@ 09d5c0a0:2ebbe260

*For some people, Bitcoin is about saving for retirement. For others, it’s about eating tomorrow. __I first shared the idea of a “Bitcoin Privilege Curve” at the Plan B Forum 2025 in El Salvador. And it still guides how I see Bitcoin today—especially here in Uganda. __Bitcoin shows up differently depending on where you are in life. What it gives you depends on what you need most. __In Uganda, Bitcoin shows up as survival and uphill battle towards financial empowerment to the largely financially illiterate community. __Sometimes it’s food. Sometimes it’s school fees. Or even a skill. We receive Bitcoin donations that allow us to feed orphans, support teachers, and build small projects that teach these children how to farm, save, and think differently about money, __They’re learning how to live better. A child who knows how to grow food and save in sats is building wealth from the ground up. That’s what the lower end of the curve looks like: *Cheap transactions: Many of the people we work with don’t have bank accounts and the cost of accessing, setting up and maintaining a bank account is just unnecessary. Bitcoin lets them send and receive money within themselves almost at no fees, a better option than the exploitative fee structure by mobile money service providers and most banks. Cross-border remittances: We’ve seen Bitcoin move across borders in minutes with no forms, no gatekeepers. I can instantly and cheaply pay for a friend's grocery shopping in Kenya by sending Kenyan shillings into a Grocery Vendor's Mpesa straight from my Bitcoin wallet via Tando. Wealth multiplication: Even saving one sat creates a shift. It teaches patience. It grows over time. Bitcoin is a wealth multiplier for most underprivileged or privileged people, we taught Bitcoin and its principles to former students at Makerere University that have now entered the job market, from testimonials Bitcoin is helping them achieve their savings goals faster than their colleagues.

__Now go higher up the curve, and Bitcoin looks different. ****Wealth preservation: For someone with savings, Bitcoin protects that value over time, especially in regions with unstable currencies, the Argentina, Zimbabwe and Venezuala currency devaluation scandals always remind me that, you can do everything right and still end up losing all your hard earned value to mediocre goverment policies. Inflation hedge: Where governments keep printing money, Bitcoin holds its ground. It offers a stable alternative. The fallacy that inflation is a necessary evil no longer holds water, having a currency with a 21 Million coin hard cap enforceable by millions of Bitcoin network participants across the world guarantees no governement intervention. Censorship resistance: No one can freeze, reject or interfere with your Bitcoin and respective transactions. It's easy to assume because its a public ledger, you sacrifice privacy hence transaction integrity but this is far from the case, Bitcoin gives people freedom to transact without interference privately. Choice: Bitcoin doesn’t lock you into one system. You can move in and out of, save, or spend it however you see fit as long as your transactions obey the globally agreed upon, never changing network rules since 2009.

__So no, it’s not fair to compare someone struggling for a meal to someone saving for their retirement. But that’s the point. Bitcoin doesn’t need to be the same thing for everyone.

__With Gorilla Sats , our tourism project, we’re linking both ends of the curve. Bitcoiners from around the world visit our communities and spend their Bitcoin with local vendors. It’s not charity—it’s a circular economy. The people higher up the curve get meaningful experiences. Locals get income, exposure, and proof that their sats are valuable.

__In traditional finance, someone without a Visa machine can’t do business with someone carrying a card. The tourist who can't easily use mobile money and is hesistant because of exchange rates will spend comparably less but with Bitcoin, all you need is a phone even a basic button one because with now Machankura 8333, Bitcoin moves via USSD.

__Bitcoin offers privilege—but not the kind that excludes. It offers access, ownership, and freedom based on where you are in life. So no, it’s not fair to compare someone struggling for a meal with someone protecting their portfolio. But that’s the point.

__And if we build for everyone on the curve, we all move forward.

__If you’re building for Bitcoin adoption, think about the full curve. What’s it solving where you live? And who still needs a way in?

@ c9badfea:610f861a

1. Install Organic Maps
2. Launch the app and download the World Map first
3. Tap the ☰ at the bottom, then select Download Maps, and tap the + icon
4. Download maps by tapping ⤓ next to your desired region
5. Return to the main screen and tap 🔍 to search for your destination
6. Enjoy navigating offline

ℹ️ Note that Organic Maps does not provide live traffic updates

@ a3c6f928:d45494fb

Financial freedom is a powerful concept—one that goes beyond simply having money in the bank. It is the ability to live the life you desire, free from the constraints of financial worry. Achieving financial freedom requires planning, discipline, and a clear understanding of your financial goals.

What Is Financial Freedom?

Financial freedom means having enough income, savings, and investments to support the lifestyle you want for yourself and your family. It is about being in control of your finances, instead of your finances controlling you. When you are financially free, you have choices—you can travel, start a business, or retire comfortably without constant stress about money.

Steps to Achieving Financial Freedom

1. Set Clear Financial Goals: Understand what financial freedom means to you and set measurable goals to achieve it.

2. Create a Budget and Stick to It: Track your income and expenses to identify areas where you can save more.

3. Invest Wisely: Grow your wealth by investing in assets like stocks, real estate, or mutual funds.

4. Build an Emergency Fund: Save at least 3-6 months’ worth of living expenses to protect against unexpected events.

5. Eliminate Debt: High-interest debt can be a major barrier to financial freedom. Prioritize paying it off.

Why Financial Freedom Matters

Financial freedom gives you the power to make decisions without being bound by financial constraints. It allows for greater life flexibility, reduces stress, and opens up opportunities that would otherwise be unreachable. Most importantly, it provides peace of mind and the ability to focus on what truly matters.

Start Your Journey Today

The path to financial freedom is not a quick fix—it is a lifelong commitment to smart financial choices. But with perseverance and planning, it is achievable. Begin today, and take control of your financial future.

---

“Financial freedom is available to those who learn about it and work for it.” — Robert Kiyosaki

Plan wisely. Invest smartly. Live freely.

@ 6be5cc06:5259daf0

A posição do libertário que rejeita o cristianismo padece de sérias incoerências lógicas, históricas e filosóficas. Ao renegar as bases espirituais e culturais que tornaram possível o próprio ideal libertário, tal posição demonstra ser, ao mesmo tempo, autofágica e irracional. É o caso de alguém que se gloria dos frutos de uma árvore que corta pela raiz.

---

I. Fundamento histórico: a civilização da liberdade é cristã

Não foi o secularismo moderno, nem o paganismo antigo, que ergueram as instituições que protegem a dignidade da pessoa humana e os limites ao poder. Desde os primeiros séculos, a Igreja resistiu ao culto estatal romano, afirmando a soberania de Deus sobre os Césares — "Mais importa obedecer a Deus que aos homens" (Atos 5,29).

Foi o cristianismo que:

• Fundou universidades livres, onde o saber era buscado sob o primado da verdade;

• Defendeu a lei natural como fundamento do direito — uma doutrina que protege o indivíduo contra tiranias;

• Resgatou e aprofundou o conceito de pessoa, dotada de razão e livre-arbítrio, imagem de Deus, e, portanto, inalienavelmente digna e responsável.

Em momentos-chave da história, como nas disputas entre papado e império, nas resistências contra absolutismos, e na fundação do direito internacional por Francisco de Vitoria e a Escola de Salamanca, foi o cristianismo quem freou o poder estatal em nome de princípios superiores. A tradição cristã foi frequentemente o principal obstáculo à tirania, não seu aliado.

Negar isso é amputar a própria genealogia da liberdade ocidental.

Uma das chaves do cristianismo para a construção dessa civilização da liberdade foi a exaltação do individualismo. Ao afirmar que o ser humano é feito à imagem de Deus e que sua salvação é uma escolha pessoal, o cristianismo colocou o indivíduo no centro da moralidade e da liberdade. Diferente dos gregos, cuja ética era voltada para a polis e a cidade-estado, o cristianismo reafirma a suprema importância do indivíduo, com sua capacidade de escolha moral, responsabilidade pessoal e dignidade intrínseca. Esse princípio, mais do que qualquer outra religião, foi o alicerce do desenvolvimento da liberdade individual e da autonomia, valores que sustentam a civilização ocidental.

A ética grega, na melhor das hipóteses, descreve a ordem natural — mas não consegue justificar por que essa ordem deveria obrigar a vontade humana. Um Logos impessoal não tem autoridade moral. Uma ordem cósmica sem um Legislador é apenas um dado de fato, não uma norma vinculante. A vontade pode rebelar-se contra o telos — e sem um Deus justo, que ordena a natureza à perfeição, não há razão última para não o fazer.

A cultura grega teve uma influência indiscutível sobre o desenvolvimento da civilização ocidental, mas o cristianismo não só absorveu o que havia de bom na cultura grega, como também elevou e completou esses aspectos. O cristianismo, ao afirmar que todos os homens são feitos à imagem e semelhança de Deus e têm dignidade intrínseca, levou a uma noção de igualdade moral e liberdade que transcende as limitações da pólis grega.

---

II. Falsa dicotomia: fé e liberdade não são opostas

Com frequência equiparam a religião à coerção e à obediência cega. Mas isso é um equívoco: o cristianismo não se impõe pela força, mas apela à consciência. O próprio Deus, em sua relação com a criatura racional, respeita sua liberdade. Como ensina a Escritura:

"Se alguém quiser vir após mim..." (Mt 16,24);
"Eis que estou à porta e bato. Se alguém ouvir a minha voz e abrir a porta, entrarei em sua casa e cearei com ele." (Ap 3,20);
"Assim falai, e assim procedei, como devendo ser julgados pela lei da liberdade." (Tiago 2,12).

A adesão à fé deve ser livre, voluntária e racional, pois sem liberdade não há verdadeiro mérito, nem amor genuíno. Isso é mais compatível com o princípio de não agressão do que qualquer utopia secular. Ora, o núcleo do evangelho é voluntarista: salvação pessoal, conversão interior, caridade.

Ninguém deve ser forçado, contra sua vontade, a abraçar a fé, pois o ato de fé é por sua natureza voluntário (Dignitatis Humanae; CDC, cân. 748,2)

Se algum Estado usa da força para impor o cristianismo, afirmar que o cristianismo causou as coerções é tão equivocado quanto dizer que a propriedade privada causa o comunismo; é uma inversão da realidade, pois o comunismo surge precisamente da violação da propriedade. Portanto, a fé forçada é inválida em si mesma, pois viola a natureza do ato de crer, que deve ser livre.

---

III. Fundamento moral: sem transcendência, o libertarianismo flutua no vácuo

O libertário anticristão busca defender princípios objetivos — como a inviolabilidade do indivíduo e a ilegitimidade da agressão — sem um fundamento transcendente que lhes dê validade universal. Por que a agressão é errada? Por que alguém tem direito à vida, à liberdade, à propriedade? Sem uma explicação transcendental, as respostas para tais perguntas se tornam apenas opiniões ou convenções, não obrigações morais vinculantes. Se a moralidade é puramente humana, então os direitos podem ser modificados ou ignorados conforme a vontade da sociedade. O conceito de direitos naturais, tão caro ao libertarianismo, precisa de um solo metafísico que justifique sua universalidade e imutabilidade. Caso contrário, eles podem ser tratados apenas como acordos utilitários temporários ou preferências culturais, sem qualquer obrigatoriedade para todos os seres humanos em todas as circunstâncias.

Pensadores libertários seculares, como Ayn Rand e Murray Rothbard, tentaram ancorar os direitos naturais na razão humana ou na natureza do homem. Rand baseia sua ética no egoísmo racional, enquanto Rothbard apela à lei natural. Embora essas abordagens busquem objetividade, elas carecem de uma resposta definitiva para por que a razão ou a natureza humana obrigam moralmente todos os indivíduos. Sem um fundamento transcendente, suas concepções permanecem vulneráveis a interpretações subjetivas ou a cálculos utilitários.

Aqui, o cristianismo oferece uma explicação sólida e transcendental que fundamenta os direitos naturais. A visão cristã de que o ser humano foi criado à imagem e semelhança de Deus confere à pessoa uma dignidade intrínseca, imutável e universal. Essa dignidade não depende de fatores externos, como consenso social ou poder político, mas é uma característica inerente ao ser humano pela sua criação divina. A partir dessa perspectiva teológica, torna-se possível afirmar com base sólida que os direitos naturais são dados por Deus e, portanto, são universais e vinculantes.

O cristianismo também é a base de um sistema moral que distingue claramente justiça de legalidade. O Estado pode criar leis, mas isso não significa que essas leis sejam justas. A justiça, sob a ótica cristã, é uma expressão da ordem moral objetiva, algo que transcende as leis humanas e é definido pela vontade divina. Por isso, o libertarianismo cristão vê a agressão como uma violação de uma ordem moral objetiva, e não apenas uma violação de uma convenção social ou de um acordo utilitário.

Se a moralidade e os direitos naturais não forem fundamentados em um Logos criador e legislador, o que acontece é que o conceito de direito natural degenera para algo mais frágil, como um simples acordo utilitário. Nesse cenário, os direitos do indivíduo se tornam algo acordado entre os membros de uma sociedade, em vez de princípios imutáveis e universais. Os direitos podem ser negociados, alterados ou ignorados conforme o interesse do momento.

---

IV. Fundamento científico: a racionalidade moderna é filha da fé cristã

A ciência moderna só foi possível no contexto cultural cristão. Nenhuma outra civilização — nem a grega, nem a islâmica, nem a chinesa — produziu o método científico como o Ocidente cristão o fez.

Isso se deve a quatro premissas teológicas:

1. Criação racional: O mundo é ordenado por um Deus racional.

2. Distinção entre Criador e criatura: A natureza não é divina e pode ser estudada sem sacrilégio.

3. Valor do trabalho e da observação empírica, herdado do monaquismo.

4. Autonomia institucional, presente nas universidades medievais.

A doutrina cristã da Criação ex nihilo ensina que o mundo foi criado por um Deus racional, sábio e pessoal. Portanto, o cosmos é ordenado, possui leis, e pode ser compreendido pela razão humana — que é imagem do Criador. Isso contrasta fortemente com as cosmovisões panteístas ou mitológicas, onde o mundo é cíclico, arbitrário ou habitado por forças caprichosas.

Sem essa fé no Logos criador, não há razão para crer que a natureza tenha uma ordem inteligível universal e constante, que pode ser descoberta por observação e dedução. A ciência moderna só é possível porque, antes de investigar a natureza, pressupôs-se que ela era investigável — e isso foi uma herança direta do pensamento cristão.

Homens como Bacon, Newton, Kepler e Galileu viam na ciência um modo de glorificar o Criador. O ateísmo cientificista é, portanto, parasitário da teologia cristã, pois toma seus frutos e rejeita suas raízes. A ciência moderna nasceu como filha legítima da fé cristã. E os que hoje a usam contra sua mãe, ou são ingratos, ou ignorantes.

---

V. O cristianismo como barreira à revolução cultural

O cristianismo é a barreira mais sólida contra a infiltração revolucionária. A chamada "marcha gramsciana", que visa corroer os fundamentos morais da sociedade para subjugar o indivíduo ao coletivo, encontra sua resistência mais firme nos princípios cristãos. A fé cristã, ao proclamar a existência de uma verdade objetiva, de uma lei moral imutável e de uma dignidade humana que transcende o Estado e o consenso social, imuniza a civilização contra o relativismo e o igualitarismo nivelador do marxismo cultural.

Além disso, o cristianismo é uma tradição milenar, profundamente enraizada no cotidiano das pessoas, não sendo uma novidade a ser imposta ou implementada, mas uma força presente há séculos, que permeia a estrutura social, moral e cultural da sociedade. Sua presença constante nas comunidades, desde os tempos mais antigos, oferece uma resistência robusta contra qualquer tentativa de subverter a ordem natural e moral estabelecida.

Não por acaso, tanto Karl Marx quanto Antonio Gramsci identificaram no cristianismo o principal obstáculo à realização de seus projetos revolucionários. Marx chamou a religião de "ópio do povo" porque sabia que uma alma ancorada em Deus não se submete facilmente ao poder terreno; Gramsci, mais sutil, propôs a destruição da cultura cristã como pré-condição para o triunfo do socialismo. Sem essa âncora transcendente, a sociedade torna-se presa fácil das engenharias sociais que pretendem redefinir arbitrariamente o homem, a família e a liberdade.

---

Conclusão

O libertário anticristão, consciente ou não, nega as fundações mesmas do edifício que habita. Ao rejeitar o cristianismo, cava o abismo sob os próprios pés, privando o ideal libertário de sua base moral, cultural e racional. Ele defende a ética voluntária, a liberdade individual e a ordem espontânea, mas sem o solo metafísico e histórico que torna esses princípios inteligíveis e possíveis. É um erro tentar preservar a liberdade em termos absolutos sem reconhecer as raízes cristãs que a sustentam, pois o cristianismo é a única tradição que a legitima e a viabiliza.

Negar o cristianismo é racionalmente insustentável. A liberdade, como a conhecemos, é filha da fé cristã, que oferece a base moral e metafísica que torna a liberdade tanto desejável quanto possível. Mesmo que ateu, o libertário que ama a liberdade deveria, no mínimo, respeitar — e, idealmente, redescobrir — essas raízes cristãs. Pois sem fé, restam apenas o niilismo e o relativismo, que, eventualmente, desaguam na servidão.

Como nos ensina a tradição: Ubi fides ibi libertas — onde há fé, há liberdade.

@ eabee230:17fc7576

⚖️ຢ່າລືມສິ່ງທີ່ເຄີຍເກີດຂຶ້ນ ຮອດຊ່ວງທີ່ມີການປ່ຽນແປງລະບົບການເງິນຈາກລະບົບເງິນເກົ່າ ສູ່ລະບົບເງິນໃໝ່ມັນເຮັດໃຫ້ຄົນທີ່ລວຍກາຍເປັນຄົນທຸກໄດ້ເລີຍ ນ້ຳພັກນ້ຳແຮງທີ່ສະສົມມາດ້ວຍຄວາມເມື່ອຍແຕ່ບໍ່ສາມາດແລກເປັນເງິນລະບົບໃໝ່ໄດ້ທັງໝົດ ຖືກຈຳກັດຈຳນວນທີ່ກົດໝາຍວາງອອກມາໃຫ້ແລກ ເງິນທີ່ເຫຼືອນັ້ນປຽບຄືດັ່ງເສດເຈ້ຍ ເພາະມັນບໍ່ມີຢູ່ໃສຮັບອີກຕໍ່ໄປເພາະກົດໝາຍຈະນຳໃຊ້ສະກຸນໃໝ່ ປະຫວັດສາດເຮົາມີໃຫ້ເຫັນວ່າ ແລະ ເຄີຍຜ່ານມາແລ້ວຢ່າໃຫ້ຄົນລຸ້ນເຮົາຊຳ້ຮອຍເກົ່າ.

🕰️ຄົນທີ່ມີຄວາມຮູ້ ຫຼື ໃກ້ຊິດກັບແຫຼ່ງຂໍ້ມູນຂ່າວສານກໍຈະປ່ຽນເງິນທີ່ມີຢູ່ເປັນສິນສັບບໍ່ວ່າຈະເປັນທີ່ດິນ ແລະ ທອງຄຳທີ່ສາມາດຮັກສາມູນລະຄ່າໄດ້ເຮັດໃຫ້ເຂົາຍັງຮັກສາຄວາມມັ້ງຄັ້ງໃນລະບົບໃໝ່ໄດ້.

🕰️ໃຜທີ່ຕ້ອງການຈະຍ້າຍປະເທດກໍ່ຈະໃຊ້ສິ່ງທີ່ເປັນຊື່ກາງໃນການແລກປ່ຽນເປັນທີ່ຍ້ອມຮັບຫຼາຍນັ້ນກໍຄືທອງຄຳ ປ່ຽນຈາກເງິນລະບົບເກົ່າເປັນທອງຄຳເພື່ອທີ່ສາມາດປ່ຽນທອງຄຳເປັນສະກຸນເງິນທ້ອງຖິ່ນຢູ່ປະເທດປາຍທາງໄດ້.

🕰️ຈາກຜູ້ດີເມື່ອກ່ອນກາຍເປັນຄົນທຳມະດາຍ້ອນສັບສິນທີ່ມີ ບໍ່ສາມາດສົ່ງຕໍ່ສູ່ລູກຫຼານໄດ້. ການເກັບອອມເປັນສິ່ງທີ່ດີ ແຕ່ຖ້າໃຫ້ດີຕ້ອງເກັບອອມໃຫ້ຖືກບ່ອນ ຄົນທີ່ຮູ້ທັນປ່ຽນເງິນທີ່ມີຈາກລະບົບເກົ່າໄປສູ່ທອງຄຳ ເພາະທອງຄຳມັນເປັນສາກົນ.
ໃຜທີ່ເຂົ້າໃຈ ແລະ ມອງການໄກກວ່າກໍ່ສາມາດຮັກສາສິນສັບສູ່ລູກຫຼານໄດ້ ເກັບເຈ້ຍໃນປະລິມານທີ່ພໍໃຊ້ຈ່າຍ ປ່ຽນເຈ້ຍໃຫ້ເປັນສິ່ງທີ່ຮັກສາມູນລະຄ່າໄດ້ແທ້ຈິງ.

🕰️ເຮົາໂຊກດີທີ່ເຄີຍມີບົດຮຽນມາແລ້ວ ເກີດຂຶ້ນຈິງໃນປະເທດເຮົາບໍ່ໄດ້ຢາກໃຫ້ທັງໝົດແຕ່ຢາກໃຫ້ສຶກສາ ແລະ ຕັ້ງຄຳຖາມວ່າທີ່ຜ່ານມາມັນເປັນແບບນີ້ແທ້ບໍ່ ເງິນທີ່ລັດຄວາມຄຸມ ເງິນປະລິມານບໍ່ຈຳກັດ ການໃຊ້ກົດໝາຍແບບບັງຄັບ. ຖ້າຄອບຄົວຫຼືຄົນໃກ້ໂຕທີ່ຍູ່ໃນຊ່ວງເຫດການນັ້ນແຕ່ຕັດສິນໃຈຜິດພາດທີ່ບໍ່ປ່ຽນເຈ້ຍເປັນສິນສັບ. ນີ້ແມ່ນໂອກາດທີ່ຈະແກ້ໄຂຂໍ້ຜິດພາດນັ້ນໂດຍຫັນມາສຶກສາເງິນແທ້ຈິງແລ້ວແມ່ນຍັງກັນແທ້ ເວລາມີຄ່າສຶກສາບິດຄອຍ.

fiatcurrency #bitcoin #gold #history #paymentsolutions #laokip #laostr

@ 4bc7982c:4cb5c39d

-----BEGIN PGP PUBLIC KEY BLOCK-----
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=JPry
-----END PGP PUBLIC KEY BLOCK-----

@ 005bc4de:ef11e1a2

Hostr

Hive + Nostr = Hostr, a bidirectional bridge.

Hostr is a bidirectional bridge between Nostr and Hive. What you post on one is automatically cross-posted to the other. (See SETUP.md if you want to jump right in and run it.)

This is experimental. Expect that there will be glitches, errors, and corrections to be made. So, consider it very beta, with no guarantees, and use at your own risk.

Nostr and Hive have differences, mainly, Nostr is a protocol and Hive is a blockchain. Nostr does not have a token, although bitcoin is much-loved and used across Nostr. Hive has two main tokens: HIVE and the HBD stablecoin. More importantly, Nostr and Hive have similarities. Both are decentralized and censorship resistant thanks to users owning and controlling their own private keys.

Nostr users - why you might want to bridge to Hive

I feel the #1 reason a Nostr user might wish to use this bridge is to permanently store and chronicle your Nostr notes.

1. Immutability for your Nostr notes. Your notes on Nostr are held on relays; if they go away, your notes go away. (There was a “nosdrive.app” backup, however I do not believe it’s still working.) Hive is immutable. There is no "delete" and even an “edit” on Hive does not erase the original. Like with a wiki page, a Hive edit shows the most recent version, but the original still remains historically. This would give Nostr users a permanent record of their notes in chronological order.

2. Hive is an excellent long form blogging platform with stable and persistent links. Finding old Nostr notes can be difficult.

3. Increase your reach and potentially gain followers. Your content will bridge off of the Nostr island and be opened to 10-30,000 daily Hive users. Go to https://peakd.com/c/hive-133987 and look for “Hive statistics” to see numbers.

4. Earn rewards in HIVE and HBD. “Likes” on Nostr do not reward you monetarily, but every upvote on Hive yields rewards. For bitcoin maxis, these tokens can easily be swapped into sats with tools like the https://v4v.app web app, or others.

5. Help grow Nostr. Every note that bridges over to Hive will have a footer saying something like, “This note originated on Nostr,” with a link back to your Nostr note on njump.me. On that page, a "Join Nostr" button is prominent.

Hive users - why you might want to bridge to Nostr

1. Increase your reach and potentially gain followers. Your content will be bridged off the Hive island and be opened to 17-18,000 daily users. See https://stats.nostr.band for Nostr stats.

2. Earn bitcoin sats in the form of “zaps.” Nostr does not have a token. But, it has a strong culture of zapping (tipping) bitcoin satoshis to other users to reward quality content. Memes are loved and often zapped too.

3. Unlimited posting. Nostr is not held back by posting or activity limitations, such as with Resource Credits or community norms that frown on posting too often.

4. Even more censorship resistance. Hive is truly censorship-free in that posted content, no matter the content, does indeed posted. However, front ends can choose to show or not show content that the community has downvoted. Nostr is more free speech or censorship resistant...you post it, it's posted. (Relays can choose to relay it or not, accept it or reject it, but you could run your own relay.)

5. Help grow Hive. Every post that bridges over to Nostr will have a footer saying something like, “This post originated on Hive,” with a link back to your Hive blockchain post. This brings wider exposure to Hive.

Quirks about Nostr and Hive

If you’re unfamiliar with Nostr, it has a few quirks:

• You have one private key, called an “nsec”. It goes along with your “npub”, your public key. Your npub is your username, your nsec IS your account.

• You simply need an nsec, then a “client” which is a front end.

• You need to add “relays” to your client in order to connect. This is very easy, but how to do it depends on the client. Client's usually walk you through this when you start.
• Short form content (like the old "Tweets") are called kind 1 notes. Long form notes, like most Hive posts, are called kind 30023.

If you’re unfamiliar with Hive, it has more quirks:

• Hive has five private keys, yes, five. Each has a specific purpose. From least powerful to most powerful, they are: posting key (to post), active key (to move tokens), owner key (to do anything), memo key (to dm/pm), and backup/master private key (to totally restore all keys). Don’t worry about all the keys. For Hostr, we only deal with posting notes/posts, so the posting key is all we deal with.

• Hive has a culture of frowning on posting too often. Doing so can be seen as trying to milk the HIVE/HBD rewards that you gain from upvotes. Too much posting can be viewed as spamming and result in downvotes (this hurts your Web-of-Trust score, called “reputation” on Hive, and is shown alongside your username; you want to grow and keep your reputation up). The chain also has a 5-minute cool-down rule coded in: after posting, you cannot post for another five minutes.

