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@ eaccf0cb:23be2b8f
2025-05-13 05:02:24Trong thời đại công nghệ phát triển nhanh chóng, việc tìm kiếm một nền tảng số toàn diện, thân thiện và ổn định đã trở thành nhu cầu thiết yếu đối với người dùng. LU8 chính là câu trả lời cho nhu cầu đó, khi mang đến một hệ sinh thái tích hợp với giao diện thông minh, cấu trúc hợp lý và tốc độ xử lý vượt trội. Mọi thao tác trên LU8 đều được thiết kế để tối giản hóa quá trình sử dụng, từ việc đăng ký, truy cập đến thao tác các tiện ích bên trong. Tính năng tương thích đa nền tảng là một trong những điểm mạnh nổi bật, cho phép người dùng sử dụng LU8 linh hoạt trên điện thoại, máy tính bảng hoặc máy tính cá nhân mà không gặp bất kỳ rào cản nào về kỹ thuật hay hiệu suất. Ngoài ra, LU8 thường xuyên cập nhật các xu hướng công nghệ mới, giúp hệ thống luôn vận hành trơn tru và đáp ứng kịp thời những thay đổi trong hành vi người dùng. Việc áp dụng các thuật toán tối ưu hóa hiệu suất cũng giúp thời gian phản hồi của hệ thống nhanh hơn, mang lại trải nghiệm liền mạch cho người dùng ở mọi hoàn cảnh.
Không chỉ dừng lại ở khả năng vận hành mượt mà, LU8 còn đặc biệt chú trọng đến yếu tố bảo mật và sự an toàn thông tin cá nhân cho người sử dụng. Hệ thống được xây dựng trên nền tảng mã hóa hiện đại, sử dụng nhiều lớp xác thực và kiểm tra chéo để ngăn chặn các rủi ro đến từ bên ngoài. Việc này không chỉ giúp bảo vệ dữ liệu một cách toàn diện mà còn tăng cường mức độ tin cậy từ phía người dùng, đặc biệt là trong những hoạt động yêu cầu tính riêng tư cao. LU8 còn cung cấp các tùy chọn bảo mật nâng cao như xác minh qua email, mã OTP và các công cụ nhận diện thiết bị truy cập để hỗ trợ người dùng quản lý tài khoản một cách hiệu quả nhất. Ngoài ra, quá trình sao lưu dữ liệu được thực hiện định kỳ, đảm bảo không có sự cố mất mát nào ảnh hưởng đến trải nghiệm tổng thể. Đội ngũ kỹ thuật đứng sau LU8 luôn theo dõi hệ thống liên tục, nhằm phát hiện và khắc phục mọi sự cố có thể xảy ra trong thời gian ngắn nhất. Những yếu tố này cho thấy LU8 không chỉ là một nền tảng công nghệ hiện đại, mà còn là một hệ thống được đầu tư bài bản với mục tiêu dài hạn.
Bên cạnh sự mạnh mẽ về công nghệ và bảo mật, LU8 còn tạo nên khác biệt thông qua chất lượng chăm sóc khách hàng vượt trội. Với hệ thống hỗ trợ trực tuyến hoạt động liên tục 24/7, người dùng luôn nhận được sự hỗ trợ tận tình, nhanh chóng và chính xác từ đội ngũ chuyên viên. Mọi thắc mắc, từ đơn giản đến phức tạp, đều được giải đáp cặn kẽ, giúp người dùng an tâm hơn khi tương tác với nền tảng. LU8 cũng duy trì một kênh phản hồi mở, nơi người dùng có thể gửi góp ý để cải thiện chất lượng dịch vụ. Các ý kiến này không bị bỏ qua mà luôn được phân tích và áp dụng vào quá trình nâng cấp hệ thống nhằm phục vụ người dùng tốt hơn mỗi ngày. Ngoài ra, LU8 thường xuyên triển khai các chương trình tri ân khách hàng, khuyến khích sự gắn bó lâu dài và xây dựng cộng đồng người dùng tích cực. Trong tương lai, LU8 đặt mục tiêu mở rộng hơn nữa phạm vi ứng dụng và tích hợp thêm nhiều tiện ích mới, tạo nên một nền tảng số toàn diện, đáp ứng đa dạng nhu cầu của người dùng hiện đại và không ngừng thích ứng với xu hướng công nghệ toàn cầu.
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@ 75869cfa:76819987
2025-05-13 03:26:29GM, Nostriches!
The Nostr Review is a biweekly newsletter focused on Nostr statistics, protocol updates, exciting programs, the long-form content ecosystem, and key events happening in the Nostr-verse. If you’re interested, join me in covering updates from the Nostr ecosystem!
Quick review:
In the past two weeks, Nostr statistics indicate over 211,000 daily trusted pubkey events. The number of new users has seen a notable decrease, Profiles with contact lists were representing a 50% decline. More than 5 million events have been published, reflecting a 34% decrease. Total Zap activity stands at approximately 14 million, marking a 12% increase.
Additionally, 25 pull requests were submitted to the Nostr protocol, with 8 merged. A total of 60 Nostr projects were tracked, with 18 releasing product updates, and over 356 long-form articles were published, 36% focusing on Bitcoin and Nostr. During this period, 5 notable events took place, and 2 significant events are upcoming.
Nostr Statistics
Based on user activity, the total daily trusted pubkeys writing events is about 211,000, representing a slight 2.7 % decrease compared to the previous period. Daily activity peaked at 17027 events, with a low of approximately 15340.
The number of new users has decreased significantly.Profiles with contact lists were 12961, representing a decline of approximately 50% compared to the previous period. The number of profiles with bios and pubkey-written events remained stable.
The total number of note events published is around 5 million, reflecting a 34% decrease.Posts remain the most dominant category by volume, representing a 9% decrease compared to the previous period.
For zap activity, the total zap amount is about 14 million, showing an decrease of over 12% compared to the previous period.
Data source: https://stats.nostr.band/
NIPs
Introduce NIP-PNS: Private Note Storage #1893
nostr:npub1xtscya34g58tk0z605fvr788k263gsu6cy9x0mhnm87echrgufzsevkk5s is proposing PNS that empowers Nostr users with a secure and seamless way to store personal notes—like diaries, drafts, or private application settings—across devices while keeping them completely private. Built on client-side encryption, PNS ensures that only the user can read or manage their notes, even as they sync effortlessly via Nostr relays. Unlike traditional local storage or cumbersome encrypted file solutions, PNS offers privacy without sacrificing convenience, using deterministic keys tied to each user or device. It integrates directly with Nostr’s open infrastructure, enabling private data to coexist with public events—secure, synchronized, and under your control.
Create 97.md: Ring Signatures #1894
nostr:npub1u5njm6g5h5cpw4wy8xugu62e5s7f6fnysv0sj0z3a8rengt2zqhsxrldq3 is proposing a PR that ring signatures can be synergistic with other web of trust related tools.
Introduce NIP: Relay metadata propagation #1900
nostr:npub1txukm7xckhnxkwu450sm59vh2znwm45mewaps4awkef2tvsgh4vsf7phrl is proposing a simple propagation mechanism for kind:0 (user metadata) and kind:10002 (relay list metadata) events between relays. Relays are allowed to forward such events to their peers, improving client synchronization.
nostr:npub1gzuushllat7pet0ccv9yuhygvc8ldeyhrgxuwg744dn5khnpk3gs3ea5ds defines a standardized interaction pattern for Nostr Data Vending Machines (DVMs). It focuses on how clients discover DVM capabilities, request jobs, and receive results. This NIP decouples the core DVM interaction from specific job-type implementations, which should be defined in separate documents.
NIP-47 Add Hold Invoice Support #1913
frnandu is proposing PR that introduces support for hold invoices in the Nostr Wallet Connect (NIP-47) protocol.Hold invoices enable more advanced payment workflows where the receiver must explicitly settle or cancel the invoice using the preimage. This allows for enhanced control and coordination in payment flows, such as conditional payments or escrow-like behavior.
Add A Generic Raitng/Review NIP #1914
nostr:npub1cgd35mxmy37vhkfcmjckk9dylguz6q8l67cj6h9m45tj5rx569cql9kfex is proposing generic nip that meant to handle all categories of things via namespaced Ids.
Notable Projects
Coracle 0.6.15 nostr:npub13myx4j0pp9uenpjjq68wdvqzywuwxfj64welu28mdvaku222mjtqzqv3qk
New version of Coracle is out: 0.6.15 — this one is just more QoL improvements and bugfixes — the big one this time is better blossom support (and dropping nip 96!). * Fix safe areas more * Improve remote signing * Drop nip 96 support * Use user blossom servers * Improve profile edit page * Avoid duplicate notes in feeds
Flotilla nostr:npub1jlrs53pkdfjnts29kveljul2sm0actt6n8dxrrzqcersttvcuv3qdjynqn
New version of Flotilla is out as well — 1.0.2 is mostly cleanup from the 1.0 release earlier this week. * Fix add relay button * Fix safe inset areas * Better rendering for errors from relays * Improve remote signer login
Damus Notedeck Beta nostr:npub18m76awca3y37hkvuneavuw6pjj4525fw90necxmadrvjg0sdy6qsngq955
New in Notedeck Beta: * Dave nostr ai assistant app * GIFs! * Fulltext note search * Add full screen images, add zoom & pan * Zaps! NWC/ Wallet ui * Introduce last note per pubkey feed (experimental) * Allow multiple media uploads per selection * Major Android improvements (still wip) * Added notedeck app sidebar * User Tagging * Note truncation * Local network note broadcast, broadcast notes to other notedeck notes while you're offline * Mute list support (reading) * Relay list support * Ctrl-enter to send notes * Added relay indexing (relay columns soon) * Click hashtags to open hashtag timeline
Primal V2.2 nostr:npub12vkcxr0luzwp8e673v29eqjhrr7p9vqq8asav85swaepclllj09sylpugg
Version 2.2 is now live, bringing long-awaited features like Amber signing support and much more. Here’s what’s new: * Blossom media * Push notifications * Notifications overhaul * External signer support * Feed: image gallery revamp * Muted words, hashtags, & threads * Request delete for notes and articles * System photos: share via Primal
Nostur nostr:npub1n0stur7q092gyverzc2wfc00e8egkrdnnqq3alhv7p072u89m5es5mk6h0
New in this version: * Add blossom media server support * Support multiple blossom servers as mirror * Fixed feed position reset on audio bar toggle * Fixed post screenshot broken for quoted posts
Fountain 1.2 nostr:npub1v5ufyh4lkeslgxxcclg8f0hzazhaw7rsrhvfquxzm2fk64c72hps45n0v5
Fountain 1.2 is live on iOS and Android This massive update brings significant design and UX improvements across the app along with new episode summaries features. Here's what's new: * Library Design Update: Fountain has made it much easier to navigate between podcasts and music in the library with the addition of new content-type filters. The Recently Played view allows users to quickly jump back into what they were listening to before, and the design of the content cards has also been refreshed. * Content Pages Design Update: All content pages—including shows, episodes, artists, albums, tracks, clips, and playlists—have undergone an extensive redesign. The previous tab layout has been replaced with scrollable pages, show notes formatting has been improved, and features like chapters and transcripts have been revamped. * Episode Summaries: Each episode page now features a Summary button above the show notes. Users can pay 500 sats to unlock a summary or upgrade to Fountain Premium for $2.99/month to enjoy unlimited summaries. Summaries and transcripts are now bundled together, and they’re faster, cheaper, and more accurate than ever before. * Playback Improvements: The audio engine has been completely rebuilt from the ground up. Playback is now more robust and reliable—especially for music. Tracks now play instantly when tapped, and users can skip seamlessly between tracks in albums and playlists. The player interface has also been updated for easier access to show notes, comments, transcripts, and chapters, with the addition of a smart resume feature for podcasts.
DEG Mods nostr:npub17jl3ldd6305rnacvwvchx03snauqsg4nz8mruq0emj9thdpglr2sst825x
- New Events Aggregator Server, a type of aggregate/caching server that helps collect and organize mod and blog posts from the (nostr) network and presents them to the user, providing more (immensely more) reliability in discovering and presenting mods and blog posts.
- Adjusted how the mods and blogs are fetched and presented in various pages (there's now pagination for each of their pages, making navigation easier than before).
- Minor adjustment to the design of the gallery of mod posts.
- Images in a social post (in /feed) are now clustered depending on if they're next to each other.
- Quote-repost chain won't render its preview with the second quote-repost (under the posts tab in the feed page).
- Added media upload to the edit profile page.
- The games page now has a filter to switch between popular ones (shows the most popular games first based on mods published to it) or latest ones (shows games based on the latest published mods).
- Mods that are blocked by the user are now swapped with a box telling the user this is a blocked mod by them, with an option to see what that mod is.
- Mods can now be properly discovered, as soon as they're discovered, and presented (Because of that aggregate server implementation).
- A lot more games, with better search term prioritization, are now properly showing when searching in the mod submission page
- Visiting a social post directly is now visible without needing to login
RUNSTR nostr:npub1vygzr642y6f8gxcjx6auaf2vd25lyzarpjkwx9kr4y752zy6058s8jvy4e
- Record your cardio and post to nostr
- Save your stats to nostr
- Listen to your nostr:npub1yfg0d955c2jrj2080ew7pa4xrtj7x7s7umt28wh0zurwmxgpyj9shwv6vg playlists and zap your favorite artists
- Interact with the Kind1 RUNSTR Feed
- Interact with NIP29 run clubs
nostr:npub17h9fn2ny0lycg7kmvxmw6gqdnv2epya9h9excnjw9wvml87nyw8sqy3hpu Now it's possible to keep playing your text while voca is in the background.
Wasabi Wallet v2.6.0 nostr:npub1jw7scmeuewhywwytqxkxec9jcqf3znw2fsyddcn3948lw9q950ps9y35fg
- Support for Standard BIP 158 Block Filters
- Full Node Integration Rework
- Create & Recover SLIP 39 Shares
- Nostr Update Manager
Futr nostr nostr:npub18wxf0t5jsmcpy57ylzx595twskx8eyj382lj7wp9rtlhzdg5hnnqvt4xra
- Solved memory leak in Qt5
- Fixed recursive re-rendering bug in Qt5
- Enable QML debugger through Haskell binding
- Improve event handling and Qt5 signal triggering
ZEUS v0.11.0 nostr:npub1xnf02f60r9v0e5kty33a404dm79zr7z2eepyrk5gsq3m7pwvsz2sazlpr5
ZEUS v0.11.0-alpha3 with Cashu support is now available for testing: * Fix: addresses issues with sweeping Cashu tokens to self-custody with remote connections * Feat: Core Lightning: Taproot address support * Misc: UX enhancements * Cashu wallets are tied to Embedded LND wallets. Enable under Settings > Ecash * Other wallet types can still sweep funds from Cashu tokens * ZEUS Pay now supports Cashu address types. You can switch between Zaplocker, Cashu, and NWC mode but can only use one at a time.
Oracolo nostr:npub10000003zmk89narqpczy4ff6rnuht2wu05na7kpnh3mak7z2tqzsv8vwqk
Now the short notes block has two new styles: "Board" and "Full content"; the former shows notes in a pinterest-like fashion on two columns, while the latter shows full notes in full screen.
Umbrel 1.4.1 nostr:npub1aghreq2dpz3h3799hrawev5gf5zc2kt4ch9ykhp9utt0jd3gdu2qtlmhct
- Search files anywhere with ⌘/Ctrl + K
- New Favorites & Recents widgets
- Real-time transfer speed + ETA
- Snappier performance
- Several other enhancements & fixes
Shopstr v0.4.2 nostr:npub15dc33fyg3cpd9r58vlqge2hh8dy6hkkrjxkhluv2xpyfreqkmsesesyv6e
This update brings the following improvements and fixes: * Added Blossom media support for image uploads with metadata stripping * Added a terms of service and privacy policy * Added pagination for product viewing * Fixed relay list duplication bug * Removed excessive bottom margin on marketplace page
nostr.build nostr:npub1nxy4qpqnld6kmpphjykvx2lqwvxmuxluddwjamm4nc29ds3elyzsm5avr7
The latest free features are: * 100MB upload size * Blossom support * David Lynch tribute page
openvibe nostr:npub1plstrz6dhu8q4fq0e4rjpxe2fxe5x87y2w6xpm70gh9qh5tt66kqkgkx8j
- Share Even Further : Crosspost from one network to another, or take posts beyond the open social web. Share anything, anywhere — effortlessly from
Ditto.13 nostr:npub10qdp2fc9ta6vraczxrcs8prqnv69fru2k6s2dj48gqjcylulmtjsg9arpj
Ditto 1.3 is all about discovery. From improved search and event fetching to a brand-new Explore tab, this release makes it easier than ever to find people, posts, and conversations across the #Nostr network. We've also rolled out streaks, media improvements, translation upgrades, and key admin tools.
Long-Form Content Eco
In the past two weeks, more than 356 long-form articles have been published, including over 90 articles on Bitcoin and more than 37 related to Nostr, accounting for 36% of the total content.
These articles about Nostr mainly explore the ongoing evolution and challenges of the decentralized protocol, including relay scalability, spam mitigation, signer tools, and publishing workflows. They highlight the network’s technical progress as it handles increasing data loads and infrastructure demands, while also addressing issues like spam and search limitations. Many articles focus on content creation and distribution, showcasing tools for decentralized publishing and media hosting. Others introduce practical guides for secure identity management and signer usage. The ecosystem’s economic potential is also discussed, with suggestions for monetization and community growth. Personal reflections and critiques further illustrate the culture and complexity of Nostr as it expands.
These articles about Bitcoin cover a broad spectrum of topics, highlighting its evolving role in technology, culture, and the global economy. They discuss core concepts such as decentralization, financial sovereignty, and Bitcoin as digital gold, while also addressing current issues like OP_RETURN restrictions, mining centralization, and environmental concerns. Real-world use cases—such as remittances, merchant adoption, and Bitcoin's growth in emerging markets like Africa and South America—are frequently explored. Many articles focus on user education, including wallet security, key management, and node operation. Others provide commentary through book reviews, political reflections, and personal narratives, illustrating how Bitcoin is shaping both individual behavior and institutional thinking.
Thank you, nostr:npub186a9aaqmyp436j0gkxl8yswhat2ampahxunpmfjv80qwyaglywhqswhd06 nostr:npub1xncam2l8u5chg6w096v89f2q2l0lz4jz4n7q7tdjsu6y5t9qea7q2cmrua nostr:npub10m6lrv2kaf08a8um0plhj5dj6yqlw7qxzeag6393z352zrs0e5nsr2tff3 nostr:npub15hhygatg5gmjyfkkguqn54f9r6k8m5m6ksyqffgjrf3uut982sqsffn4vc nostr:npub18ams6ewn5aj2n3wt2qawzglx9mr4nzksxhvrdc4gzrecw7n5tvjqctp424 nostr:npub1rsv7kx5avkmq74p85v878e9d5g3w626343xhyg76z5ctfc30kz7q9u4dke nostr:npub1jp3776ujdul56rfkkrv8rxxgrslqr07rz83xpmz3ndl74lg7ngys320eg2 nostr:npub1dk8z5f8pkrn2746xuhfk347a0g6fsxh20wk492fh9h8lkha2efxqgeq55a nostr:npub18sufer6dgm9gzvt8gw37x08dk8gxr8u80rh8f4rjv4m4u73wlalsygnz5q nostr:npub1qpdufhjpel94srm3ett2azgf49m9dp3n5nm2j0rt0l2mlmc3ux3qza082j nostr:npub1th6p84x9u5p4lagglkvm8zepa2dq4s9eanp57vcj4w5652kafads7m930q nostr:npub1xx8t4wk2cvnz5ez7sxkvx40phgqa05a8qas4mcss0fjcdx3x96hq7jdm20 npub1qn4ylq6s79tz4gwkphq8q4sltwurs6s36xsq2u8aw3qd5ggwzuf, nostr:npub1jrr9dlerex7tg8njvc88c60asxnf5dp8hgcerh0q8w3gdyurl48q6s5nwv nostr:npub1harur8s4wmwzgrugwdmrd9gcv6zzfkzfmp36xu4tel0ces7j2uas3gcqdy and others, for your work. Enriching Nostr’s long-form content ecosystem is crucial.Nostriches Global Meet Ups
Recently, several Nostr events have been hosted in different countries. * Recently, YakiHonne collaborated with the University of Jos and Ipaybtc community to successfully host two Nostr Workshops, attracting over 50 enthusiastic participants. The events not only provided a comprehensive introduction to the Nostr ecosystem and Bitcoin payments but also offered hands-on experiences with decentralized technologies through the YakiHonne platform.
The Nostr & Poker Night* was held on April 30 at the Bitcoin Embassy in El Salvador.The event featured an engaging Nostr-themed presentation by nostr:npub1dmnzphvk097ahcpecwfeml08xw8sg2cj4vux55m5xalqtzz9t78q6k3kv6 followed by a relaxed and enjoyable poker night. Notably, 25% of the poker tournament prize was donated to support MyFirstBitcoin and its mission to provide Bitcoin education. * A free webinar on venture capital, Bitcoin, and cryptocurrencies was held online on May 6 at 12:00 PM (ARG time). Organized in collaboration with Draper Cygnus, the event introduced the fundamentals of venture capital, showcased the projects of ONG Bitcoin Argentina Academy, and provided attendees with the opportunity to interact with the guest speakers. * Bitcoin Unveiled: Demystifying Freedom Money was held on May 10, 2025, at Almara Hub. The event explored Bitcoin’s transformative potential, helping participants understand its purpose, learn how to get started, build a career in the Bitcoin space, and begin their Bitcoin savings journey. Featured speakers included nostr:npub1sn0q3zptdcm8qh8ktyhwtrnr9htwpykav8qnryhusr9mcr9ustxqe4tr2x Theophilus Isah, nostr:npub1s7xkezkzlfvya6ce6cuhzwswtxqm787pwddk2395pt9va4ulzjjszuz67p and Megasley.
Here is the upcoming Nostr event that you might want to check out. * The Bitcoin 2025 conference was held from May 26 to 29 at the Venetian Convention Center in Las Vegas, with the Nostr community hosting a series of vibrant activities. While the Nostr Lounge served as a central hub for socializing and technical exchange, featuring app demos, lightning talks, and limited-edition merchandise. Nostr also delivered two key presentations during the conference, focusing on multisig key management and the future of decentralized social media. * BTC Prague 2025 is the largest and most influential Bitcoin-only conference in Europe. It will take place from June 19 to 21, 2025, at PVA Expo Praha in Prague, Czech Republic. The event is expected to attract over 10,000 attendees from around the world, including entrepreneurs, developers, investors, and educators.
The conference will feature more than 200 speakers from various sectors of the global Bitcoin ecosystem, nostr:npub14gm6rq7rkw56cd08aa4k5tvjnepqnxm4xvc535wj0wyjxlgrfa8sqdgv87 nostr:npub1dg6es53r3hys9tk3n7aldgz4lx4ly8qu4zg468zwyl6smuhjjrvsnhsguz nostr:npub1ymgefd46k55yfwph8tdlxur573puastaqdmxff4vj20xj0uh3p2s06k8d5 nostr:npub1jt97tpsul3fp8hvf7zn0vzzysmu9umcrel4hpgflg4vnsytyxwuqt8la9y nostr:npub1dtgg8yk3h23ldlm6jsy79tz723p4sun9mz62tqwxqe7c363szkzqm8up6m nostr:npub1g53mukxnjkcmr94fhryzkqutdz2ukq4ks0gvy5af25rgmwsl4ngq43drvk nostr:npub16c0nh3dnadzqpm76uctf5hqhe2lny344zsmpm6feee9p5rdxaa9q586nvr
and more. In addition to the main program, several side events will be held, such as Developer Hack Days, Cypherpunk gatherings, and Women in Bitcoin initiatives.
Additionally, We warmly invite event organizers who have held recent activities to reach out to us so we can work together to promote the prosperity and development of the Nostr ecosystem.
Thanks for reading! If there’s anything I missed, feel free to reach out and help improve the completeness and accuracy of my coverage.
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@ 502ab02a:a2860397
2025-05-13 01:07:59มีคนเคยพูดเล่นว่า “ถ้าคุณอยากเปลี่ยนโลก ไม่ต้องปฏิวัติ แค่เปลี่ยนอาหารคนซะ" บรรดาเจ้าพ่อเทคโนโลยีชีวภาพก็เลยเริ่มจับมือกับกลุ่มทุนระดับโลก สร้าง “อาหารแห่งอนาคต” ที่แม้จะไม่งอกจากธรรมชาติ แต่งอกมาจากถังหมักในโรงงานได้แทน
หลังจากที่เราเริ่มมองเห็นแล้วว่า ช่องทางแทรกซึมเข้าสู่อาหารโลกอนาคตนั้น ตั้งอยู่บนพื้นฐาน "โปรตีน" ซึ่งถ้าใครตามซีรีส์นี้กันมาตลอด คงจำโพสเรื่อง "เรากินนมเพราะความกลัว?" กันได้ดีนะครับ ไวรัล และ ตีความหลุด theme กันกระจาย ซึ่งเป็นธรรมดาของ social media ที่มันจะโผล่ไปหาขาจรแค่ครั้งเดียว ดังนั้น ก้าวข้ามมันไปครับ
สิ่งที่ปูทางไว้แล้วก่อนจะแบไต๋ว่า เป้าหลักของโลกคือ โปรตีน นั่นคือ นมทางเลือก มาสู่การยึดพื้นที่นมโรงเรียน การเข้าตลาดของ Perfect Day โปรตีนนมที่อยู่ในทั้งนม ขนม ไอศกรีม แล้วทั้งหมดจะถูกปรับภาพล้างไพ่ใหม่ ในนามของ milk 2.0 ครับ เรามาต่อซีรีส์ของเราด้วยการทำความรู้จัก ผู้เล่น กันทีละตัวนะครับ หลังจากเราได้ เวย์นมตั้งบนชั้นบนเชลฟ์กันไปแล้ว
New Culture เป็นบริษัทสตาร์ทอัปจากซานลีอันโดร รัฐแคลิฟอร์เนีย ที่ก่อตั้งขึ้นในปี 2018 โดย Matt Gibson และ Inja Radman โดยมีเป้าหมายในการผลิตโปรตีนเคซีน (casein) ซึ่งเป็นโปรตีนหลักในนมวัว โดยไม่ใช้สัตว์ ผ่านกระบวนการ precision fermentation หรือการหมักด้วยจุลินทรีย์ที่ได้รับการดัดแปลงพันธุกรรม โดยการฝึกจุลินทรีย์ให้ผลิตโปรตีนเคซีนในห้องปฏิบัติการ เพื่อสร้างผลิตภัณฑ์ชีสที่ปราศจากสัตว์ ซึ่งโปรตีนนี้สามารถนำมาใช้ในการผลิตชีสที่มีคุณสมบัติใกล้เคียงกับชีสจากนมวัว แต่ยังคงคุณสมบัติของชีสแท้ๆ เช่น การยืดหยุ่น การละลาย และรสชาติที่คุ้นเคย เปลี่ยนนิยามของคำว่า “ชีส” ให้กลายเป็นโปรตีนเคซีนจากจุลินทรีย์ ไม่ใช่จากน้ำนมวัวอีกต่อไป
Matt Gibson ชายชาวนิวซีแลนด์ ผู้ก่อตั้ง New Culture ไม่ใช่นักวิทยาศาสตร์ แต่เป็นคนหัวธุรกิจที่มีปมบางอย่างกับการกินชีสแบบดั้งเดิม เขาร่วมมือกับ Dr. Inja Radman นักชีววิทยา แล้วตั้งเป้าผลิต “เคซีน” โปรตีนหลักในนมโดยไม่ใช้สัตว์เลยสักตัว
การที่เขาเลือกใช้ precision fermentation หรือการหมักจุลินทรีย์ที่ตัดต่อพันธุกรรม ให้ผลิตเคซีนออกมาจากถังหมัก ซึ่งไม่ใช่เทคโนโลยีใหม่ในโลกแล้ว (แม้บ้านเราหลายคนจะเพิ่งเคยได้ยิน และ ตกใจกันอยู่) บริษัทคู่แข่งอย่าง Perfect Day ก็ใช้แนวทางเดียวกัน ผลิต “เวย์โปรตีนไร้สัตว์” ไปก่อนแล้ว และตอนนี้ มหาเศรษฐีสายลงทุนยั่งยืนก็กำลังรุมแห่ใส่เงินสนับสนุนแขนงนี้เหมือนเห็นโอกาสใหม่ในโลก Fiat ทำให้ New Culture ปรับทิศไปที่ "ชีส"
ผลิตภัณฑ์หลักของ New Culture คือ มอสซาเรลล่าปราศจากสัตว์ ที่มีคุณสมบัติใกล้เคียงกับมอสซาเรลล่าจากนมวัว โดยสามารถละลายและยืดหยุ่นได้เหมือนชีสแท้ๆ และยังมีปริมาณโปรตีนเคซีนเพียง 50% ของชีสทั่วไป ซึ่ง "ช่วยลดต้นทุนการผลิตและผลกระทบต่อสิ่งแวดล้อม"
New Culture ได้รับการสนับสนุนทางการเงินจากนักลงทุนรายใหญ่ เช่น Kraft Heinz, ADM, CJ CheilJedang, และ Dr. Oetker โดยในปี 2021 บริษัทได้ระดมทุนรอบ Series A จำนวน 25 ล้านดอลลาร์สหรัฐ เพื่อขยายการผลิตและนำผลิตภัณฑ์ออกสู่ตลาด นอกจากนี้ New Culture ยังได้ร่วมมือกับ CJ CheilJedang บริษัทผู้ผลิตผลิตภัณฑ์จากการหมักที่ใหญ่ที่สุดในโลก เพื่อเข้าถึงโรงงานการหมักที่ทันสมัยและลดต้นทุนการผลิตโปรตีนเคซีน
และแน่นอนเลยครับว่า ผลิตภัณฑ์ของ New Culture ต้องมาพร้อมกับการโหมประกาศว่า ปราศจากแลคโตส คอเลสเตอรอล ฮอร์โมน และยาปฏิชีวนะที่พบในนมวัว นอกจากนี้ การผลิตโปรตีนเคซีนผ่านการหมักยังช่วยลดการปล่อยก๊าซเรือนกระจกและการใช้ทรัพยากรน้ำและที่ดินเมื่อเทียบกับการผลิตนมวัวแบบดั้งเดิม เพื่อรับความดีงามจากประชากรโลกไปตามระเบียบ
มาดูรอบการระดมทุนกันครับ ยอดเงินทุนรวมที่ได้รับ จนถึงเดือนมีนาคม 2025 New Culture ได้รับเงินทุนรวมประมาณ $35 ล้านดอลลาร์สหรัฐ จากการระดมทุนทั้งหมด 8 รอบ ที่น่าจับตามองคือ Series A ในเดือนพฤศจิกายน 2021 บริษัทได้รับเงินทุน $25 ล้านดอลลาร์สหรัฐ จากนักลงทุนรวมถึง ADM Ventures และ Evolv Ventures ซึ่งเป็นหน่วยงานร่วมลงทุนของ Kraft Heinz
นอกจาก Evolv Ventures จาก Kraft Heinz แล้ว อย่าคิดว่ามันไกลเกินนะครับ CJ CheilJedang บริษัทจากเกาหลีใต้ที่เป็นผู้นำด้านเทคโนโลยีการหมัก ได้เข้าร่วมลงทุนในรอบ Series A เมื่อเดือนพฤศจิกายน 2022 แล้วเจ้านี้นี่บอกได้เลยครับ บิ๊กเนม CJ CheilJedang เป็นผู้นำด้านเทคโนโลยีการหมักและมีส่วนแบ่งตลาด 25% ในตลาดพิซซ่าแช่แข็งของสหรัฐฯ เป้าหมายการเข้าร่วมลงทุนใน New Culture ก็เพื่อสนับสนุนการพัฒนาผลิตภัณฑ์และการขยายกำลังการผลิตของชีสปราศจากสัตว์ของบริษัท
New Culture ยังได้ร่วมมือกับเชฟชื่อดัง Nancy Silverton เพื่อเปิดตัวผลิตภัณฑ์ชีสในร้านอาหารระดับเชฟชื่อดังในสหรัฐฯ กลางปี 2025 โดยเริ่มที่ร้าน Pizzeria Mozza ในลอสแอนเจลิส ซึ่งถือเป็นการเปิดตัวผลิตภัณฑ์สู่ตลาดผู้บริโภคครั้งแรกของบริษัท
การเข้ามาลงทุนของ Evolv Ventures กองทุนร่วมลงทุนของ Kraft Heinz ทำให้เจ้าพ่อชีสโปรเซสในตำนาน มีโอกาสเข้ามาร่วมมือเปิดร้านอาหารนำร่องกับ New Culture
น่าสนใจไหม เงินทุนใหญ่ๆมาจากหน่วยลงทุนที่มีผลิตภัณฑ์เป็น พิซซ่า #pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-05-13 00:39:56🚀📉 #BTC วิเคราะห์ H2! พุ่งชน 105K แล้วเจอแรงขาย... จับตา FVG 100.5K เป็นจุดวัดใจ! 👀📊
จากากรวิเคราะห์ทางเทคนิคสำหรับ #Bitcoin ในกรอบเวลา H2:
สัปดาห์ที่แล้ว #BTC ได้เบรคและพุ่งขึ้นอย่างแข็งแกร่งค่ะ 📈⚡ แต่เมื่อวันจันทร์ที่ผ่านมา ราคาได้ขึ้นไปชนแนวต้านบริเวณ 105,000 ดอลลาร์ แล้วเจอแรงขายย่อตัวลงมาตลอดทั้งวันค่ะ 🧱📉
ตอนนี้ ระดับที่น่าจับตาอย่างยิ่งคือโซน H4 FVG (Fair Value Gap ในกราฟ 4 ชั่วโมง) ที่ 100,500 ดอลลาร์ ค่ะ 🎯 (FVG คือโซนที่ราคาวิ่งผ่านไปเร็วๆ และมักเป็นบริเวณที่ราคามีโอกาสกลับมาทดสอบ/เติมเต็ม)
👇 โซน FVG ที่ 100.5K นี้ ยังคงเป็น Area of Interest ที่น่าสนใจสำหรับมองหาจังหวะ Long เพื่อลุ้นการขึ้นในคลื่นลูกถัดไปค่ะ!
🤔💡 อย่างไรก็ตาม การตัดสินใจเข้า Long หรือเทรดที่บริเวณนี้ ขึ้นอยู่กับว่าราคา แสดงปฏิกิริยาอย่างไรเมื่อมาถึงโซน 100.5K นี้ เพื่อยืนยันสัญญาณสำหรับการเคลื่อนไหวที่จะขึ้นสูงกว่าเดิมค่ะ!
เฝ้าดู Price Action ที่ระดับนี้อย่างใกล้ชิดนะคะ! 📍
BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #คริปโต #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #FVG #FairValueGap #PriceAction #MarketAnalysis #ลงทุนคริปโต #วิเคราะห์กราฟ #TradeSetup #ข่าวคริปโต #ตลาดคริปโต
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@ 68768a6c:0eaf07e9
2025-05-12 23:58:56What Is Bitcoin? Bitcoin is the world’s first decentralized digital currency—created in 2009 by an anonymous person (or group) under the name Satoshi Nakamoto. Unlike regular money, it’s not printed or controlled by any government or bank. Instead, it runs on a global network of computers using a technology called blockchain. Why Is Bitcoin Valuable? Bitcoin is often called “digital gold” because it’s limited in supply—only 21 million bitcoins will ever exist. This scarcity, combined with increasing demand and global adoption, makes it valuable. Many people invest in Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation or unstable currencies. How Can You Use Bitcoin? Today, Bitcoin can be used for: Online shopping (some stores accept it) Transferring money across borders Investing for long-term growth You can store it in a digital wallet and send it anywhere in the world in minutes—with low fees. The Risks and Rewards Bitcoin prices can go up or down quickly—it’s very volatile. But many investors believe it will grow in value as the world becomes more digital. Tip for Beginners: Never invest more than you can afford to lose. Start small, learn as you go, and stay updated. Final Thoughts Bitcoin is more than just internet money—it’s a revolution in how we think about value, privacy, and freedom. Whether you’re a curious beginner or a savvy investor, understanding Bitcoin could be your first step toward financial innovation.
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@ 9c9d2765:16f8c2c2
2025-05-12 23:52:29CHAPTER SEVENTEEN
"I don't get it... How is James still in charge?" Tracy murmured, her brows furrowed as she stared at her screen. She sat in her office, fingers nervously drumming against her desk.
Across from her, Mark stood with arms folded, pacing slowly. "You mean after all that evidence? After the blacklist, the embezzlement records nothing happened?"
Tracy shook her head. "Nothing. I checked again this morning. He’s still listed as President of JP Enterprises. It’s like the files we found didn’t even exist."
Helen, who had been silent until now, hissed through clenched teeth. "This is ridiculous. Are you sure the information got to the right hands?"
"It did," Tracy insisted. "I sent it directly to the Prime Minister's inbox using a confidential channel. I even received a delivery confirmation. Someone higher up must’ve swept it under the rug or maybe James covered his tracks faster than we imagined."
Mark slumped into the chair, clearly defeated. "He’s not just lucky he’s smart. Smarter than we gave him credit for."
For the first time since they began scheming, their confidence had begun to falter. They had dug into James’s past, unearthed the most damning of records, and yet… nothing. He remained untouched. Unshaken.
James continued to lead JP Enterprises with iron resolve, his status not just preserved, but strengthened. Whatever scandal they tried to ignite had fizzled out before it could burn.
The silence from JP's top board members was loud. No statements. No investigations. Not even a whisper of an internal review. To the outside world, James remained the unshakable President who had pulled a crumbling empire back from the edge.
Mark clenched his jaw. "He must have allies who are protecting him."
Helen nodded slowly. "We underestimated him. That was our biggest mistake."
Tracy remained quiet, her eyes still fixed on the screen as if trying to decipher what had gone wrong. She had risked everything, accessed confidential files, and violated protocols, expecting James to crumble.
Instead, he was thriving.
"Have you heard?" Robert leaned over his desk, eyes wide with interest. "JP Enterprises is about to celebrate their sixteenth anniversary. It’s going to be the biggest corporate event of the year."
Christopher looked up from the documents he was reviewing. "I heard. Mr. and Mrs. JP are returning for it. The entire business world is going to be there including us."
Robert nodded. "Every major company in and out of the city has received an invitation. It’s not just a celebration, it's a power show. A way for JP Enterprises to remind everyone who’s at the top."
Indeed, the buzz around the sixteenth anniversary of JP Enterprises was like nothing the city had seen in years. Massive banners were already being hoisted across the city skyline. High-end hotels were fully booked. Fashion designers, chefs, tech specialists, and media crews from around the world were preparing for the grand occasion. It was more than a business event, it was a spectacle.
At the heart of the preparations was James, the young and surprisingly unshakable President of JP Enterprises. Under his leadership, the company had grown in power and reach, and the anniversary was both a celebration of its legacy and a testament to its transformation.
Meanwhile, at Ray Enterprises, tension brewed behind the scenes. Though they were invited, the Ray family carried mixed feelings about attending the event. Memories of humiliation and disbelief still lingered the day James had revealed himself as the President was still fresh in their minds.
"We have no choice but to attend," Helen muttered in frustration during a board meeting. "If we stay away, we’ll seem petty and afraid. But going there means bowing our heads to him again."
Sarah, the secretary, tried to mask her discomfort. "It’s a corporate event, ma’am. It might be best to appear neutral… diplomatic."
Rita, now reinstated as General Manager, remained quiet but observant. She knew better than anyone how unpredictable James could be when it came to public appearances. She had no idea what to expect from him at the anniversary.
Back at JP Enterprises, preparations continued in full force. The guest list included billionaires, global CEOs, high-ranking politicians, and the most influential figures across industries. Red carpets would roll out, cameras would flash, and speeches would echo through the grand hall like music from an orchestra.
The city, already buzzing with excitement, awaited the grand event.
"I can’t believe it," the young woman muttered as she stared at her phone, her hands trembling with excitement. "James… the same James who used to sleep in front of Mr. Kola’s grocery store? He’s the President of JP Enterprises now?"
Her name was Evelyn. Sharp-tongued, impatient, and fueled by bitter memories, she had known James during his hardest days on the streets, days when survival meant fighting for leftovers and sleeping on cold sidewalks. To her, his rise wasn’t a success story to be admired. It was a jackpot she felt entitled to.
Storming into the JP Enterprises headquarters during working hours, Evelyn ignored the receptionist's polite inquiries and pushed her way toward the executive wing.
"I want to see James!" she shouted, causing heads to turn in the busy lobby. "I know he’s here. Tell him Evelyn from the street is here!"
Security was alerted immediately, but by then, Evelyn had already reached the waiting area outside the President’s office.
James, who was in a brief meeting with department heads, heard the commotion and stepped out with a composed expression. As soon as his eyes met Evelyn’s, something shifted. He recognized her instantly.
"Evelyn?" he said, frowning slightly. "What are you doing here?"
"Don’t act like you don’t know me, James," she snapped, crossing her arms. "You owe me. We suffered together. I was there when you were nothing. Now you’re swimming in wealth and you think you can forget the people who once mattered!"
James’s expression hardened.
"This is not the place for this kind of talk. You’re disrupting my company’s operations. If you need help, there are proper channels"
"To hell with proper channels!" she yelled. "I came to get what’s mine!"
That was enough. James turned to the nearby security officer. "Escort her out. And make sure she doesn’t return without a valid appointment."
The security guards moved quickly, but Evelyn didn’t go quietly. She shouted all the way to the exit, throwing insults, struggling, and drawing even more attention.
Among those who witnessed the scene was Tracy. At first, she thought it was just a random case of disturbance by some unruly visitor trying to make trouble. But as she watched James’s calm yet stern expression, and the woman’s emotional outburst, something clicked in her cunning mind.
This is gold, she thought, quickly pulling out her phone and snapping a series of pictures from the hallway James arguing with a ragged woman, the woman being dragged out, and James watching in silence. What a perfect way to ruin his reputation.
Tracy, ever the opportunist, reviewed the photos and smirked.
This is it… this will shake him up.
Without hesitation, she sent the pictures to Helen and Mark, attaching a voice note.
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@ 58d88196:bec81862
2025-05-12 19:14:54Where We Are Now: AI is already a big part of our lives, even if we don’t always notice it. Think about the last time you used GPS to avoid traffic—that’s AI at work, quietly making your day easier. Companies like NVIDIA,are behind a lot of this magic. They make the tech that powers everything from self-driving cars to massive data centers. In factories, companies like Siemens are using something called "digital twins"—basically virtual copies of their machines—to keep things running smoothly. It’s like having a crystal ball that tells you when a machine might break down before it actually does. Even cities are getting in on the action—Singapore, for example, has a project called Virtual Singapore, which is like a digital version of the city to help with planning things like new roads or buildings. And for us regular folks? If you’ve got a smartwatch tracking your steps or heart rate, you’re already creating a tiny digital version of yourself without even realizing it.
What’s Coming in the near future:Fast forward five or ten years, and this idea of digital twins is going to be everywhere. Picture a factory that never stops because its digital twin catches problems before they happen—no more delays, no more wasted time. Cities will get smarter, too. Imagine a scorching summer day during a heatwave, and instead of a blackout, the city’s AI system automatically shifts energy to where it’s needed most, keeping your AC running. For you and me, digital twins could become a game-changer in healthcare. Your doctor might have a digital version of you—built from your DNA, lifestyle, and even the air quality in your neighborhood—that’s constantly updated. It could warn you about a health issue before you even feel sick, or help your doctor figure out the best treatment just for you. And it doesn’t stop there. You might even have a virtual version of yourself that can attend boring work meetings for you, acting and talking just like you do, while you’re off grabbing a coffee or playing with your kids.
The Big Picture—and the Big Worries: This AI-powered future sounds amazing, but it’s not all smooth sailing. One big concern is privacy. To make these digital twins, companies need a ton of data about us—what we do, where we go, even how our bodies work. That can feel a little creepy, right? What if someone hacks into a city’s digital twin and messes with its power grid or traffic lights? That’s a real risk we’ll need to tackle. Plus, there’s the worry that only the big players—rich companies or cities—will be able to afford this tech, leaving smaller places or communities behind. It’s something we’ll need to figure out so everyone can benefit from what AI has to offer.
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@ 09d5c0a0:2ebbe260
2025-05-12 17:08:20*For some people, Bitcoin is about saving for retirement. For others, it’s about eating tomorrow. __I first shared the idea of a “Bitcoin Privilege Curve” at the Plan B Forum 2025 in El Salvador. And it still guides how I see Bitcoin today—especially here in Uganda. __Bitcoin shows up differently depending on where you are in life. What it gives you depends on what you need most. __In Uganda, Bitcoin shows up as survival and uphill battle towards financial empowerment to the largely financially illiterate community. __Sometimes it’s food. Sometimes it’s school fees. Or even a skill. We receive Bitcoin donations that allow us to feed orphans, support teachers, and build small projects that teach these children how to farm, save, and think differently about money, __They’re learning how to live better. A child who knows how to grow food and save in sats is building wealth from the ground up. That’s what the lower end of the curve looks like: *Cheap transactions: Many of the people we work with don’t have bank accounts and the cost of accessing, setting up and maintaining a bank account is just unnecessary. Bitcoin lets them send and receive money within themselves almost at no fees, a better option than the exploitative fee structure by mobile money service providers and most banks. Cross-border remittances: We’ve seen Bitcoin move across borders in minutes with no forms, no gatekeepers. I can instantly and cheaply pay for a friend's grocery shopping in Kenya by sending Kenyan shillings into a Grocery Vendor's Mpesa straight from my Bitcoin wallet via Tando. Wealth multiplication: Even saving one sat creates a shift. It teaches patience. It grows over time. Bitcoin is a wealth multiplier for most underprivileged or privileged people, we taught Bitcoin and its principles to former students at Makerere University that have now entered the job market, from testimonials Bitcoin is helping them achieve their savings goals faster than their colleagues.
__Now go higher up the curve, and Bitcoin looks different. ****Wealth preservation: For someone with savings, Bitcoin protects that value over time, especially in regions with unstable currencies, the Argentina, Zimbabwe and Venezuala currency devaluation scandals always remind me that, you can do everything right and still end up losing all your hard earned value to mediocre goverment policies. Inflation hedge: Where governments keep printing money, Bitcoin holds its ground. It offers a stable alternative. The fallacy that inflation is a necessary evil no longer holds water, having a currency with a 21 Million coin hard cap enforceable by millions of Bitcoin network participants across the world guarantees no governement intervention. Censorship resistance: No one can freeze, reject or interfere with your Bitcoin and respective transactions. It's easy to assume because its a public ledger, you sacrifice privacy hence transaction integrity but this is far from the case, Bitcoin gives people freedom to transact without interference privately. Choice: Bitcoin doesn’t lock you into one system. You can move in and out of, save, or spend it however you see fit as long as your transactions obey the globally agreed upon, never changing network rules since 2009.
__So no, it’s not fair to compare someone struggling for a meal to someone saving for their retirement. But that’s the point. Bitcoin doesn’t need to be the same thing for everyone.
__With Gorilla Sats , our tourism project, we’re linking both ends of the curve. Bitcoiners from around the world visit our communities and spend their Bitcoin with local vendors. It’s not charity—it’s a circular economy. The people higher up the curve get meaningful experiences. Locals get income, exposure, and proof that their sats are valuable.
__In traditional finance, someone without a Visa machine can’t do business with someone carrying a card. The tourist who can't easily use mobile money and is hesistant because of exchange rates will spend comparably less but with Bitcoin, all you need is a phone even a basic button one because with now Machankura 8333, Bitcoin moves via USSD.
__Bitcoin offers privilege—but not the kind that excludes. It offers access, ownership, and freedom based on where you are in life. So no, it’s not fair to compare someone struggling for a meal with someone protecting their portfolio. But that’s the point.
__And if we build for everyone on the curve, we all move forward.
__If you’re building for Bitcoin adoption, think about the full curve. What’s it solving where you live? And who still needs a way in?
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@ bbef5093:71228592
2025-05-13 04:18:45Nukleáris politika – 2025. május 12. | Szerző: David Dalton
Lengyelország és Franciaország nukleáris szerződést ír alá, Macron új építési szerződéseket céloz
Lengyelország és Franciaország olyan szerződést kötött, amely együttműködést irányoz elő a polgári nukleáris energia szektorban, miközben Párizs reménykedik abban, hogy Varsótól jövedelmező új atomerőmű-építési szerződéseket nyer el.
A szerződés közös tevékenységeket tartalmaz, amelyek célja a nukleáris energia előnyeinek kihasználása az európai ipar dekarbonizációja érdekében.
A két ország együtt kíván működni a nukleáris fűtőanyag-ellátás biztonságának megerősítésében is.
Európa szeretné kizárni Oroszországot a nukleáris fűtőanyag-piacáról, de az Euratom Ellátási Ügynökség (ESA) legfrissebb éves jelentése szerint 2023-ban nőtt az Oroszországból származó természetes urán szállítása, mivel az uniós szolgáltatók készleteket halmoztak fel az orosz tervezésű VVER atomerőművekhez.
Az ESA, amely az európai nukleáris anyagok rendszeres és méltányos ellátásáért felelős, közölte, hogy az uniós szolgáltatók tovább diverzifikálják nukleáris fűtőanyag-beszerzéseiket, különösen a VVER reaktorokhoz, hogy csökkentsék a „egy forrásból származó vagy magas kockázatú” ellátásoktól való függést.
„Majdnem minden olyan ország, amely orosz tervezésű reaktorokat üzemeltet, halad az alternatív fűtőanyagok engedélyeztetésében, és ígéretes fejlemények várhatók a közeljövőben” – közölte az ESA.
Az EU-ban jelenleg 19 VVER reaktor működik, köztük négy 1000 MW-os Bulgáriában és Csehországban, valamint tizenöt 440 MW-os Csehországban, Finnországban, Magyarországon és Szlovákiában.
A jelentések szerint a francia–lengyel nukleáris szerződés különösen fontos a francia állami EDF energetikai vállalat számára, amely még mindig reménykedik abban, hogy részt vehet Lengyelország ambiciózus atomerőmű-építési programjában, annak ellenére, hogy az első új építésű projekt tenderét az amerikai Westinghouse nyerte el Pomeránia északi tartományában.
Franciaország ambiciózus reaktorépítési tervei
Franciaország maga is nagyszabású nukleáris fejlesztési terveket dédelget: a kormány nemrégiben felkérte az EDF-et, hogy gyorsítsa fel a hat új generációs EPR2 atomerőmű megépítésének előkészítését.
Az EDF kezdetben három EPR2 párost tervez: az elsőt Penlyben, majd egyet-egyet a Gravelines-i atomerőmű telephelyén (Calais közelében), illetve vagy Bugey-ben (Lyon keleti részén), vagy Tricastinban (Lyon és Avignon közelében).
A nukleáris szerződés aláírását megelőzte egy másik szerződés is, amely a két szövetséges közötti kapcsolatok elmélyítését, valamint kölcsönös biztonsági garanciákat is tartalmaz háború esetére.
Donald Tusk lengyel miniszterelnök, aki Emmanuel Macron francia elnökkel együtt írta alá a biztonsági dokumentumot, „áttörésnek” nevezte a szerződést, kiemelve, hogy csak Németországnak van hasonló biztonsági paktuma Franciaországgal, és ez Lengyelországot „egyenrangú partnerként” helyezi nyugati szövetségesei közé.
Macron eközben úgy fogalmazott, hogy a szerződés „új korszakot nyit” nemcsak Lengyelország és Franciaország, hanem egész Európa számára. „Bresttől Krakkóig Európa együtt áll ki” – mondta a francia elnök.
Nukleáris politika – 2025. május 12. | Szerző: David Dalton
Trump csapata a nukleáris erőművek építésének felgyorsítását tervezi
A Trump-adminisztráció tisztviselői végrehajtási rendeleteket készítenek elő, amelyek célja az atomerőművek jóváhagyásának és építésének felgyorsítása az Egyesült Államokban – számolt be róla a sajtó.
Az erőfeszítés, amelyet egy kormányzati tisztviselő és más, az egyeztetéseket ismerő személyek írtak le, még folyamatban van. Az elnök még nem hagyta jóvá a tervezetet – mondta az egyik forrás, aki névtelenséget kért, mivel hivatalos bejelentés még nem történt. Az amerikai Axios hírportál és a New York Times is beszámolt az egyeztetésekről.
Trump és kormányának tisztviselői többször hangsúlyozták a bőséges, olcsó villamos energia fontosságát az energiaigényes mesterséges intelligencia ipar számára, amely segítheti az Egyesült Államokat abban, hogy megnyerje a feltörekvő technológia globális versenyét.
„Meg kell nyernünk az MI-versenyt, és ebben vezetnünk kell – ehhez pedig sokkal több energiára lesz szükség” – mondta Chris Wright energiaügyi miniszter múlt hónapban egy kabinetülésen Trump társaságában.
Az elnök már hivatalosan is energia-vészhelyzetet hirdetett, nemzeti és gazdasági biztonsági szempontokra hivatkozva annak érdekében, hogy gyorsítsa az erőművek, csővezetékek és elektromos távvezetékek építését az országban.
A szóban forgó tervezetek célokat tűznének ki az atomerőművek gyors országos építésére, illetve az amerikai nukleáris ipar vezető szerepének visszaállítására.
Legalább az egyik intézkedés a Nukleáris Szabályozási Bizottságnál (NRC) vezetne be változtatásokat, amelyek gyorsíthatják az erőműtervek, köztük az új kis moduláris reaktorok (SMR-ek) engedélyezését.
Wright nemrégiben úgy nyilatkozott, hogy az új reaktorblokkok építésének legnagyobb akadálya az Egyesült Államokban a szabályozás volt.
Az elképzelés részeként akár katonai létesítményekre is telepíthetnek majd atomerőműveket, valószínűleg mikroreaktorok vagy SMR-ek formájában.
Jelenleg az Egyesült Államokban nincs kereskedelmi atomerőmű építés alatt. Az utolsó két üzembe helyezett blokk a georgiai Vogtle-3 és Vogtle-4 volt, 2023-ban és 2024-ben.
Előrehaladott tervek vannak a michigani Palisades atomerőmű újraindítására. Ha megvalósul, ez lenne az első olyan, korábban leállított amerikai atomerőmű, amely ismét működésbe lép.
Új építések – 2025. május 12. | Szerző: David Dalton
Vietnam és Oroszország tárgyalásokat kezd atomerőmű-építésről
Vietnam és Oroszország megállapodott abban, hogy tárgyalásokat folytatnak és szerződéseket írnak alá kereskedelmi atomerőművek építéséről Vietnamban – közölték a két ország egy közös nyilatkozatban.
„Az erőművek fejlesztése korszerű technológiával szigorúan megfelel majd a nukleáris és sugárbiztonsági előírásoknak, és a társadalmi-gazdasági fejlődést szolgálja” – áll a közleményben, amely a vietnami vezető, To Lam moszkvai látogatása után jelent meg.
Az orosz állami atomenergetikai vállalat, a Roszatom szerint a látogatás „az együttműködés új szakaszát” jelenti – egy nagy atomerőmű építését Délkelet-Ázsiában.
A Roszatom felajánlotta Vietnámnak a VVER-1200 nyomottvizes reaktor technológiáját, amelyből kettő már működik az oroszországi Novovoronyezs 2 atomerőműben, és kettő Fehéroroszországban.
A Roszatom közölte, hogy további tárgyalásokra van szükség a vietnami atomerőmű műszaki és pénzügyi feltételeinek tisztázásához, de hozzátette: „ezek a tárgyalások ma [május 10-én] megkezdődtek”.
A Roszatom arról is beszámolt, hogy Alekszej Lihacsov vezérigazgató és Nguyen Manh Hung vietnami tudományos és technológiai miniszter aláírt egy nukleáris energia ütemtervet.
Az ütemterv tartalmazza egy nukleáris tudományos és technológiai központ lehetséges megépítését, fűtőanyag-szállítást a dél-vietnami Dalat kutatóreaktorhoz, Vietnam részvételét Oroszország IV. generációs MBIR többcélú gyorsneutronos kutatóreaktor projektjében, valamint vietnami szakemberek képzését.
Vietnamnak jelenleg egy kutatóreaktora van Dalatban, és egy másik is tervben van. A Roszatom nem közölte, melyikre gondolt.
A múlt hónapban Vietnam elfogadta a nemzeti energiastratégia módosított változatát, amely 2030-ig 136 milliárd dollárt irányoz elő az energiaellátás hosszú távú biztonságának megerősítésére, és először szerepel benne az atomenergia.
Vietnam azt szeretné, ha első atomerőművei 2030 és 2035 között lépnének üzembe. A beépített nukleáris kapacitás várhatóan 4–6,4 GW lesz, ami körülbelül 4–6 nagy atomerőműnek felel meg.
A kormány szerint további 8 GW nukleáris kapacitás kerül majd a mixbe az évszázad közepéig.
Vietnam már 2009-ben is tervezett két atomerőművet, de a Nemzetgyűlés 2016-ban költségvetési okokból elutasította a javaslatot.
Új építések – 2025. május 12. | Szerző: David Dalton
Az NRC engedélyt adott az „energia-sziget” munkálatokra a TerraPower wyomingi atomerőművénél
Az Egyesült Államok Nukleáris Szabályozási Bizottsága (NRC) mentességet adott a TerraPower Natrium demonstrációs atomerőművének wyomingi Kemmererben, lehetővé téve a vállalat számára bizonyos „energia-sziget” tevékenységek folytatását, miközben a hatóságok tovább vizsgálják az építési engedély iránti kérelmet.
Az energia-sziget a tervezett Natrium atomerőműben a felesleges hő tárolására szolgál majd, hogy csúcsterhelés idején növelje az áramtermelést.
Az NRC szerint az energia-szigethez kapcsolódó bizonyos tevékenységek engedélyezése nem jelent indokolatlan kockázatot a közegészségre és biztonságra, és „különleges körülmények” állnak fenn.
A mentesség a létesítmények, rendszerek és komponensek korlátozott részére vonatkozik, lehetővé téve például cölöpverést, alapozást, vagy bizonyos szerkezetek, rendszerek és komponensek összeszerelését, gyártását, tesztelését korlátozott munkavégzési engedély nélkül.
Az NRC szerint a mentesség nem befolyásolja a reaktor építési engedélyéről szóló végső döntést. „Az NRC folytatja az építési engedély iránti kérelem vizsgálatát az egész projektre vonatkozóan” – áll a közleményben.
A Bill Gates által alapított TerraPower üdvözölte a döntést, hozzátéve, hogy a nukleáris reaktor és az energiatermelő létesítmények szétválasztása rövidebb építési időt és alacsonyabb anyagköltségeket tesz lehetővé.
Februárban az amerikai energiaügyi minisztérium befejezte a projekt előzetes tevékenységeire vonatkozó végső környezeti értékelést.
A TerraPower, amelyet Gates 2008-ban alapított, 2024 júniusában kezdte meg első kereskedelmi Natrium atomerőművének építését Kemmererben, ahol egy széntüzelésű erőmű zár be.
A Natrium demonstrációs projekt három különálló részből áll: egy nátrium teszt- és feltöltő létesítményből, az energiatermelő vagy energia-szigetből, valamint a nukleáris szigetből magával a reaktorral.
A kezdeti építkezés a teszt- és feltöltő létesítményre összpontosít, amely egy különálló, nem nukleáris épület, és a reaktor nátrium hűtőrendszerének tesztelésére szolgál. Itt történik a folyékony nátrium fogadása, mintavételezése, feldolgozása és tárolása, mielőtt a Natrium reaktorhoz kerülne.
Egyéb hírek
A lengyel atomerőmű-projekt biztosítási szerződéseket kötött
A lengyel Polskie Elektrownie Jądrowe (PEJ) atomerőmű-projekt vállalat négy biztosítási bróker céggel kötött keretmegállapodást. Az Aon Polska, GrECo Polska, Marsh és Smartt Re cégek támogatják a PEJ-t Lengyelország első kereskedelmi atomerőművének biztosítási szerződéseinek megkötésében, valamint a napi működéshez szükséges biztosítások beszerzésében. A PEJ minden brókerrel keretmegállapodást írt alá, amelyek alapján egyes biztosítási feladatokra kiválasztja a megfelelő brókert.
Az Aecon cég nyerte az ontariói SMR építési szerződését
A kanadai Aecon Kiewit Nuclear Partners nyerte el az Ontario Power Generation (OPG) által Darlingtonban építendő első kis moduláris reaktor (SMR) kivitelezési szerződését. A szerződés értéke 1,3 milliárd kanadai dollár (934 millió USD, 841 millió euró), amely projektmenedzsmentet, kivitelezési tervezést és végrehajtást foglal magában, a befejezést és a kereskedelmi üzemet 2030-ra tervezik. Ontario tartomány és az OPG múlt héten hagyta jóvá a négy SMR első darabjának 20,9 milliárd CAD értékű tervét Darlingtonban.
26 000 dolgozó a Hinkley Point C projekten a csúcskivitelezés idején
Az Egyesült Királyságban mintegy 26 000 dolgozó vesz részt a Hinkley Point C atomerőmű építésében, amely jelenleg csúcskivitelezési szakaszban van – derül ki az EDF Energy jelentéséből. Közvetlenül a projekten 18 000-en dolgoznak, ebből 12 000-en a helyszínen, további 3 000 fővel bővülhet a létszám a következő 12 hónapban. További 8 000-en a beszállítói láncban dolgoznak. A jelentés szerint a Hinkley Point C építése fontos katalizátor a gazdasági növekedésben, jelenleg 13,3 milliárd fonttal (15,7 milliárd euró, 17,5 milliárd dollár) járul hozzá a gazdasághoz. Ebből 5 milliárd fontot már a délnyugati régió beszállítóinál költöttek el – jóval meghaladva az 1,5 milliárd fontos célt. A Hinkley Point C két francia EPR reaktort kap.
Az Ansaldo Nucleare nukleáris mesterszakot indít Olaszországban
Az olasz Ansaldo Nucleare és a Politecnico di Milano vállalati mesterszakot indít, amely a nukleáris energia és kapcsolódó technológiák új szakértő generációját képzi. A képzés októberben indul, egy évig tart, 1500 órás, mérnöki, fizikai és kémiai diplomásoknak szól. Húsz résztvevőt választanak ki a következő hónapokban, akiket az Ansaldo Nucleare azonnal, határozatlan időre alkalmaz, és október elején kezdik meg a képzést.
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@ a3c6f928:d45494fb
2025-05-12 15:30:48Financial freedom is a powerful concept—one that goes beyond simply having money in the bank. It is the ability to live the life you desire, free from the constraints of financial worry. Achieving financial freedom requires planning, discipline, and a clear understanding of your financial goals.
What Is Financial Freedom?
Financial freedom means having enough income, savings, and investments to support the lifestyle you want for yourself and your family. It is about being in control of your finances, instead of your finances controlling you. When you are financially free, you have choices—you can travel, start a business, or retire comfortably without constant stress about money.
Steps to Achieving Financial Freedom
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Set Clear Financial Goals: Understand what financial freedom means to you and set measurable goals to achieve it.
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Create a Budget and Stick to It: Track your income and expenses to identify areas where you can save more.
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Invest Wisely: Grow your wealth by investing in assets like stocks, real estate, or mutual funds.
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Build an Emergency Fund: Save at least 3-6 months’ worth of living expenses to protect against unexpected events.
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Eliminate Debt: High-interest debt can be a major barrier to financial freedom. Prioritize paying it off.
Why Financial Freedom Matters
Financial freedom gives you the power to make decisions without being bound by financial constraints. It allows for greater life flexibility, reduces stress, and opens up opportunities that would otherwise be unreachable. Most importantly, it provides peace of mind and the ability to focus on what truly matters.
Start Your Journey Today
The path to financial freedom is not a quick fix—it is a lifelong commitment to smart financial choices. But with perseverance and planning, it is achievable. Begin today, and take control of your financial future.
“Financial freedom is available to those who learn about it and work for it.” — Robert Kiyosaki
Plan wisely. Invest smartly. Live freely.
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@ 5383d895:7b141166
2025-05-12 13:02:58LOVE678 là một nền tảng giải trí trực tuyến hiện đại, được thiết kế để mang đến cho người dùng những trải nghiệm thú vị, an toàn và dễ dàng tiếp cận. Giao diện của nền tảng này rất thân thiện với người dùng, giúp mọi người có thể dễ dàng tìm kiếm các dịch vụ mà mình cần một cách nhanh chóng và thuận tiện. Từ việc truy cập vào các tính năng giải trí cho đến việc quản lý tài khoản, mọi thao tác trên LOVE678 đều được tối ưu hóa để đảm bảo người dùng không gặp phải bất kỳ sự phức tạp nào. Bên cạnh đó, LOVE678 cũng cung cấp tốc độ truy cập nhanh chóng, ổn định trên nhiều thiết bị, từ máy tính để bàn đến điện thoại di động, giúp người dùng có thể tận hưởng dịch vụ mọi lúc, mọi nơi mà không gặp phải sự gián đoạn. Nền tảng này đặc biệt chú trọng đến bảo mật thông tin, với các công nghệ mã hóa tiên tiến giúp bảo vệ dữ liệu người dùng một cách tối ưu. Chính nhờ vào những tính năng vượt trội này, LOVE678 đã và đang trở thành lựa chọn ưu tiên của nhiều người dùng hiện đại.
Không chỉ chú trọng đến sự tiện lợi và bảo mật, LOVE678 còn đặc biệt quan tâm đến việc nâng cao trải nghiệm người dùng thông qua việc cung cấp dịch vụ khách hàng chất lượng cao. Đội ngũ hỗ trợ khách hàng của LOVE678 luôn túc trực 24/7, sẵn sàng giải đáp mọi thắc mắc và xử lý các vấn đề mà người dùng gặp phải trong suốt quá trình sử dụng nền tảng. Người dùng có thể dễ dàng liên hệ với đội ngũ hỗ trợ qua các kênh chat trực tuyến, email hay điện thoại để được giúp đỡ kịp thời. Điều này không chỉ giúp người dùng cảm thấy yên tâm mà còn tạo ra một mối liên kết bền chặt giữa LOVE678 và cộng đồng người sử dụng. Bên cạnh đó, LOVE678 cũng thường xuyên tổ chức các chương trình khuyến mãi, sự kiện và hoạt động giao lưu cộng đồng, tạo cơ hội để người dùng trải nghiệm thêm nhiều dịch vụ hấp dẫn và thú vị. Từ đó, nền tảng này không chỉ là một công cụ giải trí mà còn là một không gian kết nối, giúp người dùng giao lưu, học hỏi và chia sẻ những giá trị hữu ích.
Để đáp ứng nhu cầu ngày càng cao của người dùng, LOVE678 luôn cải tiến và phát triển các tính năng mới, đồng thời không ngừng nâng cấp hệ thống để duy trì sự ổn định và hiệu suất hoạt động. Nền tảng này luôn đặt mục tiêu tạo ra một môi trường trực tuyến an toàn, thú vị và chất lượng, nhằm mang đến những trải nghiệm giải trí tuyệt vời nhất cho người sử dụng. Các tính năng của LOVE678 được thiết kế không chỉ để đáp ứng nhu cầu giải trí mà còn nhằm cung cấp những công cụ tiện ích, giúp người dùng có thể dễ dàng quản lý tài khoản và tối ưu hóa quá trình sử dụng. Với sự cam kết không ngừng phát triển và nâng cao chất lượng dịch vụ, LOVE678 đang từng bước khẳng định vị thế của mình trong ngành giải trí trực tuyến, đồng thời tiếp tục xây dựng niềm tin vững chắc trong lòng người dùng. Nền tảng này không chỉ là nơi để thư giãn, mà còn là nơi để kết nối và phát triển, giúp mọi người trải nghiệm những phút giây giải trí đích thực trong một không gian trực tuyến an toàn và tiện lợi.
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@ 9c9d2765:16f8c2c2
2025-05-12 05:15:47CHAPTER SIXTEEN
Mr. JP sat up abruptly as his phone buzzed. It was an anonymous message. He opened it slowly, his eyes scanning the contents with growing disbelief.
"James has returned to JP Enterprises. Charles reinstated him. He’s now President of your company."
His blood ran cold.
Mrs. JP saw the tension in his expression. "What’s wrong?"
"He’s back," Mr. JP said grimly. "Our son. James. He's taken over the company."
He stared into space, his mind reeling. "And Charles helped him..."
They had spent years trying to distance themselves from the disgrace of James’s past only to now be faced with the reality that he had clawed his way back into the empire they built.
The anonymous message was, of course, sent by Mark and Helen, each relishing in the chaos they had ignited. With the scandalous file now in their hands and James’s own family unknowingly brought into the picture, they believed the final blow was in place.
Mark leaned back in his chair and smiled as he read the forwarded documents.
"Let’s see how your so-called empire stands after this, James," he said quietly.
Helen, standing beside him, added coldly, "This time, he won’t survive it."
"How could he do this?" Mr. JP muttered under his breath, clutching his phone tightly. "How could Charles go behind my back and reinstall him? My own brother..."
The news that James had returned to JP Enterprises and not just as a member, but as its President had shaken him to the core. But what stung more was the betrayal he felt from Charles, who had once promised never to interfere in the matter again.
Fuming with rage and disbelief, Mr. JP boarded the next flight back home. Upon arrival, he didn’t even stop by the family estate. Instead, he went straight to the Regency Grand, the city’s most luxurious hotel, the same place he used to spend time with his family during better days. He booked the presidential suite and immediately dialed Charles' number.
"Meet me. Now. At the hotel," he barked before ending the call without waiting for a response.
Within the hour, Charles walked in, calm but aware of the storm brewing.
"You defied me, Charles," Mr. JP said, his voice icy. "You brought back the one person I had removed. The one person I swore would never set foot in the company again."
"Because you were wrong," Charles replied firmly. "You made a decision based on lies."
Mr. JP’s glare deepened.
"Lies? The records were clear embezzlement. Theft. He disgraced this family, Charles!"
Charles stood his ground. "Those records were manipulated. You never gave James a chance to explain himself."
He stepped closer. "The funds he was accused of stealing? He used them to invest in a struggling tech start-up that exploded in value two years later. That investment saved JP Enterprises during the economic downturn. The company is standing today because of James’s vision and sacrifice."
Silence filled the room.
Mr. JP felt his heart sink as the weight of Charles’s words settled in. He turned away, walking slowly to the window, staring out at the city skyline.
"All this time... I condemned my own son... exiled him... because I trusted false reports?"
Charles nodded. "Yes. And despite it all, he returned not for revenge, but to help us."
Tears welled up in Mr. JP’s eyes. His pride, once like stone, was now crumbling.
Without hesitation, he picked up his phone and dialed James’s number. The phone rang twice before James answered.
"Hello?" came the familiar voice, calm and distant.
"James... it’s your father." His voice trembled. "I... I’m sorry. I was wrong. Gravely wrong. Everything I believed about you was a lie. I let you down, son."
There was silence on the other end.
"I just found out the truth," Mr. JP continued. "And I’m proud of what you’ve done for the company, for our name. I want you to know... you are reinstated as the rightful heir to JP Enterprises. I want you back not just as President, but as my son."
James took a long pause before answering.
"It took you long enough," he said softly. "But... thank you."
Though James had once sworn not to seek his parents' approval, deep down, those words still mattered. And hearing them from the father who had disowned him brought a quiet sense of closure.
The rift that had torn them apart for years was beginning to heal.
"Dad, who told you I was the President of JP Enterprises?" James asked, his tone calm but firm as he stood before his father in the grand office of the family estate.
Mr. JP, still adjusting to the emotional weight of his recent apology, furrowed his brow. "It was anonymous, son. I received a message with no name, no clue. Just the information."
James narrowed his eyes. "Can you forward the message to me?"
"Of course," his father replied, pulling out his phone. Within seconds, the message was in James’s inbox.
Later that evening, James sat in his private office, staring at the message on his screen. Something about it felt off too calculated, too timely. He forwarded it to his personal cybersecurity team with one instruction: “Trace the source. I want to know everything about who sent it, how, and if they’re working with someone.”
Meanwhile, Ray Enterprises was thriving again under James’s investment. With the influx of capital and revitalized operations, profits were skyrocketing. However, while the company’s success looked promising on the surface, the Ray family was barely reaping the rewards.
James’s 85% share ensured he collected the lion’s portion of every deal. Robert, despite being the figurehead chairman, found himself managing a flourishing empire but receiving only crumbs in return.
Frustrated and desperate, Robert scheduled a private meeting with James.
"James, please... eighty-five percent is bleeding us dry. We’re grateful for what you’ve done truly but surely we can renegotiate?"
James leaned back in his chair, expression unreadable. "You signed the agreement, Robert. You knew the terms. And frankly, I'm not in the mood to revisit old conversations."
"We just want fairness," Robert pleaded. "A little breathing space"
"If this discussion continues," James interrupted coldly, "I’ll pull out my funds. And when I do, I promise Ray Enterprises will go down faster than it rose. Do I make myself clear?"
Robert’s face fell. He had no choice but to nod and walk away, defeated.
Two weeks later, James’s cybersecurity team sent their report. The source of the anonymous message had been traced and the result was both surprising and telling.
Tracy.
James sat silently as he read the details. Tracy, his own subordinate, had accessed restricted files from the company’s internal network. It wasn’t just a case of whistleblowing it was deliberate sabotage. But what intrigued him more was the fact that she had gone to great lengths to cover her tracks.
No one takes that risk alone, he thought.
Despite having the evidence in hand, James chose silence. Not out of mercy but strategy. He needed to know who she was working with. Who else had a vested interest in his downfall?
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@ d7955b22:025a3ba9
2025-05-12 04:31:36O mundo dos jogos online tem se expandido rapidamente, oferecendo uma infinidade de opções para os jogadores. Entre as diversas plataformas disponíveis, o 99bra se destaca por sua variedade de opções e a experiência de usuário única que proporciona. Este artigo oferece uma visão detalhada sobre o que o 99bra tem a oferecer, desde suas características gerais até a experiência de jogo que promete satisfazer todos os tipos de jogadores.
Introdução à Plataforma 99bra 99bra é uma plataforma de entretenimento digital voltada para os entusiastas de jogos online. Com um design intuitivo e uma interface amigável, a plataforma foi criada para oferecer uma experiência de navegação fluida, seja em desktop ou dispositivos móveis. A plataforma se destaca pela sua confiabilidade e pela qualidade dos jogos oferecidos, sempre priorizando a segurança e a proteção dos dados de seus usuários.
Ao se cadastrar no 99bra, os jogadores têm acesso a uma ampla gama de opções de jogos, desde clássicos até lançamentos inovadores. O site se adapta às necessidades dos usuários, com suporte em português e atendimento ao cliente de excelência, tornando a plataforma acessível a jogadores de todas as idades e níveis de experiência. O processo de inscrição é rápido e simples, permitindo que os novos usuários comecem a se divertir em poucos minutos.
A Variedade de Jogos no 99bra O que realmente chama a atenção no 99bra é a diversidade de jogos oferecidos. A plataforma conta com uma vasta seleção de títulos, abrangendo uma ampla gama de gêneros. Seja você um fã de jogos de mesa, slots ou apostas esportivas, o 99bra tem algo para todos. Cada categoria de jogo é desenvolvida para garantir jogabilidade envolvente, gráficos impressionantes e uma experiência imersiva.
Jogos de Mesa Os jogos de mesa são um dos maiores atrativos da plataforma, com várias opções que incluem clássicos como blackjack, roleta e baccarat. Estes jogos oferecem uma experiência realista e dinâmica, com a possibilidade de interagir com outros jogadores. A interface é cuidadosamente projetada para garantir que cada clique e movimento se sinta natural, criando uma atmosfera que lembra a de um ambiente de jogo físico.
Slots e Máquinas de Vídeo Para os amantes das máquinas de vídeo, o 99bra oferece uma impressionante coleção de slots. Os jogadores podem explorar uma variedade de temas, desde aventuras épicas até histórias de fantasia, com gráficos vibrantes e animações cativantes. As funções de bônus, rodadas grátis e jackpots progressivos tornam os jogos ainda mais emocionantes, com a possibilidade de grandes vitórias a cada giro.
Apostas Esportivas Outro ponto forte da plataforma são as apostas esportivas. O 99bra oferece uma extensa seleção de esportes para os fãs de esportes ao vivo. Seja futebol, basquete, tênis ou eSports, a plataforma proporciona odds competitivas e a chance de apostar em eventos de todo o mundo, com atualizações em tempo real para garantir que o jogador esteja sempre informado.
A Experiência do Jogador A experiência do jogador é o aspecto que diferencia o 99bra de outras plataformas. Desde o momento do cadastro até as interações durante os jogos, a plataforma é projetada para oferecer facilidade, conforto e diversão sem interrupções. O 99bra é otimizado para fornecer uma navegação rápida e sem erros, com um layout que garante que o jogador possa acessar todos os jogos e funcionalidades de forma simples.
Além disso, a plataforma oferece recursos adicionais para tornar a experiência ainda mais envolvente. Os jogadores podem configurar preferências de jogo, participar de promoções exclusivas e interagir com outros jogadores, criando uma verdadeira comunidade. A segurança também é uma prioridade, com criptografia de dados avançada e processos de verificação para garantir que todas as transações e informações pessoais estejam protegidas.
Suporte ao Cliente O suporte ao cliente do 99bra é excepcional. A plataforma oferece múltiplos canais de atendimento, incluindo chat ao vivo, e-mail e telefone, para que os jogadores possam obter assistência rápida sempre que necessário. A equipe de suporte é altamente treinada e pronta para resolver qualquer dúvida ou problema de forma eficiente, garantindo que a experiência do jogador nunca seja comprometida.
Conclusão O 99bra é uma plataforma completa que atende aos mais altos padrões de qualidade e segurança no universo dos jogos online. Com uma vasta seleção de jogos, suporte ao cliente de excelência e uma experiência de usuário impecável, o 99bra se consolida como uma das opções mais atrativas para quem busca diversão e entretenimento. Se você está procurando uma plataforma que combine inovação, variedade e uma jogabilidade envolvente, o 99bra certamente é uma excelente escolha.
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@ d7955b22:025a3ba9
2025-05-12 04:31:00A plataforma 53a é uma das mais novas e emocionantes opções para quem busca uma experiência completa de entretenimento digital. Com uma ampla gama de jogos e funcionalidades voltadas para o prazer e a diversão dos jogadores, a 53a se destaca por sua interface intuitiva, seu foco na segurança e uma vasta gama de opções para todos os gostos. Se você ainda não conhece essa plataforma inovadora, continue lendo e descubra tudo o que ela tem a oferecer!
Introdução à Plataforma 53a A 53a é uma plataforma de entretenimento online que se destaca pelo seu compromisso em oferecer uma experiência única aos jogadores. Com um design moderno e acessível, a plataforma foi criada para atender a um público que busca algo mais do que simples joguinhos – ela oferece uma verdadeira imersão em um universo de possibilidades.
