafting polymers on a wall , Claudio Pastorino, Ignacio Urrutia, María Fiora y Federico Condado, J. Phys. Cond. Matt. 34:344004
2. Boiling and quenching heat transfer advancement by nanoscale surface modification Hu, Xu, Cheng, Zhao, Ziegler and Chung. Scientific Reports 7:6117 (2017)

@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d

Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy, has stirred up the Bitcoin community with his recent comments on proof-of-reserves, calling it a “bad idea” that puts institutional security at risk.

Speaking at a side event at the Bitcoin 2025 conference in Las Vegas, Saylor expressed strong concerns about the security implications of on-chain proof of reserves (PoR), a method used by many bitcoin companies to show they actually hold the assets they claim.

“The conventional way of issuing proof of reserves today is actually insecure,” Saylor said.

“It actually dilutes the security of the issuer, the custodians, the exchanges and the investors. It’s not a good idea, it’s a bad idea.”

Proof-of-reserves is a process where companies with bitcoin reserves share public wallet addresses or use cryptographic methods to prove how much bitcoin they hold.

This practice gained popularity after the collapse of major exchanges like FTX and Mt. Gox to build trust through transparency.

Many big players in the digital asset space, including Binance, Kraken, OKX and asset manager Bitwise, have adopted PoR to reassure users and stakeholders.

Related: Bitwise Announces On-Chain Address, Donations Go to Shareholders

Saylor’s objections boil down to two main points.

First, he believes publishing wallet addresses creates serious security risks. By exposing institutional wallet structures, companies may open themselves up to attacks from hackers, hostile governments or malicious actors.

“[It’s like] publishing the address and the bank accounts of all your kids and the phone numbers of all your kids and then thinking somehow that makes your family better,” Saylor said.

“(It becomes) an attack vector for hackers, nation-state actors, every type of troll imaginable.”

He even asked the audience to try a thought experiment:

“Go to AI, put it in deep think mode and then ask it ‘what are the security problems of publishing your wallet addresses?’ and ‘how might it undermine the security of your company over time’ … It will write you a book. It will be fifty pages of security problems.”

Second, Saylor pointed out that proof of reserves only shows what a company owns, not what it owes. In his view, that’s incomplete.

“It’s proof of assets that is insecure, and it is not proof of liabilities… So you own $63 billion worth of bitcoin—do you have a hundred billion dollars of liabilities?” he asked rhetorically.

For large institutions and investors, this view of financial health is not enough.

Instead of publishing wallet addresses, Saylor thinks the better approach is to use institutional-grade audits by trusted firms.

“The best practice… would be to have a Big Four auditor that checks to make sure you actually have the bitcoin, then checks to make sure the company hasn’t rehypothecated or pledged the bitcoin,” he said.

“Then you have to wash it through a public company where the CFO signs, then the CEO signs, then the chairman and all the outside directors are civilly and criminally liable for it.”

He believes the legal consequences of corporate auditing — including prison time for fraud under the Sarbanes-Oxley Act — are stronger than cryptographic proof alone.

He did admit that a more secure, future version of PoR might be possible if it involved zero-knowledge proofs that protect wallet privacy while still confirming ownership.

Not everyone agrees with Saylor’s opinion. While some praised his focus on security, others accused Saylor of hiding something.

Speculations resurfaced about whether Strategy truly holds all the bitcoin it claims, or if it’s involved in so-called “paper bitcoin” — claims to BTC without physical backing.

Others pointed out that exchanges like Kraken and asset managers like Bitwise have implemented PoR systems without major breaches.

@ b1ddb4d7:471244e7

Bitcoin FilmFest (BFF25) returns to Warsaw for its third edition, blending independent cinema—from feature films and commercials to AI-driven experimental visuals—with education and entertainment.

Hundreds of attendees from around the world will gather for three days of screenings, discussions, workshops, and networking at the iconic Kinoteka Cinema (PKiN), the same venue that hosted the festival’s first two editions in March 2023 and April 2024.

This year’s festival, themed “Beyond the Frame,” introduces new dimensions to its program, including an extra day on May 22 to celebrate Bitcoin Pizza Day, the first real-world bitcoin transaction, with what promises to be one of Europe’s largest commemorations of this milestone.

BFF25 bridges independent film, culture, and technology, with a bold focus on decentralized storytelling and creative expression. As a community-driven cultural experience with a slightly rebellious spirit, Bitcoin FilmFest goes beyond movies, yet cinema remains at its heart.

Here’s a sneak peek at the lineup, specially curated for movie buffs:

Generative Cinema –  A special slot with exclusive shorts and a thematic debate on the intersection of AI and filmmaking. Featured titles include, for example: BREAK FREE, SATOSHI: THE CREATION OF BITCOIN, STRANGE CURRENCIES, and BITCOIN IS THE MYCELIUM OF MONEY,  exploring financial independence, traps of the fiat system, and a better future built on sound money.

Upcoming Productions Preview – A bit over an hour-long block of unreleased pilots and works-in-progress. Attendees will get exclusive first looks at projects like FINDING HOME (a travel-meets-personal-journey series), PARALLEL SPACES (a story about alternative communities), and THE LEGEND OF LANDI (a mysterious narrative).

Freedom-Focused Ads & Campaigns – Unique screenings of video commercials, animations, and visual projects, culminating in “The PoWies” (Proof of Work-ies)—the first ever awards show honoring the best Bitcoin-only awareness campaigns.

To get an idea of what might come up at the event, here, you can preview 6 selected ads combined into two 2 videos:

• Unique Bitcoin-Video Ads: Part One
• Unique Bitcoin-Video Ads: Part Two

Open Pitch Competition – A chance for filmmakers to present fresh ideas and unfinished projects to an audience of a dedicated jury, movie fans and potential collaborators. This competitive block isn’t just entertaining—it’s a real opportunity for creators to secure funding and partnerships.

Golden Rabbit Awards: A lively gala honoring films from the festival’s Official Selection, with awards in categories like Best Feature, Best Story, Best Short, and Audience Choice.

BFF25 Main Screenings

Sample titles from BFF25’s Official Selection:

REVOLUCIÓN BITCOIN – A documentary by Juan Pablo, making its first screening outside the Spanish-speaking world in Warsaw this May. Three years of important work, 80 powerful minutes to experience. The film explores Bitcoin’s impact across Argentina, Colombia, Mexico, El Salvador, and Spain through around 40 diverse perspectives. Screening in Spanish with English subtitles, followed by a Q&A with the director.

UNBANKABLE – Luke Willms’ directorial debut, drawing from his multicultural roots and his father’s pioneering HIV/AIDS research. An investigative documentary based on Luke’s journeys through seven African countries, diving into financial experiments and innovations—from mobile money and digital lending to Bitcoin—raising smart questions and offering potential lessons for the West. Its May appearance at BFF25 marks its largest European event to date, following festival screenings and nominations across multiple continents over the past year.

HOTEL BITCOIN – A Spanish comedy directed by Manuel Sanabria and Carlos “Pocho” Villaverde. Four friends, 4,000 bitcoins , and one laptop spark a chaotic adventure of parties, love, crime, and a dash of madness. Exploring sound money, value, and relationships through a twisting plot. The film premiered at the Tarazona and Moncayo Comedy Film Festival in August 2024. Its Warsaw screening at BFF25 (in Spanish with English subtitles) marks its first public showing outside the Spanish-speaking world.

Check out trailers for this year’s BFF25 and past editions on YouTube.

Tickets & Info:

• Detailed program and tickets are available at bitcoinfilmfest.com/bff25.
• Stay updated via the festival’s official channels (links provided on the website).
• Use ‘LN-NEWS’ to get 10% of tickets

@ 2dd9250b:6e928072

Durante a década de 1990, houve o aumento da globalização da economia, determinando a adição do fluxo internacional de capitais, de produtos e serviços. Este fenômeno levou a uma interdependência maior entre as economias dos países. Justamente por causa da possibilidade de que um eventual colapso econômico em um país resulte no contágio dos demais. Diante disso, aumentou a preocupação com os riscos incentivando a utilização de sofisticados modelos e estratégias de avaliação de gestão de risco.

Na década, ganharam destaque ainda os graves problemas financeiros enfrentados, entre outros, pelo banco inglês Barings Bank, e pelo fundo de investimento norte-americano Long Term Capital Management.

Outro grande destaque foi a fraude superior a US$ 7 bilhões sofrida pelo banco Société Generale em Janeiro de 2008.

O Barings Bank é um banco inglês que faliu em 1995 em razão de operações financeiras irregulares e mal-sucedidas realizadas pelo seu principal operador de mercado. O rombo da instituição foi superior à US$ 1,3 Bilhão e causado por uma aposta equivocada no desempenho futuro no índice de ações no Japão. Na realidade, o mercado acionário japonês caiu mais de 15% na época, determinando a falência do banco. O Baring Bank foi vendido a um grupo financeiro holandês (ING) pelo valor simbólico de uma libra esterlina.

O Long Term Capital Management era um fundo de investimento de que perdeu em 1998 mais de US$ 4,6 bilhões em operações nos mercados financeiros internacionais. O LTCM foi socorrido pelo Banco Central dos Estados Unidos (Federal Reserve ), que coordenou uma operação de socorro financeiro à instituição. A justificativa do Banco Central para esta decisão era "o receio das possíveis consequências mundiais da falência do fundo de investimento".

O banco francês Société Generale informou, em janeiro de 2008, uma perda de US$ 7,16 bilhões determinadas por fraudes efetuadas por um operador do mercado financeiro. Segundo revelou a instituição, o operador assumiu posições no mercado sem o conhecimento da direção do banco. A instituição teve que recorrer a uma urgente captação de recursos no mercado próxima a US$ 5,0 bilhões.

E finalmente chegamos ao caso mais problemático da era das finanças modernas anterior ao Bitcoin, o caso Lehman Brothers.

O Lehman Brothers era o 4° maior de investimentos dos EUA quando pediu concordata em 15/09/2008 com dívidas que superavam inacreditáveis US$ 600 bilhões.

Não se tinha contas correntes ou talão de cheques do Lehman Brothers. Era um banco especializado em investimentos e complexas operações financeiras. Havia feito pesados investimentos em empréstimos a juros fixos no famigerado mercado subprime, e o crédito imobiliário voltado a pessoas consideradas de forte risco de inadimplência.

Com essa carteira de investimentos que valia bem menos que o estimado e o acúmulo de projetos financeiros, minou a confiança dos investidores na instituição de 158 anos. Suas ações passaram de US$ 80 a menos de US$ 4. Acumulando fracassos nas negociações para levantar fundos; a instituição de cerca de 25 mil funcionários entrou em concordata.

O Federal Reserve resgatou algumas instituições financeiras grandes e tradicionais norte-americanas como a seguradora AIG no meio da crise. O Fed injetou um capital de US$ 182, 3 bilhões no American International Group (AIG).

Foi exatamente essa decisão do Fed em salvar alguns bancos e deixar quebrar outros, que causou insegurança por parte dos clientes. E os clientes ficaram insatisfeitos tanto com os bancos de investimentos quanto com as agências de classificação de risco, como a Standard & Poor's que tinha dado uma nota alta para o Lehman Brothers no mesmo dia em que ele quebrou.

E essa foi uma das razões pelo qual o Bitcoin foi criado. Satoshi Nakamoto entendeu que as pessoas não estavam mais confiando nem no Governo, nem nos Bancos Privados que o Governo federal restagatava quando eles quebravam e isso prejudicou muita gente. Tanto que o “hash” do Genesis Block contém o título do artigo “Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks” (Chanceler à beira de segundo resgate para bancos, em português) da edição britânica do The Times.

Esse texto foi parcialmente editado do texto de ASSAF Neto, CAF (2014).

@ 9dd283b1:cf9b6beb

To all territory owners,

• Can I co-found a territory with someone? Is it on the roadmap to be able to do so?
• Can I automatically split the territory rewards with other stackers?
• Can I rename the territory in the future?

Thanks

https://stacker.news/items/996796

@ 6ad3e2a3:c90b7740

"Modern science is based on this principle: give us one free miracle and then we'll explain the rest."

— Terrence McKenna

I always wondered why a pot of water boils on the stove. I mean I know it boils because I turned on the electricity, but why does the electricity cause it to boil? I know the electricity produces heat, and the heat is conducted through the stainless steel pot and into the water, but why does the heat transfer from stovetop to the water?

I know the heat from the stove via the pot speeds up the molecules in the water touching it and that they in turn speed up the molecules touching them and so on throughout the pot, but why do speedy molecules cause adjacent molecules to speed up?

I mean I know they do this, but why do they do this? Why couldn’t it be that sped-up molecules only interact with sufficient speedy molecules and ignore slower ones? Why do they interact with all the molecules, causing all of them to speed up? Or why don’t the speedy ones, instead of sharing their excited state, hoard it and take more energy from adjacent slower molecules, thereby making them colder, i.e., why doesn’t half the water boil twice as fast (on the left side of the pot) while the other half (right side) turns to ice?

The molecules tend to bounce around randomly, interacting as equal opportunists on the surrounding ones rather than distinguishing only certain ones with which to interact. Why do the laws of thermodynamics behave as such rather than some other way?

There may be yet deeper layers to this, explanations going down to the atomic and even quantum levels, but no matter how far you take them, you are always, in the end, left with: “Because those are the laws of physics”, i.e., “because that’s just how it is.”

. . .

The Terrence McKenna quote, recently cited by Joe Rogan on his podcast, refers to the Big Bang, the current explanation adopted by the scientifically literate as to the origins of the universe. You see there was this insanely dense, infinitesimally small micro dot that one day (before the dawn of time) exploded outward with unimaginable power that over billions of years created what we perceive as the known universe.

What happened prior? Can’t really say because time didn’t yet exist, and “prior” doesn’t make sense in that context. Why did it do this? We don’t know. How did it get there? Maybe a supermassive black hole from another universe got too dense and exploded out the other side? Highly speculative.

So why do people believe in the Big Bang? Because it comports with and explains certain observable phenomena and predicted other phenomena which were subsequently confirmed. But scratch a little deeper for an explanation as to what caused it, for what purpose did it occur or what preceded it, and you hit the same wall.

. . .

Even if we were to understand at a quantum level how and why the Big Bang happened and what preceded it, let’s assume it’s due to Factor X, something we eventually replicated with mini big-bangs and universe creations in our labs, we would still be tasked with understanding why Factor X exists in the universe. And if Factor X were explained by Process Y, we’d still be stuck needing an explanation for Process Y — ad infinitum.

Science can thus only push the wall back farther, but can never scale it. We can never arrive at an ultimate explanation, only partial ones. Its limitations are the limitations of thought itself, the impossibility of ever creating a map at a scale of one mile per mile.

@ 866e0139:6a9334e5

Autor: Milosz Matuschek. Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben. Sie finden alle Texte der Friedenstaube und weitere Texte zum Thema Frieden hier. Die neuesten Pareto-Artikel finden Sie in unserem Telegram-Kanal.

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Die neuesten Artikel der Friedenstaube gibt es jetzt auch im eigenen Friedenstaube-Telegram-Kanal.

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Auch wer das Kriegsgeschehen bisher nicht im Detail verfolgte (das tat ich auch nicht), horcht nun auf: Einem Nicht-Atomstaat – der Ukraine – ist ein gleichzeitiger, koordinierter Schlag gegen vier teils tausende Kilometer voneinander entfernte russische Luftbasen gelungen. Eine nicht unerhebliche Zahl strategisch wichtiger Flugzeuge wurde zerstört. Ein Angriff im hintersten russischen Hinterland, selbst jenseits der Taurus-Reichweite, durchgeführt mit Billigdrohnen, wirft erhebliche Fragen über geheimdienstliches Versagen in Russland und eklatante Mängel in der Luftverteidigung auf.

Es gibt wohl Momente, in denen Geschichte nicht geschrieben, sondern geflogen wird. Unspektakulär, relativ still, surrend, von einem LKW aus abgefeuert, mit einem Stück Technik, das kaum mehr kostet als das Gerät, auf dem ich diesen Text schreibe.

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Ein Angriff auf die Friedensverhandlungen

Die Ukraine hat sich erstmals weit über das Schlachtfeld hinaus erhoben – geografisch, technisch, symbolisch. Die Triade der atomwaffenfähigen Luftstreitkräfte Russlands – ein Heiligtum sowjetischer Machtprojektion – wurde durch das schwächste Glied in der Logikkette der Militärdoktrin beschädigt: den Überraschungseffekt. Drohnen, wie aus dem 3D-Drucker, haben eine strategische Achillesferse bloßgelegt. Nicht mit Hyperschall, sondern mit Hartplastik und GPS. Das erste Opfer dieses Angriffs dürften die Friedensverhandlungen in Istanbul sein.

Dass die Ukraine strategische Luftstützpunkte der russischen Atomwaffe angreift – koordiniert, tief im Landesinnern – wäre bereits für sich eine Zäsur. Doch dass dies unter stillschweigender Duldung oder gar Mithilfe westlicher Dienste wie der CIA erfolgt sein dürfte, während Trump zugleich als Friedenstaube auftritt, verschiebt das strategische Koordinatensystem. Die alten Verträge – START etc. – wirken wie rissige Abkommen aus der Steinzeit. Wenn die USA von der Operation wussten, darf sich Russland getäuscht fühlen. Washington kann nicht gleichzeitig Frieden mit Moskau betonen und eine Aktion dulden oder mittragen, die offensichtlich das Ziel hat, die russische Atommacht zu schwächen, woran die USA prinzipiell Interesse hätten. Falls Trump nichts davon wusste, muss man sich fragen: Regiert eigentlich er oder der „Swamp“, den er austrocknen wollte?

Egal wie man es wendet: Die Operation Spinnennetz war mehr als nur ein Angriff auf russische Flugzeuge auf russischem Gebiet. Militärisch gewinnt die Ukraine dadurch wenig, symbolisch und politisch aber viel, denn der Hauptgegner der Ukraine sind gerade nicht die hundert Millionen Dollar teuren Bomber der Russen, sondern die schleichende Kriegsunlust der Europäer – und ein Amerika, das sich mehr mit sich selbst beschäftigt als mit dem Fortgang eines Krieges, in dem es längst selbst Partei ist.

Damit sich die Reihen wieder schließen, muss der Feind sich zeigen – deutlich, fassbar, bedrohlich. Eine russische Reaktion, die auch europäische Hauptstädte erschüttert, wäre strategisch nützlich. Der Angriff war daher wohl weniger eine militärische Tat als eine psychologische Operation im Kampf um Wahrnehmung und Willen. Aus Sicht der Ukraine ist das verständlich, für sie geht es um ihre Existenz. Dafür wiederum braucht es eine erhöhte Alarmstufe.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1JlQLewOAmA

Solidarität durch Eskalation?

Die kalkulierte Demütigung könnte einem Drehbuch folgen: Putin soll nun die Rolle des Eskalators übernehmen. Tut er es, war die Operation erfolgreich – denn Europas Kriegstüchtigkeit hängt nicht nur von Panzerzahlen ab, sondern von der Bereitschaft zur Konfrontation. Der Feind, den es braucht, muss sich jetzt allen ins Gedächtnis brennen.

So gesehen ist der eigentliche Coup nicht der Schaden in Djagilewo, Iwanowo oder Olenia – sondern das noch bevorstehende unsichtbare Nachspiel. Europa und die Welt betreten nun gänzlich neues Gelände, in welchem ein militärisch gedemütigtes Russland gleichzeitig Friedenswillen gegenüber Europa bekunden, rote Linien verteidigen und seine Integrität als Atom-Macht bewahren muss. Das Dilemma für Putin besteht nun darin, Stärke zu beweisen ohne sich noch mehr zum Feindbild des Aggressors machen zu lassen.

Fakt ist: Wir sind einem III. Weltkrieg gerade so nah wie seit der Kuba-Krise nicht mehr.

Und wer sich über ein russisches “Pearl Harbor” freut, sollte mal in ein Geschichtsbuch schauen, wie es am Ende für Japan ausging.

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[EM ATUALIZAÇÃO]

vacina #saude #politica #manipulacao #mundial #genocidio #pandemia #conspiracao

Este artigo reúne algumas evidências mais antigas que vim registrando durante alguns anos contra a covid, vacinas obrigatórias e a ação de agências de governo, fundações, políticos, mídia tradicional, celebridades, influenciadores, cientistas, redes sociais e laboratórios, em envolvimento com genocídio e restrições de liberdades em escala mundial causado por decisões em várias esferas relativas ao covid e as vacinas obrigatórias em geral.

Porém, alguns links podem não estar mais disponiveis, foram que ainda faltam ser registradas muitas informações já divulgadas nos últimos anos e que não tivemos contato pela escassez de meios para a obtenção dessas informações de forma organizada. Portanto, o presente artigo ainda passará por atualizações de conteúdo e formatação, então se possível ajudem sugerindo com complementos ou alterações.

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Explicações iniciais:

• SARS-CoV-2 é que é nome do vírus. Ele que causa a doença Covid-19;
• O coronavírus SARS-CoV-2 é o segundo tipo de SARS-CoV documentado, o primeiro ocorreu entre 2002 e 2003, se originando também da China e também dito como tendo origem animal;
• SARS (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) - Síndrome Respiratória Aguda Grave (SRAG) é a uma doença respiratória viral, relatada ser de origem zoonótica (animal), causada pelos coronavírus SARS-CoV (2002) e SARS-CoV-2 (2019), ambos de origem chinesa;
• O termo 'Coronavírus' (COVID) é na verdade um nome genérico para vários vírus de gripes já comuns, dado para o tipo corona (com uma "coroa", 'espetos' ao redor dele), o Sars-Cov-2 (que passou a ser chamado erroneamente só de Covid), é só um deles.

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1. Vacinas Obrigatórias em Geral

• Vacinas e autismo em crianças https://publichealthpolicyjournal.com/vaccination-and-neurodevelopmental-disorders-a-study-of-nine-year-old-children-enrolled-in-medicaid/

• O CDC admite que 98 milhões de pessoas receberam o vírus do câncer através da vacina da Poliomielite https://medicinanews.com.br/frente/frente_1/o-cdc-admite-que-98-milhoes-de-pessoas-receberam-o-virus-do-cancer-atraves-da-vacina-poliomielite/

- Fonte original da imagem: https://preventdisease.com/images13/CDC_Polio.png [indisponível] - Imagem arquivada em: https://web.archive.org/web/20201203231640/

"O CDC (Os Centros de Controle e Prevenção de Doenças dos Estados Unidos) removeu rapidamente uma página do seu site, que estava em cache no Google, como você pode ver logo abaixo, admitindo que mais de 98 milhões de americanos receberam uma ou mais doses de vacina contra pólio dentro de 8 período entre 1955 e 1963, quando uma proporção da vacina foi contaminada com um poliomavírus causador de câncer chamado SV40."

27/02/2021 - Por que o Japão demorou para vacinar, mesmo com Olimpíada se aproximando https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/internacional/2021/02/27/por-que-o-japao-demorou-para-vacinar-mesmo-com-olimpiada-se-aproximando

"Desconfiança da população japonesa em relação a vacinas, ligada a casos ocorridos no passado, está entre razões que atrasaram imunização no país.

A resistência à vacina do Japão remonta à década de 1970, quando duas crianças morreram dentro de 24 horas após receberem a vacina combinada contra difteria, tétano e coqueluche (coqueluche). A vacina foi temporariamente suspensa, mas a confiança já havia sido abalada. Por vários anos, as taxas de vacinação infantil caíram, levando a um aumento nos casos de tosse convulsa.

No final dos anos 1980, houve outro susto com a introdução da vacina tripla contra sarampo, caxumba e rubéola produzida no Japão. As primeiras versões do imunizante foram associadas à meningite asséptica, ou inchaço das membranas ao redor do cérebro e da medula espinhal. O problema foi rastreado até o componente caxumba da vacina tripla, o que levou a uma ação judicial e a indenização por danos pesados.

O Instituto Nacional de Ciências da Saúde interrompeu a dose combinada em 1993 e a substituiu por vacinas individuais. Após o escândalo, Shibuya disse que o governo japonês se tornou "ciente dos riscos" e seu programa nacional de vacinação tornou-se voluntário.

O Dr. Yuho Horikoshi, especialista em doenças infecciosas, diz que os processos levaram a uma "lacuna de vacinação", em que nenhuma vacina foi aprovada no Japão por cerca de 15 anos.

Mais recentemente, em 2013, o Japão adicionou a vacina contra o papilomavírus humano (HPV) ao calendário nacional para proteger as meninas contra o vírus sexualmente transmissível, que é conhecido por causar câncer cervical. No entanto, vídeos de meninas supostamente sofrendo de reações adversas começaram a circular no YouTube, levando o governo a retirá-los da programação nacional."

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2. PRIMEIRAS OCORRÊNCIAS PREDITIVAS AO COVID-19

2002 - Síndrome respiratória aguda grave (SARS) Brenda L. Tesini (setembro de 2018). Síndrome respiratória aguda grave (SARS) [indisponível]. Manual Merck. Consultado em 23 de janeiro de 2020, citado no Wikipedia

Wikipedia: "A SARS [doença do vírus SARS-CoV] foi detectada na China e entre 2002 e 2003, um surto da doença resultou em mais de 8 000 casos e cerca de 800 mortes em todo o mundo. "

2010 - Fundação Rockfeller, Lockstep. https://www.rockefellerfoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/Annual-Report-2010-1.pdf

Neste PDF da fundação Rockfeller, em seu próprio site, a fundação deixou claro o seu envolvimento em casos de ‘contenção’ de pandemias juntamente com a USAID (agência americana com nome ambíguo, como formalmente ‘United States Agency for International Development’, mas soando como ‘US Socorre’, mas sendo um braço do governo democrata que financiava interferências políticas diretas em vários países, como no Brasil: https://www.gazetadopovo.com.br/vida-e-cidadania/quais-ongs-cooperaram-com-moraes-e-sao-alvo-do-congresso-nos-eua/ ), inclusive em relacionadas ao SARS, um vírus muito semelhante ao SEGUNDO tipo de vírus Sars-Cov, o Sars-Cov-2 (o vírus propagado em 2019) e que causa o COVID-19.

Segundo eles:

“Integração entre Regiões e Países

A Fundação Rockefeler investiu US$ 22 milhões em sua Iniciativa de Redes de Vigilância de Doenças para ajudar a conter a disseminação de doenças infecciosas e pandemias, fortalecendo os sistemas nacionais, regionais e globais de vigilância e resposta a doenças. Dois programas-chave da Rockefeler — a Rede de Vigilância de Doenças da Bacia do Mekong e a Rede Integrada de Vigilância de Doenças da África Oriental — conectaram e capacitaram profissionais de saúde, epidemiologistas e autoridades de saúde pública em toda a região, levando a um aumento de seis vezes nos locais de vigilância de doenças transfronteiriças somente nos últimos três anos. Em 2010, a Rockefeler expandiu a bem-sucedida campanha transdisciplinar One Health, que a USAID e o Banco Asiático de Desenvolvimento adotaram como modelos. One Health refere-se à integração da ciência médica e veterinária para combater essas novas variedades de doenças zoonóticas que se movem e sofrem mutações rapidamente de animais para humanos. Essas colaborações criaram e fortaleceram uma rede regional crítica de saúde pública, enquanto as lições aprendidas foram exportadas entre disciplinas e países. Além de fortalecer os laços globais em saúde pública, a Rockefeler ajudou a elevar o nível de especialização e treinamento em campo. O Programa de Treinamento em Epidemiologia de Campo coloca graduados nos mais altos escalões do governo no Laos e no Vietnã, enquanto as bolsas da Rockefeler transformaram as ferramentas disponíveis para os médicos, permitindo-lhes utilizar o poder da internet para se comunicar e monitorar eventos, compreender contextos locais e analisar novos problemas. Finalmente, estamos aplicando ferramentas do século XXI para combater os desafios de saúde do século XXI.”

Julho de 2012 - Revista Mundo Estranho

Houve uma "coincidência", a revista Mundo Estranho em julho de 2012, entrevistou o até então doutorando em virologia, Átila Iamarino (o mesmo cientista que fez diversas propagandas das vacinas no Brasil), para descrever um possível cenário de propagação de uma epidemia viral, a revista descreve com grande precisão os eventos de 2020, mas apontando o oposto da China, em que, na realidade, sua economia cresceu vertiginosamente.

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3. PRIMEIROS INDÍCIOS

10/2019 - Evento 201 - Durante os Jogos Militares Internacionais na China https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/

Promovido por: - Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation - John Hopkins Institute - Fórum econômico mundial

"O evento simula a liberação de um coronavírus novo do tipo zoonótico transmitido por morcegos para porcos e por fim para humanos. Eventualmente ele se torna muito transmissível entre humanos levando a uma pandemia severa. O vírus é muito parecido com o vírus da SARS, mas se transmite muito mais facilmente entre pessoas devido a sintomas muito mais leves destas."

Também mencionado por: [Jornal Estadão] ( http://patrocinados.estadao.com.br/medialab/releaseonline/releasegeral-releasegeral/geral-johns-hopkins-center-for-health-security-forum-economico-mundial-e-fundacao-bill-melinda-gates-realizam-exercicio-pandemico-e-transmissao-ao-vivo/)

Sobre o "Movimento antivacina"

05/12/2017 - Movimento antivacina: como surgiu e quais consequências ele pode trazer? https://www.uol.com.br/universa/noticias/redacao/2017/12/05/o-que-o-movimento-antivacina-pode-causar.htm?cmpid=copiaecola

23/03/2019 - "Instagram bloqueia hashtags e conteúdo antivacinação" https://canaltech.com.br/redes-sociais/instagram-bloqueia-hashtags-e-conteudo-antivacinacao-135411/

23/05/2021 - Novos dados sobre pesquisadores de Wuhan aumentam debate sobre origens da Covid https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/saude/novos-dados-sobre-pesquisadores-de-wuhan-aumentam-debate-sobre-origens-da-covid/

"A China relatou à Organização Mundial da Saúde que o primeiro paciente com sintomas semelhantes aos de Covid-19 foi registrado em Wuhan em 8 de dezembro de 2019"

01/02/2020 - O que aconteceu desde que o novo coronavírus foi descoberto na China https://exame.com/ciencia/o-que-aconteceu-desde-que-o-novo-coronavirus-foi-descoberto-na-china/

"O primeiro alerta foi recebido pela Organização Mundial da Saúde (OMS) em 31 de dezembro de 2019"

15/09/2020 - YouTube diz que vai remover vídeos com mentiras sobre vacina contra COVID-19 https://gizmodo.uol.com.br/youtube-remover-videos-mentiras-vacina-covid-19/

"O YouTube anunciou na quarta-feira (14) que estenderá as regras atuais sobre mentiras, propaganda e teorias da conspiração sobre a pandemia do coronavírus para incluir desinformação sobre as vacinas contra a doença.

De acordo com a Reuters, a gigante do vídeo diz que agora vai proibir conteúdos sobre vacinas contra o coronavírus que contradizem “o consenso de especialistas das autoridades de saúde locais ou da OMS”, como afirmações falsas de que a vacina é um pretexto para colocar chips de rastreamento nas pessoas ou que irá matar ou esterilizar quem tomar."

*07/01/2021 - YouTube vai punir canais que promovem mentiras sobre eleições – incluindo os de Trump https://olhardigital.com.br/2021/01/07/noticias/youtube-vai-punir-canais-que-promovem-mentiras-sobre-eleicoes-incluindo-os-de-trump/

"O YouTube anunciou que vai punir canais que promovem mentiras sobre as eleições, removendo sumariamente qualquer vídeo que contenha desinformação e, ao mesmo tempo, advertindo com um “strike” o canal que o veicular. A medida já está valendo e a primeira “vítima” é ninguém menos que o ex-presidente americano, Donald Trump.

A medida não é exatamente nova, mas foi novamente comunicada e reforçada pelo YouTube na quarta-feira (6), após os eventos de invasão do Capitólio, em Washington, onde o presidente eleito Joe Biden participava da cerimônia que confirmava a sua vitória nas eleições de novembro de 2020. A ocasião ficou marcada pela tentativa de invasão de correligionários de Trump, que entraram no edifício em oposição à nomeação do novo presidente. Uma mulher acabou sendo morta pela polícia que protegia o local.

O ex-presidente Donald Trump teve vídeos banidos de seu canal no YouTube após os eventos de ontem (6) no capitólio."

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4. FIGURAS CENTRAIS

Bill Gates

• Bill Gates diz 'não' a abrir patentes de vacinas https://www.frontliner.com.br/bill-gates-diz-nao-a-abrir-patentes-de-vacinas/

"Bill Gates, um dos homens mais ricos do mundo, cuja fundação tem participação na farmacêutica alemã CureVac, produtora de vacina mRNA para prevenção de covid-19, disse não acreditar que a propriedade intelectual tenha algo a ver com o longo esforço global para controlar a pandemia."

João Doria e São Paulo

26/07/2017 - João Dória vai a China conhecer drones para ampliar segurança eletrônica na capital paulista https://jc.ne10.uol.com.br/blogs/jamildo/2017/07/26/joao-doria-vai-china-conhecer-drones-para-ampliar-seguranca-eletronica-na-capital-paulista/

02/08/2019 - Governo de SP fará Missão China para ampliar cooperação e atrair investimentos https://www.saopaulo.sp.gov.br/spnoticias/governo-de-sao-paulo-detalha-objetivos-da-missao-china/

20/11/2019 - Doria se encontra com chineses das gigantes CREC e CRCC e oferece concessões de rodovia, metrô e ferrovia https://diariodotransporte.com.br/2019/11/20/doria-se-encontra-com-chineses-das-gigantes-crec-e-crcc-e-oferece-concessoes-de-rodovia-metro-e-ferrovia/

25/01/2020 - "Chineses serão agressivos" nas privatizações em SP até 2022, afirma Dória https://noticias.uol.com.br/colunas/jamil-chade/2020/01/25/entrevista-joao-doria-privatizacoes-sao-paulo-china.htm

O governador de São Paulo, João Doria, afirma que vai acelerar os programas de desestatização no estado em 2020 e acredita que concessões e vendas poderão permitir uma arrecadação de pelo menos R$ 40 bilhões. Nesse processo, o governador avalia que a China deve atuar de forma agressiva e que aprofundará sua posição de maior parceira comercial do estado, se distanciando de americanos e argentinos.

29/06/2020 - Doria estabelece multa para quem estiver sem máscara na rua em SP https://veja.abril.com.br/saude/doria-estabelece-multa-para-quem-estiver-sem-mascara-na-rua/

24/12/2020 - Doria é flagrado sem máscara e fazendo compras em Miami https://pleno.news/brasil/politica-nacional/doria-e-flagrado-sem-mascara-e-fazendo-compras-em-miami.html

"Foto do governador de São Paulo sem o item de proteção viralizou nas redes"

07/06/2021 - Doria é criticado na internet por tomar sol sem máscara em hotel no Rio https://vejasp.abril.com.br/cidades/doria-e-criticado-na-internet-por-tomar-sol-sem-mascara-em-hotel-no-rio/

30/09/2020 - Governo de SP assina contrato com Sinovac e prevê vacina para dezembro https://agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br/saude/noticia/2020-09/governo-de-sp-assina-contrato-com-sinovac-e-preve-vacina-para-dezembro

O governador de São Paulo, João Doria, e o vice-presidente da laboratório chinês Sinovac, Weining Meng, assinaram hoje (30), um contrato que prevê o fornecimento de 46 milhões de doses da vacina CoronaVac para o governo paulista até dezembro deste ano.

O contrato também prevê a transferência tecnológica da vacina da Sinovac para o Instituto Butantan, o que significa que, o instituto brasileiro poderá começar a fabricar doses dessa vacina contra o novo coronavírus. O valor do contrato, segundo o governador João Doria é de US$ 90 milhões.

20/10/2020 - Coronavac terá mais de 90% de eficácia, afirmam integrantes do governo paulista https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/saude/2020/12/20/coronavac-tera-mais-de-90-de-eficacia-afirmam-integrantes-do-governo

24/10/2020 - Não esperamos 90% de eficácia da Coronavac’, diz secretário de saúde de SP https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/saude/2020/12/24/nao-esperamos-90-de-eficacia-da-coronavac-diz-secretario-de-saude-de-sp

07/01/2021 - Vacina do Butantan: eficácia é de 78% em casos leves e 100% em graves https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/saude/2021/01/07/vacina-do-butantan-eficacia-e-de-78-em-casos-leves-e-100-em-graves

09/01/2021 - Não é hora de sermos tão cientistas como estamos sendo agora https://g1.globo.com/sp/sao-paulo/video/nao-e-hora-de-sermos-tao-cientistas-como-estamos-sendo-agora-diz-secretario-de-saude-de-sp-9166405.ghtml

10/01/2021 - Dados da Coronavac relatados à Anvisa não estão claros, diz médico https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/saude/2021/01/10/dados-da-coronavac-relatados-a-anvisa-nao-estao-claros-diz-medico

"O diretor do Laboratório de Imunologia do Incor, Jorge Kalil, reforçou que faltaram informações sobre a Coronavac nos dados divulgados à Anvisa"

12/01/2021 - New Brazil data shows disappointing 50,4% efficacy for China’s Coronavac vaccine [Novos dados do Brasil mostram eficácia decepcionante de 50,4% para a vacina CoronaVac da China] https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-brazil-coronavirus/new-brazil-data-shows-disappointing-504-efficacy-for-chinas-coronavac-vaccine-idUSKBN29H2CE

13/01/2021 - Eficácia da Coronavac: 50,38%, 78% ou 100%? https://blogs.oglobo.globo.com/lauro-jardim/post/5038-78-ou-100.html

“De acordo com interlocutores que participaram tanto do anúncio de ontem como da semana passada, quem pressionou para que os dados de 78% e 100% fossem liberados foi João Dória.”

07/05/2021 - Covid-19: Doria toma primeira dose da vacina CoronaVac https://veja.abril.com.br/saude/covid-19-doria-toma-primeira-dose-da-vacina-coronavac/

04/06/2021 - Doria é vacinado com a segunda dose da CoronaVac em São Paulo https://noticias.uol.com.br/politica/ultimas-noticias/2021/06/04/doria-e-vacinado-com-a-segunda-dose-da-coronavac-em-sao-paulo.htm

15/07/2021 - Doria testa positivo para a Covid-19 pela 2ª vez https://www.correiobraziliense.com.br/politica/2021/07/4937833-doria-testa-positivo-para-covid-19-pela-segunda-vez.html

"Governador de São Paulo já havia sido diagnosticado com a doença no ano passado. Ele diz que, apesar da infecção, se sente bem, o que atribui ao fato de ter sido vacinado com duas doses da Coronavac"

06/08/2021 - CPI recebe investigação contra Doria por compra de máscara sem licitação https://www.conexaopoder.com.br/nacional/cpi-recebe-investigacao-contra-doria-por-compra-de-mascara-sem-licitacao/150827

"Empresa teria usado o nome de Alexandre Frota para vender máscaras ao governo de SP. Doria nega informação"

Renan Filho

(filho do Renan Calheiros)

25/07/2019 - Governador Renan Filho vai à China em busca de investimentos para o estado https://www.tnh1.com.br/videos/vid/governador-renan-filho-vai-a-china-em-busca-de-investimentos-para-o-estado/

20/03/2020 - Governadores do NE consultam China e pedem material para tratar covid-19 https://noticias.uol.com.br/saude/ultimas-noticias/redacao/2020/03/20/governadores-do-ne-consultam-china-e-pedem-material-para-tratar-covid-19.htm

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5. Narrativas, restrições e proibições

17/12/2020 - STF decide que vacina contra a covid pode ser obrigatória, mas não forçada https://noticias.uol.com.br/saude/ultimas-noticias/redacao/2020/12/17/stf-julga-vacinacao-obrigatoria.htm?cmpid=copiaecola

"O STF (Supremo Tribunal Federal) decidiu, em julgamento hoje, que o Estado pode determinar a obrigatoriedade da vacinação contra a covid-19. Porém fica proibido o uso da força para exigir a vacinação, ainda que possam ser aplicadas restrições a direitos de quem recusar a imunização.

Dez ministros foram favoráveis a obrigatoriedade da vacinação, que poderá ser determinada pelo governo federal, estados ou municípios. As penalidades a quem não cumprir a obrigação deverão ser definidas em lei."

27/07/2021 - Saiba que países estão adotando 'passaporte da vacina' para suspender restrições https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/internacional/2021/07/27/saiba-que-paises-estao-adotando-passaporte-da-vacina-para-suspender-restricoes

" - Israel - Uniao Europeia - Áustria - Dinamarca - Eslovênia - França - Grécia - Irlanda - Itália - Letônia - Lituânia - Luxemburgo - Holanda - Portugal - Japão - Coreia do sul"

18/06/2021 - O que é o passaporte da vacina que Bolsonaro quer vetar? https://noticias.uol.com.br/politica/ultimas-noticias/2021/06/18/uol-explica-o-que-e-o-passaporte-da-vacina-que-opoe-bolsonaro-e-damares.htm

"O Brasil poderá ter um certificado de imunização futuramente. Aprovado no Senado na semana passada, o "passaporte da vacina", como é chamado, prevê identificar pessoas vacinadas para que entrem em locais públicos ou privados com possíveis restrições."

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6. Vacinas

Alegações iniciais

• CoronaVac, Oxford e Pfizer: veja diferenças entre as vacinas contra covid noticias.uol.com.br/saude/ultimas-noticias/redacao/2021/05/11/diferencas-vacinas-covid-brasil.htm

" - CoronaVac (Butantan/Sinovac - Chinesa) Com virus inativo 50,38% de eficácia 2 doses

• Covishield - 'AstraZeneca' (Fiocruz/Astrazenica/Oxford - Britânica) Com virus não replicante 67% de eficácia 2 doses

• ComiRNAty - 'Pfizer' (Pfizer - Americana / BioNTech - Alemã) Com RNA mensageiro 96% de eficácia 2 doses"

Riscos diretos

15/06/2021 - Trombose após vacinação com AstraZeneca: Quais os sintomas e como se deve atuar? https://www.istoedinheiro.com.br/trombose-apos-vacinacao-com-astrazeneca-quais-os-sintomas-e-como-se-deve-atuar/

"Agências europeias estão reticentes com a vacina da AstraZeneca. Ela chegou a ser desaconselhada a pessoas com idade inferior a 60 anos, e um alto funcionário da Agência Europeia de Medicamentos declarou que era melhor deixar de administrar a vacina deste laboratório em qualquer idade quando há alternativas disponíveis, devido aos relatos de trombose após a primeira dose, apesar de raros."

11/05/2021 - CoronaVac, Oxford e Pfizer: veja diferenças entre as vacinas contra covid https://noticias.uol.com.br/saude/ultimas-noticias/redacao/2021/05/11/diferencas-vacinas-covid-brasil.htm

"Na terça-feira (12), o Ministério da Saúde determinou a suspensão da aplicação da vacina de Oxford/AstraZeneca para gestantes e puérperas com comorbidades. A decisão segue recomendação da Anvisa, que apura a morte de uma grávida de 35 anos que tomou o imunizante e teve um AVC (acidente vascular cerebral)."

30/07/2021 - Pfizer representa o mesmo risco de trombose que a Astrazeneca, aponta levantamento https://panoramafarmaceutico.com.br/pfizer-representa-o-mesmo-risco-de-trombose-que-a-astrazeneca-aponta-levantamento/

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7. CRIMES

Crimes da Pfizer

18/11/2020 Não listado no google - Os Crimes documentados da produtora de vacinas de Covid - Pfizer [INGLÊS] https://www.dmlawfirm.com/crimes-of-covid-vaccine-maker-pfizer-well-documented/

"A velocidade com que a vacina Covid da Pfizer foi produzida, a ausência de estudos em animais, testes de controle randomizados e outros testes e procedimentos padrão usuais para um novo medicamento são, no mínimo, preocupantes. Além disso, todos os fabricantes de vacinas Covid receberam imunidade legal para quaisquer ferimentos ou mortes que possam causar. Se essas vacinas são tão seguras quanto promovidas, por que seus fabricantes precisam de imunidade geral?"

"A Pfizer, uma empresa farmacêutica que parece ter ganhado na loteria para produzir a primeira vacina Covid-19, está atualmente lutando contra centenas de ações judiciais sobre o Zantac, um popular medicamento contra azia. Os processos da Zantac afirmam que a droga popular pode estar contaminada com uma substância cancerígena chamada N-nitrosodimetilamina (NDMA). Os processos Zantac são em aberto e em andamento, já que a farmacêutica está lutando contra eles; mas a Pfizer, sabemos, cometeu vários crimes ou transgressões pelos quais foi punida nos últimos anos. As falhas da empresa estão bem documentadas e vale a pena revisá-las neste momento crítico da história da humanidade, enquanto todos nós buscamos respostas."

A Pfizer recebeu a maior multa da história dos Estados Unidos como parte de um acordo judicial de US $ 2,3 bilhões com promotores federais por promover medicamentos erroneamente (Bextra, Celebrex) e pagar propinas a médicos complacentes. A Pfizer se confessou culpada de falsificar a marca do analgésico Bextra, promovendo o medicamento para usos para os quais não foi aprovado.

Na década de 1990, a Pfizer estava envolvida em válvulas cardíacas defeituosas que causaram a morte de mais de 100 pessoas. A Pfizer enganou deliberadamente os reguladores sobre os perigos. A empresa concordou em pagar US $ 10,75 milhões para acertar as acusações do departamento de justiça por enganar reguladores.

A Pfizer pagou mais de US $ 60 milhões para resolver um processo sobre o Rezulin, um medicamento para diabetes que causou a morte de pacientes de insuficiência hepática aguda.

No Reino Unido, a Pfizer foi multada em quase € 90 milhões por sobrecarregar o NHS, o Serviço Nacional de Saúde. A Pfizer cobrou do contribuinte um adicional de € 48 milhões por ano, pelo que deveria custar € 2 milhões por ano.

A Pfizer concordou em pagar US $ 430 milhões em 2004 para resolver acusações criminais de que havia subornado médicos para prescrever seu medicamento para epilepsia Neurontin para indicações para as quais não foi aprovado. Em 2011, um júri concluiu que a Pfizer cometeu fraude em sua comercialização do medicamento Neurontin. A Pfizer concordou em pagar $ 142,1 milhões para liquidar as despesas.

A Pfizer revelou que pagou quase 4.500 médicos e outros profissionais médicos cerca de US $ 20 milhões por falar em nome da Pfizer.

Em 2012, a Comissão de Valores Mobiliários dos Estados Unidos - anunciou que havia chegado a um acordo de US $ 45 milhões com a Pfizer para resolver acusações de que suas subsidiárias haviam subornado médicos e outros profissionais de saúde no exterior para aumentar as vendas no exterior.

A Pfizer foi processada em um tribunal federal dos Estados Unidos por usar crianças nigerianas como cobaias humanas, sem o consentimento dos pais das crianças. A Pfizer pagou US $ 75 milhões para entrar em acordo no tribunal nigeriano pelo uso de um antibiótico experimental, o Trovan, nas crianças. A empresa pagou um valor adicional não divulgado nos Estados Unidos para liquidar as despesas aqui. A Pfizer violou o direito internacional, incluindo a Convenção de Nuremberg estabelecida após a Segunda Guerra Mundial, devido aos experimentos nazistas em prisioneiros relutantes.

Em meio a críticas generalizadas de roubar os países pobres em busca de drogas, a Pfizer prometeu dar US $ 50 milhões para um medicamento para a AIDS para a África do Sul. Mais tarde, no entanto, a Pfizer falhou em honrar essa promessa.

• Pfizer contract leaked! [Contrato da Pfizer vazado] http://sanjeev.sabhlokcity.com/Misc/LEXO-KONTRATEN-E-PLOTE.pdf

Segundo o contrato "o produto não deve ser serializado":

"5.5 Reconhecimento do comprador.

O Comprador reconhece que a Vacina e os materiais relacionados à Vacina, e seus componentes e materiais constituintes estão sendo desenvolvidos rapidamente devido às circunstâncias de emergência da pandemia de COVID-19 e continuarão a ser estudados após o fornecimento da Vacina ao Comprador nos termos deste Contrato. O Comprador reconhece ainda que os efeitos de longo prazo e eficácia da Vacina não são atualmente conhecidos e que pode haver efeitos adversos da Vacina que não são atualmente conhecidos. Além disso, na medida do aplicável, o Comprador reconhece que o Produto não deve ser serializado."

Crimes da AstraZeneca

21/06/2003 - AstraZeneca se declara culpada no esquema de médico de câncer https://www.nytimes.com/2003/06/21/business/astrazeneca-pleads-guilty-in-cancer-medicine-scheme.html

"A AstraZeneca, a grande empresa farmacêutica, se declarou culpada hoje de uma acusação de crime de fraude no sistema de saúde e concordou em pagar $ 355 milhões para resolver as acusações criminais e civis de que se envolveu em um esquema nacional para comercializar ilegalmente um medicamento contra o câncer de próstata.

O governo disse que os funcionários da empresa deram incentivos financeiros ilegais a cerca de 400 médicos em todo o país para persuadi-los a prescrever o medicamento Zoladex. Esses incentivos incluíram milhares de amostras grátis de Zoladex [...]"

27/04/2010 - Farmacêutica gigante AstraZeneca pagará US $ 520 milhões pelo marketing de medicamentos off-label https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/pharmaceutical-giant-astrazeneca-pay-520-million-label-drug-marketing

"AstraZeneca LP e AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals LP vão pagar $ 520 milhões para resolver as alegações de que a AstraZeneca comercializou ilegalmente o medicamento antipsicótico Seroquel para usos não aprovados como seguros e eficazes pela Food and Drug Administration (FDA), os Departamentos de Justiça e Saúde e Serviços Humanos A Equipe de Ação de Fiscalização de Fraudes em Saúde (HEAT) anunciou hoje. Esses usos não aprovados também são conhecidos como usos "off-label" porque não estão incluídos no rótulo do medicamento aprovado pela FDA."

• List of largest pharmaceutical settlements [Lista dos maiores acordos farmaceuticos] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_pharmaceutical_settlements

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8. CIENTISTAS

• Máscara Provoca Insuficiência Respiratória E Contaminação Microbiana… [Canal deletado] https://youtube.com/watch?v=eHu-pydSvDI

Não lembro mais a quem pertencia, mas provavelmente era de um médico falando do assunto. Creio ter sido do Dr. Paulo Sato, por essa temática ter sido abordada por ele, mas ao abrir o site aparece somente:

"Este vídeo foi removido por violar as diretrizes da comunidade do YouTube"

Dr. Paulo Sato

• USAR ou NÃO USAR a CUECA do seu governador no rosto https://fb.watch/7NPP_7rS5S/ https://www.facebook.com/AdoniasSoaresBR/videos/1347904292291481/ Adonias Soares entrevista ao Dr. Paulo Sato sobre as máscaras, em que é simulado o efeito da respiração prolongada das máscaras no organismo com o uso de águas de torneira, natural, gaseificada (com gás carbônico) e antioxidante, em que a com gás carbônico (PH 4 - Ácido) representa o organismo humano, e na prática representa lesão corporal e iniciação de doenças.

Dr. Kary Mullis

(Criador do teste PCR)

• PCR nas palavras do seu inventor - Dr. Kary Mullis (legendado) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W1O52uTygk8

"Qualquer um pode testar positivo para quase qualquer coisa com um teste de PCR, se você executá-lo por tempo suficiente… Com PCR, se voce fizer isso bem, você pode encontrar quase tudo em qualquer pessoa… Isso não te diz que você está doente."

• Kary Mullis DESTRUYE a Anthony Fauci lbry://@CapitalistChile#0/Kary-Mullis---Fauci#5

"Ele [...] não entende de medicina e não deveria estar onde está. A maioria dos que estão acima são só administrativos e não têm nem ideia do que ocorre aqui em baixo e essas pessoas tem uma agenda que não é a que gostaríamos que tivessem, dado que somos nós os que pagamos a eles para que cuidem da nossa saúde. Têm uma agenda pessoal."

Dra. Li-Meng Yan

• Dra. Li-Meng Yan: O vírus foi criado em laboratório com um objetivo: Causar dano. https://youtu.be/pSXp3CZnvOc

Dr. Joe Roseman

• Cientista Phd Dr Joe Roseman faz seríssimas advertencias sobre a picada https://youtu.be/0PIXVFqJ_h8

Dr. Robert Malone

• As vacinas podem estar causando ADE - Dr. Robert Malone https://odysee.com/@AkashaComunidad:f/Las_vacunas_pueden_estar_causando_ADE_magnificaci%C3%B3n_mediada_por:f lbry://@Información.#b/Drrm#9

Dr. Robert Malone, um dos três inventores da tecnologia de RNAm que se usa de forma farmacêutica. No vídeo fala sobre os efeitos de ADE (realce dependente de anticorpos) que estão ocorrendo com as vacinas. Nas palavras do Dr. Malone, já não é somente uma hipótese, mas baseada nos conhecimentos gerados nas provas e ensaios pré clínicos, com as vacinas contra o primeiro vírus da SARS.

Dr. Luc Montagnier

• Dr. Luc Montagnier, virologista, prêmio Nobel de medicina, um dos descobridores do vírus HIV, afirma: "a vacinação em massa está criando as novas variantes' (@medicospelavida , telegram)

CASOS DOCUMENTADOS

13 de setembro de 2021 - 13/09/2021 - Carta aberta ao Ministro da Saúde por Arlene Ferrari Graf, mãe de Bruno Oscar Graf https://telegra.ph/Carta-aberta-ao-Ministro-da-Sa%C3%BAde-09-13

Também em: Gazeta do Povo

O texto de uma mãe discorrendo sobre o filho dela, Bruno Oscar Graf, ter ANTI-HEPARINA PF4 AUTO-IMUNE e ter vindo a falecer por reação à vacina.

11/05/2021 - Rio notifica morte de grávida vacinada com imunizante Oxford https://www.terra.com.br/noticias/coronavirus/rio-notifica-morte-de-gravida-vacinada-com-imunizante-oxford,415b9b0c49169427ac2f90ae3765c057e9suy3qn.html

"Vítima não apresentava histórico de doença circulatória nem sofria de nenhuma doença viral; relação será investigada"

13/08/2021 - Cruzeiro com 4.336 pessoas tem 27 contaminados com Covid-19 em Belize https://paranaportal.uol.com.br/geral/cruzeiro-com-4-336-pessoas-tem-27-contaminados-com-covid-19-em-belize/amp/

"Segundo um comunicado do Conselho de Turismo de Belize emitido na quarta-feira (11), 26 contaminados são da tripulação e um é passageiro. A maioria é assintomática e os 27 estão vacinados."

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9. ALEGAÇÕES DIRETAS

Setembro de 2021 - 09/2021 - BOMBA: Ex-membro do Partido Comunista da China revela que o primeiro surto da Covid foi “intencional” https://terrabrasilnoticias.com/2021/09/bomba-ex-membro-do-partido-comunista-da-china-revela-que-o-primeiro-surto-da-covid-foi-intencional/

@ 5c9e5ee4:72f1325b

For too long, the autistic experience has been framed through a neurotypical lens, focusing on "differences" and "deficits." However, a profound perspective emerging from within the autistic community offers a radical reinterpretation: that autistic individuals are not inherently "broken" but rather possess a unique, often unyielding, perception of truth that challenges the very foundations of neurotypical society. From this viewpoint, autism is less about a disorder and more about a clarity of vision that apprehends the world as fundamentally "untrue" in many of its social constructs.

This perspective posits that what many autistic individuals perceive as "corrupted" or "untrue" in society isn't a subjective internal experience, but an objective reality of falsehoods, deception, and manipulation. The rejection of these elements is not a personal preference but a natural, logical response to what is genuinely illogical and dishonest.

The Core of the "Untrue" World:

• Honesty as a Default State: For many autistic people, directness and factual accuracy are paramount. Social conventions like "white lies," indirect communication, or performative politeness are not merely nuanced social skills; they are perceived as outright forms of deception and inauthenticity. The natural inclination is towards what is straightforward and verifiable.
• Logic Over Social Grace: An unwavering adherence to logic means that actions or systems that lack rational basis—such as engaging in flattery, suppressing truth for social harmony, or participating in inefficient rituals—are viewed as fundamentally nonsensical and therefore "untrue."
• Authenticity as a Non-Negotiable: The concept of "masking"—the exhausting act of suppressing one's natural autistic traits to conform—is seen as a deeply painful betrayal of self. A society that implicitly demands such a performance is deemed "corrupt" because it stifles genuine self-expression.
• Aversion to Hypocrisy: A strong sense of justice and an acute awareness of inconsistency mean that any disjuncture between stated values and actual behavior is immediately flagged as a profound untruth.

Social Groups: Formed Around a "Proudly Believed Lie"?

This critical autistic perspective extends to the very fabric of social organization. It suggests that many groups, whether religious, political, scientific, or economic, are not built on shared objective truths, but rather on "proudly believed lies." These shared narratives or belief systems, even if they contradict logic or verifiable facts, serve as the glue that binds the group, fostering identity, comfort, and a sense of belonging. The "pride" in these beliefs makes them resistant to critical examination, even when confronted with evidence.

For example: * In religion, this "lie" might be a dogma that provides solace but defies logic. * In politics, it could be an ideology based on selective truths that serve power. * In economics, it might be assumptions about markets or growth that are presented as infallible. * Even in science, while ideally pursuing truth, the social aspects of the scientific community might, at times, cling to paradigms that become "proudly believed lies," resisting new evidence.

The Disconnect: Why Autistics Are "Discredited"

If autistic individuals are part of the "5% who see it as it is"—those who perceive these societal untruths with clarity—then a natural tension arises with the "10% who want control." This controlling minority, it is argued, relies on these "untruths" to maintain power and influence over the "85% who are happy following."

From this viewpoint, the discrediting of autistic people—labeling their directness as "social deficits," their sensory experiences as "disorders," or their logical critiques as "inflexibility"—is not accidental. It is a strategic mechanism employed by the controlling "10%" to neutralize those who expose the underlying untruths, thereby safeguarding their constructed reality and maintaining influence.

In conclusion, the autistic perspective challenges us to re-evaluate the very nature of truth in our society. It suggests that what many perceive as social norms might, in fact, be a pervasive web of "untruths," and that the autistic individual's unique wiring allows for a crucial, unvarnished perception of this reality. It is a powerful call for authenticity and a profound questioning of how much of our world is built on what is genuinely true, versus what is merely believed.

@ 8bf578f4:b6303c41

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@ de54d599:77efc747

When it comes to gift-giving, the most memorable presents are those that tell a story. Veuve Clicquot, a champagne house known for its bold innovation and timeless elegance, has created something truly special with its Personalised Arrow gift—a tribute not only to fine champagne but to the destinations that hold meaning in our lives.

A Destination Worth Celebrating The Veuve Clicquot Personalised Arrow is more than elegant packaging—it’s a symbol. Inspired by classic road signs, the bright, arrow-shaped tin can be customised with the name of any city or location, along with the exact distance from Reims, France, where the champagne is produced. Whether it's your hometown, a honeymoon destination, or the place where you first met someone special, this gift turns a bottle of bubbly into a personal journey.

Inside the Arrow: Yellow Label Champagne Tucked inside the tin is Veuve Clicquot's iconic Yellow Label Brut, a globally beloved champagne known for its depth, liveliness, and balance. With a composition dominated by Pinot Noir and complemented by Chardonnay and Meunier, it delivers notes of citrus, brioche, and stone fruit—perfect for toasting any occasion. It’s a champagne that’s as dynamic and enduring as the stories behind each personalised location.

Beautifully Designed with the Planet in Mind The tin is crafted from 30% recycled materials and is 100% recyclable, aligning with Veuve Clicquot’s sustainability commitments. Its removable sugarcane-based backing adds a thoughtful eco-friendly touch to a design that’s made to last long after the bottle is enjoyed.

A Gift That Connects People and Places This unique keepsake is ideal for birthdays, anniversaries, weddings, or corporate gifts—it’s perfect for anyone who values meaningful moments and sophisticated taste. More than just a drink, it's a celebration of where you've been, and where you’re going.

With the Veuve Clicquot Personalised Arrow, every toast becomes a story—one that starts with a location and ends in a lasting memory.

@ 3b13c372:3e1e7ef2

For those who believe every bottle should tell a story, Veuve Clicquot’s Personalised Arrow Champagne offers the perfect blend of sophistication and sentiment. More than a premium Champagne, this collector’s piece is a tribute to the places that shape our lives—wrapped in unmistakable Veuve Clicquot style.

At the heart of the package is a 750ml bottle of Veuve Clicquot Yellow Label Brut, a Champagne celebrated for its balance of power, freshness, and finesse. It’s crafted predominantly from Pinot Noir, supported by Chardonnay and Meunier, creating a vibrant, structured wine with layers of pear, citrus, and brioche.

What sets this gift apart is its outer casing: a bold, arrow-shaped metal tin that can be personalised with the name of your chosen city or destination (up to 15 characters). Alongside your customisation, the arrow displays the distance from that location to Reims, France—the spiritual home of Veuve Clicquot.

This elegant detail turns the bottle into a statement. Whether you’re celebrating a new home, a wedding, a farewell, or just sending a thoughtful gift, the Personalised Arrow adds meaning to the moment. It’s functional, too—keeping your Champagne cool for up to two hours—making it ideal for celebrations on the go.

Veuve Clicquot’s Personalised Arrow Champagne is a thoughtful way to connect a bottle of world-class wine with a personal journey. A toast to the people and places we never forget—wrapped in signature yellow, and stamped with your own message.

@ c9badfea:610f861a

Monospace

𝙰𝙱𝙲𝙳𝙴𝙵𝙶𝙷𝙸𝙹𝙺𝙻𝙼𝙽𝙾𝙿𝚀𝚁𝚂𝚃𝚄𝚅𝚆𝚇𝚈𝚉 𝚊𝚋𝚌𝚍𝚎𝚏𝚐𝚑𝚒𝚓𝚔𝚕𝚖𝚗𝚘𝚙𝚚𝚛𝚜𝚝𝚞𝚟𝚠𝚡𝚢𝚣

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Script

𝓐𝓑𝓒𝓓𝓔𝓕𝓖𝓗𝓘𝓙𝓚𝓛𝓜𝓝𝓞𝓟𝓠𝓡𝓢𝓣𝓤𝓥𝓦𝓧𝓨𝓩 𝓪𝓫𝓬𝓭𝓮𝓯𝓰𝓱𝓲𝓳𝓴𝓵𝓶𝓷𝓸𝓹𝓺𝓻𝓼𝓽𝓾𝓿𝔀𝔁𝔂𝔃

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Fraktur

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Fraktur - Bold

𝕬𝕭𝕮𝕯𝕰𝕱𝕲𝕳𝕴𝕵𝕶𝕷𝕸𝕹𝕺𝕻𝕼𝕽𝕾𝕿𝖀𝖁𝖂𝖃𝖄𝖅 𝖆𝖇𝖈𝖉𝖊𝖋𝖌𝖍𝖎𝖏𝖐𝖑𝖒𝖓𝖔𝖕𝖖𝖗𝖘𝖙𝖚𝖛𝖜𝖝𝖞𝖟

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Sans Serif - Italic

𝘈𝘉𝘊𝘋𝘌𝘍𝘎𝘏𝘐𝘑𝘒𝘓𝘔𝘕𝘖𝘗𝘘𝘙𝘚𝘛𝘜𝘝𝘞𝘟𝘠𝘡 𝘢𝘣𝘤𝘥𝘦𝘧𝘨𝘩𝘪𝘫𝘬𝘭𝘮𝘯𝘰𝘱𝘲𝘳𝘴𝘵𝘶𝘷𝘸𝘹𝘺𝘻

Sans Serif - Bold

𝗔𝗕𝗖𝗗𝗘𝗙𝗚𝗛𝗜𝗝𝗞𝗟𝗠𝗡𝗢𝗣𝗤𝗥𝗦𝗧𝗨𝗩𝗪𝗫𝗬𝗭 𝗮𝗯𝗰𝗱𝗲𝗳𝗴𝗵𝗶𝗷𝗸𝗹𝗺𝗻𝗼𝗽𝗾𝗿𝘀𝘁𝘂𝘃𝘄𝘅𝘆𝘇

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𝘼𝘽𝘾𝘿𝙀𝙁𝙂𝙃𝙄𝙅𝙆𝙇𝙈𝙉𝙊𝙋𝙌𝙍𝙎𝙏𝙐𝙑𝙒𝙓𝙔𝙕 𝙖𝙗𝙘𝙙𝙚𝙛𝙜𝙝𝙞𝙟𝙠𝙡𝙢𝙣𝙤𝙥𝙦𝙧𝙨𝙩𝙪𝙫𝙬𝙭𝙮𝙯

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𝖠𝖡𝖢𝖣𝖤𝖥𝖦𝖧𝖨𝖩𝖪𝖫𝖬𝖭𝖮𝖯𝖰𝖱𝖲𝖳𝖴𝖵𝖶𝖷𝖸𝖹 𝖺𝖻𝖼𝖽𝖾𝖿𝗀𝗁𝗂𝗃𝗄𝗅𝗆𝗇𝗈𝗉𝗊𝗋𝗌𝗍𝗎𝗏𝗐𝗑𝗒𝗓

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𝐴𝐵𝐶𝐷𝐸𝐹𝐺𝐻𝐼𝐽𝐾𝐿𝑀𝑁𝑂𝑃𝑄𝑅𝑆𝑇𝑈𝑉𝑊𝑋𝑌𝑍 𝑎𝑏𝑐𝑑𝑒𝑓𝑔ℎ𝑖𝑗𝑘𝑙𝑚𝑛𝑜𝑝𝑞𝑟𝑠𝑡𝑢𝑣𝑤𝑥𝑦𝑧

Serif - Bold

𝐀𝐁𝐂𝐃𝐄𝐅𝐆𝐇𝐈𝐉𝐊𝐋𝐌𝐍𝐎𝐏𝐐𝐑𝐒𝐓𝐔𝐕𝐖𝐗𝐘𝐙 𝐚𝐛𝐜𝐝𝐞𝐟𝐠𝐡𝐢𝐣𝐤𝐥𝐦𝐧𝐨𝐩𝐪𝐫𝐬𝐭𝐮𝐯𝐰𝐱𝐲𝐳

Serif - Bold Italic

𝑨𝑩𝑪𝑫𝑬𝑭𝑮𝑯𝑰𝑱𝑲𝑳𝑴𝑵𝑶𝑷𝑸𝑹𝑺𝑻𝑼𝑽𝑾𝑿𝒀𝒁 𝒂𝒃𝒄𝒅𝒆𝒇𝒈𝒉𝒊𝒋𝒌𝒍𝒎𝒏𝒐𝒑𝒒𝒓𝒔𝒕𝒖𝒗𝒘𝒙𝒚𝒛

Serif - Double-Struck

𝔸𝔹ℂ𝔻𝔼𝔽𝔾ℍ𝕀𝕁𝕂𝕃𝕄ℕ𝕆ℙℚℝ𝕊𝕋𝕌𝕍𝕎𝕏𝕐ℤ 𝕒𝕓𝕔𝕕𝕖𝕗𝕘𝕙𝕚𝕛𝕜𝕝𝕞𝕟𝕠𝕡𝕢𝕣𝕤𝕥𝕦𝕧𝕨

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Regional Indicator Symbols

🇦 🇧 🇨 🇩 🇪 🇫 🇬 🇭 🇮 🇯 🇰 🇱 🇲 🇳 🇴 🇵 🇶 🇷 🇸 🇹 🇺 🇻 🇼 🇽 🇾 🇿

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Pseudo-Asian

卂 乃 匚 ᗪ 乇 千 Ꮆ 卄 丨 ﾌ Ҝ ㄥ 爪 几 ㄖ 卩 Ɋ 尺 丂 ㄒ ㄩ ᐯ 山 乂 ㄚ 乙

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Circled

ⒶⒷⒸⒹⒺⒻⒼⒽⒾⒿⓀⓁⓂⓃⓄⓅⓆⓇⓈⓉⓊⓋⓌⓍⓎⓏ ⓐⓑⓒⓓⓔⓕⓖⓗⓘⓙⓚⓛⓜⓝⓞⓟⓠⓡⓢⓣⓤⓥⓦⓧⓨⓩ

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Squared #1

🄰🅱🄲🅳🄴🅵🄶🅷🄸🅹🄺🅻🄼🅽🄾🅿🅀🆁🅂🆃🅄🆅🅆🆇🅈🆉 🅰🄱🅲🄳🅴🄵🅶🄷🅸🄹🅺🄻🅼🄽🅾🄿🆀🅁🆂🅃🆄🅅🆆🅇🆈🅉

Squared #2

🄰🄱🄲🄳🄴🄵🄶🄷🄸🄹🄺🄻🄼🄽🄾🄿🅀🅁🅂🅃🅄🅅🅆🅇🅈🅉

Squared #3

🅰🅱🅲🅳🅴🅵🅶🅷🅸🅹🅺🅻🅼🅽🅾🅿🆀🆁🆂🆃🆄🆅🆆🆇🆈🆉

Squared #4

🅐🅑🅒🅓🅔🅕🅖🅗🅘🅙🅚🅛🅜🅝🅞🅟🅠🅡🅢🅣🅤🅥🅦🅧🅨🅩

@ 1ef61805:f18312cc

**Inside OpSec Academy’s One-on-One Approach to Digital Sovereignty ** As digital infrastructure becomes increasingly opaque and centralised, a growing number of individuals are seeking to understand—not just use—the tools that protect their privacy and autonomy online. While many solutions promise security at the click of a button, few teach the underlying principles or offer environments that prioritise verifiability and user control.

OpSec Academy’s new one-on-one training, "OpSec Intensive," takes a different approach. Delivered in person and fully offline, the full-day session provides practical, tool-based instruction inside a secure, USB-booted environment—designed from the ground up to leave no trace.

At the heart of the session is OpSecOS v1.2, a live operating system that routes all traffic through Tor, uses system non-persistence, and comes preconfigured with a suite of open-source tools for password management, communication, and private finance. The OS runs from a USB stick, allowing participants to explore and build their own private computing workflows without touching the host machine.

Learning in Context: Why One-on-One? While group training can provide a general introduction to privacy concepts, it often lacks depth and adaptability. OpSec Intensive is structured as a one-on-one session to allow real-time feedback, personal threat modeling, and tailored instruction based on the participant’s specific context and technical background.

This format also makes space for slow, deliberate learning—a rarity in cybersecurity training, where content is often condensed or overly abstract. In OpSec Intensive, participants move through each phase at their own pace, working directly with an experienced instructor to build confidence and competence.

Structure and Content of the Day The curriculum spans both foundational theory and hands-on practice, beginning with basic OpSec principles before moving into technical tool use.

Topics include: * Booting and verifying OpSecOS * Secure USB creation and system verification * Navigating a non-persistent, Tor-routed live environment * Password and credential management * Offline use of KeePassXC * Strategies for vault organisation and redundancy * Bitcoin wallet setup and recovery * Single-signature and multisignature wallet creation using Sparrow, Electrum, and Feather * Understanding xpubs, derivation paths, and recovery flow * Seed phrase security * Entropy generation and validation using offline tools like iancoleman.io * Best practices for cold storage and physical backups * Network privacy and decentralised communication * Using Mempool.space to visualise Bitcoin transaction data * Setting up Nostr clients (Snort, Iris) for decentralised messaging * Discussion of traffic fingerprinting and Tor considerations

A Shift Toward Practical Sovereignty The tools and workflows covered in OpSec Intensive are not theoretical. Participants leave the session with configured environments, tested backups, and an understanding of what each tool does—and what it doesn’t do.

This reflects a broader shift in how privacy-conscious individuals are approaching digital security. Rather than relying on packaged services or closed-source software, there’s growing interest in verifiable, modular tools that prioritise autonomy and resilience over ease-of-use.

In that context, OpSec Academy’s offering sits somewhere between a workshop and an apprenticeship: not a lecture, but a process of guided, hands-on learning designed for the long haul.

To learn more or enquire about availability, visit opsecacademy.org.

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

via nostr:nprofile1qyxhwumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmvqy0hwumn8ghj7mn0wd68yttjv4kxz7fwvf5hgcm0d9hzumnfde4xzqpq85h9z5yxn8uc7retm0n6gkm88358lejzparxms5kmy9epr236k2qtyz2zr

A lot of the focus over the last couple of months has been on the emergence of Strategy competitors in public markets looking to build sizable bitcoin treasuries and attract investors of all shapes and sizes to drive shareholder value. The other big topic in the bitcoin development world has been around OP_RETURN and the debate over whether or not the amount of data that can be shoved into a bitcoin transaction should be decided by the dominant implementation.

A topic that is just as, if not more, important that is not getting enough appreciation is the discussion around open source bitcoin developers and the lingering effects of the Biden administration's attack on Samourai Wallet and Tornado Cash. If you read our friend Matt Corallo's tweet above, you'll notice that the lingering effects are such that even though the Trump administration has made concerted efforts to reverse the effects of Operation Chokepoint 2.0 that were levied by the Biden administration, Elizabeth Warren, and her friends at the Treasury and SEC - it is imperative that we enshrine into law the rights of open source developers to build products and services that enable individuals to self-custody bitcoin and use it in a peer-to-peer fashion without the threat of getting thrown in jail cell.

As it stands today, the only assurances that we have are from an administration that is overtly in favor of the proliferation of bitcoin in the United States. There is nothing in place to stop the next administration or another down the line from reverting to Biden-era lawfare that puts thousands of bitcoin developers around the world at risk of being sent into a cage because the government doesn't like how some users leverage the code they write. To make sure that this isn't a problem down the line it is imperative that we pass the Blockchain Regulatory Clarity Act, which would not hold bitcoin developers liable for the ways in which end users leverage their tools.