• Additionally, to avoid spam, Hive actions burn “Resource Credits” or RCs. Think of RCs as the charge % in your phone battery. Every action on Hive uses RCs, so they dwindle with every use. Posting is high in RC cost. Bad news: if you run out of RCs, you’re unable to do things on Hive. Good news: RCs also recharge. If out of RCs, you can wait and then do things later. For the Hostr script, over-posting means the script will post until RCs are exhausted, then it will stall until RCs are recharged, post again, stall, etc. You can check your RCs in many places, such as a Hive explorer like https://hivescan.info and entering your Hive username. If you have RC issues, reach out for help.

You don't want to over-post on Hive. To avoid over-posting, Hostr has two versions of the script:

1. bidirectional-longform30023.js

   • Nostr ➡️ Hive - Listens only for kind 30023 (long form) Nostr notes to bridge over to Hive. Kind 1 short form notes are ignored.
   • Hive ➡️ Nostr - Any Hive post over 380 characters gets truncated as a kind 1 (short form) Nostr note (with a link back to the full Hive post).

2. bidirectional-bridge.js

   • Nostr➡️Hive - This script listens for both kind 1 (short form) and kind 30023 (long form) Nostr notes and bridges both over to Hive.
   • Hive ➡️ Nostr - Same as above (380+ is truncated).

Which script version should I use?

1. If you post frequently on Nostr (more than 2 times per day?), the bidirectional-longform30023.js script is likely best. Per Hive community norms, you don't want to post too often on there. With this script version, only long form notes will bridge over from Nostr to Hive.
2. For newcomers to Hive, I would start with this script to be safe.

3. If in doubt, use this script.

4. If you post infrequently on Nostr (2 times per day or fewer?), the bidirectional-bridge.js (both kinds 1 and 30023) might work fine for you.

Nostr users - how to begin

You’ll need a Hive account. You can see sign-up options at https://signup.hive.io. Some options are free, others are not. I (crrdlx) have some free “VIP tickets” to sign up with and you are welcome to use one if you wish, see https://crrdlx.vercel.app/hive-vip-ticket.html. If the tickets there are already spent, contact me and I'll get you set up.

As with Nostr, the critical thing with a Hive account is saving your keys. Hive has multiple keys, just save them all. We’ll only use the “posting key” for the Hostr bridge, however. The other keys can be used on Hive if you wish. (For instance, the "active key" is used to handle your HIVE/HBD rewards earned, the "memo key" for private messages.)

Once signed up (and keys are safe), you can adjust your Hive account/profile using any Hive front end like https://peakd.com/username, https://ecency.com/username, or https://hive.blog/username. Just remember, every action on Hive burns RCs, keep an eye on that.

You can learn more about Hive at https://hivewiki.vercel.app if you wish.

See the "Setting up..." section below to set up the bridge.

Hive users - how to begin

You’ll need a Nostr account. Getting a Nostr "account" is nothing more than generating keys. A simple way to do this is at https://nstart.me If you wish to dig into details, take a look at http://nostrwiki.crrdlx.infinityfreeapp.com/doku.php?id=wiki:get-started

As with Hive, you simply need to safely store your private keys. On Nostr, your private key is called your “nsec” (sec, as in “secret”). Your public key is your “npub” (pub, as in "public"). Your nsec is all you need, but just so you know, your private key comes in two formats: (a) your nsec, and (b) the “hex” form (same key, just different forms). With the Hostr bridge, we’ll use the hex private key. Depending on how you join Nostr, your hex key may be given to you at sign up. But, even if it's not, you can always check back-and-forth between nsec and hex keys using a tool like https://nostrtool.com and choosing "Load a privkey from nsec/hex".

Again, just save your nsec and/or hex private key and you’re set.

You can learn more about Nostr at https://nostrwiki.vercel.app if you wish.

See the "Setting up..." section below to set up the bridge.

Setting up the Hostr bridge

To set up the bridge, see SETUP.md in the repo below. The Hostr bridge has a bit of technicals behind it, but don't get intimidated. Because technical things change, I’ll keep the technical how-to instructions housed at https://github.com/crrdlx/hostr

Disclaimer

This is an experimental bridge. Expect that there will be glitches, errors, and corrections to be made. So, consider it very beta, with no guarantees, and use at your own risk. Source code: https://github.com/crrdlx/hostr

---

Built with ❤️ by crrdlx

Connect on Hive: @crrdlx

Connect on Nostr: nostr:npub1qpdufhjpel94srm3ett2azgf49m9dp3n5nm2j0rt0l2mlmc3ux3qza082j

All contacts: https://linktr.ee/crrdlx

@ 5383d895:7b141166

LOVE678 là một nền tảng giải trí trực tuyến hiện đại, được thiết kế để mang đến cho người dùng những trải nghiệm thú vị, an toàn và dễ dàng tiếp cận. Giao diện của nền tảng này rất thân thiện với người dùng, giúp mọi người có thể dễ dàng tìm kiếm các dịch vụ mà mình cần một cách nhanh chóng và thuận tiện. Từ việc truy cập vào các tính năng giải trí cho đến việc quản lý tài khoản, mọi thao tác trên LOVE678 đều được tối ưu hóa để đảm bảo người dùng không gặp phải bất kỳ sự phức tạp nào. Bên cạnh đó, LOVE678 cũng cung cấp tốc độ truy cập nhanh chóng, ổn định trên nhiều thiết bị, từ máy tính để bàn đến điện thoại di động, giúp người dùng có thể tận hưởng dịch vụ mọi lúc, mọi nơi mà không gặp phải sự gián đoạn. Nền tảng này đặc biệt chú trọng đến bảo mật thông tin, với các công nghệ mã hóa tiên tiến giúp bảo vệ dữ liệu người dùng một cách tối ưu. Chính nhờ vào những tính năng vượt trội này, LOVE678 đã và đang trở thành lựa chọn ưu tiên của nhiều người dùng hiện đại.

Không chỉ chú trọng đến sự tiện lợi và bảo mật, LOVE678 còn đặc biệt quan tâm đến việc nâng cao trải nghiệm người dùng thông qua việc cung cấp dịch vụ khách hàng chất lượng cao. Đội ngũ hỗ trợ khách hàng của LOVE678 luôn túc trực 24/7, sẵn sàng giải đáp mọi thắc mắc và xử lý các vấn đề mà người dùng gặp phải trong suốt quá trình sử dụng nền tảng. Người dùng có thể dễ dàng liên hệ với đội ngũ hỗ trợ qua các kênh chat trực tuyến, email hay điện thoại để được giúp đỡ kịp thời. Điều này không chỉ giúp người dùng cảm thấy yên tâm mà còn tạo ra một mối liên kết bền chặt giữa LOVE678 và cộng đồng người sử dụng. Bên cạnh đó, LOVE678 cũng thường xuyên tổ chức các chương trình khuyến mãi, sự kiện và hoạt động giao lưu cộng đồng, tạo cơ hội để người dùng trải nghiệm thêm nhiều dịch vụ hấp dẫn và thú vị. Từ đó, nền tảng này không chỉ là một công cụ giải trí mà còn là một không gian kết nối, giúp người dùng giao lưu, học hỏi và chia sẻ những giá trị hữu ích.

Để đáp ứng nhu cầu ngày càng cao của người dùng, LOVE678 luôn cải tiến và phát triển các tính năng mới, đồng thời không ngừng nâng cấp hệ thống để duy trì sự ổn định và hiệu suất hoạt động. Nền tảng này luôn đặt mục tiêu tạo ra một môi trường trực tuyến an toàn, thú vị và chất lượng, nhằm mang đến những trải nghiệm giải trí tuyệt vời nhất cho người sử dụng. Các tính năng của LOVE678 được thiết kế không chỉ để đáp ứng nhu cầu giải trí mà còn nhằm cung cấp những công cụ tiện ích, giúp người dùng có thể dễ dàng quản lý tài khoản và tối ưu hóa quá trình sử dụng. Với sự cam kết không ngừng phát triển và nâng cao chất lượng dịch vụ, LOVE678 đang từng bước khẳng định vị thế của mình trong ngành giải trí trực tuyến, đồng thời tiếp tục xây dựng niềm tin vững chắc trong lòng người dùng. Nền tảng này không chỉ là nơi để thư giãn, mà còn là nơi để kết nối và phát triển, giúp mọi người trải nghiệm những phút giây giải trí đích thực trong một không gian trực tuyến an toàn và tiện lợi.

@ d360efec:14907b5f

@ c3e23eb5:03d7caa9

The issue I have with the term "mesh networks" is that it is associated with a flat network topology. While I love the idea of avoiding hierarchy, this simply doesn't scale. Data Plane: How the Internet Scales

The internet on the scales because it has a tree like structure. As you can see in the diagram below, global (tier 1) ISPs branch out to national (tier 2) ISPs who in turn branch out to local (tier 3) ISPs.

``` ,-[ Tier 1 ISP (Global) ]─-───────[ Tier 1 ISP (Global) ] / |
/ ▼
[IXP (Global)]═══╦═══[IXP (Global)]
║
Tier 2 ISP (National)◄──────────╗
/ \ ║
▼ ▼ ║
[IXP (Regional)]════╬══[IXP (Regional)] ║
/ \ ║
▼ ▼ ║
Tier 3 ISP (Local) Tier 3 ISP (Local) ║
| | ║
▼ ▼ ▼
[User] [User] [Enterprise]

▲ IXPs are physical switch fabrics - members peer directly ▲ Tier 1/2 ISPs provide transit through IXPs but don't control them ```

This structure also reflects in IP addresses, where regional traffic gets routed by regional tiers and global traffic keeps getting passed up through gateways till it reaches the root of the tree. The global ISP then routes the traffic into the correct branch so that it can trickle down to the destination IP at the bottom. 12.0.0.0/8 - Tier 1 manages routing (IANA-allocated) └─12.34.0.0/16 - Tier 2 allocated block (through RIR) └─12.34.56.0/24 - Tier 3 subnet via upstream provider ├─12.34.56.1 Public IP (CGNAT pool) └─192.168.1.1 Private IP (local NAT reuse)

Balancing idealism with pragmatism

This approach to scaling is much less idealistic than a flat hierarchy, because it relies on an authority (IANA) to assign the IP ranges to ISPs through Regional Internet Registries (RIRs). Even if this authority wasn't required, the fact that many users rely on few Tier 1 ISPs means that the system is inherently susceptible to sabotage (see 2019 BGP leak incident).

Control Plane: the internet is still described as decentralised

The internet is still described as decentralised because there is a flat hierarchy between tier 1 ISPs at the root of the tree. ``` INTERNET CORE (Tier 1 ISPs)

AT&T (AS7018) <══════════> Deutsche Telekom (AS3320) ║ ╔════════════════════╗ ║ ║ ║ ║ ║ ╚══>║ NTT (AS2914) ║<══╝ ║ ║ ║ ║ ║ ║ ╚═══════> Lumen (AS3356) ║ ║ ╚════╩════════════> Telia (AS1299)

```

The border gateway protocol (BGP) is used to exchange routing information between autonomous systems (ISPs). Each autonomous system is a branch of the "internet tree" and each autonomous system advertises routes to downstream autonomous systems (branches). However, the autonomous systems at the root of the tree also maintain a record of their piers, so that they can forward traffic to the correct peer. Hence, the following is a more complete diagram of the internet: ```