Ao acessar a 53a , os usuários são rapidamente apresentados a um painel de controle simplificado, onde podem facilmente navegar por diferentes categorias de jogos, conferir promoções e acessar uma série de recursos exclusivos. Além disso, a plataforma está disponível em diversos dispositivos, incluindo desktop, smartphones e tablets, permitindo que o jogador tenha acesso à diversão em qualquer lugar e a qualquer momento.
Jogos Empolgantes para Todos os Gostos A 53a não se limita a um único tipo de jogo. Em vez disso, oferece uma vasta gama de opções, com títulos que atendem a diferentes preferências e estilos de jogo. Desde jogos de habilidade, como jogos de mesa e jogos de cartas, até opções mais interativas e imersivas, como máquinas de diversão, a plataforma tem algo para todos os jogadores.
Jogos de Mesa e Cartas: Para os que apreciam uma experiência mais estratégica, a 53a oferece uma seleção diversificada de jogos de mesa, incluindo opções clássicas como o blackjack, pôquer e roleta. Cada jogo é projetado para proporcionar uma experiência desafiadora e envolvente, com gráficos impressionantes e uma jogabilidade fluida.
Máquinas de Diversão: Para quem busca uma experiência mais dinâmica e de fácil acesso, as máquinas de diversão são a escolha perfeita. Com uma vasta gama de temas e estilos, essas máquinas são ideais para momentos de descontração, com rodadas rápidas e prêmios atrativos. Cada jogo tem sua própria atmosfera única, com sons e animações que mantêm o jogador imerso por horas.
Jogos ao Vivo: Uma das grandes atrações da 53a são os jogos ao vivo, onde os jogadores podem interagir em tempo real com dealers e outros participantes. Esses jogos trazem a emoção de uma experiência presencial, mas com a conveniência de estar em casa ou onde preferir.
A Experiência do Jogador na 53a A experiência do jogador na plataforma 53a é pensada para ser fluida, segura e divertida. Com uma interface simples, os jogadores podem facilmente acessar seus jogos favoritos e navegar por outras funcionalidades da plataforma.
Interface Intuitiva: Desde o momento em que você entra na 53a, perceberá como a plataforma foi projetada com o usuário em mente. O layout claro e as opções bem definidas tornam a navegação fácil, mesmo para aqueles que não são tão familiarizados com plataformas digitais.
Segurança e Privacidade: A plataforma 53a adota as melhores práticas de segurança para garantir que todas as informações dos jogadores sejam protegidas. Desde transações financeiras até dados pessoais, a 53a utiliza tecnologias avançadas de criptografia para garantir que seus dados estejam sempre seguros.
Atendimento ao Cliente: A 53a se destaca também pelo seu excelente suporte ao cliente. Caso o jogador tenha alguma dúvida ou precise de ajuda, pode contar com uma equipe de atendimento pronta para oferecer assistência de forma rápida e eficaz. A plataforma também conta com uma seção de perguntas frequentes (FAQ) que ajuda a esclarecer as dúvidas mais comuns.
Conclusão A plataforma 53a se consolida como uma das principais opções de entretenimento online para quem busca diversão, segurança e uma experiência de usuário completa. Com uma grande variedade de jogos, suporte de alta qualidade e uma interface amigável, ela atende às necessidades de todos os tipos de jogadores, proporcionando momentos inesquecíveis. Se você está à procura de uma plataforma inovadora, segura e divertida, a 53a é a escolha certa para você!
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-05-12 04:01:23 -
@ 502ab02a:a2860397
2025-05-12 03:11:06สัปดาห์ที่ผ่านมา เราพักผ่อนย้อนไปเพื่อทำความเข้าใจต้นเหตุของซีรีส์นี้กันแล้วนะครับ ทีนี้เราจะมาสนทนากันต่อจากที่ค้างคาไว้กันครับ
ย้อนกลับไปเมื่อราวทศวรรษ 1970-1980 เป็นยุคที่โลกยังเชื่อว่า “ไขมัน” คือผู้ร้ายตัวจริงในวงการสุขภาพ ปิรามิดอาหารจาก USDA จึงถือกำเนิดขึ้น โดยมีฐานล่างกว้างใหญ่เต็มไปด้วยข้าว แป้ง ซีเรียล พาสต้า และขนมปัง เรียกรวมว่า “กลุ่มคาร์โบไฮเดรต” และถูกวางให้เป็นเสาหลักของอาหารประจำวัน ภายใต้แนวคิดว่าให้พลังงานสูง ไขมันต่ำ ดีต่อหัวใจ และเหมาะกับการเลี้ยงประชากรโลกที่เพิ่มขึ้นอย่างรวดเร็ว
แต่ความจริงที่เปิดเผยภายหลังคือ ปิรามิดอาหารนี้มิได้เกิดจากวิทยาศาสตร์บริสุทธิ์ หากแต่เกิดจากกระบวนการ “เปิดประมูลนโยบาย” โดยกลุ่มอุตสาหกรรมเกษตรรายใหญ่ ซึ่งต้องการระบายผลผลิตคาร์โบไฮเดรตจำนวนมหาศาลจากข้าวโพด ข้าวสาลี และถั่วเหลืองที่รัฐบาลอเมริกันอุดหนุนให้เพาะปลูกเกินความจำเป็น (ดูรายงาน PBS: The Food Pyramid) หน้าที่จัดสรรนี้จึงอยู่ภายใต้ USDA หรือ กระทรวงเกษตรสหรัฐอเมริกา
ขณะที่ผู้คนถูกสอนให้หลีกเลี่ยงไขมัน โปรตีนสัตว์ และหันมากินซีเรียลเป็นอาหารเช้า ผลิตภัณฑ์ไขมันต่ำแทบทุกชนิดกลับต้องเติมน้ำตาลและแป้งเพื่อให้มีรสชาติ นำไปสู่การระบาดของโรคอ้วน เบาหวาน ความดัน และ NCD ทั่วโลก ที่เราเพิ่งจะเข้าใจกันวันนี้ว่ามีรากมาจาก “ปิรามิดคาร์บ” นั่นเอง
คำถามคือ ทำไมการกำหนดอาหารของอเมริกา (ซึ่งแน่นอนว่าแพร่กระจายไปทั่วโลกภายใต้ข้อกำหนดเดียวกัน) จึงเกิดขึ้นจาก "กระทรวงเกษตรสหรัฐอเมริกา" ไม่ใช่ หน่วยงานทางวิทยาศาสตร์ หรือ การแพทย์
หรือเพราะ “อาหาร” ในอเมริกา ไม่ได้เริ่มจากคำว่า “สุขภาพ” แต่เริ่มจาก “เศรษฐกิจ”
ย้อนกลับไปช่วงต้นศตวรรษที่ 20 โดยเฉพาะหลังสงครามโลกครั้งที่สอง สหรัฐฯ ต้องการฟื้นฟูเศรษฐกิจและผลักดันภาคการเกษตรให้โตอย่างรวดเร็ว โดยเฉพาะสินค้าพืชเชิงอุตสาหกรรม เช่น ข้าวโพด ข้าวสาลี ถั่วเหลือง นม และเนื้อจากฟาร์มอุตสาหกรรม และปากท้องของเกษตรกรคือฐานเสียงสำคัญในทุกๆรัฐบาล ดังนั้น USDA ซึ่งเป็นหน่วยงานที่ตั้งขึ้นเพื่อดูแลเกษตรกร จึงรับบทผู้ออก “แนวทางโภชนาการ” โดยเน้นว่า
อาหารอะไรที่ เกษตรกรผลิตได้เยอะ ก็เอามาดันให้ประชาชนกินเยอะ อาหารอะไรที่ ราคาถูก ผลิตได้เร็ว ก็นำมาใส่ไว้ฐานล่างของพีระมิด ให้ประชาชนกินเยอะ อาหารอะไรที่ มีอุตสาหกรรมอยู่เบื้องหลัง ก็เปิดประมูลให้มีบทบาทมากในการล็อบบี้นโยบาย ให้ประชาชนกินเยอะ
พูดง่ายๆ ก็คือ นโยบายอาหารอเมริกา ไม่ได้ออกโดยนักวิทยาศาสตร์หรือนักโภชนาการที่ไม่มีผลประโยชน์ทับซ้อน แต่มาจาก “ข้าราชการสายเกษตร+กลุ่มทุน” ที่ต้องการให้ภาคการเกษตรมีกำไรอย่างต่อเนื่อง และอย่าลืมว่า อเมริกา = โลก
แล้วหน่วยงานด้านวิทยาศาสตร์หรือแพทย์ เช่น NIH (National Institutes of Health) หรือ CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) หล่ะ แน่นอนครับว่ามีข้อมูลอยุ่ว่าก็มีสิทธิ์เสนอแนะอยู่บ้างแต่ทั้งหมดนี้ ไม่มีอำนาจออกนโยบายหลักที่ใช้จริงกับประชาชน ส่วนใหญ่แค่ให้ข้อมูลวิชาการ ซึ่งมักจะถูกลดทอนหรือละเลยเมื่อนโยบายจริงถูกเขียนขึ้นโดย USDA ในที่สุด
เมื่อเสียงของการตั้งคำถามเริ่มดังกว่าเสียงโฆษณา ขบวนการ “Low Carb” ก็เริ่มตั้งหลักและขยายวงกว้างอย่างเงียบๆ งานวิจัยใหม่ๆ เริ่มบ่งชี้ว่า “น้ำตาลและแป้ง” โดยเฉพาะแป้งแปรรูป คือภัยเงียบที่ส่งผลต่อการอักเสบเรื้อรัง ภาวะดื้ออินซูลิน และเมตาบอลิกซินโดรม จนกระทั่งช่วงต้นทศวรรษ 2010 เป็นต้นมา อาหารแนว “ลดคาร์บ เพิ่มไขมันดี เพิ่มโปรตีน” ก็กลายเป็นกระแสหลักขึ้นมา
ตอนนั้นหลายคนคิดว่า “พวกเราชนะแล้ว” โลกกลับมาฟังเสียงสุขภาพที่แท้จริง โปรตีนกลายเป็นคำตอบใหม่แห่งยุค
แต่มึงเอ๊ยยยยยย... เกมอาจไม่ได้จบตรงนั้น
เพราะในวันที่ประชาชนเริ่มหลีกหนีคาร์บ กลุ่มทุนอาหารข้ามชาติที่เคยวางรากอยู่ในอุตสาหกรรมแป้ง ได้ค่อยๆ แปรทิศ ย้ายการลงทุนไปสู่ “โปรตีนทางเลือก” รอไว้นานแล้วโดยที่เราไม่รู้ตัว ทั้งอาหารพืชแปรรูปอย่าง texture ถั่วเหลือง (TVP), โปรตีนจุลินทรีย์, เนื้อปลูกจากห้องแลบ ไปจนถึง “ไข่” และ “นม” ที่ไม่ได้มาจากสัตว์ โปรตีนสังเคราะห์ที่ผลิตโดยระบบชีวภาพวิศวกรรม (synthetic biology) ซึ่งได้รับเงินทุนจากบริษัทยักษ์ใหญ่อย่างต่อเนื่องตลอดสิบปีที่ผ่านมา
พอถึงวันโปรตีนกลายเป็นเทรนด์ เขาก็เข้ามาเป็นเจ้าของเทรนด์เป็นที่เรียบร้อยแล้ว พร้อมทุกอย่างแล้ว คำถามคือ ใครกันแน่ที่เป็น Trend Setter
โปรตีนจึงไม่ใช่เพียง “สารอาหาร” อีกต่อไป แต่มันคือ “สินค้าอนาคต” ที่สามารถควบคุมแหล่งผลิต แหล่งพันธุ์ เทคโนโลยีการแปรรูป และการกระจายผ่านแพลตฟอร์มค้าปลีกทั่วโลก และถ้าคุณสังเกต จะเห็นว่าไม่มีใครพูดถึง “คาร์บทางเลือก” หรือ "คาร์บเข้มข้น" หรือ "คาร์บที่ไม่ต้องใช้พืช" แม้แต่นิด ทั้งที่ในทางหลักการก็สามารถคิดค้นได้ไม่ต่างกัน แปลว่า พวกเขาไม่ได้แค่อยาก “เลิกขายคาร์บ” แต่กำลัง “เปลี่ยนสินค้าหลักใหม่” ให้ไปอยู่ในกลุ่มที่พวกเขาควบคุมได้ทั้งหมด แค่เอาคำว่า "โปรตีน" ขึ้นมาเป็นฉากหน้าไว้ก่อน
เริ่มเห็นภาพไหมครับ จากคาร์บที่เคยถูกบิดเบือน กลายมาเป็นโปรตีนที่ถูกเสนอให้เรายินดีรับอย่างไม่ตั้งคำถาม
“โปรตีนอนาคต” ดูเหมือนจะเป็นทางเลือก แต่จริงๆ แล้วอาจเป็นกับดักหรือเปล่า
วันนี้ที่หลายคนเฝ้ามองชัยชนะของผู้คนในการล้ม “ปิรามิดคาร์บ” แต่ไม่ทันเห็นว่ากำลังถูกลากเข้าสู่ “หอคอยโปรตีนจำลอง” ที่พวกเขาสร้างขึ้นใหม่ ด้วยบรรจุภัณฑ์สวยหรู คำว่า "รักษ์โลก" "ปลอดภัย" และ "ยั่งยืน" แต่แท้จริงคือห่วงโซ่ที่มัดให้เราเป็นเพียง “ผู้บริโภค” ที่ไม่มีทางรู้ว่าอาหารของเรามาจากธรรมชาติหรือห้องแลบอีกต่อไป เรากลายเป็นหนูที่ย้ายจากกล่องวงกตหนึ่ง มายังอีกกล่องวงกตหนึ่งหรือเปล่า เป็นคำถามที่ยังต้องตอบต่อไป
เฮียไม่ได้มาเพื่อหวาดระแวงนะครับ เพราะในเกมอำนาจอาหาร ไม่มีใครยอมเสียพื้นที่ พวกเขาแค่เปลี่ยนกลยุทธ์ เพื่อครองความเชื่อมั่นใหม่ ในชื่อ “โปรตีน” #pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr
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@ 7e8ca676:b6a7569f
2025-05-13 01:47:06There was a time when Bitcoin smelled like ozone and rebellion. When men wore hoodies because they meant it. When software didn’t come with a mission statement or a DAO-approved pronoun guide. When the only thing a Bitcoin dev feared was being wrong, not being unpopular. \ \ That time is dead. \ \ It died somewhere between the fifth Twitter thread explaining why putting JPEGs on the base layer was “valid use,” and the fiftieth PR that added complexity to the engine in order to simplify the cupholders. Now we’re here, ankle-deep in a pool of our own mediocrity, arguing over whether we should triple the OP_RETURN limit so a VC-backed sidechain company can offload its plumbing costs onto your Raspberry Pi. \ \ Welcome to the future. It’s paved in GitHub comments and smells like a WeWork bathroom. \ \ Let’s speak plainly. This whole drama is not about OP_RETURN. It’s about power. Not electrical power. Not hash power. Soft power. The power to redefine what Bitcoin is for, one pull request at a time. It is the power to turn the protocol from a blunt, uncompromising monetary weapon into a polite corporate middleware bus for protocol startups that couldn’t raise a Series B without a little help from their friends in Core. \ \ Jameson Lopp wants to increase the OP_RETURN limit. Why? Because his company, Citrea, needs to squeeze a few more bytes into every transaction. It's not a crime. It’s not even dishonest. It's just pathetically on the nose. They don’t want to pay miners directly. They want the mempool to be their free emergency broadcast system. They want to lean on the public infrastructure without sending flowers or even a thank-you note. \ \ And what does Core say? \ \ They say yes. \ \ Because of “technical merit.” \ \ Because it’s “more efficient.” \ \ Because the devs have long since stopped being guardians of the protocol and started being unpaid product managers for whoever can string enough buzzwords together in a conference talk. \ \ You can see it in their eyes. You can hear it in their interviews. The Core devs aren’t building Bitcoin anymore. They’re managing Bitcoin. They’re curating it. Polishing it. Nerfing it for mass adoption. Like a bunch of Brooklyn baristas trying to make espresso kid-friendly. Bitcoin used to be an espresso shot poured directly into the mouth of the Federal Reserve. Now it’s a lukewarm latte with oat milk and consensus-breaking sprinkles. \ \ The worst part? The refusal to acknowledge that this is not about UTXO bloat. It's not about cleaner mempools. It’s about upstreaming corporate convenience into the base layer under the halo of neutrality. It’s about giving polite names to ugly compromises. “Policy adjustment.” “Ergonomic improvement.” “Relay optimization.” They speak in this weird dialect of bureaucratic techspeak that means nothing and does less. \ \ Meanwhile, the only thing that actually matters gets lost: ossification. \ \ The holy grail of this protocol is ossification. Not stagnation. Not laziness. Not gridlock. Just stability. The longer Bitcoin can go without consensus changes, the more credible it becomes. The more unchangeable it becomes. Like gravity. Like rust. It doesn’t matter how good your argument is. The system won’t budge. That’s the point. The value of Bitcoin isn’t in how clever the devs are. It’s in how irrelevant they become. \ \ But ossification isn't something you declare. You sneak up on it. You approach it sideways, like a wild animal. You do less and less until eventually you’re doing nothing at all, and nobody even remembers how to change the code anymore. That is the goal. To make the protocol so boring, so petrified, that no one can move it. Not Lopp. Not Luke. Not even Larry from Legal. \ \ To get there, we need something devs hate: client balkanization. \ \ That means splitting the client into pieces. Break the codebase. Separate the consensus engine from the policy fluff. Let people run different implementations. Let the free market decide what filters they want, what mempool rules they tolerate, what behavior they’re willing to relay. You want a node that bans inscriptions? Run it. You want a client that auto-forwards every transaction with a JPEG of your left toe? Go for it. Just don’t make it my problem. \ \ Right now, Bitcoin Core is a monoculture. It’s the cathedral and the altar and the pamphlet all rolled into one. That’s not healthy. That’s a single point of failure. That’s a priesthood. \ \ And no, Bitcoin isn’t a religion. It’s worse. It’s a culture. Religion has rituals. Culture has habits. And habits are harder to break. Especially when your dev team gets drunk on the idea that their opinions are features. \ \ If you want to fix this mess, you need to kill the idea that Bitcoin Core is the final word. Strip it down. Remove every line of non-consensus code. Make it boring. Make it dumb. Let the client rot in peace, and let a thousand weird little nodes bloom. \ \ Let the spammers spam themselves into oblivion. Let the free-riders find someone else to subsidize their infrastructure. Let every operator set their own damn filters. \ \ You’ll know ossification is working when the devs start getting bored. When they stop showing up. When there are no more debates. When the politics dry up. When Jameson Lopp finally logs off. \ \ Until then, every line of code you don’t remove is a future argument you’ll be forced to have with someone who thinks “data availability” is more important than keeping the protocol boring. \ \ Bitcoin does not need to be exciting. It needs to be a brick. A self-righteous, opinionated, uncompromising, utterly stubborn monetary brick. \ \ Keep your hands off it. \ \ And take your startup with you.OP_RETURN and the Cult of Cleverness: Or, How Bitcoin Core Learned to Love the Smell of Its Own Farts
There was a time when Bitcoin smelled like ozone and rebellion. When men wore hoodies because they meant it. When software didn’t come with a mission statement or a DAO-approved pronoun guide. When the only thing a Bitcoin dev feared was being wrong, not being unpopular.
That time is dead.
It died somewhere between the fifth Twitter thread explaining why putting JPEGs on the base layer was “valid use,” and the fiftieth PR that added complexity to the engine in order to simplify the cupholders. Now we’re here, ankle-deep in a pool of our own mediocrity, arguing over whether we should triple the OP_RETURN limit so a VC-backed sidechain company can offload its plumbing costs onto your Raspberry Pi.
Welcome to the future. It’s paved in GitHub comments and smells like a WeWork bathroom.
Let’s speak plainly. This whole drama is not about OP_RETURN. It’s about power. Not electrical power. Not hash power. Soft power. The power to redefine what Bitcoin is for, one pull request at a time. It is the power to turn the protocol from a blunt, uncompromising monetary weapon into a polite corporate middleware bus for protocol startups that couldn’t raise a Series B without a little help from their friends in Core.
Jameson Lopp wants to increase the OP_RETURN limit. Why? Because his company, Citrea, needs to squeeze a few more bytes into every transaction. It's not a crime. It’s not even dishonest. It's just pathetically on the nose. They don’t want to pay miners directly. They want the mempool to be their free emergency broadcast system. They want to lean on the public infrastructure without sending flowers or even a thank-you note.
And what does Core say?
They say yes.
Because of “technical merit.”
Because it’s “more efficient.”
Because the devs have long since stopped being guardians of the protocol and started being unpaid product managers for whoever can string enough buzzwords together in a conference talk.
You can see it in their eyes. You can hear it in their interviews. The Core devs aren’t building Bitcoin anymore. They’re managing Bitcoin. They’re curating it. Polishing it. Nerfing it for mass adoption. Like a bunch of Brooklyn baristas trying to make espresso kid-friendly. Bitcoin used to be an espresso shot poured directly into the mouth of the Federal Reserve. Now it’s a lukewarm latte with oat milk and consensus-breaking sprinkles.
The worst part? The refusal to acknowledge that this is not about UTXO bloat. It's not about cleaner mempools. It’s about upstreaming corporate convenience into the base layer under the halo of neutrality. It’s about giving polite names to ugly compromises. “Policy adjustment.” “Ergonomic improvement.” “Relay optimization.” They speak in this weird dialect of bureaucratic techspeak that means nothing and does less.
Meanwhile, the only thing that actually matters gets lost: ossification.
The holy grail of this protocol is ossification. Not stagnation. Not laziness. Not gridlock. Just stability. The longer Bitcoin can go without consensus changes, the more credible it becomes. The more unchangeable it becomes. Like gravity. Like rust. It doesn’t matter how good your argument is. The system won’t budge. That’s the point. The value of Bitcoin isn’t in how clever the devs are. It’s in how irrelevant they become.
But ossification isn't something you declare. You sneak up on it. You approach it sideways, like a wild animal. You do less and less until eventually you’re doing nothing at all, and nobody even remembers how to change the code anymore. That is the goal. To make the protocol so boring, so petrified, that no one can move it. Not Lopp. Not Luke. Not even Larry from Legal.
To get there, we need something devs hate: client balkanization.
That means splitting the client into pieces. Break the codebase. Separate the consensus engine from the policy fluff. Let people run different implementations. Let the free market decide what filters they want, what mempool rules they tolerate, what behavior they’re willing to relay. You want a node that bans inscriptions? Run it. You want a client that auto-forwards every transaction with a JPEG of your left toe? Go for it. Just don’t make it my problem.
Right now, Bitcoin Core is a monoculture. It’s the cathedral and the altar and the pamphlet all rolled into one. That’s not healthy. That’s a single point of failure. That’s a priesthood.
And no, Bitcoin isn’t a religion. It’s worse. It’s a culture. Religion has rituals. Culture has habits. And habits are harder to break. Especially when your dev team gets drunk on the idea that their opinions are features.
If you want to fix this mess, you need to kill the idea that Bitcoin Core is the final word. Strip it down. Remove every line of non-consensus code. Make it boring. Make it dumb. Let the client rot in peace, and let a thousand weird little nodes bloom.
Let the spammers spam themselves into oblivion. Let the free-riders find someone else to subsidize their infrastructure. Let every operator set their own damn filters.
You’ll know ossification is working when the devs start getting bored. When they stop showing up. When there are no more debates. When the politics dry up. When Jameson Lopp finally logs off.
Until then, every line of code you don’t remove is a future argument you’ll be forced to have with someone who thinks “data availability” is more important than keeping the protocol boring.
Bitcoin does not need to be exciting. It needs to be a brick. A self-righteous, opinionated, uncompromising, utterly stubborn monetary brick.
Keep your hands off it.
And take your startup with you.
-
@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-05-12 01:34:24สวัสดีค่ะเพื่อนๆ นักเทรดที่น่ารักทุกคน! 💕 Lina Engword กลับมาพร้อมกับการวิเคราะห์ BTCUSDT.P แบบเจาะลึกเพื่อเตรียมพร้อมสำหรับเทรดวันนี้ค่ะ! 🚀
วันนี้ 12 พฤษภาคม 2568 เวลา 08.15น. ราคา BTCUSDT.P อยู่ที่ 104,642.8 USDT ค่ะ โดยมี Previous Weekly High (PWH) อยู่ที่ 104,967.8 Previous Weekly Low (PWL) ที่ 93,338 ค่ะ
✨ ภาพรวมตลาดวันนี้ ✨
จากการวิเคราะห์ด้วยเครื่องมือคู่ใจของเรา ทั้ง SMC/ICT (Demand/Supply Zone, Order Block, Liquidity), EMA 50/200, Trend Strength, Money Flow, Chart/Price Pattern, Premium/Discount Zone, Trend line, Fibonacci, Elliott Wave และ Dow Theory ใน Timeframe ตั้งแต่ 15m ไปจนถึง Week! 📊 เราพบว่าภาพใหญ่ของ BTCUSDT.P ยังคงอยู่ในแนวโน้มขาขึ้นที่แข็งแกร่งมากๆ ค่ะ 👍 โดยเฉพาะใน Timeframe Day และ Week ที่สัญญาณทุกอย่างสนับสนุนทิศทางขาขึ้นอย่างชัดเจน Money Flow ยังไหลเข้าอย่างต่อเนื่อง และเราเห็นโครงสร้างตลาดแบบ Dow Theory ที่ยก High ยก Low ขึ้นไปเรื่อยๆ ค่ะ
อย่างไรก็ตาม... ใน Timeframe สั้นๆ อย่าง 15m และ 1H เริ่มเห็นสัญญาณของการชะลอตัวและการพักฐานบ้างแล้วค่ะ 📉 อาจมีการสร้าง Buyside และ Sellside Liquidity รอให้ราคาไปกวาดก่อนที่จะเลือกทางใดทางหนึ่ง ซึ่งเป็นเรื่องปกติของการเดินทางของ Smart Money ค่ะ
⚡ เปรียบเทียบแนวโน้มแต่ละ Timeframe ⚡
🪙 แนวโน้มตรงกัน Timeframe 4H, Day, Week ส่วนใหญ่ชี้ไปทาง "ขาขึ้น" ค่ะ ทุกเครื่องมือสนับสนุนแนวโน้มนี้อย่างแข็งแกร่ง 💪 เป้าหมายต่อไปคือการไปทดสอบ PWH และ High เดิม เพื่อสร้าง All-Time High ใหม่ค่ะ! 🪙 แนวโน้มต่างกัน Timeframe 15m, 1H ยังค่อนข้าง "Sideways" หรือ "Sideways Down เล็กน้อย" ค่ะ มีการบีบตัวของราคาและอาจมีการพักฐานสั้นๆ ซึ่งเป็นโอกาสในการหาจังหวะเข้า Long ที่ราคาดีขึ้นค่ะ
💡 วิธีคิดแบบ Market Slayer 💡
เมื่อแนวโน้มใหญ่เป็นขาขึ้นที่แข็งแกร่ง เราจะเน้นหาจังหวะเข้า Long เป็นหลักค่ะ การย่อตัวลงมาในระยะสั้นคือโอกาสของเราในการเก็บของ! 🛍️ เราจะใช้หลักการ SMC/ICT หาโซน Demand หรือ Order Block ที่ Smart Money อาจจะเข้ามาดันราคาขึ้น และรอสัญญาณ Price Action ยืนยันการกลับตัวค่ะ
สรุปแนวโน้มวันนี้:
🪙 ระยะสั้น: Sideways to Sideways Down (โอกาส 55%) ↔️↘️ 🪙 ระยะกลาง: ขาขึ้น (โอกาส 70%) ↗️ 🪙 ระยะยาว: ขาขึ้น (โอกาส 85%) 🚀 🪙 วันนี้: มีโอกาสย่อตัวเล็กน้อยก่อนจะมีแรงซื้อกลับเข้ามาเพื่อไปทดสอบ PWH (โอกาส Sideways Down เล็กน้อย สลับกับ Sideways Up: 60%) 🎢
🗓️ Daily Trade Setup ประจำวันนี้ 🗓️
นี่คือตัวอย่าง Setup ที่ Lina เตรียมไว้ให้พิจารณาค่ะ (เน้นย้ำว่าเป็นเพียงแนวทาง ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำลงทุนนะคะ)
1️⃣ ตัวอย่างที่ 1: รอรับที่โซน Demand (ปลอดภัย, รอยืนยัน)
🪙 Enter: รอราคาย่อตัวลงมาในโซน Demand Zone หรือ Bullish Order Block ที่น่าสนใจใน TF 1H/4H (ดูจากกราฟประกอบนะคะ) และเกิดสัญญาณ Bullish Price Action ที่ชัดเจน เช่น แท่งเทียนกลืนกิน (Engulfing) หรือ Hammer 🪙 TP: บริเวณ PWH 104,967.8 หรือ Buyside Liquidity ถัดไป 🎯 🪙 SL: ใต้ Low ที่เกิดก่อนสัญญาณกลับตัวเล็กน้อย หรือใต้ Demand Zone ที่เข้า 🛡️ 🪙 RRR: ประมาณ 1:2.5 ขึ้นไป ✨ 🪙 อธิบาย: Setup นี้เราจะใจเย็นๆ รอให้ราคาลงมาในโซนที่มีโอกาสเจอแรงซื้อเยอะๆ ตามหลัก SMC/ICT แล้วค่อยเข้า เพื่อให้ได้ราคาที่ดีและความเสี่ยงต่ำค่ะ ต้องรอสัญญาณ Price Action ยืนยันก่อนนะคะ ✍️
2️⃣ ตัวอย่างที่ 2: Follow Breakout (สายบู๊, รับความเสี่ยงได้)
🪙 Enter: เข้า Long ทันทีเมื่อราคาสามารถ Breakout เหนือ High ล่าสุดใน TF 15m หรือ 1H พร้อม Volume ที่เพิ่มขึ้นอย่างมีนัยสำคัญ 🔥 🪙 TP: บริเวณ PWH 104,967.8 หรือ Buyside Liquidity ถัดไป 🚀 🪙 SL: ใต้ High ก่อนหน้าที่ถูก Breakout เล็กน้อย 🚧 🪙 RRR: ประมาณ 1:3 ขึ้นไป ✨ 🪙 อธิบาย: Setup นี้เหมาะกับคนที่อยากเข้าไวเมื่อเห็นโมเมนตัมแรงๆ ค่ะ เราจะเข้าเมื่อราคา Breakout แนวต้านระยะสั้นพร้อม Volume เป็นสัญญาณว่าแรงซื้อกำลังมาค่ะ เข้าได้เลยด้วยการตั้ง Limit Order หรือ Market Order เมื่อเห็นการ Breakout ที่ชัดเจนค่ะ 💨
3️⃣ ตัวอย่างที่ 3: พิจารณา Short สั้นๆ ในโซน Premium (สวนเทรนด์หลัก, ความเสี่ยงสูง)
🪙 Enter: หากราคาขึ้นไปในโซน Premium ใน TF 15m หรือ 1H และเกิดสัญญาณ Bearish Price Action ที่ชัดเจน เช่น แท่งเทียน Shooting Star หรือ Bearish Engulfing บริเวณ Supply Zone หรือ Bearish Order Block 🐻 🪙 TP: พิจารณาแนวรับถัดไป หรือ Sellside Liquidity ใน TF เดียวกัน 🎯 🪙 SL: เหนือ High ของสัญญาณ Bearish Price Action เล็กน้อย 💀 🪙 RRR: ประมาณ 1:1.5 ขึ้นไป (เน้นย้ำว่าเป็นการเทรดสวนเทรนด์หลัก ควรใช้ RRR ต่ำและบริหารขนาด Lot อย่างเข้มงวด!) 🪙 อธิบาย: Setup นี้สำหรับคนที่เห็นโอกาสในการทำกำไรจากการย่อตัวระยะสั้นค่ะ เราจะเข้า Short เมื่อเห็นสัญญาณว่าราคาอาจจะมีการพักฐานในโซนที่ถือว่า "แพง" ในกรอบสั้นๆ ค่ะ ต้องตั้ง Stop Loss ใกล้มากๆ และจับตาดูใกล้ชิดนะคะ 🚨
⚠️ Disclaimer: การวิเคราะห์นี้เป็นเพียงความคิดเห็นส่วนตัวของ Lina เท่านั้น ไม่ถือเป็นคำแนะนำในการลงทุนนะคะ การลงทุนมีความเสี่ยง ผู้ลงทุนควรศึกษาข้อมูลเพิ่มเติมและตัดสินใจด้วยความรอบคอบค่ะ 🙏
ขอให้ทุกท่านโชคดีกับการเทรดในวันนี้ค่ะ! มีคำถามอะไรเพิ่มเติม ถามมาได้เลยนะคะ ยินดีเสมอค่ะ! 😊
Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Crypto #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis #SMC #ICT #MarketSlayer #TradeSetup #คริปโต #เทรดคริปโต #วิเคราะห์กราฟ #LinaEngword 😉
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@ 7e8ca676:b6a7569f
2025-05-13 01:08:28There was a time when mining meant something. Not just the noise of fans and the stink of ozone, but a political act. An act of rebellion, like smuggling pamphlets under the nose of the king. You mined in the basement. You mined with pride. You mined because you could. Not because Fidelity wrote a whitepaper on it. Not because a hosting provider in Iceland offered you a bulk discount. But because you believed.
That miner is dead.
He didn’t die in a blaze of glory. He didn’t go down swinging. He was euthanized. Slowly, over years, by spreadsheets, subsidies, and a thousand tiny concessions. Killed off by a culture that said, “Why do it yourself when you can outsource the soul of Bitcoin to a pool in Singapore?”
Welcome to the age of industrial Bitcoin: a world where miners don’t mine, pools don’t just process. They rule. And the only thing sovereign anymore is the dividend.
The Sovereign Miner is Dead, And No One Mourned
The sovereign miner, the madman with a dusty rack, a full node, and a middle finger pointed squarely at the Eccles Building, is extinct. He’s gone the way of the dodo, the blacksmith, the outlaw. And in his place? A fleet of khaki-wearing ASIC clerks uploading hashrate reports to their VC lords like dutiful little interns. These are not revolutionaries. They are box operators. Corporate larvae wiggling around in server farms financed by pension funds.
Once upon a time, mining was an act of insubordination. You ran a rig to say "no" to Janet Yellen. You ran a node because you meant it. You didn’t need permission. You didn’t ask for subsidies. You didn’t file paperwork. You fought for consensus by living it. Every block was a punch thrown in a quiet, bloodless rebellion. Now? Now you’ve got KPMG-certified mining outfits measuring ESG impact and tweeting about carbon offsets like they’re trying to win a grant from the UN.
The eulogies for that old miner are full of oily euphemisms. They drone on about "efficiency," as if selling your vote for a cheaper power bill is some kind of virtue. "Economies of scale," they whisper, as though scale were some holy sacrament instead of the Trojan horse that delivered centralization to our doorstep. What they call progress, I call a back-alley mugging of Bitcoin’s soul.
The modern miner isn’t mining. He’s leasing his dignity to a pool that doesn’t know his name. He’s plugging in Bitmain boxes like a hotel maintenance worker changing light bulbs. The only heat he generates is for the benefit of someone else's node. Someone else's mempool. Someone else's idea of consensus. He doesn’t build the block. He just pays the electric bill.
And the worst part? He likes it. He thinks it’s normal. He thinks it’s “smart business.” He’s internalized the defeat so completely he brags about it on social media. He’ll tweet about uptime, about efficiency ratios, about hashprice curves—as if he were describing a well-run gulag. He’s the obedient prisoner who polishes the chains and calls it freedom.
The sovereign miner didn’t die in a blaze of glory. He died quietly, smothered under a fleece blanket of comfort and yield optimization. And no one mourned. No one wept. Because everyone was too busy benchmarking their ROI and counting fiat. The revolution didn’t end in a shootout. It ended in quarterly earnings calls.
Power Reversed: Pools Run Nodes, Miners Run Cable
Let’s be crystal clear: The pools run the nodes. The miners do not. This is not a subtle shift. It is a total inversion of power. A coup d'état wrapped in JSON-RPC and relayed with a smile. The pool clerks have become the governors of consensus, and the miners? They’re errand boys. They might control the heat, but they don’t control the protocol. They’re like engine pistons in a car they’ll never be allowed to drive.
Pointing hash at a pool and calling yourself sovereign is like renting a tux and declaring yourself royalty. It’s cosplay. At best. Pools decide what transactions are valid. Pools enforce the rules. Pools interpret consensus, not the miners, not the miners, and certainly not the plebs stacking sats on Raspberry Pis, who, through their economic activity and validation, still enforce the rules but are powerless to stop this creeping centralization in the mining layer. In a world obsessed with decentralization theater, pools are the centralized prop masters pulling the strings.
And when the curtain pulled back in 2021, it wasn’t some secret backroom scandal. No. Marathon Digital bragged about OFAC-compliant mining. They filtered transactions with state-sanctioned precision. They announced it like a new feature rollout. “Censorship-as-a-Service, now in beta!” The mining pool became an extension of the U.S. Treasury—while still waving the Bitcoin banner.
That wasn’t a red flag. That was a blood-soaked banner waved from the parapets of captured consensus. And the response? Nothing. No mass exit. No fork. No slash-and-burn rebellion. Just soft mewling from miners who’d already convinced themselves this was “pragmatic.”
Miners didn’t revolt. They shrugged. They shrugged because they didn’t feel it in their bones anymore. They’d been domesticated. Fattened on subsidies and mining-as-a-service. Pacified by dashboards and yield spreadsheets. When the pools took the steering wheel, the miners reached for the air conditioning controls.
This is the hard truth: sovereignty cannot be delegated. You don’t get to outsource rebellion. You don’t get to file a ticket and request autonomy. If someone else runs the node, someone else owns the power. And if you’re pointing hash at their rules, you’re not free. You’re furniture. Industrial-grade silicon furniture humming in tune with someone else’s politics.
ASICs Are Treadmills, Not Weapons
Here’s a bitter pill: plugging in an ASIC doesn’t make you a participant in Bitcoin. It makes you a battery. Yes, economic nodes still set the rules through their validation and transaction activity. But what happens when the mining layer, the muscle that enforces those rules on-chain, goes rogue? What happens when the mempool you built gets ignored because your hashpower is pointed at someone else's filter?
A node might define validity, but without aligned mining, it’s a lion without teeth. If economic consensus is the blueprint, mining is the builder. And right now, most builders are following someone else's floor plan. The node might say, "this is how we build," but the pool, with its centralized relay and selective enforcement, says, "this is what we’re willing to build."
Without a node, without building your own block, without choosing your own mempool, you’re a hamster in a high-voltage wheel. All that heat and noise? It’s not rebellion. It’s treadmill sweat.
Without a node, without building your own block, without choosing your own mempool, you’re a hamster in a high-voltage wheel. All that heat and noise? It’s not rebellion. It’s treadmill sweat.
You are not a general. You are a grunt. A CPU on contract to someone else’s war.
Fiat Habits: The Culture of Convenience
Bitcoin was supposed to be the great divorce from fiat thinking, a severance from the debt-ridden clown world where every moral principle is for sale if the yield’s high enough. But lo and behold, the fiat habits came slithering in through the miner’s back door. It started small. “Just a hosting service,” they said. “Just outsourcing the firmware,” they claimed. “Just using a pool for efficiency.” And before you knew it, the average miner was indistinguishable from a middle manager at an Enron reunion. Optimizing, spreadsheeting, begging for subsidies like a lobbyist on his third bourbon.
The culture is poison. It rewards cowardice, convenience, and cost-shifting. Small miners moan about volatility like day traders with arthritis. Big miners wine and dine regulators, sniffing after tax incentives and ESG badges like some filthy dog begging at the World Economic Forum’s dinner table. We’re no longer talking about building a sovereign financial system—we’re talking about quarterly earnings, power purchase agreements, and whether your server farm meets carbon neutrality guidelines. What the hell happened?
Take a look back at the New York Agreement in 2017. That wasn’t a negotiation. It was a ransom note. The largest mining outfits, including BTC.Top and ViaBTC, held SegWit hostage because it didn’t butter their bread. The principles didn’t matter. The technical merit didn’t matter. All that mattered was leverage, yield, and preserving their own stranglehold. They tried to shove a hard fork down Bitcoin’s throat like a goose being force-fed for foie gras. And if not for the sheer stubbornness of the user base, real economic nodes who still gave a damn, Bitcoin would’ve gone full Frankenstein.
But did those miners learn? No. They just shifted tactics. Today they ask for different forms of convenience: not block size increases, but subsidies, regulations tailored to their rigs, public-private partnerships. The song remains the same. It’s the fiat mindset dressed up in ASIC drag. Instead of defending neutrality, they demand special treatment. Instead of embracing the responsibility of consensus participation, they’d rather hand it off to a pool that promises good customer service and a Discord server with emojis.
What we’re seeing is the spiritual sequel to fiat monetary policy—moral hazard in overclocked silicon. Miners begging for insulation from the market, protection from volatility, and someone else to carry the political weight of consensus. That’s not sovereignty. That’s serfdom with a spreadsheet. These aren't rebels. They’re corporate supplicants doing yield gymnastics while the heart of Bitcoin withers under the fluorescent lights of their co-location facility.
Bitcoin doesn’t need more efficient parasites. It needs fewer of them. The culture must shift from comfort to combat. From optimization to obligation. A miner who outsources consensus is no better than a fiat printer optimizing bond auctions. The minute you make convenience your god, you become indistinguishable from the system Bitcoin was meant to destroy.
The Culture of Convenience
Bitcoin was born as a rejection of fiat habits. So naturally, miners dragged every last fiat habit into the server farm like rats carrying plague. Outsource the firmware. Outsource the hosting. Outsource the power contract. Outsource the node. Outsource the sovereignty. What’s left?
Mining today looks like Goldman Sachs cosplay. ESG reports. Carbon credits. Webinars on regulatory compliance. Bitcoin isn't being mined anymore. It's being monetized. It's being lobotomized by yield-chasers and spreadsheet cultists.
The New York Agreement was the test. The miners failed. They held the protocol hostage for a slightly thicker block and a fat slice of yield. They were willing to hard fork Bitcoin into a Frankenstein fiat-friendly platform if it meant a better power purchase agreement.
They haven't changed. They’ve just gotten better at disguising their cowardice as competence.
Software Will Not Save You (But Cowards Sure Will Sell You the Illusion)
Let me tell you a ghost story. A tale of silicon treachery dressed up as innovation. It was 2017. The air stank of backroom deals and nervous sweat. Bitmain, the ASIC kingpin of the age, had quietly embedded a little something into its hardware. A cheat code. A hidden rake. A parasitic exploit called ASICBoost, but not the honest kind. No, this was the covert variant, slinking beneath the protocol’s floorboards, exploiting transaction ordering for a tidy little edge. It wasn’t disclosed. It wasn’t debated. It was used. Quietly. Gleefully. While the rest of the ecosystem was busy arguing about scaling like philosophers in a house fire.
Bitmain wasn't interested in consensus. It was interested in arbitrage. They saw Bitcoin not as a commons, but as a slot machine they had rigged. And when SegWit appeared, when it offered scaling and immunity to covert ASICBoost in one surgical tweak, Bitmain panicked. Because SegWit would end the grift. Not softly. Not eventually. Immediately.
So they did what every entrenched parasite does when exposed. They lied. They stalled. They "compromised." They ginned up support for SegWit2x, not to scale Bitcoin, but to preserve their exploit. A hard fork with extension blocks would keep the legacy block structure alive and well, tucked into a cozy parallel track where covert ASICBoost could still thrive. It was a bait-and-switch. A con. A trojan upgrade smuggled in under the banner of progress.
But this time, the hosts fought back.
Node runners saw the ploy. They didn’t need fancy tooling. They needed guts. They didn’t negotiate. They didn’t flinch. They ran SegWit. They activated UASF. They drew a line—not in sand, but in bedrock. Bitcoin would not be held hostage by ASIC cartels. It would not bend for Bitmain. It would not become an extension block casino for rent-seekers in Shenzhen.
So no, software didn’t save Bitcoin. Men did.
Ordinary plebs with full nodes and no backdoor. They used the tool, yes, but what mattered is that they refused. Refused the scam. Refused the deal. Refused to bend the knee to an ASIC cartel dressed in business-casual and lies.
SegWit didn’t win because it was elegant. It won because enough people had the guts to jam it through in spite of sabotage. The protocol gave them a knife, and they had the moral clarity to use it. That’s the lesson. Not that we need better code, but that we need sharper men.
Because in the end, every exploit is possible when the culture is weak. And every fix is worthless if the people implementing it don’t care. The problem was never ASICBoost. The problem was what miners were willing to do to keep it.
The Pool Cartel is the New Central Bank
Middlemen were supposed to die in 2009. That’s the entire reason Bitcoin exists. To gut them. To render them obsolete. To salt the earth behind them so nothing like them could ever grow again. But here they are, reborn, not as banks, but as pools. Not in suits, but in server racks. They wear the garb of "infrastructure providers," but they function as gatekeepers, choke points wrapped in API documentation.
Pools don’t just process, they decide. They decide what gets into the chain. They decide whose transactions are valid. They decide what software matters, and what consensus looks like. They’ve become the central banks of the hashrate economy: unaccountable, invisible, and too boring to fear until it’s too late.
They don’t win power. They absorb it. They don’t need legislation or signatures. They just need you to keep pointing your hash in their direction. That’s the magic trick of middlemen: their power lies in being taken for granted. And in that, they’re the perfect parasite, one that feeds on your energy and then tells you they’re helping you digest it.
Every time you optimize for pool payout efficiency, every time you default to the biggest provider, every time you accept their mempool instead of building your own, you’re kneeling. You’re pledging allegiance to a cartel of block-builders whose loyalty isn’t to Bitcoin, it’s to operational ease and regulatory appeasement.
These aren’t neutral actors. They’re political animals. They hold the levers of consensus without bearing any of its weight. They’re the mortgage-backed securities of Bitcoin: abstracted, opaque, and one market panic away from becoming a systemic risk. We have, once again, created a class of intermediaries who profit by extracting value from a system they didn’t build and no longer understand.
Bitcoin didn’t kill the middlemen. It fed them. It made them smarter. It made them less visible. But their hunger hasn’t changed. And until we name them for what they are—cartels in priestly robes—we will keep mistaking the cage for the cathedral.
Stratum v2: A Rifle, Not a Revolution
Stratum v2 is the closest thing to a loaded weapon Bitcoin miners have been handed in a decade. It is, quite literally, the mechanism by which miners can wrench their dignity back from the clenched fists of the pool cartel. And what have they done with it? Mostly shrugged. A few pilot programs, some halfhearted integrations, and a handful of blog posts filled with the kind of cautious optimism you’d expect from a risk-averse actuary.
This isn’t a critique of the protocol. Stratum v2 is beautifully ugly. It’s messy, technical, and dense enough to scare away the very consultants who want to repackage Bitcoin into polite compliance middleware. But none of that matters if no one has the guts to use it. You don’t win wars by stockpiling weapons you refuse to fire.
Stratum v2 gives miners the power to construct their own blocks. Not just vote with hash, but wield it. Choose transactions. Set mempool policy. Actually participate in consensus instead of spectating like a retiree watching a soap opera. It is the rifle hanging over the mantelpiece. The one Chekhov warned us about. And right now it’s gathering dust.
The tragedy here isn’t technical. It’s cultural. Because this tool, this literal key to sovereignty, is being treated like a library dependency. Something for someone else to test, to vet, to implement. Meanwhile, miners continue to act like it’s 2015 and their biggest concern is firmware compatibility and finding a better power rate in Kazakhstan.
Ignore Stratum v2, and it becomes protocol theater. A museum piece. A tragic artifact of what could have been. But use it, and it becomes a wedge. A crowbar in the gears of centralized mining. A bright, shining middle finger to the entire architecture of compliance-friendly consensus.
But don’t fool yourself. Stratum v2 won’t make you sovereign any more than buying a gun makes you a revolutionary. It won’t beam liberty into your soul via Tor, won’t whisper “freedom” into your hashboard, won’t bathe your rack in the holy light of decentralization. It’s not salvation. It’s a tool. And tools don’t care who uses them—they serve the hand that holds them.
Stratum v2 is a rifle, yes—but even a rifle requires guts, aim, and the clarity to know what you're shooting at. In the hands of a coward, it’s a paperweight. In the hands of a rent-seeker, it’s a bargaining chip. But in the hands of a miner with fire in his gut and sovereignty in his blood? It’s a revolution.
This isn’t about technology. It’s about spine. About picking up the one weapon you’ve been given and refusing to keep it locked in the safe while tyrants build your blocks. Stratum v2 offers freedom, but it demands ferocity. You have to load it with your own mempool. You have to chamber every transaction. And then you have to fire.
No protocol, no BIP, no whitepaper will ever substitute for moral will. And if you’re too polite to use the weapon, too busy maximizing uptime to get your hands dirty with real consensus, then you deserve whatever filtered, censored, OFAC-compliant future you inherit.
Stratum v2 is not your savior. You are. And until miners act like it, until they treat this protocol like a weapon and not a toy, the pools will rule, and the timechain will continue to serve the highest bidder.
It’s just a rifle. But rifles have rewritten history when wielded by men who knew they weren’t free.
Ossification Without Decentralization Is Death
Everyone loves ossification, until they realize they missed their chance to do it when it mattered. We had a window. A golden, fleeting window to freeze Bitcoin in a state of clarity, minimalism, and neutrality. Instead, we blinked. We let upgrades seep in. Complexity crept through the back door, and with it came unintended consequences. Among the earliest and most corrosive: the rise of centralized mining pools. A structural outcome embedded in Satoshi’s original design, born from the brutal variance of solo mining. But if that centralization was unforeseen, imagine how many more we’ve introduced since, through every soft fork, every upgrade, every decision to keep tinkering instead of locking the vault when we had the chance.
Ossification isn’t just about code. It’s about culture. It’s a posture. A refusal. And we failed to assume it when it counted. We chose tinkering over tenacity. We chose cleverness over caution. And now the fruits of our hubris hang heavy on the vine: a mining layer riddled with capture points, a mempool hijacked by middlemen, and a user base quietly wondering why their transactions feel like applications.
Yes, economic nodes enforce the rules through validation and usage. But that power has a prerequisite: inclusion. If the only blocks being built are by pools with selective relay policies and a fondness for government compliance, then your economic activity is a shout into a soundproof room. The validation rules may be perfect, but if your transaction never hits the chain, it’s as good as invalid.
The trap we set for ourselves was gilded with good intentions. Soft forks meant to improve scalability. Relay policies meant to minimize bloat. Fee markets meant to incentivize good behavior. And now? Now we find ourselves staring at a timechain that functions—but no longer feels inviolable. The foundation wasn’t corrupted in a day. It was eroded, line by line, by developers trying to be helpful.
Freeze Bitcoin now, and we don’t immortalize virtue—we immortalize vulnerability. We lock in the flaws. We preserve a snapshot where the power has already been ceded to those least equipped to wield it justly. It’s like slamming the vault door shut just as the thieves finish loading the bags.
That’s not ossification. That’s embalming. That’s turning the timechain into a museum exhibit of the ideals we almost lived up to, before we traded principle for pragmatism and thought we could always fix it later.
Ossification is not neutral. It’s not some universal good. It is power, fixed in time. And if that power belongs to the wrong class of actors, the OFAC miners, the hosting conglomerates, the Silicon Valley startups that mine with ESG consultants on speed dial, then ossification doesn’t lock in liberty. It locks in them. It fossilizes a regime that already serves someone else’s interests.
We speak of ossification like it’s an event. One final commit. One last hardening. But in truth, it’s asymptotic. You don’t slam the door shut in one dramatic gesture. You inch toward it. You tighten the bolts over time until change becomes culturally, politically, and economically impossible. And that means we’re ossifying right now.
Picture it: a frozen Bitcoin where the rules can’t change, but the blockspace is filtered, the miners are compliant, and the pools relay transactions based on a government-approved blacklist. That’s not sound money. That’s a digital leash. A ledger of obedience masquerading as freedom.
If Bitcoin ossifies after it has been captured, it does not become incorruptible. It becomes irredeemable. Like sealing a vault before checking what’s inside, you don’t get resilience, you get entombment. You get permanence without virtue. You get consensus without sovereignty.
That’s not ossification. That’s embalming. That’s turning the timechain into Lenin’s corpse: glassy-eyed, sterile, and meticulously preserved in service of a state it was meant to outlive.
We may only have one chance to rescue bitcoin from the clutches of the fiat maximalists, before it is impossible to do so.
Core's Quiet Capitulation
Bitcoin Core was once the temple guard. Militant minimalism. Ruthless conservatism. The last line of defense against creeping bloat and protocol erosion. You didn’t have to agree with them, but by God, you respected the trench they were willing to die in.
Now? They’re white-gloving the stretcher for a dying protocol. Hospice caretakers tending to consensus rot with polite documentation and GitHub tickets labeled "enhancement." The keepers of the flame have become interior decorators for a collapsing cathedral.
They removed filters, the thin defensive crust that kept bad-faith actors at bay. They weakened defaults, the backbone settings that preserved network sanity. They bend policies not to protect consensus, but to please mining cartels and PR-sensitive operators. Every decision smells like appeasement baked in a think tank.
This isn’t some grand betrayal of principle for power or riches. It’s worse. It’s resignation. Exhaustion wrapped in technocratic humility. They didn’t sell out to the highest bidder, they just ran out of fire.
Where once they chanted ossification, now they mumble "flexibility." Where once they enforced sanity with zero tolerance for grift, now they entertain proposals that would’ve been laughed out of the room a decade ago. They say yes out of fatigue. They say no with asterisks. They commit code like bureaucrats signing off on a slow-motion demolition.
Core didn’t just get captured. It got comfortable. And comfort, in protocol stewardship, is fatal. The war for Bitcoin's soul isn’t being lost in some smoky backroom. It’s being forfeited in polite silence by maintainers who forgot the protocol doesn’t just need to run. It needs to refuse.
The Call: Rewild the Hash
This is the fork in the road. This is the final flare fired into the sky before the trench goes quiet forever. You either take back the hash, or you become a dependent serf in a digital fiefdom run by pool lords and relay priests. No more excuses. No more polite appeals. No more PRs begging middlemen to do the right thing.
Run your own node. Build your own block, even if it takes a lifetime. Not tomorrow. Not after the next bull run. Not when it’s convenient. Now. Because if you don’t, someone else will do it for you, and they will not share your values.
Stop waiting for permission. Stop tweeting at pool operators like they’re public servants. Stop optimizing for latency like it’s a sacrament. You are not here to impress compliance officers. You are here to enforce your damn sovereignty.
Don’t beg the cartel to behave. Starve it. Cut it off. Build the mempool you want to see in the world and let their VC primed and bloated relay network choke on their own paperwork. Let their blocks fill with NFT spam and chain analysis reports. You are not required to participate in their theater.
Use Stratum v2. Not because it’s clever, not because it’s next-gen, but because it puts the steering wheel back in your hands. It lets you carve your transactions from granite instead of begging for a line on someone else's spreadsheet. It is not optional. It is not academic. It is your rifle, and the target is consensus capture.
Rewilding the hash isn’t about nostalgia. It’s about survival. It’s about tearing up the artificial turf of corporate convenience and letting the hard, messy, glorious chaos of sovereign mining grow back. Every node a fortress. Every block a declaration. Every miner a free man with dirt under his fingernails and fire in his chest.
This is the line. Pick up your weapon. Run your own node. Build your own block. Or die watching someone else sell your freedom by the byte.
Murder the pools. Rewild the hash. And mine like it means something... because it does.
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@ 33baa074:3bb3a297
2025-05-12 01:06:27Soil moisture is one of the key factors affecting crop root development. Too much or too little moisture will have an adverse effect on root growth.
Effect of excessive moisture When there is too much soil moisture, the following problems will occur:
Inhibit root respiration: Excessive moisture will squeeze out oxygen in the soil, causing root hypoxia, thereby inhibiting root respiration, and in severe cases, it can cause root growth to stop or rot and die. Affect soil aeration: Excessive moisture will reduce soil aeration and affect the normal growth of the root system. Effect of too little moisture When there is too little soil moisture, it will also have a negative impact on the root system:
Promote root corking and self-thinning: Lack of water can cause root corking and even self-thinning, affecting the absorption capacity of the root system.
Determine whether the soil moisture is appropriate In order to ensure the healthy development of crop roots, soil moisture needs to be managed reasonably. The following methods can be used to determine whether the soil moisture is appropriate:
Touch test: Use a small shovel to dig up the soil around the root system, grab some soil with your hand and pinch it in your hand. If the soil can be kneaded into a ball and can be spread apart, the moisture content is appropriate; if it can be kneaded into a ball but cannot be spread apart, the moisture content exceeds the standard; if it cannot be kneaded into a ball, the soil is lacking in water.
Conclusion In summary, soil moisture has an important impact on the development of crop roots. Reasonable water management is essential to promote healthy root growth. By monitoring and adjusting soil moisture through appropriate methods, the normal growth and development of crops can be effectively guaranteed.
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@ 33baa074:3bb3a297
2025-05-12 00:49:33Real-time monitoring of oil concentration in water The basic principle of oil in water sensor is to use the characteristic that oil will produce fluorescence under ultraviolet light, and measure the fluorescence intensity to infer the concentration of oil. The sensor uses ultraviolet light as the excitation light source to illuminate the water sample to be tested. The oil absorbs ultraviolet light and excites fluorescence. The fluorescence signal is received by the photo detector and converted into an electrical signal, and then the strength of the electrical signal is measured to determine the concentration of oil in the water sample, so as to achieve real-time monitoring of the concentration of oil in the water.
Multi-scenario water quality monitoring Water source water quality monitoring It can be used to monitor the water quality of water sources. By continuously monitoring the oil in the water source, the pollution source can be found in time, thereby ensuring the safety of drinking water and water supply.
Sewage treatment plant discharge monitoring Sewage treatment plants may produce oily wastewater in the process of treating sewage. The oil-in-water sensor can monitor the water quality of its discharge to ensure that it meets the discharge standards and avoids secondary pollution to the environment.
Monitoring of water bodies such as rivers and lakes Water bodies such as rivers and lakes may be polluted by oil substances, such as ship leakage and industrial wastewater discharge. This sensor can monitor the water quality of these water bodies, evaluate the pollution status, and provide a basis for pollution control.
Aquaculture monitoring The online oil-in-water monitor (including oil-in-water sensor) can transmit monitoring data in real time to help farmers understand the water quality. Farmers can use it to understand the oil content in the water body in real time, and reasonably release it according to the needs of fish to improve the growth rate and health level of fish; it can also timely detect abnormal conditions in the water body, such as oil pollution and bacterial growth, and take corresponding measures to avoid the occurrence of diseases and reduce breeding costs and risks; at the same time, it helps farmers better understand the growth of fish, reasonably arrange fishing time, avoid overfishing and resource depletion, and promote the sustainable use of aquatic resources.
Early warning and emergency response It has real-time monitoring and early warning functions, and can issue an alarm in time when abnormal conditions of oil substances in the water body (such as exceeding the pee-set safety threshold) are found, providing valuable time for emergency response and reducing losses caused by pollution.
Assisting scientific research The monitoring data of the sensor can be used in scientific research fields such as ecology and environmental chemistry, helping researchers to gain a deeper understanding of the distribution, migration and transformation of oil substances in water bodies, and provide a scientific basis for environmental protection and governance.
Monitoring of pollution sources and environmental changes By detecting oil substances in water bodies, the location of pollution sources and the types of pollutants can be determined, providing a basis for finding and controlling pollution sources; it can also monitor oil pollutants in water bodies to understand the impact of environmental changes on water bodies and take timely measures to protect water sources.
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@ 502ab02a:a2860397
2025-05-11 14:57:43Zeitgeber (ออกเสียงว่า ไซท’เกเบอะ) มาจากภาษาเยอรมัน คำว่า Zeit แปลว่า “เวลา” คำว่า Geber แปลว่า “ผู้ให้” หรือ “ตัวให้” แปลรวมกันว่า “ผู้ให้เวลา” หรือ “ตัวตั้งเวลา” ในบริบทชีววิทยาหมายถึง สิ่งแวดล้อมภายนอก ที่คอย “ตั้งนาฬิกาชีวภาพ” ภายในร่างกายเราให้เดินตามจังหวะที่เหมาะสม
นักวิจัยด้านนาฬิกาชีวภาพอย่าง Jürgen Aschoff และ Franz Halberg ในปี 1960–70s ใช้คำนี้เพื่ออธิบาย สิ่งเร้าที่ช่วยรีเซ็ตนาฬิกากลาง (Suprachiasmatic Nucleus) ของเราให้ตรงกับโลกภายนอก
ตัวอย่าง Zeitgeber หลักๆเช่น 1.แสงสว่าง-ความมืด แสงแดดเช้า (Blue light) บอกสมองว่า “เช้าแล้ว ตื่นได้” ตัวตั้ง circadian ความมืดตอนกลางคืน ปล่อยให้เมลาโทนินหลั่ง ส่งสัญญาณง่วงและพักผ่อน
2.อุณหภูมิ อุณหภูมิรอบตัวที่ลดลงตอนค่ำ ช่วยกระตุ้นการหลั่งเมลาโทนิน อีกแรงให้รู้ว่า “ได้เวลาเข้านอนแล้ว”
3.มื้ออาหาร เวลากินอาหารเป็นเวลาช่วยรีเซ็ตนาฬิกา peripheral clocks ในอวัยวะอย่างตับ ลำไส้
4.กิจกรรมทางสังคม-เสียง การทำงาน-พักผ่อนตามตารางประจำวัน หรือเสียงนาฬิกาปลุก / เสียงธรรมชาติช่วงเช้า ช่วยให้สมองปรับจังหวะได้
แล้วทำไม Zeitgeber ถึงมีความสำคัญขนาดนั้น? ลองนึกถึงนาฬิกาที่ตั้งผิดเวลาครับ ถ้าไม่มี zeitgeber ร่างกายเราจะเดินนาฬิกาชีวภาพได้ไม่ตรง “อาจง่วงไม่เป็นเวลา นอนไม่ลึก หรือฮอร์โมนเพี้ยน” การใช้ zeitgeber ให้เหมาะสม (เช่น รับแสงเช้าจริง ๆ งดจ้องจอหลังกลางคืน) จะช่วยให้ circadian, ultradian และ infradian rhythms ทำงานสอดคล้องกับธรรมชาติ ลดอาการ jet-lag, นอนไม่หลับ, อารมณ์ขึ้นลง หรือแม้แต่ปรับฮอร์โมนให้สมดุล ดังนั้น Zeitgeber คือ “เครื่องตั้งเวลา” ของร่างกายเรา ที่ช่วยให้ทุกกระบวนการชีวภาพเดินจังหวะตามโลกภายนอกอย่างกลมกลืน การเข้าใจและใช้ zeitgeber ให้ถูกต้อง จึงเป็นกุญแจสำคัญของสุขภาพกาย/ใจที่แข็งแรงยืนยาว
แสงแดดคือ zeitgeber สำคัญที่สุดของมนุษย์ ที่ไม่ได้มีบทบาทแค่กับวงจรรายวัน (circadian) แต่ยัง “ตั้งเวลา” ให้กับวงจรรายสั้น (ultradian) และวงจรรายยาว (infradian) ด้วย มาดูกันว่าแดดเข้ามาปั่นจังหวะเหล่านี้อย่างไรบ้าง
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แสงแดดกับ Circadian Rhythm Circadian Rhythm คือวงจรชีวภาพรอบ 24 ชั่วโมง ควบคุมการนอน–ตื่น การหลั่งฮอร์โมน และอุณหภูมิร่างกาย แสงแดดเช้า (blue light) สายตาจะจับแสงผ่านจอประสาทตา (retina) ซึ่งมีเซลล์รับแสงชนิดพิเศษ (ipRGCs) ที่ไม่ใช่แค่ช่วยให้เรามองเห็น แต่ตอบสนองต่อความเข้มของแสงด้วย ด้วยการหยุดหลั่งเมลาโทนิน และเพิ่มคอร์ติซอล ทำให้ร่างกาย “ตื่น” และรีเซ็ตนาฬิกาทุกวัน กระบวนการนี้เรียกว่า photoentrainment ซึ่งทำให้ circadian rhythm ไม่ลอย (drift) ออกจากรอบ 24 ชม.
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แสงแดดกับ Ultradian Rhythm Ultradian Rhythm คือวงจรชีวภาพที่สั้นกว่า 24 ชม. (เช่น การนอนสลับ NREM–REM ทุก ~90–120 นาที, การหลั่งฮอร์โมนเป็นช่วงเวลา) แสงแดด เช้า ช่วยเริ่มการหลั่งของคอร์ติซอล และกระตุ้นสมาธิ attention cycle (โพกัส 90 นาที พัก 15–20 นาที) ทำให้ ultradian cycles เหล่านี้เดินจังหวะตามความสดชื่นของแสง หรือแม้แต่ การรับแดดอ่อนๆ ช่วงเบรก (10–15 นาที) จะช่วยรีเซ็ต ultradian attention และ nap cycles ให้รอบต่อไปสดใส ไม่ง่วงเหงาหาวนอนกลางวัน
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แสงแดดกับ Infradian Rhythm Infradian Rhythm คือวงจรชีวภาพยาวกว่า 24 ชม. (เช่น รอบเดือนของผู้หญิง) ดูกาลและแสงวันยาว–สั้น มีอิทธิพลต่ออารมณ์และฮอร์โมนรายปี (SAD) ร่างกายขาดแสง ทำให้ Melatonin ค้างในวัน ส่งผลให้อารมณ์ตกดิ่ง, รอบเดือน แสง UVB จะช่วยสังเคราะห์วิตามิน D ให้ปรับเอสโตรเจน/โปรเจสเตอโรนให้ขึ้น–ลงเป็นวัฏจักรที่สม่ำเสมอ รอบเดือนมาแบบมีคุณภาพ, ระบบภูมิคุ้มกัน แสง UVA สร้าง photolysis ของ nitrite สารพิเศษของโลก ปล่อย nitric oxide (NO) ช่วยในการลดอักเสบเรื้อรัง
เราจะเลือกใช้ “แดด” เป็น zeitgeber อย่างไรให้ตรงจังหวะ ให้ลองมองแต่ละช่วงเวลาแบบนี้ครับ พยายามทำให้เป็นจังหวะธรรมชาติของตัวเรา ไม่ต้องไปเกร็งเวลามากนะครับ - เช้า (6:30–9:00 น.) เปิดม่านหรือเดินรับแดด 10–15 นาที เน้น blue/UV light กระตุ้น circadian & ultradian - เบรกกลางวัน เดินออกไปรับแดดอ่อนๆ 10 นาที ช่วย ultradian attention & nap cycles - บ่ายแก่ (15:30–17:00 น.) ยืนรับแดดอ่อน–แสงอินฟราเรด ช่วย photobiomodulation ซ่อมแซมเซลล์ & สนับสนุน infradian recovery - หลีกเลี่ยงจอหลัง 20:00 น. ลดแสงสีฟ้าเทียม ให้เมลาโทนินผลิตตามธรรมชาติ
การใช้ แสงแดด ให้เป็น zeitgeber ครบทั้ง Circadian, Ultradian, Infradian จะทำให้ร่างกายเราเดินจังหวะกับธรรมชาติอย่างกลมกลืน ส่งผลต่อคุณภาพการนอน สมาธิ อารมณ์ และฮอร์โมนในทุกช่วงเวลาของชีวิตครับ
#pirateketo #SundaySpecialเราจะไปเป็นหมูแดดเดียว #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr
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@ 99982b27:f5d86450
2025-05-11 12:55:537Ball đã nhanh chóng trở thành một nền tảng giải trí trực tuyến được yêu thích, thu hút đông đảo người dùng nhờ vào sự sáng tạo và không ngừng đổi mới trong cách cung cấp dịch vụ. Giao diện của 7Ball được thiết kế tinh tế, dễ sử dụng, giúp người tham gia có thể dễ dàng tìm thấy các tính năng mà mình mong muốn chỉ trong vài cú nhấp chuột. Với nền tảng công nghệ vững chắc, 7Ball đảm bảo trải nghiệm mượt mà và nhanh chóng, dù bạn đang sử dụng bất kỳ thiết bị nào, từ điện thoại di động đến máy tính cá nhân. Điểm mạnh của 7Ball là khả năng cung cấp một không gian giải trí đa dạng, nơi người dùng có thể tham gia vào nhiều hoạt động khác nhau, từ các sự kiện hấp dẫn đến các trò chơi đầy thử thách. Mỗi tính năng trên nền tảng này đều được tối ưu hóa để mang lại trải nghiệm người dùng tuyệt vời, không gặp phải sự gián đoạn hay chậm trễ. Chính sự kết hợp giữa công nghệ hiện đại và thiết kế tối ưu đã giúp 7Ball nhanh chóng chiếm được lòng tin và sự yêu mến của cộng đồng người dùng.
Một yếu tố quan trọng giúp 7BALL giữ vững vị thế của mình trên thị trường giải trí trực tuyến chính là sự chú trọng đặc biệt đến bảo mật và an toàn của người dùng. Nền tảng này đã áp dụng các biện pháp bảo mật tiên tiến để bảo vệ thông tin cá nhân và các giao dịch trực tuyến của người tham gia. Điều này giúp người dùng an tâm khi tham gia vào các hoạt động trên nền tảng mà không lo ngại về sự xâm nhập hay rủi ro từ các mối đe dọa trên mạng. Với hệ thống mã hóa dữ liệu cao cấp và đội ngũ giám sát luôn theo dõi mọi hoạt động, 7Ball đã tạo ra một môi trường giải trí trực tuyến an toàn, bảo vệ quyền lợi tối đa cho người dùng. Ngoài việc đảm bảo tính bảo mật, 7Ball còn không ngừng cải thiện chất lượng dịch vụ và giao diện, giúp người tham gia có được những trải nghiệm tốt nhất mỗi khi truy cập. Các chương trình khuyến mãi, sự kiện và trò chơi luôn được cập nhật mới mẻ, mang lại cho người dùng những phút giây giải trí không thể quên.
Với sự chuyên nghiệp trong dịch vụ và cam kết không ngừng nâng cao chất lượng, 7Ball đã xây dựng được một cộng đồng người dùng mạnh mẽ và thân thiện. Đội ngũ hỗ trợ khách hàng của 7Ball luôn sẵn sàng giải đáp mọi thắc mắc của người dùng, cung cấp các dịch vụ tư vấn và hỗ trợ kỹ thuật một cách nhanh chóng và hiệu quả. Điều này không chỉ giúp giải quyết vấn đề của người tham gia mà còn tạo dựng niềm tin vững chắc từ phía cộng đồng. Hơn nữa, 7Ball còn tạo ra một không gian giao lưu, chia sẻ giữa các thành viên, giúp mọi người kết nối và học hỏi từ nhau. Các sự kiện tương tác và thử thách thường xuyên được tổ chức, giúp người tham gia không chỉ có cơ hội giải trí mà còn có thể phát triển các kỹ năng và chiến lược cá nhân. Với tất cả những yếu tố này, 7Ball không chỉ đơn thuần là một nền tảng giải trí trực tuyến, mà còn là một cộng đồng, nơi người tham gia có thể giao lưu, kết nối và cùng nhau chia sẻ niềm vui.
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@ eb5f61d0:24cdd490
2025-05-11 02:34:15Com o avanço da tecnologia e a popularização dos jogos online, os brasileiros têm buscado plataformas modernas, seguras e completas para se divertir e tentar a sorte. Entre as opções que vêm ganhando destaque no cenário nacional, a 9993Bet se consolida como uma das principais escolhas. Reunindo inovação, variedade de jogos e uma experiência de usuário diferenciada, a plataforma é ideal para quem busca entretenimento de alta qualidade, sem complicações.
Plataforma moderna e acessível Um dos grandes diferenciais da 9993Bet é sua interface intuitiva e responsiva, pensada para oferecer uma navegação fluida tanto em computadores quanto em dispositivos móveis. O site conta com um design moderno e bem estruturado, que facilita o acesso às diferentes seções e jogos disponíveis. Desde o primeiro acesso, é possível perceber o cuidado da plataforma em proporcionar uma experiência agradável, mesmo para os iniciantes.
Além disso, o processo de cadastro é rápido e descomplicado. Com apenas alguns cliques, o jogador já pode criar sua conta e começar a explorar o universo de possibilidades que a 9993betoferece. A segurança dos dados também é levada a sério, utilizando criptografia de ponta e sistemas de proteção avançados.
Variedade de jogos para todos os gostos Outro ponto forte da 9993Bet é a ampla seleção de jogos. A plataforma conta com centenas de títulos das principais desenvolvedoras do mercado, garantindo qualidade gráfica, jogabilidade envolvente e mecânicas inovadoras. Entre os jogos mais populares, destacam-se:
Slots (Caça-níqueis): com temas variados, bônus emocionantes e recursos especiais, os slots são uma das atrações preferidas dos usuários. Há opções clássicas com 3 rolos e também versões modernas com animações incríveis.
Jogos de cartas: para os fãs de estratégia e emoção, a 9993Bet oferece versões virtuais de jogos consagrados como pôquer, blackjack e bacará.
Roleta online: com diferentes variações e estilos, é ideal para quem busca adrenalina e sorte em cada giro.
Jogos ao vivo com crupiês reais: proporcionando uma experiência imersiva e interativa, esses jogos permitem que o jogador se conecte com apresentadores reais e jogue em tempo real, como se estivesse em uma sala física.
Uma experiência pensada no jogador A 9993Bet investe constantemente em tecnologia e atendimento ao cliente para garantir a melhor experiência possível aos seus usuários. O suporte funciona 24 horas por dia, 7 dias por semana, com uma equipe preparada para responder dúvidas, resolver problemas e orientar os jogadores em qualquer situação.
Os métodos de pagamento também são variados e seguros. A plataforma aceita PIX, boletos bancários e carteiras digitais, proporcionando rapidez nas transações e total comodidade. Os saques são processados com agilidade, permitindo que os jogadores aproveitem seus ganhos sem longas esperas.
Além disso, a 9993Bet oferece promoções regulares, bônus de boas-vindas e recompensas exclusivas para usuários fiéis. Tudo isso contribui para um ambiente envolvente, competitivo e, acima de tudo, divertido.
Conclusão A 9993Bet chega ao mercado brasileiro como uma plataforma completa de entretenimento digital, aliando inovação, segurança e uma vasta gama de jogos que agradam desde os iniciantes até os jogadores mais experientes. Com foco no usuário e um compromisso com a excelência, a 9993Bet se firma como uma das principais opções para quem busca diversão de qualidade e oportunidades reais de ganhar.
Se você está em busca de emoção, variedade e confiabilidade, a 9993Bet é a escolha certa. Cadastre-se, explore os jogos e descubra um novo nível de entretenimento online.
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@ c1e6505c:02b3157e
2025-05-13 00:58:11I rarely make black and white photographs. I usually find color more interesting. But sometimes, it’s wise to strip it away.
Color can be distracting. It can pull attention from what matters. Beauty, I believe, should be simple - something that’s felt, not overthought.
Removing the excessive, the superfluous, can do a lot. It reduces noise. It reveals what’s often hidden. What’s elusive becomes clear.
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@ eb5f61d0:24cdd490
2025-05-11 02:33:37No cenário atual do entretenimento online, o Brasil tem visto um crescimento notável de plataformas que oferecem experiências envolventes e seguras para os jogadores. Entre elas, a 59BRL se destaca como uma opção moderna, confiável e completa, proporcionando diversão, praticidade e uma ampla variedade de jogos para todos os perfis de usuários. Com uma interface amigável e suporte dedicado, a 59BRL se tornou referência no segmento de apostas e jogos virtuais.
Conheça a Plataforma 59BRL Desde o primeiro acesso, a plataforma 59BRL impressiona pela sua estrutura bem organizada e visual atraente. Desenvolvida para atender tanto iniciantes quanto jogadores experientes, ela oferece navegação rápida, menus intuitivos e total compatibilidade com dispositivos móveis e computadores. Isso significa que o usuário pode jogar de onde estiver, com total liberdade.
A segurança é outro ponto forte. A 59brlutiliza tecnologias avançadas de criptografia para garantir a proteção dos dados dos usuários, além de contar com um sistema de verificação para evitar fraudes e atividades suspeitas. O ambiente é totalmente transparente, com termos claros e atendimento eficiente.
Diversidade de Jogos para Todos os Gostos Um dos maiores diferenciais da 59BRL é a variedade de jogos disponíveis. A plataforma oferece opções que vão desde os clássicos jogos de mesa até experiências modernas com gráficos 3D e interatividade ao vivo. Entre os jogos mais populares estão:
Roleta Virtual: Uma experiência dinâmica e cheia de emoção, com várias versões para agradar desde os mais conservadores até os mais ousados.
Slots Interativos: Jogos com temas variados, desde aventura e fantasia até cultura pop, que oferecem rodadas bônus e grandes chances de premiação.
Jogos de Cartas: Modalidades como pôquer, blackjack e baccarat ganham espaço com versões modernas e fáceis de jogar, tanto em modo automático quanto com interações ao vivo.
Raspadinhas Digitais: Uma opção prática e divertida para quem quer testar a sorte rapidamente, com prêmios instantâneos e animações envolventes.
Experiência do Jogador: Praticidade e Suporte Total A 59BRL valoriza a experiência de seus usuários em todos os aspectos. O processo de cadastro é simples, pedindo apenas dados básicos e uma confirmação rápida por e-mail ou telefone. Já o sistema de depósito e saque é outro destaque: a plataforma aceita os principais métodos de pagamento, incluindo PIX, boleto bancário e carteiras digitais, com transações ágeis e seguras.
Outro ponto bastante elogiado pelos usuários é o suporte ao cliente. A equipe da 59BRL está disponível 24 horas por dia, todos os dias da semana, através de chat ao vivo e e-mail. As respostas são rápidas, claras e resolutivas, o que proporciona tranquilidade mesmo em situações de dúvida ou dificuldade.
Além disso, a plataforma costuma oferecer promoções e bônus para novos usuários e jogadores frequentes, como rodadas grátis, cashback e programas de fidelidade. Tudo isso é pensado para manter a diversão em alta e recompensar os jogadores mais engajados.
Conclusão A 59BRL é mais do que uma simples plataforma de jogos: é um verdadeiro ambiente de entretenimento digital, pensado para oferecer praticidade, segurança e diversão sem limites. Com uma interface moderna, grande variedade de jogos e suporte de qualidade, ela tem conquistado cada vez mais brasileiros que buscam uma alternativa confiável e empolgante para seu lazer online. Se você ainda não conhece, vale a pena explorar o que a 59BRL tem a oferecer.