Not only is this an act that would protect developers from pernicious government officials targeting them when end users use their technology in a way that doesn't make the government happy, it will also protect YOU, the end user, looking to transact in a peer-to-peer fashion and leverage all of the incredible properties of bitcoin the way they were meant to be. If the developers are not protected, they will not be able to build the technology that enables you to leverage bitcoin.

So do your part and go to saveourwallets.org. Reach out to your local representatives in Congress and Senators and make some noise. Let them know that this is something that you care deeply about and that they should not only pay attention to this bill but push it forward and enshrine it into law as quickly as possible.

There are currently many developers either behind bars or under house arrest for developing software that gives you the ability to use Bitcoin in a self-sovereign fashion and use it in a privacy-preserving way. Financial privacy isn't a crime. It is an inalienable human right that should be protected at all cost. The enshrinement of this inalienable right into law is way past due.

#FreeSamourai #FreeRoman

Headlines of the Day

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Square Tests Bitcoin Payments, Lightning Yields Beat DeFi - via X

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Final thought...

Should I join a country club?

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@ 5d4b6c8d:8a1c1ee3

Howdy stackers, this is the place to share your ~HealthAndFitness triumphs and challenges.

I was glad to hit my step goal today, since it's gloomy and rainy here. Once again, I ate too many cookies. Gotta stop being a cookie monster.

How'd you all do, today?

https://stacker.news/items/996659

@ 6be5cc06:5259daf0

Introdução

O princípio do sola scriptura, pedra angular da teologia protestante desde a Reforma do século XVI, estabelece que apenas a Escritura constitui a autoridade final e suprema em questões de fé e prática cristã. Este princípio, formulado inicialmente por Martinho Lutero e sistematizado pelos reformadores subsequentes, pretende oferecer um fundamento epistemológico sólido para a teologia, livre das supostas corrupções da tradição eclesiástica.

Contudo, uma análise rigorosa revela que o sola scriptura incorre em contradições lógicas fundamentais que comprometem sua viabilidade como sistema epistemológico coerente. Este artigo examina essas contradições através de três perspectivas complementares: filosófica, exegética e histórica.

A Contradição Performativa Fundamental

O Problema da Autoreferência

O sola scriptura enfrenta um dilema epistemológico insuperável: afirma que apenas a Escritura possui autoridade final em matéria de fé, mas essa própria regra não é explicitamente ensinada na Escritura. Trata-se de uma contradição performativa clássica, onde o enunciado viola suas próprias condições de possibilidade.

Esta situação configura uma falácia de petitio principii (círculo vicioso), pois exige que se aceite uma doutrina que não pode ser sustentada pelas premissas do próprio sistema. Para estabelecer o sola scriptura, seria necessário recorrer a uma autoridade externa à Escritura – precisamente aquilo que o princípio pretende rejeitar.

Fundacionalismo Mal Estruturado

Do ponto de vista epistemológico, o sola scriptura apresenta-se como um fundacionalismo defeituoso. Pretende funcionar como axioma supremo e auto-evidente, mas falha ao não fornecer a base textual que sua própria metodologia exige. Um verdadeiro fundacionalismo escriturístico deveria ser capaz de demonstrar sua validade através de uma prova explícita nas próprias Escrituras.

O Testemunho Contrário das Escrituras

Limitações do Registro Escrito

A própria Escritura reconhece as limitações do registro textual. João 21:25 declara explicitamente: "Jesus fez também muitas outras coisas. Se cada uma delas fosse escrita, penso que nem mesmo no mundo inteiro haveria espaço suficiente para os livros que seriam escritos."

Este versículo é particularmente problemático para o sola scriptura, pois reconhece que nem todos os ensinamentos de Cristo foram preservados por escrito. Como pode a Escritura ser suficiente se ela própria admite sua incompletude?

A Valorização da Tradição Oral

Paulo, em 2 Tessalonicenses 2:15, oferece uma instrução que contradiz frontalmente o sola scriptura: "Assim, pois, irmãos, ficai firmes e conservai os ensinamentos que de nós aprendestes, seja por palavras, seja por carta nossa."

O apóstolo valoriza inequivocamente tanto a tradição oral ("por palavras") quanto a escrita ("por carta"), estabelecendo um modelo de autoridade dual que o protestantismo posterior rejeitaria.

A Necessidade de Autoridade Interpretativa

A narrativa do eunuco etíope em Atos 8:30-31 demonstra a inadequação da Escritura isolada como autoridade final. Quando Filipe pergunta se o eunuco entende o que lê, a resposta é reveladora: "Como poderei entender, se alguém não me ensinar?"

Este episódio ilustra que a mera posse do texto bíblico não garante compreensão adequada. É necessária uma autoridade interpretativa externa – no caso, representada por Filipe, que age com autoridade apostólica.

A Complexidade Hermenêutica

Pedro, em sua segunda epístola (3:16-17), reconhece a dificuldade interpretativa inerente às Escrituras: "Suas cartas contêm algumas coisas difíceis de entender, as quais os ignorantes e instáveis torcem, como também o fazem com as demais Escrituras, para a própria destruição deles."

Esta passagem não apenas reconhece a complexidade hermenêutica dos textos sagrados, mas também alerta sobre os perigos da interpretação inadequada. Implicitamente, sugere a necessidade de uma autoridade interpretativa confiável para evitar distorções doutrinárias.

O Paradoxo Histórico da Canonização

A Dependência da Tradição Eclesiástica

Um dos argumentos mais devastadores contra o sola scriptura emerge da própria história da formação do cânon bíblico. Os concílios de Hipona (393 d.C.) e Cartago (397 d.C.) foram responsáveis pela definição oficial do cânon das Escrituras tal como conhecemos hoje.

Este fato histórico cria um paradoxo insuperável: aceitar a Bíblia como autoridade única requer aceitar a autoridade da tradição eclesiástica que a definiu. O próprio cânon bíblico é produto da tradição apostólica e da deliberação conciliar, não de autodefinição escriturística.

A Circularidade da Autopistia

Tentativas protestantes de resolver este dilema através do conceito de "autopistia" – a suposta capacidade das Escrituras de se auto-autenticar – apenas aprofundam o problema circular. Como determinar que as Escrituras possuem esta propriedade sem recorrer a critérios externos? A própria doutrina da autopistia não é explicitamente ensinada na Escritura.

Implicações Teológicas e Epistemológicas

A Fragmentação Interpretativa

A história do protestantismo oferece evidência empírica das consequências práticas do sola scriptura. A multiplicação de denominações e interpretações divergentes sugere que o princípio, longe de fornecer clareza doutrinária, pode na verdade contribuir para a fragmentação teológica.

Se a Escritura fosse verdadeiramente suficiente e auto-interpretativa, seria razoável esperar maior convergência hermenêutica entre aqueles que aderem ao sola scriptura. A realidade histórica sugere o contrário.

A Alternativa Católica e Ortodoxa

As tradições católica e ortodoxa, embora enfrentando suas próprias tensões epistemológicas, mantêm pelo menos coerência interna ao reconhecer explicitamente múltiplas fontes complementares de autoridade: Escritura, Tradição e Magistério (no caso católico) ou Escritura e Tradição (no caso ortodoxo).

Estas posições evitam a contradição performativa do sola scriptura ao não reivindicar que sua própria metodologia epistemológica seja derivada exclusivamente da Escritura.

Conclusão

A análise crítica do sola scriptura revela contradições estruturais que comprometem fundamentalmente sua viabilidade como princípio epistemológico. O princípio incorre em contradição performativa ao estabelecer uma regra que não pode ser derivada de suas próprias premissas, configura um fundacionalismo mal estruturado ao carecer de base textual explícita, e enfrenta o testemunho contrário da própria Escritura, que reconhece suas limitações e a necessidade de autoridades interpretativas externas.

O paradoxo histórico da canonização – onde o próprio cânon bíblico depende da autoridade tradicional que o sola scriptura pretende rejeitar – representa talvez o golpe mais decisivo contra o princípio protestante.

Isso não implica necessariamente a falsidade do protestantismo como sistema teológico, mas sugere que seus fundamentos epistemológicos requerem reformulação substancial. Uma teologia protestante intelectualmente honesta precisaria reconhecer as limitações do sola scriptura e desenvolver uma epistemologia mais nuançada que leve em conta a complexidade das fontes de autoridade religiosa.

A busca pela verdade teológica, independentemente de compromissos confessionais, exige o reconhecimento rigoroso das limitações e contradições inerentes aos nossos sistemas epistemológicos. No caso do sola scriptura, essa honestidade intelectual revela um princípio que, por mais central que seja para a identidade protestante, não pode sustentar o peso epistemológico que tradicionalmente lhe foi atribuído.

@ da8b7de1:c0164aee

Lengyelország előrelépése az első atomerőmű építésében

Lengyelország állami nukleáris vállalata, a Polskie Elektrownie Jadrowe (PEJ) és egy amerikai konzorcium – élén a Westinghouse és a Bechtel cégekkel – mérnöki fejlesztési megállapodást kötött. Ez a szerződés kulcsfontosságú lépés az ország első atomerőművének megvalósítása felé, lehetővé téve a részletes mérnöki és helyszínspecifikus munkák megkezdését. A lengyel kormány ezt mérföldkőnek tekinti az energiaszuverenitás és a dekarbonizáció felé vezető úton.

Amerikai politika: lendület az új nukleáris technológiáknak

Az Egyesült Államok kormánya elnöki rendeletet adott ki, amely reformokat vezet be a nukleáris reaktorok tesztelésében az Energiaügyi Minisztériumnál. A cél az új generációs reaktorok – köztük mikroreaktorok és kis moduláris reaktorok (SMR-ek) – fejlesztésének és engedélyezésének felgyorsítása, valamint a környezetvédelmi vizsgálatok egyszerűsítése. A rendelet legalább három új reaktor kritikus üzembe helyezését célozza meg 2026 júliusáig, támogatva ezzel az ipari alkalmazások széles körét, például adatközpontokat vagy hidrogéntermelést. Az intézkedés célja, hogy az USA visszaszerezze vezető szerepét a nukleáris innovációban, és csökkentse a korábbi években felhalmozódott engedélyezési akadályokat.

Kis moduláris reaktorok (SMR) fejlesztése világszerte

Az SMR-szektorban világszerte jelentős előrelépések történtek: - Az amerikai Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) benyújtotta az első építési kérelmet egy GE Hitachi BWRX-300 SMR-re a Clinch River telephelyen. - Kanadában az Ontario Power Generation engedélyt kapott az első, négy tervezett SMR megépítésének megkezdésére a Darlington telephelyen. - Belgium és Brazília innovatív SMR-technológiákat vizsgál, köztük ólom-hűtésű reaktorokat és nemzetközi együttműködéseket. - Olyan technológiai óriások, mint a Google, az USA-ban korai fázisú fejlett nukleáris projektekbe fektetnek, ami a magánszektor növekvő érdeklődését mutatja.

Globális ipari és pénzügyi támogatás a nukleáris bővítéshez

Széles körű koalíció – köztük olyan nagyvállalatok, mint az Amazon, Google, Meta, Dow – és pénzügyi intézmények kötelezték el magukat amellett, hogy 2050-re megháromszorozzák a globális nukleáris kapacitást. Ez összhangban van az ENSZ klímacsúcsain tett vállalásokkal, ahol már 31 ország támogatja a nukleáris energia megháromszorozását a nettó zéró kibocsátási célok eléréséhez. Az amerikai kongresszus olyan törvényjavaslatokat készít elő, amelyek lehetővé tennék, hogy a multilaterális fejlesztési bankok – például a Világbank – is finanszírozhassanak nukleáris projekteket, megszüntetve ezzel a korábbi tiltásokat.

Közelgő nemzetközi nukleáris biztonsági gyakorlat

A Nemzetközi Atomenergia-ügynökség (IAEA) készül a ConvEx-3 vészhelyzeti gyakorlatára, amelyet 2025. június 24–25-én Romániában tartanak. A gyakorlat egy súlyos nukleáris vészhelyzetet szimulál a cernavodai atomerőműben, tesztelve a tagállamok és nemzetközi szervezetek felkészültségét és reagálóképességét. A ConvEx-3 a legmagasabb szintű IAEA vészhelyzeti gyakorlat, kulcsszerepet játszik a globális nukleáris biztonság és védelem erősítésében.

Politikai bizonytalanság Dél-Korea nukleáris terveiben

Dél-Korea 2025. június 3-i elnökválasztása hatással lehet az ország nukleáris reneszánszára. A vezető jelölt, Lee Jae-myung kijelentette, hogy „egyelőre” fenntartaná a nukleáris energiát, de hosszabb távon a megújulók felé mozdulna el. Ez bizonytalanságot okoz a koreai nukleáris ipar hazai és exportterveiben, ami kihatással lehet a globális ellátási láncokra és külföldi reaktorprojektekre is.

Iparági trendek és további fejlemények

• Japán új energiastratégiája maximalizálni kívánja a nukleáris energia részarányát, 2040-re mintegy 20%-ot célozva, különös hangsúlyt fektetve a következő generációs reaktorokra és a biztonság növelésére.
• Belgium kormánya és a francia Engie közműcég megállapodott a kulcsfontosságú reaktorok üzemidejének tízéves meghosszabbításáról, ami az európai nukleáris pálfordulás újabb jele.
• Az IAEA és a World Nuclear Association egyaránt növekvő nemzetközi érdeklődésről számol be az SMR-ek és fejlett reaktortechnológiák iránt, új projektek és partnerségek indulnak Ázsiában, Európában és Amerikában.

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Források:
world-nuclear-news.org
nucnet.org
iaea.org
world-nuclear.org
govinfo.gov
whitehouse.gov

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

Sberbank, Russia’s Biggest Bank, Launches Structured Bond Tied to Bitcoin 

Sberbank, the largest bank in Russia, has launched a new structured bond that ties investor returns to the performance of Bitcoin and the U.S. dollar-to-ruble exchange rate. This new financial product represents one of the first moves by a major Russian institution to offer Bitcoin-linked investments under recently updated national regulations.

BREAKING: Russia's largest bank Sberbank launches structured bonds linked to Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/LtD26jPS0x

— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) June 2, 2025

The structured bond is initially available over the counter to a limited group of qualified investors. According to the announcement, it allows investors to earn based on two factors: the price performance of BTC in U.S. dollars and any strengthening of the dollar compared to the Russian ruble.

Unlike typical Bitcoin investments, this product does not require the use of a Bitcoin wallet or foreign platforms. “All transactions [are] processed in rubles within Russia’s legal and infrastructure systems,” Sberbank stated, highlighting compliance with domestic financial protocols.

In addition to the bond, Sberbank has announced plans to launch similar structured investment products with Bitcoin exposure on the Moscow Exchange. The bank also revealed it will introduce a Bitcoin futures product via its SberInvestments platform on June 4, aligning with the product’s debut on the Moscow Exchange.

These developments follow a recent policy change by the Bank of Russia, which now permits financial institutions to offer Bitcoin-linked instruments to qualified investors. This shift opens the door for Bitcoin within the country’s traditional financial markets.

While Russia has previously taken a cautious approach to digital assets, Sberbank’s launch of a Bitcoin-linked bond and upcoming futures product marks a new phase of adoption—one that blends Bitcoin exposure with existing financial infrastructure.

The bank’s structured bond may signal a growing interest in regulated access to Bitcoin, especially within large financial institutions.

This post Sberbank, Russia’s Biggest Bank, Launches Structured Bond Tied to Bitcoin  first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Jenna Montgomery.

@ e0e92e54:d630dfaa

As some of you know, I lead a quarterly Bible Study through Faith Driven Investor

One of the members from the cohort that just ended forwarded me an email from the US Christian Chamber of Commerce

The summary is: Christians should intentionally be doing more business with Christians.

[Full email at the bottom of this Article]

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I recanted to my FDI member about a book I read a few years ago, Thou Shall Prosper, by Rabbi Daniel Lapin.

In it he gave the statistics that a single dollar recirculates in the Jewish community 12 times, Muslims 8 times, and Christians only 3 or 4 times.

(I'm probably slightly off on recalling the stats)

But the point being that as a people group, Jews are 4x more wealthy than Christians because Christians value doing business with one another 4 times less than Jews...or said another way, the Jewish people value doing business with one another 4x more than Christians.

Reading the email I was sent, I was further reminded as business owners, leaders, and investors;

If we are truly going to steward that which God has entrusted to us, we should want to re-circulate those resources as many times as possible within the Christian community in order to have the greatest probability of return on image bearers.

What are your thoughts?

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I Bought a House Through the Christian Chamber - What happened next surprised me

My husband and I just bought a house—but it wasn’t just a transaction. It was a transformation.

With our daughter’s high school graduation behind us, we felt ready to step into a long-held dream: moving to a beach town we’ve thought, talked, and prayed about for years. As part of turning our dream into a reality, we made a very intentional decision:

We would buy our home entirely through the Christian Chamber community.

We wanted to walk the talk—to model what Kingdom commerce really looks like. So we sought Christian-led businesses for every part of the process. What started as a symbolic gesture quickly became a profound experience with two life-changing revelations:

1) The Power of Prayer in Business

Yes, we prayed as a couple—but imagine your Realtor, lender, inspector, and insurance agent all praying with you, too.

We’re not talking about just being “nice people” or listening to worship in the office. We’re talking about Spirit-filled, Jesus-following believers who brought prayer into every decision.

· Our Realtor is also a church planter—her discernment helped us find the perfect house on day one.

· Our lender joined us in prayer—and worked miracles to make the deal smooth and abundantly possible.

· Our inspector's biggest red flag? A bird’s nest in a porch light. (Yes, really.)

· Our insurance agent handled everything—and in Florida, that’s no small feat.

I have bought and sold seven homes in my life, but this was the best experience by far. The layout, the location, the timing, the favor—it was all wrapped in prayer and covered in grace. It wasn’t just business. It was supernatural.

2) Kingdom ROI — A Multiplied Impact

By doing business with Christians, we didn’t just find great service. We created a multiplied Kingdom return.

We know where our vendors give. We know the churches they support, the ministries they fund, and the people they serve.

When they earned from our purchase, those dollars didn’t disappear—they were reinvested into Kingdom causes we could never reach on our own.

This is Kingdom ROI.

It’s a real-life example of the parable of the talents—we didn’t bury our resources. We multiplied them. When you spend money with aligned believers, your impact compounds.

The opposite is also true:

When we spend with businesses that oppose our values, we’re funding platforms that erode the very things we’re trying to protect—our families, our freedoms, and our faith.

We MUST STOP funding the enemy.

The Bigger Picture

Let’s be clear: Studies show that Christians make up 31% of the world’s population, but we control 55% of the world’s wealth—more than $107 trillion in personal assets.

And yet…we’re leaking that wealth into systems that are actively working against us.

Why? Because we do not have the infrastructure to keep it aligned.

Until now.

That’s what we’re building through the U.S. Christian Chamber of Commerce: A national infrastructure that empowers Christians to redirect their dollars, align their values, and multiply their impact.

What If You Did the Same?

· Buy your next product or service from a Christian-led business.

· Hire your next contractor from your local Christian Chamber.

· Invest in a company with eternal impact.

· Launch a Christian Chamber in your region—we’ll help you.

· Join the U.S. Christian Chamber. This is your Chamber, for your nation.

· Meet us in Orlando for SWC 2026, the global gathering of Christian commerce.

Imagine the multiplying power if thousands of us made similar decisions—every day—across this nation.

We own the wealth. Now let’s build the infrastructure, create the ecosystem, and shift the world's wealth one transaction at a time.



This is our nation and we are One Nation Under God!

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Jason Ansley is the founder of Above The Line Leader, where he provides tailored leadership support and operational expertise to help business owners, entrepreneurs, and leaders thrive— without sacrificing your faith, family, or future.

• Want to strengthen your leadership and enhance operational excellence? Connect with Jason at https://abovethelineleader.com/#your-leadership-journey

• 📌 This article first appeared on NOSTR. You can also find more Business Leadership Articles and content at: 👉 https://abovethelineleader.com/business-leadership-articles

@ 8bad92c3:ca714aa5

Marty's Bent

It's been a pretty historic week for the United States as it pertains to geopolitical relations in the Middle East. President Trump and many members of his administration, including AI and Crypto Czar David Sacks and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, traveled across the Middle East making deals with countries like Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Syria, and others. Many are speculating that Iran may be included in some behind the scenes deal as well. This trip to the Middle East makes sense considering the fact that China is also vying for favorable relationships with those countries. The Middle East is a power player in the world, and it seems pretty clear that Donald Trump is dead set on ensuring that they choose the United States over China as the world moves towards a more multi-polar reality.

Many are calling the events of this week the Riyadh Accords. There were many deals that were struck in relation to artificial intelligence, defense, energy and direct investments in the United States. A truly prolific power play and demonstration of deal-making ability of Donald Trump, if you ask me. Though I will admit some of the numbers that were thrown out by some of the countries were a bit egregious. We shall see how everything plays out in the coming years. It will be interesting to see how China reacts to this power move by the United States.

While all this was going on, there was something happening back in the United States that many people outside of fringe corners of FinTwit are not talking about, which is the fact that the 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury bond yields are back on the rise. Yesterday, they surpassed the levels of mid-April that caused a market panic and are hovering back around levels that have not been seen since right before Donald Trump's inauguration.

I imagine that there isn't as much of an uproar right now because I'm pretty confident the media freakouts we were experiencing in mid-April were driven by the fact that many large hedge funds found themselves off sides of large levered basis trades. I wouldn't be surprised if those funds have decreased their leverage in those trades and bond yields being back to mid-April levels is not affecting those funds as much as they were last month. But the point stands, the 10-year and 30-year yields are significantly elevated with the 30-year approaching 5%. Regardless of the deals that are currently being made in the Middle East, the Treasury has a big problem on its hands. It still has to roll over many trillions worth of debt over over the next few years and doing so at these rates is going to be massively detrimental to fiscal deficits over the next decade. The interest expense on the debt is set to explode in the coming years.

On that note, data from the first quarter of 2025 has been released by the government and despite all the posturing by the Trump administration around DOGE and how tariffs are going to be beneficial for the U.S. economy, deficits are continuing to explode while the interest expense on the debt has definitively surpassed our annual defense budget.

via Charlie Bilello

via Mohamed Al-Erian

To make matters worse, as things are deteriorating on the fiscal side of things, the U.S. consumer is getting crushed by credit. The 90-plus day delinquency rates for credit card and auto loans are screaming higher right now.

via TXMC

One has to wonder how long all this can continue without some sort of liquidity crunch. Even though equities markets have recovered from their post-Liberation Day month long bear market, I would not be surprised if what we're witnessing is a dead cat bounce that can only be continued if the money printers are turned back on. Something's got to give, both on the fiscal side and in the private markets where the Common Man is getting crushed because he's been forced to take on insane amounts of debt to stay afloat after years of elevated levels of inflation. Add on the fact that AI has reached a state of maturity that will enable companies to replace their current meat suit workers with an army of cheap, efficient and fast digital workers and it isn't hard to see that some sort of employment crisis could be on the horizon as well.

Now is not the time to get complacent. While I do believe that the deals that are currently being made in the Middle East are probably in the best interest of the United States as the world, again, moves toward a more multi-polar reality, we are facing problems that one cannot simply wish away. They will need to be confronted. And as we've seen throughout the 21st century, the problems are usually met head-on with a money printer.

I take no pleasure in saying this because it is a bit uncouth to be gleeful to benefit from the strife of others, but it is pretty clear to me that all signs are pointing to bitcoin benefiting massively from everything that is going on. The shift towards a more multi-polar world, the runaway debt situation here in the United States, the increasing deficits, the AI job replacements and the consumer credit crisis that is currently unfolding, All will need to be "solved" by turning on the money printers to levels they've never been pushed to before.

Weird times we're living in.

China's Manufacturing Dominance: Why It Matters for the U.S.

In my recent conversation with Lyn Alden, she highlighted how China has rapidly ascended the manufacturing value chain. As Lyn pointed out, China transformed from making "sneakers and plastic trinkets" to becoming the world's largest auto exporter in just four years. This dramatic shift represents more than economic success—it's a strategic power play. China now dominates solar panel production with greater market control than OPEC has over oil and maintains near-monopoly control of rare earth elements crucial for modern technology.

"China makes like 10 times more steel than the United States does... which is relevant in ship making. It's relevant in all sorts of stuff." - Lyn Alden

Perhaps most concerning, as Lyn emphasized, is China's financial leverage. They hold substantial U.S. assets that could be strategically sold to disrupt U.S. treasury market functioning. This combination of manufacturing dominance, resource control, and financial leverage gives China significant negotiating power in any trade disputes, making our attempts to reshoring manufacturing all the more challenging.

Check out the full podcast here for more on Triffin's dilemma, Bitcoin's role in monetary transition, and the energy requirements for rebuilding America's industrial base.

Headlines of the Day

Financial Times Under Fire Over MicroStrategy Bitcoin Coverage - via X

Trump in Qatar: Historic Boeing Deal Signed - via X

Get our new STACK SATS hat - via tftcmerch.io

Johnson Backs Stock Trading Ban; Passage Chances Slim - via X

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Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed 158,469 sats | $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.

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Final thought...

Building things of value is satisfying.

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@ 2e8970de:63345c7a

https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/wall-street-bond-market-us-debt-990e12e9?mod=hp_lead_pos7

https://stacker.news/items/996265

@ 58537364:705b4b85

…. “คนเรา โดยเฉพาะสมัยนี้ พูดกันอีกที่หนึ่งก็พูดได้ว่า ถูกสร้างขึ้นมาด้วยหนังสือ, หนังสือมันสร้างคนขึ้นมา คือว่า..อ่านหนังสืออะไรมาก อ่านหนังสืออะไรมาก หนังสือนั้นก็สร้างคนคนนั้นขึ้นมา, สร้างจิตใจของคนนั้นขึ้นมา โดยไม่รู้สึก

…. ไปดูหนังสือที่เขาอ่าน อ่านมากที่สุด เราก็รู้ได้ว่า..คนนี้มีจิตใจเป็นอย่างไร. หนังสือที่นิยมสั่งกันมามาก ล้วนแต่เป็นหนังสือที่ยั่วยวนทางวัตถุ หรือลุ่มหลงทางวัตถุ : แล้วอย่างดีที่สุดก็เอามาให้เสียเวลา อ่านให้มันมึนหัวเล่น อย่างนั้นแหละ จนไม่มีเวลาที่จะไปอ่านหนังสือธรรมะที่แท้จริง เพราะว่ามีหนังสืออื่นมาก วางอยู่มาก ยั่วยวนให้อ่านมากกว่า

…. แม้แต่พระเณร ก็เป็นอย่างนี้ อ่านหนังสือพิมพ์, หรืออ่านหนังสือภาษา, เรียนภาษาต่างประเทศ หรือว่าเรียนวิชานั่น นี่ ล้วนแต่เป็นเรื่องวัตถุ เรื่องอาชีพ เรื่องความดีความเด่น ที่ฝันไว้ในจิตในใจ, ด้วยความหวังความทะเยอทะยานทั้งนั้น แล้วจะเอากําลังใจ หรือมันสมอง หรืออะไรที่ไหนมาเข้าใจ ธรรมะ ธัมโม ได้

…. ทีนี้ ยิ่งนอกวัดออกไป ก็ยิ่งไกลไปใหญ่ : หอสมุดของมหาวิทยาลัย, หอสมุดของชาติ ของอะไร ก็ล้วนแต่เป็น “หอสมุดของซาตาน” มากยิ่งขึ้นเท่านั้น เพราะไปมีมันขึ้น หรือสร้างมันไว้ ด้วยความอยากดีอยากเด่น ด้วยความอยากที่จะร่ำรวยวัตถุทั้งนั้น ฉะนั้น จึงมีผลทําให้คนทั้งโลกนี้เป็นทาสของวัตถุ พร้อมที่จะสร้างวิกฤตการณ์ ขึ้นในโลกในอนาคต

…. แล้วรองลงมาจากนั้น ก็คือ มันมากจนทําให้เวียนหัว เป็น..“บ้าหอบฟาง”; อย่างที่ว่าแล้วว่าเล่า ว่าเป็นบ้าหอบฟาง, รู้อะไรท่วมหัวก็เอาตัวไม่รอด, เรียนจบมหาวิทยาลัยแล้ว ก็ยังไม่รู้ว่าเกิดมาทําไม ?, เรียนมหาวิทยาลัยจบแล้ว อ่านหนังสือในห้องสมุดของมหาวิทยาลัยจบแล้ว ก็ยังเป็นเด็กอมมือ ไม่รู้ว่า.. “กูนี่ เกิดมาทําไม ?”. ดูซิ!, แล้วจะเรียกว่า “อุดมศึกษา” ได้อย่างไรกัน ? แม้แต่เกิดมาทําไม? ก็ยังไม่รู้ นี่การศึกษาสมัยนี้ หอสมุดหรือห้องสมุดของสมัยนี้ มันเป็นอย่างนี้

…. ทีนี้ เมื่อไม่รู้ว่าเกิดมาทําไม ? มันก็ไม่มีอะไร นอกจากเป็นทาสของวัตถุ ที่หวังว่าจะสนุกสนาน เอร็ดอร่อย มีเกียรติ มีอํานาจวาสนา มีอะไรไปทํานองนั้น นี่แหละ คือการตกเป็นทาสของวัตถุ การตกเป็นทาสของอายตนะ คือ ตา หู จมูก ลิ้น กาย ใจ การเล่าเรียนศึกษาขวนขวายนั้น เพื่อจะเป็นทาส ของ ตา หู จมูก ลิ้น กาย ใจ ในการที่จะแสวงหาความสนุกสนาน เอร็ดอร่อย ทางเนื้อทางหนัง มีเท่านี้ การศึกษาและห้องสมุด” . พุทธทาสภิกขุ ที่มา : ธรรมบรรยายชุดชุมนุมล้ออายุ หัวข้อเรื่อง “ยิ่งจะทำให้ดี โลกมันยิ่งบ้า” บรรยาย ณ ลานหินโค้ง กัณฑ์ค่ำ เมื่อวันที่ ๒๗ พฤษภาคม ๒๕๑๓ จากหนังสือชุดธรรมโฆษณ์ เล่มชื่อว่า “ชุมนุมล้ออายุ เล่ม ๑” หน้า ๕๑๒-๕๑๓

@ 7460b7fd:4fc4e74b

TRX 从 $0.12 涨至 $1.00 对 Tron 网络资源与用户行为的系统性影响

当前 TRX 价格约 $0.12，若其涨至 $1.00，Tron 网络的资源模型（能量 Energy 和带宽 Bandwidth）、用户手续费感知、质押行为以及市场流通供应都将发生深刻变化。下面将基于博弈论逻辑、链上资源参数和用户行为建模进行分析，并通过图表和数据展示各变量的联动关系。

Tron 网络资源模型与手续费机制概览

Tron 采用独特的资源模型：交易消耗带宽点数（BP）和能量（Energy）而非直接收取传统手续费。每个账户每天可免费获得一定的带宽点数（例如约 600 点）用于普通交易help.tokenpocket.pro；但能量没有每日免费的分配help.tokenpocket.pro。发送 TRX 等普通转账主要消耗带宽，而执行 TRC20 智能合约（如转账 USDT）则需要能量。用户可以通过冻结（质押） TRX 来获取这两种资源的配额，以支付交易所需的资源费用exodus.comexodus.com。具体而言：

• 带宽（Bandwidth）：用于衡量交易字节大小的资源。账户每天有少量免费带宽（历史上约 5000 点，后调整至 1500，再至 600 点左右）trondao.medium.comhelp.tokenpocket.pro。若带宽不足，系统将按每字节 1000 sun（0.001 TRX）的价格烧毁 TRX 获取带宽cryptoapis.io。

• 能量（Energy）：用于衡量智能合约执行的计算资源，没有每日免费额度，只能通过冻结 TRX 获得trondao.medium.comhelp.tokenpocket.pro。当能量不足时，系统按每单位能量 280 sun（即 0.00028 TRX）的单价烧毁 TRX 作为费用cryptoapis.io。每笔 TRC20 代币交易会消耗一定能量，例如转账 USDT 大约需要数万能量。

冻结 TRX 后，用户按其冻结量占全网总冻结量的比例共享固定总量的带宽和能量每日配额。例如，全网每日总能量供应固定约 50,000,000,000 单位，用户冻结 TRX 获得的能量 = (个人冻结量 / 全网冻结总量) * 50,000,000,000trondao.medium.comtrondao.medium.com。这意味着当更多人冻结 TRX 时，每单位 TRX 获得的能量将递减，但冻结总量上升会提高全网总可用能量。冻结的 TRX 最少锁定3天，冻结期间不可流通或交易trondao.medium.com。作为激励，冻结 TRX 可用于投票超级代表（SR）以获得约 4% 年化的 Staking 收益crypto.news。

手续费支付方式 – 冻结 vs 燃烧： 当用户有足够的能量和带宽时，交易将优先消耗这些资源，不直接扣除 TRX 手续费help.tokenpocket.pro。若资源不足，则需要燃烧一定数量的 TRX 来补足差额exodus.com。例如：

• 普通 TRX 转账：消耗约 268 字节带宽，无需能量，通常可用每日免费带宽覆盖，大多数情况下用户无需支付 TRX 手续费help.tokenpocket.pro。

• TRC20-USDT 转账：若发送方和接收方账户有足够资源，则耗能量和带宽，不烧 TRX；否则将燃烧 TRX 作为手续费help.tokenpocket.pro。据统计，在资源不足时，一笔 USDT 转账约需燃烧 13.74 TRX（接收方已有该代币时）或 27.6 TRX（接收方首次接收该代币时，需要创建资产映射）help.tokenpocket.pro。以当前价 $0.12 计，相当于 $1.61 – $3.22 的费用。可见，冻结 TRX 获得能量后，几乎可使手续费降为零，仅消耗资源而不烧币help.tokenpocket.pro。

上述模型奠定了用户行为的基础：老用户往往习惯冻结 TRX 以获取免费资源，新用户若未冻结则需要持有并燃烧 TRX 支付手续费。当 TRX 价格显著上升时，这种差异和资源机制将引发一系列连锁反应。

老用户 vs 新用户：质押习惯与手续费敏感度

老用户（资深 Tron 用户）通常早已适应了 Tron 的资源机制，倾向于冻结一定量的 TRX 来保障日常交易的能量和带宽需求。这些用户往往持有大量 TRX，并享受冻结带来的免费交易和Staking 收益。对于老用户而言，哪怕 TRX 价格上涨，其主观感受到的手续费成本仍较低，因为他们多数交易并不直接烧币支付TRX。他们的行为特征是：

• 预见性冻结：会根据网络状况和自身交易频率，提前增加冻结量以确保足够资源。价格上涨时，老用户可能追加冻结更多 TRX（即使这部分 TRX 价值升高），因为相较于高昂的潜在手续费，他们更看重保证链上操作的低成本。

• 收益驱动：老用户也关注冻结带来的投票奖励收益。例如当前 Tron 质押年化约4.5%crypto.news。随着价格上涨，他们持币市值增加，继续冻结还能坐享收益，进一步增强了冻结意愿。

新用户则大多缺乏上述经验，进入 Tron 网络时往往没有冻结 TRX。许多新用户使用 Tron 是因为听闻其转账 USDT 手续费低廉，但他们可能只持有极少量 TRX 来支付手续费，甚至一开始没有TRX（需先获取一些 TRX 才能进行转账）help.tokenpocket.pro。新用户的行为和感知具有不同特点：

• 手续费敏感：新用户对显性的美元计价手续费非常敏感。他们初期未质押，因此每笔交易都真实消耗 TRX。在 TRX 价格较低时，这笔费用很小（几美分到一两美元），他们可能忽略不计；但当价格上涨导致每笔交易成本攀升，新用户会明显感觉“不再那么便宜”，从而开始寻求对策。

• 反应滞后：与老用户主动冻结不同，新用户往往在几次交易被收取较高手续费后，才会被动学习到通过冻结 TRX 可降低费用这一机制。一些钱包和社区教程也会引导新用户质押或租赁能量来节约成本help.tokenpocket.prohelp.tokenpocket.pro。

• 冻结意愿取决于成本临界点：新用户往往有一个心理阈值——当单笔手续费上涨到比如几美元甚至两位数美元时，他们才觉得“不划算，需要质押”。在 TRX 价格低迷时期，这个阈值可能从未被触及，但随着 TRX 攀升，新用户群体中会出现集中式的质押行为转变，一旦手续费达到“显著”水平，他们会成批地开始冻结 TRX。

综上，老用户在价格上升初期已提前布局资源，对手续费上涨免疫，新用户则可能在价格上涨过程中逐渐被培养成新的质押者。这种差异将在不同价格阶段体现为质押率和交易成本感受的变化，并直接影响 TRX 的流通盘和市场供需。

TRX 价格阶段与手续费成本变化

随着 TRX 价格从 $0.12 上涨至更高价位，用户实际支付的手续费成本（美元计）会线性上升。在资源消耗（以 TRX 计）大致不变的情况下，TRX 越昂贵，每笔交易烧毁的 TRX 转换为法币就越高。下表总结了不同价位下，一次 TRC20-USDT 转账的近似成本（未冻结资源时）：

| TRX价格 | USDT转账手续费（接收地址已激活） | 手续费美元价（约） | USDT转账手续费（新地址） | 手续费美元价（约） | | ----- | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | --------- | -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | --------- | | $0.12 | 13.74 TRXhelp.tokenpocket.pro | \~$1.65 | 27.6 TRXhelp.tokenpocket.pro | \~$3.30 | | $0.30 | 13.74 TRX | \~$4.12 | 27.6 TRX | \~$8.28 | | $0.50 | 13.74 TRX | \~$6.87 | 27.6 TRX | \~$13.80 | | $1.00 | 13.74 TRX | \~$13.74 | 27.6 TRX | \~$27.60 |

注：13.74 TRX 是指向已持有USDT的地址转账的典型能量消耗费用；27.6 TRX 则包括了向新地址转账（需创建账户）的额外成本。help.tokenpocket.pro上述美元价仅为近似，实际能量消耗会随网络拥堵程度浮动。

图：TRX 价格上涨对未质押用户的单笔 USDT 转账费用（美元计）的影响。费用基本随 TRX 价格线性上升，在接收方无 USDT 资产时费用更高。help.tokenpocket.probinance.com

从图中可以直观地看到，当 TRX 从 $0.12 涨至 $0.30 时，每笔 USDT 转账费从 \~$1.6 增至 \~$4-8 美元；涨至 $0.50 时，费用进一步涨至接近两位数美元；而在 $1.00 时，不冻结资源直接转账的费用范围高达 \~$14-$28，已经远超“廉价”的范畴。这种手续费攀升将直接改变用户行为：

• 对于未冻结 TRX 的用户，高昂的美元手续费将迫使他们重新评估 Tron 网络的使用成本。当一次简单转账可能花费 \~$10，美金计价下已接近以太坊主网曾经的费用水平，Tron “廉价网络”的优势将被削弱。许多个人用户会被强烈激励去冻结一定数量的 TRX，以换取能量来豁免后续交易手续费help.tokenpocket.pro。一些服务商和交易所也可能选择代用户冻结大量 TRX，以降低批量交易成本。

• 部分小额或低频用户可能被高费用劝退，转而选择其它Layer1网络或二层方案。然而，由于 Tron 网络在稳定币领域的巨大体量（截至 2025 年4月，Tron 上流通的 USDT 超过 $700 亿cryptoslate.com，每日 USDT 转账额约 $190 亿cryptoslate.com），短期内用户更可能留在 Tron 生态并通过质押来适应变化，而不会轻易放弃这一主流稳定币链。

与此同时，已冻结资源的用户几乎不受价格上涨的手续费影响。无论 TRX 价格多高，他们每笔交易依然只需消耗带宽和能量（这些资源本身不是直接按美元计价），额外的 TRX 燃烧为零help.tokenpocket.pro。唯一的“成本”是冻结 TRX 带来的流动性损失和机会成本。但在牛市氛围下，持有 TRX 本就是盈利的，加之还有质押收益，相比之下冻结的机会成本很低。因此，随着价格上升，冻结获取资源的方案相对更有利可图，用户群体从“不冻结”向“冻结”迁移将加速。

手续费阈值与用户质押的正反馈闭环

考虑上述趋势，我们可以识别出一个潜在的“手续费显著点”或阈值：当单笔交易手续费达到足以引起用户强烈关注的水平时，大量用户将改变策略开始冻结 TRX。这一阈值在不同用户心中略有差异，但可以是假设在几美元左右（例如 $5）。博弈论视角下，这是一个集体行为转折点：之前，个体最佳响应可能是不冻结、承担小额费用；一旦超过阈值，个体最佳响应切换为冻结 TRX 来避免高额费用。这个策略转变会引发一系列连锁反应，形成正反馈循环：

1. 价格上涨 → 手续费攀升：随着 TRX 价格上扬，非质押用户每笔交易燃烧的 TRX 价值水涨船高。当费用升至阈值以上，大部分用户开始重视成本问题。

2. 成本感知 → 用户大量质押：面对显著上涨的费用，大量原本未质押的用户开始冻结 TRX 以获取能量，避免继续支付高额手续费help.tokenpocket.prohelp.tokenpocket.pro。特别是新进入用户，在感受到手续费压力后，更倾向于立即质押以降低开销。老用户则可能加大质押以获取更多免费资源。

3. 质押增加 → 流通盘收紧：当大量 TRX 被冻结（锁定）后，流通中的可交易 TRX 供应量下降。这些新冻结的 TRX 至少锁定3天，很多用户会选择长期质押获取收益，使得市场上即时可售卖的筹码变少。同时，部分用户未及时质押的，仍在持续燃烧 TRX 付费，也在永久性地减少总供应（Tron 网络目前每日燃烧量已经高于发行量，使TRX呈现净通缩趋势crypto.newsreddit.com）。

4. 供应减少 → 价格进一步上涨：流通盘收紧后，在需求旺盛（尤其是牛市资金追逐和 Tron 网络高使用量不减）的情况下，TRX 的价格往往进一步上涨。这是经典的供需效应：供给减少，价格上行压力增大。更重要的是，价格上升又会反过来强化用户对手续费的敏感度，使得更多边际用户加入冻结行列，进一步削减流通供应——正反馈循环就此形成。

这一系列过程可以形成一个“价格上涨 → 成本上升 → 质押增加 → 流通减少 → 再次推高价格”的循环闭环reddit.com。市场上的做市商和鲸鱼投资者可能会利用或放大这一动态：当他们观察到手续费成本逼近用户阈值、质押率开始上升时，可能主动推动 TRX 价格突破关键点，从而触发更多散户用户质押，加剧流通盘收缩。这给了大户更好的条件进一步拉升价格，因为市面上流动的卖盘更少，稍大买单就能推动价格上涨。可以说，Tron 网络机制下的用户集体质押行为，使价格上涨具备自我强化的“弹簧”效应：拉一下就紧一点，形成正向循环。

需要注意的是，也存在减缓机制：随着全网冻结的 TRX 增加，每单位 TRX 可分得的能量下降，某种程度上要求用户冻结更多的 TRX才能完全覆盖同样的交易频率developers.tron.networkdevelopers.tron.network。这意味着质押率提升到一定程度后，额外用户再质押所获得的边际效用减少，正反馈的效力可能会逐步减弱。此外，如果手续费过高，一些用户可能降低交易频率或寻找替代方案。不过，在迈向 $1.00 的阶段内，Tron 作为稳定币主链的地位和用户黏性意味着大多数用户会选择适应而非离开，这使得上述正反馈有机会充分演绎。

图：TRX 价格上涨过程中质押率（冻结占总供给比例）的理论变化示意。价格越高，因手续费驱动的质押率越大，流通盘越紧（此图假设从约20%升至50%的冻结率，仅作说明）。实际过程中质押率上升具有滞后性和渐进特征。

新用户涌入与合力放大效应

在价格上涨的初期阶段，新用户的涌入对上述循环起到推波助澜的作用。牛市中，随着 TRX 价格突破历史水平并表现强势，越来越多的新参与者会被吸引到 Tron 生态。这些新用户往往抱着逐利和追涨的心理进入市场：

• 追涨入场：新用户看到 TRX 大涨，担心“踏空”，会倾向于迅速买入 TRX。这直接形成买盘，推高价格，也增加了潜在需要冻结的 TRX 持有者基数。

• 边用边买：很多新人是因为 Tron 上 USDT 等稳定币转账便宜快捷而入场。当 TRX 价格上涨、媒体报道 Tron 活跃时，他们更愿意选择 Tron 网络进行跨所转账、链上交易等，从而进一步推高 Tron 网络的交易活跃度和费用收入crypto.newscrypto.news。

• 从众质押：当新用户进来后，老用户或钱包方往往会教育他们质押省钱。再加上他们亲身经历几次昂贵手续费后，往往很快接受这一理念。这些新用户一开始可能并未计划长期持有 TRX，但为了降低使用成本，他们反而开始冻结所购的 TRX。很多新用户甚至会超额冻结（冻结比自己短期所需更多的量），因为他们发现质押还有收益且3天锁定并不长。这相当于把原本可能成为抛压的一部分新增筹码也锁住了。

新资金+新质押形成的合力，会放大价格-质押正反馈循环的力度。与仅老用户参与相比，新用户带来了额外的需求和锁仓动力，使流通供应收缩更剧烈。换句话说，本轮行情中新增的参与者并没有全部将 TRX 投入市场流通，反而有相当比例被“冻结”起来，减少了即时可售卖的代币数量。这种现象加速了市场从“供过于求”向“供不应求”的转换。

博弈论角度看，新用户的行为受老用户和市场信号影响，呈现**“从众效应”：当大家都在说“手续费贵了赶紧质押”“质押后几乎不要钱”时，个人跟随策略是有利的。这种群体策略迅速一致化的趋势，使得市场进入某种短期均衡**：大部分活跃用户都质押，剩余在外流通的更多是交易所库存、投机者筹码。一旦达到此均衡点，TRX 价格在流动性受限的情况下可能出现较为剧烈的波动，进一步吸引外围资金关注。然而，只要 Tron 网络的基础需求（如稳定币交易）坚挺，这种供应紧缩的状况就持续对价格形成支撑。

总结：联动效应与趋势展望

综合以上分析，TRX 价格从 $0.12 涨向 $1.00 将引发链上资源、用户行为和市场供需的一系列联动变化：

• 手续费上涨迫使用户行动：价格翻数倍后，不质押的用户手续费开销飙升数倍binance.com。用户从被动付费转向积极质押以获取“免费”能量，Tron 网络的质押率水涨船高。

• 质押率提高缩减流通供应：大量 TRX 冻结锁定，使流通盘迅速收紧crypto.news。同时，一些未质押部分在高费用下被直接燃烧，进一步造成 TRX 通缩reddit.com。供给减少对价格形成正向推动。

• 正反馈循环加剧波动：价格越涨→质押越多→流通越少→价格越容易再涨。这个正反馈闭环可能被市场力量（包括大户的刻意推动）所强化，在行情中后期表现尤为明显。

• 新参与者放大合力：新用户在牛市初期蜂拥而入，既贡献了需求又通过质押“锁仓”，反而减轻了抛压，起到了助涨而非砸盘的作用，放大了整体合力。

• 博弈均衡与风险：最终，大多数活跃用户选择质押是理性策略，但也意味短期内市场流动性下降。若某时刻大量质押的筹码解冻出货，或外部需求下降，这一循环可能逆转。因此，各方参与者都在博弈对方的动作：用户希望提前质押锁定低成本，市场庄家则利用高质押率营造供应稀缺推高价格，同时也警惕何时会有解冻卖出的潮涌。

从 Tron 网络的发展看，价格与网络资源、用户行为间的动态关系体现了典型的自适应反馈机制。Tron 作为目前主力稳定币传输链，其成本和性能直接影响用户留存与行为。当 TRX 价格步入高位区间，Tron 或许也会调整参数（如增加总能量供给或优化手续费机制）来平衡用户体验和代币经济模型。不过，在涨向 $1.00 的过程中，上述正反馈循环很可能成为推动力量之一。投资者和参与者应密切关注质押率、手续费水平等链上指标的变化——它们既是价格行情的结果，也是后续走势的原因。在理想状态下，这种“价格上涨-资源质押-流通收缩”的合循环能够稳步推升 Tron 生态价值；但如果过度强化，也需防范因流动性不足导致的剧烈波动风险。总体而言，TRX 价格上涨对 Tron 网络的影响是全方位的：手续费机制使用户行为发生系统性改变，而用户集体行为的改变反过来塑造了市场供求格局，值得持续深入监测和研究。crypto.newscryptoslate.com

@ a296b972:e5a7a2e8

***Achtung Spreng-Arbeiten!***

Der verbliebene intakte Strang der Nordstream Pipeline soll jetzt von Deutschland mit einem hochexplosiven 18. Sanktionspaket gesprengt werden, damit Putin nicht, wie schon in Kursk, Truppen durch das Rohr schickt, und so doch noch in Schwedt anlandend auf deutschem Boden eine russische Invasion stattfinden kann.

***Kriegserklärung***

Deutschland hat Deutschland den Krieg erklärt. Zunächst freiwillig, doch wenn es nicht von allein noch schlimmer wird, wird es eine Kriegspflicht geben müssen. Kriegstreibende Propaganda und der intensive Ausbau des Feindbilds sollen die Bevölkerung dahingehend umstimmen, weil Frieden doch auf die Dauer sehr langweilig ist.

***Verwechslung***

Bei der Einstellung der Außenbeauftragten der Europäischen Union ist es zu einer Verwechslung gekommen. Ursprünglich wollte man Maria Callas einstellen, doch dann stellte man fest, dass diese begnadete Stimme leider nicht mehr unter uns weilt.

***Bedingungslose Kapitulation***

Anlässlich der Bereicherung der UN durch die Präsidentschaft der ehemaligen deutschen Außen-Dings, haben die Vereinten Nationen direkt nach der unerklärlichen Wahl vorsorglich ihre Bedingungslose Kapitulation gegenüber allen Nationen bekannt gegeben. Alle von der Präsidentin getroffenen Aussagen haben vorläufigen Charakter und werden aufgrund der Fremdsprachlichkeit der Präsidentin auf ihren korrekten Inhalt hin nachträglich überprüft.

***Mehrfach gesichert ***

Ein gesichert staatsfinanziertes Rechercheportal hat durch investigative Recherche herausgefunden, dass der neue Papst gesichert katholisch ist. Es konnte nicht nur eine Nähe festgestellt werden, sondern es wurde sogar gesichert nachgewiesen, dass es sich um dieselbe katholische Kirche handelt, die schon seinerzeit in der Inquisition Hexen und Ketzer verbrannt hat.

***Gleichbehandlung***

Nachdem es in Spanien und Portugal und zuletzt auch in Südfrankreich zu einem Stromausfall gekommen ist, hat die deutsche Regierung beim Europäischen Gerichtshof Klage eingereicht. Im Zuge der Gleichbehandlung aller Nationen will Deutschland nun das Recht auf einen eigenen Black-Out für mindestens zwei Tage einklagen.

***Problem fehlender Wohnungen gelöst***

Aufgrund der Wohnungsknappheit hat die deutsche Regierung nun einen Fond aufgelegt, aus dem jede Familie 35.000 Euro Starthilfe erhält, wenn sie für mindestens 10 Jahre das Land verlässt. Es kam bereits zu ersten Ausreisen, bevor noch die Starthilfe ausgezahlt werden konnte.

***Bürokratieabbau***

Zum schnellen und effizienten Bürokratieabbau wird ein neues Ministerium für Komplikationen mit mindestens 5.000 Mitarbeitern eingerichtet, um den überbordenden Verordnungs- und Bürokratiesumpf auszutrocknen. Derzeit warten nur noch wenige 100 Beamte darauf, dass ihnen Arbeit zugewiesen wird.

***‘Aufruf an die deutsche Bevölkerung***

Die deutschen Haushalte werden gebeten, vorhandene Küchensiebe der Bundesregierung zur Verfügung zu stellen. Die vorhandenen Sieblöcher sollen zugelötet und die Siebe so als Alu- oder Edelstahlhelme für die Bundeswehr zur bevorstehenden gemeinsamen Invasion der USA und Russlands in Deutschland verwendet werden. Weiter sollen ausgediente Heizöltanks auf die Ladeflächen offener Pritschenwagen installiert werden, um die in Deutschland verbliebenen Panzer betanken zu können.

***Long-Pipeline oder Post-Gas?***

Deutschland will nicht, dass Nordstream wieder in Betrieb genommen wird, weil das russische Gas Verunreinigungen, unter anderem auch Nano-Partikel enthält, dass den deutschen Gasthermen Schaden zufügen könnte. Das erklärt auch, warum die deutsche Aufklärung zur Sprengung der Nordstream-Pipelines im Sande verlaufen ist: Zu explosiv!

***Mielke: Ich liebe doch alle Menschen…***

Gerüchten zufolge soll der berühmt gewordene Satz von Erich Mielke in seiner ersten und einzigen Rede vor der DDR-Volkskammer am 13.11.1989 den amtierenden deutschen Außenminister sehr inspiriert haben: Ich hasse…ich hasse doch alle, alle Russen… ich hasse doch, ich setze mich dafür ein… dass Russland immer unser Feind sein wird!

***Durchbruch in der Quantenphysik***

Deutschen Quantenphysikern ist es gelungen, dass Taurus zur gleichen Zeit sowohl noch in Deutschland, als auch schon in der Ukraine sein kann. Lediglich die Eingabe der Zielkoordinaten bereitet den Programmierern noch Schwierigkeiten. Je nachdem, wo sich der Taurus gerade befindet, kann das Hauptstadt-Ziel sowohl Berlin, als auch Moskau sein.

***Selbstjustiz***

Die verantwortlichen Politiker während des Corona-Ereignisses haben ein Gerichtsverfahren ins Leben gerufen, in dem sie sich gegenseitig beschuldigt und verurteilt haben. Anschließend begab man sich unter Polizeischutz in ein bekanntes Promi-Lokal in Berlin und fuhr danach weiter zur Selbsteinweisung nach Bauzen.

***Kaiser’s Sektsteuer***

Um die seinerzeit eingeführte Sektsteuer zum Aufbau der deutschen Kriegsmarine wieder ihrem ursprünglichen Zweck zuzuführen, hat die Meyer-Werft sich bereit erklärt, Fregatten zu bauen, mit der die Deutsche Marine dann Panzerkreuzerfahrten in der Ostsee vor Königsberg veranstalten will. Schon wenige Tage nach Bekanntgabe waren die ersten Vergnügungsdampferfahrten mit „Meine Fregatte“ komplett ausgebucht.

Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.

* *

(Bild von pixabay)

@ 58537364:705b4b85

“สุขเวทนา” ที่แท้ก็คือ “มายา”
เป็นเหมือนลูกคลื่นลูกหนึ่ง
ที่เกิดขึ้นเพราะน้ำถูกลมพัด
เดี๋ยวมันก็แตกกระจายไป

หากต้องการจะมีชีวิตอย่างเกษมแล้ว
ก็ต้องอาศัยความรู้เรื่อง อนิจจัง ทุกขัง อนัตตา ให้สมบูรณ์
มันจะต่อต้านกันได้กับอารมณ์ คือ รูป เสียง กลิ่น รส สัมผัส ที่มากระทบ
ไม่ให้ไปหลงรัก หรือหลงเกลียด

เรื่องวุ่นวายมีอยู่ ๒ อย่างเท่านั้น

1. ไปหลงรัก อย่างหนึ่ง
2. ไปหลงเกลียด อย่างหนึ่ง

ซึ่งเป็นเหตุให้หัวเราะและต้องร้องไห้
ถ้าใครมองเห็นว่า หัวเราะก็กระหืดกระหอบ มันเหนื่อยเหมือนกัน
ร้องไห้ก็กระหืดกระหอบ เหมือนกัน
สู้อยู่เฉย ๆ ดีกว่า อย่าต้องหัวเราะ อย่าต้องร้องไห้
นี่แหละ! มันเป็นความเกษม

เราอย่าได้ตกไปเป็นทาสของอารมณ์
จนไปหัวเราะหรือร้องไห้ตามที่อารมณ์มายั่ว
เราเป็นอิสระแก่ตัว หยุดอยู่ หรือเกษมอยู่อย่างนี้ดีกว่า

---

ใช้ อนิจจัง ทุกขัง อนัตตา เป็นเครื่องมือกำกับชีวิต

• รูป เสียง กลิ่น รส สัมผัส เป็น มายา เป็น illusion
• "ตัวกู-ของกู" ก็เป็น illusion
• เพราะ "ตัวกู-ของกู" มันเกิดมาจากอารมณ์
• "ตัวกู-ของกู" เป็นมายา อารมณ์ทั้งหลายก็เป็นมายา

เห็นได้ด้วยหลัก อนิจจัง ทุกขัง อนัตตา
...ความทุกข์ก็ไม่เกิด

---

เราจะตัดลัดมองไปดูสิ่งที่เป็น “สุขเวทนา”

สุขเวทนา คือ ความสุขสนุกสนาน เอร็ดอร่อย
ที่เป็นสุขนั้นเรียกว่า “สุขเวทนา”

แต่สุขเวทนา เป็นมายา
เพราะมันเป็นเหมือนลูกคลื่นที่เกิดขึ้นเป็นคราว ๆ
ไม่ใช่ตัวจริงอะไร

ที่พูดดังนี้ก็เพราะว่า
ในบรรดาสิ่งทั้งปวงในโลกทั้งหมดทุกโลก
ไม่ว่าโลกไหน มันมีค่าอยู่ก็ตรงที่ให้เกิดสุขเวทนา

ลองคิดดูให้ดีว่า...
- ท่านศึกษาเล่าเรียนทำไม?
- ท่านประกอบอาชีพ หน้าที่การงานทำไม?
- ท่านสะสมทรัพย์สมบัติ เกียรติยศ ชื่อเสียง พวกพ้องบริวารทำไม?

มันก็เพื่อสุขเวทนาอย่างเดียว
เพราะฉะนั้น แปลว่า อะไร ๆ มันก็มารวมจุดอยู่ที่สุขเวทนาหมด

ฉะนั้น ถ้าเรามีความรู้ในเรื่องนี้
จัดการกับเรื่องนี้ให้ถูกต้องเพียงเรื่องเดียวเท่านั้น
ทุกเรื่องมันถูกหมด

เพราะฉะนั้น จึงต้องดูสุขเวทนาให้ถูกต้องตามที่เป็นจริงว่า
มันก็เป็น “มายา” ชนิดหนึ่ง

เราจะต้องจัดการให้สมกันกับที่มันเป็นมายา
ไม่ใช่ว่า จะต้องไปตั้งข้อรังเกียจ เกลียดชังมัน
อย่างนั้นมันยิ่ง บ้าบอที่สุด

ถ้าเข้าไปหลงรัก หลงเป็นทาสมัน
ก็เป็นเรื่อง บ้าบอที่สุด

แต่ว่าไปจัดการกับมันอย่างไรให้ถูกต้อง
นั้นแหละเป็นธรรมะ
เป็น ลูกศิษย์ของพระพุทธเจ้า
ที่จะเอาชนะความทุกข์ได้ และไม่ต้องเป็น โรคทางวิญญาณ

---

สุขเวทนา ที่แท้ก็คือ มายา

มันก็ต้องทำโดยวิธีที่พิจารณาให้เห็นว่า
“สุขเวทนา” นี้ ที่แท้ก็คือ “มายา”

เป็นเหมือน ลูกคลื่นลูกหนึ่ง
ที่เกิดขึ้นเพราะ น้ำถูกลมพัด

หมายความว่า
เมื่อ รูป เสียง กลิ่น รส ฯ เข้ามา
แล้ว ความโง่ คือ อวิชชา โมหะ ออกรับ
กระทบกันแล้วเป็นคลื่น

กล่าวคือ สุขเวทนาเกิดขึ้นมา
แต่ เดี๋ยวมันก็แตกกระจายไป

---

ถ้ามองเห็นอย่างนี้แล้ว
เราก็ไม่เป็นทาสของสุขเวทนา
เราสามารถ ควบคุม จะจัด จะทำกับมันได้
ในวิธีที่ ไม่เป็นทุกข์

• ตัวเองก็ไม่เป็นทุกข์
• ครอบครัวก็ไม่เป็นทุกข์
• เพื่อนบ้านก็ไม่เป็นทุกข์
• คนทั้งโลกก็ไม่พลอยเป็นทุกข์
  เพราะมีเราเป็นมูลเหตุ

ถ้าทุกคนเป็นอย่างนี้
โลกนี้ก็มีสันติภาพถาวร
เป็นความสุขที่แท้จริงและถาวร

นี่คือ อานิสงส์ของการหายโรคโดยวิธีต่าง ๆ กัน
ไม่เป็นโรค “ตัวกู” ไม่เป็นโรค “ของกู”

---

พุทธทาสภิกขุ
ที่มา : คำบรรยายชุด “แก่นพุทธศาสน์”
ปีพุทธศักราช ๒๕๐๔
ครั้งที่ ๑
หัวข้อเรื่อง “ใจความทั้งหมดของพระพุทธศาสนา”
ณ ศิริราชพยาบาล มหาวิทยาลัยมหิดล
เมื่อวันที่ ๑๗ ธันวาคม ๒๕๐๔

@ 58537364:705b4b85

"Pleasant Feeling" Is Ultimately an Illusion

It’s like a wave That arises when water is stirred by the wind Soon, it disperses and fades away

If one wishes to live in serenity

One must fully understand the truths of impermanence (anicca), suffering (dukkha), and non-self (anattā). These truths serve as an antidote to emotional responses—forms, sounds, smells, tastes, and touches— Preventing us from falling into attachment or aversion.

There are only two kinds of turmoil in the world:

1. Falling in love with something
2. Falling into hatred of something

These are what lead to laughter and tears. If one can see that laughter makes you breathless, it’s exhausting just the same Crying also makes you breathless, equally tiring Better to remain calm—no need to laugh, no need to cry This is true serenity

Let us not become slaves to emotions, Laughing or crying at their whims. Let us live freely. Better to remain still and serene.

---

Use Impermanence, Suffering, and Non-Self as Life's Compass

• Forms, sounds, smells, tastes, and touches are illusions
• The notion of "me and mine" is also an illusion
• Because "me and mine" arise from emotional reactions
• Therefore, "me and mine" is an illusion, and so are all emotions

By understanding impermanence, suffering, and non-self, ...suffering does not arise.

---

Let us take a shortcut and look directly at “pleasant feeling”

Pleasant feeling refers to happiness, enjoyment, delight— That which feels good is called “pleasant feeling” (sukha-vedanā)

But pleasant feeling is an illusion Because it arises like a temporary wave— It’s not a real thing.

This is said because Among all things in all worlds, What gives them value is their ability to produce pleasant feeling.

Think carefully:

• Why do you study?
• Why do you work and perform your duties?
• Why do you accumulate wealth, prestige, fame, allies, followers?

It’s all for pleasant feeling. So everything ultimately revolves around pleasant feeling.

Therefore, if we understand this matter well And handle it properly, even this one thing alone— Then everything else falls into place.

So we must see pleasant feeling for what it really is: Just another kind of illusion

We must deal with it accordingly, Not by rejecting or hating it That would be the most foolish thing

But if we become infatuated with it, Or enslaved by it— That, too, is the most foolish thing

What matters is how we handle it properly That is the Dhamma (truth) That is being a disciple of the Buddha One who can overcome suffering, and not suffer from spiritual disease

---

Pleasant Feeling Is Truly an Illusion

It must be approached with the understanding that: “Pleasant feeling is, in truth, illusion.”

Like a single wave That arises when water is stirred by wind

Which means: When forms, sounds, smells, tastes, and so on come in And ignorance and delusion rise up to meet them They clash, and a wave is formed

That is, pleasant feeling arises But soon it disperses again

---

If we can see it this way, We won’t be slaves to pleasant feeling. We will be able to manage it, deal with it, and use it In ways that don’t lead to suffering

• We won’t suffer ourselves
• Our family won’t suffer
• Our neighbors won’t suffer
• The world won’t suffer either, Because we are no longer the cause of suffering

If everyone were like this, The world would know lasting peace A true and enduring happiness

This is the benefit of healing the illness in different ways No longer afflicted by the diseases of “me” or “mine”

---

Buddhadasa Bhikkhu Source: Lecture Series “The Heart of Buddhism” Year: B.E. 2504 (1961) First session Topic: “The Whole Essence of Buddhism” Location: Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University Date: December 17, 1961

---

https://w3.do/-IQ1KFgp

@ 7459d333:f207289b

Summary: Bitcoin's security depends on exponentially decreasing block rewards being compensated by exponentially increasing transaction fees, but fee growth is constrained by the block size limit and user tolerance, creating an inevitable security budget crisis when Bitcoin's price growth inevitably slows from its current exponential trajectory.

At that point, say this century, the average transaction fee should be in the 100k sats range for miners to make collectively ~0.5% of what they're protecting yearly. Currently miners are making ~0.8% yearly.

The less profitable miners are, the easier it is to convince them for attacking the network. And this only gets more economically viable to achieve as time passes and there's a larger price with a smaller relative security budget.

Am I missing something? Are you comfortable with this?

References: - https://www.btcsecuritybudget.com/ - https://x.com/fuserleer/status/1816779841955393819 - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0bUpF0wJrxo - https://medium.com/coinmonks/bitcoin-security-a-negative-exponential-95e78b6b575

https://stacker.news/items/996005

@ cae03c48:2a7d6671

Bitcoin Magazine

Amboss Launches Rails, a Self-Custodial Bitcoin Yield Service

Amboss, a leader in AI-driven solutions for the Bitcoin Lightning Network, today announced Rails, a groundbreaking self-custodial Bitcoin yield service. According to a press release sent to Bitcoin Magazine, it’s designed to empower companies, custodians, and high net worth individuals. This allows participants to earn a yield on their Bitcoin.

Big news from @TheBitcoinConf !
We’re thrilled to announce Rails—a self-custodial Bitcoin yield service that empowers you to earn on your BTC while supercharging the Lightning Network.

Let’s bring Bitcoin to the World.https://t.co/3WYYvB95hP

— AMBOSS (@ambosstech) May 29, 2025

Rails also launched a secure way for Liquidity Providers (LPs) to hold all custody of their Bitcoin while generating returns from liquidity leases and payment routing, although they are not guaranteed. The implementation of Amboss’ AI technology, Rails strengthened their Lighting Network with more dependable transactions and larger payment volumes.

“Rails is a transformative force for the Lightning Network,” said the CEO and Co-Founder of Amboss Jesse Shrader. “It’s not just about yield—it’s about enabling businesses to strengthen the network while earning on their Bitcoin. This is a critical step in Bitcoin’s evolution as a global medium of exchange.”

The service offers two options: 

• Rails LP is designed for high net worth individuals, custodians, and companies with Bitcoin treasuries, requiring a minimum commitment of 1 BTC for one year. 
• Liquidity subscriptions are designed for businesses that receive Bitcoin payments, with fees starting at 0.5%.

Amboss partnered with CoinCorner and Flux (a joint venture between Axiom and CoinCorner), to bring Rails to the market. CoinCorner has incorporated it into both its exchange platform and daily payment services in the Isle of Man. Flux is jointly focused on advancing the Lightning Network’s presence in global payments. Their participation highlights growing industry trust in Rails as a tool to scale Bitcoin effectively. 

“Rails offers a practical way for businesses like ours to participate in the Lightning Network’s growth,” said the CFO of CoinCorner David Boylan. “We’ve been using the Lightning Network for years, and Rails provides a structured approach to engaging with its economy, particularly through liquidity leasing and payment routing. This aligns with our goal of making Bitcoin more accessible and practical for everyday use.”

This post Amboss Launches Rails, a Self-Custodial Bitcoin Yield Service first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.