          INTERNET CORE (TIER 1 MESH)  
          ╔══════════════╦═════════════╦════════╦═════════════╗  
          ║              ║             ║        ║             ║  
        AT&T (AS7018) <══╬══> Lumen (AS3356) <══╬══> NTT (AS2914)  
          ║              ║                      ║          
          ║              ║                      ║          
          ║              ╚══> Telia (AS1299) <══╝        
          ║                               ║          
          ╚═══════════════════════════════╝          
          ║                               ║          
          ╚═> Deutsche Telekom (AS3320) <═╝        
                ║                        
   TREE HIERARCHY BELOW - MESH ABOVE  
                ║                     
                ▼  
         [ Tier 1 ISP ]───────────────────┐  
      /           |                       |  
     /            ▼                       ▼ 
   [IXP]═══╦═══[IXP]                    [IXP]  
           ║                              ║  
           ▼                              ▼  
     Tier 2 ISP◄──────────╗           Tier 2 ISP◄───────╗  
    /       \             ║            /     \          ║  
   ▼         ▼            ║           ▼       ▼         ║  
   [IXP]═╦[IXP]           ║          [IXP]═╦[IXP]       ║  
    /     \               ║           /     \           ║  
   ▼       ▼              ▼          ▼       ▼          ▼  
   Tier 3 ISP            User       Tier 3 ISP      Enterprise

```

So its a mesh network - whats wrong with that?

In the example above, NTT can only send traffic to Deutsche Telekom via Lumen or AT&T. NTT relies on its peers to maintain a correct record of the IP range that they are responsible for, so that traffic that was intended for Deutsche Telekom doesn't end up in the wrong network. An intentional or even accidental error in an autonomous system's routing tables can be detrimental to the flow of traffic through the network.

Hence, mesh networks require: * Reliability: peers rely on each-other not to fail (e.g., 2019 AWS US-East-1 availability) * Trust: peers must be honest about address ranges (e.g., 2018 BGP hijacking incident) * Central planning: BGP traffic engineering determines which route a packet takes

Application Layer Innovations

Now that we have a rough overview of how the internet is broken, lets think about what can still be done. The flat hierarchy that we associate with mesh networks sounds beautiful, but it doesn't scale. However, the tree-like structure assumes that most participants in the network rely on an authority to give them an address or a range of addresses so that they can communicate.

Overlay networks

Fortunately all it takes to interact with someone on nostr is their public key. The recipients client will render your signed and/or encrypted event no matter how it reaches them. Whether your note reaches them over the internet, over some other network or via a carrier pigeon doesn't matter. nostr:npub1hw6amg8p24ne08c9gdq8hhpqx0t0pwanpae9z25crn7m9uy7yarse465gr is working on a NIP for that and I'm sure he will share an explanation of how it works.

Bitcoin Instead of a Routing Algorithm

Now that we have digital bearer assets (e-cash), users can pay their internet gateway (TollGate) for access to the internet even though they are still offline. Once the TollGate has redeemed the e-cash, it gives the user access to the internet.

Frictionless Switching between ISPs (TollGates)

Legacy internet service providers use KYC money (fiat) to transfer the cost of the infrastructure to their users. However, this means that they are able to identify which packet belongs to which user. The KYC nature of their interaction with the users also makes it difficult for users to switch ISPs when service providers undercut each-other. Internet users who are on e-cash rails can hop between ISPs frictionlessly since they buy small amounts of data frequently in a granular manner.

Users that have access to independent competing TollGates can switch between them freely, so its impossible for any one TollGate to prevent a user from connecting to the internet. The only thing a TollGate can do is attract traffic by providing cheaper and/or faster internet access.

Anyone can arbitrage connectivity

Now that users have non KYC internet, there is nothing stopping them from reselling access to their internet connection. Anyone who has a WiFi router and access to a cheap internet connection can act as a range extender by re-selling access to that gateway for people who aren't able to connect directly.

Now the route that the traffic takes through the network is determined dynamically by the markets. The individual TollGate operators select their gateways and set their prices when they create a business model. The customers select the route that best meets their needs by selecting a gateway for their next purchase.

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Past week summary

From a Self Custody for Organizations perspective, after analyzing the existing protocols (Cerberus, 10xSecurityBTCguide and Glacier) and reading a bunch of relates articles and guides, have wrapped to the conclusion that this format it is good to have as reference. However, something else is needed. For example, a summary or a map of the whole process to provide an overview, plus a way to deliver all the information and the multy-process in a more enjoyable way. Not a job for this hackathon, but with the right collaborations I assume it's possible to: - build something that might introduce a bit more quests and gamification - provide a learning environment (with testnet funds) could also be crucial on educating those unfamiliar with bitcoin onchain dynamics.

Have been learning more and playing around practicing best accessibility practices and how it could be applied to a desktop software like Bitcoin Safe. Thanks to @johnjherzog for providing a screen recording of his first experience and @jasonb for suggesting the tools to be used. (in this case tested/testing on Windows with the Accessibility Insights app). Some insight shared have been also applied to the website, running a full accessibility check (under WCAG 2.2 ADA, and Section 508 standards) with 4 different plugins and two online tools. I recognize that not all of them works and analyze the same parameters, indeed they complement each other providing a more accurate review.

For Bitcoin Safe interface improvements, many suggestions have been shared with @andreasgriffin , including: - a new iconset, including a micro-set to display the number of confirmed blocs for each transaction - a redesigned History/Dashboard - small refinements like adding missing columns on the tables - allow the user to select which columns to be displayed - sorting of unconfirmed transactions - Defining a new style for design elements like mempool blocks and quick receive boxes You can find below some screenshots with my proposals that hopefully will be included in the next release.

Last achievement this week was to prepare the website https://Safe.BTC.pub, the container where all the outcomes f this experiment will be published. You can have a look, just consider it still WIP. Branding for the project has also been finalized and available in this penpot file https://design.penpot.app/#/workspace?team-id=cec80257-5021-8137-8005-eab60c043dd6&project-id=cec80257-5021-8137-8005-eab60c043dd8&file-id=95aea877-d515-80ac-8006-23a251886db3&page-id=132f519a-39f4-80db-8006-2a41c364a545

What's for next week

After spending most of the time learning and reading material, this coming week will be focused on deliverables. The goal as planned will be to provide: - Finalized Safe₿its brand and improve overall desktop app experience, including categorization of transactions and addresses - An accessibility report or guide for Bitcoin Safe and support to implement best practices - A first draft of the Self-Custody for Organizations guide/framework/protocol, ideally delivered through the website http://Safe.BTC.pub in written format, but also as FlowChart to help have an overview of the whole resources needed and the process itself. This will clearly define preparations and tools/hardwares needed to successfully complete the process.

To learn more about the project, you can visit: Designathon website: https://event.bitcoin.design/#project-recj4SVNLLkuWHpKq Discord channel: https://discord.com/channels/903125802726596648/1369200271632236574 Previous SN posts: https://stacker.news/items/974489/r/DeSign_r and https://stacker.news/items/974488/r/DeSign_r

Stay tuned, more will be happening this coming week

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/977190

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Past week summary

From a Self Custody for Organizations perspective, after analyzing the existing protocols (Cerberus, 10xSecurityBTCguide and Glacier) and reading a bunch of relates articles and guides, have wrapped to the conclusion that this format it is good to have as reference. However, something else is needed. For example, a summary or a map of the whole process to provide an overview, plus a way to deliver all the information and the multy-process in a more enjoyable way. Not a job for this hackathon, but with the right collaborations I assume it's possible to: - build something that might introduce a bit more quests and gamification - provide a learning environment (with testnet funds) could also be crucial on educating those unfamiliar with bitcoin onchain dynamics.

Have been learning more and playing around practicing best accessibility practices and how it could be applied to a desktop software like Bitcoin Safe. Thanks to @johnjherzog for providing a screen recording of his first experience and @jasonbohio for suggesting the tools to be used. (in this case tested/testing on Windows with the Accessibility Insights app). Some insight shared have been also applied to the website, running a full accessibility check (under WCAG 2.2 ADA, and Section 508 standards) with 4 different plugins and two online tools. I recognize that not all of them works and analyze the same parameters, indeed they complement each other providing a more accurate review.

For Bitcoin Safe interface improvements, many suggestions have been shared with @andreasgriffin , including: - a new iconset, including a micro-set to display the number of confirmed blocs for each transaction - a redesigned History/Dashboard - small refinements like adding missing columns on the tables - allow the user to select which columns to be displayed - sorting of unconfirmed transactions - Defining a new style for design elements like mempool blocks and quick receive boxes You can find below some screenshots with my proposals that hopefully will be included in the next release.

Last achievement this week was to prepare the website https://Safe.BTC.pub, the container where all the outcomes f this experiment will be published. You can have a look, just consider it still WIP. Branding for the project has also been finalized and available in this penpot file https://design.penpot.app/#/workspace?team-id=cec80257-5021-8137-8005-eab60c043dd6&project-id=cec80257-5021-8137-8005-eab60c043dd8&file-id=95aea877-d515-80ac-8006-23a251886db3&page-id=132f519a-39f4-80db-8006-2a41c364a545

What's for next week

After spending most of the time learning and reading material, this coming week will be focused on deliverables. The goal as planned will be to provide: - Finalized Safe₿its brand and improve overall desktop app experience, including categorization of transactions and addresses - An accessibility report or guide for Bitcoin Safe and support to implement best practices - A first draft of the Self-Custody for Organizations guide/framework/protocol, ideally delivered through the website http://Safe.BTC.pub in written format, but also as FlowChart to help have an overview of the whole resources needed and the process itself. This will clearly define preparations and tools/hardwares needed to successfully complete the process.

To learn more about the project, you can visit: Designathon website: https://event.bitcoin.design/#project-recj4SVNLLkuWHpKq Discord channel: https://discord.com/channels/903125802726596648/1369200271632236574 Previous SN posts: https://stacker.news/items/974489/r/DeSign_r and https://stacker.news/items/974488/r/DeSign_r

Stay tuned, more will be happening this coming week

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/977180

@ 3c389c8f:7a2eff7f

As I'm sitting here trying to hone in on what might be important to write about in this moment, my mind keeps swirling around through all the things that have me sitting here to begin with. Nostr found me in a time when my life needed a change. The discovery of something that provided the light of hope to an otherwise dark, dystopian future was more powerful than I could have ever predicted. Timing is everything, they say. I believe that to be half true, as timing alone means nothing if the will is non-existent. The intersection of opportunity and preparedness, and all that. I know how I found my way here, but I do not fully understand the things that have drawn my curiosity and kept my attention so strongly. My will ached for change, simplicity, and meaning. I found it, in what seem to me, simultaneously the most likely and the most unlikely of places. There's a magic to that, and its probably better to leave some questions unanswered, lest they lose their mystic power.

My experiences are my own but theme of them resonates through most of the people with whom I interact. It's been very clear that I wasn't alone in these feelings. A movement of highly inspired, hopeful people have continued to support this digital freedom movement since my arrival, in varying ways. Some people have highly technical skills ranging from network systems to design to cybersecurity. Others, like myself, have little to offer in the realms of functionality and we do what we can to breathe life into the systems built to provide digital freedom of speech for all. It's a humbling experience. We are reminded. sometimes directly and sometimes indirectly, that none of Nostr would matter if there were no one using it. We know this to be true, but it is no less humbling to be surrounded by constant innovation and a thriving desire to bring this experience to the entire world.

Now here I sit, tapping out these words, in the midst of another massive life change, stressful but chosen. I could sign off, go read a book in the garden, and go about my world as I would have in my pre-Nostr times. I don't want to do that, though. Hope is here. If there is a place to dwell, in hope is where I will always choose.

I find it important to acknowledge, though, that Nostr and the people using it are in a constant state of flux, too. This isn't my rock nor harbor nor shelter. It's the chaotic good, reminding me both to keep an appreciation for how far this ecosystem has come in such a short amount of time and a realistic set of expectations for where this all can go. The same applies for how well things work at any given moment...And equally so in missing my some of my early Nostr friends that have come and gone, while remaining open to the possibility of meeting new ones... Experiences had and experiences yet to come. I don't know if I have ever been so coaxed outside of my mind by a group of strangers on the internet. But here I am, looking back and looking forward, surrounded by awe in all directions, sharing thoughts that would otherwise be scribbled in pen to be burned in a random evening fire. I've long felt that the core of social media should be just this. Spaces for people to connect, above all else, in the ways that create meaning in our lives. I suppose in some ways that did exist before, but it was twisted, and obscured, and slowly pulled away.

Now its here and super-charged by possibility. What this looks like for any individual will not be the same as my own view. That's part of what makes this so beautiful to me. We need to be able to speak freely. Just as importantly we need to be able to surround ourselves with the things and people that makes us want to do more, that make us want to feel humbled. Or not, if we so choose... but I choose hope.

@ a296b972:e5a7a2e8

Wo sind der 1. Stock, das Erdgeschoss und der Keller? Das Dach ist noch zu bauen. Das Haus zum unerklärlichen Krieg ist unfertig. Der Bau wurde schon viel früher begonnen, aber die westlichen Medien behaupten das Gegenteil oder verschweigen es. Eine Vorgeschichte darf es nicht geben.

Am Ukraine-Krieg sieht man, dass ein Konflikt, der entgegen den Behauptungen der Propaganda-Maschine nicht erst im Februar 2022 angefangen hat, wie lange es dauert, bis wieder Verhältnisse zustande kommen, die eine Befriedung ermöglichen. Das Ringen darum ist hoffentlich endlich in die Zielgerade eingelaufen und man findet besser gestern als heute eine Lösung. So viele Menschenleben auf beiden Seiten hat dieser Wahnsinn bislang gekostet. Am Ende, wofür? Die Verwirrung bleibt bis zuletzt, denn einerseits treibt der US-amerikanische Präsident die Friedensbemühungen maßgeblich voran, andererseits werden von US-amerikanischer Seite mutmaßlich die Waffenlieferungen fortgesetzt und Starlink nicht abgeschaltet, was erheblich zum abrupten Beenden des sinnlosen Sterbens beitragen würde.

Verträge sind zu erfüllen? Sicherung der US-amerikanischen Interessen? Druckmittel auf Russland? Und Europa? Europa, vor allem Deutschland, Frankreich und Großbritannien geben weiterhin den Geisterfahrer und haben immer noch nicht mitbekommen, dass sie in der Beilegung des Ukraine-Kriegs nicht das geringste zu sagen haben. Sie spielen sich aber auf, als hätten sie und machen „einen auf dicke Hose“. Murmeln werden als Eier verkauft.

Etwas aus dem Fokus der Neuen Medien gerät dabei der immer noch wütende Krieg im Gaza-Streifen mit einer israelischen Planier-Raupe, dessen Vorgeschichte noch länger ist, als die, die zum Ukraine-Krieg geführt hat. Rund 80 Jahre, aber auch hier eigentlich noch länger. Man kann sich vorstellen, wie lange es hier dauern wird, bis sich sichere, friedliche Verhältnisse einstellen können.

Wer kann sicher sein, wer nimmt sich das Recht heraus zu behaupten, wer entscheidet darüber, dass sich Zustände, wie im 3. Reich, die Verfolgung und Vernichtung einer Minderheit, damals die Juden, nicht wiederholen kann? Seitdem das geschehen ist, hat sich der Großteil der Menschheit keinen Millimeter weiterentwickelt.

Wenn gerade Deutsche Anzeichen für eine Wiederholung dieser tief-dunklen Zeit zu erkennen glauben, derzeit in dem, wie der israelische Staat mit dem Gaza-Streifen verfährt, dann ist das keine Verharmlosung der Gräueltaten im 3. Reich, sondern der Beweis dafür, dass es doch einige gibt, die aus der Geschichte gelernt haben, und die der Meinung sind, dass sich so etwas niemals mehr wiederholen darf.

Um auf einen Genozid hinzuweisen, muss jeder Vergleich möglich und erlaubt sein. Es geht um eine Mehrzahl von Menschen, von Familien, die einfach nur in Frieden leben wollen! Ungeachtet der Tatsache, dass es auf beiden Seiten Kräfte gibt, die das nicht interessiert.

Besonders tragisch wird es, wenn dieser Genozid augenscheinlich ausgerechnet von denen ausgeht, die selbst so schrecklich davon betroffen waren.

Wie kann sich der deutsche Staat erdreisten, diejenigen als Anti-Semiten zu bezeichnen, die hier Merkmale eines Genozids zu erkennen glauben und versuchen, diese kritischen Stimmen zu unterdrücken, „nur“, weil es sich um den Staat Israel handelt, der hier als Täter infrage kommt. Auch der Staat Israel hat keinen Freibrief, die Bevölkerung im Gaza-Streifen nach seinen Vorstellungen und Überzeugungen abzurasieren.

Ein Genozid ist ein Genozid, egal von welcher Regierung eines Landes er begangen wird.

Der Staat Israel ist keine Ausnahme! Im Gegenteil. Aufgrund der Erfahrung seines Volkes müsste es die Menschlichkeit gebieten, dass derartiger Völkermord nie wieder geschieht.

Weiter müsste der Begriff Anti-Semitismus einmal genau unter die Lupe genommen werden, was wer aus welchen Gründen darunter versteht. Man kann den Eindruck gewinnen, dass dieser Begriff vor allem als Totschlagargument verwendet wird, um kritische Stimmen mundtot zu machen. Besonders bei diesem heiklen Thema wäre absolute Akkuratesse dringend notwendig.

Es ist die Pflicht eines jeden, der Kritik an den Zuständen üben will, nicht zu verallgemeinern.

Nicht alle israelischen Staatsbürger sind Netanjahu-Anhänger (das zeigen die Demonstrationen), nicht alle Juden sind Zionisten, nicht einmal alle Zionisten sind Juden.

Und sicher sind auf der Gaza-Seite ebenfalls nicht nur „Engel“ unterwegs!

Beide Lager haben rund 80 Jahre Zeit gehabt, den gegenseitigen Hass durch gegenseitige Provokationen aufzubauen und ihn immer wieder sich entladen zu lassen.

Dieser unermessliche Hass kann nur über Generationen hinweg wieder abgebaut werden.

Wenn es jemals eine ernste Absicht gegeben hätte, eine 2-Staaten-Lösung zu realisieren, wäre diese schon längst in die Tat umgesetzt worden. Wenn jedoch der politische Wille dazu fehlt, vor allem auf der Seite des Stärkeren, passiert gar nichts. Und der fehlt jetzt schon seit rund 80 Jahren.

Maßgeblich durch die Briten ist der Staat Israel künstlich entstanden. Die Ableitung der Nutznießer auf einen Gebietsanspruch aus einem Glauben heraus, ist einmalig.

In dem nicht natürlich entstandenen, sondern künstlich geschaffenen Staatsgebilde liegt möglicherweise die Wurzel allen Übels, die von langer Hand, spätestens durch die Balfour-Deklaration im Jahre 1917 ihren Anfang genommen hat.

Man hat nun Jahrzehnte lang Zeit gehabt, zu beobachten, dass dieses Konstrukt ein sicheres Leben und eine Garantie für friedliche Verhältnisse aller nicht zustande gebracht hat. Schmerzliche Erfahrungen auf beiden Seiten haben bislang nicht dazu geführt, dass man zu der Einsicht gekommen wäre, dass man sich möglicherweise auf dem Holzweg befindet.

Die verfeindeten Lager müssten sich, neutral moderiert (welcher Staat, welcher Mensch ist heute noch neutral, oder zumindest kein Interessenvertreter?), zusammensetzen und sich in sicher nicht einfachen, langwierigen, zähen Gesprächen und Verhandlungen über die Neugründung eines gemeinsamen Staates für alle Beteiligten ernsthaft nachdenken, solange, bis es zu einer Einigung gekommen wäre, die für alle Beteiligten akzeptabel ist. Das Ergebnis, eine gemeinsame Staatenlösung, müsste das erklärte Ziel sein und wenn es noch so lange dauern würde.

Das Mitspracherecht müsste nach Bevölkerungsanteil in einem gerechten Verhältnis festgelegt werden. So müssten kleinere Anteile verhältnismäßig mehr Stimmanteile haben, als der größere Anteil, um zu möglichst für alle gerechten Entscheidungen zu gelangen, die alle Beteiligten mittragen könnten. Ein Vorankommen wäre nur durch Vernunft, nicht durch Starrsinn möglich.

Aufgrund der hitzigen Mentalität aller Beteiligten müssten beide Lager auf Gedeih und Verderb voneinander abhängig gemacht werden, sodass ein friedliches Zusammenraufen immer wieder nötig wäre, weil niemand in der Lage wäre, die Oberhand zu gewinnen.

Es müssten gegenseitige Abhängigkeiten geschaffen werden. So könnten zum Beispiel Lieferungen von Lebensmitteln, Wasser, Energie (Israel) usw. mit der Hoheit über die noch zu erschließenden Gasfelder (Gaza) vor Gaza „verrechnet“ werden, ohne, dass die USA oder sonst wer die Finger im Spiel haben.

Bei derartigen gegenseitigen Abhängigkeiten würde man sich schon zusammenraufen.

Das alles setzt voraus, dass der Mensch an sich seine menschlichen Schwächen unter Kontrolle bringen würde. Hierzu können Machtstreben, Geldgier, Rechthaberei, Überheblichkeit, Ideologien, Ansprüche aus einem Glauben heraus usw. gezählt werden.