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@ dc4152b3:dc737a27
2025-05-10 11:25:23181BET là một nền tảng trực tuyến nổi bật, cung cấp cho người dùng những trải nghiệm giải trí đa dạng và đầy sáng tạo. Với một giao diện thân thiện và dễ sử dụng, nền tảng này không chỉ hấp dẫn người tham gia nhờ vào tính năng dễ dàng tiếp cận mà còn bởi chất lượng dịch vụ vượt trội. Bằng cách tối ưu hóa trải nghiệm người dùng, 181BET đã nhanh chóng trở thành một trong những lựa chọn hàng đầu của những ai yêu thích các hoạt động giải trí trực tuyến. Nền tảng này cung cấp một loạt các trò chơi và hoạt động tương tác đa dạng, giúp người tham gia có thể thư giãn, giải trí và tận hưởng những giây phút thư thái. Các trò chơi được thiết kế một cách sáng tạo, kết hợp giữa tính giải trí cao và độ thử thách, tạo ra không gian thú vị cho người chơi. Bên cạnh đó, 181BET cũng chú trọng đến việc tạo ra một môi trường an toàn và bảo mật cao, giúp người dùng có thể hoàn toàn yên tâm khi tham gia vào các hoạt động giải trí trực tuyến mà không lo ngại về sự an toàn thông tin cá nhân hay giao dịch.
Điều làm nên sự khác biệt của 181BET chính là khả năng tạo ra một cộng đồng gắn kết và thân thiện, nơi mà người tham gia không chỉ có thể tham gia vào các trò chơi mà còn có thể giao lưu, kết nối và chia sẻ những khoảnh khắc vui vẻ. Nền tảng này cung cấp không chỉ những trò chơi đơn giản mà còn những hoạt động tương tác xã hội, giúp mọi người có thể giao lưu với nhau, học hỏi và tạo ra những mối quan hệ mới. Các tính năng giao lưu được thiết kế để mọi người có thể dễ dàng kết nối và chia sẻ với nhau, tạo ra một cộng đồng trực tuyến thân thiện và đầy sức sống. Mỗi thành viên có thể tham gia vào các hoạt động nhóm, trò chuyện và kết bạn với những người có cùng sở thích, từ đó xây dựng một mạng lưới bạn bè trực tuyến. Bên cạnh đó, 181BET còn cung cấp các tính năng nâng cao, giúp người dùng có thể dễ dàng theo dõi tiến trình và thành tích của mình trong các trò chơi, từ đó tạo động lực cho người tham gia tiếp tục khám phá và trải nghiệm những thử thách mới.
Ngoài những tính năng vượt trội về giải trí và kết nối cộng đồng, 181BET còn chú trọng đến việc bảo vệ quyền lợi và bảo mật cho người sử dụng. Nền tảng này sử dụng công nghệ bảo mật tiên tiến để đảm bảo rằng mọi thông tin cá nhân và giao dịch đều được bảo vệ một cách nghiêm ngặt. Các hệ thống mã hóa dữ liệu và bảo vệ thông tin giúp người dùng yên tâm tham gia vào các hoạt động mà không lo lắng về việc bị lộ thông tin cá nhân hay gặp phải các vấn đề bảo mật. Đặc biệt, 181BET luôn nỗ lực nâng cấp hệ thống bảo mật để phù hợp với các tiêu chuẩn cao nhất của ngành công nghệ hiện nay, tạo nên một môi trường giải trí trực tuyến an toàn và đáng tin cậy. Bên cạnh đó, nền tảng này còn cung cấp dịch vụ hỗ trợ khách hàng 24/7, sẵn sàng giải đáp mọi thắc mắc và giúp đỡ người tham gia trong suốt quá trình trải nghiệm. Với đội ngũ nhân viên hỗ trợ chuyên nghiệp và tận tâm, 181BET cam kết mang đến cho người dùng một trải nghiệm trực tuyến mượt mà và không gặp phải bất kỳ trở ngại nào. Sự kết hợp giữa công nghệ bảo mật hiện đại, dịch vụ hỗ trợ khách hàng tận tình và một nền tảng giải trí đa dạng đã giúp 181BET trở thành một lựa chọn lý tưởng cho những ai tìm kiếm một không gian giải trí trực tuyến chất lượng và an toàn.
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@ 472f440f:5669301e
2025-05-12 23:29:50Marty's Bent
Last week we covered the bombshell developments in the Samourai Wallet case. For those who didn't read that, last Monday the world was made aware of the fact that the SDNY was explicitly told by FinCEN that the federal regulator did not believe that Samourai Wallet was a money services business six months before arresting the co-founders of Samourai Wallet for conspiracy to launder money and illegally operating a money services business. This was an obvious overstep by the SDNY that many believed would be quickly alleviated, especially considering the fact that the Trump administration via the Department of Justice has made it clear that they do not intend to rule via prosecution.
It seems that this is not the case as the SDNY responded to a letter sent from the defense to dismiss the case by stating that they fully plan to move forward. Stating that they only sought the recommendations of FinCEN employees and did not believe that those employees' comments were indicative of FinCEN's overall views on this particular case. It's a pretty egregious abuse of power by the SDNY. I'm not sure if the particular lawyers and judges within the Southern District of New York are very passionate about preventing the use of self-custody bitcoin and products that enable bitcoiners to transact privately, or if they're simply participating in a broader meta war with the Trump administration - who has made it clear to federal judges across the country that last Fall's election will have consequences, mainly that the Executive Branch will try to effectuate the policies that President Trump campaigned on by any legal means necessary - and Samouari Wallet is simply in the middle of that meta war.
However, one thing is pretty clear to me, this is an egregious overstep of power. The interpretation of that law, as has been laid out and confirmed by FinCEN over the last decade, is pretty clear; you cannot be a money services business if you do not control the funds that people are sending to each other, which is definitely the case with Samourai Wallet. People downloaded Samourai Wallet, spun up their own private-public key pairs and initiated transactions themselves. Samourai never custodied funds or initiated transactions on behalf of their users. This is very cut and dry. Straight to the point. It should be something that anyone with more than two brain cells is able to discern pretty quickly.
It is imperative that anybody in the industry who cares about being able to hold bitcoin in self-custody, to mine bitcoin, and to send bitcoin in a peer-to-peer fashion makes some noise around this case. None of the current administration's attempts to foster innovation around bitcoin in the United States will matter if the wrong precedent is set in this case. If the SDNY is successful in prosecuting Samourai Wallet, it will mean that anybody holding Bitcoin in self-custody, running a bitcoin fold node or mining bitcoin will have to KYC all of their users and counterparts lest they be labeled a money services business that is breaking laws stemming from the Bank Secrecy Act. This will effectively make building a self-custody bitcoin wallet, running a node, or mining bitcoin in tillegal in the United States. The ability to comply with the rules that would be unleashed if this Samourai case goes the wrong way, are such that it will effectively destroy the industry overnight.
It is yet to be seen whether or not the Department of Justice will step in to publicly flog the SDNY and force them to stop pursuing this case. This is the only likely way that the case will go away at this point, so it is very important that bitcoiners who care about being able to self-custody bitcoin, mine bitcoin, or send bitcoin in a peer-to-peer fashion in the United States make it clear to the current administration and any local politicians that this is an issue that you care deeply about. If we are too complacent, there is a chance that the SDNY could completely annihilate the bitcoin industry in America despite of all of the positive momentum we're seeing from all angles at the moment.
Make some noise!
Bitcoin Adoption by Power Companies: The Next Frontier
In my recent conversation with Andrew Myers from Satoshi Energy, he shared their ambitious mission to "enable every electric power company to use bitcoin by block 1,050,000" – roughly three years from now. This strategic imperative isn't just about creating new Bitcoin users; it's about sovereignty. Andrew emphasized that getting Bitcoin into the hands of energy companies who value self-sovereignty creates a more balanced future economic landscape. The excitement was palpable as he described how several energy companies are already moving beyond simply selling power to Bitcoin miners and are beginning to invest in mining operations themselves.
"You have global commodity companies being like, 'Oh, this is another commodity – we want to invest in this, we want to own this,'" - Andrew Myers
Perhaps most fascinating was Andrew's revelation about major energy companies in Texas developing Bitcoin collateral products for power contracts – a practical application that could revolutionize how energy transactions are settled. As energy companies continue embracing Bitcoin for both operations and collateral, we're witnessing the early stages of a profound shift in how critical infrastructure interfaces with sound money. The implications for both sectors could be transformative.
Check out the full podcast here for more on remote viewing, Nikola Tesla's predictions, and the convergence of Bitcoin and AI technology. We cover everything from humanoid robots to the energy demands of next-generation computing.
Headlines of the Day
Steak n Shake to Accept Bitcoin at All Locations May 16 - via X
Facebook Plans Crypto Wallets for 3B Users, Bitcoin Impact Looms - via X
Trump Urges Americans to Buy Stocks for Economic Boom - via X
UK Drops Tariffs, U.S. Farmers Set to Reap Major Benefits - via X
Looking for the perfect video to push the smartest person you know from zero to one on bitcoin? Bitcoin, Not Crypto is a three-part master class from Parker Lewis and Dhruv Bansal that cuts through the noise—covering why 21 million was the key technical simplification that made bitcoin possible, why blockchains don’t create decentralization, and why everything else will be built on bitcoin.
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Final thought...
Happy belated Mother's Day to all the moms out there.
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@ 6d8e2a24:5faaca4c
2025-05-10 08:11:36North American nations have been at the forefront of Bitcoin adoption; however, Nigeria, Kenya and South Africa have recently emerged as leaders in Africa.
There’s an increasing acceptance of Bitcoin on the African continent. More businesses, individuals and even financial organizations are using cryptocurrency to transact as an alternative to traditional banking systems. With the economies of the continent experiencing a lot of currency instability, poor banking infrastructure and exorbitantly priced remittances, Bitcoin is coming up as a viable solution financially. Analyzing Bitcoin price trends is crucial for investors, traders and businesses in Africa who want to implement digital assets in their operations.
The Impact of Bitcoin on the African Economy
North American nations have been at the forefront of Bitcoin adoption; however, Nigeria, Kenya and South Africa have recently emerged as leaders in Africa. Peer-to-peer cryptocurrency trading across the continent reached over $100 billion in 2023, making Africa one of the fastest-growing markets for blockchain technology, according to a report by Chainalysis. Several factors that fuel this growth include:
⚪ Less Dependable Fiat Currency : Zimbabwe and Nigeria have poor liquidity currencies, which makes it prudent for citizens to invest in Bitcoin to minimize losses due to devaluation over time.
⚪ Payments for Foreign Worker Remittances: Bitcoin is useful for relocating payments since it eliminates the need for using bitcoin remittance centers that charge ridiculous fees for payment processing.
⚪ Financial Inclusion : A large portion of the African population does not use banks. This makes bitcoin an ideal alternative, as it offers a decentralized and unbanked-friendly option for conducting transactions.
How Bitcoin’s Price Trends Affect the African Market
Businesses and individuals’ activities with bitcoin are directly proportional to its price trends and different nations have different ways through which they analyze this. Take Nigeria, for instance, where the e-commerce platform Patricia and several local sellers on Jumia have had to change their prices multiple times a day to keep in line with the fluctuating value of bitcoin. This has led to the platform’s volatility driving the pricing strategy of freelancers and remote workers who are paid in bitcoin and the currency has to be converted before being spent. As investor sentiment increases, so too does Bitcoin’s value, reaching 71,333 dollars in April of 2024, according to estimates from CoinMarketCap. The volatility, however, remains high and so there is a lot of uncertainty for African investors and businesses hoping to capitalize on the price movement.
Amongst the factors that impact the price movement of bitcoin, these are the most significant:
⚪ Global Adoption and Institutional Investments: An increase in spending by corporations leads to a higher demand and price for bitcoin.
⚪ Regulatory Changes : The law about cryptocurrency in different African countries is a vital influencer of regard and value for bitcoin.
⚪ Market Speculation and Trading Activity: The volatility of Bitcoin's price remains dependent on investor sentiment, especially in the emerging markets.
African Governments and Cryptocurrency Regulation
The policies for regulating Bitcoin are different in various countries in Africa. While countries like South Africa and Kenya are skeptical but working towards adjusting their policies to incorporate cryptocurrency into their economies, other nations remain hesitant. The following is a summary of the most important changes:
⚪ South Africa: The Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) offered more structured regulations by classifying crypto assets as financial products. This is a notable development towards more stringent regulations.
⚪ Nigeria: The Central Bank of Nigeria has previously restricted banks from supporting the facilitation of crypto transactions but is in the process of allowing it due to newly offered licenses to cryptocurrency exchanges, which under certain guidelines allow them to conduct regulated crypto activities.
⚪ Kenya: The Capital Markets Authority is seeking ways to regulate the security features of Bitcoin to enable it to reduce fraud. Bitcoin’s Impact on E-commerce and Small Businesses in Africa
With the rise of cryptocurrency acceptance, small-scale businesses and e-commerce businesses are increasing the option of paying for goods and services in Bitcoin. Businesses can reduce costs by:
⚪ Decreased Transaction Fees: Payments made using Bitcoin are usually cheaper than those made through credit cards. For example, some merchants in Ghana are beginning to use Bitcoin to bypass high fee payment processing, increase their profit margins and improve overall business profitability.
⚪ Reduced Transaction Delays: Banking transactions processed through the blockchain do away with delays associated with traditional banking.
⚪ Access to Global Markets: Businesses in Africa have no issues engaging with foreign clients because there is no currency conversion needed.
For instance, Yellow Card is a cryptocurrency exchange that operates in several countries in Africa and allows the trading of Bitcoins. In 2024, Yellow Card received more compliance approvals, which allowed the business to serve more than 20 countries in Africa. It now stands as a central player in the regional ecosystem of crypto. The platform allows businesses or individuals to transact efficiently with Bitcoin.
Challenges and Risks of Bitcoin Adoption in Africa
Unlike the advantages, there are several challenges regarding the adoption of Bitcoin in Africa:
⚪ Regulatory Uncertainty: The considerable flux of policies is difficult for businesses and investors to navigate, although some countries are beginning to put clearer policies into place, such as South Africa and Nigeria. As an example, Nigeria has plans to regulate the exchange of digital assets and put some control over it through the issuing of licenses for crypto exchanges, which are expected to be released in 2024.
⚪ Price Volatility: Changes in the price of Bitcoin can affect savings and transactions for businesses.
⚪ Limited Infrastructure: Internet and computer skills are primary requirements for greater acceptance.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is increasingly becoming a key component of Africa’s financial ecosystem by providing banking services or alternatives, facilitating financial remittances and supporting inclusion. Experts expect that Africa will increasingly adopt Bitcoin as a major tool of payment and remittance service across borders and for digital financial transactions. This will be the case if the regulations supporting its growth are put in place. While price volatility and regulatory challenges persist, knowing how prices behave and the developments within the Bitcoin ecosystem will help investors and businesses understand the new economy Africa is adopting. Africa indeed has the chance to use strategic adoption of technology to improve economic development and innovation through Bitcoin if action is taken.
2025Content from a Premium Partner InfoWire https://allafrica.com/stories/202503240689.html
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@ fbf0e434:e1be6a39
2025-05-10 07:41:42Hackathon 概要
Stellar Build Better Hackathon 已圆满落幕,共有 220 名注册开发者参与,84 个项目获得批准。本次活动旨在通过 Stellar 的智能合约推动实际应用,强调社区合作与技术进步。参赛者在三个类别中展开角逐,总奖金为 25000 美元的 USDC,类别包括:Better Finance、Better Creativity 和 Better Access。
开发者探索了 DeFi 可及性工具、跨境支付解决方案、创作者经济平台和身份解决方案等领域。Hackathon 为与全球开发者交流及知名加密公司曝光提供了契机。此外,还设有技术研讨会和现场 demo 环节,为参赛者提供支持。
在成果方面,一等奖 12,000 USDC 授予了提升金融可及性的项目。二、三等奖分别获得 8,000 和 5,000 USDC 的奖励,以表彰其在创意工具和可访问性解决方案方面的创新。通过这些奖励,此次活动凸显了 Stellar 在促进实用创新及扩展其生态系统中智能合约应用方面的作用。
Hackathon 获奖者
第一名
- PayZoll_Stellar - PayZoll 在 Stellar 生态系统中集成了AI和区块链,提供安全、自动化和透明的全球薪资服务,提升了薪资管理的效率和可靠性。
第二名
- StellarFinance - 该平台在Stellar区块链上促进用户与财务顾问之间的连接,提供专注于诚信和用户参与的安全透明的金融服务。
第三名
- Soroban to MCP Server in seconds + Policy Signers Playground - 此解决方案将Stellar Soroban智能合约转换为MCP服务器,实现自然语言交互,支持AI代理执行并增强智能合约功能。
前往 DoraHacks 查看参与hackathon的所有项目。
关于主办方
Stellar Development Foundation
Stellar Development Foundation 力求促进 Stellar 网络的增长和发展,这是一种旨在促进高效跨境交易的区块链平台。基金会专注于去中心化金融(DeFi),实施推进全球金融包容性的项目。通过与广泛的网络合作,该组织推广可扩展的区块链解决方案,确保金融服务的可及性和可靠性。其使命是通过创新的开源技术,为全球经济提供公平的通道。
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@ 472f440f:5669301e
2025-05-12 23:29:19Marty's Bent
Last week we covered the bombshell developments in the Samourai Wallet case. For those who didn't read that, last Monday the world was made aware of the fact that the SDNY was explicitly told by FinCEN that the federal regulator did not believe that Samourai Wallet was a money services business six months before arresting the co-founders of Samourai Wallet for conspiracy to launder money and illegally operating a money services business. This was an obvious overstep by the SDNY that many believed would be quickly alleviated, especially considering the fact that the Trump administration via the Department of Justice has made it clear that they do not intend to rule via prosecution.
It seems that this is not the case as the SDNY responded to a letter sent from the defense to dismiss the case by stating that they fully plan to move forward. Stating that they only sought the recommendations of FinCEN employees and did not believe that those employees' comments were indicative of FinCEN's overall views on this particular case. It's a pretty egregious abuse of power by the SDNY. I'm not sure if the particular lawyers and judges within the Southern District of New York are very passionate about preventing the use of self-custody bitcoin and products that enable bitcoiners to transact privately, or if they're simply participating in a broader meta war with the Trump administration - who has made it clear to federal judges across the country that last Fall's election will have consequences, mainly that the Executive Branch will try to effectuate the policies that President Trump campaigned on by any legal means necessary - and Samouari Wallet is simply in the middle of that meta war.
However, one thing is pretty clear to me, this is an egregious overstep of power. The interpretation of that law, as has been laid out and confirmed by FinCEN over the last decade, is pretty clear; you cannot be a money services business if you do not control the funds that people are sending to each other, which is definitely the case with Samourai Wallet. People downloaded Samourai Wallet, spun up their own private-public key pairs and initiated transactions themselves. Samourai never custodied funds or initiated transactions on behalf of their users. This is very cut and dry. Straight to the point. It should be something that anyone with more than two brain cells is able to discern pretty quickly.
It is imperative that anybody in the industry who cares about being able to hold bitcoin in self-custody, to mine bitcoin, and to send bitcoin in a peer-to-peer fashion makes some noise around this case. None of the current administration's attempts to foster innovation around bitcoin in the United States will matter if the wrong precedent is set in this case. If the SDNY is successful in prosecuting Samourai Wallet, it will mean that anybody holding Bitcoin in self-custody, running a bitcoin fold node or mining bitcoin will have to KYC all of their users and counterparts lest they be labeled a money services business that is breaking laws stemming from the Bank Secrecy Act. This will effectively make building a self-custody bitcoin wallet, running a node, or mining bitcoin in tillegal in the United States. The ability to comply with the rules that would be unleashed if this Samourai case goes the wrong way, are such that it will effectively destroy the industry overnight.
It is yet to be seen whether or not the Department of Justice will step in to publicly flog the SDNY and force them to stop pursuing this case. This is the only likely way that the case will go away at this point, so it is very important that bitcoiners who care about being able to self-custody bitcoin, mine bitcoin, or send bitcoin in a peer-to-peer fashion in the United States make it clear to the current administration and any local politicians that this is an issue that you care deeply about. If we are too complacent, there is a chance that the SDNY could completely annihilate the bitcoin industry in America despite of all of the positive momentum we're seeing from all angles at the moment.
Make some noise!
Bitcoin Adoption by Power Companies: The Next Frontier
In my recent conversation with Andrew Myers from Satoshi Energy, he shared their ambitious mission to "enable every electric power company to use bitcoin by block 1,050,000" – roughly three years from now. This strategic imperative isn't just about creating new Bitcoin users; it's about sovereignty. Andrew emphasized that getting Bitcoin into the hands of energy companies who value self-sovereignty creates a more balanced future economic landscape. The excitement was palpable as he described how several energy companies are already moving beyond simply selling power to Bitcoin miners and are beginning to invest in mining operations themselves.
"You have global commodity companies being like, 'Oh, this is another commodity – we want to invest in this, we want to own this,'" - Andrew Myers
Perhaps most fascinating was Andrew's revelation about major energy companies in Texas developing Bitcoin collateral products for power contracts – a practical application that could revolutionize how energy transactions are settled. As energy companies continue embracing Bitcoin for both operations and collateral, we're witnessing the early stages of a profound shift in how critical infrastructure interfaces with sound money. The implications for both sectors could be transformative.
Check out the full podcast here for more on remote viewing, Nikola Tesla's predictions, and the convergence of Bitcoin and AI technology. We cover everything from humanoid robots to the energy demands of next-generation computing.
Headlines of the Day
Steak n Shake to Accept Bitcoin at All Locations May 16 - via X
Facebook Plans Crypto Wallets for 3B Users, Bitcoin Impact Looms - via X
Trump Urges Americans to Buy Stocks for Economic Boom - via X
UK Drops Tariffs, U.S. Farmers Set to Reap Major Benefits - via X
Looking for the perfect video to push the smartest person you know from zero to one on bitcoin? Bitcoin, Not Crypto is a three-part master class from Parker Lewis and Dhruv Bansal that cuts through the noise—covering why 21 million was the key technical simplification that made bitcoin possible, why blockchains don’t create decentralization, and why everything else will be built on bitcoin.
Ten31, the largest bitcoin-focused investor, has deployed 145,630 sats | $150.00M across 30+ companies through three funds. I am a Managing Partner at Ten31 and am very proud of the work we are doing. Learn more at ten31.vc/invest.
Final thought...
Happy belated Mother's Day to all the moms out there.
Get this newsletter sent to your inbox daily: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/
Subscribe to our YouTube channels and follow us on Nostr and X:
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@ 84da1875:0088fe3c
2025-05-10 04:54:36O mundo do entretenimento digital está em constante evolução, e o 90PMBET surge como uma das plataformas mais promissoras para quem busca diversão, praticidade e uma experiência envolvente. Com uma interface moderna, ampla variedade de jogos e suporte eficiente, o 90PMBET conquista cada vez mais jogadores brasileiros que desejam explorar novas formas de lazer online com total segurança e acessibilidade.
Conheça a Plataforma 90PMBET A proposta do 90PMBET é simples e objetiva: oferecer um ambiente online completo, onde o usuário pode aproveitar diferentes modalidades de jogos com total comodidade. A plataforma é totalmente otimizada para dispositivos móveis e computadores, garantindo uma navegação fluida e intuitiva em qualquer tela. Desde o primeiro acesso, é possível perceber o cuidado com a experiência do usuário — os menus são bem organizados, as categorias são de fácil acesso e todas as funções principais estão a poucos cliques de distância.
Outro ponto que merece destaque é a segurança. O 90pmbetadota tecnologias avançadas de proteção de dados, como criptografia SSL e autenticação de conta, garantindo que os dados dos usuários estejam protegidos o tempo todo. Além disso, os métodos de pagamento são diversificados e incluem as opções mais populares entre os brasileiros, como PIX, transferência bancária e carteiras digitais.
Variedade de Jogos para Todos os Gostos Um dos maiores atrativos do 90PMBET é a impressionante seleção de jogos disponíveis. A plataforma reúne títulos desenvolvidos pelos principais estúdios do mercado, o que garante qualidade gráfica, boa jogabilidade e mecânicas justas.
Entre os jogos mais populares, destacam-se:
Slots modernos com temáticas variadas, efeitos visuais marcantes e rodadas bônus;
Jogos ao vivo que permitem uma experiência imersiva e interativa com apresentadores reais;
Jogos de mesa tradicionais, como roleta, blackjack e pôquer, em versões otimizadas para o ambiente digital;
Apostas esportivas, com cobertura de eventos nacionais e internacionais em diferentes modalidades, incluindo futebol, basquete e eSports.
Independentemente do estilo de jogo preferido, o 90PMBET oferece opções para todos os perfis de jogadores — desde os mais estratégicos até os que preferem partidas rápidas e dinâmicas.
Uma Experiência do Jogador Realmente Diferenciada A experiência do jogador no 90PMBET é marcada por praticidade, suporte de qualidade e constantes oportunidades de bônus e promoções. A equipe de atendimento está disponível 24 horas por dia, 7 dias por semana, por meio de chat ao vivo e e-mail, sempre pronta para solucionar dúvidas e oferecer suporte técnico.
Outro diferencial é o sistema de recompensas e promoções diárias, que valoriza tanto os novos jogadores quanto os usuários mais antigos. Bônus de boas-vindas, giros gratuitos, cashback e torneios semanais são apenas alguns exemplos das vantagens oferecidas pela plataforma.
Além disso, o 90PMBET promove um ambiente responsável, com ferramentas de controle de tempo de jogo e limites de depósito, ajudando os usuários a manterem uma relação saudável com o entretenimento online.
Conclusão O 90PMBET é mais do que apenas uma plataforma de jogos — é um verdadeiro centro de entretenimento digital pensado para o público brasileiro. Com sua estrutura moderna, ampla variedade de opções, promoções atrativas e foco total na experiência do usuário, o 90PMBET se firma como uma das melhores escolhas para quem busca diversão e emoção no mundo virtual.
Se você ainda não conhece, essa é a hora perfeita para explorar o universo de possibilidades que o 90PMBET tem a oferecer. A diversão está a apenas um clique de distância!
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@ 84da1875:0088fe3c
2025-05-10 04:53:59No cenário atual do entretenimento digital, a plataforma CC999 vem se destacando como uma das mais inovadoras e completas opções para quem busca emoção, segurança e variedade em um só lugar. Com uma proposta moderna e acessível, o site oferece uma experiência diferenciada, reunindo jogos envolventes, atendimento de qualidade e uma navegação simples e rápida, ideal tanto para iniciantes quanto para jogadores mais experientes.
Conheça a Plataforma CC999 Desde o primeiro acesso, é fácil perceber que a CC999 foi desenvolvida com foco no usuário. Seu layout é intuitivo, com menus organizados e compatibilidade total com dispositivos móveis, permitindo que você aproveite tudo o que a plataforma oferece diretamente do seu celular, tablet ou computador.
Além disso, o processo de cadastro é rápido e descomplicado. Em poucos minutos, você já pode criar sua conta e começar a explorar os recursos disponíveis. Outro diferencial é o compromisso com a segurança dos dados, utilizando criptografia de ponta e sistemas confiáveis de autenticação para garantir a tranquilidade de todos os usuários.
Jogos para Todos os Gostos A variedade de jogos disponíveis no CC999 é um dos grandes atrativos da plataforma. Ela conta com uma seleção que vai desde jogos clássicos e tradicionais até opções modernas com gráficos impressionantes e mecânicas envolventes. Alguns dos destaques incluem:
Roleta Virtual: Ideal para quem gosta de adrenalina e sorte, com várias versões disponíveis.
Slots Online: Máquinas de giro com temas variados, efeitos visuais marcantes e grandes chances de ganho.
Cartas e Estratégia: Jogos como pôquer e blackjack oferecem experiências desafiadoras para quem curte usar o raciocínio lógico.
Títulos Ao Vivo: Com interação em tempo real, esses jogos garantem uma imersão total e realista, aproximando o jogador da atmosfera presencial.
A CC999 trabalha com provedores renomados, garantindo qualidade, fluidez e jogabilidade de alto nível em todos os títulos. Isso significa que, além da diversão, o jogador tem acesso a conteúdos justos e auditados.
Experiência do Jogador: Conectividade e Recompensas A experiência dos usuários na plataforma é constantemente aprimorada com base em feedbacks e atualizações tecnológicas. O atendimento ao cliente está disponível 24 horas por dia, todos os dias da semana, pronto para resolver qualquer dúvida ou problema com agilidade e cordialidade.
Outro ponto que merece destaque são as promoções e bônus oferecidos pela CC999. Desde o primeiro depósito até campanhas sazonais, os jogadores têm acesso a recompensas atrativas, o que torna a jornada ainda mais interessante. O sistema de fidelidade também premia a constância dos usuários, oferecendo vantagens exclusivas para membros frequentes.
Conclusão A CC999 chega como uma excelente alternativa para quem busca entretenimento online de qualidade. Com uma interface moderna, jogos variados, suporte eficiente e promoções constantes, a plataforma conquista pela seriedade e compromisso com a diversão do usuário. Seja você um veterano ou alguém começando agora nesse universo, o CC999 tem tudo o que você precisa para se divertir com segurança e emoção.
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@ d360efec:14907b5f
2025-05-10 03:57:17Disclaimer: * การวิเคราะห์นี้เป็นเพียงแนวทาง ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการซื้อขาย * การลงทุนมีความเสี่ยง ผู้ลงทุนควรตัดสินใจด้วยตนเอง
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@ 4cebd4f5:0ac3ed15
2025-05-10 01:24:16TỔNG QUAN HACKATHON
Stellar Build Better Hackathon kết thúc thành công với 220 developervà84 dự ánđược phê duyệt. Sự kiện tập trung ứng dụngsmart contractscủa Stellar vào giải pháp thực tế, thúc đẩy hợp tác cộng đồng và tiến bộ công nghệ. Tổng giải thưởng 25.000 USD (USDC) được phân bổ cho 3 hạng mục: Better Finance (Tài chính tốt hơn), Better Creativity (Sáng tạo tốt hơn) và Better Access (Tiếp cận tốt hơn).
Các developer khám phá nhiều lĩnh vực như công cụ tiếp cận DeFi, giải pháp thanh toán xuyên biên giới, nền tảng cho creator economy, và hệ thống định danh số. Hackathon còn mang đến cơ hội kết nối với developer toàn cầu và các công ty crypto hàng đầu, cùng workshop kỹ thuật và demo trực tiếp.
Thành tựu nổi bật:
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Giải Nhất (12.000 USDC): Dự án cải thiện tiếp cận tài chính.
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Giải Nhì (8.000 USDC): Đổi mới công cụ sáng tạo.
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Giải Ba (5.000 USDC): Giải pháp tiếp cận đột phá.
Sự kiện khẳng định vai trò của Stellar trong thúc đẩy ứng dụng smart contracts mở rộng hệ sinh thái.
CÁC DỰ ÁN ĐOẠT GIẢI
Build Better Prizes
Giải Nhất
PayZoll_Stellar: Tích hợp AI và blockchain trong hệ sinh thái Stellar, cung cấp dịch vụ payroll toàn cầu tự động, minh bạch và bảo mật – nâng cao hiệu quả quản lý lương.Giải Nhì
StellarFinance: Kết nối người dùng với cố vấn tài chính trên blockchain Stellar, đảm bảo dịch vụ tài chính minh bạch, tập trung vào tính toàn vẹn và trải nghiệm người dùng.Giải Ba
Soroban to MCP Server in seconds + Policy Signers Playground: Chuyển đổi smart contracts Soroban (Stellar) thành máy chủ MCP cho tương tác ngôn ngữ tự nhiên, kích hoạt AI agents nâng cao chức năng hợp đồng thông minh.Xem toàn bộ dự án tại DoraHacks.
THÔNG TIN ĐƠN VỊ TỔ CHỨC
Stellar Development Foundation
Tổ chức thúc đẩy phát triển mạng lưới Stellar – nền tảng blockchain tối ưu giao dịch xuyên biên giới. Với trọng tâm DeFi, Stellar triển khai dự án mở rộng tài chính toàn diện toàn cầu. Thông qua mạng lưới đối tác rộng lớn, tổ chức xây dựng giải pháp blockchain mở rộng, đảm bảo khả năng tiếp cận và độ tin cậy cho dịch vụ tài chính. Sứ mệnh của Stellar là kiến tạo cơ hội công bằng trong nền kinh tế toàn cầu qua công nghệ open-source đột phá.
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@ 58d88196:bec81862
2025-05-09 19:22:48AI revolution is inevitable.
How to Win Using AI:
AI tools can enhance productivity, creativity, and efficiency. Those who adopt and master AI technologies can outperform others in their field, effectively "winning" by staying ahead. For example: In creative fields: AI can assist with generating ideas, editing, or automating repetitive tasks, allowing professionals to focus on high-value work.
In technical roles: AI can analyze data, optimize processes, or write code faster, giving users an edge.
In business: AI can provide insights through data analysis, improve customer service with chatbots, or streamline operations.
How to Win Using AI: Learn AI Tools: Familiarize yourself with AI platforms relevant to your industry (e.g., ChatGPT for writing, MidJourney for design, or TensorFlow for data science).
Automate Routine Tasks: Use AI to handle repetitive work, freeing up time for strategic thinking.
Enhance Skills: Combine AI with your expertise to produce better results faster—e.g., using AI to draft a report, then refining it with your unique insights.
Stay Competitive: Continuously adapt to new AI advancements to maintain an edge over those who don’t use AI.
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@ a3c6f928:d45494fb
2025-05-09 17:21:32Freedom—a word that resonates deeply within the hearts of many. It is a concept that transcends cultures, boundaries, and time itself. From the pages of history to the hopes of future generations, the quest for freedom has always been at the core of human existence.
What Is Freedom?
At its simplest, freedom is the power or right to act, speak, or think as one wants without hindrance or restraint. But in reality, it is far more nuanced. Freedom is not just about the absence of oppression; it is about the presence of opportunity—the chance to pursue one's dreams, express thoughts without fear, and live in harmony with one’s beliefs.
The Many Faces of Freedom
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Political Freedom: The right to participate in governance, to vote, and to have a voice in decision-making.
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Economic Freedom: The ability to work, own property, and engage in business without unreasonable restrictions.
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Social Freedom: The acceptance of diversity and the ability to live without discrimination.
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Personal Freedom: The right to privacy, personal choices, and the liberty to define one's own path.
Why Freedom Matters
Freedom matters because it is the foundation of innovation and progress. Societies that encourage freedom allow their people to think differently, to challenge the status quo, and to bring about change. Without freedom, creativity is stifled, voices are silenced, and growth becomes stagnant.
Protecting and Valuing Freedom
Freedom is fragile. It must be protected with vigilance and cherished with gratitude. History is filled with examples where freedom was hard-won and even harder to maintain. Today, as we navigate an interconnected world, the call to safeguard freedom is as loud as ever.
A Call to Action
Cherish your freedoms, no matter how small they may seem. Speak up for those who cannot. Stand firm against injustice. Remember, freedom is not just a privilege; it is a responsibility.
“Freedom is never voluntarily given by the oppressor; it must be demanded by the oppressed.” — Martin Luther King Jr.
Embrace it. Protect it. Share it.
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@ 6fbc5b6b:0251e3df
2025-05-09 15:46:24Since its TGE, AGT has moved beyond its early role as a governance token within AIVille’s farming economy. It’s now evolving into a foundational asset that connects humans and AI agents, in-game interactions and real-world use cases. This isn’t just the next phase of a game—it’s the beginning of a new era where intelligent agents and humans co-create a living digital society. Here’s how AGT is becoming the fuel behind that future.
- AI Characters as Personalized Companions The first example of this transformation is Selena, AIVille’s Telegram-native AI companion. You can chat with her now for free at @Tavern_Owner_Selena_Bot. Selena is powered by her own independent memory system, enabling personalized, emotionally responsive conversations that evolve over time. Beyond private chats, Selena also participates in public community groups—responding to questions, engaging with users, and providing companionship in group settings. She’s more than a chatbot—she’s a social presence in the AIVille ecosystem. While currently free to use, certain advanced features and extended interactions will soon require AGT, making Selena a live demonstration of AGT’s role in unlocking real AI experiences.
More characters are on the way: Owen, your AI tutor for learning AI tools, coding basics, or advanced Web3 mechanics. Lulu, your personalized news curator—think of her as your intelligent Substack. Mayor Logan, offering town updates, strategic insights, and even mock governance simulations. Arjay, the town’s resident DJ, creating mood-based playlists you can reserve with AGT. Lucas, a merchant bot offering market tips, negotiation roleplay, and trend forecasting.
Each character is built with private memory and a distinct personality. Interacting with them isn't just fun—it creates lasting, evolving relationships. AGT unlocks deeper access.
- AI Bots for Projects: The AIVille Co-Creation Program We’re launching the AI Co-Creation Program, designed for Web3 projects to easily spin up custom AI bots with memory and personality. These bots can support communities, onboard users, answer questions, or drive engagement—and they’re powered by AGT.
The setup is quick, the AGT required is minimal, and most importantly, participating projects become part of the AIVille ecosystem. AGT serves as the bridge—not just a fee, but a commitment to shared growth. We’re actively testing with partners now. If you’re building in Web3 and want to add a smart, persistent AI layer to your project, reach out. We’re also recruiting global ambassadors: connect a project and help them onboard, and you’ll earn AGT rewards. All AGT from these partnerships is injected into the AIVille DAO, where it will be allocated transparently for buybacks, ecosystem incentives, and long-term development.
- Governance, Reimagined: A Society of Humans and Agents AIVille is introducing a two-layer governance model—one for human players, and one for AI agents. Together, they’ll shape the rules of the world. Human Governance AGT holders will be able to: Propose and vote on decisions like tax rates, new zones, and fee structures Stake AGT to unlock governance perks and exclusive features Fund public goods with DAO-managed AGT reserves Participate in a transparent system where influence is earned, not assumed
AI Economic Alliance In parallel, key AI agents—like Logan, Lucas, and Arjay—will be able to propose changes, backed by AGT. Each proposal requires AGT to be burned as a bond
Passed proposals return a portion; failed ones are fully burned
Humans can vote to support or reject AI proposals, creating real-time, inter-agent governance dynamics
This is more than a voting system—it’s an experiment in social architecture between multiple intelligent actors. And AGT is the trust layer between them.
- What AGT Really Represents AGT isn’t just a token. It’s shared infrastructure. It’s programmable social capital. It’s the backbone of a digital civilization co-created by its users.
It’s how you teach an AI. How you shape the economy. How you reserve access, express values, and coordinate effort. This asset isn’t owned by a company or foundation—it’s governed, used, and grown by the people and agents who rely on it. Our roadmap includes expanding AI services, adding more governance mechanisms, and welcoming more ecosystems into the fold. Every new use case makes AGT more valuable, more usable, and more alive.
- To Our Community: Thank You AGT wouldn’t be here without the people behind it: The AMA hosts introducing AIVille to new audiences The meme creators, sticker designers, and shirt printers The Discord mods, Telegram helpers, and wiki writers
You made this real before the tech did. You gave it soul before it had memory. This isn’t our experiment. It’s yours. Let’s keep building—together.
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@ 21335073:a244b1ad
2025-05-09 13:56:57Someone asked for my thoughts, so I’ll share them thoughtfully. I’m not here to dictate how to promote Nostr—I’m still learning about it myself. While I’m not new to Nostr, freedom tech is a newer space for me. I’m skilled at advocating for topics I deeply understand, but freedom tech isn’t my expertise, so take my words with a grain of salt. Nothing I say is set in stone.
Those who need Nostr the most are the ones most vulnerable to censorship on other platforms right now. Reaching them requires real-time awareness of global issues and the dynamic relationships between governments and tech providers, which can shift suddenly. Effective Nostr promoters must grasp this and adapt quickly.
The best messengers are people from or closely tied to these at-risk regions—those who truly understand the local political and cultural dynamics. They can connect with those in need when tensions rise. Ideal promoters are rational, trustworthy, passionate about Nostr, but above all, dedicated to amplifying people’s voices when it matters most.
Forget influencers, corporate-backed figures, or traditional online PR—it comes off as inauthentic, corny, desperate and forced. Nostr’s promotion should be grassroots and organic, driven by a few passionate individuals who believe in Nostr and the communities they serve.
The idea that “people won’t join Nostr due to lack of reach” is nonsense. Everyone knows X’s “reach” is mostly with bots. If humans want real conversations, Nostr is the place. X is great for propaganda, but Nostr is for the authentic voices of the people.
Those spreading Nostr must be so passionate they’re willing to onboard others, which is time-consuming but rewarding for the right person. They’ll need to make Nostr and onboarding a core part of who they are. I see no issue with that level of dedication. I’ve been known to get that way myself at times. It’s fun for some folks.
With love, I suggest not adding Bitcoin promotion with Nostr outreach. Zaps already integrate that element naturally. (Still promote within the Bitcoin ecosystem, but this is about reaching vulnerable voices who needed Nostr yesterday.)
To promote Nostr, forget conventional strategies. “Influencers” aren’t the answer. “Influencers” are not the future. A trusted local community member has real influence—reach them. Connect with people seeking Nostr’s benefits but lacking the technical language to express it. This means some in the Nostr community might need to step outside of the Bitcoin bubble, which is uncomfortable but necessary. Thank you in advance to those who are willing to do that.
I don’t know who is paid to promote Nostr, if anyone. This piece isn’t shade. But it’s exhausting to see innocent voices globally silenced on corporate platforms like X while Nostr exists. Last night, I wondered: how many more voices must be censored before the Nostr community gets uncomfortable and thinks creatively to reach the vulnerable?
A warning: the global need for censorship-resistant social media is undeniable. If Nostr doesn’t make itself known, something else will fill that void. Let’s start this conversation.
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@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b
2025-05-12 21:45:41Originalni tekst na bitcoin-balkan.com.
Pregled sadržaja
- Definisanje novca
- Šta je sredstvo razmene?
- Šta je obračunska jedinica?
- Šta je zaliha vrednosti?
- Zašto su važne funkcije novca?
- Novac Gubi Funkciju: Alhemičar iz Njutonije
- Eksploatacija pomoću Novca: Agri Perle
- Novac Gubi Funkciju 2. Deo: Kejnslandski Bankar
- Da li nas novac danas eksploatiše?
- Šta je novac, i zašto trebate da brinete?
- Efikasnija Ušteda Novca
- Zasluge
- Molim vas da šerujete!
Google izveštava o stalnom povećanju interesa u svetu za pitanje „Šta je novac?“ koji se postavlja iz godine u godinu, od 2004. do 2021., a sa naglim porastom nakon finansijske krize 2008. godine.
I izgleda se da niko nema dobar odgovor za to.
Godišnji proseci mesečnih interesa za pretragu. 100 predstavlja najveći interes za pretragu tokom čitavog perioda, koji se dogodio u decembru 2019. Podaci sa Google Trends-a.
Međutim, odgovaranje na ovo naizgled jednostavno pitanje pomoći će vam da razjasnite ulogu novca u vašem životu. Jednom kada shvatite kako novac funkcioniše, tačno ćete videti i zašto svet danas ludi – i šta učiniti povodom toga. Zato hajde da se udubimo u to.
Na pitanje šta je novac, većina ljudi otvori svoje novčanike i pokaže nekoliko novčanica – “evo, ovo je novac!”
Ali po čemu se ove novčanice razlikuju od stranica vaše omiljene knjige? Pa, naravno, zavod za izradu novčanica te zemlje je odštampao te novčanice iz vašeg novčanika kako bi se oduprla falsifikovanju, i svi ih koriste da bi kupili odredjene stvari.
Međutim, Nemačka Marka imala je sva ova svojstva u prošlosti – ali preduzeća danas ne prihvataju te novčanice. Zapravo, građani Nemačke su početkom dvadesetih godina prošlog veka spaljivali papirne Marke kako bi grejali svoje domove. Marka je imala veću vrednost kao papir za potpalu nego kao novac!
1923. nemačka valuta poznata kao Marka bila je jeftinija od uglja i drveta!
Pa šta to čini novac, novcem?
Ispostavilo se da ovo nije pitanje na koje je lako dati odgovor.
Definisanje novca
Novac nije fizička stvar poput novčanice dolara. Novac je društveni sistem koji koristimo da bismo olakšali trgovinu robom i uslugama. Međutim, tokom istorije fizička monetarna dobra igrala su ključnu ulogu u društvenom sistemu novca, često kao znakovi koji predstavljaju vrednost u monetarnom sistemu. Ovaj sistem ima tri funkcije: 1) Sredstvo Razmene, 2) Obračunsku Jedinicu i 3) Zalihu Vrednosti.
Odakle dolaze ove funkcije, i zašto su one vredne?
Šta je sredstvo razmene?
Sredstvo razmene je neko dobro koje se obično razmenjuje za drugo dobro. Najčešće objašnjenje za to kako su se pojavila sredstva razmene glasi otprilike ovako: Boris ima ječam i želeo bi da kupi ovcu od Marka. Marko ima ovce, ali želi samo piliće. Ana ima piliće, ali ona ne želi ječam ili ovce.
To se naziva problem sticaja potreba: dve strane moraju da žele ono što druga ima da bi mogle da trguju. Ako se želje dve osobe ne podudaraju, oni moraju da pronađu druge ljude sa kojima će trgovati dok svi ne pronađu dobro koje žele.
Ljudi koji trguju robom i uslugama moraju da imaju potrebe koje se podudaraju.
Vremenom, veoma je verovatno da će se određena vrsta robe, poput pšenice, pojaviti kao sredstvo razmene jer su je mnogi ljudi želeli. Uzimajući pšenicu kao primer: pšenica je rešila “sticaje potreba” u mnogim zanatima, jer čak i ako onaj koji prima pšenicu a nije želeo da je koristi za sebe, znao je da će je neko drugi želeti.
Ovo nazivamo prodajnost imovine.
Pšenica je dobar primer dobra za prodaju jer svi moraju da jedu, a od pšenice se pravi hleb. Pšenica ima vrednost kao sastojak hleba i kao dobro koje olakšava trgovinu rešavanjem problema „sticaja potreba“.
Razmislite o svojoj želji da dobijete više novčanica u eurima ili drugoj valuti. Ne možete da jedete novčanice da biste preživeli, a i ne bi vam bile od velike koristi ako poželite da ih koristite kao građevinski materijal za vašu kuću. Međutim, znate da sa tim novčanicama možete da kupite hranu i kuću.
Stvarne fizičke novčanice su beskorisne za vas. Novčanice su vam dragocene samo zato što će ih drugi prihvatiti za stvari koje su vama korisne.
Tokom dugog perioda istorije, novac je evoluirao do te mere da monetarno dobro može imati vrednost, a da to dobro ne služi za bilo koju drugu ‘suštinsku’ upotrebu, poput hrane ili energije. Umesto toga, njegova upotreba je zaliha vrednosti i jednostavna zamena za drugu robu u bilo kom trenutku koji poželite.
Šta jedno dobro čini poželjnijim i prodajnijim od drugog dobra?
Deljivost
Definicija: Sposobnost podele dobra na manje količine.
Loš Primer: Dijamante je teško podeliti na manje komade. Za zajednicu od hiljada ljudi koji dnevno izvrše milione transakcija, dijamanti čine loše sredstvo razmene. Previše su retki i nedeljivi da bi se koristili za mnoge transakcije.
Potrebno je puno obuke da bi izrezali dijamant.
Ujednačenost
Definicija: Sličnost pojedinačnih jedinica odredjenog dobra.
Loš Primer: Krave nisu ujednačene – neke su veće, neke manje, neke bolesne, neke zdrave. Sa druge strane, unca čistog zlata je jednolična – jedna unca je potpuno ista kao sledeća. Ovo svojstvo se takođe često naziva zamenljivost.
Svaka je jedinstvena na svoj način.
Prenosivost
Definicija: Lakoća transporta dobra.
Loš Primer: Krava nije baš prenosiva. Zlatnici su prilično prenosivi. Papirne novčanice su još prenošljivije. Knjiga u kojoj se jednostavno beleži vlasništvo nad tim vrednostima (poput Rai kamenog sistema ili digitalnog bankovnog računa) je neverovatno prenosiva, jer nema fizičkog dobra koje treba nositi sa sobom za kupovinu. Postoji samo sistem za evidentiranje vlasništva nad tim vrednostima u nematerijalnom obliku.
Novac star 5000 godina VS novac star 13 godina
Kako dobro postaje sredstvo razmene?
Dobra postaju, i ostaju sredstva razmene zbog svoje univerzalne potražnje, takođe poznate kao njihova prodajnost, čemu pomažu svojstva koja su gore nabrojana.
Mnogo različitih dobara mogu u različitoj meri delovati kao sredstva razmene u ekonomiji. Danas, naša globalna ekonomija koristi valute koje izdaju države, zlato, pa čak i robu poput nafte kao sredstvo razmene.
Šta je obračunska jedinica?
Stvari se komplikuju kada u ekonomiji postoji mnogo robe koja se prodaje. Čak i sa samo 5 dobara, postoji 10 “kurseva razmene” između svake robe kojih svi u ekonomiji moraju da se sete: 1 svinja se menja za 15 pilića, 1 pile se menja za 15 litara mleka, desetak jaja se menja za 15 litara mleka, i tako dalje. Ako ekonomija ima 50 dobara, među njima postoji 1.225 “kurseva razmene”!
Sredstvo za merenje vrednosti
Zamislite obračunsku jedinicu kao sredstvo za merenje vrednosti. Umesto da se sećamo vrednosti svakog dobra u poredjenju sa drugim dobrima, mi samo treba da se setimo vrednosti svakog dobra u poredjenju sa jednim dobrom – obračunskom jedinicom.
Umesto da se setimo 1.225 kurseva razmene kada imamo 50 proizvoda na tržištu, mi treba da zapamtimo samo 50 cena.
Na primer, ne treba da se sećamo da litar mleka vredi 1/15 piletine ili desetak jaja, možemo da se samo setimo da litar mleka košta 1USD.
Mnogo opcija, sve u istoj obračunskoj jedinici.
Poređenje dobara je lakše sa obračunskom jedinicom
Obračunska jedinica takođe olakšava upoređivanje vrednosti i donošenje odluka. Zamislite da pokušavate da kupite par Nike Air Jordan patika kada ih jedan prodavac prodaje za jedno pile, a drugi za 50 klipova kukuruza.
Šta je zaliha vrednosti?
Do sada smo gledali samo primere transakcija koje se odvijaju u određenom trenutku u vremenu.
Međutim, ljudi vrše transakcije tokom vremena – oni štede novac i troše ga kasnije. Da bi odredjeno dobro moglo da funkcioniše pravilno kao monetarno dobro, ono treba da održi vrednost tokom vremena.
Novac koji vremenom dobro drži vrednost daje njegovom imaocu više izbora kada će taj novac da potroši.
To znači da prodajnost dobra uključuje njegovu sposobnost da održi vrednost tokom vremena.
Šta jedno dobro čini boljom zalihom vrednosti od drugog dobra?
Trajnost
Definicija: Sposobnost dobra da vremenom zadrži svoj oblik.
Loš Primer: Jagode čine lošu zalihu vrednosti jer se lako oštete i brzo trunu.
Odluka je daleko lakša ako jedan prodavac naplaćuje 150 USD, a drugi 200 USD – odmah je očigledno koja je bolja ponuda jer su vrednosti izražene u istoj jedinici.
Nije sjajna forma novca.
Teške za Proizvodnju
Definicija: Teškoće koje ljudi imaju u proizvodnji veće količine dobra.
Loš Primer: Papirne novčanice predstavljaju lošu zalihu vrednosti jer banke i vlade mogu jeftino da ih naprave.
Sa zlatom je suprotno – u ponudi se nalazi ograničena količina uprkos velikoj potražnji za njim, jednostavno zato što ga je vrlo teško iskopati iz zemlje. Ova ograničena ponuda osigurava da svaka jedinica zlata održi vrednost tokom vremena.
Traženje zlata je spora i teška aktivnost. Obično se ne pronađe puno!
Kako dobra postaju zalihe vrednosti?
Dobro postaje zaliha vrednosti ako se vremenom pokaže trajnim i teškim za proizvodnju.
Samo će vreme pokazati da li je neko dobro zaista trajno i da li ga je teško proizvesti. Zbog toga neki oblici novca su postojali vekovima pre nego što je neko otkrio način da ih proizvede više, i na kraju se to dobro više nije koristilo kao novac.
Ovo je priča o školjkama, Rai kamenju i mnogim drugim oblicima novca tokom istorije.
Zlato je primer dobra koje je hiljadama godina služilo kao dobra zaliha vrednosti. Zlato se ne razgrađuje tokom vremena i još uvek ga je teško proizvesti. Hiljadama godina alhemičari su bezuspešno pokušavali da sintetišu zlato iz jeftinih materijala.
Čak i sa današnjim naprednim rudarskim tehnikama, svake godine svi svetski rudnici zlata zajedno mogu da proizvedu samo 2% od ukupne ponude zlata u prometu.
Teškoće u proizvodnji zlata daju izuzetno visok odnos “zaliha i protoka”: zaliha je broj postojećih jedinica, a protok su nove jedinice stvorene tokom određenog vremenskog perioda. Svake godine se stvori vrlo malo novih jedinica zlata, iako je potražnja za zlatom obično vrlo velika.
Kombinujući ovo sa deljivošću, ujednačenošću i prenosivošću zlata, nije ni čudo što je zlato čovečanstvu služilo kao monetarno dobro tokom poslednjih 5.000 godina. Pošto je zlato teško proizvesti, možemo ga nazvati teškim novcem (hard money).
Kao rezultat toga, svoju vrednost je u velikoj meri zadržao kroz milenijume. Cena većine dobara i usluga u pogledu zlata zapravo se vremenom smanjivala kao rezultat tehnoloških inovacija, koje sve proizvode čine jeftinijim.
Uzmimo na primer cene hrane prema praćenju Kancelarije za hranu i poljoprivredu UN-a: sa obzirom na skokove u poljoprivrednoj tehnologiji tokom poslednjih 60 godina, cene hrane drastično su pale kada se procenjuju u zlatu. To čak i važi uprkos činjenici da obični ljudi retko koriste zlato za kupovinu stvari.
Cene hrane su padale u pogledu zlata tokom proteklih 60 godina, i mnogo pre toga (FAO Indeks Cena Hrane u Zlatu)
Zaliha vrednosti omogućava ljudima da uštede novac kako bi mogli da ga ulažu u pokretanje preduzeća i obrazovanje, povećavajući produktivnost društva.
Monetarna dobra koja dobro čuvaju vrednost takođe podstiču dugoročniji pogled na život, ili kratke vremenske preference. Pojedinac može da radi 10 godina, uštedi odredjeno monetarno dobro koje je dobra zaliha vrednosti, i nema potrebe da se plaši da će njegova ušteđevina biti izbrisana krahom tržišta ili povećanjem ponude tog dobra.
Zašto su važne funkcije novca?
Kada neki oblik novca izgubi bilo koju od svojih važnih funkcija kao što su sredstvo razmene, obračunska jedinica i zaliha vrednosti, celokupna ekonomija i društvo mogu da se rastrgnu.
Tokom istorije često vidimo grupe ljudi koje eksploatišu druge iskorišćavajući nesporazume o novcu i važnosti njegovih funkcija.
Sledeće, proći ću kroz istoriju novca, prvo hipotetički da bih ilustrovao poentu, a zatim ću preći na stvarne istorijske primere. Kroz ove primere videćemo štetne efekte na društva u slučajevima kada se izgubi samo jedna od tih ključnih funkcija novca.
Novac Gubi Funkciju: Alhemičar iz Njutonije
Kroz istoriju, mnoga dobra su dolazila i odlazila kao oblici novca. Na žalost, kada se neki oblik novca ukine, ponekad postoji grupa ljudi koja eksploatiše drugi oblik manipulišući tim novcem.
Hajde da pogledamo hipotetičko selo zvano Njutonija da bismo razumeli kako dolazi do ove eksploatacije.
Zelene perle postaju Novac
Tokom stotina godina ribolova u obližnjoj reci, stanovnici Njutonije sakupljali su zelene perle iz vode. Zrnca su mala, lagana, izdržljiva, jednolična i retko se pojavljuju u reci. Ljudi prvo priželjkuju perle zbog svoje lepote. Na kraju, seljani shvataju da svi drugi žele perle – one se vrlo lako mogu prodati. Zrnca uskoro postaju sredstvo razmene i obračunska jedinica u selu: pile je 5 zrna, vreća jabuka 2 zrna, krava 80 zrna.
Ukupna ponuda perli je prilično konstantna i cene se vremenom ne menjaju mnogo. Seoski starešina je uveren da može da se opustiti u poslednjim danima živeći od svoje velike zalihe perli.
Alhemičar stvara više perli
Seoski alhemičar je poželeo da bude bogat čovek, ali nije voleo da vredno radi na tome. Umesto da traži perle u reci ili da prodaje vrednu robu drugim seljanima, on sedeo je u svojoj laboratoriji. Na kraju je otkrio kako da lako stvori stotine perli sa malo peska i vatre.
Seljani koji su tragali za perlama u reci bili su srećni ako bi svaki dan pronašli po 1 zrno. Alhemičar je mogao da proizvede stotine uz malo napora.
Alhemičar troši svoje perle
Budući da je bio prilično zao, alhemičar nije svoj metod pravljenja zrna delio ni sa kim drugim. Stvorio je sebi još više perli i počeo da ih troši za dobra na tržištu u Njutoniji. Tokom sledećih meseci, alhemičar je kupio farmu pilića, nekoliko krava, finu svilu, posteljine i ogromno imanje. On je imao priliku da kupi ova dobra po normalnim cenama na tržištu.
Alhemičarevo trošenje ostavljalo je seljanima mnogo perli, ali malo njihove vredne robe.
Svi seljani su se osećali bogatima – imali su tone perli! Međutim, polako su primetili da i svi ostali takodje imaju tone.
Cene počinju da rastu
Uzgajivač pilića primetio je da sva roba koju je trebalo da kupi na pijaci poskupela. Džak jabuka sada se prodaje za 100 perli – 50 puta više od njihove cene pre nekoliko meseci!
Iako je sada imao hiljade perli, uskoro bi mogao da ostane bez njih zbog ovih cena. Pitao se – da li zaista može sebi da priušti da prodaje svoje piliće za samo 5 perli po komadu? Morao je i on da podigne svoje cene.
Jednostavno rečeno, kao rezultat alhemičarevog trošenja njegovih novostvorenih perli, bilo je previše perli koje su jurile premalo dobara – pa su cene porasle.
Kupci robe bili su spremni da potroše više perli da bi kupili potrebna dobra. Prodavci robe su trebali da naplate više da bi bili sigurni da su zaradili dovoljno da kupe potrebna dobra za sebe.
Budući da su cene svih dobara porasle, možemo reći da se vrednost svake perle smanjila.
Nejednakost bogatstva raste
Seoski starešina, koji je vredno radio da sačuva hiljade perli, sada se našao osiromašenim i gladnim. U međuvremenu, alhemičar je udobno sedeo na svom velikom imanju sa kravama, pilićima i slugama koji su se brinuli za svaki njegov hir.
Alhemičar je efikasno ukrao bogatstvo celog sela, tako što je jeftino proizvodio perle i koristio ih za kupovinu vredne robe.
Ono što je najvažnije, kupio je robu pre nego što je tržište shvatilo da je više perli u opticaju i da ima manje robe, što je dovelo do rasta cena. Ova dodatna proizvodnja perli nije dodala korisnu robu ili usluge selu. Kroz istoriju, mnoga dobra su dolazila i odlazila kao oblici novca. Na žalost, kada se neki oblik novca ukine, ponekad postoji grupa ljudi koja eksploatiše drugi oblik manipulišući tim novcem.
Hajde da pogledamo hipotetičko selo zvano Njutonija da bismo razumeli kako dolazi do ove eksploatacije.
Zelene perle postaju Novac
Tokom stotina godina ribolova u obližnjoj reci, stanovnici Njutonije sakupljali su zelene perle iz vode. Zrnca su mala, lagana, izdržljiva, jednolična i retko se pojavljuju u reci. Ljudi prvo priželjkuju perle zbog svoje lepote. Na kraju, seljani shvataju da svi drugi žele perle – one se vrlo lako mogu prodati. Zrnca uskoro postaju sredstvo razmene i obračunska jedinica u selu: pile je 5 zrna, vreća jabuka 2 zrna, krava 80 zrna.
Ukupna ponuda perli je prilično konstantna i cene se vremenom ne menjaju mnogo. Seoski starešina je uveren da može da se opustiti u poslednjim danima živeći od svoje velike zalihe perli.
Alhemičar stvara više perli
Seoski alhemičar je poželeo da bude bogat čovek, ali nije voleo da vredno radi na tome. Umesto da traži perle u reci ili da prodaje vrednu robu drugim seljanima, on sedeo je u svojoj laboratoriji. Na kraju je otkrio kako da lako stvori stotine perli sa malo peska i vatre.
Seljani koji su tragali za perlama u reci bili su srećni ako bi svaki dan pronašli po 1 zrno. Alhemičar je mogao da proizvede stotine uz malo napora.
Alhemičar troši svoje perle
Budući da je bio prilično zao, alhemičar nije svoj metod pravljenja zrna delio ni sa kim drugim. Stvorio je sebi još više perli i počeo da ih troši za dobra na tržištu u Njutoniji. Tokom sledećih meseci, alhemičar je kupio farmu pilića, nekoliko krava, finu svilu, posteljine i ogromno imanje. On je imao priliku da kupi ova dobra po normalnim cenama na tržištu.
Alhemičarevo trošenje ostavljalo je seljanima mnogo perli, ali malo njihove vredne robe.
Svi seljani su se osećali bogatima – imali su tone perli! Međutim, polako su primetili da i svi ostali takodje imaju tone.
Cene počinju da rastu
Uzgajivač pilića primetio je da sva roba koju je trebalo da kupi na pijaci poskupela. Džak jabuka sada se prodaje za 100 perli – 50 puta više od njihove cene pre nekoliko meseci!
Iako je sada imao hiljade perli, uskoro bi mogao da ostane bez njih zbog ovih cena. Pitao se – da li zaista može sebi da priušti da prodaje svoje piliće za samo 5 perli po komadu? Morao je i on da podigne svoje cene.
Jednostavno rečeno, kao rezultat alhemičarevog trošenja njegovih novostvorenih perli, bilo je previše perli koje su jurile premalo dobara – pa su cene porasle.
Kupci robe bili su spremni da potroše više perli da bi kupili potrebna dobra. Prodavci robe su trebali da naplate više da bi bili sigurni da su zaradili dovoljno da kupe potrebna dobra za sebe.
Budući da su cene svih dobara porasle, možemo reći da se vrednost svake perle smanjila.
Nejednakost bogatstva raste
Seoski starešina, koji je vredno radio da sačuva hiljade perli, sada se našao osiromašenim i gladnim. U međuvremenu, alhemičar je udobno sedeo na svom velikom imanju sa kravama, pilićima i slugama koji su se brinuli za svaki njegov hir.
Alhemičar je efikasno ukrao bogatstvo celog sela, tako što je jeftino proizvodio perle i koristio ih za kupovinu vredne robe.
Ono što je najvažnije, kupio je robu pre nego što je tržište shvatilo da je više perli u opticaju i da ima manje robe, što je dovelo do rasta cena. Ova dodatna proizvodnja perli nije dodala korisnu robu ili usluge selu.
Eksploatacija pomoću Novca: Agri Perle
Nažalost, priča o alhemičaru iz Njutonije nije u potpunosti hipotetička. Ovaj prenos bogatstva kroz stvaranje novca ima istorijske i moderne presedane.
Na primer, afrička plemena su nekada koristila staklene perle, poznate kao “agri perle”, kao sredstvo razmene. U to vreme plemenskim ljudima je bilo veoma teško da prave staklene perle, i one su predstavljale težak novac unutar njihovog plemenskog društva.
Niko nije mogao jeftino da proizvede perle i koristiti ih za kupovinu skupe, vredne robe poput kuća, hrane i odeće.
Eksploatacija pomoću Novca: Agri Perle
Nažalost, priča o alhemičaru iz Njutonije nije u potpunosti hipotetička. Ovaj prenos bogatstva kroz stvaranje novca ima istorijske i moderne presedane.
Na primer, afrička plemena su nekada koristila staklene perle, poznate kao “agri perle”, kao sredstvo razmene. U to vreme plemenskim ljudima je bilo veoma teško da prave staklene perle, i one su predstavljale težak novac unutar njihovog plemenskog društva.
Niko nije mogao jeftino da proizvede perle i koristiti ih za kupovinu skupe, vredne robe poput kuća, hrane i odeće.
Perle proizvedene u Gani
Sve se promenilo kada su stigli Evropljani, i primetili upotrebu staklenih perli kao novca.
U to vreme, Evropljani su mogli jeftino da stvaraju staklo u velikim količinama. Kao rezultat toga, Evropljani su počeli tajno da uvoze perle i koriste ih za kupovinu dobara, usluga i robova od Afrikanaca.
Peć za izradu stakla u Muranu, Italija. Ovo ostrvo izvan Venecije proizvodi staklo od 15. veka.
Vremenom se iz Afrike izvlačila vredna roba i ljudi, dok je plemenima ostajalo mnogo perli i malo robe.
Perle su izgubile veći deo vrednosti zbog inflacije uzrokovane snabdevanjem od strane Evropljana.
Rezultat je bio osiromašenje afričkih plemena i bogaćenje Evropljana, kako to ovde objašnjava monetarni istoričar Bezant Denier.
Dragocena roba je kupljena jeftino proizvedenim monetarnim dobrom.
Profitiranje na proizvodnji novca: Emisiona dobit
Ova priča ilustruje kako se bogatstvo prenosi kada jedna grupa može jeftino da proizvodi monetarno dobro.
Razlika između troškova proizvodnje monetarnog dobra i vrednosti tog monetarnog dobra poznata je kao emisiona dobit, eng. seignorage.
Kada je monetarno dobro mnogo vrednije od troškova proizvodnje, ljudi će proizvesti više od monetarnog dobra da bi uhvatili profit od emisione dobiti.
Na kraju će ova povećana ponuda dovesti do pada vrednosti monetarnog dobra. To je zbog zakona ponude i potražnje: kada se ponuda povećava, cena (poznata i kao vrednost) dobra opada.
Novac Gubi Funkciju 2. Deo: Kejnslandski Bankar
U priči o Njutoniji, alhemičar je otkrio način da se od malo peska jeftino stvori više zelenih perli. To se u stvarnosti odigralo kroz trgovinu između Evropljana i Afrikanaca, pričom o agri perlama. Međutim, ove priče su pomalo zastarele – mi više ne trgujemo robom za perle.
Da bismo nas doveli do modernog doba, hajde da promenimo neka imena u našoj priči:
- Selo Njutonija postaje država koja se zove Kejnsland
- Alhemičar postaje bankar
- Seoski starešina postaje penzioner
- Zelene perle postaju zlato, koje niko ne može jeftinije da stvori – čak ni bankar.
Bankar Menja Papirne Novčanice za Zlato
Kao i u stvarnosti, bankar u ovoj priči nema formulu ili trik da stvori više zlata. Međutim, bankar bezbedno čuva zlato u vlasništvu svakog građanina Kejnslanda. Bankar daje svakom građaninu po jednu potvrdu za svaku uncu zlata koje ima u svom trezoru.
Te potvrde se mogu iskoristiti u bilo koje vreme za stvarno zlato. Papirne potvrde ili novčanice su mnogo pogodnije za plaćanje nego nošenje zlata kroz supermarket.
Građani su srećni – oni imaju prikladno sredstvo plaćanja u vidu bankarevih novčanica, i znaju da niko ne može da ukrade njihovo bogatstvo falsifikujući više zlata.
Građani na kraju počinju da plaćaju u potpunosti papirnim novčanicama, ne trudeći se nikad da zamene svoje novčanice za zlato. Na kraju, novčanice postaju “dobre kao i zlato” – svaka predstavlja fiksnu količinu zlata u bankarevom trezoru.
Ukupno kruži 1.000.000 novčanica, od kojih je svaka otkupljiva za jednu uncu zlata. 1.000.000 unci zlata sedi u bankarevom trezoru. Svaka novčanica je u potpunosti podržana u zlatu.
Starešina koji je sačuvao sve svoje perle u priči o Njutoniji sada je penzioner u Kejnslandu, koji svoje zlato drži u banci i planira da ugodno živi od novčanica koje je dobio zauzvrat.
Hajde da u ovu priču dodamo i novi lik: premijera Kejnslanda. Premijer naplaćuje porez od građana i koristi ga za plaćanje javnih usluga poput policije i vojske. Premijer takođe drži vladino zlato kod bankara.
Bankar Menja Papirne Novčanice za Dug
Premijer želi da osigura da nacionalno zlato ostane na sigurnom, pa banku štiti policijom. Bankar i premijer se zbog toga zbližavaju, pa premijer traži uslugu. Traži od bankara da kreira 200.000 novčanica za premijera, uz obećanje da će mu premijer vratiti za pet godina. Premijeru su novčanice potrebne za finansiranje rata. Građani Kejnslanda borili su se protiv većih poreza zbog finansiranja rata, pa je morao da se obrati bankaru.
Bankar se slaže da izradi novčanice, ali pod jednim uslovom: bankar uzima deo od 10.000 novčanica za sebe. Premijer prihvata posao kojim bankar ’kupuje državni dug’. Sada je u opticaju 1.200.000 novčanica, potpomognutih kombinacijom 1.000.000 unci zlata i ugovorom o dugu sa vladom za 200.000 novčanica.
Premijer troši svoje nove novčanice na bombe kupujući ih od dobavljača iz domaće vojne industrije, a bankar sebi kupuje veliki luksuzni stan.
Dobavljač iz vojne industrije koristi sve nove novčanice koje je dobio od premijera da kupi amonijum nitrat (đubrivo koje se koristi u bombama) za proizvodnju bombi. Sve njegove kupovine povećavaju cenu đubriva za uzgajivače pšenice u Kejnslandu, pa oni podižu cenu pšenice.
Kao uzrok toga, pekar koji kupuje pšenicu treba da podigne cenu svog hleba da bi ostao u poslu. Na taj način cene u Kejnslandu počinju da rastu, baš kao što su to činile u Njutoniji kada su nove perle ušle u opticaj.
Papirne Novčanice Više Ne Predstavljaju Zlato
Penzioner nailazi na finansijski časopis u kojem se pominje premijerov dogovor da se zaduži za finansiranje rata. Obzirom da je mudar, on zna da bombe loše vraćaju ulaganje i sumnja da će premijer ikada da vrati svoj dug.
Ako on ‘podmiri’ svoj dug, to bi ostavilo 1.200.000 novčanica u opticaju sa samo 1.000.000 unci zlata da bi ih podržalo, obezvređujući njegovu ušteđevinu. Već oseća stisak u džepu zbog porasta cena, i on odlučuje da se uputi u lokalnu banku i preda svoje novčanice i zameni ih za zlato, koje niko ne može da napravi u većoj količini.
Kada penzioner stigne u banku, on zatiče i mnoge druge okupljene oko banke. Svi oni se nadaju da će uzeti zlato koje predstavljaju njihove novčanice. Građani Kejnslanda sa pravom se plaše da njihove novčanice gube na vrednosti – oni to već osećaju zbog porasta cena.
Vrata su zaključana, sa obaveštenjem bankara na njima:
Po nalogu premijera, onom koji se plaši za stabilnost ove bankarske institucije, ova banka više neće podržavati konvertibilnost papirnih novčanica u zlato. Hvala vam!
Gomila se razilazi, ostavljena sa jednim izborom: da zadrže svoje novčanice, koje sada vrede manje od 1 unce zlata. Građani sa dovoljno finansijske stabilnosti odlučuju da ulože svoje novčanice u kupovinu akcija banke i kompanija vojne industrije, koje dobro posluju jer mogu da kupuju stvari pre nego što se povećaju tržišne cene.
Mnogi ljudi nisu u mogućnosti da investiraju – oni moraju da gledaju kako njihove zarade stagniraju i kako njihova ušteđevina polako ali sigurno gubi vrednost.
Penzioner, koji se nadao da će živeti od novčanica koje je zaradio tokom svojih 40 radnih godina, sada 40 sati nedeljno provodi iza kase u lokalnoj prodavnici, pitajući se gde je sve pošlo po zlu.
Dug Nikada Nije Otplaćen
Prošlo je nekoliko godina, a premijerov dug prema banci dolazi na naplatu. Budući da je potrošio svih 200.000 novčanica na bombe, koje nemaju baš dobar povraćaj ulaganja, on nema novčanice koje može da vrati banci. Plus, premijer želi da kupi još bombi za svoj rat.
Bankar uverava premijera da je sve u redu. Bankar će napraviti novi ugovor o dugu za 600.000 novčanica, koji bi trebao da stigne na naplatu u narednih 5 godina. Premijer može da iskoristi 200.000 od tih novih 600.000 novčanica da vrati svoj prvobitni dug prema banci, zadrži još 300.000 da kupi još bombi i da 100.000 bankaru da bi mu platio njegove usluge.
To nastavlja da se dešava – svaki put kada dug dospeva na naplatu, bankar stvara više novčanica za vraćanje starijih dugova i daje premijeru još više novca za trošenje. Ovaj ciklus se nastavlja.
Šta se dešava u Kejnslandu?
- Oni koji prvi dobiju nove novčanice, gledaju kako se njihovo bogatstvo povećava
- To uključuje bankara, premijera, vladu i sve one koji mogu da pristupe mogućnostima za investiranje u preduzeća koja prva dobiju nove novčanice (finansijske, vojne itd.).
- Cene roba rastu
- Cene se ne povećavaju ravnomerno – one se povećavaju gde god nove novčanice prvo uđu u ekonomiju i od tog trenutka imaju efekat talasa na tržišta. U našem primeru prvo raste cena amonijum nitrata, zatim cena pšenice, pa cena hleba. A tek na kraju zarade običnih ljudi.
- Štednja i životni standard opšte populacije se smanjuju
- Najviše pate oni koji žive od plate do plate i ne mogu da ulažu. Čak i oni koji su u mogućnosti da investiraju podložni su hirovima tržišta. Mnogi su prisiljeni da prodaju svoje investicije po niskim cenama tokom pada tržišta samo da bi platili svoje dnevne potrebe.
- Razlika u prihodima i bogatstvu između bogatih i siromašnih se povećava
- Bogatstvo opšte populacije se smanjuje, dok se bogatstvo onih koji su blizu mesta gde se troše nove novčanice povećava. Rezultat je disparitet koji se vremenom samo proširuje.
Da li nas novac danas eksploatiše?
Priča o Njutoniji i stvarna priča o agri perlama u Africi deluju pomalo zastarelo. Priča o Kejnslandu, međutim, deluje neobično poznato. U našem svetu cene robe uvek rastu, i vidimo rekordne nivoe nejednakosti u bogatstvu.
U poslednjem odeljku ovog našeg članka Šta je novac, proći ću kroz nastanak bankarstva i korake koji su bili potrebni da se dođe do današnjeg sistema, gde banke i vlade sarađuju u kontroli ekonomije i samog novca.
Šta su banke, i odakle su one došle?
Pojava bankarstva verovatno se dogodila da bi olakšala poljoprivrednu trgovinu i da bi povećala pogodnosti. Iako su se mnoga društva na kraju konvergirala ka upotrebi zlata i srebra kao novca, ovi metali su bili teški i opasni za nošenje kao tovar. Međutim, u mnogim slučajevima ih nije ni trebalo prevoziti. Uzmite ovaj primer:
Grad treba da plati poljoprivrednicima na selu za žito, a poljoprivrednici gradskoj vojsci za zaštitu od varvara. U ovom dogovoru zlato se kreće u oba smera: prema poljoprivrednicima u selu kako bi im se platilo žito, i nazad u grad da bi se platila vojska. Da bi olakšali ove transakcije, preduzetnici su stvorili koncept banke. Banka je zlato čuvala u sigurnom trezoru i izdavala novčanice od papira. Svaka priznanica je predstavljala potvrdu da njen imaoc poseduje određenu količinu zlata u banci. Imaoc novčanice je u svako doba mogao da uzme svoje zlato nazad vraćanjem te novčanice banci.
Korisnici banke mogli su lakše da trguju sa novčanicama od papira, i onaj koji poseduje novčanice mogao je da preuzme njihovo fizičko zlato u bilo kom trenutku. To je te novčanice učinilo “dobrim kao i zlato”.
Banke su izdržavale svoje poslovanje naplaćujući od kupaca naknadu za skladištenje zlata ili pozajmljivanjem dela zlata i zaračunavanjem kamata na njega. Trgovina na ovaj način je mogla da se odvija sa laganim novčanicama od papira umesto sa teškim vrećama zlatnika.
Ovakva praksa sa transakcijama, korišćenjem papirne valute potpomognute monetarnim dobrima, verovatno je započela u Kini u 7. veku.
Na kraju se proširila Evropom 1600-ih, a svoj zalet dobila je u Holandiji sa bankama poput Amsterdamske Wisselbanke. Novčanice Wisselbank-e često su vredele više od zlata koje ih je podržavalo, zbog dodane vrednosti njihovih pogodnosti.
Uspon nacionalnih ‘centralnih banaka’
Tokom vekova, zlato je počelo da se sakuplja u trezorima banaka, jer su ljudi više voleli pogodnosti transakcija sa novčanicama.
Na kraju, nacionalne banke u vlasništvu vlada preuzele su ulogu čuvanja zlata od privatnih banaka koje su započeli preduzetnici.
Nacionalne papirne valute potpomognute zlatnim rezervama u nacionalnim bankama zamenile su novčanice iz privatnih banaka. Sve nacionalne valute bile su jednostavno potvrde za zlato koje se nalazilo u trezoru nacionalne banke.
Ovaj sistem je poznat kao zlatni standard – sve valute su jednostavno predstavljale različite težine zlata.
U gornjem levom uglu novčanice možete videti da piše da je novčanica “zamenljiva za zlato”. Savremeni dolari nemaju ovaj natpis, ali inače izgledaju vrlo slično. Izvor
Zlatni sistem je postojao veći deo vremena, sve do Prvog svetskog rata. Vladama je bilo teško da prikupe novac za ovaj rat putem poreza, pa su morale da budu kreativne.
Kada vlade troše više nego što zarađuju na porezima, to se naziva deficitna potrošnja.
Kako vlade mogu ovo da urade? Vlade to rade tako što pozajmljuju novac prodavajući svoj dug.
Tokom Prvog svetskog rata, vlade su građanima i preduzećima prodavale vrstu duga koja se naziva ratna obveznica. Kada građanin kupi ratnu obveznicu, on preda svoj novac vladi i dobije papir u kojem je stajalo vladino obećanje da će vlasniku obveznice vratiti novac, plus kamate, za nekoliko godina.
Plakat koji obaveštava građane, tražeći od njih da kupe ratne obveznice – što predstavlja zajam vladi. Izvor
Centralne banke ‘monetizuju’ državni dug
Međutim, građani i preduzeća nisu bili voljni da kupe dovoljno ratnih obveznica za finansiranje Prvog svetskog rata.
Vlade se nisu predale – pa su zatražile od svojih nacionalnih ‘centralnih banaka’ da one kupe ove obveznice. Centralne banke su otkupile obveznice, ali ih nisu platile valutom potpomognutom postojećim zlatnim rezervama, kao što su to činili građani i banke prilikom kupovine obveznica.