@ 7460b7fd:4fc4e74b

Tron（TRX）区块链架构与性能综合分析

Tron 的三层架构与虚拟机设计

*Tron 区块链采用三层架构：存储层、核心层、应用层developers.tron.networkcointelegraph.com。*存储层包含区块存储和状态存储，并引入图数据库理念以满足多样化数据存储需求developers.tron.network。核心层实现共识（基于改进的 委托权益证明 DPoS）、账户管理和智能合约等模块developers.tron.network。Tron 虚拟机（TVM）位于核心层，用于执行智能合约代码。Tron 最初指定 Java 语言 用于智能合约开发，并规划支持其它高级语言developers.tron.network。这一设计取舍体现了团队对 Java 生态和性能的偏好：Tron **节点实现（java-tron）**采用 Java 开发，使虚拟机与链上逻辑高度兼容 Java 环境。此外，TVM 与 Ethereum EVM 高度兼容，方便以太坊DApp迁移，但在细节上有所不同medium.commedium.com。例如，TVM 使用能量（Energy）而非 Gas，energyPrice 为全网固定参数（目前210 SUN，即0.00021 TRX）medium.com；大多数指令的能耗与以太坊相同，但部分操作成本更低（如合约存储读取 SLOAD 等）medium.com。Tron 地址体系也不同：通过 CREATE2 创建合约时使用 0x41 前缀（Tron 地址Hex前缀），确保与以太坊地址格式区别medium.com。总的来说，Tron 架构在继承主流区块链设计的基础上，用 Java 实现了一套高性能的三层架构，为 DApp 提供了良好的开发和运行环境developers.tron.networkcointelegraph.com。

吞吐性能与资源模型：带宽与能量机制

Tron 在性能上追求高吞吐和低延迟。共识方面，Tron 采用 **27个超级代表（SR）**轮流产块的机制，每隔3秒出块reflexivityresearch.com。得益于DPoS和小规模节点，Tron 单链理论TPS可达约2,000～2,500cointelegraph.comchainspect.app。实际网络中Tron尚未达到饱和：截至2025年中旬，每日交易量稳定在 800万笔以上（峰值逾1000万），平均约 90～120 TPSbinance.combinance.com。相比之下，以太坊当前主网TPS约15笔（日均140万交易）cointelegraph.com。Tron链上尚无明显拥堵，表明其吞吐冗余较充足。

Tron 引入了独特的资源模型，将交易执行成本分解为“带宽点数”（Bandwidth）和“能量”（Energy）两类developers.tron.network。带宽代表交易数据的大小，每字节消耗1点带宽developers.tron.network；能量代表合约执行的算力和存储消耗，每执行一步EVM指令消耗相应能量developers.tron.network。Tron 每个账户每天有 5000点免费带宽 配额developers.tron.network用于普通转账；当免费额不足时，可以通过“冻结”TRX获取资源或直接消耗少量TRX燃烧获得developers.tron.networkdevelopers.tron.network。例如，一个约200字节的普通转账消耗200带宽点，如账户无冻结资源且免费额度用尽，则需烧毁约 每字节10 SUN（即0.00001 TRX）的费用developers.tron.network——换算下来一次转账成本仅约 0.001～0.01美元（远低于以太坊动辄数美元的Gas费）。对于智能合约交易，则既消耗带宽又消耗能量developers.tron.network。开发者或用户可冻结 TRX 获取能量，按其冻结占比分享全网每日约500亿能量的恢复额度developers.tron.networkdevelopers.tron.network。冻结的能量会随时间自动恢复（24小时恢复满）developers.tron.networkdevelopers.tron.network。如果调用合约时能量不足，系统会按当前能量价格从用户扣除等值 TRX 燃烧medium.com。

Tron 资源模型对用户和开发者影响显著：一般用户日常转账几乎免费（每天免费额度足够覆盖小额频度交易），即使进行 TRC20 代币（如 USDT）转账，只要账户持有一定冻结的 TRX，其能量和带宽消耗也可被抵扣为零成本cointelegraph.com。如果用户没有任何冻结资源，转账 USDT 约需消耗十余枚 TRXmedium.com；但实际约六成以上的能量消耗是通过用户预先冻结TRX来覆盖的medium.com。此外，Tron 允许智能合约开发者为调用者代付部分能量：开发者可设置自己承担例如90%的能量费用developers.tron.networkdevelopers.tron.network。这意味着在 Tron 上，DApp 开发者可以冻结足够TRX资源，使用户调用其合约时无需支付能量费（类似Gas代付），提升应用可用性developers.tron.networkdevelopers.tron.network。资源模型的另一便利是 资源委托：账户A可以为账户B冻结TRX来提供带宽或能量developers.tron.network。综合来看，Tron 的带宽/能量双资源机制避免了直接以代币计价的浮动手续费，为用户提供了**“零Gas”**的体验，同时激励TRX持有者参与质押获取资源alphanode.globalalphanode.global。这种设计在牛市高拥堵场景下依然能保持交易成本稳定，有利于大规模应用。Tron 官方统计显示，截至2024年底网络平均每笔交易费用低至 $0.000005 美元cointelegraph.com，几乎可以忽略不计。

Tron 与主流公链的架构和开发体验对比

Tron 的系统架构与开发体验在不同维度上可与 Ethereum、Solana、Avalanche、BNB Chain 等主流公链进行横向比较。下表总结了几项关键对比：

| 属性 | Tron (TRX) | Ethereum | Solana | Avalanche (C链) | BNB Chain (BSC) | | ------------- | ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ | | 共识机制 & 节点 | DPoS (27个超级代表，其他为见证节点)reflexivityresearch.com；3秒出块 | PoS (质押验证人 50万+，随机出块)；12秒出块，最终确认约612分钟 | PoH+PoS (领导者序列+验证人约2000)chainspect.app；0.4秒出块，终局约10-15秒 | Avalanche共识 (验证人上千)；\~1-2秒出块，\~1秒终局chainspect.app | PoSA ( 权威证明，21活跃验证者)；\~3秒出块，快速终局 (几秒内)chainspect.app | | 架构设计 | 三层架构(存储/核心/应用)cointelegraph.com；单链+侧链BTTC扩展 | 单层主链+即将通过分片\&Rollup扩展；EVM执行环境 | 单链高度并行运行时（Sealevel）；账户模型并行合约执行 | 主网三链架构(X链UTXO/P链治理/C链EVM)；支持子网扩展 | 类以太坊单链架构；EVM执行环境，依赖以太坊工具链 | | 智能合约平台 | TVM（Ethereum VM 兼容，有能量机制改进）medium.com；支持 Solidity 等 | EVM（广泛支持Solidity、Vyper等）；强生态工具 | BPF虚拟机（Rust/C/C++开发，需重新编译）；高性能但开发曲线较陡 | EVM (C链)；Solidity 合约与以太坊兼容 | EVM；Solidity合约完全兼容以太坊，工具链共用 | | 平均实际TPS | \~90-150 TPS（2024-25年，日均交易数8百万+binance.comcoindesk.com）；峰值 \~270 TPSchainspect.app | \~15 TPS（L1日均约140万笔交易)cointelegraph.com；需借助L2提升 | \~1000+ TPS（日均交易数数千万，包含投票交易)chainspect.app；曾峰值5000+ TPSbinance.com | 当前负载低，实际 \~7 TPSchainspect.app；高峰 \~120 TPSchainspect.app | \~200 TPS（日均交易约400万笔binance.com）；高峰 \~1700 TPSchainspect.app | | 理论最大TPS | \~2,000-2,500 TPS（当前参数下区块容量）cointelegraph.comchainspect.app | \~15-30 TPS（不考虑Rollup；单区块Gas上限限制） | \~50,000+ TPS（官方理论值）chainspect.app；高度依赖硬件性能 | \~1,000+ TPS（C链Gas参数下）chainspect.app | \~2,200 TPS（现行Gas上限下估计值）chainspect.app | | 交易费用机制 | 带宽+能量模型：每日免费额度+质押获取资源，无需常付手续费developers.tron.networkdevelopers.tron.network；无资源时按固定价格烧TRX（≈$0.0001/笔） | Gas拍卖：用户以 ETH 支付Gas费，费率随网络拥堵浮动；矿工/质押者收益 | 固定低费：按计算单元收取极低SOL费用，无免费额度；拥堵时费率略上调 | Gas费：按EVM Gas计算，以AVAX支付，费用较低；支持动态调整 | Gas费：与以太坊类似但计价币种为BNB，手续费低廉且有上限 | | 开发体验 | Solidity 为主（与以太坊基本通用）；TronWeb、TronIDE 等SDK工具developers.tron.networkdevelopers.tron.network；需理解资源模型区别 | Solidity/Vyper生态成熟，工具最完善（Truffle、Hardhat等）；L2多样 | **Rust/ C++**为主，开发需适应新模型；Solana工具链（Anchor框架等）在改进 | Solidity为主（C链类似以太坊开发）；另有Subnet可用Rust、Go自定义VM | Solidity为主，100%兼容以太坊工具（Remix、Hardhat等）；开发门槛与以太一致 | | 主要应用与优势 | 稳定币传输（USDT占据全球约50%供应coindesk.comcoindesk.com）；DeFi借贷（JustLend)等，但生态DApp相对稀少coinshares.com | 通用智能合约平台（DeFi、NFT蓬勃，生态最大）；安全性与去中心化强 | 高性能DApp（链游、NFT市场等；近期增长快）；曾遇网络中断挑战 | DeFi与资产发行（C链上有借贷DEX，也支持企业级子网）；强调快速终局性 | 泛用智能合约（DeFi规模庞大，如PancakeSwap等）；依托Binance生态，用户基数大 |

表：Tron 与 Ethereum、Solana、Avalanche、BNB Chain 的关键技术指标和体验比较。 上表可见，Tron 在性能和成本上具备明显优势：TPS远高于以太坊cointelegraph.com，达到Solana/Avalanche的次高水平；交易手续费几乎为零cointelegraph.com。Tron 通过牺牲一定去中心化程度（仅27个验证人）换取了高吞吐和快速确认（3秒出块，\~1分钟内区块不可逆）chainspect.app。相比之下，以太坊去中心化最强但性能有限；Solana走极致性能路线，TPS极高但因架构复杂曾多次宕机，开发语言Rust门槛也更高。Avalanche主网C链采用EVM，使开发体验类似以太坊，但通过创新共识实现1秒终局，高TPS潜力；不过Avalanche生态主要在子网探索，主链交易量目前不大。BNB Chain 与 Tron 类似，采用小规模验证者和EVM，在性能和费用上接近Tron，也广受用户欢迎（尤其DeFi应用）。然而 BNB Chain 手续费仍需消耗BNB（虽很便宜），而 Tron 的资源模型让新用户无币也能免费发交易，初次使用门槛更低alphanode.global。

开发者体验方面，Tron 对以太坊生态高度兼容。Solidity 智能合约几乎无需修改即可部署到 Tron 网络（TronVM对EVM指令的兼容medium.com确保了这一点）。开发工具有 TronWeb JS 框架、TronIDE 集成环境等供使用developers.tron.network。不过Tron社区的第三方工具和合约模板相对以太坊要少，一些以太坊常用开发库在Tron上可能需要调整。Solana 则完全是另一种开发范式（基于Rust的BPF合约），与EVM链差异大。Avalanche的C链因为本质就是EVM，所以以太坊开发者可无缝迁移合约；BNB Chain 亦然。总的来说，Tron 和 BSC 在开发上延续了以太坊的习惯，而Solana、Avalanche追求性能和新架构，开发曲线相对陡峭。Tron 相比BSC的一个不同点是资源模型，这要求开发者考虑带宽/能量的分配，但也提供了为用户代付资源的机制，适合需要降低用户使用门槛的DApp。值得注意的是，Tron 主网账户总数已超过 3亿（包括大量交易所托管地址）coindesk.com、日活跃地址逾 百万coindesk.com；尽管生态应用不算丰富，但庞大的用户基础主要来源于稳定币交易和基本金融应用，对开发者而言意味着可观的潜在用户群。

工程实现与稳定币优势：有限创新下的差异化

Tron 经常被评价为“技术创新有限”，因为其很多理念来源于前辈（如采用与EOS类似的DPoS共识，兼容EVM的合约机制等）coinshares.com。Tron 白皮书早期甚至曾被指出有抄袭他链文档的嫌疑。然而，Tron 在工程实现和优化上非常出色，打造出了一条高可用、高性能的主网，并在关键细分领域取得领先地位。首先，Tron 网络运行稳定，自2018年主网上线以来几乎没有发生严重宕机或安全事件。这一点相较于同样DPoS架构的 EOS 主网要稳健得多（EOS 主网上线后曾多次出现性能瓶颈和治理僵局），也好于近年曾遭遇停链的 Solana 等高TPS链。Tron 将区块时间精确到3秒且长期保持共识稳定，使得链上转账**“三秒到账”**成为标志性的用户体验优势。

更重要的是，Tron 聚焦于稳定币转账这一高频刚需场景，通过一系列工程手段降低用户成本、提升效率。例如，Tron 上 USDT 等稳定币的 TRC-20 合约转账被优化得近似免Gas：利用带宽每日免费额度和发行方资源冻结策略，大部分小额USDT转账用户无需支付任何TRXcointelegraph.com。据统计，Tron 上单笔 USDT 转账成本可低至 0.345 TRX（约合2美分）甚至为零medium.com。Tron 还允许代币发行方提供一定的“免费带宽”给代币持有人developers.tron.networkdevelopers.tron.network，这意味着像 Tether 这样的发行方可为TRC20-USDT交易承担资源费用，使用户体验真正达到免手续费。这种“稳定币交易免Gas”的设计在主流公链中独树一帜。

Tron 的另一工程优势是极快的确定性。虽然Tron每块3秒，但由于DPoS共识和固有的BFT特性，Tron 区块在数轮出块后即不可逆转。Tron Solidity节点仅同步不可逆区块，用于对接交易所等场景developers.tron.network。通常交易所对Tron充值只需等待 1分钟左右确认，远快于以太坊传统上要求的数分钟/数十个区块确认。chainspect.app的链速数据显示，Tron链上最终确定（finality）时间约 \~57秒，与EOS等DPoS链类似，明显快于以太坊（>6分钟）和比特币（一小时）chainspect.app。这使Tron成为稳定币跨平台流转的理想基础设施：用户可以在交易所之间快速划转USDT，几乎实时地完成资金移动，而手续费可以忽略不计。

尽管Tron本身没有提出全新的共识算法或智能合约范式，但这些工程上的打磨带来了切实的成果：截至2025年，Tron 网络上 USDT的流通量超过750亿美元，再度位居各链之首cointelegraph.comcointelegraph.com。约 50%以上的USDT供应原生发行在Tron上coindesk.comcoindesk.com（二号是以太坊，约47%，其余诸如Solana、Avalanche合计不到5%cointelegraph.com）。Tron 同时处理了全球稳定币交易价值的近29%coindesk.com，每日 USDT 转账额高达 200亿美元coindesk.com。这些数据说明，尽管Tron没有“炫目的”技术标签，但凭借务实的性能优化和对用户友好的成本结构，在稳定币这一杀手级应用上取得了其它公链无法比拟的领先coindesk.com。

Tron 的高性能也使其成为去中心化金融(DeFi)基础设施的有力支撑。Tron上最大的DeFi借贷协议 JustLend 锁定价值超过 60亿美元coinshares.com（主要是TRX和USDT的借贷），显示出稳定币低费率环境对资金沉淀的吸引力。Tron 于2022年还推出了去中心化美元稳定币 USDD，以丰富生态。不过USDD体量相对有限（约7亿市值）coinshares.com，Tron生态真正的支柱仍是 USDT 等主流稳定币的传输和兑换。正因为聚焦于稳定币的出色支持，Tron 获得了行业独特地位：CoinShares 报告称截至2024年末 Tron 上约44%的USDT供应，使其在稳定币基础设施方面一度超越以太坊coinshares.comcoinshares.com。

“BTC上涨+稳定币基础设施”叙事下的 Tron 竞争力与市场前景

当前环境下，Tron 在 USDT市场占有率高、交易成本极低 的条件下，展现出强大的竞争优势。这与行业宏观叙事“比特币上涨 + 稳定币基础设施受益”紧密相关。在加密市场进入上行周期时，比特币价格攀升往往伴随场外资金涌入，稳定币作为法币与加密世界的桥梁需求激增castleisland.vc。Tron 因为在稳定币传输领域的卓越表现，有望从这一趋势中获得超额收益（Alpha）。

首先，Bitcoin上涨带来的交易活跃增加，势必需要大量稳定币在交易所和用户间快速流转。Tron作为承载全球超过一半USDT流通的网络coindesk.comcoindesk.com，“水涨船高”，交易笔数和价值很可能进一步增长。从2024到2025年的数据已经印证了这一点：2024年末以来 Tron 日均交易量从约430万增加到840万以上，增长了95%binance.combinance.com。尤其是在2025年初，比特币触发的新一轮市场热度下，Tron 日均交易笔数持续保持在 800万+，并多次冲击单日千万笔的关口binance.combinance.com。这表明 Tron 网络能够大规模处理牛市涌现的交易需求，为稳定币的频繁进出提供了高吞吐保障。

其次，超低的费用使Tron在竞争中胜出。当市场繁荣时，以太坊等网络往往因拥堵导致Gas费飙升，而Tron凭借资源模型依然保持每笔几乎为0的费用cointelegraph.com。这一点对套利交易商、跨境转账用户等极为重要：他们可以放心地使用Tron在交易所和钱包间搬运资金，而不用担心手续费侵蚀利润。这种成本优势也使得Tron在新兴市场获得青睐。许多亚洲、非洲的用户通过Tron链转移美元稳定币用于支付和结算coinshares.comcoinshares.com。由此Tron已经形成网络效应：用户数量多、USDT储备大，新用户更愿意选择已被广泛接受的Tron作为稳定币链。2025年一季度，Tron链上USDT流通再增 70亿美元，新增用户钱包数增长了 4600万coindesk.comcoindesk.com。这种高速增长进一步巩固了Tron在稳定币领域的龙头地位。

从市场价值角度看，Tron 的基本面强劲却长期被低估的情况也引人关注。Tron手续费收入与市值比成为分析师讨论的焦点：截至2024年底，Tron每日协议收入约 $79万美元（主要来自能量费燃烧等）alphanode.globalalphanode.global。按Tron当时$190亿市值计算，其市盈率(P/E)显著低于同业。例如Solana市值虽只有Tron五分之一，但每日费用收入只有Tron的一半alphanode.global。这意味着 Tron 网络在实际利用率和价值捕获上表现突出，TRX 代币有潜在重估空间alphanode.global。部分研究指出Tron的手续费收入/市值比远高于以太坊、Solana等，暗示TRX被低估且具有“价值洼地”特征。

竞争层面，Tron 面临的挑战主要来自以太坊扩容和其他低费链的蚕食。一方面，以太坊主网的升级及其Rollup二层网络（如Arbitrum、Optimism等）在降低费用方面取得进展，某些USDT流通开始转移到以太坊的Layer 2。但即便如此，Tron凭借先发优势和广泛的交易所支持，短期内仍牢牢占据稳定币结算主渠道coinshares.com。2024年11月，以太坊曾短暂重新超过Tron的USDT供应占比，但很快又被Tron新的增发反超cointelegraph.comcointelegraph.com。这显示出Tether公司和市场对于Tron网络的信心和需求依然强劲。另一方面，BSC、Solana等亦尝试争夺稳定币市场份额，例如BSC上也运行着不少USDT。但截至2025年，BSC上的USDT流通量和活跃度远不及Tron（Tron每日稳定币活跃地址占全行业28%coindesk.comcoindesk.com）。Solana则更专注于自身DeFi和新资产发行，稳定币主要还是USDＣ为主，体量有限。

综合而言，Tron 在“BTC 上涨 + 稳定币基础设施需求”这一行业趋势下展现出了独特的竞争力。它以稳健高效的工程实现弥补了技术创新上的不足，围绕稳定币这一刚需场景打造出低成本、高速度、广覆盖的链上金融网络。在未来市场周期中，只要对稳定币的需求存在，Tron 作为底层清算层的地位就难以被撼动。对于TRX的价值表现，这意味着有潜在的Alpha：当交易量和用户数上升时，TRX作为资源质押和手续费燃烧的载体，其需求量和内在价值也水涨船高alphanode.globalalphanode.global。当然，Tron 也需继续拓展生态应用、改善西方市场的形象来巩固长期地位coinshares.comcoinshares.com。但就当前来看，Tron已经凭借“强工程+准入门槛低”的策略，在区块链基础设施版图中占据了一席重要之地。它在稳定币时代的成功经验，印证了区块链项目不仅可以靠颠覆性创新取胜，也可以通过持续优化用户体验和性能找到差异化赛道，实现后来居上。

参考资料：developers.tron.networkmedium.comcointelegraph.comcoindesk.comcoindesk.com等。

@ 6c05c73e:c4356f17

Trabalhar 40 anos e aposentar?

Quando comecei minha jornada, pensei que trabalhar em emprego que detesto e receber pouco não era o suficiente. Na época eu lia nos consultórios de dentistas as revistas veja e exame.

Ficava elucidando: -Como pode uma empresa pagar carro, telefone, viagem e um belo salário para esses caras? Será que eu teria chance algum dia?

Mas, quando seu primeiro emprego é o Bobs. Você é negro e vem de um um lugar aonde o seu nome e seu tempo de carteira são sinônimos de orgulho.

Eu sabia que seria difícil. Principalmente, porque além de ter que melhorar quem eu era. Eu teria, que enfrentar pré conceitos e críticas da família junto. Enfim, mãos a obra.

É só investir que fico rico!

Foi então que pensei se teria alguma forma de não ter que trabalhar por 40 anos e depender do governo no fim da minha vida. Daí, eu estudei e encontrei algumas pessoas que me mostraram uma opção. Investimentos! Caraca, tudo parecia muito legal naquela época.

Era uma sopa de letrinhas acompanhada por um glossário recheado e diferente de tudo que tinha conhecimento. Meu primeiro investimento foram 3 ações da Ambev. Fiquei empolgado demais quando chegou a primeira carta da Bovespa mostrando o meu "rico”patrimônio.

Ademais, eu fui vivendo outras coisas: Crise da época Dilma, crise do Temer com o Joesley, Covid e pós Covid. Fui além, e fiquei alguns anos negociando forex e criptomoedas também. Vivi demais, fiz grana, perdi grana, fiz amizades, perdi amizades e o mais importante que fiquei experiente nesse ramo. Tão experiente que percebi uma coisa…

Opaaa, falta uma peça no quebra cabeça

Os anos passavam e era como uma montanha russa. Tinha anos bons e ruins. Normal, como qualquer outra coisa que aconteça na vida. Mas, cara. Era inegável que eu estava evoluindo. Mas, o ritmo era lento demais. E, pelas minhas contas eu ia chegar lá com uma idade bem avançada. A diferença é que eu teria mais controle sobre meu futuro.

Contudo, no meio da jornada comecei a perceber que toda vez que eu pegava meu dinheiro e entregava para o mercado financeiro. Eu mandava uma mensagem para meu subconsciente: Você não é capaz de multiplicar seu dinheiro! E, isso é muito louco.

Porque eu multiplicava. Mas, tinha que me contentar com 10-12% a.a em anos normais, -6% a.a em anos ruins e anos bons era algo como 20%.

Portanto, isso tudo me deixava maluco. Porque? Eu tinha amigos empreendendo e ganhando 20% de lucro líquido ao mês. E, porque eu deveria me contentar com módicos 12% a.a? Esse raciocínio alugou um triplex na minha cabeça.

Durante minha jornada, eu tentei vários empreendimentos: Festas, venda de camisetas, venda de acessórios de telefone, confeitaria online e mais alguns que não lembro. Foram excelentes negócios para aprender. Mas, eu queria meu próprio negócio. Mas, não mais um negócio. Um negócio online, escalável e multilíngue. Fui estudar Desenvolvimento de sistemas, marketing digital e varri a internet atrás de informações.

O que você pode fazer

E, aqui estamos. A ideia de construir isso que você está usufruindo hoje nasceu 2 anos atrás. Eu levei 6 meses para lapidar e mais 6 meses criando conteúdo na unha. Literalmente, sentando a bunda na cadeira e escrevendo do zero cada texto.

Eu sei que alguns não ficaram bons como queria. Mas, o processo é esse. Você vai melhorando a medida que avança. Não dá para ficar vendo tutoriais no youtube, gurus de internet e ler milhares de livros. Tu tem que pegar e começar a fazer algo. Hoje, agora!

A vantagem da internet é que você não precisa de permissão para começar nada. Abre o Word, Docs, Canva, Capcut, Câmera do seu celular e cria. A resposta para todos os seus problemas está em: CRIAR!

Eu criei esse site, complementando: Meu site, meu Medium, meu Reddit e meu Nostr. Eu crio coisas novas todas as semanas e distribuo.

Minha empresa só tem eu de funcionário(por enquanto). Mas, já desenhei quais os próximos passos. Pode ser que eu nem use os próximos passos porque tudo muda toda hora.

Mas, vale a pena tentar! Se você puder acabar esse texto com uma só lição, eu diria:

Acredite mais em você e menos nos outros. Pare de pegar seu combustível (dinheiro) e entregar nas mãos de pessoas que em muitos casos. São menos preparadas que você.

Muito obrigado pelo seu tempo e até o próximo.

Compartilhe

@ e2c72a5a:bfacb2ee

While hackers shift from code to human psychology, $2.1B in crypto was stolen in 2025. Ethereum's price surged 46% in 30 days, strengthening against Bitcoin and poised for a significant breakout. Meanwhile, California unanimously passed a bill allowing state agencies to accept crypto payments, signaling mainstream adoption. Corporate treasuries now control over 3% of Bitcoin's total supply, with 60+ companies doubling their holdings in just two months. The crypto landscape is transforming from technical vulnerabilities to social engineering – are you protecting your assets or just your code? What security measures have you implemented that address the human element of crypto safety?

@ 9ca447d2:fbf5a36d

George Town, Grand Cayman — Ledn, one of the longest-standing digital asset lenders, today announced a sweeping update to its platform to discontinue any lending of client assets to generate interest, meaning that client assets will never be exposed to third party lending credit risk.

Going forward, Ledn will only offer its Custodied Bitcoin loan structure, under which client bitcoin collateral will remain fully in custody either with Ledn or its trusted funding partners.

As part of this strategic shift, Ledn will also remove support for ETH, doubling down on Bitcoin as its sole digital asset focus. These changes were unveiled by the company at Bitcoin 2025 in Las Vegas.

“With our new hyper-focus on Bitcoin-only lending, we’re going back to our roots and principles that inspired Bitcoin to begin with,” said Adam Reeds, Co-Founder and CEO of Ledn.

“Bitcoin was created as a direct response to the risks of fractional reserve banking and unchecked use of client assets to generate interest. Traditional finance relies on constantly reusing client assets to create leverage and, ultimately, inflation.

“Bitcoiners instinctively reject that model. That’s why we’ve moved away from this approach entirely. With our Custodied loan structure, client assets stay where they belong and are held in a transparent manner.”

While Ledn is taking these steps to further de-risk its product and further enhance client security, many of the new lending products in the market are exposing consumers to risky and opaque structures once again.

“These are the exact dynamics that led to the meltdown of the lending sector in 2022,” Reeds added.

“As more new entrants push half-baked lending models back into the market, we’re choosing the opposite path— Eliminating lending risk entirely for our users and making it 100% clear how their assets are dealt with.

“That clarity is what has helped us originate over $9.5 billion in loans and become the #1 retail CeFi lender in the Bitcoin space. We believe this approach should become the new standard for any serious digital asset lender.”    

This shift reinforces Ledn’s broader strategy:  Going all in on Bitcoin, simplifying its product stack, and sharpening its focus around the most secure and proven digital asset.

Ledn was the first crypto lender to introduce proof-of-reserves attestations in 2020, offering clients third-party verification that assets were fully accounted for down to the satoshi.

That transparency-first approach allowed the company to navigate market volatility as peers collapsed under opaque and hidden risks.

Now, as global regulators begin signaling openness to supervised participation rather than blanket restrictions, the opportunity — and the responsibility — for digital asset platforms is clear: Build resilient systems and proactively mitigate risk.

Ledn will exclusively offer custodied bitcoin-backed loans as of July 1, 2025. Support for ETH will be retired in the same release, reflecting Ledn’s strategic shift to a Bitcoin-only platform.

For more information on this transition, visit blog.ledn.io

For media inquiries, interviews, or early access to supporting materials, contact ledn@clpr.agency

About Ledn

Ledn offers growth accounts and loans to clients in over 120 countries, with an expanding range of services and supported regions. The company is dedicated to building world-class financial services, with a focus on helping people build long-term wealth through digital asset-based products. 

For more information about Ledn and its services, visit the company’s website at www.ledn.io

@ 5ea46480:450da5bd

Ofcourse do we want our big open world cake, and eat it with a side of stability and order. I love the spammers, because all they do is press our noses on the grim reality we are facing: Everything is going to turn to absolute shit. The fact that we are all interconnected is meaningless because the communication lines contain too much noise.

Look, some spambot posting silly things that might waste your attention for a tiny bit before you figure out its not worth your time, or clutter your feed, is not the end of the world. But the point is that that post could be anything, and with a bit of AI effort more convincing. We all sense this, in fact we even see it, and there is no indication to think it wont get worse.

Important to note is, that the big platforms are struggling with this crap as well. Their set up is by their nature a ‘have a cake and eat it’ proposition: Yes we are the worlds public square that everyone visits in this particular domain, and we will keep you safe from spammers and fraudsters. But we ran out of captchas, and they are forced to heighten their walls, reinforce their gates and increase the amount of guards that are on patrol; slowly but surely, you as a user will be forced to subjugate yourself to more and more scrutiny, restrictions and punishment if you want to be active there. At some point the only reason they would be considered ‘the worlds public square’, is because they are the only vestiges of order left without any existing alternatives.

If we seriously want to introduce that alternative, we would have to approach the issue in a fundamentally different manner. That issue, is one of reputation, i.e. consistent behavior over time. Now to be clear, there is no full proof system for reputation, it does not exist for two reasons: One, anyone at any time can decide to break their consistent behavior simply because they feel like it. And two, because you you never have perfect information and can therefor not interpret the consistency of their behavior perfectly; think of a spy for example, where them consistently lying to you and eventually betraying you actually makes them a consistent spy.

Reputation is always a game of who knows who, but ‘social’ reputation is hard to scale: the longer the ties become, the less they can be relied upon. To scale reputation went the route of formalization via institutions: these are your certificates, badges, uniforms whatever, as a testament you went through certain predefined hoops in a controlled environment. As a result, whatever reputation the institution might have rubs off on you. It also stacks in the fact that one certificate can only be obtained when other certificates were acquired prior. So these certificates are pieces of reputational capital, defined in records. This system allowed us to create globe spanning organizations.

That system does work, but it is rigid, and the moment it becomes corrupt you are very, very screwed, because on what basis are you going to put it back together again? In any event, that is what we have anyway and as noted it has other issues, so what other option is there? Scaling ‘social’ reputation. The whole idea behind Nostr’s ‘Web of Trust’, is that bottom-up connections and relations, that are (partly) based on existing relations in meat-space can form a globally meaningful reputational pillar on which we can start identifying each other again.

If seven handshakes connects you with everyone, four will get you pretty far. Three is even less risk, whilst five might open up interesting doors for you. The point is, its gradual, and according to your risk appetite you can play around with it. Secondly, the better well connected you are, how more of a reputation you gained, the less risk you need to run to begin with. Obviously this requires some bootstrapping, but you live in meatspace; if there really is no-one out there willing to give you a leg up you might want to do some soul searching.

But the result of this strategy, will be that everyone will pull back behind their own little moats first. At first, we will all lose connections to defend ourselves against the massive onslaught of ‘the Fake’: The big estrangement. But that is ok, with a bit of effort, I am sure that eventually, after enough reputational capital is build over time, we will find each other again in this global village.

@ 00ea1f73:71c6e344

Je suis en train de construire un outil de référencement collectif de marques et fabricants proposant des produits 100 % en matière naturelle (ce qui veut essentiellement dire "sans plastique").

Voici les étapes de ma progression ces dernières semaines en tant que non développeur pour créer cela tout en privilégiant des outils open source.

Etape 1 : faisons simple, du texte organisé

J'ai commencé par réunir mes idées dans Anytype. Leur approche "tout est un objet" laisse une flexibilité incroyable pour organiser ses données. On peut s'en servir comme simple outil de prise de note ou comme outil de gestion de projet. Le fonctionnement "local first" de l'application me donne la main sur mes données : elles sont stockées en local sur mon ordinateur et mon téléphone, qui se synchronisent entre eux.

Anytype permet depuis peu de publier sur Internet les "objets" de son choix (pages, notes, albums…) mais cela reste limité pour proposer à des visiteur une navigation fluide entre des objets liés (dans mon cas des marques et des matières par exemple). De plus, il n'est pas encore possible d'y automatiser la mise en forme de contenus à partir de données.

Ainsi, après avoir réuni les informations et préparé les contenus "à la main" pour trois marques seulement dans Anytype, j'ai eu besoin d'automatisation, et donc d'une vraie base de données. Je conserve quand même Anytype pour organiser mes idées et la suite du projet. Je l'utilise aussi pour la vie quotidienne (liste de course partagée, journal…).

Etape 2 : structurons une base de données

Baserow est une alternative à Airtable qui permet de gérer une base de données comme un tableur. Les formules utilisables dans les tableaux m'ont aidé à générer automatiquement les contenus de marque à partir des données que je réunissais. J'ai obtenu des données bien ordonnés dans de beaux tableaux sans avoir plus besoin de réécrire tout le contenu pour chaque marque.

J'ai passé un peu de temps à apprendre la syntaxe des formules de Baserow, j'ai mis à jour le contenu des trois premières marques, généré automatiquement celui d'une quatrième et… je me suis rendu compte que ça n'allait pas le faire.

Un point crucial de mon projet est la gestion et l'affichage des catégories de produits proposés par chaque marque, histoire que cela soit pratique de trouver les alternatives naturelles pour ce que l'on cherche sur le site. Or, dans Baserow il n'y avait pas moyen de générer mes contenus catégorisés de manière dynamique. J'étais contraint de modifier sans cesse des formules de plus en plus complexes, et donc avec un risque d'erreur de plus en plus grand. Cela reste un tableur, plus net pour gérer des données, mais moins fourni en termes de formules.

Avec une seule marque traitée en plus, mon "backend" v2 n'aura pas duré longtemps !

Etape 3 : courage, passons aux choses sérieuses

A ce moment là, j'ai sérieusement douté de ma capacité a créer ce site avec des outils open source et j'ai été tenté de retourner vers Bubble. À mon avis, Bubble est l'outil "no code" (ou de "programmation visuelle") le plus abouti. Je l'avais déjà utilisé efficacement avec We Do Good pour réaliser des prototypes de fonctionnalités, même utilisés provisoirement en production.

C'est génial, avec Bubble, des semaines de travail classique entre développeurs et designers pour arriver à une version utilisable se transforment en heures, voire en jours pour tester et valider des prototypes.

Mais… avec Bubble on n'a pas accès à ce qui se passe derrière l'interface de programmation. On devient en fait prisonnier de leur langage de programmation propriétaire. Si on a besoin de faire différemment, s'ils augmentent leurs prix de manière inadaptée, ou si un blocage se présente pour une autre raison, il faut tout refaire à zéro ou faire développer des nouvelles fonctionnalités (plugins) qui enrichissent Bubble.

J'ai alors décidé de passé au niveau supérieur en terme de technicité, avec des outils tout de même accessible aux non initiés motivés : une base de données dans Supabase connectée à une interface créée avec Plasmic. Avec Supabase j'ai accès aux paramétrages les plus fins sur les données et avec Plamic je construis visuellement ce dont j'ai besoin, comme avec Bubble.

Malgré l'interface visuelle très complètes de Plasmic, certaines fonctions dont j'ai besoin demandent des formules personnalisées utilisant un peu de code. L'avantage, c'est que là ou j'avais appris le language Bubble utilisable seulement avec Bubble, j'apprends maintenant les languages ouverts et universels du web sql et javascript, avec un peu d'aide de l'"IA" pour comprendre les fonctions et erreurs de syntaxe.

J'apprendre en faisant directement ce que j'ai envie, et c'est beaucoup plus efficace et motivant !

Plasmic me laisse aussi récupérer et réutiliser l'ensemble du code source ailleurs si j'en ai besoin un jour.

Je devais en passer par là

Chaque version de mon "backend" a été utile et même nécessaire à la suivante.

Avec mon expérience d'entrepreneur du web, je sentais depuis le départ que j'aurais besoin d'une solution robuste de base de données ainsi que de pouvoir intervenir sur le code facilement. Cependant, au démarrage, je n'avais pas envie de me plonger là-dedans. Finalement, bien m'en a pris ! La structuration de données que j'avais initialement imaginée est très différente de celle à laquelle j'arrive maintenant.

Je n'aurais pas eu une base de données claire et bien organisée dans Supabase si je n'avais pas fait précédemment une itération dans Baserow. Je n'aurais pas créé les tables et liaisons utiles dans Baserow si je n'avais pas créé les premiers contenus sous forme de texte avec liaisons dans Anytype.

De plus, je n'aurais pas trouvé l'énergie de me lancer sur ce nouveau projet si je n'avais pas commencé par une version très simple et non "scalable". C'est un vrai progrès personnel : j'ai toujours travaillé en essayant de concevoir le maximum de choses d'avances, pour me rassurer et limiter les risques, et parce que c'est ce qu'on apprend à l'école. Les problèmes, c'est que je dépensais pour cela une énergie folle et que bien sûr, la réalité ne correspond jamais vraiment aux prévisions.

En me lançant avec une première version pas du tout aboutie mais fonctionnelle, je me suis autorisé à faire plus d'erreur, à m'exposer et à me concentrer sur du concret.

Références

Pour moi, favoriser l'open source est essentiel car cela fait partie des outils fondamentaux pour défendre ma liberté et celle des autres.

Tous les outils que j'utilise ou ai utilisé pour ce projet sont open source, sauf Anytype qui est juste "open core" (c'est à dire qu'ils publient leur code mais n'autorisent pas tous les usages avec). Ils présentent aussi tous des plans gratuits bien pratiques pour se lancer sans contrainte financière.

• Anytype : https://anytype.io/
• Baserow : https://baserow.io/
• Supabase : https://supabase.com/
• Plasmic : https://www.plasmic.app/

J'ai aussi testé ou envisagé sans les retenir quelques autres solutions comme WordPress ou Silex. Provisoirement, en attendant d'avoir créé toutes les interfaces dont j'ai besoin avec Plasmic, j'utilise NocoDB, connecté à Supabase, pour disposer d'une interface visuelle équivalente à Baserow (avec des formules moins avancées mais la possibilité de me connecter plusieurs bases de données si besoin).

J'utilise beaucoup Alternative.to pour trouver les outils dont j'ai besoin, on y peut filtrer les applications selon de nombreux critère, je le recommande.

Ensuite, il faut tester et se lancer, voire tester en se lançant !

opensource #nocode #lowcode #vibecoding #ia #produitsnaturels #zeroplastique #nostrfr

@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

Čini se da se svet kreće u pogrešnom smeru - rastući troškovi, opadajući životni standard i rastuća nestabilnost. Šta je koren problema? Naš novac je pokvaren.

Naučite više na satsvsfiat.com.

U ovom videu Džo Brajan se služi jedinstvenom i zanimljivom pričom kako bi pokazao da uzrok većine naših problema jednostavno leži u kvalitetu našeg novca. Ovaj video, koji je dostupan svima i svuda, sklapa kockice između današnjih izazova i njihovih osnovnih uzroka uz predstavljanje rešenja: Bitkoin.

Molimo vas da naučite o Bitkoinu - popravite novac i popravićete svet 🧡

@ 6b3780ef:221416c8

Release time!

We are thrilled to announce the release of the new version of DVMCP, packed with a host of new features and enhancements. The standout improvement is the support for the new specification, which brings loads of new possibilities and a future-proof design to accommodate MCP protocol as it evolves.

Currently, DVMCP supports all major MCP capabilities, tools, resources, resource templates, and prompts, along with features like autocompletion. While there are still a few minor MCP features that are not yet supported, the new specification will allows us to introduce new features and capabilities progressively.

A significant amount of work has gone into this update, from designing and drafting the new DVMCP specification, ensuring it aligns with the latest MCP standards. We have also refactored the bridge, discovery, and commons package, adapted the DVMCP.fun website (currently at next.dvmcp.fun), and even created a new storage type for relays to handle ephemeral events more robustly and efficiently. This new storage solution is already powering the DVMCP relay.

These enhancements represent a significant expansion of the possibilities available to DVMCP users. By combining MCP with Nostr, DVMCP offers rock-solid authentication and seamless payments using Lightning. We have many exciting ideas for utilizing these new capabilities in innovative ways, such as monetizing resources for creators, creating collections of prompts, developing agentic capabilities, and much more. Rest assured, we will be rolling out more on this gradually.

Additionally, DVMCP is already providing some servers that you can use for free. These can be discovered using the discovery package with any MCP client or by trying them out on the website.

Rollout Plan

As this update introduces breaking changes, including different event types for various DVMCP-related events, we are hosting the new version of the website at next.dvmcp.fun, with packages starting from version 0.2.x. We will be testing this version and welcome feedback from users over the next 10 days. After this period, we will deploy the 'next' version of the website to the main domain.

Updates on Ecosystem Components

• DVMCP Packages: Starting from version 0.2.x, all packages include breaking changes. If you are already using DVMCP, please adapt to the new kinds and events. You can refer to the @dvmcp-commons package for all the new kinds and tags.

• DVMCP.fun: The website has been entirely refactored to support the new specification and now utilizes idiomatic Svelte 5 across the application. Currently the new version is living at next.dvmcp.fun

• DVMCP Relay: The relay is now powered by the 'rely' framework and employs our atomic circular buffer implementation to handle ephemeral events more robustly and efficiently. It also uses LMDB as persistent storage for announcements and capability events.

Looking ahead, we plan to launch more servers offering various services, develop agentic DVMCPs, create additional guides and tutorials, integrate DVMCP into LLM web interfaces, provide statistics for the DVMCP relay, explore novel concepts in MCP + Nostr integration, and continuously improve the code to make it more accessible to developers as libraries.

Thank you for joining us on this journey! We are incredibly excited about the possibilities that lie ahead and what’s coming next. Stay tuned!

@ c4f5e7a7:8856cac7

I've managed to amass three SN profiles.

Is there a way to combined these?

@k00b @ek

https://stacker.news/items/995836

@ e8646d56:72dab368

eee

@ 866e0139:6a9334e5

Autor: Andreas Hagen. Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben. Sie finden alle Texte der Friedenstaube und weitere Texte zum Thema Frieden hier. Die neuesten Pareto-Artikel finden Sie in unserem Telegram-Kanal.

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Die neuesten Artikel der Friedenstaube gibt es jetzt auch im eigenen Friedenstaube-Telegram-Kanal.

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Heute ist Karfreitag 2025, und ich beginne diese Zeilen um kurz nach 15 Uhr zu schreiben. Seit ich von der Friedenstaube gehört hatte, bastelte ich innerlich immer wieder an dem Text, der Ihnen heute vorliegt. Ich bin kein beruflicher Autor, aber ich möchte meinem Impuls folgen, meine Lebenserfahrungen zu teilen. In der Absicht, dass dieser Inhalt hilfreich in diesen schwierigen Zeiten wirkt.

Ich wurde recht katholisch erzogen in einem (Deutschen) Familiensystem, das von den Wirkungen des Zweiten Weltkrieges – gelinde gesagt – stark geprägt wurde. Was ich als Kind in den 70er Jahren nur über das Spüren wahrgenommen hatte, erklärte sich mir im Laufe meines Erwachsen-Werdens, vor allem über die Erzählungen meines Vaters. Heute bin ich Buddhist, und neben dem Verstehen empfinde ich immer größer werdendes Mitgefühl für meine Großeltern und deren Kinder, die mich auf die Welt gebracht haben.

Während des Krieges ging es in diesen beiden Familien vorrangig um Überleben, wie in vielen anderen Familien auch. Die Männer in Ihrer „Funktion“ an der Front – später dann physisch und psychisch schwer verletzt. Die Frauen auf sich gestellt mit Kindern, Armut, Hoffnungslosigkeit und existentiellen Ängsten ausgesetzt.

Diese Erlebnisse über Jahre hinweg und die daraus resultierenden inneren Zustände oder Gefühle meiner Ahnen sind in einer gewissen Art und Weise über mehrere Generationen hinweg bis in mein eigenes Körper-Geist-System weitergegeben worden. Was manche als kollektiv-psychologisches Phänomen mit dem Namen „German Angst“ beschreiben, möchte ich in den folgenden Zeilen unter dem Kontext einer fernöstlichen Sichtweise betrachten. Das scheint möglicherweise etwas ungewöhnlich, aber lassen Sie sich in der kommenden Lesezeit auf ein Denk-Experiment ein, das sich lohnen wird.

Ich spreche über das Prinzip des NICHT-TUNS, in der daoistischen Philosophie WU WEI genannt.

Betrachtet man das Phänomen der „German Angst“ unter Zuhilfenahme des Prinzips des Nicht-Tuns, kann man ein inhärentes Möglichkeitspotential darin entdecken. Das heißt, wir betrachten ein bekanntes Phänomen aus einer vollständig anderen Perspektive, und durch den etwas anderen Blick wird etwas sichtbar, was vorher schon da war, aber noch im Verborgenen.

Dieses in uns liegende Möglichkeitspotential kann uns in den kommenden Monaten hilfreich sein, um dem zu begegnen, was gerade in Deutschland und Europa stattfindet. Manche bezeichnen den aktuellen Prozess als Optimierung der Verteidigungsfähigkeiten, andere betrachten ihn als Kriegsvorbereitung, wobei die offenliegende, primäre Auswirkung der „German Angst“ als Durchsetzungswerkzeug nutzbar gemacht wird.

Aber erst einmal zurück zu Karfreitag vor über zweitausend Jahren: An jenem Nachmittag hing Christus am Kreuz angenagelt und absichtlich schwer verletzt (für Viele, damals wie heute, DER SOHN GOTTES und Ausdruck bedingungsloser Liebe). Wenn man sich in diese Situation hineinfühlt, wird das Leid schier unerträglich. Und ich bitte den Leser unabhängig von seiner Religion oder inneren Ausrichtung explizit, kurz innezuhalten und sich in diesen sterbenden Menschen hineinzuversetzen.

DAS war das letztendliche Ergebnis von KRIEG. DIE LIEBE wurde an ein Kreuz genagelt, mit einem Speer aufgespießt und dann starb sie – langsam und qualvoll.

Wenn man den Überlieferungen glaubt, waren einige seiner engen Schüler und Vertrauten ganz in der Nähe. Auch deren Gefühlswelt ist vom Leser nach zweitausend Jahren nachfühlbar, auch wenn es  ähnlich schwierig ist.

Manch Historiker argumentiert, dass Jesus/Christus bereits einige Zeit vor diesem Ereignis wusste, welches „Ende“ ihm bestimmt war. So dann auch wohl seine engsten Vertrauten, vielleicht sogar die gesamte Essener-Gemeinschaft, aus der er stammte. Wenn dem so war, ist dieses Wesen in Klarheit und absoluter Hingabe in diesen unglaublich leidvollen Prozess gegangen.

Man kann auch rein gedanklich nachvollziehen, dass alle ihm nahestehenden Menschen schwierige Gefühle wie Verzweiflung, Ohnmacht und Wut in allerhöchster Ausprägung aushalten mussten. Nicht nur an diesem Tag, sondern schon einige Zeit davor und noch lange danach. Diese Menschen waren allerdings von IHM ausgebildet, genauso wie Jesus selbst in hohen Weisheitslehren ausgebildet war.

Das macht hier den Unterschied aus, auf den ich hinweisen möchte.

Die Geschichte lehrt uns, dass er und seine Anhänger besondere Menschen waren. In diesem, für die Menschheit so einschneidenden und bis heute überlieferten Ereignis, war ein wesentlicher Bestandteil von absoluter Wichtigkeit für alle Beteiligten:

Das NICHT-TUN

Und ich bin der Meinung, dass dieses NICHT-TUN in unserer Zeitqualität immer noch ein wesentlicher Schlüssel für die Herausforderungen ist, vor denen wir heute und in nächster Zukunft stehen.

Was ist denn NICHT-TUN und wie unterscheidet es sich vom Nichts-Tun?

NICHT-TUN fängt an mit einer all-umfassenden Wahrnehmung von dem, was ist. OHNE direkte Reaktion.

Das Nichts-Tun hingegen fängt mit einer schnell eingeschränkten Wahrnehmung an – der Einschränkung gehen meist schwierige Gefühle voran, gegen die ein Mensch automatisch Widerstand aufbaut. Oftmals bekommen wir davon auch überhaupt nichts mit und es gibt meistens Trauma in der Vergangenheit als Hintergrund oder Ursache.

Bei gewaltigen Ereignissen mit hohem psycho-energetischem Impact reagieren Lebewesen relativ umgehend entweder mit Totstellen, Flucht oder Kampf. Es sind alles auto-reaktive Muster, die in unserem zentralen Nervensystem einprogrammiert sin, und dementsprechend sind sie schwer zu umgehen. ANGRIFF, DROHENDER TOD und KRIEG sind z.B. solche gewaltigen Ereignisse.

Wie oben beschrieben, wirken VERGANGENE Angriffe oder Kriege in unserem Körper-Geist-System nach, sogar generationenübergreifend (in unserem Denkexperiment die „German Angst“). Dementsprechend greifen die auto-reaktiven Muster auch bereits in einem VOR-KRIEGS-ZUSTAND, ohne dass Menschen das möglicherweise bewusst mitkriegen.

Ich ordne alle diese automatischen Reaktionen hier dem Nichts-Tun zu. Alle haben zwar den Überlebenstrieb gemeinsam und machen für ein Individuum Sinn. Aber in der kollektiven Situation, in der wir uns gerade befinden, sind sie alle kontraproduktiv.

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DIE FRIEDENSTAUBE FLIEGT AUCH IN IHR POSTFACH!

In Kürze folgt eine Mail an alle Genossenschafter, danke für die Geduld und das Verständnis!

Hier können Sie die Friedenstaube abonnieren und bekommen die Artikel zugesandt, vorerst für alle kostenfrei, wir starten gänzlich ohne Paywall. (Die Bezahlabos fangen erst zu laufen an, wenn ein Monetarisierungskonzept für die Inhalte steht). Sie wollen der Genossenschaft beitreten oder uns unterstützen? Mehr Infos hier oder am Ende des Textes.

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Sich in der aktuellen politischen Situation totzustellen, ist sozusagen ein EXIT des Individuums und es wird nichts, absolut gar nichts zur Verbesserung unser aller Situation beitragen. Die Flucht ist ähnlich zu bewerten – das Individuum rettet sich möglicherweise. Aber es trägt auch nichts zur Heilung oder konstruktiven Verbesserung der (kollektiven) Weltlage bei. Der Kampf, also die sofortige Mobilmachung zur Bekämpfung der widerständigen Gegenkräfte ist zwar eine Form von Tun, aber sie mündet letztendlich im Nichts: Zwei Gegner wollen sich vernichten, bis ein Stärkerer gewinnt – leider ignoriert dieser Automatismus in diesem Momentum, unter welchen Rahmenbedingungen der Gewinner nach dem Überleben weiterleben könnte (oder auch nicht).

Um wieder den Bogen zum Beginn des Christentums und auch zum NICHT-TUN der damaligen Beteiligten zu spannen: Trotz der schwer aushaltbaren Gefühle, hat Christus dieses Schicksal angenommen – ebenso seine Liebsten. Sie nahmen das, was war, in einem ersten Schritt ohne sofortige, automatisierte Reaktion an.

Allerdings waren sie sich allem und vollständig bewusst darüber, was die Situation und das Leben bereitstellte. Die Achtsamkeit nicht nur auf das gelenkt, was gerade schmerzhaft und unaushaltbar war, sondern auf das darüberliegende Größere. Auf die Inhalte, die Christus bzw. die Liebe selbst sie gelehrt hatte:

Sie hielten still. Und sie gingen sehr, sehr bewusst aus dem (inneren und äußeren) Kampf hinaus. Auch wenn sie ihn scheinbar verloren hatten.

Weil genau das der Menschheit gelehrt werden sollte.

Wenn Menschen in vollumfänglicher Wahrnehmung dessen, was ist (und ohne Widerstand dagegen), still sein können, entsteht ein ganz besonderes Momentum. Man bezeichnet das auch als Präsenz. Präsenz kann in Bruchteilen von Sekunden entstehen. Aber man muss es eben auch erlernen.

Wenn die Energie eines Angreifers auf ein solches menschliches Energiefeld trifft, wird Angriffsenergie als erstes SICHTBAR. Bei einigen realisierten (Kampfkunst-) Meistern kann das beobachtet werden. Diese haben es geschafft, Ihren inneren Kampf aufzugeben. Solche Menschen werden faktisch unangreifbar, denn die Energie des Angriffs prallt an deren ausbalancierten Energiefeld ab und wendet sich gegen den Angreifer selbst. Dieser erfährt die Wirkung seiner Handlung dann am eigenen Selbst und stellt in der Regel diesen sinnlosen Akt ein. Solche Menschen haben über den Weg des Nicht-Tuns inneren Frieden kultivieren können, der sich danach auch im Außen manifestiert.

In diesem Zustand findet die Energie sozusagen ohne unseren Willen Ihren klaren und eindeutigen WEG. Im einfachen Fall, beendet es den Kampf, im besten Fall wird die Energie zum Guten umgelenkt und der natürliche Zustand von Frieden entsteht durch die notwendige Bewegung der Energie in die richtige Richtung.

Es ist für uns als Gesellschaft möglich, diese Erkenntnisse in das kollektive Geschehen von KRIEG, KRIEGSVORBEREITUNG und den gerade wirksamen Aspekten der „German Angst“ einwirken zu lassen. 

Hierin liegt eine enorme Transformationskraft. Denn wie in einem individuellen Trauma Lebenskraft unterdrückt und bis zur Heilung/Auflösung nicht verfügbar ist, ist es auch bei unserem kollektiven Trauma. Die Chance dabei: Es sind starke Wirk-Kräfte gebunden, die wir als Gesellschaft für einen positiven Wandel zum Frieden hin freisetzen können. Für diese Freisetzung benötigt es Klarheit, Willen und vor allem Eigenverantwortung eines jeden Einzelnen. 

Wir sollten uns in einem ersten Schritt bewusst werden, was gerade ganz individuell in unserem Inneren stattfindet. Welche Form des Nichts-Tuns herrscht gerade und warum herrscht sie eigentlich über uns? Welche Automatismen/Muster sind gerade aktiv?

Nehmen wir das doch zuallererst in unsere Verantwortung und werden wir still damit.

Ebenso sollten wir uns als Teil des Menschheitskollektives genau dessen bewusst sein, was gerade im Außen geschieht. Schauen wir uns aus unserer kultivierten Stille heraus an, dass sich Kampf bzw. Krieg anbahnt, an manchen Fronten ist er bereits aktiv. Durch die Bewusstwerdung dessen, wird er SICHTBAR, mit allen seinen Mechanismen und seinen Schatten. 

Nehmen wir diese Verantwortung für uns selbst wahr, gibt es dieses besondere Momentum, in dem der Weg der Energie sich wie von selbst verändert. Und das kann man nicht gedanklich vorausplanen. Sie verändert sich aber in dem Sinne, dass alle notwendigen Bewegungen den NATÜRLICHEN ZUSTAND wiederherstellen wollen.

Das würde dann also nicht nur für das wahrnehmende Individuum, sondern für alle Beteiligten erfahrbar werden. Seien es die normale Bürger, repräsentative Regierungsteile oder bereits aktive Kriegsgegner. Es wäre für uns erfahrbar, wie wenn eine unsichtbare Intelligenz oder das Eine, große Ganze zum Wohle bzw. Zusammenfügen von allem gerade Getrennten wirken würde. Die Auswirkung davon würde letztendlich FRIEDEN sein. Und es würde uns vorkommen, wie ein Wunder, auf das wir schon lange warten und an das wir nicht mehr geglaubt hatten.

In dem Momentum der Präsenz im NICHT-TUN entsteht außerordentliche Klarheit und ganz eindeutiges Handeln. Die Wirkung ist immer individuell und kollektiv. 

NICHT-TUN ist Friedensarbeit und beginnt immer bei uns selbst.

In den info-energetischen Mustern in unserem Körper-Geist-System, die das Phänomen „German Angst“ uns beschert hat, sind eben auch Lösungsmöglichkeiten enthalten, die die kriegsgeschundenen Generationen vor uns in der Reflektion nach den Ereignissen des zweiten Weltkrieges sozusagen erarbeitet haben. Und die Klarheit darüber, was diese Generationen vor uns hätten besser machen können, ist ebenso wie die angstgetriebenen Verhaltensautomatismen kollektiv zugänglich. 

Sie hatten es damals leider noch nicht geschafft, bevor die Spirale des Kampfes völlig in die Eskalation ging – obwohl es einige gab, die andere Wege versucht hatten. Aber sie hatten aus den schmerzhaften Ereignissen gelernt, und das steht uns jetzt zur Verfügung, wenn wir uns selbst spüren. 

Die Erschließung dieses über Generationen gereiften, aber noch unerschlossenen Kraftpotentials wird möglich werden, wenn wir uns zu dem Trauma hinwenden, das uns aktuell so sehr Angst macht. Wenn wir uns ihm zuwenden und für uns selbst Verantwortung übernehmen, wird es Anderen nicht mehr möglich sein, unsere Ängste für Ihre selbst angstbasierten Kampfhandlungen nutzbar zu machen. 

Je mehr wir uns unserem eigenen verwundeten Kern zuwenden, desto heiler, desto klarer und desto kraftvoller werden wir. Die Menschheit kann sich selbst befreien.

Und vor zweitausend Jahren war da einer, der wusste, dass wir es irgendwann können werden.

Mögen wir in der Tiefe unseres Selbst unseren natürlichen Zustand wieder finden und unsere Welt in friedlichen Miteinanders neu gestalten.

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Andreas Hagen hat Deutschland noch während der Corona-Zeit verlassen und lebt seitdem  mit seiner Familie glücklich auf einem Bauernhof oberhalb Basel in der Schweiz.

Er ist Gründer des nidoki-Projektes (www.nidoki.de) und vermittelt interessierten Menschen  Qi Gong,  Jing Qi und K.I. (Körperintelligenz) in Gruppensettings. In kleinem Rahmen trägt er in Einzelsettings mit Hilfe der traumasensiblen Methoden der neurosystemischen Integration zur Verbesserung der Selbstregulation von Menschen in diesen herausfordernden Zeiten bei.

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LASSEN SIE DER FRIEDENSTAUBE FLÜGEL WACHSEN!

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Wenn Sie auf anderem Wege beitragen wollen, schreiben Sie die Friedenstaube an: friedenstaube@pareto.space

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Sie sind noch nicht auf Nostr and wollen die volle Erfahrung machen (liken, kommentieren etc.)? Zappen können Sie den Autor auch ohne Nostr-Profil! Erstellen Sie sich einen Account auf Start. Weitere Onboarding-Leitfäden gibt es im Pareto-Wiki.

@ c3b2802b:4850599c

Die Befragten erzählen, wie sie den Zusammenbruch des Vertrauens vieler Menschen im Land in das mechanistische Muster von Heilung durch Medikamente und Injektionen erlebt haben. Und sie lassen uns teilhaben an ihrem Erfahrungsschatz mit Heilverfahren, welche über mechanistische Verfahren des klassischen Gesundheitswesens hinausweisen. Verfahren, welche dazu beitragen, dass wir Menschen unsere Balance, unser Wohlbefinden erhalten oder wiederfinden. Verfahren, die uns in unsere volle Kraft und Energie bringen, um unsere Möglichkeiten und Potentiale zur Entfaltung zu bringen.

Das Buch erscheint zu einem passenden Zeitpunkt. Zum einen haben viele Menschen seit 2021 am eigenen Körper die Folgen der mRNA Injektionen erlebt und dramatische Schicksale von Angehörigen und Freunden miterlebt.

Zum anderen kommen derzeit vermehrt Informationen in Umlauf, welche die Motive von global agierenden Pharmaziekartellen und von ihnen gesponserten Organisationen wie der Welt-Gesundheits-Organisation WHO offenlegen.

Worum geht es der WHO, die zu 84% von privaten Geldgebern unterhalten wird? Im Jahr 2022 hat die WHO eine Bittschrift für potentielle Sponsoren veröffentlicht, welche den denkwürdigen Titel hat: „A healthy return“. Gemeint ist ein „gesunder“ Geldrückfluß für Geldgeber, welcher eine 3.500 (dreitausendfünfhundert!!!) prozentige Steigerung des Wertes des eingezahlten Geldes in Aussicht stellt. Hier finden Sie Details.

Wieviel Zinsen zahlt Ihre Bank, falls Sie mal Geld übrig haben? Ein, zwei – oder gar drei Prozent? Darf man solch einer Vereinigung das Vertrauen schenken, die Gesundheit der Weltbevölkerung sicherzustellen? Mögen Sie Ihre Zukunft einer Organisation anvertrauen, welche nicht demokratisch legitimiert ist, die unbekümmert mit Genmanipulationen umgeht und die exorbitante Gewinne für ihre Sponsoren im Auge hat?

Die Zeit scheint reif zu sein, uns in Erinnerung zu rufen: Wir Menschen sind komplexe Wesen mit Körper und Seele. Uns zeichnen zauberhafte Potentiale aus. Wir verfügen über ein Gewissen, Achtsamkeit, Dankbarkeit, Demut, Liebe.

Hier schließt sich der Kreis zum Buch von Laurens Dillmann: Die Experten für Gesundheit, Wohlbefinden und Potentialentfaltung wurden nach ihrem Werdegang, ihren Überzeugungen, ihrer konkreten Heilarbeit, ihren Erfolgen und teils auch zu ihrer Position in der globalen aktuellen Krise befragt.

Was das Buch charmant macht, ist die große Buntheit an zusammengetragenen Perspektiven, welche sich durch die Vielfalt der Berufsschwerpunkte der Befragten ergibt. Ein Wildnispädagoge und eine Hebamme, Traumatherapeuten und klassische Ärzte, Medizinwissenschaftler und -ethiker, ein Wildpflanzenexperte und ein Anti-Gewalt-Trainer, eine Gesangs- und Musiktherapeutin, eine Sex-Forscherin und mehrere Psychologen geben sich ein Stelldichein zwischen den Buchdeckeln. Auch wenig verbreitete Aspekte wie Astrologie oder Schamanismus kommen zur Sprache.

In einem Schlusskapitel stellt Sozialarbeiter, Naturpädagoge und Heilpraktiker Mattheo Pfleger in einem Manifest „Pro Leben und Gesundheit 2030“ eine Reihe von sehr weitreichenden Leitlinien für ein Gesundheitswesen der Zukunft vor. Besonders eindrücklich für mich ist sein Vorschlag einer Grundgesetzänderung, in der die Würde des Lebens für unantastbar erklärt wird. Hier kann das Buch erworben werden.

Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.

@ a296b972:e5a7a2e8

So sehr man sich auch Mühe gibt, es will vielen einfach nicht gelingen, Russland als den Feind anzusehen.

Wenn ein fremder Mann eine Frau unfreiwillig zum Tanz auf’s Parkett zerrt und der Ehemann dem fremden Mann wie auch immer zu verstehen gibt, dass das so nicht geht, dann kann man nicht sagen, der Ehemann habe einen Streit vom Zaun gebrochen.

Eine Reaktion setzt immer eine Aktion voraus.

Nicht Russland ist der NATO auf die Pelle gerückt, sondern die NATO mit der Osterweiterung Russland.

Russland wollte mit Auflösung des Warschauer Pakts eine gemeinsame europäische Militärlösung, die die Neuordnung der NATO oder gar ebenfalls ihre Auflösung zur Folge gehabt hätte.

Der sogenannte Wertewesten ist maßgeblich für den Krieg in der Ukraine verantwortlich. Völkerrechtswidrigkeit kann man weglassen, da es auch im Westen, von den USA, mehrfach Beispiele für völkerrechtswidrige Angriffe auf andere Staaten gibt. Und Deutschland hat im Kosovo auch nicht nur Kaffee für die Truppen gekocht.

Wer im Glashaus sitzt, sollte nicht mit Steinen werfen.

Wenn Deutschland, vertreten durch einen Kanzler 2. Wahl über die nicht mehr vorhandene Reichweitenbeschränkung spricht, das Wahlvieh, den ehemaligen Souverän, im Ungewissen über die Lieferung des Stiers lässt, und dann, wie aus heiterem Himmel, Taurus, mit deutschem Kompass und deutschen Kompassbedienern, auf einmal Richtung Krim-Brücke oder gar Moskau unterwegs sein sollte, wen würde es dann wundern, wenn Moskau seine „Liebesgrüße“, schon allein aus reiner Höflichkeit und Anstand, nach Schrobenhausen sendet?

Würde das passieren, würde man in Deutschland sagen: Seht ihr, wir haben es euch ja immer gesagt, ihr wolltet es nur nicht glauben. Russland, mit seinem imperialen Anspruch und seinem aggressiven Verhalten, der Friedensverhinderer, der böse Putin, der böse Russ‘, wird uns angreifen! Die geforderte Kriegstüchtigkeit war also absolut berechtigt!

Wer das dann immer noch glaubt, dem möchte man eine Rakete in den Kamin seiner Doppelhaushälfte mit Gänsemuster-Gardinen am Küchenfenster stecken.

Wenn man jemanden bis auf’s Blut reizt, ist es ihm dann zu verdenken, wenn ihm irgendwann der Geduldsfaden reißt, nachdem schon mehrere Rote Linien überschritten wurden?

Und warum reizt man Russland bis auf’s Blut? Man kann zu keinem anderen Grund kommen, als dass die Geistesgrößen in Deutschland unbedingt einen Krieg wollen. Wozu? Ist das die von wem auch immer geplante Vollendung der Zerstörung Deutschlands? Der zukünftige Ex-Kanzler redet einen Haufen vermeintlich kluges Zeug daher, aber Russland handelt klug. Kleiner Unterschied.

Rheingold ist in gewöhnliches Rheinmetall, wohl durch Geheim-Alchimie, verwandelt worden. Geheim wird ja jetzt wieder modern. Man kann nur hoffen, dass es in der Taurussland-Rakete tatsächlich US-amerikanische Komponenten gibt, die (vielleicht sogar in Wiesbaden?) abgeschaltet werden können, damit der Stier nicht fliegen kann. Und man kann auch nur hoffen, dass die USA sie dann auch wirklich abschalten.

Die Meyer-Werft in Papenburg soll demnächst auch „Meine Fregatte“ und „Kreuzer grau I bis IX“ bauen. Panzerkreuzerfahrten in der Ostsee mit Blick auf Königsberg, na bravo, tolle Idee. (Da war doch mal was?). Gute Erholung schon jetzt. Da wird die vom Kaiser für den Aufbau der Marine eingeführte Sektsteuer endlich wieder ihrem eigentlichen Zweck zugeführt.

Und wie der ehemalige Masken-Chef-Einkäufer erst jüngst in einer der unsäglichen Staatsfunk-Aufführungen lichtblitzartig erkannt haben muss, spricht Putin Deutsch. Nein, doch, oh! Man stelle sich das einmal vor. Ganz was Neues! Die jetzt für die deutsche Bevölkerung geheim gehaltenen militärischen Absprachen werden nun in einer Sprache in Berlin besprochen, von denen man vorher sorgfältig, wie immer, recherchiert hat, dass Putin sie sicher nicht spricht, damit er nichts mitbekommt. Pssst, Feind hört mit! Den Beruf des Dolmetschers oder Übersetzers hat das Arbeitsamt in der Berufsberatung in der Schulzeit des Bankkaufmanns wahrscheinlich nicht vorgestellt, daher existieren sie für ihn nicht.

Und welche militärischen Entscheidungen von den deutschen "Chef-Diplomaten" getroffen wurden, das erfährt die Bevölkerung ja spätestens, wenn es knallt. Das reicht ja auch.

Was kommt als nächstes? Nach selbst genähten Maulwindeln jetzt eine Nähanleitung für schwere Gardinen zur Fenster-Verdunkelung? Oder gibt es die bald schon fertig in allen Größen zu kaufen, bei einem Discounter, wie in Berlin jetzt Macheten, damit man sich im Garten wieder den Weg zum Geräteschuppen bahnen kann.

Ils sont fous ces Allemands!

„Das große Karthago führte drei Kriege. Nach dem ersten war es noch mächtig. Nach dem zweiten war es noch bewohnbar. Nach dem dritten war es nicht mehr aufzufinden“, Berthold Brecht.

“Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben.”

* *

(Bild von pixabay)

@ 2769f6ba:8dac44e4

You may want to believe that the world works like a video game, where you can press the pause button, come back three months later and everything will be waiting for you exactly as you left it. But real life doesn’t work like that. The difference is that in the video game you are in control, whereas in real life you are not. Maybe you want to believe that the worst is over, but this is just getting started. Supply chains are breaking down and the economy is starting to collapse. To make it clear, “the economy” is not something abstract; it’s real people losing their jobs, their businesses, their incomes and their homes. Your authoritarian fantasies will just make it worse for you and others until you cannot handle it anymore and you accept reality and surrender to it. I get that you are afraid, and that’s OK. But to hold your fellow human beings hostage because you are afraid is not OK. It’s getting to the point where if you still support lockdowns, mandatory vaccines, mandatory tracking, mandatory testing or mandatory anything you have blood on your hands. History will not judge you kindly.

Then there are those of you who want to believe that the bailouts and the “universal basic income” will make the problems disappear. For example, I read Charles Eisenstein in his otherwise excellent piece The Coronation come up with all this UBI nonsense. You probably realize that if you grab a piece of paper and write “$1,000,000” on it with a marker pen of your favorite color, you don’t become magically rich. But you still want to believe that if the government does exactly the same thing, your problems will go away. On the one hand, even if you are not fully aware of it, you realize that the government and its satellite corporations are abusing you and sucking your blood more and more every day. Yet on the other hand, you keep begging your very abusers that are trying to deprive you from earning an honest living for yourself to give you a measly monthly UBI check in the hopes that it will magically make you feel good and solve your problems.

Aside from the fact that printing money cannot solve the issue the governments themselves have created in the first place with their mandatory lockdowns: maybe you expect that you can control your masters, or that they will benevolently give you the UBI check with no strings attached. Of course not: receiving the check will likely be tied to being a “good law-abiding citizen” (a.k.a. obedient slave); something like the social credit system they have in China. You will end up completely disempowered and depending on the government to even feed yourself and have shelter. I find it quite infuriating and sad that any “spiritual teacher” would want that for you and that you fall for it.

Consider this:

The issue is not the coronavirus itself. The virus is just revealing the cracks in the system.

You are not a victim. You always have the power. Not the power to start a “revolution”, mind you, which just consists in replacing the old abusers with new ones. As Buckminster Fuller said: “You never change things by fighting the existing reality. To change something, build a new model that makes the existing model obsolete.”

You have the power to walk away from this dying system of nation-state governments and fiat “money” and into the nascent paradigm of cryptocurrencies and decentralized governance. But first you have to question and confront the beliefs you have accepted as “reality”. It’s hard, I know, but unavoidable. So, the sooner you begin, the better for yourself and for humanity. Do you want to be free or do you just want to have a “fair” master?

@ e4950c93:1b99eccd

Marques

Cosilana est une marque allemande qui crée des vêtements exclusivement en coton biologique, soie et laine pour les femmes, les bébés et les enfants.

Matières naturelles utilisées dans les produits

• Coton (biologique)
• Soie
• Laine (mérinos)

Catégories de produits proposés

Cette marque propose des produits intégralement en matière naturelle dans les catégories suivantes :

#Vêtements

• Tailles vêtements : bébés, enfants, femmes
• Sous-vêtements : culottes
• Une pièce : bodies, combinaisons
• Hauts : débardeurs, pulls, t-shirts, vestes
• Bas : leggings, pantalons, shorts
• Tête et mains : bonnets, gants
• Nuit : pyjamas

#Maison

• Linge : couvertures, turbulettes

Autres informations

• Certification GOTS
• Fabriqué en Allemagne
• Fabriqué en Europe
• Déclaration de laine de mouton sans mulesing et de bien-être animal

👉 En savoir plus sur le site de la marque

Où trouver leurs produits ?

• Le mouton à lunettes (zone de livraison : France, Belgique, Luxembourg)
• Mama Owl (en anglais, zone de livraison : Royaume Uni et international)
• Chouchous (zone de livraison : France et international)

---

📝 Tu peux contribuer à cette fiche en suggérant une modification en commentaire.

🗣️ Tu utilises des produits de cette marque ? Partage ton avis en commentaire.

⚡ Heureu-x-se de trouver cette information ? Soutiens le projet en faisant un don pour remercier les contribut-eur-ice-s.

@ 2769f6ba:8dac44e4

To be blunt, people want “authority” to exist because they themselves are immature cowards. They want an all-powerful entity to impose their will upon others. This takes different forms in different varieties of political advocacy, but the basic motivation is always the same. The “liberal” for example, resents reality. He does not want a world in which suffering and injustice are possible. But instead of doing what He can as a human being, he wants a “Government” to do it for him. He wants some magical entity to make sure that everyone, himself included, is fed, housed, and taken care of, no matter how lazy or irresponsible they are. Instead of trusting human beings to take care of each other, he wants a super human ”authority” to guarantee housing, food, health care, and all sorts of other things, for everyone. He wants it so badly that he refuses to accept the obvious truth that no such guarantee is ever possible, and that if mere mortals do not take care of themselves and each other, nothing else will take care of them.

“The Most Dangerous Superstition” – Larken Rose, pg. 124

@ cefb08d1:f419beff

https://stacker.news/items/995807

@ 5d4b6c8d:8a1c1ee3

I had a very mid sort of day. I mostly did what I was supposed to, but didn't go above and beyond on anything. It was too hot for the dog to want to go on a real walk and I had too much work to get a lot of steps in during the day.

I did try a pineapple fruit jerky today, that I rather enjoyed and was supposedly the equivalent of half a pineapple.

How did you all do today?

https://stacker.news/items/995706

@ e2c72a5a:bfacb2ee

When the whales cry for help: crypto trader's $100M bet turns community funding experiment

A multimillionaire trader just placed a second $100 million Bitcoin bet days after being liquidated, but what's truly revolutionary isn't the size—it's how he's funding it. James Wynn has turned to the crypto community for donations, receiving stablecoins from 24 users to "fight the market-making cabal" he claims is targeting his positions. This unprecedented crowdfunded leverage experiment raises fascinating questions about market manipulation, community solidarity, and the blurring lines between individual and collective risk in crypto trading.

Is this the birth of community-backed whale trading? Or simply a desperate gambler's last stand? Either way, it reveals how blockchain transparency creates entirely new social dynamics around trading that would be impossible in traditional markets. What happens when your liquidation becomes everyone's battle?

Would you donate to protect a stranger's $100M position? The answer might reveal more about crypto's future than any price prediction.

@ 240d3004:1cf86254

The Last Ledger

Chapter 1: The Warning

Sarah Chen stared at the glowing screen of her laptop, the cursor blinking mockingly at the end of an empty email. How do you tell someone their entire financial worldview is about to collapse? How do you explain that the retirement account they've spent decades building is actually just a claim on a claim on a promise that might not exist?

She'd been reading David Rogers Webb's "The Great Taking" for the third time, cross-referencing the legal documents, following the money trails through decades of seemingly unrelated financial "reforms." The picture that emerged made her stomach churn.

Her phone buzzed. A text from her brother Mike: "Coffee tomorrow? Want to show you this cool Bitcoin lending thing. Getting 8% yield on my stack!"

Sarah closed her eyes. Mike had been so proud when he'd finally bought Bitcoin last year, calling her a "paranoid prepper" for keeping hers in cold storage. He'd moved his to BlockFi for the "professional custody" and yield opportunities.

She started typing:

Mike - we need to talk. Cancel the lending thing. NOW. And get your Bitcoin off BlockFi immediately. I know it sounds crazy, but I need you to trust me on this one.

Her finger hovered over send. She thought about all the conversations she'd had lately that ended with glazed eyes and polite subject changes. People didn't want to hear that their "diversified portfolio" was actually just different flavors of the same systematic risk.

She pressed send.

Chapter 2: The Capture

Six months later

The coffee shop buzzed with the nervous energy that had become normal since the "banking liquidity events" started cascading through regional institutions. Sarah watched the news ticker scroll past on the mounted TV: "Fed Chairman assures markets that deposit guarantees remain strong... FDIC reports adequate reserves..."

Mike slumped across from her, his face gray. "You tried to warn me."

BlockFi had frozen withdrawals two weeks ago. The official statement mentioned "temporary operational challenges due to counterparty exposures." Mike's Bitcoin, along with hundreds of thousands of others, was trapped in bankruptcy proceedings.

"The lawyers say we might get thirty cents on the dollar," he continued. "If we're lucky. Apparently they lent our Bitcoin to some trading firm that went bust." He laughed bitterly. "'Professional custody,' they called it."

Sarah nodded, having no desire to say 'I told you so.' She'd watched the same pattern repeat across a dozen platforms now. Celsius, Voyager, Genesis - each collapse revealing the same fractional reserve nightmare that Webb had predicted.

"But the weird thing," Mike continued, "is that Bitcoin itself keeps holding up. Even going up. My buddy works at JPMorgan, says they're desperate to get their hands on any actual Bitcoin they can find. Something about their derivative positions needing real collateral backing."

Sarah's phone buzzed with a news alert: "Major banks petition Federal Reserve for emergency Bitcoin acquisition authority."

Chapter 3: The Scramble

Three months later

The grocery store manager, Janet, had been skeptical at first. "Bitcoin? Isn't that the fake internet money?"

But when Sarah explained that the banks were offering 2-to-1 premiums for Bitcoin while simultaneously freezing customer withdrawals, Janet's tune changed quickly. Her own small business account had been caught in the "temporary restrictions" that seemed to be growing less temporary each day.

"So you're saying you'll pay me in this Bitcoin thing, and I can immediately sell it to Chase Bank for twice what I'd normally charge for groceries?"

"That's exactly what I'm saying," Sarah replied, loading her cart with months worth of supplies. "You keep half the premium as profit, and you've got real money instead of a frozen bank account."

Word spread fast in their small community. Sarah's Bitcoin, which she'd accumulated for years and stored on hardware wallets, had become the only truly liquid currency in town. While everyone else fought over appointment slots at banks trying to access their own money, merchants lined up to accept her payments.

The irony wasn't lost on her. The very asset the financial system had tried to capture and control through lending platforms and ETFs was now the only thing that actually worked when that same system collapsed.

Chapter 4: The New Reality

One year later

The Federal Reserve's announcement of the Central Bank Digital Currency had been met with relief by most Americans. Finally, a "safe" digital dollar backed by the full faith and credit of the government, available instantly on everyone's smartphone. The old banking system, they explained, had been fundamentally flawed - too many overlapping claims on the same assets, too much systemic risk.

"For your protection," the Treasury Secretary had announced, "all legacy cryptocurrencies will be phased out over the next six months. Citizens can exchange Bitcoin for Digital Dollars at participating Federal Reserve locations."