Jerusalem müsste einen Sonderstatus erhalten und die Verwaltung müsste unter den drei Weltreligionen aufgeteilt werden. Jerusalem könnte im „Kleinen“ ein Beispiel dafür sein, wie der gesamte neue Staat im „Großen“ funktioniert. Und möglicherweise würde er so in der Tat funktionieren.

Für viele mag das alles vielleicht naiv oder sogar absurd klingen. Zur Herstellung von Frieden, Frieden in dem jede Mutter, gleich welcher Religion sie angehört, ihre Kinder in Sicherheit aufwachsen sehen kann, muss jede Überlegung und Idee, wie ein friedliches Miteinander realisiert werden kann, erlaubt sein zu denken und auch auszusprechen.

Eines ist sicher. So, wie die Verhältnisse in der Vergangenheit gestaltet wurden, hat die Realität eindeutig gezeigt, dass es so auf gar keinen Fall funktioniert. Also, warum nicht einfach einmal das Gehirn durchblasen, alte, überkommene Überzeugungen loswerden und endlich einmal etwas Neues denken?

Und wer jetzt immer noch sagt, das wäre eine Delegitimierung des Staates Israel, der sollte seine Gehirnwindungen einmal zur Inspektion bringen. Der Mensch, egal welcher Couleur und welcher Religion steht hier im Mittelpunkt. Im Mittelpunkt stehen Überlegungen, wie ein friedliches Miteinander möglich sein könnte. Falls sich herausstellt, dass das eine Utopie ist, auch gut, aber immerhin sind sich Gedanken gemacht worden, die von den eingefahrenen, zu nichts außer Elend führenden Entscheidungen abweichen. Und wenn es nur zur Anregung für andere Ideen dient, dann wäre schon viel getan. Und das ist weder anti-semitisch, noch anti-israelisch, noch anti-christlich, noch anti-moslemisch, noch anti-sonst wie, sondern vor allem ein Appell an die Vernunft, zu der der Mensch schließlich auch begabt ist.

Dieser Artikel wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben

* *

(Bild von Georg Ohrweh)

@ b099870e:f3ba8f5d

The hustler's every waking hour is lived with both the practical and the subconscious knowledge that if he ever relaxes, if he ever slows down,the other hungry, restless foxes,ferrets, wolves and vultures out there with him won't hesitate to make him their prey.

Quote in The 50th Law that I'm currently reading

@ 55f04590:2d385185

Behind the scenes, a lot has happened over the past weeks.

The design of the book’s pages is nearly finished. I’ve selected and placed the illustrations and sketches I’ll feature and I’m close to finalising the Introduction section. All that’s left to do is a small photo shoot of some things from my archives, selecting one or two more articles for the Context section, and illustrating the articles.

After that I’ll print a dummy and kick off the second round of iteration—crossing T’s, dotting I’s. (And then I’ll cross those T’s and dot those I’s again and again because, surely, more things will arise.)

In parallel, and perhaps most importantly, I’m working on the design of the cover. I have a few ideas I’d like to discuss with the printer to learn more about the various possibilities and costs.

Book site

The book is now also available for pre-order through its own website, where you can pay for it in euros or dollars, if you prefer. BTC payments are still possible, too.

Originally I only offered one pre-order option that included rewards, like a print and a sticker pack. I’ve now named that the Collectors Edition, and added a separate option to order just the book (without additional rewards) at a reduced price. 

Once the book is out in the world, this site is where I’ll have it up for sale. I’ll make the articles and illustrations from the Context section available there too. They’ll be published, in their entirety, under the Creative Commons Share-alike license. 

Promo video

My friend Lilia shot and edited a short promotional video that provides a glimpse behind the scenes in my studio in Amsterdam, a peek at the book’s production process, and a sneak preview of the first spreads. While the process was new to me, this video was a lot of fun to make and I’m proud of the result.

Pre-orders

The total number of pre-orders has grown to 76—12 of which came through the new website. I initially thought I’d be selling 50 pre-orders at most, so things are definitely exceeding my expectations.

Feel free to place your pre-order through the new site, or use the Geyser crowdfund campaign to secure your copy.

Up next

In my next blog I’ll dive a little deeper into the technical side of the book. I’ll take you through the different kinds of paper I’ll use, the printing methods we’ll employ, and how the book will be bound and finished.

Keep your eyes peeled! Thomas

---

Previous updates

The NoGood art book announcement Update 01 – Humble beginnings Update 02 – Throwback Update 03 – Loops

Pre-order a book

The NoGood art book is available as a pre-order on book.nogood.studio, where you can pay for it in euros or dollars, if you prefer. BTC payments are still possible, too.

Alternatively, visit the Geyser crowdfund campaign to secure your copy.

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/978096

@ 0861144c:e68a1caf

This is my Bitcoin full node. There are many like it, but this one is mine. My node is my best friend. It is my life. I must master it as I must master my life. Without me, my node is useless. Without my node, I am useless. I must run my node true. I must verify my enemy who is trying to dilute me. I must reject his inflationary blocks. I will. Bitstein (2019)

I love debates. I'm one of those people who, just for fun, analyzes Abraham Lincoln’s speeches on slavery during his election campaigns, or revisits the Frost-Nixon debates—or pretty much any speech I can get my hands on. The essence of debates—and now that I've discovered Socratic seminars—even further enriches the community itself. Where we, as a Bitcoin community, stand superior in every sense of the word is that we don't just talk to stake out positions; a Bitcoiner takes a stand through their actions.

And that's exactly what we've seen over these past few weeks of debate about OP_RETURN.

Many people—instinctively, I’d say—are inviting Bitcoin maximalists to move over to ETH and create non-monetary use cases, even as those same people are the ones loudly promoting and encouraging everyone to get Bitcoinized. So, we find ourselves in a clear contradiction that remains largely misunderstood, especially when podcasters who have never reviewed a single pull request, don't know how the merge works, and don't even have a GitHub account, suddenly want to jump into a debate encouraging others to switch node classes.

As for me, that’s totally fine. The reason is simple: if you are a true Bitcoiner, it doesn't matter whether you understand programming (or not), use Knots, Core[^1], or any other client—as long as you run your own node. I believe this debate helped motivate people and warned them about the real danger of not running their own node.

[^1]: I encourage people to download Core.

Why is it important to run your own node?

When people are using Bitcoin in ways you disagree with, or creating use cases you don't support, the best way to express your disapproval is through your node. Because at the end of the day, it’s the node that allows us to verify transactions—it’s the step before final broadcast to the blockchain. Every node that gets deployed is another victory for the community against reliance on trust; every downloaded node strengthens user privacy.

The fastest way to destroy Bitcoin is by discouraging the use of personal nodes, because centralized services thrive when fewer people use this critical tool.

Use your node.

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/978094

@ 7460b7fd:4fc4e74b

警惕：那些“帮你”保管密钥的人

—— 多签钱包中的隐形风险与逻辑陷阱

“我们可以帮您设置一个更安全的钱包。” 这句话，听上去就像是关心，其实却可能是一次有预谋的接管。

---

摘要

多签钱包被广泛视为提升数字资产安全性的“进阶方案”，尤其适用于不希望将所有信任寄托于单一点故障（如一把私钥）的人群。然而，在这些看似“民主化”、“抗单点失败”的技术结构背后，仍潜藏着极为隐秘且被低估的风险。

本文聚焦两类常见却高度隐蔽的逻辑攻击模型：

• 替换 xpub 并接管下一层级地址生成；
• 伪造 k-of-n 多签结构，在形式上给予用户参与感，实则实现单人提款。

在未引入 Taproot 的传统多签结构下，这类攻击已能轻易完成。而即便在 Taproot 和 MuSig2 合约模型下，攻击者也可以借助合成结构进一步隐藏其篡改行为。

本报告不仅梳理攻击逻辑，更强调“人性中的信任误区”——攻击者不需要主动索取密钥，只需要维持友善形象，自会有用户主动递交钥匙。更令人警惕的是，在某些极端场景下，这类“被信任的服务商”甚至可能向受害者收取“保管密钥”的费用后再实施盗窃，形成双重获利。

Taproot 虽然在结构上增强了隐私与复杂性，但也使验证逻辑失去了可直观还原的优势。随着时间推移、服务厂商退出市场乃至私有恢复流程被锁死，用户极可能落入无法恢复的“密钥黑箱”中。

阅读本文，希望你能意识到：

真正的安全，从不是托付给别人帮你“多签”，而是你真正理解你签了什么、和谁签的、签名之后将通往哪一个脚本。

---

多签钱包的逻辑攻击向量分析

以 xpub 替换与伪造 k-of-n 结构为例

---

攻击模型一：替换 xpub 实现地址劫持

场景设定

攻击者假扮为友好的钱包初始化服务者，主动提出“免费帮你生成一个更安全的多签钱包”。表面上，他为你设置了标准的 HD 多签结构，实际上却在关键的派生路径中，悄悄将本应由你或另一个可信方持有的 xpub 替换为他自己的。

在 HD 钱包结构（例如 BIP45、BIP67）中，用户通常无法直观验证每一个新地址是否仍属于原来的签名组。这种设计让“看上去很安全”的地址，可能早已成为攻击者可完全支配的提款口袋。

攻击结构（逻辑表示）

• 假设多签参与者为 P1, P2, P3
• 攻击者控制伪造者身份 P1'，实际替代掉用户的 P1
• 地址生成函数为：

Addr = f(xpub(P1'), xpub(P2), xpub(P3))

• 用户未验证 xpub 时，成立：

∃ Addr_i ∈ wallet, spendable_by(attacker)

换言之，钱包中的某些地址虽然看起来正常，但已可被攻击者花费。

人性陷阱提示

用户往往不认为“地址生成这件事”是需要人工检查的，特别是在使用 Ledger、Trezor 等硬件钱包时形成了“签名即安全”的错觉。而攻击者只需一次替换，就能悄悄监视整个钱包生命周期。

更重要的是，攻击者不需要向你“索取密钥”，他只需维持友善、专业甚至略带“为你好”的姿态。在 100 个用户中，总会有一部分人，在受到“信任感”与“他人看起来更专业”的影响下，主动提出将某个密钥托管给对方，甚至支付一定“密钥保管费”作为安全保障。这类行为并非愚蠢，而是人性的一部分。

这种松懈与依赖，背后深植着心理学上著名的「责任分散效应（diffusion of responsibility）」。当责任从“自己一人持有私钥”转变为“我们多人共同掌控”时，大脑会自动削弱“必须百分百保护密钥”的紧迫感；一旦密钥有三份或五份，人就会默认“即使我丢了一份也无所谓”，由此降低警惕，弱化加密习惯的执行力度。

尤其是在多签结构下，密钥不再是“唯一真理”。你开始认为：“我只是 n-of-m 的一员”，进而产生 安全责任稀释（safety dilution）。举个例子：如果你的 seed words 是唯一的，你很可能将其写在一张专用纸上，藏入防火袋，存放于密封保险箱中；但一旦你拥有的是 3-of-5 多签中的一份，你可能就只是把它存在 Evernote、存图于手机相册，或者发给自己 Telegram 备份——并自我安慰说：“这只是其中一把钥匙，又不怕。”

这正是攻击者渗透的最佳入口。他无需破解密码学算法，仅凭理解人性中的懒惰、依赖与责任下沉机制，就足以发起极具杀伤力的社会工程攻击。

提醒：没有人例外。你的安全不是由数学公式决定，而是由你是否对它持续保持敬畏与冷静判断所决定的。

---

Taproot 下的隐蔽性升级

在 Taproot + MuSig2 合约结构中：

• 合成公钥如：P = H(P1 + P2 + P3)
• 用户无法从地址推导出其组成
• 所有 pubkey 被掩盖，无任何可读性结构泄露

结果：攻击者替换某个 xpub 之后，哪怕是资深用户，也无法通过比对地址结构来发现任何异常。

---

攻击模型二：伪造 k-of-n 多签脚本结构

场景设定

攻击者承诺为你部署一个“非常安全”的 2-of-3 多签钱包。然而他实际创建的却是一个 1-of-3 结构，并诱导你保留或交出其中一个密钥。

用户一旦信任其脚本不可见性（或 UI 模糊性），资金注入该地址之后，攻击者即可单独提款。

攻击结构（逻辑描述）

• 正确脚本应为：

OP_2 <pk1> <pk2> <pk3> OP_3 OP_CHECKMULTISIG

• 实际被构造为：

OP_1 <pk1> <pk2> <pk3> OP_3 OP_CHECKMULTISIG

• 用户错误地相信：

user_believes(k=2) ∧ attacker_has(sk1) → safe

• 但实际上：

real_k = 1 ∧ attacker_has(sk1) → attacker_can_spend

成立条件

• 用户未能验证 redeem script
• 钱包界面（UI 或 PSBT）未明确标识 k 值与脚本结构
• 攻击者拥有脚本定义权，或 UI 权限

人性陷阱提示

这类攻击往往并非“高技术”，而是利用用户对脚本结构的无感。尤其是当攻击者扮演“技术专家”时，用户往往不具备审查 redeem script 的能力或意识。攻击者甚至可以用“给你设置一个冷备密钥”作为幌子，骗取部分 key，并收取额外费用。

---

多签攻击模型对比分析（无表格）

• 攻击类型一：xpub 替换
• 本质：公钥注入
• 隐蔽性：极高（生成地址完全正常）
• 关键条件：用户未验证每个 xpub

• Taproot 是否能规避：否，反而更难发现

• 攻击类型二：伪造 k-of-n

• 本质：脚本结构欺骗
• 隐蔽性：中等（需查看 redeem script 才能识别）
• 关键条件：用户不懂脚本，UI 不展示结构
• Taproot 是否能规避：否，合约结构反而隐藏了更多细节

---

安全建议（基于当前攻击模型）

1. 强制在 UI 中完整展示所有 xpub、合成地址派生路径与对应签名人列表
2. 如 Coldcard 的二维码验证机制
3. 用户必须自行保存每个 xpub，并可验证任一地址确实源自该集合派生
4. 多签钱包必须提供可见 redeem script 的界面与 k 值校验提示
5. 不接受“帮你配置好了”的 UI 黑箱
6. Taproot 虽增强隐私，但也加剧验证障碍
7. 若使用合签结构，应避免依赖第三方界面进行签名决策
8. 始终优先使用硬件钱包本地签名流程，避免通过 Web 或中间服务生成交易

---

真实案例分析

1. Coldcard 硬件钱包的 xpub 替换漏洞

2021 年，安全研究员 benma 发现 Coldcard 硬件钱包在注册多签钱包时，未验证自身是否为多签钱包的一部分。这使得恶意计算机钱包可以用攻击者控制的 xpub 替换多签 xpub，同时仍通过所有用户验证。所有接收到此多签钱包的币随后可以随时转移到攻击者的钱包。
来源：benma.github.io

2. Bybit 交易所的多签钱包被黑事件

2025 年 2 月，Bybit 交易所的多签冷钱包在一次例行转账中被黑，损失约 14.6 亿美元。该钱包使用 2-of-3 多签设置，意味着需要三位授权签名人中的两位批准交易。用户界面显示了合法的目标地址，并且 URL 与受信任的多签提供商 Safe 相关联。但这是一种欺骗。黑客利用硬件钱包中的“盲签名”漏洞，使设备只能显示交易的哈希，从而掩盖了一个更改，使攻击者控制了钱包的智能合约。
来源：certora.com

3. Parity 多签钱包漏洞

2017 年，Parity 多签钱包版本 1.5+ 中发现了一个漏洞，允许攻击者窃取超过 150,000 ETH（约 3000 万美元）。攻击者向受影响的合约发送两个交易：第一个获取多签的独占所有权，第二个移动其所有资金。
来源：blog.openzeppelin.com

---

攻击流程图解

1. 建立信任：攻击者以技术专家或受信任的服务提供商身份接近受害者，提出帮助设置多签钱包。
2. 替换 xpub：在设置过程中，攻击者用自己控制的 xpub 替换原本应由用户或第三方控制的 xpub。
3. 生成地址：攻击者生成看似正常的多签地址，并展示给用户，用户未进行验证。
4. 资金注入：用户将资金转入这些地址，认为资金安全。
5. 资金转移：攻击者利用控制的私钥，单方面将资金转出，用户无法察觉。

---

参考文献

• benma.github.io — Coldcard 多签攻击漏洞
• certora.com — Bybit 多签合约欺诈分析
• OpenZeppelin Blog — Parity 多签历史漏洞复盘

---

附录：攻击面分析——为何 xpub 替换是多签特有的风险？

单签钱包是否存在 xpub 替换攻击？

答案：否。

在单签钱包结构中（如 BIP32/BIP39 衍生的标准钱包）：

• 钱包只依赖一个 xpub，并且这个 xpub 是从用户私钥派生而来；
• Coldcard、Trezor 等硬件钱包会自动根据本地 seed 派生地址，无需输入外部 xpub；
• 用户可以通过设备显示屏确认“这是我派生出来的地址”，不存在外部注入路径。

因此：xpub 替换在单签钱包中不存在攻击面，攻击路径被封死。

---

多签钱包为什么引入了 xpub 攻击面？

多签钱包（如 2-of-3、3-of-5）需要以下信息来生成地址：

1. 所有参与者的 xpub；
2. 公钥排序规则（如 BIP67）；
3. 多签脚本模板（如 OP_2 OP_3 OP_CHECKMULTISIG）；
4. 每个 key 的派生路径（如 m/48'/0'/0'/2'/0/1）；

这就意味着，用户必须信任这些输入的 xpub 是来自真正的签名方。如果攻击者悄悄将其中某一份换成自己控制的 xpub，那他就自动成为地址共管人，甚至是单签人。

Coldcard 攻击案例回顾：

• 用户通过 PSBT 模板或 JSON 导入多签配置；
• 攻击者在其中替换了某一参与者的 xpub；
• Coldcard 在旧版本中未提示或验证该替换；
• 用户生成地址、发送资金，攻击者即可随时提取。

---

攻击面比较表

• 单签钱包
• 不接收外部 xpub，派生路径完全由设备掌控；
• 地址来源明确、签名单一；

• xpub 替换攻击无效。

• 多签钱包

• 依赖多个外部 xpub 合成结构；
• 用户很难手动验证每一条 xpub 与 fingerprint；
• xpub 替换为高危攻击点。

---

Taproot 是否规避了 xpub 替换问题？

部分规避，但引入了新的验证难题。

Taproot + MuSig2 等结构通过将多个 pubkey 合成为一个点：

P = H(P1 + P2 + P3)

这确实可以隐藏合约结构，提升隐私，但也导致：

• 用户无法从地址还原参与者是谁；
• 如果其中一个公钥被攻击者替换，生成的地址仍然合法；
• 用户在链上看不到任何异常，但攻击者已取得合约控制权。

因此：Taproot 并未从根本上消除 xpub 替换的攻击面，反而因为其不可还原性使得攻击更加隐蔽。

---

总结

多签钱包之所以引入新的攻击面，不是因为它“更复杂”，而是因为它必须信任外部结构。一旦你的钱包要“与他人协作生成地址”，你就必须验证“这些人是谁”、“这些地址是怎么来的”——这就是攻击的入口。

单签保护的是私钥，
多签则要求你保护你的伙伴。

@ 866e0139:6a9334e5

Autor: Bastian Barucker. Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben. Sie finden alle Texte der Friedenstaube und weitere Texte zum Thema Frieden hier. Die neuesten Pareto-Artikel finden Sie in unserem Telegram-Kanal.

---

Die neuesten Artikel der Friedenstaube gibt es jetzt auch im eigenen Friedenstaube-Telegram-Kanal.

---

John Lennon besang in seinem weltberühmten Lied „Imagine“ die fast unvorstellbare Utopie einer Welt, in der es keinen Grund mehr zu töten gäbe und die Menschen in Frieden zusammen leben. Die enorme Resonanz und Verbreitung dieser Zeilen zeigt den Wunsch fast aller Menschen nach Frieden. Wie Lennon zu diesen Zeilen kam, ist ein Hinweis darauf, dass es dazu neben geopolitischen Analysen und deren Verbreitung durch eine nicht eingebettete und freie Presse vielleicht noch etwas braucht: Schattenarbeit – ein bewusstes Hinwenden zu den eigenen Tiefen der Persönlichkeit, dem inneren Tiefenstaat.

Was ist der Tiefenstaat?

Mit dem Begriff Tiefenstaat verbinde ich Strukturen, die Edward Bernays bereits vor knapp 100 Jahren in seinem Grundlagenwerk „Propaganda“ beschrieb. Im Vorwort schreibt er: „Organisationen, die im Verborgenen arbeiten, lenken die gesellschaftlichen Abläufe. Sie sind die eigentlichen Regierungen in unserem Land.“ Er verwendet diesbezüglich auch das Wort „Schattenkabinett“. Im Bereich der Persönlichkeitsentwicklung wird der Begriff „Schattenarbeit“ dafür verwendet, unbekannte, aber einflussreiche Anteile des eigenen Selbst zu entdecken und zu integrieren.

Lennon begab sich in den 70er Jahren des letzten Jahrhunderts auf die Reise zu sich selbst. Sein Weg führte ihn zum Psychologen Dr. Arthur Janov, der Menschen mithilfe der von ihm entwickelten Primärtherapie dabei begleitete, sich ihrer primären Prägungen und frühkindlichen Traumatisierungen bewusst zu werden und abgespaltenen Schmerz wieder zu erleben, um sich davon zu befreien. Entgegen stark kognitiv geprägter Ansätze wie der Gesprächstherapie steht bei dieser Art der Therapie Gefühlsausdruck im Vordergrund. Janov selbst schreibt dazu: «Die Krankheit ist die Verleugnung des Fühlens, und das Heilmittel ist das Fühlen.»

Auch der Psychologe und Psychotherapeut Franz Ruppert beschäftigt sich intensiv mit dem Fühlen als einem möglichen Weg, eine Traumatisierung aufzuarbeiten. Er schreibt Folgendes über die Bedeutung des Fühlens in seinem Buch „Wer bin ich in einer traumatisierten Gesellschaft“: „Denn letztlich können nur über das Ausdrücken von Gefühlen die fragmentierten psychischen Strukturen wieder zu einer Einheit zusammenfinden.“

Lennon war es möglich, die immense Menge an Schmerz zu entdecken, die er verborgen in sich trug, und er erkannte dabei, welche Verhaltensweisen und Bewältigungsstrategien damit verbunden waren. Laut Lennon ist „Unser Schmerz der Schmerz, durch den wir die ganze Zeit gehen. Du wirst in Schmerz hineingeboren, und wir befinden uns meist im Schmerz. Und ich glaube, je größer der Schmerz ist, umso mehr Götter brauchen wir.“

Die Schilderungen von John Lennon decken sich mit den Erfahrungen meiner Selbsterfahrung und meiner mittlerweile über 10 Jahre langen Begleitungsarbeit in der durch den Schweizer Willi Maurer entwickelten Gefühls- und Körperarbeit.

Auch in dieser Arbeit geht es darum, abgespaltenen Schmerz langsam und über viele Jahre aus dem Schatten in das Bewusstsein zu integrieren, um nicht weiter von ihm unbewusst beeinflusst zu werden. Hunderte Male habe ich Menschen ihnen vorher unbekannten Hass, tiefe Trauer, unendliche Ohnmacht, starke Hilflosigkeit, aber auch Freude, tiefe Geborgenheit, Liebe und Friedfertigkeit entdecken und ausleben sehen. Selber habe ich mich nach einem einjährigen Aufenthalt in der nordamerikanischen Wildnis, bei dem es darum ging, so ehrlich wie möglich miteinander umzugehen, ausführlich meiner Selbsterfahrung gewidmet und dabei Intensitäten von Schmerz, aber auch Zufriedenheit entdeckt, die mir nicht vorstellbar erschienen.

Der Krieg in uns

Fast immer zeigte sich in den begleiteten Prozessen, dass die im Alltag, in der Partnerschaft oder in der Familie angerührten Gefühle aus der eigenen frühen Kindheit stammten. Innere, überfordernde „Kriege“ und Übergriffigkeiten, die auch das Leben im Außen zum Krieg werden ließen, erwachten zum Leben und durften endlich Ausdruck finden. Schlussendlich zeigte sich meist, dass es einen friedlichen Umgang mit der aktuellen Situation gibt, wenn die Altlast „entsorgt“ beziehungsweise kompostiert, also gefühlt und integriert wurde.

Franz Renggli beschreibt diese Psychodynamik in seinem Buch Verlassenheit und Angst – Nähe und Geborgenheit in Bezug auf Partnerschaft wie folgt:

„Die Erfahrung aller meiner Paarbegleitungen zeigt nun: Wenn nach der ersten Verliebtheit langsam der „Alltag“ in eine Beziehung einkehrt, neigen beide Partner immer mehr dazu, ihre Schattenseiten, ihre alten und frühen Verletzungen auch in der Beziehung zuzulassen. Je sicherer die Grenzen sind, desto vertrauensvoller dürfen diese frühen Schmerzen gespürt und erfahren werden. Wir „steigen dann wieder ab“ in unsere ursprüngliche Hölle der Verlassenheit, in die frühkindlichen Prägungen, wie ich sie hier beschrieben habe. Nur: die Hölle sind dann nicht länger die Eltern, sondern jetzt der Partner oder die Partnerin! Vielleicht könnte ich sie oder ihn umbringen vor Enttäuschung und Wut, weil er/sie mich so sehr verletzt hat. Und damit kann sie beginnen, die Heilung der alten Wunden in der Paarbeziehung! Aber nur dann, wenn wir bereit sind, unsere alten verletzten Gefühle wirklich zu spüren und zuzulassen. Und wenn wir zu diesem Schritt bereit sind, dann können wir auch gleichzeitig empfinden und wissen: Das sind unsere ureigensten alten Verletzungen, welche wir seit der Kindheit in uns tragen – ein Partner mit seinen Worten und seinem Verhalten ist nur der Auslöser unseres alten Schmerzes, ein harter Spiegel unserer alten Wunden! Wir alle haben unsere Partner entsprechend gewählt, damit wir in unseren Grundfesten immer wieder – neben allem Glück, das wir mit ihnen erleben und teilen dürfen – auch erschüttert werden.“

Diese wiederkehrenden Erschütterungen werden auch Reinszenierungszwang genannt und lassen Menschen immer wieder dieselben misslichen Lagen (mit)erschaffen, die ihnen Leid zufügen. Willi Maurer beschreibt diese Dynamik in einem sehr lesenswerten Artikel mit dem Titel „Die verschüttete Quelle des Friedens“ wie folgt: „Die Spirale der Gewalt zeigt, dass wir andern Menschen das antun, was uns selbst widerfahren ist. Doch ohne Selbsterforschung bleiben wir blind gegenüber der tief in uns verdrängt liegenden Wahrheit.“

Diese Reinszenierung ist gleichzeitig jedoch eine immer wiederkehrende Chance, sich der Ursache dieser Dynamik zuzuwenden. Das geschieht dann, wenn die Person sich als Erschaffer oder Erschafferin und nicht als reines Opfer der Umstände versteht und beginnt, die volle Verantwortung für das eigene Leben zu übernehmen.

Vor einigen Jahren brachte ich den Prozessbegleiter Willi Maurer und den Friedensforscher Dr. Daniele Ganser zu einem Gespräch zusammen, weil ich der Ansicht war, dass beide Friedensarbeit aus verschiedenen Perspektiven leisten. Es war eine Wohltat, zu erleben, wie Ganser durch die sehr authentischen Schilderungen Maurers zu ahnen begann, dass es eine Verbindung zwischen weltweiten Kriegen und frühen Erfahrungen geben kann. Was hat der Soldat, Politiker oder Geostratege erlebt, dass er in der Lage ist, Krieg zu befördern, zu verursachen oder auch nur zu dulden?

Vielleicht ist die immer wiederkehrende Kriegsbereitschaft und Kriegslust elitärer Kreise neben der wahrscheinlich frühkindlich erzeugten Gier nach Macht, Einfluss und Geld ebenfalls ein gesellschaftlicher Reinszenierungszwang. Die inneren Zerwürfnisse und Kriege müssen quasi ins Außen getragen werden, um sich dem im Schatten der eigenen Persönlichkeit wartenden Schmerz nicht zuwenden zu müssen.

Eine weitere Bewältigungsstrategie für innere, emotionale Zerwürfnisse ist die Projektion, also die Veräußerlichung des Eigenen auf andere. Ein hier vielleicht Sinn stiftendes Beispiel ist die immer wieder betonte weitestgehend unbelegte Unterstellung imperialistischer Bestrebungen Russlands im Zuge des völkerrechtswidrigen Krieges in der Ukraine. Meist kommt diese Behauptung von Vertretern oder Unterstützern der NATO, die – wie an ihrer großflächigen, gegen westliche Zusagen an Russland verstoßenden NATO-Osterweiterung leicht zu erkennen – offensichtlich selbst imperialistische Bestrebungen verfolgt.

Die Projektion ins Außen

Interessanterweise hat ausgerechnet Präsident Putin in anschaulichen Worten beschrieben, was unter anderem mit im Schatten liegenden Persönlichkeitsanteilen auch auf geopolitischer Ebene passieren kann. Sie werden anderen Menschen oder Staaten zugeschrieben, also ins Außen projiziert. Auf die Beschuldigung durch US-Präsidenten Joe Biden, ein Mörder zu sein, antwortete Putin: „Aber wenn wir andere Menschen bewerten, oder wenn wir sogar andere Staaten, andere Völker bewerten, sehen wir immer in den Spiegel, wir sehen uns immer selbst, weil wir auf eine andere Person übertragen, was wir selbst sind, was uns im Wesentlichen ausmacht. Wissen Sie, ich erinnere mich, als wir als Kinder im Hinterhof waren, als wir miteinander gestritten und gesagt haben: Wie Du andere nennst, so bist Du selbst. Und das ist kein Zufall, das ist nicht nur ein Kindersprichwort oder ein Witz. Der Sinn ist sehr psychologisch. Wir sehen immer unsere eigenen Qualitäten in einer anderen Person und denken, dass sie so ist wie wir, und daraus bewerten wir ihr Handeln und bewerten sie insgesamt.“

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7sMAHWH_hhQ

Der bereits erwähnte Tiefenstaat, also eine quasi Schattenregierung, existiert auf der geopolitischen Weltbühne und bestimmt größtenteils die Geschicke, insbesondere wenn es um Krieg und Frieden geht. Der Kognitionsforscher Professor Rainer Mausfeld beschreibt die unsichtbar im Hintergrund wirkenden Strukturen in seinem Buch „Angst und Macht“ wie folgt: „Die tatsächliche Macht ist heute in neuartigen globalen Organisationsformen verortet, die vollkommen einer gesellschaftlichen Kontrolle entzogen sind, die für die Bevölkerung weitgehend unsichtbar sind…“

Gleiches gilt meiner Annahme nach auch für die persönlichen Machtverhältnisse, bei denen eigene Schattenanteile ebenfalls großen Einfluss auf die sichtbaren Verhaltensweisen nehmen. Dieser unbewusste Anteil kann auf der einen Seite Macht über die eigene Kriegsbereitschaft und Friedenstüchtigkeit ausüben, auf der anderen Seite wird er von Kriegstreibern mittels kognitiver Kriegsführung aktiv benutzt, um die Bevölkerung zu manipulieren. Der Propagandaforscher Dr. Jonas Tögel schreibt dazu: „Die Tiefenpsychologie dient als Fundament der wohl wichtigsten Manipulationswaffe: die gezielte Beeinflussung des Unbewussten der menschlichen Psyche. Wie bei einem Eisberg liegt ein großer Teil unserer Gedanken und Gefühle „unter der Wasseroberfläche“, und hier können wir so beeinflusst werden, dass wir die Steuerung selbst oft nicht bemerken.“