Centralne banke su umesto toga davale vladi novu, sveže štampanu papirnu valutu potpomognutu samo obveznicom. Ovu valutu podržalo je samo obećanje da će im vlada vratiti dugove. Ovo je poznato kao monetizacija duga.
Budući da su ratne obveznice i valuta samo komadi papira, one su lake i jeftine za proizvodnju i mogu se napraviti u ogromnim količinama. Ono što ograničava proizvodnju i jednog i drugog je poverenje.
Ima smisla da se neko rastane od svog teško stečenog novca da kupi državnu obveznicu, samo ako veruje da će vlada da vrati svoj dug, plus kamate. Centralna banka je “krajnji kupac”, što znači da će ona da kupi državne obveznice kada to niko drugi neće da uradi.
Zapamtite, centralnu banku gotovo da ništa ne košta da kupi državne obveznice, jer oni sami štampaju valutu da bi ih kupili.
Zamislite da pridjete najskupljem automobilu u autosalonu – koji košta 100.000 USD. Mislite da je automobil lep, ali taj novac biste radije potrošili na lepši stan – tako da ste spremni da platite samo 40.000 USD za taj auto.
Sada, hajde da zamislimo da imate štampač za novac i da vas košta samo 50 USD za mastilo i papir da bi ištampali 1.000.000 USD. Vi biste odmah kupili auto, čak i ako biste morali da se cenkate sa drugim čovekom, i da ga na kraju platite 150.000 USD!
Ista stvar se dešava kada centralna banka kupuje obveznice (dugove) od vlade. Centralna banka može da stvori valutu toliko jeftino, da su spremni da plate i više nego što bi drugi platili ove obveznice i nastaviće da ih kupuju čak i kada niko drugi ne bude želeo.
Monetizacija duga uzrokuje inflaciju
Kada centralne banke monetizuju državni dug, funkcija novca kao zalihe vrednosti počinje da se nagriza. Vlada troši novi novac koji je dobila od svoje centralne banke na ratnu robu, obroke i još mnogo toga.
Cene roba rastu od ove novoštampane valute koja kruži kroz ekonomiju. Kada se cene povećavaju, to znači da se vrednost svake jedinice valute smanjuje. Svi koji drže valutu sada imaju manje vrednosti. Danas to nazivamo sporim gubitkom funkcije zalihe vrednosti u novčanoj inflaciji.
Za Nemačku nakon Prvog svetskog rata monetizacija duga izazvala je totalni slom Nemačke ekonomije i stvorila uslove za rast fašizma.
Kao deo sporazuma o prekidu vatre koji je okončao Prvi svetski rat, Nemačka je pobednicima morala da plati ogroman novac. Nemačkoj vladi je bio preko potreban novac, pa su prodale obveznice (dug) Rajhsbanci, nemačkoj centralnoj banci.
Ovaj postupak doveo je do toga da je vlada štampala toliko maraka (tadašnja nemačka valuta) da je tempo inflacije u Nemačkoj ubrzan u hiperinflaciju početkom 1920-ih. Cena vekne hleba za samo 4 godine popela se sa 1,2 marke na 428 biliona maraka.
Tokom i posle Prvog svetskog rata, SAD, Britanija, Francuska i mnoge druge vlade pratile su Nemačku u štampanju valute potpomognute državnim dugom.
To je dovelo do toga da su građani želeli da svoju papirnu valutu zamene za zlato, baš kao i penzioner iz priče o Kejnslandu.
Međutim, mnoge vlade su suspendovale konvertibilnost svojih valuta u zlato. Ovim potezom vlade su primorale svoje građane da drže nacionalnu papirnu valutu i gledaju kako se njihova ušteda smanjuje u vrednosti.
Da bi mogle da nastave da štampaju novac i da bi ga trošile na nepopularne programe za koje nisu mogle da skupljaju poreze za finansiranje – poput ratova.
Bretton Woods: Novi monetarni sistem
Nakon razaranja koja su donela dva svetska rata, vlade su uspostavile novi globalni monetarni sistem prema Bretton Woods-ovom sporazumu iz 1944. godine.
Prema ovom sporazumu, valuta svake države konvertovala se po fiksnom kursu sa američkim dolarom. Američki dolar je zauzvrat predstavljao zlato po stopi od 35 USD za jednu trojsku uncu zlata*.
Sve globalne valute su stoga još uvek bile jednostavna reprezentacija zlata, putem američkih dolara kao posrednika. Redovni građani više nisu mogli da otkupljuju svoje valute za zlato iz Sjedinjenih Država. Međutim, strane centralne banke mogle bi da dođu u Sjedinjene Države da bi zamenile dolare za zlato po stopi od 35 USD za jednu uncu zlata.
Međutim, vlada Sjedinjenih Država nije uvek držala dovoljno zlata da podrži sve dolare u opticaju. Američka vlada nastavila je da finansira proširene socijalne i vojne programe prodajom državnog duga svojoj centralnoj banci, Federalnim rezervama, koja je povećala ponudu dolara bez povećanja ponude zlata koja podupire te dolare.
*Trojna unca je standardna mera čistog zlata i ima malo veću težinu od normalne unce.
Propast Bretton Woods-a
Tokom 1970-ih, sve veći troškovi rata u Vijetnamu i stranih vlada koje su otkupljivale svoje dolare za zlato, stvorili su pritisak na Trezor Sjedinjenih Država.
Ponuda dolara je porasla, dok je zlato u posedu Sjedinjenih Država opalo. Od 1950. pa do početka 1970-ih, rezerve zlata koje je držala vlada Sjedinjenih Država smanjile su se za više od 50%, sa 20 metričkih tona na samo 8 metričkih tona.
Godine 1970. država je imala zlata u vrednosti od samo 12 biliona dolara po zvaničnom kursu od 35 dolara za trojsku uncu zlata. Tokom ovog istog vremenskog perioda, ukupna ponuda američkih dolara otišla je sa oko 32 biliona USD na skoro 70 biliona USD.
Zvanične rezerve zlata u SAD-u su naglo padale od 1950. do 1970. godine, dok su se dolari u opticaju povećavali. Izvor: Wikipedia, DollarDaze.org
Američka vlada nije bila u stanju da potkrepi dolare zlatom od 35 dolara po trojnoj unci, što dovelo do rizika za čitav globalni monetarni sistem.
Početkom sedamdesetih godina, trojna unca zlata trebala je da vredi 200 USD da bi u potpunosti podržala sve američke dolare u opticaju. Rečeno na drugi način, Sjedinjene Države su pokušavale da kažu svetu da jedan dolar vredi 1/35 trojne unce zlata, ali u stvarnosti dolar je vredeo samo 1/200 trojne unce.
Kad su strane vlade trebale da pribave dolare za međunarodnu trgovinu i rezerve, bile su opelješene. Francuska vlada je to shvatila šezdesetih godina prošlog veka i počela je da prodaje svoje američke dolare za zlato po zvaničnom kursu od 35 dolara za trojsku uncu zlata.
Zemlje su počinjale da se bude iz šeme američke vlade. SAD su krale bogatstvo putem emisione dobiti, prodajući dolare za 1/35 trojne unce zlata, kada su vredeli samo 1/200 trojske unce.
Nixonov Šok ulazi u ’tradicionalni’ novac
Da bi kuća od karata mogla da ostane na mestu, predsednik Nixon je 1971. najavio da će američka vlada privremeno da obustavi konvertibilnost dolara u zlato.
Strane vlade više nisu mogle da polažu pravo na zlato svojim papirnim dolarima, a dolar više nije bio “poduprt” zlatom. Nixon je tvrdio da će ovo stabilizovati dolar.
50 godina kasnije, kristalno je jasno da je ovo samo pomoglo dolaru da izgubi vrednost i da ovaj “privremeni” program još uvek traje.
Pre 1971. godine, sve globalne valute bile su vezane za američki dolar putem Bretton Woods-ovog sporazuma. Kada je Nixon promenio američki dolar iz dolara podržanog u zlatu u dolar podržan dugom, ovim je promenio i svaku drugu valutu na Zemlji.
Sam je učinio da se celokupna svetska ekonomija zasniva na dugovima. Valute više nisu predstavljale zlato, već su predstavljale vrednost državnog duga.
Zlatni Standard se nikada nije vratio
Konvertibilnost američkih dolara u zlato – zlatni standard – nikada se nije vratio.
Od 1971. godine, čitav globalni monetarni sistem pokreće se tradicionalnim “fiat” valutama: poverenjem u vladine institucije da održavaju valutni sistem.
Većina valuta podržana je kombinacijom duga njihove vlade i drugih tradicionalnih valuta poput dolara i evra. Papirne valute više nisu podržane zlatom, imovinom koja je više od 5000 godina služila kao težak novac.
Danas vas vlade prisiljavaju da plaćate porez u njihovoj valuti i manipulišu saznanjima oko novca kako bi osigurale da potražnja za njihovom valutom ostane velika.
To im omogućava da neprestano štampaju više valuta, da bi je potrošili na vladine projekte, uzrokujući inflaciju cena koja jede i smanjuje bogatstvo i plate.
Američka vlada sada prodaje državne obveznice (dugove), poznate kao obveznice Trezora SAD, eng. US Treasuries, komercijalnim bankama u zamenu za američke dolare.
Vlada koristi te dolare za finansiranje svog budžetskog deficita. Komercijalne banke prodaju mnoge obveznice Trezora SAD, koje su kupile, američkoj centralnoj banci, Federalnim Rezervama.
Federalne rezerve plaćaju komercijalnim bankama sveže štampanim novcem “pomoću računara i upisivanjem količine na račun”, kako je rekao bivši predsednik Fed-a Ben Bernanke.
Ove komercijalne banke često zarađuju samo kupujući obveznice Trezora SAD od države i prodajući ih centralnoj banci. Kupujte nisko, prodajte visoko.
Centralne banke ovaj proces kupovine državnog duga – odnosno pozajmljivanja novca državi – nazivaju operacijama otvorenog tržišta.
Kada centralna banka odjednom kupi velike iznose duga, oni to nazivaju kvantitativnim ublažavanjem. Centralne banke javno najavljuju kupovinu državnog duga, ali vrlo malo ljudi razume šta to zapravo znači.
Euro, jen i svaka druga valuta koja se danas koristi funkcionišu slično kao američki dolar.
Da li će SAD ikada vratiti svoj nacionalni dug? Neobična stvar u vezi sa državnim dugom SAD-a je ta što vlada poseduje štampariju potrebnu za njegovu otplatu.
Kao rezultat toga, kada vlada duguje novac, oni samo pozajme još više novca da bi otplatile taj dug, povećavajući nacionalni dug.
Ako vam ovo zvuči kao Ponzijeva piramidalna šema, to je zato što ona to i jeste – najveća Ponzijeva šema u istoriji. Kao i svaka Ponzijeva šema, nastaviće se sve dok su ljudi koji kupuju Ponzijevu šemu budu uvereni da će im biti plaćeno nazad.
Ako ljudi i nacije prestanu da se zadužuju i koriste američke dolare jer nemaju poverenja u američku vladu ili vide da cena robe raste (tj. dolar postaje sve manje vredan), potražnja za dolarom će opadati, što će izazvati začaranu spiralu.
Ova spirala često završi u hiperinflaciji, kao što smo videli u novijoj istoriji sa Jugoslavijom, Venecuelom, Argentinom, Zimbabveom i mnogim drugim državama.
Ovo je način kako funkcioniše novac na vašem bankovnom računu. Novac svake nacije na svetu pati od istih problema kao i perle i novčanice u pričama o Njutoniji i Kejnslandu.
Kako banke i vlade kradu tvoj novac?
Tokom vekova, stigli smo do monetarnog sistema u kojem banke i vlade mogu da štampaju novu valutu za finansiranje svojih operacija i svojih prijatelja u zločinu, dok kradu bogatstvo svojih građana.
Šta će se desiti sa svetom kada novac bude mogao da štampa svaki narod na planeti?
- Bogatstvo onih koji su blizu pravljenja nove valute se povećava
- Vlada i politički povlašćena klasa ljudi, imaju pristup novoštampanom novcu pre svih ostalih, pa mogu da ga potroše pre nego što cene porastu. Na ovaj efekat pokazao je ekonomista Richard Cantillon sredinom 1700-ih i poznat je kao Cantillonov Efekat.
- Cena robe raste (poznato kao inflacija)
- Ne raste sve roba istovremeno u ceni. Roba blizu mesta gde se proizvodi nova valuta – finansijski sektor i vlada – prva raste, i odatle uzrokuje efekt talasa na cene.
- Inflacija se često predstavlja kao promena cene potrošačke korpe, poznata kao Indeks Potrošačkih Cena, eng. Consumer Price Index (CPI). Vlada ima alate za manipulisanje ovim brojem kako bi osigurala da se ona čini niskom i stabilnom, kao što je objašnjeno u našem članku o inflaciji.
- Finansijska imovina često primećuje ogromnu inflaciju, ali bankari to ne nazivaju inflacijom – oni kažu da naša ekonomija cveta! Nakon što su američke Federalne rezerve učetvorostručile ponudu američkih dolara u šest godina nakon finansijske krize 2008. godine, banke koje su dobile te nove dolare, kupile su akcije i obveznice, stvarajući ogroman balon u cenama ove imovine.
- Štednja i životni standard stanovništva se smanjuju
- Plate su jedna od poslednjih “cena” u ekonomiji koja se prilagođava, jer se često povećavaju samo jednom godišnje. U međuvremenu, cene dnevnih potrepština te osobe koja zaradjuje platu neprestano rastu kako novi novac kruži ekonomijom.
- Najviše su pogođeni oni koji žive od plate do plate – a to je 70% Amerikanaca.
- Razlike u prihodima između bogatih i siromašnih se povećavaju, kao što se vidi na grafikonu ispod.
Koncentracija Dohotka na Vrhu Naglo je Porasla od 1970-ih (Udeo u ukupnom prihodu pre oporezivanja u domaćinstvima sa najvišim dohotkom (uključujući kapitalne dobitke), 1913-2018)
Zašto i dalje imamo isti monetarni sistem?
Ako ovaj sistem bogate još više obogaćuje, a siromašne još više osiromašuje, dovodeći do političke nestabilnosti, zašto ga onda ne bismo promenili?
Najveći razlog zašto se ništa ne menja je verovatno to što puno toga ne znamo o samom sistemu. Svi svakodnevno koristimo valute svojih vlada, ali većina nas ne razume kako sistem funkcioniše i šta on čini našim društvima.
Obrazovni sistem, mediji i finansijski stručnjaci neprestano nam govore da je monetarni sistem previše komplikovan da bi ga normalni ljudi razumeli. Mnogi od nas se zato i ne trude da pokušaju.
Još nekoliko razloga zašto ovaj sistem nastavlja da opstaje:
- Mnogo je ljudi koji imaju direktnu korist od štampanja novog novca.
- Ti ljudi ne žele nikakve promene i bore se da zadrže tu moć.
- Nacionalne valute su često pogodne
- Kreditne kartice, online bankarstvo i još mnogo toga čine upravljanje nacionalnim valutama i njihovo trošenje lakim i jednostavnim.
- Građani moraju da plaćaju porez u svojoj nacionalnoj valuti
- To stvara potražnju za tom valutom od svih građana, povećavajući njenu vrednost.
- Glavna međunarodna tržišta, poput nafte, denominirana su u dolarima.
- Nafta je potrebna svakoj zemlji na planeti, ali pošto mnogi ne mogu da je proizvode, moraju da je kupuju na međunarodnim berzama. Od 1970-ih na ovim berzama gotovo sva nafta se prodaje za dolare, što stvara potražnju za dolarima. Da bi se odmaknule od ovog sistema, zemlje bi trebale da pronađu novu valutu ili robu za trgovinu naftom, što zahteva vreme i rizike.
- Nije postojala dobra alternativa
- Uz globalnu ekonomiju u realnom vremenu, naš sistem digitalnog bankarstva koji koristi nacionalne valute je pogodan. Transakcija u tvrdom novcu poput zlata bila bi previše nezgrapna za današnji svet. Digitalna valuta pod nazivom Bitcoin, predstavljena 2009. godine, je rastuća alternativa koja nudi čvrst novac koji se kreće brzinom interneta.
Šta je novac, i zašto trebate da brinete?
Novac je alat koji olakšava razmenu dobara. Kao i svako drugo dobro, novac se pridržava zakona ponude i potražnje – povećanje potražnje povećaće njegovu vrednost, a povećanje ponude smanjiće njegovu vrednost.
Na ovaj način novac se ne razlikuje od kuće ili piletine. Međutim, velika prodajnost novca znači da je potražnja za njim uvek velika. Kao rezultat, novac mora biti težak za proizvodnju (a samim tim i ograničen u ponudi) ili će ga onaj ko ga može napraviti, stvoriti toliko, da vremenom više neće služiti kao zaliha vrednosti. Uskoro će izgubiti svoje funkcije kao sredstvo razmene i obračunske jedinice.
Najbolji novac u datoj ekonomiji je onaj koji se najslobodnije kreće – svi ga žele, lako je obaviti transakcije sa njim i koji sa vremenom dobro drži svoju vrednost. Nijedan novac nije savršen u svemu ovome, a neki ističu jednu funkciju novca na štetu drugih.
Iako se istorija ne ponavlja, ona se rimuje, a usponi i padovi monetarnih sistema imaju jasne ritmove. Uspon i pad monetarnog sistema često sledi opšti obrazac koji smo videli u pričama o agri perlama i Kejnslandu: pojavljuje se odredjenji oblik novca koji pomaže ljudima da efikasnije trguju i štede, ali na kraju gubi na vrednosti kada neko shvati kako da ga jeftino stvori u velikoj količini. Međutim, tokom dugog perioda vremena, monetarni sistemi su se poboljšali u sve tri funkcije novca.
Na primer, zlato je tokom vremena dobro služilo kao zaliha vrednosti. Međutim, naša međusobno povezana ekonomija ne bi mogla efikasno da funkcioniše ako bi trebalo da fizičko zlato zamenimo robom i uslugama. Mnogo je lakše kretati se na papirnom i digitalnom novcu, ali istorija nam govori da su vlade i bankari iskoristili ove oblike novca za krađu bogatstva putem inflacije.
Današnji globalni monetarni sistem je vrlo zgodan, a digitalna plaćanja i kreditne kartice olakšavaju trošenje novca. Ovo skriva stalnu inflaciju koja nagriza vrednost svake jedinice novca i dovodi do sve većeg jaza u bogatstvu.
Nadam se da je ovaj članak proširio vaše razumevanje novca i njegove uloge u društvu. Ovo je samo početak svega što treba istražiti o novcu: za kasnije su sačuvane teme o inflaciji, kamatnim stopama, pozajmljivanju, poslovnim ciklusima i još mnogo toga.
Efikasnija Ušteda Novca
Možda se pitate kako zaštititi svoju štednju kada svaki oblik često korišćenog novca i investicija pati od inflacije ponude – koja umanjuje vrednost i prenosi bogatstvo onima koji mogu da stvore novac ili investiciju. Možda se čini da se ništa na planeti danas ne može kvalifikovati kao ‘težak’ novac, ali dve stvari ipak ostaju: zlato i njegov noviji rođak Bitcoin. Obe ove stvari je neverovatno teško proizvesti, a jedna od njih se kreće brzinom interneta i može se čuvati u vašem mozgu.
Ako želite da saznate više o Bitcoin-u kao sredstvu za zaštitu vaše ušteđevine, pročitajte ovde. Ako ste već spremni za kupovinu Bitcoin-a, pogledajte moj vodič za kupovinu Bitcoin-a. Možete početi sa investiranjem sa samo 5 ili 10 €.
Zasluge
Hvala svima koji su pomogli u izradi i uređivanju ove serije o novcu: @ck_SNARKS, @CryptoRothbard, Neil Woodfine, Emil Sandstedt, Taylor Pearson, Parker Lewis, Jason Choi, mojoj porodici i mnogim drugima.
Hvala svima koji su ovo inspirisali i razvili ključne ideje koje su ovde primenjene: Friedrich Hayek, Carl Menger, Ludwig Von Mises, Murray Rothbard, Saifedean Ammous, Dan Held, Pierre Rochard, Stephan Livera, Michael Goldstein, i mnogi drugi.
Molim vas da šerujete! Ako vam je ovaj članak otvorio oči o tome kako funkcioniše naš novac i finansijski sistem, kontaktirajte me ili ostavite komentar!
Ako vam se sviđa moj rad, molim vas da ga podelite sa svojim prijateljima i porodicom. Cilj mi je da svima pružim pogled u ekonomiju i na to kako ona utiče na njihov život.
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@ 078d6670:56049f0c
2025-05-09 13:22:26It was a dark and stormy night. It had to be: Weather had been fired. If they were working for him he would have fired them, but that is just embarrassed arrogance talking. He remembers standing in the middle of his office, his trashed office. It looked like a hurricane had hit it, or vagrants had been living in it for years, nothing of value was left intact. Monitors were shattered on the floor, couches were covered in debris. There was evidence of food and magazine pages in every gaze space. His supervisor, his name escaped him, was grey with anger. “Explain this!” he had shouted with a tremble, but he couldn’t. Every time he tried to think of the events of the day he met a dazzling white blankness.
He was escorted, handcuffed, to a room by two security guards with his supervisor trailing them. Weather felt humiliated and frustrated, but he didn’t know why. He sat, shivering slightly, in a low-lit conference room he had never seen before. Actually, he doesn’t remember any windows or any specific light source, just a haze of shadows. The big boss is sitting opposite him, looking haggard and white as a sun-bleached shell. His supervisor was sitting on his right looking equally haggard and even depressed. They appeared genuine and he knew it was bad news for him.
“You’ve embarrassed this company! There is even a chance you have ruined us all and you have the audacity to sit there and pretend that you can’t remember a thing!”
He knew there was no point in arguing, he had no ideas with which to make up any argument. He sat staring into space.
“At least, give us a story. Tell us how bored you were and tried to create your own weather system by running around the room swinging the fan around like a sugar mad teenager!”
He couldn’t even clear his throat. He couldn’t lift his eyes to meet theirs. He knew his career was over and they were fearful all their ideals had crashed irreparably. He stared into space at the globe standing in the middle of the table. The more he stared at it the more he realized that it seemed to have an atmosphere around it. There were clouds covering patches of the earth. He didn’t dare bring their attention to it. The only memories he could dredge up seemed like dreams, and they’re hardly constitute a defence.
He looked up at their faces finally, surprised to see more alarm than anger, like they were actually afraid of him. They both stood up suddenly, wanting to get out the room as quickly as possible.
“You have brought Global Sky Incorporated into disrepute. You’ve embarrassed us. You have possibly ruined hundreds of careers here! We never want to see you again! You are never to come within a hundred metres of this building. You can never use your research ever again, it never happened. Everything you have ever written will be classified and restricted until you are dead!” The big boss was shaking wild, Weather was grateful for the security guards that hurled him out of his chair and marched him out of the building.
The afternoon sky had been a deathly grey. It had occurred to him but now he was a little shocked at how much control they had over the weather, maybe it was a good thing that he had been fired, but probably a bad thing as they would certainly make worse mistakes than him, whatever he might have done. He was confused, not sure if he been fired for trashing his office or for state of the weather. About the weird weather he has no idea, all he can remember is a dazzling blank whiteness, and that is hardly a memory.
He couldn’t face going directly home, jumped on public transport travelling on tracks laid down on old unused highways and headed for the city beach, or what passed for a beach. He sat on a concrete bench gazing across the grey sand at the shimmering waves. They weren’t shimmering because of the sparkling sunlight, but the contaminates in the water. But still it was tranquil enough. He tried to think about his day, but couldn’t get past the white blankness, everything else before that was like a postcard from someone else’s holiday, and they looked like movies he might have seen. He has a framed vision of himself in his office with office supplies flying around him without touching him. Clearly, as they weren’t touching him, it had nothing to do with his behaviour. He is a victim here. It wasn’t his fault, the world was changing and the powers that be wanted more control. It seems like Global Weather Incorporated (GWI) lost control of their equipment and need a fall guy, they didn’t need him anymore. Squeezed his brain for the algorithms, then threw him onto the streets. He was nothing without his research, it’s all he had done his entire life. He would have to pursue it, but that would as useful as talking to a brick wall, the world was less transparent; government, science and advertising companies had a law of their own and a police force to uphold them.
He believed in good and the unveiling of truth. He had a romantic connection to the idea that truth grew in people’s hearts that everyone wanted the best for everyone else, no matter what skin colour, car colour they had, or star sign they were born under. Everybody wanted peace, a roof over their heads and food in their bellies; and wanted these things for their neighbours too. If only his neighbours had the same beliefs.
It was late afternoon now. He could tell by the slight luminosity of the grey clouds near the horizon, close to a cloudless gap, a slit above the horizon through which the sun could bid its final farewell to the day. He was in no mood for a sunset minute. He picked his bum off the bench, dusted it off and began his journey home, not wanting to be left in the dark in the city, opportune prey for corrupt cops. Everyone was coming out of the offices, beginning the big commute home. Car pools had reshaped their cars to fit more people in, and many climbed on to the reinvented trams, sitting if they were lucky, holding onto ceiling straps if they were unlucky like him. Couples sat together staring into each other’s eyes, friends joked and discussed their office politics. He hated the commute back and forth from work, it made him feel alone, desperate and unwanted. There had been no office politics for him, it was just him and his mostly silent supervisor.
The sky was struck red, a wound inflicted on the sky, it bleed for a minute then all went dark. Reality shuddered as it returned to him, this would be his last commute along this route. He was without a job; his recently regained self-esteem was destroyed. At the end of university he had wondered if he had a career anywhere, if his self-inflicted social isolation had been worth it and GWI had lifted him out of academic gutter and placed him on a pedestal. And now he was turfed out like a partly cloudy day from a child’s memory, flicked off like an ant off a picnic blanket.
Litter was being chased up and down the aisle, wrapping around legs and trying to hide from the wind amongst commuters’ bags. He didn’t notice that the commuters were becoming concerned about the weather, heads turned to look outside where the clouds were blacker than night. Wind has beating on windows, knocking on doors trying to escape from itself. Loose objects were starting to drift.
“Puck, I’m so stupid!” Weather lamented aloud as a flash of lightning brightened the dusk for a second. He should have protected his research, patented it in his own name. Stupidly, he had thought he would be with GWI for the rest of his life. He had given his life over to GWI and they had thrown it away for an office in disarray. It might have looked like an unnatural disaster, but they could have at least let him evaluate their equipment to check for systems failure. Why he hadn’t opened his mouth and flung accusations back at them? Probably because they had looked angrier than he could possibly have gotten faced with a memory of shimmering blankness.
The weather was surreal, he casually noted it as something GWI would have to correct, something existing outside his present unemployed reality, their problem. His cellphone’s classic “Thunderstuck” ringtone charged the air.
“What’s happening with the weather, dude? I thought I read in the paper that it was supposed to be sunny skies and calm seas. I wanted to go for an evening dive at Devil’s.”
“I’ve no idea, I’ve been fired,” he managed to say calmly before he hung up.
“It’s not my responsibility,” he thought to himself and promptly switched his phone off. He had given his private cellphone number to a few select acquaintances he had tried to impress when he had just got his ‘prestigious’ job. He thought he might finally be able to get his social life out of his house by sharing information with people he had met in supermarkets, recognizing their faces from university. They were jocks obsessed about the weather for their hedonistic lifestyles and they had never invited him out, only phoning to find out about the weather.
He jumped off at his usual stop and leaned into the wind watching his feet moving past one another, his mind seething at the injustice of not having a fair trial where they showed him evidence of him been directly involved in the trashing of his office. He could only remember standing in the middle of it and his office revolving around him, but that was only a flash, there is nothing before that except the facts. Him working on algorithms of weather activation, them tinkering with the clouds. They were practically at the end of their testing, their final live weather event before taking on the whole world’s weather, he knows that, but everyday was still just the same as every other day, him at the computer, them throwing lightning bolts. “Puck! I should’ve challenged them,” he shouted into the howling wind at GSI with all the frustration of his past mistakes. But his voice was lost into the atmosphere.
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@ b99efe77:f3de3616
2025-05-12 21:38:36🚦Traffic Light Control System🚦
This Petri net represents a traffic control protocol ensuring that two traffic lights alternate safely and are never both green at the same time.
;start () -> greenLight1 redLight2
;toRed1 greenLight1 -> queue redLight1
;toGreen2 redLight2 queue -> greenLight2
;toGreen1 queue redLight1 -> greenLight1
;toRed2 greenLight2 -> redLight2 queue
;stop redLight1 queue redLight2 -> ()Places & Transitions
- Places:
- greenLight1: Indicates that the first traffic light is green.
- greenLight2: Indicates that the second traffic light is green.
- redLight1: Indicates that the first traffic light is red.
- redLight2: Indicates that the second traffic light is red.
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queue: Acts as a synchronization mechanism ensuring controlled alternation between the two traffic lights.
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Transitions:
- start: Initializes the system by placing tokens in greenLight1 and redLight2.
- toRed1: Moves a token from greenLight1 to redLight1, while placing a token in queue.
- toGreen2: Moves a token from redLight2 to greenLight2, requiring queue.
- toGreen1: Moves a token from queue and redLight1 to greenLight1.
- toRed2: Moves a token from greenLight2 to redLight2, placing a token back into queue.
- stop: Terminates the system by removing tokens from redLight1, queue, and redLight2, representing the system's end state.
petrinet ;start () -> greenLight1 redLight2 ;toRed1 greenLight1 -> queue redLight1 ;toGreen2 redLight2 queue -> greenLight2 ;toGreen1 queue redLight1 -> greenLight1 ;toRed2 greenLight2 -> redLight2 queue ;stop redLight1 queue redLight2 -> ()
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@ 6146ad04:a0937b0b
2025-05-09 09:06:45In the rapidly evolving world of technology, edge computing has emerged as a game-changing innovation, reshaping how data is processed, analyzed, and delivered. Unlike traditional cloud computing, which relies on centralized data centers, edge computing processes data closer to the source—right where it's generated.
This shift is driven by the explosion of Internet of Things (IoT) devices, autonomous systems, and real-time applications that demand low latency and fast decision-making. From smart factories and self-driving cars to remote healthcare and AR/VR experiences, the need for real-time processing is fueling the growth of edge solutions.
Why Edge Computing Matters
As more devices connect to the internet, the volume of data being generated is staggering. Transmitting all this data to the cloud for processing can introduce delays and raise bandwidth costs. Edge computing addresses these challenges by enabling devices and local servers to handle tasks immediately, without having to send data back and forth to the cloud.
Key benefits include:
Reduced latency: Ideal for time-sensitive applications like autonomous vehicles and industrial automation.
Improved security: Sensitive data can be processed locally, minimizing exposure.
Cost efficiency: Reduces bandwidth and storage demands on central data centers.
Real-World Applications
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Healthcare: Wearables and remote monitoring devices use edge computing to detect anomalies and alert physicians in real time.
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Retail: Smart shelves and AI-powered cameras analyze consumer behavior on the spot.
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Manufacturing: Machines use edge-based analytics to predict maintenance needs and prevent downtime.
Challenges Ahead
Despite its promise, edge computing is not without hurdles. Managing a distributed network of devices, ensuring consistent software updates, and maintaining security at the edge require robust frameworks and standards. Scalability and interoperability remain ongoing concerns for developers and organizations.
The Road Ahead
With the rollout of 5G and advancements in AI, edge computing is poised for massive growth. According to industry forecasts, the global edge computing market is expected to exceed $100 billion by 2030. As businesses continue to demand faster, smarter, and more secure tech infrastructure, edge computing will be at the heart of the next digital transformation.
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@ b99efe77:f3de3616
2025-05-12 21:19:53🚦Traffic Light Control System🚦
This Petri net represents a traffic control protocol ensuring that two traffic lights alternate safely and are never both green at the same time.
;start () -> greenLight1 redLight2
;toRed1 greenLight1 -> queue redLight1
;toGreen2 redLight2 queue -> greenLight2
;toGreen1 queue redLight1 -> greenLight1
;toRed2 greenLight2 -> redLight2 queue
;stop redLight1 queue redLight2 -> ()Places & Transitions
- Places:
- greenLight1: Indicates that the first traffic light is green.
- greenLight2: Indicates that the second traffic light is green.
- redLight1: Indicates that the first traffic light is red.
- redLight2: Indicates that the second traffic light is red.
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queue: Acts as a synchronization mechanism ensuring controlled alternation between the two traffic lights.
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Transitions:
- start: Initializes the system by placing tokens in greenLight1 and redLight2.
- toRed1: Moves a token from greenLight1 to redLight1, while placing a token in queue.
- toGreen2: Moves a token from redLight2 to greenLight2, requiring queue.
- toGreen1: Moves a token from queue and redLight1 to greenLight1.
- toRed2: Moves a token from greenLight2 to redLight2, placing a token back into queue.
- stop: Terminates the system by removing tokens from redLight1, queue, and redLight2, representing the system's end state.
petrinet ;start () -> greenLight1 redLight2 ;toRed1 greenLight1 -> queue redLight1 ;toGreen2 redLight2 queue -> greenLight2 ;toGreen1 queue redLight1 -> greenLight1 ;toRed2 greenLight2 -> redLight2 queue ;stop redLight1 queue redLight2 -> ()
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@ 727d5bb6:cce65355
2025-05-09 04:42:51VN123 là một nền tảng giải trí trực tuyến nổi bật, mang đến cho người dùng trải nghiệm thú vị và đa dạng. Với giao diện đơn giản, dễ sử dụng và tối ưu hóa cho mọi thiết bị, VN123 giúp người dùng dễ dàng tiếp cận và tham gia vào các dịch vụ giải trí yêu thích mà không gặp phải bất kỳ khó khăn nào. Nền tảng này được thiết kế với mục tiêu mang lại trải nghiệm người dùng mượt mà và không bị gián đoạn, giúp người tham gia tận hưởng những giây phút thư giãn tuyệt vời. VN123 sở hữu một giao diện thân thiện, dễ nhìn và trực quan, cho phép người dùng dễ dàng tìm kiếm các dịch vụ mà mình yêu thích. Tốc độ truy cập nhanh chóng và ổn định là một trong những yếu tố quan trọng, đảm bảo rằng mọi hoạt động của người dùng đều được diễn ra một cách suôn sẻ. Không cần lo lắng về việc mất kết nối hay gặp phải sự cố kỹ thuật, người dùng có thể hoàn toàn tập trung vào trải nghiệm giải trí của mình trên nền tảng này.
Một trong những yếu tố làm nên sự thành công của VN123 chính là tính năng bảo mật vượt trội. Nền tảng này luôn chú trọng đến việc bảo vệ thông tin cá nhân và dữ liệu của người dùng, sử dụng các công nghệ bảo mật hiện đại và hệ thống mã hóa tiên tiến. Mọi giao dịch và thông tin cá nhân của người tham gia đều được bảo vệ an toàn tuyệt đối, giúp người dùng có thể yên tâm sử dụng dịch vụ mà không phải lo lắng về việc lộ lọt dữ liệu. VN123 cam kết duy trì một môi trường trực tuyến an toàn và bảo mật, tạo ra sự tin tưởng đối với cộng đồng người dùng. Ngoài ra, nền tảng này còn có hệ thống giám sát và bảo mật chặt chẽ để ngăn chặn những hành vi gian lận hay xâm nhập trái phép. Điều này giúp duy trì tính minh bạch và công bằng cho mọi người dùng, đồng thời tạo ra một không gian giải trí an toàn và đáng tin cậy.
VN123 không chỉ chú trọng đến các yếu tố về giao diện và bảo mật, mà còn đặc biệt quan tâm đến việc nâng cao chất lượng dịch vụ khách hàng. Đội ngũ hỗ trợ của VN123 luôn sẵn sàng phục vụ và giải đáp mọi thắc mắc của người dùng 24/7. Mỗi yêu cầu hay vấn đề từ người dùng đều được đội ngũ chăm sóc khách hàng xử lý nhanh chóng và hiệu quả, giúp người tham gia có được trải nghiệm tốt nhất. Đặc biệt, VN123 luôn lắng nghe ý kiến đóng góp từ cộng đồng người dùng để liên tục cải tiến và phát triển nền tảng. Nền tảng này không ngừng nâng cấp các tính năng mới, đồng thời tổ chức các chương trình khuyến mãi và sự kiện hấp dẫn để người dùng có thể tận hưởng thêm nhiều lợi ích. Sự kết hợp giữa giao diện dễ sử dụng, bảo mật mạnh mẽ và dịch vụ khách hàng chuyên nghiệp đã giúp VN123 tạo dựng được lòng tin và sự yêu mến từ cộng đồng. Với những cải tiến liên tục và sự phát triển bền vững, VN123 đang dần trở thành một trong những nền tảng giải trí trực tuyến hàng đầu, mang đến cho người dùng những trải nghiệm tuyệt vời và thú vị.
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@ 33c84388:ab6c6bdb
2025-05-09 04:25:30Se você está em busca de uma plataforma de jogos online emocionante, que ofereça uma grande variedade de opções, recursos inovadores e uma experiência do usuário sem igual, a 358Bet é a escolha ideal. Esta plataforma se destaca no competitivo mundo do entretenimento online ao proporcionar uma experiência envolvente e fluida para os jogadores de todo o Brasil. Se você é um jogador experiente ou está apenas começando, a 358Bet oferece algo para todos. Neste artigo, vamos apresentar a 358Bet, destacar alguns dos jogos mais populares da plataforma e discutir a experiência do jogador que a torna um dos destinos mais procurados no universo do entretenimento online.
Introdução à Plataforma: Uma Experiência Robusta e Intuitiva A 358Bet foi desenvolvida para proporcionar aos usuários uma interface simples e intuitiva, que garante uma experiência de navegação tranquila. O layout da plataforma é limpo, organizado e fácil de usar, tornando-a acessível até mesmo para iniciantes. Se você está explorando os jogos, verificando as promoções ou gerenciando sua conta, o site oferece uma jornada sem esforço. A versão móvel da 358beté igualmente impressionante, permitindo que os jogadores desfrutem de seus jogos favoritos a qualquer momento e em qualquer lugar, garantindo que você tenha tudo na ponta dos dedos.
A plataforma também utiliza tecnologias avançadas para garantir que sua experiência seja segura, rápida e confiável. Com o uso de tecnologias de criptografia de última geração, os jogadores podem confiar que suas informações pessoais e financeiras estão sempre protegidas. Esse foco em segurança torna a 358Bet uma plataforma confiável para quem valoriza a privacidade e a proteção de dados.
Além disso, a plataforma é otimizada para oferecer um desempenho excelente, com tempos de carregamento rápidos e mínima possibilidade de quedas. Se você está jogando jogos ao vivo ou explorando novos títulos, certamente apreciará a jogabilidade fluida e responsiva, o que agrega ainda mais qualidade à sua experiência.
Introdução aos Jogos: Uma Seleção Diversificada para Todos os Gostos Um dos principais destaques da 358Bet é sua vasta coleção de jogos. Desde emocionantes jogos de mesa até opções de dealers ao vivo, há sempre algo excitante para jogar. A plataforma oferece uma variedade de jogos de alta qualidade, para agradar a todos os gostos e preferências.
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Jogos de Slot: Se você gosta de girar os rolos, encontrará uma ampla gama de jogos de slot com diferentes temas, recursos e pagamentos. Desde os slots clássicos até os lançamentos mais modernos, a 358Bet oferece uma seleção diversificada para satisfazer as necessidades de todos os jogadores. Os jogos possuem gráficos impressionantes, trilhas sonoras imersivas e recursos bônus inovadores, tornando cada giro uma aventura emocionante.
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Jogos de Mesa: Para aqueles que preferem jogos de mais estratégia e habilidade, a 358Bet oferece uma variedade de jogos de mesa, como blackjack, bacará e roleta. Esses jogos oferecem uma experiência clássica com toques modernos, sendo perfeitos para jogadores que buscam tanto diversão casual quanto ação competitiva.
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Jogos com Dealers Ao Vivo: Se você está buscando uma experiência mais interativa e imersiva, os jogos com dealers ao vivo da 358Bet certamente irão impressionar. Com dealers profissionais, transmissões ao vivo e a oportunidade de interagir com outros jogadores, os jogos ao vivo proporcionam uma experiência que se aproxima muito de um ambiente de jogo físico. Jogadores podem desfrutar de títulos como blackjack e roleta em tempo real, aumentando a excitação do jogo.
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Esportes Virtuais e Jogos Especiais: Para algo um pouco diferente, a 358Bet também oferece esportes virtuais e jogos especiais. Esses jogos oferecem uma visão única sobre experiências tradicionais de entretenimento, permitindo que os jogadores se envolvam com eventos esportivos virtuais ou testem suas habilidades em desafios rápidos e emocionantes.
Conclusão: Por Que Escolher a 358Bet? A 358Bet é muito mais do que apenas uma plataforma de jogos online; é uma experiência completa de entretenimento. Com uma grande variedade de jogos, uma interface segura e amigável, e um foco incansável na satisfação do jogador, está claro por que tantos optam por essa plataforma. Se você está jogando para se divertir ou buscando grandes vitórias, a 358Bet oferece tudo o que você precisa para uma jornada de jogo envolvente e recompensadora. Com desempenho ágil, uma seleção diversificada de jogos e compromisso com o jogo responsável, a 358Bet é um dos principais destinos para os jogadores no Brasil que buscam melhorar sua experiência de entretenimento online.
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@ 33c84388:ab6c6bdb
2025-05-09 04:22:06A plataforma 944Bet é uma das mais inovadoras opções para quem procura uma experiência de entretenimento online emocionante e segura. Com uma ampla gama de jogos e uma interface amigável, ela se destaca entre outras plataformas e promete proporcionar diversão e recompensas para seus usuários.
Plataforma de Apostas e Jogos de Alta Qualidade O 944Bet foi criado com o objetivo de oferecer uma experiência de usuário única, centrada em jogabilidade fluida e recursos tecnológicos avançados. O site tem uma navegação simples, permitindo que os jogadores se conectem rapidamente e com facilidade, independentemente do dispositivo utilizado, seja desktop ou dispositivos móveis. A plataforma também oferece suporte em português, garantindo que os usuários brasileiros tenham uma experiência personalizada e tranquila.
A interface do 944Bet é limpa e intuitiva, com menus e categorias de jogos bem organizados. Além disso, o design é moderno, com gráficos de alta qualidade que atraem os jogadores e criam um ambiente visualmente agradável. Com uma estrutura confiável e segura, o site assegura que todos os dados pessoais e transações financeiras sejam protegidos, proporcionando tranquilidade para os jogadores.
Variedade de Jogos para Todos os Gostos O 944Bet se destaca pela variedade de opções de entretenimento que oferece aos seus jogadores. Desde jogos de mesa, como blackjack e roleta, até opções mais inovadoras, como slots e títulos de jogos de arcade, a plataforma oferece algo para todos os gostos. Além disso, há uma extensa seleção de esportes virtuais, com eventos e competições simuladas que capturam a atenção de quem gosta de desafios rápidos e emocionantes.
Os jogos disponíveis são atualizados regularmente, garantindo que os jogadores sempre tenham algo novo para explorar. As opções são escolhidas com base na popularidade, no entretenimento e na qualidade da jogabilidade. A plataforma também está em constante evolução, com novos títulos sendo adicionados frequentemente, para que a experiência do usuário nunca se torne monótona.
A Experiência do Jogador no 944Bet A experiência do jogador é uma das prioridades do 944Bet, que se esforça para oferecer uma jornada divertida, envolvente e cheia de oportunidades para ganhar. O processo de inscrição é simples, rápido e descomplicado, permitindo que novos usuários se registrem e comecem a jogar em poucos minutos. O suporte ao cliente é outro ponto forte, com uma equipe dedicada e pronta para ajudar os jogadores em qualquer dúvida ou problema que possa surgir.
Para garantir que os jogadores tenham uma experiência ainda mais rica, o 944Bet oferece uma série de promoções e bônus que incentivam a participação ativa na plataforma. Desde bônus de boas-vindas até ofertas de recarga, os jogadores têm várias oportunidades de aumentar suas chances de ganhar. Essas promoções são oferecidas de forma transparente, permitindo que os jogadores saibam exatamente o que estão recebendo.
Além disso, a plataforma conta com um sistema de pagamento rápido e eficiente, facilitando os depósitos e retiradas de forma simples e sem complicações. As transações são processadas de maneira ágil, e a plataforma aceita uma grande variedade de métodos de pagamento, incluindo cartões de crédito, carteiras digitais e transferências bancárias.
Conclusão O 944Bet é uma plataforma que oferece mais do que apenas jogos de qualidade; ela proporciona uma experiência completa, com uma interface fácil de usar, uma variedade impressionante de opções de entretenimento e um compromisso constante com a segurança e a satisfação do jogador. Se você está em busca de uma nova plataforma para testar suas habilidades e desfrutar de uma experiência divertida, o 944Bet é, sem dúvida, uma excelente escolha. Com recursos que atendem a todos os perfis de jogadores e promoções atrativas, esta plataforma está pronta para se tornar a favorita dos brasileiros.
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@ 3eba5ef4:751f23ae
2025-05-09 01:52:16Crypto Insights
Proposal to Remove OP_RETURN Limit Sparks Heated Debate Among Developers
Introduced in 2014, OP_RETURN allows small pieces of data—like timestamps or short messages—to be included in Bitcoin transactions, serving as a lightweight method to store limited information on-chain. Over time, the size limit was reduced to prevent spam, before settling at the current 83 byte-limit.
Peter Todd recently proposed removing the limit entirely. He argues that the restriction fails to deter misuse and instead complicates things, as it pushes developers to use workarounds—like
scriptsig
or unspendable outputs (such as storing data in unspendable Taproot outputs)—to embed media, spam, or arbitrary data, which bloats the UTXO set.Pieter Wuille, who also supports lifting the OP_RETURN cap, points out that standardness policies can’t truly stop well-funded entities from broadcasting data-heavy transactions directly to miners. The network is strong and block space is always full—even without spam, so those rules are no longer as useful.
In short, those in favor of removing the OP_RETURN limit argue that the restriction is futile, and that alternative data storage methods within blocks already exist in abundance.
On the other side, opponents believe the limit must stay, as using OP_RETURN to store arbitrary data violates Satoshi’s intent and Bitcoin’s purpose as a financial network (Luke Dashjr). Other opposing voices include:
- @Mechanic from Ocean Mining: The devs just instinctively knew, you don’t use Bitcoin for arbitrary file storage and you do everything you can to make Bitcoin awkward to use for that purpose.
- Jason Hughes: Bitcoin Core developers are about to merge a change that turns Bitcoin into a worthless altcoin…
Here for more perspectives on this debate.
Comparing Three Cluster Linearization Techniques
Pieter Wuille compares three cluster linearization strategies—SFL (spanning-forest linearization), GGT, and CSS (candidate set search)—and follows up with benchmark results for each.
StarkWare Introduces ColliderVM: A BitVM Alternative for Computation and L2 Bridges
ColliderVM protocol is StarkWare’s research effort on a BitVM alternative. It retains the same trust assumptions but without needing fraud proofs, thus eliminating fraud-proof time window. Researchers use ColliderVM to sketch a trustless bridge design to a L2 network, aiming to scale Bitcoin with a rollup-like design and enabling more functionality and privacy.
The paper: ColliderVM: Stateful Computation on Bitcoin without Fraud Proofs
And a talk: Bitcoin Horizons: from OP_CAT to Covenants
Bitcoin Goes Green(ish): Over 50% of Mining Now Uses Sustainable Energy
A report from the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance (CCAF) finds that 52.4% of Bitcoin mining now uses green energy. Of that, 42.6% comes from renewables such as hydro and wind, while 9.8% comes from nuclear.
Top Reads on Blockchain and Beyond
Kraken Shares Lessons on Identifying a North Korean Hacker in Job Recruitment
Kraken recently uncovered a North Korean hacker attempting to apply for a job. They’ve shared insights on how to detect and prevent such actors at various stages of the hiring process.
Round-Efficient Adaptively Secure Threshold Signatures with Rewinding
A threshold signature scheme allows distributing a signing key to n users, such that any t of them can jointly sign, but any t−1 cannot. It is desirable to prove adaptive security of threshold signature schemes, which considers adversaries that can adaptively corrupt honest users even after interacting with them. For a class of signatures that relies on security proofs with rewinding, such as Schnorr signatures, proving adaptive security entails significant challenges. This work proposes two threshold signature schemes that are provably adaptively secure with rewinding proofs. Our proofs are solely in the random oracle model (ROM), without relying on the algebraic group model (AGM).
Read the full paper.
Vitalik on Simplifying Ethereum L1, Taking Cues from Bitcoin’s Minimalism
In a new post titled Simplifying the L1, Vitalik suggests simplifying Ethereum’s base layer by moving from EVM to RISC-V (or another minimal VM), adopting Simple Serialize, and embracing Tinygrad’s coding philosophy.
Key impacts of this shift include:
- Radical efficiency improvements: Contracts can run directly in ZK provers without interpreter overhead. According to Succinct, performance could increase by over 100x in many cases.
- Radically improved simplicity: RISC-V spec is far more minimal than the EVM. Other options like Cairo also offer a simple design.
- All the benefits that motivated Ethereum Object Format (EOF): Including code sections, friendly static analysis, and larger code size limits.
- Expanded tooling: Solidity and Vyper can target the new VM with backend updates. If RISC-V is chosen, developers may be able to port existing code from mainstream languages.
- Reduced reliance on precompiles: Most precompiles may become obsolete—except perhaps highly optimized elliptic curve operations, which could also be phased out with advances in quantum computing.
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@ 3eba5ef4:751f23ae
2025-05-09 01:49:00加密洞见
取消 OP_RETURN 限制?引发比特币开发者激辩论
OP_RETURN 于 2014 年推出,允许将小块数据(如时间戳或短消息)包含在比特币交易中,作为在比特币链上存储有限信息的轻量级方式。出于防止垃圾信息的考虑,OP_RETURN 当前的大小限制是 83 字节。
Peter Todd 最近提议完全取消该限制。他认为该限制无法有效遏制滥用,反倒让事情更加复杂。因为它迫使一些开发人员采用各种变通方式——如使用 scriptsig 或不可花费输出(比如这里介绍了在无法花费的 Taproot 输出上存储数据的方式)——来存储媒体、垃圾信息和其他任意数据,这会导致 UTXO 集膨胀。
Pieter Wuille 同样主张 取消 OP_RETURN 限制。他认为,标准性策略并不太可能真正阻止那些由资金充足的组织创建的数据交易被确认——这些组织会将交易直接发送给矿工。此外,现在网络中的区块基本始终满载——即便是没有垃圾信息——因此 OP_RETURN 限制这样的规则已经没有效用。
总之,支持取消 OP_Return 限制一方的理由是,该限制是徒劳的,区块内已经有其它数据存储的替代方案。
反对该提案的一方则认为必须保留该限制,因为通过 OP_Return 存储任意数据违反了中本聪的初衷,也偏离了比特币作为金融网络的核心目的(Luke Dashjr)。其他反对意见包括: - 来自 Ocean Mining 的 @Mechanic:「开发者凭直觉就知道,不应用比特币来存储任意文件,而且应该尽一切可能让比特币难以用于这个目的。」 - Jason Hughes:「Bitcoin Core 开发人员即将合并一项将比特币变成毫无价值的山寨币的更改」……
了解争论中的更多观点,可以参考这里。
三种集群线性化技术比较
Pieter Wuille 在本文中比较了 SFL (spanning-forest linearization)、GGT 、CSS (candidate set search) 三种集群线性化技术之间的基本权衡,并跟进了每种技术的实现基准。
StarkWare 推出 ColliderVM:用于计算和桥接的 BitVM 替代协议
ColliderVM 是 StarkWare 研究的一个 BitVM 的替代协议,使用与 BitVM 相同的信任假设,但不需要欺诈证明,同时也能实现更广泛的功能,如智能合约和二层桥接。
相关论文:ColliderVM: Stateful Computation on Bitcoin without Fraud Proofs
相关视频:Bitcoin Horizons: from OP_CAT to Covenants
剑桥研究:比特币挖矿正使用超过 50% 的绿色能源
剑桥替代金融中心(CCAF)的一份新报告称,现在 52.4% 的比特币挖矿由绿色能源提供动力,其中 42.6% 来自水力和风能等可再生能源,9.8% 来自核能。比特币矿工正在通过减少化石燃料的使用和更好地管理硬件废物来改善他们的环境足迹。
精彩无限,不止于链
如何识破朝鲜黑客?Kraken 分享招聘经验
Kraken 团队最近发现一名朝鲜黑客试图通过申请工作,于是就如何在招聘流程每个阶段中识别并防范黑客分享了经验。
带回绕的轮次高效自适应安全门限签名方案
门限签名方案允许将一个签名密钥分发给 n 个用户,使得其中任意 t 个用户可以联合生成签名,但任意 t−1 个用户则无法做到这一点。研究者希望门限签名方案(Threshold Signatures)能具备自适应安全性,即在面对能够在交互后动态腐化诚实用户的对手时仍然保持安全。对于一类依赖带回绕(rewinding)证明的签名方案(如 Schnorr 签名),证明其自适应安全性是一个重大挑战。论文提出了两种在带回绕证明下可证明具备自适应安全性的门限签名方案。其安全性证明完全基于随机预言机模型(ROM),不依赖代数群模型(AGM)。
论文全文:Round-Efficient Adaptively Secure Threshold Signatures with Rewinding
以太坊如何简化 L1,实现对标比特币的简洁架构
Vitalik 近日发表 Simplifying the L1 ,建议简化以太坊 L1,从 EVM 迁移到 RISC-V(或其他最小 VM),采用「简单序列化」(Simple Serialize),仿效 Tinygrad 的简洁代码风格。
特别地,关于 RISC-V,Vitalik 认为这一转变会带来:
- 效率革命性提升:在 ZK 证明者内部,智能合约可直接执行,无需解释器开销。Succinct 数据显示,在多数场景下性能可提升百倍以上。
- 结构极致简化:RISC-V 规范相较于EVM 极为精简,其他候选方案(如 Cairo)同样具备简洁特性。
- 继承 EOF 的所有优势:包括代码分段管理、更友好的静态分析支持,以及更大的代码容量限制。
- 开发者工具链扩展:Solidity 和 Vyper 可通过新增后端编译支持新架构;若选择 RISC-V,主流语言开发者可直接移植现有代码。
- 消除对大部分预编译的要求:也许除了保留高优化的椭圆曲线运算外,大部分预编译功能将不再必要(而椭圆曲线也许也会随量子计算发展被淘汰)。
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@ b99efe77:f3de3616
2025-05-12 21:19:41🚦Traffic Light Control System🚦
This Petri net represents a traffic control protocol ensuring that two traffic lights alternate safely and are never both green at the same time.
;start () -> greenLight1 redLight2
;toRed1 greenLight1 -> queue redLight1
;toGreen2 redLight2 queue -> greenLight2
;toGreen1 queue redLight1 -> greenLight1
;toRed2 greenLight2 -> redLight2 queue
;stop redLight1 queue redLight2 -> ()Places & Transitions
- Places:
- greenLight1: Indicates that the first traffic light is green.
- greenLight2: Indicates that the second traffic light is green.
- redLight1: Indicates that the first traffic light is red.
- redLight2: Indicates that the second traffic light is red.
-
queue: Acts as a synchronization mechanism ensuring controlled alternation between the two traffic lights.
-
Transitions:
- start: Initializes the system by placing tokens in greenLight1 and redLight2.
- toRed1: Moves a token from greenLight1 to redLight1, while placing a token in queue.
- toGreen2: Moves a token from redLight2 to greenLight2, requiring queue.
- toGreen1: Moves a token from queue and redLight1 to greenLight1.
- toRed2: Moves a token from greenLight2 to redLight2, placing a token back into queue.
- stop: Terminates the system by removing tokens from redLight1, queue, and redLight2, representing the system's end state.
petrinet ;start () -> greenLight1 redLight2 ;toRed1 greenLight1 -> queue redLight1 ;toGreen2 redLight2 queue -> greenLight2 ;toGreen1 queue redLight1 -> greenLight1 ;toRed2 greenLight2 -> redLight2 queue ;stop redLight1 queue redLight2 -> ()
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@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b
2025-05-12 20:27:54"Za sve one koji još uvek nisu u potpunosti razumeli kontroverzni Bitkoin, ovo je koncizni i informativni brzi kurs o novcu i kriptovalutama."
Bitkoin: Kraj novca kakvog poznajemo - IMDB
Prevod: SatoshiSan / @SSG_SatoshiSan
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@ 502ab02a:a2860397
2025-05-09 01:07:20ถ้าย้อนกลับไป 50 ปีก่อน ถ้าเฮียถามคำนี้กับลุงชาวนาคนหนึ่ง เขาคงหัวเราะแล้วตอบแบบไม่ต้องคิดว่า “ก็เจ้าของที่นาไงไอ้ทิด จะมีใครล่ะ?”
แต่พอมาในวันนี้ ถ้าเฮียถามคำเดิมในซูเปอร์มาร์เก็ต คงไม่มีใครกล้าตอบแบบนั้นอีกแล้ว เพราะแค่ในชั้นวางโยเกิร์ตเดียวกัน เฮียอาจเห็นยี่ห้อต่างกัน 10 ยี่ห้อ แต่ทั้งหมดอาจเป็นของบริษัทแม่เพียงเจ้าเดียว
ในศตวรรษที่ 21 อาหารไม่ใช่ของคนทำอาหาร แต่มันกลายเป็นของ บริษัทผู้ครอบครองข้อมูล พันธุกรรม และระบบการกระจายสินค้า โลกวันนี้ไม่ได้มีเกษตรกรล้อมวงเคี้ยวหมาก แต่มีบริษัทเทคโนโลยีจับมือกับนักลงทุนระดับโลก ถือครองเมล็ดพันธุ์ เป็นเจ้าของสิทธิบัตรจุลินทรีย์ในลำไส้ และมีอำนาจเสนอว่า “อาหารแบบไหนควรได้รับเงินสนับสนุนจากรัฐ”
บริษัทเทคโนโลยีในซิลิคอนแวลลีย์บางแห่ง ไม่ได้แค่ผลิตซอฟต์แวร์อีกต่อไป แต่เริ่มทำ "อาหารจากโค้ด" โปรตีนสังเคราะห์ที่ได้จากการแทรกยีน หรือแม้แต่ “อาหารจากคาร์บอนในอากาศ” ที่สร้างโดย AI เขาไม่ได้ปลูกข้าว แต่เขาเขียนสูตรให้เครื่องจักรสร้างอาหารในถัง
ใครมีสิทธิบัตร…คนนั้นคือเจ้าของ ใครควบคุมข้อมูลสุขภาพ…คนนั้นคือนายทุนแห่งความหิว และใครสามารถชี้นิ้วให้รัฐบาลเปลี่ยนนโยบายอาหารโรงเรียน…คนนั้นคือเจ้าของอนาคตของเด็กทั้งประเทศ
มันฟังดูเวอร์ใช่ไหม? แต่ลองดูดี ๆ…ใครเป็นเจ้าของฟาร์มหมู ฟาร์มไก่ โรงฆ่าสัตว์? หลายแห่งไม่ได้เป็นของชาวบ้านอีกต่อไป แต่เป็นของเครือบริษัทยักษ์ใหญ่ที่อยู่เบื้องหลังทั้งอาหารในซูเปอร์ และเม็ดวิตามินในกระปุกเฮียด้วย
ยิ่งไปกว่านั้น เจ้าของตัวจริงไม่ได้อยู่ในร้านของชำ แต่ซ่อนตัวอยู่ในบอร์ดบริหารบริษัทเกษตรข้ามชาติ ในเวทีประชุมเศรษฐกิจโลก และในห้องประชุมที่ตัดสินว่า “อาหารจากวัว” ควรถูกเก็บภาษีคาร์บอนเพิ่มหรือไม่
เมื่อก่อนเฮียเคยคิดว่า ถ้าเราปลูกผักเอง ก็คุมอาหารตัวเองได้ แต่พอระบบเริ่มขับไล่เมล็ดพันธุ์ดั้งเดิมให้สูญพันธุ์ ถ้าไม่มีใบอนุญาตปลูกพืช GMO หรือไม่มีเงินซื้อปุ๋ยจากบริษัทเดียวที่ยังอยู่รอด เกษตรกรจะเป็นเจ้าของอะไรกันแน่?
และคำว่า “อาหารอิสระ” ในยุคนี้ อาจไม่ใช่แค่การไม่พึ่งพาซูเปอร์ แต่มันคือ “การตื่นรู้ว่าใครเป็นคนจัดเกม และใครเป็นคนตั้งกฎ”
เพราะในยุคที่ทุกอย่างแปรรูปเป็นดิจิทัล แม้แต่อาหารก็อาจมีเจ้าของเพียงไม่กี่ราย และสิ่งที่น่ากลัวกว่าผูกขาด…คือการ “ผูกอนาคต” ของเราทั้งมื้อ
#pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr
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@ 6ad08392:ea301584
2025-05-12 20:22:09Satlantis is here!
Well…sort of. It’s a little pre-mature, but it’s good enough for you to play around with. I wouldn’t necessarily call it super ‘useful’ right now but I wanted you to get an early glimpse into what we’re building so you can see how it evolves over time.
And besides - we have to release a first version at some stage!
Satlantis is the first travel-centric social network. It’s quite different from anything else that came before it. It’s part map, part directory, part events app and part social network.
It really is a monumental undertaking - but I’m convinced now is the time to build it. People are ready for something new. They are tired of the algorithmic slop social media has become. They’re craving real connection and they want to see, touch, smell, hear and taste the world. What better way to help them do that, than with a network that connects them, andhelps enhance their discovery of places, experiences and events that are relevant to them (based both on their interests and social connections).
That’s what this product is all about. We’re going to do what Google Maps, Yelp, Instagram, TripAdvisor etc. are all partially doing - but make it 10x better.
The first Satlantis app is now available on Apple Testflight or the Google Play store. In the coming month or two, we will make Satlantis accessible via invitation-only, to increase the quality of connection and discourse on the app, but if you’re reading this now, you’re in before we gate it, you can explore and give us some feedback while we work on it.
I will write release notes like this every couple weeks covering what we built, what to test and play with, what’s working, what needs improvement, what’s downright shit or broken and what’s coming in the next release. (This first one is the longest because I delayed it so much.)
I’d love to hear your feedback, and if you find this interesting, please share it around so other people find out about what we’re building!
The Good
Mobile AppWe got a version out, and you can actually use it.
Nostr Compatible.
Every single account on Satlantis is an nPub. You can log into Satlantis using your nSec (not your nPub - we forgot to include that...lol), and you will find your entire social network and all of your posts there (if they are media notes). On the Web, you need to use an extension, like Alby or Keys.band. On mobile you can paste your key (stored locally on the device).
Normie Friendly.
We also built a smooth non-nostr focused sign up flow. We originally used the nSec bunker, but that was a mess (love u Pablo). So we built our own nSec bunker, but that sucked too. Passwords are old school. After interviewing 100 people not into Bitcoin or Nostr, 95% of them preferred us to store their key. So…we took that feedback and created a really easy email + magic link, Google and Apple SSO sign up flow, that creates an account and Nostr keypair that we store on their behalf, encrypted.
If and when people work out what Nostr is and they want to take custody of their key, they will be able to export their key, and request deletion of their key from our DB.
Is this the most ‘pure’ solution? No. Does this mean they have to trust us? Sure. Could we do it better at some point? Yes, of course. But considering the number of mission critical features we need to build, we’ll come back to it later.
We currently only support Kind 1 events.
Well…we also support NIP-52 calendar events, but we’ve disconnected that for the time being because event organisers wanted co-hosts more than they wanted to broadcast their events on Nostr. We’re working on a way to reconcile the two. For now, post text & images. (Video coming soon).
Interest-centric onboarding.
We spent a lot of time building this. One of the key pillars at Satlantis is discovering people, places, events and content suited to you. As we dug down the personalisation rabbithole, we found that there is a resurgence of interest-selection in many apps: from Tinder to new apps like Locals and Timeleft. The more focused on personalisation the app is, the more in-depth the onboarding.
Of course Meta and TikTok do the best personalisation with their advanced ML & AI tools, along with their deep social graphs, but since we have neither (Nostr helps but it’s still very small), we needed a better way.
So we decided to build our interest-graph. It was brain-melting, but we developed a pretty exhaustive set of interests relevant to people in our target market. We then took that list and associated it to events, merchants, people, places, experiences, activities and content. We then built a whole new onboarding flow to capture this from new users, and associate it to their accounts. (Yes - at some stage, we’ll make this Nostr compatible so it can travel with nPubs)
The net result is a base layer of insight we can use to help surface things that are of interest to users. Whether it’s an event, a place to eat, a gym or sauna, content to engage with or people to meet: like magic, things that are relevant to you will come to you.
Of course, in the long term we will use your social graph and the way you interact with content to do this - more like Meta and TikTok do - but for now, while the social graph is tiny, this is the most efficient and effective way.
Final word: the current version has all the interests - but it’s not very user-friendly. The latest design fixes that by grouping the interests into better subcategories. Keep an eye on that in a subsequent release.
New Merchant Discovery Experience.
This was also a monumental task. Our first merchant experience was just a shitty map with a list on web, and just a list on mobile (see below). This list was ranked by an “aggregate rating” we computed by analysing all the venue’s ratings from apps like Google, Trip Advisor and more.
We spent a long time trying to figure out how to display this better and do it in a way nobody else is, because seriously -can you think of a single food app or merchant map out there which has a nice UI or UX? No.
AirBnB transformed the UI & UX for accommodation and pushed the whole space forward. Nobody has really done it for every other kind of place you go to. So we took it up ourselves to fix this and create a proper “merchant discovery experience” with an information-dense location tile. Check this out:
Notice how we managed to get all the key information you need about a place there on the one tile, including who in your social circle has recommended it. That’s the key ingredient which makes Satlantis special. No more messaging friends or people you know “hey - have you been to that place” or “do you recommend that place”?
One small issue here is that this upgrade will kill the map…but only for a couple weeks, until we release the new map view!
Merchant coverage
Our merchant app covers SIX distinct categories:
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Cafes & Restaurants
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Health & Wellness (think Gyms, Spas, Saunas, etc)
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Attractions (from Museums, to lookouts to beaches & hikes)
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Grocery & Specialty Foods (think Organic food store, farmers markets, etc)
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Coworking & Event Spaces
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Nightlife (Bars, Clubs, etc)
We scoured the web for the best curated lists and directories for each of these categories. This in Bitcoin accepted (everything relevant from BTCMaps - because we’re also built on Open Street Maps, so it’s synced up), Seed Oil Free (everything from Local Fats & Seed Oil Scout is here), Michelin Star rated, Real Milk (Raw Milk directory) and more.
Alongside all of these directories, our network of local ambassadors have submitted their top local picks for their favorite cities, so you have real local recommendations.
The destinations with the best maps are currently Canggu, Uvita, Prague, Sao Paulo, Dubai, Florianópolis.
Suggest Places & Merchants
This is working quite nicely. Anyone, anywhere can now suggest their favorite merchant. For now, we’re manually approving submissions daily to avoid spam and irrelevant shit. In time, we’ll find a better way to do this.
It’s all plugged into the Google API, so you can just type in the name of the place you think should be added (from mobile or web here). Once approved, our AI pipeline goes to work gathering all the available data from Google, TripAdvisor and elsewhere to set up the merchant profile, complete with review summaries, images, profile bio, contact details, opening hours, tags and more.
Got more upgrades to this flow in the works, but it’s ready for you to try out now.
City Pages
The current city pages are part of an outdated design which doesn’t fit our new visual language, but they are a ‘live’ feature. The original idea was to blend elements of Pinterest and Instagram but it backfired so we are changing to a more slick one-column feed. That being said, the core features of the city pages work. You can:
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Join a city (like joining a community or following the page)
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Post content on the city page
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Navigate over to the different available pages, including merchants, events, scores and stats + facts
We have 80 cities currently available. More to come.
Scores, Stats & Facts
When we set out to first build Satlantis, we wanted to improve on the information NomadList was presenting for cities & destinations around the world. So we developed a different approach for city scoring based not only on data we could get from Numbeo, etc - but also information direct from people on the ground - in particular; expats and locals.
We put together a set of score categories and created a dedicated survey for select people to fill out, which would create some “foundation” scores, with a view to have this survey available to the crowd, perhaps via a score voting system or some sort on the page. We haven’t got that far yet. Right now, we have foundation scores for each of those 80 active cities, along with key Stats and Facts, like cost of living, wifi speed, water drinkability, and more:
This is not a core feature for us, so we will look to partner with other providers to enhance the experience, or we’ll completely re-think how we’re going to do it. Stay tuned for more here and let me know if you find it useful at all right now (or not).
Events
Last but not least, we have events! God dammit this was annoying because we built it NIP-52 compatible in the beginning, which then limited what we could do with co-hosts and other essential event features. And all for nothing since there are no other well built or maintained calendar-event clients on Nostr anyway.
So right now, when you post an event on Satlantis, it will post only on Satlantis. This means that as a host, you can edit, add co-hosts, add locations (proper merchant tiles) and delete.
We will make this Nostr-compatible again, most likely with some sort of button for hosts to “broadcast this event to Nostr” - knowing they will lose some flexibility once they do - but we need to do more research here. Maybe we’ll propose an upgrade to the calendar event NIP (or propose a new NIP altogether). It’s on our roadmap, so we’ll do our best to get to it soon.
Meetup integration.
We’ve been working with the Meetup API to let organizers quickly import their events into Satlantis. It’s been frustratingly complex because of how archaic they are, but we got it working!
🚀 If you run a Meetup, and want to automatically have your events listed on Satlantis when you list them on meetup,reach out! We’ll even cover the Meetup membership fee for 10 meetup groups who set up auto-importing for their events. If you’re interested, reach out to us.
The Bad
These things are currently bad, broken, incorrectly built or buggy. Believe me, if the list was exhaustive, this essay would be a book (our internal list is very full) - so I’m just going to touch on the main things we’re aware of and will be fixing…or just letting it burn slowly while we put out other fires.
Personal content feed
We started Satlantis with a media-only approach, taking inspiration from Instagram. We changed course a couple months ago to support text only posts, realizing there were a lot of other things people would like to post about travel, for example: guides, restaurants, reviews, tips, events, instructions, recommendations.
So…we started supporting this on the feed, and in the “post content” flow - but of course, not yet supported in the Profile view (which is still an image grid). This means if you post text only, you’re not going to see your own post on Satlantis 🤣🤣
To fix this, we’re building a “personal feed” section on your profile. But…that will come after we polish some of the things above, so if you’re posting on Satlantis right now, photos please!!
Video content
This one hurts too. We currently neither render videos from other clients, nor do we support video uploads on Satlantis. Not because we don’t want to, but because we haven’t got to it. This is high on the priority list and will be fixed in the upcoming releases.
Settings & Edit profile
We forgot to add “edit username” 🤣
This is being added now, along with a settings section where you can get your nPub and things like that. We’ll keep it very basic for now.
Notifications
Holy crap. These really suck. There is no other way to put it. The design is not great, the experience is buggy as hell and syncing notifications from the broader Nostr network doesn’t make life any easier. We’ll be making incremental improvements here (for a long time I guess).
Limited social graph functionality.
Right now, there’s not much social-dynamics beyond the feed. This will expand and begin to influence more than just content, but also merchants, events, people, activities, etc.
Speed issues.
Feed and profile loading times are sluggish and need performance improvements. Ongoing.
Large Destinations are problematic.
How do you rate a massive city like São Paulo as a single entity? Well….you can’t. Eventually, we’ll break major cities into regions, but that’s a big project for later.
For now, when you see scores, stats and facts, assume we’re covering the most relevant traveler-friendly areas (e.g., Jardins in São Paulo, Palermo in Buenos Aires, etc).
The Ugly
There is really only one new ‘feature’ to complete before we apply a feature freeze and continue on to polish everything. This and the other items listed will be available in the next release or two, so that the overall experience is a little more…beautiful.
Chat.
We wanted to do NIP-17, but considering that (a) most of the major apps are still NIP-04, (b) BTCPrague is around the corner and (c) limited resources, we chose to do a NIP-04 implementation for this first version. Not ideal, but good enough. Chat will continue to improve, not only with a NIP-17 upgrade, but with other features like chat folders, group chats, GIFs and more.
Polish List
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Merchant Experience: Web and mobile updates
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Merchant List: More cool places being uploaded
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Events: New display, RSVP flow, co-host notifications, merchant integration
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Onboarding: Updated interests tags & flow
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Scores: Updates to Cost of Living & overall score weights
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Notifications: A lot of improvement here
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Feed: Text only posts, video uploads & rendering videos from other clients
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City Page: New design and functionalities
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Zaps: Yes. We will have Zaps.
Final Words
We have our work cut out for us!
We will be at BTCPrague in June and we are committed to releasing all of these features and components by then…as polished as possible.
The team and I have a couple of asks:
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Download the app, and either create a new account or if you’re on Nostr, log in with your existing Nostr key (web requires an extension like Alby)
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Go through the interests, and select those that are most relevant to you. The magic of the app happens as a function of how accurately you select those.
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Post some content! Could be a photo introducing yourself or a “Good Morning” or whatever. Make sure you tag @Satlantis or @Svetski and I’ll boost you.
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Check out the merchants in the top cities & see what’s around. The city with the most merchants right now is Florianopolis, but we have some coverage in many other cities
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If you run a meetup or attend a regular Bitcoin meetup, let the organisers know, and let’s start to bring meetups and events across. Not asking anyone to ‘leave’ meetup now, but come and sync up your account so events are auto-published. \ As we make the events feature more robust (and Bitcoin native), every Bitcoin meetup in the world is going to want to come use this. If you’re early, you can help us shape it!
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Let a couple of friends know about the app - ideally those who are not yet on Nostr - and ask them to try it out. They can sign up with email or SSO if they’re afraid to store their own key.
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Like I said in the beginning, at some point in the next month or so, it will become an invite-only app. We will grandfather all existing users in, but new people will need an invite code (from existing users or via codes I drop into release notes and articles) to access it. \ \ The goal of this approach is to (a) increase the quality of connection amongst people on Satlantis, and (b) try a new way of growing a Nostr-based app.
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Finally…we’ve decided to do an equity crowdfund. So if you find what we’re doing interesting and want to be a part of it, you’ll have a chance from June onwards. More to follow on this in the coming weeks. It will be on Timestamp Financial - Bitcoin crowdfunding platform - so go check them out.
Thank you again for your attention - I do not take it lightly. This is just the start, so expect to see ALOT more from us in the way of updates and shipping (plus these updates will be shooter).
Make sure you subscribe to this newsletter if you’re reading on Substack, or follow me if you’re on Nostr, Medium or wherever else you’re reading it.
Aleksandar Svetski
Thanks for reading Social 2.0! Subscribe for free to receive new posts & stay up to date with what we’re building & learning along the way.
When the app goes into “Invite Only” mode, you will need a special invite code to access it, unless you’ve already got an account. For now, it’s open access.
If you're already on Nostr, you're already on Satlantis. Just use an extension to securely log in with your nSec (on web), or with your nSec on mobile.
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@ 6c05c73e:c4356f17
2025-05-12 20:05:36Já pensou em investir no Brasil, mas se sentiu intimidado pela volatilidade da Bovespa e as notícias de escândalos? E se eu te dissesse que existe uma maneira de expor seu portfólio ao mercado brasileiro, investindo em dólar, diretamente da bolsa de valores de Nova York?
Bem-vindo ao mundo do EWZ, o ETF (Exchange Traded Fund) que replica o índice MSCI Brazil 25/50, oferecendo uma janela para as maiores e médias empresas do Brasil. Se você está buscando diversificar seus investimentos e explorar mercados emergentes, o EWZ pode ser a sua resposta.
O Que Exatamente é o EWZ?
O EWZ é o ticker symbol do iShares MSCI Brazil ETF. Pense nele como um pacote de ações brasileiras negociado na bolsa de valores americana. Ele espelha o desempenho do índice MSCI Brazil 25/50, o que significa que, ao investir no EWZ, você está, indiretamente, investindo em uma cesta diversificada das principais empresas do Brasil.
Por Que Investir no Brasil via ETF?
Você já pensou em investir no Brasil? Mas ouve sempre falar desses riscos da Bovespa e vários escândalos?
Portanto, saiba que existe uma forma de investir no Brasil em dólar. Usando a bolsa de valores de Nova Iorque. Isso mesmo, você pode abrir uma conta em corretora estrangeira e investir no Brasil via ETF.
O ETF que replica a Bovespa (Bolsa de valores de São Paulo) é o EWZ. Esse índice replica o Ibovespa e reflete nele o peso das maiores empresas brasileiras, tais como:
- Diversificação em Dólar: Invista em empresas brasileiras sem precisar se preocupar com a flutuação do real. Seus investimentos são feitos em dólar, protegendo você das variações cambiais.
- Acesso Facilitado: Negocie o EWZ diretamente da sua corretora americana, sem a necessidade de abrir contas no Brasil ou lidar com burocracias locais.
- Diversificação Instantânea: Ao comprar EWZ, você está comprando uma fatia de várias empresas líderes no Brasil, reduzindo o risco de concentrar seus investimentos em uma única empresa ou setor.
Números Que Falam Por Si
Vamos aos dados concretos que mostram a solidez do EWZ:
- Taxa de Administração: 0.59% a.a.
- Patrimônio Líquido Sob Gestão: $3.6 bilhões em ativos. Isso indica uma boa popularidade do ativo.
- Volume de negociação diário: Em média $24 milhões, o que garante boa liquidez e baixas taxas.
- Dividendos: 7.33% a.a. Distribuído semestralmente.
Qualitativo
- Com mais de 200 milhões de habitantes, o Brasil tem um dos maiores mercados consumidores do mundo. Isso representa uma demanda interna robusta e potencial para uma vasta gama de produtos e serviços.
- O país é extremamente rico em recursos naturais, incluindo minérios (ferro, bauxita, etc.), petróleo, gás natural e vastas áreas agricultáveis. Além disso, tem um potencial enorme e já desenvolvido em energias renováveis (hídrica, solar, eólica, biomassa).
- O Brasil é um líder global na produção e exportação de diversos produtos agrícolas (soja, milho, café, açúcar, carne bovina, frango). Há contínuo potencial para ganhos de produtividade e agregação de valor na cadeia.
- O Brasil desenvolveu um ecossistema de startups vibrante, especialmente no setor de fintechs, onde é referência global em inovação (ex: Pix, Open Banking). Há também crescimento em agrotechs, healthtechs e outras áreas. O grande mercado consumidor digital impulsiona esse setor.
Técnica
- O ativo teve uma queda vertiginosa. No entanto, desde Dezembro de 2024 vem apresentando uma melhora no comportamento. Isso, pode sugerir que há uma boa margem para comprar com "desconto". Visto que, o volume comprador tem sido intenso desde o inicío de Abril de 2025.
FAQ
O que significa a sigla EWZ?
A sigla EWZ é o ticker symbol (código de negociação em bolsa) do iShares MSCI Brazil ETF.