Sarah watched the announcement from her new home in rural Montana, where a quiet community of Bitcoin holders had formed. They called themselves "the unbanked" - people who had refused to participate in the intermediated financial system that had just collapsed so spectacularly.

Mike visited on weekends now, having lost his apartment when his frozen bank accounts couldn't cover rent. "I still can't believe it worked out exactly like you said," he mused, helping her tend the small farm she'd purchased with Bitcoin from a rancher who'd grown tired of dealing with bank restrictions.

"Webb laid it all out," Sarah replied. "The legal framework, the capture mechanisms, even the timeline. The only thing he underestimated was how voluntary most people would make it."

Down the valley, she could see smoke rising from the Peterson farm, where Jake had set up his Bitcoin mining operation using solar panels and a micro-hydro system. Three more families had moved to the area in the past month, all carrying their wealth in hardware wallets rather than bank accounts.

Chapter 5: The Choice

The government agents arrived on a Tuesday.

"Ms. Chen, I'm Agent Morrison with FinCEN. We're here regarding unreported digital asset transactions and potential violations of the Digital Dollar Compliance Act."

Sarah sat calmly on her porch, noting the three SUVs and eight agents for a simple compliance visit. "I'm not familiar with any violations, Agent Morrison."

"Our records show significant Bitcoin activity associated with this address over the past eighteen months. As you know, all Bitcoin transactions must now be reported and converted to Digital Dollars within thirty days of the regulation's effective date."

"I'm curious," Sarah said, "what gives you jurisdiction over private property transactions between consenting adults?"

Agent Morrison's jaw tightened. "Ma'am, Bitcoin is no longer recognized as legal tender. Continued possession constitutes financial crimes, and any merchant accepting it faces federal prosecution."

"And yet," Sarah observed, "I notice your agency is still desperately trying to acquire Bitcoin through the emergency acquisition program. Funny how something that's supposedly worthless is so aggressively pursued."

The truth was becoming impossible to hide. While most Americans dutifully converted their Bitcoin holdings to Digital Dollars, the government faced a growing problem: their new CBDC system needed real assets to back it, and most of the traditional collateral had been vaporized in the banking collapse. Bitcoin held by people like Sarah represented actual, unencumbered value in a system built on the wreckage of paper claims.

Chapter 6: The Underground

Two years later

The farmer's market operated on Saturdays, technically selling "livestock feed and agricultural supplies." Everyone understood the code: goods and services traded for Bitcoin, off the books, away from the Digital Dollar surveillance grid.

Sarah's role had evolved from individual holder to informal banker for the community. Her multi-signature storage system, distributed across multiple hidden locations, held the Bitcoin reserves that kept their local economy functioning. When someone needed to make a large purchase - a truck, a piece of farm equipment, sometimes medical care - they came to her for conversion services.

"The irony," she explained to a newcomer family, "is that we've become exactly what Bitcoin was designed to be: a peer-to-peer electronic cash system. It just took the collapse of the traditional system to make it necessary."

Mike, now permanently relocated to the community, had become their digital security specialist. "Remember when you used to worry about Bitcoin's volatility?" he asked Sarah one evening as they reviewed the week's trading logs.

Sarah laughed. "Now it's the most stable thing in our world. Digital Dollars keep inflating away, bank accounts keep getting frozen or bailed-in, but Bitcoin just keeps working."

Through encrypted communications, they stayed in touch with similar communities worldwide. The pattern was repeating everywhere: small groups of people who had maintained self-custody were forming the backbone of parallel economies, while the majority struggled with the limitations and surveillance of the new digital monetary system.

Chapter 7: The Reckoning

Five years later

The government's Bitcoin capitulation came quietly, buried in a routine Treasury bulletin: "Emergency acquisition protocols for decentralized digital assets will be extended indefinitely due to ongoing collateral requirements."

Sarah read the announcement on her phone while walking through the thriving main street of what locals now called "Bitcoin Valley." The blacksmith shop accepted Bitcoin, the medical clinic operated on Bitcoin payments, even the small school funded itself through Bitcoin donations from around the world.

Agent Morrison, ironically, had become a semi-regular visitor - not for enforcement, but for the monthly "consulting fees" the Treasury quietly paid to Bitcoin communities for "monetary system stabilization services." The government's dirty secret was that their Digital Dollar needed periodic backing by real assets, and Bitcoin communities like theirs were the only source of liquid value that couldn't be rehypothecated into oblivion.

"Webb was right about almost everything," Sarah told Mike as they sat on the porch watching their neighbors head home from another day of actual productivity rather than financial intermediation. "The only thing he missed was how much better life could be on the other side."

Mike nodded, watching his daughter play with the other kids in the community garden. "Sometimes I wonder what would have happened if everyone had just said no from the beginning. If people had refused to put their Bitcoin on lending platforms, refused to accept the intermediated system."

"We'd probably be living in a very different world," Sarah replied. "But maybe this is better. Maybe we needed the collapse to remember what money is actually supposed to do - facilitate real human cooperation instead of enabling control systems."

Her phone buzzed with a message from a new family asking about relocating to the community. She'd answer tomorrow. Tonight, she wanted to enjoy the sound of children playing in a place where their future wasn't mortgaged to financial intermediaries, where their parents' savings couldn't be rehypothecated into someone else's derivatives position, where the simple act of holding your own money was still possible.

Epilogue: The Next Generation

Ten years later

Sarah's Bitcoin academy graduated its first class of eighteen-year-olds who had never used a traditional bank account. They understood concepts like self-custody and monetary sovereignty as naturally as previous generations had understood credit cards and mortgages.

The final exam was practical: each student had to successfully send Bitcoin to a wallet on the other side of the world, receive confirmation from the recipient, and explain why this simple transaction represented a fundamental shift in human organization.

"The old system," explained one student in her essay, "required trusted third parties for everything. To hold your money, to verify your transactions, to determine what you could buy and from whom. It concentrated power in institutions that used that power to extract value rather than create it."

"But Bitcoin," she continued, "proves that trust can be mathematical rather than institutional. That you can cooperate with people you've never met without giving control to intermediaries who don't have your interests at heart."

Sarah smiled, thinking of Webb's words from all those years ago: "We will come to know who is behind this hybrid war against humanity."

They had. And more importantly, they had built something better.

The great taking had failed, not because the mechanisms weren't real, but because enough people had chosen to step outside the system before it consumed them. In trying to capture everything, the controllers had revealed their dependence on voluntary participation.

The children playing in the Bitcoin Valley community garden would grow up in a world where monetary sovereignty was as natural as free speech had once been. Where cooperation didn't require intermediation, and where wealth couldn't be conjured away by clever legal frameworks.

Webb's warning had become their liberation.

---

End

Author's Note: This story explores themes from "The Great Taking" by David Rogers Webb, examining how financial system collapse might unfold and how preparation might look in practice. While fiction, it's based on real legal frameworks and financial mechanisms described in Webb's research. The Bitcoin scenarios reflect actual platform failures that occurred after Webb's book was published, validating many of his predictions about intermediated systems.

@ 74fb3ef2:58adabc7

I'm actually glad that COVID happened. If it weren't for COVID, I would not have woken up.

Before COVID, I hated the government like any tax-paying slave does, but I never questioned the narrative. I believed the full statist propaganda—that the government had my best interest in mind and that we couldn't live without them.

I always believed they were thieves. I always knew they were idiots. I think it takes barely a few minutes of actual thinking to realize that. But I was very anti-"conspiracy theory." I used to ridicule non-statists and bitcoiners too.

COVID was the switch for me. I started doing research, but I was skeptical at first. Then, in a random Discord server about political debate, a certain user's messages stood out.

Most users were statists, left and right NPCs screaming about which geriatric and demented person should be the new monarch of a country I don't even live in and will likely never visit anymore.

But this one person was different. I don't think it's up to me to share his name since he's a very private person (you know who you are, and thank you). But I talked with this person almost every week. I presented argument after argument for my "side," essentially advocating for my own slavery to people who value me less than a pawn in a game of chess.

There was no argument I would bring up that he wouldn't destroy me on with logic and data.

Slowly, over a few months, he convinced me and turned me into the free person I am today.

I owe so much to this person: - The fact that I quit my main job a while back and only do freelance now - The fact that I don't use any big tech products anymore - The fact that I'm a bitcoiner - The fact that I self-host a lot of servers, despite living in a small apartment - The fact that I'm becoming less reliant on the slavery system - The fact that I'm now living free - The fact that I'm writing this very article on nostr

Once you start questioning one widely-accepted narrative, it becomes natural to ask "what else might I have wrong?" or "what other assumptions haven't I examined?"

Thank you, government, for COVID. And thank you, mystery person, for calling me a retard and showing me how I was being retarded.

@ e4950c93:1b99eccd

Marques

Saling est une marque allemande qui crée des vêtements, du linge de maison et des peluches et doudous en laine vierge et coton biologique pour les bébés et les enfants, ainsi que des cosmétiques naturelles à base de lait de brebis.

Matières naturelles utilisées dans les produits

• Coton (biologique)
• Laine (vierge)

⚠️ Attention, certains produits de cette marque contiennent des matières non naturelles, dont :

• Acrylique
• Polyamides, nylon

Catégories de produits proposés

Cette marque propose des produits intégralement en matière naturelle dans les catégories suivantes :

#Vêtements - Tailles vêtements : bébés - Tête et mains : moufles

#Chaussures - Tailles chaussures : chaussures bébé - Chaussons : botillons - Accessoires de chaussures : semelles

#Maison - Linge : couvertures, turbulettes

#Accessoires - Jeux et jouets : doudous-peluches

#Matériaux - Couture et tricot : laine à tricoter

Autres informations

• Fabriqué en Allemagne
• Fabriqué en Europe

👉 En savoir plus sur le site de la marque

Où trouver leurs produits ?

• Lilinappy (zone de livraison : France et international)
• Le mouton à lunettes (zone de livraison : France, Belgique, Luxembourg)

---

📝 Tu peux contribuer à cette fiche en suggérant une modification en commentaire.

🗣️ Tu utilises des produits de cette marque ? Partage ton avis en commentaire.

⚡ Heureu-x-se de trouver cette information ? Soutiens le projet en faisant un don pour remercier les contribut-eur-ice-s.

@ e2c72a5a:bfacb2ee

The $100 million gamble that's turning crypto traders into unlikely heroes. James Wynn just placed his second massive Bitcoin bet after being liquidated days ago, and now claims market makers are deliberately targeting his position. With his liquidation level set at $103,630, Wynn has rallied the crypto community to his defense, receiving donations from 24 users totaling nearly $8,000. This David vs Goliath battle reveals how retail traders are banding together against what they perceive as market manipulation, creating a fascinating power shift in an industry where individual traders rarely had such collective influence. Will the community save Wynn from the "evil

@ 7b20d99d:d2a541a9

In a world where we often hear talk of financial bubbles, speculation, and individual enrichment through cryptocurrencies, Hope With Bitcoin resolutely takes the opposite approach. Here, Bitcoin is not an end in itself, but a means to reach out. A tool serving a simple, universal human cause: bringing smiles and hope back to those who need it most.

Far from big, empty promises and empty charitable projects, Hope With Bitcoin is committed to a philosophy of direct impact, total transparency, and lasting transformation of lives.

🔗 Official project link : https://linktr.ee/hopewithbtc

---

🟢 Why “Hope With Bitcoin”?

It all started with an observation: too many people are living in oblivion. In some regions, particularly in Africa, it doesn't take much to bring back a smile: a meal, a word, a gesture. But often, aid initiatives get lost in an administrative maze, corruption, or a lack of follow-ups. And in the world of Bitcoin, we see many promises of humanitarian aid without ever seeing results.

Hope With Bitcoin was launched to change that. The goal is clear:

Using the power of Bitcoin to provide direct, visible, measurable and lasting help.

We wanted to show that Bitcoin can nourish, heal, raise awareness, connect, and not just speculate.

---

🔵 What we do concretely

Hope With Bitcoin isn't an abstract concept. It's a set of concrete actions carried out on the ground, with rigor and heart.

Here's what we do:

🍛 Food distribution and health aid

Thanks to donations collected in Bitcoin, we provide concrete help to those who need it most.

We distribute hot meals and basic food items (rice, spaghetti, oil, charcoal, etc.) to struggling families, vulnerable children, and orphanages.

But our work doesn't stop there. A portion of the funds is also used to purchase essential medicines and contribute to the payment of healthcare, particularly for sick or injured people who cannot afford treatment.

Each action is carefully documented and made public to ensure complete transparency and strengthen the trust of our donors.

✅ Missions accomplished: every satoshi counts

Since Hope With Bitcoin's inception, we've carried out several concrete actions thanks to the donations received. Here's a clear, transparent, and verifiable overview of our actions:

🔹 PoW 1 – 10 000 Satoshi Received

📅 Date : 01/09/2025

📍 Purchase food for two children in need

🔹 PoW 2 – 10 000 Satoshi Received

📅 Date : 01/11/2025

📍 Purchase food for two children in need

#### 🔹 PoW 3 — 220,500 Satoshi received

📍 Preparing food for thirty children in need

📅 Date : 01/13/2025

#### 🔹 PoW 4— 31,000 Satoshi received

📍 Purchase food for six children in need

📅 Date : 01/16/2025

#### 🔹 PoW 5— 30,000 Satoshi received

📍 Purchase food for 10 students in need

📅 Date : 01/18/2025

#### 🔹 PoW 6 – 11,093 Satoshi received

📍 Purchase food for two children in need

📅 Date : 01/22/2025

#### \ 🔹 PoW 7 – 52,000 Satoshi Received

📍 Preparing food for eight children in need

📅 Date : 01/27/2025

#### \ 🔹 PoW 8 – 116,866 Satoshi Received

📍Financial support for Maria Jimenez's health

📅 Date : 02/13/2025

#### 🔹 PoW 9 – 8,001 Satoshi Received

📍 Hope With Bitcoin t-shirt print

📅 Date : 02/15/2025

#### 🔹 PoW 10 – 22,602 Satoshi Received

📍 Purchase of food for five children in need (three on site and two takeaway)

📅 Date : 02/17/2025

#### 🔹 PoW 11– 350,000 Satoshi Received

📍 Purchase of food (rice, corn, spaghetti, oil, salt, sugar, coal...) at the Bon Arbre orphanage

Thank you letter received: HERE

📅 Date : 03/06/2025

🔹 PoW 12 – 35,000 Satoshi received

📍 Purchase of medicine for a person in need

📅 Date : 04/02/2025

#### 🔹 PoW 13 – 60,910 Satoshi received

📍 Preparation of food for 8 children at home and purchase of food for two children at the cotonou beach.

📅 Date : 05/18/2025

Each of these Proofs of Work (PoW) is publicly published on Nostr or Geyser to ensure complete transparency. You can view them individually to see the real impact of your donations.

📣 Bitcoin Adoption Awareness

We take advantage of each field trip to speak with shopkeepers, local vendors, and young people. The idea is to show that Bitcoin can be used practically in their daily lives: to sell, buy, and exchange.

---

🟠 Our results to date

Since the creation of Hope With Bitcoin on January 8, 2025, we have succeeded in:

• Collect a total of 957,971 Satoshi thanks to the generosity of contributors around the world.
• Help 87 people directly through our distribution actions. (Proof of work)
• Raise awareness among several merchants about the use of Bitcoin.
• Create a close-knit, caring community focused on human impact.

These numbers aren't statistics. They're lives, faces, stories. Every person helped represents a victory, proof that Bitcoin solidarity is possible.

---

🟣 Our ambitions for the future

Hope With Bitcoin doesn't want to be just a one-time donation project. We believe in sustainability, independence, and structured growth.

### 🐖 Launch of a pig farm to sustainably finance our actions

To make our humanitarian work self-sufficient and sustainable, we have launched a project to create a pig farm, the proceeds of which will be used to fund food distribution, the purchase of medicines, and other solidarity initiatives led by Hope With Bitcoin.

This project aims to generate regular income while having a tangible local impact:

• 🥣 Continuously support food and health aid

• 👷‍♂️ Create jobs for young people and unemployed people

• ♻️ Reinvest profits in other humanitarian projects

To kick-start this project, we've established a detailed budget estimate that includes the purchase of piglets, pen construction, feed, veterinary care, and management fees. 👉 Estimated cost: approximately 5,525,200 Satoshi

More details on the budget here: https://primal.net/e/nevent1qqsfmrafup9dma3wvgeqgasydjhy06rhkn8d268txmztp60533mp3xg0vuk5a

🐓 Towards a united and evolving ecosystem

Ultimately, we aim to diversify our business into chicken and goat farming and develop micro-agricultural projects. The goal is to build a resilient, local, and 100% Bitcoin-funded ecosystem that serves the most vulnerable.

---

💛 You can support this project now on Geyser:

https://geyser.fund/project/hopewithbitcoin/goals/552

🌍 Expansion of the area of ​​action

We want to reach:

• More regions
• More beneficiaries
• More businesses willing to accept Bitcoin

---

⚫ Why Bitcoin?

The choice of Bitcoin is not ideological. It is practical, thoughtful, and strategic.

Here's why we made this choice:

• ✅ Fast and low-cost transactions
• ✅ No geographical or banking barriers
• ✅ Immutability of donations: funds cannot be diverted
• ✅ Complete traceability thanks to blockchain
• ✅ Financial education for recipients

In short, Bitcoin allows us to rebuild trust in donations and make acts of solidarity visible.

---

🟢 How to support us?

You can be part of the change. Here's how:

• 🤝 Donate in Bitcoin (https://geyser.fund/project/hopewithbitcoin)
• 📢 Share our posts to help us gain visibility
• 🧠 Recommend us to a partner, company, or influencer
• 💬 Join the community on Twitter, Nostr, or subscribe to Geyser to stay informed and actively participate.

Even a simple retweet can make a difference. Because every Satoshi counts.

---

Hope With Bitcoin is a declaration of love to humanity. It's a belief that technology can serve the heart. It's a demonstration that Bitcoin can nourish, not just enrich.

We are not an NGO, we are not a company. We are a movement, an initiative, a momentum. And this is just the beginning.

“With a little Bitcoin and a lot of love, we can change lives.”

🔗 Join us now : https://linktr.ee/hopewithbtc

@ 0b884d0d:9abbd54a

Conceitos chaves

Neste artigo você vai entender um pouco dos conceitos chave desse novo conjunto de ferramentas para aplicar justiça de forma descentralizada e anárquica.

Antes de continuar a leitura, quero elucidar alguns termos que serão constantemente usados neste artigo.

• Private Law Society (PLS)
• Uma organização sem fins lucrativos com o objetivo de criar novas soluções para tornar cada vez mais viável a aplicabilidade de uma justiça privada e descentralizada
• Ao mesmo tempo, um conjunto de protocolos e softwares de código aberto com o mesmo propósito
• Links úteis
  • Perfil Nostr: nostr:npub1p79dx59d5gctllar73cqnucqft89gpkfmydxj4mmk2jj69s7hn3sfjatxx
  • GitHub: https://github.com/PrivateLawSociety
  • Sobre: https://privatelawsociety.net
• Bitcoin Justice Protocol (BJP)
• Um protocolo estabelecido pela Private Law Society
• Também um software de código aberto disponível no GitHub da Private Law Society
• Links úteis
  • GitHub: https://github.com/PrivateLawSociety/pls-bjp
  • Sobre: https://privatelawsociety.net/bjp
  • Implementação oficial da PLS: https://pls-bjp.vercel.app/
• Web Of Trust (WoT)
• Uma base de dados com avaliações entre usuários Nostr relatando confiança/desconfiança e se um usuário teve relações comerciais ou não com outro
• O objetivo é ser um repositório de reputação para chaves Nostr
• Links úteis
  • GitHub: https://github.com/PrivateLawSociety/pls-wot
  • Sobre: https://privatelawsociety.net/wot
  • Implementação oficial da PLS: https://pls-wot.vercel.app/
  • Meu fork com o grafo: https://pls-wot-kiuusai.vercel.app/

Prefácio

Recentemente saiu um episódio no BetterMoney podcast sobre o projeto de justiça privada Private Law Society.

Muitos bons pontos foram levantados neste excelente episódio pelos participantes nostr:npub12mllp29adf2fw0eeahmseczcu3y4625qyn3v4uwfvkpzlshnmj3qs903ju e nostr:npub1wsl3695cnz7skvmcfqx980fmrv5ms3tcfyfg52sttvujgxk3r4lqajteft. Mas neste entorno permanecem ainda muitas dúvidas sobre o projeto em si, seu funcionamento, princípios, objetivos e funcionalidades.

Venho através deste artigo, apresentar resumidamente o projeto, a filosofia por trás do mesmo e dar a minha visão de como este conjunto de protocolos chamado Private Law Society tem a capacidade de não só transformar o mundo como o conhecemos, mas de tornar boa parte do "poder judiciário" obsoleto e irrelevante em vários aspectos, se assim os indivíduos o quiserem.

Mas afinal, o que é essa tal de PLS?

PLS é um acrônimo para Private Law Society (Sociedade de Leis Privadas em uma tradução livre). Além de uma organização sem fins lucrativos e totalmente Open Source, trata-se de um conjunto de softwares disponíveis no GitHub de forma a estruturar um protocolo de justiça privada descentralizado com colateral em Bitcoin. Falei grego para você? Vamos com calma dissecar estes conceitos...

Sociedade de leis privadas, a "utopia" libertária se tornando realidade

Quem é adepto do movimento libertário e/ou estuda o tema, provavelmente já ouviu falar nesse termo. Originalmente cunhado por David Hume, o filósofo e idealista escocẽs. O projeto toma este nome com o intúito, talvez de forma ambiciosa, mas com certeza visionária e audaz, de trazer uma solução prática e simples de estabelecer contratos voluntários entre duas ou mais partes, as quais livremente escolhem os seus "árbitros" ou "juízes" para fazer valer a lei. Como realmente uma justiça paralela a qual o contrato faz lei entre as partes.

Para uma introdução sobre o conceito, indico este vídeo do canal AnCapSu que trata sobre o tema de forma resumida.

Essa ideia, simples a priori esbarra no problema da aplicabilidade da força, ou ao menos era o que se pensava, antes da criação de ferramentas como o Bitcoin e soluções como Taproot e Bitcoin Scripts. Agora, com uma propriedade realmente soberana, programável e incensurável, essa ideia começa a ganhar forma.

Basicamente, uma dúvida plausível para uma pessoa leiga no assunto seria: "Tá, entendi. Esse tal de bitcoin é realmente bom, seguro e o Estado não tem poder de controle sobre ele. Mas como isso pode gerar essa tal de sociedade de leis privadas? É só uma forma de dinheiro."

A resposta para isso é: Dinheiro programável, chaves privadas e reputação!

BJP: contratos colateralizados em Bitcoin

Bitcoin, Nostr e Taproot: a chave para a aplicação da justiça privada

Se você já está minimamente envolvido com o ambiente Bitcoin, Nostr e afins, deve saber o que é um par de chaves públicas e privadas e como isso funciona. Existe uma chave pública e privada, a pública é a forma de identificação no sistema e a privada é a que gera as assinaturas. Daí é possível determinar que quem publicou a mensagem, seja na blockchain do Bitcoin, seja na rede Nostr, é o dono daquela chave pública em específico. Assim, se institui uma forma de identidade digital.

O que muita gente não sabe, ou não dá o devido valor, é que depois do soft fork Taproot da rede Bitcoin (ocorrido em 2021), os antigos Bitcoin Scripts tomaram outra forma e maior capacidade, se tornando mais práticos, leves e funcionais. Isso é o que dá base hoje para "contratos inteligentes" no Bitcoin e toda a parafernalha de Ordinals, Runes e coisas do gênero. O que pra muitos foi uma maldição que encheu a mempool, na verdade também se provou uma bênção, a qual é a base do BJP (Bitcoin Justice Protocol) da Private Law Society. A atualização permitiu com que scripts mais complexos pudessem ser desenvolvidos de forma mais simples, fossem mais leves e tivessem uma melhor privacidade. O BJP se empodera disso, fornecendo uma solução ao mesmo tempo que simples, inovadora para casos de uso de contratos. Primariamente na camada nobre do Bitcoin e posteriormente na Liquid Network, para aqueles que querem poupar em taxas e terem mais privacidade.

Por sua vez, o Nostr funciona também com criptografia de curvas elípticas, assim como nosso querido Bitcoin. Para ser mais preciso, o mesmo algoritmo é usado tanto no Nostr quanto no Bitcoin. O Secp256k1. Na prática isso significa que toda chave Nostr também é uma chave Bitcoin em potencial. O BJP se apropria dessa interconexão para possibilitar a criação de contratos jurídicos.

BJP: uma multisig sofisticada?

Ok, até agora vimos o que torna esse tal de BJP possível, mas como ele funciona e como eu posso usá-lo na prática?

Bem grosseiramente falando, o BJP é um software que facilita a criação de carteiras multisig específicas para contratos jurídicos. Com ele, você constrói uma multisig não convencional com Taproot que assegura o cumprimento do contrato mediante concordância de todas as partes "clientes" do contrato ou do número mínimo de árbitros configurados previamente + um dos clientes.

Na prática, um script Taproot é montado com a seguinte lógica:

``` Clientes = {Lista de chaves públicas dos clientes}

Árbitros = {Lista de chaves públicas dos árbitros}

Quorum = Número mínimo de árbitros para aprovar a transação

Se todos os Clientes concordarem: Libera gasto Senão se 1 dentre todos os Clientes concorda e ao menos o Quorum de Árbitros concorda: Libera gasto Senão Bloqueia gasto ```

Esse algoritmo garante que o contrato seja efetuado e esteja de acordo com a vontade de todas as partes envolvidas, ou, se entrar em "disputa judicial", o número mínimo de árbitros designados para "fazer valer a lei", concorde junto com a parte lesada para onde os fundos devem ir.

Um exemplo prático:

Aqui temos um exemplo prático de aplicabilidade de um contrato feito através do BJP. Nesse caso, tendo a concordar com o nostr:npub1narc0ect9jf0ffnvcwg8kdqlte69yxfcxgxwaq35eygw42t3jqvq4hxv0r e discordar do nostr:npub12mllp29adf2fw0eeahmseczcu3y4625qyn3v4uwfvkpzlshnmj3qs903ju quando o primeiro comenta no recente episódio do BetterMoney Podcast:

19:30 Eu discordo do Júlio. Acho que a PLS seria perfeita pro contrato de aluguel. O locatário coloca o colateral e o proprietário vai ter certeza de que não vai tomar calote.

E se uma das partes tentar levar pra justiça estatal, não vai ter nenhum nome no contrato, apenas chaves públicas.

E está certo. O exemplo prático que acabei de citar reforça isso. Não há nada que impeça também, de no contrato, ter uma cláusula a qual envolver a justiça estatal cause algum prejuízo ou perda de causa imediata para a parte expositora. Não estou fazendo recomendação alguma, fazendo apologia a qualquer prática ou aconselhando usar deste tipo de artifício, se o que falo possa ser interpretado como crime pela lei positivada (não sou advogado). Mas, no campo das ideias e das possibilidades no mundo real, é uma possível solução/alternativa.

Vamos ao exemplo...

Adriano Calango quer alugar um apartamento de Beto Lagartixa. Só que ambos não se conhecem e não confiam suficientemente um no outro para fazer um contrato. Ambos decidem então escrever um documento. Word, Pdf ou um texto puro. Não importa. Lá estão todas as cláusulas, o caução do aluguel, multas estabelecidas para uso indevido, penalidades, dia de pagamento, decisão sobre multa de atraso, enfim, qualquer detalhe desse contrato.

Adriano Calango, escolhe Célsio Jacaré, seu amigo como seu árbitro pessoal. Beto Lagartixa escolhe Danilo Crocodilo, seu amigo, como seu árbitro pessoal. Ambos escolhem Eduardo Cobra, um réptil íntegro, com reputação ilibada e que já fez vários julgamentos, como um árbitro em comum para seu contrato. Daqui temos: dois contratantes, duas testemunhas e um juíz.

Adriano Calango então, acessa o site da PLS BJP para criar o contrato. Configura os clientes (ele e Beto Lagartixa), configura todos os árbitros, anexa o arquivo e cria o contrato na rede Bitcoin.

Um evento Nostr criptografado é criado e um link de compartilhamento do contrato é disponibilizado. Adriano Calango compartilha esse link com todos os usuários disponíveis.

Todos os usuários verificam os detalhes do contrato e se o documento do contrato bate com o contrato assinado. Todas as partes ativamente concordando, a nossa multisig é criada.

Um arquivo do contrato é disponibilizado para acessar a multisig do contrato posteriormente. Todos os usuários salvam esse arquivo e o mantém guardado em um local seguro. O objetivo disso é ter redundância. Se um dos participantes perder este arquivo, outro pode compartilhar o mesmo para possibilitar o acesso à multisig do contrato.

Adriano Calango e Beto Lagartixa depositam os devidos colaterais no contrato. Seja o caução de aluguel ou um montante separado para ser empenhorado. Isso é definido pelo acordo feito previamente.

Se tudo ocorrer bem, assim que Adriano Calango resolver se mudar e Beto Lagartixa não tiver nenhuma objeção quanto a isso, ambos voltam para o contrato previamente feito e concordam quanto aos montantes que cada um receberá de volta. Dividem o preço da taxa entre si e cada um tem sua propriedade de volta.

Digamos que Adriano Calango não cumpriu com parte do contrato, atrasando o pagamento de alguns meses. Por outro lado, Beto Lagartixa também não cumpriu parte de seu acordo, deixando de fornecer serviços prescritos no contrato como segurança de condomínio e um elevador funcional. O caso então é levado aos árbitros. Célsio Jacaré argumenta a favor de Adriano Calango, questionando Beto Lagartixa sobre os serviços não prestados pelo mesmo e que claramente no contrato estavam previstos como parte inclusa no custo do aluguel. Danilo Crocodio retruca sobre a inadimplência de Adriano Calango, defendendo seu amigo/cliente, Beto Lagartixa. Eduardo Cobra, ao ouvir calmamente todos os argumentos de ambos os lados, então decide: - Adriano Calango foi inadimplente por três meses. Portanto terá uma multa de 35% sobre seu patrimônio - Beto Lagartixa terá uma multa de 25% sobre o seu patrimônio, pois não prestou o serviço com a devida qualidade - O restante do patrimônio será devolvido para seus respectivos donos - Dos valores da multa: - 90% será dividido entre cada árbitro. 30% para cada - Os 10% restantes serão queimados em taxas para os mineradores

Note que não foi usado nenhum meio coercitivo para solucionar o caso e penalizar os réus em seus devidos processos. Tudo foi aceito voluntariamente previamente, inclusive da parte dos árbitros. As multas aplicadas são meramente ilustrativas. Em um cenário real, tais penalidades seriam acordadas previamente e na falta das mesmas, todas as partes discutiriam até entrar em um acordo quanto a decisão. É totalmente plausível que, por exemplo, a penalidade fosse queimar todo o valor das multas em taxas para os mineradores, se assim todos aceitassem. O mecanismo de mineração nesse cenário também se torna um possivel meio de aplicação de força em um julgamento.

Só esta parte do ecosistema já faz boa parte dos casos de uso da justiça estatal obsoleta, dando maior descentralização, privacidade e soberania para os indivíduos.

Nesse cenário temos novamente a "utopia" libertária sendo definitivamente aplicada. Não há dedo do Estado no meio, todos os contratos foram previamente acordados entre as partes e não houve violação ao PNA (Princípio da Não Agressão). Todo o processo foi estritamente voluntário desde o começo.

WoT: A digitalização da reputação

Quem vê o projeto a primeira vista, pode pensar:

Ah Calango. Legal essa solução com bitcoin e tal. Mas eu vou sempre precisar gastar meus bitcoins toda vida que fizer um contrato? Tem contratos que isso não vale a pena!

Sim. Isso é verdade. Tanto que foi genialmente um caso citado pelo nostr:npub12mllp29adf2fw0eeahmseczcu3y4625qyn3v4uwfvkpzlshnmj3qs903ju. Há casos que os valores são tão pequenos que não compensa criar todo um documento de contrato para, por exemplo, comprar um livro ou algo do tipo. Ou, algumas vezes, o próprio indivíduo não quer gastar dinheiro ou travar valores para manter esse contrato. Mas não é o único caso de uso. Lembre-se que mesmo com colaterais aplicados, normalmente as pessoas não gostam de entrar em decisões judiciais ou confusões em geral. Idealmente todos querem traçar o caminho feliz da história. Então, mesmo para firmar contratos com colateral em Bitcoin usando o BJP, é plausível que um usuário queira pesquisar o "histórico" de outro usuário na rede para averiguar se é uma boa ideia ou não se envolver com aquele indivíduo em específico.

Naturalmente o ser humano já pratica esse cálculo de reputação e analisa o ambiente a sua volta para entender a hierarquia e reputação dele e de outros indivíduos em um grupo. Somos seres sociais e naturalmente na nossa cabeça já montamos uma espécie de rede de confiança na nossa cabeça com a imagem que formamos de um indivíduo X ou Y com base na nossa comunidade. Hierarquia, lideranças, influência, são características naturais do ser humano.

A partir desse cenário, surgiu a ideia de gerar uma solução para uma melhor visualização da reputação entre usuários do protocolo. O objetivo é ser primariamente um repositório com avaliações de usuários sobre outros usuários, os classificando positivamente ou negativamente e informando se houve ou não negócios/fechamento de contratos com o mesmo. A ideia é realmente simples e o objetivo é deixar o protocolo aberto para as mais diversas formas de interpretação desses dados. Seja com modelos matemáticos, visualização e interpretação pessoal ou até mesmo o uso de inteligência artificial para o auxiliar o usuário a tomar suas decisões.

WoT: o nome é conhecido, mas a proposta é diferente

Veja que há uma diferença prática na WoT da PLS e outros projetos de WoT espalhados pela internet afora e pelo Nostr. A maioria dos projetos de WoT são para determinar se uma pessoa/chave privada é ou não relevante a partir da visão de outra chave privada. É o caso de serviços de WoT como o da Coracle.Social, Vertexlab.io e mais recentemente da nova implementação de WoT Relays. Serviços como estes tem o objetivo de reduzir ou eliminar spam e falsidade ideológica (fakes), assim como oferecer uma espécie de algoritmo de recomendação, similar ao que é feito em redes sociais como YouTube e Instagram.

Note que em nenhum momento o objetivo da WoT da PLS é definir por A + B quem é ou deixa de ser confiável ou inconfiável, afinal, confiança é algo estritamente relativo. Nenhum projeto pode ter a audácia de tentar classificar pessoas como confiáveis ou inconfiáveis a nível de estabelecimento de contratos. A PLS entende isso e respeita esse caráter subjetivo da confiança. De igual maneira, nunca foi o objetivo de qualquer projeto de WoT sério fazer algo similar ao que é feito em países como a China, onde pessoas têm alguma espécie de "crédito social". Fique tranquilo. Nosso objetivo não é tornar os episódios distópicos de Black Mirror em realidade 🤣

Visualização em grafo: uma proposta elegante

Desde que entrei de cabeça no projeto da PLS, uma coisa que veio sendo falada nas reuniões era sobre a criação de novas ferramentas para visualizar a rede de formas mais intuitivas, que ajudassem os usuários ao julgar pessoas como confiáveis ou não para estabelecer contratos, e ao mesmo tempo, resolvessem o problema de UX que é uma simples tabela com avaliações entre usuários da rede. A tendência é, a partir do momento que o projeto comece a ter adesão, que o número de notas cresça exponencialmente, e com isso, a visualização da reputação dos indivíduos seja pouco intuitiva. Uma solução apresentada para este problema foi a criação de um frontend com grafos, ou melhor, a criação de uma forma de visualização da sua rede de confiança em particular. A partir disso, foi gerada uma bounty no projeto para a implementação desta solução, a qual eu orgulhosamente estou construindo (na verdade está pronta para uso. Mas ainda quero melhorar algumas coisas). O objetivo é simples: dar ao usuário mais uma forma de contemplar os dados da WoT, de forma mais particular e intuitiva. Facilitando a tomada de decisões.

A natureza da confiança humana em sintonia com a tecnologia

Bolhas virtuais, vilarejos e mineiros

Uma possível crítica que o projeto possa receber é a possibilidade de ataques de spam ou cancelamento em massa corroer ou inviabilizar a utilidade do protocolo. Ataque Sybil também. Entretanto, são espantalhos até bem inocentes quanto ao projeto em questão.

Como havia mencionado anteriormente, a base do projeto em si é propositalmente simples e não se propõe a dar uma solução definitiva para a visualização dos dados postos no protocolo. A tabela de avaliações hoje existente no site da WoT da PLS é apenas uma das inúmeras formas de interpretar estes dados. E uma forma efetiva para problemas como esse, é justamente a implementação de uma visualização por grafo, onde os usuários podem ver redes de confiança sendo tracejadas a partir do ponto de vista específico de uma npub em particular.

Aqui a lógica de um antigo ditado é aplicada:

"O amigo do meu amigo é meu amigo"

Da mesma maneira também podemos formular outras afirmações como:

"O inimigo do meu inimigo é meu amigo"

"O inimigo do meu amigo é meu inimigo"

"O amigo do meu inimigo é meu inimigo"

Se tais derivações fazem sentido para você ou não, não cabe a mim dizer. Novamente, confiança é intrinsecamente algo de caráter subjetivo. Vai de cada um decidir quem é ou não confiável. É justamente por isso que estou implementando diversos filtros de avaliações no meu fork da PLS.

Na prática é o velho jogo de política de sempre. Como bem citado uma vez pelo filósofo e youtuber Platinho, ao citar Carl Schmitt:

"O que define que estamos falando do campo da política é falar de tribalismo. Aliado e inimigo. Quando a galera reclama que estamos falando de poítica igual falamos de futebol, a crítica é equivocada. Política é igual futebol."

Isso também se reflete na cultura mineira (e rural do Brasil em geral), por exemplo. O clássico "cê é fi de quem?". Perceba que essa é uma forma de procurar por um caminho de confiança já estabelecido. Quem tem parente em interior sabe, que uma das coisas mais comuns é os mais velhos, seja ou tio, mãe ou avô perguntar sobre um amigo que você leve para o ambiente familiar (meu filho, esse seu amigo é filho de quem?) É algo até instintivo do ser humano procurar por rotas de confiança e trabalhar de certa forma com o QI (Quem Indica). Goste você ou não, é assim que a natureza humana se expressa e é assim que a dinâmica social é montada.

Vendo que é natural a formação de bolhas, não é uma boa ideia em si interpretar os dados da WoT da PLS simplesmente de uma forma numérica bruta. A melhor forma é fazer uma abordagem individual, com base na sua rede de confiança ao invés de puramente o número de avaliações positivas e negativas.

O grafo da PLS busca justamente tornar mais intuitivo, prático e sistemático essa pesquisa natural. Essa implementação é além de uma ferramenta, uma forma de expressão social muito forte, tanto em âmbito social quanto jurídico, à medida em que a dinâmica social e jurídica se entrelaçam no tecido social.

Adriano Calango ataca novamente

Para um exemplo prático, voltemos a falar dele, Adriano Calango.

Adriano Calango conhece a WoT da PLS já faz um tempo e já avaliou todos os seus parceiros comerciais e amigos aos quais tem laços de confiança já firmes e maduros. Ele procura alguém para alugar uma casa Rolante, RS. ´Ele vê alguns perfis de síndicos no Nostr que moram na mesma cidade que ele com casas disponíveis para alugar. Mas quer ter uma noção que não está se metendo em encrenca ou lidando com algum síndico chato que inferniza a vida dos inquilinos.

Dito isso, ele acessa a WoT da PLS e vai na página do grafo. Percebe que seu amigo Bruno Jabuti, ao qual já havia avaliado positivamente anteriormente, avaliou positivamente um professor de Jiu-jitsu, conhecido como Carlos Camaleão. Que além de ser avaliado positivamente por Bruno Jabuti, recebeu várias avaliações positivas de outros usuários conhecidos de Adriano Calango. Carlos Camaleão, por sua vez, avaliou positivamente um síndico da região chamado Diego Iguana. Na descrição Carlos Camaleão descreve como em todo o tempo que ele foi inquilino de Diego Iguana sempre foi bem tratado e como seu condomínio estava sempre bem organizado e era cuidadosamente zelado, e como sempre que havia alguma falha de infraestrutura, o problema era rapidamente resolvido. Adriano Calango considera firmar um contrato de aluguel com Diego Iguana.

Assim, temos o seguinte caminho de confiança estabelecido:

Adriano Calango 👍 -> Bruno Jabuti 👍 -> Carlos Camaleão 👍 -> Diego Iguana

Passando-se alguns dias, Adriano Calango é abordado por Denis Jacaré em uma DM no Nostr oferecendo aluguel baratíssimo e com poucas exigências. Denis Jacaré foi informado que Adriano Calango estava a procura de um imóvel novo para residir. Adriano Calango, então, pega a chave Nostr de Denis Jacaré e joga na parte de "target" na página do grafo na PLS WoT. Ele percebe que Denis Jacaré tem várias avaliações negativas de inúmeros usuários, mas não consegue ainda bater o martelo quanto a confiabilidade de Denis Jacaré. Ele então insere sua própria chave Nostr no campo de "main rater" e vê que tem um caminho tracejado entre a sua npub e a de Denis Jacaré. Pra sua surpresa, ele vê que Carlos Camaleão deu a Denis Jacaré uma avaliação negativa, por conta que no período em que sua filha era inquilina do mesmo, prestou um péssimo serviço. O condomínio vivia com o elevador quebrado, a portaria muitas vezes não funcionava e tinha falta de luz constante. Denis Jacaré não tomava providẽncia nenhuma quanto a isso e ainda fazia questão de causa intriga entre os inquilinos e tentar jogar uns contra os outros. Adriano Calango, então percebe que Denis Jacaré não é confiável com base na rede de confiança definida por Adriano Calango.

Nesse caso temos o seguinte circuito estabelecido:

Adriano Calango 👍 -> Bruno Jabuti 👍 -> Carlos Camaleão 👎 -> Denis Jacaré

Adriano Calango aborda Diego Iguana para estabelecer um contrato. Agora é a vez de Diego Iguana pesquisar o histórico de Adriano Calango. Pois ele quer manter a comunidade de seu condomínio saudável e não deseja aceitar inquilinos baderneiros ou barraqueiros.

Diego Iguana faz então o caminho inverso de Adriano Calango, pondo a npub de Adriano Calango como "target" e a própria npub como "main rater". Daí Diego Iguana consegue ver que Carlos camaleão deu uma nota positiva para Bruno Jabuti e Bruno Jabuti deu uma nota positiva para Adriano Calango. Os dois então fecham negócio.

Neste exemplo, o grafo da WoT da PLS serviu como uma "bússola de confiança" para Adriano Calango e Diego Iguana firmarem um contrato no BJP com seus árbitros e advogados.

Considerações finais

Neste artigo você pôde aprender os conceitos básicos da Private Law Society, motivos de certas escolhas de design, viu exemplos práticos de casos de uso e um pouco das bases filosóficas que norteiam o ecosistema da PLS. Também pôde compreender um pouco mais sobre o conceito de WoT na PLS e como isso pode ser útil com o passar do tempo e a adesão de novos usuários no sistema.

Se este conteúdo te agregou de forma positiva em algo, considere mandar um ZAP ou fazer uma doação anônima por um dos meios disponibilizados na descrição do meu perfil Nostr. Este artigo foi feito com muito carinho e dedicação. Sua doação me encoraja a continuar produzindo e lhe mantendo informado. Se não pode ou não quer contribuir financeiramente, considere engajar no conteúdo reagindo, compartilhando e comentando. Toda a ajuda é bem vinda. Agradeço de coração sua paciência e atenção para ler até aqui.

Em breve trarei novidades sobre o desenvolvimento do grafo da WoT e logo mais, vídeo novo no meu canal do YouTube. Até mais!

@ e2c72a5a:bfacb2ee

When a trader bets $100M on Bitcoin, the market becomes the hunter. James Wynn placed his second massive leveraged position after being liquidated days earlier, claiming market makers are deliberately targeting his $103,640 liquidation level. The crypto community rallied behind him, donating thousands in stablecoins to help "fight the market-making cabal." Meanwhile, Trump's media company seeks SEC approval for a Truth Social Bitcoin ETF, joining the growing trend of corporate Bitcoin treasuries. Tether moved $3.9B in Bitcoin to Twenty One Capital, making it the third-largest corporate holder. Are you watching these high-stakes crypto battles unfold, or participating in them yourself?

@ 472f440f:5669301e

Marty's Bent

via me

I think we'll look back at last weekend as one of the most pivotal points in human history. Ukraine's Operation Spider Web is one of the more shocking things I've seen in terms of military operations in my life. It validates something that many bitcoiners, many cypherpunks, and many prescient individuals have been talking about for decades now at this point, which is asymmetric drone warfare.

The Sovereign Individual is a book that many bitcoiners have talked about throughout the years due to how prescient it was in terms of the inevitable emergence of a digital currency outside the control of central banks and governments. The book was written in the mid-90s, so the fact that the two authors were able to predict that something like bitcoin would emerge less than 20 years after writing the book is pretty incredible. However, digital currencies leveraging cryptography were not the sole focus of the book. Another portion of the book was dedicated to the idea of asymmetric drone warfare and its effects on society overall.

It seems pretty clear today that this is another call from The Sovereign Individual that is coming true. Obviously, unless you've been living under a rock, you've noticed that Ukraine has been using drones in the battlefield to target strategic Russian assets and individual soldiers over the last year. The amount of battlefield videos I've seen of Russian soldiers running from autonomous drones that are hunting them down has been increasing significantly over the last six months. The footage is truly harrowing. It is a death that I wouldn't wish on anybody. With Operation Spider Web Ukraine has increased the stakes of this type of drone warfare by going deep into Russian territory and targeting strategic long-range bombers, some of which had the ability to deploy nuclear warheads. This is sure to incite a reaction from Russia. No one will be surprised if, by the end of the week, Russia has started a shock and awe campaign that goes deep into Ukrainian territory in retaliation for the kamikaze drone strikes on their long-range aircraft. I pray for peace and a quick resolution to this war, and every other war for that matter.

I didn't come here to pontificate and give my thoughts on this particular war, but I would like to focus on this new tactic of war and what it means for military budgets moving forward. The Sovereign Individual laid it out clearly when they wrote in the 1990s that at some point in the future autonomous drones would be leveraged in the battlefield and prove to be asymmetric because of the fact that they are extremely cheap to produce. When you compare the price it cost to produce one of these drones to the price of the equipment they are destroying, things get pretty crazy. With tens of thousands of dollars of drone equipment the Ukrainian army destroyed tens if not hundreds of millions of dollars worth of long-range missile aircraft. And it did so without putting any Ukrainian military personnel in harm's way. Directly, at least.

When you consider the return on investment of deploying these drones compared to sending in soldiers, tanks, and your own aircraft, it becomes pretty obvious that this is going to quickly become the most logical way to fight a war moving forward. The question that remains is how quickly do other governments recognize this and implement it into their own defense strategies? As an American looking at our military budget, which is quickly approaching $1 trillion in annual spend, I'm forced to question whether or not most of that money is simply being wasted, considering the fact that we live in a time where these asymmetric battlefield strategies now exist. Why build new fighter jets when a Somali pirate, or nefarious individual for that matter, could use a $200 drone to destroy it in a matter of seconds with no threat of direct physical harm?

I'm no military expert, but if I were at the helm of the Defense Department, I would seriously be forcing those below me to focus a ton of effort on this problem and create plans to make sure that we are sufficiently protected from these risks. The only way to protect from these risks is to build the capabilities yourself. When it comes to the risk reward from a defense tech investment perspective I think a majority of the effort should be focused on defensive drone technologies and capabilities.

With that being said, it does seem like the US military is privy to this asymmetric reality that we currently live in. Defense contracts with Andruil make this pretty clear. Andruil is certainly ahead of the curve when it comes to autonomous drone warfare and defense against it. As an American, even though I don't like war, or the military industrial complex, knowing that the military is working with companies like Andruil does give me some comfort. However, the other side of that coin is that it is very unnerving when you consider that the government creating these public-private partnerships could lead to some Orwellian outcomes here at home. It may make some of you feel uncomfortable, but I believe the ideal scenario is that any individual has access to these types of defensive drone technologies in the future. The end goal being to create a nuclear game theoretical outcome where violence is reduced because one always has to assume that anyone they intend to attack has access to sufficient and formidable defensive technologies.

It's truly scary times we're living in as we transition further into the Digital Age. Part of the reason that I've dedicated my whole life to bitcoin is because I truly do believe that if you fix the money, you can fix the world. That is not to say that kinetic wars or physical violence will not exist in the future. It certainly will. But I believe sound money and open access to these systems and tools creates conditions which are much more suitable for cooperation and less so for conflict.

Multi-Signature Bitcoin Custody Is Replacing Single-Point Solutions

Jesse Gilger made a compelling case for why multi-signature Bitcoin custody represents the future of secure storage. He explained how Gannett Trust's approach ensures "not all of the keys are going to be at any one entity," fundamentally reducing the honeypot risk that plagues centralized custodians. This distributed model means no single point of failure can compromise your Bitcoin, whether through hacking, internal fraud, or regulatory seizure.

"I was on the list. I got the email. 'You were affected.'" - Jesse Gilger

Jesse's firsthand experience with the Coinbase data breach drives home why centralized custody is fundamentally flawed. While Coinbase holds keys for 10 of 12 Bitcoin ETFs, smart money is moving toward multi-institutional setups where Gannett holds a key, Unchained holds a key, and a third party holds a key. This alignment with Bitcoin's decentralized ethos isn't just philosophically pure—it's pragmatically superior for protecting generational wealth.

Check out the full podcast here for more on MSTY risks, Bitcoin retirement strategies and nation-state adoption dynamics.

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Final thought...

Trying to imagine the future my children are going to live in gets harder by the day.

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@ 32e18276:5c68e245

Damus OpenSats Grant Q1 2025 Progress Report

This period of the Damus OpenSats grant has been productive, and encompasses the work our beta release of Notedeck. Since we sent our last report on January, this encompasses all the work after then.

Damus Notedeck

We released the Beta version of Notedeck, which has many new features:

Dave

We've added a new AI-powered nostr assistant, similar to Grok on X. We call him Dave.

Dave is integrated with tooling that allows it to query the local relay for posts and profiles:

Search

The beta release includes a fulltext search interface powered by nostrdb:

Zaps

You can now zap with NWC!

And More!

• GIFs!
• Add full screen images, add zoom & pan
• Introduce last note per pubkey feed (experimental)
• Allow multiple media uploads per selection
• Major Android improvements (still wip)
• Added notedeck app sidebar
• User Tagging
• Note truncation
• Local network note broadcast, broadcast notes to other notedeck notes while you're offline
• Mute list support (reading)
• Relay list support
• Ctrl-enter to send notes
• Added relay indexing (relay columns soon)
• Click hashtags to open hashtag timeline

Damus iOS

Work continued on the iOS side. While I was not directly involved in the work since the last report, I have been directing and managing its development.

What's new:

Coinos Wallet + Interface

We've partnered with coinos to enable a one-click, non-KYC lightning wallet!

We now have an NWC wallet interface, and we've re-enabled zaps as per the new appstore guidelines!

Now you can see all incoming and outgoing NWC transactions and start zapping right away.

Enhanced hellthread muting

Damus can now automatically mute hellthreads, instead of having to do that manually.

Drafts

We now locally persist note drafts so that they aren't lost on app restart!

Profile editing enhancements

We now have a profile picture editing tool so that profile pictures are optimized and optionally cropped

Conversations tab

We now have a conversations tab on user profiles, allowing you to see all of your past conversations with that person!

Enhanced push notifications

We've updated our push notifications to include profile pictures, and they are also now grouped by the thread that they came from.

And lots more!

Too many to list here, check out the full changelog

Nostrdb

nostrdb, the engine that powers notecrumbs, damus iOS, and notedeck, continued to improve:

Custom filters

We've added the ability to include custom filtering logic during any nostrdb query. Dave uses this to filter replies from kind1 results to keep the results small and to avoid doing post-processing.

Relay index + queries

There is a new relay index! Now when ingesting notes, you can include extra metadata such as where the note came from. You can use this index to quickly list all of the relays for a particular note, or for relay timelines.

NIP50 profile searches

To assist dave in searching for profiles, we added a new query plan for {kind:0, search:} queries to scan the profile search index.

How money was used

• relay.damus.io server costs
• Living expenses

Next quarter

We're making a strong push to get our Android version released, so that is the main focus for me.

@ bc6ccd13:f53098e4

If you haven’t read part 1 of this article, you should start there. This second part will build on the information I presented in part one. I’m going beyond just presenting the facts, to try and break down the broader principles behind what makes the Amish culture exceptional and whether any of those principles can be applied to solve the challenges facing the broader cultural landscape.

nostr:naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzp0rve5f6xtu56djkfkkg7ktr5rtfckpun95rgxaa7futy86npx8yqqj8g6r994sk66tndqkkvetjw35kc6t50ykk66tjv93kcefd9pcxzun595cjjn8l4yn

It wasn’t so long ago that the mainstream conversation around population was exclusively focused on the dangers of overpopulation. The fatal flaws in the Malthusian theory had yet to be disproven clearly and obviously by observable demographic trends. That’s been gradually changing, and while it’s hardly a mainstream consensus, concerns about falling birthrates and the risk of population collapse have taken over the population conversion on the political right, and sometimes beyond.

In part 1, I walked through the life of a typical Amish person, male or female, and attempted to highlight some specific characteristics of their culture that contribute to their default large family size. I’m of course making some assumptions in doing that, and you might disagree with my opinion on the relative impact of various cultural factors. But in general, I don’t think I made too many unreasonable inferences. I laid out the facts as clearly as possible, and didn’t go too far beyond that.

In this part, I want to go beyond the facts and into the realm of hypothesis and speculation. That means I don’t have scientific studies or hard data to categorically prove my points. So if you disagree, you’re absolutely welcome to do so, but don’t expect me to tenaciously defend my opinions with reams of hard data and irrefutable evidence. My purpose is to expand the conversation, not to present a definite solution to any perceived problem.

Is there a problem to solve?

For starters, not everyone agrees that globally collapsing fertility is, in fact, a problem to be solved. Although that’s definitely the dominate consensus in the alternative media space, and is reaching a wider audience thanks to the attention of figures like Elon Musk, the average normie still believes the debunked Malthusian hypothesis that human population is on an exponential trajectory to disaster. They’re more likely to view a collapsing global population as a good thing than as an unmitigated disaster in the making. If that’s your view, you aren’t likely to find my writing particularly compelling. But if you are interested in challenging that belief, I point out some of the potential implications of population collapse here.

nostr:naddr1qvzqqqr4gupzp0rve5f6xtu56djkfkkg7ktr5rtfckpun95rgxaa7futy86npx8yqqshqmmsw4kxzarfdahzcttjv4ek7atjvdjhxtpdv9hxgtthv4skcargr7d34a

If you’re already convinced that global below-replacement fertility is a problem to solve, then you’re in the right place.

Is there a solution?

The modern mind rarely stops to evaluate this question. As soon as a problem is presented, we immediately jump to searching for the ideal solution. That’s a foolish, and occasionally catastrophic, mistake. Before searching for a solution, it’s worth considering whether the possibility of a solution even exists, and more importantly, whether a potential solution would have unintended consequences less severe than the problem it’s intended to solve.

Often those questions can’t be answered until some attempts to find a solution have been made. But we should keep them at the top of our minds throughout the search. Otherwise we can easily find ourselves genetically modifying generally harmless diseases in the lab to make them deadly to humans as we search for a “solution” to disease, or cutting down and burning trees to produce electricity as we attempt to “solve” the climate.

When it comes to global fertility, I’ll give you my conclusion first. Yes, there are solutions to this problem. No, they almost certainly won’t be adopted on a large scale. And I’m not sure if that should be considered a failure.

That’s because of the nature of the problem. People act according to incentives. When global population was growing exponentially, that was because of the incentive structures influencing the choices of each individual. Now that the fertility rate has dropped dramatically, and global population is set to peak and collapse, that’s also because of the incentive structures influencing the choices of each individual. Globally.

That means something happened over the past few centuries that upset historical incentive structures globally. There’s every reason to believe that whatever happened was largely an emergent phenomenon. If it was, resetting the incentive structures would mean imposing, somehow, an incentive structure diametrically opposed to the naturally emergent structure. That somehow gives me pause. How certain are we that overruling a global emergent phenomenon is even possible, and if it were, less destructive than the alternative?

Because logically, the current trajectory will become unsustainable at some point. Fertility can’t continue to fall indefinitely, that trend ends in total extinction. So that leaves two alternative outcomes, absent the kind of global intervention I alluded to. One, it does continue to fall, and humans go extinct. I write that one off because it doesn’t align with my worldview, so as far as I’m concerned I know it won’t happen. You’re free to disagree. Or two, fertility continues to fall until the negative effects of falling population destroy the new global incentive structure of the past few centuries through the partial or total collapse of the emergent phenomenon underlying that structure. If you identify what you think that emergent phenomenon is, and conclude that it’s “too big to fail”, you should probably use some imagination and reconsider.

To take it one step further for the really esoteric thinkers, maybe the whole thing is less of a new concept and more of a certain phase of a larger cycle humans keep repeating throughout history. I’ll leave that one to your imagination.

What can we learn about potential solutions from the Amish?

Like I mentioned in part 1, looking at a group like the the Amish in this context is particularly useful. They exist as a sub-group within a larger environment, so that allows us to eliminate a lot of incorrect theories based on their similar circumstances. The Amish live on the same planet, breathe the same air, drink the same water, eat similar food, buy homes in the same housing market, work in the same labor market, etc. That casts significant doubt on a number of very popular theories on why people in America aren’t reproducing.

That leaves us to focus on the significant differences between Amish culture and mainstream American culture with full confidence that the real answer lies somewhere in those differences.

The structure of this article will be something of a stream-of-consciousness. I’m not going to attempt to isolate and breakdown every aspect of Amish culture independent of the whole, because that won’t be useful or accurate. I’m convinced that the factors influencing Amish fertility are best understood as parts of a larger structure, and not as cumulative independent variables. So I’m going to start by taking a birds-eye view of that structure, and then zooming in on how the various pieces support the whole.

Throughout the past few months, I’ve read a lot of material on this topic as I researched and refined my conclusions. To give credit where credit is due, I haven’t found anyone who expresses a view as coherent as the one Johann Kurtz gives in his article

https://becomingnoble.substack.com/p/its-embarrassing-to-be-a-stay-at

This is an excellent and well-thought-out piece, and one that’s rightfully gotten a lot of attention in the alternative media space. It’s only with a great deal of respect and serious hesitation that I disagree with any aspect of his work, and I do so in a spirit of advancing the intellectual discourse rather than any delusions of my superior knowledge or abilities as an author.

The role of status

The primary thesis of Mr. Kurtz’s article is that declining fertility is a consequence of a decline in the status of motherhood compared to the status afforded by various alternative life paths. While it wasn’t the only point I made in part 1 of this article, I did mention the relative status of parenthood within the Amish culture in various contexts. And a few months of research and reflection have convinced me that status is the correct starting point for understanding fertility, both within Amish culture and also more broadly. On that point, Mr. Kurtz and I fully agree. He says,

Specifically, I contend that the basic epistemological assumptions which underpin modern civilization result in the net status outcome of having a child being lower than the status outcomes of various competing undertakings, and that this results in a population-wide hyper-sensitivity to any and all adverse factors which make having children more difficult, whatever these may be in a given society.

That seems to me like a fair assessment of the situation.

And Mr. Kurtz mentions the Amish specifically, so he’s aware of their unusual pattern and has integrated that data into his hypothesis. I believe he’s correct in doing so.

With that said, I want to dive a little deeper into the idea of status and how it relates to the Amish specifically. I think they can give us some insights into the topic that make more sense of the broader cultural landscape.

First off, let’s define status. Mr. Kurtz lays it out this way.

Status, or ‘social status’, is a key field within sociology. The term denotes a universal set of human instincts and behaviors. Status describes the perceived standing of the individual within the group. It denotes their social value and their place within the formal and informal hierarchies which comprise a society. It finds expression in the behaviors of deference, access, inclusion, approval, acclaim, respect, and honor (and indeed in their opposites - rejection, ostracization, humiliation, and so forth).

Higher status individuals are trusted with influential decisions (power), participation in productive ventures (resources), social support (health), and access to desirable mates (reproduction).

Gaining status is a motivation for each individual to productively participate in society. Status is gained and maintained through approved behaviors (achievement, etiquette, defending the group) and through the possession of recognized ‘status symbols’ (titles, wealth, important physical assets).

As he points out, status is a relative game. One’s status is measured in relation to others in the group, not in relation to some objective metric.

In correctly understanding status, there’s a fine line between the concept of status as an end in itself, and status as a means to the benefits afforded by higher status. If there’s one fundamental complaint I have with Mr. Kurtz’s piece, it’s that he seems to lean too far into the concept of status as an end in itself. Taken to extremes, it’s the idea that status is somehow an arbitrary and external scale, and that if we can just manipulate or recreate that scale to place parenthood at the top, we can solve for higher fertility without changing any physical realities in the real world. I disagree with that concept of status.

If you look at the attributes of higher status, they’re all very much tangible, physical benefits. He lists four; power, resources, health, and reproduction. Power gives a person the ability to bend the behavior of others to their own tangible benefit. Access to resources is a direct physical benefit to a person’s survival and wellbeing. Health is also a direct physical benefit. And access to reproduction, while closely tied to emotional well-being, is also a distinctly physical benefit and one we’re hard-wired to respond to, given that the alternative is the end of that bloodline.

Along with that, there’s also the complex overlap between achievements that increase status and benefits conferred by higher status. If someone acquires a lot of wealth, that’s going to increase their relative status. But access to wealth-increasing opportunity is also a benefit of higher status. Similarly, acquiring a desirable mate definitely increases a person’s status. But achieving higher status by acquiring wealth also opens up the opportunity to attract a more desirable mate. All of these things are very closely entwined, and in my opinion, are the reason why status is such an existential concern. As Mr. Kurtz points out, a person can experience severe distress from loss of status, even if their own situation seems to be unchanged and they only lost status because others advanced faster. That makes sense when you consider that a relative loss of status still makes it more difficult to access the resources needed to maintain one’s status moving forward. So even if one’s absolute condition hasn’t changed, the fear that lower status could be the beginning of an irreversible downward spiral is very real.

With that in mind, I’m going to look at status in the Amish culture as closely tied to physical reality, and not only as a mental scoreboard to be manipulated at will.

In part 1, I mentioned status here.

When it comes to status, the benefits are just as clear. Amish life revolves around family, and nothing is higher status than a thriving family of your own.

That’s the bird’s-eye view of family and status in the Amish culture. But it’s not enough to stop there and say “we just need to create a status hierarchy that places motherhood at the top like the Amish have” and leave it at that. The important part is why the Amish status hierarchy, and the mainstream status hierarchy globally until 200 years ago, placed parenthood so high up the scale.

I don’t believe that hierarchies, including the status hierarchy, develop in a random way. I think they are, at least originally, rooted in physical realities. In other words, the status hierarchy elevates certain things because those things are useful markers of value to the group. Wealth is high-status because it implies competence and ability, which is a valuable asset to the group. Without competent people working hard and being productive, the group will be impoverished. Similarly, parenthood is high-status because reproduction is an existential concern for the group. Without it, the group goes extinct.

These status markers are enforced by the feedback loop of physical reality. If a group attempts to function with wealth way down at the bottom of their status hierarchy, the group will be poor and unsuccessful and will be dominated by a group with a functional status hierarchy. If a group attempts to function with parenthood way down at the bottom of their status hierarchy, as the mainstream culture is currently doing, they’ll go extinct and be replaced by the Amish. Hyperbolic, maybe, but I’m trying to illustrate the point. There may be a lag in the feedback loop, but reality is inevitable.

What keeps status hierarchies largely functional is that desirable behaviors tend to cluster. Incentive structures align to keep it that way. Working hard results in higher income, which increases status. Higher status and more disposable income are powerful motivators.

Beyond that, functional societies are incentivized to “help” the feedback loops of reality with social institutions. Honesty is important in maintaining a functional, productive high-trust society. So we put thieves in prison rather than letting them use their stolen wealth to increase their status, turning our society into South Africa and destroying our wealth to the point that we become globally non-competitive. These social institutions serve a very important purpose, but they begin to break down when the lag between cause and effect becomes too big for the average person to understand. At that point, they lose their public support and can no longer function, and shorter-term incentive structures “reset” the status hierarchy. Then we end up with things like a status hierarchy that no longer penalizes divorce, even though the long-term effects are devastating, because the average person can’t see past their own short-term incentives.

So let’s look at the Amish status hierarchy around family and children. Why is a large family still high-status in that culture?

One could first look at the effects of peer pressure and social conditioning. Most Amish children grow up in large families, surrounded by peers in equally large families. As they mature, they see their peers get married at a young age, and have children at a young age. Doing otherwise means swimming against the current, not fitting in with the group. And fitting in with the group is itself a kind of status marker.

While that’s certainly a powerful incentive, it doesn’t explain the difference between the Amish and broader culture. After all, that was everyone’s experience a few centuries ago at most. If inertia were enough to keep the Amish at a 6 TFR, why would everyone else fall below 2 over the same period? So while the lack of exposure to large families is a commonly invoked reason for falling birthrates, it doesn’t explain how we got here to begin with.

Mr. Kurtz has this to say about the changes brought about by the Enlightenment.

Thus the Enlightenment initially opened up new status opportunities for men (success) whilst undermining those that supported women (virtue). We all have a psychological need for status, and so it was only a matter of time before women demanded access to and participation within success games (education, commerce, politics, even sport). Unfortunately, accruing status through success games is time intensive, and unlike virtue games, trades off directly with fertility.

Over time, this set of status mechanics spread, intensified, and deepened, particularly during the process of urbanization during the Industrial Revolution. Ultimately this culminates in today, when the standard introductory question has become ‘What do you do?’. This is because the most effective way to gauge the status of one’s interlocutor is to understand their level of success within our meritocracy. Unfortunately, ‘I’m a mother’ is not a good answer to this question, because this conveys little status within a success framework, which is usually the operative one. Women are, understandably, hesitant to be continuously humiliated in this way, and will make whatever tradeoffs are necessary to ensure they have a better answer.

I think he’s onto something here. The Enlightenment did bring significant changes, and I want to zero in on the effects of the Industrial Revolution specifically. Prior to the Industrial Revolution, the family typically functioned as the primary economic unit. Wage labor was less common, and subsistence farming was widespread. In that system, every member of the family, and often the extended rather than the nuclear family, worked together to support the family unit. While there were gender roles, the husband and father’s work in the fields was less distinct from the wife and mother’s work in the home. Both often worked in directly complementary roles, for example the wife and daughters milking the cows while the father and sons fed, watered and cared for the animals. The “paid work” was just as often selling butter churned by the wife as selling grain the husband raised and harvested. There was not a distinct breadwinner versus homemaker role, all work was directly and clearly in support of the family as a whole. In that scenario, the question “what do you do?” would have been silly, and “I’m a mother” wouldn’t be fundamentally different than the husband’s answer of “I’m a farmer.” Status from an economic perspective would be clearly understood as a cooperative achievement. And since children were part of the economic unit, a large family had a very quick and direct economic feedback loop to higher status.

With the Industrial Revolution and the rise of wage labor, the primary economic unit became the individual rather than the family. Along with that came the invention of household appliances that drastically reduced the burden of domestic labor. Suddenly the financial status of the household was entirely dependent on the breadwinner. There’s no fundamental reason that should lower the status of the homemaking wife. As Mr. Kurtz pointed out, before the Enlightenment, a woman’s status was modified substantially by her husband’s status. And I would argue that’s still that case at the extremes. I doubt the wives of wealthy entrepreneurs and sports stars get asked “what do you do?” very often in their social circles. But what did happen is that the reduced burden of domestic labor gave women the potential to contribute to the family outside the homemaking role, and they began to demand more freedom and opportunity to do so. As they shifted more into that financial status hierarchy, it created a direct status tradeoff between career and children. Like Mr. Kurtz pointed out, “women demanded access to and participation within success games (education, commerce, politics, even sport)”.

The Amish managed to maintain the traditional status hierarchy by saying “no” to that demand. Amish women do not have independent access to education, commerce, politics, or sport. They don’t have the option of pursuing those status markers within the Amish culture.

As you can imagine, I don’t believe this approach will be implemented on a wider scale. I don’t see it happening across liberal democracies, since the bridge of universal suffrage has already been crossed.

The Amish maintain their social structure through their insular lifestyle and their severe ostracization of those who choose to leave. It’s a significant tradeoff to young people, so much so that most choose their family and community over the opportunities of the broader culture. The evidence shows that, given the opportunity with no significant tradeoff, most young women choose education and career over marriage and children.

Here’s the thing about this post-Enlightenment status hierarchy; it’s societal suicide. That much is obvious. So given that status hierarchies exist to serve group interests, this one is obviously terminally defective. So how did that happen? In my opinion, the underlying problem is that the lag time between anti-social behavior and its consequences has been inflated by the Industrial Revolution to the point that the social institutions meant to punish anti-social behavior have collapsed, and the short-term incentive structures now point away from parenthood.

The Amish have escaped that effect by creating a “moat” around their social group. Within that group, they artificially exclude certain things that aid and encourage anti-social behavior, and artificially enforce certain feedback loops that have become disconnected as a result of the Industrial Revolution.

I’ll give some examples.

One of the primary feedback loops for high fertility is that if you don’t have children, you have no one to care for you when you’re old and unable to work. In the bad old days of subsistence farming, there was no such thing as “saving for retirement”. Every year was a struggle for survival, and there were no functional financial instruments available to save and invest for decades in the future. The Industrial Revolution changed all that, and most importantly led to the creation of pensions and public welfare systems. Now anyone without children to care for them could be cared for in old age by one of these financial schemes. Did that fundamentally solve a problem? No, not at all. Look at the bankrupt state of global public pension schemes today, and the imminent collapse they face as the result of (checks notes)… too few young workers to support each retiree. Turns out, society actually does need everyone to have enough children to support them in old age. The Industrial Revolution just broke the direct feedback loop, so everyone doesn’t get to see the poor souls without children begging on the street or sent to the poorhouse in their old age, and can therefore conclude that not having children is a purely personal choice and won’t have any effect on their lifestyle at age 80. The Amish took a different approach. They are exempt from Social Security. They don’t pay into it, and they aren’t eligible to collect it. They can see from a young age that children care for and support their elderly parents. They know that if they don’t have children and grandchildren, their elderly years will be much more difficult and depressing. They don’t get fed any dishonest media narratives portraying some rosy alternative reality. The historical status hierarchy rewarding large families remains intact.

As another example, casual sex historically resulted in unplanned pregnancies, and without good employment opportunities or public welfare schemes, single mothers faced an extremely difficult life. With the invention of reliable contraceptives, legal abortion, good employment opportunities, court-mandated child support, and public welfare, casual sex no longer carries catastrophic consequences for women. Over the longer term, it leads to drastically reduced marriage rates, lower fertility rates, higher rates of single motherhood, dysfunctional children, and eventually societal collapse. The Amish fight this trend in various ways. First, the lack of employment opportunities for women means that they’re fundamentally dependent on family and community for support. And violating community expectations by engaging in sex outside of marriage puts that support in jeopardy. That’s a strong deterrent. The absence of sex education makes it much less likely that young people will feel comfortable engaging in casual sex without risking pregnancy, and much more likely that they’ll abstain altogether, given the significant social consequences. All on top of the religious teaching against it, which in my opinion is just additional icing on the cake. None of that does anything to diminish the human sex drive. So particularly for young men, that incentive structure makes early marriage a lot more appealing than it might otherwise be. Once again, the historical status hierarchy remains intact.

Another example would be lifestyle based. Although the Amish are no longer primarily subsistence farmers, they reject many of the modern conveniences that eliminated the labor involved in housework. Their insistence on distinctive clothing means the women still spend significant time sewing for the family. And all that clothing must be washed with much more primitive equipment than we’re accustomed to. Cooking is also more labor intensive, and eating out, ordering takeout, or buying prepared food are much less accepted. No microwave to heat up a TV dinner, or even last night’s leftovers. Gardening and preserving food is strongly encouraged. No vacuum cleaners for cleaning. Mowing the lawn might require a hand-pushed mechanical reel mower, not a ride-on garden tractor. The lack of cars makes staying home and caring for the household much less optional, for both men and women. And the large potential income disparity between men and women makes all men potentially attractive mates to all women. That eliminates the hypergamous trap we have now where the average man isn’t sufficiently high-status to attract the average woman, which leaves both groups single and frustrated while the majority of women chase an increasingly small group of men with the financial resources to actually improve their lifestyle. All those restrictions for the Amish make life much more comfortable as a team effort, for both men and women. Trying to do it all yourself would hardly be feasible. The alternative is to stay living at home with your parents, hardly a rewarding or high-status lifestyle in any cultural setting. In this case, the Amish have chosen to artificially restrict their access to the physical benefits of the Industrial Revolution. This is less about status, and more about creating conditions that make marriage a direct lifestyle benefit. Once again, it’s questionable whether all these modern technologies and conveniences can survive in an environment of collapsing global population. So the approach the Amish are taking may just be an artificial short-circuit of a feedback loop that will send us all back to the Dark Ages anyway. Regardless, they’ve managed to maintain the historical attractiveness of marriage, in this case by removing access to modern conveniences that allow us to effectively outsource labor in a way that makes the single lifestyle attractive. The attractive single lifestyle is largely historically unprecedented, and a direct result of the Industrial Revolution.

Many of the lifestyle choices of the Amish culture are less about direct effects, and more about maintaining the “moat” that keeps their culture somewhat isolated from the broader society. This makes a lot of sense when you understand that status is “the perceived standing of the individual within the group.” If you want to create your own status hierarchy, you have to create your own coherent group. The Amish severely restrict their exposure to the media and culture of the broader society. That’s a very effective way to maintain a coherent group. Amish young girls don’t feel the same pressure to pursue higher education and career over marriage and motherhood, because they don’t see a billion media references praising career and denigrating motherhood before they’re 18. And they don’t see a million “boss babes” on social media, TV, and Netflix shows flaunting the single lifestyle and bashing the patriarchy in heels. Instead, they see and hear their mothers, grandmothers, and aunts joyfully caring for and loving their large families, praised and supported by their devoted, hardworking husbands. The evidence shows that a free market in media doesn’t result in glowing depictions of parenthood that lead young people to reject career opportunities and pursue marriage instead. You can ask yourself why that might be, but that’s what history shows.

Across thousands of distinct cultural groups around the world, only a handful have rejected the dominant post-Enlightenment status hierarchy in favor of large families and traditional values. I’m not aware of any that managed it without significant insulation from the dominant culture. That tells me that the short-term incentive structure of modern society is more powerful than any historical cultural norms, and there is no passive solution that doesn’t involve collapse of that incentive structure and the civilization it rests on.

I could go into more detail on specifics of Amish culture and how they play into their status hierarchy. But you can read part 1 of the article and draw your own conclusions. I’m going to end with what’s sure to be a highly provocative list of requirements that would be necessary for the Amish status hierarchy to function across broader society. I don’t personally believe there’s any possibility of anything similar being widely adopted. And frankly, I don’t think it’s possible outside of a religious context, without the collapse of modern civilization as we know it. The collapse of modern civilization is the outcome I expect, although I’m happy to be proven wrong. So this is a philosophical exercise, not a policy prescription.

• End social acceptance of casual sex. Implement sever consequences for premarital sex or marital infidelity.

• End all forms of government financial support for the elderly. All elderly care is the responsibility of the family, or failing that, the church/community.

• End all government support for single mothers. Again, support for widows and those in other extenuating circumstances is the responsibility of the church/community.

• End all sex education in public schools. Sex education is the responsibility of the parents.

• Ban all forms of contraception, with significant penalties for violation.

• Ban abortion.

• Severely restrict access to higher education for women.

• End female participation in politics, including universal suffrage. One household, one vote. No voting by unmarried people, male or female.

• End the social and legal acceptance of divorce. No divorce permitted for any reason, and legal separation doesn’t allow for remarriage.

• End mandatory public education. Education is the responsibility of the parents.

• Ban negative messaging toward marriage and children in all forms of media.

• Severely restrict or outright eliminate social media platforms.

• Roll back child labor laws significantly.

I could add a few more, but I think that covers the essentials. If that sounds insane and offensive to you, I’m not shocked. This isn’t a policy prescription, and as I said at the beginning of the piece, I don’t necessarily believe that this is even a problem we should attempt to “fix”. The reason being, any government with the power to enforce these requirements on the world would be more concerning to me than the prospect of civilizational collapse itself. Civilization has collapsed before, many times throughout history. And we’ve always bounced back eventually. A global power of this magnitude might not be reversible.

But you should at least temper your shock and outrage with the realization that every item on that list was the accepted reality for most of human history, all the way up until the past few anomalous centuries.

My personal opinion is that too much obsession with this issue is probably a waste of time. Again, I don’t think any “solution” we come up with is likely to be less dangerous than the problem itself. I expect things to play out over a long period of time, and for the population decline to eventually degrade our interconnected, high-tech global civilization. Once many of the advances of the Industrial Revolution become widely unavailable, the natural incentive structures and status hierarchies will reemerge. And those incentive structures demand that men and women are natural allies, not enemies. We need each other, and the families we create together, to be a healthy, happy, flourishing, and productive society over the long term. If the prospect of losing our modern conveniences and going back to that world terrifies you, go befriend an Amish parent or grandparent. You’ll soon realize that they’re as happy and fulfilled in life as anyone you’ll ever meet. Life is a matter of perspective, not products. And my point in exploring this topic isn’t to spread doom, but to point out that we can make our own decisions and surround ourselves with like-minded people, and in doing so find peace and fulfillment in relationships and community instead of constantly chasing a dysfunctional, suicidal status hierarchy.

In conclusion, while writing this article, a stanza from Rudyard Kipling’s poem “The Gods of the Copybook Headings” kept coming to mind. It’s been over a hundred years since he penned these words, and the whole poem displays a prescience that’s positively uncanny. The seeds of the current issue were sown a long time ago, but there were people like him who saw the poisonous fruit coming even as the little plants were just emerging from the soil.