Der Tiefe Staat kann also ungesehen politisch schalten und walten und gleichzeitig die unbewussten Anteile der menschlichen Psyche zu seinen Gunsten ausnutzen.

Teil 2 folgt in Kürze.

---

Bastian Barucker, Jahrgang 83, ist Wildnispädagoge, Überlebenstrainer und Prozessbegleiter. Seit 2005 begleitet er Menschen bei Wachstumsprozessen in der Natur. Seit 2011 macht er mithilfe der Gefühls- und Körperarbeit tiefgreifende Selbsterfahrungen, und seit 2014 begleitet er Gruppen, Paare und Einzelpersonen. Er lebt und arbeitet im wunderschönen Lassaner Winkel, nahe der Insel Usedom. Zuletzt erschien von ihm das Buch "Auf Spurensuche nach Natürlichkeit: Vom Leben in der Wildnis und der Reise zu sich selbst" im Massel Verlag.

Kontakt: www.bastian-barucker.de

---

LASSEN SIE DER FRIEDENSTAUBE FLÜGEL WACHSEN!

Hier können Sie die Friedenstaube abonnieren und bekommen die Artikel zugesandt.

Schon jetzt können Sie uns unterstützen:

• Für 50 CHF/EURO bekommen Sie ein Jahresabo der Friedenstaube.
• Für 120 CHF/EURO bekommen Sie ein Jahresabo und ein T-Shirt/Hoodie mit der Friedenstaube.
• Für 500 CHF/EURO werden Sie Förderer und bekommen ein lebenslanges Abo sowie ein T-Shirt/Hoodie mit der Friedenstaube.
• Ab 1000 CHF werden Sie Genossenschafter der Friedenstaube mit Stimmrecht (und bekommen lebenslanges Abo, T-Shirt/Hoodie).

Für Einzahlungen in CHF (Betreff: Friedenstaube):

Für Einzahlungen in Euro:

Milosz Matuschek

IBAN DE 53710520500000814137

BYLADEM1TST

Sparkasse Traunstein-Trostberg

Betreff: Friedenstaube

Wenn Sie auf anderem Wege beitragen wollen, schreiben Sie die Friedenstaube an: friedenstaube@pareto.space

---

Sie sind noch nicht auf Nostr and wollen die volle Erfahrung machen (liken, kommentieren etc.)? Zappen können Sie den Autor auch ohne Nostr-Profil! Erstellen Sie sich einen Account auf Start. Weitere Onboarding-Leitfäden gibt es im Pareto-Wiki.

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

Shifting left on accessibility means building inclusivity into every phase of a project—from strategy to QA—saving time, reducing risk, and creating better user experiences.

Shifting left is about collaboration: a successful website project isn’t a linear train ride from content to design to development. It’s a dynamic, collaborative ecosystem that means everyone contributes.

• Strategists ensure content is easy to find.
• Designers prioritize color contrast, readable typography, and interactive elements.
• Back-end developers support accessible content structures and accessible interaction.
• Front-end developers implement semantic markup and accessible UI components.
• QA testers verify functionality across assistive devices.
• DevOps engineers integrate automated accessibility checks into the workflow.
• Technical project managers: keep accessibility visible and prioritized.

Accessibility should be part of every conversation—from kickoff to QA.

Read the full article at https://www.lullabot.com/articles/what-it-means-shift-left-accessibility-and-how-do-it-right

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/977943

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

VIET GD is a casual index, archive, and celebration of Vietnamese graphic design. Currently, there are 274 objects in this collection. Understandably, a lot of propaganda posters... as well as music themed ones! Here below some of the most interesting ones:

Explore them all at https://vietgd.com/

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/977939

@ a9434ee1:d5c885be

Colors as a fun and useful identifier

Nostr apps often use totally random colors for their default avatars, profiles names in chat bubbles, etc... That's a missed opportunity. Why don't we just we just derive a color from the npub and use that instead, interoperably across apps?

It gives us a fun and visual extra point of recognition, often without having to add anything extra to the UIs.

The only problem is that we cannot just allow for any color. The colors should be readable as text in Light and Dark modes and gray-scales should be avoided too.

This is the goal: Luckily, there's a super simple solution.
(which was used to derive the colors above)

Deriving the Colors

You can find the simple spec here: nostr: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

TLDR: 1. Convert HEX pubkey to Int 2. Calculate the Hue value: Int % 360 3. Set Saturation to 90 for Hues between 216 and 273, use 80 for the rest 4. Set Brightness to 65 for Hues between 32 and 212, use 85 for the rest

Convert HSB color to whatever format you need. Done.

Easy & Fun to integrate!

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

A set of beautifully-designed, accessible components and a code distribution platform. Works with your favorite frameworks. Open Source. Open Code.

This is how @kurtispapple make use of it https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/championing-health-data-interoperability-my-journey-nz-kurtis-papple-mwglc

Start building yours at https://ui.shadcn.com/

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/977930

@ 57d1a264:69f1fee1

It's incredible how deep people can go into something so mundane as a post stamp. Postage stamps are a surprisingly complex topic, overlapping with money, collectibility and bank notes. I was a postage stamp enthusiast myself, but this is one of those “the universe is surprisingly detailed” type. The rules defining postage and how it has been ruling commerce for centuries is even more fascinating and intriguing.

Discover more at https://www.linyangchen.com/Philately

originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/977918

@ 9c9d2765:16f8c2c2

CHAPTER SIXTEEN

Mr. JP sat up abruptly as his phone buzzed. It was an anonymous message. He opened it slowly, his eyes scanning the contents with growing disbelief.

"James has returned to JP Enterprises. Charles reinstated him. He’s now President of your company."

His blood ran cold.

Mrs. JP saw the tension in his expression. "What’s wrong?"

"He’s back," Mr. JP said grimly. "Our son. James. He's taken over the company."

He stared into space, his mind reeling. "And Charles helped him..."

They had spent years trying to distance themselves from the disgrace of James’s past only to now be faced with the reality that he had clawed his way back into the empire they built.

The anonymous message was, of course, sent by Mark and Helen, each relishing in the chaos they had ignited. With the scandalous file now in their hands and James’s own family unknowingly brought into the picture, they believed the final blow was in place.

Mark leaned back in his chair and smiled as he read the forwarded documents.

"Let’s see how your so-called empire stands after this, James," he said quietly.

Helen, standing beside him, added coldly, "This time, he won’t survive it."

"How could he do this?" Mr. JP muttered under his breath, clutching his phone tightly. "How could Charles go behind my back and reinstall him? My own brother..."

The news that James had returned to JP Enterprises and not just as a member, but as its President had shaken him to the core. But what stung more was the betrayal he felt from Charles, who had once promised never to interfere in the matter again.

Fuming with rage and disbelief, Mr. JP boarded the next flight back home. Upon arrival, he didn’t even stop by the family estate. Instead, he went straight to the Regency Grand, the city’s most luxurious hotel, the same place he used to spend time with his family during better days. He booked the presidential suite and immediately dialed Charles' number.

"Meet me. Now. At the hotel," he barked before ending the call without waiting for a response.

Within the hour, Charles walked in, calm but aware of the storm brewing.

"You defied me, Charles," Mr. JP said, his voice icy. "You brought back the one person I had removed. The one person I swore would never set foot in the company again."

"Because you were wrong," Charles replied firmly. "You made a decision based on lies."

Mr. JP’s glare deepened.

"Lies? The records were clear embezzlement. Theft. He disgraced this family, Charles!"

Charles stood his ground. "Those records were manipulated. You never gave James a chance to explain himself."

He stepped closer. "The funds he was accused of stealing? He used them to invest in a struggling tech start-up that exploded in value two years later. That investment saved JP Enterprises during the economic downturn. The company is standing today because of James’s vision and sacrifice."

Silence filled the room.

Mr. JP felt his heart sink as the weight of Charles’s words settled in. He turned away, walking slowly to the window, staring out at the city skyline.

"All this time... I condemned my own son... exiled him... because I trusted false reports?"

Charles nodded. "Yes. And despite it all, he returned not for revenge, but to help us."

Tears welled up in Mr. JP’s eyes. His pride, once like stone, was now crumbling.

Without hesitation, he picked up his phone and dialed James’s number. The phone rang twice before James answered.

"Hello?" came the familiar voice, calm and distant.

"James... it’s your father." His voice trembled. "I... I’m sorry. I was wrong. Gravely wrong. Everything I believed about you was a lie. I let you down, son."

There was silence on the other end.

"I just found out the truth," Mr. JP continued. "And I’m proud of what you’ve done for the company, for our name. I want you to know... you are reinstated as the rightful heir to JP Enterprises. I want you back not just as President, but as my son."

James took a long pause before answering.

"It took you long enough," he said softly. "But... thank you."

Though James had once sworn not to seek his parents' approval, deep down, those words still mattered. And hearing them from the father who had disowned him brought a quiet sense of closure.

The rift that had torn them apart for years was beginning to heal.

"Dad, who told you I was the President of JP Enterprises?" James asked, his tone calm but firm as he stood before his father in the grand office of the family estate.

Mr. JP, still adjusting to the emotional weight of his recent apology, furrowed his brow. "It was anonymous, son. I received a message with no name, no clue. Just the information."

James narrowed his eyes. "Can you forward the message to me?"

"Of course," his father replied, pulling out his phone. Within seconds, the message was in James’s inbox.

Later that evening, James sat in his private office, staring at the message on his screen. Something about it felt off too calculated, too timely. He forwarded it to his personal cybersecurity team with one instruction: “Trace the source. I want to know everything about who sent it, how, and if they’re working with someone.”

Meanwhile, Ray Enterprises was thriving again under James’s investment. With the influx of capital and revitalized operations, profits were skyrocketing. However, while the company’s success looked promising on the surface, the Ray family was barely reaping the rewards.

James’s 85% share ensured he collected the lion’s portion of every deal. Robert, despite being the figurehead chairman, found himself managing a flourishing empire but receiving only crumbs in return.

Frustrated and desperate, Robert scheduled a private meeting with James.

"James, please... eighty-five percent is bleeding us dry. We’re grateful for what you’ve done truly but surely we can renegotiate?"

James leaned back in his chair, expression unreadable. "You signed the agreement, Robert. You knew the terms. And frankly, I'm not in the mood to revisit old conversations."

"We just want fairness," Robert pleaded. "A little breathing space"

"If this discussion continues," James interrupted coldly, "I’ll pull out my funds. And when I do, I promise Ray Enterprises will go down faster than it rose. Do I make myself clear?"

Robert’s face fell. He had no choice but to nod and walk away, defeated.

Two weeks later, James’s cybersecurity team sent their report. The source of the anonymous message had been traced and the result was both surprising and telling.

Tracy.

James sat silently as he read the details. Tracy, his own subordinate, had accessed restricted files from the company’s internal network. It wasn’t just a case of whistleblowing it was deliberate sabotage. But what intrigued him more was the fact that she had gone to great lengths to cover her tracks.

No one takes that risk alone, he thought.

Despite having the evidence in hand, James chose silence. Not out of mercy but strategy. He needed to know who she was working with. Who else had a vested interest in his downfall?

@ d7955b22:025a3ba9

O mundo dos jogos online tem se expandido rapidamente, oferecendo uma infinidade de opções para os jogadores. Entre as diversas plataformas disponíveis, o 99bra se destaca por sua variedade de opções e a experiência de usuário única que proporciona. Este artigo oferece uma visão detalhada sobre o que o 99bra tem a oferecer, desde suas características gerais até a experiência de jogo que promete satisfazer todos os tipos de jogadores.

Introdução à Plataforma 99bra 99bra é uma plataforma de entretenimento digital voltada para os entusiastas de jogos online. Com um design intuitivo e uma interface amigável, a plataforma foi criada para oferecer uma experiência de navegação fluida, seja em desktop ou dispositivos móveis. A plataforma se destaca pela sua confiabilidade e pela qualidade dos jogos oferecidos, sempre priorizando a segurança e a proteção dos dados de seus usuários.

Ao se cadastrar no 99bra, os jogadores têm acesso a uma ampla gama de opções de jogos, desde clássicos até lançamentos inovadores. O site se adapta às necessidades dos usuários, com suporte em português e atendimento ao cliente de excelência, tornando a plataforma acessível a jogadores de todas as idades e níveis de experiência. O processo de inscrição é rápido e simples, permitindo que os novos usuários comecem a se divertir em poucos minutos.

A Variedade de Jogos no 99bra O que realmente chama a atenção no 99bra é a diversidade de jogos oferecidos. A plataforma conta com uma vasta seleção de títulos, abrangendo uma ampla gama de gêneros. Seja você um fã de jogos de mesa, slots ou apostas esportivas, o 99bra tem algo para todos. Cada categoria de jogo é desenvolvida para garantir jogabilidade envolvente, gráficos impressionantes e uma experiência imersiva.

Jogos de Mesa Os jogos de mesa são um dos maiores atrativos da plataforma, com várias opções que incluem clássicos como blackjack, roleta e baccarat. Estes jogos oferecem uma experiência realista e dinâmica, com a possibilidade de interagir com outros jogadores. A interface é cuidadosamente projetada para garantir que cada clique e movimento se sinta natural, criando uma atmosfera que lembra a de um ambiente de jogo físico.

Slots e Máquinas de Vídeo Para os amantes das máquinas de vídeo, o 99bra oferece uma impressionante coleção de slots. Os jogadores podem explorar uma variedade de temas, desde aventuras épicas até histórias de fantasia, com gráficos vibrantes e animações cativantes. As funções de bônus, rodadas grátis e jackpots progressivos tornam os jogos ainda mais emocionantes, com a possibilidade de grandes vitórias a cada giro.

Apostas Esportivas Outro ponto forte da plataforma são as apostas esportivas. O 99bra oferece uma extensa seleção de esportes para os fãs de esportes ao vivo. Seja futebol, basquete, tênis ou eSports, a plataforma proporciona odds competitivas e a chance de apostar em eventos de todo o mundo, com atualizações em tempo real para garantir que o jogador esteja sempre informado.

A Experiência do Jogador A experiência do jogador é o aspecto que diferencia o 99bra de outras plataformas. Desde o momento do cadastro até as interações durante os jogos, a plataforma é projetada para oferecer facilidade, conforto e diversão sem interrupções. O 99bra é otimizado para fornecer uma navegação rápida e sem erros, com um layout que garante que o jogador possa acessar todos os jogos e funcionalidades de forma simples.

Além disso, a plataforma oferece recursos adicionais para tornar a experiência ainda mais envolvente. Os jogadores podem configurar preferências de jogo, participar de promoções exclusivas e interagir com outros jogadores, criando uma verdadeira comunidade. A segurança também é uma prioridade, com criptografia de dados avançada e processos de verificação para garantir que todas as transações e informações pessoais estejam protegidas.

Suporte ao Cliente O suporte ao cliente do 99bra é excepcional. A plataforma oferece múltiplos canais de atendimento, incluindo chat ao vivo, e-mail e telefone, para que os jogadores possam obter assistência rápida sempre que necessário. A equipe de suporte é altamente treinada e pronta para resolver qualquer dúvida ou problema de forma eficiente, garantindo que a experiência do jogador nunca seja comprometida.

Conclusão O 99bra é uma plataforma completa que atende aos mais altos padrões de qualidade e segurança no universo dos jogos online. Com uma vasta seleção de jogos, suporte ao cliente de excelência e uma experiência de usuário impecável, o 99bra se consolida como uma das opções mais atrativas para quem busca diversão e entretenimento. Se você está procurando uma plataforma que combine inovação, variedade e uma jogabilidade envolvente, o 99bra certamente é uma excelente escolha.

@ d7955b22:025a3ba9

A plataforma 53a é uma das mais novas e emocionantes opções para quem busca uma experiência completa de entretenimento digital. Com uma ampla gama de jogos e funcionalidades voltadas para o prazer e a diversão dos jogadores, a 53a se destaca por sua interface intuitiva, seu foco na segurança e uma vasta gama de opções para todos os gostos. Se você ainda não conhece essa plataforma inovadora, continue lendo e descubra tudo o que ela tem a oferecer!

Introdução à Plataforma 53a A 53a é uma plataforma de entretenimento online que se destaca pelo seu compromisso em oferecer uma experiência única aos jogadores. Com um design moderno e acessível, a plataforma foi criada para atender a um público que busca algo mais do que simples joguinhos – ela oferece uma verdadeira imersão em um universo de possibilidades.

Ao acessar a 53a , os usuários são rapidamente apresentados a um painel de controle simplificado, onde podem facilmente navegar por diferentes categorias de jogos, conferir promoções e acessar uma série de recursos exclusivos. Além disso, a plataforma está disponível em diversos dispositivos, incluindo desktop, smartphones e tablets, permitindo que o jogador tenha acesso à diversão em qualquer lugar e a qualquer momento.

Jogos Empolgantes para Todos os Gostos A 53a não se limita a um único tipo de jogo. Em vez disso, oferece uma vasta gama de opções, com títulos que atendem a diferentes preferências e estilos de jogo. Desde jogos de habilidade, como jogos de mesa e jogos de cartas, até opções mais interativas e imersivas, como máquinas de diversão, a plataforma tem algo para todos os jogadores.

Jogos de Mesa e Cartas: Para os que apreciam uma experiência mais estratégica, a 53a oferece uma seleção diversificada de jogos de mesa, incluindo opções clássicas como o blackjack, pôquer e roleta. Cada jogo é projetado para proporcionar uma experiência desafiadora e envolvente, com gráficos impressionantes e uma jogabilidade fluida.

Máquinas de Diversão: Para quem busca uma experiência mais dinâmica e de fácil acesso, as máquinas de diversão são a escolha perfeita. Com uma vasta gama de temas e estilos, essas máquinas são ideais para momentos de descontração, com rodadas rápidas e prêmios atrativos. Cada jogo tem sua própria atmosfera única, com sons e animações que mantêm o jogador imerso por horas.

Jogos ao Vivo: Uma das grandes atrações da 53a são os jogos ao vivo, onde os jogadores podem interagir em tempo real com dealers e outros participantes. Esses jogos trazem a emoção de uma experiência presencial, mas com a conveniência de estar em casa ou onde preferir.

A Experiência do Jogador na 53a A experiência do jogador na plataforma 53a é pensada para ser fluida, segura e divertida. Com uma interface simples, os jogadores podem facilmente acessar seus jogos favoritos e navegar por outras funcionalidades da plataforma.

Interface Intuitiva: Desde o momento em que você entra na 53a, perceberá como a plataforma foi projetada com o usuário em mente. O layout claro e as opções bem definidas tornam a navegação fácil, mesmo para aqueles que não são tão familiarizados com plataformas digitais.

Segurança e Privacidade: A plataforma 53a adota as melhores práticas de segurança para garantir que todas as informações dos jogadores sejam protegidas. Desde transações financeiras até dados pessoais, a 53a utiliza tecnologias avançadas de criptografia para garantir que seus dados estejam sempre seguros.

Atendimento ao Cliente: A 53a se destaca também pelo seu excelente suporte ao cliente. Caso o jogador tenha alguma dúvida ou precise de ajuda, pode contar com uma equipe de atendimento pronta para oferecer assistência de forma rápida e eficaz. A plataforma também conta com uma seção de perguntas frequentes (FAQ) que ajuda a esclarecer as dúvidas mais comuns.

Conclusão A plataforma 53a se consolida como uma das principais opções de entretenimento online para quem busca diversão, segurança e uma experiência de usuário completa. Com uma grande variedade de jogos, suporte de alta qualidade e uma interface amigável, ela atende às necessidades de todos os tipos de jogadores, proporcionando momentos inesquecíveis. Se você está à procura de uma plataforma inovadora, segura e divertida, a 53a é a escolha certa para você!

@ d41bf82f:ed90d888

“ฉันยังคงเชื่อและหวังว่า สักวันหนึ่งการเมืองและเศรษฐกิจจะลดบทบาทลงจากความสำคัญที่เคยมีในอดีต วันหนึ่งจะมาถึง วันที่ข้อถกเถียงทั้งหลายที่เรามีอยู่ในปัจจุบันเกี่ยวกับเรื่องเหล่านี้ จะดูเล็กน้อยหรือไร้ความหมาย ไม่ต่างจากการโต้แย้งทางเทววิทยาในยุคกลาง ซึ่งแม้แต่ปัญญาชนที่เฉียบแหลมที่สุดก็ยังทุ่มเทแรงกายแรงใจให้กับมันอย่างไร้ประโยชน์”

— อาร์เธอร์ ซี. คลาร์ก

บทนี้เปรียบเทียบการล่มสลายของโครงสร้างอำนาจทางการเมืองในยุคปัจจุบันกับความเสื่อมถอยของศาสนจักรในยุคกลาง ผู้เขียนตั้งข้อสังเกตว่าการเมืองสมัยใหม่—ในฐานะกิจกรรมที่เน้นการแย่งชิงอำนาจรัฐและให้เหตุผลแก่การใช้อำนาจ—เป็นเพียงสิ่งประดิษฐ์ชั่วคราวที่เกิดขึ้นในช่วงเวลาที่ผลตอบแทนจากการควบคุมรัฐมีสูง โดยเฉพาะในช่วงหลังการปฏิวัติดินปืน ซึ่งเป็นเหตุการณ์สำคัญที่เปลี่ยนตรรกะของการใช้ความรุนแรงอย่างรุนแรง

ก่อนหน้าการปฏิวัติดินปืน อำนาจทางทหารกระจัดกระจายอยู่ในมือของชนชั้นสูงตามระบบศักดินา อัศวินม้าหุ้มเกราะคือศูนย์กลางของกองกำลัง ซึ่งควบคุมได้ยากและมีต้นทุนสูง เมื่อมีดินปืนเข้ามาแทนที่ มันทำให้รัฐสามารถจัดตั้งกองทัพถาวรที่ควบคุมจากส่วนกลางได้อย่างมีประสิทธิภาพ ต้นทุนต่อหน่วยของความรุนแรงลดลง แต่กำลังทำลายล้างกลับเพิ่มขึ้น ทำให้การผูกขาดการใช้กำลังโดยรัฐกลายเป็นสิ่ง “คุ้มทุน” และส่งเสริมให้เกิดรัฐชาติสมัยใหม่ที่มีการเก็บภาษีอย่างเป็นระบบ มีระบบราชการ และกองทัพประจำการ

การเมืองในความหมายใหม่จึงถือกำเนิดขึ้นจากการแย่งชิงทรัพยากรและอำนาจรัฐที่เติบโตจากอิทธิพลของดินปืน ความสำคัญของคำถาม “ใครควบคุมรัฐ?” จึงกลายเป็นแกนกลางของความขัดแย้งทางการเมืองตลอด 500 ปีที่ผ่านมา ในมุมมองของผู้เขียน การเมืองไม่ได้เป็นแก่นแท้ของการดำรงอยู่ของมนุษย์ แต่เป็นผลพลอยได้จากเงื่อนไขทางเทคโนโลยีและภูมิสังคมในช่วงเวลาหนึ่ง ซึ่งกำลังหมดสภาพไปอย่างช้าๆ จากอิทธิพลของการปฏิวัติสารสนเทศ เช่นเดียวกับที่ระบบศักดินาเคยสิ้นสุดลงเมื่อสิ้นยุคกลาง