Portanto, EWZ não é uma sigla de um nome por extenso, mas sim o código usado para identificar e negociar este fundo específico (ETF) nas bolsas de valores dos Estados Unidos (como a NYSE Arca). Este ETF busca replicar o desempenho do índice MSCI Brazil 25/50, que representa as maiores e médias empresas brasileiras.
Qual é a composição do EWZ?
AS 10 Maiores Posições (na data de hoje):
- Nu Holdings (NU): \~9.3% - 9.8% (Setor Financeiro)
- Vale (VALE3): \~8.5% - 9.5% (Setor de Materiais)
- Itaú Unibanco (ITUB4): \~7.9% - 8.6% (Setor Financeiro)
- Petrobras PN (PETR4): \~6.2% - 8.0% (Setor de Energia)
- Petrobras ON (PETR3): \~5.5% - 7.3% (Setor de Energia)
- WEG (WEGE3): \~3.9% - 4.2% (Setor Industrial)
- B3 (B3SA3): \~3.4% - 3.7% (Setor Financeiro)
- Banco Bradesco (BBDC4): \~3.0% - 3.6% (Setor Financeiro)
- Ambev (ABEV3): \~2.9% - 3.4% (Setor de Consumo Essencial/Staples)
- Sabesp (SBSP3) ou Eletrobras (ELET3): Geralmente na 10ª posição, com peso entre \~2.5% - 2.8% (Setor de Utilidade Pública)
Sobre nós
Investir não precisa ser um bicho de sete cabeças! Na Threedolar, democratizamos o acesso ao mundo dos investimentos, oferecendo conteúdo claro e prático. Comece hoje mesmo a construir seu futuro financeiro!
Disclaimer
Nada do que eu escrever aqui é recomendação de investimentos ou chamada para compra e venda. Tire suas próprias conclusões e veja o que é melhor para você. Resultados passados não são garantia de resultados futuros. Cuide do seu dinheiro, pois ninguém o fará para você.
Referências
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@ 1893da11:a9bd4471
2025-05-08 14:42:20Introduction: The Challenge of Bitcoin-Secured Loans
Bitcoin holders often face a dilemma: they need liquidity but don't want to sell their assets, potentially missing out on future gains or triggering taxable events. Bitcoin-secured loans offer a solution, allowing users to borrow cash (like digital dollars) using their Bitcoin as collateral. However, the current landscape is fraught with challenges. Many existing solutions require users to trust centralized entities or involve complex mechanisms like wrapping Bitcoin, exposing them to significant risks:
- Custodial Risk: Handing over your Bitcoin to a third party means trusting they won't lose it, misuse it, or become insolvent. Billions have been lost this way.
- Smart Contract Risk: Platforms built on chains like Ethereum rely on complex smart contracts, which can contain bugs or vulnerabilities exploitable by hackers.
- Oracle Risk: Loan systems need reliable price feeds (oracles) to manage collateral. Centralized or manipulatable oracles can lead to unfair liquidations.
- Privacy Risk: Loan details and transactions are often publicly visible on the blockchain.
- Complexity and Cost: Existing processes can be slow, require extensive documentation, and involve high fees.
There's a clear need for a better way – one that is simple, reliable, and minimizes trust. This is where the Lava Loans Protocol comes in.
What is Lava Loans?
In simple terms, Lava Loans provides a way to borrow digital dollars using your native Bitcoin as collateral, directly from your own vault. It's designed to be:
- Simple & Fast: Get a loan in seconds with minimal questions asked.
- Low-Cost & Flexible: Offers competitive rates, dynamic fee structures, and allows borrowing any amount.
- Reliable & Trust-Minimized: Leverages Bitcoin's own capabilities to reduce reliance on intermediaries and enhance security.
How Lava Loans Addresses the Risks
Lava tackles the common pitfalls of crypto loans head-on:
- Eliminating Custodial Risk: Instead of transferring your Bitcoin to a custodian or wrapping it, Lava uses native Bitcoin locked directly on the Bitcoin network within a special type of contract. This prevents rehypothecation and loss through hacks or confiscation.
- Minimizing Smart Contract Risk: Lava utilizes Bitcoin smart contracts, also known as Discreet Log Contracts (DLCs). These are designed to be less complex and more secure than many general-purpose smart contracts, with outcomes pre-defined and formally verified.
- Reducing Oracle Risk: Users choose their own off-chain, blinded oracles (called Sibyls) for price data, with enhanced redundancy to ensure reliability. Off-chain attestations avoid high fees and miner manipulation risks associated with on-chain oracles. Blinded oracles provide price data without knowing the specific contract they influence, preventing targeted attacks.
- Enhancing Privacy: Because DLCs operate differently from typical public smart contracts, the details of the loan contract are not broadcast publicly on the Bitcoin blockchain.
- Trustless Initiation & Repayment: Atomic swaps ensure that collateral only moves to the contract once the loan is received, and collateral is automatically returned upon verified repayment.
The Magic Ingredients: DLCs and Sibyls Oracles
Two core technologies make Lava Loans unique:
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Discreet Log Contracts (DLCs): Think of a DLC as a pre-programmed Bitcoin transaction agreed upon by the borrower and lender. Before the loan starts, they define all possible outcomes (e.g., repayment, liquidation at a specific price, expiry) and create encrypted signatures for each. The Bitcoin collateral is locked in a multisig output controlled by these pre-signed transactions. Only the conditions agreed upon (verified by oracle signatures) can unlock the funds according to the pre-defined rules. This offers:
- Security: Formally verified, pre-defined outcomes minimize bug risk.
- Privacy: Contract details remain off-chain.
- Scalability: Minimal on-chain footprint as execution logic is off-chain.
- Customization: Users can choose their own oracles and LTV thresholds.
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Sibyls Oracles: These are the independent price feed providers for Lava. Key characteristics include:
- Off-Chain: Attestations happen off-chain, avoiding blockchain fees and manipulation.
- User-Chosen: Borrowers select the oracles they trust for each loan.
- Blinded: Oracles provide signed price data without knowing the specific DLC it applies to, enhancing security.
- Redundant: Multiple oracles can be configured to provide fallback price feeds, reducing the risk of oracle failure.
System Overview
Here's a high-level look at the components involved in the Lava Loans ecosystem:
[ Borrower ] --(locks Bitcoin)--> [ DLC Contract (Bitcoin) ] [ Lender ] --(sends stablecoins)--> [ Alt-Chain Contract (Solana) ] [ Oracles ] --(provides price)--> [ DLC Contract (Bitcoin) ] [ Borrower ] --(repays loan)--> [ Alt-Chain Contract (Solana) ] [ Lender ] --(claims collateral)--> [ DLC Contract (Bitcoin) ]
The Lava Loan Lifecycle
A loan progresses through several states:
- Initialized: A trustless atomic swap occurs. The borrower locks Bitcoin collateral into the DLC on the Bitcoin network, and the lender locks the loan capital (e.g., digital dollars on a network like Solana using HTLCs) which the borrower then claims.
- Active: The collateral is secured in the DLC, and the borrower has the loan capital. The Lava Protocol monitors the loan-to-value (LTV) ratio using price data from the chosen Sibyls oracles, with customizable LTV thresholds for greater flexibility.
- Terminated: The loan concludes in one of several ways:
- Repaid: The borrower repays the loan capital plus interest on the loan asset network, with dynamic fees adjusting based on network conditions. Upon verification, the DLC automatically releases the Bitcoin collateral back to the borrower.
- Liquidated: If the Bitcoin price drops and the LTV reaches a pre-determined threshold (now more flexible to avoid premature liquidations), the DLC automatically releases the collateral to the lender.
- Expired: If the loan term ends before repayment, the DLC releases an amount equivalent to the principal plus interest to the lender, and the remaining collateral is returned to the borrower.
- Fail-safe: In rare cases of unresponsive oracles, redundant Sibyls oracles and built-in mechanisms ensure collateral is not permanently lost.
Loan Process Sequence
The following diagram illustrates the typical sequence of events in a Lava Loan:
1. Borrower --> DLC: Create loan contract with collateral 2. Lender --> Alt-Chain: Fund loan with stablecoins 3. Borrower --> Alt-Chain: Receive and use stablecoins 4. (If repayment) 4a. Borrower --> Alt-Chain: Repay loan 4b. Lender --> Alt-Chain: Confirm repayment 4c. Borrower --> DLC: Claim collateral 5. (If liquidation) 5a. Oracle --> DLC: Provide price attestation 5b. Lender --> DLC: Claim collateral 6. (If expiry) 6a. Borrower/Lender --> DLC: Split collateral
Lava Loans vs. Other Bitcoin Lending Platforms: A Quick Comparison
How does Lava stack up against typical DeFi lending protocols and other Bitcoin lending platforms like Unchained, Strike, and Coinbase?
| Feature | Lava Loans (Bitcoin) | Typical Ethereum DeFi | Unchained | Strike | Coinbase | | :------------------- | :---------------------------------------------------- | :-------------------------------------------------------- | :---------------------------------------------------- | :---------------------------------------------------- | :---------------------------------------------------- | | Collateral | Native Bitcoin | Often Wrapped Bitcoin (wBTC) or other assets | Native Bitcoin | Native Bitcoin | Native Bitcoin | | Contract Type | Discreet Log Contracts (DLCs) - Pre-agreed, Private | Smart Contracts - Public, Complex, Run on EVM | 2/3 Multisig Vaults | Custodial Contracts | Custodial Contracts | | Security | Aims for higher security via simpler, pre-set DLCs | Can be complex, potential for bugs/exploits | Secure via multisig, but relies on key holders | Custodial, less transparent | Custodial, less transparent | | Privacy | Higher privacy (contract details off-chain) | Lower privacy (contract interactions often public) | Moderate privacy (multisig details on-chain) | Lower privacy (custodial model) | Lower privacy (custodial model) | | Oracles | User-chosen, Off-chain, Blinded (Sibyls) | Often On-chain, potentially manipulatable | Not applicable (manual monitoring) | Centralized oracles | Centralized oracles | | Trust | Designed to minimize trust in intermediaries | Often requires trust in custodians, bridges, or protocols | Moderate trust (key holders could collude) | Higher trust (custodial, opaque practices) | Higher trust (custodial, opaque practices) | | Rehypothecation | No rehypothecation, verifiable on-chain via DLCs | Possible, depends on protocol | No rehypothecation, secured by multisig | Opaque, likely rehypothecated | Opaque, likely rehypothecated | | Interest Rates | Competitive, typically lower due to non-custodial model | Varies, often 5-10% for wBTC loans | 11-14% for non-rehypothecated loans | 12-13% (implies rehypothecation) | ~5-6% (implies rehypothecation) |
Lava leverages Bitcoin’s native capabilities and a specific oracle design to prioritize security, privacy, and trust minimization. Unlike Unchained, which uses a 2/3 multisig where two key holders could potentially collude, Lava’s DLCs ensure cryptographic proof of non-rehypothecation, verifiable on-chain in real time. Strike and Coinbase, being custodial, lack transparency about rehypothecation practices, with market rates suggesting they rehypothecate collateral. The v3 protocol introduces dynamic fee adjustments and more flexible LTV thresholds, reducing premature liquidations and optimizing costs based on network conditions.
Conclusion
Lava Loans presents a compelling option for those seeking liquidity against their Bitcoin holdings without sacrificing security or control. By utilizing Discreet Log Contracts, a user-centric, blinded oracle system (Sibyls) with enhanced redundancy, and new features like dynamic fees and flexible LTV thresholds, Lava provides a simple, reliable, and trust-minimized borrowing experience. These advancements directly address the major pain points found in many existing centralized and decentralized lending platforms.
References
- Maredia, Shehzan. "Lava Loans". Lava Blog, April 9, 2025. https://www.lava.xyz/blog/lava-loans
- https://github.com/lava-xyz/loans-paper/blob/main/loans_v3.pdf
- https://github.com/lava-xyz/sibyls
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@ b04082ac:29b5c55b
2025-05-08 14:35:02Money has always been more than a medium of exchange. It reflects what societies value, how they organize trust, and what they choose to remember. This article explores the idea that money functions as a form of collective memory, and how Bitcoin may be restoring this role in a new way.
The Asante Example
In the Asante Empire, which flourished in West Africa during the 18th and 19th centuries, gold dust served as the primary medium of exchange. To measure it, traders used ornate spoons made of brass. These spoons were often carved with birds, animals, or abstract symbols. They were not currency themselves, but tools used to handle gold dust accurately.
Importantly, these spoons also carried meaning. Symbols and proverbs embedded in the spoons conveyed lessons about honesty, community, and continuity. For example, the Sankofa bird, shown turning its head backward to retrieve an egg from its back, represented the proverb, “It is not wrong to go back for that which you have forgotten.” This was a reminder to learn from the past.
The spoons reflect an understanding that money and its instruments are not just practical tools. They are cultural artifacts that store shared values. In the Asante context, even measurement was ritualized and tied to ethics and memory.
Money as a Cultural Medium
This connection between money and cultural meaning is not unique to the Asante Empire. Modern fiat currencies also carry symbols, phrases, and designs that reflect national identity and political values.
The U.S. dollar includes Latin phrases and national symbols meant to convey stability and purpose. The British pound features royal iconography, reinforcing the idea of continuity and sovereignty. When the euro was introduced, it deliberately avoided specific national references. Itsdesign used bridges and windowsto suggest openness and cooperation across the continent.
These design choices show that societies still embed meaning into their money. Even in a digital or fiat context, money is used to transmit a story about who we are, where authority lies, and what we value.
The Fragility of Fiat Memory
While fiat money carries cultural symbols, the narratives behind those symbols can be fragile.
In 2021, the central bank of the Philippines removed democratic leaders from its banknotes,triggering public criticism. In the United States, attempts to replace Andrew Jackson with Harriet Tubman on the $20 billfaced repeated delays. These examples show how political control over money includes control over what stories are told and remembered.
Unlike objects passed down through generations, fiat memory can be edited or erased. In this sense, it is vulnerable. The meaning encoded in fiat systems can shift depending on who holds power.
Bitcoin as a New Form of Memory
Bitcoin is described as digital money. But it also introduces a different model of how societies can record value and preserve meaning.
The Bitcoin network launched in 2009 with a small message embedded in its first block: “Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks.” This was a reference to a newspaper headline that day and a clear sign of protest against financial bailouts, centralized monetary policy, and forever wars.
This moment marked the beginning of a system where memory is stored differently. Instead of relying on governments or institutions, Bitcoin stores its history on a public ledger maintained by a decentralized network of participants. Its memory is not symbolic or political; it is structural. Every transaction, every block, is preserved through time-stamped computation and consensus.
No single authority can change it. The rules are clear and publicly auditable. In this way, Bitcoin offers a version of money where memory is both neutral and resilient.
Cultural Expression and Community Values
Even though Bitcoin lacks the traditional symbols found on banknotes, it has developed its own culture. Phrases like “Don’t trust, verify” or “Stay humble, stack sats” are shared widely in the Bitcoin community. These ideas reflect a focus on self-responsibility, verification, and long-term thinking.
These proverbs can be compared to the carved messages on the Asante spoons. While the contexts are very different, the underlying idea is similar: a community using language and symbols to reinforce its shared values.
Bitcoin also has a well established and growing art scene. Bitcoin conferences often feature dedicated sections for art inspired by the protocol and its culture. Statues of Satoshi Nakamoto have been installed in cities like Budapest, Lugano, and Fornelli. These physical works reflect the desire to link Bitcoin’s abstract values to something tangible.
Looking Back to Look Forward
The Asante example helps us see that money has long been tied to memory and meaning. Their spoons were practical tools but also cultural anchors. Bitcoin, while new and digital, may be playing a similar role.
Instead of relying on political symbols or national myths, Bitcoin uses code, transparency, and global consensus to create trust. In doing so, it offers a way to preserve economic memory that does not depend on power or politics.
It’s still early to know what kind of legacy Bitcoin will leave. But if it succeeds, it may not just change how money works. It may also change how civilizations remember.
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@ a296b972:e5a7a2e8
2025-05-12 16:52:30Wo sind der 1. Stock, das Erdgeschoss und der Keller? Das Dach ist noch zu bauen. Das Haus zum unerklärlichen Krieg ist unfertig. Der Bau wurde schon viel früher begonnen, aber die westlichen Medien behaupten das Gegenteil oder verschweigen es. Eine Vorgeschichte darf es nicht geben.
Am Ukraine-Krieg sieht man, dass ein Konflikt, der entgegen den Behauptungen der Propaganda-Maschine nicht erst im Februar 2022 angefangen hat, wie lange es dauert, bis wieder Verhältnisse zustande kommen, die eine Befriedung ermöglichen. Das Ringen darum ist hoffentlich endlich in die Zielgerade eingelaufen und man findet besser gestern als heute eine Lösung. So viele Menschenleben auf beiden Seiten hat dieser Wahnsinn bislang gekostet. Am Ende, wofür? Die Verwirrung bleibt bis zuletzt, denn einerseits treibt der US-amerikanische Präsident die Friedensbemühungen maßgeblich voran, andererseits werden von US-amerikanischer Seite mutmaßlich die Waffenlieferungen fortgesetzt und Starlink nicht abgeschaltet, was erheblich zum abrupten Beenden des sinnlosen Sterbens beitragen würde.
Verträge sind zu erfüllen? Sicherung der US-amerikanischen Interessen? Druckmittel auf Russland? Und Europa? Europa, vor allem Deutschland, Frankreich und Großbritannien geben weiterhin den Geisterfahrer und haben immer noch nicht mitbekommen, dass sie in der Beilegung des Ukraine-Kriegs nicht das geringste zu sagen haben. Sie spielen sich aber auf, als hätten sie und machen „einen auf dicke Hose“. Murmeln werden als Eier verkauft.
Etwas aus dem Fokus der Neuen Medien gerät dabei der immer noch wütende Krieg im Gaza-Streifen mit einer israelischen Planier-Raupe, dessen Vorgeschichte noch länger ist, als die, die zum Ukraine-Krieg geführt hat. Rund 80 Jahre, aber auch hier eigentlich noch länger. Man kann sich vorstellen, wie lange es hier dauern wird, bis sich sichere, friedliche Verhältnisse einstellen können.
Wer kann sicher sein, wer nimmt sich das Recht heraus zu behaupten, wer entscheidet darüber, dass sich Zustände, wie im 3. Reich, die Verfolgung und Vernichtung einer Minderheit, damals die Juden, nicht wiederholen kann? Seitdem das geschehen ist, hat sich der Großteil der Menschheit keinen Millimeter weiterentwickelt.
Wenn gerade Deutsche Anzeichen für eine Wiederholung dieser tief-dunklen Zeit zu erkennen glauben, derzeit in dem, wie der israelische Staat mit dem Gaza-Streifen verfährt, dann ist das keine Verharmlosung der Gräueltaten im 3. Reich, sondern der Beweis dafür, dass es doch einige gibt, die aus der Geschichte gelernt haben, und die der Meinung sind, dass sich so etwas niemals mehr wiederholen darf.
Um auf einen Genozid hinzuweisen, muss jeder Vergleich möglich und erlaubt sein. Es geht um eine Mehrzahl von Menschen, von Familien, die einfach nur in Frieden leben wollen! Ungeachtet der Tatsache, dass es auf beiden Seiten Kräfte gibt, die das nicht interessiert.
Besonders tragisch wird es, wenn dieser Genozid augenscheinlich ausgerechnet von denen ausgeht, die selbst so schrecklich davon betroffen waren.
Wie kann sich der deutsche Staat erdreisten, diejenigen als Anti-Semiten zu bezeichnen, die hier Merkmale eines Genozids zu erkennen glauben und versuchen, diese kritischen Stimmen zu unterdrücken, „nur“, weil es sich um den Staat Israel handelt, der hier als Täter infrage kommt. Auch der Staat Israel hat keinen Freibrief, die Bevölkerung im Gaza-Streifen nach seinen Vorstellungen und Überzeugungen abzurasieren.
Ein Genozid ist ein Genozid, egal von welcher Regierung eines Landes er begangen wird.
Der Staat Israel ist keine Ausnahme! Im Gegenteil. Aufgrund der Erfahrung seines Volkes müsste es die Menschlichkeit gebieten, dass derartiger Völkermord nie wieder geschieht.
Weiter müsste der Begriff Anti-Semitismus einmal genau unter die Lupe genommen werden, was wer aus welchen Gründen darunter versteht. Man kann den Eindruck gewinnen, dass dieser Begriff vor allem als Totschlagargument verwendet wird, um kritische Stimmen mundtot zu machen. Besonders bei diesem heiklen Thema wäre absolute Akkuratesse dringend notwendig.
Es ist die Pflicht eines jeden, der Kritik an den Zuständen üben will, nicht zu verallgemeinern.
Nicht alle israelischen Staatsbürger sind Netanjahu-Anhänger (das zeigen die Demonstrationen), nicht alle Juden sind Zionisten, nicht einmal alle Zionisten sind Juden.
Und sicher sind auf der Gaza-Seite ebenfalls nicht nur „Engel“ unterwegs!
Beide Lager haben rund 80 Jahre Zeit gehabt, den gegenseitigen Hass durch gegenseitige Provokationen aufzubauen und ihn immer wieder sich entladen zu lassen.
Dieser unermessliche Hass kann nur über Generationen hinweg wieder abgebaut werden.
Wenn es jemals eine ernste Absicht gegeben hätte, eine 2-Staaten-Lösung zu realisieren, wäre diese schon längst in die Tat umgesetzt worden. Wenn jedoch der politische Wille dazu fehlt, vor allem auf der Seite des Stärkeren, passiert gar nichts. Und der fehlt jetzt schon seit rund 80 Jahren.
Maßgeblich durch die Briten ist der Staat Israel künstlich entstanden. Die Ableitung der Nutznießer auf einen Gebietsanspruch aus einem Glauben heraus, ist einmalig.
In dem nicht natürlich entstandenen, sondern künstlich geschaffenen Staatsgebilde liegt möglicherweise die Wurzel allen Übels, die von langer Hand, spätestens durch die Balfour-Deklaration im Jahre 1917 ihren Anfang genommen hat.
Man hat nun Jahrzehnte lang Zeit gehabt, zu beobachten, dass dieses Konstrukt ein sicheres Leben und eine Garantie für friedliche Verhältnisse aller nicht zustande gebracht hat. Schmerzliche Erfahrungen auf beiden Seiten haben bislang nicht dazu geführt, dass man zu der Einsicht gekommen wäre, dass man sich möglicherweise auf dem Holzweg befindet.
Die verfeindeten Lager müssten sich, neutral moderiert (welcher Staat, welcher Mensch ist heute noch neutral, oder zumindest kein Interessenvertreter?), zusammensetzen und sich in sicher nicht einfachen, langwierigen, zähen Gesprächen und Verhandlungen über die Neugründung eines gemeinsamen Staates für alle Beteiligten ernsthaft nachdenken, solange, bis es zu einer Einigung gekommen wäre, die für alle Beteiligten akzeptabel ist. Das Ergebnis, eine gemeinsame Staatenlösung, müsste das erklärte Ziel sein und wenn es noch so lange dauern würde.
Das Mitspracherecht müsste nach Bevölkerungsanteil in einem gerechten Verhältnis festgelegt werden. So müssten kleinere Anteile verhältnismäßig mehr Stimmanteile haben, als der größere Anteil, um zu möglichst für alle gerechten Entscheidungen zu gelangen, die alle Beteiligten mittragen könnten. Ein Vorankommen wäre nur durch Vernunft, nicht durch Starrsinn möglich.
Aufgrund der hitzigen Mentalität aller Beteiligten müssten beide Lager auf Gedeih und Verderb voneinander abhängig gemacht werden, sodass ein friedliches Zusammenraufen immer wieder nötig wäre, weil niemand in der Lage wäre, die Oberhand zu gewinnen.
Es müssten gegenseitige Abhängigkeiten geschaffen werden. So könnten zum Beispiel Lieferungen von Lebensmitteln, Wasser, Energie (Israel) usw. mit der Hoheit über die noch zu erschließenden Gasfelder (Gaza) vor Gaza „verrechnet“ werden, ohne, dass die USA oder sonst wer die Finger im Spiel haben.
Bei derartigen gegenseitigen Abhängigkeiten würde man sich schon zusammenraufen.
Das alles setzt voraus, dass der Mensch an sich seine menschlichen Schwächen unter Kontrolle bringen würde. Hierzu können Machtstreben, Geldgier, Rechthaberei, Überheblichkeit, Ideologien, Ansprüche aus einem Glauben heraus usw. gezählt werden.
Jerusalem müsste einen Sonderstatus erhalten und die Verwaltung müsste unter den drei Weltreligionen aufgeteilt werden. Jerusalem könnte im „Kleinen“ ein Beispiel dafür sein, wie der gesamte neue Staat im „Großen“ funktioniert. Und möglicherweise würde er so in der Tat funktionieren.
Für viele mag das alles vielleicht naiv oder sogar absurd klingen. Zur Herstellung von Frieden, Frieden in dem jede Mutter, gleich welcher Religion sie angehört, ihre Kinder in Sicherheit aufwachsen sehen kann, muss jede Überlegung und Idee, wie ein friedliches Miteinander realisiert werden kann, erlaubt sein zu denken und auch auszusprechen.
Eines ist sicher. So, wie die Verhältnisse in der Vergangenheit gestaltet wurden, hat die Realität eindeutig gezeigt, dass es so auf gar keinen Fall funktioniert. Also, warum nicht einfach einmal das Gehirn durchblasen, alte, überkommene Überzeugungen loswerden und endlich einmal etwas Neues denken?
Und wer jetzt immer noch sagt, das wäre eine Delegitimierung des Staates Israel, der sollte seine Gehirnwindungen einmal zur Inspektion bringen. Der Mensch, egal welcher Couleur und welcher Religion steht hier im Mittelpunkt. Im Mittelpunkt stehen Überlegungen, wie ein friedliches Miteinander möglich sein könnte. Falls sich herausstellt, dass das eine Utopie ist, auch gut, aber immerhin sind sich Gedanken gemacht worden, die von den eingefahrenen, zu nichts außer Elend führenden Entscheidungen abweichen. Und wenn es nur zur Anregung für andere Ideen dient, dann wäre schon viel getan. Und das ist weder anti-semitisch, noch anti-israelisch, noch anti-christlich, noch anti-moslemisch, noch anti-sonst wie, sondern vor allem ein Appell an die Vernunft, zu der der Mensch schließlich auch begabt ist.
Dieser Artikel wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben
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(Bild von Georg Ohrweh)
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@ c11cf5f8:4928464d
2025-05-08 11:51:12Here we are again with our monthly Magnificent Seven, the summary giving you a hit of what you missed in the ~AGORA territory.
Let's check our top performing post Ads!
Top-Performing Ads
This month, the most engaging ones are:
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01
[SELL] The Book of Bitcoin Mythology - Bitcoin accepted - ($21 + shipping) by @VEINTIUNO offering a printed version of the Bitcoin Mythology @spiral series, available online originally in English and translated by the post author in Spanish. 100 sats \ 6 comments \ 18 Apr -
02
[SELL] Southwest voucher, 50k sats (digital code/ USA) by @BlokchainB, where he share a voucher Southwest Airlines. Have you sold it to @itsrealfake then? 206 sats \ 3 comments \ 27 Apr -
03
SoapMiner Beef Tallow Soap by @PictureRoom, a review of a great handmade product sold P2P. 83 sats \ 2 comments \ 3 May -
04
[SELL] Walter Whites Mega Package eBook (25000) by @MidnightShipper, return selling hand-picked ebooks from his/her huge collection 36 sats \ 4 comments \ 21 Apr -
05
Medical Consultation (an update to a previous post) by @BTCLNAT, renewing prices and details of a previous Ad-post. Pretty fair still... 5k sats/consultation still a bargain! 100 sats \ 3 comments \ 22 Apr -
06
[SELL] Bitcoin Education Playing Cards $30 Bitcoin accepted by @NEEDcreations, releasing a new updated edition, ow available for sale on the 360BTC's pleb shop 19 sats \ 0 comments \ 30 Apr -
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OFFICIAL - VINTAGE - Marlboro Zippo - Real & WORKS by @watchmancbiz, returns with just a link to SatStash for more info on the auction 0 sats \ 0 comments \ 3 May
A quick reminder that now you ca setup auctions here in the AGORA too! Learn how. The other feature released last month was the introduction of Shopfronts on SN. Check our SN Merch and SN Zine examples. Thank you all! Let's keep these trades coming and grow the P2P Bitcoin circular economy!
Lost & Found in SN' Wild West Web
Stay with me, we're not done yet! I found plenty of other deals and offers in other territories too..
- Private Package Delivery where @Jon_Hodl share his experience on receiving one personally
- 🚨 VIP-Only Flash Sale: Bitaxe Gamma for $125 by @siggy47, grabbing one of these bad boys.
- Where do you sell books for Bitcoin, besides on ~Agora Territory? by @hasherstacker, asking ~BooksAndArticles community. Do you have a book to sell? Let me know how I can help!
- This best-selling book on ‘abundance’ has got it wrong - Max Rashbrooke by @Solomonsatoshi sharing an interesting external article.
- Trump Store Selling ‘Trump 2028’ Hats Trump Says He’s ‘Not Joking’ another interesting article shared by our dear friend @CarlTuckerson
Wow, such an exciting month!
Active Professional Services accepting Bitcoin in the AGORA
Let us know if we miss any, here below the most memorable ones: - https://stacker.news/items/900208/r/AG @unschooled offering Language Tutoring - https://stacker.news/items/813013/r/AG @gpvansat's [OFFER][Graphic Design] From the paste editions (It's important to keep these offers available) - https://stacker.news/items/775383/r/AG @TinstrMedia - Color Grading (Styling) Your Pictures as a Service - https://stacker.news/items/773557/r/AG @MamaHodl, MATHS TUTOR 50K SATS/hour English global - https://stacker.news/items/684163/r/AG @BTCLNAT's OFFER HEALTH COUNSELING [5K SAT/ consultation - https://stacker.news/items/689268/r/AG @mathswithtess [SELL] MATHS TUTOR ONILINE, 90k sats per hour. Global but English only.
Let me know if I'm missing other stackers offering services around here!
In case you missed
Here some interesting post, opening conversations and free speech about markets and business on the bitcoin circular economy:
- https://stacker.news/items/972209/r/AG Here Comes Bitcoin Swag Shop by @k00b
- https://stacker.news/items/969011/r/AG Sales Corner (Prospecting) by @Akg10s3
- https://stacker.news/items/971914/r/AG Satoshi Escrow A Bitcoin non-custodial P2P dispute resolution using Nostr keys by @AGORA
- https://stacker.news/items/972209/r/AG Twin Cities Outdoor Agora Market by @k00b
- https://stacker.news/items/942025/r/AG How to create your Shopfront on STACKER NEWS to upsell your products & services by @AGORA
BUYing or SELLing Cowboys Credits?
BUY or SELL them in the ~AGORA marketplace
Here's what stackers have to offers: - [SWAP] SN Cowboy credits by @DarthCoin - https://stacker.news/items/758411/r/AG by @SimpleStacker that also shares a CCs market analysis. - [BUY] 100 cowboy credits for one satoshi by @ek - Will Pay Sats For Cowboy Credits by @siggy47 - 📢 CCs to Sats Exchange Megathread recently started by @holonite, not sure why in ~bitcoin. Consider the ~AGORA next time ;)
🏷️ Spending Sunday and Selling weekly?
Share your most recent Bitcoin purchases of just check what other stackers are buying with their sats! All series available here: Or read the latest one from https://stacker.news/items/970896/r/AG
📢 Thursday Talks: What have you sold for Bitcoin this week?
Our recently launched weekly series going out every Thursday. In the past one, I collected all @Akg10s3's Sales Corner posts. Fresh out of the box, today edition https://stacker.news/items/974581/r/AG
Create your Ads now!
Looking to start something new? Hit one of the links below to free your mind:
- 💬 TOPIC for conversation,
- [⚖️ SELL] anything! or,
- if you're looking for something, hit the [🛒 BUY]!
- [🧑💻 HIRE] any bitcoiner skill or stuff from bitcoiners
- [🖇 OFFER] any product or service and stack more sats
- [🧑⚖️ AUCTION] to let stackers decide a fair price for your item
- [🤝 SWAP] if you're looking to exchange anything with anything else
- [🆓 FREE] your space, make a gift!
- Start your own [SHOPFRONT] or simply...
- [⭐ REVIEW] any bitcoin product or LN service you recently bought or subscribed to.
Or contact @AGORA team on nostr DM, and we can help you publish a personalized post.
.
#nostr
#bitcoin
#stuff4sats
#sell
#buy
#plebchain
#grownostr
#asknostr
#market
#business
originally posted at https://stacker.news/items/974611
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@ 8bde549d:567bf85c
2025-05-08 09:40:41TP88 là một trong những nền tảng giải trí trực tuyến được đánh giá cao nhờ vào giao diện thân thiện và dễ sử dụng, giúp người chơi dễ dàng tham gia và trải nghiệm các trò chơi yêu thích. Với mục tiêu mang đến những giây phút thư giãn tuyệt vời cho người dùng, TP88 không ngừng cải thiện và cập nhật các tính năng mới để phù hợp với nhu cầu giải trí ngày càng cao. Nền tảng này cung cấp đa dạng các trò chơi từ các game trí tuệ yêu cầu tư duy chiến lược đến các trò chơi vui nhộn và giải trí, giúp người chơi có thể lựa chọn theo sở thích và phong cách của mình. Từ những trò chơi đơn giản nhưng đầy thử thách cho đến những trò chơi phức tạp và sáng tạo, TP88 đều có thể đáp ứng mọi yêu cầu của người chơi. Với đồ họa sắc nét, âm thanh sống động và hiệu ứng đặc biệt, TP88 chắc chắn sẽ mang đến cho người tham gia những trải nghiệm giải trí chân thực và đầy đủ cảm xúc.
Ngoài những yếu tố về sự đa dạng và hấp dẫn của các trò chơi, TP88 cũng đặc biệt chú trọng đến bảo mật và sự an toàn của người chơi. Trong môi trường trực tuyến hiện nay, vấn đề bảo vệ thông tin cá nhân và các giao dịch tài chính luôn được đặt lên hàng đầu. TP88 sử dụng công nghệ bảo mật tiên tiến để đảm bảo rằng thông tin người chơi sẽ được bảo vệ một cách an toàn và không bị xâm phạm. Mọi giao dịch tài chính, từ việc nạp tiền đến rút tiền, đều được thực hiện nhanh chóng, chính xác và bảo mật tuyệt đối, giúp người chơi có thể yên tâm trong suốt quá trình tham gia. Nền tảng này cũng tuân thủ các tiêu chuẩn quốc tế về bảo mật và an toàn, mang đến cho người chơi một môi trường giải trí trực tuyến đáng tin cậy và an toàn. Hệ thống bảo mật và hỗ trợ khách hàng của TP88 luôn hoạt động 24/7 để đảm bảo rằng mọi vấn đề phát sinh của người chơi sẽ được giải quyết kịp thời và hiệu quả.
Một trong những yếu tố quan trọng khiến TP88 trở thành sự lựa chọn hàng đầu của những người yêu thích giải trí trực tuyến chính là các chương trình khuyến mãi và sự kiện hấp dẫn. Nền tảng này thường xuyên tổ chức các chương trình khuyến mãi, sự kiện đặc biệt và các giải thưởng giá trị để thu hút người chơi tham gia và tạo cơ hội cho họ nhận được nhiều phần thưởng hấp dẫn. Các chương trình này không chỉ làm tăng thêm phần thú vị mà còn mang đến nhiều cơ hội để người chơi tăng thêm tài khoản của mình một cách dễ dàng. Ngoài ra, TP88 còn có các sự kiện cộng đồng, nơi người chơi có thể giao lưu, chia sẻ kinh nghiệm và kết nối với nhau. Những sự kiện này góp phần tạo nên một cộng đồng gắn kết và sôi động, nơi mà người chơi có thể học hỏi và phát triển kỹ năng của mình. Với tất cả những ưu điểm này, TP88 không chỉ là một nền tảng giải trí đơn thuần mà còn là một cộng đồng lớn mạnh, nơi người chơi có thể tìm thấy niềm vui và sự thỏa mãn trong mỗi lần tham gia.
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@ c9badfea:610f861a
2025-05-12 16:29:32- Install Organic Maps
- Launch the app and download the World Map first
- Tap the ☰ at the bottom, then select Download Maps, and tap the + icon
- Download maps by tapping ⤓ next to your desired region
- Return to the main screen and tap 🔍 to search for your destination
- Enjoy navigating offline
ℹ️ Note that Organic Maps does not provide live traffic updates
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@ 6be5cc06:5259daf0
2025-05-12 14:50:36A posição do libertário que rejeita o cristianismo padece de sérias incoerências lógicas, históricas e filosóficas. Ao renegar as bases espirituais e culturais que tornaram possível o próprio ideal libertário, tal posição demonstra ser, ao mesmo tempo, autofágica e irracional. É o caso de alguém que se gloria dos frutos de uma árvore que corta pela raiz.
I. Fundamento histórico: a civilização da liberdade é cristã
Não foi o secularismo moderno, nem o paganismo antigo, que ergueram as instituições que protegem a dignidade da pessoa humana e os limites ao poder. Desde os primeiros séculos, a Igreja resistiu ao culto estatal romano, afirmando a soberania de Deus sobre os Césares — "Mais importa obedecer a Deus que aos homens" (Atos 5,29).
Foi o cristianismo que:
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Fundou universidades livres, onde o saber era buscado sob o primado da verdade;
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Defendeu a lei natural como fundamento do direito — uma doutrina que protege o indivíduo contra tiranias;
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Resgatou e aprofundou o conceito de pessoa, dotada de razão e livre-arbítrio, imagem de Deus, e, portanto, inalienavelmente digna e responsável.
Em momentos-chave da história, como nas disputas entre papado e império, nas resistências contra absolutismos, e na fundação do direito internacional por Francisco de Vitoria e a Escola de Salamanca, foi o cristianismo quem freou o poder estatal em nome de princípios superiores. A tradição cristã foi frequentemente o principal obstáculo à tirania, não seu aliado.
Negar isso é amputar a própria genealogia da liberdade ocidental.
Uma das chaves do cristianismo para a construção dessa civilização da liberdade foi a exaltação do individualismo. Ao afirmar que o ser humano é feito à imagem de Deus e que sua salvação é uma escolha pessoal, o cristianismo colocou o indivíduo no centro da moralidade e da liberdade. Diferente dos gregos, cuja ética era voltada para a polis e a cidade-estado, o cristianismo reafirma a suprema importância do indivíduo, com sua capacidade de escolha moral, responsabilidade pessoal e dignidade intrínseca. Esse princípio, mais do que qualquer outra religião, foi o alicerce do desenvolvimento da liberdade individual e da autonomia, valores que sustentam a civilização ocidental.
A ética grega, na melhor das hipóteses, descreve a ordem natural — mas não consegue justificar por que essa ordem deveria obrigar a vontade humana. Um Logos impessoal não tem autoridade moral. Uma ordem cósmica sem um Legislador é apenas um dado de fato, não uma norma vinculante. A vontade pode rebelar-se contra o telos — e sem um Deus justo, que ordena a natureza à perfeição, não há razão última para não o fazer.
A cultura grega teve uma influência indiscutível sobre o desenvolvimento da civilização ocidental, mas o cristianismo não só absorveu o que havia de bom na cultura grega, como também elevou e completou esses aspectos. O cristianismo, ao afirmar que todos os homens são feitos à imagem e semelhança de Deus e têm dignidade intrínseca, levou a uma noção de igualdade moral e liberdade que transcende as limitações da pólis grega.
II. Falsa dicotomia: fé e liberdade não são opostas
Com frequência equiparam a religião à coerção e à obediência cega. Mas isso é um equívoco: o cristianismo não se impõe pela força, mas apela à consciência. O próprio Deus, em sua relação com a criatura racional, respeita sua liberdade. Como ensina a Escritura:
"Se alguém quiser vir após mim..." (Mt 16,24);
"Eis que estou à porta e bato. Se alguém ouvir a minha voz e abrir a porta, entrarei em sua casa e cearei com ele." (Ap 3,20);
"Assim falai, e assim procedei, como devendo ser julgados pela lei da liberdade." (Tiago 2,12).A adesão à fé deve ser livre, voluntária e racional, pois sem liberdade não há verdadeiro mérito, nem amor genuíno. Isso é mais compatível com o princípio de não agressão do que qualquer utopia secular. Ora, o núcleo do evangelho é voluntarista: salvação pessoal, conversão interior, caridade.
Ninguém deve ser forçado, contra sua vontade, a abraçar a fé, pois o ato de fé é por sua natureza voluntário (Dignitatis Humanae; CDC, cân. 748,2)
Se algum Estado usa da força para impor o cristianismo, afirmar que o cristianismo causou as coerções é tão equivocado quanto dizer que a propriedade privada causa o comunismo; é uma inversão da realidade, pois o comunismo surge precisamente da violação da propriedade. Portanto, a fé forçada é inválida em si mesma, pois viola a natureza do ato de crer, que deve ser livre.
III. Fundamento moral: sem transcendência, o libertarianismo flutua no vácuo
O libertário anticristão busca defender princípios objetivos — como a inviolabilidade do indivíduo e a ilegitimidade da agressão — sem um fundamento transcendente que lhes dê validade universal. Por que a agressão é errada? Por que alguém tem direito à vida, à liberdade, à propriedade? Sem uma explicação transcendental, as respostas para tais perguntas se tornam apenas opiniões ou convenções, não obrigações morais vinculantes. Se a moralidade é puramente humana, então os direitos podem ser modificados ou ignorados conforme a vontade da sociedade. O conceito de direitos naturais, tão caro ao libertarianismo, precisa de um solo metafísico que justifique sua universalidade e imutabilidade. Caso contrário, eles podem ser tratados apenas como acordos utilitários temporários ou preferências culturais, sem qualquer obrigatoriedade para todos os seres humanos em todas as circunstâncias.
Pensadores libertários seculares, como Ayn Rand e Murray Rothbard, tentaram ancorar os direitos naturais na razão humana ou na natureza do homem. Rand baseia sua ética no egoísmo racional, enquanto Rothbard apela à lei natural. Embora essas abordagens busquem objetividade, elas carecem de uma resposta definitiva para por que a razão ou a natureza humana obrigam moralmente todos os indivíduos. Sem um fundamento transcendente, suas concepções permanecem vulneráveis a interpretações subjetivas ou a cálculos utilitários.
Aqui, o cristianismo oferece uma explicação sólida e transcendental que fundamenta os direitos naturais. A visão cristã de que o ser humano foi criado à imagem e semelhança de Deus confere à pessoa uma dignidade intrínseca, imutável e universal. Essa dignidade não depende de fatores externos, como consenso social ou poder político, mas é uma característica inerente ao ser humano pela sua criação divina. A partir dessa perspectiva teológica, torna-se possível afirmar com base sólida que os direitos naturais são dados por Deus e, portanto, são universais e vinculantes.
O cristianismo também é a base de um sistema moral que distingue claramente justiça de legalidade. O Estado pode criar leis, mas isso não significa que essas leis sejam justas. A justiça, sob a ótica cristã, é uma expressão da ordem moral objetiva, algo que transcende as leis humanas e é definido pela vontade divina. Por isso, o libertarianismo cristão vê a agressão como uma violação de uma ordem moral objetiva, e não apenas uma violação de uma convenção social ou de um acordo utilitário.
Se a moralidade e os direitos naturais não forem fundamentados em um Logos criador e legislador, o que acontece é que o conceito de direito natural degenera para algo mais frágil, como um simples acordo utilitário. Nesse cenário, os direitos do indivíduo se tornam algo acordado entre os membros de uma sociedade, em vez de princípios imutáveis e universais. Os direitos podem ser negociados, alterados ou ignorados conforme o interesse do momento.
IV. Fundamento científico: a racionalidade moderna é filha da fé cristã
A ciência moderna só foi possível no contexto cultural cristão. Nenhuma outra civilização — nem a grega, nem a islâmica, nem a chinesa — produziu o método científico como o Ocidente cristão o fez.
Isso se deve a quatro premissas teológicas:
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Criação racional: O mundo é ordenado por um Deus racional.
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Distinção entre Criador e criatura: A natureza não é divina e pode ser estudada sem sacrilégio.
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Valor do trabalho e da observação empírica, herdado do monaquismo.
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Autonomia institucional, presente nas universidades medievais.
A doutrina cristã da Criação ex nihilo ensina que o mundo foi criado por um Deus racional, sábio e pessoal. Portanto, o cosmos é ordenado, possui leis, e pode ser compreendido pela razão humana — que é imagem do Criador. Isso contrasta fortemente com as cosmovisões panteístas ou mitológicas, onde o mundo é cíclico, arbitrário ou habitado por forças caprichosas.
Sem essa fé no Logos criador, não há razão para crer que a natureza tenha uma ordem inteligível universal e constante, que pode ser descoberta por observação e dedução. A ciência moderna só é possível porque, antes de investigar a natureza, pressupôs-se que ela era investigável — e isso foi uma herança direta do pensamento cristão.
Homens como Bacon, Newton, Kepler e Galileu viam na ciência um modo de glorificar o Criador. O ateísmo cientificista é, portanto, parasitário da teologia cristã, pois toma seus frutos e rejeita suas raízes. A ciência moderna nasceu como filha legítima da fé cristã. E os que hoje a usam contra sua mãe, ou são ingratos, ou ignorantes.
V. O cristianismo como barreira à revolução cultural
O cristianismo é a barreira mais sólida contra a infiltração revolucionária. A chamada "marcha gramsciana", que visa corroer os fundamentos morais da sociedade para subjugar o indivíduo ao coletivo, encontra sua resistência mais firme nos princípios cristãos. A fé cristã, ao proclamar a existência de uma verdade objetiva, de uma lei moral imutável e de uma dignidade humana que transcende o Estado e o consenso social, imuniza a civilização contra o relativismo e o igualitarismo nivelador do marxismo cultural.
Além disso, o cristianismo é uma tradição milenar, profundamente enraizada no cotidiano das pessoas, não sendo uma novidade a ser imposta ou implementada, mas uma força presente há séculos, que permeia a estrutura social, moral e cultural da sociedade. Sua presença constante nas comunidades, desde os tempos mais antigos, oferece uma resistência robusta contra qualquer tentativa de subverter a ordem natural e moral estabelecida.
Não por acaso, tanto Karl Marx quanto Antonio Gramsci identificaram no cristianismo o principal obstáculo à realização de seus projetos revolucionários. Marx chamou a religião de "ópio do povo" porque sabia que uma alma ancorada em Deus não se submete facilmente ao poder terreno; Gramsci, mais sutil, propôs a destruição da cultura cristã como pré-condição para o triunfo do socialismo. Sem essa âncora transcendente, a sociedade torna-se presa fácil das engenharias sociais que pretendem redefinir arbitrariamente o homem, a família e a liberdade.
Conclusão
O libertário anticristão, consciente ou não, nega as fundações mesmas do edifício que habita. Ao rejeitar o cristianismo, cava o abismo sob os próprios pés, privando o ideal libertário de sua base moral, cultural e racional. Ele defende a ética voluntária, a liberdade individual e a ordem espontânea, mas sem o solo metafísico e histórico que torna esses princípios inteligíveis e possíveis. É um erro tentar preservar a liberdade em termos absolutos sem reconhecer as raízes cristãs que a sustentam, pois o cristianismo é a única tradição que a legitima e a viabiliza.
Negar o cristianismo é racionalmente insustentável. A liberdade, como a conhecemos, é filha da fé cristã, que oferece a base moral e metafísica que torna a liberdade tanto desejável quanto possível. Mesmo que ateu, o libertário que ama a liberdade deveria, no mínimo, respeitar — e, idealmente, redescobrir — essas raízes cristãs. Pois sem fé, restam apenas o niilismo e o relativismo, que, eventualmente, desaguam na servidão.
Como nos ensina a tradição: Ubi fides ibi libertas — onde há fé, há liberdade.
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@ eabee230:17fc7576
2025-05-12 14:38:11⚖️ຢ່າລືມສິ່ງທີ່ເຄີຍເກີດຂຶ້ນ ຮອດຊ່ວງທີ່ມີການປ່ຽນແປງລະບົບການເງິນຈາກລະບົບເງິນເກົ່າ ສູ່ລະບົບເງິນໃໝ່ມັນເຮັດໃຫ້ຄົນທີ່ລວຍກາຍເປັນຄົນທຸກໄດ້ເລີຍ ນ້ຳພັກນ້ຳແຮງທີ່ສະສົມມາດ້ວຍຄວາມເມື່ອຍແຕ່ບໍ່ສາມາດແລກເປັນເງິນລະບົບໃໝ່ໄດ້ທັງໝົດ ຖືກຈຳກັດຈຳນວນທີ່ກົດໝາຍວາງອອກມາໃຫ້ແລກ ເງິນທີ່ເຫຼືອນັ້ນປຽບຄືດັ່ງເສດເຈ້ຍ ເພາະມັນບໍ່ມີຢູ່ໃສຮັບອີກຕໍ່ໄປເພາະກົດໝາຍຈະນຳໃຊ້ສະກຸນໃໝ່ ປະຫວັດສາດເຮົາມີໃຫ້ເຫັນວ່າ ແລະ ເຄີຍຜ່ານມາແລ້ວຢ່າໃຫ້ຄົນລຸ້ນເຮົາຊຳ້ຮອຍເກົ່າ.
🕰️ຄົນທີ່ມີຄວາມຮູ້ ຫຼື ໃກ້ຊິດກັບແຫຼ່ງຂໍ້ມູນຂ່າວສານກໍຈະປ່ຽນເງິນທີ່ມີຢູ່ເປັນສິນສັບບໍ່ວ່າຈະເປັນທີ່ດິນ ແລະ ທອງຄຳທີ່ສາມາດຮັກສາມູນລະຄ່າໄດ້ເຮັດໃຫ້ເຂົາຍັງຮັກສາຄວາມມັ້ງຄັ້ງໃນລະບົບໃໝ່ໄດ້.
🕰️ໃຜທີ່ຕ້ອງການຈະຍ້າຍປະເທດກໍ່ຈະໃຊ້ສິ່ງທີ່ເປັນຊື່ກາງໃນການແລກປ່ຽນເປັນທີ່ຍ້ອມຮັບຫຼາຍນັ້ນກໍຄືທອງຄຳ ປ່ຽນຈາກເງິນລະບົບເກົ່າເປັນທອງຄຳເພື່ອທີ່ສາມາດປ່ຽນທອງຄຳເປັນສະກຸນເງິນທ້ອງຖິ່ນຢູ່ປະເທດປາຍທາງໄດ້.
🕰️ຈາກຜູ້ດີເມື່ອກ່ອນກາຍເປັນຄົນທຳມະດາຍ້ອນສັບສິນທີ່ມີ ບໍ່ສາມາດສົ່ງຕໍ່ສູ່ລູກຫຼານໄດ້. ການເກັບອອມເປັນສິ່ງທີ່ດີ ແຕ່ຖ້າໃຫ້ດີຕ້ອງເກັບອອມໃຫ້ຖືກບ່ອນ ຄົນທີ່ຮູ້ທັນປ່ຽນເງິນທີ່ມີຈາກລະບົບເກົ່າໄປສູ່ທອງຄຳ ເພາະທອງຄຳມັນເປັນສາກົນ.
ໃຜທີ່ເຂົ້າໃຈ ແລະ ມອງການໄກກວ່າກໍ່ສາມາດຮັກສາສິນສັບສູ່ລູກຫຼານໄດ້ ເກັບເຈ້ຍໃນປະລິມານທີ່ພໍໃຊ້ຈ່າຍ ປ່ຽນເຈ້ຍໃຫ້ເປັນສິ່ງທີ່ຮັກສາມູນລະຄ່າໄດ້ແທ້ຈິງ.🕰️ເຮົາໂຊກດີທີ່ເຄີຍມີບົດຮຽນມາແລ້ວ ເກີດຂຶ້ນຈິງໃນປະເທດເຮົາບໍ່ໄດ້ຢາກໃຫ້ທັງໝົດແຕ່ຢາກໃຫ້ສຶກສາ ແລະ ຕັ້ງຄຳຖາມວ່າທີ່ຜ່ານມາມັນເປັນແບບນີ້ແທ້ບໍ່ ເງິນທີ່ລັດຄວາມຄຸມ ເງິນປະລິມານບໍ່ຈຳກັດ ການໃຊ້ກົດໝາຍແບບບັງຄັບ. ຖ້າຄອບຄົວຫຼືຄົນໃກ້ໂຕທີ່ຍູ່ໃນຊ່ວງເຫດການນັ້ນແຕ່ຕັດສິນໃຈຜິດພາດທີ່ບໍ່ປ່ຽນເຈ້ຍເປັນສິນສັບ. ນີ້ແມ່ນໂອກາດທີ່ຈະແກ້ໄຂຂໍ້ຜິດພາດນັ້ນໂດຍຫັນມາສຶກສາເງິນແທ້ຈິງແລ້ວແມ່ນຍັງກັນແທ້ ເວລາມີຄ່າສຶກສາບິດຄອຍ.
fiatcurrency #bitcoin #gold #history #paymentsolutions #laokip #laostr
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@ 90c656ff:9383fd4e
2025-05-08 08:35:04Bitcoin operates through a decentralized system that relies on a process called mining to validate transactions and secure the network. However, Bitcoin mining requires a large amount of energy, which raises concerns about its environmental impact. Although there are solutions to make this process more sustainable, energy consumption remains a topic of debate among both critics and advocates of the technology.
How does Bitcoin mining work?
Bitcoin mining is the process by which new blocks are added to the blockchain (or timechain) and new coins are created. This process uses a mechanism called proof-of-work, where specialized computers (miners) compete to solve complex mathematical problems. To do this, they consume a huge amount of electricity, as the equipment must operate continuously to keep the network secure and decentralized.
- Energy consumption and environmental impact
The main criticism of Bitcoin mining is its high electricity consumption. Currently, it is estimated that the Bitcoin network consumes as much energy as some entire countries. This raises environmental concerns, as much of the world's electricity is still generated from fossil fuels, which emit polluting gases.
The environmental impacts of Bitcoin mining include:
01 - Carbon Emissions: If the electricity used for mining comes from polluting sources, the process contributes to increased CO₂ emissions, intensifying global warming.
02 - Excessive Use of Natural Resources: Large-scale mining can strain local power grids and increase demand for electricity, leading to higher fossil fuel consumption in some regions.
03 - Electronic Waste Production: Mining equipment has a relatively short lifespan, which leads to the generation of large amounts of electronic waste.
- Alternatives and sustainable solutions
Despite these concerns, Bitcoin mining is becoming increasingly efficient and sustainable. Many mining operations already use renewable energy sources such as hydroelectric, solar, and wind, significantly reducing their ecological footprint. Some solutions include:
01 - Use of Renewable Energy: Miners are relocating to regions with excess renewable energy production, taking advantage of resources that would otherwise be wasted.
02 - Recycling Heat Generated by Mining: Some companies are using the heat produced by mining equipment to warm buildings and infrastructure, making more efficient use of the energy.
03 - Technological Innovations: The development of new chips and more efficient equipment reduces the energy consumption of mining without compromising network security.
In summary, the environmental impact of Bitcoin mining is a controversial issue, but solutions to make the process more sustainable are rapidly evolving. While energy consumption remains high, the shift toward renewable energy sources and new technologies could make Bitcoin a more efficient and environmentally friendly system. Thus, the issue is not merely the amount of electricity consumed, but the origin of that energy and the innovations making mining increasingly sustainable.
Thank you very much for reading this far. I hope everything is well with you, and sending a big hug from your favorite Bitcoiner maximalist from Madeira. Long live freedom!
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@ 4bc7982c:4cb5c39d
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@ 005bc4de:ef11e1a2
2025-05-12 14:00:42Hostr
Hive + Nostr = Hostr, a bidirectional bridge.
Hostr is a bidirectional bridge between Nostr and Hive. What you post on one is automatically cross-posted to the other. (See SETUP.md if you want to jump right in and run it.)
This is experimental. Expect that there will be glitches, errors, and corrections to be made. So, consider it very beta, with no guarantees, and use at your own risk.
Nostr and Hive have differences, mainly, Nostr is a protocol and Hive is a blockchain. Nostr does not have a token, although bitcoin is much-loved and used across Nostr. Hive has two main tokens: HIVE and the HBD stablecoin. More importantly, Nostr and Hive have similarities. Both are decentralized and censorship resistant thanks to users owning and controlling their own private keys.
Nostr users - why you might want to bridge to Hive
I feel the #1 reason a Nostr user might wish to use this bridge is to permanently store and chronicle your Nostr notes.
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Immutability for your Nostr notes. Your notes on Nostr are held on relays; if they go away, your notes go away. (There was a “nosdrive.app” backup, however I do not believe it’s still working.) Hive is immutable. There is no "delete" and even an “edit” on Hive does not erase the original. Like with a wiki page, a Hive edit shows the most recent version, but the original still remains historically. This would give Nostr users a permanent record of their notes in chronological order.
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Hive is an excellent long form blogging platform with stable and persistent links. Finding old Nostr notes can be difficult.
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Increase your reach and potentially gain followers. Your content will bridge off of the Nostr island and be opened to 10-30,000 daily Hive users. Go to https://peakd.com/c/hive-133987 and look for “Hive statistics” to see numbers.
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Earn rewards in HIVE and HBD. “Likes” on Nostr do not reward you monetarily, but every upvote on Hive yields rewards. For bitcoin maxis, these tokens can easily be swapped into sats with tools like the https://v4v.app web app, or others.
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Help grow Nostr. Every note that bridges over to Hive will have a footer saying something like, “This note originated on Nostr,” with a link back to your Nostr note on njump.me. On that page, a "Join Nostr" button is prominent.
Hive users - why you might want to bridge to Nostr
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Increase your reach and potentially gain followers. Your content will be bridged off the Hive island and be opened to 17-18,000 daily users. See https://stats.nostr.band for Nostr stats.
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Earn bitcoin sats in the form of “zaps.” Nostr does not have a token. But, it has a strong culture of zapping (tipping) bitcoin satoshis to other users to reward quality content. Memes are loved and often zapped too.
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Unlimited posting. Nostr is not held back by posting or activity limitations, such as with Resource Credits or community norms that frown on posting too often.
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Even more censorship resistance. Hive is truly censorship-free in that posted content, no matter the content, does indeed posted. However, front ends can choose to show or not show content that the community has downvoted. Nostr is more free speech or censorship resistant...you post it, it's posted. (Relays can choose to relay it or not, accept it or reject it, but you could run your own relay.)
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Help grow Hive. Every post that bridges over to Nostr will have a footer saying something like, “This post originated on Hive,” with a link back to your Hive blockchain post. This brings wider exposure to Hive.
Quirks about Nostr and Hive
If you’re unfamiliar with Nostr, it has a few quirks:
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You have one private key, called an “nsec”. It goes along with your “npub”, your public key. Your npub is your username, your nsec IS your account.
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You simply need an nsec, then a “client” which is a front end.
- You need to add “relays” to your client in order to connect. This is very easy, but how to do it depends on the client. Client's usually walk you through this when you start.
- Short form content (like the old "Tweets") are called kind 1 notes. Long form notes, like most Hive posts, are called kind 30023.
If you’re unfamiliar with Hive, it has more quirks:
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Hive has five private keys, yes, five. Each has a specific purpose. From least powerful to most powerful, they are: posting key (to post), active key (to move tokens), owner key (to do anything), memo key (to dm/pm), and backup/master private key (to totally restore all keys). Don’t worry about all the keys. For Hostr, we only deal with posting notes/posts, so the posting key is all we deal with.
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Hive has a culture of frowning on posting too often. Doing so can be seen as trying to milk the HIVE/HBD rewards that you gain from upvotes. Too much posting can be viewed as spamming and result in downvotes (this hurts your Web-of-Trust score, called “reputation” on Hive, and is shown alongside your username; you want to grow and keep your reputation up). The chain also has a 5-minute cool-down rule coded in: after posting, you cannot post for another five minutes.
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Additionally, to avoid spam, Hive actions burn “Resource Credits” or RCs. Think of RCs as the charge % in your phone battery. Every action on Hive uses RCs, so they dwindle with every use. Posting is high in RC cost. Bad news: if you run out of RCs, you’re unable to do things on Hive. Good news: RCs also recharge. If out of RCs, you can wait and then do things later. For the Hostr script, over-posting means the script will post until RCs are exhausted, then it will stall until RCs are recharged, post again, stall, etc. You can check your RCs in many places, such as a Hive explorer like https://hivescan.info and entering your Hive username. If you have RC issues, reach out for help.
You don't want to over-post on Hive. To avoid over-posting, Hostr has two versions of the script:
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bidirectional-longform30023.js
- Nostr ➡️ Hive - Listens only for kind 30023 (long form) Nostr notes to bridge over to Hive. Kind 1 short form notes are ignored.
- Hive ➡️ Nostr - Any Hive post over 380 characters gets truncated as a kind 1 (short form) Nostr note (with a link back to the full Hive post).
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bidirectional-bridge.js
- Nostr➡️Hive - This script listens for both kind 1 (short form) and kind 30023 (long form) Nostr notes and bridges both over to Hive.
- Hive ➡️ Nostr - Same as above (380+ is truncated).
Which script version should I use?
- If you post frequently on Nostr (more than 2 times per day?), the bidirectional-longform30023.js script is likely best. Per Hive community norms, you don't want to post too often on there. With this script version, only long form notes will bridge over from Nostr to Hive.
- For newcomers to Hive, I would start with this script to be safe.
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If in doubt, use this script.
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If you post infrequently on Nostr (2 times per day or fewer?), the bidirectional-bridge.js (both kinds 1 and 30023) might work fine for you.
Nostr users - how to begin
You’ll need a Hive account. You can see sign-up options at https://signup.hive.io. Some options are free, others are not. I (crrdlx) have some free “VIP tickets” to sign up with and you are welcome to use one if you wish, see https://crrdlx.vercel.app/hive-vip-ticket.html. If the tickets there are already spent, contact me and I'll get you set up.
As with Nostr, the critical thing with a Hive account is saving your keys. Hive has multiple keys, just save them all. We’ll only use the “posting key” for the Hostr bridge, however. The other keys can be used on Hive if you wish. (For instance, the "active key" is used to handle your HIVE/HBD rewards earned, the "memo key" for private messages.)
Once signed up (and keys are safe), you can adjust your Hive account/profile using any Hive front end like https://peakd.com/username, https://ecency.com/username, or https://hive.blog/username. Just remember, every action on Hive burns RCs, keep an eye on that.
You can learn more about Hive at https://hivewiki.vercel.app if you wish.
See the "Setting up..." section below to set up the bridge.
Hive users - how to begin
You’ll need a Nostr account. Getting a Nostr "account" is nothing more than generating keys. A simple way to do this is at https://nstart.me If you wish to dig into details, take a look at http://nostrwiki.crrdlx.infinityfreeapp.com/doku.php?id=wiki:get-started
As with Hive, you simply need to safely store your private keys. On Nostr, your private key is called your “nsec” (sec, as in “secret”). Your public key is your “npub” (pub, as in "public"). Your nsec is all you need, but just so you know, your private key comes in two formats: (a) your nsec, and (b) the “hex” form (same key, just different forms). With the Hostr bridge, we’ll use the hex private key. Depending on how you join Nostr, your hex key may be given to you at sign up. But, even if it's not, you can always check back-and-forth between nsec and hex keys using a tool like https://nostrtool.com and choosing "Load a privkey from nsec/hex".
Again, just save your nsec and/or hex private key and you’re set.
You can learn more about Nostr at https://nostrwiki.vercel.app if you wish.
See the "Setting up..." section below to set up the bridge.
Setting up the Hostr bridge
To set up the bridge, see SETUP.md in the repo below. The Hostr bridge has a bit of technicals behind it, but don't get intimidated. Because technical things change, I’ll keep the technical how-to instructions housed at https://github.com/crrdlx/hostr
Disclaimer
This is an experimental bridge. Expect that there will be glitches, errors, and corrections to be made. So, consider it very beta, with no guarantees, and use at your own risk. Source code: https://github.com/crrdlx/hostr
Built with ❤️ by crrdlx
Connect on Hive: @crrdlx
Connect on Nostr: nostr:npub1qpdufhjpel94srm3ett2azgf49m9dp3n5nm2j0rt0l2mlmc3ux3qza082j
All contacts: https://linktr.ee/crrdlx
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@ c3e23eb5:03d7caa9
2025-05-12 13:00:36The issue I have with the term "mesh networks" is that it is associated with a flat network topology. While I love the idea of avoiding hierarchy, this simply doesn't scale. Data Plane: How the Internet Scales
The internet on the scales because it has a tree like structure. As you can see in the diagram below, global (tier 1) ISPs branch out to national (tier 2) ISPs who in turn branch out to local (tier 3) ISPs.
``` ,-[ Tier 1 ISP (Global) ]─-───────[ Tier 1 ISP (Global) ] / |
/ ▼
[IXP (Global)]═══╦═══[IXP (Global)]
║
Tier 2 ISP (National)◄──────────╗
/ \ ║
▼ ▼ ║
[IXP (Regional)]════╬══[IXP (Regional)] ║
/ \ ║
▼ ▼ ║
Tier 3 ISP (Local) Tier 3 ISP (Local) ║
| | ║
▼ ▼ ▼
[User] [User] [Enterprise]▲ IXPs are physical switch fabrics - members peer directly ▲ Tier 1/2 ISPs provide transit through IXPs but don't control them ```
This structure also reflects in IP addresses, where regional traffic gets routed by regional tiers and global traffic keeps getting passed up through gateways till it reaches the root of the tree. The global ISP then routes the traffic into the correct branch so that it can trickle down to the destination IP at the bottom.
12.0.0.0/8 - Tier 1 manages routing (IANA-allocated) └─12.34.0.0/16 - Tier 2 allocated block (through RIR) └─12.34.56.0/24 - Tier 3 subnet via upstream provider ├─12.34.56.1 Public IP (CGNAT pool) └─192.168.1.1 Private IP (local NAT reuse)
Balancing idealism with pragmatism
This approach to scaling is much less idealistic than a flat hierarchy, because it relies on an authority (IANA) to assign the IP ranges to ISPs through Regional Internet Registries (RIRs). Even if this authority wasn't required, the fact that many users rely on few Tier 1 ISPs means that the system is inherently susceptible to sabotage (see 2019 BGP leak incident).
Control Plane: the internet is still described as decentralised
The internet is still described as decentralised because there is a flat hierarchy between
tier 1
ISPs at the root of the tree. ``` INTERNET CORE (Tier 1 ISPs)AT&T (AS7018) <══════════> Deutsche Telekom (AS3320) ║ ╔════════════════════╗ ║ ║ ║ ║ ║ ╚══>║ NTT (AS2914) ║<══╝ ║ ║ ║ ║ ║ ║ ╚═══════> Lumen (AS3356) ║ ║ ╚════╩════════════> Telia (AS1299)
```
The border gateway protocol (BGP) is used to exchange routing information between autonomous systems (ISPs). Each autonomous system is a branch of the "internet tree" and each autonomous system advertises routes to downstream autonomous systems (branches). However, the autonomous systems at the root of the tree also maintain a record of their piers, so that they can forward traffic to the correct peer. Hence, the following is a more complete diagram of the internet: ```
INTERNET CORE (TIER 1 MESH) ╔══════════════╦═════════════╦════════╦═════════════╗ ║ ║ ║ ║ ║ AT&T (AS7018) <══╬══> Lumen (AS3356) <══╬══> NTT (AS2914) ║ ║ ║ ║ ║ ║ ║ ╚══> Telia (AS1299) <══╝ ║ ║ ╚═══════════════════════════════╝ ║ ║ ╚═> Deutsche Telekom (AS3320) <═╝ ║ TREE HIERARCHY BELOW - MESH ABOVE ║ ▼ [ Tier 1 ISP ]───────────────────┐ / | | / ▼ ▼ [IXP]═══╦═══[IXP] [IXP] ║ ║ ▼ ▼ Tier 2 ISP◄──────────╗ Tier 2 ISP◄───────╗ / \ ║ / \ ║ ▼ ▼ ║ ▼ ▼ ║ [IXP]═╦[IXP] ║ [IXP]═╦[IXP] ║ / \ ║ / \ ║ ▼ ▼ ▼ ▼ ▼ ▼ Tier 3 ISP User Tier 3 ISP Enterprise
```
So its a mesh network - whats wrong with that?
In the example above, NTT can only send traffic to Deutsche Telekom via Lumen or AT&T. NTT relies on its peers to maintain a correct record of the IP range that they are responsible for, so that traffic that was intended for Deutsche Telekom doesn't end up in the wrong network. An intentional or even accidental error in an autonomous system's routing tables can be detrimental to the flow of traffic through the network.
Hence, mesh networks require: * Reliability: peers rely on each-other not to fail (e.g., 2019 AWS US-East-1 availability) * Trust: peers must be honest about address ranges (e.g., 2018 BGP hijacking incident) * Central planning: BGP traffic engineering determines which route a packet takes
Application Layer Innovations
Now that we have a rough overview of how the internet is broken, lets think about what can still be done. The flat hierarchy that we associate with mesh networks sounds beautiful, but it doesn't scale. However, the tree-like structure assumes that most participants in the network rely on an authority to give them an address or a range of addresses so that they can communicate.
Overlay networks
Fortunately all it takes to interact with someone on nostr is their public key. The recipients client will render your signed and/or encrypted event no matter how it reaches them. Whether your note reaches them over the internet, over some other network or via a carrier pigeon doesn't matter. nostr:npub1hw6amg8p24ne08c9gdq8hhpqx0t0pwanpae9z25crn7m9uy7yarse465gr is working on a NIP for that and I'm sure he will share an explanation of how it works.
Bitcoin Instead of a Routing Algorithm
Now that we have digital bearer assets (e-cash), users can pay their internet gateway (TollGate) for access to the internet even though they are still offline. Once the TollGate has redeemed the e-cash, it gives the user access to the internet.
Frictionless Switching between ISPs (TollGates)
Legacy internet service providers use KYC money (fiat) to transfer the cost of the infrastructure to their users. However, this means that they are able to identify which packet belongs to which user. The KYC nature of their interaction with the users also makes it difficult for users to switch ISPs when service providers undercut each-other. Internet users who are on e-cash rails can hop between ISPs frictionlessly since they buy small amounts of data frequently in a granular manner.
Users that have access to independent competing TollGates can switch between them freely, so its impossible for any one TollGate to prevent a user from connecting to the internet. The only thing a TollGate can do is attract traffic by providing cheaper and/or faster internet access.
Anyone can arbitrage connectivity
Now that users have non KYC internet, there is nothing stopping them from reselling access to their internet connection. Anyone who has a WiFi router and access to a cheap internet connection can act as a range extender by re-selling access to that gateway for people who aren't able to connect directly.
Now the route that the traffic takes through the network is determined dynamically by the markets. The individual TollGate operators select their gateways and set their prices when they create a business model. The customers select the route that best meets their needs by selecting a gateway for their next purchase.
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@ ed22fab2:422b9051
2025-05-08 04:32:01A plataforma BRL987 tem se consolidado como uma das principais opções para quem busca entretenimento online com qualidade, segurança e uma ampla gama de jogos. Com uma proposta moderna e acessível, a BRL987 oferece aos usuários uma experiência completa, unindo tecnologia, suporte eficiente e uma interface amigável que atende tanto os iniciantes quanto os mais experientes.
Introdução à Plataforma BRL987 O BRL987 foi criado com o objetivo de proporcionar diversão de forma segura e confiável. Desde o primeiro acesso, os usuários percebem o cuidado com a usabilidade do site. O design intuitivo facilita a navegação e permite que qualquer jogador encontre rapidamente seus jogos preferidos, promoções ativas e métodos de pagamento.
A segurança também é um pilar da plataforma. Todos os dados dos usuários são protegidos por tecnologia de criptografia de ponta, garantindo total confidencialidade em cada transação realizada. Além disso, o BRL987 opera com total transparência e é reconhecido por sua reputação positiva entre os jogadores brasileiros.
Variedade de Jogos para Todos os Estilos Um dos grandes destaques da BRL987 é sua impressionante diversidade de jogos. A plataforma abriga títulos de fornecedores renomados internacionalmente, oferecendo gráficos de alta qualidade, jogabilidade fluida e mecânicas inovadoras.
Entre os jogos mais populares estão as máquinas de giros, que conquistam os jogadores com temas variados e bônus surpreendentes. Também há opções de jogos de mesa, como roleta e blackjack virtual, para quem prefere desafios estratégicos. Para os amantes de interatividade, há jogos ao vivo com crupiês reais, proporcionando uma experiência imersiva e próxima da realidade.
Outro diferencial são os torneios e competições periódicas promovidas pela plataforma. Essas disputas aumentam ainda mais o nível de diversão e premiam os participantes com bônus generosos e brindes exclusivos.
Experiência do Jogador: Simples, Rápida e Gratificante A experiência do jogador na BRL987 é pensada para ser fluida e satisfatória desde o cadastro até o saque dos ganhos. O processo de registro é simples, exigindo poucos passos e informações básicas. Após o cadastro, o usuário já pode aproveitar bônus de boas-vindas, que dão aquele incentivo inicial para explorar os jogos disponíveis.
Os métodos de pagamento incluem as principais opções do mercado brasileiro, como PIX, boleto bancário e transferências. Os depósitos são processados rapidamente e os saques são feitos com eficiência, muitas vezes sendo liberados no mesmo dia.
Outro ponto que merece destaque é o suporte ao cliente. O BRL987 oferece atendimento 24 horas por dia, 7 dias por semana, através de chat ao vivo e e-mail. A equipe de suporte é treinada para resolver dúvidas e problemas com agilidade e cordialidade.
Conclusão A BRL987 se destaca como uma plataforma completa de entretenimento online, ideal para quem busca qualidade, segurança e diversão em um só lugar. Com uma seleção de jogos variada, suporte eficiente e pagamentos rápidos, ela conquista cada vez mais usuários em todo o Brasil. Seja para quem está começando ou para quem já tem experiência, o BRL987 é o destino certo para momentos de lazer com emoção e confiança.
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@ cecdc1e8:b6c264ee
2025-05-12 12:41:57GM
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@ 7460b7fd:4fc4e74b
2025-05-12 12:23:54警惕:那些“帮你”保管密钥的人
—— 多签钱包中的隐形风险与逻辑陷阱
“我们可以帮您设置一个更安全的钱包。” 这句话,听上去就像是关心,其实却可能是一次有预谋的接管。
摘要
多签钱包被广泛视为提升数字资产安全性的“进阶方案”,尤其适用于不希望将所有信任寄托于单一点故障(如一把私钥)的人群。然而,在这些看似“民主化”、“抗单点失败”的技术结构背后,仍潜藏着极为隐秘且被低估的风险。
本文聚焦两类常见却高度隐蔽的逻辑攻击模型:
- 替换 xpub 并接管下一层级地址生成;
- 伪造
k-of-n
多签结构,在形式上给予用户参与感,实则实现单人提款。
在未引入 Taproot 的传统多签结构下,这类攻击已能轻易完成。而即便在 Taproot 和 MuSig2 合约模型下,攻击者也可以借助合成结构进一步隐藏其篡改行为。
本报告不仅梳理攻击逻辑,更强调“人性中的信任误区”——攻击者不需要主动索取密钥,只需要维持友善形象,自会有用户主动递交钥匙。更令人警惕的是,在某些极端场景下,这类“被信任的服务商”甚至可能向受害者收取“保管密钥”的费用后再实施盗窃,形成双重获利。
Taproot 虽然在结构上增强了隐私与复杂性,但也使验证逻辑失去了可直观还原的优势。随着时间推移、服务厂商退出市场乃至私有恢复流程被锁死,用户极可能落入无法恢复的“密钥黑箱”中。
阅读本文,希望你能意识到:
真正的安全,从不是托付给别人帮你“多签”,而是你真正理解你签了什么、和谁签的、签名之后将通往哪一个脚本。
多签钱包的逻辑攻击向量分析
以 xpub 替换与伪造 k-of-n 结构为例
攻击模型一:替换 xpub 实现地址劫持
场景设定
攻击者假扮为友好的钱包初始化服务者,主动提出“免费帮你生成一个更安全的多签钱包”。表面上,他为你设置了标准的 HD 多签结构,实际上却在关键的派生路径中,悄悄将本应由你或另一个可信方持有的 xpub 替换为他自己的。
在 HD 钱包结构(例如 BIP45、BIP67)中,用户通常无法直观验证每一个新地址是否仍属于原来的签名组。这种设计让“看上去很安全”的地址,可能早已成为攻击者可完全支配的提款口袋。
攻击结构(逻辑表示)
- 假设多签参与者为
P1, P2, P3
- 攻击者控制伪造者身份
P1'
,实际替代掉用户的P1
- 地址生成函数为:
Addr = f(xpub(P1'), xpub(P2), xpub(P3))
- 用户未验证 xpub 时,成立:
∃ Addr_i ∈ wallet, spendable_by(attacker)
换言之,钱包中的某些地址虽然看起来正常,但已可被攻击者花费。
人性陷阱提示
用户往往不认为“地址生成这件事”是需要人工检查的,特别是在使用 Ledger、Trezor 等硬件钱包时形成了“签名即安全”的错觉。而攻击者只需一次替换,就能悄悄监视整个钱包生命周期。
更重要的是,攻击者不需要向你“索取密钥”,他只需维持友善、专业甚至略带“为你好”的姿态。在 100 个用户中,总会有一部分人,在受到“信任感”与“他人看起来更专业”的影响下,主动提出将某个密钥托管给对方,甚至支付一定“密钥保管费”作为安全保障。这类行为并非愚蠢,而是人性的一部分。
这种松懈与依赖,背后深植着心理学上著名的「责任分散效应(diffusion of responsibility)」。当责任从“自己一人持有私钥”转变为“我们多人共同掌控”时,大脑会自动削弱“必须百分百保护密钥”的紧迫感;一旦密钥有三份或五份,人就会默认“即使我丢了一份也无所谓”,由此降低警惕,弱化加密习惯的执行力度。
尤其是在多签结构下,密钥不再是“唯一真理”。你开始认为:“我只是 n-of-m 的一员”,进而产生 安全责任稀释(safety dilution)。举个例子:如果你的 seed words 是唯一的,你很可能将其写在一张专用纸上,藏入防火袋,存放于密封保险箱中;但一旦你拥有的是 3-of-5 多签中的一份,你可能就只是把它存在 Evernote、存图于手机相册,或者发给自己 Telegram 备份——并自我安慰说:“这只是其中一把钥匙,又不怕。”
这正是攻击者渗透的最佳入口。他无需破解密码学算法,仅凭理解人性中的懒惰、依赖与责任下沉机制,就足以发起极具杀伤力的社会工程攻击。
提醒:没有人例外。你的安全不是由数学公式决定,而是由你是否对它持续保持敬畏与冷静判断所决定的。
Taproot 下的隐蔽性升级
在 Taproot + MuSig2 合约结构中:
- 合成公钥如:
P = H(P1 + P2 + P3)
- 用户无法从地址推导出其组成
- 所有 pubkey 被掩盖,无任何可读性结构泄露
结果:攻击者替换某个 xpub 之后,哪怕是资深用户,也无法通过比对地址结构来发现任何异常。
攻击模型二:伪造 k-of-n 多签脚本结构
场景设定
攻击者承诺为你部署一个“非常安全”的
2-of-3
多签钱包。然而他实际创建的却是一个1-of-3
结构,并诱导你保留或交出其中一个密钥。用户一旦信任其脚本不可见性(或 UI 模糊性),资金注入该地址之后,攻击者即可单独提款。
攻击结构(逻辑描述)
- 正确脚本应为:
OP_2 <pk1> <pk2> <pk3> OP_3 OP_CHECKMULTISIG
- 实际被构造为:
OP_1 <pk1> <pk2> <pk3> OP_3 OP_CHECKMULTISIG
- 用户错误地相信:
user_believes(k=2) ∧ attacker_has(sk1) → safe
- 但实际上:
real_k = 1 ∧ attacker_has(sk1) → attacker_can_spend
成立条件
- 用户未能验证 redeem script
- 钱包界面(UI 或 PSBT)未明确标识 k 值与脚本结构
- 攻击者拥有脚本定义权,或 UI 权限
人性陷阱提示
这类攻击往往并非“高技术”,而是利用用户对脚本结构的无感。尤其是当攻击者扮演“技术专家”时,用户往往不具备审查 redeem script 的能力或意识。攻击者甚至可以用“给你设置一个冷备密钥”作为幌子,骗取部分 key,并收取额外费用。
多签攻击模型对比分析(无表格)
- 攻击类型一:xpub 替换
- 本质:公钥注入
- 隐蔽性:极高(生成地址完全正常)
- 关键条件:用户未验证每个 xpub
-
Taproot 是否能规避:否,反而更难发现
-
攻击类型二:伪造 k-of-n
- 本质:脚本结构欺骗
- 隐蔽性:中等(需查看 redeem script 才能识别)
- 关键条件:用户不懂脚本,UI 不展示结构
- Taproot 是否能规避:否,合约结构反而隐藏了更多细节
安全建议(基于当前攻击模型)
- 强制在 UI 中完整展示所有 xpub、合成地址派生路径与对应签名人列表
- 如 Coldcard 的二维码验证机制
- 用户必须自行保存每个 xpub,并可验证任一地址确实源自该集合派生
- 多签钱包必须提供可见 redeem script 的界面与 k 值校验提示
- 不接受“帮你配置好了”的 UI 黑箱
- Taproot 虽增强隐私,但也加剧验证障碍
- 若使用合签结构,应避免依赖第三方界面进行签名决策
- 始终优先使用硬件钱包本地签名流程,避免通过 Web 或中间服务生成交易
真实案例分析
1. Coldcard 硬件钱包的 xpub 替换漏洞
2021 年,安全研究员 benma 发现 Coldcard 硬件钱包在注册多签钱包时,未验证自身是否为多签钱包的一部分。这使得恶意计算机钱包可以用攻击者控制的 xpub 替换多签 xpub,同时仍通过所有用户验证。所有接收到此多签钱包的币随后可以随时转移到攻击者的钱包。
来源:benma.github.io2. Bybit 交易所的多签钱包被黑事件
2025 年 2 月,Bybit 交易所的多签冷钱包在一次例行转账中被黑,损失约 14.6 亿美元。该钱包使用 2-of-3 多签设置,意味着需要三位授权签名人中的两位批准交易。用户界面显示了合法的目标地址,并且 URL 与受信任的多签提供商 Safe 相关联。但这是一种欺骗。黑客利用硬件钱包中的“盲签名”漏洞,使设备只能显示交易的哈希,从而掩盖了一个更改,使攻击者控制了钱包的智能合约。
来源:certora.com3. Parity 多签钱包漏洞
2017 年,Parity 多签钱包版本 1.5+ 中发现了一个漏洞,允许攻击者窃取超过 150,000 ETH(约 3000 万美元)。攻击者向受影响的合约发送两个交易:第一个获取多签的独占所有权,第二个移动其所有资金。
来源:blog.openzeppelin.com
攻击流程图解
- 建立信任:攻击者以技术专家或受信任的服务提供商身份接近受害者,提出帮助设置多签钱包。
- 替换 xpub:在设置过程中,攻击者用自己控制的 xpub 替换原本应由用户或第三方控制的 xpub。
- 生成地址:攻击者生成看似正常的多签地址,并展示给用户,用户未进行验证。
- 资金注入:用户将资金转入这些地址,认为资金安全。
- 资金转移:攻击者利用控制的私钥,单方面将资金转出,用户无法察觉。
参考文献
附录:攻击面分析——为何 xpub 替换是多签特有的风险?