``` As I pass through my incarnations in every age and race, I make my proper prostrations to the Gods of the Market Place. Peering through reverent fingers I watch them flourish and fall, And the Gods of the Copybook Headings, I notice, outlast them all.

We were living in trees when they met us. They showed us each in turn That Water would certainly wet us, as Fire would certainly burn: But we found them lacking in Uplift, Vision and Breadth of Mind, So we left them to teach the Gorillas while we followed the March of Mankind.

We moved as the Spirit listed. They never altered their pace, Being neither cloud nor wind-borne like the Gods of the Market Place, But they always caught up with our progress, and presently word would come That a tribe had been wiped off its icefield, or the lights had gone out in Rome.

With the Hopes that our World is built on they were utterly out of touch, They denied that the Moon was Stilton; they denied she was even Dutch; They denied that Wishes were Horses; they denied that a Pig had Wings; So we worshipped the Gods of the Market Who promised these beautiful things.

When the Cambrian measures were forming, They promised perpetual peace. They swore, if we gave them our weapons, that the wars of the tribes would cease. But when we disarmed They sold us and delivered us bound to our foe, And the Gods of the Copybook Headings said: "Stick to the Devil you know."

On the first Feminian Sandstones we were promised the Fuller Life (Which started by loving our neighbour and ended by loving his wife) Till our women had no more children and the men lost reason and faith, And the Gods of the Copybook Headings said: "The Wages of Sin is Death."

In the Carboniferous Epoch we were promised abundance for all, By robbing selected Peter to pay for collective Paul; But, though we had plenty of money, there was nothing our money could buy, And the Gods of the Copybook Headings said: "If you don't work you die."

Then the Gods of the Market tumbled, and their smooth-tongued wizards withdrew, And the hearts of the meanest were humbled and began to believe it was true That All is not Gold that Glitters, and Two and Two make Four– And the Gods of the Copybook Headings limped up to explain it once more.

As it will be in the future, it was at the birth of Man There are only four things certain since Social Progress began. That the Dog returns to his Vomit and the Sow returns to her Mire, And the burnt Fool's bandaged finger goes wabbling back to the Fire;

And that after this is accomplished, and the brave new world begins When all men are paid for existing and no man must pay for his sins, As surely as Water will wet us, as surely as Fire will burn, The Gods of the Copybook Headings with terror and slaughter return! ```

@ e2c72a5a:bfacb2ee

While Asia silently steals the crypto spotlight, America's grip on digital assets is slipping through its fingers.

The U.S. share of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana trading has dropped below 45% as Asian markets surge to capture nearly a third of global crypto activity. This power shift comes despite Bitcoin's remarkable resilience, hovering above $105,000 after weathering a $1 billion liquidation storm.

What's driving this global rebalancing? Institutional players are flooding in – Strategy purchased $2.7 billion in Bitcoin while ETFs absorbed $5.2 billion in May alone. Meanwhile, Ethereum leads the recovery charge with a 4.5% gain as its Foundation restructures to sharpen its competitive edge.

The most fascinating development? Bitcoin's rally is happening on surprisingly low volume. ETFs now represent 45% of global spot BTC market volume, suggesting this isn't retail FOMO but calculated institutional positioning.

Is this the beginning of a new global crypto order? As trade tensions simmer between the U.S. and China, will Asia's growing influence reshape the future of digital assets?

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มีคำกล่าวที่ว่า “นกไม่เห็นฟ้า ปลาไม่เห็นน้ำ หนอนในส้วมไม่เห็นคูถ ไส้เดือนไม่เห็นดิน คนอยู่ในโลกก็ไม่เห็นโลก” นี้หมายความว่า มันมีอะไรที่ลึกลับอยู่ ที่ทำให้นกไม่เห็นฟ้า หรือปลาไม่เห็นน้ำ. ให้ดูเห็นง่ายก็ที่ปลา ปลามันอยู่ในน้ำ น้ำก็ถึงตา มันยังมองไม่เห็นน้ำ ทั้งที่น้ำเป็นสิ่งที่มันปะทะหรือว่าติดกันอยู่เสมอไป. ตั้งแต่เกิดมาก็เป็นอย่างนั้นเสียแล้ว มันก็ไม่ได้รู้สึกว่ามีน้ำ ปลาจึงไม่รู้ว่าน้ำนั้นคืออะไร โดยแท้จริง. หรือว่าหนอนที่เกิดมาจากอุจาระอยู่แท้ ๆ แต่ก็ไม่เห็นอุจาระ. หรือว่าไส้เดือนอยู่ในดิน มันกินดิน แต่มันก็ไม่เห็นดิน. ทั้งนี้เพราะคำว่า “เห็น” ในที่นี้มีความหมายพิเศษ

คนอยู่ในโลกก็ไม่เห็นโลก คือไม่ได้เห็นความจริงหรือความลับโดยแท้จริงของสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “โลก” มีตามันก็เห็นนั่นเห็นนี่เรือย ๆ ไป แต่ไม่เห็นจริง. ไม่รู้จักโดยแท้จริง มันจึงได้หลงในสิ่งเหล่านั้น. ถ้าเห็นจริงๆก็จะไม่หลงในอะไร. เพราะฉะนั้นอย่าได้ประมาท อย่าได้อวดดี ว่าเรา “เห็น” มันเพียงแต่ว่า สัมผัสตามธรรมดาด้วยตา แล้วรู้สึกไปตามกฎเกณฑ์อย่างธรรมดา ว่ามันมีเท่านั้น ; แต่ที่จริงยังมีอยู่อีกชั้นหนึ่ง คือชั้นลึกซึ้ง.

ทีนี้ เรามาดูกันถึงสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” ขอให้สังเกตดูให้ดี ๆ ว่า เราต้องใช้คำว่า “สิ่งที่เรียกกันว่า...” สิ่งที่เรียกกันว่านี้ มันเป็นของคนโง่ก็ได้ คือคนโง่มันว่า หรือมันเรียกอะไรเป็นอะไร. แล้วในโลกนี้มีคนโง่มาก หรือมีคนฉลาดมาก ถ้าว่าเป็นคนฉลาด มันก็จะต้องรู้จักทำโลกนี้ให้หมดปัญหา คือไม่มีตวามทุกข์ยากลำบากวุ่นวาย.

เดี๋ยวนี้คนส่วนมาก ก็ไม่รู้จักสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “โลก” นี้โดยแท้จริง มันจึงทำไปในลักษณะที่ไม่ถูกต้องตรงตามที่เป็นจริง เราจึงยุ่งกันทั้งโลกอยู่เวลานี้.

คำว่า “ชีวิต” นี้ก็เหมือนกัน มันมีสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” โดยเฉพาะเด็ก ๆ สมัยนี้ จะใช้คำว่า “ชีวิต” นี้พร่ำเพรื่อ. สมัยปู่ ย่า ตา ยาย คำว่าชีวิตนี้ใช้น้อยที่สุด เป็นความลึกลับเอามาพูดถึงกันน้อยที่สุด. เดี๋ยวนี้หนังสืออ่านเล่นหนังสืออะไรก็มีคำว่า “ชีวิต” ใช้พร่ำเพรื่อ จนเด็ก ๆ เข้าใจไปว่า ตัวเองรู้จักสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” อย่างแตกฉานทีเดียว. นั่นแหละคือความหลับหูหลับตา สำหรับจะอวดดี.

สิ่งที่เรียกว่าชีวิตนี้มันมีความลึกลับ และยังแถมมีเคล็ดลับที่ซ่อนเร้นอยู่ในนั้นมาก คำว่า “ชีวิต” ของเด็ก ๆ ที่เคยอ่านแต่หนังสืออ่านเล่น มันก็มีความหมายอย่างหนึ่ง คนวัยรุ่นที่เคยแต่อ่านหนังสืออ่านเล่นนั้น จะเข้าใจคำว่า “ชีวิต” ในความหมายไปอย่างหนึ่ง. ต่อเมื่ออายุมากแล้ว เป็นพ่อแม่แล้ว จะรู้จัก “ชีวิต” ในความหมายหนึ่ง ซึ่งจะจริงกว่าหรือถูกกว่าอีกมาก; แต่ก็ยังไม่หมด มันยังเหลือความลับของชีวิตนั้นอีกมาก จนกว่าจะเป็นพระอริยเจ้า หรือว่ามีปัญญาตามแบบของพระอริยเจ้านั่นแหละ จึงจะเห็นสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” อย่างถูกต้องแท้จริงและถึงที่สุด คือสมบูรณ์ที่สุด.

เพราะฉะนั้น พระอริยเจ้านั้นก็มิใช่ใครอื่นที่ไหน ท่านเป็นเพียงผู้ที่รู้จักโลกตามที่เป็นจริง แล้วก็ไม่หลงโลก ท่านทำให้ชีวิตนี้ไม่มีความทุกข์ ; คนชนิดนี้เรียกว่าพระอริยเจ้า.

แต่เดี๋ยวนี้คนทั่วไปไม่เข้าใจคำว่า “พระอริยเจ้า” จัดไว้เป็นบุคคลที่ลึกลับ เข้าใจไม่ได้ ; หรือว่าจะเป็นบุคคลประเภทที่ไม่พึงปรารถนาด้วยซ้ำไป.

คนวัยรุ่นสมัยนี้จะเข้าใจว่า พระอริยเจ้าเป็นคนหมดความหมาย สำหรับโลก หมดความหมายสำหรับพวกเรา ท่านบ้า ๆ บอ ๆ ครึ ๆ คระ ๆ ไปตามแบบของท่าน. ถ้าใครนึกอยู่อย่างนี้ก็ขอให้นึกเสียใหม่ เพราะว่าการศึกษาอบรมสมัยนี้อาจจะทำให้นึกไปอย่างนั้น จนนึกไปว่าพระอริยเจ้านี้ท่านเป็นคนประหลาด บ้า ๆ บอ ๆ ไปตามแบบของท่าน.

ขอให้เข้าใจเสียใหม่ว่า พระอริยเจ้า นั้นคือบุคคล ที่รู้จักโลกตามที่เป็นจริง และจัดการทุกอย่างถูกต้องหมด จนไม่มีความทุกข์ คือท่านไม่เป็นเหมือนกับ นกไม่เห็นฟ้า ปลาไม่เห็นน้ำ หนอนไม่เห็นคูถอย่างนี้ อีกต่อไป คือไม่เป็นอย่างนี้อีกต่อไป ; จะเป็นผู้ที่รู้สิ่งทั้งหลายทั้งปวงถูกต้องตามที่เป็นจริง.

ด้วยเหตุนี้แหละ เราจึงต้องใช้คำว่า สิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” ไม่ใช้คำว่า “ชีวิต” เฉยๆ เพราะมันเรียกกันได้ตามชอบใจ หลายอย่าง หลายแบบ หลายชั้น หลายลักษณะนัก ดังนั้นจึงขอร้องให้ผู้ที่เป็นครูนั้น รู้จักความลับของสิ่งที่เรียกว่าชีวิต.

ทีนี้ ความลับของสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” นี้ มันก็ยังมีมากมายอีก ในชั้นนี้เราเอาตามที่พระพุทธเจ้าท่านตรัสไว้จะดีกว่า และก็อย่างเดียวกันอีกนั่นแหละ คือว่าพระพุทธเจ้าท่านได้ตรัสไว้มาก ถ้าเอาพระไตรปิฏกเป็นหลักแล้วมันมากจนเกินกว่าที่ชาวบ้านจะศึกษาไหว หรือจะรวบรวมมาให้หมดได้. เพราะฉะนั้นจึงมีความจำเป็นที่จะต้องมีการย่อหรือสรุปเอาแต่ใจความมาให้ฟังหรือให้ศึกษากัน.

ตามนัยที่พระพุทธเจ้าท่านได้ตรัสไว้ทั้งหมด ทั้งสิ้นนั้น เราอาจจะสรุปความได้ว่า สิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” นั้น มันมีเคล็ดลับมาก แต่มันก็รวมอยู่ที่ สิ่งที่เรียกว่า ตา หู จมูก ลิ้น กาย ใจ ช่วยจำคำ ๖ คำนี้ไว้ให้ดี ๆ อย่าหาว่าเป็นคำธรรมดา หรือว่าเป็นเรื่องธรรมดา มันมีความลับอยู่ในนั้นมากมายนัก คือคำว่า ตา หู จมูก ลิ้น กาย ใจ เราเรียกเป็นภาษาไทยกันดีกว่า ภาษาบาลีชวนให้ยุ่งหัว อยากจะรู้ภาษาบาลีก็ไปดูปทานุกรมเอาเองก็ได้.

สิ่งที่สำคัญที่สุด หรือทั้งหมดของสิ่งที่เรียกว่า “ชีวิต” ก็ตาม หรือของความลับ เคล็ดลับของชีวิตก็ตาม มันสรุปรวมอยู่ที่ สิ่งที่เราเรียกกันว่า ตา หู จมูก ลิ้น กาย ใจ.

จากหนังสือความลับของชีวิต โดยพุทธทาสอินทปัญโญ

@ 7459d333:f207289b

Here's a cool way to do OCR of any area of your screen and copy the result directly to you clipboard:

shell import png:- | tesseract stdin stdout | xclip -i -selection clipboard

You need tesseract and imagemagick. This works on systems using the X windows system. There's another way to do it in Wayland.

https://stacker.news/items/995413

@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com

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Bitcoinova potrošnja energije nije „rasipna“

– On je mnogo efikasniji od postojećih finansijskih sistema

– Niko nema moralni autoritet da vam kaže šta je dobra ili loša upotreba energije (npr: gledanje Parova, Zadruge ili Farme)

Hajde da raskrinkamo ovaj FUD (eng. Fear, Uncertainty and Doubt – Strah, Neizvesnost i Sumnju)

U ovom članku istražujem kako je sve oko nas energija, novac je energija, subjektivna upotreba energije i troškovi PoW-a (eng. Proof of work – Dokaz rada) u odnosu na postojeće sisteme upravljanja.

Ideja da je „rad“ energija, započela je kada je francuski matematičar Gaspard-Gustave de Coriolis predstavio ideju da je energija „odrađen rad“. Nekada davno, celokupan posao koji je odrađivan u ekonomiji realizovan je kroz ljuduski rad. Taj rad pokretala je hrana. Pre više hiljada godina, naša potrošnja energije se povećala kada smo pripitomili životinje koje bi mogle da rade umesto nas. Ti novi radnici takođe su morali da budu nahranjeni. Velike količine hrane bile su potrebne da bi se zadovoljile potrebe za energijom, a zajedno sa nama, povećavao se i naš prosperitet.

U poslednjih nekoliko stotina godina napravili smo sjajne mašine koje imaju svrhu izvršavanja tj. proizvodnje odredjenog rada. I mašine i priroda proizvode rad korišćenjem energije (prvi zakon termodinamike). Imamo ekonomiju koja se ne zasniva na novcu, već na radu i energiji.

Sve stvari u našem životu su usko povezane sa cenom energije. Troškovi bilo kog dobra su u velikoj meri odraz energije koja se koristi u proizvodnji tog dobra. Novac, koji predstavlja rad potreban za generisanje dobara i usluga, takođe se može posmatrati kao uskladištena energija.

Početkom 20. veka, ljudi su bili zainteresovani za zamenu zlata ili dolara sa „energetskim dolarom“ ili „jedinicama energije“. Koncept je bio popularan zbog svojih dobrih novčanih karakteristika. Mane? Nije se moglo lako preneti ili skladištiti.

„Da bi muškaraca/ženu naterao da poželi neku stvar, potrebno je samo učiniti stvar teškom za dobijanje.“ – Mark Twain Bitcoin-ov PoW je prvobitno izmišljen kao mera protiv spam email-ova. Tek nešto kasnije, Satoshi ga je prilagodio da se koristi u digitalnoj gotovini.

Ono što PoW rudarenje radi „ispod haube“ je upotreba namenskih mašina (ASIC-a) za pretvaranje električne energije u Bitcoin-e (putem blok nagrade). Bitcoin ima kapitalistički mehanizam glasanja, „rizikovan novac, dobijeni glasovi“ pomoću energije/ASIC-a koji se koriste za generisanje heš-ova (glasova).

Kada je Satoshi dizajnirao PoW, iz temelja je promenio način na koji se formira konsenzus između ljudi od političkih do apolitičnih glasova (heš-ova) pretvaranjem energije. To je najjednostavniji i najpravedniji način da fizički svet potvrdi nešto u digitalnom svetu.

Bitcoin je odlična roba, iskovana iz energije, osnovna roba univerzuma. PoW transformiše električnu energiju u digitalno zlato. Činjenica da je PoW „skup“ je odlika, a ne greška.

Istorijski gledano, obezbeđivanje nečega podrazumevalo je izgradnju fizičkog zida oko svega što je vredno. Knjiga Bitcoin-a je obezbeđena ukupnom sumom energije potrošene za izgradnju digitalnog zida. Bila bi potrebna ekvivalentna količina energije da bi se on srušio (nezaboravna skupoća) @NickSzabo4

„Potrošnja električne energije po transakciji“ je loš KPI, a evo i zašto:

– Potrošena energija je po bloku, a ne po transakciji

– Ekonomska gustina Bitcoin transakcije se povećava (Segwit, taproot, Lightning)

– Trebalo bi da bude definisano sigurnošću ekonomske istorije @LaurentMT . Stopa poboljšanja efikasnosti ASIC-a se usporava. Kako se efikasnost usporava, možemo očekivati porast konkurencije proizvođača kako se marže sužavaju. Sveukupni troškovi rudarenja preći će sa početnih troškova ASIC hardvera na tekuće troškove energije za ostvarivanje rada.

Cena rudarenja Bitcoin-a postaje najniža (višak) vrednost električne energije. Ovo može rešiti problem sa obnovljivim izvorima energije koji imaju predvidivi kapacitet i koji se ne iskorišćava u potpunosti, poput hidroelektrana i gorivog metana.

Aluminijum je bio popularno sredstvo za „izvoz“ električne energije iz zemlje koja obiluje neiskorišćenim obnovljivim izvorima energije (npr. Island). Kako je proizvodnja aluminijuma tokom decenija sazrevala, kWh po kilogramu proizvedenog aluminijuma postajao je efikasniji.

https://www1.eere.energy.gov/manufacturing/resources/aluminum/pdfs/al_theoretical.pdf

PoW je u krajnjem slučaju kupac celokupne električne energije, stvarajući temelj koji podstiče izgradnju novih postrojenja za proizvodnju energije oko različitih izvora energije koji bi inače ostali neiskorišćeni.

„Zamislite topografsku 3D mapu sveta sa žarištima jeftine energije koji su niži, a sa skupom energijom višlji. Zamišljam da je iskopavanje Bitcoin-a slično čaši vode koja se prelila, taložila se po uglovima i ćoškovima i glačala ih. “ – @nic__carter

„Energija koja se koristi za PoW prestaće da raste kada se granični povrat od sagorevanja kWh energije kroz PoW bude jednak graničnom povratu od prodaje tog kWh u mrežu … „ Nakamoto-va tačka“ koja će koristiti između 1-10% svetske energije.“ – @dhruvbansal

Neki se žale da rudarenje Bitcoin-a ne postiže „ništa korisno“, poput pronalaženja prostih brojeva. Bitcoin već radi nešto korisno za društvo. Nije racionalno tražiti od rudara da obavljaju funkciju koja je nesebična bez podsticaja.

Sve zahteva energiju. Tvrdnja da je jedna upotreba energije više ili manje rasipna od druge, potpuno je subjektivna, jer su sve upotrebe plaćene tržišnom stopom za korišćenje te električne energije.

Bitcoin-ova upotreba električnog kapaciteta troši manje količine električne energije od postojećih tradicionalnih sistema koji ne zahtevaju samo napajanje bankarske infrastrukture, već i vojnu i političku mašinu. Kompromis energije je „neto pozitivan“ ishod.

Preko Bitcoin-a, da li je nepoverljivo poravnanje od 1,34T USD između ugovornih strana godišnje, uz dodatni benefit jeftinije energije za sve, vredno 4,5B USD u trenutnim troškovima rudarenja? Mislim da je odgovor odlučno da.

1/ Bitcoin’s energy consumption is not “wasteful.”

- It is much more efficient than existing financial systems
- No one has the moral authority to tell you what is a good or bad use of energy (ex: watching the Kardashians)

Let's debunk this FUD👇

— Dan Held (@danheld) January 18, 2021

@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com

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Pregled sadržaja

1. Bitcoin Je Nosilac Imovine
2. Komprimis: Bezbednost vs Konfor
3. Pregled Novčanika: Istraživanje Hardverskih, Mobilnih, Desktop i Multisig Bitcoin Novčanika
4. Vruće vs Hladno – (hot vs Cold) Bitcoin Novčanici: U čemu je razlika?
5. Bitcoin Novčanik – Backup Fraza
6. Bitcoin Multisignature: Kako radi
7. Zašto Moj Bitcoin Novčanik Stalno Menja Moju Adresu?
8. Moja Preporuka: Neka Procenat Neto Vrednosti Vodi Vaš Izbor Bitcoin Novčanika
9. Da Zaokružimo Priču

U redu, dakle stekli ste neku količinu Bitcoin-a, i koji je sada najbolji način za njegovo čuvanje? Ovde ću vas provesti kroz proces pronalaženja pravog Bitcoin novčanika za vas.

Iako se čini kao jednostavno pitanje, ima iznenađujuće puno nijansi koje treba razmotriti. Koliko Bitcoin-a imate? Koliko često planirate da ga trošite? Da li ste sigurni da su vaši ključevi sigurniji kod vas nego kod offline čuvara? Odgovori na ova pitanja pomoći će vam da pronadjete pravo rešenje za vas.

Bitcoin je nosilac imovine, što znači da i sami možete držati ključeve svog Bitcoin-a. Kada držite svoje Bitcoin ključeve, vi imate direktnu kontrolu nad svojim novcem. Nije povereno nijednoj trećoj strani, poput banke. Trebate držati svoje ključeve onda kada utvrdite da je rizik da ih lično držite manji od rizika da ih čuvar izgubi. Donošenje te odluke oslanja se uglavnom na vaše razumevanje kako i zašto držati svoje Bitcoin ključeve. U ovom članku ću vam pomoći da razumete obe strane.

U ovom članku ćemo istražiti:

• „Nisu vaši ključevi, nije vaš Bitcoin“
• Bezbednost vs Konfor
• Vrste Bitcoin novčanika
• Postavke Multisig-a
• Moja preporuka za izbor najboljeg novčanika za VAS

Zato počnimo polako.

Bitcoin Je Nosilac Imovine

U kriptografiji, javni ključ(public key) se koristi za šifrovanje poruka, a privatni ključ(private key) za njihovo dešifrovanje. Ako bi neko želeo da vam pošalje šifrovanu poruku, šifrirao bi je vašim javnim ključem. Vaš privatni ključ je jedini način za dešifrovanje te poruke, pa sve dok ste jedina osoba koja drži taj privatni ključ, vi ste i jedina osoba koja može pročitati poruku.

Bitcoin koristi kriptografiju javnog/privatnog ključa da bi osigurao transakcije. Privatni ključ se kreira kada napravite Bitcoin novčanik. Novčanik stvara javne ključeve koji se heširaju i koriste kao adrese za prijem Bitcoin-a. Privatni ključ je potreban da bi se dokazalo vlasništvo nad uskladištenim Bitcoin-om na toj adresi kako bi se mogao potrošiti.

Ako lično ne kontrolišete privatne ključeve povezane sa vašim Bitcoin-om, onda zapravo ne posedujete svoj Bitcoin. Drugim rečima, ako menjačnica ili banka drži vaše Bitcoin-e u vaše ime, vi onda nemate direktnu kontrolu nad svojim Bitcoin-ima. Vi prenosite sigurnost svog Bitcoin-a drugoj stranci.

Da biste u potpunosti iskoristili jedinstvene osobine Bitcoin-a kao novca, vi trebate da držite svoje privatne ključeve. Kao što Bitcoineri često kažu „nisu vaši ključevi, nije vaš Bitcoin“. Ovo vam pruža mogućnost držanja vašeg Bitcoin-a pod vašim nadzorom, tako da ga države, banke ili hakeri koji ga ciljaju ne mogu zapleniti ili oduzeti. Ali odabir držanja sopstvenih ključeva dolazi sa odredjenom odgovornošću za bezbednost vašeg Bitcoin-a.

Moj cilj je da vam pomognem da postanete konforni sa mogućnošću držanja svojih ključeva. Do tada, Bitcoin če biti sigurniji na novčaniku vaše menjačnice.

Sada ćemo pogledati koje opcije imate za preuzimanje kontrole nad sopstvenim Bitcoin ključevima.

Bezbednost vs Komfor

Komprimis: Bezbednost vs Komfor

Glavni kompromis koji treba uzeti u obzir prilikom skladištenja vašeg Bitcoin-a je između bezbednosti i konfora. Očigledno je da su i bezbednost i konfor poželjne osobine prilikom čuvanja vašeg Bitcoin-a, ali se međusobno direktno suprotstavljaju.

Gde se vi nalazite u spektru bezbednosti nasuprot konfora?

Postavite sebi ova pitanja da biste stekli bolji utisak o tome koji način čuvanja za vas ima najviše smisla:

• Ukupna vrednost – da li skladištite na nivou od 0,1%, 1% ili 10 +% vaše neto vrednosti u Bitcoin-u? Odgovor bi trebao da vam da vrlo različite metode čuvanja vašeg Bitcoin-a. Očigledno biste bili spremni da pretrpite više neprijatnosti ako to znači zaštitu 50% vaše neto vrednosti.
• Vremenski okvir/dostupnost – Kada i koliko često imate potrebu da trošite svoje Bitcoin-e? Da li je to više kao tekući račun, srednjoročni štedni račun ili je vaš Bitcoin sličniji dugoročnom penzionom računu?

“Pazite da podešavanje vaše zaštite ne bude tako složeno da čak i vi zaboravite kako dostupiti vašom Bitcoin-u“

Od Bitcoinera se mogu čuti upozoravajuće priče o ljudima koji gube svoje Bitcoin-e zbog prekomplikovanih podešavanja čuvanja, što rezultira time da vlasnik zaboravi kako da pristupi svojim novčićima.

Pregled Novčanika: Istraživanje Hardverskih, Mobilnih, Desktop i Multisig Bitcoin Novčanika

Sada kada ste odlučili da nabavite nekoliko Bitcoin-a (pametan potez) vreme je da odlučite gde ćete čuvati vaš Bitcoin. Kada započinjete, ovo vam može dati nadmoćan osećaj. U ovom odeljku ću vam dati kratki pregled opcija kojima raspolažete. Kao i u većini stvari u životu, i ovde se radi o kompromisima.

Hardverski Bitcoin Novčanici

Korisnici čuvaju privatne ključeve na namenskom hardverskom delu.

Prednosti: Privatni ključevi nikada ne dolaze u dodir sa internetom, što smanjuje rizik od njihovih gubitaka. Pogodno za dugotrajno skladištenje. Ako izgubite hardverski novčanik, možete da upotrebite backup seed fraze (eng. seed phrase backup) da biste vratili novčanik.

Mane: Korisnici moraju da obezbede backup seed fraze, što zahteva promišljenu strategiju kako da je zaštite. Preporučuje se da zapišete svoju seed frazu na metal i sačuvate rezervne kopije na više sigurnih lokacija. Ako vam ukradu hardverski novčanik, dolazite u rizik hakovanja vaših sredstava. Napomena: zaštita backup seed fraze je standardna praksa za novčanike gde korisnik kontroliše svoje privatne ključeve.

Primeri: Ledger, Trezor, Coldcard i BitBox

Mobilni Bitcoin Novčanici

Korisnici čuvaju privatne ključeve na mobilnom uređaju.

Prednosti: Jednostavan za upotrebu, dobar za početnike, pogodan za male iznose.

Mane: Najmanje sigurna opcija jer se privatni ključevi nalaze na uređaju povezanom na Internet. Ako napadač stekne fizički pristup vašem telefonu, može proslediti sredstva u njegov novčanik. Nije dobro za dugotrajno skladištenje.

Primeri: Block­stream Green, Samourai (samo za Android), Muun, Blue Wallet, Electrum

Desktop Bitcoin Novčanici

Korisnici čuvaju privatne ključeve na svom desktop/laptop računaru

Prednosti: Dobro korisničko iskustvo.

Mane: Nije baš bezbedno, jer su računari povezani na internet i podložni virusima i napadima. Nije dobro za dugotrajno čuvanje.

Primeri: Bitcoin Core i Electrum (napredni), Wasabi (srednji), Block­stream Green (početni). Wasabi je verovatno najbolji novčanik za privatnost, a Block­stream Green je najbolji početnički desktop novčanik.

Multisignature Bitcoin Novčanici

Korisnik čuva privatne ključeve u posebnom novčaniku za koji je potrebno da potpiše više privatnih ključeva pre nego što može da premešta svoja sredstva. Na primer, u „2 od 3“ multisig (eng. multisignature – više potpisa) novčaniku, korisniku su potrebna bilo koja dva od tri privatna ključa za slanje sredstava.

Prednosti: Jedan od najsigurnijih načina za čuvanje vašeg Bitcoin-a, smanjuje efikasnost fizičkih napada, pogodan za dugoročno skladištenje.

Mane: Teško ga je samostalno podesiti, ali postoji nekoliko servisa koji olakšavaju ovaj proces. Nije pogodno za potrošnju, a to može predstavljati i poentu.

Primeri: Unchained Capital’s Vault (2 od 3), Casa’s Keymaster (2 od 3 i 3 od 5), Block­steam Green (2 od 2), Electrum.

Vruće vs Hladno – (hot vs Cold) Bitcoin Novčanici: U čemu je razlika?

Vrući novčanici su povezani na Internet. To znači da je ključevima lakše pristupiti nego kada su na hardverskom novčaniku, a to takođe znači i da su vaša sredstva ranjiva na napade hakera. Vruće novčanike preporučujem samo za male količine.

Hladni novčanici NISU povezani sa Internetom. To znači da je vašim sredstvima teže pristupiti. Hladni novčanici su manje pogodni za korisnike, ali hakeri mnogo teže mogu da pristupe vašim sredstvima. Hladne novčanike treba smatrati jedinom opcijom za dugoročno čuvanje.

Bitcoin Novčanik – Backup Fraza

Većina novčanika zahteva od korisnika da zapišu „backup seed frazu“. Ovo je mera predostrožnosti u slučaju da izgubite pristup svojim privatnim ključevima/novčaniku. To takođe znači da korisnici moraju biti vrlo oprezni sa svojim rezervnim kopijama jer one sadrže sve potrebne informacije za pristup vašim sredstvima. Tretirajte i čuvajte svoje rezervne kopije na način kao što bi tretirali i čuvali gomilu zlata.

• Ne pravite slike ili snimke ekrana svoje backup fraze
• Ne izgovarajte naglas svoju backup frazu – ikad!
• Ne čuvajte svoju semensku frazu Password Manager Aplikaciji
• Ne koristite Internet uslugu oporavka backup fraze
• Koristite pristupnu frazu (passphrase) da biste dodali još sigurnosti
• Koristite više metoda za pravljenje rezervnih kopija
• Ograničite pristup svojoj backup frazi što je više moguće
• Nikada ne razgovarajte sa ljudima gde, kako i koliko Bitcoin-a čuvate

Tako izgleda „backup seed fraza“

Bitcoin Novčanici Bez Seed-ova

Drugi način za čuvanje Bitcoin-a su novčanici bez seed-ova. Oni su dizajnirani za multisig akaunte, gde korisnici ne kreiraju backup seed-ove, već se oslanjaju na uslugu rezervne kopije. Casa prednjači u novčanicima bez seed-ova sa svojim Keymaster multisignaturnim proizvodom.

Bitcoin Multisignature: Kako radi

Umesto da zahtevaju jedan potpis privatnog ključa za premeštanje sredstava, multisig novčanici zahtevaju više potpisa za premeštanje sredstava. Postoji mnogo načina za pravljenje multisig novčanika, ali iskoristimo postavku 2 od 3 za naš primer.

Kao korisnik, to znači da imate ukupno 3 privatna ključa koji odgovaraju jednom Bitcoin novčaniku. Da biste prebacili sredstva, potrebna su vam najmanje 2 privatna ključa za potpisivanje transakcije. Većina korisnika će fizički odvojiti lokacije svakog ključa kako bi što više smanjili rizik. Samo nemojte biti previše kreativni, da ne prevarite i sebe i na taj način izgubite svoja sredstva (to se dogodilo mnogo puta).

Kao što je gore pomenuto, evo nekoliko primera Multisig­na­ture novčanika

• Block­steam Green Wallet (2 od 2)
• Casa’s Keymaster (2 od 3 i 3 od 5)
• Unchained Capital’s Vault (2 od 3)
• Electrum

Prednosti Multisig-a

Multisig nudi prostor za greške. Ako imate samo jedan privatni ključ i izgubite ga, vaša sredstva će se zauvek izgubiti. Međutim, ako imate podešavanje 2 od 3, možete sebi priuštiti da izgubite jedan privatni ključ i dalje pristupite svojim sredstvima.

Multisig takođe smanjuje šanse za moguće fizičke napade. Recimo da ste fizički ugroženi i primorani da se odreknete svog dragocenog Bitcoin-a. Ako ste imali normalan novčanik (a ne multisig), onda biste lako mogli da prebacite svoj Bitcoin tom kom vas napada. Međutim, ako ste postavili multisig podešavanja, jedan od vaših ključeva je u kući, a drugi ključ na nekom drugom mestu (npr. vaša kancelarija ili sef u banci). Ovakvo razdvajanje ključeva u velikoj meri smanjuje želju tog napadača da uopšte pokuša da preotme vaš Bitcoin.

Zašto Moj Bitcoin Novčanik Stalno Menja Moju Adresu?

Svaki skup privatnih ključeva može generisati bilione javnih ključeva. Ovi javni ključevi se zatim transformišu (kroz matematički proces zvan heširanje) da bi se proizvele javne adrese.

Svaka pojedinačna adresa može da primi Bitcoin. Dakle, svaki skup privatnih ključeva koji posedujete sposoban je da proizvede svoj jedinstveni, masivni skup javnih adresa koje posedujete vi, i samo vi. Svako može da pošalje Bitcoin na te javne adrese, ali samo onaj koji poseduje te privatne ključeve može trošiti Bitcoin sa tih adresa.

Mnogi ljudi vole da uporedjuju privatne ključeve, javne adrese i Bitcoin novčanike sa e-mail adresama. Privatni ključevi su vaša lozinka, javna adresa je vaša e-mail adresa, a novčanik je e-mail domen koji koristite (npr. Gmail, Protonmail, Yahoo itd.). Iako je korisna, ova analogija pomalo obmanjuje, jer sa Bitcoin-om svaka lozinka (privatni ključ) koju posedujete omogućava pristup bilionima potencijalnih e-mail adresa (javnih adresa) za slanje i primanje Bitcoin-a.

Nema razloga za brigu ako vaš novčanik stalno generiše nove Bitcoin adrese. To je zapravo jedna od njegovih karakteristika! Novčanici koji generišu i koriste nove javne adrese pomažu u zaštiti vaše privatnosti od ljudi koji „njuškaju“ na javnom Bitcoin blockchain-u. Samo zapamtite da sve dok vi držite privatne ključeve novčanika, samo vi posedujete sadašnji i budući Bitcoin, poslat na bilo koju javnu adresu koju je generisao vaš novčanik. Samo se pobrinite da privatni ključevi Bitcoin-a budu sigurni, bezbedni i privatni.

Moja Preporuka: Neka Procenat Neto Vrednosti Vodi Vaš Izbor Bitcoin Novčanika

Najjednostavniji način pristupanja izbora koji novčanik će te odabrati za vaš Bitcoin je fokusiranje na pitanje „koliko novca je u igri?“. Drugim rečima, koji procenat vaše neto vrednosti je zaštićen? Evo naše analize, ali naravno, situacija svake osobe je jedinstvena. Koristite ovo kao smernicu, a ne kao apsolutnu istinu.

Male količine (oko 0,1% neto vrednosti) – Koristite mobilni Bitcoin novčanik

• Block­stream Green – ima multisig 2 od 2. To je verovatno najbolji Bitcoin novčanik za iPhone.
• Casa Keymaster (režim sa jednim ključem) – rezervna kopija bez seed-a.

Srednji iznosi (oko 1% neto vrednosti) – Koristite hardverski Bitcoin novčanik

• Ledger
• Trezor
• Coldcard

Velike količine (više od 10% + neto vrednost) – Koristite Multisig Bitcoin novčanik

• Casa Keymaster Multisig —  interfejs koji je jednostavan za korišćenje, možete birati postavke 2 od 3 i 3 od 5. Oni imaju alat za samooporavak, međutim ovo nisam lično koristio, i želeo bih da obavim više istraživanja pre nego što dam pravu preporuku.
• Unchained Capital’s Multisig —  interfejs koji je jednostavan za korišćenje, postavka 2 od 3, može pristupiti finansijskim uslugama zasnovanim na vašem BTC u depozitu.
• Self Hosted Multisig —  korisnici takođe mogu da kreiraju sopstvene multisig postavke. Ovo zahteva mnogo veće tehničko znanje u poređenju sa Unchained i Casa, međutim, ne žrtvujete nikakvu privatnost.

Protip: Rapodelite sredstva koja želite da skladištite dugoročno. Ako imate značajan deo svoje neto vrednosti u Bitcoin-u, u vašem je najboljem interesu da raspodelite svoj ulog. Ovo umanjuje vaš rizik, što smanjuje šanse da budete izbrisani. Na primer, trećinu svog Bitcoin-a čuvajte sa Casa multisig-om, drugu trećinu sa Unchained Capital Vault-om, a preostalu trećinu na hardverskom novčaniku (Cold Card, Ledger ili Trezor).

Da Zaokružimo Priču

Ovo je moj rezime vaših mogućnosti izbora Bitcoin-ovih novčanika i kako odabrati pravi od njih uzimajući u obzir privatne ključeve, načine i stepen zaštite i sigurnosti koji oni pružaju. Ako ste i dalje zastrašeni, bez brige. Preporučujemo da preuzmete kontrolu nad vašim Bitcoin ključevima samo kada budete sigurni u uslugu koja vam se pruža. Ali vas podstičemo da i dalje razmatrate jedinstvenu priliku koju vam pruža Bitcoin: mogućnost da imate apsolutnu kontrolu nad svojim bogatstvom.

Samostalno čuvanje je vremenom sve lakše i lakše. Razmotrite svoju situaciju i odaberite način čuvanja koji najbolje odgovara vama. Ovde sam da vam pomognem, i slobodno mi se obratite sa svim pitanjima koja vas zanimaju.

@ b8a9df82:6ab5cbbd

How open-source won in fiat land.

Completely lost in time, I finally landed back in Berlin after a month in Buenos Aires and a week in Las Vegas that felt like an entire lifetime compressed into a few days.

A year ago, I barely knew how to spell NOSTR, didn’t have a Lightning wallet, and had only vaguely heard of Bitcoin. I had no idea what this movement was about — what it could mean, or where it might take me. Fast forward to now: I found myself in Las Vegas, at the biggest Bitcoin conference in the world, surrounded by thousands of people.

For those who haven’t been yes, Vegas is exactly like in the movies. It is Disneylands for adults. Casinos pumping cold air at 4 am to keep you awake, fake skies, fake rivers, fake cities. You walk from one hotel to another and somehow land in a version of Rome, Paris or Venice. It’s bizarre and overwhelming and… kind of amazing in its own twisted way. Who are we humans to build a neon wonderland in the middle of a desert?

And yet, even there, in peak fiat land, there I was: in a casino lounge at 4 in the morning onboarding random people to Nostr with the entire team.

But let’s rewind — how did I even end up here?

After a slightly rocky start Derek and I began the year with a mission: to bring Nostr to Las Vegas. A booth? Way too expensive. So we tried something else — applying for a grant from the Human Rights Foundation. Because the Oslo Freedom Forum was happening at the same time, HRF decided to support six fellow Nostriches and gave us the green light to build something different: the Nostr Lounge.

To the entire HRF team: thank you. Thank you for trusting us, for believing in the vision, and for playing such a crucial role in making this happen. Located in Open Source area far from the main exhibition hall, away from the noise and flashing lights we were not sure if anyone even come?

But the space turned out to be perfect — cosy, carpeted, warm. A real contrast to the intense chaos of the main hall. It gave us space to breathe, to onboard, to connect.And of course the plebs did come. And the energy? Unreal. People were genuinely curious, eager to learn, and ready to go deep. No suits, no fluff — just people who care.

Of course, there were suitcoiners too — and yes, I’ve written about them before, especially after my experience at Bitcoin investment Week in New York (if you missed it, I wrote about that here earlier this year — and Vegas brought a strange kind of déjà vu).

This was — and is — a team effort. It wouldn’t have happened without the incredible crew of volunteers who came from all corners of the world. Developers, builders, creators, idealists. People who understand what freedom of speech really means. Agustin, Mike, Sleepy, Erik and so many more. And even those who weren’t physically with us — following along on Nostr, sending support from afar — you were just as much a part of it.

For me personally, it meant everything to finally meet so many beautiful humans in real life. Especially the women: Roya, Heather, Valerie, Bri, Efrat… you give me strength and hope. It reminded me why I’m here — why we’re all here. There is a better world worth fighting for, and this community helps me believe in it.

The Nostr Lounge was for the plebs — and so was our side event at We All Scream. Away from the overpriced conference afterparties, NosVegas was a wild, joyful celebration. Sponsored by Tunestr and The Space, it was the perfect mix of education and dance floor madness. The vibes were lit. The artists such as Sara Jade, Ainsley Costello on fire.

If there’s one thing I would change? I wish we’d had more stage time. As Derek said in the only fireside chat: "Every Bitcoiner should be on Nostr." If we have an entire lounge dedicated to it, let’s really go for it. Because people do care. They do love it. Oh — and while we're dreaming — maybe one day the WiFi gods will finally smile on us.

One more highlight: The 2nd Annual Bitcoin Golf Championship and Kickoff Party. Frieda, the organiser, gave us a tiny table with Nostr banners. We used it to onboard and chat — and of course, it became the busiest little corner of the event.

All in all, I feel deeply grateful — and also completely behind on processing it all. A full recap will follow soon from Derek (bless him), but this was my personal take, straight from the heart.

And if I forgot to mention anyone by name — I’m truly sorry. So many of you made this experience what it was, and I carry that with me.

And one thing I’m especially thankful for — having someone by my side through all this. Someone who grounds me, who gets it, who quietly keeps me steady while the world spins fast. You know who you are.

Next stop: Prague

@ 06639a38:655f8f71

You might notice the styling of this site has changed. That's because I've made a custom Drupal theme using TailwindCSS and daisyUI. For these CSS frameworks / components I've also seperate Drupal theme everyone could use:

https://www.drupal.org/project/tailwind_css 
https://www.drupal.org/project/daisy_ui 

What else?

1. Wrote my third OpenSats progress report, read it here
2. Added Nostr-PHP RelayListMetadata class (NIP-65) and tests, see PR
3. Added Nostr-PHP PersistentConnection class and tests, see PR

@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.

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Pregled sadržaja

1. Šta je blockchain?
2. Kako mogu da saznam više o Bitcoin-u?

Ukoliko niste pročitali naš uvodni tekst o Bitcoin-u, i zašto vam je važno da to učinite, onda prvo pročitajte: Šta je Bitcoin i kako on može da nam pomogne?

Bitcoin, sa velikim B na početku, odnosi se na mrežu računara koji održavaju knjigu stanja na akauntima bitcoin digitalne valute, slično kao što banke održavaju knjigu stanja na računima dolara, eura ili neke druge valute. Bitcoin softver, odnosno protokol, takođe omogućava korisnicima da putem interneta pošalju bitcoin-e sa svog akaunta na drugi akaunt, slično PayPal-u ili Venmo-u, ali bez kompanije koja pruža uslugu prenosa. Bitcoin softver je otvorenog koda, tako da svako može da ga pokrene na svom računaru i da se pridružiti mreži.

Najbolji način da se razume kako Bitcoin funkcioniše “iznutra” je da ga zamislimo kao finansijski sistem. Naš trenutni finansijski sistem, koji uglavnom koristi dolare, eure, dinare i druge valute kao „novac“, izgleda otprilike ovako:

Centralne banke i vlade proizvode i distribuiraju novac pozajmljujući ga ljudima, i trošeći ga na oružje, puteve i socijalne programe. Ovaj sistem se naziva sistemom zasnovanom na dugovima, jer svaki put kada banka da zajam, stvara se nova valuta koja ranije nije postojala. Ova valuta ima vrednost jer dug koji ju je stvorio ima vrednost: primalac zajma obećava da će otplatiti svoj dug banci, plus kamate.

Kad god banka odobri kredit, ona stvara novu valutu. Ovo takodje važi i kada podignete hipoteku ili kredit za auto. Takođe se primenjuje i kada Američke Federalne Rezerve kupuju državne obveznice od vlade Sjedinjenih Država. U svakom od ovih slučajeva, banka šalje novonastalu valutu primaocu zajma. Primaoc zajma obećava banci da će u budućnosti vratiti tu valutu, plus kamate. Međutim, ulaz nove valute u sistem znači i da opada vrednost postojeće valute koja je u opticaju. To se dešava kroz proces koji se obično naziva inflacija.

Da bi imali koristi od pogodnih usluga koje nude banke, poput kreditnih kartica i digitalnih transfera novca, normalni ljudi i preduzeća obično novac drže na bankovnim računima. Svaka banka poseduje svoju knjigu sa računima svih svojih klijenata.

Banke su neophodne da bi omogućile digitalna plaćanja koja vršimo svakodnevno, jer su nam potrebne pouzdane strane koje bi proverile da li se sav računovodstveni sistem sabira. U suprotnom, bilo bi lako da neko uradi “copy-paste“ jednog dela digitalnog novca i da ga potroši dva puta, ili da doda par nula na stanje svog računa.

Sada razumemo nekoliko ključnih tačaka o trenutnom sistemu zasnovanom na dugu: banke proizvode novu valutu svaki put kad pozajmljuju novac, a većina ljudi svoj novac čuva u bankama koje im nude pogodnosti.

Bitcoin je malo drugačiji. Hajde da započnemo ovo putovanje sa pitanjem.

Šta ako bi svi posedovali knjigu stanja na računima, baš kao i banka?

Umesto da banke poseduju po jednu knjigu depozita svojih klijenata, šta ako svi poseduju istu knjigu, sa detaljnim opisima svih stanja na računima svih učesnika u ekonomiji? O privatnosti ne morate da brinete ni na trenutak – to ćemo objasniti kasnije.

Hajde da vidimo kako bi transakcija mogla da se izvrši koristeći ovakav bankarski sistem. Recimo da Ana želi da plati Davidu 10 digitalnih „novčića“. Ona tu transakciju zapisuje u e-mail, potpisuje je digitalno kako bi svi bili sigurni da e-mail dolazi od stvarne Ane, i šalje ga svima ostalima. Kada ostali prime taj e-mail, oni ažuriraju svoje knjige, tako što skinu 10 novčića sa Aninog računa i dodaju 10 novčića na Davidov račun.

Zašto bi se neko trudio da evidentira transakciju u svojoj knjizi?

Recimo da će prva osoba koja izvrši sledeće korake dobiti 5 novčića:

1. Proverom da li je prava Ana potpisala transakciju
2. Proverom da li Ana ima dovoljno sredstava na svom računu da plati Davidu 10 novčića
3. Zapisivanje transakcije ukoliko ispunjava uslove 1) i 2)

Primetićete da se ovo mnogo razlikuje od trenutnog monetarnog sistema. U novom sistemu morate da imate novčiće da biste mogli da ih date nekom drugom. Ne postoje banke sa posebnim privilegijama koje mogu da stvore valutu davanjem zajma.

Umesto da dozvoljava samo maloj grupi bankara da prave nove valute, novi sistem omogućava svima da kreiraju novu valutu ako pružaju korisnu uslugu mreži: verifikovanje i evidentiranje transakcija između ljudi. Nazvaćemo ovo nagradom za potvrđivanje.

Kako se svi slože oko pravila sistema? Ona su kodirana u softverskom protokolu otvorenog koda. To znači da svako može besplatno da preuzme pravila sistema sa interneta i da počne da ih koristi za zaradu valute u sistemu. Ako svi koriste isti skup pravila, njihove knjige će se sinhronizovati, jer će prihvatiti i odbiti potpuno iste transakcije.

• Otvoreni kod = svako može da preuzme kod i da ga pročita
• Softverski protokol = skup pravila napisanih u kodu

Kako zaustaviti ljude koji pokušavaju da prevare sistem da bi zaradili “nagradu za potvrdu”?

Recimo da Boris i Marko žele da se obogate – oni bi mogli jedan drugom da plaćaju po jedan novčić u krug, vodeći računa da neko od njih prvi zabeleži transakciju kako bi mogli da zahtevaju nagradu za potvrdu. Pomoću ove šeme oni bi u osnovi mogli da stvore (odštampaju) novu valutu, kad god oni to požele!

Softverski protokol to zaustavlja zahtevajući da osoba koja validira transakciju uradi neki „posao“ sa računarom kako bi je zabeležila. Ovo osigurava da računari moraju da troše energiju za zabeležavanje transakcija, pa bi u tom slučaju varanje sistema bilo veoma skupo. Borisova i Markova šema varanja sistema više nema finansijskog smisla. Da bismo demonstrirali ovaj proces, pogledajmo Filipa i njegov C-Bot računar. Filip je na svoj računar instalirao Bitcoin protokol, koji predstavlja Bitcoin-ov softverski protokol otvorenog koda koji sadrži pravila Bitcoin sistema.

Kako C-Bot Verifikuje Transakcije

Korak 1: Slušanje transakcija

Prvo, C-Bot sluša transakcije (skraćeno “txn”) koje Ana, Boris, Marko i David emituju putem interneta.

Korak 2: Stvara “Heš”

Drugo, C-Bot će prikupiti sledeće delove podataka:

• Sve Bitcoin transakcije koje ljudi šalju
• Tajni broj (objasnićemo kasnije)
• Nonce – neki slučajan broj

C-Bot sve ovo stavlja u heš mašinu. Mašina za heširanje uzima sve ove podatke i proizvodi 256 bitova (bitovi su 1 i 0) koji se jedinstveno uklapaju u te podatke, nazvane ‘heš’. To heširanje je poput otiska prsta podataka. Uvek ćete dobiti isti heš sa istim ulaznim podacima. Mašina za heširanje je takođe jednosmerna: lako je stvoriti heš od nekih podataka, ali ne možete da stavite heš u mašinu i da vratite ulazne podatke.

C-Bot će iznova isprobavati svoju heš mašinu sa drugim nonce-om (slučajnim brojem). Svaki put, on će proveriti da li je mašina proizvela heš za koji Bitcoin softverski protokol kaže da je tačan.

Ovaj proces pronalaženja heša troši puno vremena i energije. Mašina za heširanje je jednosmerna, tako da C-Bot ne može tek tako da stavi ‘tačan’ heš u mašinu i otkrije ulazne podatke. Svaki računar na Bitcoin mreži takođe prolazi kroz ovaj proces pokušavajući da pronađe ‘ispravan’ heš.

Ukoliko bi ovi računari uspeli da pronađu ‘ispravan’ heš bez velikog trošenja energije, mogli bi da prevare sistem. Dva računara bi mogla da prosleđuju transakcije u krug, zarađujući bitcoin-e svaki put kada bi potvrdili transakciju.

Korak 3: Pronalaženje Ispravnog Heša

C-Bot konačno pronalazi heš koji zadovoljava pravila Bitcoin protokola koristeći sve nedavne transakcije. Sada ovaj blok podataka šalje na druge računare. Blok se sastoji od nedavnih transakcija, nonce-a i tajnog broja. Ti drugi računari stavljaju sve ove podatke kroz istu heš mašinu za sebe, da bi proverili da li je heširanje tog C-Bota tačno. S obzirom da znamo da računari ne mogu da varaju u ovoj igri, znamo da je C-Bot morao da izvrši neka izračunavanja sa svojom heš mašinom da bi pronašao ispravan heš.

Heš bloka C-Bota koji je poslat, sada postaje tajni broj koji ulazi u izračunavanje sledećeg bloka. Budući da heš svakog bloka u ‘blockchain-u’ bitcoin-a koristi heš poslednjeg bloka kao ulaz, bila bi potrebna apsurdna količina energije da se prepiše istorija transakcija (lanac blokova, eng. the blockchain)

Budući da se svačija stanja bitcoin-a zasnivaju na transakcijama na i sa njihovih računa, to takođe onemogućava izmenu bilo čijih stanja bitcoin-a.

Čitav ovaj proces poznat je pod nazivom rudarenje bitcoin-a. Svaki računar na mreži pokušava da proba nove podatke kroz heš mašinu, bilione puta u sekundi.

Šta je blockchain?

Blockchain predstavlja istoriju Bitcoin transakcija, koja omogućava bilo kome da utvrdi svoje Bitcoin stanje.

• ‘Block – Blok’ = Grupa Bitcoin transakcija, nonce-a i heša prethodnog bloka
• ‘Chain – Lanac’ = Heš svakog bloka takođe koristi heš prethodnog bloka kao ulaz. Ovo povezuje podatke svakog bloka sa svakim drugim blokom, stvarajući chain – lanac.

Na blockchain-u, prava imena nisu povezana sa bitcoin-ima. Bitcoin-i su povezani samo sa slučajnim nizom brojeva i slova poznatim kao ‘javni ključ’. Ovo korisnike Bitcoin-a i njihova stanja čini poprilično anonimnima za sve koji vode knjigu.

Kada posedujete bitcoin-e, vi imate password za otključavanje vaših bitcoin bankovnih računa. Ovi računi postoje na hiljadama računara širom sveta koji pokreću Bitcoin protokol.

Kako mogu da saznam više o Bitcoin-u?

Ovaj članak vam je dao razumevanje o tome kako funkcioniše Bitcoin protokol i kako se osiguravaju njegova neverovatna svojstva.

Ako želite da saznate više, preporučujem vam ove izvore:

• Šta je Bitcoin i kako on može da nam pomogne?
• Zašto baš Bitcoin?

Ako vam se sviđa moj rad, molim vas da ga podelite sa svojim prijateljima i porodicom. Cilj mi je da svima pružim pogled u ekonomiju i na to kako ona utiče na njihov život.

@ 06639a38:655f8f71

1) How did you spend your time?

I continued to write and publish more detailed weekly updates here: https://nostrver.se/blog. These updates are also cross-posted via Nostr as long-form content.

All commits on the main branch from 01-03-2025 till 30-04-2025: https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/commits/main/?since=2025-03-01&until=2025-04-30 

NIP-19 bech32-encoded entities

This has been implemented in the library, see https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/68 

Added getTag method to the Event class

https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/commit/5afa38a45d3371bf79c78cda4d93be3ecef86985 

Added a profile class to fetch profile metadata of a given pubkey

https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/commit/0e6cbbb80b08b2b38722d4cef68205c64b70b205 

Drupal nJump module which implements Nostr-PHP

This Drupal module which is providing these Nostr features is FOSS and uses the Nostr-PHP library for doing the following:

• Request the event from one or more relays
• Decode the provided NIP-19 identifier

For now this module is way for me to utilize the Nostr-PHP library with Drupal for fetching events.
Any event and a NIP-19 identifier can now be fetched with the following URL pattern:
https://nostrver.se/e/{event_id|nevent1|note1|addr1}

As an example, take this URL https://nostrver.se/e/nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzqmjxss3dld622uu8q25gywum9qtg4w4cv4064jmg20xsac2aam5nqqsqm2lz4ru6wlydzpulgs8m60ylp4vufwsg55whlqgua6a93vp2y4g3uu9lr fetches the data from one or more relays. This data is then being saved as a (Drupal) node entity (in a database on the server where this website is hosted, which is located in my tiny office). With this saved node, this data is now also available at https://nostrver.se/e/0dabe2a8f9a77c8d1079f440fbd3c9f0d59c4ba08a51d7f811ceeba58b02a255/1 where the (cached) data is server from the database instead. It's just raw data for now, nothing special about it (yet).

Contributions to the library

• NIP-04 + NIP-44
  https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/84 
  https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/88
• NIP-05 internet identifier lookup
  https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/89
• Allow verification of Event objects
  https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/86
• Work in progress: NIP-17 direct messages
  https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/90

All these contributions are made by Djuri who is working on the Nostr integration in https://satsback.com and on a private messaging browser client https://n17.chat.

Removed the CLI tool from the library

See https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/93 

New / updated documentation at nostr-php.dev

I started to explore what is possible generating documentation using Goose as an AI agent and Claude as the LLM provider. Bootstrapping new pages with documentation works very well while I point to several resources to be used as input for the LLM (using the example snippets in the Nostr-PHP library and the Nostr NIP repository).
All commits on the master branch from 01-03-2025 till 30-04-2025: https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php.dev/commits/master?since=2025-03-01&until=2025-04-30 

• Updated the page how to handle tags on a event, see https://nostr-php.dev/guides/manage-tags-on-an-event#getting-specific-tags
• Added a instructions to try out the library online at https://nostr-php.dev/guides/get-started
• Work in progress, NIP-19 documentation: https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php.dev/tree/feat/nip19docs and https://nostr-php.dev/guides/nip19

Some analytics

Source: https://packagist.org/packages/swentel/nostr-php/stats 

Other Nostr stuff I would to mention I worked on

NIP-B0 web bookmarks with CCNS.news

I moved https://ccns.nostrver.se to a own domain https://ccns.news and has integrated NIP-B0 which we worked out how to handle web bookmarks via Nostr. Before this NIP was merged, there were already some other Nostr clients handling web bookmarks:

• https://yumyu.me
• https://pinja.app

Also Fiatjaf started to work on an annotation noting tool (browser extension) called Lantern (which is a fork of https://hypothes.is) integrating Nostr for creating highlights and annotations on a webpage with text. This extension can also be used to bookmark web pages.

On CCNS.news there is a global feed now: https://ccns.news/global which fetches all the web bookmark events with kind 39701 from several public Nostr relays. I had a rough idea to compare feeds generated with NDK and Nostr-PHP (for both using the same set of relays):

When you post a bookmark now on the site, a kind 39701 event is transmitted to some Nostr relays (take a look at this event for example). Optionally you can also publish this content as a note to the network.

2) What do you plan to work on next quarter?

• Already work in progress:
  • Review and merge PR with NIP-17
    https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/90
  • Implement NIP-65 with RelayListMetadata class
    https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/100
  • Implement DMRelayList class
    https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/blob/main/src/Event/List/DmRelaysList.php
  • Review and implements extra metadata fields for profile
  • https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/94
  • Implement PersistantConnection class
    https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/99
  • Review and merge PR NIP-13 proof of work
    https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/97
  • Review and merge PR for implementing methods (TODO's) on Relay and RelaySet class
    https://github.com/nostrver-se/nostr-php/pull/95
• Planned:
  • Research how the revolt/event-loop package can be used to serve as a sort of a message bus for handling async and concurrent requests in the library
  • Build a stable 2.0.x release
    • By default and full async concurrent requests support
• Add / update documentation on https://nostr-php.dev:
  • Direct messages with NIP-04 and NIP-17
  • Encrypted payloads with NIP-44
  • Instructions how to bootstrap a Nostr profile with a given pubkey
• Host the https://nostr-php.dev website as a static website using Blossom.
  See https://github.com/lez/nsite  and https://github.com/hzrd149/nsite-ts

3) How did you make use of the money?

• Livings costs

4) Is there anything we could help with?

I would love to see a (closed/private) digital place with other Nostr OpenSats grantees where we can share our experiences and challenges. We could give feedback to each other as a form of encouragement. For example I'm curious how other grantees are explaining the work they to other which are not familiar with FOSS, Nostr and/or Bitcoin.

@ d9a329af:bef580d7

Originally made using Habla News, now edited and republished using Yakihonne

To be clear, this is 100% my subjective opinion on the alternatives to popular music, as it has become practically a formula of witchcraft, pseudoscience and mysticism. There is nothing you can do to get me to listen to Western pop music from the late 2010's to now. I could certainly listen to almost anything... just not modern pop, which is now completely backwards.

Most examples of compositions for these genres will be my own, unless otherwise stated. The genres on this list are in no particular order, though my favorite of which will be first:

1. Bossa Nova

Bossa Nova is a subgenre of jazz from Brazil, created in the 1950's as a mix of standard jazz and samba rhythms in a more gentle and relaxing manner. This genre's most famous songs are Tom Jobim's The Girl from Ipanema (found in albums like Getz/Gilberto), Wave, and even Triste. Most of the music is written in 2/4 time signature, and any key is almost acceptable. It's called Afro-Brazilian Jazz for a reason after all. I have a ton of compositions I produced, from Forget and Regret, to Rabbit Theory, Beaches of Gensokyo Past, Waveside, and even Willows of Ice to name a few of them.

1. Metal

This is an umbrella term for many subgenres of this fork of hard rock, with more distorted guitars, speedy and technical writing, vocals that sound demonic (some subgenres don't have that), or sometimes, chaotic lyrics and downright nasty ones if you look deep enough. If you want to get into it, just make sure it's not Black Metal (it's weird), Blackened Metal (Any subgenre of metal that's been inserted with elements of Black Metal), Metalcore, or any other genre that has vocals that aren't the best to hear (these are vocal fries that are really good if you're into the weird demonic sounds). This isn't for the faint of heart. Instrumental metal is good though, and an example is my composition from Touhou Igousaken called A Sly Foxy Liar if you want to know what techincal groove metal is like at a glance.

1. Touhou-style

I can attest to this one, as I produced bossa nova with a Touhou-like writing style. Touhou Project is a series of action video games created by one guy (Jun'ya Outa, a.k.a. ZUN), and are usually bullet curtain games in the main franchise, with some official spinoffs that are also action games (fighting games like Touhou 12.3 ~ Hisoutensoku). What I'm referring to here is music written by ZUN himself (He does almost everything for Touhou Project, and he's really good at it), or fans that write to his style with their own flair. I did this once with my composition, Toiled Bubble, which is from my self-titled EP. I probably wouldn't do much with it to be fair, and stick to bossa nova (my main genre if you couldn't tell).

1. Hip-Hop/Rap

This can get subjective here, but old-school rap and hip-hop... give me more of it. Before it became corrupted with all kinds of immoral things, hip-hop and rap were actually very good for their time. These were new, innovative and creative with how lyrics were written. Nowadays, while we're talking about cars, unspeakable acts, money, and just being dirtbags. Artists in this genre back then were much classier than that. I fit in the latter category with my pieces entitled, Don't Think, Just Roast (the piece where I called out antis of a popular corporate Vtuber agency) and Desparate Yokai. It didn't get much traction on YouTube, because I'm not a well-known artist (I'm considered a nobody in the grand scheme of things. I'd like to get it fixed, but I don't want a record deal... I'd have to become a Pharisee, Cathoic, Jesuit or Wahhabi Muslim for a record deal... in other words, I need to revere and obey the Pope (the Mark of the Beast).

1. Synthwave

This is a genre of electronic music focused on 80's and 90's synths being used to carry a composition. Nowadays, we have plugins like Vital, Serum, Surge and others to create sounds we would otherwise be hearing on an 80's or 90's keyboard. An example of this is my composition, Wrenched Torque, which was composed for a promotion I did with RAES when he released his Vital synth pack.

1. Happy Hardcore

A 90's genre of EDM, specifically Hardcore, it's stylized with 80's and 90's synths, 90's drum machines and even vocals of music from back in the day (rap and disco I think were sampled the most). Artists like Chinese artist Xi (not Xi Jinping for those misunderstanding), European DJ Nakatomi and the like have produced some fine pieces of work. You'd find this primarily in Germany, The Netherlands and probably Belgium as well. If you want to hear some Happy Hardcore from me, The VST Test is the album to look for.

More are to come in future installments of this series, and I will adjust the title of this one accordingly if y'all have any ideas of genres I should look into (with the exception of Happy Hardcore, which is in the Yakihonne release of this article).

@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.

---

Pregled sadržaja

1. Koji Bitcoin Novčanici su Dostupni?
2. Šta je Mnemonic Oporavak ili Seed Fraza sa 12 ili 24 Reči?
3. Kako Čuvati Seed Frazu
4. Saveti za Osiguravanje Vaše Seed Fraze
5. Šta će se Desiti sa Vašim Bitcoin-om Nakon što Umrete?
6. Kako Koristite Seed Frazu za Oporavak Vašeg Novčanika?
7. Ako je Vaša Seed Fraza Sigurna, Biće i Vaša Sredstava!

Za one koji tek ulaze u igru sa kriptovalutama, šansa da vaša Bitcoin sredstva ne budu sigurna i zaštićena može biti pomalo zastrašujuća. Srećom, postoji mnogo user-friendly Bitcoin novčanika, i svaki od njih ima izvrsnu funkciju rezervne kopije, koja vam omogućava trenutan povraćaj Bitcoin sredstava, ako vaš uređaj na kome se nalazi novčanik ikada bude zagubljen ili izgubljen. Ova funkcija, poznata kao „seed fraza“, ili seed fraza za oporavak, predstavlja jedinstveni niz reči koje će vaš novčanik generisati, i koje deluju kao password za vaše lične Bitcoin podatke. Ovaj skup reči omogućava trenutni povraćaj vaših bitcoin sredstava.

Iako možete lako zapostaviti svoju seed frazu, misleći da ćete se kasnije pozabaviti sa njom, uvek je najbolje biti proaktivan kada je reč o osiguranju zaštite vaše fraze za oporavak. Fraza za oporavak je vaša rezervna kopija – pa iako vam neće trebati svaki dan, biće kritična u slučaju da vam se novčanik pokvari. Takođe, fraza za oporavak može da omogući svima pristup vašem bitcoin-u, pa je zato veoma važno da se ona čuva na sigurnom.

U ovom članku, prikazaću vam:

1. Spisak glavnih Bitcoin hardware novčanika koje možete koristiti za skladištenje vaših Bitcoin-a.
2. Sveobuhvatan pregled mnogih metoda koje možete koristiti za čuvanje vaše seed fraze
3. Razne prednosti i mane za svaku od njih
4. Saveti koje možete da koristite da biste maksimizirali ukupnu sigurnost svoje seed fraze
5. Kako sigurno čuvati vašu seed frazu
6. Kako proslediti svoj Bitcoin u slučaju vaše smrti

Kada završite sa čitanjem, trebalo bi da ste na dobrom putu da čuvate svoju seed frazu koristeći najsigurnija i najpouzdanija dostupna sredstva, obezbeđujući najveću zaštitu svojih Bitcoin sredstava bez obzira na to šta se sa vama ili vašim digitalnim uređajima dogodi u budućnosti. Za početak ćemo dati brzi pregled hardware novčanika i šta tačno predstavlja fraza za oporavak.

Koji Bitcoin Novčanici su Dostupni?

Ispod ćete pronaći listu od nekoliko najpopularnijih novčanika koji su dostupni danas. Softverski novčanici rade na vašem telefonu ili računaru, dok su hardware novčanici namenski delovi hardvera (poput specijalizovanog fleš diska) koji omogućavaju lak i siguran pristup vašem bitcoin-u uz jaku sigurnost.

Hardware (poput specijalizovanog USB fleš diska) i Software (na vašem telefonu ili računaru)

Svaki od ovih novčanika će vam dati seed frazu, koja se sastoji od 12 ili 24 reči, što će vam omogućiti pristup svim bitcoin adresama povezanim sa vašim novčanikom – a samim tim i svim vašim sredstvima.

Šta je Mnemonic Oporavak ili Seed Fraza sa 12 ili 24 Reči?

Najjednostavnije rečeno, seed fraza je niz određenih reči u kojima se nalaze sve potrebne informacije kako bi se u potpunosti povratila vaša Bitcoin sredstva. Koji god novčanik odlučite da koristite, generisaće jedinstvenu seed frazu, posebno za vas, a taj softver će vas uputiti da čuvate seed frazu na neki način, gde će biti dostupna u slučaju nužde. Seed fraza će biti jedinstvena i obično sadrži od 12 ili 24 reči, od kojih se neke mogu ponoviti. Pre nego što sačuvate seed frazu, pročitajte odeljak 4) sa našim savetima!

Seed fraza omogućava pristup vašim bitcoin sredstvima svima koji je poseduju- omogućavajući vam da povratite sredstava ako vam se novčanik pokvari, ili omogućavajući lopovu da dobije pristup vašim bitcoin-ima.

To čini vašu seed frazu vrednom poput zlatne poluge. Zbog toga je pravilno čuvanje vaše seed fraze veoma važno – morate uravnotežiti lak način oporavka i sigurnost protiv krađe i hakovanja. Međutim, s obzirom da je vaša seed fraza samo niz reči, ona se može snimati i skladištiti na mnogo jednostavniji način (i mnogo jeftinije!) od zlatne poluge – čineći je potencijalno mnogo sigurnijom.