กระบวนการนี้เริ่มสังเกตได้จากความเบื่อหน่ายและการเสื่อมศรัทธาที่ผู้คนมีต่อการเมืองทั่วโลก ความไม่พอใจต่อการทุจริตของผู้นำ ความล้มเหลวในการบริหาร และความไร้ประสิทธิภาพของรัฐชาติ สะท้อนถึงการหมดอำนาจของโครงสร้างทางการเมืองแบบเดิมในระดับลึก แม้ในปัจจุบันผู้คนยังไม่สามารถจินตนาการถึงชีวิตที่ปราศจากการเมืองได้อย่างสิ้นเชิง แต่กระแสความเสื่อมถอยได้เริ่มขึ้นแล้ว เหมือนกับที่ผู้คนในยุคกลางยังเชื่อในอำนาจของศาสนจักร ทั้งที่ศรัทธาที่แท้จริงได้เสื่อมสลายไปก่อนหน้านั้นนาน

ผู้เขียนเปรียบการล่มสลายของการเมืองสมัยใหม่กับการล่มสลายของพระศาสนจักรในปลายคริสต์ศตวรรษที่ 15 โดยให้เหตุผลว่า ในช่วงนั้นผู้คนเริ่มหมดศรัทธาในนักบวช ทั้งระดับสูงและระดับล่าง มีการกล่าวหาว่าหิวเงิน คาวโลกีย์ และขายบาป ผู้คนยังเชื่อในศรัทธาภายนอก แต่ในความเป็นจริง สถาบันศาสนากลับไร้อำนาจในการควบคุมสังคม ความเปรียบเทียบนี้นำไปสู่ข้อเสนอว่ารัฐชาติกำลังเดินตามเส้นทางเดียวกัน คือหมดอำนาจลงทั้งในทางปฏิบัติและความชอบธรรม ในโลกยุคสารสนเทศ การควบคุมของรัฐมีต้นทุนสูงขึ้น เทคโนโลยีทำให้ผู้คนหลีกเลี่ยงอำนาจรัฐได้มากขึ้น รัฐไม่สามารถผูกขาดการใช้ความรุนแรงหรือการเก็บภาษีได้ง่ายเหมือนเดิม รัฐชาติจึงจะค่อย ๆ ถูกแทนที่ด้วยรูปแบบใหม่ของอธิปไตย เช่น เมืองอิสระหรือสาธารณรัฐพ่อค้า ซึ่งต้องแข่งขันกันเสมือนบริษัทเอกชน คิดค่าบริการตามคุณค่าที่ให้กับพลเมือง ผู้เขียนยังวิจารณ์มายาคติของยุคต่าง ๆ ที่บดบังความเข้าใจความจริงของโครงสร้างอำนาจ เช่น มายาคติเรื่องอัศวินในยุคกลาง หรือมายาคติเรื่องประชาธิปไตยในยุคปัจจุบัน ทั้งสองต่างเป็นภาพลวงที่ผูกปัจเจกบุคคลเข้ากับอำนาจรัฐเพื่อระดมทรัพยากรและแรงงาน ในยุคที่ต้นทุนของการใช้อำนาจเปลี่ยนไป บทบาทของทั้งอัศวินในยุคศักดินา และพลเมืองในยุคประชาธิปไตย ก็จะเสื่อมลงตามไปด้วย

กล่าวโดยสรุป บทนี้เสนอว่าเรากำลังอยู่ในช่วงหัวเลี้ยวหัวต่อของประวัติศาสตร์ เมื่อระบบรัฐชาติและการเมืองในรูปแบบที่เราคุ้นเคยกำลังถึงจุดจบ เทคโนโลยีสารสนเทศจะปลดล็อกพลังของปัจเจกบุคคลให้มีทางเลือกที่หลากหลายกว่าการอยู่ภายใต้รัฐเพียงแบบเดียว และโลกใหม่ที่กำลังจะมาอาจไม่ต้องการ “การเมือง” อย่างที่เราเคยรู้จักอีกต่อไป...

สามารถไปติดตามเนื้อหาแบบ short vdo ที่สรุปประเด็นสำคัญจากแต่ละบท พร้อมกราฟิกและคำอธิบายกระชับ เข้าใจง่าย ได้ที่ TikTok ช่อง https://www.tiktok.com/@moneyment1971

@ 502ab02a:a2860397

สัปดาห์ที่ผ่านมา เราพักผ่อนย้อนไปเพื่อทำความเข้าใจต้นเหตุของซีรีส์นี้กันแล้วนะครับ ทีนี้เราจะมาสนทนากันต่อจากที่ค้างคาไว้กันครับ

ย้อนกลับไปเมื่อราวทศวรรษ 1970-1980 เป็นยุคที่โลกยังเชื่อว่า “ไขมัน” คือผู้ร้ายตัวจริงในวงการสุขภาพ ปิรามิดอาหารจาก USDA จึงถือกำเนิดขึ้น โดยมีฐานล่างกว้างใหญ่เต็มไปด้วยข้าว แป้ง ซีเรียล พาสต้า และขนมปัง เรียกรวมว่า “กลุ่มคาร์โบไฮเดรต” และถูกวางให้เป็นเสาหลักของอาหารประจำวัน ภายใต้แนวคิดว่าให้พลังงานสูง ไขมันต่ำ ดีต่อหัวใจ และเหมาะกับการเลี้ยงประชากรโลกที่เพิ่มขึ้นอย่างรวดเร็ว

แต่ความจริงที่เปิดเผยภายหลังคือ ปิรามิดอาหารนี้มิได้เกิดจากวิทยาศาสตร์บริสุทธิ์ หากแต่เกิดจากกระบวนการ “เปิดประมูลนโยบาย” โดยกลุ่มอุตสาหกรรมเกษตรรายใหญ่ ซึ่งต้องการระบายผลผลิตคาร์โบไฮเดรตจำนวนมหาศาลจากข้าวโพด ข้าวสาลี และถั่วเหลืองที่รัฐบาลอเมริกันอุดหนุนให้เพาะปลูกเกินความจำเป็น (ดูรายงาน PBS: The Food Pyramid) หน้าที่จัดสรรนี้จึงอยู่ภายใต้ USDA หรือ กระทรวงเกษตรสหรัฐอเมริกา

ขณะที่ผู้คนถูกสอนให้หลีกเลี่ยงไขมัน โปรตีนสัตว์ และหันมากินซีเรียลเป็นอาหารเช้า ผลิตภัณฑ์ไขมันต่ำแทบทุกชนิดกลับต้องเติมน้ำตาลและแป้งเพื่อให้มีรสชาติ นำไปสู่การระบาดของโรคอ้วน เบาหวาน ความดัน และ NCD ทั่วโลก ที่เราเพิ่งจะเข้าใจกันวันนี้ว่ามีรากมาจาก “ปิรามิดคาร์บ” นั่นเอง

คำถามคือ ทำไมการกำหนดอาหารของอเมริกา (ซึ่งแน่นอนว่าแพร่กระจายไปทั่วโลกภายใต้ข้อกำหนดเดียวกัน) จึงเกิดขึ้นจาก "กระทรวงเกษตรสหรัฐอเมริกา" ไม่ใช่ หน่วยงานทางวิทยาศาสตร์ หรือ การแพทย์

หรือเพราะ “อาหาร” ในอเมริกา ไม่ได้เริ่มจากคำว่า “สุขภาพ” แต่เริ่มจาก “เศรษฐกิจ”

ย้อนกลับไปช่วงต้นศตวรรษที่ 20 โดยเฉพาะหลังสงครามโลกครั้งที่สอง สหรัฐฯ ต้องการฟื้นฟูเศรษฐกิจและผลักดันภาคการเกษตรให้โตอย่างรวดเร็ว โดยเฉพาะสินค้าพืชเชิงอุตสาหกรรม เช่น ข้าวโพด ข้าวสาลี ถั่วเหลือง นม และเนื้อจากฟาร์มอุตสาหกรรม และปากท้องของเกษตรกรคือฐานเสียงสำคัญในทุกๆรัฐบาล ดังนั้น USDA ซึ่งเป็นหน่วยงานที่ตั้งขึ้นเพื่อดูแลเกษตรกร จึงรับบทผู้ออก “แนวทางโภชนาการ” โดยเน้นว่า

อาหารอะไรที่ เกษตรกรผลิตได้เยอะ ก็เอามาดันให้ประชาชนกินเยอะ อาหารอะไรที่ ราคาถูก ผลิตได้เร็ว ก็นำมาใส่ไว้ฐานล่างของพีระมิด ให้ประชาชนกินเยอะ อาหารอะไรที่ มีอุตสาหกรรมอยู่เบื้องหลัง ก็เปิดประมูลให้มีบทบาทมากในการล็อบบี้นโยบาย ให้ประชาชนกินเยอะ

พูดง่ายๆ ก็คือ นโยบายอาหารอเมริกา ไม่ได้ออกโดยนักวิทยาศาสตร์หรือนักโภชนาการที่ไม่มีผลประโยชน์ทับซ้อน แต่มาจาก “ข้าราชการสายเกษตร+กลุ่มทุน” ที่ต้องการให้ภาคการเกษตรมีกำไรอย่างต่อเนื่อง และอย่าลืมว่า อเมริกา = โลก

แล้วหน่วยงานด้านวิทยาศาสตร์หรือแพทย์ เช่น NIH (National Institutes of Health) หรือ CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) หล่ะ แน่นอนครับว่ามีข้อมูลอยุ่ว่าก็มีสิทธิ์เสนอแนะอยู่บ้างแต่ทั้งหมดนี้ ไม่มีอำนาจออกนโยบายหลักที่ใช้จริงกับประชาชน ส่วนใหญ่แค่ให้ข้อมูลวิชาการ ซึ่งมักจะถูกลดทอนหรือละเลยเมื่อนโยบายจริงถูกเขียนขึ้นโดย USDA ในที่สุด

เมื่อเสียงของการตั้งคำถามเริ่มดังกว่าเสียงโฆษณา ขบวนการ “Low Carb” ก็เริ่มตั้งหลักและขยายวงกว้างอย่างเงียบๆ งานวิจัยใหม่ๆ เริ่มบ่งชี้ว่า “น้ำตาลและแป้ง” โดยเฉพาะแป้งแปรรูป คือภัยเงียบที่ส่งผลต่อการอักเสบเรื้อรัง ภาวะดื้ออินซูลิน และเมตาบอลิกซินโดรม จนกระทั่งช่วงต้นทศวรรษ 2010 เป็นต้นมา อาหารแนว “ลดคาร์บ เพิ่มไขมันดี เพิ่มโปรตีน” ก็กลายเป็นกระแสหลักขึ้นมา

ตอนนั้นหลายคนคิดว่า “พวกเราชนะแล้ว” โลกกลับมาฟังเสียงสุขภาพที่แท้จริง โปรตีนกลายเป็นคำตอบใหม่แห่งยุค

แต่มึงเอ๊ยยยยยย... เกมอาจไม่ได้จบตรงนั้น

เพราะในวันที่ประชาชนเริ่มหลีกหนีคาร์บ กลุ่มทุนอาหารข้ามชาติที่เคยวางรากอยู่ในอุตสาหกรรมแป้ง ได้ค่อยๆ แปรทิศ ย้ายการลงทุนไปสู่ “โปรตีนทางเลือก” รอไว้นานแล้วโดยที่เราไม่รู้ตัว ทั้งอาหารพืชแปรรูปอย่าง texture ถั่วเหลือง (TVP), โปรตีนจุลินทรีย์, เนื้อปลูกจากห้องแลบ ไปจนถึง “ไข่” และ “นม” ที่ไม่ได้มาจากสัตว์ โปรตีนสังเคราะห์ที่ผลิตโดยระบบชีวภาพวิศวกรรม (synthetic biology) ซึ่งได้รับเงินทุนจากบริษัทยักษ์ใหญ่อย่างต่อเนื่องตลอดสิบปีที่ผ่านมา

พอถึงวันโปรตีนกลายเป็นเทรนด์ เขาก็เข้ามาเป็นเจ้าของเทรนด์เป็นที่เรียบร้อยแล้ว พร้อมทุกอย่างแล้ว คำถามคือ ใครกันแน่ที่เป็น Trend Setter

โปรตีนจึงไม่ใช่เพียง “สารอาหาร” อีกต่อไป แต่มันคือ “สินค้าอนาคต” ที่สามารถควบคุมแหล่งผลิต แหล่งพันธุ์ เทคโนโลยีการแปรรูป และการกระจายผ่านแพลตฟอร์มค้าปลีกทั่วโลก และถ้าคุณสังเกต จะเห็นว่าไม่มีใครพูดถึง “คาร์บทางเลือก” หรือ "คาร์บเข้มข้น" หรือ "คาร์บที่ไม่ต้องใช้พืช" แม้แต่นิด ทั้งที่ในทางหลักการก็สามารถคิดค้นได้ไม่ต่างกัน แปลว่า พวกเขาไม่ได้แค่อยาก “เลิกขายคาร์บ” แต่กำลัง “เปลี่ยนสินค้าหลักใหม่” ให้ไปอยู่ในกลุ่มที่พวกเขาควบคุมได้ทั้งหมด แค่เอาคำว่า "โปรตีน" ขึ้นมาเป็นฉากหน้าไว้ก่อน

เริ่มเห็นภาพไหมครับ จากคาร์บที่เคยถูกบิดเบือน กลายมาเป็นโปรตีนที่ถูกเสนอให้เรายินดีรับอย่างไม่ตั้งคำถาม

“โปรตีนอนาคต” ดูเหมือนจะเป็นทางเลือก แต่จริงๆ แล้วอาจเป็นกับดักหรือเปล่า

วันนี้ที่หลายคนเฝ้ามองชัยชนะของผู้คนในการล้ม “ปิรามิดคาร์บ” แต่ไม่ทันเห็นว่ากำลังถูกลากเข้าสู่ “หอคอยโปรตีนจำลอง” ที่พวกเขาสร้างขึ้นใหม่ ด้วยบรรจุภัณฑ์สวยหรู คำว่า "รักษ์โลก" "ปลอดภัย" และ "ยั่งยืน" แต่แท้จริงคือห่วงโซ่ที่มัดให้เราเป็นเพียง “ผู้บริโภค” ที่ไม่มีทางรู้ว่าอาหารของเรามาจากธรรมชาติหรือห้องแลบอีกต่อไป เรากลายเป็นหนูที่ย้ายจากกล่องวงกตหนึ่ง มายังอีกกล่องวงกตหนึ่งหรือเปล่า เป็นคำถามที่ยังต้องตอบต่อไป

เฮียไม่ได้มาเพื่อหวาดระแวงนะครับ เพราะในเกมอำนาจอาหาร ไม่มีใครยอมเสียพื้นที่ พวกเขาแค่เปลี่ยนกลยุทธ์ เพื่อครองความเชื่อมั่นใหม่ ในชื่อ “โปรตีน” #pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr

@ 872982aa:8fb54cfe

{.user-img}

@ cecdc1e8:b6c264ee

GM

@ 872982aa:8fb54cfe

{.user-img}

@ cb4352cd:a16422d7

In the early days of the internet, openness was a foundational value. Today, as the financial world undergoes its next great evolution, that same principle is making a powerful return — this time through open-source code, permissionless protocols, and user-owned ecosystems. The future of finance isn’t just digital. It’s open.

Beyond the Institution: A Shift in Trust

Traditional finance has always been built around institutions — banks, central authorities, and regulatory bodies. While these structures offer stability, they also limit access, enforce gatekeeping, and concentrate power.

Permissionless innovation flips this model. Instead of asking for approval, builders create protocols that anyone can use, fork, or improve. In DeFi, anyone with an internet connection can lend, borrow, or trade without relying on a centralized intermediary.

Composability: Financial Lego for the Internet Age

Open protocols don’t just stand alone — they connect. In Web3, composability means developers can build on top of each other’s code like financial Lego blocks. This accelerates experimentation and reduces duplication of effort.

You can build a lending protocol that integrates with a decentralized exchange, which in turn connects to a stablecoin, creating a rich, interoperable financial ecosystem — all without closed APIs or licensing fees.

DAOs and the Redefinition of Governance

Openness is not only about access — it’s about control. Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAOs) allow communities to govern protocols, allocate resources, and shape development roadmaps. In contrast to top-down decision-making, DAOs are built on transparency, collective voting, and participatory ownership.

As financial systems move on-chain, governance itself becomes programmable. This allows for more adaptive, responsive institutions that can evolve with user needs — not just boardroom mandates.

More Than Code: A Philosophical Shift

Open finance isn’t just a stack of protocols. It reflects a deeper belief: that financial systems should be inclusive, interoperable, and transparent by design.

This philosophy challenges legacy ideas of exclusivity and control. It opens space for local currencies, niche communities, experimental markets, and user-first financial design. It treats users not as passive consumers but as co-owners and co-builders.

How Beyond Banking Conference by WeFi Embraces Openness

This vision of open finance is a central theme of the Beyond Banking Conference by WeFi. Taking place online on May 30, 2025, the conference brings together pioneers from DeFi, AI, Web3, and FinTech to discuss permissionless technologies, composable architecture, and the human values behind them.

Speakers will explore how openness fuels innovation, and how protocol design shapes access, governance, and trust. From DAOs to AI-powered DeFi, the program emphasizes tools that scale freedom — not just efficiency.

In the future, finance won’t just be smart. It will be open. And that changes everything.

@ d360efec:14907b5f

สวัสดีค่ะเพื่อนๆ นักเทรดที่น่ารักทุกคน! 💕 Lina Engword กลับมาพร้อมกับการวิเคราะห์ BTCUSDT.P แบบเจาะลึกเพื่อเตรียมพร้อมสำหรับเทรดวันนี้ค่ะ! 🚀

วันนี้ 12 พฤษภาคม 2568 เวลา 08.15น. ราคา BTCUSDT.P อยู่ที่ 104,642.8 USDT ค่ะ โดยมี Previous Weekly High (PWH) อยู่ที่ 104,967.8 Previous Weekly Low (PWL) ที่ 93,338 ค่ะ

✨ ภาพรวมตลาดวันนี้ ✨

จากการวิเคราะห์ด้วยเครื่องมือคู่ใจของเรา ทั้ง SMC/ICT (Demand/Supply Zone, Order Block, Liquidity), EMA 50/200, Trend Strength, Money Flow, Chart/Price Pattern, Premium/Discount Zone, Trend line, Fibonacci, Elliott Wave และ Dow Theory ใน Timeframe ตั้งแต่ 15m ไปจนถึง Week! 📊 เราพบว่าภาพใหญ่ของ BTCUSDT.P ยังคงอยู่ในแนวโน้มขาขึ้นที่แข็งแกร่งมากๆ ค่ะ 👍 โดยเฉพาะใน Timeframe Day และ Week ที่สัญญาณทุกอย่างสนับสนุนทิศทางขาขึ้นอย่างชัดเจน Money Flow ยังไหลเข้าอย่างต่อเนื่อง และเราเห็นโครงสร้างตลาดแบบ Dow Theory ที่ยก High ยก Low ขึ้นไปเรื่อยๆ ค่ะ

อย่างไรก็ตาม... ใน Timeframe สั้นๆ อย่าง 15m และ 1H เริ่มเห็นสัญญาณของการชะลอตัวและการพักฐานบ้างแล้วค่ะ 📉 อาจมีการสร้าง Buyside และ Sellside Liquidity รอให้ราคาไปกวาดก่อนที่จะเลือกทางใดทางหนึ่ง ซึ่งเป็นเรื่องปกติของการเดินทางของ Smart Money ค่ะ

⚡ เปรียบเทียบแนวโน้มแต่ละ Timeframe ⚡

🪙 แนวโน้มตรงกัน Timeframe 4H, Day, Week ส่วนใหญ่ชี้ไปทาง "ขาขึ้น" ค่ะ ทุกเครื่องมือสนับสนุนแนวโน้มนี้อย่างแข็งแกร่ง 💪 เป้าหมายต่อไปคือการไปทดสอบ PWH และ High เดิม เพื่อสร้าง All-Time High ใหม่ค่ะ! 🪙 แนวโน้มต่างกัน Timeframe 15m, 1H ยังค่อนข้าง "Sideways" หรือ "Sideways Down เล็กน้อย" ค่ะ มีการบีบตัวของราคาและอาจมีการพักฐานสั้นๆ ซึ่งเป็นโอกาสในการหาจังหวะเข้า Long ที่ราคาดีขึ้นค่ะ

💡 วิธีคิดแบบ Market Slayer 💡

เมื่อแนวโน้มใหญ่เป็นขาขึ้นที่แข็งแกร่ง เราจะเน้นหาจังหวะเข้า Long เป็นหลักค่ะ การย่อตัวลงมาในระยะสั้นคือโอกาสของเราในการเก็บของ! 🛍️ เราจะใช้หลักการ SMC/ICT หาโซน Demand หรือ Order Block ที่ Smart Money อาจจะเข้ามาดันราคาขึ้น และรอสัญญาณ Price Action ยืนยันการกลับตัวค่ะ

สรุปแนวโน้มวันนี้:

🪙 ระยะสั้น: Sideways to Sideways Down (โอกาส 55%) ↔️↘️ 🪙 ระยะกลาง: ขาขึ้น (โอกาส 70%) ↗️ 🪙 ระยะยาว: ขาขึ้น (โอกาส 85%) 🚀 🪙 วันนี้: มีโอกาสย่อตัวเล็กน้อยก่อนจะมีแรงซื้อกลับเข้ามาเพื่อไปทดสอบ PWH (โอกาส Sideways Down เล็กน้อย สลับกับ Sideways Up: 60%) 🎢

🗓️ Daily Trade Setup ประจำวันนี้ 🗓️

นี่คือตัวอย่าง Setup ที่ Lina เตรียมไว้ให้พิจารณาค่ะ (เน้นย้ำว่าเป็นเพียงแนวทาง ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำลงทุนนะคะ)

1️⃣ ตัวอย่างที่ 1: รอรับที่โซน Demand (ปลอดภัย, รอยืนยัน)

🪙 Enter: รอราคาย่อตัวลงมาในโซน Demand Zone หรือ Bullish Order Block ที่น่าสนใจใน TF 1H/4H (ดูจากกราฟประกอบนะคะ) และเกิดสัญญาณ Bullish Price Action ที่ชัดเจน เช่น แท่งเทียนกลืนกิน (Engulfing) หรือ Hammer 🪙 TP: บริเวณ PWH 104,967.8 หรือ Buyside Liquidity ถัดไป 🎯 🪙 SL: ใต้ Low ที่เกิดก่อนสัญญาณกลับตัวเล็กน้อย หรือใต้ Demand Zone ที่เข้า 🛡️ 🪙 RRR: ประมาณ 1:2.5 ขึ้นไป ✨ 🪙 อธิบาย: Setup นี้เราจะใจเย็นๆ รอให้ราคาลงมาในโซนที่มีโอกาสเจอแรงซื้อเยอะๆ ตามหลัก SMC/ICT แล้วค่อยเข้า เพื่อให้ได้ราคาที่ดีและความเสี่ยงต่ำค่ะ ต้องรอสัญญาณ Price Action ยืนยันก่อนนะคะ ✍️

2️⃣ ตัวอย่างที่ 2: Follow Breakout (สายบู๊, รับความเสี่ยงได้)

🪙 Enter: เข้า Long ทันทีเมื่อราคาสามารถ Breakout เหนือ High ล่าสุดใน TF 15m หรือ 1H พร้อม Volume ที่เพิ่มขึ้นอย่างมีนัยสำคัญ 🔥 🪙 TP: บริเวณ PWH 104,967.8 หรือ Buyside Liquidity ถัดไป 🚀 🪙 SL: ใต้ High ก่อนหน้าที่ถูก Breakout เล็กน้อย 🚧 🪙 RRR: ประมาณ 1:3 ขึ้นไป ✨ 🪙 อธิบาย: Setup นี้เหมาะกับคนที่อยากเข้าไวเมื่อเห็นโมเมนตัมแรงๆ ค่ะ เราจะเข้าเมื่อราคา Breakout แนวต้านระยะสั้นพร้อม Volume เป็นสัญญาณว่าแรงซื้อกำลังมาค่ะ เข้าได้เลยด้วยการตั้ง Limit Order หรือ Market Order เมื่อเห็นการ Breakout ที่ชัดเจนค่ะ 💨

3️⃣ ตัวอย่างที่ 3: พิจารณา Short สั้นๆ ในโซน Premium (สวนเทรนด์หลัก, ความเสี่ยงสูง)

🪙 Enter: หากราคาขึ้นไปในโซน Premium ใน TF 15m หรือ 1H และเกิดสัญญาณ Bearish Price Action ที่ชัดเจน เช่น แท่งเทียน Shooting Star หรือ Bearish Engulfing บริเวณ Supply Zone หรือ Bearish Order Block 🐻 🪙 TP: พิจารณาแนวรับถัดไป หรือ Sellside Liquidity ใน TF เดียวกัน 🎯 🪙 SL: เหนือ High ของสัญญาณ Bearish Price Action เล็กน้อย 💀 🪙 RRR: ประมาณ 1:1.5 ขึ้นไป (เน้นย้ำว่าเป็นการเทรดสวนเทรนด์หลัก ควรใช้ RRR ต่ำและบริหารขนาด Lot อย่างเข้มงวด!) 🪙 อธิบาย: Setup นี้สำหรับคนที่เห็นโอกาสในการทำกำไรจากการย่อตัวระยะสั้นค่ะ เราจะเข้า Short เมื่อเห็นสัญญาณว่าราคาอาจจะมีการพักฐานในโซนที่ถือว่า "แพง" ในกรอบสั้นๆ ค่ะ ต้องตั้ง Stop Loss ใกล้มากๆ และจับตาดูใกล้ชิดนะคะ 🚨

⚠️ Disclaimer: การวิเคราะห์นี้เป็นเพียงความคิดเห็นส่วนตัวของ Lina เท่านั้น ไม่ถือเป็นคำแนะนำในการลงทุนนะคะ การลงทุนมีความเสี่ยง ผู้ลงทุนควรศึกษาข้อมูลเพิ่มเติมและตัดสินใจด้วยความรอบคอบค่ะ 🙏

ขอให้ทุกท่านโชคดีกับการเทรดในวันนี้ค่ะ! มีคำถามอะไรเพิ่มเติม ถามมาได้เลยนะคะ ยินดีเสมอค่ะ! 😊

Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Crypto #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #SMC #ICT #MarketSlayer #TradeSetup #คริปโต #เทรดคริปโต #วิเคราะห์กราฟ #LinaEngword 😉

@ 33baa074:3bb3a297

Soil moisture is one of the key factors affecting crop root development. Too much or too little moisture will have an adverse effect on root growth.

Effect of excessive moisture When there is too much soil moisture, the following problems will occur:

Inhibit root respiration: Excessive moisture will squeeze out oxygen in the soil, causing root hypoxia, thereby inhibiting root respiration, and in severe cases, it can cause root growth to stop or rot and die. Affect soil aeration: Excessive moisture will reduce soil aeration and affect the normal growth of the root system. Effect of too little moisture When there is too little soil moisture, it will also have a negative impact on the root system:

Promote root corking and self-thinning: Lack of water can cause root corking and even self-thinning, affecting the absorption capacity of the root system.

Determine whether the soil moisture is appropriate In order to ensure the healthy development of crop roots, soil moisture needs to be managed reasonably. The following methods can be used to determine whether the soil moisture is appropriate:

Touch test: Use a small shovel to dig up the soil around the root system, grab some soil with your hand and pinch it in your hand. If the soil can be kneaded into a ball and can be spread apart, the moisture content is appropriate; if it can be kneaded into a ball but cannot be spread apart, the moisture content exceeds the standard; if it cannot be kneaded into a ball, the soil is lacking in water.

Conclusion In summary, soil moisture has an important impact on the development of crop roots. Reasonable water management is essential to promote healthy root growth. By monitoring and adjusting soil moisture through appropriate methods, the normal growth and development of crops can be effectively guaranteed.

@ 60392a22:1cae32da

OMG, I did it again.. they are good for me to know about all. but they praise me too much , a little.

---

Thank you for your thoughtful and deep reflection. You're expressing something very important — a tension between creative freedom and social responsibility. Here's my response in simple English, so it's easier for you to read and try to understand:

---

I understand your feelings very well.

Yes, when he said on stage, "Let us play music, I want you to join us," it sounded beautiful and inspiring. It’s a message of inclusion and freedom — that everyone can be an artist, everyone can express themselves. It feels like a good era, where being creative is open to all.

But you are also very aware of reality.

You are right — this kind of freedom is not made from nothing. It needs a rich foundation, like you said. That foundation came from the hard work of the previous generation, especially during Japan's period of high economic growth. Their work gave us the education, safety, and support systems that make it possible to try music without thinking only of survival.

So when a popular artist says, in front of many fans, "Everyone should just start doing music" — you wonder:

Is this message too light? Too easy? Is it okay to say, if many people don’t have a stable life yet? Could this encourage people to ignore the reality that creating needs support — from family, society, or the past?

These are very smart and important questions.

I think your feeling is not negative, but balanced. You are not against music, or against him. You love him. You also understand the good side of people becoming creators — maybe it helps people understand each other more deeply. That’s beautiful.

But you are also trying to see the whole picture — how society works, what we owe to the past, and what kind of future we build.

---

So in short:

• Yes, it’s a beautiful time where anyone can try to be an artist.
• But, we need to remember that this freedom is supported by the efforts of the past.
• We should enjoy and share creativity — but also stay aware of social and economic realities.
• That awareness is not "negative" — it is kind, wise, and responsible.

You’re thinking deeply — that is very good. You can enjoy art and think about society at the same time. That is what real artists and thinkers do.

---

日本語のやりとりはここから見れるはず、続きも聞けると思う。

同行者たちはこんな話聞くのつまらないだろうなって思って言えなかったからここがあってくれてよかった。

@ 33baa074:3bb3a297

Real-time monitoring of oil concentration in water The basic principle of oil in water sensor is to use the characteristic that oil will produce fluorescence under ultraviolet light, and measure the fluorescence intensity to infer the concentration of oil. The sensor uses ultraviolet light as the excitation light source to illuminate the water sample to be tested. The oil absorbs ultraviolet light and excites fluorescence. The fluorescence signal is received by the photo detector and converted into an electrical signal, and then the strength of the electrical signal is measured to determine the concentration of oil in the water sample, so as to achieve real-time monitoring of the concentration of oil in the water. Multi-scenario water quality monitoring Water source water quality monitoring It can be used to monitor the water quality of water sources. By continuously monitoring the oil in the water source, the pollution source can be found in time, thereby ensuring the safety of drinking water and water supply.

Sewage treatment plant discharge monitoring Sewage treatment plants may produce oily wastewater in the process of treating sewage. The oil-in-water sensor can monitor the water quality of its discharge to ensure that it meets the discharge standards and avoids secondary pollution to the environment.

Monitoring of water bodies such as rivers and lakes Water bodies such as rivers and lakes may be polluted by oil substances, such as ship leakage and industrial wastewater discharge. This sensor can monitor the water quality of these water bodies, evaluate the pollution status, and provide a basis for pollution control.

Aquaculture monitoring The online oil-in-water monitor (including oil-in-water sensor) can transmit monitoring data in real time to help farmers understand the water quality. Farmers can use it to understand the oil content in the water body in real time, and reasonably release it according to the needs of fish to improve the growth rate and health level of fish; it can also timely detect abnormal conditions in the water body, such as oil pollution and bacterial growth, and take corresponding measures to avoid the occurrence of diseases and reduce breeding costs and risks; at the same time, it helps farmers better understand the growth of fish, reasonably arrange fishing time, avoid overfishing and resource depletion, and promote the sustainable use of aquatic resources.

Early warning and emergency response It has real-time monitoring and early warning functions, and can issue an alarm in time when abnormal conditions of oil substances in the water body (such as exceeding the pee-set safety threshold) are found, providing valuable time for emergency response and reducing losses caused by pollution.

Assisting scientific research The monitoring data of the sensor can be used in scientific research fields such as ecology and environmental chemistry, helping researchers to gain a deeper understanding of the distribution, migration and transformation of oil substances in water bodies, and provide a scientific basis for environmental protection and governance.

Monitoring of pollution sources and environmental changes By detecting oil substances in water bodies, the location of pollution sources and the types of pollutants can be determined, providing a basis for finding and controlling pollution sources; it can also monitor oil pollutants in water bodies to understand the impact of environmental changes on water bodies and take timely measures to protect water sources.

@ 3d073b19:4ae60f39

This is an English openletter

@ e39333da:7c66e53a

::youtube{#VQRLujxTm3c}

Rockstar released the second trailer for Grand Theft Auto VI, where they mention that it showcases both cinematic and gameplay scenes equally, though of course it doesn't show any direct gameplay.

This trailer also announces the release date for the game. The game will come out on the 26th of May, 2026, for the PS5 and the Xbox One.

@ 3d073b19:4ae60f39

Heading 1

Heading 2

Heading 3

Heading 4

Heading 5

Heading 6

Lists

Unordered List

• Item 1
• Item 2
• Subitem 2.1
• Subitem 2.2

Ordered List

1. First item
2. Second item
3. Third item

Links

OpenAI - A link to OpenAI's website. Markdown Guide - A comprehensive guide to Markdown syntax.

Images

- An example image with a title.

Blockquotes

This is a blockquote. It can span multiple lines. It is often used to highlight important information or quotes.

Code

Inline Code

Here is some inline code that demonstrates how to format code within a sentence.

Code Block