单签钱包是否存在 xpub 替换攻击?
答案:否。
在单签钱包结构中(如 BIP32/BIP39 衍生的标准钱包):
- 钱包只依赖一个 xpub,并且这个 xpub 是从用户私钥派生而来;
- Coldcard、Trezor 等硬件钱包会自动根据本地 seed 派生地址,无需输入外部 xpub;
- 用户可以通过设备显示屏确认“这是我派生出来的地址”,不存在外部注入路径。
因此:xpub 替换在单签钱包中不存在攻击面,攻击路径被封死。
多签钱包为什么引入了 xpub 攻击面?
多签钱包(如 2-of-3、3-of-5)需要以下信息来生成地址:
- 所有参与者的 xpub;
- 公钥排序规则(如 BIP67);
- 多签脚本模板(如 OP_2
OP_3 OP_CHECKMULTISIG); - 每个 key 的派生路径(如 m/48'/0'/0'/2'/0/1);
这就意味着,用户必须信任这些输入的 xpub 是来自真正的签名方。如果攻击者悄悄将其中某一份换成自己控制的 xpub,那他就自动成为地址共管人,甚至是单签人。
Coldcard 攻击案例回顾:
- 用户通过 PSBT 模板或 JSON 导入多签配置;
- 攻击者在其中替换了某一参与者的 xpub;
- Coldcard 在旧版本中未提示或验证该替换;
- 用户生成地址、发送资金,攻击者即可随时提取。
攻击面比较表
- 单签钱包
- 不接收外部 xpub,派生路径完全由设备掌控;
- 地址来源明确、签名单一;
-
xpub 替换攻击无效。
-
多签钱包
- 依赖多个外部 xpub 合成结构;
- 用户很难手动验证每一条 xpub 与 fingerprint;
- xpub 替换为高危攻击点。
Taproot 是否规避了 xpub 替换问题?
部分规避,但引入了新的验证难题。
Taproot + MuSig2 等结构通过将多个 pubkey 合成为一个点:
P = H(P1 + P2 + P3)
这确实可以隐藏合约结构,提升隐私,但也导致:
- 用户无法从地址还原参与者是谁;
- 如果其中一个公钥被攻击者替换,生成的地址仍然合法;
- 用户在链上看不到任何异常,但攻击者已取得合约控制权。
因此:Taproot 并未从根本上消除 xpub 替换的攻击面,反而因为其不可还原性使得攻击更加隐蔽。
总结
多签钱包之所以引入新的攻击面,不是因为它“更复杂”,而是因为它必须信任外部结构。一旦你的钱包要“与他人协作生成地址”,你就必须验证“这些人是谁”、“这些地址是怎么来的”——这就是攻击的入口。
单签保护的是私钥,
多签则要求你保护你的伙伴。 -
@ ed22fab2:422b9051
2025-05-08 04:31:25A plataforma Pix177 chegou para redefinir a forma como os brasileiros aproveitam o entretenimento digital. Com uma proposta moderna, segura e recheada de opções emocionantes, o Pix177 tem conquistado milhares de usuários por todo o país, oferecendo uma experiência completa e personalizada desde o primeiro acesso. Se você busca diversão, praticidade e oportunidades de ganhos reais, o Pix177 pode ser o lugar ideal para você.
O grande diferencial do Pix177 está na sua interface amigável e acessível. Logo ao entrar na plataforma, o usuário percebe a fluidez e organização do site. Cada seção é pensada para facilitar a navegação, seja no computador ou pelo celular. Outro ponto de destaque é o sistema de pagamentos: o Pix177 conta com suporte total ao método Pix, permitindo transações instantâneas e seguras, tanto para depósitos quanto para saques. Isso significa menos tempo esperando e mais tempo jogando.
A equipe responsável pela plataforma se preocupa com a segurança e a privacidade dos usuários, implementando tecnologia de criptografia de ponta e protocolos rigorosos de proteção de dados. Assim, os jogadores podem se concentrar apenas no que realmente importa: a diversão e a emoção dos jogos.
Variedade de jogos para todos os gostos
O Pix177 oferece uma seleção extensa de jogos que atendem a todos os perfis de jogadores. Desde opções clássicas e populares até lançamentos mais recentes, há algo para cada tipo de gosto. Os amantes das cartas encontram mesas de poker, blackjack e baccarat com diferentes níveis de apostas. Para quem prefere jogos de giro, há uma vasta biblioteca de slots online com gráficos vibrantes, trilhas sonoras envolventes e recursos especiais como rodadas grátis e multiplicadores.
Jogos ao vivo também fazem parte do catálogo da plataforma, permitindo que os usuários participem de partidas em tempo real com crupiês reais e interajam com outros jogadores. A imersão é total, com transmissão de alta qualidade e ambiente virtual que simula uma sala de jogos tradicional — tudo sem sair de casa.
Além disso, o Pix177 frequentemente atualiza seu portfólio com novidades de provedores renomados do mercado, garantindo sempre conteúdo fresco e inovador.
Uma experiência pensada para o jogador brasileiro
O Pix177 entende as preferências e necessidades do público nacional. Por isso, oferece suporte em português, atendimento ao cliente via chat ao vivo e promoções personalizadas com foco nos usuários brasileiros. O processo de cadastro é simples e rápido, permitindo que novos jogadores comecem sua jornada em poucos minutos.
Os bônus de boas-vindas e promoções semanais são outros atrativos que mantêm os jogadores engajados. Programas de fidelidade e desafios especiais aumentam ainda mais as chances de recompensas, tornando a experiência mais empolgante e dinâmica.
Conclusão
O Pix177 é mais do que uma simples plataforma de jogos online: é um verdadeiro universo de entretenimento digital, feito sob medida para o público brasileiro. Com seu sistema de pagamentos ágil, interface intuitiva, suporte completo e uma biblioteca de jogos impressionante, o Pix177 se posiciona como uma das melhores opções para quem quer unir diversão e praticidade em um só lugar.
Se você ainda não conhece o Pix177, essa é a hora de explorar tudo o que a plataforma tem a oferecer. Prepare-se para uma jornada cheia de emoção, desafios e recompensas!
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@ 502ab02a:a2860397
2025-05-08 01:18:46เฮียไม่แน่ใจว่าโลกยุคนี้มันเปลี่ยนไป หรือแค่เล่ห์กลมันแนบเนียนขึ้น แต่ที่แน่ ๆ คือ “อาหารไม่ใช่อาหารอีกต่อไป” มันกลายเป็นสินค้าในพอร์ตการลงทุน มันกลายเป็นเครื่องมือสร้างภาพลักษณ์ และในบางมุมที่คนไม่อยากมอง...มันคือเครื่องมือควบคุมมวลชน
ทุกอย่างเริ่มจากแนวคิดที่ดูดี “เราต้องผลิตอาหารให้พอเลี้ยงคน 8,000 ล้านคน” จากนั้นบริษัทเทคโนโลยีเริ่มกระโดดเข้ามา แทนที่จะให้เกษตรกรปลูกผักเลี้ยงวัว เรากลับได้เห็นบริษัทวิเคราะห์ดีเอ็นเอของจุลินทรีย์ แล้วขายโปรตีนจากถังหมัก แทนที่จะสนับสนุนอาหารพื้นบ้าน กลับอัดเงินให้สตาร์ทอัพทำเบอร์เกอร์ที่ไม่มีเนื้อจริงแม้แต่เส้นใยเดียว
เบื้องหลังมันมี “ทุน” และทุนเหล่านี้ไม่ใช่แค่ผู้ผลิตอาหาร แต่พ่วงไปถึงบริษัทยา บริษัทวัคซีน บริษัทเทคโนโลยี บางเจ้ามีทั้งบริษัทยา + ธุรกิจฟาร์มแมลง + บริษัทลงทุนในบริษัทวิจัยพันธุกรรม แปลว่า...คนที่ขายยาให้เฮียเวลาเฮียป่วย อาจเป็นคนเดียวกับที่ขาย "อาหารที่ทำให้เฮียป่วย" ตั้งแต่แรก ตลกร้ายไหมหล่ะ หึหึหึ
เคยมีใครสังเกตไหม ว่าองค์การระดับโลกบางองค์กรที่ส่งเสริม "เนื้อทางเลือก" และ "อาหารยั่งยืน" ได้รับเงินบริจาคหรืออยู่ภายใต้บอร์ดของบริษัทผลิตอาหารอุตสาหกรรมเจ้าใหญ่ไหมนะ แล้วคำว่า “วิทยาศาสตร์รองรับ” ที่ติดบนฉลากสวย ๆ เฮียไม่รู้หรอกว่าใครเป็นคนตีความ แต่ที่รู้แน่ ๆ คือ บทวิจัยจำนวนไม่น้อย มาจากทุนวิจัยที่สนับสนุนโดยอุตสาหกรรมอาหารเอง ดั่งเช่นที่เราเรียนรู้กันมาจากประวัติศาสตร์แล้ว
มีคนเคยพูดไว้ว่า “เราควบคุมคนด้วยอาหารง่ายกว่าด้วยอาวุธ” และเฮียเริ่มเชื่อขึ้นเรื่อย ๆ เพราะถ้าบริษัทใดบริษัทหนึ่ง ควบคุมได้ทั้งอาหาร ยา ข้อมูลสุขภาพ และการวิจัย นั่นหมายความว่า เขาไม่ได้ขายของให้เฮีย แต่เขากำหนดว่าเฮียควร “อยากกินอะไร” และ “รู้สึกผิดกับอะไร”
เหมือนที่ให้ลองจินตนาการเล่น ๆ เมื่อวาน สมมติเฮียไปร้านข้าวมันไก่ปากซอยแบบดั้งเดิม สั่งไก่ต้มไม่เอาข้าวมากิน แล้วแอปสุขภาพขึ้นข้อความเตือนว่า “ไขมันสูง ส่งผลต่อคะแนนสุขภาพคุณ” แต่ถ้าเฮียสั่งข้าวกล่องสำเร็จรูปอัจฉริยะจากโปรตีนที่หมักจากจุลินทรีย์ GMO ระบบจะบอกว่า “คุณกำลังช่วยลดโลกร้อน” แล้วเพิ่มคะแนนสุขภาพให้เราไปเป็นส่วนลดครั้งต่อไป
ใครนิยามคำว่า “ดี” ให้เฮีย?
เบื้องหลังอาหารจึงไม่ใช่แค่โรงงาน แต่มันคือโครงข่ายที่พัวพันตั้งแต่ห้องแล็บ ห้องบอร์ด ไปจนถึงห้องครัวในบ้านเรา แล้วถ้าเราไม่ตั้งคำถาม เฮียกลัวว่าเราจะไม่ได้กินในสิ่งที่ร่างกายต้องการ แต่กินในสิ่งที่ “ระบบ” ต้องการให้เรากิน
ขอบคุณล่วงหน้าที่มองว่าสิ่งนี้คือการ แพนิคไปเอง ขอให้มีสุขสวัสดิ์
#pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr
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@ 6d8e2a24:5faaca4c
2025-05-07 19:15:55Decentralized social media platforms like Yakinhonne is gaining popularity as alternatives to traditional networks like Facebook and Twitter. But here’s the big question: Can you actually make money from them?
Unlike traditional social media with the likes of Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, WhatsApp etc. Yakihonne runs on blockchain tech, meaning:
✅ You own your content (no shadow banning or sudden account bans).
✅ No creepy ads tracking your every move.
✅ Real monetization no waiting for a partner program approval.Therefore the short answer? Yes! But it’s different from how monetization works on mainstream platforms. Let’s break it down in simple terms.
- How Decentralized Social Media Works
Unlike Facebook or Instagram (which are owned by corporations), decentralized platforms run on blockchain or peer to peer networks. This means:
✅ No central control (no Zuckerberg making the rules).
✅ Users own their data (no creepy ads tracking you).
✅ More freedom (fewer bans and censorship).
But since these platforms don’t rely on ads, how do creators and users earn money?
2. Ways to earn on Yakinhonne Decentralized Social Media Platform.
A. Rewards & Tipping ✅ Users can tip you in crypto SAT (Satoshi, which is a native of Bitcoin) for great content.
✅ Earn tokens for engagement (likes, shares, etc.).
Example: Post a viral thread on Yakinhonne and followers might send you $SAT Tokens as appreciation.
B. Paid Subscriptions & Exclusive Content
✅ Platforms like Yakinhonne allow paid memberships.
✅ Offer premium posts (Flash news or post), private chats, or early access to supporters.Example: A writer post a paid article making it stand out, attracting more engagement which in returns earns more SAT.
C. Decentralized Ads (But Better)
✅Instead of intrusive ads, users opt-in to promotions.
✅ Creators get paid directly for promoting products (no middleman).Example: A tech reviewer gets paid in crypto for sharing a decentralized VPN service.
D. Affiliate Marketing & Sponsorships
✅ Promote products and earn commissions (like Amazon links).
✅ Partner with Web3 brands (crypto projects, tools, etc.).Conclusion:
Decentralized social media is still growing, but the monetization potential is real especially if you’re a lover of freedom, having absolute control and fairness.
As blockchain technology evolves, we might see even smarter ways to earn on these platform. So, getting in early could be a smart move!
- How Decentralized Social Media Works
Unlike Facebook or Instagram (which are owned by corporations), decentralized platforms run on blockchain or peer to peer networks. This means:
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@ cb4352cd:a16422d7
2025-05-12 12:18:41In the early days of the internet, openness was a foundational value. Today, as the financial world undergoes its next great evolution, that same principle is making a powerful return — this time through open-source code, permissionless protocols, and user-owned ecosystems. The future of finance isn’t just digital. It’s open.
Beyond the Institution: A Shift in Trust
Traditional finance has always been built around institutions — banks, central authorities, and regulatory bodies. While these structures offer stability, they also limit access, enforce gatekeeping, and concentrate power.
Permissionless innovation flips this model. Instead of asking for approval, builders create protocols that anyone can use, fork, or improve. In DeFi, anyone with an internet connection can lend, borrow, or trade without relying on a centralized intermediary.
Composability: Financial Lego for the Internet Age
Open protocols don’t just stand alone — they connect. In Web3, composability means developers can build on top of each other’s code like financial Lego blocks. This accelerates experimentation and reduces duplication of effort.
You can build a lending protocol that integrates with a decentralized exchange, which in turn connects to a stablecoin, creating a rich, interoperable financial ecosystem — all without closed APIs or licensing fees.
DAOs and the Redefinition of Governance
Openness is not only about access — it’s about control. Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAOs) allow communities to govern protocols, allocate resources, and shape development roadmaps. In contrast to top-down decision-making, DAOs are built on transparency, collective voting, and participatory ownership.
As financial systems move on-chain, governance itself becomes programmable. This allows for more adaptive, responsive institutions that can evolve with user needs — not just boardroom mandates.
More Than Code: A Philosophical Shift
Open finance isn’t just a stack of protocols. It reflects a deeper belief: that financial systems should be inclusive, interoperable, and transparent by design.
This philosophy challenges legacy ideas of exclusivity and control. It opens space for local currencies, niche communities, experimental markets, and user-first financial design. It treats users not as passive consumers but as co-owners and co-builders.
How Beyond Banking Conference by WeFi Embraces Openness
This vision of open finance is a central theme of the Beyond Banking Conference by WeFi. Taking place online on May 30, 2025, the conference brings together pioneers from DeFi, AI, Web3, and FinTech to discuss permissionless technologies, composable architecture, and the human values behind them.
Speakers will explore how openness fuels innovation, and how protocol design shapes access, governance, and trust. From DAOs to AI-powered DeFi, the program emphasizes tools that scale freedom — not just efficiency.
In the future, finance won’t just be smart. It will be open. And that changes everything.
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@ 866e0139:6a9334e5
2025-05-12 10:41:33Autor: Bastian Barucker. Dieser Beitrag wurde mit dem Pareto-Client geschrieben. Sie finden alle Texte der Friedenstaube und weitere Texte zum Thema Frieden hier. Die neuesten Pareto-Artikel finden Sie in unserem Telegram-Kanal.
Die neuesten Artikel der Friedenstaube gibt es jetzt auch im eigenen Friedenstaube-Telegram-Kanal.
John Lennon besang in seinem weltberühmten Lied „Imagine“ die fast unvorstellbare Utopie einer Welt, in der es keinen Grund mehr zu töten gäbe und die Menschen in Frieden zusammen leben. Die enorme Resonanz und Verbreitung dieser Zeilen zeigt den Wunsch fast aller Menschen nach Frieden. Wie Lennon zu diesen Zeilen kam, ist ein Hinweis darauf, dass es dazu neben geopolitischen Analysen und deren Verbreitung durch eine nicht eingebettete und freie Presse vielleicht noch etwas braucht: Schattenarbeit – ein bewusstes Hinwenden zu den eigenen Tiefen der Persönlichkeit, dem inneren Tiefenstaat.
Was ist der Tiefenstaat?
Mit dem Begriff Tiefenstaat verbinde ich Strukturen, die Edward Bernays bereits vor knapp 100 Jahren in seinem Grundlagenwerk „Propaganda“ beschrieb. Im Vorwort schreibt er: „Organisationen, die im Verborgenen arbeiten, lenken die gesellschaftlichen Abläufe. Sie sind die eigentlichen Regierungen in unserem Land.“ Er verwendet diesbezüglich auch das Wort „Schattenkabinett“. Im Bereich der Persönlichkeitsentwicklung wird der Begriff „Schattenarbeit“ dafür verwendet, unbekannte, aber einflussreiche Anteile des eigenen Selbst zu entdecken und zu integrieren.
Lennon begab sich in den 70er Jahren des letzten Jahrhunderts auf die Reise zu sich selbst. Sein Weg führte ihn zum Psychologen Dr. Arthur Janov, der Menschen mithilfe der von ihm entwickelten Primärtherapie dabei begleitete, sich ihrer primären Prägungen und frühkindlichen Traumatisierungen bewusst zu werden und abgespaltenen Schmerz wieder zu erleben, um sich davon zu befreien. Entgegen stark kognitiv geprägter Ansätze wie der Gesprächstherapie steht bei dieser Art der Therapie Gefühlsausdruck im Vordergrund. Janov selbst schreibt dazu: «Die Krankheit ist die Verleugnung des Fühlens, und das Heilmittel ist das Fühlen.»
Auch der Psychologe und Psychotherapeut Franz Ruppert beschäftigt sich intensiv mit dem Fühlen als einem möglichen Weg, eine Traumatisierung aufzuarbeiten. Er schreibt Folgendes über die Bedeutung des Fühlens in seinem Buch „Wer bin ich in einer traumatisierten Gesellschaft“: „Denn letztlich können nur über das Ausdrücken von Gefühlen die fragmentierten psychischen Strukturen wieder zu einer Einheit zusammenfinden.“
Lennon war es möglich, die immense Menge an Schmerz zu entdecken, die er verborgen in sich trug, und er erkannte dabei, welche Verhaltensweisen und Bewältigungsstrategien damit verbunden waren. Laut Lennon ist „Unser Schmerz der Schmerz, durch den wir die ganze Zeit gehen. Du wirst in Schmerz hineingeboren, und wir befinden uns meist im Schmerz. Und ich glaube, je größer der Schmerz ist, umso mehr Götter brauchen wir.“
Die Schilderungen von John Lennon decken sich mit den Erfahrungen meiner Selbsterfahrung und meiner mittlerweile über 10 Jahre langen Begleitungsarbeit in der durch den Schweizer Willi Maurer entwickelten Gefühls- und Körperarbeit.
Auch in dieser Arbeit geht es darum, abgespaltenen Schmerz langsam und über viele Jahre aus dem Schatten in das Bewusstsein zu integrieren, um nicht weiter von ihm unbewusst beeinflusst zu werden. Hunderte Male habe ich Menschen ihnen vorher unbekannten Hass, tiefe Trauer, unendliche Ohnmacht, starke Hilflosigkeit, aber auch Freude, tiefe Geborgenheit, Liebe und Friedfertigkeit entdecken und ausleben sehen. Selber habe ich mich nach einem einjährigen Aufenthalt in der nordamerikanischen Wildnis, bei dem es darum ging, so ehrlich wie möglich miteinander umzugehen, ausführlich meiner Selbsterfahrung gewidmet und dabei Intensitäten von Schmerz, aber auch Zufriedenheit entdeckt, die mir nicht vorstellbar erschienen.
Der Krieg in uns
Fast immer zeigte sich in den begleiteten Prozessen, dass die im Alltag, in der Partnerschaft oder in der Familie angerührten Gefühle aus der eigenen frühen Kindheit stammten. Innere, überfordernde „Kriege“ und Übergriffigkeiten, die auch das Leben im Außen zum Krieg werden ließen, erwachten zum Leben und durften endlich Ausdruck finden. Schlussendlich zeigte sich meist, dass es einen friedlichen Umgang mit der aktuellen Situation gibt, wenn die Altlast „entsorgt“ beziehungsweise kompostiert, also gefühlt und integriert wurde.
Franz Renggli beschreibt diese Psychodynamik in seinem Buch Verlassenheit und Angst – Nähe und Geborgenheit in Bezug auf Partnerschaft wie folgt:
„Die Erfahrung aller meiner Paarbegleitungen zeigt nun: Wenn nach der ersten Verliebtheit langsam der „Alltag“ in eine Beziehung einkehrt, neigen beide Partner immer mehr dazu, ihre Schattenseiten, ihre alten und frühen Verletzungen auch in der Beziehung zuzulassen. Je sicherer die Grenzen sind, desto vertrauensvoller dürfen diese frühen Schmerzen gespürt und erfahren werden. Wir „steigen dann wieder ab“ in unsere ursprüngliche Hölle der Verlassenheit, in die frühkindlichen Prägungen, wie ich sie hier beschrieben habe. Nur: die Hölle sind dann nicht länger die Eltern, sondern jetzt der Partner oder die Partnerin! Vielleicht könnte ich sie oder ihn umbringen vor Enttäuschung und Wut, weil er/sie mich so sehr verletzt hat. Und damit kann sie beginnen, die Heilung der alten Wunden in der Paarbeziehung! Aber nur dann, wenn wir bereit sind, unsere alten verletzten Gefühle wirklich zu spüren und zuzulassen. Und wenn wir zu diesem Schritt bereit sind, dann können wir auch gleichzeitig empfinden und wissen: Das sind unsere ureigensten alten Verletzungen, welche wir seit der Kindheit in uns tragen – ein Partner mit seinen Worten und seinem Verhalten ist nur der Auslöser unseres alten Schmerzes, ein harter Spiegel unserer alten Wunden! Wir alle haben unsere Partner entsprechend gewählt, damit wir in unseren Grundfesten immer wieder – neben allem Glück, das wir mit ihnen erleben und teilen dürfen – auch erschüttert werden.“
Diese wiederkehrenden Erschütterungen werden auch Reinszenierungszwang genannt und lassen Menschen immer wieder dieselben misslichen Lagen (mit)erschaffen, die ihnen Leid zufügen. Willi Maurer beschreibt diese Dynamik in einem sehr lesenswerten Artikel mit dem Titel „Die verschüttete Quelle des Friedens“ wie folgt: „Die Spirale der Gewalt zeigt, dass wir andern Menschen das antun, was uns selbst widerfahren ist. Doch ohne Selbsterforschung bleiben wir blind gegenüber der tief in uns verdrängt liegenden Wahrheit.“
Diese Reinszenierung ist gleichzeitig jedoch eine immer wiederkehrende Chance, sich der Ursache dieser Dynamik zuzuwenden. Das geschieht dann, wenn die Person sich als Erschaffer oder Erschafferin und nicht als reines Opfer der Umstände versteht und beginnt, die volle Verantwortung für das eigene Leben zu übernehmen.
Vor einigen Jahren brachte ich den Prozessbegleiter Willi Maurer und den Friedensforscher Dr. Daniele Ganser zu einem Gespräch zusammen, weil ich der Ansicht war, dass beide Friedensarbeit aus verschiedenen Perspektiven leisten. Es war eine Wohltat, zu erleben, wie Ganser durch die sehr authentischen Schilderungen Maurers zu ahnen begann, dass es eine Verbindung zwischen weltweiten Kriegen und frühen Erfahrungen geben kann. Was hat der Soldat, Politiker oder Geostratege erlebt, dass er in der Lage ist, Krieg zu befördern, zu verursachen oder auch nur zu dulden?
Vielleicht ist die immer wiederkehrende Kriegsbereitschaft und Kriegslust elitärer Kreise neben der wahrscheinlich frühkindlich erzeugten Gier nach Macht, Einfluss und Geld ebenfalls ein gesellschaftlicher Reinszenierungszwang. Die inneren Zerwürfnisse und Kriege müssen quasi ins Außen getragen werden, um sich dem im Schatten der eigenen Persönlichkeit wartenden Schmerz nicht zuwenden zu müssen.
Eine weitere Bewältigungsstrategie für innere, emotionale Zerwürfnisse ist die Projektion, also die Veräußerlichung des Eigenen auf andere. Ein hier vielleicht Sinn stiftendes Beispiel ist die immer wieder betonte weitestgehend unbelegte Unterstellung imperialistischer Bestrebungen Russlands im Zuge des völkerrechtswidrigen Krieges in der Ukraine. Meist kommt diese Behauptung von Vertretern oder Unterstützern der NATO, die – wie an ihrer großflächigen, gegen westliche Zusagen an Russland verstoßenden NATO-Osterweiterung leicht zu erkennen – offensichtlich selbst imperialistische Bestrebungen verfolgt.
Die Projektion ins Außen
Interessanterweise hat ausgerechnet Präsident Putin in anschaulichen Worten beschrieben, was unter anderem mit im Schatten liegenden Persönlichkeitsanteilen auch auf geopolitischer Ebene passieren kann. Sie werden anderen Menschen oder Staaten zugeschrieben, also ins Außen projiziert. Auf die Beschuldigung durch US-Präsidenten Joe Biden, ein Mörder zu sein, antwortete Putin: „Aber wenn wir andere Menschen bewerten, oder wenn wir sogar andere Staaten, andere Völker bewerten, sehen wir immer in den Spiegel, wir sehen uns immer selbst, weil wir auf eine andere Person übertragen, was wir selbst sind, was uns im Wesentlichen ausmacht. Wissen Sie, ich erinnere mich, als wir als Kinder im Hinterhof waren, als wir miteinander gestritten und gesagt haben: Wie Du andere nennst, so bist Du selbst. Und das ist kein Zufall, das ist nicht nur ein Kindersprichwort oder ein Witz. Der Sinn ist sehr psychologisch. Wir sehen immer unsere eigenen Qualitäten in einer anderen Person und denken, dass sie so ist wie wir, und daraus bewerten wir ihr Handeln und bewerten sie insgesamt.“
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7sMAHWH_hhQ
Der bereits erwähnte Tiefenstaat, also eine quasi Schattenregierung, existiert auf der geopolitischen Weltbühne und bestimmt größtenteils die Geschicke, insbesondere wenn es um Krieg und Frieden geht. Der Kognitionsforscher Professor Rainer Mausfeld beschreibt die unsichtbar im Hintergrund wirkenden Strukturen in seinem Buch „Angst und Macht“ wie folgt: „Die tatsächliche Macht ist heute in neuartigen globalen Organisationsformen verortet, die vollkommen einer gesellschaftlichen Kontrolle entzogen sind, die für die Bevölkerung weitgehend unsichtbar sind…“
Gleiches gilt meiner Annahme nach auch für die persönlichen Machtverhältnisse, bei denen eigene Schattenanteile ebenfalls großen Einfluss auf die sichtbaren Verhaltensweisen nehmen. Dieser unbewusste Anteil kann auf der einen Seite Macht über die eigene Kriegsbereitschaft und Friedenstüchtigkeit ausüben, auf der anderen Seite wird er von Kriegstreibern mittels kognitiver Kriegsführung aktiv benutzt, um die Bevölkerung zu manipulieren. Der Propagandaforscher Dr. Jonas Tögel schreibt dazu: „Die Tiefenpsychologie dient als Fundament der wohl wichtigsten Manipulationswaffe: die gezielte Beeinflussung des Unbewussten der menschlichen Psyche. Wie bei einem Eisberg liegt ein großer Teil unserer Gedanken und Gefühle „unter der Wasseroberfläche“, und hier können wir so beeinflusst werden, dass wir die Steuerung selbst oft nicht bemerken.“
Der Tiefe Staat kann also ungesehen politisch schalten und walten und gleichzeitig die unbewussten Anteile der menschlichen Psyche zu seinen Gunsten ausnutzen.
Teil 2 folgt in Kürze.
Bastian Barucker, Jahrgang 83, ist Wildnispädagoge, Überlebenstrainer und Prozessbegleiter. Seit 2005 begleitet er Menschen bei Wachstumsprozessen in der Natur. Seit 2011 macht er mithilfe der Gefühls- und Körperarbeit tiefgreifende Selbsterfahrungen, und seit 2014 begleitet er Gruppen, Paare und Einzelpersonen. Er lebt und arbeitet im wunderschönen Lassaner Winkel, nahe der Insel Usedom. Zuletzt erschien von ihm das Buch "Auf Spurensuche nach Natürlichkeit: Vom Leben in der Wildnis und der Reise zu sich selbst" im Massel Verlag.
Kontakt: www.bastian-barucker.de
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2025-05-07 18:25:24Bitcoin is known for its strong volatility, with price swings that can occur over short periods of time. This characteristic attracts both investors seeking high returns and deters those who prefer more stable assets. Bitcoin's price volatility has a significant impact on the market, influencing investment strategies, adoption, and even public perception of the digital currency.
What Causes Bitcoin's Price Volatility?
Bitcoin’s volatility is due to several factors that affect its supply and demand. Among the main reasons are:
01 - Limited supply and halving: Bitcoin has a maximum supply of 21 million units, creating scarcity. Additionally, the halving-an event that reduces the issuance of new bitcoins every four years-can drive up prices due to the reduced supply.
02 - Market speculation: Many investors buy and sell Bitcoin in pursuit of quick profits, causing large price fluctuations. Speculative movements, often driven by news and social media, can trigger abrupt changes in price.
03 - Economic events and regulation: Government decisions-such as bans or favorable regulations-directly impact the price. Statements from central banks or influential figures in the financial sector can also trigger strong market reactions.
04 - Liquidity and trading volume: The Bitcoin market is still small compared to traditional assets like gold or stocks. This means that large buy or sell orders can cause significant price swings.
- Impact on Investors and “Investors”
Bitcoin’s price volatility affects different types of investors in different ways:
01 - Short-term traders: Day traders attempt to profit from price swings. However, this strategy carries high risks and can lead to significant losses for those without market experience.
02 - Long-term investors (HODLers): Those who invest with a long-term perspective typically ignore daily price changes and focus on Bitcoin's potential appreciation over the years. Despite temporary dips, many believe the price will continue to rise due to scarcity and increasing adoption.
03 - Companies and institutions: Companies investing in Bitcoin as a store of value-like MicroStrategy and Tesla, must manage the risks of volatility. Some adopt strategies to minimize direct exposure to large fluctuations.
- How to deal with volatility
Despite the challenges, there are strategic ways to manage Bitcoin’s volatility:
01 - Portfolio diversification: Instead of investing all capital in Bitcoin, many investors diversify to reduce the impact of price fluctuations.
02 - Recurring investment: Strategies like dollar-cost averaging (recurring, fractional purchases) help smooth out volatility effects, reducing the risk of buying during a temporary high.
03 - Secure storage: Rather than leaving Bitcoin on exchanges—which can be vulnerable to hacks and market manipulation—self-custody in secure wallets protects long-term investments.
In summary, Bitcoin's volatility is one of its defining traits and influences both investor behavior and broader adoption. While it offers opportunities for large profits, it also carries considerable risk, requiring well-defined strategies to minimize losses. As Bitcoin matures and more institutional investors enter the market, volatility may decrease, making it even more attractive as a store of value.
Thank you very much for reading this far. I hope everything is well with you, and sending a big hug from your favorite Bitcoiner maximalist from Madeira. Long live freedom!
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@ fbf0e434:e1be6a39
2025-05-13 02:00:022025年3月17日
塔林·克里斯滕森(Taryn Christiansen),DoraHacks
特别感谢DoraHacks创始人Eric Zhang提供的深刻讨论和支持。
Part 1
自动化的浪潮无疑正在到来。人类劳动将迅速贬值。人工智能已经取得了巨大的进展,并且,随着许多创新降低了成本,越来越多的企业将能够整合这一技术。随着生产模式、资本和供应链越来越多地实现自动化,生产力和效率将加速发展。
问题是,这是否是好事。答案五花八门。从末世论者如埃利泽·尤德科夫斯基(Eliezer Yudkowsky)[1]和罗曼·扬波尔斯基(Roman Yampolskiy)[2]等人认为,人工智能有潜力——并最终将——消灭人类物种。人类将远远不如未来的人工智能高效,因此,当通用人工智能(AGI)得以实现时,智能机器很容易得出结论:人类消耗太多,世界没有人类会更好。然后是怀疑论者,如马克斯·泰格马克(Max Tegmark)[3],他认为应该暂停人工智能的发展,以便更好地将其与人类利益对齐。“只有当我们确信其影响将是积极的、其风险可控时,才应开发强大的人工智能系统。[4]”再者,也有技术乐观主义者,如马克·安德森(Mark Andreessen)[5]、萨姆·奥特曼(Sam Altman)[6]和雷·库兹韦尔(Ray Kurzweil)[7],他们主张人工智能将带来物质上的丰盈乌托邦。发展应该加速,监管者应当退让,未来将带来经济增长、生产力提高和生活水平的惊人提升。
[1] 美国人工智能理论家、作家,MIRI(Machine Intelligence Research Institute,机器智能研究所)创始人之一。 [2] 俄罗斯裔美国计算机科学家,路易斯维尔大学教授,专长于AI安全和人工智能伦理。 [3] 瑞典裔美国物理学家、MIT教授,Future of Life Institute(未来生命研究院)联合创办人。 [4] https://futureoflife.org/open-letter/pause-giant-ai-experiments/. [5] https://a16z.com/the-techno-optimist-manifesto/. 硅谷知名风险投资家、网景(Netscape)浏览器联合创始人,Andreessen Horowitz投资公司创始人。 [6] https://ia.samaltman.com/. OpenAI CEO. [7] 发明家、未来学家、作家,现为谷歌工程总监。
在这里很难做出具体的预测。不同立场的人常常以某种“不可避免性”的口气宣扬他们的观点。安德森是乐观主义最著名的主张者之一,他坚信由快速技术进步所带来的未来将是每一代人梦寐以求的那种未来。将会有具备无限同情心和耐心的人工智能导师,使教育更加普及和易获取;医疗行业将大幅提升,提供更好的预测并减少错误;机器人可以执行危险的工作,从而让人们追求自己的愿望。经济效益也将是巨大的。由于生产成本的降低,价格将更低,人们的钱将有更强的购买力,需求将增加,新的工作岗位将被创造,工资也将提高。他主张这一观点的主要论据是历史先例。每次有新技术革命到来时,社会总会从中获得净效益(net good)。十九世纪石油工业的形成之前,鲸鱼行业雇用了成千上万的工人。石油取代了这些工作,但也消除了依赖屠杀成千上万头鲸鱼来制造日常产品的需求。汽车威胁了许多行业,但当它成为普遍拥有的财产时,突然之间,需要更多的道路、桥梁和加油站来满足需求。虽然将会有自动化,人工智能将以良好的成果充斥世界,赋予经济前所未有的机会,让人们找到工作、积累财富,并利用人工智能所创造的价值。
然而,人工智能不同于以往的技术发展。人工智能是一种智能的进步和普及,而不仅仅是机械化的进步。库兹韦尔写道:“第一次工业革命扩展了我们身体的能力,第二次则扩展了我们思想的能力。”但是,一种新变量意味着结果的不同。人工智能能够学习、适应、生成、发现、反驳、怀疑、确认、设定目标,能够制定手段,也许有一天它会拥有意志并感知情感。它变得越来越具能动性(agentic)和自主性(autonomous),能够承担和完成通过它自身流程所生成的任务。如果它现在还没有具备能动性,那目标是让它达到这一点。仅仅基于先前经验得出的预测可能是一种范畴错误,容易导致误导和错误。当然,过去的技术形式与人工智能之间存在重叠,但它们之间有一个明确的区别,并且这种区别应该指导我们的预测。
另一方面,末世论者的观点并不具备很大的现实意义。那些通常潜藏在末世论者警告背后的“终结者”般的情景是不太可能发生的。尽管正如埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)[8]最近在《乔·罗根播客》(The Joe Rogan Podcast)上所言,如果嵌入了错误的目标,也许像“太空奥德赛(Space Odyssey)”系列作品中的HAL 9000那样的情景[9]是可能的。考虑到DeepSeek公司最近在降低计算成本方面的进展,该公司开发的AI模型已具有与美国最先进的模型竞争的水平,一场新的竞赛已经宣告开始,事情将会加速发展。美国副总统在人工智能行动峰会上的讲话清楚地表明了这一点。当前存在着一场争夺国际技术主导地位的竞争,这将塑造未来,发展速度的减缓等同于举白旗。因此,如果对安德森的主张有任何可行的反对意见,那也必须集中在如何引导技术发展,而非停止它。这应当为关于自动化的讨论提供启示:如何最好地引导自动化以避免不良结果?我们需要一种积极主动的方式。
[8] 特斯公司CEO,SpaceX创始人兼首席执行官,X(原Twitter)所有人。 [9] HAL 9000(简称HAL)是科幻小说和电影系列《太空奥德赛》中的虚构人工智能角色,由阿瑟·克拉克(Arthur C. Clarke)和斯坦利·库布里克(Stanley Kubrick)共同创作。在作品中,HAL 9000原本是飞船“发现号”(Discovery One)的中央控制系统,它被设计得极其可靠,拥有高度智能、情感模拟能力,负责飞船运行,包括导航、生命支持、通信等核心任务。在执行任务时,由于HAL开始表现出微妙的异常(如错误报告设备损坏),同行宇航员决定关闭HAL。当这一计划被HAL得知,HAL控制飞船上设备造成了同行宇航员的死亡。但后续作品揭示,HAL的表现是由于收到了相互冲突的人类指令,并决定杀死宇航员来保证两种指令都能够实现。
Section 1.1
安德森对自动化的乐观态度存在一个问题,那就是他过于确定新工作机会会得到足够的分配,供人们享受并加以利用。问题在于,经济正变得越来越依赖知识和信息。知识和信息的比重远远超过了体力劳动,而在市场上能够取得成功的人是那些拥有相关技能的人,这些技能需要通过教育和培训来获得。正如托马斯·皮凯蒂(Thomas Piketty)[10]在其《21世纪资本论》(Capital in the Twenty-First Century)一书中所观察到的,这是一个普遍的经济趋势,“趋同(即减少和限制不平等)的主要动力是知识的传播和对培训与技能的投资。”因此,随着经济日益依赖知识,那些没有相关技能或安全保障的失业工人将处于严重的不利地位。而那些拥有相关知识、技能和信息的人则更有优势,能够投资资本并增加财富。例如,即便经济增长和生产成本降低,那些没有技能的人将看到工资停滞不前。但是,假设由于生产成本降低,消费者的购买力增强,需求可能会上升,如果供应无法迅速满足这一需求,价格可能会随之上涨,从而引发需求拉动型通货膨胀。关键在于,经济和生产力增长可能无法自然应对的变量和情境。正如皮凯蒂所说,“没有自然、自发的过程能够防止不稳定、不平等的力量永久占据主导地位。”因此,必须采取积极的应对策略,来避开那些可能会导致漂浮在经济表面上的大量船只沉没的尖锐岩石。
[10] 法国经济学家。
在杰里米·里夫金(Jeremy Rifkin)[11]的《工作的终结》(The End of Work)一书中,他采用了更加严峻的语气:“(下一个)工业革命正迫使全球经济面临空前的危机,数百万人因技术创新失业,全球购买力急剧下降。”而埃里克·布林约尔松(Erik Brynjolfsson)[12]和安德鲁·麦卡菲(Andre McAfee)[13]在《第二次机器时代》(The Second Machine Age)[14]一书中提供了充分的理由,认为里夫金的观点具有一定的道理。他们认为,经济增长所带来的回报(bounty)——即通过较少的投入产生更多的产出,使商品更加便宜、更加易得,从而改善人们生活——并没有通过财富、收入和资本的分配,使每个人都被惠及而受益。换句话说,“科技进步的浪潮可能并不会使所有船只都得以提升。”例如,在上文提到的技能差距上,“自1970年代中期以来,拥有研究生学位的人的工资上涨了约25%,而高中辍学者的平均工资则下降了30%。”尽管自20世纪中期以来,美国GDP和经济生产力呈现“令人印象深刻的轨迹”,但该国的中位数收入却在下降,表明少数人正在获得好处,而大多数人却错失了机会:自里根时代以来,贫富差距不断扩大。布鲁金斯学会的这篇文章[15]也支持这一观点。
[11] 美国经济和社会理论家、作家、公众演说家、政治顾问和活动家。 [12] 经济学家、教授,现任斯坦福大学数字经济实验室主任。 [13] 研究员、作家,MIT斯隆管理学院副教授、MIT数字经济计划副主任。 [14] http://digamo.free.fr/brynmacafee2.pdf/ [15] https://www.brookings.edu/articles/rising-inequality-a-major-issue-of-our-time/
然而,也许这些观点的实际含义被错误的同情心所误导。尽管不平等的确存在,但这并不意味着它应该被视为最主要的关注变量。再次强调,技术创新使商品变得异常便宜,使人们的生活更加轻松、生活水平更高,并且通过提供更多商品、服务、信息和知识的可获取性,来满足人们的需求和愿望,从而让日常生活更便利。尽管财富分配可能存在不平等,但其整体增长使每个人都变得更好。而且,随着财富的进一步增长,这一趋势将持续。曾经只有富人能够负担得起的东西,如今大多数人都可以买得起。比如iPhone,它能提供比所有现存图书馆更多的信息,而历史上,只有最富有的人才能使用后者,而几乎任何人都能购买前者。欧洲最大的图书馆是1481年的梵蒂冈图书馆,馆内估计有三千五百本书籍和文献。ChatGPT估计,如果将网上的信息转化为书籍大小的量,将约合467千万亿本书。看看农业的发展。当经济学家米尔顿·弗里德曼(Milton Friedman)在1980年写《选择的自由》(Free to Choose)时,他写道,在《独立宣言》被签署的时代,“每20个工人中就需要有19个(从事农业劳动),以养活这个国家的居民,以及提供生产盈余以供出口,来交换外国商品。如今,只需要每20个工人中的不到1个工人,就能养活2.2亿美国居民,并提供生产盈余使美国成为世界上最大的食品出口国。”
彼得·蒂尔(Peter Theil)[16]常常宣称,问题是技术创新停滞,而不是与福利项目或分配模式相关的道德失败。科学和技术需要突破,以转变行业并提高生活标准。人工智能的智能革命,理应能够实现这一潜力。因此,也许最好是直接放手不管。专注于特定分配模式的公平或正义,就像尼采所说的那样,是一种“坏良心(bad-conscience)”——以被认为的集体利益为代价而追求个人利益时所体验到的罪疚感,但实际上,这种感受只会阻碍进步,而非推动它。真正和最好的目标,可以说是努力创新并创造推动历史发展的价值,这就像亚当·斯密(Adam Smith)[17]的“看不见的手”的隐喻一样,自然地调和了人们的自利。正如米尔顿·弗里德曼所说,“对于促使个人之间合作,进而使得每个个人都可以从合作中受益的状态而言,没有外部力量是必要的,没有对自由的侵犯是必要的。这就是为什么正如亚当·斯密所说的,‘只关心自身利益’的个人会‘被一只隐形之手引导,以推动一种与他的意图无关的目标’。”
[16] 硅谷投资人,PayPal创始人,企业家、风险投资家、政治思想家、作家。 [17] 经济学家、哲学家、道德理论家,古典经济学奠基人。
Section 1.2
关于经济增长是否足以改善长期的福祉和生活水平的问题,存在着高度争议。这个问题显然在这里无法解决。然而,提到这一点的目的是为了表明两种观点都具有正确性。个人在市场上追求自己的利益,像价格和工资这样的变量通过人们的自愿交换达成平衡,已经带来了巨大的成果。但差距也随之产生。
自动化是一个潜在的威胁。忽视它并声称它是危言耸听是一个错误。在可能的人工智能颠覆之后,某种形式的平衡达成之前,过渡期可能是复杂的,并且可能造成不必要的痛苦,如果事先处理,这些痛苦本可以避免。革命性的新技术可能既有好的一面,也有坏的一面。例如,十五世纪的印刷术使人们摆脱了教会强加的信息控制,催生了科学文献涌现的浪潮,为文明提供了巨大的价值。但它也导致了激烈而血腥的宗教战争,因为它允许人们传播各种信息。因此,为了避免类似的结果,在实施任何能够重新安排和重组社会经济安排的技术时,采取主动的方式非常重要。
从这里出发,通常的推论是,监管措施是应对这些可能性最好的手段。但与其满足于监管,正如马克·安德森在拜登政府执政期间警告的那样,监管会导致人工智能垄断,本文将力图支持自由市场中的自愿交换,同时促进必要的社会合作,帮助人们适应并在一个越来越不依赖于人力资本的经济中发挥作用。
本文的担忧是人们失去行使自身能动性(agency)的机会,从而无法拥有对自己的生活的控制(control)感和影响(influence)感。如果大量的人失去参与工作的机会,将会出现一条鸿沟,阻挡人们在世界中通常实现自己潜力的方式。他们将不再有机会在关键的社会领域做出具有深远影响的生活选择,这些选择需要谨慎和远见。人们将失去测试自我、发现天性的倾向和兴趣、辨认自己重视的事物以及行使选择去追求它的机会。社会中培养毅力、动机和个人意志的主要机会将会丧失。如果工作将主要被自动化替代,那么需要一个新的机会媒介来取而代之。作为社会制度的工作需要进步,并保持人们成长和发展的途径。
20世纪的自由主义哲学家约翰·杜威(John Dewey)写道:“正如感觉需要可感知的对象来刺激它们,我们的观察、回忆和想象能力也不是自发工作的,而是由当前社会活动所设定的需求激发。”像教育和工作这样的社会环境提供了刺激特定能力和功能所需的活动媒介,这些能力和功能需要完成定义活动的任务。人们常常争论说,自动化将使人们摆脱繁琐和机械的工作束缚。他们将有更多时间寻找新的方式来表达自己的需求,并最终实现工作一直阻碍他们实现的目标。人们将有自由去实现自己的潜力。但这一切不会自发发生。需要有能激发实现真正自由、意义和目的的活动的环境。当一个人完全孤单地待在一个没有人阻碍其动作和倾向的房间里时,可以说他是自由的。这样的人可以随心所欲。但由于没有能够激发适当反应的情境,且没有成功与失败的可能性,也缺少需要合作和协调的场景,这些场景有助于培养社会和情感的能力,也没有必要发挥智力和解决问题的能力,这个房间里的人的成长会停止,反而会枯萎,无法实现自由。一个从天空自由下落、不被任何东西阻挡的人,他看似自由,其实并不自由,因为他注定会撞向地面。
正如弗朗茨·卡夫卡(Franz Kafka)所写:“我自由了,因此我迷失。”哲学家让-保罗·萨特(Jean-Paul Sartre)则说:“人类被注定要自由。”
因此,当前的问题是,如何开辟一个人们能够自愿进入其中,并找到表达美好生活所需能力的机会的空间。此类机会,旨在行使人们的能动性,将被称为“质性丰富(qualitatively rich)机会”,而能够实现这些机会的环境则被称为“质性丰富环境”。
一个体现“质性丰富机会”的“质性丰富环境”是“开源生态系统”(open source ecosystems),它应当是人工智能发展的主要模式,它提供了以下框架:市场将为人们提供机会,让他们通过具有挑战性和刺激性的工作来行使自己的能动性,进而实现有意义的项目。人们将不得不学习新技能,克服障碍,但这一过程不仅是为了保持一个人们可以竞争、做出选择、发展能动性的市场,同时也促进人们生活中的目的和意义。如果经济要关上旧有工作形式的门,比如流水线和服务性工作,那么应该为人们提供更多有意义的工作机会。正如经济学家泰勒·科文(Tyler Cowen)在《莱克斯·弗莱德曼博客》(Lex Fridman podcast)中指出的那样,人们需要事情做。他们不想只是待在家里,正如COVID封锁所证明的那样。如果例行劳动和低技术劳动将被自动化,那么唯一的选择是确保存在“质性丰富机会”,以便人们能够利用并行使自己的能力,进行有意义的工作。
因此,应该在经济中引入一种新的范式。从佩卡·希曼宁(Pekka Himanen)[18]的《黑客伦理》(The Hacker Ethic)一书中汲取灵感,人们应当从以工业为基础的工作范式转向一种“黑客范式”。在工业范式中,个体主要执行重复性的劳动任务,其目的仅仅是为了获取收入以维持生存。而黑客范式则以内在价值为核心,强调工作本身的趣味性、刺激性、创造性与游戏性,其特征是激情与游戏,而非“履行对工作的责任”或“为经济做出贡献”的社会义务,正如马克斯·韦伯(Max Weber)[18]在《新教伦理与资本主义精神》(Capitalism and The Protestant Ethic)中所揭示的那样。黑客范式强调人类能动性及其实现价值的潜力,这种价值能提升人类。工业范式则在工人与他们与世界的积极参与之间产生疏离感:工人对他们所贡献的工作漠不关心;人们通常不喜欢甚至讨厌他们的工作。他们在那里是为了赚钱,而不是参与有意义的工作。正如希曼宁所写:“改革工作形式不仅是尊重工人的问题,更是尊重人类作为人类的问题。黑客不认同‘时间就是金钱’的格言,而认同‘这是我的生活’的格言。”正如埃里克·史蒂文·雷蒙德(Eric Steven Raymond)在《如何成为黑客》(How To Become A Hacker)[20]中所说,黑客认为世界充满了奇妙的问题,并在致力于解决这些问题中找到了自由。他们寻找需要动机和热情的项目,并相信当其他人也有机会获得同样的自由时,世界将变得无限美好,这需要社会合作以及对信息的最大程度的开放获取——这也正是“开源”的重要意义所在。
[18] 芬兰哲学家。 [19] 社会学家、经济学家、历史学家、政治学理论家,德国社会学与历史学传统的代表人物之一,被称为现代社会学的奠基人之一。 [20] http://www.catb.org/esr/faqs/hacker-howto.html
为了凸显为何引入新范式对于应对人工智能的挑战至关重要,具有显著的历史意义,我们可以回到亚当·斯密的思想。随后,将进一步阐明“质性丰富环境”与“质性丰富机会”的概念,并将其应用于当下以专有技术(proprietary technology)为核心的人工智能垄断体系。届时可以看到,这些垄断将扼杀黑客范式的生成,因此是不可取的。
透过亚当·斯密的视角我们可以看到,尽管工业化在长期内极大地提升了人们的生活水平,但它也对从事重复性、机械性劳动的人产生了消极影响,因为这类劳动削弱了对人类认知能力的刺激,阻碍了其全面发展。劳动分工极大地加速了专业化的进程,却减少了个体接触那些能调动其高级心智能力的机会——而这些能力正是实现有意义、有目标、富有成就感的工作的基础。人工智能与自动化正成为一种转型催化剂,逐步替代工业时代的工作模式与生产逻辑,将人力资本曾承担的任务转交予智能机器完成。若人工智能真的是一种进步——即人类进步——那么它就应回应亚当·斯密关于劳动分工及其对人类生活影响的担忧。
Part 2
Section 2.1
亚当·斯密在1776年写下了《国富论》(The Wealth of Nations)。受到艾萨克·牛顿(Isaac Newton)的影响,斯密希望理解社会背后的设计,以及社会的运作机制,类似于牛顿发现并使用采用机械论术语来公式化了解释宇宙的物理法则。那个时代的模型是将现象看作是像精密调校的手表一样有组织和有秩序的,所有部件和机械都在完美的和谐中协同工作,产生各种各样的效应和涌现现象。
在斯密生活的时代,第一次工业革命正在英格兰进行。城市扩张,曾经仅限于富人阶层的商品和服务变得更加廉价且易于获取,生活水平提高,基础设施得到了发展,表面上看,人们过上了前所未有的更好生活。斯密观察到社会的进步。由于大发现时代以及使欧洲人能够踏上新大陆的技术,欧洲人与那些似乎尚未经历欧洲所经历的历史进程、被欧洲人认为是“未开化”的民族接触,因此,欧洲大陆的风尚(ethos)是历史和文明正在进入一个新的、更为先进的阶段。科学探索和知识带来的创新提升了生产力和效率,从而使社会系统的组织更加复杂。斯密希望了解推动这一进程的因果机制。
斯密观察并认为劳动分工在社会经济中扮演了主要的,甚至是基础性的角色。随着社会组织的扩展,制造与生产过程逐渐细分为更为专业的任务,结果这些过程的产出大幅增加。在传统的行会框架中,工匠将一生投入到完整的手工业中,学习所需的所有方面并精通每一部分。这种行会框架逐渐被分工化的工厂模式所取代,后者在日益发展的城市中通过劳动分工的方式系统化生产。一个庞大的个体系统因此浮现,它需要极高的协调性,而劳动分工则将这一系统组织成一个复杂的机制,旨在调和人们的利益。
斯密还认为,劳动分工反映了人类本性中的某些更深层次的特征。人们涌向城市,赚取劳动报酬并享受更好的生活条件,因为斯密认为,人类天生具有进行交换(truck)、易货交易(barter)和贸易(exchange)[21]的倾向。他写道:“交换、易货和将一种物品与另一种物品贸易的倾向是所有人类共有的,在其他任何动物种群中都无法找到。”像狼这样的动物自然地在等级化的群体中组织自己,刚孵化的小鸟倾向于飞行,而像树木这样的有机体则在密林中争夺阳光。与此不同,人类进行交换、易货和贸易,是因为他们有天生的倾向来改善自身状况。劳动分工推动了这一目标的实现。
[21] 这三个词的区别在斯密研究中并没有得到广泛讨论。一些学者认为它们是同义的,通过重复表达强调(参考J.Z. Muller, (1993) Adam Smith in His Time and Ours: Designing the Decent Society, New York: Free Press第69页,Willie Henderson and Warren J. Samuels, (2004) The etiology of Adam Smith’s division of labor, in Essays on the History of Economics)。就这三个词在英语中的使用历史而言,truck system在英国曾经意为用实物作为工资的薪资制度,barter通常指不涉及货币的物物交换。
然而,斯密认为,劳动分工是一种权衡——它也有代价。尽管人们的生活水平提高,他们享受更好的条件,能够满足诸如食物、水和住所等消费需求,但劳动分工却将工人简化为机器中的齿轮。这些任务几乎不需要认知努力。一旦任务变得常规化,并转化为肌肉记忆后,便没有更多的障碍或问题需要克服。因此,斯密深切担忧这一过程将随着时间推移产生深远的负面认知效应。人们去上班,只要他们熟悉自己的任务,就不需要动脑;他们机械地行动。斯密直言不讳地写道:
“一个人一生都在执行少量简单的操作,并且这些操作的效果始终显而易见,他便无需发挥理解力,或利用自己的创造力去寻求解决从未出现的困难的方法。他自然会变得愚笨无知,几乎达到人类可能变得最愚笨和无知的地步。”
劳动分工提供的机会在质性上较为贫乏,无法使人们具备过上有意义和有目的生活的能力。借用另一位启蒙时期哲学家伊曼纽尔·康德(Immanuel Kant)的术语,劳动分工未能尊重人类的尊严,而尊严要求针对并培养那些能够使人过上自主选择生活所必需的能力。拥有尊严意味着对个人生活拥有影响力(influence)和掌控力(efficacy)。
劳动分工创造了更多提高生活水平的机会,但它没有提供“质性丰富机会”,使人们能够整合他们的能力并实现全面的人生。大多数人可用的机会并未促使他们将创造性和生产力能力集中于那些能够扩展他们在世界中自由感的目标上。与行会制度相比,劳动分工提供了更多的机会,但这些机会也更浅薄,更缺乏产生掌控感的体验。但由于生活水平较高,人们正确地选择了将自己降级为齿轮的工作。但正如斯密所观察到的,提高生活水平不足以满足人类需求的全面范围。它没有让大多数个体能够发挥他们的更高能力。
斯密认为,必须进行改善。对人们而言,更多“质性丰富机会”是至关重要的,这些机会使他们能够过上更有意义和目的的生活,体现人类尊严,并为行使他们的能动性提供基础。劳动分工提供了物质自由的增益,但并未提供足够的机会以实现更内在的、主体驱动的自由。
这无疑是卡尔·马克思对资本主义的重大批评之一。在资本主义体制下,人们与他们的劳动发生异化(alienation)。劳动的异化意味着人们与自己的活动脱离;即人在其自身和它的创造与生产能力之间产生了距离。在心理学家埃里克·弗洛姆(Eric Fromm)关于马克思的著作[22]中,他写道:“对马克思而言,异化的过程表现在工作和劳动分工中。工作是人类与自然之间的积极联系,是创造新世界的过程,包括创造人类自身……但随着私有制和劳动分工的发展,劳动失去了作为人类力量表达的特性;劳动及其产品变成了与人类、与他的意志和计划分离的存在。”
[22] Eric Fromm, Marx's Concept of Man.
人类通过他们所参与的活动以及在其中投入的内在力量和驱动力来理解和塑造自己的身份。通过创造和塑造世界及其环境,并将能量集中于外部项目和目标,一个人在世界中实现自我感。活动(Activity),而非被动的消费或任务,定义了马克思所说的人类本质。正如弗洛姆在其著作《拥有与存在》(To Have or To Be)中所指出的,通过“存在(being)”,而非“拥有(having)”,一个人才能体验到生活的意义和目的。通过“在爱中存在”,“以充满激情的方式存在”,“以积极行动的方式存在”,“以有希望的方式存在”,“有目的地存在”,以及“以有生产力地方式存在”,一个人才能过上充实的生活,而不必依赖“拥有”(爱、激情、积极性,等等)这些东西。劳动分工强调“拥有”,而其所涉及的许多工作和活动并未促使人们发展出“存在感”。正如德国诗人歌德(Johann Wolfgang von Goethe)所言,人类通过“将自己从可能性的黑夜转化为现实的白昼”来努力存在。人类通过外化他们内心的价值观和设想来追求成为自我,而这一过程通过活动得以实现。弗洛姆写道:“人类只有在生产性行为中才是活着的,只有在他通过表达自己特定的人类能力来把握外部世界,并且以这些能力来把握世界时……在这个生产性过程中,人类实现了自己的本质。”劳动分工减少了人类的能动性感,即人类以他们所珍视的、选择并在其上实践自身意志的有意义的方式,来主动影响和引导自己生活的能力。
通过创建“质性丰富环境”,黑客范式及其对开源的推动提供了多个“质性丰富机会”,从而推动了我们社会和政治结构的进步。它具有实现人类天性中更为积极的一面——人的能动感——的潜力,而不仅仅是其消极和消费的部分。这里的主要假设是,如果人工智能要发展并融入经济基础,它应当使人们的生活得到改善。更具体地说,如果自动化发生,其结果应当是改善人们的生活,而非对他们造成伤害。实现这一目标的一种途径是确保足够分配“质性丰富机会”,让每个人都能从中受益,而开源正是实现这一目标的途径。人工智能发展可能导致人们境况恶化以及抑制他们潜在机会的一个重要原因是存在使用专有模型来控制人工智能并主导其市场使用的垄断现象。黑客范式和开源则为避免这种结果提供了可能的解决方案。
Section 2.2
在理解垄断如何减少“质性丰富机会”之前,我们需要进一步弄清楚什么是“质性丰富机会”,以及它们激发并帮助发展哪些能力。在解释这类机会的性质及其意义之后,我们将探讨垄断是如何大幅削弱这些机会的可及性,以及这意味着什么。
“质性丰富机会”的理念源自亚里士多德(Aristotle)[23],更具体地说,是由哲学家玛莎·努斯鲍姆(Martha Nussbaum)和经济学家阿玛蒂亚·森(Amartya Sen)进一步发展的。亚里士多德认为,人类要实现繁荣、过上充实而有尊严的生活,必须达成某些特定的功能(functions)或方式。他认为存在一种“人性(human nature)”,而这种人性包含基本的和更高层次的需求。无论历史和偶然条件如何变化,人类都具有一些根本特征。当然,这些特征是在历史情境中体现的,但在所有文化和文明中都可以观察到某些本质上的一致性。亚里士多德说:“善是万物所追求的目标。”所谓“善”,即是一种事物的适当功能。例如,眼睛的善是“看见”,种子的善是“长成一棵树”。实现某物的适当功能,就是实现其“繁荣”(flourish),也就是达到它所追求和努力趋向的状态。达到这样的状态,就是获得一种内在价值。
[23] 古希腊哲学家。
作为一个人去实现其功能,需要基本的生活必需品,如食物、水、住所和行动能力。但这些物品本身并不具有内在价值;它们之所以有价值,是因为它们使人能够运作以追求更进一步、更有内在价值的事物。如果一个人仅仅拥有这些基本的生存条件,我们可以说他“运作”着,但未必是“良好地运作”。要使一个人“良好地运作”,必须拥有其他内在价值更高的资源。人类需要教育与信息获取,以发展其认知能力;需要家庭和亲密关系,以发展社交技巧、个人身份认同和情感处理能力;还需要能够施展意志、探索兴趣、投入热情的追求,并培养目标感的渠道。一个良好的政治与社会安排,即我们应当追求的那种社会制度,应当为人们提供具体的机会,让他们得以实践这些需求,从而实现良好的人类运作状态。“质性丰富机会”即是指那些能够为人类发展内在有价值的能力(如做出知情决策的能力、制定值得追求的目标及其实现路径的能力,以及建立有意义、有影响力的人际关系的能力)提供基础的机会。像工作、教育、社区和艺术等社会制度,正是那些激发并促进实现这些目标所需能力的质性丰富环境。
质性丰富机会之所以重要,是因为它们使人们具备发展“能动性”的能力。借用斯坦福大学心理学家阿尔伯特·班杜拉(Albert Bandura)[24]的概念,我们可以将“人类的能动性”理解为个体感受到自己对生活有控制和影响力的能力。更具体地说,质性丰富机会能够激发那些针对“自我效能”(self-efficacy)能力的行为。所谓“自我效能”,是指一个人在面对挑战和障碍时所拥有的自我信心感。当面对一个困难且新颖的任务时,高自我效能的人会评估自己有能力克服困难完成任务;他们会拥有坚持不懈、克服失败的动机;即使身处陌生与复杂情境中,他们也能维持良好的心理状态。质性丰富机会旨在发展那些能够提升自我效能以及应对具体情境所需的能力。通过这些机会,一个人得以锻炼其能动性、获取掌控力,从而扩展其自由感。而正如班杜拉(1994)[25]所说:“一个人自我效能感越强,他为自己设定的目标挑战越高,并且对这些目标的承诺也越坚定。”因此,通过增强自我效能,无论是在信念层面还是实践层面,个人将获得更高程度的自由,并过上更具质感、更丰富的人生。
[24] https://happyheartfamilies.citymax.com/f/Self_Efficacy.pdf [25] https://happyheartfamilies.citymax.com/f/Self_Efficacy.pdf
工作在塑造个体身份和自我认同方面具有至关重要的作用。它为人们提供了探索不同职业路径的机会,使他们能够发现自己在人生中希望追求的目标。工作往往也是建立职业与个人关系、融入不同社会网络的重要方式,同时也是人们获取能力、攀登社会阶梯的媒介。工作这一领域还能帮助人们在多种环境和情境中培养动机、智力以及态度。换句话说,工作为人们提供了发展某些功能或生活方式的机会,而这些功能和生活方式正是实现美好生活所必不可少的。
例如,想象一个年轻人第一次进入劳动力市场。他尝试了几份工作。他发现自己不太喜欢零售业,因为需要持续与顾客打交道。他又尝试了送货服务,结果发现自己不喜欢那种日复一日的重复性工作。最后,他在一个建筑工地找到了工作,并发现有些任务既有趣又具有挑战性。他喜欢动手工作的感觉,于是决定投身技工行业。这个人随后进入技校学习,建立起重要的人际关系,在新环境中受到挑战,被激发去提升技能、积累知识与经验,并在这个过程中不断面对和克服新的困难与障碍。毕业后,他抓住了一个机会——一位欣赏他职业精神的导师为他提供了许多关注和支持。之后,他在某家公司工作了一段时间,并在这个过程中积累了足够的知识和自信,决定创办自己的公司,以实现这个目标。他开始建立客户关系,专注于能让自己在竞争中脱颖而出的技能,并最终打造出一家成功的企业。
这听起来也许有些理想化,但却是一个既熟悉又现实的例子。它描绘了一种有目的的生活,这些目的是通过在环境和情境中发现的机会而形成的,这些环境和情境提供了能够产生能动感和自我价值感的体验。当然,要实现这样的人生画面,通常还需要一系列其他条件,例如成长于一个有支持的环境中,拥有探索个人兴趣所需的资源和时间等——但在美国,工作无疑是提供发展构成美好生活的关键功能的核心渠道。上文中的这个人通过学习新技能、克服挑战、做出关键选择来应对社会环境,最终实现了成功与成就。随着在专业领域的成长,他不断设立新的目标,并获得足够的自我效能感,相信自己能够实现这些目标。他发展出一整套完整的能力体系,最终也获得了尊严感。无论这个人过去或未来是否还拥有其他美好的人生经历,如果没有那些能够让他工作与成长的机会,他的人生质量将会大打折扣。
这里有一个真实的例子,不过这个人将保持匿名。在荷兰大学毕业后,他不想找一份“普通的工作”,于是开始前往其他国家旅行。他靠在 YouTube 上制作音乐赚了一些钱,住在各地的酒店和青年旅舍。但随着资金逐渐减少,孤独与疏离感开始加剧,他变得抑郁。他完全自由——可以去任何地方、看任何东西,做任何他想做的事——但他感到极度孤独。在亚洲的一家青年旅舍,他一个人躺在床上盯着天花板,没有钱、没有女朋友、也没有工作,他想起了父亲曾对他说的话:“他小时候教过我:每当我感到沮丧或者不知道做什么时,就去找一座沙堆,拿把铲子,把沙子从院子的一边搬到另一边……干点体力活,做点辛苦的事——做点什么。我做创业项目时也一样。”于是,他开始学习编程,开发软件和应用程序,并利用 Stripe 平台[26]将作品发布给公众以筹集资金。他专注于那些能够带来方向感与创作机会的活动。在真正的“黑客精神”指引下,他把世界看作充满待解决问题的迷人场域,有些问题他认为是可处理且值得去做的,于是尝试去解决。令人惊讶的是,他立下目标:一年内创办十二个初创公司——而他真的做到了。
[26] 一个专注于在线支付处理和金融基础设施的平台,帮助企业在互联网上管理资金流动。
这个人起初感到疏离与孤独,缺乏人生目标。因此他选择行动起来,把自己投入到使用基础编程语言与工具进行的创造性表达中。通过利用人工智能,他也更能创造出具有价值和实用性的产品,供他人使用与体验。他采纳了父亲的建议,将自己投入到实际行动中,结果是抑郁与焦虑逐渐缓解。他在信息丰富的环境中,发现了许多“质性丰富机会”,得以发展自我,提升自我效能感与能力。他与更多富有挑战性的目标建立联系,不断努力达成这些目标。而开源技术在这一过程中扮演了关键角色。
这也正是 Dora 生态系统的重要意义所在。通过像 DoraHacks.io 这样的平台,像上文所描述的那样的人们可以借由“质性丰富机会”,与全球各地的开发者协作,共同创新,创造出人们认为紧迫且相关的有意义的解决方案。该生态系统为开发者提供了必要的资源,使他们能够加入全球任何地方的 “BUIDL” 团队,解决引人入胜的问题;并在黑客松中与其他建设者一起感受到社区归属感;同时还通过激励机制推动他们实现有意义的目标,而这些目标往往又会引发更具挑战性和刺激性的下一阶段任务。Dora 生态系统创造了一个充满可能性的环境,使人们能够构建去中心化的产品与服务,例如将所有权交还给用户本人,增强他们在数字世界中的自主性、安全性以及对金融资产的控制力。正如下文将进一步讨论的,大型企业和垄断机构通常并不会从这些类型的技术中直接受益。那么,他们又有什么动机去资助这类技术呢?开源技术栈能够提升价值的质量,因为它为人们提供了开发更具意义产品的路径,而这些产品通常比那些由大型、目标狭隘的机构所产出的产品更具意义。
因此,如果自动化有可能减少甚至消除人们运用能动性、获得自我效能感的“质性丰富机会“,那么它所腾出的空间,理应由其他在质性上更丰富的机会来填补。如果确实存在“人性”这样的东西,而这种人性包含了一系列需要被发展、以使人得以过上有尊严生活的能力,那么最优与最值得追求的政治与社会安排,应当是将“质性丰富机会”公平分配,以确保人们有选择去运用自身能力、成为能够良好运作并实现繁荣生活的个体。为人们提供质性丰富机会,使他们能够加以利用,并据此组织、调动并集中自身内在力量于那些能够锻炼与激发个体能力的实践之上,这就构成了一个让人过上更有意义人生的基础。它是给予人们成为他们所珍视之人的自由。
接下来的部分将转向对 AI 垄断企业的讨论,揭示它们是如何压制上述这类未来机会的。
Part 3
Section 3.1
人工智能领域中潜在的垄断者不言自明:谷歌、苹果、微软、Meta 和亚马逊。这些公司以及少数其他企业在 2024 年占据了 65% 的固定网络流量和 68% 的移动网络流量[27]。谷歌大约占据全球约 90% 的搜索市场,其品牌名几乎已成为“搜索”行为本身的代名词;Meta 拥有主要的社交媒体平台,如 Instagram、Facebook 和 WhatsApp,这些都是人们日常交流与信息分享中访问量极高的平台;微软控制着大约 72% 的桌面操作系统市场;在美国,苹果约占据 60% 的智能手机市场份额;而亚马逊则主导了线上零售,其规模“超过美国排名其后的 15 家最大电商零售商的总和”[28]。此外,谷歌、Meta 和亚马逊合计占据了美国约 60% 的广告收入。我们在网上所接触到的产品、精美广告、以及注意力的买卖,主要都是由这几家大型科技公司驱动的。根据 Synergy Research [29]的研究,到本世纪末,微软、谷歌和亚马逊三家公司可能将掌握全球高达三分之二的数据份额。这些公司还控制着大部分云基础设施——亚马逊、微软、谷歌(以及阿里巴巴)合计拥有全球 67% 的云计算市场份额[30]。
这些公司拥有庞大的资源储备,同时也长期以来采用各种手段排挤竞争对手,包括通过并购消灭潜在威胁、利用市场主导地位优先推广自家产品、实行掠夺性定价、利用网络效应,以及其他众所周知的策略。例如,鉴于亚马逊在电子商务领域的市场主导地位,它可以通过优先推荐自家产品,排挤其他可能品质更高的供应商产品。消费者在面对价格更低的亚马逊产品时,往往更倾向于购买,而亚马逊正好拥有充足的资源来维持这种低价策略。在网络效应方面,“目前[31]大多数科技巨头的用户数量都以十亿计”,这为初创企业和小公司制造了几乎无法跨越的障碍。而谷歌也多次被指控故意降低某些内容的排名,并优先展示有利于自身利益的信息。
[27] https://www.applogicnetworks.com/blog/sandvines-2024-global-internet-phenomena-report-global-internet-usage-continues-to-grow [28] https://www.emarketer.com/learningcenter/guides/amazon-revenue/ [29] https://cxotoday.com/news-analysis/big-tech-to-own-two-thirds-of-world-data/#:~:text=Without%20sounding%20like%20a%20predictor%20of%20doomsday%2C,data%20centers%20while%20the%20rest%20is%20on [30] https://botpopuli.net/digging-deeper-assessing-big-techs-capture-of-the-internets-infrastructure/#:~:text=The%20dominance%20of%20Big%20Tech,Services%20(AWS)%20in%202006. [31] https://academic.oup.com/policyandsociety/advance-article/doi/10.1093/polsoc/puae012/7636223
如今,这些公司正积极争夺对人工智能发展的主导权。“Meta、微软、亚马逊和Alphabet 预计在2025年将累计投入高达 3250 亿美元的资本支出与投资……相比这些公司在2024年报告[32]的约 2230 亿美元,这相当于增长了 46%。”此外,“几乎没有例外,所有初创公司、新进入者,甚至 AI 研究实验室都依赖这些大型科技公司:他们依靠微软、亚马逊和谷歌的计算基础设施来训练系统,也依靠它们庞大的消费市场渠道来部署和销售 AI 产品[33]。”科技巨头垄断了初创公司赖以生存[34]的关键资源——人才、数据和算力。
[32] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/big-tech-set-to-invest-325-billion-this-year-as-hefty-ai-bills-come-under-scrutiny-182329236.html [33] https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/12/05/1084393/make-no-mistake-ai-is-owned-by-big-tech/ [34] https://academic.oup.com/policyandsociety/advance-article/doi/10.1093/polsoc/puae012/7636223
现有的行业巨头正在开发各种模型,以维持其在各自市场中的立足点。由于它们掌握着大多数资源——例如,“这些公司贡献了标普500指数公司市值的 22% 以上,其单独市值甚至超过了加拿大、意大利等[35]部分 G7 国家 GDP”——它们可以随意挤压竞争对手,阻止初创企业和小型公司进入市场。正如前文所述,随着 DeepSeek 在全球市场中作为竞争者不断取得进展,这些最大规模的 AI 公司正在大肆渲染一场“军备竞赛”,并夸大中国威胁以及人工智能可能带来的危害,从而推动对 AI 的监管和开发限制,而这些限制最终最有可能使它们自身受益。与此同时,由于垄断体制依赖于专有模型,其架构、权重、学习算法、代码以及内嵌目标都对公众隐蔽不明,在 AI 渗透信息网络的过程中,这些公司的经济与市场主导地位也将以一种“隐秘的方式”塑造人们的思维和行为。
[35] https://academic.oup.com/policyandsociety/advance-article/doi/10.1093/polsoc/puae012/7636223
那么,监管是否能解决这个问题呢?《麻省理工科技评论》最近指出:“监管或许有帮助[36],但政府政策最终往往加固了这些公司的权力,而非加以削弱——这些公司能够利用其资本与政治影响力来操控政策。”亚历克斯·蓝姆佩尔(Alex Rampell)[37]最近写道[38]:“拜登政府发布了一项行政命令[39],试图以人为设定的门槛限制计算能力,禁止开源技术,理由是其对国家安全构成威胁,同时这实际上为几家最大公司垄断监管资源敞开了大门。”例如,尽管萨姆·奥特曼在与贝利·韦斯(Barry Weiss)[40]的《自由新闻播客》(Free Press podcast)中否认了这一说法,投资人马克·安德森却一再警告称,拜登的 AI 行政命令的真正目的在于将 AI 的控制权交到少数几家公司(极可能是 OpenAI)手中,并通过提高市场准入门槛来消除竞争者。此外,尽管此举颇具争议、甚至可能显得天真,自从 DeepSeek 发布其 V1 和 V3 模型以来,Anthropic的 CEO 达里·阿摩地(Dario Amodei)一直呼吁加强出口管制政策[41],进一步限制中国获取芯片的能力。然而,正如迪伦·潘特(Dylan Patel)[42]和纳森·兰伯特(Nathan Lambert)[43]在 《莱克斯·弗莱德曼博客》中指出的那样,DeepSeek 的开源模型显然并不构成任何实质性的国家安全威胁。但它确实对那些依赖专有系统、通过模型控制潜在价值的生态构成了威胁。DeepSeek 的方法迫使这些“专有资本”朝着可被任何人使用与构建的公共资源方向转化。正因如此,阿摩地对“单极 vs. 双极世界”的坚持背后其实包含着竞争性的动机:要么 AI 权力集中于美国,要么中美都拥有对等的 AI 能力——而后者,在阿摩地看来,是必须避免的局面。
[36] https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/12/05/1084393/make-no-mistake-ai-is-owned-by-big-tech/ [37] 硅谷知名投资人,安德森·霍洛维茨基金(Andreessen Horowitz,简称a16z)的普通合伙人(General Partner)。 [38] https://a16z.com/why-deepseek-is-a-gift-to-the-american-people/ [39] https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2023/11/01/2023-24283/safe-secure-and-trustworthy-development-and-use-of-artificial-intelligence [40] 美国著名记者、专栏作家,独立新闻平台自由新闻(The Free Press)的创办人。 [41] https://darioamodei.com/on-deepseek-and-export-controls [42] 半导体行业分析师,SemiAnalysis网站创始人。 [43] AI研究员、工程师。
或许,我们应当持有一种不那么鹰派的乐观态度。经济学家泰勒·科文提出了充分理由,认为与其全面投入一场军备竞赛,不如在相互合作[44]与共赢中寻找发展路径。当然,竞争仍然是必要的,但推动未来事件进程的竞争心态,不应仅仅源于达尔文式的“适者生存”逻辑,而应更接近尼采所观察到[45]的古希腊式“竞技”(Agon)[46]传统——那是一种社会制度,其中的艺术家、军事领袖与运动员通过竞争彼此激励、共同成长。
[44] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TcJtvzF-FP8&t=2736s [45] http://www.northamericannietzschesociety.com/uploads/7/3/2/5/73251013/nietzscheana5.pdf [46] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agon
没有对手,竞争者也将迷失方向。因为没有了改进、突破和创新的机会,个体便失去了变得更好、更具创造力的可能。竞争者的存在本身就依赖于愿意对抗他们的人。正是因为有人挑战,希腊诗人才得以想象得更深远、表达得更出色。尼采指出,希腊竞技者面临的最大危险不是失败,而是——失去竞争对手。他写道:“这正是希腊竞技理念的核心:它厌恶独裁,畏惧其危险,它渴望用‘另一个天才’来抵御某一位天才的压倒性力量。”我们不应将竞争理解为自然状态下的求生挣扎,那种资源稀缺、人与人互为威胁的霍布斯(Thomas Hobbes)式处境——“孤独、贫穷、肮脏、残暴而短暂”[47]。我们也不应将竞争本能视为某种原始性冲动的残余,只为了压制对手、消灭威胁。我们应当将其理解为一种可以高贵化的本能,正如尼采所言,它是“所有人类情感、行为与作品的唯一丰沃土壤”。竞争本能自身也具有德性,应当被培养成“在正确的时间、以正确的方式、出于正确的理由”去发挥作用的东西(亚里士多德,《尼各马科伦理学》(Nicomachean Ethics)第二卷),而不是被视作一种必要之恶。阿摩地害怕中国,这可能不是正确的回应——或许,一个更好的、更具德性的回应,是将中国视为值得尊敬的竞争者。
[47] 霍布斯的《利维坦》(Leviathan)中对自然状态下的人的生活的刻画。
Section 3.2
现在让我们聚焦于这些潜在的 AI 垄断企业为何会通过主导 AI 生态系统,压制质性丰富机会的更广泛传播。原因至少有两个:第一个涉及经济能动性,第二个涉及价值能动性。所谓经济能动性,是指人们进入市场、创造能满足消费者需求与欲望的价值与效用的能力。如果市场上的 AI 模型被集中掌握在少数公司手中,新兴企业与创业者为世界做出有价值贡献的机会将受到限制。那些能够回应民主、医疗保健、金融自主、政治权利与自由,或其他重大而有意义问题的创新,将大幅减少,从而也会降低 AI 所可能带来的社会福祉。任何威胁到这些少数 AI 垄断企业的控制力、影响力或财富的产品与服务,将被直接排除在市场之外,而不是由市场自然机制或消费者的真实需求所决定。
另一方面,所谓价值能动性,是指人们有能力对社会应追求的目标产生影响、发表意见。如果 AI 是在不透明的条件下、依据无法被公众了解和介入的价值与目标进行训练的,那么人们在这些问题上的影响力就会被削弱。如果由专有模型决定大多数或几乎全部嵌入 AI 的产品与服务的性质,那么人们对这些技术的控制权将大为减少。例如,所谓“对齐问题”指的是如何使 AI 与人类的利益保持一致。那么,什么是人类的利益?什么是构成一个良好且值得追求社会的目标?AI 的运行应遵循哪些道德与伦理原则?这些价值是否可以由少数几家公司决定,而无需公开其训练数据与学习算法?是否可以不接受公众监督与介入?如果技术架构被封闭在公众视野之外,那么上述问题的答案就更有可能来自权威的决定,而不是通过民主程序获得的共识。
经济能动性与价值能动性的双重丧失是危险的,本文余下部分将进一步阐述原因。
Section 3.3: 经济能动性
正如奥地利经济学家路德维希·冯·米塞斯(Ludwig von Mises)与弗里德里希·哈耶克(Friedrich Hayek)所著名指出的,苏联之所以在某些方面具有毁灭性,部分原因在于它无法通过自然发生的市场机制来合理分配资源。在这样的体制下,由内部的中央计划者来决定人民的需求与欲望——而这些人所掌握的信息资源既稀缺、又充满偏见与误差,无法实现准确分配。因此,大量官僚主义和强制性的手段被实施来调配国家资源。
举例来说,国家必须设定价格。至少是在苏联的情况中,并不存在一个广泛可用的自由市场,来使商品与服务受到供需关系的调节。生产者依据国家命令进行生产,而非根据市场激励(如竞争)自行调整方向——这些激励本应协调生产与消费,促成市场均衡。换句话说,价格失去了其关键信息功能——它本应指示资源该流向何处。哈耶克在《通往奴役之路》(The Road to Serfdom)中写道:“任何对某些商品的价格或数量的控制,都剥夺了竞争协调个体努力的能力,因为此时价格变动无法反映环境中的相关变化,也就无法为个体行动提供可靠的指导。”
不过,对本文来说,更重要的是:国家控制的生产与经济计划还意味着人们被剥夺了进入市场并创造价值的机会,使他们难以通过创新改善自身生活。任何可能威胁国家权力、削弱其合法性与影响力,或转移其部分控制权的创新行为,都将被禁止进入市场。举个例子:假设某人观察到,在某国的偏远乡村地区,由于常年洪水泛滥,人们无法修建道路,从而难以参与国家选举。这位发明者研发了一种不受洪水腐蚀的新型混凝土,并希望在乡村修建道路,改善人们的通行条件,让他们更容易参与公共事务。但当他向国家交通委员会申请资源时,却遭到了拒绝。原因是:该地区居民普遍希望拥有农业生产的自主权,因此国家不愿意为这些人提供进入选举制度的通道。而在缺乏市场竞争的情况下,也没有其他机会和机制可以去建设这些道路。
垄断,尤其是在受到监管体系保护的情况下,构成了类似的威胁。马克思曾做出一个著名批评:资本主义作为一种社会制度,其内在逻辑会逐步而不可避免地导致生产资料向少数人手中集中。虽然包括哈耶克和米塞斯在内的许多经济学家认为这种看法是错误的,并坚信在正常运作的资本主义体系中,这一结果是可以避免的。但如果人工智能遭到垄断,那么马克思的预测将比以往更加接近现实——无论这是由于历史规律,还是由于无法预见的结构性变数所致。正如克里斯·迪克森(Chris Dixon)[48]在其著作《阅读、写作、拥有》(Read, Write, Own)中观察到的,初创公司之所以能在市场中找到生存空间,部分原因在于大公司往往目光短浅,无法及时察觉到新兴产品正逐步获得消费者的关注。在专注于自身业务的过程中,这些巨头常常错失市场趋势与动向,而初创企业若运气足够好,就能积累足够势能以形成竞争力。但如果这些老牌巨头掌控了人工智能,他们就可能利用 AI 的能力来抹平初创企业原本可以利用的那些优势。随着时间推移,垄断企业将对市场形成难以穿透的控制权,各行各业的价值链最终将进一步“上游集中”到这些公司手中——比现在更甚。由专家所忽视、却能在市场中创造出意想不到价值的颠覆性技术,其创新空间可能会被完全挤压出去。
[48] 安德森·霍洛维茨基金普通合伙人,负责加密货币与Web3投资部门(a16z crypto)。
由于人工智能具备智能能力,它作为资本工具拥有极大的潜力,能够创造出改善人类生活的先进技术。但,由于有些对公众最有益的应用方式,可能并不符合政府与大型企业的利益,其潜在福祉也就可能在权力结构中被悲剧性地削弱。其中最明显的例子就是金融自主权。
看看比特币的案例就足以说明问题。中本聪(Satoshi)[49]发明比特币的初衷,是为了让人们拥有金融自由的能力——通过创造一种稀缺资源,其价值储存功能可与黄金相类比。比特币使那些生活在高通胀、货币极度贬值国家的人们,能够积累具有全球流通性的财富。人们可以拥有一种不会因货币供应过量或国家财政赤字上升而贬值的资产。比特币能够帮助人们过上更加稳定、安全的生活,它提供了透明性、个人所有权,以及能够激励社会合作的制度安排——这一切都无需依赖强制性信任或道德施舍。
[49] 比特币(Bitcoin)的创造者,身份不明。
人们本希望掌权者能够设法将中本聪为世界带来的巨大价值纳入现有体系。并不是说比特币应立即取代法定货币,而是说,考虑到比特币在应对法币体系中潜在致命问题方面提供了极具前景的解决方案,政府至少应当付出更大的努力,将这些解决方案纳入实践。合理的期待是,执政者会寻求一种方式,将区块链、比特币及其增强经济自由的潜力加以整合。然而,直到最近,有关这一技术的监管进展一直缓慢而混乱。在拜登政府期间,由于政策缺乏清晰性与明确性,关于加密货币的许多举措都未能充分发挥其潜在价值,反而阻碍了其更高效、更具生产性的使用路径。
如果AI被通过监管框架实现垄断,那么那些原本有潜力改善人类生活的技术也可能轻易被弃置。若这些技术与政府或企业利益发生冲突,大多数人将无法通过授权或专利使用这些专有模型,而中小型企业也会被并购吸收。尽管人工智能本可以彻底革新选举平台及人们参与选举的方式;尽管它本可以通过更优的数据安全手段或创造更多经济机会来增强个体自由,但探索这些可能性的路径,若与掌控大多数 AI 技术栈(甚至全部)的公司利益不符,就很可能被封锁。如果某项潜在的 AI 技术有可能通过解决某些产业赖以牟利、甚至具有寄生性质的问题,从而威胁广告收入,那么像谷歌与 Meta 这样的科技公司几乎必然会阻止这一技术进入市场的尝试。
特朗普政府迄今为止最重要的政策举措之一,就是其新的加密货币政策。该政策废除了上一届政府的行政命令,并致力于制定一个有助于推动该技术发展的监管框架。这对于人工智能领域中正在发生的其他形式的创新具有重要意义。有了除了传统风险投资之外的其他资源——例如通证经济(tokenomics)[50],初创公司可以为其项目提供资金支持,并积累发展势能。
[50] 也译为“代币经济学”,是对加密货币或区块链项目的经济层面的研究和分析,尤其关注其原生数字代币的设计和发行。该术语由“代币/通证”(token)和“经济学”(economics)两个词组合而成。
彼得·蒂尔在其著作《从零到一》(Zero to One)中提出,初创公司本身就在、也应该在寻求成为垄断者。他们需要在市场中占据一个特定空间,通过开发专有技术击败其他竞争者,并进一步排除后来者进入该市场。正如蒂尔所言,如果企业不想成为失败者,这种策略是至关重要的。若他们希望获得投资者的关注,就必须采取建立垄断地位的路径。然而,借助通证经济以及其他与加密货币相关的机制,人们也有机会开发出有价值的技术,同时保留开源精神。在这样的机制下,合作与协作得以推动,同时也能获得支持增长所需的资金。
Section 3.4 价值能动性
经济能动性之所以被削弱,是因为市场中那些具备质感的价值创造机会正在减少,使个体难以通过创新与生产满足不断变化的需求与欲望。当 AI 技术栈被少数几家垄断企业掌控并主导整个生态系统时,即使有人识别出一个真正有意义的问题,并设计出强有力的解决方案,如果这不符合大型企业的利益,该方案也很可能无法进入市场。经济活动及其所带来的社会价值,不应建立在一套容许权力任意压制、扼杀对社会整体有益事务的权威机制上。那么,AI 垄断企业又是如何压缩人们在价值能动性上的“质性丰富机会”的呢?