Primarna svrha seed fraze je da ima neku vrstu fizičkog sredstva za povraćaj Bitcoin sredstava ako vas izneveri novčanik. To uključuje ako vam se sruši sistem na računaru, ako vam se ošteti hard disk, izgubite telefon ili razbijete hardware novčanik – u svakom slučaju gde vaš novčanik postane nepristupačan.

Seed fraze zasnivaju se na specifikacijama otvorenog koda kompatibilnim sa Bitcoin protokolom, što znači da dok god imate svoju seed frazu, možete koristiti mnoge druge vrste novčanika da biste povratili pristup svom bitcoin-u. Recimo da danas posedujete Trezor, ali za 10 godina vam se uređaj pokvari ili Trezor prestane da posluje – možete jednostavno kupiti drugačiji hardware novčanik ili skinuti novčanik na svoj telefon, i pomoću svoje seed fraze povratiti pristup svojim bitcoin-ima.

Kako seed fraza funkcioniše?

Seed fraze funkcionišu slično kao i bilo koji drugi oblik koda, pri čemu svaka reč predstavlja numeričku vrednost koju novčanik razume. Fraze se generišu nasumično na osnovu unapred određene baze reči. Iako ponekad imate mogućnost da smislite sopstvenu seed frazu, omogućavanje novčaniku da generiše seed frazu je najbolja opcija za vašu sigurnost.

Jedna od prednosti koja je svojstvena prirodi seed fraza je ta što se u njima koriste stvarne prepoznatljive reči na engleskom jeziku koje se mogu izvesti i upamtiti bez obzira na male greške kao rezultat ružnog rukopisa. Ovo je suprotno od mnogih drugih nasumično generisanih passworda, gde svaki karakter mora biti jasno čitljiv da bi se password mogao pravilno kreirati, jer su oni jednostavno niz slučajnih karaktera. Stoga seed fraze imaju i prednosti randomizacije, kao i prednosti lako prepoznatljivih i uobičajenih reči.

Zašto Niko Ne Može da Predpostavi Seed Frazu?

Mogli biste da pomislite da bi niz od 24 reči možda bio lak nekome da ga pretpostavi, ili da bi nekome bilo isplativo da napravi računarski ciklus mogućih kombinacija, dok ne pronadje novčanik koji sadrži neke bitcoin-e kako bi mogao da ih ukrade.

Reči za frazu za oporavak ili seed frazu dolaze sa liste koja se sastoji od 2048 reči – pa čak i seed od 12 reči za Bitcoin novčanik ima 2048^12 kombinacija ili 2^132. Procenjuje se da u univerzumu postoji 10^21 zvezda, pa je nepotrebno reći da ovo predstavlja mnogo mogućih kombinacija. Čak i kada bi svaki čovek na Zemlji danas imao 1.000.000 novčanika (čak i bez adresa), to bi iznosilo samo 7.800.000.000.000.000 novčanika – što je oko 2^53. Ovo čini negde oko polovine mogućih kombinacija, ali to bi sakrilo snagu eksponencijalnog rasta.

Kada bi svi na svetu imali po 1.000.000 bitcoin novčanika, mi bismo i dalje koristili samo 0.000000000000000000000001654% od svih mogućih novčanika. To je neuporedivo teže nego pronaći jedno određeno zrno peska u celokupnom pesku koji se nalazi na Zemlji.

Čak i taj pronalazak određenog zrna peska na ovoj plaži bila bi kao šetnja parkom nasuprot pogađanju bilo koje random seed fraze.

Dakle, prilično je sigurno reći da niko uskoro neće pokušati da pogadja bitcoin novčanike. Bila bi potrebna vojska računara i veoma dugačak vremenski period da se pronadje samo jedan novčanik sa sredstvima u tom prostranstvu.

Kako Čuvati Seed Frazu

Neverovatno je važno kako zapisujete i skladištite svoju seed frazu, s obzirom na ogromnu količinu moći koju će oni koji je poseduju imati nad vašim Bitcoin sredstvima. Takođe, budući da je poenta seed fraze da bude lako dostupna gde i kada vam zatreba, čuvanje na nekom sigurnom, ali i pristupačnom mestu, je neophodno. Specifična metoda koju koristite za transkripciju vaše seed fraze je takođe važna, bez obzira na to kako se čuva, jer se neke metode transkripcije pokazale mnogo sigurnijim od drugih.

Pogledajte naš odeljak sa savetima, pre nego što zapišete svoju seed frazu!

Preporučujemo vam da fizički sačuvate svoju seed frazu nakon što vam je softver ili hardware novčanik isporuči. Fizičko skladištenje čini vašu seed frazu manje otvorenom za hakere koji bi mogli da vam ukradu frazu za oporavak iz digitalne memorije vašeg računara ili pametnog telefona.. Međutim, mnogi ljudi će i dalje odabrati neki oblik digitalnih sredstava za čuvanje svojih seed fraza, bilo zato što je to dominantno sredstvo ili jednostavno kao dodatni oblik rezervne kopije. Hajde da pogledajmo kako fizička, a tako i digitalna sredstva koja možete koristiti za čuvanje vaše seed fraze, kako se ona koriste, i specifične prednosti i nedostatke svake od njih.

Zapisivanje Vaše Seed fraze – na Papiru ili Digitalno

Zapisivanje Vaše Seed Fraze na Papir

Naravno, najočigledniji metod unošenja vaše digitalne seed fraze u fizički svet je isti onaj metod koji biste obično koristili za unošenje bilo kog drugog oblika pisanja u fizički svet – olovkom i papirom. Jednostavno zapisivanje vaše seed fraze na papir u potpunosti može biti dovoljno da vam pruži sigurnost koju želite. Međutim, postoje neka upozorenja oko upotrebe olovke i papira koja ovu najjednostavniju metodu čine ne baš tako idealnom za čuvanje nečega toliko važnog kao što je seed fraza.

Kao prvo, sam papir je lako uništiv, a o mastilu da i ne govorimo. U slučaju poplave ili požara, papir će biti uništen, što znači da će i vaša seed fraza biti uništena zajedno sa njim. Naravno, ovo su loše vesti i za svakoga ko verovatno gubi i sav svoj hardver i opremu u požaru ili poplavi. Kao drugu stvar, papir je neverovatno lako zagubiti. Može se oduvati, pomešati sa otpadom ili jednostavno pomešati sa nečim drugim i negde izgubiti, i nikada ga više nećete videti. Iz ovih i više drugih razloga, oni koji žele da zapišu svoju seed frazu u fizički svet, često traže sredstva koja su izdržljivija i trajnija od papira.

Graviranje Vaše Seed Fraze na Čeličnoj Back-Up Ploči

Back-up ploče od nerđajućeg čelika su stvorene kako bi korisnici Bitcoin-a imali način da trajnije urežu svoje seed fraze u fizički svet od puke olovke i papira. Napravljene su od nerđajućeg čelika, na koje se vaša seed fraza može trajno urezati. Budući da je gravura napravljena na čeliku, ona će u slučaju požara ili poplave moći da traje mnogo duže od papira. Ploča može biti bilo šta, od male kartice koju možete držati u novčaniku do većeg komada koji se može trajno čuvati kod kuće ili u sefu.

Bilo koju veličinu pločice da izaberete, možete je kupiti zajedno sa alatima za samograviranje (koji nisu uvek u kompletu), što znači da korisnik ne mora da deli svoju seed frazu sa onima od kojih je kupio ploču. Budući da su ove ploče stvorene posebno za potrebe izdržavanja katastrofe, obično sadrže brojne garancije o njihovoj trajnosti, otporne su na bilo koje elemenate koje možete baciti na njih, od vode do vatre, kao i od prekomernog korišćenja i habanja.

Što se tiče back-up ploča od nerđajućeg čelika, svaki proizvođač nudi svoj jedinstveni spin. Pogledajmo 5 najboljih proizvođača back-up ploča od nerđajućeg čelika na tržištu i da vidimo kako su se pokazali:

Cryptosteel

Sa sedištem u Velikoj Britaniji, Cryptosteel nudi čelične „Kapsule“ i „Kasete“ sa cenom u eurima, s tim da je kapsula približno veličine laserskog pokazivača, a kaseta je veličine, pa, kasete. Kapsula košta 74 eura, a kaseta 108 eura, mada se nude popusti za velike narudžbine. Umesto da zahtevaju gravuru, svaka Kaseta ili Kapsula dolazi sa odredjenom količinom čeličnih pločica koje se mogu staviti prema redosledu vaše seed fraze.

Cena Rezervne Kopije Jedne Seed Fraze: 74 eura

CryptoSteel Shop

Blockplate

Blockplate nudi čelične back-up ploče po ceni od 69 USD za dve – svaka ploča sadrži 12 reči. Njihove verzija jedne ploče, koja izgleda identično, košta 49 USD po paru. Potpuno četvrtaste i malo manje od podmetača, ove ploče vam omogućavaju da svoju seed frazu sačuvate na mreži koristeći samo prosti udarac u sredinu, nisu potrebne pločice sa slovima.

Cena Rezervne Kopije Jedne Seed Fraze: $49 (plus metalna igla za 10 $, ako vam treba)

Block Plate Shop

Hodlinox

Coldbit nudi heavy-duty kartice sa futrolama po ceni od 69 eura i setove za graviranje za dodatnih 20 eura. Takođe se možete odlučiti da sami uradite graviranje pomoću alata koji imate kod kuće, a koji može urezati čelik, poput dijamantske Dremel burgije. Oslanjajući se na čistu doslovnu transkripciju sličnu Hodlinox pločama, ove ploče ipak nude malo veću zaštitu i neke sjajne dizajne.

Cena Rezervne Kopije Jedne Seed Fraze: 29 Eura

HodlLinox Shop

Coldbit

Coldbit nudi heavy-duty kartice sa futrolama po ceni od 69 eura i setove za graviranje za dodatnih 20 eura. Takođe se možete odlučiti da sami uradite graviranje pomoću alata koji imate kod kuće, a koji može urezati čelik, poput dijamantske Dremel burgije. Oslanjajući se na čistu doslovnu transkripciju sličnu Hodlinox pločama, ove ploče ipak nude malo veću zaštitu i neke sjajne dizajne.

Cena Rezervne Kopije Jedne Seed Fraze: 69 Eura (plus 20 eura za set za graviranje, ako vam je potreban)

ColdBit Shop

Billfold by Privacy Pros

Preimenovan u Privacy Pros, brend Billfold je i dalje dostupan po ceni od 89 USD. Koristi dizajn kartice vrlo sličan Cryptosteel Kaseti, sa malim pločicama koje slažete da biste formirali svoju seed frazu.

Cena Rezervne Kopije Jedne Seed Fraze: $89

Privacy Pros Shop

Kriptovanje Vaše Seed Fraze i Njeno Digitalno Skladištenje

Iako se generalno preporučuje da svoju seed frazu ne skladištite digitalno, oni koji su bolje upućeni u digitalnu bezbednost, ovo mogu videti kao floskulu koja se može ignorisati. Iako laici sigurno ne bi smeli da šalju i primaju svoje seed fraze e-mailom, pravilno digitalno kriptovanje i skladištenje sredstvima poput cloud-a ili USB fleš memorije mogu biti jednako sigurna i bezbedna sredstva za skladištenje, kao i fizička sredstva, poput čeličnih back-up ploča. Takođe, kada se oba sredstva koriste zajedno, to vam pruža krajnju mrežu rezervnih kopija u slučaju bilo kakvih hitnih slučajeva.

Kriptovanje možda nije nešto što je lako za svakoga, ali postoje mnoge treće strane koji će se pobrinuti da odrade kriptovanje za vas. Obavezno diskonektujte računar sa Interneta dok unosite seed u računar i izvodite kriptovanje – ne verujte online uslugama kriptovanja!

Odatle, na vama ostaje da odlučite kako ćete da je čuvate, bilo na cloud-u ili na USB fleš memoriji. Prednost čuvanja na cloud-u je u tome što podaci nisu povezani ni sa jednim fizičkim uređajem i može im se pristupiti sa bilo kog mesta pomoću passworda na cloud-u. Međutim, to takođe znači da su podaci nešto pristupačniji nego da se čuvaju na USB fleš memoriji. Zapamtite da ako se odlučite za USB fleš memoriju, ona možda neće moći da se izdrži protiv požara i vode, baš kao što to mogu prosti nefizički podaci na cloud-u. Fleš memorija koja se koristi na USB-u takođe nije dizajnirana da traje duže od 10 godina, pa imajte i to na umu.

Digitalno čuvanje seed fraze preporučujem isključivo informatičarima tj ljudima sa dosta iskustva u kriptiranju informacija. Za 99% nas čekič i čelična pločica koju čuvamo na 2 ili 3 mesta + dodatna 13. ili 25. reč je najbolje rešenje.

Gde i Kako Čuvati Svoju Seed Frazu

Bez obzira da li ste odlučili da svoju seed frazu sačuvate na čeličnoj ploči, USB-u ili jednostavno na parčetu papira, moraćete da je stavite negde – a idealno bi bilo da je stavite na više mesta u slučaju da se jedna uništi ili izgubi.

Najbolji savet koji mogu da vam dam je gde ne trebate da čuvate svoju seed frazu. Na kraju, mesto na koje stavite svoju seed frazu najbolje je da sačuvate za sebe, i zato evo nekoliko mesta na koja definitivno ne želite da stavite seed frazu, ako želite da izbegnete da upadne u pogrešne ruke.

Ne Čuvajte Svoju Seed Frazu u…

1. Sef u Banci: Izgleda kao odlično mesto, zar ne? Pogrešno – banke prave greške, a kako sefovi postaju sve manje popularni, one prave još više grešaka!
2. Sef u Kući: Opet se čini kao odlično mesto – međutim, ovo je prvo mesto koje će provalnik potražiti. Čak i ako ne mogu da otvore sef, većinu malih kućnih sefova moguće je lako premestiti i odneti u kolicima, i kasnije ih razbiti.
3. Ispod Kreveta ili Dušeka: Klasično mesto za skrivanje novca, takođe je jedno od prvih mesta koje će provalnik pogledati.
4. U Frižideru: Možda mislite da maskiranje vašeg seed-a u posudi za hranu izgleda kao dobar način zabune, ali ovo je uobičajena taktika za skrivanje dragocenosti, pa bi provalnici mogli potražiti i ovde.
5. Ormarić za Nakit ili Fioke za Veš: To su uobičajena mesta za čuvanje drugih vrsta dragocenosti, pa će ih provalnik brzo pokrasti.

Budite kreativni, ali ne toliko kreativni da izgubite seed frazu, jer ne možete da se setite gde ste je sakrili.

Takođe je važno razmotriti i mogućnost pravljenja rezervnih kopija vašeg seed-a na više lokacija. Na taj način, čak i ako je jedno mesto potpuno uništeno (recimo da vam oluja odnese kuću), i dalje ćete da imate vaš seed na drugoj lokaciji.

Shamir-ovo Tajno Deljenje – Širite Vašu Frazu za Oporavak

Shamir-ovo Tajno Deljenje (eng. Shamir Secret Sharing), je algoritam koji vam omogućava da svoj seed podelite na više seed-ova koji su sami po sebi beskorisni. Međutim, njihovim rekombinovanjem vratićete vaš seed za oporavak.

Ovo je dobar korak ukoliko želite da podelite vaš seed sa vašim advokatom, računovođom, članovima porodice itd. – jer obezbeđuje da niko od njih nema pristup vašem celom seed-u.

Način na koji Shamir deluje je to što deli vaš seed na više manjih seed-ova koje možete predati pouzdanim pojedincima. Kada postavite Shamir-ov backup, odlučujete koliko ‘deljenja’ želite da kreirate i koliko delova je potrebno za oporavak vašeg celog seeda – na primer, možete da napravite 5 deljenja i kažete da su bilo koja 3 dela potrebna za oporavak vašeg seed-a.

Neki hardware novčanici, poput Trezor Model T, podržavaju Shamir Backups na user-friendly način.

Saveti za Osiguravanje Vaše Seed Fraze

Postoji mnogo opštih stvari koje morate imati na umu kada je reč o držanju vaše seed fraze na sigurnom. Neke od ovih stvari su samo zdrav razum, dok većini ljudi možda ništa neće pasti na pamet bez nečije pomoći. Neće sve metode biti praktične za sve čitaoce, ali imajte na umu da što više bezbednosnih metoda vežbate, vaša seed fraza će biti sigurnija. Učinite koliko god možete da vaša seed fraza bude sigurna i ona će vam biti pri ruci kada vam zatreba.

Ne Pravite Slike ili Screenshotove Vaše Seed Fraze

Ne slikanje vaše seed fraze je dovoljno jednostavno. Svaka slika koju napravite stvara dodatnu spoljnu datoteku koja se može duplirati, izgubiti ili ukrasti. Što je manji digitalni otisak vaše seed fraze, to je bolje. Međutim, postoji mnogo različitih načina na koje se mogu ukrasti fotografije vaše seed fraze, što može iznenaditi prosečnog čitaoca. Prvo, hakeri i ostale treće strane mogu da preuzmu sliku vaše seed fraze putem sigurnosnih kamera, poput onih na bankomatima. Takođe, kamere na računaru, telefonu i drugim ličnim uređajima mogu predstavljati još veći rizik. Iz ovih razloga, umanjivanje ukupne vidljivosti i izloženosti vaše seed fraze, i pre i posle dokumentovanja u fizičkom svetu, je apsolutna potreba.

Ne Izgovarajte Svoju Seed Frazu Naglas – Nikad!

Ako ste ikada razgovarali telefonom i Google Assistant vas je prekinuo, onda znate da vas stalno slušaju. Bilo da ste napolju u javnosti ili ste sami kod kuće, treće strane slušaju. Ako su te treće strane zainteresovane, možda će moći da dobiju pristup vašim ličnim podacima. Iz tog razloga, uzdržavanje od izgovaranja naglas vaše seed fraze treba smatrati vitalnim delom zaštite vaše seed fraze. Lakše je špijunirati nekoga preko zvuka, nego što je to slučaj sa vizuelnim elementima, pa izgovaranje naglas vaše seed fraze čini je mnogo podložnijom presretanju od strane onih koji je mogu zloupotrebiti.

Ne Čuvajte Svoju Seed Frazu u Password Menadžeru

Čuvanje vaše seed fraze u password menadžeru može se činiti sigurnim i prikladnim načinom izrade rezervnih kopija, ali to nosi velike rizike. Seed fraza se mnogo razlikuje od password za recimo vaš Facebook nalog. To je zato što su passwordi samo alati za potvrdu identiteta za centralizovane usluge – što znači da ako izgubite pristup računu ili budete hakovani, možete kontaktirati broj podrške i proći kroz neke korake da biste povratili kontrolu nad svojim nalogom.

Kod Bitcoin-a, prema njegovom dizajnu, ne postoji broj podrške. Ne postoji centralna stranka koja kontroliše Bitcoin transakcije, čineći ga neverovatno slobodnim i otvorenim – ali to takođe znači da morate vrlo ozbiljno da preuzmete odgovornost za svoju seed frazu. Ako padne u pogrešne ruke jer je vaš password menadžer hakovan, možete izgubiti svoje bitcoin-e.

Ne Koristite Online Usluge Oporavka Seed-a

Ako vam neki website traži da unesete svoju seed frazu – čak i ako vam se čini kao pouzdan – dobro razmislite pre nego što to učinite. Većina „usluga online oporavka“ su maskirane prevare, usresredjene samo na kradju seed fraza nevinih ljudi! Ne budi jedan od njih.

Koristite Pristupnu Frazu(dodatnu reč) da Biste Dodali još Sigurnosti

Trezor podešavanje pristupne fraze | Ledger podešavanje pristupne fraze

Ako vaš novčanik podržava dodavanje pristupne fraze, trebalo bi da je koristite. Pristupna fraza je password koji dodate svom seed-u i funkcioniše kao 13. ili 25. reč u vašoj seed frazi. Zbog toga je vaš novčanik mnogo teže ukrasti. Ako se pristupna fraza čuva na drugačijoj lokaciji od vašeg seed-a, vaši bitcoin-i su sigurni čak i ako neko dobije pristup vašoj seed frazi.

Zaštitite Svoju Seed Frazu

Bez obzira da li svoju seed frazu čuvate u digitalnom oblaku ili na čeličnoj ploči, postojanje nekog načina čuvanja koji štiti seed frazu od elemenata kao što su požar i poplava, mora se smatrati obaveznim. Kao što je već rečeno, čelične ploče mogu se napraviti da izdrže većinu katastrofa, a skladištenje na cloud-u pruža nefizička sredstva koja mogu biti jednako sigurna kao i druga sredstva ako koristite pravu enkripciju. Upotreba jednog ili oba ova sredstva može vam pomoći da vam garantuje maksimalnu zaštitu bez obzira na to šta se dogodi.

Koristite Više Metoda za Pravljenje Rezervnih Kopija Kad God Možete

Korišćenje nekoliko različitih metoda za čuvanje vaše seed fraze ima puno prednosti, ali ima i neke nedostatke ako im ne pristupite sa dovoljno pažnje. Iako vam više načina za skladištenje pruža veću zaštitu, to takođe proširuje vaš celokupni profil, što znači da postoji više područja koja su otvorena za napad. Ipak, korišćenje najmanje dve odvojene metode za pravljenje rezervnih kopija obično se smatra dobrom idejom, jer imate rezervne kopije za slučaj da vam se nešto desi! Nikad ne znate šta će se dogoditi, a u tome i jeste poenta seed fraza.

Ograničite Pristup Vašoj Seed Frazi što je Više Moguće

Naravno, neki ljudi mogu da se odluče da svoju seed frazu podele sa pouzdanom trećom stranom, kao sredstvo radi osiguranja njene zaštite, ali, generalno, što je manji broj ljudi sa kojima delite svoju seed frazu, time bolje. Vaša je lična odluka s kim ćete deliti svoju seed frazu, i u vašem je najboljem interesu da to pravo mudro koristite.

Ne Pričajte o Količini Bitcoin-a Koje Posedujete

Nekima je ovo možda najteži savet, ali možda i najvažniji. Ako niko ne zna da imate bitcoin, i koliko ga imate, smanjujete verovatnoću da će neko pokušati da dodje do vaše seed fraze ili novčanika. Zato držite jezik za zubima!

Šta će se Desiti sa Vašim Bitcoin-om Nakon što Umrete?

Kao i sa bilo kojim drugim sredstvom, trebalo bi da imate predstavu o tome kako će se postupati sa vašim Bitcoin-om nakon što umrete. S obzirom da je ovo relativno nova tema, nema puno presedana kada je reč o prenošenju i nasleđivanju Bitcoin-a. Iako mnogi mogu da pomisle da moraju da angažuju advokata, prenošenje Bitcoin-a zaista podrazumeva samo puko prenošenje vaše seed fraze, zajedno sa nekim vašim konkretnim srestvima.

Prilikom pripreme za prosleđivanje vaše seed fraze u slučaju vaše smrti, važno je zapamtiti da prosledite i detaljan zapis o svojoj digitalnoj imovini. Za razliku od fizičkih materijala, digitalna sredstva se ne mogu lako kvantifikovati fizičkom procenom. Ukoliko nije svesna da postoji, ta osoba možda neće znati šta tačno prima. Stoga, ona možda neće zaista primiti ono što ste joj namenili da nasledi. To je takođe razlog zašto bi svi trebali da drže svu svoju imovinu sažetom i što organizovanijom, u slučaju nužde.

Ako razumete engleski jezik preporučujem da pročitate knjigu: Cryptoasset Inheritance Planning od Pamela Morgan

Kako Koristite Seed Frazu za Oporavak Vašeg Novčanika?

Za većinu novčanika, upotreba seed fraze jednostavna je poput pritiskanja pravih tipki i kucanja iste. Odatle, seed fraza će vratiti sav sadržaj i podatke novčanika na bilo koji uređaj koji koristite. Na ovaj način, korišćenje seed fraze znači da možete imati novčanik kod sebe gde god da krenete, bez obzira na sve, čak i ako se novčanik izgubi ili uništi – sve što vam zaista treba je vaša seed fraza.

Opet, ne koristite nikakve online usluge za seed frazu! U najvećem broju slučajeva to su prevare.

Bez obzira da li koristite mobilni novčanik kao što je Muun ili hardware novčanik kao što su Trezor ili Ledger, sredstva za upotrebu vaše seed fraze su u osnovi ista – jedina razlika je hardver koji koristite za to. Kod aplikacija poput Muun jednostavno pokrenete aplikaciju i ona vam daje mogućnost oporavka prethodnog novčanika. Zatim ćete odabrati dužinu svoje seed fraze i uneti je tačno onako kako je prikazana.

Uz hardware novčanike poput onih koje je izradio Trezor, dobićete istu opciju za povratak kada pokrenete uređaj i instalirate firmware. Dobićete isti izbor da odredite dužinu svoje seed fraze, a zatim će zatražiti od vas da je unesete potpuno isto.

Ako je moguče uvjek koristite isti hardware/software wallet prilikom oporavka vaše seed fraze kao što ste koristili kad ste je pravili.

Ako je Vaša Seed Fraza Sigurna, Biće i Vaša Sredstava!

Na kraju dana, važno je da zapamtite da što više brige ulažete u pravilno skladištenje i zaštitu svoje seed fraze, to će vaša sredstva biti sigurnija i za vas i za vaše voljene. Digitalno doba predstavlja širok spektar novih opasnosti, a svet kriptovaluta je leglo za većinu njih.

Ako želite da preduzmete proaktivne mere u obezbeđivanju najveće zaštite vašeg bitcoin-a, čuvanje vaše seed fraze na sigurnom i pristupačnom mestu je neophodno. Vaša seed fraza možda sada ne izgleda kao velika stvar, ali će izgledati kao velika stvar kada dođe vreme da je upotrebite. Ukoliko želite da vi i vaša Bitcoin sredstva budete zaštićeni u slučaju nužde ili čak u slučaju vaše smrti, preduzimanje odgovarajućih sredstava za čuvanje i zaštitu vaše seed fraze je osnovni prvi korak.

@ d9a329af:bef580d7

Originally made using Habla News, now edited and reposted to Yakihonne

Since 2022, Dungeons and Dragons has been going down a sort of death spiral after the release of a revised version of 5th Edition... which didn't turn out very well to say the least. In light of that, I present a list of TTRPGs you can play if you don't want to purchase 5E. I wouldn't recommend 5E, as I've DM'd it in the past. It tastes like a lollipop that's cockroach and larvae flavored.

This list of TTRPG games is in no particular order, though my favorite of these systems is number one.

1. Basic Fantasy Role-Playing Game (BFRPG)
2. B/X-style OSR retroclone with ascending armor class, and the original retroclone from 2006.
3. Fully libre under CC BY-SA for the 4th Edition, and OGL 1.0a for 1-3 Editions.
4. Full books are free PDF files on the website (Basic Fantasy Website).
5. All BFRPG editions are compatible with each other, meaning you can have a 3rd Edition book to a 4th Edition game and still have fun. 4th Edition is just the removal of the 3E SRD that's in the OGL editions.
6. As with the core rulebooks, all the supplementation is free as a PDF as well, though you can buy physical books at cost (BFRPG principal rights holder Chris Gonnerman doesn't make much profit from Basic Fantasy).
7. Old-school community that's an all-around fantastic group of players, authors and enthusiasts.

8. Fun Fact: Out of all the TTRPGs I'd want to DM/GM the most, it'd be this one by far.

9. Iron Falcon (IF)

10. OD&D-style retroclone from 2015 (It's also by Gonnerman, same guy behind BFRPG).
11. A close ruleset to the White Box rules and supplements.
12. Also fully libre under CC BY-SA for the latest releases, just like BFRPG for 4th Edition releases.
13. Just like BFRPG, the core rules and supplementation come as PDF files for free, or physical books.

14. Fast and loose ruleset open to interpretation, just like in 1975-1981... somewhere right around that timeline for OD&D.

15. Old-School Reference and Index Compendium (OSRIC)

16. AD&D 1E-based retroclone by Stewart Marshall and Matt Finch.
17. An old system that surprisingly still holds up, even after a long time of no new versions of the rules.
18. Extremely in-depth ruleset, licensed under OGL 1.0a and OSRIC Open License.
19. Compatible with AD&D 1e modules for the 1st Edition, though 2.2 potentially has its own supplementation.

20. I don't know much about it, as I'd be too slow to learn it. That's all I know, which is the above.

21. Ironsworn

22. Custom loosely-based PbtA (Powered by the Apocalypse) system by Shawn Tomkin from 2018.
23. Includes GM, GMless and solo play in the rulebook.
24. Supplementation is surely something else with one look at the downloads section for the PDFs of the original, which is free under CC BY-NC-SA. The SRD is under CC BY otherwise.
25. No original adventures are made for this system as are known, as it's expected that the Ironlands are where they take place.

26. Fun Fact: This was a non-D&D system I considered running as a GM.

27. Advanced Dungeons & Dragons 2nd Edition (AD&D 2e)

28. An official edition from 1989-2000.
29. At the time, the most customizable edition in its history, before 3E took the spot as the most customizable edition.
30. A streamlined revision of the AD&D 1E rules (AD&D 1E was exclusively written by E. Gary Gygax).
31. The end of old-school D&D, as 3E and beyond are different games altogether.
32. Wide array of supplementation, which oversaturated 2E's customization... and most of it didn't sell well as a result.
33. Final TSR-published edition of D&D, as they went bankrupt and out of business during this edition's life cycle, to then be liquidated to Wizards of the Coast (Boy did WOTC mess it up once 5.1E was released).

34. Fun Fact: A Canadian history professor named Dr. Robert Wardough runs a customized ruleset using 2E as a base, which he's been DMing since the 80's during the "Satanic Panic" (The Satanic Panic was fake as a result of horrible deceivers gaslighting people to not play D&D). He started RAW (Rules as Written), but saw some things he needed to change for his games, so he did so over time.

35. Moldvay/Cook Basic/Expert Dungeons & Dragons (B/X)

36. Competing system to 1E from 1981 and 1982.
37. Official edition of D&D, part of the old-school era.
38. Simplified rules for Basic, but some decently complex rules for Expert.
39. Only goes up to Lv. 14, as it's potentially a 1E or White Box primer (similar to 1977 Basic).
40. Supplementation, from some research done, was decent for the time, and a little bit extensive.
41. The inspiration for BFRPG in 2006 (Did I mention this already? Maybe I have, but I might emphasize that here too.).

42. Fun Fact: I considered running B/X, but decided that I'd do BFRPG, as the ascending armor class is easier math than with B/X and the THAC0 armor class (descending armor class).

43. Basic, Expert, Companion, Master, Immortal Dungeons & Dragons (BECMI) and/or Rules Cyclopedia

44. 1983 variant of the Moldvay/Cook Basic/Expert system, an official edition and part of the old-school era.
45. Essentially, 1981 B/X D&D on steroids.
46. 5 boxed sets were released for the five parts of the rules for this system.
47. Rules Cyclopedia is a reprint of the 1983 Basic, Expert, Companion and Master rules boxed sets. The Immortal set was never reprinted outside of the original boxed set because Immortal is such a bizarre game within a game altogether.
48. With the first 4 boxed sets (whether individual sets or the Rules Cyclopedia), levels are 1-36.

49. Fun Fact: This edition I was considering DMing as well, alongside BFRPG. They're similar rulesets with some mechanical differences, but I think either or would be worth it.

50. Original Dungeons & Dragons (OD&D or White Box)

51. The original release of D&D from 1974 written by Gygax and Dave Arneson, published by TSR.
52. Uses the rules from Chainmail, a wargame made by Gygax and Jeff Perren.
53. Base has three little booklets (Men & Magic, Monsters & Magic, and The Underworld & Wilderness Adventures), five official supplements were released (Greyhawk, Blackmoor, Eldritch Wizardry, Gods, Demi-Gods and Heroes, and Swords & Spells), and many more from fanzines.
54. Fast and loose ruleset open to interpretation (similar to IF).
55. Not based upon adventurers taking on dangerous quest, but kings commanding armies (which is why OD&D is actually a Chainmail supplement). The latter was the original purpose of D&D before it got changed in 2000.

There are many more games that are not D&D that you can look up too. See what you like, read the rules, learn them, and start playing with your group. Have fun and slay some monsters!

@ d26f78e5:6eb06a95

Bitcoin's first 15 years delivered spectacular success: $2T market cap, inflation-resistant store of value, censorship-resistant wealth preservation.

On the other hand, Bitcoin has hardly cemented itself as global medium-of-exchange.

Volatility and UX challenges are at odds with mainstream adoption. Stablecoins have, by and large, dominated the transactional role.

Meanwhile, something profound is happening with Bitcoin capital.

$2T in Bitcoin wealth isn't content sitting idle.

Despite the maxi's common rhetoric, whales appetite for deploying this capital is very real. Yield generation, risk hedging, capital formation opportunities that compound returns beyond simple HODLing.

The defining meta of this cycle is the financialization of Bitcoin.

MicroStrategy's playbook. Bitcoin treasury companies. The writing is on the wall. Large holders are securitizing Bitcoin to offer traditional market exposure while earning returns in the process.

This isn't just speculation. It's capital seeking productivity. But here's the critical risk: This financialization is happening through centralized, custodial infrastructure. BlackRock, Fidelity, and Wall Street banks are capturing Bitcoin's financial upside while Bitcoin holders surrender the sovereignty that makes Bitcoin revolutionary.\ \ We're recreating traditional finance with Bitcoin as the underlying asset.\ \ Centralized venues offer the best execution but custody risk, wrapped solutions provide some control but fragment liquidity across risky bridges. Onchain is slow, expensive, and functionally limited.

The path forward requires Bitcoin-native capital markets.

This is why we built Arkade.

Programmable money enables this transition through Bitcoin-native capital markets: Non-interactive trading without custody risk, sophisticated financial instruments like lending and options with unilateral exit paths intact. This creates the virtuous cycle Bitcoin needs:

Productive capital deployment → Liquidity & stability → Practical everyday use → Higher transaction volume → Sustainable fee markets → Stronger security → More confidence → More capital

The missing piece isn't better payment UX or lower volatility alone.

It's infrastructure that lets Bitcoin capital work productively while maintaining Bitcoin's core properties of self-sovereignty and censorship resistance.

Hyperbitcoinization doesn't start with coffee purchases.

It starts with Bitcoin capital markets sophisticated enough to compete with traditional finance but built on Bitcoin's foundation of self-custody and open, permissionless innovation.

The transformation from store of value to money runs through capital markets. And those markets must be Bitcoin-native.\ \ Time to level up!\ \ 👾

@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.

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Pregled sadržaja

1. Šta uzrokuje Inflaciju?
2. Da li nam je infacija potrebna?
3. Kako se meri inflacija?
4. Da li inflacija pokreće ekonomski rast?
5. Da li inflacija pokreće ili umanjuje nejednakost bogatstva?
6. Gde se danas javlja inflacija?
7. Šta je deflacija?
8. Kakav uticaj inflacija ima na društvo?

Inflacija može da bude uznemirujuća tema, jer uključuje amorfni koncept novca. Međutim, inflacija je zapravo jednostavna tema koja je napravljena da bude složena razdvajanjem novca i drugih dobara. U ovom članku razlažemo inflaciju i njene uzroke.

Najjednostavnija definicija inflacije je rast cena dobara i usluga. Kada cene rastu, to takođe znači da vrednost jedinice novca – poput dolara – opada. Uzmimo primer McDonald’s hamburgera: 1955. ovaj skromni hamburger se prodavao za samo 15 centi. U 2018. godini se prodavao za 1,09 USD. U 2021. godini prodaje se za 2,49 USD – ogroman rast cene od 1650%.

To znači da je dolar izgubio dosta svoje vrednosti. 1955. godine mogli ste da kupite gotovo 7 hamburgera za novčanicu od jednog dolara. 2021. godine taj dolar vam ne bi kupio ni jedan hamburger. Zašto se čini da cene uvek rastu tokom vremena? I šta možete da učinite povodom toga? Ovaj članak ima za cilj da odgovori na ta pitanja.

Ekonomisti pokušavaju da sumiraju rast cena mnogih dobara i usluga kao jedan prosečan broj. Ovaj broj predstavlja promenu ukupnih troškova u godišnjim troškovima prosečnog potrošača, kao što su stanarina, hrana i gorivo.

U Sjedinjenim Državama ovaj broj je poznat kao Indeks Potrošačkih Cena, eng. Consumer Price Index (CPI). Kada se CPI poveća tokom određenog vremenskog perioda, ekonomisti kažu da imamo inflaciju. Kada se smanji, to se naziva deflacija.

Šta uzrokuje Inflaciju?

Mnogi izvori kažu da je stalna inflacija koju danas doživljavamo ili uzrokovana povećanjem potražnje (eng. demand-pull) ili smanjenjem ponude usled povećanih proizvodnih troškova (eng. cost-push).

Ovi razlozi nisu tačni – hajde da pogledamo zašto.

Da bismo razumeli pravi razlog inflacije, moramo da sagledamo dve vrste inflacije:

1. Inflacija Cena: Cene vremenom rastu.
2. Monetarna Inflacija: Količina valute u opticaju raste sa vremenom.

Prva, inflacija cena, retko se javlja tokom dužih perioda (decenije, vekovi) zbog povećane potražnje ili povećanih troškova. Zašto? Tržišta teže da se uravnoteže. Tokom istorije smo više puta videli da povećana potražnja za dobrom povećava njegovu cenu, što podstiče proizvođače da proizvode više tog dobra. Kada se ponuda poveća, cene se smanjuju.

Ovaj ciklus može da potraje nekoliko godina, i javlja se kod gotovo svake robe i „konačnog dobra“ (automobili, televizori, hrana itd.) na Zemlji. Izuzetak su retki metali poput zlata i srebra. Dokazi o tome su prikazani u nastavku.

Kada se poveća trošak za proizvodnju dobra, cena tog dobra često raste da bi pokrila te troškove. Ovaj rast cene dovodi do toga da potrošači tog dobra traže alternativu ili smanjuju potrošnju tog dobra, što dovodi do pada cena na prethodni nivo.

Na donja dva grafikona javlja se inflacija cena!

Tržište se prirodno uravnotežava, a cene se smanjuju ili povećanjem ponude ili smanjenjem potražnje.

Da li imamo dokaze da tržišta vremenom uravnotežuju ponudu i potražnju?

Podaci o cenama robe tokom vremena mogu nam dati bolje razumevanje da li tržišta zaista efikasno uravnotežuju ponudu i potražnju. Međutim, cene ne možemo da posmatramo u smislu nacionalnih valuta, jer naše vlade uvek štampaju više svojih nacionalnih valuta.

Oni sprovode monetarnu inflaciju, koja može da izazove inflaciju cena. Posmatranje tržišnih cena u smislu nacionalnih valuta, poput američkog dolara, je poput merenja visine lenjirom koji se neprestano smanjuje. Vaša visina u broju biće sve veća i veća, ali stvarna visina se ne menja.

Mi možemo da znamo da li tržišta uravnotežuju ponudu i potražnju gledajući cene dobara u smislu monetarnog dobra koje ima vrlo konzistentnu ponudu tokom vremena.

Vremenom se pokazalo da zlato ima najmanju monetarnu inflaciju od svih postojećih valuta i dobara. To čini zlato odličnim ‘lenjirom’ za merenje da li tržišta vremenom uravnotežuju ponudu i potražnju. Da bismo bolje razumeli inflaciju cena tokom vremena, pitaćemo koliko unci zlata nešto košta tokom vremena.

Cene u zlatu pokazuju nam da se tržišta vremenom uravnotežuju

Ako cene dobara posmatramo u obliku zlata, vidimo da cene robe prate srednje tačke tokom dužih vremenskih perioda.

Nafta, na primer, je vrlo nestabilna, ali ima tendenciju da se kreće oko 2,5 grama zlata po barelu.

WTI Sirova Nafta u gramima Zlata po Barelu

Cena nafte je promenljiva, ali tokom decenija ima tendenciju da se kreće po strani.

Cene kuća tokom proteklih 10 godina takođe su prilično stabilne, iako imamo fiksnu količinu zemlje na planeti. Vidimo da cene kuća u pogledu zlata imaju tendenciju da variraju oko indeksne cene od oko 80, prikazane na grafikonu.

Shiller-ov US indeks cena kuća u USD i zlatu

Ovaj grafikon je na logaritamskoj skali, što nam omogućava da vizualizujemo zapanjujuća povećanja u zelenoj liniji, koja predstavlja domove u dolarima.

Grafički izražene u američkim dolarima, cene ovih dobara uvek rastu – baš kao i McDonald’s hamburger. Da su povećana potražnja ili povećani troškovi odgovorni za konstantnu inflaciju cena, takođe bismo videli kako se cena ove robe povećava u smislu zlata. Podaci iznad pokazuju da su cene konstantne.

Moraju da postoje i drugi razlozi za upornu inflaciju cena koju smo videli u dolarskim iznosima tokom proteklog veka.

Evo šta znamo o tome šta dugoročno utiče na cene, kao u periodu od 1955. do 2018. godine:

1. Rast produktivnosti uzrokovan inovacijama, što dovodi do pada cena tokom vremena
2. Monetarna inflacija – štampanje velikih količina valute – koja uzrokuje porast cena denominovanih u toj valuti tokom vremena

Znamo da cene izražene u dolarima, eurima i ostalim valutama neprestano rastu. Ako ne mislimo da naša produktivnost kao društva ide unazad, postoji samo jedan jednostavan razlog za inflaciju cena: štampanje većih količina valute, iliti monetarna inflacija.

Naše vlade i banke su zapravo prilično iskrene u pogledu zapanjujućih količina valute koje štampaju. Oni nam svakodnevno govore da oni uzrokuju monetarnu inflaciju.

Da li nam je infacija potrebna?

Bez uporne monetarne inflacije (koja uzrokuje inflaciju cena), naša celokupna savremena ekonomija bi se srušila.

The Guardian

Dozvolite da vam objasnim. Sledeći odeljak može da bude šokantan, i ohrabrujem vas da i sami istražite ukoliko mislite da nisam u pravu.

Kada centralne banke i komercijalne banke daju zajmove, one stvaraju novu valutu.

Kada centralne banke daju zajmove vladama “kupujući državni dug”, one stvaraju novu valutu kada to urade. To omogućava vladama da vode budžetski deficit trošeći više nego što uzimaju od poreza. U tom procesu državni dug se nagomilava.

Komercijalne banke stvaraju novu valutu kada daju zajmove fizičkim licima i preduzećima. Jedino ograničenje koliko novog novca mogu da stvore je zakonski zahtev da banka ima na raspolaganju određeni procenat od ukupnog iznosa novca koji su ljudi deponovali. Zbog toga je naš bankarski sistem poznat kao delimična rezerva – banke pri ruci moraju da imaju samo deo vašeg novca.

Osnovni Bankarski Ciklus Frakcionih Rezervi

Stvaranje valute je neophodno da bi održalo sistem u životu

Budući da se svi zajmovi uglavnom sastoje od novostvorene valute, mora se stvoriti još više valute da bi se taj dug otplatio. A evo i zašto:

Recimo da su prošle godine sve svetske kreditne aktivnosti dovele do stvaranja 100 milijardi dolara. Svih tih 100 milijardi dolara je novostvoreno, i one se duguju bankama sa nekom dodatnom vrednošću za kamate. Odakle dolazi ova dodatna valuta za plaćanje kamata? Budući da ovde govorimo o celokupnoj svetskoj ekonomiji, to plaćanje kamata mora da dodje iz nove količine novostvorene valute.

Sve jedinice današnjih valuta nastale su pozajmljivanjem, a isplata kamate na te zajmove znači da moramo stalno da stvaramo još više nove valute. To dovodi do beskrajne monetarne inflacije. Kada nova valuta cirkuliše kroz ekonomiju, to dovodi do porasta cena: inflacije cena.

Previše monetarne inflacije može dovesti do hiperinflacije cena. U Venecueli je krajem 2018. godine piletina koštala preko 14 miliona Bolivara. Izvor: NBC News

Monetarni sistem se raspada ako se ova monetarna inflacija zaustavi, jer bi to značilo da veliki broj onih koji su uzeli zajam širom sveta ne bi mogao da vrati novac koji su pozajmili – oni ne bi izmirili svoje dugove.

Banke ili zajmodavci koji drže dug tada bi imali bezvrednu imovinu. Budući da vrednost duga podupire vrednost valute, vrednost valute bi strmoglavo padala zajedno sa dugom.

Kada ljudi izgube poverenje u ’tradicionalnu’ valutu, ona brzo postane bezvredna. To se dogodilo u Nemačkoj nakon Prvog svetskog rata, u Peruu devedesetih, Jugoslaviji 1994. ,Zimbabveu, Venecueli i sa još bezbroj drugih tradicionalnih valuta. Da bi odložile ovaj neizbežni ishod dokle god mogu, centralne banke jačaju poverenje u sistem nastavljajući da štampaju valutu stabilnim kursom.

Ovo osigurava da većina ljudi koju su uzeli zajam ima valutu za otplatu svojih kredita. Upravo to se dešava kada vlada izvrši „spas“ kao 2008. ili 2020. – oni osiguravaju da svi imaju dovoljno novca za plaćanje dugova, tako da laž može da se nastavi.

Inflacija ne dolazi iz povećanja potražnje

Sa više valute u opticaju, monetarna inflacija može da izgleda kao povećanje potražnje. Međutim, ekonomisti koji kažu da povećana potražnja pokreće stabilnu inflaciju tokom decenija propuštaju suptilnu poentu: iako monetarna inflacija može da prouzrokuje veću potrošnju, to nije zato što su ljudi zaista bogatiji, već zato što veruju da su bogatiji.

Kada se puno novca ubrizga u ekonomiju, cene jednostavno rastu jer više valute pokriva istu količinu robe. Rast cena znači pad vrednosti valute, tako da nema realnog povećanja stvarnog bogatstva, iako ljudi možda “troše više” u nominalnom iznosu valute.

Uzmimo ovaj primer: vi mesečno zarađujete 1.500 EUR, i prema svom trenutnom načinu života vi mesečno trošite oko 1.500 EUR. Dolazi vlada i počinje da vam daje dodatnih 500 EUR svakog meseca – vi se osećate poprilično dobro, zar ne? Sada možete da izlazite češće u restoran.

Međutim, vlada daje svima po 500 EUR mesečno, i svi ostali takođe troše taj novac. Ekonomista u vladinoj kancelariji, vidi da sada svi troše tih dodatnih 500 EUR mesečno i zaključuje da je vlada ‘stimulisala ekonomiju’.

Ipak, kako sav taj dodatni novac kruži ekonomijom, cene prirodno rastu. Sada vam je potrebno 2.000 EUR da biste održali svoj trenutni način života.

Da li si nešto bogatiji?

Vi možda imate više eura na vašem bankovnom računu, ali svaki od njih vam kupuje manje. Sada trošite 2.000 EUR mesečno da biste živeli životnim stilom koji vas je nekada koštao samo 1.500 EUR mesečno.

Ovo je ono što monetarna inflacija radi, i zašto je toliko pametnih ekonomista zavarano da misle da povećana potražnja, radije nego štampanje novca, pokreće trajnu inflaciju cena.

Da li smo uvek imali inflaciju?

Stalna inflacija cena relativno je nedavna pojava u modernim ekonomijama i započela je u vreme kada su Sjedinjene Države počele da konstantno štampaju valutu. Ako bi promene ponude i potražnje zaista dugoročno uzrokovale inflaciju cena, videli bismo inflaciju cena tokom istorije. Podaci govore drugačiju priču.

Indeks potrošačkih cena, koji se povećava kada imamo inflaciju cena, bio je prilično konstantan pre početka našeg trenutnog tradicionalnog ’fiat’ monetarnog sistema.

Taj sistem je započeo Bretton Woods-ovim sporazumom iz 1945. godine, a ubrzao se kada je Nixon 1971. okončao svetski zlatni standard.

Indeks potrošačkih cena, Sjedinjene Države, 1775-2012

Kako se meri inflacija?

Inflacija cena se često prikazuje kao promena indeksa potrošačkih cena (CPI). CPI je prosek cena raznih dobara koje ljudi kupuju u svakodnevnom životu: hrane, goriva, stanovanja itd. U Sjedinjenim Državama, vladin odsek pod nazivom Biro za statistiku rada (BLS) meri promene cena. To rade tako što posećuju maloprodajne radnje, beleže cene, računaju prosek i izveštavaju godišnju inflaciju kao promenu u odnosu na prošlu godinu.

Stopa inflacije koja se izveštava, je važna svima jer se koristi za određivanje povećanja troškova života i socijalnih davanja, poput plaćanja socijalnog osiguranja. Kada se CPI prilagodi naniže, isplate zarada i naknada su manje nego što bi trebalo da budu.

Efekti su se vremenom sjedinili: osoba koja u svojoj prvoj godini rada zaradi 40.000 USD zarađivaće samo 52.000 USD u svojoj desetoj godini staža, sa povećanim troškovima života od 3% da bi se plata podudarala sa inflacijom. Ako bi vlada umesto toga prijavila inflaciju od 6%, ta osoba bi u svojoj desetoj godini zarađivala 67.500 USD – tj. oko 30% više. Način na koji izračunavamo i prijavljujemo inflaciju ima ogroman uticaj na zaradu većine zaposlenih i građana.

Ovo je inflacija (procentualna promena u CPI) izmerena u poslednjih 10 godina u Sjedinjenim Državama:

Prvobitno je BLS jednostavno beležio cenu korpe robe široke potrošnje svake godine. Međutim, istraživanje Boskinove Komisije 1996. godine dovelo je do novih alata koji Birou za statistiku rada omogućavaju prilagođavanje cena u CPI. Dva najvažnija alata su geometrijsko ponderisanje i hedonika.

Geometrijsko Ponderisanje

Geometrijsko ponderisanje znači da kupovne navike sada mogu da utiču na to koliko promena cene pojedinog dobra utiče na CPI. Ako potrošači kupe manje robe, ona ima manju težinu kada se ubaci u presek indeksa potrošačkih cena. Boskinova Komisija je tvrdila da bi ova promena pomogla da se promene sklonosti potrošača. Međutim, ne postoji način da se utvrdi da li ljudi menjaju svoje kupovne navike jer zapravo žele da kupuju različite stvari. Vrlo je moguće da ljudi kupuju manje određenog dobra jer ono raste u ceni. Stoga geometrijsko ponderisanje uzrokuje da roba sa velikim rastom cena ima manje uticaja na CPI, što dovodi do niže prijavljene inflacije.

Hedonika

Hedonika omogućava Birou za statistiku rada da menja cenu dobra na osnovu njegovog opaženog povećanja ‘korisnosti’ tokom vremena. Evo primera: recimo da se televizor sa rezolucijom od 720p 2009. godine prodavao za 200 USD. U 2010. godini isti model televizora sada ima rezoluciju od 1080p i prodaje se po istoj ceni: 200 USD. Međutim, pošto se tehnologija u televizoru poboljšala, zaposleni u Birou za statistiku rada mogu da izmisle ‘korisni’ broj i pomoću njega oduzmu deo vrednosti od cene televizora. Kao rezultat, BLS može da kaže da TV košta 180 USD u 2010. godini – iako je njegova cena 200 USD. Ovo dovodi do pada prijavljene inflacije.

Oba ova prilagođavanja smanjuju prijavljenu stopu inflacije, što smanjuje povećanje troškova života i isplate naknada za socijalno osiguranje. Koliko ta prilagođavanja inflacije pogađaju radničku klasu i penzionere? Neke procene, poput procena ekonomiste John Williams-a, sa koledža u Darmouthu, stavljaju stvarnu inflaciju u SAD na u proseku 3% – 6% više nego što je izveštavano od strane Bira za statistiku rada. To bi inflaciju u 2020 dovelo do 5% – 8%, umesto na prijavljenih 2%.

U 2021. godini prijavljena inflacija je 5.4%, u prvom kvartalu.

Da li inflacija pokreće ekonomski rast?

Mnogi ljudi veruju da stabilna inflacija pokreće ekonomski rast podstičući investicije i potrošnju umesto štednje. Međutim, osnovni ekonomski podaci pobijaju ovu uobičajenu tvrdnju.

Ako za primer uzmemo Sjedinjene Države, nacija je imala samo kratke periode inflacije od 1775. do oko 1950. godine, kao što pokazuje indeks potrošačkih cena koji je ostao nepromenjen. Inflacija dobija zamah tek nakon 1971. godine, pa bi bilo za očekivati da će i stopa rasta bruto domaćeg proizvoda (BDP) Sjedinjenih Država porasti nakon 1971. godine.

Indeks potrošačkih cena, Sjedinjene Države, 1775-2012

Međutim, vidimo da se bruto domaći proizvod (BDP) po stanovniku u Sjedinjenim Državama, uobičajena mera ekonomske snage, neprekidno povećavao od 1820. godine do danas po stopi od oko 1,85% godišnje. Ne postoji porast oko 1971. godine, uprkos rastućoj inflaciji koja je započela u to vreme.

Ovo je logaritamski grafikon, koji nam omogućava da bolje vizualizujemo rast tokom vremena: što više logaritamski grafikon podseća na pravu liniju, to je stopa promene konzistentnija. Za više detalja, ovde pogledajte naslov: Rast na tehnološkoj granici i rast dostizanja.

To pokazuje da inflacija ne pokreće ekonomski rast.

Nažalost, imamo dokaze da inflacija ima i druge neželjene posledice, poput nejednakosti bogatstva. Koncentracija bogatstva u top 1%, počela je da raste krajem 1970-ih, nekoliko godina nakon što su Sjedinjene Države skinule svet sa zlatnog standarda i pretvorile se u monetarni sistem zasnovan na dugovima koji zahteva monetarnu inflaciju, a time i inflaciju cena, da bi preživeo.

Za potpunu istoriju tranzicije novca sa robnog sistema na dužni sistem, pročitajte naš članak o novcu.

Da li inflacija pokreće ili umanjuje nejednakost bogatstva?

Veza između inflacije i nejednakosti bogatstva postaje jasna kada pogledamo kako novostvorena valuta ulazi u ekonomiju. Vlade, komercijalne banke, velike korporacije i bogati često koriste kredite da bi iskoristili prednosti svojih moći. Kada podignu kredite, oni novonastalu valutu dobijaju ranije od svih ostalih. Oni imaju koristi od inflacije trošenjem nove valute pre nego što cene počnu da rastu kao rezultat te nove valute koja kruži u ekonomiji. Veliki i bogati subjekti često mogu da dobiju kredite po nižim troškovima od prosečnog građanina ili malog preduzeća. To znači da mogu da povećaju svoje poslovanje i bogatstvo brže od manjih firmi.

Bogati mogu da dobiju jeftine zajmove, zahvaljujući Federalnim Rezervama koje zadržavaju niske kamatne stope. To im omogućava da koriste ovo prednost za ostvarivanje ogromne dobiti.

Inflacija pogadja one koji rade za platu i ne mogu da ulože veći deo svog prihoda. Zarade se polako menjaju, ponekad se uskladjuju samo jednom godišnje. Kao rezultat, cene osnovnih dobara i usluga često rastu mnogo pre nego što zarade porastu. Cena potrošačke korpe takođe se smanjuje sa manipulacijama indeksom potrošačkih cena (CPI) koji skriva rast inflacije.

Gde se danas javlja inflacija?

Rekordno visoka inflacija javlja se u zemljama kao što su Venecuela, Zimbabve, Turska, Iran, Kuba, Južna Afrika i Argentina. To dovodi do sloma trgovine i političke nestabilnosti.

Just incase no one knows what Durban looks like pic.twitter.com/x899TIlbkI

— Mohamed Yusuf (@_MohamedYusuf) July 13, 2021

U razvijenom svetu vlade izveštavaju o niskoj inflaciji cena. Međutim, globalni bankarski sistem stvara nove valute u tonama – u toku je velika monetarna inflacija. Centralne banke dovode do sve većeg stvaranja valuta snižavanjem kamatnih stopa. To dovodi do toga da korporacije i pojedinci mogu da uzimaju jeftinije kredite, a svaki kredit znači stvaranje nove valute. Od 2008. godine, gotovo sve glavne centralne banke postavile su kamatne stope blizu nule.

Mnoge centralne banke takođe su pozajmljivale ogromne iznose vladama i bankama koje su propale nakon finansijske krize 2008. godine. Za samo nekoliko meseci, ovo je udvostručilo (ponekad utrostručilo ili učetvorostručilo) novčanu masu mnogih nacija. Oni su ovo nazvali „kvantitativno ublažavanje“.

Ako banke koriste toliku monetarnu inflaciju, zašto onda mi ne vidimo inflaciju cena?

Jednostavno rečeno, većina nove valute nije dospela u ruke običnih ljudi. Kada obični ljudi budu mogli da potroše novoštampanu valutu na svoje svakodnevne potrebe, tada ćemo videti rast CPI i inflacije.

Danas većina valuta ulazi u svet putem bankarskih zajmova, pa banke igraju veliku ulogu u tome gde se dešava inflacija. Banke prvenstveno pozajmljuju vrlo ‘sigurnim’ klijentima poput bogatih pojedinaca, vlada i velikih korporacija. Ovi subjekti kupuju luksuznu robu, umetnička dela, finansijsku imovinu i državne obveznice.

Cene ovih vrsta imovine nisu uključene u CPI, tako da je prijavljena inflacija niska. Kao rezultat, povećanje plata i isplate socijalnog osiguranja su takođe na niskom nivou.

Bogati su uživali u periodu od 2008. do 2021. godine, kada je njihova imovina upumpavana sa velikom količinom novog novca proizvedenog od bankarskih kredita!

Šta se dešava kada nova valuta dodje u ruke običnih ljudi?

Nažalost, jednog dana će sva ova nova valuta da uđe u normalnu ekonomiju i time će se povećati cene svakodnevne robe. To je poćelo da se dešava 2021. godine kao rezultat stimulativnih programa COVID-19 u Sjedinjenim Državama, koji su ljudima distribuirali trilione dolara. Iako je ovo zasigurno poželjnije od spašavanja korporacija, svaka vrsta spašavanja koja uključuje štampanje novca ima gadne dugoročne efekte.

Ovo što sada doživljavamo dogodilo se u Nemačkoj tokom i posle Prvog svetskog rata. Cene u Nemačkoj su zapravo pale tokom Prvog svetskog rata uprkos velikom stvaranju valute od strane Nemačke centralne banke. Nisko poverenje u ekonomiju sprečavalo je nemački narod da troši novac. Međutim, kad se rat završio i kada su ljudi ponovo počeli da ga troše, cene su vrlo naglo skočile i valuta je postala bezvredna. To bi moglo da se dogodi 2020-ih u Sjedinjenim Državama, sa obzirom na predložene programe podsticaja.

Politike poput Univerzalnog Osnovnog Dohotka, eng. Universal Basic Income (UBI), koje izgledaju pogodne za njihova obećanja da će “spasiti ljude”, takođe mogu da pokrenu hiperinflaciju. Obični ljudi bi se osećali imućnije, trošili bi svoju novoštampanu valutu i doveli do brzog rasta cena. Ovo bi u suštini poništilo pozitivan uticaj građana koji dobijaju “besplatan novac” svakog meseca.

Pa kako onda vi možete da zaštitite svoju ušteđevinu od inflacije? Kupujte imovinu koja je retka, potcenjena i koju vlade teško mogu da prigrabe. Ova imovina su plemeniti metali poput zlata, i Bitcoin.

Šta je deflacija?

Deflacija znači pad cena tokom vremena. Mnogi ekonomisti kažu da će ovo dovesti do toga da ljudi gomilaju valutu i da će dovesti do ekonomskog kolapsa, jer ljudi prestaju da kupuju robu i ulažu u preduzeća. To jednostavno nije tačno, jer ljudi uvek imaju potrebe i želje zbog kojih kupuju odredjenu robu. Stalni pad cena tokom vremena jednostavno bi promenio psihologiju potrošačke kulture u kojoj živimo.

Potrošačka kultura potiče od inflacije

Kako je to istina? Pogledajmo na sledećem primeru. Recimo da želite novi auto i da imate dovoljno novca da ga kupite. Poznato je da u našem svetu zbog stalne inflacije vaš novac vremenom postaje sve manje i manje vredan. U paralelnom svemiru u kojem se javlja stalna deflacija, vaš novac vremenom postaje sve vredniji.

• Uz konstantnu inflaciju, auto će koštati nešto više sledeće godine, i nešto više naredne godine. Niste sigurni gde da uložite novac da biste sa vremenom sigurno očuvali njegovu kupovnu moć. Ako niste sigurni da li ćete da kupite auto, ima više finansijskog smisla da ga kupite odmah, da biste dobili najbolju ponudu.
• Uz konstantnu deflaciju, auto će koštati nešto manje sledeće, i još manje naredne godine. Ako samo čuvate vaš novac, sledeće godine ćete dobiti bolju ponudu za auto. Ako niste sigurni da li ćete da kupite auto, ima više finansijskog smisla da sačekate malo duže da biste dobili bolju ponudu.

Sada razmislite o ta dva scenarija, pomnožena bilionima ljudi i proizvoda. Uz konstantnu inflaciju, svako ima malo više razloga da kupuje stvari upravo sada. Uz konstantnu deflaciju, svi sada imaju malo manje razloga da kupuju. Upravo na taj način inflacija je u osnovi naše materijalističke, potrošačke kulture. Deflacija bi mogla da bude lek.

Inflacija uzrokuje loše investicije

Vaš novac godišnje gubi “2%” svoje vrednosti zbog inflacije. Sada, recimo da vas Stefan pita da investirate u njegov Fast food. Nakon uvida u brojeve, verujete da ćete ovom investicijom izgubiti 1% od vrednosti svog novca. Gubitak od 1% u Stefanovom poslu bolji je od gubitka od 2% zbog inflacije, pa se vi odlučujete da uložite. Ovo je loša investicija, eng. malinvestment – investirajući vi ćete da izgubite deo vrednosti. Međutim, čuvanje valute je još gore, zato ulažete.

Loša investicija: isto kao bacanje novca u smeće.

Mnogi investitori, poput penzijskih fondova, danas su prisiljeni da investiraju u neprofitabilne biznise zbog investicionih mandata i same veličine njihove ‘imovine pod upravljanjem’.

Pristalice konstantno niske inflacije veruju da bi deflacija smanjila investicije. Međutim, to bi samo smanjilo ulaganje u preduzeća sa negativnim očekivanim prinosom poput Stefanovog Fast food-a. Na primer, recimo da je deflacija u proseku oko 2% godišnje. Na ovom tržištu investitori bi jednostavno prestali da ulažu u projekte za koje misle da će im zaraditi manje od 2% godišnjeg povrata ulaganja.

Neznatno deflaciona valuta obeshrabriće ulaganja u lažna i loša preduzeća i podstaći ulaganje u solidna preduzeća koja svetu dodaju vrednost.

Kakav uticaj inflacija ima na društvo?

Inflacija pokreće povećanu potrošnju, smanjenu štednju i povećani dug. Sve ove stvari dovode do toga da većina ljudi mora da radi više sati i duže u starosti. Iako inflacija kažnjava one koji rade za platu, ona obogaćuje vlasnike bilo koje imovine koja dobija na ceni kada nova valuta uđe u sistem. Ova imovina uključuje akcije, umetnička dela, nekretnine i drugu imovinu koju bogataši koriste za čuvanje svog bogatstva.

Vremenom ljudi i firme izmišljaju nove načine za jeftinije stvaranje dobara i usluga višeg kvaliteta. Ovo je poznato kao ‘rast produktivnosti’ i trebalo bi da uzrokuje da cene tokom vremena konstantno padaju, a ne da rastu. Samo konstantno stvaranje valute koje je neophodno zbog monetarnog sistema zasnovanog na dugu naše vlade uzrokuje stalnu inflaciju i njene loše efekte.

Ako vam se sviđa moj rad, molim vas da ga podelite sa svojim prijateljima i porodicom. Cilj mi je da svima pružim pogled u ekonomiju i na to kako ona utiče na njihov život.

@ d9a329af:bef580d7

Originally made using Habla News, now edited and reposted onto Yakihonne

Everyone who sees it knows at this point that the matrix of control comes from the overdependence of proprietary software to do our everyday tasks. You can think of this like us being the cling wrap that will just not let go of these pieces of garbage software that don't allow you to see what is in their source code, and how they work. This will tend to lead to the unlawful collection of data (violating the most basic of privacy laws, despite unenforceable contracts that are enforced regardless), bad OPSEC that sees you being stalked and harassed over nothing significant. In the worst of cases, if you speak your mind where you aren't necessarily supposed to be able to do that, and you get doxxed, the worst cases could be far worse than one could imagine.

The solution to this, on the other hand, is using almost exclusively free/libre open-source software and GNU/Linux operation systems. If you're using certain proprietary software, hardening it to give as little data as possible to the entity responsible for it will also work, as long as you know which ones to use. This is a hard pass for a lot of people, but if you want to escape the control matrix of proprietary software, Winblows, HackOS, iHackOS, iBloatOS and stock Google AI Fever Dream, then researching which Free Software (notice the spelling) to use is your first bet. I had already done this for the past four and a half years, and will continue to do it as long as I live, seeing what new Free Software compliant applications and libraries come into the spotlight once things get locked down into walled gardens like what HackOS, iHackOS and BlindnessOS do on a regular basis.

Each of these pieces of software will be in a categorized list with a brief description of what the software is used for. There is a lot to take in, so research this yourself and see if these are right for you. These are the applications I personally use on a regular day-to-day basis, and they work for my needs.

1. Operating Systems (the core to your device)

2. GNU/Linux operating systems (for PCs) or GrapheneOS (for de-googled Android phones)

To be fair on this one, GNU/Linux is the combination of the Linux kernel with the GNU toolchain, which in turn allows any developer to make an operating system that is FOSS, not necessarily Free Software, especially with the Linux Kernel's proprietary bits of code. The Linux kernel is also used in the Android Open-Source Project (AOSP), and is used as the base of operating systems for Android phones such as GrapheneOS, the only AOSP custom ROM I would recommend based upon the research I had done on this (even if very little).

My recommendations on the Linux side of things are almost any Arch-based distribution (with the exception of Manjaro), Debian-based distributions like Linux Mint Debian edition, regular Debian, AntiX or Devuan, or a Fedora/RedHat-based distribution like Nobara Project (if you're a gamer), OpenSUSE (if set up properly) or even Bluefin if you want an atomic desktop (I wouldn't recommend Bluefin if you want to monkey with your operating system and DIY on many aspects of it). Once you learn how to set these up securely, privately and properly, you're on your way to starting your journey into digital liberation, but there's far more to go on this front.

1. Web Browsers (How you surf the internet)
2. Firefox Forks

This one is self-explanatory. I harden all the Firefox forks I use (LibreWolf, Waterfox, Floorp and Zen as some examples) to the nines, despite being unable to do anything about my fingerprint. This is why I use multiple browsers for specific purposes to counteract the fingerprint spying due to weaponized JavaScript. There are ways to circumvent the fingerprint-based espionage, and make sure the site fingerprint.com doesn't know that one's lying about what their user agent is, though it's not very easy to fool that site, as it's used by 6,000 companies.

• Brave Browser

This is the only Chromium-based browser I would recommend, as it's better when hardened against all the other Chromium-based browsers, including Ungoogled Chromium, which is almost impossible to harden due to security vulnerabilities. Despite that, Brave has some of the best features for a Chromium-based browser one can feel comfortable using, even though you'll have similar issues with Firefox-based browsers that aren't actually Firefox (and Firefox has its own issues regarding espionage from Mozilla)

1. Office Suites (If you need to do professional office documents)
2. Libre Office

A fork of Apache's OpenOffice, made better with many features missing from even OnlyOffice and OpenOffice, this suite of applications is the go-to Free Software office suite for many people looking to switch from the proprietary software nether to the diamonds of free/libre open-source software. Though one may need to perform some extra steps to set up compatibility with G-Suite and Microsoft Office past 2015 potentially, it's still a good thing that people trust LibreOffice as their one-stop shop for office documents, despite being completely different from your standard office suite fare.

• OnlyOffice

The competitor to LibreOffice with the ease of Microsoft Office and G-Suite compatibility, OnlyOffice is another office suite that can be good for those who need it, especially since anybody who had used Microsoft Office in particular will be familiar with its layout, if not for a slight learning curve. As someone who's used G-Suite more (due to schooling that stunk worse than a decomposing rat in New York City), that's part of the reason why I switched to LibreOffice, though I tried some others, including OnlyOffice and Abiword (since I use a word processor a lot). This one is another solid option for those who need it.

• Wordgrinder

For those who like to use a terminal emulator like I do, Wordgrinder is a word processor with a terminal user interface (TUI) designed with just focusing on typing without distractions in mind. .wg is the file extension for documents made using Wordgrinder, especially since nowadays most word processors are cloud based. For those who live in a terminal, this is a good option to your terminal UI-based toolbox

• Vi, Vim, Neovim and Vim-like editors

The classic VI Improved (Vim), a fork of the TUI modal editor, vi, with keybinds that will be confusing at first, but with practice and patience, bring about muscle memory to stay on the keyboard, and not necessarily touch the mouse, keypad on the right hand side, or even the arrow keys. These keybind skills will stay with one for the rest of their life once they learn how the modes in vi, Vim or vi-based editors work. It's a classic for those working in the terminal, and a staple in FLOSS text editing and coding tools once customized potentially to the nines to your particular style.

• VS Codium

The Free Software fork of Code OSS by Microsoft, but made to be similar in function to VSCode without Microsoft's espionage baked into it. It has almost exactly the same features as VSCode that one would need, and even any VSIX files from VSCode will work in VSCodium. This one is an easy switch from VSCode for those who use it, but don't want the forced telemetry.

• Emacs

The competitor to Vim, Emacs is an editor that is FLOSS in every way imaginable. It is one of the most customizable editors anybody could have ever conceived, though the programming language used in Emacs is a dialect of Lisp the developers had made themselves. There are more keybinds to memorize compared to Vim, though Vim keybinds can be added using the Evil Mode package in any Emacs package manager to get the best of both worlds in Emacs. Once one gets a handle of the steep learning curve for Emacs, it's customizable in every imaginable way almost.

These four categories will get you started on your privacy journey, though I covered things a developer might want. I have plans on more lists to compile once I get my ducks in a row on what I want to cover here on Nostr in a longform format. Feel free to let me know if you have recommendations for me to write about, and I can do some digging on that if it isn't a rabbit hole.

@ deedf20f:624988c0

There’s a recurring fantasy in psychedelic circles — whispered at festivals, joked about on forums, and half-seriously invoked in moments of exasperation with the world…

What if we just put LSD in the water supply?

On the surface, the idea almost sounds logical. By forcing an unsuspecting population into the depths of a collective psychedelic experience, people would be compelled to confront their illusions, dissolve their egos, and emerge more empathetic, self-aware, and connected — ultimately leading to a more compassionate, enlightened society.

But for that to work, you have to make a big (and possibly dangerous) assumption — that psychedelics are inherently benevolent.

That if everyone were dosed with LSD — unknowingly and all at once — it would trigger a kind of mass awakening. A spiritual jailbreak. A shortcut to utopia.

Here's why that isn't going to happen…

(This post was originally published on the Tripsitter Newsletter).

The Origins of the LSD-in-the-Water Fantasy

The idea of slipping LSD into the public water supply didn’t come from hippie utopians. It came from the CIA.

As part of the now-infamous MK-ULTRA program in the 1950s and 60s, the CIA tested the viability of LSD as a tool for mind control and psychological warfare. One documented proposal involved contaminating the water supply of an entire town with LSD in order to incapacitate the population.

The goal was simply to "see what happens."

Luckily for the town's unwitting citizens, the plan was eventually abandoned. The reason listed was that LSD is highly unstable in water, especially chlorinated tap water, and ensuring each citizen received an effective dose was close to impossible. One person might receive nothing, another a 10x dose.

The science ultimately didn’t work — but the idea seed had been planted.

The concept has resurfaced many times since then — starting with Ken Kesey and the Merry Pranksters — a rowdy group famous for their “acid tests” — where strangers were encouraged to have a sip of the group's electric Kool-Aid, which was infused with high-dose LSD. The group believed they could deliver mass enlightenment to the world through LSD.

While they never actually spiked a municipal water system, they often joked about it. To them, turning on the whole world was more than just a prank — it was a prophecy.

Over the years, other figures echoed the same idea — some more seriously than others.

In 1966, London Life Magazine ran an alarming interview with a former MP named Dr. Donald Johnson, who claimed that “it is quite feasible that LSD could be used to take over a city or even a country… If it were put into reservoirs, it would disable people sufficiently for an enemy to take control.”

Despite the drama, it never happened. For one simple reason: it wouldn’t work.

Why Adding LSD To The Water Supply Wouldn’t Work

The plan to add LSD to the water supply falls apart on three fronts — it’s chemically unstable in chlorinated water, it's wildly expensive, and it's psychologically unpredictable — sometimes causing people to become more extreme, not less.

1. The Chemistry Doesn’t Work

LSD is undeniably one of the strongest psychedelic compounds, gram for gram, in the world — just one ten-thousandth of a gram (100 micrograms) is enough to trigger a full-blown, reality-melting experience.

While powerful, LSD is also surprisingly fragile.

UV light, heat, oxygen, and chlorine — all common elements in municipal water systems — rapidly degrade LSD, rendering it inactive. This is why your tab of LSD typically arrives both wrapped tightly in tinfoil and in a sealed plastic bag. If you leave your tabs out for even just a few hours, the potency could drop as much as 50%.

Technically, LSD could remain chemically stable in water for around 3 months as long as the pH and temperature remained stable.