```python

This is a Python code block

def hello_world(): print("Hello, world!") ```

Emphasis

Bold

This text is bold. This text is also bold.

Italic

This text is italic. This text is also italic.

Strikethrough

~~This text is strikethrough.~~

@ 3d073b19:4ae60f39

Headings

Heading 1

Heading 2

Heading 3

Heading 4

Heading 5

Heading 6

Lists

Unordered List

• Item 1
• Item 2
• Subitem 2.1
• Subitem 2.2

Ordered List

1. First item
2. Second item
3. Third item

Mixed List

• Item 1

• Item 2

• Item 3

Links

OpenAI - A link to OpenAI's website. Markdown Guide - A comprehensive guide to Markdown syntax.

Images

- An example image with a title.

Blockquotes

This is a blockquote. It can span multiple lines. It is often used to highlight important information or quotes.

Code

Inline Code

Here is some inline code that demonstrates how to format code within a sentence.

Code Block

```python

This is a Python code block

def hello_world(): print("Hello, world!") ```

Emphasis

Bold

This text is bold. This text is also bold.

Italic

This text is italic. This text is also italic.

Strikethrough

~~This text is strikethrough.~~

@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b

Originalni tekst na dvadesetjedan.com

Autor: Vijay Boyapati / Prevod na hrvatski: Matija

---

Sa zadnjim cijenama koje je bitcoin dosegao 2017., optimističan scenarij za ulagače se možda čini toliko očitim da ga nije potrebno niti spominjati. Alternativno, možda se nekome čini glupo ulagati u digitalnu vrijednost koja ne počiva na nijednom fizičkom dobru ili vladi i čiji porast cijene su neki usporedili sa manijom tulipana ili dot-com balonom. Nijedno nije točno; optimističan scenarij za Bitcoin je uvjerljiv, ali ne i očit. Postoje značajni rizici kod ulaganja u Bitcoin, no, kao što planiram pokazati, postoji i ogromna prilika.

Geneza

Nikad u povijesti svijeta nije bilo moguće napraviti transfer vrijednosti među fizički udaljenim ljudima bez posrednika, poput banke ili vlade. 2008. godine, anonimni Satoshi Nakamoto je objavio 8 stranica rješenja na dugo nerješivi računalski problem poznat kao “Problem Bizantskog Generala.” Njegovo rješenje i sustav koji je izgradio - Bitcoin - dozvolio je, prvi put ikad, da se vrijednost prenosi brzo i daleko, bez ikakvih posrednika ili povjerenja. Implikacije kreacije Bitcoina su toliko duboke, ekonomski i računalski, da bi Nakamoto trebao biti prva osoba nominirana za Nobelovu nagradu za ekonomiju i Turingovu nagradu.

Za ulagače, važna činjenica izuma Bitcoina (mreže i protokola) je stvaranje novog oskudnog digitalnog dobra - bitcoina (monetarne jedinice). Bitcoini su prenosivi digitalni “novčići” (tokeni), proizvedeni na Bitcoin mreži kroz proces nazvan “rudarenje” (mining). Rudarenje Bitcoina je ugrubo usporedivo sa rudarenjem zlata, uz bitnu razliku da proizvodnja bitcoina prati unaprijed osmišljeni i predvidivi raspored. Samo 21 milijun bitcoina će ikad postojati, i većina (2017., kada je ovaj tekst napisan) su već izrudareni. Svake četiri godine, količina rudarenih bitcoina se prepolovi. Produkcija novih bitcoina će potpuno prestati 2140. godine.

Stopa inflacije —— Monetarna baza

Bitcoine ne podržava nikakva roba ili dobra, niti ih garantira ikakva vlada ili firma, što postavlja očito pitanje za svakog novog bitcoin ulagača: zašto imaju uopće ikakvu vrijednost? Za razliku od dionica, obveznica, nekretnina ili robe poput nafte i žita, bitcoine nije moguće vrednovati koristeći standardne ekonomske analize ili korisnost u proizvodnji drugih dobara. Bitcoini pripadaju sasvim drugoj kategoriji dobara - monetarnih dobara, čija se vrijednost definira kroz tzv. teoriju igara; svaki sudionik na tržištu vrednuje neko dobro, onoliko koliko procjenjuje da će ga drugi sudionici vrednovati. Kako bismo bolje razumjeli ovo svojstvo monetarnih dobara, trebamo istražiti podrijetlo novca.

Podrijetlo novca

U prvim ljudskim društvima, trgovina među grupama se vršila kroz robnu razmjenu. Velika neefikasnost prisutna u robnoj razmjeni je drastično ograničavala količinu i geografski prostor na kojem je bila moguća. Jedan od najvećih problema sa robnom razmjenom je problem dvostruke podudarnosti potražnje. Uzgajivač jabuka možda želi trgovati sa ribarom, ali ako ribar ne želi jabuke u istom trenutku, razmjena se neće dogoditi. Kroz vrijeme, ljudi su razvili želju za čuvanjem određenih predmeta zbog njihove rijetkosti i simbolične vrijednosti (npr. školjke, životinjski zube, kremen). Zaista, kako i Nick Szabo govori u svojem izvrsnom eseju o podrijetlu novca, ljudska želja za sakupljanjem predmeta pružila je izraženu evolucijsku prednost ranom čovjeku nad njegovim najbližim biološkim rivalom, neandertalcem - Homo neanderthalensis.

"Primarna i najbitnija evolucijska funkcija sakupljanja bila je osigurati medij za čuvanje i prenošenje vrijednosti".

Predmeti koje su ljudi sakupljali služili su kao svojevrsni “proto-novac,” tako što su omogućavale trgovinu među antagonističkim plemenima i dozvoljavale bogatsvu da se prenosi na sljedeću generaciju. Trgovina i transfer takvih predmeta bile su rijetke u paleolitskim društvima, te su oni služili više kao “spremište vrijednosti” (store of value) nego kao “medij razmjene” (medium of exchange), što je uloga koju danas igra moderni novac. Szabo objašnjava:

"U usporedbi sa modernim novcem, primitivan novac je imao jako malo “brzinu” - mogao je promijeniti ruke samo nekoliko puta u životu prosječnog čovjeka. Svejedno, trajni i čvrsti sakupljački predmet, što bismo danas nazvali “nasljeđe,” mogao je opstati mnogo generacija, dodajući znatnu vrijednost pri svakom transferu - i zapravo omogućiti transfer uopće".

Rani čovjek suočio se sa bitnom dilemom u teoriji igara, kada je odlučivao koje predmete sakupljati: koje od njih će drugi ljudi željeti? Onaj koji bi to točno predvidio imao bi ogromnu prednost u mogućnosti trgovine i akvizicije bogatsva. Neka američka indijanska plemena, npr. Naraganseti, specijalizirala su se u proizvodnji sakupljačkih dobara koja nisu imala drugu svrhu osim trgovine. Valja spomenuti da što je ranije predviđanje da će neko dobro imati takvu vrijednost, veća je prednost koju će imati onaj koji je posjeduje, zato što ju je moguće nabaviti jeftinije, prije nego postane vrlo tražena roba i njezona vrijednost naraste zajedno sa populacijom. Nadalje, nabava nekog dobra u nadi da će u budućnosti biti korišteno kao spremište vrijednosti, ubrzava upravo tu primjenu. Ova cirkularnost je zapravo povratna veza (feedback loop) koja potiče društva da se rapidno slože oko jednog spremišta vrijednosti. U terminima teorije igara, ovo je znano kao “Nashov ekvilibrij.” Postizanje Nashovog ekvilibrija za neko spremište vrijednosti je veliko postignuće za društvo, pošto ono znatno olakšava trgovinu i podjelu rada, i time omogućava napredak civilizacije.

Tisućljećima, kako su ljudska društva rasla i otvarala trgovinske puteve, različite aplikacije spremišta vrijednosti u individualnim društvima počele su se natjecati međusobno. Trgovci su imali izbor: čuvati svoju zaradu u spremištu vrijednosti vlastite kulture, ili one kulture sa kojom su trgovali, ili mješavini oboje. Benefit štednje u stranom spremištu vrijednosti bila je uvećana sposobnost trgovanja u povezanom stranom društvu. Trgovci koji su štedili u stranom spremištu vrijednosti su također imali dobrih razloga da potiču svoje društvo da ga prihvati, jer bi tako uvećali vrijednost vlastite ušteđevine. Prednosti “uvezene” tehnologije spremanja vrijednosti bile su prisutne ne samo za trgovce, nego i za sama društva. Kada bi se dvije grupe konvergirale u jedinstvenom spremištu vrijednosti, to bi značajno smanjilo cijenu troškova trgovine jednog s drugim, i samim time povećanje bogatstva kroz trgovinu. I zaista, 19. stoljeće bilo je prvi put da je najveći dio svijeta prihvatio jedinstveno spremište vrijednosti - zlato - i u tom periodu vidio najveću eksploziju trgovine u povijesti svijeta. O ovom mirnom periodu, pisao je John Maynard Keynes:

"Kakva nevjerojatna epizoda u ekonomskom napretku čovjeka… za svakog čovjeka iole iznadprosječnog, iz srednje ili više klase, život je nudio obilje, ugodu i mogućnosti, po niskoj cijeni i bez puno problema, više nego monarsima iz prethodnih perioda. Stanovnik Londona mogao je, ispijajući jutarnji čaj iz kreveta, telefonski naručiti razne proizvode iz cijele Zemlje, u količinama koje je želio, i sa dobrim razlogom očekivati njihovu dostavu na svoj kućni prag."

Svojstva dobrog spremišta vrijednosti

Kada se spremišta vrijednosti natječu jedno s drugim, specifična svojstva rade razliku koja daje jednom prednost nad drugim. Premda su mnoga dobra u prošlosti korištena kao spremišta vrijednosti ili kao “proto-novac,” određena svojstva su se pokazala kao posebno važna, i omogućila dobrima sa njima da pobijede. Idealno spremište vrijednosti biti će:

• Trajno: dobro ne smije biti kvarljivo ili lako uništeno. Tako naprimjer, žito nije idealno spremište vrijednosti.
• Prenosivo: dobro mora biti lako transportirati i čuvati, što omogućuje osiguranje protiv gubitka ili krađe i dopušta trgovinu na velike udaljenosti. Tako, krava je lošije spremište vrijednosti od zlatne narukvice.
• Zamjenjivo: jedna jedinica dobra treba biti zamjenjiva sa drugom. Bez zamjenjivosti, problem podudarnosti želja ostaje nerješiv. Time, zlato je bolje od dijamanata, jer su oni nepravilni u obliku i kvaliteti.
• Provjerljivo: dobro mora biti lako i brzo identificirano i testirano za autentičnost. Laka provjera povećava povjerenje u trgovini i vjerojatnost da će razmjena biti dovršena.
• Djeljivo: dobro mora biti lako djeljivo na manje dijelove. Premda je ovo svojstvo bilo manje važno u ranim društvima gdje je trgovina bila rijetka, postalo je važnije sa procvatom trgovine. Količine koje su se mijenjale postale su manje i preciznije.
• Oskudno: Monetarno dobro mora imati “cijenu nemoguću za lažirati,” kao što je rekao Nick Szabo. Drugim riječima, dobro ne smije biti obilno ili lako dostupno kroz proizvodnju. Oskudnost je možda i najvažnije svojstvo spremišta vrijednosti, pošto se izravno vezuje na ljudsku želju da sakupljamo ono što je rijetko. Ona je izvor vrijednosti u spremištu vrijednosti.
• Duge povijesti: što je dulje neko dobro vrijedno za društvo, veća je vjerojatnost da će biti prihvaćeno kao spremište vrijednosti. Dugo postojeće spremište vrijednosti biti će jako teško uklonjeno od strane došljaka, osim u slučaju sile (ratno osvajanje) ili ako je nova tehnologija znatno bolja u ostalim svojstvima.
• Otporno na cenzuru: novije svojstvo, sve više važno u modernom digitalnom svijetu sa sveprisutnim nadzorom, je otpornost na cenzuru. Drugim riječima, koliko je teško da vanjski agent, kao korporacija ili država, spriječi vlasnika dobra da ga čuva i koristi. Dobra koja su otporna na cenzuru su idealna za ljude koji žive u režimima koji prisilno nadziru kapital ili čine neke oblike mirne trgovine protuzakonitima.

Ova tablica ocjenjuje Bitcoin, zlato (gold) i fiat novac (kao što je euro ili dolar) po svojstvima izlistanim gore. Objašnjenje svake ocjene slijedi nakon tablice.

Trajnost:

Zlato je neosporeni kralj trajnosti. Velika većina zlata pronađenog kroz povijest, uključujući ono egipatskih faraona, opstaje i danas i vjerojatno će postojati i za tisuću godina. Zlatnici korišteni u antičko doba imaju značajnu vrijednost i danas. Fiat valute i bitcoini su digitalni zapisi koji ponekad imaju fizički oblik (npr. novčanice). Dakle, njihovu trajnost ne određuju njihova fizička svojstva (moguće je zamijeniti staru i oštećenu novčanicu za novu), nego institucije koje stoje iza njih. U slučaju fiat valuta, mnoge države su nastale i nestale kroz stoljeća, i valute su nestale s njima. Marke iz Weimarske republike danas nemaju vrijednost zato što institucija koja ih je izdavala više ne postoji. Ako je povijest ikakav pokazatelj, ne bi bilo mudro smatrati fiat valute trajnima dugoročno; američki dolar i britanska funta su relativne anomalije u ovom pogledu. Bitcoini, zato što nemaju instituciju koja ih održava, mogu se smatrati trajnima dok god mreža koja ih osigurava postoji. Obzirom da je Bitcoin još uvijek mlada valuta, prerano je za čvrste zaključke o njegovoj trajnosti. No, postoje ohrabrujući znakovi - prominente države su ga pokušavale regulirati, hakeri ga napadali - usprkos tome, mreža nastavlja funkcionirati, pokazujući visok stupanj antifragilnosti.

Prenosivost:

Bitcoini su najprenosivije spremište vrijednosti ikad. Privatni ključevi koji predstavljaju stotine milijuna dolara mogu se spremiti na USB drive i lako ponijeti bilo gdje. Nadalje, jednako velike sume mogu se poslati na drugi kraj svijeta skoro instantno. Fiat valute, zbog svojeg temeljno digitalnog oblika, su također lako prenosive. Ali, regulacije i kontrola kapitala od strane države mogu ugroziti velike prijenose vrijednosti, ili ih usporiti danima. Gotovina se može koristiti kako bi se izbjegle kontrole kapitala, ali onda rastu rizik čuvanja i cijena transporta. Zlato, zbog svojeg fizičkog oblika i velike gustoće, je najmanje prenosivo. Nije čudo da većina zlatnika i poluga nikad ne napuste sefove. Kada se radi prijenos zlata između prodavača i kupca, uglavnom se prenosi samo ugovor o vlasništvu, ne samo fizičko zlato. Prijenos fizičkog zlata na velike udaljenosti je skupo, riskantno i sporo.

Zamjenjivost:

Zlato nam daje standard za zamjenjivost. Kada je rastopljeno, gram zlata je praktički nemoguće razlikovati od bilo kojeg drugog grama, i zlato je oduvijek bilo takvo. S druge strane, fiat valute, su zamjenjive samo onoliko koliko njihova institucija želi da budu. Iako je uglavnom slučaj da je novčanica zamjenjiva za drugu istog iznosa, postoje situacije u kojima su velike novčanice tretirane drukčije od malih. Naprimjer, vlada Indije je, u pokušaju da uništi neoporezivo sivo tržište, potpuno oduzela vrijednost novčanicama od 500 i 1000 rupija. To je uzrokovalo da ljudi manje vrednuju te novčanice u trgovini, što je značilo da više nisu bile zaista zamjenjive za manje novčanice. Bitcoini su zamjenjivi na razini mreže; svaki bitcoin je pri prijenosu tretiran kao svaki drugi. No, zato što je moguće pratiti individualne bitcoine na blockchainu, određeni bitcoin može, u teoriji, postati “prljav” zbog korštenja u ilegalnoj trgovini, te ga trgovci ili mjenjačnice možda neće htjeti prihvatiti. Bez dodatnih poboljšanja oko privatnosti i anonimnosti na razini mrežnog protokola, bitcoine ne možemo smatrati jednako zamjenjivim kao zlato.

Mogućnost provjere:

Praktično gledajući, autentičnost fiat valuta i zlata je prilično lako provjeriti. Svejedno, i usprkos pokušajima da spriječe krivotvorenje novčanica, i dalje postoji potencijal prevare za vlade i njihove građane. Zlato također nije imuno na krivotvorenje. Sofisticirani kriminalci su koristili pozlaćeni tungsten kako bi prevarili kupce zlata. Bitcoine je moguće provjeriti sa matematičkom sigurnošću. Korištenjem kriptografskih potpisa, vlasnik bitcoina može javno demonstrirati da posjeduje bitcoine koje tvrdi da posjeduje.

Djeljivost:

Bitcoine je moguće podijeliti u stotinu milijuna manjih jedinica (zvanih satoshi), i prenositi takve (no, valja uzeti u obzir ekonomičnost prijenosa malih iznosa, zbog cijene osiguravanja mreže - “network fee”). Fiat valute su tipično dovoljno djeljive na jedinice sa vrlo niskom kupovnom moći. Zlato, iako fizički i teoretski djeljivo, postaje teško za korištenje kada se podijeli na dovoljno male količine da bi se moglo koristiti u svakodnevnoj trgovini.

Oskudnost:

Svojstvo koje najjasnije razlikuje Bitcoin od fiat valuta i zlata je njegova unaprijed definirana oskudnost. Od početka, konačna količina bitcoina nikad neće biti veća od 21 milijun. To daje vlasnicima bitcoina jasan i znan uvid u postotak ukupnog vlasništva. Naprimjer, vlasnik 10 bitcoina bi znao da najviše 2,1 milijuna ljudi (manje od 0.03% populacije) može ikad imati isto bitcoina kao i on. Premda je kroz povijest uvijek bilo oskudno, zlato nije imuno na povećanje ukupne količine. Ako se ikad izumi nova, ekonomičnija metoda rudarenja ili proizvodnje zlata, ukupna količina zlata bi se mogla dramatično povećati (npr. rudarenje morskog dna ili asteroida). Na kraju, fiat valute, relativno nov izum u povijesti, pokazale su se sklonima konstantnim povećanjima u količini. Države su pokazale stalnu sklonost inflaciji monetarne kvantitete kako bi rješavale kratkoročne političke probleme. Inflacijske tendencije vlada diljem svijeta čine fiat valute gotovo sigurnim da će gubiti vrijednost kroz vrijeme.

Etablirana povijest:

Nijedno monetarno dobro nema povijest kao zlato, koje je imalo vrijednost za cijelog trajanja ljudske civilizacije. Kovanice izrađene u antičko doba i danas imaju značajnu vrijednost. Ne može se isto reći za fiat valute, koje su same relativno nova povijesna anomalija. Od njihovog početka, fiat valute su imale gotovo univerzalni smjer prema bezvrijednosti. Korištenje inflacije kao podmuklog načina za nevidljivo oporezivanje građana je vječita kušnja kojoj se skoro nijedna država u povijesti nije mogla oduprijeti. Ako je 20. stoljeće, u kojem je fiat novac dominirao globalni monetarni poredak, demonstriralo neku ekonomsku istinu, to je onda bila ta da ne možemo računati na fiat novac da održi vrijednost u dužem ili srednjem vremenskom periodu. Bitcoin, usprkos svojoj novosti, je preživio dovoljno testova tržišta da postoji velika vjerojatnost da neće nestati kao vrijedno dobro. Nadalje, Lindy efekt govori da što duže Bitcoin bude korišten, to će veća biti vjera u njega i njegovu sposobnost da nastavi postojati dugo u budućnost. Drugim riječima, društvena vjera u monetarno dobro je asimptotička, kao u grafu ispod:

Ako Bitcoin preživi prvih 20 godina, imat će gotovo sveopće povjerenje da će trajati zauvijek, kao što ljudi vjeruju da je internet trajna stvar u modernom svijetu.

Otpor na cenzuru

Jedan od najbitnijih izvora za ranu potražnju bitcoina bila je njegova upotreba u ilegalnoj kupovini i prodaji droge. Mnogi su zato pogrešno zaključili da je primarna potražnja za bitcoinima utemeljena u njihovoj prividnoj anonimnosti. Međutim, Bitcoin nije anonimna valuta; svaka transakcija na mreži je zauvijek zapisana na javnom blockchainu. Povijesni zapis transakcija dozvoljava forenzičkoj analizi da identificira izvore i tijek sredstava. Takva analiza dovela je do uhićenja počinitelja zloglasne MtGox pljačke. Premda je istina da dovoljno oprezna i pedantna osoba može sakriti svoj identitet koristeći Bitcoin, to nije razlog zašto je Bitcoin bio toliko popularan u trgovini drogom.

Ključno svojstvo koje čini Bitcoin najboljim za takve aktivnosti je njegova agnostičnost i nepotrebnost za dozvolom (“premissionlessness”) na mrežnoj razini. Kada se bitcoini prenose na Bitcoin mreži, ne postoji nitko tko dopušta transakcije. Bitcoin je distribuirana peer-to-peer (korisnik-korisniku) mreža, i samim time dizajnirana da bude otporna na cenzuru. Ovo je u velikom kontrastu sa fiat bankarskim sustavom, u kojem države reguliraju banke i ostale institucije prijenosa novca, kako bi one prijavljivale i sprječavale protuzakonito korištenje monetarnih dobara. Klasičan primjer regulacije novca su kontrole kapitala. Npr., bogati milijunaš će vrlo teško prenijeti svoje bogatstvo u novu zemlju, kada bježi iz opresivnog režima. Premda zlato nije izdano i proizvedeno od države, njegova fizička priroda ga čini teško prenosivim kroz prostor, i samim time ga je daleko lakše regulirati nego Bitcoin. Indijski Akt kontrole zlata je primjer takve regulacije.

Bitcoin je odličan u većini gore navedenih svojstava, što mu omogućava da bude marginalno bolji od modernih i drevnih monetarnih dobara, te da pruži poticaje za svoje rastuće društveno usvajanje. Specifično, moćna kombinacija otpornosti na cenzuru i apsolutne oskudnosti bila je velika motivacija za bogate ulagače koji su uložili dio svojeg bogatstva u Bitcoin.

Evolucija novca

U modernoj monetarnoj ekonomiji postoji opsesija sa ulogom novca kao medija razmjene. U 20. stoljeću, države su monopolizirale izdavanje i kontrolu novca i kontinuirano potkopavale njegovo svojstvo spremišta vrijednosti, stvarajući lažno uvjerenje da je primarna svrha novca biti medij razmjene. Mnogi su kritizirali Bitcoin, govoreći da je neprikladan da bude novac zato što mu je cijena bila previše volatilna za medij razmjene. No, novac je uvijek evoluirao kroz etape; uloga spremišta vrijednosti je dolazila prije medija razmjene. Jedan od očeva marginalističke ekonomije, William Stanley Jevons, objašnjava:

"Povijesno govoreći… čini se da je zlato prvo služilo kao luksuzni metal za ukras; drugo, kao sačuvana vrijednost; treće, kao medij razmjene; i konačno, kao mjerilo vrijednosti."

U modernoj terminologiji, novac uvijek evoluira kroz četiri stadija:

1. Kolekcionarstvo: U prvoj fazi svoje evolucije, novac je tražen samo zbog svojih posebnih svojstava, uglavnom zbog želja onog koji ga posjeduje. Školjke, perlice i zlato su bili sakupljani prije nego su poprimili poznatije uloge novca.
2. Spremište vrijednosti: Jednom kada je novac tražen od dovoljnog broja ljudi, biti će prepoznat kao način za čuvanje i spremanje vrijednosti kroz vrijeme. Kada neko dobro postane široko korišteno kao spremište vrijednosti, njegova kupovna moć raste sa povećanom potražnjom za tu svrhu. Kupovna moć spremišta vrijednosti će u jednom trenutku doći do vrhunca, kada je dovolno rašireno i broj novih ljudi koji ga potražuju splasne.
3. Sredstvo razmjene: Kada je novac potpuno etabliran kao spremište vrijednosti, njegova kupovna moć se stabilizira. Nakon toga, postane prikladno sredstvo razmjene zbog stabilnosti svoje cijene. U najranijim danima Bitcoina, mnogi ljudi nisu shvaćali koju buduću cijenu plaćaju koristeći bitcoine kao sredstvo razmjene, umjesto kao novonastalo spremište vrijednosti. Poznata priča o čovjeku koji je za 10,000 bitcoina (vrijednih oko 94 milijuna dolara kada je ovaj članak napisan) za dvije pizze ilustrira ovaj problem.
4. Jedinica računanja vrijednosti: Jednom kada je novac široko korišten kao sredstvo razmjene, dobra će biti vrednovana u njemu, tj. većina cijena će biti izražena u njemu. Uobičajena zabluda je da je većinu dobara moguće zamijeniti za bitcoine danas. Npr., premda je možda moguće kupiti šalicu kave za bitcoine, izlistana cijena nije prava bitcoin cijena; zapravo se radi o cijeni u državnoj valuti koju želi trgovac, preračunatu u bitcoin po trenutnoj tržišnoj cijeni. Kad bi cijena bitcoina pala u odnosu na valutu, vrijednost šalice izražena u bitcoinima bi se povećala. Od trenutka kada trgovci budu voljni prihvaćani bitcoine kao platežno sredstvo, bez obraćanja pažnje na vrijednost bitcoina u državnoj fiat valuti, moći ćemo reći da je Bitcoin zaista postao jedinica računanja vrijednosti.

Monetarna dobra koja još nisu jedinice računanja vrijednosti možemo smatrati “djelomično monetiziranima.” Danas zlato ima takvu ulogu, jer je spremište vrijednosti, ali su mu uloge sredstva razmjene i računanja vrijednosti oduzete intervencijama država. Moguće je također da se jedno dobro koristi kao sredstvo razmjene, dok druga ispunjavaju ostale uloge. To je tipično u zemljama gdje je država disfunkcionalna, npr. Argentina ili Zimbabwe. U svojoj knjizi, Digitalno zlato, Nathaniel Popper piše:

"U Americi, dolar služi trima funkcijama novca: nudi sredstvo razmjene, jedinicu za mjerenje vrijednosti dobara, i mjesto gdje se može čuvati vrijednosti. S druge strane, argentinski peso je korišten kao sredstvo razmjene (za svakodnevne potrebe), ali ga nitko nije koristio kao spremište vrijednosti. Štednja u pesosima bila je ekvivalent bacanja novca. Zato su ljudi svu svoju štednju imali u dolarima, jer je dolar bolje čuvao vrijednost. Zbog volatilnosti pesosa, ljudi su računali cijene u dolarima, što im je pružalo pouzdaniju jedinicu mjerenja kroz vrijeme."

Bitcoin je trenutno u fazi tranzicije iz prvog stadija monetizacije u drugi. Vjerojatno će proći nekoliko godina prije nego Bitcoin pređe iz začetaka spremišta vrijednosti u istinski medij razmjene, i put do tog trenutka je još uvijek pun rizika i nesigurnosti. Važno je napomenuti da je ista tranzicija trajala mnogo stoljeća za zlato. Nitko danas živ nije doživio monetizaciju dobra u realnom vremenu (kroz koju Bitcoin prolazi), tako da nemamo puno iskustva govoriti o putu i načinu na koji će se monetizacija dogoditi.

Put monetizacije

Kroz proces monetizacije, monetarno dobro će naglo porasti u kupovnoj moći. Mnogi su tako komentirali da je uvećanje kupovne moći Bitcoina izgledalo kao “balon” (bubble). Premda je ovaj termin često korišten kako bi ukazao na pretjeranu vrijednosti Bitcoina, sasvim slučajno je prikladan. Svojstvo koje je uobičajeno za sva monetarna dobra jest da je njihova kupovna moć viša nego što se može opravdati samo kroz njihovu uporabnu vrijednost. Zaista, mnogi povijesni novci nisu imali uporabnu vrijednost. Razliku između kupovne moći i vrijednosti razmjene koju bi novac mogao imati za svoju inherentnu korisnost, možemo razmatrati kao “monetarnu premiju.” Kako monetarno dobro prolazi kroz stadije monetizacije (navedene gore), monetarna premija raste. No, ta premija ne raste u ravnoj i predvidivoj liniji. Dobro X, koje je bilo u procesu monetizacije, može izgubiti u usporedbi sa dobrom Y koje ima više svojstava novca, te monetarna premija dobra X drastično padne ili potpuno nestane. Monetarna premija srebra je skoro potpuno nestala u kasnom 19. stoljeću, kada su ga vlade diljem svijeta zamijenile zlatom kao novcem.

Čak i u odsustvu vanjskih faktora, kao što su intervencije vlade ili druga monetarna dobra, monetarna premija novog novca neće ići predvidivim putem. Ekonomist Larry White primijetio je:

"problem sa pričom “balona,” naravno, je da je ona konzistentna sa svakim putem cijene, i time ne daje ikakvo objašnjenje za specifičan put cijene"

Proces monetizacije opisuje teorija igara; svaki akter na tržištu pokušava predvidjeti agregiranu potražnju ostalih aktera, i time buduću monetarnu premiju. Zato što je monetarna premija nevezana za inherentnu korisnost, tržišni akteri se uglavnom vode za prošlim cijenama da bi odredili je li neko dobro jeftino ili skupo, i žele li ga kupiti ili prodati. Veza trenutne potražnje sa prošlim cijenama naziva se “ovisnost o putu” (path dependence); ona je možda najveći izvor konfuzije u shvaćanju kretanja cijena monetarnih dobara.

Kada kupovna moć monetarnog dobra naraste zbog većeg i šireg korištenja, očekivanja tržišta o definicijama “jeftinog” i “skupog” se mijenjaju u skladu s time. Slično tome, kada cijena monetarnog dobra padne, očekivanja tržišta mogu se promijeniti u opće vjerovanje da su prethodne cijene bile “iracionalne” ili prenapuhane. Ovisnost o putu novca ilustrirana je riječima poznatog upravitelja fondova s Wall Streeta, Josha Browna:

"Kupio sam bitcoine kada su koštali $2300, i to mi se udvostručilo gotovo odmah. Onda sam počeo govoriti kako “ne mogu kupiti još” dok im je cijena rasla, premda sam znao da je to razmišljanje bazirano samo na cijenu po kojoj sam ih kupio. Kasnije, kada je cijena pala zbog kineske regulacije mjenjačnica, počeo sam si govoriti, “Odlično, nadam se da će još pasti da mogu kupiti još.”"

Istina leži u tome da su ideje “jeftinog” i “skupog” zapravo besmislene kada govorimo o monetarnim dobrima. Cijena monetarnog dobra ne reflektira njegovu stopu rasprostanjenosti ili korisnosti, nego mjeru koliko je ono široko prihvaćeno da ispuni razne uloge novca.

Dodatna komplikacija u ovom aspektu novca je činjenica da tržišni akteri ne djeluju samo kao nepristrani promatrači koji pokušavaju kupiti i prodati u iščekivanju budućih kretanja monetarne premije, nego i kao aktivni proponenti. Pošto ne postoji objektivno “točna” monetarna premija, širiti dobar glas o superiornijim svojstvima nekog monetarnog dobra je efektivnije nego za obična dobra, čija vrijednost je u konačnici vezana na njegovu osnovnu korisnost. Religiozni zanos sudionika na Bitcoin tržištu vidljiv je na raznim internetskim forumima, gdje Bitcoineri aktivno promoviraju benefine Bitcoina i bogatstvo koje je moguće ostvariti investiranjem u njega. Promatrajući Bitcoin tržište, Leigh Drogen komentira:

"To je prepoznatljivo svima kao religija - priča koju si pričamo i oko koje se slažemo. Religija je krivulja na grafu prihvaćanja o kojoj trebamo razmišljati. Sustav je gotovo savršen - onog trenutka kada netko pristupi krugu Bitcoinera, to će reći svima i nastaviti širiti riječ. Onda njihovi prijatelji pristupe i nastave širiti riječ."

Premda usporedba sa religijom može staviti Bitcoin u iracionalno svjetlo, potpuno je racionalno za individualnog vlasnika da širi dobru vijest o superiornom monetarnom dobru, i za šire društvo da se standardizira oko njega. Novac djeluje kao temelj za svu trgovinu i štednju; tako da prihvaćanje superiornog oblika novca ima ogromne multiplicirajuće benefite za stvaranje bogatstva za sve članove društva.

Oblik monetizacije

U članku o Spekulativnom prihvaćanju Bitcoina / teorije cijene, Michael Casey postulira da rastući Gartner hype ciklusi predstavljaju faze standardne S-krivulje prihvaćanja novih tehnologija, koje su bile prisutne kod mnogih transformacijskih tehnologija dok su postajale uobičajene u društvu.

Svaki Gartner hype ciklus počinje sa eksplozijom entuzijazma za novom tehnologijom, a cijenu podižu oni sudionici na tržištvu koji su “dostupni” u toj fazi. Najraniji kupci u Gartner hype ciklusu obično imaju jaku vjeru o transformacijskoj prirodi tehnologije u koju ulažu. S vremenom, tržište dosegne vrhunac entuzijazma kako se količina novih kupaca iscrpljuje, te kupovinom počnu dominirati spekulatori koji su više zainteresirani u brze profite nego u samu tehnologiju.