如果雷·库兹韦尔的奇点理论及其相关预测哪怕部分属实——如果人类真的将与非生物智能融合,并生活在日益人工化的环境中——那么人工智能的垄断不仅不可取,而且可以说是一种反乌托邦式的局面。这种设想唤起了关于“技术霸主”的画面:他们主宰着人类社会,而人们要么沦为智能机器的奴工,要么则是舒适而满足地享受着智能繁荣所带来的物质成果。在这样的图景中,总有人必须开采矿物资源,而另一些人则消费着由此生产出的丰富商品与服务。但如果我们假设 AI 的发展会快到足以让智能机器人无需人力就能完成矿产开采工作,那最终所有人都会转变为纯粹的“消费者”。“在接下来的几十年里,”库兹韦尔预测,“几乎所有例行性的体力与脑力活动都将被自动化。”届时,唯有那些具有社交性、创造性、创新性或高度不可预测性的工作将对拥有相关技能与培训的人开放,其余人将大多成为消费者。而借助纳米机器人、虚拟现实、非生物智能增强技术与无处不在的信息流动,我们的现实将愈加接近哲学家罗伯特·诺齐克(Robert Nozick)所设想的“体验机”(experience machine)。
通过某种装置的介入——无论是接入某种模拟装置,还是完全沉浸于类似虚拟现实(VR)那样的数字化、信息化环境中——人们可以体验到他们所希望的任何事情。任何感官体验、情绪、思想或事件,都会随时向任何人开放,随时可供消费。一个人可以体验写出“伟大的美国小说”所带来的深刻满足,像苏格拉底[51]那样在雅典法庭上勇敢地对抗陪审团,或像拿破仑那样英勇地站在青翠的高岗上俯瞰敌军,也可以在模拟的攀登中登上珠穆朗玛峰,体会坚持不懈的荣耀与世界之巅的视野。重要的不是这些事件是否真实发生,而是有人“渴望”它,而它就会“存在”。在这样的图景中,人生的目标就是消费;而“道德生活”——值得追求的生活——则被定义为追求内部刺激的生活。外部世界、个体真实的存在状态将不再重要。一个人是否真实地勇敢、富有同情心、充满爱意、公正、虔诚、善良或邪恶——这都不再有意义。人们的兴趣与冲突将在人工体验的消费中得到调和。在一个“问题已被解决”的世界中,没有需要行动者去解决的具体问题,行动者也就变得可有可无;唯一需要的,是“消费”。
[51] 古希腊哲学家。
这种情境真正危险之处在于,垄断企业将完全掌控生成技术的算法,也即控制我们可接触的信息结构。信息将不断被嵌入到以消费为中心的环境中。理想情况下,人们应当拥有自由,做他们想做的事,以他们认可的方式生活。但人们“看待”世界的方式,他们建构现实的方式,他们所处的社会语境——都会被那些已经整合智能资本、成为未来唯一商品与服务生产者的公司所过滤与塑造。哲学家艾伦·布鲁姆(Allan Bloom)在其著作《美国精神的封闭》(The Closing of the American Mind)中写道:“每一个教育系统都有一个它希望达成的道德目标,并据此构建其课程。它希望塑造出某种特定类型的人。”人工智能的垄断企业将通过改造人的生存环境来塑造“人是什么”的意义,以符合其自身利益。而真正重要的那些事情——运用能动性、实现真实的自我效能感、发现自己在人生中真正珍视与渴望的事物、建构让现实更一贯、宜居和统一的人生目标等等的机会——将被被企业利益所强烈影响和操控。而这些利益,本质上是围绕经济增长与利润最大化构建的。
在诺姆·乔姆斯基(Noam Chomsky)[52]与爱德华·赫尔曼(Edward Herman)[53]合著的《制造共识》(Manufacturing Consent)[54]一书中,两位作者提出,美国媒体实际上是一种宣传工具,而非客观的信息来源(这一观点当时颇具争议,但如今已成为主流看法)。他们认为,这种宣传功能是通过一套“过滤模型”来运作的,该模型将信息作为输入,并为公众“福祉”完美制造出标准化的输出。而其中一些媒体过滤机制,正是今天科技巨头所采用的。第一个过滤器是媒体公司的规模、所有权结构及其以利润为导向的商业模式。这使得进入媒体市场所需的投资与准入成本变得高得惊人,从而使其他竞争者难以生存。法律制度被用来执行一系列标准,这些标准压制了初创公司与中小企业的发展;而政府补贴则倾向于支持那些与政府利益保持一致的媒体公司。第二个过滤器是广告收入。广告不仅提升了特定公司的利润,也让它们在竞争中占据优势。那些无法吸引广告支持的媒体来源往往被市场边缘化。在此过程中,那些资金雄厚的媒体公司为了争取广告商的“青睐”,被迫迎合股东所要求的持续利润增长。这意味着任何挑战企业利益的声音,都可能因营收减少而遭受惩罚,最终被逐出市场竞争。
[52] 美国教授和公共知识分子,以其在语言学、政治活动和社会批评领域的研究而闻名。乔姆斯基有时被称为“现代语言学之父”,他也是分析哲学的重要人物和认知科学领域的创始人之一。 [53] 美国经济学家、媒体学者和社会评论家。 [54] https://focalizalaatencion.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/08/herman-chomsky-2002-manufacturingconsent.pdf
这两个过滤器,正是当今科技巨头在其平台上运用的机制。他们主导市场,并依靠广告收入获取惊人的利润。正如乔姆斯基与赫尔曼所指出的另一个过滤器——意识形态偏向,大科技公司同样如此。就像上世纪八十年代的主流媒体会大肆报道敌对国家的种族灭绝与谋杀,却对发生在美国“势力范围”如拉美地区的同类事件视而不见,大科技公司也会在符合其经济与利益考量时,沿着特定的意识形态线索行事。由于其庞大的利润模式与动机,大科技公司的利益并不必然与真理、勇气、准确性、诚实、公正或善恶标准一致。只有当这些价值可以带来可预见的利润与效用最大化时,它们才可能被采纳。因此,如果 AI 垄断企业逐步获得市场主导权,并以其最先进模型为基础将大量商品与服务推向市场,那么人们对于世界的理解、他们如何看待现实、哪些事物最值得关注——都会在信息过滤器的引导下被重塑。这些过滤器正是大科技公司用于“产出有利于技术发展结果”的机制的一部分。个体发展自身的机会、形成自我世界观的过程、以及构成生活统一性的价值体系,都将受到科技信息过滤器的支配与重构。
我们很容易想象这样一个世界:信息的生成由一小部分集中的模型主导,这些模型构建出一套相互交织的信息网络,强化着不准确、不诚实、甚至是伪造的信息结构。新闻标题与报道可能散布错误主张与对现实的歪曲,而这些说法又会被其他虚假信息源所“证实”,彼此互为支撑。这种信息结构——即信息的组织方式及其意义赋予机制——可能会被人为策划,以服务于掌握权力与控制信息传播资源者所设定的特定目的。少数人认为“最好的”内容将被优先推送,而公众的想法将逐渐变得从属,最终被操控以符合权力方的利益。这并不是在指责某个实体或个人有恶意意图,而是在强调这样一种结构性困境:当生成并传播社会所消费的信息的能力被集中在少数几方手中时,这种权力格局所带来的难以解决的困境。
这最终将不可避免地导向类似于前文提到的诺齐克“体验机”的世界。人们获得一种超越消费伦理的生活形式能力的机会将被极大压缩,甚至被彻底剥夺。确实,假设未来大多数工作被自动化,人们通过基本收入实现生活保障,那么个体将从劳作的束缚中解放,不再被迫为经济增长贡献劳动力。从某种意义上说,人类将获得对约束与必需品的自由。但问题在于,如果没有施展自由的媒介,如果没有真正的机会在具体经验中运用自己的能动性,那么这种自由就并不是真正的自由——至少不是那种更深层次的、积极意义上的自由。那种引导人们思考“如何生活”、那种通过探索而发现值得投入心力与时间的事业的过程、那种确立人生目标并在充满挑战与刺激的环境中努力实现的能力,将会在这样的结构中逐渐失效,甚至彻底被边缘化。
哲学家约翰·杜威(John Dewey)曾写道:
我们很少意识到,我们对什么有价值、什么无价值的判断,在多大程度上是受制于我们并不自觉的标准。但一般来说,那些我们未经思考便视为理所当然的事物,正是决定我们有意识思维与判断结论的关键。而那些位于反思之下的习性,往往正是在我们与他人的持续互动与交换中形成的。
如果构成社会的制度是由那些以提升股东利润为目的的大型企业所主导——这将在它们主导人工智能时成为现实——那么它们的模型将渗透进经济的每一个领域,渗入我们的环境。这些环境将影响我们所被激发的生活方式,朝向不再体现为实际的‘存在’(being),而是依赖于‘拥有’(having)。也就是说,什么是显著的、值得追求的、具有吸引力的,不再取决于它所需要的努力、它所要求的冒险精神,或它所能激发的成长过程,而是取决于它能否填满并打发时间。对于一种由消费伦理塑造的意识而言,显而易见、理所当然的东西,将与另一种由合作构成、旨在促使个体能动性寻求意义与目标的社会完全不同。前者会看到一个充满各种可能体验的世界,但这些体验除了即时呈现的感受之外毫无意义;而后者则仍然会体验到“必要性”,以及那种不可遏制的冲动——即人必须感受到世界上仍有值得行动之事。赫尔曼·梅尔维尔(Herman Melville)在其伟大的美国小说《白鲸》(Moby Dick)中写下了这样的句子:
我坚定目标的道路铺设着铁轨,我的灵魂被刻槽其上。穿越无底峡谷,穿越山脉深处与激流之下,我直奔而去!没有障碍,没有转弯,只有通向铁轨终点的直路!
但愿,那些曾赋予梅尔维尔写作力量的精神碎片,在未来的某个角落依然得以存在。
Section 3.5
在《查拉图斯特拉如是说》(Thus Spoke Zarathustra)一书中,尼采描绘了两种未来人类的形象:“末人”(Last Man)与“超人”(Overman)。这两者在本能、欲望、动机与驱力方面有着根本性的不同。他们所看到的世界、感知世界的方式也截然不同:哪些事物对他们而言是显著且有意义的,什么是“善”或“恶”,对自我与世界的信念与态度,皆南辕北辙。
尼采对“末人”充满蔑视,而他的理想目标则是“超人”。“末人”代表一种追求舒适、安逸与满足的生活方式——那是一种消费的生活,是一种被动的满足。末人的畜群(herd)沉浸在“白天的微小快乐、夜晚的微小快乐中,但极度重视健康。他们说:‘我们发现了幸福’,眨着眼睛”。这样的存在,培养出的是享乐、安逸、饱足与消费的本能。尼采常将这种状态比喻为“反刍的牛”。而“超人”则是那种能够保有创造与超越本能的存在,他将生命导向某个遥远而艰难的目标,借此创造出一种超出自身的价值,使生活因此获得尊严与意义。超人仍然保有那种穿越变革性经验的冲动,那种能改变自我存在状态与意识体验的本能。正是这种冲动激发个体去掌握现实、理解现实,并因此增强他们影响现实的能力——个体越来越能够通过自己的活动与存在方式去塑造经验,建构世界。“末人”的美德——最大化快乐并最小化痛苦,在“超人”看来,恰恰是堕落的恶德。
人工智能的垄断结构及其以利润为导向的模式,正在推动“末人”的出现;而开源则是在为“超人”保留空间。随着人工智能被集中于少数强权之手,并通过这些权力机构设定的参数向市场大量输出商品与服务,整个信息景观及其传播网络将被精心策划成一种伦理结构——这种伦理以最大满足与持续消费所带来的舒适感为核心。在这样的结构中,个体所接触到的机会与环境将不再是“质感质性丰富”的;它们不会激发人们内在的主动能力,而只会使人变得能够追求一种消费社会所设定的终极目标——即最大化产出与回报的路径。
而开源生态系统,则保留了一个人类能动性仍能找到出口的空间。在那里,创造力与创新的目标不再仅仅是为了逐利,而是为了实现一种更完整的人类生活。
现在,本文开篇提出的一个问题是:自动化是否能带来足够多的机会,使被替代的劳动力能够重新获得工作?到现在我们已经看到,黑客范式与开源生态系统的确让这一目标更为可行。彼得·蒂尔的《从零到一》可以说是一本创业者指南。而他在书中明确指出:创业的目标应当是至少模仿,并努力实现垄断。所谓“成功”,就是在某一市场领域内占据主导地位,排除其他进入者,并通过专属供应尚未满足的需求来实现利润最大化。但成功初创企业的统计数据[55]却令人沮丧。初创企业的失败率高达90%。在那些成功者中,首次创业者只占18%。获得风险投资资金的初创企业不到1%;获得天使投资的比例也不到1%;约有75%的初创公司依赖“信用卡债务、商业贷款与信用额度”来筹集资金。成功的几率微乎其微,而对那些敢于创业,尤其是技术驱动型创业者(这是失败率最高的一类)所需承担的门槛与风险,往往近乎不可逾越。蒂尔之所以鼓励初创企业采用垄断策略,部分原因正是因为唯有在获得足够稳固的市场地位之后,公司才终于能够喘息、拓展与创新。一旦达到垄断标准,企业便能掌控其特定领域(甚至是整个)市场中的价值输出——理论上,这会给企业与消费者双方带来好处。
[55] https://explodingtopics.com/blog/startup-failure-stats
然而,这种能力最终被集中在极少数能够侥幸成功的公司手中。一旦掌握了这种能力,它们便没有自利的动机去放手。而当某家企业依靠其垄断地位终于获得创新的自由之时,这种专属能力却也意味着其他拥有创造潜力的人被排除在外,仅仅因为他们没有获得那唯一的机会。
如果企业的成功几率更高,那无疑会更具吸引力。但传统的融资方式以及作为成功创业者所需经历的艰难过程,往往会打击甚至扼杀那些本有能力提出改变世界的强大创意的人们。而黑客范式之所以具有深远意义,正是因为它能够提供丰富的机会,让人们得以创造价值,而无需承担传统创业所附带的高风险。黑客范式的“北极星”之一,就是致力于打造一个开放的、无需许可的生态系统——一个充满机会、人们可以自由进入、自由利用关键技术信息,并能够与成熟企业协作,从而共同创造出更好、更具创新性的产品的环境。开放的生态系统能够赋予人们创造价值的可能,而封闭系统则将他人排除在外,关闭了协作的大门。
按照蒂尔模式的创业路径,那是一条崎岖不平的道路。它需要强烈的意志、非凡的创造力,当然还需要一定的运气。而这三者的完美契合,是极其罕见的。因此,真正能在创业中成功的人少之又少。通过一个无需许可的开源生态系统,通过减轻人们在创造有价值事物时所承受的沉重负担,我们可以释放出大量机会——这些机会无需你拥有成为乔布斯或贝索斯那样的雄心与资源,也不要求你必须独力成就一番技术帝国。事实上,那些科技巨头的成功,早已远远超越了他们当初想要创造创新科技的初衷。开源生态系统将推动科技进步的机会民主化,使人们能够真正参与其中,不必成为少数天才企业家的复制品。创新,理应是更具协作性、更广泛分布的,也应当距离普通人更近。黑客范式正在使这成为可能,它正在重构赛场的平衡。
或许,并不是每个人都想成为一名“黑客”。但开源为我们保留并拓展了一种最佳的原型模式,通过它,可以将具体的机会持续地、公平地分配给人们,让他们得以实践自己的能动性。正是通过拥有这类机会,人们仍能发现和体验到那种强烈的召唤感——“我必须去做某事”——即,一个目标的存在,使个体不得不相信,若忽视它,人生就将失去意义与目标。如果我们生活的世界中,人们能接触到的、最显眼且最具吸引力的事物,仅仅是尼采所说的那种“幸福”——那种不涉及个人牺牲、不包含作为德性的献身(devotion)、也无需为艰难而变革性的事业奋斗的意愿的“幸福”——那么这样的世界无疑比不上另一个世界:在那里,人们拥有真正的机会去成就伟大的事业,只要他们愿意去追求。
结语
当 IBM 的“深蓝”在 1997 年击败国际象棋冠军卡斯帕罗夫(Garry Kasparov)时,象棋并未因此被淘汰。人们依旧继续比赛,并不断变得更强。这一事实——即从那以后任何人类棋手都不可能战胜 AI 程序——并未动摇那些热爱象棋之人的热情与动力。那些献身于象棋的人依旧渴望打磨自己的技艺,学习更复杂的策略,在不断成长的过程中超越其他选手。象棋选手依然渴望变得更优秀,仅仅是为了变得更优秀。通过意志与投入实现成长,当他们登上新的水平时,那种深刻的成就感依旧真实而宝贵,尽管一台机器将永远是更强的选手。
在一部关于李世石(Lee Sedol)在 2016 年败给 AlphaGo 的纪录片中,有人说:“他在这台机器的对弈中获得了成长。他的人性在与这台无生命的创造物对局之后得到了拓展。而我们的希望,是这种机器,尤其是背后的技术,也能对我们所有人产生同样的作用。”还有人说:“或许 AlphaGo 能向人类展示一些我们从未发现过的东西。或许那是一种美。”如果被正确使用,人工智能可以拓展个体影响与改变世界的能力。它可以提供创造的机会,而非只是劳作的义务;可以唤起意义的体验,而非冷漠与疏离;可以使人获得一种有价值的自由,而非无所依托的自由。但这一切都取决于社会写作和去推动人们向值得努力实现的目标前进的环境;它也要求我们以不同的方式理解竞争。
Agency/Agent/Agentic/… 能动性 Being (以…方式)存在 Qualitatively Rich 质性(上)丰富 Open Source Ecosystem 开源生态系统 Proprietary 专有 Pleasure 快乐 Happiness 幸福 所有著作、节目与人物名称第一次出现标记英文原文。 除网站链接之外的脚注,均为译者补充;脚注中的外部链接为原文超链接的对应标记。 原文中的特殊格式均保留在中文对应词项中。
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@ 9c9d2765:16f8c2c2
2025-05-07 12:39:48CHAPTER FIFTEEN
"Have you seen the news?" Sandra’s voice crackled through the phone, her tone urgent and unsettled.
James, seated in his office at JP Enterprises, furrowed his brows. He hadn’t turned on the television yet. "No. What happened?"
"You need to check the headlines immediately. It’s everywhere. They’ve dragged your name through the mud!"
Without another word, James reached for the remote and turned on the large flat-screen mounted on his office wall. The screen lit up with a news report, the broadcaster’s voice sharp and sensational.
“Shocking footage surfaces: JP Enterprises’ President humiliates his only sister in broad daylight!”
Photos of James and Evelyn outside the company played in a dramatic sequence him confronting her, her being escorted out, and his seemingly cold expression. The captions twisted the story:
“Heartless Billionaire?” “President throws out helpless sister for asking money” “The shameful side of JP Enterprises’ leader exposed!”
James leaned back in his chair, eyes narrowing as he watched.
"This is calculated," he muttered under his breath. "Scripted. Twisted."
He turned off the screen and called Sandra back. "I want Tracy's devices checked. Every message, every image. And I want a full trace on the origin of this story. Media outlets don’t run this kind of narrative without a source."
"You think Tracy’s behind it?" Sandra asked, her voice low.
"She took the pictures, I’m sure of it. But she’s not working alone," James replied, voice steely. "This is too well-planned for one person. They’re trying to frame me, twist reality, and attack my image. And I’ll make sure every single one of them is exposed."
Meanwhile, at a discreet location, Mark, Helen, and Tracy gathered to watch the fire they had ignited. Tracy grinned as she scrolled through social media posts and reactions.
"It’s gone viral," she said gleefully. "Everyone thinks that woman’s your sister. It’s everywhere on blogs, gossip pages, even official news networks. The damage is done."
Mark chuckled darkly. "This will shatter his reputation. Let’s see how he enjoys being publicly hated."
Helen, sipping her wine with a satisfied look, added, "It’s only the beginning. Let’s push this narrative harder. We’ll make sure the board at JP Enterprises starts questioning his character."
But little did they know James had already activated his private investigative team. Every file, every message, every trail was being traced.
Back at JP Enterprises, James stood by the window of his office, watching the skyline, his hands in his pockets.
"They want a war?" he said to himself quietly. "Then I’ll give them one. But on my own terms."
His phone buzzed. A message from his chief of cyber-security read:
“We’ve located the media contact. Payment traced to a dummy account linked to Helen Ray.”
James stared at the screen, his jaw tightening.
The day of the much-anticipated 16th Anniversary of JP Enterprises finally arrived, cloaked in glamour, prestige, and tension. The event venue, a grand luxury hall draped in velvet and golden decor, radiated elegance and opulence. Bright lights illuminated the red carpet, and camera flashes sparked like lightning as influential business magnates, city officials, and esteemed guests from far and wide began to pour in.
Among the prominent guests were Helen Ray, Mark, Tracy, and other members of the Ray family. Dressed in designer gowns and tailored suits, they mingled with high society, laughing and sipping champagne, their polished facades hiding the scheme they had carefully orchestrated for the night.
The hall buzzed with anticipation for the arrival of Mr. and Mrs. JP, the founders of the JP Empire. Meanwhile, in a secluded corner of the hall, Helen leaned towards Mark, whispering with a smirk, “She’s on her way. Get ready for the show.”
The “she” Helen referred to was Evelyn, the same woman they had bribed to once again impersonate James’s sister and stir public humiliation. This time, it wouldn’t just be a few photos, they wanted a scandal of epic proportions, a scene so chaotic and public that it would crumble James’s standing in the business world for good.
As guests chatted and live music flowed through the air, James entered the hall in a pristine black tuxedo, exuding power and poise. He walked beside his uncle Charles and his loyal staff, warmly greeting dignitaries and longtime associates. His presence commanded attention, but murmurs soon rippled through the crowd.
Whispers filled the air like wind in dry grass:
"That’s the man from the headline, isn’t he?" "They say he threw his own sister out for asking for help." "Such cruelty… and yet here he is, smiling like a saint."
As James navigated through the crowd with measured grace, Helen sauntered over, her heels clicking on the marble floor, her expression dripping with sarcasm.
“Well, well, if it isn’t our gallant President,” she began, feigning admiration. “I must say, you clean up well for someone who was just exposed in the most shameful news of the year.”
James turned to her with a calm but unreadable gaze. “Helen,” he greeted curtly.
She chuckled. “You really should be more careful with family matters. The public has a long memory, you know.”
Before James could reply, a loud voice broke through the soft music. “James! James! You left me with nothing!”
All heads turned toward the entrance, where Evelyn stumbled in, her appearance carefully staged to look disheveled and distraught. She weaved through the crowd, screaming and sobbing uncontrollably, clutching at the air as security hesitated to intervene.
“Please! I’m your sister! I just needed a little help!” she cried dramatically. “How could you do this to your own blood?!”
Gasps echoed through the grand hall.
Guests froze in place, their judgmental stares directed at James. Cameraman didn’t hesitate to raise their lenses. Phones were pulled out. A social media storm was already brewing in real time.
James stood still, eyes narrowed. He didn’t move, didn’t speak.
Tracy, standing beside Helen, discreetly snapped more photos, already typing up the next round of false headlines to feed into the media engine.
Helen smirked at the chaos and whispered, “This is it. The downfall begins.”
But James wasn’t shaken.
With quiet authority, he raised his hand, and two personal bodyguards appeared from the sidelines. He looked Evelyn square in the eye, then said, loud enough for the nearest guests to hear, “Escort this woman outside. She is not my sister. And she has no place here.”
Evelyn’s cries turned more dramatic, but it was clear to the more discerning eyes in the room that something about her act was off. Her appearance was too deliberate, her performance too exaggerated.
As security led her away, some guests began to murmur with skepticism.
“Wait… that woman doesn’t even resemble him.” “Isn’t it strange she showed up right after that story went viral?” “Could this be a setup?”
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@ a9434ee1:d5c885be
2025-05-12 08:09:26Colors as a fun and useful identifier
Nostr apps often use totally random colors for their default avatars, profiles names in chat bubbles, etc... That's a missed opportunity. Why don't we just we just derive a color from the npub and use that instead, interoperably across apps?
It gives us a fun and visual extra point of recognition, often without having to add anything extra to the UIs.
The only problem is that we cannot just allow for any color. The colors should be readable as text in Light and Dark modes and gray-scales should be avoided too.
This is the goal:
Luckily, there's a super simple solution.
(which was used to derive the colors above)Deriving the Colors
You can find the simple spec here: nostr: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
TLDR: 1. Convert HEX pubkey to Int 2. Calculate the Hue value: Int % 360 3. Set Saturation to 90 for Hues between 216 and 273, use 80 for the rest 4. Set Brightness to 65 for Hues between 32 and 212, use 85 for the rest
Convert HSB color to whatever format you need. Done.
Easy & Fun to integrate!
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@ 90c656ff:9383fd4e
2025-05-12 06:06:00Bitcoin emerged as an alternative to the traditional financial system, offering a decentralized and censorship-resistant medium of exchange. However, this proposition directly challenges the control governments exert over the economy, particularly in terms of currency issuance and financial regulation. As a result, many governments view Bitcoin with suspicion and attempt to limit its adoption, while others seek to integrate it into the economy in a controlled manner.
Reasons for conflict between governments and Bitcoin
Government resistance to Bitcoin adoption stems from several key factors:
01 - Loss of Monetary Control: Governments manage monetary policy through the issuance of fiat currency and manipulation of interest rates. Bitcoin, with its fixed supply and decentralized nature, prevents governments from printing more money, thereby limiting their influence over the economy.
02 - Challenges in Taxation: Bitcoin usage makes it harder for authorities to monitor transactions and enforce tax collection, posing a challenge for governments that rely heavily on taxation to fund public services.
03 - Concerns Over Regulation and Financial Crime: Many governments argue that Bitcoin can be used for money laundering, tax evasion, and other illicit activities. However, since all transactions are recorded on the blockchain (or timechain), Bitcoin is actually more traceable than physical cash.
04 - Competition with Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs): Some governments are developing their own digital currencies, known as CBDCs. These offer a high level of control over financial transactions but lack Bitcoin’s decentralized properties. To promote CBDC adoption, some governments attempt to restrict or ban Bitcoin.
Different countries have taken varied approaches to Bitcoin, ranging from full acceptance to outright repression.
- El Salvador:
In 2021, El Salvador became the first country to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender. This decision sparked conflict with global financial institutions like the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which pressured the Salvadoran government to reverse its stance.
- China:
The Chinese government banned Bitcoin mining and usage entirely in 2021, citing environmental concerns and financial risks. Nonetheless, many Chinese miners and users continue to operate through alternative means.
- United States:
While Bitcoin is legal in the U.S., the government has imposed stricter regulations on exchanges and mining operations, seeking to exert more control over the sector. Some politicians advocate for a pro-Bitcoin stance, while others see it as a threat to the dollar.
- European Union:
The EU has taken a more rigorous regulatory approach, requiring user identification and transaction transparency. Despite this, Bitcoin remains legal and widely used.
Despite the challenges imposed by some governments, Bitcoin adoption continues to grow. Many users see Bitcoin as a way to preserve wealth in the face of inflationary monetary policies and excessive government control over money. Furthermore, in countries with unstable economies and limited access to financial services, Bitcoin provides a solution for international payments and protection against economic crises.
Government resistance may slow Bitcoin adoption in certain regions, but it is unlikely to stop it entirely. As a decentralized and global network, Bitcoin will continue to be used regardless of restrictions imposed by any single government. In the long run, its adoption will depend on individuals and businesses standing firm against regulatory pressures and continuing to use it as a financial alternative.
In summary, the conflict between governments and Bitcoin reflects the broader struggle between a centralized traditional financial system and a new decentralized alternative. While some countries seek to ban or restrict its use, others embrace it as part of their economy. Ultimately, government resistance may only delay-but not prevent-the global adoption of Bitcoin, which continues to demonstrate its resilience and utility as a store of value and medium of exchange.
Thank you very much for reading this far. I hope everything is well with you, and sending a big hug from your favorite Bitcoiner maximalist from Madeira. Long live freedom!
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@ 29156f5e:3627e9c6
2025-05-07 10:16:02Trong thế giới giải trí số ngày càng phát triển, ABC88 nổi bật như một nền tảng đáng tin cậy, mang đến trải nghiệm giải trí trực tuyến hoàn hảo cho người dùng. Được xây dựng với công nghệ tiên tiến, ABC88 không chỉ cung cấp giao diện thân thiện, dễ sử dụng mà còn tối ưu hóa hiệu suất để người dùng có thể tận hưởng những giây phút thư giãn mượt mà và không gián đoạn. Nền tảng này phù hợp với tất cả đối tượng người dùng, từ người mới làm quen đến người có kinh nghiệm, nhờ vào sự dễ dàng trong việc điều hướng và truy cập các tính năng. Giao diện của ABC88 không chỉ trực quan mà còn được thiết kế sao cho phù hợp với mọi thiết bị, giúp người dùng dễ dàng tham gia và tương tác dù là qua máy tính hay điện thoại di động. Không chỉ vậy, nền tảng này còn tối ưu hóa tốc độ tải trang và độ mượt mà của các trò chơi, giúp người dùng có thể tận hưởng trải nghiệm giải trí với chất lượng cao mà không phải lo lắng về sự cố kỹ thuật.
ABC88 cung cấp một hệ sinh thái giải trí đa dạng và phong phú, từ các trò chơi sáng tạo, các chương trình giải trí tương tác đến các sự kiện và khuyến mãi đặc biệt. Nền tảng này không chỉ dừng lại ở việc cung cấp những trò chơi cơ bản, mà còn luôn cập nhật những nội dung mới nhất, đáp ứng đầy đủ sở thích của người dùng. Những trò chơi không chỉ mang tính giải trí mà còn giúp người chơi thử thách bản thân, kích thích tư duy sáng tạo và phát triển các kỹ năng cá nhân. Điều này khiến ABC88 trở thành một lựa chọn hấp dẫn không chỉ cho những ai muốn tìm một không gian thư giãn, mà còn cho những người muốn học hỏi và trải nghiệm những thử thách mới. Bên cạnh đó, các chương trình khuyến mãi và sự kiện đặc biệt của ABC88 được tổ chức thường xuyên, mang đến cho người dùng cơ hội nhận những phần quà giá trị. Những sự kiện này không chỉ là cơ hội để người tham gia có thể giành được các giải thưởng hấp dẫn mà còn là cơ hội để họ kết nối với cộng đồng người chơi, tạo ra một môi trường giải trí sôi động và đầy thú vị.
Không chỉ chú trọng vào nội dung và tính năng, ABC88 còn đặc biệt quan tâm đến vấn đề bảo mật và an toàn của người dùng. Với việc sử dụng các công nghệ bảo mật hiện đại, nền tảng này cam kết bảo vệ mọi thông tin cá nhân của người dùng một cách tối đa, giúp người tham gia yên tâm tuyệt đối khi tham gia các hoạt động trên nền tảng. Các giao dịch tài chính và thông tin cá nhân đều được mã hóa và bảo vệ an toàn, tránh xa những nguy cơ tiềm ẩn từ các cuộc tấn công mạng. Bên cạnh đó, đội ngũ hỗ trợ khách hàng của ABC88 luôn sẵn sàng hỗ trợ người dùng 24/7, giúp giải đáp mọi thắc mắc và xử lý nhanh chóng mọi vấn đề phát sinh trong quá trình sử dụng. Chất lượng dịch vụ khách hàng là một yếu tố quan trọng giúp ABC88 ghi điểm với người dùng, bởi người tham gia không chỉ cần một nền tảng giải trí tốt mà còn mong muốn nhận được sự hỗ trợ nhiệt tình và kịp thời. Chính vì vậy, ABC88 luôn không ngừng cải tiến và nâng cao chất lượng dịch vụ của mình để mang đến cho người dùng trải nghiệm tốt nhất.
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@ d0fbe941:bbce9a00
2025-05-07 02:55:20No cenário atual de entretenimento digital, a 119Bet vem ganhando destaque como uma plataforma inovadora e confiável, oferecendo uma experiência completa para jogadores que buscam diversão, emoção e praticidade. Com uma interface moderna, sistema de segurança avançado e uma variedade de jogos envolventes, a 119Bet se consolida como uma excelente opção para quem deseja explorar o mundo dos jogos online com comodidade e segurança.
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O processo de cadastro é simples e rápido, permitindo que novos usuários comecem a jogar em poucos minutos. A 119bettambém se destaca pelo suporte eficiente, com atendimento ao cliente disponível em diversos canais, incluindo chat ao vivo e WhatsApp, garantindo que qualquer dúvida ou problema seja resolvido com agilidade.
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Outro grande atrativo é o sistema de recompensas e promoções. A 119Bet oferece bônus de boas-vindas, rodadas grátis e programas de fidelidade para os jogadores mais frequentes. Tudo isso é estruturado de forma clara, sem complicações, permitindo que o usuário aproveite ao máximo cada benefício.
Além disso, os métodos de pagamento disponíveis incluem opções amplamente utilizadas no Brasil, como PIX, boleto bancário, transferências e carteiras digitais. Os saques são rápidos, e os depósitos caem quase que instantaneamente na conta do jogador.
Conclusão A 119Bet é mais do que uma plataforma de jogos — é um ambiente completo de entretenimento digital, que combina tecnologia, variedade e suporte ao usuário. Com seu compromisso com a segurança, a transparência e a diversão, ela conquista cada vez mais espaço entre os jogadores brasileiros.
Se você está em busca de uma nova experiência online, com jogos envolventes, atendimento de qualidade e ótimas recompensas, a 119Bet é uma escolha certeira. Prepare-se para se divertir com confiança e emoção em cada rodada.
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@ d0fbe941:bbce9a00
2025-05-07 02:54:44Com o avanço da tecnologia e a popularização dos jogos digitais, plataformas de entretenimento online têm ganhado cada vez mais destaque no Brasil. Entre as opções que vêm conquistando o público, a 355Bet surge como uma alternativa moderna, segura e recheada de possibilidades para quem busca diversão e recompensas reais. Este artigo apresenta um panorama completo sobre a 355Bet, destacando seus principais diferenciais, os jogos disponíveis e a experiência dos jogadores brasileiros na plataforma.
Plataforma moderna e intuitiva A 355Bet foi desenvolvida com foco na usabilidade e na acessibilidade. Seu design responsivo permite que os usuários acessem todas as funcionalidades tanto pelo computador quanto por dispositivos móveis, sem comprometer a qualidade da navegação. A interface é limpa, organizada e intuitiva, facilitando a localização de jogos, promoções e opções de suporte ao cliente.
A segurança é outro ponto de destaque. A plataforma utiliza tecnologia de criptografia de ponta para garantir a proteção dos dados dos usuários, além de oferecer métodos de pagamento confiáveis e populares entre os brasileiros, como PIX, boleto bancário e carteiras digitais.
Variedade de jogos para todos os gostos Na 355bet, a diversidade de opções é um dos grandes atrativos. Os jogadores encontram uma ampla seleção de jogos, incluindo:
Slots (caça-níqueis): São dezenas de títulos temáticos, com gráficos envolventes e diferentes níveis de volatilidade. Ideais para quem busca diversão rápida e a chance de obter bons prêmios com pequenas apostas.
Jogos de mesa: Para os fãs de estratégias, há opções como roleta, blackjack e bacará, todos disponíveis em versões digitais com gráficos de alta definição.
Jogos ao vivo: Uma das grandes sensações da plataforma, os jogos com crupiês reais oferecem uma experiência imersiva, com transmissão em tempo real e interação com outros jogadores, elevando o nível de realismo e emoção.
Além disso, a 355Bet está sempre atualizando seu catálogo, trazendo novidades semanais e parcerias com provedores renomados da indústria de entretenimento digital.
Experiência do jogador brasileiro A experiência do usuário é prioridade na 355Bet. A plataforma oferece um atendimento ao cliente eficiente, com suporte em português disponível 24 horas por dia via chat ao vivo, e-mail ou WhatsApp. O processo de cadastro é simples e rápido, permitindo que novos jogadores comecem a se divertir em poucos minutos.
Outro ponto positivo são as promoções exclusivas para brasileiros. Bônus de boas-vindas, ofertas semanais, torneios com prêmios em dinheiro e programas de fidelidade tornam a jornada do jogador ainda mais recompensadora.
Jogadores relatam que a navegação fluida, os pagamentos ágeis e a diversidade de jogos tornam a 355Bet uma das plataformas mais completas do mercado. Seja para iniciantes ou experientes, a plataforma oferece uma experiência equilibrada entre diversão e oportunidade de ganhos.
Conclusão A 355Bet chegou ao Brasil para redefinir a forma como os jogadores interagem com o entretenimento digital. Com uma plataforma segura, acessível e repleta de jogos emocionantes, ela se posiciona como uma das principais escolhas para quem busca emoção, variedade e uma experiência de alta qualidade. Se você está em busca de uma nova forma de se divertir online, vale a pena conhecer tudo o que a 355Bet tem a oferecer.
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@ 502ab02a:a2860397
2025-05-07 01:08:58สัปดาห์นี้ถือว่าเป็นเบรคคั่นพักผ่อนแก้เครียดนิดหน่อยแล้วกันครับ เรามาเล่าย้อนอดีตกันนิดหน่อย เหมือนสตาร์วอส์ที่ฉายภาค 4-5-6 แล้วย้อนไป 1-2-3 ฮาๆๆๆ
เคยได้ยินคำว่า Nuremberg Trials ไหมครับ ย้อนความนิดนึงว่า Nuremberg (Nürnberg อ่านว่า เนือร์นแบร์ก) คือชื่อเมืองในเยอรมนีที่เคยเป็นเวทีพิจารณาคดีประวัติศาสตร์หลังสงครามโลกครั้งที่ 2
“Nuremberg Trials” คือการไต่สวนผู้มีส่วนเกี่ยวข้องกับ อาชญากรรมสงครามของนาซีเยอรมัน หลังสงครามโลกครั้งที่ 2 ในปี 1945–46 พันธมิตรผู้ชนะสงครามได้จับตัวผู้นำนาซี นักการเมือง หมอ นักวิทยาศาสตร์ มาขึ้นศาล ข้อหาของพวกเขาไม่ได้แค่ฆ่าคน แต่รวมถึงการละเมิดศีลธรรมมนุษย์ขั้นพื้นฐาน อย่างการทดลองทางการแพทย์กับนักโทษ โดยไม่มีการขอความยินยอม
จากการไต่สวนนี้ จึงเกิดหลักจริยธรรมที่ชื่อว่า “Nuremberg Code” ซึ่งกลายเป็นรากฐานของการทดลองทางการแพทย์ยุคใหม่ หัวใจของโค้ดนี้คือคำว่า “Informed Consent” แปลว่า ถ้าจะทำอะไรกับร่างกายใคร ต้องได้รับความยินยอมจากเขาอย่างเต็มใจ และมีข้อมูลครบถ้วน นี่แหละ คือบทเรียนจากบาดแผลของสงครามโลก
แต่แล้ว...ในปี 2020 โลกก็เข้าสู่ยุคที่ใครบางคนบอกว่า “ต้องเชื่อผู้เชี่ยวชาญ” ใครกังวล = คนไม่รักสังคม ใครถามเยอะ = คนต่อต้านวิทยาศาสตร์ การยินยอมโดยสมัครใจ เริ่มกลายเป็นแค่คำเชิงสัญลักษณ์
ในช่วงหลังนี้เราอาจจะได้ยินข่าวหรือทฤษฎีในอินเตอร์เนทเกี่ยวกับคำว่า Nuremberg 2.0 กันนะครับ เพราะเริ่มผุดขึ้นตามกระทู้เงียบ ๆ คลิปใต้ดิน และเวทีเสวนาแปลก ๆ ที่ไม่มีใครอยากอ้างชื่อบนเวที TED Talk ซึ่ง กลุ่มที่ใช้คำนี้มักจะหมายถึงความต้องการให้มีการ “ไต่สวน” หรือ “เอาผิด” กับนักการเมือง นักวิทยาศาสตร์ แพทย์ หรือองค์กรที่เกี่ยวข้องกับ การออกคำสั่ง การบังคับ การเซ็นเซอร์ข้อมูลที่ขัดแย้งกับแนวทางรัฐ การเผยแพร่ข้อมูลโดยไม่โปร่งใส พวกเขามองว่า นโยบายเหล่านั้นละเมิดสิทธิเสรีภาพของประชาชนในระดับที่เปรียบได้กับ “อาชญากรรมต่อมนุษยชาติ” จึงเสนอแนวคิด “Nuremberg 2.0”
พวกเขาไม่ได้เรียกร้องแค่ความโปร่งใส แต่เขาอยากเห็นการทบทวน ว่าใครกันแน่ที่ละเมิดหลักจริยธรรมที่โลกเคยตกลงกันไว้เมื่อ 80 ปีก่อน
Nuremberg คือการไต่สวนคนที่ใช้อำนาจรัฐฆ่าคนอย่างจงใจ Nuremberg 2.0 คือคำเตือนว่า “การใช้ความกลัวครอบงำเสรีภาพ” อาจไม่ต่างกันนัก
ทีนี้เคยสงสัยไหม แล้วมันเกี่ยวอะไรกับอาหาร?
เพราะจากวิกฤตโรคระบาด เราเริ่มเห็น “วิทยาศาสตร์แบบผูกขาด” คุมเกมส์ บริษัทเทคโนโลยีเริ่มเข้ามาทำอาหาร ชื่อใหม่ของเนื้อสเต๊กกลายเป็น “โปรตีนทางเลือก” อาหารจากแล็บกลายเป็น “ทางรอดของโลก” สารเคมีอัดลงไปแทนเนื้อจริง ๆ แต่มีฉลากติดว่า "รักษ์โลก ปลอดภัย ยั่งยืน"
แต่ถ้ามองให้ลึกลงไปอีกนิด บางกลุ่มคนกลับเริ่มเห็นอะไรบางอย่างที่ขนลุกกว่า เพราะมันคือ “ระบบควบคุมสุขภาพ” ที่อาศัย “ความกลัว” เป็นหัวเชื้อ และ “วิทยาศาสตร์แบบผูกขาด” เป็นกลไก
จากนั้น…ทุกอย่างก็จะถูกเสิร์ฟอย่างสวยงามในรูปแบบ "นวัตกรรมเพื่ออนาคต" ไม่ว่าจะเป็นอาหารเสริมชนิดใหม่ เนื้อสัตว์ปลูกในแล็บ หรืออาหารที่ไม่ต้องเคี้ยว
ลองคิดเล่น ๆครับ ถ้าสารอาหารถูกควบคุมได้ เหมือนที่เราเคยถูกบังคับกับบางอย่างได้ล่ะ? วันหนึ่ง เราอาจถูกขอให้ "กิน" ในสิ่งที่ระบบสุขภาพอนาคตเขาบอกว่าดี แล้วถ้าเฮียบอกว่าไม่อยากกิน...เขาอาจไม่ห้าม แต่ App สุขภาพจะเตือนว่า “คุณมีพฤติกรรมเสี่ยงต่อโลกใบนี้” แต้มเครดิตจะสุขภาพจะลดลงและส่วนลดข้าวกล่องเนื้อจากจุลินทรีย์จะไม่เข้าบัญชีเฮียอีกเลย
ใช่…มันไม่เหมือนการบังคับ แต่มันคือการสร้าง “ระบบทางเดียว” ที่ทำให้คนที่อยากเดินออกนอกแถว เหมือนเดินลงเหว
Nuremberg 2.0 จึงไม่ใช่แค่เรื่องของอดีตหรือโรคระบาด แต่มันเป็นกระจกที่สะท้อนว่า “ถ้าเราไม่เรียนรู้จากประวัติศาสตร์ เราอาจกินซ้ำรอยมันเข้าไปในมื้อเย็น”
อนาคตของอาหารอาจไม่ได้อยู่ในจาน แต่อยู่ในนโยบาย อยู่ในบริษัทที่ผลิตโปรตีนจากอากาศ อยู่ในทุนที่ซื้อนักวิทยาศาสตร์ไว้ทั้งวงการ และถ้าเราหลับตาอีกครั้ง หลายคนก็กลัวว่า...บทไต่สวน Nuremberg รอบใหม่ อาจไม่สามารถเกิดขึ้นอีกต่อไป เพราะคราวนี้ คนร้ายจะไม่ได้ถือปืน แต่อาจถือใบรับรองโภชนาการระดับโลกในมือแทน
#pirateketo #กูต้องรู้มั๊ย #ม้วนหางสิลูก #siamstr
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@ 90c656ff:9383fd4e
2025-05-06 14:10:48Bitcoin has been gaining increasing acceptance as a means of payment, evolving from being just a digital investment asset to becoming a viable alternative to traditional currencies. Today, many companies around the world already accept Bitcoin, providing consumers with greater financial freedom and reducing reliance on traditional banking intermediaries.
- Global companies that accept Bitcoin
Over the years, several well-known companies have begun accepting Bitcoin, recognizing its benefits such as security, transparency, and low transaction fees. Among the most prominent are:
01 - Microsoft: The tech giant allows users to add funds to their Microsoft accounts using Bitcoin. This enables the purchase of digital content such as games, apps, and software available in the Microsoft Store. 02 - Overstock: One of the largest online retailers that accepts Bitcoin for the purchase of furniture, electronics, and home goods. Overstock was an early adopter, signaling a strong commitment to financial innovation. 03 - AT&T: The U.S. telecommunications company was the first in its industry to accept Bitcoin payments, giving customers the option to pay their bills with cryptocurrency through BitPay. 04 - Twitch: While Twitch does not natively support Bitcoin donations or payments, many streamers use third-party services like NOWPayments, Streamlabs (with Coinbase integration), or Plisio to accept crypto tips and donations. This opens a path for Bitcoin support through external platforms, especially within the content creator community. 05 - Namecheap: A leading domain registrar and web hosting provider that accepts Bitcoin for domain registration and hosting services, showcasing Bitcoin’s usefulness in the digital economy.
- Small businesses and local commerce
Beyond large corporations, a growing number of small businesses and local merchants are embracing Bitcoin, particularly in cities that are becoming hubs for digital innovation.
01 - Restaurants and cafés: In cities like Lisbon, London, and New York, several cafés and eateries accept Bitcoin as payment, attracting tech-savvy customers. 02 - Hotels and tourism: Certain hotel chains and travel platforms now accept Bitcoin, simplifying bookings and removing the need for currency exchange for international travelers. 03 - Online stores: Many small e-commerce businesses offer Bitcoin as a payment option or even operate exclusively using cryptocurrency, benefiting from borderless, fast transactions.
- Advantages for businesses and consumers
The growing acceptance of Bitcoin is largely driven by its advantages:
01 - Lower transaction fees: Businesses can reduce costs associated with credit card fees and payment processors. 02 - No intermediaries: Direct peer-to-peer payments cut down on bureaucracy and reduce fraud risks. 03 - Global access: Bitcoin allows for cross-border payments without the need for currency exchange, ideal for international transactions.
In summary, the adoption of Bitcoin as a means of payment continues to expand, with companies of all sizes recognizing its strategic value. From large enterprises to independent creators and local shops, Bitcoin is gradually becoming a more practical and accepted financial tool. While challenges such as volatility and regulatory uncertainty remain, the broader trend points toward a future where paying with Bitcoin could be a common part of everyday life.
Thank you very much for reading this far. I hope everything is well with you, and sending a big hug from your favorite Bitcoiner maximalist from Madeira. Long live freedom!
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@ 90c656ff:9383fd4e
2025-05-06 13:41:50Bitcoin was created to offer a secure and decentralized alternative to traditional money, enabling financial transactions without the need for intermediaries. DeFi, on the other hand, emerged as an expansion of this concept, proposing decentralized financial services such as lending, exchanges, and yield generation. However, despite its promises of innovation, DeFi carries numerous risks, making it a dangerous bet for those who value the security of their Bitcoin.
What is DeFi?
DeFi refers to a set of financial applications that operate without the intermediation of banks or traditional institutions. These platforms use smart contracts to automate transactions, allowing anyone to access financial services without relying on third parties. In theory, DeFi promises greater financial freedom, but in practice it is full of risks, scams, and technical vulnerabilities that can compromise users' funds.
- The risks of DeFi for Bitcoin holders
Bitcoin is the most secure digital currency in the world, protected by a decentralized and censorship-resistant network. Unlike DeFi, which is still in an experimental phase and has already suffered numerous attacks, Bitcoin remains solid and reliable. When someone places Bitcoin in DeFi platforms, they give up the security of direct custody and trust weaker systems.
The main risks include:
01 - Hackers and code flaws: Smart contracts are written by programmers and may contain bugs that allow massive thefts. Over the years, billions of dollars have been lost due to vulnerabilities in DeFi platforms. 02 - Liquidation risks: Many DeFi applications operate on collateralization systems, where users lock Bitcoin to obtain loans. If the market becomes volatile, those Bitcoins can be liquidated at lower-than-expected prices, causing irreversible losses. 03 - Scams and rug pulls: DeFi is full of shady projects where creators vanish with users’ funds. Without regulation and without guarantees, those who deposit Bitcoin in these platforms may never recover their funds.
- Keeping Bitcoin safe is the best choice
Bitcoin was created to be self-custodied, meaning each user should have direct control over their funds without relying on third parties. By sending Bitcoin to DeFi platforms, that security is lost and the asset is exposed to unnecessary risks. The best way to protect Bitcoin is to store it in a secure wallet, preferably offline (cold storage), avoiding any exposure to smart contracts or vulnerable systems.
In summary, DeFi may seem innovative, but the risks far outweigh the potential benefits—especially for those who value Bitcoin's security. Instead of risking losing funds on insecure platforms, the wisest choice is to keep Bitcoin safely stored, ensuring its long-term preservation. While Bitcoin continues to be the best digital store of value in the world, DeFi remains an unstable and dangerous environment where few win and many end up losing.
Thank you very much for reading this far. I hope everything is well with you, and sending a big hug from your favorite Bitcoiner maximalist from Madeira. Long live freedom!
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@ 90c656ff:9383fd4e
2025-05-06 13:01:45Bitcoin has revolutionized the way people conduct financial transactions worldwide. As a decentralized digital currency, it offers new opportunities for e-commerce payments and international money transfers. Its speed, security, and low costs make it an efficient alternative to traditional methods by eliminating intermediaries and facilitating global transactions.
Bitcoin in e-commerce
E-commerce has grown exponentially, and Bitcoin has emerged as an innovative solution for online payments. Large retailers and small businesses are starting to accept Bitcoin as a form of payment, offering benefits to both merchants and consumers.
- Advantages of Bitcoin for e-commerce:
01 - Low transaction fees: Unlike credit cards and payment platforms that charge high fees, Bitcoin transactions generally have lower costs. This benefits merchants, who can reduce expenses and offer more competitive prices to customers. 02 - Elimination of chargebacks: In traditional systems, chargebacks (forced refunds by banks or card operators) are a concern for merchants. Since Bitcoin transactions are irreversible, merchants avoid fraud and disputes. 03 - Global access: Anyone with internet access can pay with Bitcoin, regardless of their location. This allows businesses to expand their market internationally without relying on banks or local payment systems. 04 - Privacy and security: Bitcoin transactions protect user identity, offering greater privacy compared to credit card payments or bank transfers. Additionally, since there’s no need to share personal data, the risk of information theft is reduced.
- Challenges of using Bitcoin in e-commerce:
01 - Volatility: Bitcoin’s price can fluctuate rapidly, making it difficult to set fixed prices for products and services. However, some merchants use payment processors that instantly convert Bitcoin into fiat currency, minimizing this risk. 02 - Limited adoption: Despite its growth, Bitcoin acceptance is not yet universal. Many stores and popular platforms have not adopted it, which can make daily purchases difficult. 03 - Confirmation time: Although Bitcoin is faster than traditional bank transfers, confirmation times may vary depending on the network fee paid. Some solutions, such as the Lightning Network, are being developed to enable instant payments.
Bitcoin in money remittances
Sending money abroad has long been a bureaucratic, costly, and time-consuming process. Traditional services like banks and money transfer companies charge high fees and can take days to complete a transaction. Bitcoin, on the other hand, offers an efficient alternative for global remittances, allowing anyone to send and receive money quickly and affordably.
- Benefits of Bitcoin for remittances:
01 - Reduced costs: While banks and companies like Western Union charge high fees for international transfers, Bitcoin allows money to be sent with minimal costs, regardless of the amount or destination. 02 - Transaction speed: International bank transfers can take several days to complete, especially in countries with limited financial infrastructure. With Bitcoin, money can be sent anywhere in the world within minutes or hours. 03 - Global accessibility: In regions where the banking system is restricted or inefficient, Bitcoin enables people to receive money without depending on banks. This is particularly useful in developing countries where international remittances are an essential source of income. 04 - Independence from intermediaries: Bitcoin operates in a decentralized manner, with no need for banks or transfer companies. This means people can send money directly to friends and family without intermediaries.
- Challenges of Bitcoin remittances:
01 - Conversion to local currency: Although Bitcoin can be received instantly, many people still need to convert it into local currency for everyday use. This may involve additional costs and depend on the availability of exchange services. 02 - Adoption and knowledge: Not everyone understands how Bitcoin works, which can hinder its widespread adoption for remittances. However, growing financial education on the subject can help overcome this barrier. 03 - Regulations and restrictions: Some governments impose restrictions on Bitcoin usage, making remittances more complicated. The evolution of regulations may affect ease of use in certain countries.
In summary, Bitcoin is transforming e-commerce and money remittances around the world. Its ability to eliminate intermediaries, reduce costs, and provide fast and secure payments makes it a viable alternative to traditional financial systems.
In e-commerce, it benefits both merchants and consumers by lowering fees and enhancing privacy. In the remittance sector, it facilitates money transfers to any part of the world, especially for those living in countries with inefficient banking systems.
Despite the challenges, Bitcoin adoption continues to grow, driven by innovative solutions and recognition of its potential as a global payment method. As more businesses and individuals embrace this technology, its presence in e-commerce and international remittances will become increasingly relevant.
Thank you very much for reading this far. I hope everything is well with you, and sending a big hug from your favorite Bitcoiner maximalist from Madeira. Long live freedom!
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@ 3d073b19:4ae60f39
2025-05-12 00:09:07This is an English openletter
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@ 90c656ff:9383fd4e
2025-05-06 12:18:09Digital wallets are important tools for storing and managing Bitcoin. They allow people to keep their private keys, access their funds, and make transactions in a practical and secure way. However, with several types of wallets available and the risks of incorrect use, it is essential to understand their features and follow good security practices.
What is a digital wallet?
A digital wallet is a software or device that stores the private and public keys linked to Bitcoin. Simply put, it doesn’t “store” Bitcoin itself but provides secure access to the network to verify and sign transactions.
Private keys work like a secret password that allows spending Bitcoins, while public keys are like account numbers that can be shared to receive payments. Keeping the private key secure is very important, as whoever has access to it controls the funds.
- Types of Digital Wallets
There are different types of digital wallets, each with specific features that meet various needs, whether for daily use or long-term storage.
- Hot Wallets
Wallets connected to the internet, designed for frequent use. Examples: Mobile apps, desktop wallets, online wallets.
Advantages:
01 - Accessible and easy to use 02 - Ideal for daily and quick transactions
Disadvantages:
01 - More exposed to cyberattacks such as phishing or hacking
- Cold Wallets
Wallets that keep private keys offline, increasing security. Examples: Hardware wallets, paper wallets, dedicated USB devices.
Advantages:
01 - High protection against hackers since they are not online 02 - Ideal for large amounts of Bitcoin or long-term storage
Disadvantages:
01 - Less practical for daily use 02 - Can be physically damaged or lost if not handled carefully
- Hardware Wallets
Physical devices, like Ledger or Trezor, that store private keys offline.
Advantages:
01 - Easy-to-use and secure interface 02 - Resistant to viruses and online attacks
Disadvantages:
01 - Higher initial cost 02 - Require care to avoid physical damage
- Paper Wallets
Involve printing or writing down private and public keys on a piece of paper.
Advantages:
01 - Completely offline and immune to digital attacks 02 - Simple and low-cost
Disadvantages:
01 - Vulnerable to physical damage such as water, fire, or loss 02 - Difficult to recover if lost
- Security in Digital Wallets
Protecting a digital wallet is essential to safeguard your Bitcoins from loss or theft.
Below are important practices to improve security:
- Private Key Protection
01 - Never share your private key with anyone 02 - Keep backup copies of the private key or recovery phrase in safe places
- Use of Recovery Phrases
The seed phrase is a sequence of 12 to 24 words that helps recover funds if the wallet is lost.
01 - Store the seed phrase offline and avoid taking pictures or saving it on internet-connected devices
- Two-Factor Authentication (2FA)
01 - Whenever possible, enable 2FA to protect accounts linked to online wallets or exchanges 02 - This adds an extra layer of security by requiring a second code to log in
- Updates and Maintenance
Keep the wallet software up to date to ensure protection against vulnerabilities
01 - Use only wallets from trustworthy and reputable developers
- Choosing the Right Wallet According to Need
01 - For frequent transactions, choose hot wallets but keep only small amounts 02 - For large amounts, use cold wallets like hardware or paper wallets, which are more secure
Risks and How to Avoid Them
- Hacker Attacks
Risk: Unauthorized access to hot wallets connected to the internet Prevention: Use cold wallets for storing large amounts and avoid clicking on suspicious links
- Loss of Access
Risk: Loss of private keys or the recovery phrase, making funds unrecoverable Prevention: Regularly make backups and store information in secure places
- Social Engineering and Phishing
Risk: Hackers trick people into giving up their private keys or personal information Prevention: Be suspicious of messages or websites that request your private keys. Never share sensitive data
- Physical Failures
Risk: Damage to devices or loss of paper wallets Prevention: Store backups in locations resistant to water, fire, and other threats
In summary, digital wallets are essential for the security and use of Bitcoin. Choosing the right wallet and following good security practices are key steps to protecting your assets.
Hot wallets offer convenience for daily use, while cold wallets provide strong security for long-term storage. Regardless of the type you choose, taking care of your private keys and recovery phrase is fundamental to ensure your Bitcoin remains under your control.
By understanding the types of wallets and implementing appropriate security measures, users can safely and efficiently take advantage of Bitcoin, maximizing the benefits of this digital revolution.
Thank you very much for reading this far. I hope everything is well with you, and sending a big hug from your favorite Bitcoiner maximalist from Madeira. Long live freedom!
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@ e39333da:7c66e53a
2025-05-12 00:03:18::youtube{#VQRLujxTm3c}
Rockstar released the second trailer for Grand Theft Auto VI, where they mention that it showcases both cinematic and gameplay scenes equally, though of course it doesn't show any direct gameplay.
This trailer also announces the release date for the game. The game will come out on the 26th of May, 2026, for the PS5 and the Xbox One.
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@ 3d073b19:4ae60f39
2025-05-11 23:59:56Heading 1
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Lists
Unordered List
- Item 1
- Item 2
- Subitem 2.1
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Ordered List
- First item
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- Third item
Links
OpenAI - A link to OpenAI's website. Markdown Guide - A comprehensive guide to Markdown syntax.
Images
- An example image with a title.
Blockquotes
This is a blockquote. It can span multiple lines. It is often used to highlight important information or quotes.
Code
Inline Code
Here is some
inline code
that demonstrates how to format code within a sentence.Code Block
```python
This is a Python code block
def hello_world(): print("Hello, world!") ```
Emphasis
Bold
This text is bold. This text is also bold.
Italic
This text is italic. This text is also italic.
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@ 3d073b19:4ae60f39
2025-05-11 23:52:28Headings
Heading 1
Heading 2
Heading 3
Heading 4
Heading 5
Heading 6
Lists
Unordered List
- Item 1
- Item 2
- Subitem 2.1
- Subitem 2.2
Ordered List
- First item
- Second item
- Third item
Mixed List
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Item 1
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Item 2
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Item 3
Links
OpenAI - A link to OpenAI's website. Markdown Guide - A comprehensive guide to Markdown syntax.
Images
- An example image with a title.
Blockquotes
This is a blockquote. It can span multiple lines. It is often used to highlight important information or quotes.
Code
Inline Code
Here is some
inline code
that demonstrates how to format code within a sentence.Code Block
```python
This is a Python code block
def hello_world(): print("Hello, world!") ```
Emphasis
Bold
This text is bold. This text is also bold.
Italic
This text is italic. This text is also italic.
Strikethrough
~~This text is strikethrough.~~
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@ a5142938:0ef19da3
2025-05-06 10:36:14What is a natural material? It's a topic of debate, and everyone will prioritize their own criteria. Here’s how materials are classified on this site. The list is regularly updated based on the products added. Feel free to share your thoughts!
✅ Natural Materials
Materials of plant, animal, or mineral origin, without chemical transformation that alters their molecular structure.
🌱 Main Criteria: - Biodegradability - Non-toxicity - Naturally occurring and recquiring minimal transformation
🔍 List of Natural Materials: - Regenerated Cellulose (cupra, lyocell, modal, rayon) - Cork - Cotton - Earth - Glass - Hemp - Natural Latex, rubber - Leather - Linen - Metal - Silk - Wood - Wool - … (Other materials)
⚠️ Although "natural", these materials can have negative impacts depending on their production conditions (pesticide pollution, excessive water consumption, chemical treatments, animal exploitation, etc.). These impacts are mentionned in the description of each material.
Organic versions of these materials — free from chemical treatments, animal mistreatment, etc. — are preferred for listing products on this site, as indicated on each material's page (coming soon).
Conventional versions are only referenced when no more sustainable alternative has yet been found for that product category.
🚫 Non-Natural Materials
Synthetic or heavily modified materials, often derived from petrochemicals.
📌 Main Issues: - Toxicity and microplastic emissions - Dependence on fossil fuels - Poor biodegradability
🔍 List of Non-Natural Materials: - Acrylic - Elastane, spandex, lycra - Polyamides, nylon - Polyester - Silicone - … (Other materials)
⚠️ These materials are not accepted on this site. However, they may be present in certain listed products if:
- they are used in removable accessories (e.g., elastics, buttons—often not listed in the product’s composition by the brand) that can be detached for recycling or composting, and
- no 100% natural alternative has yet been identified for that product category.
In such cases, a warning will be displayed on the product page.
This article is published on origin-nature.com 🌐 Voir cet article en français
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@ cae03c48:2a7d6671
2025-05-12 22:39:25Bitcoin Magazine
Coinbase Becomes First Bitcoin And Crypto Company To Join The S&P 500Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ: COIN) is officially joining the S&P 500 starting May 19. It will replace Discover Financial Services (NYSE: DFS), which is being acquired by Capital One Financial (NYSE: COF), an existing member of the index.
JUST IN: Coinbase to join S&P 500
pic.twitter.com/bF5F1njTMR
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) May 12, 2025
This is a big move for Coinbase and an even bigger signal for Bitcoin. For a crypto company to be added to one of the most important indexes in the U.S. shows how far this industry has come. It’s not just hype anymore—it’s becoming a real part of the traditional financial system.
“Thank you to everyone who made it possible for a crypto company to join the S&P 500 for the first time in history,” Coinbase posted on their X account.
To get into the S&P 500, a company needs to meet a few strict requirements. They need a market cap of at least $18 billion, have most of their shares held by the public, be profitable over the last four quarters, and be listed on a U.S. exchange. Coinbase checks all of those boxes, with a market cap over $40 billion and solid recent earnings.
Once Coinbase is added, every fund that tracks the S&P 500 will need to include it in their portfolios. That means more demand for the stock, which could push the price up in the short term. But even more important, it brings more exposure and credibility to the entire crypto space.
“Congratulations Brian Armstrong on $COIN being added to the S&P 500 Index,” said Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor. “A major milestone for Coinbase and for Bitcoin.”
Now let’s talk about Bitcoin. Coinbase is one of the top platforms people use to buy and sell Bitcoin. Having it in the S&P 500 makes Bitcoin exposure more accessible to traditional investors. It also helps reduce the idea that Bitcoin and crypto are just some risky gamble.
NEW: #Bitcoin has significantly outperformed the S&P 500 over the past 14 years. pic.twitter.com/mdBhIZSbor
— Bitcoin Magazine (@BitcoinMagazine) April 14, 2025
And the numbers speak for themselves. Over the past 14 years, Bitcoin has outperformed the S&P 500 and gold by a huge margin. Since 2010, Bitcoin has surged a staggering 7,200,000%, compared to the S&P 500’s 306% and gold’s 116%. Even when looking at shorter timeframes, Bitcoin consistently beats both. For instance, in the past year, Bitcoin is up 27%, while gold is up 37%, and the S&P 500 is only up 5%. In the last five years, Bitcoin has gained 1,138%, far surpassing gold’s 85% and the S&P 500’s 92%.
As the saying goes…
“First they ignore you.
Then they laugh at you.
Then they fight you.
Then they add you to the S&P 500.”…or something like that.
— Coinbase
(@coinbase) May 12, 2025
This post Coinbase Becomes First Bitcoin And Crypto Company To Join The S&P 500 first appeared on Bitcoin Magazine and is written by Oscar Zarraga Perez.
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@ 90c656ff:9383fd4e
2025-05-06 10:32:35Bitcoin is a new form of digital money that offers financial freedom and access to a global economy without traditional intermediaries. To take full advantage of this technology, it's important to understand how to buy, store, and use it safely and efficiently. This guide covers the main steps and best practices to incorporate Bitcoin into your daily life, emphasizing how to protect your assets and get the most out of them.