However, the main issue is that municipal water supplies are heavily chlorinated — typically around 1–4 ppm. Given that a 10:1 ratio of free chlorine to LSD is enough to neutralize the compound, even standard chlorination levels are more than sufficient to break down over 90% of the LSD within just a few hours.

This makes it virtually impossible to control dosing at the point of delivery. By the time the water reaches someone’s tap, there’s no telling how much (if any) LSD is left — and no way to ensure that any two people receive the same amount.

Between the chlorine, fluctuating temperatures, exposure to sunlight, long pipe systems, and transit time, adding LSD to a public water is simply a waste of LSD.

It's (theoretically) possible that one could add about 10X the normal dose of LSD per 1 ppm of chlorine in order to counteract this issue.

In places like the United States, which typically fall on the high-end of this chlorination range (up to 4 ppm), you'd need to 40X the target dose of LSD for every 1 liter of water.

Other places that use much less chlorine, such as Iceland, Australia, and Germany could get away with far less LSD — but even then, degradation from heat, oxygen, and UV exposure would remain a serious issue.

As you can probably imagine, the amount of LSD you’d need to add to achieve this amount across an entire city’s water supply would cost a fortune.

Let's break it down.

2. It Would Cost An Absurd Amount of Money

Let’s say you really did want to dose an entire town through the water system. How much LSD would you need?

For the LSD to have any significant impact on people, you'd need to provide a full psychedelic dose — a simple microdose wouldn't cut it.

A standard oral dose of LSD is about 100–150 micrograms (μg). That’s 0.00015 grams.

In order to ensure a full dose, you'd want the concentration to be high enough for a full dose in a standard ~500 mL glass of water.

This means the concentration needs to maintain the equivalent of 150 μg of active LSD for every 500 mL of water — or around 300 μg/L.

As we've already covered, LSD breaks down rapidly in chlorinated water. To compensate for degradation, you'd need to increase the dose by 10–40x (depending on the local chlorination rate) — that works out to a whopping 3000–12,000 micrograms of LSD for every litre of water.

That's A LOT of acid.

And it’s not just drinking water you’d be dosing — it’s everything. Showers, toilets, laundry, dishwashers, sprinklers. There’s no way to isolate only the water people ingest. You’d have to flood the entire municipal water system.

To get a better idea of just how much LSD this would require, let’s look at real-world cities and their actual daily water usage:

• Burlington, USA (50K Pop.) — 14.2 million liters/day (322 L/person)
• Sacramento, USA (500K Pop.) — 303 million liters/day (606 L/person)
• Calgary, Canada (1.2M Pop.) — 485 million liters/day (373 L/person)
• London, UK (9M Pop.) — 2,000 million liters/day (222 L/person)

Across these cities, the average per capita usage comes out to around 404 liters per person per day. Obviously, this can vary as hotter, drier places like Sacramento use more water per capita than wetter regions like Seattle.

From this 404 L/person/day estimate, we can extrapolate roughly how much LSD we'd need to dose each person with 150 micrograms of active LSD (including an average 20X degradation buffer):

Note: This is bulk or production pricing ($2000/gram). Street-level LSD sells as high as $100K per gram (or anywhere in between).

By the time you reach a population of 500K or more, the idea becomes not only logistically impossible, but financially absurd — into the millions.

On the high-end of the estimate (assuming the city uses around 4 ppm chlorine and the cost to acquire the LSD is closer to $3000/gram), dosing a city could cost as much as $15M per 1 million people.

3. LSD Doesn't Actually Change Our Minds

Even if some rich eccentric decided to blow millions of dollars to dose an entire population with LSD through the water supply, it still wouldn’t achieve what they were hoping for.

In the 1960s, psychedelics became synonymous with peace, love, and rebellion. The hippie movement embraced the idea that LSD itself was the force behind their anti-establishment ideals. But this narrative overlooked a key truth: LSD doesn’t create beliefs — it magnifies them.

Modern research has shown that far right or left-leaning individuals often become more entrenched in their existing views after taking psychedelics — not more open-minded.

One study found that psychedelics can actually reinforce authoritarian tendencies when taken in certain psychological or cultural contexts. There are just as many far-right psychonauts as there are liberal or spiritual ones.

There's even research showing that LSD (and other psychedelics) can generate completely false insights or beliefs.

Regardless, if psychedelics were inherently utopia-generating, we’d likely have seen one by now.

Humans have been taking psychedelic substances for thousands of years — yet no culture has achieved lasting peace through them (or anything else).

Take the Aztecs as an example — this was a society known to use psilocybin mushrooms ceremonially, and their rulers frequently consulted plant spirits for guidance on matters of war, agriculture, and governance. These were not casual users; they built entire rituals and temples around these practices.

And yet, this is the same society that routinely carried out mass human sacrifice — often in gruesome and ritualized ways.

Just read this account from Bernal Díaz del Castillo’s book The True History of the Conquest of New Spain (1568):

“They strike open the wretched Indian’s chest with flint knives and hastily tear out the palpitating heart which, with the blood, they present to the idols in whose name they have performed the sacrifice. They cut off the arms, thighs, and head, eating the arms and thighs at ceremonial banquets. The head they hang up on a beam, and the body of the sacrificed man is not eaten but given to the beasts of prey.”

That doesn’t sound like a society on the brink of enlightenment.

Other societies like the Eleusinian Greeks were also known for their deep traditions in psychedelic usage and spiritual ceremony — and still, these societies came nowhere close to a utopia in which all people were equal, free, or safe from violence.

So no, LSD won't save us from ourselves. It merely amplifies the stories we’re already telling ourselves — for better or worse.

Psychedelics Are Pluripotent

The notion of an “LSD messiah” — that dosing the world could suddenly awaken everyone to peace and harmony — is based on a flawed assumption: that psychedelics have an inherent moral direction.

Psychedelics are non-specific amplifiers — they don’t implant a particular set of values; instead, they magnify the cultural, political, and psychological contexts already within our minds.

Some might argue that LSD, being synthetic, is somehow disconnected from the moral logic of the natural world — but that’s just the appeal to nature fallacy in disguise: the assumption that if something is natural, it must be good.

So what about our psychedelic plant teachers — things like ayahuasca, magic mushrooms, and mescaline? Are they guides toward truth, or cultural and moral relativists?

In a sense, they're both. These compounds are politically pluripotent — meaning they can be absorbed into almost any belief system. Contrary to the idea that psychedelics naturally foster progressive, harmonious societies, research shows that authoritarian and hierarchical ideologies can just as easily assimilate the experience of interconnection.

And not all plants come cloaked in kindness. Datura, borrachero, and other deliriants have long been used not to enlighten, but to bewitch, confuse, or control. These spirits aren’t here for free love or utopia — they can just as easily tear a person apart as put them back together.

In short, while psychedelics may open the door to new ways of seeing, they do not guarantee a better world. They don’t lead — they amplify. And what gets amplified depends entirely on who’s holding the mic.

There Are No Shortcuts to Utopia

Whether it's through water supplies or one-dose revolutions, there is no magic button for enlightenment. Psychedelics might shake us awake, but they don’t walk the path for us.

They can open doors, offer insights, even dissolve illusions — but integration, growth, and change still require effort and intention. If psychedelics are teachers, we're still the ones who have to study, reflect, and apply the lessons they give us.

There’s no skipping the work. No molecule will save us from ourselves.

@ ef53426a:7e988851

Welcome back to the SWC, folks. We’re about to witness the Money in the Bank title eliminator. The wrestler who climbs the ladder and grabs the briefcase filled with money will be next in line to challenge for the Shitcoin World Championship belt.

Special guest referee ‘Risk-Free’ Raúl Mal starts the action between Sergeant Sol Anna and The Ethereal Ghoul. There’s the bell. The Coinbase Arena is a complete sellout tonight. Who will emerge as the next contender?

The ghoul runs at the ropes and flies at his opponent with a clothesline. Sol Anna dips under, then dips again on the return. The ghoul crashes into the referee instead, and he is down. A ripple of laughter from the audience. Looks like Mal took a knee to the nuts.

Great counter by the sergeant, and the ghoul hits the canvas face-first. A quick elbow drop, then another. My god, she goes down hard. The ghoul blocks through muscle memory, and Sol Anna crosses the ring to take a run-up. Bam. Proof of Stake! What a move. Now she turns her focus to setting up the ladder.

The referee is back up and checks on the downed wrestler.

Sol Anna gets one foot on the ladder. She’s climbing up, but back comes the ghoul.

A blow to the face. And another. No effect. The ghoul latches on and drags Sol Anna back to the canvas.

They lock up, and Sol Anna whips the ghoul into the ladder. By gawd, he’s broken in half! Now what’s she doing? She’s out of the ring, looking under the skirting. What’s that? No. Somebody stop her. Weapons aren’t part of this. That metal could do some serious damage — it’s a hard fork!

The referee comes over to put a stop to this. It’s not legal, even in a hardcore ladder match.

She’s got three seconds to get back in the ring, or it’ll be a count-out. The hard fork will have to wait.

Ethereal Ghoul OUTTA NOWHERE with the NFT! And the referee is down again. Mal’s back was turned. Oh, the humanity. What a dirty trick. And again, a boot to the nether regions. That man is writhing in pain on the floor.

Sol Anna slides back into the ring. She sets up a second ladder while the ghoul doles out more punishment to Raúl Mal.

Now he spots the green of the sergeant’s uniform halfway to the briefcase. Ethereal drags her down. A roundhouse kick connects. He gets into position behind Sol Anna. He lifts her up, looking for the Omega Candle, but no, she reverses and gets his neck. Ooh, the ghoul is in serious trouble here. The tether choke is locked in, but the ghoul can’t tap. The guest referee is still sprawled on the canvas, a mess of black and white stripes.

Sol Anna releases and goes for the first ladder. She gets halfway up, and the Ethereal Ghoul gets to his feet. He’s on the other ladder. How does this work? Will they both go for it? That dangling briefcase is so close—

Wait. Is that the Strategy music? It is. Yes, it is! Sexy Sailor comes sprinting down the ramp. The crowd erupts. Listen to that roar. “Sailor. Sailor!”

Can they still make it to the briefcase? One more step for Sol Anna. The ghoul is close, but Sailor scoots into the ring. He’s got the ladder by the bottom rungs.

Oh, the crowd knows what’s coming. Sol Anna shakes her head. Don’t do it.

“Do it. Do it,” the crowd chants.

Sailor grins at the camera. The rugpull! RUGPULL! He rips the ladder away and Sergeant Sol Anna bounces off the turnbuckle and crashes to the canvas. Oh brother, that looked painful.

Now he’s got the ghoul in his sights. Another rugpull. Ethereal Ghoul is down. I think he fell right on top of the referee.

“Michael. Michael,” the crowd sings.

Both contenders look completely out of gas. And then there’s this guy. He’s got a microphone. What’s Sexy Sailor going to tell us?

“I’m going to set up this ladder here and teach these two shitcoiners a lesson.”

Chants of “SWC, SWC,” ring out.

Sailor scales the ladder, mic in hand.

There’s a hush in the arena.

“What do we say when some contender claims to be the next big thing?”

Still quiet.

“We say this. THERE IS NO SECOND BEST.” Sailor drinks in the atmosphere and puts his hand to his ear, motioning for the crowd to continue.

60,000 people in unison chant, “THERE IS NO SECOND BEST CRYPTO ASSET.”

Sailor reaches for the briefcase. He has it. Sexy Sailor wins the Money in the Bank match. Confetti falls and he climbs back down to the canvas. Ethereal Ghoul and Sergeant Sol Anna slink out of the ring, hobbling back up the ramp.

“Wait,” he says. “Let’s see what’s in this briefcase.”

Oh my, he’s tossing banknotes everywhere. Covering the ring. Some have floated in the crowd. It’s like an ATM explosion.

“Hey, ghoul. Sol Anna. You see this paper? It’s even more worthless than you.”

Finally, the guest referee Raúl Mal gets back to his feet. He raises Sexy Sailor’s hand, confirming the winner of the Money in the Bank match CryptoSlam 2025.

Oh no! Not again. Sailor takes aim at Mal’s groin. Blam. Money shot. And again. Mal is down again. Surely he can’t come back from this.

“I’ve still got this mic. It’s over when I say it’s over.”

A few more shouts of “Sailor” ring out.

“This is what I think of your worthless fiat.”

He’s dropping his pants. Not again. Oh no. This is not what SWC audiences want to see.

“All these banknotes are good for… is wiping my gray hairy ass.” He turns to the contenders still fleeing the scene. “Have fun staying poor, shitcoiners,” he screams, and then drops the mic.

What an event. What a match, people!

Keep watching. We’ve got the Royal Rugpull coming right up. Thirty-two of SWC’s top memecoins are battling it out here at CryptoSlam 25. Don’t go ANYWHERE.

@ 2cde0e02:180a96b9

pen; monochromized

https://stacker.news/items/995339

@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.

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Pregled sadržaja

1. Kako Cantillonov Efekat Funkcioniše
2. Kako Bitcoin Rešava Nejednakost iz Cantillonovog Efekta
3. Uloga Vlade u Cantillonovom Efektu
4. Zaštitite Sebe od Cantillonovog Efekta
5. Kako mogu da saznam više o Bitcoin-u?

Tradicionalne valute imaju Cantillonov Efekat, dok Bitcoin ima ‘Nakamotov Efekat’ – termin nazvan po anonimnom tvorcu Bitcoin-a, Satoshi Nakamoto-u.

Pitanje o tome zašto nam je potreban Bitcoin danas je postalo veoma uobičajeno, ali odgovori obično ostavljaju većinu ljudi zbunjenim i sa izjavama da je on, ili Ponzijeva šema ili novac za kriminalce. Ovaj zaključak nije pravičan prema načinu na koji bi Bitcoin mogao da transformiše sistemsku nepravednost i korupciju koja je usadjena u naš trenutni monetarni sistem. Jedna od ovih nejednakosti u našem današnjem sistemu rezultat je Cantillonovog Efekta, davno zaboravljene klasične teorije o tome kako raspodela novca utiče na bogatstvo pojedinca.

Cantillonov Efekat opisuje kako stvaranje novog novca donosi korist onima koji prvi dobiju novac, a na štetu onih koji su najudaljeniji od stvaranja novog novca. U današnjem monetarnom sistemu banke i korporacije su najbliže novom novcu dok je srednja klasa najudaljenija. Bitcoin to ispravlja, davanjem novih bitcoin-a samo „rudarima“ koji osiguravaju protokol – mnogo pravednija distribucija.

Cantillonov Efekat predstavlja način na koji se naplaćuje dodatni porez svima koji rade za „nepromenjenu“ platu ili drže prvenstveno dolare ili eure kao deo svog bogatstva. Ovaj porez prenosi vrednost onima koji ulažu u finansijsku imovinu ili su preferirani dobavljači vlade. Bitcoin odvaja stvaranje novog novca od politike, čineći ovu situaciju mnogo poštenijom.

Kako Cantillonov Efekat Funkcioniše

Kada se poveća ponuda neke vrste novca, ima smisla da taj novi novac treba da ode u nečije ruke – ali čije? Da li bi trebao da pada kao kiša sa neba, da ga dobije neko na lutriji, ili ga predati posebnim interesnim grupama?

U našem savremenom monetarnom sistemu, ovaj novac nije uvek zajam za primaoce, tako da nekad ne trebaju da ga vrate.

Zabluda inflacije pomalo liči na MC Escher vodopad – dobro funkcioniše na papiru, ali ne govori skoro ništa korisno o tome kako stvarni svet funkcioniše.

Međutim, ova analiza zanemaruje to kako funkcionišu tržišta. Tamo gde novi novac ide prvo i način na koji se širi kroz ekonomiju, ima veliki uticaj na stvarno bogatstvo ljudi. Zašto? Kada se poveća novčana masa, cene se ne povećavaju odmah kao odraz ove činjenice. Umesto toga, povećavaju se polako, kako tržišta reaguju na novu ukupnu ponudu novca.

Prvi entiteti i ljudi koji prime novostvoreni novac mogu da ga potroše pre nego što je tržište reagovalo na bilo koji novi novac u sistemu prilagođavanjem cena. Kada oni kupuju stvari, dobijaju ih po niskim cenama jer cene još uvek ne podržavaju činjenicu da ima više novca u opticaju.

Jednom kada se novi novc nekoliko puta okrene, cene počinju da rastu, jer se više novčanih jedinica troši na isti broj dobara i usluga. Jedna od ‘cena’ u ekonomiji je plata ili zarada – i ova cena će da poraste, baš kao i sve druge. Međutim, ova cena raste sporije, kao rezultat ulaska novog novca u sistem, nego što je recimo, cena namirnica.

Kao rezultat ove neusklađenosti u vremenu porasta cena, oni koji primaju platu, tj. zaradu moraju da plaćaju više za svoje dnevne potrebe (poput namirnica), dok neko vreme primaju istu platu. Plate se prilagođavaju sporije od cena hrane. To dovodi do pada kupovne moći ljudi koji rade za platu..

Sve ovo proističe iz toga kako novi novac ulazi u sistem. Kada bi novi novac ušao u sistem samo putem zajmova direktno od centralne banke na plate ljudi, ti ljudi bi mogli da ga potroše pre nego što cene porastu, i samim tim bilo bi im bolje.

Na to kako raspodela novca utiče na bogatstvo, ukazao je Richard Cantillon u 18. veku, koji je gledao kako se ova dinamika odvija u Engleskoj kada je vlada štampala novac u njegovo vreme.

Izvrstan momak, g. Cantillon

Kako Bitcoin Rešava Nejednakost iz Cantillonovog Efekta

Da bismo razumeli kako Bitcoin rešava nejednakost, moramo da uporedimo kako se tradicionalne valute poput dolara ili eura distribuiraju u današnje vreme u odnosu na to kako se distribuiraju novi bitcoini.

Gotovo sva tradicionalna valuta koja je stvorena do današnjeg dana, prvo je distribuirana bankama i vladama. To je zato što su glavne komercijalne banke, poput JP Morgan i Citi, zauzvrat podržane od centralnih banaka poput Federalnih rezervi. Centralne banke poseduju ‘prese za štampanje’ – što znači da u svet mogu da ‘odštampaju’ (ili dodaju digitalno) neograničenu količinu svojih tradicionalnih valuta. Takođe su postavili pravila za komercijalne banke da ih podstaknu da pozajmljuju više ili manje dolara, što proširuje i ugovara ukupnu novčanu masu.

Budući da banke i vlade prve dobijaju novi novac, one odlučuju ko je drugi po redu koji može da iskoristi pogodnosti Cantillonovog Efekta. Tu na scenu dolaze lobisti, kao i moć koju donose njihove dobre konekcije sa finansijskom elitom. Lobisti osiguravaju da njihovi interesi imaju koristi od Cantillonovog Efekta, a veoma bogati, kao i korporacije, mogu da dobiju kredite od banaka po isplativim niskim kamatnim stopama.

Stvari mogu da se prilično zabrljaju kada vlada uskoči da preuzme “kontrolu” nad potrošnjom štampanog novca. Izvor: OpenDemocracy

Bitcoin-ov sistem eliminiše moć lobista i prednosti poznavanja pravog bankara, i stavlja ljude na mnogo ravnopravnije temelje. U Bitcoin-u, svaki ‘rudar’ na mreži ima jednake šanse da zaradi nagradu za novostvorene bitcoin-e na svakih 10 minuta. Svako može da postane rudar, jednostavnim kupovanjem hardvera i njegovim uključivanjem u utičnicu – daleko manje mukotrpan posao od lobiranja kod izabranih predstavnika da bi vam dodelili ugovor sa vladom. Rudari troše puno novca na električnu energiju i opremu da bi se takmičili za nagradu, a Bitcoin sistemu pružaju preko potrebnu uslugu: bezbednost. Bez rudara, Bitcoin-ov sistem ne bi funkcionisao.

Rudarenje bitcoin-a zahteva računar i struju – to je to.

U sistemu američkog dolara vidimo da političke veze proističu iz Cantillonovog Efekta. U Bitcoin sistemu vidimo da se pružaoci usluga (rudari) plaćaju za svoje usluge novostvorenim bitcoin-ima.

Naravno, ishodi Cantillonovog Efekta bi mogli da se promene tako što će političari da promene način na koji novi novac ulazi u sistem. Međutim, ovo ne rešava osnovni problem: neko drugi ima korist na tuđi račun.

Bitcoin sistem je daleko pravedniji jer koristi Cantillonov Efekat da bi uredno nagradio one koji pružaju korisnu uslugu za sve ostale: obezbeđivanje Bitcoin mreže.

Zamislite to ovako: u dolarskom sistemu, neka osoba šarmira političare ili bankare na pravim pozicijama da bi dobila povlašćen tretman na račun svih ostalih. U Bitcoin sistemu svi plaćaju po malo, da bi zaštitili svoje bankovne račune od krađe.

Uloga Vlade u Cantillonovom Efektu

Federalne vlade širom sveta su jedne od najvećih korisnika Cantillonovog Efekta, jer su u mogućnosti da vrlo lako dobiju zajmove od centralne banke svoje države. U SAD se to radi kada američko Ministarstvo finansija proda državne obveznice banci Federalnih rezervi. Federalne rezerve daju Ministarstvu finansija gomilu novoštampanog novca, a Ministarstvo finansija da Fed-u papir na kojem piše „mi ćemo vam isplatiti dug u to i to vreme sa određenom kamatom“. Možda je malo složenije od ovoga, ali to opisuje suštinu toga.

Budući da novac koji federalna vlada dobija nije postojao pre toga, ona može da ga potroši pre nego što cene počnu da rastu zbog tog novog novca koji ulazi u opticaj. To omogućava federalnoj vladi da ga troši na socijalne programe, policiju, vojsku, vojnu opremu za naoružavanje država poput Saudijske Arabije, čak i na ‘most iz nigde ka ničemu’, a da ne mora da koristi politički nepopularnu metodu: da poveća porez da bi to platila.

Umesto da povećaju poreske prihode za pokrivanje ove potrošnje, federalne vlade koriste Cantillonov Efekat za prenos kupovne moći od plata radnika srednje klase u vladin trezor. Na taj način inflacija i Cantillonov Efekat stvaraju skriveni porez na zarade i uštede novca.

Zaštitite Sebe od Cantillonovog Efekta

Zaštita svog života od Cantillonovog Efekta je zeznuta igra koju treba odigrati. Možete da pokušate da se približite izvoru novog novca, tako što ćete se nadmetati za državne ugovore ili raditi u vrhovima finansija. Možete da pokušate da igrate na visokim nivoima u trgovanju na berzi ili ulaganju u nekretnine, ali je verovatnije da ćete bankrotirati nego što ćete da se zaštitite.

Najlakši način da zaštitite sebe od nepravedne raspodele novog novca je potpuno odbijanje tog monetarnog sistema. Samo najstarije generacije koje danas žive mogu da se sete vremena kada je novac značio nešto drugo osim papira potkrepljenog ‘punom verom i kredibilitetom’ vlade i vojske. Mi smo tako uslovljeni da novac smatramo proizvodom naše vlade, ali naša zaštita od Cantillonovog Efekta zahteva gledanje novca kroz istoriju – čak i pre samo jednog veka.

Novac je nekada značio zlato – materijal koji nijedna vlada ne može magično da stvori u većoj količini, a koji zahteva ogroman napor da se pronađe i iskopa iz zemlje. Bitcoin je vrlo sličan zlatu po tome što niko ne može magično da ga stvori, i veoma ga je teško proizvesti više ‘rudarenjem’. Međutim, Bitcoin takođe putuje brzinom interneta, omogućavajući globalnu trgovinu na način na koji zlato jednostavno ne može.

Bitcoin i zlato – slični po karakteristikama ‘normalnog novca’, različiti po prenosivosti.

Da biste se zaštitili od Cantillonovog Efekta, potrebno je što je više moguće isključiti se iz nepravednih sistema tradicionalnih valuta, čuvajući bogatstvo u pravom novcu, poput zlata ili Bitcoin-a. Ovo je najmirniji način za ukidanje starog sistema i uvođenje novog, pravednijeg sistema.

Kako mogu da saznam više o Bitcoin-u?

Film "Bitkoin: Kraj novca kakvog poznajemo"

Još uvek je rano za Bitcoin

Zašto baš Bitcoin?

Šta je to Bitcoin?

The Bitcoin Whitepaper ← objavljen 2008. godine, ovo je izložio dizajn za Bitcoin.

Ako vam se sviđa moj rad, molim vas da ga podelite sa svojim prijateljima i porodicom. Cilj mi je da svima pružim uvid u ekonomiju i kako ona utiče na njihove živote.

@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.

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Pregled sadržaja

1. 5 Razloga Zašto je Novac Važan za Vas, Individualno
2. 3 Razloga Zašto je Novac Važan za Društvo u Celini
3. Zašto ljudi mrze novac?

Novac vs trenuci – da li oni treba da budu u sukobu? Kakva je uloga novca?

Novac je nepredvidiva zver modernog društva – neki ga veličaju sa stalnom željom da steknu više, dok ga drugi demonizuju i kažu da je pohlepa srž društvenih problema. Tokom mnogih godina svog života, ja sam često prelazio sa jednog na drugo gledište, i naučio mnogo toga upoznajući druge ljude koji žive na oba kraja ovog spektra. Kao i kod mnogih složenih tema, istina leži negde u sredini.

Novac je važan zato što on može da pomogne u uklanjanju materijalnih želja i patnji – omogućavanjem da preuzmete kontrolu nad svojim životom i da brinete o voljenima. Novac podiže životni standard društva omogućavanjem trgovine, a pritom minimalizuje potrebu za poverenjem.

Na novac možemo gledati kao na način da svoj uloženi trud sačuvamo u odredjenom obliku, i da ga vremenom prenesemo, tako da možemo da uživamo u plodovima svog rada. Novac kao alat je jedna od najvažnijih stvari za rast civilizacije. Na nesreću, mnogi su vremenom zlostavljali novac, ali sa dobrim razlogom: način na koji naš novac danas funkcioniše dovodi do duboko podeljenog društva – što ću i objasniti.

5 Razloga Zašto je Novac Važan za Vas, Individualno

Novac je važan za rast bogatstva, što je malo drugačije od toga da imamo veliku platu ili jednostavno zarađivati velike količine novca. Bogatstvo je otklanjanje želja, kako bi mogli da obratimo više pažnje na neke korisnije stvari u životu, od pukog preživljavanja i osnovnih udobnosti.

Bogata osoba je ona koja zaradi više novca nego što potroši, i koja ga čuva – ona čuva svoj rad tokom vremena. Uporedite ovo sa visoko plaćenim lekarom koji živi u velikoj vili sa hipotekom i sa Mercedesom na lizing. Iako ova osoba ima visoke prihode, ona takođe ima velike rashode u vidu obaveze plaćanja te hipoteke i lizinga. Te obaveze sprečavaju ovu osobu da uživa u istinskim blagodetima novca i bogatstva koje one predstavljaju:

1. Sloboda od potrebe za radom

Bez bogatstva, vi morate da radite da biste preživeli. Dostizanjem bogatstva i odredjenom imovinom koja vam donosi novac bez potrebe da vi trošite svoje vreme, vi možete da oslobodite svoj raspored. Više ne zavisite od posla koji mrzite, i nemorate da provodite 40 sati nedeljno odvojeni od porodice, samo da biste se pobrinuli za svoje osnovne potrebe. Dobijanje otkaza u padu ekonomije neće vas dovesti do finansijske propasti ili nečeg goreg.

2. Kontrola nad time kako vi trošite svoje vreme

Kada steknete bogatstvo, vi možete da odlučite kako želite da provodite svoje vreme. Kada se nalazimo u trci pacova i radimo 40+ sati nedeljno, često se naviknemo da novac trošimo onda kada imamo slobodnog vremena. Idemo na lepe večere ili idemo na skupe odmore. Međutim, sa više vremena, a možda čak i sa manje novca, mi možemo da imamo isto ili više uživanja živeći usporenije.

Razmislite o ovome – ukoliko imate samo 1 nedelju slobodno od posla, vi onda morate da kupite onaj mnogo skuplji let u Petak uveče koji se vraća u sledeću Nedelju, kako biste maksimalno iskoristili svoje vreme na nekom egzotičnom mestu za odmor. Međutim, ukoliko ste u mogućnosti da izdržavate sebe bez potrebe da mnogo vremena provodite na poslu, vi onda možete u Utorak da krenete jeftinijim letom i vratite se u sledeću Sredu. Takođe nećete osećati toliki pritisak da se opustite u uživanju tokom vaše nedelje u inostranstvu – možda ćete čak moći i da ostanete duže i da istražujete više, bez plaćanja skupih turističkih agencija i hotela kako bi organizovali vaše kraće putovanje.

3. Sposobnost da pomažete vašim prijateljima i porodici

Onda kada novca imate na pretek, možete poboljšati svoje odnose sa prijateljima i porodicom ne samo kroz dodatno slobodno vreme koje provodite sa njima, već i sa samim novcem. Ako je vašem prijatelju potrebna hitna operacija, vi možete da mu izadjete u susret i pomognete mu da stane na svoje noge. Ukoliko vam je tetka bolesna, vi možete da provedete vreme pored nje, umesto da je pozovete na kratko dok putujete prema kući vraćajući se nakon celog dana provedenog u kancelariji.

4. Smanjen finansijski stres

Stres je sveobuhvatno i opasno stanje modernog doba, sa kojim gotovo svi mi živimo u nekoj odredjenoj meri. Povezan je sa lošim zdravljem, sa preko 43% svih odraslih koji kažu da pate od odredjenih zdravstvenih problema uzrokovanih stresom. Stres zbog posla pogađa 83% zaposlenih.

Pravo bogatstvo – koje znači eliminaciju želja i potreba – može da ukloni ovaj stres i njegove negativne uticaje na druge delove života. Ovo bi čak moglo da ukloni većinu stresa u vašem životu, uzimajući u obzir da je uzrok stresa broj 1 upravo novac.

5. Bolje možete da pomognete vašoj zajednici

Mnogi od nas žele da volontiraju u svojim zajednicama i pomognu onima koja je pomoć preko potrebna, ali nisu u stanju da pronađu slobodnog vremena i energije zbog svog posla, porodice i društvenih aktivnosti koje nas mentalno i fizički čine srećnima, zdravima i hranjenima. Sa bogatstvom, mi možemo da posvetimo vreme koje nam je potrebno za razumevanje i doprinos drugima – a ne samo da sa vremena na vreme pomognemo slanjem humanitarnog SMS-a.

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Novac, koji se pametno koristi, je moćno sredstvo za poboljšanje vašeg života i života vaših najmilijih i zajednice. Međutim, novac je takođe moćno sredstvo za poboljšanje društva u celini – ukoliko je dobro strukturiran.

3 Razloga Zašto je Novac Važan za Društvo u Celini

Novac poboljšava sposobnost ljudi da trguju jedni s drugima, što podstiče određene specijalizacije. Ako je imanje vašeg komšije odlično za proizvodnju vina, a vaše je pogodno za žito, obojica možete da profitirate trgovinom. Sad oboje imate i hleb i vino, umesto jednog pijanog vlasnika vinograda i jednog proizvodjača žita kome je dosadno!

Novac poboljšava društvo na nekoliko načina:

1. Omogućava specijalizaciju

Kao u primeru vlasnika vinograda i proizvodjača žita, novac omogućava povećanu specijalizaciju poboljšavajući sposobnost trgovine. Svaka razmena dobara ima problem sa ‘sticajima potreba’ – oba partnera u trgovini moraju da žele ono što druga osoba ima da bi pristala na trgovinu.

Možemo da mislimo o novcu kao o dobru koje žele gotovo svi. Ovo trgovinu čini mnogo jednostavnijom – da biste stekli odredjeno dobro, sve što vam je potrebno je novac, a ne neka slučajna stvar koju prodavac tog dobra takođe želi u tom trenutku. Vremenom je upotreba novca omogućila specijalizaciju, što je povećalo kvalitet i složenost roba i usluga.

Zamislite da sami pokušate da napravite svoj telefon – a bili su potrebni milioni stručnjaka i specijalizovana oprema da bi proizveli taj uređaj. Svi ti stručnjaci i kompanije plaćaju jedni drugima u novcu, omogućavajući složenom plesu globalnih proizvođača i lanaca snabdevanja da taj telefon isporuče na dlan vaše ruke. Čak i nešto tako jednostavno kao flaša za vodu uključuje naftna polja i proizvodne pogone koji su možda hiljadama kilometara od vaše kuće.

Kada ljudi mogu da se specijalizuju, kvalitet robe i usluga može da se poveća.

2. Omogućava korisnu trgovinu uz smanjeno poverenje

Mala društva mogu mirno i produktivno da posluju bez novca koristeći usluge, “dodjem ti” i uzajamno razumevanje. Međutim, kako se društva uvećavaju, svima brzo postaje nemoguće da održavaju lične odnose i isti stepen poverenja sa svima ostalima. Sistem trgovine uslugama i međusobnog poverenja ne funkcioniše previše dobro sa putnikom koji se nalazi na proputovanju kroz grad, i provede samo 15 minuta svog života u vašoj prodavnici.

Novac minimizira poverenje potrebno za trgovinu u većim društvima. Sada više ne moram da verujem da ćete mi pomoći kasnije kada mi zatreba – mogu samo da prihvatim uplatu od vas i da to koristim da bih sebi pomogao kasnije. Jedan od mojih omiljenih mislilaca, Nick Szabo, ovo naziva ‘društvena prilagodljivost’.

3. Smanjuje upotrebu sile

Kada društvo teži upotrebi određenog oblika novca za olakšavanje trgovine, može u velikoj meri da smanji nasilje u tom društvu. Kako to može biti tako? Zar ljudi ne bi i dalje želeli da kradu jedni od drugih ili da se svete?

Ukoliko razmišljamo van uobičajnih okvira, možemo da počnemo da razumemo kako novac može da smanji nasilje. Ako ti i ja živimo u susednim zemljama i želimo nešto što druga zemlja ima, imamo dva načina da to dobijemo: uzimanjem na silu ili menjanjem nečeg našeg za to. Kao što je ranije rečeno, novac znatno olakšava trgovinu – pa ćemo postojanjem zajedničkog monetarnog sistema verovatnije radje izvršiti trgovinu nego napad na zemlju. Zašto bismo rizikovali svoje živote kad možemo samo mirno da trgujemo jedni sa drugima?

Zašto ljudi mrze novac?

Pa ako novac ima toliko koristi za nas lično i za društvo u celini, zašto toliko ljudi mrzi novac? Zašto je demonizovan, zajedno sa onima koji ga imaju puno?

Za deo ovoga može biti okrivljen problem u jednakosti mogućnosti – to da je nekima teže da izadju iz nemaštine i postanu bogati. Bez sumnje, neki mali deo potiče od ljudi koji jednostavno ne žele da se trude ili preduzmu neophodne rizike da bi postali bogati.

Međutim, oba ova problema imaju više veze sa problemima kako naš novac danas funkcioniše, nego sa bilo kojim problemom u samom konceptu novca. Novčani sistem treba da nagrađuje ljude koji proizvode vredne stvari i trguju njima sa drugima. Verujem da većina ljudi danas misli da novac tako funkcioniše, i to ne bi smelo da bude daleko od istine.

Naš trenutni monetarni sistem, na žalost, nagrađuje ’finansijalizaciju’ – pretvarajući sve u imovinu, čija vrednost može da se napumpava ili spušta stvaranjem dobre priče i navođenjem drugih da veruju u nju. Razuzdani dug pogonjen stalnim omalovažavanjem svih glavnih valuta dodat je ovom blatu finansijalizacije. Sada je isplativije podići ogroman kredit i koristiti ga za brzo okretanje imovine radi zarade nego izgraditi posao koji društvu nudi korisne robe i usluge.

Tradicionalni monetarni sistem dodatno nagradjuje predatore, partnere u zločinu i neradnike.

Propast našeg novca razvila se tokom proteklih pola veka, počevši od toga kada su naše valute postale ništa više od parčeta papira, podržanog sa verom i kreditima naših vlada. Da biste bolje razumeli ovu promenu, pogledajte moj post o svrsi i istoriji novca.

Ako vam se sviđa moj rad, molim vas da ga podelite sa svojim prijateljima i porodicom. Cilj mi je da svima pružim pogled u ekonomiju i na to kako ona utiče na njihov život.

@ da8b7de1:c0164aee

Amerikai nukleáris végrehajtási rendeletek és szakpolitikai fejlemények

2025.05.23-án az amerikai kormány négy jelentős végrehajtási rendeletet adott ki, amelyek célja egy „nukleáris reneszánsz” felgyorsítása a következő 25 évben. Ezek a rendeletek egy, az egész kormányzatra kiterjedő tervet határoznak meg a 400 GW nukleáris kapacitás elérésére 2050-ig, lefedve az ipar minden területét: engedélyezés, üzemanyagciklus, reaktortechnológia, ellátási lánc, munkaerő, hulladékkezelés, finanszírozás és nemzetközi megállapodások. Azonnali intézkedések között szerepel a biztonságos hazai üzemanyag-ellátás megteremtése, szabályozási reformok, a reaktor-telepítések felgyorsítása, valamint pénzügyi és diplomáciai eszközök alkalmazása az amerikai nukleáris technológia belföldi és nemzetközi előmozdítására. A rendeletek gyorsított szabályozási eljárásokat írnak elő – például az NRC-nek (Nuclear Regulatory Commission) 18 hónapon belül kell elbírálnia az új reaktorokra vonatkozó kérelmeket –, valamint kibővített szerepet adnak az Energiaügyi és Védelmi Minisztériumoknak az engedélyezésben és telepítésben, beleértve a szövetségi földeken való elhelyezést is.

Az NRC jóváhagyta a NuScale kis moduláris reaktor (SMR) tervét

Az amerikai NRC jóváhagyta a NuScale Power 462 MW kapacitású kis moduláris reaktor (SMR) erőművének tervét, ami jelentős mérföldkő az új típusú nukleáris technológiák bevezetésében. Ez az engedélyezés a tervezettnél korábban történt, így a NuScale az egyetlen SMR, amely NRC-tervjóváhagyással rendelkezik, és technológiája hivatkozási alap lehet a jövőbeli építési és üzemeltetési engedélykérelmekben. A tervet kifejezetten nagy adatközpontok és ipari ügyfelek számára fejlesztették, a gyártási kapacitás már elérhető a dél-koreai Doosan vállalatnál. A NuScale várhatóan 2025 végéig szerzi meg első amerikai ügyfelét, és az első erőmű akár 2030-ra üzembe léphet, ha sikerül gyorsan szerződést kötni. Az NRC jóváhagyása szélesebb körű lendületet ad az amerikai fejlett nukleáris iparnak, beleértve a közelmúltbeli végrehajtási rendeleteket is, amelyek célja a reaktor-telepítések bővítése és a hazai ellátási láncok megerősítése.

Amerikai uránellátás és piaci helyzet

Az amerikai uránszektor kritikus ponthoz érkezett, kétpárti politikai támogatással és az adatközpontok, valamint az alapvető villamosenergia-igények növekvő keresletével. Az iparági vezetők egy közelgő kínálati hiányra figyelmeztetnek, mivel a magas minőségű készletek kimerülnek, és az új termelés beindítása nehézségekbe ütközik. Az új termelés ösztönző ára jelenleg 100 dollár felett van fontonként, ami meghaladja a jelenlegi spot árakat, így a már működő termelők előnyben vannak. A legutóbbi végrehajtási rendeletek és a Section 232 vizsgálatok megerősítik a kormány elkötelezettségét a hazai urántermelés és az ellátási lánc biztonsága mellett. Az orosz urán tilalom, amely 2028-ban lép teljesen életbe, tovább szűkíti a nyugati ellátást, a mentességek várhatóan a geopolitikai feszültségek miatt hamarabb megszűnnek. Kína gyors nukleáris fejlesztése tovább növeli a keresletet, ami kettéosztott globális uránpiacot eredményez.

Az amerikai urándúsítási kapacitás bővítése

Az Urenco USA megkezdte a termelést legújabb gázcentrifuga-egységében a New Mexico-i National Enrichment Facility-ben, ezzel mintegy 15%-kal bővítve a hazai dúsítási kapacitást. Ez a bővítés célja, hogy csökkentse az orosz ellátástól való függőséget, és támogassa az amerikai nukleáris üzemanyag-ellátási láncot. Az Urenco USA, az ország egyetlen kereskedelmi dúsított urán előállítója, jelenleg az amerikai atomerőművek szükségletének mintegy egyharmadát fedezi, és további bővítést fontolgat a piaci kereslet függvényében.

Nemzetközi nukleáris energetikai fejlemények

Globális nukleáris reaktor-építési hullám van kibontakozóban, élen az Egyesült Királysággal, Törökországgal, Lengyelországgal, valamint ázsiai és afrikai országokkal. Több mint 30 ország vállalta, hogy 2050-ig megháromszorozza a globális nukleáris kapacitást a nettó zéró kibocsátás és az energiabiztonság érdekében. Az atomtechnológia exportja továbbra is jelentős bevételi forrás Oroszország számára, miközben az Egyesült Államok jogalkotási és szakpolitikai lépéseket tesz a nukleáris export és együttműködés vezető szerepének biztosítására; a Szenátus Külügyi Bizottsága hamarosan tárgyalja azt a törvényjavaslatot, amely az amerikai nukleáris exportot hivatott erősíteni, hogy Kínát és Oroszországot megelőzze a globális piacon.

Ipari partnerségek és katonai alkalmazások

Az amerikai Védelmi Minisztérium nyolc céget választott ki mikroreaktor-technológiák fejlesztésére katonai létesítmények számára, azzal a céllal, hogy decentralizált, skálázható mikroreaktor-rendszereket hozzanak létre kritikus energiaigények kielégítésére. Ez a kezdeményezés a kereskedelmi mikroreaktor-fejlesztést és a kapcsolódó ellátási láncok megerősítését is ösztönzi, az NRC szabályozási útvonalainak kihasználásával.

Érintetti bevonás és konferenciák

A Nemzetközi Atomenergia Ügynökség (IAEA) nemrégiben zárta első, a nukleáris programok érintetti bevonásáról szóló nemzetközi konferenciáját Bécsben, amely hangsúlyozta a nyilvánosság és az érintettek bevonásának fontosságát a nukleáris energiafejlesztés minden szakaszában, hogy bizalmat építsenek és megalapozott döntéshozatalt támogassanak.

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Források:

• world-nuclear-news.org
• nucnet.org
• iaea.org
• utilitydive.com
• observer.co.uk
• ans.org

@ 2e8970de:63345c7a

https://www.wsj.com/tech/europe-global-tech-race-ff910a94

https://stacker.news/items/995308

@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.

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Pregled sadržaja

1. Procena vrednosti
2. Većina Bitcoin-ovih pozitivnih strana opstaje
3. Broj ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin
4. Zaključak

Prošlo je trinaest godina od nastanka Bitcoina i lako je poverovati da je većina njegovog rasta iza njega. Deo ovoga je rezultat predrasude koju svi delimo i što nas navodi da zamislimo trenutno stanje stvari kao završni stepen njegovog razvoja. Svaki bitcoiner je nekad mislio da je prekasan sa Bitcoin-om. Međutim, kada primenjujemo kritičko razmišljanje da bismo procenili gde je Bitcoin u svojoj putanji rasta, otkrivamo da je suprotno u stvari tačno: još uvek je vrlo, vrlo rano.

Postoje dva načina da razmišljate o tome koliko je rano za Bitcoin kao zalihu vrednosti neke imovine:

1. Procena vrednosti kao procenat od njegovog punog potencijala

2. Prihvatanje kao procenat od njegovog punog potencijala (na čemu je fokus u ovom članku).

Procena vrednosti

Prvi i najčešći način da se proceni koliko je rano za Bitcoin je da se pogleda njegova ukupna vrednost (trenutno oko 900B USD) i uporedi sa njegovim punim potencijalom. Izazov sa ovim je očigledno da je puni potencijal Bitcoin-a stvar nagađanja. Oni koji duboko razumeju Bitcoin imaju tendenciju da njegov potencijal posmatraju barem kao potencijal zlata (oko 13T USD), ali teoretski više poput 200T USD (oko polovine ukupne vrednosti sveta).

Za brzi pregled ovog potencijala od 200T USD, pogledajmo ukupno raspoloživo tržište Bitcoin-a. Radi jednostavnosti, samo ćemo razmotriti njegovu ulogu zalihe vrednosti i zanemariti njegov potencijal da pojede tržišni udeo od oko 100T USD ukupne vrednosti u različitim svetskim valutama. Uzimajući u obzir različite zalihe vrednosne imovine i grubom procenom koliki bi % Bitcoin mogao da uzme od njih, dobili smo ovakav rezultat:

Iako put do 200T USD nije veliko rastezanje, u stvarnoj vrednosti čini se previše dobrim da bi bio istinit. Sa obzirom da je bez presedana da zaliha vrednosti neke robe postigne vrednost veću od zlata, to jednostavno predstavlja neistraženu teritoriju. Ali čak i ako se jednostavno pridržavamo targetiranja niže ciljne vrednosti zlata od 13T USD, Bitcoin još uvek tendenciju velikog porasta svoje cene u budućnosti.

Većina Bitcoin-ovih pozitivnih strana opstaje

Svako ko razmišlja da nešto svog teško zarađenog novca uskladišti u Bitcoin pita se „da li sam poranio ili zakasnio?“ Nepisano je pravilo da se svako oseća kao da je zakasnio kad stigne. Brojni su primeri ljudi koji žale kako su zakasnili 2011. ili 2013. ili 2016. godine, kada je cena Bitcoin-a bila 5, 100, odnosno 600 USD.

Kao i u bilo kojoj zajednici koja se razvija i raste i u kojoj ima manjka nekretninama, pridošlice zavide ljudima koji su već obezbedili sebi nekretninu, ne sluteći da će njima zavideti ljudi koji tek treba da dođu. Ovaj fenomen je primenjiv i na velikom broju drugih primera. Na primer, zakasneli u Kalifornijskoj zlatnoj groznici bili su razočarani kada su došli, a bogata zlatna polja su već bila iscrpljena, i umesto toga su se naseliti na nekoliko stotina hektara zemljišta, a koje sada vrede bogatstvo.

U srcu ovog osećanja je strah da više nema uspona, da više nema novca koji se može zaraditi uzimajući ono što je još uvek ostalo dostupno. Da li smo dostigli tu tačku sa Bitcoin-om?

Pa ne. Čini se da je zapravo suprotno. Na osnovu punog potencijalnog opsega procene koji smo utvrdili gore, čak i u ishodu niskog nivoa (13T USD), velika većina bogatstva koje će steći vlasnici Bitcoin-a, tek treba da se stekne (96%). Da bi parirao proceni zlata, Bitcoin i dalje mora da poraste 26 puta.

A ako se desi vrhunski ishod, punih 99,7% ukupnog stvaranja bogatstva Bitcoin-a ostaje pred nama. To bi značilo da Bitcoin još uvek treba da poraste 400 puta, zanemarujući pariranje zlatu.

Stavljanjem trenutne vrednosti Bitcoin-a u perspektivu, postaje jasno da je za Bitcoin još uvek vrlo rano.

Iako ova analiza sugeriše da za Bitcoin-u ostaje od 26x do 400x rasta, korisno je proveriti ovaj zaključak kroz drugo razumno objašnjenje, a tamo gde je poznat puni potencijal…

Broj ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin

Procene broja vlasnika Bitcoin-a širom sveta se veoma razlikuju. To je dovelo do prilične količine dvosmislenosti i nesigurnosti u vezi sa stvarnim brojevima i određenog stepena odustajanja i mišljenja da je taj broj jednostavno preteško precizno proceniti. Iako je teško utvrditi konačan broj, glavni razlog za odstupanje u procenama je nedostatak standardizovanih definicija šta znači prihvatanje Bitcoin-a.

Istina je da postoje različiti nivoi prihvatanja Bitcoin-a. Podelom na segmente prihvatanja Bitcoin-a lakše je uvideti ne samo zašto postoji širok opseg procena, već i još važnije, koliko je još uvek rano za prihvatanje Bitcoin-a kao preferirane zalihe vrednosti.

U ove svrhe, hajde da podelimo u segmente prihvatanje Bitcoin-a na četiri različita „nivoa“:

1. Kežual amateri (prstom u vodi)

2. Alokatori 1% (stopalima u vodi)

3. Značajni vernici (do pojasa u vodi)

4. Bitcoin maximalisti (u vodi preko glave)

Pre nego što počnemo, potreban nam je imenilac. Mogli bismo da koristimo globalno stanovništvo, ali po mom mišljenju ovo daje loše rezultate. Ono što mi zaista procenjujemo je koji procenat sveta koji poseduje odredjeno bogatstvo za skladištenje u Bitcoin-u, je to i učinio. Prema podacima sa sajta Statista, 2,2 biliona ljudi na svetu poseduje najmanje 10k USD u neto vrednosti, što se čini kao razumna granica za zalihu koju žele da uskladište. Činjenica je da će siromašne zajednice takođe koristiti Bitcoin kao zalihu vrednosti i verovatno će iz njega izvući veću korist kao rezultat marginalnog pristupa tradicionalnoj bankarskoj infrastrukturi kao klijenti banaka sa „niskom vrednošću“. Međutim, u naše svrhe, jednostavno gledamo koliko je ljudi usvojilo Bitcoin među grupama sa značajnim bogatstvom za skladištenje, tako da će 2.2 biliona služiti kao naša puna potencijalna veličina tržišta.

1. Kežual amateri

Ovaj segment ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin uključuje sve one koji imaju bilo koju količinu Bitcoin-a – vašeg prijatelja sa 20 USD BTC-a negde u nekom novčaniku ili vašu tetku koja se ne seća svoje Coinbase lozinke iz 2017. Po mom mišljenju, najveća zabuna oko broja ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin nastaje zbog poistovećivanja „kežual amatera“ sa ljudima koji su u potpunosti prihvatili Bitcoin. Realnost je takva da ljudi ovog segmenta uglavnom samo eksperimentišu, bilo da bi stekli osećaj za ono o čemu svi pričaju, ili samo uložu nekoliko dolara u Bitcoin u nadi da će možda dobiti džekpot, kao što je slučaj sa greb-greb nagradnim igrama.

Zbog toga, „kežual amateri“ su razlog dovodjenja u zabludu pravog broja ljudi koji su u potpunosti prihvatili Bitcoin. Njihovo ponašanje zapravo ne predstavlja prihvatanje u pravom smislu te reči i stoga se ne bi trebalo smatrati ljudima koji su u potpunosti prihvatili Bitcoin. Istina je da, kada kežual amateri shvate da je Bitcoin najbolja zaliha vrednosti neke imovine u istoriji, neće ostati na samo 20 USD u Bitcoin-ima. Umesto toga, oni će svoju štednju prebaciti u mnogo većim iznosima.

Što se tiče odredjivanja veličine ovog segmenta, Willy Woo je sastavio razumno iscrpnu i sveobuhvatnu procenu od oko 187 miliona ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin, što znači da su oni u najmanju ruku „kežual amateri“.

Koristeći ovaj i naš puni potencijal od 2,2 biliona ljudi kao imenioca, 8,5% potencijalnih ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin-e dostiglo je nivo „kežual amatera“. Ovo je prilično velik broj i potpuno obmanjuje stvarni obim potpunog prihvatanja, a što će pokazati sledeći segmenti.

2. Alokatori 1%

Za preostale potkategorije, tačni podaci su manje dostupni. Kao takvi, sve što možemo je da smislimo razumne procene putem triangulacije.

Po mom mišljenju, „alokatori 1%“ se mogu okarakterisati kao ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin, i koji žele da imaju mali, ali ne i zanemarljivi deo u Bitcoin-u. Za naše svrhu, mislim da je pristojan prag za ovu grupu svako ko ima najmanje 0,1 Bitcoin, i može se smatrati da imaju malu, ali ne i zanemarljivu poziciju u Bitcoin-u.

Gledajući Bitcoin blockchain, postoji oko 3 miliona adresa koje imaju najmanje 0,1 BTC. Pored ovih brojeva na blockchain-u, moramo da uzmemo u obzir i znatan broj ljudi koji imaju ovaj iznos na berzi ili GBTC-u. Kombinovanjem, mislim da je razumno proceniti da je 10 miliona ljudi dostiglo nivo „alokatora 1%“ ili veći.

Na osnovu ovih brojeva, samo 1⁄17 „kežual amatera“ dostiglo je nivo prihvatanja „alokatora 1%“, što znači da je ovaj nivo prihvatanja Bitcoin-a do danas postigao samo 0,5% penetracije. Ovaj strmi pad je razlog zašto je došlo do zablude da veliki broj „kežual amatera“ bude označeno kao grupa koja je u potpunosti prihvatila Bitcoin.

3. Značajni vernici

U ovu kategoriju spada svako ko je dostigao nivo razumevanja Bitcoin-a da alokacija od 1% ili čak 5% više ne izgleda dovoljna.

Uopšteno govoreći, ova grupa se kreće u rasponu od 5 – 50%. Išao bih toliko daleko da bih rekao da je većina ljudi koji sebe smatraju vernicima u Bitcoin-e, uključujući većinu Bitcoin Twitter-a, negde u ovoj grupi.

Procena veličine ove grupe postaje mnogo nejasnija, ali možemo se osloniti na podatke iz blockchain-a da bismo došli do razumne procene.

Za početak, hajde da utvrdimo da je većina ljudi koji su dostigli ovaj nivo verovanja i razumevanja Bitcoin-a, izborila da poseduje najmanje 1 Bitcoin. Pored toga, ovaj nivo ljudi koji su prihvatili Bitcoin je verovatno osigurao svoj Bitcoin u chain-u novčanika kojim oni upravljaju. Gledajući podatke na chain-u, oko 820k adresa ima najmanje 1 Bitcoin. Kao grubu pretpostavku, uzmimo da 500k od toga poseduju ljudi koji su dostigli nivo prihvatanja „značajnog vernika“.

Ako potom generički zaokružimo akaunte za ljude koji nisu postigli status whole­coiner-a (eng. osoba koja poseduje barem 1 BTC), ili koji svoja sredstva drže na berzi, dolazimo do grube procene od 2 miliona „značajnih vernika“.

4. Bitcoin maximal­isti

Za našu svrhu, recimo da ova grupa uključuje svakoga ko je dovoljno duboko ušao u Bitcoin da je zaključio da bi više od 50% njihove neto vrednosti trebalo da bude uskladišteno u Bitcoin-u.

Procena veličine ove grupe je gotovo nemoguća, zato ćemo morati da budemo kreativni.

1. Prodaja „Bitcoin Standard“

2. Hajde da konzervativno procenimo da je samo 20% maximalističara kupilo Bitcoin Standard, i da je 50% tih ljudi koji su ga razumeli, postali maksimalisti. Na osnovu knjige Amazon US rank (6,681), onlajn kalkulatori procenjuju da je prodato oko 15k primeraka.

3. Hajde da budemo velikodušni i da zaokružimo taj broj od oko 15k na 50k, uzimajući u obzir međunarodnu prodaju i kupovinu izvan Amazona.

Ovo nas dovodi do procene broja od 125k maximalista. Da ne bismo pogrešili, bićemo oprezni, i udvostručimo taj broj i rećićemo da ih ima 250k.

1. Kvalitativna triangulacija

Čisto subjektivno, ali čini mi se da na Twitter-u, primarnom domu za komunikaciju maximalista, postoji možda 10k aktivno angažovanih Bitcoin maximalista. Da budemo vrlo konzervativni, recimo da ovo predstavlja oko 5% maximalista (od ukupno 200k).

Uz to, kao procenu od vrha nadole, čini se opravdanim da je oko 10% ljudi koji su dostigli 5 – 50% alokacije Bitcoin-a napravilo skok ka maximalizmu.

Sve u svemu, cifra od oko 250k Bitcoin maximalista čini se konzervativnom, ako ne i velikodušnom pretpostavkom.

To nas dovodi do 0,01% penetracije.

Zaključak

Kako god gledali brojke, još uvek je rano za Bitcoin. Posmatrajući procenu vrednosti Bitcoin-a kao procenat njegovog punog potencijala, vidimo da je trenutna vrednost Bitcoin-a negde između 0,2% i 3% njegovog krajnjeg stanja, što znači da ostaje 30x do 500x rasta. Gledajući napredak prihvatanja Bitcoin-a, vidimo da je trenutna penetracija Bitcoin-a negde između 0,01% i 8,5%, u zavisnosti od toga koji prag prihvatanja gledate.

Ako verujete, kao što ja verujem, da je Bitcoin na putu da postane dominantna zaliha vrednosti i preferirani novac za ceo svet, na kraju će norma biti više od 50% posedovanja neto vrednosti u Bitcoin-u. Budući da naša analiza ovde sugeriše da samo 0,01% sveta zadovoljava ove standarde, opravdano je zaključiti da 99,99% sveta ostaje da sledi njihov primer.

Sve u svemu, dok svi koji se pojave na Bitcoin-u neizbežno osećaju žaljenje zbog toga što nisu ranije investirali i pitaju se da li su u potpunosti propustili brod, jasno je da većina rasta Bitcoin-a ostaje pred nama. Da stavimo ovo u neki kontekst, obzirom da može postojati samo 21 milion Bitcoin-a, prosečna osoba na zemlji (od 8 biliona ljudi) imaće samo 0,0025 Bitcoin-a. Još je toliko rano, da ukupna neto vrednost te prosečne osobe u Bitcoin-u može da se kupi za samo 90 USD.

I ako mislite da je kasno, zapravo je veoma rano, zato vam čestitam i uživajte u skupljanju sats-ova dok su još uvek ovako jeftini!

@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.

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Pregled sadržaja

1. Odakle Potiče Bitcoin?
2. Koje Probleme Rešava Bitcoin?
3. Kako se Bitcoin razvijao u poslednjoj deceniji?

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Bitcoin je peer to peer elektronski keš, novi oblik digitalnog novca koji se može prenositi između ljudi ili računara, bez potrebe za učestvovanjem pouzdanog posrednika (kao što je banka) i čije izdavanje nije pod kontrolom nijedne stranke.

Zamislite papirni dolar ili metalni novčić. Kad taj novac date drugoj osobi, ona ne mora da zna ko ste vi.

On samo treba da veruju da novac koji dobiju od vas nije falsifikat. Obično, proveravanje falsifikata „fizičkog“ novca, ljudi rade koristeći samo oči i prste ili koristeći specijalnu opremu za testiranje ukoliko se radi o značajnijoj sumi novca.

Većina plaćanja u našem digitalnom društvu vrši se putem Interneta korišćenjem neke posredničke usluge: kompanije za izdavanje kreditnih kartica poput Visa, snabdevača digitalnih plaćanja kao što je PayPal ili Apple Pay ili mrežne platforme poput WeChat u Kini.

Kretanje ka digitalnom plaćanju sa sobom donosi oslanjanje na nekog centralnog aktera koji mora odobriti i verifikovati svaku uplatu.

Priroda novca se promenila od fizičkog predmeta koji možete da nosite, prenesete i autentifikujete do digitalnih bitova koje mora da čuva i verifikuje treća strana koja kontroliše njihov prenos.

Odricanjem od gotovine u korist „udobnih“ digitalnih plaćanja, mi takođe stvaramo sistem u kome dajemo ogromna ovlašćenja onima koji bi poželeli da nas tlače.

Platforme za digitalno plaćanje postale su osnova distopijskih autoritarnih metoda kontrole, poput onih koje kineska vlada koristi za nadgledanje disidenata i sprečava građane, čije ponašanje im se ne svidja, da kupuju robu i plaćaju usluge.

Bitcoin nudi alternativu centralno kontrolisanom digitalnom novcu sa sistemom koji nam vraća prirodu korišćenja keša – čovek čoveku, ali u digitalnom obliku.

Bitcoin je digitalno sredstvo koje se izdaje i prenosi preko mreže međusobno povezanih računara, od koji svaki od njih samostalno potvrđuje da svi ostali igraju po pravilima.

Bitcoin Mreža

Odakle Potiče Bitcoin?

Bitcoin je izumela osoba ili grupa poznata pod pseudonimom Satoshi Nakamoto, oko 2008. godine.

Niko ne zna Satoshijev identitet, a koliko znamo, oni su nestali i o njima se godinama ništa nije čulo.

11.februara 2009. godine, Satoshi je pisao o ranoj verziji Bitcoin-a na mrežnom forumu za cypher­punkere, ljude koji rade na tehnologiji kriptografije i koji su zabrinuti za privatnost i slobodu pojedinca.

Iako ovo nije prvo zvanično objavljivanje Bitcoin-a, sadrži dobar rezime Satoshi-jevih motiva.

Razvio sam novi P2P sistem e-keša otvorenog koda pod nazivom Bitcoin. Potpuno je decentralizovan, bez centralnog servera ili pouzdanih stranki, jer se sve zasniva na kripto dokazima umesto na poverenju. […]

Osnovni problem konvencionalne valute je potpuno poverenje koje je potrebno za njeno funkcionisanje. Centralnoj banci se mora verovati da neće devalvirati valutu, ali istorija tradicionalnih valuta je puna primera kršenja tog poverenja. Bankama se mora verovati da drže naš novac i prenose ga elektronskim putem, ali one ga daju u talasima kreditnih balona sa delićem rezerve. Moramo im verovati sa našom privatnošću, verovati im da neće dozvoliti da kradljivci identiteta pokradu naše račune. Njihovi ogromni režijski troškovi onemogućavaju mikro plaćanja.

Generaciju ranije, višekorisnički time-sharing računarski sistemi imali su sličan problem. Pre pojave jake enkripcije, korisnici su morali da imaju pouzdanje u zaštitu lozinkom kako bi zaštitili svoje fajlove […]

Tada je jaka enkripcija postala dostupna širokim masama i više nije bilo potrebno poverenje. Podaci bi se mogli osigurati na način koji je fizički bio nemoguć za pristup drugima, bez obzira iz kog razloga, bez obzira koliko je dobar izgovor, bez obzira na sve.

Vreme je da imamo istu stvar za novac. Uz e-valutu zasnovanu na kriptografskom dokazu, bez potrebe da verujete posredniku treće strane, novac može biti siguran i transakcije mogu biti izvršene bez napora. […]

Rešenje Bitcoin-a je korišćenje peer-to-peer mreže za proveru dvostruke potrošnje. Ukratko, mreža radi poput distribuiranog servera vremenskih žigova, obeležavajući prvu transakciju koja je potrošila novčić. Potrebna je prednost prirode informacije koju je lako širiti, ali je teško ugušiti. Za detalje o tome kako to funkcioniše, pogledajte članak o dizajnu na bitcoin.org

Satoshi Nakamoto

Koje Probleme Rešava Bitcoin?

Razdvojimo neke od Satoshi-jevih postova kako bismo uvideli razloge njegove motivacije.

„Razvio sam novi P2P sistem e-keša otvorenog koda.“

P2P je skraćenica za peer to peer i ukazuje na sistem u kojem jedna osoba može da komunicira sa drugom bez ikoga u sredini, kao medjusobno jednaki.

Možete se setiti P2P tehnologija za razmenu datoteka poput Napster-a, Kazaa-e i BitTorrrent-a, koje su prve omogućile ljudima da dele muziku i filmove bez posrednika.

Satoshi je dizajnirao Bitcoin kako bi omogućio ljudima da razmenjuju e-keš, elektronski keš, bez prolaska preko posrednika na približno isti način.

Softver je otvorenog koda, što znači da svako može videti kako funkcioniše i doprineti tome.

Ne treba da verujemo ni u šta što je Satoshi napisao u svom postu o tome kako softver radi.

Možemo pogledati kod i sami proveriti kako to funkcioniše. Štaviše, možemo promeniti funkcionalnost sistema promenom koda.

„Potpuno je decentralizovan, bez centralnog servera ili pouzdanih stranki …“

Satoshi napominje da je sistem decentralizovan kako bi se razlikovao od sistema koji imaju centralnu kontrolu.

Prethodne pokušaje stvaranja digitalne gotovine poput DigiCash-a od strane Davida Chaum-a podržavao je centralni server, računar ili skup računara koji je bio odgovoran za izdavanje i verifikaciju plaćanja pod kontrolom jedne korporacije.

Takve, centralno kontrolisane privatne šeme novca, bile su osuđene na propast; ljudi se ne mogu osloniti na novac koji može nestati kada kompanija prestane sa poslovanjem, bude hakovana, pretrpi pad servera ili je zatvori vlada.

Bitcoin održava mreža pojedinaca i kompanija širom sveta.

Da bi se Bitcoin isključio, bilo bi potrebno isključiti desetine do stotine hiljada računara širom sveta u isto vreme, zauvek, od kojih su mnogi na nepoznatim lokacijama.

Bila bi to beznadežna igra, jer bi svaki napad ove prirode jednostavno podstakao stvaranje novih Bitcoin čvorova ili računara na mreži.

„… sve se zasniva na kripto dokazima umesto na poverenju“

Internet, a u stvari i većina savremenih računarskih sistema, izgrađeni su na kriptografiji, metodi prikrivanja informacija, tako da je može dekodirati samo primalac informacije.

Kako se Bitcoin oslobađa potrebe za poverenjem? Umesto da verujemo nekome ko kaže „Ja sam Alisa“ ili „Imam 10 $ na računu“, možemo koristiti kriptografsku matematiku da bismo izneli iste činjenice na način koji je vrlo lako verifikovati od strane primaoca dokaza ali ga je nemoguće falsifikovati.

Bitcoin u svom dizajnu koristi kriptografsku matematiku kako bi učesnicima omogućio da provere ponašanje svih ostalih učesnika, bez poverenja u bilo koju centralnu stranku.

„Moramo im verovati [bankama] sa našom privatnošću, verovati im da neće dozvoliti da kradljivci identiteta pokradu naše račune“

Za razliku od korišćenja vašeg bankovnog računa, sistema digitalnog plaćanja ili kreditne kartice, Bitcoin omogućava dvema stranama da obavljaju transakcije bez davanje bilo kakvih ličnih podataka.

Centralizovana skladišta potrošačkih podataka koji se čuvaju u bankama, kompanijama sa kreditnim karticama, procesorima plaćanja i vladama, predstavljaju pravu poslasticu za hakere.

Kao dokaz Satoshi-jeve poente služi primer iz 2017. godine kada je Equifax masovono kompromitovan, kada su hakeri ukrali identifikacione i finansijske podatke za više od 140 miliona ljudi.

Bitcoin odvaja finansijske transakcije od stvarnih identiteta.

Na kraju krajeva, kada nekome damo fizički novac, on nema potrebu da zna ko smo, niti treba da brinemo da će nakon naše razmene moći da iskoristi neke informacije koje smo mu dali da ukrade još našeg novca.

Zašto ne bismo očekivali isto, ili čak i bolje, od digitalnog novca?

„Centralnoj banci se mora verovati da neće devalvirati valutu, ali istorija tradicionalnih valuta je puna primera kršenja tog poverenja.“

Pojam tradicionalna valuta, odnosi se na valutu izdatu od strane vlade i centralne banke, koju vlada proglašava zakonskim sredstvom plaćanja.

Istorijski, novac je nastao od stvari koje je bilo teško proizvesti, koje su bile lake za proveravanje i transport, poput školjki, staklenih perli, srebra i zlata.

Kad god bi se nešto koristilo kao novac, postojalo je iskušenje da se stvori više toga.

Ako bi neko pronašao vrhunsku tehnologiju za brzo stvaranje velike količine nečega, ta stvar bi izgubila vrednost.

Evropski naseljenici uspeli su da liše afrički kontinent bogatstva trgujući staklenim perlicama koje su se lako proizvodile za ljudske robove.

Isto se dogodilo sa američkim indijancima, kada su kolonisti otkrili način brze proizvodnje vampum školjki, koje su starosedeoci smatrali retkim.

Vremenom, širom sveta ljudi su shvatili da je samo zlato dovoljno retko da deluje kao novac, bez straha da bi neko drugi mogao da ga stvori u velikim količinama.

Polako smo prešli sa svetske ekonomije koja je koristila zlato kao novac na onu gde su banke izdavale papirne sertifikate kao dokaz posedovanja tog zlata.

Nixon je okončao međunarodnu konvertibilnost američkog dolara u zlato 1971. godine, privremenim rešenjem, koje je ubrzo postalo trajno.

Kraj zlatnog standarda omogućio je vladama i centralnim bankama da imaju punu dozvolu da povećavaju novčanu masu po svojoj volji, razredjujući vrednost svake novčanice u opticaju, poznatije kao umanjenje vrednosti.

Iako je izdata od strane vlade, suštinska tradicionalna valuta je novac koji svi znamo i svakodnevno koristimo, ipak je relativno novo iskustvo u opsegu svetske istorije.

Moramo verovati našim vladama da ne zloupotrebljavaju njegovo štamparije, i ne treba nam puno muke da nadjemo primere kršenja tog poverenja.

U autokratskim i centralno planiranim režimima gde vlada ima prst direktno na mašini za novac, kao što je Venecuela, valuta je postala gotovo bezvredna.

Venecuelanski Bolivar prešao je sa 2 bolivara za 1 američki dolar, koliko je vredeo 2009. godine, na 250.000 bolivara za 1 američki dolar 2019. godine.

Pogledajte koliko novčanica je bilo potrebno za kupovinu piletine u Venecueli posle hiperinflacije.

Satoshi je želeo da ponudi alternativu tradicionalnoj valuti čija se ponuda uvek nepredvidivo širi.

Da bi sprečilo umanjenje vrednosti, Satoshi je dizajnirao novčani sistem gde je zaliha bila fiksna i izdavana po predvidljivoj i nepromenjivoj stopi.

Postojaće samo 21 milion Bitcoin-a.

Međutim, svaki Bitcoin se može podeliti na 100 miliona jedinica koje se sada nazivaju satoshis (sats-ovi), što će činiti ukupno 2,1 kvadriliona satoshi-a u opticaju oko 2140. godine.

Pre Bitcoin-a nije bilo moguće sprečiti beskrajnu reprodukciju digitalnih sredstava.

Kopirati digitalnu knjigu, audio datoteku ili video zapis i poslati ga prijatelju, je jeftino i lako.

Jedini izuzeci od toga su digitalna sredstva koja kontrolišu posrednici.

Na primer, kada iznajmite film sa iTunes-a, možete ga gledati na vašem uređaju samo zato što iTunes kontroliše distribuciju tog filma i može ga zaustaviti nakon perioda njegovog iznajmljivanja.

Slično tome, vaša banka kontroliše vaš digitalni novac. Zadatak banke je da vodi evidenciju koliko novca imate.

Ako ga prenesete nekom drugom, oni će odobriti ili odbiti takav prenos.

Bitcoin je prvi digitalni sistem koji sprovodi oskudicu bez posrednika i prvo je sredstvo poznato čovečanstvu čija je nepromenljiva ponuda i raspored izdavanja poznat unapred.

Ni plemeniti metali poput zlata nemaju ovo svojstvo, jer uvek možemo iskopati sve više i više zlata ukoliko je to isplativo.

Zamislite da otkrijemo asteroid koji sadrži deset puta više zlata nego što ga imamo na zemlji.

Šta bi se dogodilo sa cenom zlata uzimajući u obzir tako obilnu ponudu? Bitcoin je imun na takva otkrića i manipulisanje nabavkom.

Jednostavno je nemoguće proizvesti više od toga (21 miliona).

„Podaci bi se mogli osigurati na način koji je fizički bio nemoguć za pristup drugima, bez obzira iz kog razloga, bez obzira koliko je dobar izgovor, bez obzira na sve. […] Vreme je da imamo istu stvar za novac “

Naše trenutne metode obezbeđivanja novca, poput stavljanja u banku, oslanjaju se na poverenje nekome drugom da će obaviti taj posao.

Poverenje u takvog posrednika ne zahteva samo sigurnost da on neće učiniti nešto zlonamerno ili glupo, već i da vlada neće zapleniti ili zamrznuti vaša sredstva vršeći pritisak na ovog posrednika.

Međutim, videli smo bezbroj puta da vlade mogu, i zaista uskraćuju pristup novcu kada se osećaju ugroženo.

Nekom ko živi u Sjedinjenim Državama ili nekoj drugoj visoko regulisanoj ekonomiji možda zvuči glupo da razmišlja da se probudi sa oduzetim novcem, ali to se događa stalno.

PayPal mi je zamrzao sredstva jednostavno zato par meseci nisam koristio svoj račun.

Trebalo mi je više od nedelju dana da vratim pristup „svom“ novcu.

Srećan sam što živim u Europi, gde bih se bar mogao nadati da ću potražiti neko pravno rešenje ako mi PayPal zamrzne sredstva i gde imam osnovno poverenje da moja vlada i banka neće ukrasti moj novac.

Mnogo gore stvari su se dogodile, i trenutno se dešavaju, u zemljama sa manje slobode.

Banke su se zatvorile tokom kolapsa valuta u Grčkoj.

Banke na Kipru su koristile kaucije da konfiskuju sredstva od svojih klijenata.

Indijska vlada je proglasila određene novčanice bezvrednim.

Bivši SSSR, u kojem sam odrastao, imao je ekonomiju pod kontrolom vlade što je dovelo do ogromnih nestašica robe.

Bilo je nezakonito posedovati strane valute kao što je američki dolar.

Kada smo poželeli da odemo, mojoj porodici je bilo dozvoljeno da zameni samo ograničenu količinu novca po osobi za američke dolare po zvaničnom kursu koji je bio u velikoj meri različit od pravog kursa slobodnog tržišta.

U stvari, vlada nam je oduzela ono malo bogatstva koje smo imali koristeći gvozdeni stisak na ekonomiji i kretanju kapitala.

Autokratske zemlje imaju tendenciju da sprovode strogu ekonomsku kontrolu, sprečavajući ljude da na slobodnom tržištu povuku svoj novac iz banaka, iznesu ga iz zemlje ili da ga razmene u ne još uvek bezvredne valute poput američkog dolara.