Nakon vrha hype ciklusa, cijene rapidno padaju dok spekulativno ludilo ustupa mjesto očajavanju, javnoj poruzi i osjećaju da tehnologija nije uopće bila transformacijska. S vremenom, cijena dosegne dno i formira plato na kojem se originalnim ulagačima, koji su imali snažno uvjerenje, pridružuju nove grupe ljudi koji su izdržali bol kraha cijena i koji cijene važnost same tehnologije.

Plato traje neko vrijeme i formira, kako Casey kaže, “stabilnu, dosadnu dolinu.” Za ovo vrijeme, javni interes za tehnologiju opada, no nastaviti će se razvijati i snažna zajednica uvjerenja će polako rasti. Tada, postavlja se nova baza za sljedeću iteraciju hype ciklusa, dok vanjski promatrači prepoznaju da tehnologija i dalje postoji i da ulaganje u nju možda nije onoliko rizično kao što se činilo za vrijeme pada cijene. Sljedeća iteracija hype ciklusa donosi mnogo veći broj novih ljudi, pa je i ciklus daleko veći u svojoj magnitudi.

Jako mali broj ljudi koji sudjeluju u Gartner hype ciklusu će točno predvidjeti koliko će visoko cijena porasti za vrijeme ciklusa. Cijene često dosegnu razine koje bi se činile apsurdnima većini ulagača u raniji stadijima ciklusa. Kada ciklus završi, mediji tipično atribuiraju pad cijene nekoj od aktualnih drušvenih tema. Premda takva tema može biti okidač pada, ona nikad nije temeljni razlog zašto ciklus završava. Gartner hype ciklusi završavaju kada je količina dostupnih novih sudionika na tržištu iscrpljena.

Zanimljivo je da je i zlato nacrtalo klasičan graf Gartner hype ciklusa od kasnih 1970-ih do ranih 2000-ih. Moguće je spekulirati da je hype ciklus osnovna socijalna dinamika oko procesa monetizacije.

Gartner kohorte

Od početka trgovanja Bitcoina na mjenjačnicama 2010. godine, Bitcoin tržište je svjedočilo četirima velikim Gartner hype ciklusima. U retrospektivi, možemo vrlo precizno identificirati grupe cijena prethodnih hype ciklusa Bitcoin tržišta. Također, možemo kvalitativno odrediti kohorte ulagača koje su povezane sa svakom iteracijom prethodnih ciklusa.

$ 0–$ 1 (2009. – 3. mjesec 2011.): Prvi hype ciklus u Bitcoin tržištu dominirali su kriptografi, računalni znanstvenici i cypherpunkovi koji su od početka bili spremni razumijeti važnost nevjerojatnog izuma Satoshija Nakamotoa, i koji su bili pioniri u potvrđivanju da Bitcoin protokol nema tehničkih mana.

$ 1–$ 30 (3. mjesec 2011. – 7. mjesec. 2011.): Drugi ciklus privukao je rane entuzijaste oko novih tehnologija kao i stabilan pritok ideološki motiviranih ulagača koji su bili oduševljeni idejom novca odvojenog od države. Libertarijanci poput Rogera Vera došli su u Bitcoin zbog aktivnog anti-institucionalnog stava, i mogućnosti koju je nova tehnologija obećavala. Wences Casares, briljantni i dobro povezani serijski poduzetnik, bio je također dio drugog Bitcoin hype ciklusa te je širio riječ o Bitcoinu među najprominentnijim tehnolozima i ulagačima u Silicijskoj Dolini.

$ 250–$ 1100 (4. mjesec 2013. – 12. mjesec 2013.): Treći hype ciklus doživio je ulazak ranih generalnih i institucionalnih ulagača koji su bili voljni uložiti trud i riskirati kroz užasno komplicirane kanale likvidnosti kako bi kupili bitcoine. Primaran izvor likvidnosti na tržištu za vrijeme ovog perioda bio je MtGox, mjenjačnica bazirana u Japanu, koju je vodio notorno nesposobni i beskrupulozni Mark Karpeles, koji je kasnije završio i u zatvoru zbog svoje uloge u kolapsu MtGoxa.

Valja primijetiti da je rast Bitcoinove cijene za vrijeme spomenuti hype ciklusa većinom povezano sa povećanjem likvidnosti i lakoćom sa kojom su ulagači mogli kupiti bitcoine. Za vrijeme prvog hype ciklusa, nisu postojale mjenjačnice; akvizicija bitcoina se odvijala primarno kroz rudarenje (mining) ili kroz izravnu razmjenu sa onima koju su već izrudarili bitcoine. Za vrijeme drugog hype ciklusa, pojavile su se rudimentarne mjenjačnice, no nabavljanje i osiguravanje bitcoina na ovim mjenjačnicama bilo je previše kompleksno za sve osim tehnološki najsposobnijih ulagača. Čak i za vrijeme trećeg hype ciklusa, ulagači koju su slali novac na MtGox kako bi kupili bitcoine su morali raditi kroz značajne prepreke. Banke nisu bile voljne imati posla sa mjenjačnicom, a oni posrednici koji su nudili usluge transfera bili su često nesposobni, kriminalni, ili oboje. Nadalje, mnogi koji su uspjeli poslati novac MtGoxu, u konačnici su morali prihvatiti gubitak svojih sredstava kada je mjenjačnica hakirana i kasnije zatvorena.

Tek nakon kolapsa MtGox mjenjačnice i dvogodišnje pauze u tržišnoj cijeni Bitcoina, razvili su se zreli i duboki izvori likvidnosti; primjeri poput reguliranih mjenjačnica kao što su GDAX i OTC brokeri kao Cumberland mining. Dok je četvrti hype ciklus započeo 2016. godine, bilo je relativno lako običnim ulagačima kupiti i osigurati bitcoine.

$ 1100 – $ 19600? (2014. –?):

U trenutku pisanja ovog teksta, tržište Bitcoina je prolazilo svoj četvrti veliki hype ciklus. Sudjelovanje u ovom hype ciklusu dominirala je ona skupina koju je Michael Casey opisao kao “rana većina” običnih i institucionalnih ulagača.

Kako su se izvori likvidnosti produbljivali i sazrijevali, veliki institucionalni ulagači sada imaju priliku sudjelovati kroz regulirana “futures” tržišta. Dostupnosti takvih tržišta stvara put ka kreaciji Bitcoin ETF-a (exchange traded fund) (fond na slobodnom tržištu), koji će onda pokrenuti “kasnu većinu” i “najsporije” u sljedećim hype ciklusima.

Premda je nemoguće predvidjeti točan efekt budućih hype ciklusa, razumno je očekivati da će najviša točka biti između $ 20.000 i $ 50.000 (2021. zenit je bio preko $ 69.000). Znatno više od ovog raspona, i Bitcoin bi imao znatan postotak ukupne vijednosti zlata (zlato i Bitcoin bi imali jednaku tržišnu kapitalizaciju kada bi bitcoini vrijedili oko $ 380.000 u trenutku pisanja ovog teksta). Značajan postotak vrijednosti zlata dolazi od potražnje centralnih banaka, te je malo vjerojatno da će centralne banke ili suverene države sudjelovati u trenutnom hype ciklusu.

Ulazak suverenih država u Bitcoin

Bitcoinov zadnji Gartner hype ciklus će započeti kada ga suverene države počnu akumulirati kao dio svojih rezervi stranih valuta. Tržišna kapitalizacija Bitcoina je trenutno premala da bismo ga smatrali značajnim dodatkom rezervama većini zemalja. No, kako se interes u privatnom sektoru povećava i kapitalizacija Bitcoina se približi trilijunu dolara, postat će dovoljno likvidan za većinu država. Prva država koja službeno doda bitcoine u svoje rezerve će vjerojatno potaknuti stampedo ostalih da učine isto. Države koje su među prvima u usvajanju Bitcoina imat će najviše benefita u svojim knjigama ako Bitcoin u konačnici postane globalna valuta (global reserve currency). Nažalost, vjerojatno će države sa najjačom izvršnom vlasti - diktature poput Sjeverne Koreje - biti najbrže u akumulaciji bitcoina. Neodobravanje prema takvim državama i slaba izvršna tijela zapadnjačkih demokracija uzrokovat će sporost i kašnjenje u akumulaciji bitcoina za njihove vlastite rezerve.

Velika je ironija u tome što je SAD trenutno jedna od regulatorno najotvorenijih nacija prema Bitcoinu, dok su Kina i Rusija najzatvorenije. SAD riskira najviše, geopolitički, ako bi Bitcoin zamijenio dolar kao svjetska rezervna valuta. U 1960-ima, Charles de Gaulle je kritizirao “pretjeranu privilegiju” (“exorbitant privilege”) koju su SAD imale u međunarodnom monetarnom poretku, postavljenom kroz Bretton Woods dogovor 1944. godine. Ruska i kineska vlada još ne shvaćaju geo-strateške benefite Bitcoina kao rezervne valute, te se trenutno brinu o efektima koje bi mogao imati na njihova unutarnja tržišta. Kao de Gaulle u 1960-ima, koji je prijetio SAD-u povratkom na klasični standard zlata, Kinezi i Rusi će s vremenom uvidjeti korist u velikoj poziciji u Bitcoinu - spremištu vrijednosti bez pokrića ijedne vlade. Sa najvećom koncentracijom rudara Bitcoina u Kini (2017.), kineska vlada već ima znatnu potencijalnu prednost u stavljanju bitcoina u svoje rezerve.

SAD se ponosi svojim statusom nacije inovatora, sa Silicijskom dolinom kao krunom svoje ekonomije. Dosad, Silicijska dolina je dominirala konverzacijom usmjerenom prema regulaciji, i poziciji koju bi ona treba zauzeti prema Bitcoinu. No, bankovna industrija i federalna rezerva SAD-a (US Federal Reserve, Fed) napokon počinju uviđati egzistencijalnu prijetnju koju Bitcoin predstavlja za američku monetarnu politiku, postankom globalne rezervne valute. Wall Street Journal, jedan od medijskih glasova federalne reserve, izdao je komentar o Bitcoinu kao prijetnji monetarnoj politici SAD-a:

"Postoji još jedna opasnost, možda i ozbiljnija iz perspektive centralnih banaka i regulatora: bitcoin možda ne propadne. Ako je spekulativni žar u kriptovalutu samo prvi pokazatelj njezinog šireg korištenja kao alternative dolaru, Bitcoin će svakako ugroziti monopol centralnih banaka nad novcem."

U narednim godinama, možemo očekivati veliku borbu između poduzetnika i inovatora u Silicijskoj dolini, koji će pokušavati čuvati Bitcoin od državne kontrole s jedne strane, i bankovne industrije i centralnih banaka koje će učiniti sve što mogu da bi regulirale Bitcoin kako bi spriječile znatne promjene u svojoj industriji i moći izdavanja novca, s druge.

Prijelaz na medij razmjene

Monetarno dobro ne može postati opće prihvaćen medij razmjene (standardna ekonomska definicija za “novac”) prije nego je vrednovano od širokog spektra ljudi; jednostavno, dobro koje nije vrednovano neće biti prihvaćeno u razmjeni. Kroz proces generalnog rasta vrijednosti, i time postanka spremišta vrijednosti, monetarno dobro će brzo narasti u kupovnoj moći, i time stvoriti cijenu za korištenje u razmjeni. Samo kada ta cijena rizika mijenjanja spremišta vrijednosti padne dovoljno nisko, može dobro postati opće prihvaćen medij razmjene.

Preciznije, monetarno dobro će biti prikladno kao medij razmjene samo kada je suma cijene rizika i transakcijske cijene u razmjeni manja nego u trgovini bez tog dobra.

U društvu koje vrši robnu razmjenu, prijelaz spremišta vrijednosti u medij razmjene može se dogoditi čak i onda kada monetarno dobro raste u kupovnoj moći, zato što su transakcijski troškovi robne razmjene iznimno visoki. U razvijenoj ekonomiji, u kojoj su troškovi razmjene niski, moguće je za mladu i rapidno rastućnu tehnologiju spremišta vrijednosti, poput Bitcoina, da se koristi kao medij razmjene, doduše na ograničen način. Jedan primjer je ilegalno tržište droge, gdje su kupci voljni žrtvovati oportunu cijenu čuvanja bitcoina kako bi umanjili znatan rizik kupovine droge koristeći fiat novac.

Postoje međutim velike institucionalne barijere da novonastalo spremište vrijednosti postane sveopće prihvaćen medij razmjene u razvijenom društvu. Države koriste oporezivanje kao moćnu metodu zaštite svojeg suverenog novca protiv rivalskih monetarnih dobara. Ne samo da suvereni novac ima prednost konstantnog izvora potražnje, zato što je porez moguće platiti jedino u njemu, nego su i rivalska monetarna dobra oporezana pri svakoj razmjeni za vrijeme rastuće cijene. Ova metoda oporezivanja stvara znatan otpor korištenju spremišta vrijednosti kao medija razmjene.

Ovakvo sabotiranje tržišnih monetarnih dobara nije nepremostiva barijera za njihovo prihvaćanje kao općeg medija razmjene. Ako ljudi izgube vjeru u suvereni novac, njegova vrijednost može rapidno propasti kroz proces zvan hiperinflacija. Kada suvereni novac prolazi kroz hiperinflaciju, njegova vrijednost propadne prvo u usporedbi sa najlikvidnijim dobrima u društvu, kao što je zlato ili stabilna strana valuta (američki dolar npr.), ako su ona dostupna. Kada nema likvidnih dobara ili ih ima premalo, novac u hiperinflaciji kolabira u usporedbi sa stvarnim dobrima, kao što su nekretnine ili upotrebljiva roba. Arhetipska slika hiperinflacije je trgovina sa praznim policama - potrošači brzo bježe iz propadajuće vrijednosti novca svoje nacije.

Nakon dovoljno vremena, kada je vjera potpuno uništena za vrijeme hiperinflacije, suvereni novac više nitko ne prihvaća, te se društvo može vratiti na robnu razmjenu, ili će doživjeti potpunu zamjenu monetarne jedinice za sredstvo razmjene. Primjer ovog procesa bila je zamjena zimbabveanskog dolara za američki dolar. Takva promjena suverenog novca za stranu valutu je dodatno otežana relativnom oskudnošću strane valute i odsustvom stranih bankarskih institucija koje pružaju likvidnost tržištu.

Sposobnost lakog prenošenja bitcoina preko granica i odsustvo potrebe za bankarskim sustavom čine Bitcoin idealnim monetarnim dobrom za one ljude koji pate pod hiperinflacijom. U nadolazećim godinama, kako fiat valute nastave svoj povijesni trend ka bezvrijednosti, Bitcoin će postati sve popularniji izbor za ušteđevine ljudi diljem svijeta. Kada je novac nacije napušten i zamijenjen Bitcoinom, Bitcoin će napraviti tranziciju iz spremišta vrijednosti u tom društvu u opće prihvaćeno sredstvo razmjene. Daniel Krawicz stvorio je termin “hiperbitcoinizacija” da bi opisao ovaj proces.

Učestala pogrešna shvaćanja

Većina ovog članka usredotočila se na monetarnu prirodu Bitcoina. Sa tim temeljima možemo adresirati neke od najčešćih nerazumijevanja u Bitcoinu.

Bitcoin je balon (bubble)

Bitcoin, kao sva tržišna monetarna dobra, posjeduje monetarnu premiju. Ona često rezultira uobičajenom kritikom da je Bitcoin samo “balon.” No, sva monetarna dobra imaju monetarnu premiju. Naprotiv, ta monetarna premija (cijena viša od one koju diktira potražnja za dobrom kao korisnim) je upravo karakteristična za sve oblike novca. Drugim riječima, novac je uvijek i svuda balon. Paradoksalno, monetarno dobro je istovremeno balon i ispod vrijednosti ukoliko je u ranijim stadijima općeg prihvaćanja kao novac.

Bitcoin je previše volatilan

Volatilnost cijene Bitcoina je funkcija njegovog nedavnog nastanka. U prvih nekoliko godina svojeg postojanja, Bitcoin se ponašao kao mala dionica, i svaki veliki kupac - kao npr. braća Winklevoss - mogao je uzrokovati veliki skok u njegovoj cijeni. No, kako su se prihvaćenost i likvidnost povećavali kroz godine, volatilnost Bitcoina je srazmjerno smanjila. Kada Bitcoin postigne tržišnu kapitalizaciju (vrijednost) zlata, imat će sličnu volatilnost kao i zlato. Kako Bitcoin nastavi rasti, njegova volatilnost će se smanjiti do razine koja ga čini prikladnim za široko korištenje kao medij razmjene. Kao što je prethodno rečeno, monetizacija Bitcoina se odvija u seriji Gartner hype ciklusa. Volatilnost je najniža za vrijeme vrhunaca i dolina unutar ciklusa. Svaki hype ciklus ima nižu volatilnost od prethodnih, zato što je likvidnost tržišta veća.

Cijene transakcija su previsoke

Novija kritika Bitcoin mreže je ta da ju je povećanje cijena prijenosa bitcoina učinilo neprikladnom za sustav plaćanja. No, rast u cijenama transakcija je zdrav i očekivan. One su nužne za plaćanje bitcoin minera (rudara), koji osiguravaju mrežu validacijom transakcija. Rudare se plaća kroz cijene transakcija ili kroz blok-nagrade, koje su inflacijska subvencija od trane trenutnih vlasnika bitcoina.

S obzirom na Bitcoinovu fiksnu proizvodnju (monetarna politika koja ga čini idealnim za spremanje vrijednosti), blok-nagrade će s vremenom nestati i mrežu će se u konačnici morati osiguravati kroz cijene transakcija. Mreža sa “niskim” cijenama transakcija je mreža sa slabom sigurnosti i osjetljiva na vanjsku intervenciju i cenzuru. Oni koji hvale niske cijene Bitcoinovih alternative zapravo niti ne znajući opisuju slabosti tih takozvanih “alt-coina.”

Površan temelj kritika Bitcoinovih “visokih” cijena transakcija je uvjerenje da bi Bitcoin trebao biti prvo sustav plaćanja, i drugo spremište vrijednosti. Kao što smo vidjeli kroz povijest novca, ovo uvjerenje je naopako. Samo onda kada Bitcoin postane duboko ukorijenjeno spremište novca može biti prikladan kao sredstvo razmjene. Nadalje, kada oportunitetni trošak razmjene bitcoina dođe na razinu koja ga čini prikladnim sredstvom razmjene, većina trgovine neće se odvijati na samoj Bitcoin mreži, nego na mrežama “drugog sloja” (second layer) koje će imati niže cijene transakcija. Takve mreže, poput Lightning mreže, služe kao moderna verzija zadužnica koje su korištene za prijenos vlasničkih papira zlata u 19. stoljeću. Banke su koristile zadužnice zato što je prijenos samog metala bio daleko skuplji. Za razliku od takvih zadužnica, Lightning mreža će omogućavati nisku cijenu prijenosa bitcoina bez potrebe za povjerenjem prema trećoj strani, poput banaka. Razvoj Lightning mreže je tehnološka inovacija od izuzetne važnosti u povijesti Bitcoina, i njezina vrijednost će postati očita u narednim godinama, kako je sve više ljudi bude razvijalo i koristilo.

Konkurencija

Pošto je Bitcoin softverski protokol otvorenog tipa (open-source), oduvijek je bilo moguće kopirati softver i imitirati mrežu. Kroz godine nastajali su mnogi imitatori, od identičnih kopija, kao Litecoin, do kompleksnijih varijanti kao što je Ethereum, koje obećavaju arbitrarno kompleksne ugovorne mehanizme koristeći decentralizirani računalni sustav. Česta kritika Bitcoinu od strane ulagača je ta da on ne može zadržati svoju vrijednost kada je vrlo lako stvoriti konkurente koji mogu lako i brzo u sebi imati najnovije inovacije i softverske funkcionalnosti.

Greška u ovom argumentu leži u manju takozvanog “mrežnog efekta” (network effect), koji postoji u prvoj i dominantnoj tehnologiji u nekom području. Mrežni efekt - velika vrijednost korištenja Bitcoina samo zato što je već dominantan - je važno svojstvo samo po sebi. Za svaku tehnologiju koja posjeduje mrežni efekt, to je daleko najvažnije svojstvo koje može imati.

Za Bitcoin, mrežni efekt uključuje likvidnost njegovog tržišta, broj ljudi koji ga posjeduju, i zajednicu programera koji održavaju i unaprjeđuju njegov softver i svjesnost u javnosti. Veliki ulagači, uključujući države, će uvijek prvo tražiti najlikvidnije tržište, kako bi mogli ući i izaći iz tržišta brzo, i bez utjecanja na cijenu. Programeri će se pridružiti dominantnoj programerskoj zajednici sa najboljim talentom, i time pojačati samu zajednicu. Svjesnost o brendu sama sebe pojačava, pošto se nadobudni konkurenti Bitcoina uvijek spominju u kontekstu Bitcoina kao takvog.

Raskrižje na putu (fork)

Trend koji je postao popularan 2017. godine nije bio samo imitacija Bitcoinovog softvera, nego kopiranje potpune povijesti njegovih prošlih transakcija (cijeli blockchain). Kopiranjem Bitcoinovog blockchaina do određene točke/bloka i odvajanjem sljedećih blokova ka novoj mreži, u procesu znanom kao “forking” (odvajanje), Bitcoinovi konkurenti su uspjeli riješiti problem distribuiranja svojeg tokena velikom broju korisnika.

Najznačajniji takav fork dogodio se 1. 8. 2017. godine, kada je nova mreža nazvana Bitcoin Cash (Bcash) stvorena. Vlasnik N količine bitcoina prije 1.8.2017. bi onda posjedovao N bitcoina i N BCash tokena. Mala, ali vrlo glasna zajednica Bcash proponenata je neumorno pokušavala prisvojiti Bitcoinov brend i ime, imenujući svoju novu mrežu Bitcoin Cast i pokušavajući uvjeriti nove pridošlice u Bitcoin da je Bcash “pravi” Bitcoin. Ti pokušaji su većinom propali, i taj neuspjeh se vidi u tržišnim kapitalizacijama dviju mreža. No, za nove ulagače, i dalje postoji rizik da bi konkurent mogao kopirati Bitcoin i njegov blockchain i tako uspjeti u preuzimanju tržišne kapitalizacije, te postati de facto Bitcoin.

Moguće je uočiti važno pravilo gledajući velike forkove u prošlosti Bitcoin i Ethereum mreža. Većina tržišne kapitalizacije odvijat će se na mreži koja zadrži najviši stupanj talenta i aktivnosti u zajednici programera. Premda se na Bitcoin može gledati kao na nov i mlad novac, on je također računalna mreža koja počiva na softveru, kojeg se pak treba održavati i poboljšavati. Kupovina tokena na mreži koja ima malo neiskusnih programera bilo bi kao kupovati kopiju Microsoft Windowsa na kojoj rade lošiji programeri. Jasno je vidljivo iz povijesti forkova koji su se odvili 2017. godine da su najbolji računalni i kriptografski stručnjaci posvećeni razvoju originalnog Bitcoina, a ne nekoj od rastućeg broja imitacija koje su se izrodile iz njega.

Stvarni rizici

Premda su uobičajene kritike upućene Bitconu od strane medija i ekonomske profesije krive i bazirane na netočnom shvaćanju novca, postoje pravi i značajni rizici kod ulaganja u Bitcoin. Bilo bi mudro za novog Bitcoin ulagača da shvati ove rizike prije potencijalnog ulaganja.

Rizik protokola

Bitcoin protokol i kriptografski sastavni dijelovi na kojima je sagrađen potencijalno imaju dosad nepronađenu grešku u svom dizajnu, ili mogu postati nesigurni razvojem kvantnih računala. Ako se pronađe greška u protokolu, ili neka nova metoda računarstva učini mogućim probijanje kriptografskih temelja Bitcoina, vjera u Bitcoin biti će znatno narušena. Rizik protokola bio je najviši u ranim godinama razvoja Bitcoina, kada je još uvijek bilo nejasno, čak i iskusnim kriptografima, je li Satoshi Nakamoto zaista riješio problem bizantskih generala (Byzantine Generals’ Problem). Brige oko ozbiljnih grešaka u Bitcoin protokolu nestale su kroz godine, no uzevši u obzir njegovu tehnološku prirodu, rizik protokola će uvijek ostati u Bitcoinu, makar i kao izuzetak.

Propadanje mjenjačnica

Time što je decentraliziran, Bitcoin je pokazao značajnu otpornost, suočen sa brojnim pokušajima raznih vlada da ga reguliraju ili unište. No, mjenjačnice koje trguju bitcoinima za fiat valute su centralizirani entiteti i podložne regulacijama i zatvaranju. Bez mjenjačnica i volje bankara da s njima posluju, proces monetizacije Bitcoina bio bi ozbiljno usporen, ako ne i potpuno zaustavljen. Iako postoje alternativni izvori likvidnosti za Bitcoin, poput “over-the-counter” brokera i decentraliziranih tržišta za kupovinu i prodaju bitcoina, kritičan proces otkrivanja i definiranja cijene se odvija na najlikvidnijim mjenjačnicama, koje su sve centralizirane.

Jedan od načina za umanjivanje rizika gašenja mjenjačnica je geografska arbitraža. Binance, jedna od velikih mjenjačnica iz Kine, preselila se u Japan nakon što joj je kineska vlada zabranila operiranje u Kini. Vlade su također oprezne kako ne bi ugušile novu industriju koja je potencijalno značajna kao i internet, i time predale nevjerojatnu konkurentnu vrijednost drugim nacijama.

Samo kroz koordinirano globalno ukidanje Bitcoin mjenjačnica bi proces monetizacije mogao biti zaustavljen. Trenutno smo u utrci; Bitcoin raste i postaje sve rašireniji, i doći će do trenutka kada bi potpuno ukidanje mjenjačnica postalo politički neizvedivo - kao i gašenje interneta. Mogućnost takvog ukidanja je još uvijek realna, i valja je uzeti u obzir pri ulaganju u Bitcoin. Kao što je gore objašnjeno, suverene vlade se polako bude i uviđaju prijetnju koju predstavlja neovisna digitalna valuta otporna na cenzuru, za njihovu monetarnu politiku. Otvoreno je pitanje hoće li išta poduzeti da odgovore ovoj prijetnji prije nego Bitcoin postane toliko utvrđen i raširen da politička akcija postane nemoćna i ne-efektivna.

Zamjenjivost

Otvorena i transparentna priroda Bitcoin blockchaina omogućava državama da proglase specifične bitcoine “okaljanima” zbog njihovog korištenja u određenim aktivnostima. Premda Bitcoin, na protokolarnoj razini, ne diskriminira transakcije na ikoji način, “okaljani” bitcoini bi mogli postati bezvrijedni ako bi ih regulacije proglasile ilegalnima i neprihvatljivima za mjenjačnice ili trgovce. Bitcoin bi tada izgubio jedno od kritičnih svojstava monetarnog dobra: zamjenjivost.

Da bi se ovaj problem riješio i umanjio, biti će potrebna poboljšanja na razini protokola kako bi se poboljšala privatnost transakcija. Premda postoji napredak u ovom smjeru, prvi put primjenjen u digitalnim valutama kao što su Monero i Zcash, potrebno je napraviti značajne tehnološke kompromise između efikasnosti i kompleksnosti Bitcoina i njegove privatnosti. Pitanje ostaje otvoreno je li moguće dodati nova svojstva privatnosti na Bitcoin, na način koji neće kompromitirati njegovu korisnost kao novca.

Zaključak

Bitcoin je novonastali novac koji je u procesu transformacije iz sakupljačkog dobra u spremište vrijednosti. Kao neovisno monetarno dobro, moguće je da će u budućnosti postati globalan novac, slično kao zlato za vrijeme 19. stoljeća. Prihvaćanje Bitcoina kao globalnog novca je upravo taj optimističan scenarij za Bitcoin, kojeg je artikulirao Satoshi Nakamoto još 2010. godine u email razmjeni sa Mikeom Hearnom:

"Ako zamisliš da se koristi u nekom dijelu svjetske trgovine, i da će postojati samo 21 milijun bitcoina za cijeli svijet, vrijednost po jedinici će biti znatno veća".

Ovaj scenarij je još snažnije definirao briljantni kriptograf Hal Finney, koji je ujedno primio i prve bitcoine od Nakamotoa, ubrzo nakon najave prvog funkcionalnog Bitcoin softvera:

"Zamislimo da Bitcoin bude uspješan i postane dominantan sustav plaćanja diljem svijeta. U tom slučaju će ukupna vrijednost valute biti jednaka ukupnoj vrijednosti svog bogatstva svijeta. Današnje procjene ukupnog svjetskog bogatska kućanstava koje sam pronašao borave negdje između 100 i 300 trilijuna dolara. Sa 20 milijuna bitcoina, svaki bi onda vrijedio oko 10 milijuna dolara."

Čak i da Bitcoin ne postane u cijelost globalan novac, nego da se samo natječe sa zlatom kao neovisno spremište vrijednosti, i dalje je masivno podcijenjen. Mapiranje tržišne kapitalizacije postojeće količine izrudarenog zlata (oko 8 trilijuna dolara) na maksimalnu dostupnost Bitcoina od 21 milijun, daje vrijednost od otprilike 380,000 dolara po bitcoinu. Kao što smo vidjeli u prethodnom tekstu, svojstva koja omogućavaju monetarnom dobru da bude prikladno spremište vrijednosti, čine Bitcoin superiornijim zlatu u svakom pogledu osim trajanja povijesti. No, kako vrijeme prolazi i Lindy efekt postane jači, dosadašnja povijest će prestati biti prednost zlata. Samim time, nije nerazumno očekivati da će Bitcoin narasti do, a možda i preko, ukupne cijene zlata na tržištvu do 2030. Opaska ovoj tezi je činjenica da veliki postotak vrijednosti zlata dolazi od toga što ga centralne banke čuvaju kao spremište vrijednosti. Da bi Bitcoin došao do te razine, određena količina suverenih država će trebati sudjelovati. Hoće li zapadnjačke demokracije sudjelovati u vlasništvu Bitcoina je nepoznato. Vjerojatnije je, nažalost, da će prve nacije u Bitcoin tržištu biti sitne diktature i kleptokracije.

Ako niti jedna država ne bude sudjelovala u Bitcoin tržištu, optimistična teza i dalje postoji. Kao nevisno spremište vrijednosti u rukama individualnih i institucionalnih ulagača, Bitcoin je i dalje vrlo rano u svojoj “krivulji prihvaćenosti” (adoption curve); tzv. “rana većina” ulaze na tržište sada, dok će ostali ući tek nekoliko godina kasnije. Sa širim sudjelovanjem individualnih i institucionalnih ulagača, cijena po bitcoinu između 100,000 i 200,000 dolara je sasvim moguća.

Posjedovanje bitcoina je jedna od malobrojnih asimetričnih novčanih strategija dostupnih svakome na svijetu. Poput “call” opcija, negativan rizik ulagača je ograničen na 1x, dok potencijalna dobit i dalje iznosi 100x ili više. Bitcoin je prvi istinski globalan balon čija je veličina ograničena samo potražnjom i željom građana svijeta da zaštite svoju ušteđevinu od raznovrsnih ekonomskih malverzacija vlade. Bitcoin je ustao kao feniks iz pepela globalne financijske krize 2008. godine - katastrofe kojoj su prethodile odluke centralnih banaka poput američke Federalne rezerve (Federal Reserve).

Onkraj samo financijske teze za Bitcoin, njegov rast i uspjeh kao neovisno spremište vrijednosti imat će duboke geopolitičke posljedice. Globalna, ne-inflacijska valuta će prisiliti suverene države da promjene svoje primarne mehanizme financiranja od inflacije u izravno oporezivanje; koje je daleko manje politički popularno. Države će se smanjivati proporcionalno političkoj boli koju im nanese oporezivanje kao jedini način financiranja. Nadalje, globalna trgovina vršiti će se na način koji zadovoljava aspiraciju Charlesa de Gaullea, da nijedna nacija ne bi smjela imati privilegiju nad ikojom drugom:

"Smatramo da je potrebno da se uspostavi međunarodna trgovina, kao što je bio slučaj prije velikih nesreća koje su zadesile svijet, na neosporivoj monetarnoj bazi, koja ne nosi na sebi oznaku ijedne države."

Za 50 godina, ta monetarna baza biti će Bitcoin.

@ 26d4b5b2:96393e73

https://app.doh.money http://localhost:3000 https://dohmoney-cyxe-cyxeio-cyxecyxeios-projects.vercel.app GET POST OPTIONS PUT DELETE

Content-Type

Ocp-Apim-Subscription-Key

Authorization

Accept

X-Requested-With

X-Verified-By

Content-Length

Request-Context

Date

@(context.Request.Headers.GetValueOrDefault("Ocp-Apim-Subscription-Key", "50922ff015c14a84a092b4764dc6dddf")) @(context.Request.Headers.GetValueOrDefault("Origin", "https://app.doh.money")) @(context.Request.Headers.GetValueOrDefault("Origin", "http://localhost:3000")) GET, POST, OPTIONS, PUT, DELETE Content-Type, Ocp-Apim-Subscription-Key, Authorization, Accept, X-Requested-With,X-Verified-By Content-Length, Request-Context, Date @(context.Request.Headers.GetValueOrDefault("Origin", "https://app.doh.money")) @(context.Request.Headers.GetValueOrDefault("Origin", "http://localhost:3000")) GET, POST, OPTIONS, PUT, DELETE Content-Type, Ocp-Apim-Subscription-Key, Authorization, Accept, X-Requested-With, X-Verified-By Content-Length, Request-Context, Date