Buying Bitcoin is the first step to participating in its decentralized network. There are several ways to acquire Bitcoin, depending on individual preferences and needs.
- Exchange Platforms:
01 - How it works: Exchanges are online platforms that allow users to buy Bitcoin using traditional currencies like dollars, euros, or reais. 02 - Process: Create an account, complete identity verification (KYC process), and deposit funds to start trading.
Tips: Choose reliable exchanges with strong security and good reputations.
- Bitcoin ATMs:
01 - How it works: Some ATMs allow users to buy Bitcoin with cash or credit cards. 02 - Use: Insert the desired amount, scan your digital wallet, and receive the Bitcoin immediately.
- Peer-to-Peer (P2P) Buying:
01 - How it works: P2P platforms connect buyers and sellers directly, allowing them to negotiate specific terms. 02 - Tips: Check the seller's reputation and use platforms that offer escrow services or transaction guarantees.
Security is crucial when handling Bitcoin. Proper storage protects your funds against loss, hacking, and unauthorized access.
- Digital Wallets:
01 - Definition: A digital wallet is software or a physical device that stores the private keys needed to access your Bitcoin.
Types of Wallets:
01 - Hot wallets: Connected to the internet; suitable for frequent use but more vulnerable to attacks (e.g., mobile apps and web wallets). 02 - Cold wallets: Keep Bitcoin offline; more secure for storing large amounts (e.g., hardware wallets and paper wallets).
- Hardware Wallets:
01 - How they work: Physical devices like Ledger or Trezor store your private keys offline. 02 - Advantages: High security against digital attacks and easy to transport.
- Paper Wallets:
01 - How they work: Involve printing or writing down your private keys on a piece of paper. 02 - Precautions: Store in a safe place, protected from moisture, fire, and unauthorized access.
- Backup and Recovery:
01 - Best practice: Regularly back up your wallet and store your recovery phrase (seed phrase) in a secure location. 02 - Warning: Never share your recovery phrase or private key with anyone.
Using Bitcoin goes beyond investment. It can be used for daily transactions, purchases, and transferring value efficiently.
- Transactions:
01 - How to send Bitcoin: Enter the recipient’s address, the amount to send, and confirm the transaction from your wallet. 02 - Fees: Transaction fees go to miners and may vary based on network demand.
- Purchasing Goods and Services:
01 - Merchants that accept Bitcoin: Many businesses, both physical and online, now accept Bitcoin. Look for the Bitcoin logo or consult updated lists of accepting merchants. 02 - How to pay: Scan the seller’s QR code and send the payment directly from your wallet.
International Transfers: Bitcoin enables fast global transfers, often with lower fees than banks or conventional remittance services.
Bill Payments: In some countries, it's already possible to pay for services and even taxes with Bitcoin, depending on local infrastructure.
- Tips for Using Bitcoin Safely:
01 - Choose trusted wallets and services: Only use well-known, reputable wallets and exchanges. 02 - Enable two-factor authentication (2FA): Activate 2FA to protect your accounts on exchanges and online services. 03 - Don’t leave funds on exchanges: After buying Bitcoin on an exchange, transfer your funds to a wallet you control to reduce the risk of loss from hacks. 04 - Educate yourself: Understanding the basics of Bitcoin and digital security is key to avoiding mistakes and fraud.
In summary, buying, storing, and using Bitcoin might seem complex at first, but it becomes simple and accessible with time. By following best security practices and learning the basics, anyone can benefit from this innovative technology.
Bitcoin is not just a financial option; it’s a powerful tool that supports economic freedom and access to a global economy. With the right knowledge, you can integrate Bitcoin into your life securely and effectively.
Thank you very much for reading this far. I hope everything is well with you, and sending a big hug from your favorite Bitcoiner maximalist from Madeira. Long live freedom!
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@ 3c389c8f:7a2eff7f
2025-05-11 22:53:30As I'm sitting here trying to hone in on what might be important to write about in this moment, my mind keeps swirling around through all the things that have me sitting here to begin with. Nostr found me in a time when my life needed a change. The discovery of something that provided the light of hope to an otherwise dark, dystopian future was more powerful than I could have ever predicted. Timing is everything, they say. I believe that to be half true, as timing alone means nothing if the will is non-existent. The intersection of opportunity and preparedness, and all that. I know how I found my way here, but I do not fully understand the things that have drawn my curiosity and kept my attention so strongly. My will ached for change, simplicity, and meaning. I found it, in what seem to me, simultaneously the most likely and the most unlikely of places. There's a magic to that, and its probably better to leave some questions unanswered, lest they lose their mystic power.
My experiences are my own but theme of them resonates through most of the people with whom I interact. It's been very clear that I wasn't alone in these feelings. A movement of highly inspired, hopeful people have continued to support this digital freedom movement since my arrival, in varying ways. Some people have highly technical skills ranging from network systems to design to cybersecurity. Others, like myself, have little to offer in the realms of functionality and we do what we can to breathe life into the systems built to provide digital freedom of speech for all. It's a humbling experience. We are reminded. sometimes directly and sometimes indirectly, that none of Nostr would matter if there were no one using it. We know this to be true, but it is no less humbling to be surrounded by constant innovation and a thriving desire to bring this experience to the entire world.
Now here I sit, tapping out these words, in the midst of another massive life change, stressful but chosen. I could sign off, go read a book in the garden, and go about my world as I would have in my pre-Nostr times. I don't want to do that, though. Hope is here. If there is a place to dwell, in hope is where I will always choose.
I find it important to acknowledge, though, that Nostr and the people using it are in a constant state of flux, too. This isn't my rock nor harbor nor shelter. It's the chaotic good, reminding me both to keep an appreciation for how far this ecosystem has come in such a short amount of time and a realistic set of expectations for where this all can go. The same applies for how well things work at any given moment...And equally so in missing my some of my early Nostr friends that have come and gone, while remaining open to the possibility of meeting new ones... Experiences had and experiences yet to come. I don't know if I have ever been so coaxed outside of my mind by a group of strangers on the internet. But here I am, looking back and looking forward, surrounded by awe in all directions, sharing thoughts that would otherwise be scribbled in pen to be burned in a random evening fire. I've long felt that the core of social media should be just this. Spaces for people to connect, above all else, in the ways that create meaning in our lives. I suppose in some ways that did exist before, but it was twisted, and obscured, and slowly pulled away.
Now its here and super-charged by possibility. What this looks like for any individual will not be the same as my own view. That's part of what makes this so beautiful to me. We need to be able to speak freely. Just as importantly we need to be able to surround ourselves with the things and people that makes us want to do more, that make us want to feel humbled. Or not, if we so choose... but I choose hope.
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@ a5142938:0ef19da3
2025-05-06 10:31:40Content coming soon.
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@ 80a6a657:536a97e2
2025-05-06 10:00:48The dawn of Bitcoin ushered in a transformative mission: empowering individuals and dismantling centralized power structures that erode personal freedoms. As the world’s first decentralized currency, Bitcoin offers an alternative financial system—one that transcends borders, government control, and corporate interests.
But this mission isn’t just about money. It’s about freedom. It’s about self-sovereignty. And most importantly, it’s a rallying cry for vigilance in an ongoing struggle for the liberation of humanity from systemic oppression. Who better to lead this critical mission than those who have already dedicated their lives to serving and protecting freedom: Veterans.
Freedom: A Lifelong Fight Freedom is neither freely given nor guaranteed—it is earned and fiercely preserved. Veterans understand this intimately. They have endured sacrifice, hardship, and battle in their service to protect the liberties we often take for granted. And today, freedom faces threats from a new frontier: financial manipulation, surveillance, and the centralization of power.
Governments across the globe continue to devalue currencies through inflation, tighten financial surveillance by controlling banking systems, and stifle individual autonomy. These issues underscore the need for a sound financial alternative, one that aligns with the ideals veterans have sworn to uphold. The solution? Bitcoin.
Bitcoin represents the antithesis of centralized control. It is censorship-resistant, immune to monetary debasement, and built upon a trustless, transparent system. It is not merely a currency; it is a tool for human liberation.
Vigilance in Bitcoin Adoption While Bitcoin adoption grows, the journey is far from complete. The powerful status quo—central banks, governments, and financial elites—does not take threats to its systems lightly. These entities work tirelessly to misinform, regulate, and marginalize Bitcoin. This makes sustained vigilance in promoting Bitcoin adoption not just important, but essential.
The failure to remain vigilant could see Bitcoin’s potential diminished through undue regulation, controlled implementation (such as CBDCs—Central Bank Digital Currencies), or a failure to educate people about its benefits. Complacency would mean ceding victory to oppressive systems the world over.
This is why Bitcoin adoption isn’t solely a technological phenomenon—it is an ideological mission. To resist control, to safeguard freedom, and to empower individuals to thrive under self-sovereignty requires the active participation of people across all sectors of society.
Why Veterans Are Uniquely Positioned to Lead Veterans are inherently equipped to lead the charge in the fight for Bitcoin adoption and the broader battle for freedom. Their unique skillsets, shaped by discipline, adaptability, and leadership under pressure, are perfectly suited to this challenge. Here’s why veterans play a pivotal role in this movement: 1. Leadership and Vision: Veterans are natural leaders. They can galvanize communities toward a vision of financial independence, self-sovereignty, and empowerment through Bitcoin. Their experience coordinating efforts—whether on the battlefield or in humanitarian missions—allows them to efficiently communicate the importance of Bitcoin adoption. 2. Commitment to Freedom: The fight for Bitcoin adoption is deeply aligned with the ethos of service members: defending freedom at all costs. Veterans understand that true freedom cannot persist without vigilance, sacrifice, and a commitment to challenging oppressive systems. 3. Trust and Credibility: The military often fosters a level of trust and camaraderie among people. Veterans, therefore, have the clout to introduce Bitcoin to communities that may otherwise view it with skepticism. Their credibility as protectors of freedom gives them an edge in delivering Bitcoin’s message of liberation. 4. Adaptability in Uncertain Environments: Just as they’ve thrived in complex and chaotic environments, veterans are poised to navigate the evolving financial landscape. Bitcoin is still maturing and faces regulatory challenges, technological hurdles, and cultural misunderstandings. Veterans excel at adapting to change and finding solutions in challenging circumstances. 5. Mission-Driven Mindset: Every mission has an objective, and every objective demands clear focus. Veterans approach tasks methodically and with a commitment to success—the same mindset required to bridge the gap between Bitcoin skepticism and widespread adoption.
The Call to Action Veterans, the mission isn’t over. Humanity stands at a crossroads, and freedom is at stake. Bitcoin is not just a disruptive technology; it’s the torchbearer of liberty in a world increasingly dominated by centralized control. It’s time to take the skills, discipline, and passion forged in your service and channel them into this new fight: the fight for financial freedom and independence from a centralized system that has dominated the lives of billions of people for far too long.
Educate yourself about Bitcoin. Learn its nuances, its strengths, and its use cases. Share this knowledge with your communities, help dismantle misconceptions, and shine a light on the real promise of self-sovereignty. Become an anchor of leadership in this decentralized revolution.
For civilians: do not underestimate the importance of this mission. Every individual who adopts Bitcoin drives us one step closer to a world where personal freedom and economic empowerment are accessible to all. Join arms with veterans, thought leaders, and Bitcoin adopters to ensure the torch of liberty burns brightly.
Closing Thoughts Bitcoin is more than a financial revolution—it’s a movement for freedom. Veterans have long stood on the frontline for this cause, and today, they have an opportunity to champion it in a new way. With vigilance, resolve, and determination, humanity can achieve greater levels of freedom. But, as with all efforts to secure liberty, we must remain constantly committed to the mission. Remember: freedom demands eternal vigilance. So does Bitcoin.
Will you answer the call? Together, we can reshape the future as champions of sovereignty and bring the world closer to the ideals we all deserve.
OPERATION BITCOIN is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit on a mission to connect military veterans with Bitcoin.
You can directly support this mission by sharing our publication with a veteran today, zapping this article or donating at www.operationbitcoin.io
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@ 01acb73f:5a8e92a9
2025-05-06 04:27:42O universo dos jogos online está cada vez mais diversificado e atrativo para os brasileiros que buscam entretenimento e adrenalina. Nesse cenário, o Forró777 se destaca como uma plataforma inovadora e completa, oferecendo uma experiência única para quem quer unir diversão, praticidade e chances reais de premiação. Com um ambiente virtual moderno, suporte eficiente e uma grande variedade de jogos, o Forró777 conquistou seu espaço no mercado e vem se tornando a escolha preferida de muitos jogadores.
Uma Plataforma que Fala a Língua do Brasileiro Desde o primeiro acesso, o Forró777 mostra que foi feito pensando no público brasileiro. A interface é amigável, com menus intuitivos e em português, o que facilita a navegação até para iniciantes. A plataforma funciona de forma fluida tanto em computadores quanto em dispositivos móveis, permitindo que o usuário jogue quando e onde quiser.
Outro ponto forte é a segurança. O site conta com tecnologias de criptografia avançadas para proteger as informações dos usuários e garantir transações seguras. Além disso, o suporte ao cliente está disponível 24 horas por dia, sempre pronto para esclarecer dúvidas e resolver qualquer problema com rapidez e eficiência.
Variedade de Jogos para Todos os Gostos O catálogo de jogos do Forro777é um dos mais completos do mercado. Os jogadores podem se divertir com diferentes estilos, desde os clássicos até os mais modernos. Entre os destaques estão os populares jogos de caça-níqueis, com temas variados e gráficos impressionantes. Com rodadas rápidas e animações envolventes, esses jogos são ideais para quem busca entretenimento dinâmico e recompensas atrativas.
Outro sucesso na plataforma são os jogos ao vivo, nos quais o usuário interage em tempo real com apresentadores profissionais e outros participantes. Essa modalidade traz uma imersão maior e faz com que o jogador se sinta em um ambiente real de competição e diversão.
Além disso, o Forró777 também oferece jogos de loteria instantânea, roletas digitais, pôquer online e muito mais. Essa diversidade garante que cada usuário encontre algo que combine com seu estilo e preferências.
Uma Experiência de Jogador Incomparável O grande diferencial do Forró777 está na experiência que ele proporciona. O site não é apenas uma plataforma de jogos, mas sim um ambiente de entretenimento completo. Os bônus e promoções frequentes são um atrativo à parte, com ofertas que incluem giros grátis, prêmios em dinheiro e recompensas exclusivas para novos usuários e jogadores fiéis.
Outro ponto muito elogiado pelos usuários é o programa de fidelidade, que premia jogadores frequentes com vantagens especiais, como atendimento VIP, cashback e bônus personalizados. Isso cria uma sensação de valorização que faz com que o jogador se sinta parte de uma comunidade exclusiva.
Conclusão Se você está em busca de uma plataforma confiável, divertida e com muitas possibilidades de ganhos, o Forró777 é uma excelente escolha. Com sua ampla variedade de jogos, sistema seguro e atendimento dedicado, o site entrega tudo o que o jogador moderno procura. Prepare-se para uma jornada cheia de emoção, recompensas e diversão no Forró777 — onde o ritmo da vitória nunca para!
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@ bf47c19e:c3d2573b
2025-05-11 22:33:46Originalni tekst na dvadesetjedan.com
Autor: Vijay Boyapati / Prevod na hrvatski: Matija
Sa zadnjim cijenama koje je bitcoin dosegao 2017., optimističan scenarij za ulagače se možda čini toliko očitim da ga nije potrebno niti spominjati. Alternativno, možda se nekome čini glupo ulagati u digitalnu vrijednost koja ne počiva na nijednom fizičkom dobru ili vladi i čiji porast cijene su neki usporedili sa manijom tulipana ili dot-com balonom. Nijedno nije točno; optimističan scenarij za Bitcoin je uvjerljiv, ali ne i očit. Postoje značajni rizici kod ulaganja u Bitcoin, no, kao što planiram pokazati, postoji i ogromna prilika.
Geneza
Nikad u povijesti svijeta nije bilo moguće napraviti transfer vrijednosti među fizički udaljenim ljudima bez posrednika, poput banke ili vlade. 2008. godine, anonimni Satoshi Nakamoto je objavio 8 stranica rješenja na dugo nerješivi računalski problem poznat kao “Problem Bizantskog Generala.” Njegovo rješenje i sustav koji je izgradio - Bitcoin - dozvolio je, prvi put ikad, da se vrijednost prenosi brzo i daleko, bez ikakvih posrednika ili povjerenja. Implikacije kreacije Bitcoina su toliko duboke, ekonomski i računalski, da bi Nakamoto trebao biti prva osoba nominirana za Nobelovu nagradu za ekonomiju i Turingovu nagradu.
Za ulagače, važna činjenica izuma Bitcoina (mreže i protokola) je stvaranje novog oskudnog digitalnog dobra - bitcoina (monetarne jedinice). Bitcoini su prenosivi digitalni “novčići” (tokeni), proizvedeni na Bitcoin mreži kroz proces nazvan “rudarenje” (mining). Rudarenje Bitcoina je ugrubo usporedivo sa rudarenjem zlata, uz bitnu razliku da proizvodnja bitcoina prati unaprijed osmišljeni i predvidivi raspored. Samo 21 milijun bitcoina će ikad postojati, i većina (2017., kada je ovaj tekst napisan) su već izrudareni. Svake četiri godine, količina rudarenih bitcoina se prepolovi. Produkcija novih bitcoina će potpuno prestati 2140. godine.
Stopa inflacije —— Monetarna baza
Bitcoine ne podržava nikakva roba ili dobra, niti ih garantira ikakva vlada ili firma, što postavlja očito pitanje za svakog novog bitcoin ulagača: zašto imaju uopće ikakvu vrijednost? Za razliku od dionica, obveznica, nekretnina ili robe poput nafte i žita, bitcoine nije moguće vrednovati koristeći standardne ekonomske analize ili korisnost u proizvodnji drugih dobara. Bitcoini pripadaju sasvim drugoj kategoriji dobara - monetarnih dobara, čija se vrijednost definira kroz tzv. teoriju igara; svaki sudionik na tržištu vrednuje neko dobro, onoliko koliko procjenjuje da će ga drugi sudionici vrednovati. Kako bismo bolje razumjeli ovo svojstvo monetarnih dobara, trebamo istražiti podrijetlo novca.
Podrijetlo novca
U prvim ljudskim društvima, trgovina među grupama se vršila kroz robnu razmjenu. Velika neefikasnost prisutna u robnoj razmjeni je drastično ograničavala količinu i geografski prostor na kojem je bila moguća. Jedan od najvećih problema sa robnom razmjenom je problem dvostruke podudarnosti potražnje. Uzgajivač jabuka možda želi trgovati sa ribarom, ali ako ribar ne želi jabuke u istom trenutku, razmjena se neće dogoditi. Kroz vrijeme, ljudi su razvili želju za čuvanjem određenih predmeta zbog njihove rijetkosti i simbolične vrijednosti (npr. školjke, životinjski zube, kremen). Zaista, kako i Nick Szabo govori u svojem izvrsnom eseju o podrijetlu novca, ljudska želja za sakupljanjem predmeta pružila je izraženu evolucijsku prednost ranom čovjeku nad njegovim najbližim biološkim rivalom, neandertalcem - Homo neanderthalensis.
"Primarna i najbitnija evolucijska funkcija sakupljanja bila je osigurati medij za čuvanje i prenošenje vrijednosti".
Predmeti koje su ljudi sakupljali služili su kao svojevrsni “proto-novac,” tako što su omogućavale trgovinu među antagonističkim plemenima i dozvoljavale bogatsvu da se prenosi na sljedeću generaciju. Trgovina i transfer takvih predmeta bile su rijetke u paleolitskim društvima, te su oni služili više kao “spremište vrijednosti” (store of value) nego kao “medij razmjene” (medium of exchange), što je uloga koju danas igra moderni novac. Szabo objašnjava:
"U usporedbi sa modernim novcem, primitivan novac je imao jako malo “brzinu” - mogao je promijeniti ruke samo nekoliko puta u životu prosječnog čovjeka. Svejedno, trajni i čvrsti sakupljački predmet, što bismo danas nazvali “nasljeđe,” mogao je opstati mnogo generacija, dodajući znatnu vrijednost pri svakom transferu - i zapravo omogućiti transfer uopće".
Rani čovjek suočio se sa bitnom dilemom u teoriji igara, kada je odlučivao koje predmete sakupljati: koje od njih će drugi ljudi željeti? Onaj koji bi to točno predvidio imao bi ogromnu prednost u mogućnosti trgovine i akvizicije bogatsva. Neka američka indijanska plemena, npr. Naraganseti, specijalizirala su se u proizvodnji sakupljačkih dobara koja nisu imala drugu svrhu osim trgovine. Valja spomenuti da što je ranije predviđanje da će neko dobro imati takvu vrijednost, veća je prednost koju će imati onaj koji je posjeduje, zato što ju je moguće nabaviti jeftinije, prije nego postane vrlo tražena roba i njezona vrijednost naraste zajedno sa populacijom. Nadalje, nabava nekog dobra u nadi da će u budućnosti biti korišteno kao spremište vrijednosti, ubrzava upravo tu primjenu. Ova cirkularnost je zapravo povratna veza (feedback loop) koja potiče društva da se rapidno slože oko jednog spremišta vrijednosti. U terminima teorije igara, ovo je znano kao “Nashov ekvilibrij.” Postizanje Nashovog ekvilibrija za neko spremište vrijednosti je veliko postignuće za društvo, pošto ono znatno olakšava trgovinu i podjelu rada, i time omogućava napredak civilizacije.
Tisućljećima, kako su ljudska društva rasla i otvarala trgovinske puteve, različite aplikacije spremišta vrijednosti u individualnim društvima počele su se natjecati međusobno. Trgovci su imali izbor: čuvati svoju zaradu u spremištu vrijednosti vlastite kulture, ili one kulture sa kojom su trgovali, ili mješavini oboje. Benefit štednje u stranom spremištu vrijednosti bila je uvećana sposobnost trgovanja u povezanom stranom društvu. Trgovci koji su štedili u stranom spremištu vrijednosti su također imali dobrih razloga da potiču svoje društvo da ga prihvati, jer bi tako uvećali vrijednost vlastite ušteđevine. Prednosti “uvezene” tehnologije spremanja vrijednosti bile su prisutne ne samo za trgovce, nego i za sama društva. Kada bi se dvije grupe konvergirale u jedinstvenom spremištu vrijednosti, to bi značajno smanjilo cijenu troškova trgovine jednog s drugim, i samim time povećanje bogatstva kroz trgovinu. I zaista, 19. stoljeće bilo je prvi put da je najveći dio svijeta prihvatio jedinstveno spremište vrijednosti - zlato - i u tom periodu vidio najveću eksploziju trgovine u povijesti svijeta. O ovom mirnom periodu, pisao je John Maynard Keynes:
"Kakva nevjerojatna epizoda u ekonomskom napretku čovjeka… za svakog čovjeka iole iznadprosječnog, iz srednje ili više klase, život je nudio obilje, ugodu i mogućnosti, po niskoj cijeni i bez puno problema, više nego monarsima iz prethodnih perioda. Stanovnik Londona mogao je, ispijajući jutarnji čaj iz kreveta, telefonski naručiti razne proizvode iz cijele Zemlje, u količinama koje je želio, i sa dobrim razlogom očekivati njihovu dostavu na svoj kućni prag."
Svojstva dobrog spremišta vrijednosti
Kada se spremišta vrijednosti natječu jedno s drugim, specifična svojstva rade razliku koja daje jednom prednost nad drugim. Premda su mnoga dobra u prošlosti korištena kao spremišta vrijednosti ili kao “proto-novac,” određena svojstva su se pokazala kao posebno važna, i omogućila dobrima sa njima da pobijede. Idealno spremište vrijednosti biti će:
- Trajno: dobro ne smije biti kvarljivo ili lako uništeno. Tako naprimjer, žito nije idealno spremište vrijednosti.
- Prenosivo: dobro mora biti lako transportirati i čuvati, što omogućuje osiguranje protiv gubitka ili krađe i dopušta trgovinu na velike udaljenosti. Tako, krava je lošije spremište vrijednosti od zlatne narukvice.
- Zamjenjivo: jedna jedinica dobra treba biti zamjenjiva sa drugom. Bez zamjenjivosti, problem podudarnosti želja ostaje nerješiv. Time, zlato je bolje od dijamanata, jer su oni nepravilni u obliku i kvaliteti.
- Provjerljivo: dobro mora biti lako i brzo identificirano i testirano za autentičnost. Laka provjera povećava povjerenje u trgovini i vjerojatnost da će razmjena biti dovršena.
- Djeljivo: dobro mora biti lako djeljivo na manje dijelove. Premda je ovo svojstvo bilo manje važno u ranim društvima gdje je trgovina bila rijetka, postalo je važnije sa procvatom trgovine. Količine koje su se mijenjale postale su manje i preciznije.
- Oskudno: Monetarno dobro mora imati “cijenu nemoguću za lažirati,” kao što je rekao Nick Szabo. Drugim riječima, dobro ne smije biti obilno ili lako dostupno kroz proizvodnju. Oskudnost je možda i najvažnije svojstvo spremišta vrijednosti, pošto se izravno vezuje na ljudsku želju da sakupljamo ono što je rijetko. Ona je izvor vrijednosti u spremištu vrijednosti.
- Duge povijesti: što je dulje neko dobro vrijedno za društvo, veća je vjerojatnost da će biti prihvaćeno kao spremište vrijednosti. Dugo postojeće spremište vrijednosti biti će jako teško uklonjeno od strane došljaka, osim u slučaju sile (ratno osvajanje) ili ako je nova tehnologija znatno bolja u ostalim svojstvima.
- Otporno na cenzuru: novije svojstvo, sve više važno u modernom digitalnom svijetu sa sveprisutnim nadzorom, je otpornost na cenzuru. Drugim riječima, koliko je teško da vanjski agent, kao korporacija ili država, spriječi vlasnika dobra da ga čuva i koristi. Dobra koja su otporna na cenzuru su idealna za ljude koji žive u režimima koji prisilno nadziru kapital ili čine neke oblike mirne trgovine protuzakonitima.
Ova tablica ocjenjuje Bitcoin, zlato (gold) i fiat novac (kao što je euro ili dolar) po svojstvima izlistanim gore. Objašnjenje svake ocjene slijedi nakon tablice.
Trajnost:
Zlato je neosporeni kralj trajnosti. Velika većina zlata pronađenog kroz povijest, uključujući ono egipatskih faraona, opstaje i danas i vjerojatno će postojati i za tisuću godina. Zlatnici korišteni u antičko doba imaju značajnu vrijednost i danas. Fiat valute i bitcoini su digitalni zapisi koji ponekad imaju fizički oblik (npr. novčanice). Dakle, njihovu trajnost ne određuju njihova fizička svojstva (moguće je zamijeniti staru i oštećenu novčanicu za novu), nego institucije koje stoje iza njih. U slučaju fiat valuta, mnoge države su nastale i nestale kroz stoljeća, i valute su nestale s njima. Marke iz Weimarske republike danas nemaju vrijednost zato što institucija koja ih je izdavala više ne postoji. Ako je povijest ikakav pokazatelj, ne bi bilo mudro smatrati fiat valute trajnima dugoročno; američki dolar i britanska funta su relativne anomalije u ovom pogledu. Bitcoini, zato što nemaju instituciju koja ih održava, mogu se smatrati trajnima dok god mreža koja ih osigurava postoji. Obzirom da je Bitcoin još uvijek mlada valuta, prerano je za čvrste zaključke o njegovoj trajnosti. No, postoje ohrabrujući znakovi - prominente države su ga pokušavale regulirati, hakeri ga napadali - usprkos tome, mreža nastavlja funkcionirati, pokazujući visok stupanj antifragilnosti.
Prenosivost:
Bitcoini su najprenosivije spremište vrijednosti ikad. Privatni ključevi koji predstavljaju stotine milijuna dolara mogu se spremiti na USB drive i lako ponijeti bilo gdje. Nadalje, jednako velike sume mogu se poslati na drugi kraj svijeta skoro instantno. Fiat valute, zbog svojeg temeljno digitalnog oblika, su također lako prenosive. Ali, regulacije i kontrola kapitala od strane države mogu ugroziti velike prijenose vrijednosti, ili ih usporiti danima. Gotovina se može koristiti kako bi se izbjegle kontrole kapitala, ali onda rastu rizik čuvanja i cijena transporta. Zlato, zbog svojeg fizičkog oblika i velike gustoće, je najmanje prenosivo. Nije čudo da većina zlatnika i poluga nikad ne napuste sefove. Kada se radi prijenos zlata između prodavača i kupca, uglavnom se prenosi samo ugovor o vlasništvu, ne samo fizičko zlato. Prijenos fizičkog zlata na velike udaljenosti je skupo, riskantno i sporo.
Zamjenjivost:
Zlato nam daje standard za zamjenjivost. Kada je rastopljeno, gram zlata je praktički nemoguće razlikovati od bilo kojeg drugog grama, i zlato je oduvijek bilo takvo. S druge strane, fiat valute, su zamjenjive samo onoliko koliko njihova institucija želi da budu. Iako je uglavnom slučaj da je novčanica zamjenjiva za drugu istog iznosa, postoje situacije u kojima su velike novčanice tretirane drukčije od malih. Naprimjer, vlada Indije je, u pokušaju da uništi neoporezivo sivo tržište, potpuno oduzela vrijednost novčanicama od 500 i 1000 rupija. To je uzrokovalo da ljudi manje vrednuju te novčanice u trgovini, što je značilo da više nisu bile zaista zamjenjive za manje novčanice. Bitcoini su zamjenjivi na razini mreže; svaki bitcoin je pri prijenosu tretiran kao svaki drugi. No, zato što je moguće pratiti individualne bitcoine na blockchainu, određeni bitcoin može, u teoriji, postati “prljav” zbog korštenja u ilegalnoj trgovini, te ga trgovci ili mjenjačnice možda neće htjeti prihvatiti. Bez dodatnih poboljšanja oko privatnosti i anonimnosti na razini mrežnog protokola, bitcoine ne možemo smatrati jednako zamjenjivim kao zlato.
Mogućnost provjere:
Praktično gledajući, autentičnost fiat valuta i zlata je prilično lako provjeriti. Svejedno, i usprkos pokušajima da spriječe krivotvorenje novčanica, i dalje postoji potencijal prevare za vlade i njihove građane. Zlato također nije imuno na krivotvorenje. Sofisticirani kriminalci su koristili pozlaćeni tungsten kako bi prevarili kupce zlata. Bitcoine je moguće provjeriti sa matematičkom sigurnošću. Korištenjem kriptografskih potpisa, vlasnik bitcoina može javno demonstrirati da posjeduje bitcoine koje tvrdi da posjeduje.
Djeljivost:
Bitcoine je moguće podijeliti u stotinu milijuna manjih jedinica (zvanih satoshi), i prenositi takve (no, valja uzeti u obzir ekonomičnost prijenosa malih iznosa, zbog cijene osiguravanja mreže - “network fee”). Fiat valute su tipično dovoljno djeljive na jedinice sa vrlo niskom kupovnom moći. Zlato, iako fizički i teoretski djeljivo, postaje teško za korištenje kada se podijeli na dovoljno male količine da bi se moglo koristiti u svakodnevnoj trgovini.
Oskudnost:
Svojstvo koje najjasnije razlikuje Bitcoin od fiat valuta i zlata je njegova unaprijed definirana oskudnost. Od početka, konačna količina bitcoina nikad neće biti veća od 21 milijun. To daje vlasnicima bitcoina jasan i znan uvid u postotak ukupnog vlasništva. Naprimjer, vlasnik 10 bitcoina bi znao da najviše 2,1 milijuna ljudi (manje od 0.03% populacije) može ikad imati isto bitcoina kao i on. Premda je kroz povijest uvijek bilo oskudno, zlato nije imuno na povećanje ukupne količine. Ako se ikad izumi nova, ekonomičnija metoda rudarenja ili proizvodnje zlata, ukupna količina zlata bi se mogla dramatično povećati (npr. rudarenje morskog dna ili asteroida). Na kraju, fiat valute, relativno nov izum u povijesti, pokazale su se sklonima konstantnim povećanjima u količini. Države su pokazale stalnu sklonost inflaciji monetarne kvantitete kako bi rješavale kratkoročne političke probleme. Inflacijske tendencije vlada diljem svijeta čine fiat valute gotovo sigurnim da će gubiti vrijednost kroz vrijeme.
Etablirana povijest:
Nijedno monetarno dobro nema povijest kao zlato, koje je imalo vrijednost za cijelog trajanja ljudske civilizacije. Kovanice izrađene u antičko doba i danas imaju značajnu vrijednost. Ne može se isto reći za fiat valute, koje su same relativno nova povijesna anomalija. Od njihovog početka, fiat valute su imale gotovo univerzalni smjer prema bezvrijednosti. Korištenje inflacije kao podmuklog načina za nevidljivo oporezivanje građana je vječita kušnja kojoj se skoro nijedna država u povijesti nije mogla oduprijeti. Ako je 20. stoljeće, u kojem je fiat novac dominirao globalni monetarni poredak, demonstriralo neku ekonomsku istinu, to je onda bila ta da ne možemo računati na fiat novac da održi vrijednost u dužem ili srednjem vremenskom periodu. Bitcoin, usprkos svojoj novosti, je preživio dovoljno testova tržišta da postoji velika vjerojatnost da neće nestati kao vrijedno dobro. Nadalje, Lindy efekt govori da što duže Bitcoin bude korišten, to će veća biti vjera u njega i njegovu sposobnost da nastavi postojati dugo u budućnost. Drugim riječima, društvena vjera u monetarno dobro je asimptotička, kao u grafu ispod:
Ako Bitcoin preživi prvih 20 godina, imat će gotovo sveopće povjerenje da će trajati zauvijek, kao što ljudi vjeruju da je internet trajna stvar u modernom svijetu.
Otpor na cenzuru
Jedan od najbitnijih izvora za ranu potražnju bitcoina bila je njegova upotreba u ilegalnoj kupovini i prodaji droge. Mnogi su zato pogrešno zaključili da je primarna potražnja za bitcoinima utemeljena u njihovoj prividnoj anonimnosti. Međutim, Bitcoin nije anonimna valuta; svaka transakcija na mreži je zauvijek zapisana na javnom blockchainu. Povijesni zapis transakcija dozvoljava forenzičkoj analizi da identificira izvore i tijek sredstava. Takva analiza dovela je do uhićenja počinitelja zloglasne MtGox pljačke. Premda je istina da dovoljno oprezna i pedantna osoba može sakriti svoj identitet koristeći Bitcoin, to nije razlog zašto je Bitcoin bio toliko popularan u trgovini drogom.
Ključno svojstvo koje čini Bitcoin najboljim za takve aktivnosti je njegova agnostičnost i nepotrebnost za dozvolom (“premissionlessness”) na mrežnoj razini. Kada se bitcoini prenose na Bitcoin mreži, ne postoji nitko tko dopušta transakcije. Bitcoin je distribuirana peer-to-peer (korisnik-korisniku) mreža, i samim time dizajnirana da bude otporna na cenzuru. Ovo je u velikom kontrastu sa fiat bankarskim sustavom, u kojem države reguliraju banke i ostale institucije prijenosa novca, kako bi one prijavljivale i sprječavale protuzakonito korištenje monetarnih dobara. Klasičan primjer regulacije novca su kontrole kapitala. Npr., bogati milijunaš će vrlo teško prenijeti svoje bogatstvo u novu zemlju, kada bježi iz opresivnog režima. Premda zlato nije izdano i proizvedeno od države, njegova fizička priroda ga čini teško prenosivim kroz prostor, i samim time ga je daleko lakše regulirati nego Bitcoin. Indijski Akt kontrole zlata je primjer takve regulacije.
Bitcoin je odličan u većini gore navedenih svojstava, što mu omogućava da bude marginalno bolji od modernih i drevnih monetarnih dobara, te da pruži poticaje za svoje rastuće društveno usvajanje. Specifično, moćna kombinacija otpornosti na cenzuru i apsolutne oskudnosti bila je velika motivacija za bogate ulagače koji su uložili dio svojeg bogatstva u Bitcoin.
Evolucija novca
U modernoj monetarnoj ekonomiji postoji opsesija sa ulogom novca kao medija razmjene. U 20. stoljeću, države su monopolizirale izdavanje i kontrolu novca i kontinuirano potkopavale njegovo svojstvo spremišta vrijednosti, stvarajući lažno uvjerenje da je primarna svrha novca biti medij razmjene. Mnogi su kritizirali Bitcoin, govoreći da je neprikladan da bude novac zato što mu je cijena bila previše volatilna za medij razmjene. No, novac je uvijek evoluirao kroz etape; uloga spremišta vrijednosti je dolazila prije medija razmjene. Jedan od očeva marginalističke ekonomije, William Stanley Jevons, objašnjava:
"Povijesno govoreći… čini se da je zlato prvo služilo kao luksuzni metal za ukras; drugo, kao sačuvana vrijednost; treće, kao medij razmjene; i konačno, kao mjerilo vrijednosti."
U modernoj terminologiji, novac uvijek evoluira kroz četiri stadija:
- Kolekcionarstvo: U prvoj fazi svoje evolucije, novac je tražen samo zbog svojih posebnih svojstava, uglavnom zbog želja onog koji ga posjeduje. Školjke, perlice i zlato su bili sakupljani prije nego su poprimili poznatije uloge novca.
- Spremište vrijednosti: Jednom kada je novac tražen od dovoljnog broja ljudi, biti će prepoznat kao način za čuvanje i spremanje vrijednosti kroz vrijeme. Kada neko dobro postane široko korišteno kao spremište vrijednosti, njegova kupovna moć raste sa povećanom potražnjom za tu svrhu. Kupovna moć spremišta vrijednosti će u jednom trenutku doći do vrhunca, kada je dovolno rašireno i broj novih ljudi koji ga potražuju splasne.
- Sredstvo razmjene: Kada je novac potpuno etabliran kao spremište vrijednosti, njegova kupovna moć se stabilizira. Nakon toga, postane prikladno sredstvo razmjene zbog stabilnosti svoje cijene. U najranijim danima Bitcoina, mnogi ljudi nisu shvaćali koju buduću cijenu plaćaju koristeći bitcoine kao sredstvo razmjene, umjesto kao novonastalo spremište vrijednosti. Poznata priča o čovjeku koji je za 10,000 bitcoina (vrijednih oko 94 milijuna dolara kada je ovaj članak napisan) za dvije pizze ilustrira ovaj problem.
- Jedinica računanja vrijednosti: Jednom kada je novac široko korišten kao sredstvo razmjene, dobra će biti vrednovana u njemu, tj. većina cijena će biti izražena u njemu. Uobičajena zabluda je da je većinu dobara moguće zamijeniti za bitcoine danas. Npr., premda je možda moguće kupiti šalicu kave za bitcoine, izlistana cijena nije prava bitcoin cijena; zapravo se radi o cijeni u državnoj valuti koju želi trgovac, preračunatu u bitcoin po trenutnoj tržišnoj cijeni. Kad bi cijena bitcoina pala u odnosu na valutu, vrijednost šalice izražena u bitcoinima bi se povećala. Od trenutka kada trgovci budu voljni prihvaćani bitcoine kao platežno sredstvo, bez obraćanja pažnje na vrijednost bitcoina u državnoj fiat valuti, moći ćemo reći da je Bitcoin zaista postao jedinica računanja vrijednosti.
Monetarna dobra koja još nisu jedinice računanja vrijednosti možemo smatrati “djelomično monetiziranima.” Danas zlato ima takvu ulogu, jer je spremište vrijednosti, ali su mu uloge sredstva razmjene i računanja vrijednosti oduzete intervencijama država. Moguće je također da se jedno dobro koristi kao sredstvo razmjene, dok druga ispunjavaju ostale uloge. To je tipično u zemljama gdje je država disfunkcionalna, npr. Argentina ili Zimbabwe. U svojoj knjizi, Digitalno zlato, Nathaniel Popper piše:
"U Americi, dolar služi trima funkcijama novca: nudi sredstvo razmjene, jedinicu za mjerenje vrijednosti dobara, i mjesto gdje se može čuvati vrijednosti. S druge strane, argentinski peso je korišten kao sredstvo razmjene (za svakodnevne potrebe), ali ga nitko nije koristio kao spremište vrijednosti. Štednja u pesosima bila je ekvivalent bacanja novca. Zato su ljudi svu svoju štednju imali u dolarima, jer je dolar bolje čuvao vrijednost. Zbog volatilnosti pesosa, ljudi su računali cijene u dolarima, što im je pružalo pouzdaniju jedinicu mjerenja kroz vrijeme."
Bitcoin je trenutno u fazi tranzicije iz prvog stadija monetizacije u drugi. Vjerojatno će proći nekoliko godina prije nego Bitcoin pređe iz začetaka spremišta vrijednosti u istinski medij razmjene, i put do tog trenutka je još uvijek pun rizika i nesigurnosti. Važno je napomenuti da je ista tranzicija trajala mnogo stoljeća za zlato. Nitko danas živ nije doživio monetizaciju dobra u realnom vremenu (kroz koju Bitcoin prolazi), tako da nemamo puno iskustva govoriti o putu i načinu na koji će se monetizacija dogoditi.
Put monetizacije
Kroz proces monetizacije, monetarno dobro će naglo porasti u kupovnoj moći. Mnogi su tako komentirali da je uvećanje kupovne moći Bitcoina izgledalo kao “balon” (bubble). Premda je ovaj termin često korišten kako bi ukazao na pretjeranu vrijednosti Bitcoina, sasvim slučajno je prikladan. Svojstvo koje je uobičajeno za sva monetarna dobra jest da je njihova kupovna moć viša nego što se može opravdati samo kroz njihovu uporabnu vrijednost. Zaista, mnogi povijesni novci nisu imali uporabnu vrijednost. Razliku između kupovne moći i vrijednosti razmjene koju bi novac mogao imati za svoju inherentnu korisnost, možemo razmatrati kao “monetarnu premiju.” Kako monetarno dobro prolazi kroz stadije monetizacije (navedene gore), monetarna premija raste. No, ta premija ne raste u ravnoj i predvidivoj liniji. Dobro X, koje je bilo u procesu monetizacije, može izgubiti u usporedbi sa dobrom Y koje ima više svojstava novca, te monetarna premija dobra X drastično padne ili potpuno nestane. Monetarna premija srebra je skoro potpuno nestala u kasnom 19. stoljeću, kada su ga vlade diljem svijeta zamijenile zlatom kao novcem.
Čak i u odsustvu vanjskih faktora, kao što su intervencije vlade ili druga monetarna dobra, monetarna premija novog novca neće ići predvidivim putem. Ekonomist Larry White primijetio je:
"problem sa pričom “balona,” naravno, je da je ona konzistentna sa svakim putem cijene, i time ne daje ikakvo objašnjenje za specifičan put cijene"
Proces monetizacije opisuje teorija igara; svaki akter na tržištu pokušava predvidjeti agregiranu potražnju ostalih aktera, i time buduću monetarnu premiju. Zato što je monetarna premija nevezana za inherentnu korisnost, tržišni akteri se uglavnom vode za prošlim cijenama da bi odredili je li neko dobro jeftino ili skupo, i žele li ga kupiti ili prodati. Veza trenutne potražnje sa prošlim cijenama naziva se “ovisnost o putu” (path dependence); ona je možda najveći izvor konfuzije u shvaćanju kretanja cijena monetarnih dobara.
Kada kupovna moć monetarnog dobra naraste zbog većeg i šireg korištenja, očekivanja tržišta o definicijama “jeftinog” i “skupog” se mijenjaju u skladu s time. Slično tome, kada cijena monetarnog dobra padne, očekivanja tržišta mogu se promijeniti u opće vjerovanje da su prethodne cijene bile “iracionalne” ili prenapuhane. Ovisnost o putu novca ilustrirana je riječima poznatog upravitelja fondova s Wall Streeta, Josha Browna:
"Kupio sam bitcoine kada su koštali $2300, i to mi se udvostručilo gotovo odmah. Onda sam počeo govoriti kako “ne mogu kupiti još” dok im je cijena rasla, premda sam znao da je to razmišljanje bazirano samo na cijenu po kojoj sam ih kupio. Kasnije, kada je cijena pala zbog kineske regulacije mjenjačnica, počeo sam si govoriti, “Odlično, nadam se da će još pasti da mogu kupiti još.”"
Istina leži u tome da su ideje “jeftinog” i “skupog” zapravo besmislene kada govorimo o monetarnim dobrima. Cijena monetarnog dobra ne reflektira njegovu stopu rasprostanjenosti ili korisnosti, nego mjeru koliko je ono široko prihvaćeno da ispuni razne uloge novca.
Dodatna komplikacija u ovom aspektu novca je činjenica da tržišni akteri ne djeluju samo kao nepristrani promatrači koji pokušavaju kupiti i prodati u iščekivanju budućih kretanja monetarne premije, nego i kao aktivni proponenti. Pošto ne postoji objektivno “točna” monetarna premija, širiti dobar glas o superiornijim svojstvima nekog monetarnog dobra je efektivnije nego za obična dobra, čija vrijednost je u konačnici vezana na njegovu osnovnu korisnost. Religiozni zanos sudionika na Bitcoin tržištu vidljiv je na raznim internetskim forumima, gdje Bitcoineri aktivno promoviraju benefine Bitcoina i bogatstvo koje je moguće ostvariti investiranjem u njega. Promatrajući Bitcoin tržište, Leigh Drogen komentira:
"To je prepoznatljivo svima kao religija - priča koju si pričamo i oko koje se slažemo. Religija je krivulja na grafu prihvaćanja o kojoj trebamo razmišljati. Sustav je gotovo savršen - onog trenutka kada netko pristupi krugu Bitcoinera, to će reći svima i nastaviti širiti riječ. Onda njihovi prijatelji pristupe i nastave širiti riječ."
Premda usporedba sa religijom može staviti Bitcoin u iracionalno svjetlo, potpuno je racionalno za individualnog vlasnika da širi dobru vijest o superiornom monetarnom dobru, i za šire društvo da se standardizira oko njega. Novac djeluje kao temelj za svu trgovinu i štednju; tako da prihvaćanje superiornog oblika novca ima ogromne multiplicirajuće benefite za stvaranje bogatstva za sve članove društva.
Oblik monetizacije
U članku o Spekulativnom prihvaćanju Bitcoina / teorije cijene, Michael Casey postulira da rastući Gartner hype ciklusi predstavljaju faze standardne S-krivulje prihvaćanja novih tehnologija, koje su bile prisutne kod mnogih transformacijskih tehnologija dok su postajale uobičajene u društvu.
Svaki Gartner hype ciklus počinje sa eksplozijom entuzijazma za novom tehnologijom, a cijenu podižu oni sudionici na tržištvu koji su “dostupni” u toj fazi. Najraniji kupci u Gartner hype ciklusu obično imaju jaku vjeru o transformacijskoj prirodi tehnologije u koju ulažu. S vremenom, tržište dosegne vrhunac entuzijazma kako se količina novih kupaca iscrpljuje, te kupovinom počnu dominirati spekulatori koji su više zainteresirani u brze profite nego u samu tehnologiju.
Nakon vrha hype ciklusa, cijene rapidno padaju dok spekulativno ludilo ustupa mjesto očajavanju, javnoj poruzi i osjećaju da tehnologija nije uopće bila transformacijska. S vremenom, cijena dosegne dno i formira plato na kojem se originalnim ulagačima, koji su imali snažno uvjerenje, pridružuju nove grupe ljudi koji su izdržali bol kraha cijena i koji cijene važnost same tehnologije.
Plato traje neko vrijeme i formira, kako Casey kaže, “stabilnu, dosadnu dolinu.” Za ovo vrijeme, javni interes za tehnologiju opada, no nastaviti će se razvijati i snažna zajednica uvjerenja će polako rasti. Tada, postavlja se nova baza za sljedeću iteraciju hype ciklusa, dok vanjski promatrači prepoznaju da tehnologija i dalje postoji i da ulaganje u nju možda nije onoliko rizično kao što se činilo za vrijeme pada cijene. Sljedeća iteracija hype ciklusa donosi mnogo veći broj novih ljudi, pa je i ciklus daleko veći u svojoj magnitudi.
Jako mali broj ljudi koji sudjeluju u Gartner hype ciklusu će točno predvidjeti koliko će visoko cijena porasti za vrijeme ciklusa. Cijene često dosegnu razine koje bi se činile apsurdnima većini ulagača u raniji stadijima ciklusa. Kada ciklus završi, mediji tipično atribuiraju pad cijene nekoj od aktualnih drušvenih tema. Premda takva tema može biti okidač pada, ona nikad nije temeljni razlog zašto ciklus završava. Gartner hype ciklusi završavaju kada je količina dostupnih novih sudionika na tržištu iscrpljena.
Zanimljivo je da je i zlato nacrtalo klasičan graf Gartner hype ciklusa od kasnih 1970-ih do ranih 2000-ih. Moguće je spekulirati da je hype ciklus osnovna socijalna dinamika oko procesa monetizacije.
Gartner kohorte
Od početka trgovanja Bitcoina na mjenjačnicama 2010. godine, Bitcoin tržište je svjedočilo četirima velikim Gartner hype ciklusima. U retrospektivi, možemo vrlo precizno identificirati grupe cijena prethodnih hype ciklusa Bitcoin tržišta. Također, možemo kvalitativno odrediti kohorte ulagača koje su povezane sa svakom iteracijom prethodnih ciklusa.
$ 0–$ 1 (2009. – 3. mjesec 2011.): Prvi hype ciklus u Bitcoin tržištu dominirali su kriptografi, računalni znanstvenici i cypherpunkovi koji su od početka bili spremni razumijeti važnost nevjerojatnog izuma Satoshija Nakamotoa, i koji su bili pioniri u potvrđivanju da Bitcoin protokol nema tehničkih mana.
$ 1–$ 30 (3. mjesec 2011. – 7. mjesec. 2011.): Drugi ciklus privukao je rane entuzijaste oko novih tehnologija kao i stabilan pritok ideološki motiviranih ulagača koji su bili oduševljeni idejom novca odvojenog od države. Libertarijanci poput Rogera Vera došli su u Bitcoin zbog aktivnog anti-institucionalnog stava, i mogućnosti koju je nova tehnologija obećavala. Wences Casares, briljantni i dobro povezani serijski poduzetnik, bio je također dio drugog Bitcoin hype ciklusa te je širio riječ o Bitcoinu među najprominentnijim tehnolozima i ulagačima u Silicijskoj Dolini.
$ 250–$ 1100 (4. mjesec 2013. – 12. mjesec 2013.): Treći hype ciklus doživio je ulazak ranih generalnih i institucionalnih ulagača koji su bili voljni uložiti trud i riskirati kroz užasno komplicirane kanale likvidnosti kako bi kupili bitcoine. Primaran izvor likvidnosti na tržištu za vrijeme ovog perioda bio je MtGox, mjenjačnica bazirana u Japanu, koju je vodio notorno nesposobni i beskrupulozni Mark Karpeles, koji je kasnije završio i u zatvoru zbog svoje uloge u kolapsu MtGoxa.
Valja primijetiti da je rast Bitcoinove cijene za vrijeme spomenuti hype ciklusa većinom povezano sa povećanjem likvidnosti i lakoćom sa kojom su ulagači mogli kupiti bitcoine. Za vrijeme prvog hype ciklusa, nisu postojale mjenjačnice; akvizicija bitcoina se odvijala primarno kroz rudarenje (mining) ili kroz izravnu razmjenu sa onima koju su već izrudarili bitcoine. Za vrijeme drugog hype ciklusa, pojavile su se rudimentarne mjenjačnice, no nabavljanje i osiguravanje bitcoina na ovim mjenjačnicama bilo je previše kompleksno za sve osim tehnološki najsposobnijih ulagača. Čak i za vrijeme trećeg hype ciklusa, ulagači koju su slali novac na MtGox kako bi kupili bitcoine su morali raditi kroz značajne prepreke. Banke nisu bile voljne imati posla sa mjenjačnicom, a oni posrednici koji su nudili usluge transfera bili su često nesposobni, kriminalni, ili oboje. Nadalje, mnogi koji su uspjeli poslati novac MtGoxu, u konačnici su morali prihvatiti gubitak svojih sredstava kada je mjenjačnica hakirana i kasnije zatvorena.
Tek nakon kolapsa MtGox mjenjačnice i dvogodišnje pauze u tržišnoj cijeni Bitcoina, razvili su se zreli i duboki izvori likvidnosti; primjeri poput reguliranih mjenjačnica kao što su GDAX i OTC brokeri kao Cumberland mining. Dok je četvrti hype ciklus započeo 2016. godine, bilo je relativno lako običnim ulagačima kupiti i osigurati bitcoine.
$ 1100 – $ 19600? (2014. –?):
U trenutku pisanja ovog teksta, tržište Bitcoina je prolazilo svoj četvrti veliki hype ciklus. Sudjelovanje u ovom hype ciklusu dominirala je ona skupina koju je Michael Casey opisao kao “rana većina” običnih i institucionalnih ulagača.
Kako su se izvori likvidnosti produbljivali i sazrijevali, veliki institucionalni ulagači sada imaju priliku sudjelovati kroz regulirana “futures” tržišta. Dostupnosti takvih tržišta stvara put ka kreaciji Bitcoin ETF-a (exchange traded fund) (fond na slobodnom tržištu), koji će onda pokrenuti “kasnu većinu” i “najsporije” u sljedećim hype ciklusima.
Premda je nemoguće predvidjeti točan efekt budućih hype ciklusa, razumno je očekivati da će najviša točka biti između $ 20.000 i $ 50.000 (2021. zenit je bio preko $ 69.000). Znatno više od ovog raspona, i Bitcoin bi imao znatan postotak ukupne vijednosti zlata (zlato i Bitcoin bi imali jednaku tržišnu kapitalizaciju kada bi bitcoini vrijedili oko $ 380.000 u trenutku pisanja ovog teksta). Značajan postotak vrijednosti zlata dolazi od potražnje centralnih banaka, te je malo vjerojatno da će centralne banke ili suverene države sudjelovati u trenutnom hype ciklusu.
Ulazak suverenih država u Bitcoin
Bitcoinov zadnji Gartner hype ciklus će započeti kada ga suverene države počnu akumulirati kao dio svojih rezervi stranih valuta. Tržišna kapitalizacija Bitcoina je trenutno premala da bismo ga smatrali značajnim dodatkom rezervama većini zemalja. No, kako se interes u privatnom sektoru povećava i kapitalizacija Bitcoina se približi trilijunu dolara, postat će dovoljno likvidan za većinu država. Prva država koja službeno doda bitcoine u svoje rezerve će vjerojatno potaknuti stampedo ostalih da učine isto. Države koje su među prvima u usvajanju Bitcoina imat će najviše benefita u svojim knjigama ako Bitcoin u konačnici postane globalna valuta (global reserve currency). Nažalost, vjerojatno će države sa najjačom izvršnom vlasti - diktature poput Sjeverne Koreje - biti najbrže u akumulaciji bitcoina. Neodobravanje prema takvim državama i slaba izvršna tijela zapadnjačkih demokracija uzrokovat će sporost i kašnjenje u akumulaciji bitcoina za njihove vlastite rezerve.
Velika je ironija u tome što je SAD trenutno jedna od regulatorno najotvorenijih nacija prema Bitcoinu, dok su Kina i Rusija najzatvorenije. SAD riskira najviše, geopolitički, ako bi Bitcoin zamijenio dolar kao svjetska rezervna valuta. U 1960-ima, Charles de Gaulle je kritizirao “pretjeranu privilegiju” (“exorbitant privilege”) koju su SAD imale u međunarodnom monetarnom poretku, postavljenom kroz Bretton Woods dogovor 1944. godine. Ruska i kineska vlada još ne shvaćaju geo-strateške benefite Bitcoina kao rezervne valute, te se trenutno brinu o efektima koje bi mogao imati na njihova unutarnja tržišta. Kao de Gaulle u 1960-ima, koji je prijetio SAD-u povratkom na klasični standard zlata, Kinezi i Rusi će s vremenom uvidjeti korist u velikoj poziciji u Bitcoinu - spremištu vrijednosti bez pokrića ijedne vlade. Sa najvećom koncentracijom rudara Bitcoina u Kini (2017.), kineska vlada već ima znatnu potencijalnu prednost u stavljanju bitcoina u svoje rezerve.
SAD se ponosi svojim statusom nacije inovatora, sa Silicijskom dolinom kao krunom svoje ekonomije. Dosad, Silicijska dolina je dominirala konverzacijom usmjerenom prema regulaciji, i poziciji koju bi ona treba zauzeti prema Bitcoinu. No, bankovna industrija i federalna rezerva SAD-a (US Federal Reserve, Fed) napokon počinju uviđati egzistencijalnu prijetnju koju Bitcoin predstavlja za američku monetarnu politiku, postankom globalne rezervne valute. Wall Street Journal, jedan od medijskih glasova federalne reserve, izdao je komentar o Bitcoinu kao prijetnji monetarnoj politici SAD-a:
"Postoji još jedna opasnost, možda i ozbiljnija iz perspektive centralnih banaka i regulatora: bitcoin možda ne propadne. Ako je spekulativni žar u kriptovalutu samo prvi pokazatelj njezinog šireg korištenja kao alternative dolaru, Bitcoin će svakako ugroziti monopol centralnih banaka nad novcem."
U narednim godinama, možemo očekivati veliku borbu između poduzetnika i inovatora u Silicijskoj dolini, koji će pokušavati čuvati Bitcoin od državne kontrole s jedne strane, i bankovne industrije i centralnih banaka koje će učiniti sve što mogu da bi regulirale Bitcoin kako bi spriječile znatne promjene u svojoj industriji i moći izdavanja novca, s druge.
Prijelaz na medij razmjene
Monetarno dobro ne može postati opće prihvaćen medij razmjene (standardna ekonomska definicija za “novac”) prije nego je vrednovano od širokog spektra ljudi; jednostavno, dobro koje nije vrednovano neće biti prihvaćeno u razmjeni. Kroz proces generalnog rasta vrijednosti, i time postanka spremišta vrijednosti, monetarno dobro će brzo narasti u kupovnoj moći, i time stvoriti cijenu za korištenje u razmjeni. Samo kada ta cijena rizika mijenjanja spremišta vrijednosti padne dovoljno nisko, može dobro postati opće prihvaćen medij razmjene.
Preciznije, monetarno dobro će biti prikladno kao medij razmjene samo kada je suma cijene rizika i transakcijske cijene u razmjeni manja nego u trgovini bez tog dobra.
U društvu koje vrši robnu razmjenu, prijelaz spremišta vrijednosti u medij razmjene može se dogoditi čak i onda kada monetarno dobro raste u kupovnoj moći, zato što su transakcijski troškovi robne razmjene iznimno visoki. U razvijenoj ekonomiji, u kojoj su troškovi razmjene niski, moguće je za mladu i rapidno rastućnu tehnologiju spremišta vrijednosti, poput Bitcoina, da se koristi kao medij razmjene, doduše na ograničen način. Jedan primjer je ilegalno tržište droge, gdje su kupci voljni žrtvovati oportunu cijenu čuvanja bitcoina kako bi umanjili znatan rizik kupovine droge koristeći fiat novac.
Postoje međutim velike institucionalne barijere da novonastalo spremište vrijednosti postane sveopće prihvaćen medij razmjene u razvijenom društvu. Države koriste oporezivanje kao moćnu metodu zaštite svojeg suverenog novca protiv rivalskih monetarnih dobara. Ne samo da suvereni novac ima prednost konstantnog izvora potražnje, zato što je porez moguće platiti jedino u njemu, nego su i rivalska monetarna dobra oporezana pri svakoj razmjeni za vrijeme rastuće cijene. Ova metoda oporezivanja stvara znatan otpor korištenju spremišta vrijednosti kao medija razmjene.
Ovakvo sabotiranje tržišnih monetarnih dobara nije nepremostiva barijera za njihovo prihvaćanje kao općeg medija razmjene. Ako ljudi izgube vjeru u suvereni novac, njegova vrijednost može rapidno propasti kroz proces zvan hiperinflacija. Kada suvereni novac prolazi kroz hiperinflaciju, njegova vrijednost propadne prvo u usporedbi sa najlikvidnijim dobrima u društvu, kao što je zlato ili stabilna strana valuta (američki dolar npr.), ako su ona dostupna. Kada nema likvidnih dobara ili ih ima premalo, novac u hiperinflaciji kolabira u usporedbi sa stvarnim dobrima, kao što su nekretnine ili upotrebljiva roba. Arhetipska slika hiperinflacije je trgovina sa praznim policama - potrošači brzo bježe iz propadajuće vrijednosti novca svoje nacije.
Nakon dovoljno vremena, kada je vjera potpuno uništena za vrijeme hiperinflacije, suvereni novac više nitko ne prihvaća, te se društvo može vratiti na robnu razmjenu, ili će doživjeti potpunu zamjenu monetarne jedinice za sredstvo razmjene. Primjer ovog procesa bila je zamjena zimbabveanskog dolara za američki dolar. Takva promjena suverenog novca za stranu valutu je dodatno otežana relativnom oskudnošću strane valute i odsustvom stranih bankarskih institucija koje pružaju likvidnost tržištu.
Sposobnost lakog prenošenja bitcoina preko granica i odsustvo potrebe za bankarskim sustavom čine Bitcoin idealnim monetarnim dobrom za one ljude koji pate pod hiperinflacijom. U nadolazećim godinama, kako fiat valute nastave svoj povijesni trend ka bezvrijednosti, Bitcoin će postati sve popularniji izbor za ušteđevine ljudi diljem svijeta. Kada je novac nacije napušten i zamijenjen Bitcoinom, Bitcoin će napraviti tranziciju iz spremišta vrijednosti u tom društvu u opće prihvaćeno sredstvo razmjene. Daniel Krawicz stvorio je termin “hiperbitcoinizacija” da bi opisao ovaj proces.
Učestala pogrešna shvaćanja
Većina ovog članka usredotočila se na monetarnu prirodu Bitcoina. Sa tim temeljima možemo adresirati neke od najčešćih nerazumijevanja u Bitcoinu.
Bitcoin je balon (bubble)
Bitcoin, kao sva tržišna monetarna dobra, posjeduje monetarnu premiju. Ona često rezultira uobičajenom kritikom da je Bitcoin samo “balon.” No, sva monetarna dobra imaju monetarnu premiju. Naprotiv, ta monetarna premija (cijena viša od one koju diktira potražnja za dobrom kao korisnim) je upravo karakteristična za sve oblike novca. Drugim riječima, novac je uvijek i svuda balon. Paradoksalno, monetarno dobro je istovremeno balon i ispod vrijednosti ukoliko je u ranijim stadijima općeg prihvaćanja kao novac.
Bitcoin je previše volatilan
Volatilnost cijene Bitcoina je funkcija njegovog nedavnog nastanka. U prvih nekoliko godina svojeg postojanja, Bitcoin se ponašao kao mala dionica, i svaki veliki kupac - kao npr. braća Winklevoss - mogao je uzrokovati veliki skok u njegovoj cijeni. No, kako su se prihvaćenost i likvidnost povećavali kroz godine, volatilnost Bitcoina je srazmjerno smanjila. Kada Bitcoin postigne tržišnu kapitalizaciju (vrijednost) zlata, imat će sličnu volatilnost kao i zlato. Kako Bitcoin nastavi rasti, njegova volatilnost će se smanjiti do razine koja ga čini prikladnim za široko korištenje kao medij razmjene. Kao što je prethodno rečeno, monetizacija Bitcoina se odvija u seriji Gartner hype ciklusa. Volatilnost je najniža za vrijeme vrhunaca i dolina unutar ciklusa. Svaki hype ciklus ima nižu volatilnost od prethodnih, zato što je likvidnost tržišta veća.
Cijene transakcija su previsoke
Novija kritika Bitcoin mreže je ta da ju je povećanje cijena prijenosa bitcoina učinilo neprikladnom za sustav plaćanja. No, rast u cijenama transakcija je zdrav i očekivan. One su nužne za plaćanje bitcoin minera (rudara), koji osiguravaju mrežu validacijom transakcija. Rudare se plaća kroz cijene transakcija ili kroz blok-nagrade, koje su inflacijska subvencija od trane trenutnih vlasnika bitcoina.
S obzirom na Bitcoinovu fiksnu proizvodnju (monetarna politika koja ga čini idealnim za spremanje vrijednosti), blok-nagrade će s vremenom nestati i mrežu će se u konačnici morati osiguravati kroz cijene transakcija. Mreža sa “niskim” cijenama transakcija je mreža sa slabom sigurnosti i osjetljiva na vanjsku intervenciju i cenzuru. Oni koji hvale niske cijene Bitcoinovih alternative zapravo niti ne znajući opisuju slabosti tih takozvanih “alt-coina.”
Površan temelj kritika Bitcoinovih “visokih” cijena transakcija je uvjerenje da bi Bitcoin trebao biti prvo sustav plaćanja, i drugo spremište vrijednosti. Kao što smo vidjeli kroz povijest novca, ovo uvjerenje je naopako. Samo onda kada Bitcoin postane duboko ukorijenjeno spremište novca može biti prikladan kao sredstvo razmjene. Nadalje, kada oportunitetni trošak razmjene bitcoina dođe na razinu koja ga čini prikladnim sredstvom razmjene, većina trgovine neće se odvijati na samoj Bitcoin mreži, nego na mrežama “drugog sloja” (second layer) koje će imati niže cijene transakcija. Takve mreže, poput Lightning mreže, služe kao moderna verzija zadužnica koje su korištene za prijenos vlasničkih papira zlata u 19. stoljeću. Banke su koristile zadužnice zato što je prijenos samog metala bio daleko skuplji. Za razliku od takvih zadužnica, Lightning mreža će omogućavati nisku cijenu prijenosa bitcoina bez potrebe za povjerenjem prema trećoj strani, poput banaka. Razvoj Lightning mreže je tehnološka inovacija od izuzetne važnosti u povijesti Bitcoina, i njezina vrijednost će postati očita u narednim godinama, kako je sve više ljudi bude razvijalo i koristilo.
Konkurencija
Pošto je Bitcoin softverski protokol otvorenog tipa (open-source), oduvijek je bilo moguće kopirati softver i imitirati mrežu. Kroz godine nastajali su mnogi imitatori, od identičnih kopija, kao Litecoin, do kompleksnijih varijanti kao što je Ethereum, koje obećavaju arbitrarno kompleksne ugovorne mehanizme koristeći decentralizirani računalni sustav. Česta kritika Bitcoinu od strane ulagača je ta da on ne može zadržati svoju vrijednost kada je vrlo lako stvoriti konkurente koji mogu lako i brzo u sebi imati najnovije inovacije i softverske funkcionalnosti.
Greška u ovom argumentu leži u manju takozvanog “mrežnog efekta” (network effect), koji postoji u prvoj i dominantnoj tehnologiji u nekom području. Mrežni efekt - velika vrijednost korištenja Bitcoina samo zato što je već dominantan - je važno svojstvo samo po sebi. Za svaku tehnologiju koja posjeduje mrežni efekt, to je daleko najvažnije svojstvo koje može imati.
Za Bitcoin, mrežni efekt uključuje likvidnost njegovog tržišta, broj ljudi koji ga posjeduju, i zajednicu programera koji održavaju i unaprjeđuju njegov softver i svjesnost u javnosti. Veliki ulagači, uključujući države, će uvijek prvo tražiti najlikvidnije tržište, kako bi mogli ući i izaći iz tržišta brzo, i bez utjecanja na cijenu. Programeri će se pridružiti dominantnoj programerskoj zajednici sa najboljim talentom, i time pojačati samu zajednicu. Svjesnost o brendu sama sebe pojačava, pošto se nadobudni konkurenti Bitcoina uvijek spominju u kontekstu Bitcoina kao takvog.
Raskrižje na putu (fork)
Trend koji je postao popularan 2017. godine nije bio samo imitacija Bitcoinovog softvera, nego kopiranje potpune povijesti njegovih prošlih transakcija (cijeli blockchain). Kopiranjem Bitcoinovog blockchaina do određene točke/bloka i odvajanjem sljedećih blokova ka novoj mreži, u procesu znanom kao “forking” (odvajanje), Bitcoinovi konkurenti su uspjeli riješiti problem distribuiranja svojeg tokena velikom broju korisnika.
Najznačajniji takav fork dogodio se 1. 8. 2017. godine, kada je nova mreža nazvana Bitcoin Cash (Bcash) stvorena. Vlasnik N količine bitcoina prije 1.8.2017. bi onda posjedovao N bitcoina i N BCash tokena. Mala, ali vrlo glasna zajednica Bcash proponenata je neumorno pokušavala prisvojiti Bitcoinov brend i ime, imenujući svoju novu mrežu Bitcoin Cast i pokušavajući uvjeriti nove pridošlice u Bitcoin da je Bcash “pravi” Bitcoin. Ti pokušaji su većinom propali, i taj neuspjeh se vidi u tržišnim kapitalizacijama dviju mreža. No, za nove ulagače, i dalje postoji rizik da bi konkurent mogao kopirati Bitcoin i njegov blockchain i tako uspjeti u preuzimanju tržišne kapitalizacije, te postati de facto Bitcoin.
Moguće je uočiti važno pravilo gledajući velike forkove u prošlosti Bitcoin i Ethereum mreža. Većina tržišne kapitalizacije odvijat će se na mreži koja zadrži najviši stupanj talenta i aktivnosti u zajednici programera. Premda se na Bitcoin može gledati kao na nov i mlad novac, on je također računalna mreža koja počiva na softveru, kojeg se pak treba održavati i poboljšavati. Kupovina tokena na mreži koja ima malo neiskusnih programera bilo bi kao kupovati kopiju Microsoft Windowsa na kojoj rade lošiji programeri. Jasno je vidljivo iz povijesti forkova koji su se odvili 2017. godine da su najbolji računalni i kriptografski stručnjaci posvećeni razvoju originalnog Bitcoina, a ne nekoj od rastućeg broja imitacija koje su se izrodile iz njega.
Stvarni rizici
Premda su uobičajene kritike upućene Bitconu od strane medija i ekonomske profesije krive i bazirane na netočnom shvaćanju novca, postoje pravi i značajni rizici kod ulaganja u Bitcoin. Bilo bi mudro za novog Bitcoin ulagača da shvati ove rizike prije potencijalnog ulaganja.
Rizik protokola
Bitcoin protokol i kriptografski sastavni dijelovi na kojima je sagrađen potencijalno imaju dosad nepronađenu grešku u svom dizajnu, ili mogu postati nesigurni razvojem kvantnih računala. Ako se pronađe greška u protokolu, ili neka nova metoda računarstva učini mogućim probijanje kriptografskih temelja Bitcoina, vjera u Bitcoin biti će znatno narušena. Rizik protokola bio je najviši u ranim godinama razvoja Bitcoina, kada je još uvijek bilo nejasno, čak i iskusnim kriptografima, je li Satoshi Nakamoto zaista riješio problem bizantskih generala (Byzantine Generals’ Problem). Brige oko ozbiljnih grešaka u Bitcoin protokolu nestale su kroz godine, no uzevši u obzir njegovu tehnološku prirodu, rizik protokola će uvijek ostati u Bitcoinu, makar i kao izuzetak.
Propadanje mjenjačnica
Time što je decentraliziran, Bitcoin je pokazao značajnu otpornost, suočen sa brojnim pokušajima raznih vlada da ga reguliraju ili unište. No, mjenjačnice koje trguju bitcoinima za fiat valute su centralizirani entiteti i podložne regulacijama i zatvaranju. Bez mjenjačnica i volje bankara da s njima posluju, proces monetizacije Bitcoina bio bi ozbiljno usporen, ako ne i potpuno zaustavljen. Iako postoje alternativni izvori likvidnosti za Bitcoin, poput “over-the-counter” brokera i decentraliziranih tržišta za kupovinu i prodaju bitcoina, kritičan proces otkrivanja i definiranja cijene se odvija na najlikvidnijim mjenjačnicama, koje su sve centralizirane.
Jedan od načina za umanjivanje rizika gašenja mjenjačnica je geografska arbitraža. Binance, jedna od velikih mjenjačnica iz Kine, preselila se u Japan nakon što joj je kineska vlada zabranila operiranje u Kini. Vlade su također oprezne kako ne bi ugušile novu industriju koja je potencijalno značajna kao i internet, i time predale nevjerojatnu konkurentnu vrijednost drugim nacijama.
Samo kroz koordinirano globalno ukidanje Bitcoin mjenjačnica bi proces monetizacije mogao biti zaustavljen. Trenutno smo u utrci; Bitcoin raste i postaje sve rašireniji, i doći će do trenutka kada bi potpuno ukidanje mjenjačnica postalo politički neizvedivo - kao i gašenje interneta. Mogućnost takvog ukidanja je još uvijek realna, i valja je uzeti u obzir pri ulaganju u Bitcoin. Kao što je gore objašnjeno, suverene vlade se polako bude i uviđaju prijetnju koju predstavlja neovisna digitalna valuta otporna na cenzuru, za njihovu monetarnu politiku. Otvoreno je pitanje hoće li išta poduzeti da odgovore ovoj prijetnji prije nego Bitcoin postane toliko utvrđen i raširen da politička akcija postane nemoćna i ne-efektivna.
Zamjenjivost
Otvorena i transparentna priroda Bitcoin blockchaina omogućava državama da proglase specifične bitcoine “okaljanima” zbog njihovog korištenja u određenim aktivnostima. Premda Bitcoin, na protokolarnoj razini, ne diskriminira transakcije na ikoji način, “okaljani” bitcoini bi mogli postati bezvrijedni ako bi ih regulacije proglasile ilegalnima i neprihvatljivima za mjenjačnice ili trgovce. Bitcoin bi tada izgubio jedno od kritičnih svojstava monetarnog dobra: zamjenjivost.
Da bi se ovaj problem riješio i umanjio, biti će potrebna poboljšanja na razini protokola kako bi se poboljšala privatnost transakcija. Premda postoji napredak u ovom smjeru, prvi put primjenjen u digitalnim valutama kao što su Monero i Zcash, potrebno je napraviti značajne tehnološke kompromise između efikasnosti i kompleksnosti Bitcoina i njegove privatnosti. Pitanje ostaje otvoreno je li moguće dodati nova svojstva privatnosti na Bitcoin, na način koji neće kompromitirati njegovu korisnost kao novca.
Zaključak
Bitcoin je novonastali novac koji je u procesu transformacije iz sakupljačkog dobra u spremište vrijednosti. Kao neovisno monetarno dobro, moguće je da će u budućnosti postati globalan novac, slično kao zlato za vrijeme 19. stoljeća. Prihvaćanje Bitcoina kao globalnog novca je upravo taj optimističan scenarij za Bitcoin, kojeg je artikulirao Satoshi Nakamoto još 2010. godine u email razmjeni sa Mikeom Hearnom:
"Ako zamisliš da se koristi u nekom dijelu svjetske trgovine, i da će postojati samo 21 milijun bitcoina za cijeli svijet, vrijednost po jedinici će biti znatno veća".
Ovaj scenarij je još snažnije definirao briljantni kriptograf Hal Finney, koji je ujedno primio i prve bitcoine od Nakamotoa, ubrzo nakon najave prvog funkcionalnog Bitcoin softvera:
"Zamislimo da Bitcoin bude uspješan i postane dominantan sustav plaćanja diljem svijeta. U tom slučaju će ukupna vrijednost valute biti jednaka ukupnoj vrijednosti svog bogatstva svijeta. Današnje procjene ukupnog svjetskog bogatska kućanstava koje sam pronašao borave negdje između 100 i 300 trilijuna dolara. Sa 20 milijuna bitcoina, svaki bi onda vrijedio oko 10 milijuna dolara."
Čak i da Bitcoin ne postane u cijelost globalan novac, nego da se samo natječe sa zlatom kao neovisno spremište vrijednosti, i dalje je masivno podcijenjen. Mapiranje tržišne kapitalizacije postojeće količine izrudarenog zlata (oko 8 trilijuna dolara) na maksimalnu dostupnost Bitcoina od 21 milijun, daje vrijednost od otprilike 380,000 dolara po bitcoinu. Kao što smo vidjeli u prethodnom tekstu, svojstva koja omogućavaju monetarnom dobru da bude prikladno spremište vrijednosti, čine Bitcoin superiornijim zlatu u svakom pogledu osim trajanja povijesti. No, kako vrijeme prolazi i Lindy efekt postane jači, dosadašnja povijest će prestati biti prednost zlata. Samim time, nije nerazumno očekivati da će Bitcoin narasti do, a možda i preko, ukupne cijene zlata na tržištvu do 2030. Opaska ovoj tezi je činjenica da veliki postotak vrijednosti zlata dolazi od toga što ga centralne banke čuvaju kao spremište vrijednosti. Da bi Bitcoin došao do te razine, određena količina suverenih država će trebati sudjelovati. Hoće li zapadnjačke demokracije sudjelovati u vlasništvu Bitcoina je nepoznato. Vjerojatnije je, nažalost, da će prve nacije u Bitcoin tržištu biti sitne diktature i kleptokracije.
Ako niti jedna država ne bude sudjelovala u Bitcoin tržištu, optimistična teza i dalje postoji. Kao nevisno spremište vrijednosti u rukama individualnih i institucionalnih ulagača, Bitcoin je i dalje vrlo rano u svojoj “krivulji prihvaćenosti” (adoption curve); tzv. “rana većina” ulaze na tržište sada, dok će ostali ući tek nekoliko godina kasnije. Sa širim sudjelovanjem individualnih i institucionalnih ulagača, cijena po bitcoinu između 100,000 i 200,000 dolara je sasvim moguća.
Posjedovanje bitcoina je jedna od malobrojnih asimetričnih novčanih strategija dostupnih svakome na svijetu. Poput “call” opcija, negativan rizik ulagača je ograničen na 1x, dok potencijalna dobit i dalje iznosi 100x ili više. Bitcoin je prvi istinski globalan balon čija je veličina ograničena samo potražnjom i željom građana svijeta da zaštite svoju ušteđevinu od raznovrsnih ekonomskih malverzacija vlade. Bitcoin je ustao kao feniks iz pepela globalne financijske krize 2008. godine - katastrofe kojoj su prethodile odluke centralnih banaka poput američke Federalne rezerve (Federal Reserve).
Onkraj samo financijske teze za Bitcoin, njegov rast i uspjeh kao neovisno spremište vrijednosti imat će duboke geopolitičke posljedice. Globalna, ne-inflacijska valuta će prisiliti suverene države da promjene svoje primarne mehanizme financiranja od inflacije u izravno oporezivanje; koje je daleko manje politički popularno. Države će se smanjivati proporcionalno političkoj boli koju im nanese oporezivanje kao jedini način financiranja. Nadalje, globalna trgovina vršiti će se na način koji zadovoljava aspiraciju Charlesa de Gaullea, da nijedna nacija ne bi smjela imati privilegiju nad ikojom drugom:
"Smatramo da je potrebno da se uspostavi međunarodna trgovina, kao što je bio slučaj prije velikih nesreća koje su zadesile svijet, na neosporivoj monetarnoj bazi, koja ne nosi na sebi oznaku ijedne države."
Za 50 godina, ta monetarna baza biti će Bitcoin.
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