To omogućava vladinoj slobodnoj vladavini da primeni sulude ekonomske eksperimente poput socijalističkog sistema SSSR-a.

Bitcoin se ne oslanja na poverenje u treću stranu da bi osigurao vaš novac.

Umesto toga, Bitcoin onemogućava drugima pristup vašim novčićima bez jedinstvenog ključa koji imate samo vi, bez obzira iz kog razloga, bez obzira koliko je dobar izgovor, bez obzira na sve.

Držeći Bitcoin, držite ključeve sopstvene finansijske slobode. Bitcoin razdvaja novac i državu

„Rešenje Bitcoin-a je korišćenje peer-to-peer mreže za proveru dvostruke potrošnje […] poput distribuiranog servera vremenskih žigova, obeležavajući prvu transakciju koja je potrošila novčić“

Mreža se odnosi na ideju da je gomila računara povezana i da mogu međusobno slati poruke.

Reč distribuirano znači da ne postoji centralna stranka koja kontroliše, već da svi učesnici koordiniraju medjusobno kako bi mreža bila uspešna.

U sistemu bez centralne kontrole, bitno je znati da niko ne vara. Ideja dvostruke potrošnje odnosi se na mogućnost trošenja istog novca dva puta.

Fizički novac odlazi iz vaše ruke kad ga potrošite. Međutim, digitalne transakcije se mogu kopirati baš kao muzika ili filmovi.

Kada novac šaljete preko banke, oni se pobrinu da isti novac ne možete da prebacujete dva puta.

U sistemu bez centralne kontrole potreban nam je način da sprečimo ovu vrstu dvostruke potrošnje, koja je u suštini ista kao i falsifikovanje novca.

Satoshi opisuje da učesnici u Bitcoin mreži rade zajedno kako bi vremenski označili (doveli u red) transakcije kako bismo znali šta je bilo prvo.

Zbog toga možemo odbiti sve buduće pokušaje trošenja istog novca.

Satoshi se uhvatio u koštac sa nekoliko zanimljivih tehničkih problema kako bi rešio probleme privatnosti, uništavanja vrednosti i centralne kontrole u ​​trenutnim monetarnim sistemima.

Na kraju je stvorio peer to peer mrežu kojoj se svako mogao pridružiti bez otkrivanja svog identiteta ili potrebe da veruje bilo kom drugom učesniku.

Kako se Bitcoin razvijao u poslednjoj deceniji?

Doprinosi izvornom kodu Bitcoina

Kada je Bitcoin pokrenut, samo nekolicina ljudi ga je koristila i pokrenula Bitcoin softver na svojim računarima za napajanje Bitcoin mreže.

Većina ljudi u to vreme mislila je da je to šala ili da će se otkriti ozbiljni nedostaci u dizajnu sistema koji će ga učiniti neizvodljivim.

Vremenom se mreži pridružilo sve više ljudi koji su pomoću svojih računara dodali sigurnost mreži.

Ljudi su počeli da menjaju Bitcoin-e za robu i usluge, dajući mu stvarnu vrednost. Pojavile su se menjačnice valuta koje su menjale Bitcoin-e za gotovo sve tradicionalne valute na svetu.

Deset godina nakon izuma, Bitcoin koriste milioni ljudi sa desetinama do stotinama hiljada čvorova koji pokreću besplatni Bitcoin softver, koji se razvija od strane stotina dobrovoljaca i kompanija širom sveta.

Bitcoin mreža je porasla kako bi obezbedila vrednost veću od stotine biliona dolara.

Računari koji učestvuju u zaštiti Bitcoin mreže poznati su kao rudari/majneri.

Oni rade u industrijskim operacijama širom sveta, ulažući milione dolara u specijalni rudarski hardver koji radi samo jedno: pobrinuti se da je Bitcoin najsigurnija mreža na planeti.

Rudari troše električnu energiju kako bi transakcije Bitcoin-a učinile sigurnim od modifikacija. Budući da se rudari međusobno takmiče za oskudan broj Bitcoin-a proizvedenih dnevno, oni uvek moraju da pronalaze najjeftinije izvore energije na planeti da bi ostali profitabilni.

Rudari rade na različitim mestima, od hidroelektrana u dalekim krajevima Kine do vetroparkova u Teksasu, do kanadskih naftnih polja koja proizvode gas koji bi u suprotnom bio odzračen ili spaljen u atmosferi.

Iako je Bitcoin popularna tema i o njemu se često raspravlja u medijima, procenjujemo da je samo nekoliko miliona ljudi na svetu počelo da redovno štedi Bitcoin.

Za mnoge ljude, posebno za one koji nikada nisu živeli pod represivnim režimima, ovaj izum novog oblika digitalnog novca izvan kontrole vlade može biti veoma izazovan za razumevanje i prihvatanje.

Zato sam ja ovde. Želim da vam pomognem da razumete Bitcoin i budete gospodar svoje budućnosti!

@ e516ecb8:1be0b167

Bitcoin was born as a middle finger to the financial establishment. Its 2008 whitepaper, penned by the enigmatic Satoshi Nakamoto, promised a peer-to-peer (P2P) electronic cash system—a decentralized rebellion against state-controlled money, sparked in the ashes of the global financial crisis. It was a cypherpunk dream: a currency free from banks, governments, and middlemen. But somewhere along the way, Bitcoin lost its soul. What was meant to be a fluid, practical currency has morphed into a clunky, expensive digital vault—a gilded cage for your wealth. Let’s unpack why Bitcoin is broken, why its fixes are flimsy, and why its rebellious spirit is fading into a state-backed shadow of its former self.

The P2P Promise: Shattered by Sky-High Fees Bitcoin’s core idea was simple: send money directly to anyone, anywhere, without a bank skimming off the top. Fast forward to today, and that vision is in tatters. Imagine you’ve got $34 in Bitcoin to send to a friend. By the time it arrives, after transaction fees, they might get a measly $2. According to data from BitInfoCharts, the average Bitcoin transaction fee in early 2025 hovers around $20–$30, with spikes as high as $60 during network congestion. For context, that’s more than the cost of a Venmo transfer or even some international wire fees.

This isn’t a one-off issue. Wallets like Guarda, Exodus, or even hardware wallets like Ledger face the same problem: Bitcoin’s base layer (Layer 1) is so congested that fees make small transactions absurdly impractical. Want to buy a $5 coffee with Bitcoin? You’d lose more in fees than the coffee’s worth. This isn’t P2P money—it’s confiscatory, inefficient, and anything but user-friendly.

Lightning Network: A Band-Aid on a Broken System Cue the Bitcoin maximalists: “But we have the Lightning Network!” Sure, Lightning was introduced as a second-layer solution to scale Bitcoin for smaller, faster transactions. It’s a network of off-chain payment channels designed to handle microtransactions with lower fees. Sounds great, right? Except it’s a patchwork fix that betrays Bitcoin’s original vision.

First, Lightning wasn’t part of Satoshi’s plan—it’s an afterthought, a kludge to address the base layer’s limitations. Second, it’s not universally adopted. According to 1ML, as of early 2025, only about 15% of Bitcoin wallets natively support Lightning. Major wallets like Coinbase Wallet and Trust Wallet still require workarounds or third-party integrations. Why? Because implementing Lightning is complex, and for most users, it involves trusting third-party nodes or custodians to route payments. So much for “be your own bank.”

Worse, running your own Lightning node requires technical know-how—think Linux commands, channel management, and constant monitoring. A 2024 survey by Bitcoin Magazine found that only 8% of Bitcoin users run their own nodes, Lightning or otherwise. For the average person, Lightning isn’t a solution; it’s a hurdle. And if you’re relying on a third party, you’re back to square one: trusting someone else with your money.

Take Adrián Bernabeu, author of Bitcoinismo, who preaches the gospel of self-custody while simultaneously hyping Lightning for micropayments. It’s a contradiction. You can’t champion “not your keys, not your crypto” while pushing a system that often requires third-party intermediaries for practical use. It’s like telling someone to live off-grid but handing them a generator that only works with a utility company’s permission.

A Gilded Cage: Bitcoin as a Store of Value So, if Bitcoin isn’t practical for payments, what’s it good for? The narrative has shifted: Bitcoin is now a “store of value,” a digital gold. Its price has soared—hitting $80,000 in late 2024, per CoinGecko—and its fixed supply of 21 million coins makes it a hedge against inflation. But this shift isn’t just about market dynamics; it’s a consequence of Bitcoin’s own flaws.

Moving Bitcoin is so expensive that it’s often smarter to hodl than to spend. Your wallet becomes an orange-tinted cage, trapping your wealth in a system where transferring value eats away at your holdings. Sure, you could wait for fees to drop, but that’s another nail in the P2P coffin. Real money doesn’t make you wait for a discount to use it. Imagine telling someone, “Hold off on buying groceries until the dollar’s transaction fees go down.” It’s absurd.

OP_RETURN and the Spam Problem: A Network Clogged with Junk Bitcoin’s blockchain isn’t just struggling with fees; it’s also drowning in digital clutter. The OP_RETURN function, meant for embedding small amounts of data (like metadata for smart contracts), has become a dumping ground for everything from NFT inscriptions to random spam. In 2023, Glassnode reported that OP_RETURN transactions accounted for nearly 20% of Bitcoin’s block space during peak periods, crowding out legitimate transactions and driving up fees.

Proposed fixes from Bitcoin Core and Knots—like limiting OP_RETURN data size or tweaking mempool rules—are more Band-Aids. They don’t address the root issue: Bitcoin’s block size limit. Capped at 1MB (or roughly 4MB with SegWit), Bitcoin can only process about 3–7 transactions per second, compared to Visa’s 24,000. Increasing the block size could ease congestion and lower fees, but Bitcoin Core developers have resisted this for years, citing concerns about centralization.

Here’s the kicker: Bitcoin Cash (BCH), a 2017 fork of Bitcoin, raised its block size to 32MB and processes transactions at a fraction of the cost. BCH’s average fee in 2025 is under $0.01, per BitInfoCharts. Bitcoin maximalists dismiss BCH as a failed experiment, but it’s hard to argue with the numbers. A larger block size reduces spam’s impact because legitimate transactions dominate. Admitting this, though, would mean conceding defeat in a years-long ideological battle. And Bitcoiners hate losing.

From Rebellion to Regulatory Lapdog Bitcoin’s cypherpunk roots are fading fast. What started as a revolt against state control is cozying up to governments. El Salvador made Bitcoin legal tender in 2021, but its state-backed Chivo wallet (built on Lightning) is riddled with bugs and usability issues, according to a 2024 Reuters report. Meanwhile, Bitcoin Core developers have lobbied for institutional adoption, with figures like Michael Saylor advocating for Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset for governments and corporations.

This is a far cry from Satoshi’s vision. A 2023 post on X revealed that Core developers met with U.S. regulators to discuss Bitcoin’s role in national reserves—a move that reeks of compromise. The same system Bitcoin was meant to disrupt is now being courted. If governments start subsidizing Bitcoin mining to protect their reserves, as some speculate, the irony will be complete: a decentralized dream bankrolled by fiat.

The Looming Threats: Quantum and Mining Woes Bitcoin’s problems don’t end with fees and politics. Quantum computing looms on the horizon. A 2024 MIT Technology Review article estimated that quantum computers capable of breaking Bitcoin’s ECDSA cryptography could emerge by 2030. This threatens “Satoshi-era” wallets—those holding early, unspent coins—potentially undermining trust in the entire blockchain.

Then there’s mining. Bitcoin’s proof-of-work system is energy-intensive, with global mining consuming 150 TWh annually, per the Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index. As block rewards halve (the next halving is in 2028), miners will rely more on transaction fees. Higher fees mean even less practicality for P2P payments, locking Bitcoin further into its “digital gold” trap. If states step in to subsidize mining, as some X posts have speculated, Bitcoin’s anti-establishment ethos will be dead in the water.

The Final Irony: Paying for Freedom with Fiat Bitcoin promised to replace fiat currency, but its flaws are pushing it toward a bizarre dependency on the very system it sought to destroy. If governments subsidize mining or adopt Bitcoin as a reserve asset, we’ll be left with a bitter irony: a supposedly revolutionary asset propped up by fiat. The cypherpunk dream will have come full circle, not as a triumph, but as a compromise.

So, is Bitcoin broken? Yes. It’s a victim of its own success—too valuable to spend, too clunky to use, and too compromised to stay true to its roots. The question isn’t whether Bitcoin can be fixed; it’s whether its community has the courage to admit what’s wrong. Until then, your Bitcoin wallet remains a shiny, orange prison—a relic of a rebellion that forgot how to fight.

@ 975e4ad5:8d4847ce

Inflation vs. Deflation: What’s the Difference?

Today, we use fiat currencies—dollars, euros, or leva—issued by governments and central banks that can print money without limit. This leads to inflation, a decrease in the purchasing power of money because the money supply grows faster than the goods and services in the economy. The result? Prices for everything—from bread to cars—rise over time.

Bitcoin, unlike fiat money, has a hard cap of 21 million coins, set to be fully “mined” by 2140. This means the money supply is fixed and can’t be arbitrarily increased. In such a system, as technology improves production and the economy grows, the amount of goods and services increases, but the money supply stays the same. The result is deflation—prices fall because the same amount of money is chasing more goods.

The Bread Example

Take bread as an example. Fifty years ago, making bread required a lot of manual labor—kneading, shaping, baking. Today, machines handle most of the process, from mixing dough to packaging. Production is faster, more efficient, and requires fewer workers. Logically, bread should be cheaper, right? Yet, its price has risen from, say, 20 cents decades ago to $1 today. Why? Because inflation, driven by printing more money, outpaces the cost savings from technology. In a Bitcoin standard, those same technological advancements would lead to cheaper bread since there’s no excess money “diluting” purchasing power.

Wages in a Deflationary World

Now, picture your boss saying, “We’re cutting your salary this year.” Sounds like a nightmare, doesn’t it? In today’s world, we expect wage increases to “keep up” with inflation. But in a deflationary world, where prices are falling, a lower salary isn’t a problem. If bread, rent, and clothes get cheaper, you can buy more with less money. For example, if your salary drops from $2,000 to $1,800 but bread falls from $1 to $0.75, your real purchasing power actually increases. It’s a radically different mindset, but it makes sense in a world with a fixed currency.

Why Is This So Hard to Grasp?

The idea of falling prices and wages feels alien because we were born into an inflationary world. From childhood, we’ve seen the cost of everything—food, housing, even coffee at our favorite café—steadily rise. Inflation is so ingrained that we assume prices must go up. But this isn’t a natural law; it’s a consequence of the fiat system. A century ago, when gold backed currencies, prices often stayed stable or even fell as technology advanced. A Bitcoin standard would bring us back to that dynamic.

What Else Should We Know?

A deflationary world brings other fascinating changes. People would save more because their money would be worth more tomorrow. Today, inflation erodes savings, pushing us to spend or invest quickly. In a Bitcoin standard, we’d value the future more since our savings would grow in real value. But there are challenges too—deflation might discourage risky investments because people prefer holding money over spending it on uncertain ventures.

Moreover, a Bitcoin standard reshapes how we think about debt. Today, we take loans knowing tomorrow’s money will be worth less, making repayment easier. In a deflationary world, debts become heavier because you’d owe more real value tomorrow. This could make us more cautious and responsible with borrowing.

A Bitcoin standard invites us to rethink the economy we grew up in. Falling prices and stagnant or declining wages sound like a fantasy, but they’re the logical outcome of a currency with a fixed supply. Technology will keep making life easier and more efficient, and in a world without inflation, this would translate to lower prices and greater purchasing power. Maybe it’s time we stop taking inflation for granted and imagine a world where our money grows more valuable over time.

@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.

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Pregled sadržaja

1. Šta je finansijski samo-suverenitet?
2. Zašto smo prestali da koristimo zlatni standard?
3. Šta fali tradicionalnoj valuti i centralnim bankama?
4. Kako mogu ljudi da mi ukradu novac ako je u banci?
5. Kako ljudi koriste moje finansijske podatke protiv mene?
6. Kako ljudi kontrolišu sa kim obavljam transakcije?
7. Kako da povratimo svoj finansijski samo-suverenitet?
8. Kako Bitcoin funkcioniše?
9. Pa onda, zašto Bitcoin?
10. Po čemu je Bitcoin bolji od sistema tradicionalnih valuta?
11. Kako Bitcoin štiti od Inflacije?
12. Kako Bitcoin štiti od Zaplene?
13. Kako Bitcoin štiti Privatnost?
14. Kako Bitcoin štiti od Cenzure?
15. Šta će vlada i banke učiniti sa Bitcoin-om?
16. Da li je vrednost Bitcoin-a nestabilna?
17. Da li je Bitcoin novac?
18. Bitcoin kao Zaliha Vrednosti
19. Bitcoin kao Sredstvo Razmene
20. Bitcoin kao Obračunska Jedinica
21. Bitcoin kao Sistem Kontrole
22. Šta je sa „Sledećim Bitcoin-om“?
23. Na kraju

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Kratki uvod u bezbednost, privatnost i slobodu vašeg novca.

Pre nego što saznate kako morate znati zašto.

Upoređeni kursevi tradicionalnih valuta: (100.000 venecuelanskog Bolivara za 1 USD) i (20.000 USD za 1 Bitcoin)

Šta je finansijski samo-suverenitet?

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Da biste držali taj zlatni novčić, ne morate da se složite sa bilo kojim Uslovima korišćenja ili Politikom privatnosti, da se pridržavate bilo kojih KYC ili AML propisa, da pokažete ličnu kartu, da navedete svoje ime ili jedinstveni matični broj.

Samo ga držite u ruci i njime možete platiti bilo šta, davanjem tog novčića nekom drugom da ga drži u ruci. To je čista sloboda.

Pored slobode onoga što kupujete svojim novčićem, niko ne može magično znati kome plaćate ili koju robu/usluge kupujete tim zlatni novčićem, jer vaša privatnost nije ugrožena sa zlatom.

A pošto imate svoju privatnost, niko ne može znati za vaše transakcije, pa niko ne može da odluči da ograniči ili kontroliše za šta koristite taj zlatni novčić.

Hiljadama godina zlato je bilo globalni standard novca.

Svi su održavali svoj finansijski samo-suverenitet, a privatnost i sloboda svačijeg novca su poštovani.

Zaista je bilo tako jednostavno.

Zašto smo prestali da koristimo zlatni standard?

Trenutni globalni bankarski sistem i sistem tradicionalnih valuta, bankari su vrlo polako implementirali u proteklih 100+ godina.

Udružili su se sa svetskim vladama koje su svima oduzele zlato pod pretnjom nasilja.

Na primer, nakon što je Federalna banka rezervi osnovana u SAD-u 1913. godine, američka vlada je nasilno oduzela svo zlato 1933. godine, prisiljavajući sve da koriste nove centralne banke i sistem novčanica Federalnih rezervi.

„Dostavite svoje celokupno zlato u naše sefove u zamenu za bezvredni papir, ili ćemo upotrebiti silu nad vama.“

Banke su u početku zamenile zlatni standard papirnim priznanicama zvane zlatni sertifikati, ali nakon što je prošlo dovoljno vremena, banke su u osnovi jednostavno prestale da ih otkupljuju za zlato.

Zlatni sertifikati izdavani od banaka (novčanice ili „gotovina“) u tom trenutku bili su samo bezvredni papir, ali zbog vladine pretnje nasiljem, svi su bili primorani da nastave da koriste novčanice Federalnih rezervi.

Od skora, banke koriste digitalnu bazu podataka, u kojoj doslovno mogu stvoriti novac ni iz čega, čak i da ga ne moraju štampati na papiru.

Predsednik Federalnih rezervi priča kako oni „štampaju“ novac.

Oni su učvrstili svoju moć da manipulišu i naduvaju globalnu novčanu masu, nadgledaju finansijske transakcije svih i kontrolišu protok svih tradicionalnih valuta u svom bankarskom sistemu.

Banke sada kontrolišu sve.

Jednom kada su centralni bankari uspešno preuzeli kontrolu nad novčanom masom u svetu, zajedno sa sposobnošću svih da slobodno vrše transakcije i trguju, svet je kolektivno izgubio bezbednost, slobodu i privatnost svog novca.

Šta fali tradicionalnoj valuti i centralnim bankama?

Nakon impelentacije trenutnog globalnog bankarskog sistema i sistema tradicionalnih valuta, svetu nije preostao drugi izbor nego da veruje bankarima i političarima da vode globalni finansijski sistem na pošten način.

„Koren problema tradicionalne valute je potpuno poverenje potrebno za njeno funkcionisanje. Centralnoj banci se mora verovati da neće devalvirati valutu, ali istorija tradicionalnih valuta je puna kršenja tog poverenja. Bankama se mora verovati da čuvaju naš novac i prenose ga elektronskim putem, ali ga daju u talasima kreditnih balona sa malim delićem rezerve. ““ — Satoshi Nakamoto

Istorija zloupotrebe tradicionalnih valuta može se grupisati u 3 kategorije:

• Bezbednost. Loši ljudi kradu vaš novac ili vrednost vašeg novca, ponekad na očigledne načine, ponekad na podle načine.

• Privatnost. Loši ljudi nadgledaju sve vaše privatne finansijske transakcije, i koriste vaše lične finansijske podatke protiv vas.

• Sloboda. Loši ljudi kontrolišu na koji način možete da trošite sopstveni novac, sa kim možete da obavljate transakcije, koliko možete da potrošite itd.

Kako mogu ljudi da mi ukradu novac ako je u banci?

Evo nekoliko primera:

• Krađa inflacijom: Ovo je primarni način na koji banke kradu vaš novac i jedan od najpodlijih. Kada centralne banke izdaju novi novac, bilo štampanjem na bezvrednom papiru, ili samo dodavanjem knjigovodstvenog unosa u bazu podataka koju kontrolišu, one naduvaju globalnu novčanu masu. Inflacija krade kupovnu moć svih koji drže deo te valute, jednostavno zato što je sada više te valute u opticaju. Zlato se ne može stvoriti, pa su bankari umesto toga izmislili sistem papirnog novca.

Banke mogu izdavati beskonačnu količinu tradicionalnih valuta, bilo štampanjem ili korišćenjem digitalne baze podataka.

• Krađa zaplenom: Ovo je jedan od načina na koji vlade mogu ukrasti vaš novac. Da li ste ikada čuli za zaplenu imovine? Ako policajac posumnja da je vaša imovina korišćena u krivičnom delu, može je zapleniti, a vi se morate boriti da biste povratili vašu ukradenu imovinu. Ili, drugi primer: Pokušajte da uđete u zemlju sa više od 10.000 USD u džepu, a ne da je prijavite, i pogledajte šta će se dogoditi. Sve je isto: krađa od strane drugih ljudi sa oružjem.

Man who immigrated to the U.S. from Albania says U.S. agents seized his life savings at airport. https://t.co/RyoZzrpVA4 pic.twitter.com/yJnUVaCNaa

— ABC News (@ABC) June 7, 2018

• Krađa putem oporezivanja: Ovo je još jedan način na koji vam vlade kradu novac. Ne sporim da li je oporezivanje etično ili ne, samo konstatujem činjenicu da vaša vlada može da primora vašu banku da im da vaš novac, a ovo je bezbednostna ranjivost. Da bi novac bio siguran, mora biti nezaplenjiv, a vlade mogu da zaplene vaše bankovne račune.

Kako ljudi koriste moje finansijske podatke protiv mene?

Ako fizičku tradicionalnu valutu predate drugoj osobi, u obliku papirnog novca ili kovanica, relativno je lako zaštititi privatnost svoje transakcije, baš kao što bi bilo da koristite zlatnike.

Međutim, ako koristite kreditne kartice, debitne kartice, bankovne transfere, PayPal, Venmo, LINE Pay, WeChat Pay ili bilo koju drugu mrežu za plaćanje koja je centralno kontrolisana, aktivno pristajete da se odreknete privatnosti podataka svih svojih privatnih finansijskih transakcija i sve ih dajete poverljivoj trećoj strani.

Kada su svi podaci i metapodaci vaših finansijskih transakcija prijavljeni u centralnu bazu podataka, onaj ko ima pristup toj bazi podataka može da koristi vaše podatke protiv vas.

Evo nekoliko osnovnih primera:

• Ako ste kupili robu rizičnog životnog stila poput cigareta, banka može reći vašoj osiguravajućoj kompaniji da poveća vaše osiguranje.
• Ako ste kupili nešto što je ilegalno, poput droga za rekreaciju, vaša banka može reći vašoj vladi da vas zakonski goni.

Ali u slučaju nekih represivnih vlada, oni su to odveli do ekstrema. Oni centralno prikupljaju sve finansijske transakcije i druge podatke svih svojih građana i stvorili su totalitarni Sistem Socijalnih Bodova (eng. Social Credit Score):

Prepoznavanje lica je jedan od elemenata kineskih napora za praćenje

Zapisi George Orwell-a već su postali stvarnost u Kini zbog sistema tradicionalnih valuta centralne banke i platnih mreža koje su izgrađene na njemu.

Ako mislite da se to neće dogoditi u vašoj zemlji, razmislite ponovo.

To se dešava vrlo polako, ali na kraju će sve svetske vlade primeniti Sistem Socijalnih Bodova, dok je Kina to tek prva učinila.

Kako ljudi kontrolišu sa kim obavljam transakcije?

U prvom primeru sa zlatnim novčićem, kada ga predate nekom drugom kao plaćanje za robu ili uslugu, ne postoji centralizovana evidencija vaše platne transakcije i imate savršenu privatnost.

Međutim, u centralnom bankarskom sistemu, budući da banka ima i znanje o podacima o vašim transakcijama i moć da kontroliše vaša sredstva, oni mogu proceniti niz pravila da bi odlučili da li žele da dozvole vašu transakciju ili da to odbiju, takođe kao i izvršenje te odluke kontrolišući vaša sredstva.

Tako su vlade naoružale tradicionalne valute i ​​centralni bankarski sistem kao Sistem Kontrole nad svojim građanima.

Da rezimiramo: Pošto ste se odrekli bezbednosti i privatnosti svog novca, izgubili ste i svoju finansijsku slobodu.

“Privatnost nije o tome da nešto treba sakriti. Privatnost je o tome da nešto treba zaštititi.” — Edward Snowden

Kako da povratimo svoj finansijski samo-suverenitet?

Pokret Cypherpunk pokrenuli su pojedinci koji su shvatili važnost zaštite privatnosti i slobode pojedinačnih korisnika na Internetu.

Cypherpunk-ovi su verovali da se gore opisani problemi mogu rešiti samo potpuno novim novčanim sistemom, koji poštuje i štiti bezbednost, privatnost i slobodu pojedinca.

Mnogi od Cypherpunk-era pokušali su da izgrade nove etičke sisteme e-gotovine koji bi mogli da zamene tradicionalne valute i centralno bankarstvo.

Bilo je mnogo teških računarskih problema koje je trebalo prevazići u stvaranju tako istinski decentralizovanog sistema, i ako su neki od njih bili blizu cilja, svi su propali.

Odnosno, sve dok jedan pseudonim Cypherpunk-a to konačno nije shvatio 2008. godine:

Kombinacijom digitalnih potpisa, distribuirane knjige i peer-to-peer mreže, rođen je Bitcoin.

Kako Bitcoin funkcioniše?

Baš kao što ne treba da znate kako Internet funkcioniše da bi gledali slike mačaka na Internetu, razumevanje tehničke složenosti načina na koji Bitcoin radi „ispod haube“ nije neophodno da biste ga koristili i postigli sopstveni finansijski samo-suverenitet.

Važna stvar koju želim da saznate iz ovog članka je da iako većina novih tehnologija u početku ima loše korisničko iskustvo, Bitcoin svesno i vrlo namerno ne žrtvuje svoje osnovne filozofske principe da bi brže pridobio nove korisnike, ili da bi poboljšao korisničko iskustvo.

Najpametniji Cypherpunk-ovi rade na poboljšanju korisničkog iskustva.

Tehnologija će se sa vremenom poboljšavati, baš kao i za Internet.

Pa onda, zašto Bitcoin?

Reći ću vam zašto:

Jer Bitcoin poštuje bezbednost, privatnost i slobodu pojedinca.

Po čemu je Bitcoin bolji od sistema tradicionalnih valuta?

Za početak, Bitcoin nema Uslove korišćenja, Politiku privatnosti i Propise o usklađenosti sa KYC/AML. (Know Your Costumer & Anti-money Laundering)

Bitcoin je uspešan primer implementacije kripto-anarhije, gde su jedina pravila kriptografija, matematika i jak skup konsenzusnih pravila.

To je distribuirani i nepoverljivi sistem zasnovan na finansijskim podsticajima i nijedna osoba ili centralizovani entitet ne može da kontroliše Bitcoin.

Ono što je najvažnije, Bitcoin vam omogućava da odustanete od tradicionalnih valuta, sistema delimičnih rezervi i centralnog bankarstva rešavanjem osnovnih problema poverenja:

• Sigurnost od inflacije korišćenjem fiksnog snabdevanja
• Sigurnost od zaplene korišćenjem ključeva za kontrolu sredstava
• Privatnost plaćanja korišćenjem pseudonimnih identiteta
• Sloboda protiv cenzure korišćenjem peer to peer mreže

Peer to Peer Mreža

Kako Bitcoin štiti od Inflacije?

Jedno od najkritičnijih pravila konsenzusa o Bitcoin-u je da može postojati najviše 21,000,000 Bitcoin-a.

Nakon izdavanja svih Bitcoin-a, nikada više ne može doći do stvaranja novih Bitcoin-a.

Stoga je Bitcoin deflaciona valuta, koja sprečava ljude da ukradu vaš novac ili njegovu vrednost naduvavanjem novčane mase.

Monetarna Inflacija Bitcoin-a

Kako Bitcoin štiti od Zaplene?

Bitcoin se može preneti samo pomoću kriptografskog privatnog ključa koji kontroliše sredstva.

Nijedan bitcoin nikada ne izadje van sistema.

Nijedna vlada, banka ili sudski nalog ne mogu zapleniti ta sredstva.

Jednostavno ne postoji način da se takva odredba ili naredba sprovede od bilo kog „organa vlasti“, jer Bitcoin ne priznaje nijedno „ovlašćenje“ u svom sistemu.

Bitcoin je potpuno samo-suveren sistem i zbog svoje distribuirane prirode ne može se ugasiti.

Postoji zbog sopstvenih zasluga, samo zato što ljudi veruju u to.

Kako Bitcoin štiti Privatnost?

Bitcoin ne traži vaše ime ili druge detalje koji mogu lično da vas identifikuju.

Vaš identitet je kriptografski, a ne vaše stvarno ime.

Dakle, vaš identitet izgleda otprilike kao 1vizSAISbuiKsbt9d8JV8itm5ackk2TorC, a ne kao „Stefan Petrovič“.

Pored toga, niko ne zna ko kontroliše sredstva na datoj Bitcoin adresi, a nova tehnologija se neprestano razvija kako bi se poboljšala privatnost Bitcoin-a.

”Taproot” je najnovije poboljšanje bitcoin-a i njegove privatnosti.

Kako Bitcoin štiti od Cenzure?

Peer-to-peer Bitcoin mreža je u potpunosti distribuirana.

To znači da ako jedan čvor pokuša da cenzuriše vašu transakciju, neće uspeti ukoliko * svaki * čvor(Node) ne izvrši cenzuru vaše transakcije.

Centralizacija – Loša. Decentralizacija – Dobra. Distribuiran peer-to-peer – Najbolja.

Šta će vlada i banke učiniti sa Bitcoin-om?

Neke zemlje su pokušale da ga regulišu, kontrolišu, isključe itd., ali nijedna od njih nije uspela.

Čini se da uglavnom samo žele da koriste postojeći sistem centralnih banaka da bi kontrolisali kako ljudi trguju tradicionalnim valutama za Bitcoin, i naravno žele da oporezuju Bitcoin na bilo koji mogući način.

Evo nekoliko uobičajenih tvrdnji vlada i banaka o Bitcoin-u:

Lane: No. Bitcoin is not a currency, it rather is an asset and it is very volatile #AskECB https://t.co/XQ9Mqdm5rU

— European Central Bank (@ecb) July 9, 2019

Evropska centralna banka kaže da Bitcoin nije valuta i upozorava da je vrlo nestabilna.

„Bitcoin, izgleda samo kao prevara“, rekao je gospodin Tramp. „Ne sviđa mi se jer je to još jedna valuta koja se takmiči sa dolarom.“

Da li je vrednost Bitcoin-a nestabilna?

Ako umanjite grafikon cena, videćete da Bitcoin-u neprekidno raste vrednost od kada je stvoren, trgujući sa manje od 0,01 USD i polako se penje na preko 60.000 USD na nedavnom vrhuncu početkom 2021. godine.

Cena Bitcoina od 2011. godine

To je zato što je njegova ponuda fiksna i ljudi cene njegovu nestašicu.

Sa većom potražnjom i fiksnom ponudom, cene vremenom rastu.

Kako godine odmiču, njegova vrednost će se povećavati kako novi korisnici počinju da drže Bitcoin. (U svetu Bitcoina držanju kažemo HODL. Drži bitcoin. Hodl bitcoin.)

Zašto Bitcoin ima vrednost : Nestašica

Da li je Bitcoin novac?

Da biste odgovorili na pitanje da li je Bitcoin novac ili ne, prvo morate definisati pojam „novac“.

Nažalost, reč „novac“ koristimo da bismo opisali nekoliko vrlo različitih komplikovanih koncepata, koji su svi potpuno odvojeni.

Termin „novac“ se zapravo odnosi na:

• Zaliha Vrednosti (Store of Value)
• Sredstvo Razmene ( Medium of Exchange)
• Obračunska Jedinica (Unit of Account)
• Sistem Kontrole (System Control)

Bitcoin kao Zaliha Vrednosti

Ovaj to savršeno objašnjava:

Son's friend: "Matt, what happens if you chop a £1 coin in half?"
You get to two pieces of worthless metal mate. If you chop a gold coin in half though, you get two pieces of gold, each worth half of what the coin was.
Son: "...and it's the same as gold with bitcoin."
🤗

— Matthew Haywood (@wintercooled) July 13, 2019

Sinov prijatelj: “Matt, šta će se dogoditi ako novčić od 1 funte usitnite na pola?”

Dobijaš dva komada bezvrednog metala. Ako zlatnik usitnite na pola, dobićete dva zlatnika, od kojih svaki vredi polovinu onoga što je novčić bio.

Sin: „… isto tako kao sa zlatom jeste sa bitcoinima“.

Bitcoin je potpuno deljiv i deluje kao izvrsna zaliha vrednosti, baš kao što je i zlato već hiljadama godina.

Bitcoin kao Sredstvo Razmene

Bitcoin je dobro služio kao sredstvo razmene za svoje rane korisnike.

Ali skaliranje Bitcoin-a na globalni nivo koji bi mogao da posluži svim ljudima je veliki izazov, jer se osnovna „blockchain“ tehnologija ne skalira na globalni nivo.

Da bi rešio ovaj problem skaliranja, Satoshi je izumeo koncept kanala plaćanja, a u kombinaciji sa malo pomoći drugih briljantnih računarskih naučnika Cipherpunk-a koji su poboljšali koncept tokom poslednjih 10 godina, sada imamo mrežu Lightning, koja omogućava da se Bitcoin koristi kao odlično Sredstvo Razmene, koje se vremenom može proširiti na globalni nivo.

Internet Informacija i Vrednosti Danas

Bitcoin kao Obračunska Jedinica

Najmanja obračunska jedinica Bitcoin-a nazvana je po njenom tvorcu, Satoshi-u.

Jedan Bitcoin je jednak 100.000.000 Satoshi-a.

Na kraju, kako se robe i usluge sve češće razmenjuju za Bitcoin, sve više ljudi će koristiti Bitcoin ili „Sats“ kao obračunsku jedinicu.

Bitcoin u Satoshi Pretvarač Credits: @kriptomentor Instagram Profil

Bitcoin kao Sistem Kontrole

Budući da je Bitcoin dizajniran da poštuje i štiti ljudska prava pojedinca, posebno bezbednost, privatnost i slobodu novca; ne bi bio dobar Sistem Kontrole i ne može se koristiti za ugnjetavanje ljudi, kao što se dešava sa tradicionalnim valutama i sistemima centralnog bankarstva koji to trenutno vrlo dobro rade.

Fiat sistem novca: dominacija i kontrola

Šta je sa „Sledećim Bitcoin-om“?

Kao što može biti samo jedan „globalni“ Internet, tako može biti i samo jedan globalni novac, a stigao je i novi Bitcoin Standard.

Sve ostalo je ili direktna prevara ili gubljenje vremena.

Ako bi neko želeo da vam proda „Sledeće Zlato“, da li biste ga kupili?

Na kraju

Nadam se da vam je ovaj članak pomogao da razumete zašto je Bitcoin stvoren i kako može da pomogne svetu da se oslobodi tradicionalnih valuta i sistema centralnog bankarstva koji je veoma duboko integrisan u naše trenutno društvo.

Evo nekoliko misli koje treba poneti sa sobom:

• Bitcoin nije izmišljen radi zarade, već je izmišljen da bi promenio svet.
• Bitcoin će to učiniti poštujući korisnikovu bezbednost, privatnost i slobodu.
• Bitcoin se već koristi kao novac, na nekoliko načina na koji se novac može koristiti.
• Bitcoin nije nestabilan, njegova vrednost vremenom polako raste (odzumirajte).
• Bitcoin ima mnogo kopija i prevaranata koji će pokušati da vam prodaju svoju kopiju Bitcoin-a. Ne zavaravajte se lažnim Bitcoin-om baš kao što vas ne bi prevarili ni Lažnim Zlatom.
• Bitcoin će postati najveći prenos bogatstva u našem životu, tako da ćete možda želeti da ih uzmete pre nego kasnije.
• Ostanite skromni i skupljajte satošije.

@ cbaa0c82:e9313245

TheWholeGrain - #May2025

Last May, during our first year of releasing content we created and awarded our first badge on NOSTR. It was the first minting of the Official Fan Badge. We wanted to do it again a year later!

As Bread and Toast moves along we want to be able to recognize the fans who motivate us to keep sharing our journey and all of our adventures!

Our first Sunday Single of May 2025 was a tribute to all the fans we currently have because there is nothing quite like a good fan! As previously mentioned, we also released the second minting of the Official Fan Badge! Thank you to everyone who follows, zaps, reacts, and comments on all of the notes posted to NOSTR by Bread and Toast!

Even more incredible than that was the announcement of the Yarn Buddy! A yarn based plushie of Bread handcrafted by the one and only Yarnlady! The announcement was made on May 19th, and it is without a doubt our best merchandise product so far! https://i.nostr.build/cscbHW6oWqVtxmyT.png Learn more about the Yarn Buddy below.

Sunday Singles - May 2025 2025-05-04 | Sunday Single 91 Title: A Good Fan We cannot say this enough... We love our fans! https://i.nostr.build/h6KzGz8kleYdmQxM.png

2025-05-11 | Sunday Single 92 Title: Hang Gliding Bread loves the thrill of flying through the air https://i.nostr.build/JCA656iy7L9bDLYF.png

2025-05-18 | Sunday Single 93 Title: String Theory Bread stumbled upon a spool of yarn and got an idea. It might knot be what you expected... Yarn't gonna believe what's coming next! https://i.nostr.build/mazQZkGKwzUz1O3O.png

2025-05-25 | Sunday Single 94 Hot Air Balloon Sometimes Bread and End-Piece claim Toast is full of hot air so why not put it to some use! https://i.nostr.build/1VIeBl2rW7aVD6Hb.png

Adventure Series: Questline The effects of the darkness of the forest begin to become stronger as Toast and End-Piece lose sight of Bread and the light of the magical staff.

Artist: Dakota Jernigan (The Bitcoin Painter) Writer: Daniel David (dan 🍞)

2025-05-06 | Questline 009 - Pitch Black Due to their hesitation, Toast and End-Piece lose sight of their leader's magical light... They try to stay close to one another for their own safety, but no one ever feels safe in the pitch black darkness of the forest. https://i.nostr.build/Kre0BR4ylKShhTLE.png

2025-05-20 | Questline 010 - A Light in the Dark With a magical staff lighting the way Bread keeps a quick pace in order to get through the forest as quick as possible. However, Bread begins to notice all the webs that surround the trees. With sudden concern for fellow comrades Bread turns around surprised to realize that they are no longer even there. https://i.nostr.build/KsyReXgigDlLxiLr.png

Other Content Released in May 2025 2025-05-07 | Toast's Comic Collection Title: Jugbread #13 Everyone knows Toastie’s best friend, Jugbread Jones! https://i.nostr.build/TM3fpLyVkB7PcRuK.png

2025-05-14 | Concept Art Title: Cat Attack! At some point the characters are going to face perilous challenges in the world. For example, the characters could easily come across a cat that would be quick to attack them! https://i.nostr.build/19t1GYXvmXbKUO0q.png

2025-05-21 | Bitcoin Art Title: Nodes Block Height: 897690 Every slice of bread is like an individual using the network! https://i.nostr.build/3MvvAP9RaAd7ZPwt.png

Additions to The Bakery in May 2025 We had one addition to The Bakery this past month from Dessert Dave! He says it's desert, but we'd prefer dessert. Check it out!

2025-05-17 | npub1mgvmt553uphdpxa9gk79xejq3hyzh2xfa8uh6vh236nq78mvh74q8tr9yd https://r2.primal.net/cache/c/16/80/c16806be2aa6ee9b61e5da3a291d858fb58d09598927feecf25de44c537a5a86.jpg

New Nostr Badges 2025-05-19 | Merchandise Supporter - Yarn Buddy https://i.nostr.build/U8sxNZIRHQCIgpi4.png

2025-05-20 | Official Yarn Maker https://i.nostr.build/ADe8HYeMEIQjufxM.png

2025-05-20 | Official Fan Badge 2025 https://i.nostr.build/1pEnSnW4g7nv4is7.png

Merchandise Announcement Bread and Toast made an announcement this past month on May 19th after a Sunday Single that was secretly a tease of the release with the Yarn Buddy (Limited Supply). The Yarn Buddy was made in collaboration with Yarnlady, a skilled yarn weaver who is a master of her craft. https://i.nostr.build/L5Mh74eGiB8sO1VG.png

If you are interested in purchasing the Yarn Buddy contact us by email at store@breadandtoast.com with "Yarn Buddy" in the subject line! There are only 10 in total available.

Thank you for checking out the ninth issue of The Whole Grain. The Whole Grain is released near the beginning of every month and covers all of the content released by Bread and Toast in the previous month. For all of Bread and Toast's content visit BreadandToast.com!

If you read this then you must be our biggest fan! Bread, Toast, and End-Piece

BreadandToast #SundaySingle #Questline #ToastsComicCollection #ConceptArt #BitcoinArt #Merchandise #Bread #Toast #EndPiece #Artstr #Comic #Cartoon #NostrOnly #🍞 #🖼️

List of nPubs Mentioned: Yarnlady: npub1hgvtv4zn2l8l3ef34n87r4sf5s00xq3lhgr3mvwt7kn8gjxpjprqc89jnv

The Bitcoin Painter: npub1tx5ccpregnm9afq0xaj42hh93xl4qd3lfa7u74v5cdvyhwcnlanqplhd8g

Desert Dave: npub1mgvmt553uphdpxa9gk79xejq3hyzh2xfa8uh6vh236nq78mvh74q8tr9yd

dan 🍞: npub16e3vzr7dk2uepjcnl85nfare3kdapxge08gr42s99n9kg7xs8xhs90y9v6

@ 005bc4de:ef11e1a2

Succotash: the connection game

Succotash is a simple "connection game" like Hex or Tak. Would love to hear any feedback.

You can take a look or play at https://succotash.vercel.app

Below is "the story"...

---

Serendipity: the occurrence and development of events by chance in a happy or beneficial way.

The past few days, a delightful series of events occurred and I ended up with Succotash, the game.

You can read about how it started at the Succotash announcement on Hive, but here's the lowdown:

• It began with a photo. One day, my wife lined up our little tomatoes on the counter, I snapped a pic, and put it on Nostr and it was auto-bridged over to Hive. This simple note sparked something unexpected.

• On Hive, @sherah suggested the that photo looked like a game. That gave me an itch. Could moving tomatoes on a grid make a game?
• There are lots of "connection games" where you try to connect your side to your opponent's side. Could I make a simple game?
• I drew a 5 x 5 grid of dots on paper. I had some dry corn kernels and beans nearby, so I placed them on the paper and started moving them around.

• A Hawaiian girl nearby saw what I was doing and looked at me with a very puzzled look. "It's a game. Want to play it?" We gave Succotash the first ever test run. Later that day, my wife and I sat down on the floor and played the game again. It seemed fun enough.
• I posted the announcement on Hive.
• After some suggestions in the comments about adding an element of randomization with a dice roll, I began to build an online version. The initial version 0.0.1 looked like this:

Playing the game, I wanted absolutely wanted the simplicity of corn and beans on paper. But, I felt another element was needed for game play. Plus, I wanted tomatoes. So, I added the chance to earn a sixth player piece, a "Tomato." If you move into both corners of your opponent's home, you earn a sixth game piece. Your Tomato pops into the center square and then you play normally with six pieces.

I'm really pleased with the digital version. The game is only one html file and can actually be downloaded and played offline. But, truth be told, I still prefer the real corn and beans on paper. My wife agrees.

Why "Succotash"?

At first, I wanted a tomato-themed name, but since I was using using corn and beans, "Succotash" seemed perfect - it's a dish that combines corn, beans, and vegetables. I considered calling it the "Texas Caviar Game" (since that recipe has tomatoes along with corn and beans, and because it's delicious), but "Succotash" just sounds more fun. Plus, adding tomatoes to succotash sounds yummy as well.

Keeping It Simple

A big goal was to keep the game simple. All you need is:

• A 5 x 5 grid
• 5 pieces of something and 5 pieces of something else (well, if you play with the tomatoes added, 6 of each)

Starting out, I used corn kernels and beans. But, you could use anything: bottle caps and coins, pieces of paper and paper clips, just five of anything (or 6 with the tomatoes). There is even a way to implement the randomization of an attack, with or without dice, see the Rules. I really like that this game could literally be played in the sand with sticks and stones, like we used to do as kids.

"Wow, I can't believe my little comment helped make this game real... Tomatoes, beans, and corn making a game is just the coolest thing." - sherah

Serendipity sometimes leads to wonderful, organic, and fun creations.

Succotash is open source on GitHub at https://github.com/crrdlx/succotash

Play Succotash online at https://succotash.vercel.app (or play with corn and beans on paper!). If you play, there may be glitches. Likely, there are and suggestions are welcome. Maybe the game will morph a bit further. Either way, I'd love any feedback.

Credits:

• My wife - lining up tomatoes and testing, and for being a good sport while I changed the rules on the fly.
• sherah - the idea of a game.
• Hawaiian girl - curious enough to play the game with me.
• kenny-crane - game play and testing.
• Made with ❤️ by @crrdlx.

Play Succotash online at https://succotash.vercel.app

@ 3a7c74bb:bbdd5960

• The Foundation (12th Century)

The territory that would become Portugal was originally part of the Kingdom of León and Castile. But in 1128, the young nobleman Afonso Henriques confronted his own mother at the Battle of São Mamede, taking control of the County of Portugal (Condado Portucalense).

In 1139, after winning the Battle of Ourique, he declared himself King of Portugal. Independence was recognized in 1143 by the King of León and confirmed by the Pope in 1179.

• Expansion and the discoveries (14th–16th Centuries)

In the following centuries, Portugal consolidated its territory and set out to sea. The 15th century marked the beginning of the Portuguese Discoveries:

🚢 1419–1420 – Discovery of Madeira and the Azores 🚢 1488 – Bartolomeu Dias rounds the Cape of Good Hope 🚢 1498 – Vasco da Gama reaches India 🚢 1500 – Pedro Álvares Cabral discovers Brazil

During this period, Portugal created a vast maritime empire with colonies in Africa, the Americas, Asia, and Oceania.

• Iberian Union and the restoration (1580–1640)

In 1580, after a dynastic crisis caused by the death of King Sebastian, Portugal came under Spanish rule in what is known as the Iberian Union. For 60 years, the Spanish kings ruled Portugal until, in 1640, a revolt led by John IV restored Portuguese independence.

• The decline of the Empire and the 1755 earthquake

The 18th century was marked by the Lisbon earthquake of 1755, one of the greatest disasters of its time, which destroyed much of the capital. The Marquis of Pombal led the country’s reconstruction and modernization.

The empire began to weaken, culminating in the independence of Brazil in 1822.

• Wars, republic, and dictatorship (19th–20th Centuries)

Portugal faced internal crises and took part in World War I. In 1910, the monarchy fell and the Portuguese Republic was proclaimed.

In the 20th century, the country lived under the Estado Novo dictatorship (1933–1974), led by António de Oliveira Salazar. In 1974, the Carnation Revolution brought democracy, and the following year, the last African colonies gained independence.

• Modern Portugal (21st Century)

In 1986, Portugal joined the European Union, marking a period of growth and modernization. Today, it is a democratic country with a rich culture and a history that continues to inspire the world.

• And what about the islands?

The Autonomous Regions of Madeira and the Azores play a fundamental role in Portuguese identity. Discovered in the 15th century, they have been part of Portugal ever since and have their own regional governments.

Madeira is known for its wine and stunning landscapes, while the Azores are famous for their volcanic nature and unique culture.

Thank you very much for reading this far. I hope everything is well with you, and sending a big hug from your favorite writer from Madeira. Long live freedom!

@ cb4352cd:a16422d7

The Beyond Banking Conference was truly legendary. This groundbreaking event brought together over 200,000 participants from across the globe and set a new Guinness World Record. From the opening moments, it was clear this was more than just another blockchain event — it was a celebration of the future of finance.

💡 Global Impact and Diversity
The conference was streamed in eight languages, underscoring its universal appeal. Top speakers shared insights on how decentralized finance, AI, and emerging technologies are reshaping the financial landscape.

🎤 Inspiring Voices and Thought-Provoking Discussions
From deep dives into the future of DeFi to conversations about Web3 adoption, attendees gained valuable insights and a renewed sense of optimism. The energy and enthusiasm of the speakers sparked engaging discussions and set the tone for the industry’s next chapter.

🎁 Exciting Giveaways and the Ferrari Raffle
Adding to the excitement were thrilling giveaways, including raffle tickets for the Super Prize — a Ferrari. The grand raffle will take place on June 14th, promising participants a shot at winning this iconic supercar and capping off an unforgettable experience.

🏆 A Guinness World Record and a New Chapter in Web3
The event’s standout moment was the official announcement of a new Guinness World Record. This milestone will be formally recognized on June 14th, further solidifying the event’s place in Web3 history.

🙏 A Heartfelt Thank You
A sincere thank you goes out to all participants, speakers, the charismatic host, and the hardworking team behind the scenes. None of this would have been possible without the shared enthusiasm and unwavering support of the community.

https://t.me/deobank_conference_bot

The Beyond Banking Conference wasn’t just an event — it was a powerful testament to the innovative spirit and determination of the Web3 community. 🚀

@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.

---

Pregled sadržaja

1. Šta je Bitcoin?
2. Šta Bitcoin može da učini za vas?
3. Zašto ljudi kupuju Bitcoin?
4. Da li je vaš novac siguran u dolarima, kućama, akcijama ili zlatu?
5. Šta je bolje za štednju od dolara, kuća i akcija?
6. Po čemu se Bitcoin razlikuje od ostalih valuta?
7. kako Bitcoin spašava svet?
8. Kako mogu da saznam više o Bitcoin-u?

---

Bitcoin čini da štednja novca bude kul – i praktična – ponovo. Ovaj članak objašnjava kako i zašto.

Šta je Bitcoin?

Bitcoin se naziva digitalno zlato, mašina za istinu, blockchain, peer to peer mreža čvorova, energetski ponor i još mnogo toga. Bitcoin je, u stvari, sve ovo. Međutim, ova objašnjenja su često toliko tehnička i suvoparna, da bi većina ljudi radije gledala kako trava raste. Što je najvažnije, ova objašnjenja ne pokazuju kako Bitcoin ima bilo kakve koristi za vas.

iPod nije postao kulturološka senzacija jer ga je Apple nazvao „prenosnim digitalnim medijskim uređajem“. Postao je senzacija jer su ga zvali “1,000 pesama u vašem džepu.”

Ne zanima vas šta je Bitcoin. Vas zanima šta on može da učini za vas.

Baš kao i Internet, vaš auto, vaš telefon, kao i mnogi drugi uređaji i sistemi koje svakodnevno koristite, vi ne treba da znate šta je Bitcoin ili kako to funkcioniše da biste razumeli šta on može da učini za vas.

Šta Bitcoin može da učini za vas?

Bitcoin može da sačuva vaš teško zarađeni novac.

Bitcoin je stekao veliku pažnju u 2017. i 2018. godini zbog svoje spekulativne upotrebe. Mnogi ljudi su ga kupili nadajući se da će se obogatiti. Cena je naglo porasla, a zatim se srušila. Ovo nije bio prvi put da je Bitcoin uradio to. Međutim, niko nikada nije izgubio novac držeći bitcoin duže od 3,5 godine – ćak i ako je kupio na apsolutnim vrhovima.

Zašto Bitcoin konstantno raste? Ljudi počinju da shvataju koliko je Bitcoin moćan, kao način uštede novca u svetu u kojem je ’novac’ poput dolara, eura i drugih nacionalnih valuta dizajniran da gubi vrednost.

Ovo čini Bitcoin odličnom opcijom za štednju novca na nekoliko godina ili više. Bitcoin je bolji od štednje novca u dolarima, akcijama, nekretninama, pa čak i u zlatu.

Zato pokušajte da zaboravite na trenutak na razumevanje blockchaina, digitalne valute, kriptografije, seed fraza, novčanika, rudarstva i svih ostalih nerazumljivih termina. Za sada, razgovarajmo o tome zašto ljudi kupuju Bitcoin: razlog je prostiji nego što vi mislite.

Zašto ljudi kupuju Bitcoin?

Naravno, svako ima svoj razlog za kupovinu Bitcoin-a. Jedan od razloga, koji verovatno često čujete, je taj što mu vrednost raste. Ljudi žele da se obogate. Uskoče kao spekulanti, krenu u vožnju i najverovatnije ih prodaju ubrzo nakon kupovine.

Međutim, čak i kada cena krene naglo prema gore i strmoglavo padne nazad, mnogi ljudi ostanu i nakon tog pada. Otkud mi to znamo? Broj aktivnih novčanika dnevno, koji je otprilike sličan broju korisnika Bitcoin-a, nastavlja da raste. Takođe, nakon svakog balona u istoriji Bitcoin-a, cena se nikada ne vraća na svoju cenu pre balona. Uvek ostane malo višlja. Bitcoin se penje, a svaka masovna spekulativna serija dovodi sve više i više ljudi.

Broj aktivnih Bitcoin novčanika neprekidno raste

„Aktivna adresa“ znači da je neko tog dana poslao Bitcoin transakciju. Donji grafikon je na logaritamskoj skali.

Izvor: Glassnode

Cena Bitcoina se neprestano penje

Kroz istoriju Bitcoin-a možemo videti divlje kolebanje cena, ali nakon svakog balona, cena se ostaje višlja nego pre. Ovo je cena Bitcoin-a na logaritamskoj skali.

Izvor: Glassnode

To pokazuje da se ljudi zadržavaju: potražnja za Bitcoin-om se povećava. Da je svaki masovni rast cena bio samo balon koji su iscenirali prevaranti koji žele brzo da se obogate, cena bi se vratila na nivo pre balona. To se dogodilo sa lalama, ali ne i sa Bitcoin-om.

I zašto se onda cena Bitcoin-a stalno povećava? Sve veći broj ljudi čuva Bitcoin dugoročno – oni razumeju šta Bitcoin može učiniti za njihovu štednju.

Zašto ljudi štede svoj novac u Bitcoin-u umesto na štednim računima, kućama, deonicama ili zlatu? Hajde da pogledajmo sve te metode štednje, i zatim da ih uporedimo sa Bitcoin-om.

Da li je vaš novac siguran u dolarima, kućama, akcijama ili zlatu?

Tokom mnogo godina, to su bile pristojne opcije za štednju. Međutim, sistem koji podržava vrednost svega ovoga je u krizi.

Dolari, Euri, Dinari

Dolari i sve ostale „tradicionalne“ valute koje proizvode vlade, stvorene su da izgube vrednost kroz inflaciju. Banke i tradicionalni monetarni sistem uzrokuju inflaciju stalnim stvaranjem i distribucijom novog novca. Kada Američke Federalne Rezerve objave ciljanu stopu od 2% inflacije, to znači da žele da vaš novac svake godine izgubi 2% od svoje vrednosti. Čak i sa inflacijom od samo 2%, vaša štednja u dolarima izgubiće polovinu vrednosti tokom 40-godišnjeg radnog veka.

Izveštena inflacija se danas opasno povečava, uprkos rastućem „buretu sa barutom“ koji bi mogao da explodira i dovede do masivne hiperinflacije. Što je više valute u opticaju, to je više baruta u buretu.

Naše vlade su ekonomiju napunile valutama da bankarski sistem ne bi propao nakon finansijske krize koja se dogodila 2008. godine. Od tada je većina glavnih centralnih banaka postavila vrlo niske kamatne stope, što pojedincima i korporacijama omogućava dobijanje jeftinijih kredita. To znači da mnogi pojedinci i korporacije podižu ogromne kredite i koriste ih za kupovinu druge imovine poput deonica, umetničkih dela i nekretnina. Sve ovo pozajmljivanje znači da stvaramo tone novog novca i stavljamo ga u opticaj.

Računi za podsticaje (stimulus bills) COVID-19 za 2020. godinu unose trilione u sistem. Ovoliko stvaranje valuta na kraju dovodi do inflacije – velikog gubitka u vrednosti valute.

Količina američkog dolara u opticaju gotovo se udvostručila od marta 2020. godine. Izvor

Računi za podsticaje su bez presedana, toliko da je neko izmislio meme da opiše ovu situaciju.

Resurs koji vlade mogu da naprave u većem broju da bi platile svoje račune? Ne zvuči kao dobro mesto za štednju novca.

Kuće

Kuće su tokom prošlog veka bile pristojan način štednje novca. Međutim, pad cena nekretnina 2007. godine doveo je do toga da su mnogi vlasnici kuća izgubili svu ušteđevinu.

Danas su kuće gotovo nepristupačne za prosečnog čoveka. Jedan od načina da se ovo izmeri je koliko godišnjih zarada treba prosečnom čoveku da zaradi ekvivalent vrednosti prosečne kuće. Prema CityLab-u, publikaciji Bloomberg-a koja pokriva gradove, porodica može da priuštiti određenu kuću ako košta manje od 2,6 godišnjih prihoda domaćinstva te porodice.

Međutim, prema RZS (Republički zavod za statistiku) prosečan prihod porodičnog domaćinstva u Srbiji iznosi oko 570 EUR mesečno ili otprilike 7.000 EUR godišnje. Nažalost, samo najjeftinija područja van gradova imaju srednje cene kuća od oko 2,6 prosečnih godišnjih prihoda domaćinstva. U većim gradovima poput Beograda i Novog Sada srednja cena kuće je veća od 10 prosečnih godišnjih prihoda jednog domaćinstva.

Ako nekako možete sebi da priuštite kuću, ona bi mogla biti pristojna zaliha vrednosti. Dokle god ne doživimo još jedan krah i izvršitelji zaplene ovu imovinu mnogim vlasnicima kuća.

Akcije

Berza je u prošlosti takođe dobro poslovala. Međutim, sporo i stabilno povećanje tržišta događa se u dosadnom, predvidljivom svetu. Svakog dana vidimo sve manje toga. Nakon ubrzanja korona virusa, videli smo smo najbrži pad američke berze u istoriji od 25% – brži od Velike depresije.

Neki se odlučuju za ulaganje u obveznice i drugu finansijsku imovinu, ali ’prinosi’ za tu imovinu – procenat kamate zarađene na imovinu iz godine u godinu – stalno opada. Sve veći broj odredjenih imovina ima čak i negativne prinose, što znači da posedovanje te imovine košta! Ovo je veliki problem za sve koji se oslanjaju na penziju. Plus, s obzirom na to da su akcije denominovane u tradicionalnim valutama poput dolara i evra, inflacija pojede prinos koji investitor dobije.

Najgore od svega je to što ti isti ekonomski krahovi koji uzrokuju masovna otpuštanja i teško tržište rada takođe znače i nagli pad cena akcija. Čuvanje ušteđevine u akcijama može značiti i gubitak štednje i gubitak posla zbog recesije. Teška vremena mogu da vas prisile da svoje akcije prodate po vrlo malim cenama samo da biste platili svoje račune.

A to nije baš siguran način štednje novca.

Zlato

Vrednost zlata neprekidno se povećavala tokom 5000 godina, obično padajući onda kada berza obećava jače prinose.

Cena zlata

Evidencija vrednosti zlata je solidna. Međutim, zlato nosi i druge rizike. Većina ljudi poseduje zlato na papiru. Oni fizički ne poseduju zlato, već ga njihova banka čuva za njih. Zbog toga je zlato veoma podložno konfiskaciji od strane vlade.

Zašto bi vlada konfiskovala nečije zlato, a kamoli u demokratskoj zemlji u „slobodnom svetu“? Ali to se dešavalo i ranije. 1933. godine Izvršnom Naredbom 6102, predsednik Roosevelt naredio je svim Amerikancima da prodaju svoje zlato vladi u zamenu za papirne dolare. Vlada je iskoristila pretnju zatvorom za prikupljanje zlata u fizičkom obliku. Znali su da se zlato više poštuje kao zaliha vrednosti širom sveta od papirnih dolara.

Ako posedujete svoje zlato na nekoj od aplikacija za trgovanje akcijama, možete se kladiti da će vam ga država oduzeti ako joj zatreba. Čak i ako posedujete fizičko zlato, onda ga izlažete mogućnosti krađe – od strane kriminalca ili vaše vlade.

Vaša uštedjevina nije bezbedna.

Rast cena svih gore navedenih sredstava zavisi od našeg trenutnog političkog i ekonomskog sistema koji se nastavlja kao i tokom proteklih 100 godina. Međutim, danas vidimo ogromne pukotine u ovom sistemu.

Sistem ne funkcioniše dobro za većinu ljudi.

Od 1971. plate većine američkih radnika nisu rasle. S druge strane, bogatstvo koje imaju najbogatiji u društvu nalazi se na nivoima koji nisu viđeni više od 80 godina. U međuvremenu, ljudi sve manje i manje veruju institucijama poput banaka i vlada.

EPI Plate VS Produktivnost

CBPP Nejednakost Bogatstva Tokom Vremena

Edelman Studija Poverenja

Širom sveta možemo videti dokaze o slamanju sistema kroz politički ekstremizam: izbor Trampa i drugih ekstremističkih desničarskih kandidata, Bregzit, pokret Occupy, popularizacija koncepta univerzalnog osnovnog dohotka, povratak pojma „socijalizam“ nazad u modu. Ljudi na svim delovima političkog i društvenog spektra osećaju problematična vremena i posežu za sve radikalnijim rešenjima.

Šta je bolje za štednju od dolara, kuća i akcija?

Pa kako ljudi mogu da štede novac u ovim teškim vremenima? Ili ne koriste tradicionalne valute, ili kupuju sredstva koja će zadržati vrednost u teškim vremenima.

Bitcoin ima najviše potencijala da zadrži vrednost kroz politička i ekonomska previranja od bilo koje druge imovine. Na tom putu će biti rupa na kojima će se rušiti ili pumpati, međutim, njegova svojstva čine ga takvim da će verovatno preživeti previranja kada druga imovina ne bude to mogla.

Šta Bitcoin čini drugačijim?

Bitcoini su retki.

Proces ‘rudarenja’ bitcoin-a, proizvodnju bitcoin-a čini veoma skupom, a Bitcoin protokol ograničava ukupan broj bitcoin-a na 21 milion novčića. To čini Bitcoin imunim na nagle poraste ponude. Ovo se veoma razlikuje od tradicionalnih valuta, koje vlade mogu da štampaju sve više kad god one to požele. Zapamtite, povećanje ponude vrši veliki pritisak na vrednost valute.

Bitcoini nemaju drugu ugovornu stranu.

Bitcoin se takođe razlikuje od imovine kao što su obveznice, akcije i kuće, jer mu nedostaje druga ugovorna strana. Druge ugovorne strane su drugi subjekti uključeni u vrednost sredstva, koji to sredstvo mogu obezvrediti ili vam ga uzeti. Ako imate hipoteku na svojoj kući, banka je druga ugovorna strana. Kada sledeći put dođe do velikog finansijskog kraha, banka vam može oduzeti kuću. Kompanije su kvazi-ugovorne strane akcijama i obveznicama, jer mogu da počnu da donose loše odluke koje utiču na njihovu cenu akcija ili na „neizvršenje“ duga (da ga ne vraćaju vama ili drugim poveriocima). Bitcoin nema ovih problema.

Bitcoin je pristupačan.

Svako sa 5 eura i mobilnim telefonom može da kupi i poseduje mali deo bitcoin-a. Važno je da znate da ne morate da kupite ceo bitcoin. Bitcoin-i su deljivi do 100-milionite jedinice, tako da možete da kupite Bitcoin u vrednosti od samo nekoliko eura. Neuporedivo lakše nego kupovina kuće, zlata ili akcija!

Bitcoin se ne može konfiskovati.

Banke drže većinu vaših eura, zlata i akcija za vas. Većina ljudi u razvijenom svetu veruje bankama, jer većina ljudi koji žive u današnje vreme nikada nije doživela konfiskaciju imovine ili ’šišanje’ od strane banaka ili vlada. Nažalost, postoji presedan za konfiskaciju imovine čak i u demokratskim zemljama sa snažnom vladavinom prava.

Kada vlada konfiskuje imovinu, ona obično ubedi javnost da će je menjati za imovinu jednake vrednosti. U SAD-u 1930-ih, vlada je davala dolare vlasnicima zlata. Vlada je znala da uvek može da odštampa još više dolara, ali da ne može da napravi više zlata. Na Kipru 2012. godine, jedna propala banka je svojim klijentima dala deonice banke da pokrije dolare klijenata koje je banka trebala da ima. I dolari i deonice su strmoglavo opali u odnosu na imovinu koja je uzeta od ovih ljudi.

Doći do bitcoin-a koji ljudi poseduju, biće mnogo teže jer se bitcoin-i mogu čuvati u novčaniku koji ne poseduje neka treća strana, a vi možete čak i da zapamtite privatne ključeve do vašeg bitcoin-a u glavi.

Bitcoin je za štednju.

Bitcoin se polako pokazuje kao najbolja opcija za dugoročnu štednju novca, posebno s obzirom na današnju ekonomsku klimu. Posedovanje čak i malog dela, je polisa osiguranja koja se isplati ako svet i dalje nastavi da ludi. Cena Bitcoin-a u dolarima može divlje da varira u roku od godinu ili dve, ali tokom 3+ godine skoro svi vide slične ili više cene od trenutka kada su ga kupili. U stvari, doslovno niko nije izgubio novac čuvajući Bitcoin duže od 3,5 godine – čak i ako je kupio BTC na apsolutnim vrhovima tržišta.

Imajte na umu da nakon ove tačke ti ljudi više nikada nisu videli rizik od gubitka. Cena se nikada nije smanjila niže od najviše cene u prethodnom ciklusu.

Po čemu se Bitcoin razlikuje od ostalih valuta?

Bitcoin funkcioniše tako dobro kao način štednje zbog svog neobičnog dizajna, koji ga čini drugačijim od bilo kog drugog oblika novca koji je postojao pre njega. Bitcoin je digitalna valuta, prvi i verovatno jedini primer valute koja ima ograničenu ponudu dok radi na otvorenom, decentralizovanom sistemu. Vlade strogo kontrolišu valute koje danas koristimo, poput dolara i eura, i proizvode ih za finansiranje ratova i dugova. Korisnici Bitcoin-a – poput vas – kontrolišu Bitcoin protokol.

Evo šta Bitcoin razlikuje od dolara, eura i drugih valuta:

Bitcoin je otvoren sistem.

Svako može da odluči da se pridruži Bitcoin mreži i primeni pravila softverskog protokola, što je dovelo do vrlo decentralizovanog sistema u kojem nijedan pojedinac ili entitet ne može da blokira transakciju, zamrzne sredstva ili da ukrade od druge osobe.Današnji savremeni bankarski sistem se uveliko razlikuje. Nekoliko banaka je dobilo poverenje da gotovo sve valute, akcije i druge vredne predmete čuvaju na “sigurnom” za svoje klijente. Da biste postali banka, potrebni su vam milioni dolara i neverovatne količine političkog uticaja. Da biste pokrenuli Bitcoin čvor i postali „svoja banka“, potrebno vam je nekoliko stotina dolara i jedno slobodno popodne.

Tako izgleda Bitcoin čvor – Node MyNode čvor vam omogućava da postanete svoja banka za samo nekoliko minuta.

Bitcoin ima ograničenu ponudu.

Softverski protokol otvorenog koda koji upravlja Bitcoin sistemom ograničava broj novih bitcoin-a koji se mogu stvoriti tokom vremena, sa ograničenjem od ukupno 21.000.000 bitcoin-a. S druge strane, valute koje danas koristimo imaju neograničenu ponudu. Istorija i sadašnje odluke centralnih banaka govore nam da će vlade uvek štampati sve više i više valuta, sve dok valuta ne bude bezvredna. Sve ovo štampanje uzrokuje inflaciju, što pravi štetu običnim radnim ljudima i štedišama.

Tradicionalne valute su dizajnirane tako da opadaju vremenom. Svaki put kada centralna banka kaže da cilja određenu stopu inflacije, oni ustvari kažu da žele da vaš novac svake godine izgubi određeni procenat svoje vrednosti.

Bitcoin-ova ograničena ponuda znači da je on tako dizajniran da raste vremenom kako se potražnja za njim povećava.

Bitcoin putuje oko sveta za nekoliko minuta.

Svako može da pošalje bitcoin-e za nekoliko minuta širom sveta, bez obzira na granice, banke i vlade. Potrebno je manje od minuta da se transakcija pojavi na novčaniku primaoca i oko 60 minuta da se transakcija u potpunosti „obračuna“, tako da primaoc može da bude siguran da su primljeni bitcoin-i sada njegovi (6 konfirmacija bloka). Slanje drugih valuta širom sveta traje danima ili čak mesecima ako se šalju milionski iznosi, a podrazumeva i visoke naknade.

Neke vlade i novinari tvrde da ova sloboda putovanja koju pruža Bitcoin pomaže kriminalcima i teroristima. Međutim, transakciju Bitcoin-a je lakše pratiti nego većinu transakcija u dolarima ili eurima.

Bitcoin se može čuvati na “USB-u”.

Dizajn Bitcoin-a je takav da vam treba samo da čuvate privatni ključ do svojih ‘bitcoin’ adresa (poput lozinke do bankovnih računa) da biste pristupili svojim bitcoin-ima odakle god poželite. Ovaj privatni ključ možete da sačuvate na disku ili na papiru u obliku 12 ili 24 reči na engleskom jeziku. Kao rezultat toga, možete da držite Bitcoin-e vredne milione dolara u svojoj šaci.

Sve ostale valute danas možete ili da strpate u svoj dušek ili da ih poverite banci na čuvanje. Za većinu ljudi koji žive u razvijenom svetu, i koji ne osporavaju autoritet i poverenje u banku, ovo deluje sasvim dobro. Međutim, oni kojima je potrebno da pobegnu od ugnjetavačke vlade ili koji naljute pogrešne ljude, ne mogu verovati bankama. Za njih je sposobnost da nose svoju ušteđevinu bez potrebe za ogromnim koferom neprocenjiva. Čak i ako ne živite na mestu poput ovog, cena Bitcoin-a se i dalje povećava kada ih neko kome oni trebaju kupi.

Kako Bitcoin spašava svet?

Bitcoin, kao ultimativni način štednje, je cakum pakum, ali da li on pomaže u poboljšanju sveta u celini?

Kao što ćete početi da shvatate, ulazeći sve dublje i u druge sadržaje na ovoj stranici, mnogi temeljni delovi našeg današnjeg monetarnog sistema i ekonomije su duboko slomljeni. Međutim, oni koji upravljaju imaju korist od ovakvih sistema, pa se on verovatno neće promeniti bez revolucije ili mirnog svrgavanja od strane naroda. Bitcoin predstavlja novi sistem, sa nekoliko glavnih prednosti:

• Bitcoin popravlja novac, koji je milenijumima služio kao važan alat za rast i poboljšanje društva.
• Bitcoin vraća zdrav razum pozajmljivanju, uklanjanjem apsurdnih situacija poput negativnih kamatnih stopa (gde zajmitelj plaća da bi se zadužio).
• Bitcoin pokreće ulaganja u obnovljive izvore energije i poboljšava energetsku efikasnost u mreži, služeći kao „krajnji kupac“ za sve vrste energije.

Kako mogu da saznam više o Bitcoin-u?

Ovaj članak vam je dao osnovno razumevanje zašto biste trebali razmišljati o Bitcoin-u. Ako želite da saznate više, preporučujem ove resurse:

• Film "Bitcoin: Kraj Novca Kakav Poznajemo"
• Još uvek je rano za Bitcoin
• Zasto baš Bitcoin?
• Šta je to Bitcoin?
• The Bitcoin Whitepaper ← objavljen 2008. godine, ovo je izložio dizajn za Bitcoin.